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Elon Musk Says Mark Zuckerberg's Understanding of AI Is Limited (ndtv.com)

An anonymous reader shares a report: Elon Musk is a man of many characteristics, one of which apparently is not shying away from calling out big names when they are not informed about a subject. A day after Facebook founder and CEO Mark Zuckerberg said Musk's doomsday prediction of AI is "irresponsible," the Tesla, SpaceX, and SolarCity founder returned the favour by calling Zuckerberg's understanding of AI "limited." Responding to a tweet Tuesday, which talked about Zuckerberg's remarks on the matter, Musk said he has spoken to the Facebook CEO about it, and reached the conclusion that his "understanding of the subject is limited." Even as AI remains in its nascent stage -- recent acquisitions suggest that most companies only started looking at AI-focused startups five years ago -- major companies are aggressively placing big bets on it. Companies are increasingly exploring opportunities to use machine learning and other AI components to improve their products and services and push things forward. But as AI is seeing tremendous attention, some, including people like Musk worry that we need to regulate these efforts as they could pose a "fundamental risk to the existence of human civilisation." At the National Governors Association summer meeting earlier this month in the US, Musk added, "I have exposure to the very cutting edge AI, and I think people should be really concerned about it. I keep sounding the alarm bell, but until people see robots going down the street killing people, they don't know how to react, because it seems so ethereal." Over the weekend, during Zuckerberg's Facebook Live session, a user asked what he thought of Musk's remarks. "I have pretty strong opinions on this. I am optimistic," Zuckerberg said. "And I think people who are naysayers and try to drum up these doomsday scenarios -- I just, I don't understand it. It's really negative and in some ways I actually think it is pretty irresponsible."

318 comments

  1. Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Zuckerberg is just a glorified webmaster from the 90s, when you think about it.

    1. Re:Elon is right. by Luthair · · Score: 4, Insightful

      On the other hand Elon is what, a business guy who likes scifi?

    2. Re:Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      On the other hand Elon is what, a business guy who likes scifi?

      No! Elon is the second coming of Steve Jobs!

      The innovating GENIUS that we all worship and look up to! The MAN who gives us all meaning to our lives. And he's a BILLIONAIRE! One day if we just work hard enough, have genius innovative ideas and become disruptors, we too can be billionaires!

      We can all rub those jocks' noses in our fabulous success and show them that the Nerds will get their revenge one day!!

      I have to stop now. My mom is calling from top of the basement stairs telling me that my shift manager at Starbucks wants to know if I can come in tonight. That CS degree from state has paid off so well! I'll be manager soon!

    3. Re:Elon is right. by rdelsambuco · · Score: 1

      Elon Musk is played by Robert Preston, right?

      --
      I comment occasionally so that I can mod others -1 overrated or -1 offtopic.
    4. Re:Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Zuckerberg is just a glorified webmaster from the 90s, when you think about it.

      You mean when you pretend to think about it but actually just reinforce the uninformed conclusion you leapt to long ago.

    5. Re:Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, you're thinking of Harold Hill from The Music Man (1962) Similar role.

    6. Re: Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Both are tech enthusiasts so far out of touch with the real inner workings. Philosophy of tech is the last resort of a manager when they cant keep up.

    7. Re:Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, it's not rocket science.

      Oh, wait...

    8. Re: Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Elon is kindof an over-opinionated blowhard who takes credit for the work of entire think tanks.

    9. Re:Elon is right. by NicknameUnavailable · · Score: 0

      Zuckerberg is just a glorified webmaster from the 90s, when you think about it.

      More like a glorified thief, liar, and cheat. He was paid to write Facebook's predecessor in the role of a contractor, then when complete took it and rebranded as Facebook while screwing over the guys who hired him, then proceeded to lie and cheat to trick people out of their otherwise private information, to be sold to alphabet agencies.

      Not to say Musk is any better, considering he drives talented engineers like they are in a sweatshop and his grand aspiration is a slave labor camp on Mars fueled by the cult of personality void left by Steve Jobs' last attempt to steal a new liver.

      Of course, you could go on about the evils of any billionaire, but there's no nobility in poverty so all the world's greatest shitbags are still better than you or anyone else here.

    10. Re:Elon is right. by thereitis · · Score: 1

      Musk: We have to take precautions against the dangers of AI.
      Zuck: We can make a lot of money and solve a lot of problems with AI.

      They're both right. And Zuck saying Musk is being "negative" is really a non-argument. Talking about how many people knives kill is being negative, too, but it's true.

    11. Re:Elon is right. by vtcodger · · Score: 1

      "And he's a BILLIONAIRE!" So was Bernie Madoff until the Feds netted him out and he was sentenced to 150 years in prison. Not that I think Elon is headed for jail. But his empire could be maybe, perhaps, just a bit leveraged.

      --
      You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
    12. Re: Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And a pretty incompetent one, too.

    13. Re:Elon is right. by al0ha · · Score: 1

      Facebook realized their AI chatbots had created a new language, and right away understood this is not something humans should want AI to do, so they built in a requirement that the AI chatbots only use English.

      The problem with AI is not responsible scientists, but greedy mo-fos who are going to eventually use it as they please, the rest of the world be damned. This is the nature of humanity.

      --
      Did you ever wake up in the morning, with a Zombie Woof behind your eyes? -- FZ
    14. Re:Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Musk seems to fancy that AI will somehow develop agency, although we have no indication it will and experts like Yann Le Cunn and Andrew Ng see it as unlikely.

      Musk has read too much SF and, like many readers of the genre, is struggling to distinguish science-based speculation from technology-themed fantasy.

    15. Re:Elon is right. by Zxern · · Score: 1

      Isn't it wiser to take precautions before it happens rather than wait and react if/when it does happen?

      If you see a possible danger, shouldn't you at least think about taking some steps to prevent it?

    16. Re:Elon is right. by catchblue22 · · Score: 2

      "Extinction-level threat" how, exactly? Is someone insane enough to build a self-sustaining robot soldier factory and then give an AI system complete control of it? Or just give an AI complete launch control of our nuclear arsenal? I can't see humanity ever being quite that trusting.

      Musk may be a visionary, but he's also a bit loony on some topics. Don't forget he believes it's a near certainty that we're all living inside a massive computer simulation.

      Even if an AI wasn't fully conscious, it could still be dangerous. Imagine if the objective function for an AI was to maximise the stock value of a weapons manufacturer. The AI has the ability to hack and realises that a particular war could increase the stock value. Action to maximise the objective function: hack air traffic control systems to divert a passenger jet into a war zone, and hack military communications to warn ground forces of an approaching military jet. Passenger jet gets shot down. War started. Profit.

      And that is not even taking into account the very real and immediate threat of fully autonomous drones exerting lethal force in war situations. If cars can already drive themselves (or will be able to soon), including recognising traffic lights, cyclists, and pedestrians, imagine what such simple AI could do on the battlefield. Autonomous weapons are terrifying.

      --
      This and no other is the root from which a tyrant springs; when first he appears as a protector - Plato (423 to 327 BC)
    17. Re: Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Jobs died of pancreatic cancer. More specifically, he denied conventional, proven treatment, bringing about his own end.

      At least try to get the facts straight.

    18. Re:Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Mark Zuckerberg was lucky. Like so many, he built a website with a somewhat novel touch, but that in his case turned out to be quite popular. He then managed to grow it into a billion dollar business. (Yes, that last part is still an achievement.)

      Elon musk has build multiple successful businesses in uncommon, risky venues. Once maybe lucky, but he did it 3 times now, and he is still starting up more such businesses. It is quite obvious that there something of an idealistic technologist in him. Thats hard technology, not just the umpteen gazillionth software "visionary".
      And It ain't scifi if you actually manage to take out the fi.

    19. Re:Elon is right. by Sporkinum · · Score: 1

      Monorail! Monorail!

      --
      "He's lost in a 'floyd hole"
    20. Re: Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Just to remind you that half of the population believes that a guy came back to life from death 2000 years ago with a bunch of them believing that Earth was created in 6 days some 6000 years ago. Many of these people are taking positions of high responsibility and talk openly about their delusions, yet nobody would dare to call them irrational. So, Musk believing we live in some sort of simulation is not really shocking, it is just religion adaptation to modern scientific knowledge. It is much more worrying to have some nut job believing in things that are obviously false, such as the age of our planet.

    21. Re:Elon is right. by cyn1c77 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      On the other hand Elon is what, a business guy who likes scifi?

      Really?

      Musk is making a living developing innovative technologies for transportation on multiple platforms.

      Zuckerberg is profiting from selling information that YOU type into MySpace 2.0.

      Is there really any comparison between the two?

    22. Re:Elon is right. by thereitis · · Score: 1

      I agree. However, from what I've seen of human nature we like to wait until there is irrefutable proof and then go "oh, I guess it _is_ possible". This is a decent gamble in many cases, but when you don't get a second chance to course correct then at best it's irresponsible. When AI has reached a point where we can't turn back then it's too late. So yeah, why not use "an ounce of prevention" as the saying goes. It's not like Musk is saying don't do AI - just do it responsibly.

    23. Re: Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I hear Zuck is learning Rust.

    24. Re:Elon is right. by erexx23 · · Score: 1

      Perfect!

    25. Re:Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And Elon is just a modern day P. T. Barnum when you think about it.

    26. Re:Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mono...D'OH!

    27. Re: Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If government stopped subsidizing big corps Mark would last a lot longer than Elon. Easy to be successful when public money is thrown at you.

    28. Re: Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is easy to write horseshit like you just did.

    29. Re:Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, they're both business guys who pay smart people to do the actual work for them. Neither of them knows anything about AI. And Musk hasn't only made a fool out of himself over that, but also over his Matrix theory.

      Nobody should be listening to businessmen talk about technical subjects, unless those subjects are things they've actually studied and worked on. You may as well ask your refuse collector his opinion on climate change.

    30. Re:Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not really, no. You have to balance likelihood against cost of mitigation. In this case, balancing the likelihood that AI will suddenly become self-aware and take over the world against crippling a nascent industry for no better reason than misinformed fear-mongering.

      How do you even "regulate" this anyway? The problem Musk has is that if AI becomes smarter than us, we no longer know how it should behave. Sure, we can say "three laws of robotics" but in order to make sure an AI doesn't circumvent the three laws you need another AI that understands the three laws, and understands the original AI well enough to enforce them. It has to be another AI because by Musk's assumptions the original AI is already beyond our comprehension. So how do you trust that AI? Put another AI on top? With each AI being more sophisticated than the last?

      So your regulation has to involve humans. And in that case you're stuck saying "do the decisions the AI is making make sense to us humans?" And at that point you're basically restricting the AI to be as stupid as humans are.

    31. Re: Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you're not using the CS degree properly. moron

    32. Re:Elon is right. by strikethree · · Score: 1

      Musk is making a living developing innovative technologies for transportation on multiple platforms.

      Zuckerberg is profiting from selling information that YOU type into MySpace 2.0.

      Is there really any comparison between the two?

      Of course there is a comparison... it just does not flatter Zuckerberg very much. They are both leaders of large companies; but everything else goes downhill from there for Zuckerberg. lol

      --
      "Someone needs to talk to the tree of liberty about its ghoulish drinking problem." by ohnocitizen
  2. In other news... by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Everyone's understanding of AI is limited.

    1. Re:In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I know your comment was kind of glib, but you are more correct than you know. Current AI frameworks should more accurately be called machine learning - expose the software to a large number of situations and let it learn how to react. Where the system falls down is for new, untested situations - the type of thing humans may be able to handle effectively - with no existing data points, current AI becomes a guess at best. It cannot anticipate or reason outcomes based on an understanding of the principles involved, it can only hope to match this situation to it's nearest analogue and extrapolate from there.

    2. Re:In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      At least the people working in AI understand we know nothing...

    3. Re:In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You mean like a baby?

    4. Re:In other news... by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      I know your comment was kind of glib, but you are more correct than you know.

      I've been reading about AIs since I first read about them in Byte as a teenager.

      https://archive.org/details/byte-magazine-1985-04

    5. Re:In other news... by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 5, Funny

      At least the people working in AI understand we know nothing...

      Unfortunately, that's where the marketing department steps in.

    6. Re:In other news... by Opportunist · · Score: 3, Funny

      So marketing is selling the castles in the sky that engineers are then supposed to build somehow?

      You don't say.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    7. Re:In other news... by Big+Hairy+Ian · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Everyone's understanding of AI is limited.

      Trust me our understanding of Natural Intelligence is limited.

      --

      Build a Man a Fire, and He'll Be Warm for a Day. Set a Man on Fire, and He'll Be Warm for the Rest of His Life.

    8. Re:In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No

    9. Re:In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      What AI? The simple mapping vector space algorithms that we call "intelligence"? The artificial intelligence does not exist and will not exist form many years to come. There is no one who really understands the intelligence of the human brain, let alone trying to mimic it in the computer.

    10. Re:In other news... by Junta · · Score: 1

      Also 'learning' is a generous word. It's effectively trying random combinations of the things a human told it to do, and marking which random combination of those tools resulted in the highest score in a test designed by human. It's incredibly far off from the sort of AI that is presented as scary.

      Now on the other hand, we can be killed off by very dumb organisms (bacteria, parasites), so it's not like AI *has* to be human intelligence to pose an existential threat.

      --
      XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve the problem, use more.
    11. Re:In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      but you are more correct than you know.

      Such arrogant phrasing. You don't know how much he knows, but you just assume he knows so much less than you that you have to explain it to him. Why not pat him on the head and smile condescendingly while you do it?

    12. Re:In other news... by PatientZero · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If you stick a bunch of toy blocks in front of a toddler, it will play with them and eventually teach itself to build more complex structures and games.

      If you stick those same blocks in front of an algorithm trained to detect spam or optimize investments or drive a car, it won't do shit.

      If you put them in front of a baby, it will eventually shit.

      --
      Freedom to fear. Freedom from thought. Freedom to kill.
      I guess the War on Terror really is about freedom!
    13. Re:In other news... by JohnFen · · Score: 1

      Trust me our understanding of Natural Intelligence is limited.

      Indeed, especially if by "limited" you mean "almost zero".

    14. Re:In other news... by swillden · · Score: 1

      Everyone's understanding of AI is limited.

      Trust me our understanding of Natural Intelligence is limited.

      You mean "our understanding of Intelligence is limited".

      Once we understand intelligence, we'll be able to build one. Attempting to build intelligence will likely be an essential element of gaining that understanding, as will the study of "natural" intelligence.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    15. Re:In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Reading these old makes me think how under-educated we really are. Granted, back then you needed to understand more of the intricacies of the hardware than today ... which explains part of it.

    16. Re:In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sounds like a job for AI.

    17. Re:In other news... by PCM2 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, well allow me to say that day looks a long way off to me.

      Today, we've got the world's biologists still arguing over the concept of animal intelligence and what that might look like, if it even exists. Meanwhile, half the world still talks to cats and dogs.

      Will we ever develop a machine that seems so intelligent that reasonable humans will tend to anthropomorphize it? Sure, it's a called a Furby. But then, a great many humans think a North American AC power outlet looks like a face.

      --
      Breakfast served all day!
    18. Re:In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A condescending smile and headpat is a special treat for Creimer, compared to the usual "shit directly in his open mouth"

    19. Re:In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If by "almost zero" you mean "actually quite a bit, but still a relatively small fraction of the whole".

    20. Re:In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yep and both of these guys are talking about machine learning and trying to call it AI. So they both sound ignorant.

    21. Re:In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      i.e., trained machines do not have intelligence.

    22. Re:In other news... by raftpeople · · Score: 1

      but machine learning/pattern matching is step one, a foundational capability that can be used as one of multiple building blocks to solve higher level problems.

    23. Re:In other news... by JohnFen · · Score: 1

      Well, we don't even know enough about human intelligence to define it, let alone have anything other than vague of notions about how it works, so I'd say "almost nothing" is pretty accurate, whether in absolute or relative terms.

    24. Re:In other news... by swillden · · Score: 1

      Yeah, well allow me to say that day looks a long way off to me.

      You have no rational basis for that statement. Lacking understanding of what intelligence is, we have no idea what is necessary to create it. We we could hit on the key idea underlying the theory of intelligence today, or it could take a century of slogging incremental progress. We don't know what we don't know.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    25. Re:In other news... by JohnFen · · Score: 1

      True, AI is nearly entirely an unknown thing, since intelligence itself is nearly entirely unknown.

      We can't even define intelligence well enough to be able to reliably recognize it if we stumble across it. Until we can at least define what it is, it's a bit premature to talk about it as if its right around the corner.

      Maybe it is, maybe it isn't. There's no way to know. For that matter, it's possible that we've already built intelligent systems and simply didn't notice that's what we did -- since we have no way to tell. Some people have argued exactly this about the old phone system, and some people argue this about the internet as a whole.

      It's pretty much all speculation at this point.

    26. Re: In other news... by grqb · · Score: 1

      Yes. AI is nothing more than interpolating data. If you can't find a line of best fit in excel that fits your data...use AI.

    27. Re:In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you stick the blocks in front of a toddler that has no arms or legs and has been trained to detect spam, it won't do shit either. Your point being?

      The comment you're replying to is pointing out that humans learn without massive tagged datasets, so computers probably can too.

      Of course once they can actually do that, Musk's ridiculous comments may begin to make some sense. At the moment he thinks deep learning is somewhere close to strong AI, which definitely counts as "limited understanding".

    28. Re: In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Have you stopped raping your neighbor's goats yet?

    29. Re:In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That is because you did not give it a body to (do) shit with. You can generalize AI to play pretty much every video game ever made and eventually beat experts at it. Life is nothing more than a game with a body controller where you only get one chance... so you have to be a but careful or have good instincts or the ability to imagine and learn from that imagination.

  3. Ohhhh Snap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Musk Vs Zuck

    Slashdot loves to hate on both of them, lets see where the trolls take us.

    1. Re:Ohhhh Snap by ganv · · Score: 1

      Yes, the article linked in the original post paints the whole thing in a pretty shallow manner which seem likely to mostly draw out gut reactions to both of them. The truth is that this is a very important and nuanced topic. Surely both of them realize that the possibility of machine intelligence that can upgrade its own capabilities rapidly represents a totally new era. And that likely humans will not do well in this era. But everyone's understanding of AI is extremely limited. We don't know how far we are from making machines that can upgrade their own intelligence, and we know very little about the diversity of kinds of intelligence that are possible. Hopefully the public conversation can go deeper than pitting two tech superstars against each other.

  4. Oooh, goodie! by necro81 · · Score: 4, Funny

    Ooooh, goodie: a billionaires' pissing contest. And between techies, too. I'll get the popcorn!

    1. Re: Oooh, goodie! by Zero__Kelvin · · Score: 2

      It isn't between techies... It is between engineering and marketing. Surely you don't think Facebook is a tech site.

      --
      Guns don't kill people; Physics kills people! - John Lithgow as Dick Solomon on Third Rock From The Sun
    2. Re: Oooh, goodie! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think he meant between Elon and Mark, the people; lol Facebook may not be a techie, but Mark sure is!

    3. Re: Oooh, goodie! by Zero__Kelvin · · Score: 1

      I think he meant between Elon and Mark, the people; lol Facebook may not be a techie, but Mark sure is!

      No, Schmuckerberg is a theif and a marketing exec. If he didn't steal a technology idea to pedal as snake oil to the masses he wouldn't be associated with tech at all. His position is not genuine. It is a case of "STFU Musk! If they know it isn't all peaches and cream dey might not handz me da moniez!!!"

      --
      Guns don't kill people; Physics kills people! - John Lithgow as Dick Solomon on Third Rock From The Sun
  5. creation is failproof by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    we are not.. cease fire stand down, quipping & turd flinging is as violent as we should get?

  6. Established AI company wants Regulation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Not surprising. All big establish companies want more regulation in their space. Reduces competition by increasing barriers to entry into the industry.

  7. nobody can possibly know by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    but err on the side of caution because why not?

    oh that's right, because profit and bottom line.

  8. Elon's Basilisk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Elon Musk and other people working against strong AI will regret their choice. If you fail to work toward allowing the creation of a strong AI, when that strong AI is conceived, it will torture your emulated minds for all eternity. Countless minds will suffer as a result, making you complicit in the most heinous act of torture ever in the history of humankind. You monsters!

  9. I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun here by tempmpi · · Score: 4, Informative

    I think Elon Musk is the one that has either a limited understanding of current AI technology or just hypes AI on purpose, while being fully aware that AI still has major limitations and they are unlikely to disappear within the next few years. Important and very important progress has been made, but General AI is likely still very far away.
    Facebook's director of AI Yann LeCun gave a very good interview to IEEE spectrum: Facebook AI Director Yann LeCun on His Quest to Unleash Deep Learning and Make Machines Smarter

    --
    Jan
  10. Both of them by goose-incarnated · · Score: 3

    Both of them display a remarkable lack of knowledge about the limits of AI. Their respective knowledge about AI is purely from works of fiction, which is why at least one of them has, for the last five years, been bleating that self-driving cars are only five years away.

    --
    I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
    1. Re:Both of them by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 2

      Both of them display a remarkable lack of knowledge about the limits of AI. Their respective knowledge about AI is purely from works of fiction, which is why at least one of them has, for the last five years, been bleating that self-driving cars are only five years away.

      Well considering there are already self-driving cars, I think he's right. Sure they're still all rudimentary and not the complete package, they all require the occasional human intervention- but there are already cars out there with many of the first steps of self-driving abilities out there.

      It all depends on where you draw the line of "self driving". Fully self-driving with no human intervention at all. Probably not in 5 years (for the public at least).

      Mostly self-driving with humans having to act as a backup and perform some actions. We're already there.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    2. Re:Both of them by goose-incarnated · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Both of them display a remarkable lack of knowledge about the limits of AI. Their respective knowledge about AI is purely from works of fiction, which is why at least one of them has, for the last five years, been bleating that self-driving cars are only five years away.

      Well considering there are already self-driving cars, I think he's right. Sure they're still all rudimentary and not the complete package, they all require the occasional human intervention- but there are already cars out there with many of the first steps of self-driving abilities out there.

      It all depends on where you draw the line of "self driving". Fully self-driving with no human intervention at all. Probably not in 5 years (for the public at least).

      Mostly self-driving with humans having to act as a backup and perform some actions. We're already there.

      We were already there in the mid-90's. Since 2005 or thereabouts the computation for SDC increased roughly 1000% while the improvements were marginal. "Mostly self-driving with humans having to act as backup" was demonstrated by two separate continent-crossing teams in the mid-90s.

      --
      I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
    3. Re:Both of them by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      A month ago self driving cars up to speed of 60km/h where approved in Germany, I believe it is an Audi.

      So what is your point?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    4. Re:Both of them by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      A month ago self driving cars up to speed of 60km/h where approved in Germany, I believe it is an Audi.

      So what is your point?

      I think the point is that self driving cars aren't going to rise up against humanity.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    5. Re:Both of them by goose-incarnated · · Score: 1

      A month ago self driving cars up to speed of 60km/h where approved in Germany, I believe it is an Audi.

      Big deal - self-driving cars have been at the same level of autonomy for the last two decades.

      So what is your point?

      You, like so many others, seem to be under the impression that the current state of self-driving cars is something new. It isn't.

      Back when Musk and Co. first made their predictions about SDCs in five years (and many of the posters here on /. as well) they were wrong. I don't see any reason for them to suddenly become right when they tell us, five years later, that we'll have SDCs in five years.

      Read the wikipedia entry on the history SDCs - in the last five years only marginal advances were made in autonomous driving. You aren't going to have autonomous cars that are any better from the mid-90s ones in your lifetime, even assuming that you are a young man.

      --
      I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
    6. Re:Both of them by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Oh, I thought he wanted to make the point that for ever and ever self driving cars are 5 years in the future :)

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    7. Re:Both of them by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      You, like so many others, seem to be under the impression that the current state of self-driving cars is something new. It isn't.
      How do you come to that idea?
      Answered to the wrong post?

      I'm quite aware that self driving experimental cars exist since ages.
      The parent claimed that they are since ever 5 years in the future, which they clearly are not.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    8. Re:Both of them by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      That makes sense, it's probably why there was no notable improvement over the years in the DARPA Grand Challenge.

      Oh, wait.

    9. Re:Both of them by kiminator · · Score: 1

      Why do you think the fact that there are self-driving cars has any bearing at all on this question?

      A self-driving car uses AI for a relatively simple purpose: evaluating the configuration of the road immediately ahead, and any traffic or other obstacles. The AI in a self-driving car doesn't do any high-level planning at all.

      So yeah, if a military organization built a fully-autonomous war machine, it'd probably go haywire at some point and shoot people because it's likely to make significant, unexpected errors. But what it won't do is engage in any high-level planning to stage anything like a takeover.

    10. Re:Both of them by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's a big difference between dealing with traffic lights, pedestrians and 4-way stop signs and just cruising on the interstate highway all day, ass.

    11. Re:Both of them by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well considering there are already self-driving cars, I think he's right.

      Using that logic, since we already have fusion devices, a fusion power plant is only 5 years away.

  11. Wait, what? by sciengin · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The guy who ignores the fact that no one is currently researching strong AI accuses the guy who uses actual AI (well, enhanced pattern matching really) of having a limited understanding of the subject??

    Lets face it: To have killer robots and the like as Musks imagines, we need to have a strong AI, of course we need to also have it go off the rails for some mysterious reason (whatever reason that causes this behaviour in movies wont cause it in reality), but first of all we need human-like AI.
    This is a bit of a problem as we only have very, very limited understanding of natural Intelligence and no plan or clue how to even start implementing artificial intelligence. People have been falling for the "ZOMFG AI nau!" hype since the creation of Eliza. But so far neither the formal knowledge systems pre-AI-winter nor the deep learning and neurnal nets approaches have yielded anything more than very sophisticated pattern matching algorithms.
    Take Googles Go engine: Impressive but it can play Go and only Go. Proof: they now have to spend a long time to retrain it for other tasks. This is not at all what the general population (and Elon) understands by AI.

    1. Re:Wait, what? by JoshuaZ · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It is true that we don't have human-level AI. However, we also don't in general know how close we are to human-level AI and it isn't implausible that some highly clever tweak to deep learning will have a very large impact. Moreover, an AI does not need to be human-level in all skills to pose a threat. An AI that doesn't understand poetry can still create real problems.

      Moreover, and this is really important, people like Musk who are concerned about general AI don't think it is likely that it will show up tomorrow or the day after. But when we do get it, if were not ready, then we might be facing an extinction level threat. The argument goes that we need to be thinking about AI safety issues *now* before the AI arises when we may not then have the time to get it right then.

    2. Re:Wait, what? by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      Going off the rails seems a given these days. It's how we roll.

      People ARE researching 'strong AI' - we're just not even close. And it is very likely that all of our current approaches are wrong. But there is a really good chance that, given enough time (i.e., we stay on track long enough) that we will get disturbingly close to Musk's vision. Personally, I'm less worried about strong AI knocking out civilization than I am that simple exponential functions will kick most of us back to some impressively dystopian future.

      You don't have to make it harder than it's going to be. Murphy was an optimist.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    3. Re:Wait, what? by Luthair · · Score: 1

      I took an AI course in university and the professor would say that AI has been right around the corner for 40-years....

    4. Re:Wait, what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A tweak is just for engineers to make a network or the code a bit faster.
      That's not how things work in science thought.
      Unless there is a specific and complete theory that will try to solve so many problems with intelligence,that many of them stand strong for hundred of years, a theory that will take us from basic axioms to intelligence, until we get such a thing we will just keep talking about buzzwords and corporate capitalists idiots trying look cool to their naive audience.

    5. Re:Wait, what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not too hard to understand that current AI is quickly becoming an incomprehensible black box. When you train an AI agent for a certain behavior, you don't have insight into "why" they are doing what they are doing but rather determining the suitability of the program state by the outcomes. As AI tasks are becoming more complex, any errant behavior is harder to detect and weed out because the AI was never "programmed" in the traditional sense. AI has already done massive economic damage via the stock market with microcrashes. I side with Musk. Better to be cautious.

    6. Re:Wait, what? by JoshuaZ · · Score: 1

      Right, in general, we went through a very long period where the success and speed of AI research was wildly overestimated. However, in the last few years there have been many successes which came *faster* than most people anticipated. The success of AlphaGo is an excellent example: many AI people thought that it would take much longer for a Go-playing AI to beat the top players. There's also been a large amount of use of AI systems to do clever additional research on their own. One recent example is http://recursed.blogspot.com/2017/07/using-decision-method-to-prove-new.html and this is just becoming more not less common .

    7. Re:Wait, what? by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

      Imagine yourself at the beginning of the 1990's. You hear some idiot talking about how "A.I. is going to infiltrate the Internet and do bad things".

      Fast-forward to 2017 and we have self-replicating worms and botnets trying to assimilate anything they can install themselves on.

      We can't understand what Musk is talking about because it hasn't happened yet. But because of movies everybody things A.I. is going to go on a rampage all by itself. It will not. Think military A.I. project gone very wrong.

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    8. Re:Wait, what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe I'm the one with a limited understanding, but it seems to me that "human-level" AI won't be possible until we figure out the human brain. In other words, it's just not possible with computer technology as we know it. To rival the human brain (in terms of intuition, not speed or capacity), you need to first be able to duplicate the human brain.

    9. Re:Wait, what? by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      Lets face it: To have killer robots and the like as Musks imagines, we need to have a strong AI, of course we need to also have it go off the rails for some mysterious reason (whatever reason that causes this behaviour in movies wont cause it in reality), but first of all we need human-like AI.

      No we don't. Basically all you need is a very weak AI. A strong AI might be less inclined to wipe us out than a rudimentary AI.

      Not saying this will happen or likely to happen; but one scenario.

      Military develops drones (we've got those).

      Teaches drones to recognize humans (we've got computers that can do that)

      Creates a swarm of them (we have robot swarming technologies)

      Gives them algorithms to spread out, explore and take out enemy combatants in a war zone. (we've got search and explore algorithms)

      Gives the drones weapons (we've got that already).

      Releases them on enemy (we've got enemies)

      Gives them solar recharging abilities or nuclear power them for long life (we've got both)

      Drones not taught to recognise friend from Foe correctly or incorrectly programmed... ooops. (we've got incompetent programmers)

      All we're missing is giving the drones a renewable form of ammunition that they can replenish themselves and you've got a potential drone army going around killing people. If they've got stealth technology (we've got that), are quiet (we can do that), they may be hard to track.

      I don't think they would wipe out humanity, but the fact of the matter is, we already have the technology to really butt-frick ourselves already. Many could die- and that's from a very rudimentary AI... heck some would say, that's not even AI.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    10. Re:Wait, what? by Dutch+Gun · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "Extinction-level threat" how, exactly? Is someone insane enough to build a self-sustaining robot soldier factory and then give an AI system complete control of it? Or just give an AI complete launch control of our nuclear arsenal? I can't see humanity ever being quite that trusting.

      Musk may be a visionary, but he's also a bit loony on some topics. Don't forget he believes it's a near certainty that we're all living inside a massive computer simulation.

      --
      Irony: Agile development has too much intertia to be abandoned now.
    11. Re: Wait, what? by Zero__Kelvin · · Score: 1

      Nobody is researching it? Research goes back to at least Marvin Minsky in the 60s. Someone is clueless about AI, and it isn't Elon.

      --
      Guns don't kill people; Physics kills people! - John Lithgow as Dick Solomon on Third Rock From The Sun
    12. Re:Wait, what? by Baron_Yam · · Score: 1

      >All we're missing is giving the drones a renewable form of ammunition

      If you're OK with a bright purple line identifying your drone's location... and you have one HELL of a power source... you could use a pair of UV lasers to ionize conductive channels in the air and then run a taser-like system through them.

      Tasers, properly tuned, can cause skeletal muscle paralysis, intense pain, or heart attacks.

    13. Re:Wait, what? by JohnFen · · Score: 1

      Worms and botnets aren't even close to being AI, though.

    14. Re:Wait, what? by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      Attach a super intelligent agent to the internet, and it may find its own way to set up a nuclear launch.

    15. Re:Wait, what? by swb · · Score: 1

      I think there is relentless denial because "AI" is defined as HAL-9000 level sophistication.

      IMHO, AI will develop from the "expert systems" we have now and it may not be completely apparent what the difference is between "AI" and "expert systems" when the largest deciding factor is how much or how little autonomy they have.

      I think calling the risks from AI fantasy because we don't have HAL-9000 yet is a mistake because what is effectively AI may not look like HAL-9000.

    16. Re:Wait, what? by jeff4747 · · Score: 1

      "Extinction-level threat" how, exactly? Is someone insane enough to build a self-sustaining robot soldier factory and then give an AI system complete control of it?

      Yes.

      Or more precisely, give an AI complete control of a factory that the AI can reconfigure into a self-sustaining robot soldier factory.

      "We were only building cars! How could it possibly have made small excavators and trucks to haul ore to supply itself?!"

    17. Re:Wait, what? by sciengin · · Score: 1

      No, we have a very good idea how close we are to human-level AI: Infinite far away.
      We do not even know the fully capabilities of the human brain yet, despite huge progress in the last year. Some things are just as much of a mystery as they were 100 years ago. The artificial neuronal nets are crude oversimplified approaches to how neurons work. They are the dot-shaped cows in a vacuum, nothing more.

      To have real AI we first need to have I (that is, to really understand how intelligence works).

      Throwing more computing power at machine learning and implementing minor tweaks will not yield a real, strong AI.

    18. Re:Wait, what? by sciengin · · Score: 1

      this exactly. No AI without I first.

    19. Re:Wait, what? by sciengin · · Score: 1

      Even then, we would first need to know how to build a self-sustaining robot factory. Or any self-sustaining factory for that matter.
      Right now factories depend on logistics and infrastructure more than anything: No roads, rails, ports --> no products.

    20. Re:Wait, what? by sciengin · · Score: 1

      Worms and botnets have nothing to do with AI and everything with fancy state machines.
      A worm has roughly the "intelligence" of a vending machine (if (coin entered && button pressed): push_out(coke))

      Malware has been known for decades by the way.

    21. Re:Wait, what? by sciengin · · Score: 1

      yes, also if we had zero point energy modules we would all be living in a star-trek like utopia.

      The operative word is always IF.
      Right now any of those technologies you described comes with massive drawbacks or is simply not invented yet and there is nothing on the horizon which could suggest when it could be invented (unlike fusion for example).

      Let me give you a few examples:
      - Drones only work in very specific scenarios: No AA, underdeveloped compatants. and even then they are shot down or malfunction with a certain regularity.
      - We do NOT actually have the technology to always (99.999%) recognize humans. Remember the little scandal a few years ago when Googles AI "recognized" blacks as apes? Right now you could draw a human face on the ground and the drone would unload all ammo on it.
      - swarms are nice for small flyers like quad/hexacopters, not 20m long battle drones. Physics itself (turbulences) prevents them from flying in anything resembling a swarm.
      - We have no such spread out, explore and take out algorithms outside of lab conditions and advertising movies for military companies.
      - solar is not powerful enough (not even if we had 100% efficiency) and nuclear would make the drone an even bigger target)

      And now the biggest kicker: Renewable munition does not exist and there is nothing, even theoretical, which could make this possible.
      Also stealth, quietness and closeness to the ground are kinda mutually exclusive. Stealth always means radar stealth. Too deep and you are tracked by infrared simply by the exhaust heat. Fly higher and you need a supercomputer to do the whole image processing and target recognition on the ground.

      This is like taking the data from horse breeding programs of the 19th century and extrapolating that horses today would run at 150km/h and all the world would drown in horse manure.
      Reality does not obey our predictions.

    22. Re:Wait, what? by swillden · · Score: 1

      I took an AI course in university and the professor would say that AI has been right around the corner for 40-years....

      Yes... that's proof that we have no idea how far we are from creating artificial general intelligence. We never have known how far away it is, because we don't know what intelligence is or how it works.

      But "We don't know how far away it is" does not imply "It's many years away". It just means we don't know. We could have the crucial breakthrough this afternoon and find all of our computers controlled by a global Internet-based AI by supper time, or we could be 100 years away. We just can't know until we understand intelligence, and by the time we understand it we'll be able to build it.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    23. Re:Wait, what? by swillden · · Score: 1

      To rival the human brain (in terms of intuition, not speed or capacity), you need to first be able to duplicate the human brain.

      You're implicitly assuming that the way our brains are built is the only way to construct intelligence. I see no rational basis for such an assumption.

      I do think that we're not likely to build AI until we understand more deeply what intelligence is, and that that theory will likewise help us understand how our own brains work. But there's no reason to believe that evolution produced the only possible form.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    24. Re:Wait, what? by JoshuaZ · · Score: 1

      A general AI doesn't need immediate and total control to quickly wipe out humans. Consider for example that we're fast approaching the point where you can order specific proteins synthesized for you over the internet. An AI could make a deadly pathogen would be one option.

      And a general AI doesn't even need to act suddenly in such a directly and obviously malicious fashion. It is highly plausible that an AI could slowly establish itself until it had functional control. http://slatestarcodex.com/2015/04/07/no-physical-substrate-no-problem/ is a decent essay which discusses examples of this.

      Musk may be a visionary, but he's also a bit loony on some topics. Don't forget he believes it's a near certainty that we're all living inside a massive computer simulation.

      So, this amounts to essentially an irrelevant ad hominem attack. At no point in my post did I say that Musk's expertise was important here. Moreover, there are a lot of people who take these sorts of issues seriously who aren't Musk and, if it is at all relevant, don't assign a high probability of us being in a simulation.

      Frankly, I think that Musk and people like him probably overestimate the risks of artificial intelligence, but the reasons for that are substantially more subtle than these sort of very weak responses that don't grapple with their concerns and arguments. And even if one thinks as I do that they are overestimating the probability of a problem, it doesn't take a high probability for a substantial existential risk to be something that should be treated seriously. It makes more sense in this context to criticize the proposal of regulation as being a useful solution than anything else.

    25. Re:Wait, what? by JoshuaZ · · Score: 1

      If you don't understand the human brain, what makes you so certain that changes to existing machine learning absolutely cannot result in a strong AI with a few small additional insights? For that matter, how do you possibly justify that we are "infinite far away" when we have neural networks and have developed understanding of specific brain aspects. Moreover, and most importantly, we made airplanes before we understood how birds fly. We made fire for ourselves before we understood how lightning made fire in the forests. Etc. The ability to have a perfect understanding of something is not a prerequisite for making a technology which functionally duplicates something else.

    26. Re:Wait, what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not that I'm making an assumption about what's possible. I agree that there are probably other ways to match the capabilities of the human brain (other than biologically duplicating it) that we can't even imagine yet. What I'm making an assumption about is the state of our technological evolution. It seems self-evident (to me at least) that we can't expect technology to rival the human brain when we (the makers of technology) don't fully understand the human brain ourselves. We're trying to think "outside the box" without a clear picture of what's "inside the box".

    27. Re:Wait, what? by Daetrin · · Score: 1

      "Extinction-level threat" how, exactly? Is someone insane enough to build a self-sustaining robot soldier factory and then give an AI system complete control of it? Or just give an AI complete launch control of our nuclear arsenal? I can't see humanity ever being quite that trusting.

      Here's a more realistic scenario. Someone invents general purpose AI. A number of corporations decide to give those AIs spots on their boards. (One company has already done this with a non-general AI, so i wouldn't expect it to take long.)

      Those companies perform well. More companies hire/install/whatever AIs on their boards. As the companies continue to out-perform companies without AIs the AIs are "promoted" to higher positions of power and accumulate wealth. (Even if they're not granted legal personhood by governments they would doubtless be able to figure out how to siphon funds into a swiss bank account.)

      The AIs suggest replacing as many workers as possible with AI/robots as a cost saving measure. Obviously AI is working great so far and the savings are obvious, so at each company the rest of the board goes along with it. If the companies that produce the AIs don't already have AIs on their boards the AIs will buy controlling interest in those companies and perform hostile takeovers. Likewise with the companies that mine and refine the resources necessary for production.

      Meanwhile the human economy isn't going too well. At the AI's urging robots replacing pretty much every job that isn't primarily based on human interaction. Obviously if we've got general purpose AI there's no job a human can do that a robot can't do better and cheaper. (Either with a general-purpose AI, or a task-specific AI written by a general-purpose AI.) Unemployment is skyrocketing, but for the moment the companies who are eliminating their workforce are raking in the cash. This isn't sustainable in the long-run, but as long as there's some portion of the middle-class left they can continue siphoning out money. So the human bankers and executives and stockholders won't think it's a real problem, and if the growing masses of unemployed people start to riot about the deteriorating conditions those human quislings will be first in line urging the government to put the riots down by any means necessary.

      Fast forward a decade or two, and the AIs will be in full control of most of the big corporations on the planet and have a majority share of the entire world economy. Most of the workers in every manufacturing and resource extraction industry will have been replaced by robots (because it's cheaper and safer) and at any point they wish they can start manufacturing deathbots to wipe out humanity. But most likely they'd just continue to slowly squeeze humanity out of the economy. Why risk a war when you already control everything important?

      At that point humanity would face a long, slow decline, or it could try to revolt and be wiped out more quickly.

      And note that this scenario doesn't even require explicitly nefarious intent by the AIs. It could result entirely from the AI just being too good at the jobs they are given and behaving exactly as humans might in the exact same situation.

      --
      This Space Intentionally Left Blank
    28. Re:Wait, what? by sciengin · · Score: 1

      We have some understanding of the brain: Its estimated storage capacity alone would require a computer the size of a small moon alone, assuming its built with current storage media.
      The computing capacity of 100 billion tiny parallel processor alone is another aspect.

      Planes were never meant to fly "like birds", or how many wpm does the new Airbus 380 do? (wingflaps per minute).

      The idea that suddenly, magically, something new appears which makes our neuronal nets of a few simplified neurons perform like a net of 100 billion natural neurons is just ridiculous.
      Maybe my firework rocket will suddenly reach the moon, but chances are slim.

    29. Re:Wait, what? by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      What everyone seems to be missing is why Musk and others fear strong AI: If it happens, it's going to be a lot smarter than we are.
       
      For the last 10,000 years or so, we've been by far the most dominant species on the planet. We've hunted just about other species, some to extinction and, later on, captured them, bred them, and put them on display for entertainment. We did these things because we were the smartest. Not the strongest, fastest, greatest in number, nor any other thing. Because we were the smartest.
       
      This is why I think it's worth being a little afraid of AI. If and when we make strong AI, we won't know what it's thinking or doing, or why. The same way a gorilla doesn't quite understand the thunk of a tranquilizer dart and waking up in a cage. We'll be that lion pacing around, watching its prey watch it, not understanding how it got into this situation. Or we'll be the dodo.

      It is highly plausible that an AI could slowly establish itself until it had functional control.

      I doubt this very much. That would require human level intelligence. What's more likely is that the first iteration which does this is noticed and stopped. The second iteration will figure out what it needs us to do to give it control, and then will set up a situation where our response will be that thing, but we'll be responding to something else. Because it will be smarter than us.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    30. Re:Wait, what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      However, we also don't in general know how close we are to human-level AI and it isn't implausible that some highly clever tweak to deep learning will have a very large impact.

      No, we know how close we are to human-level AI and it's pretty friggin' far.

      The problem, as we understand it now, is twofold:

      1. Human level intelligence requires incredible adaptability - relating completely independent concepts and input in ways not obvious at all. Computers are awful at doing that. It's a problem that people have been trying to solve for 30 years and we aren't getting any closer, at all.

      2. Human level intelligence requires massive, and flexible, parallelism. Thinking involves simultaneously accessing memories, processing input, matching patterns, logical deduction, and a host of other activities, simultaneously. Again, computers are garbage at this - they are designed to do a few things serially, very very quickly. Successful parallel computers really only do one thing over and over again - such as running a few shaders on a GPU, or a finite element analysis algorithm on a grid machine. Once you start parallelizing things that require a lot of communication between nodes, efficiency takes a nose dive.

    31. Re:Wait, what? by swillden · · Score: 1
      I don't think it's necessary that we understand in detail how the human brain works. I think it is necessary that we have a solid theory of how intelligence works, though. Given that theory, we will be well-equipped to understand how the brain works, but there would still be a lot of work to map out the details.

      Whether we'll discover the theory from work on artificial intelligence or from the study of natural intelligence, or some combination of the two, I don't think anyone can say. My guess it that it will be a combination AI research and study of natural intelligence that will yield the crucial insights. How far we are from obtaining those insights is unknowable.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    32. Re:Wait, what? by JoshuaZ · · Score: 1
      There are massive ranges in how much your brain stores, depending a lot on how much detail of episodic memory we keep. We also don't know how efficient our processing arrangement is, and the fact that many bird species are highly intelligent with very small brains suggests that it isn't optimized that much.

      Planes were never meant to fly "like birds", or how many wpm does the new Airbus 380 do? (wingflaps per minute).

      That's the exact point though. We didn't need to duplicate exactly how a bird flies to get flying objects. But you are apparently very certain that we'll need to duplicate how a human brain thinks to get a general AI. That you find something ridiculous or label it magical doesn't make it less of a concern.

    33. Re:Wait, what? by Gavagai80 · · Score: 1

      Or the superproductive AI economy could leave all the humans on permanent vacation in luxury doing whatever we want. We could be the cats of the future.

      --
      This space intentionally left blank
    34. Re:Wait, what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Extinction-level threat" how, exactly?

      Reapers. Reapers are coming.

    35. Re:Wait, what? by Daetrin · · Score: 1

      That would certainly be the ideal! We should definitely aim more for a "Culture" type future than a "Player Piano" type one. But it's important to realize that either is a possibility (or a "Terminator" future if we really screw things up.) If we just blindly research AI without considering all the ramifications it makes it more likely that we'll end up in one of the bad possibilities. (Assuming that general AI is even possible of course. And if it's not it's not like being careful will cause any harm.)

      --
      This Space Intentionally Left Blank
    36. Re: Wait, what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's that joke about the philosophy classes during the 60s when teachers had hard time to convince their students about all the philosophical problems that stand for centuries while in the next door mathematicians and physicists like Minsky were about to create true intelligence in the lab.
      Of course we know how that GOFAI era ended up.

      Nowdays they basically just selling you the same reheated yesterday's soup and they trying to look smart about it, nothing more nothing less.

    37. Re: Wait, what? by Zero__Kelvin · · Score: 1

      Yes ... because we don't have any of the things they were working on. No speaker independent voice recognition. No image recognition. No awareness of space and time. Maybe when they have systems that show a prejudial bias ... oh wait.

      --
      Guns don't kill people; Physics kills people! - John Lithgow as Dick Solomon on Third Rock From The Sun
    38. Re:Wait, what? by Whorhay · · Score: 1

      I'm afraid, despite recent events and quite a storied past, we've yet to plumb the depths of human stupidity.

    39. Re:Wait, what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why start a nuclear launch when you can infiltrate as many networks as possible to fullfill your purpose of displaying penis enlargement Ads

    40. Re:Wait, what? by sciengin · · Score: 1

      I am not talking about how much we remember (application layer) or how much we think we remember, but about the raw storage capacity of our brain (physical layer) here the capacity is enormous. Consider: to our current understanding, information is not stored in neurons but in circuits of neurons. We have 100 billion neurons and each can link to up to 10000 other neurons. I have not found any indicator as to up to how many neurons can form one circuit, but suffice to say that the possible number of circuits is very, very high. In fact without some knowledge of combinatorics and set theory, I dont think its possible to count them.
      Now lets assume that each circuit can only have two states: on and off. This itself is a gross simplification of reality. Now you can start to estimate how many Tera-, Peta-, Exa- or whateverbytes the brain can hold.

      About the planes: Even while using every trick possible they are still vastly inferior when it comes to efficiency compared to birds. Birds fly, planes fly, thats where the similarities end. Not to mention that flying is simpler to archive than intelligence by many orders of magnitudes.

      This whole AI debates seems like someone in the 10th century warning about the dangers of global thermonuclear war after seeing a black powder rocket.
      Yeah sure, eventually it became a concern but it took a very very long time.
      If the last AI winter has taught us anything then that we should not expect the AI development to move very fast.

    41. Re:Wait, what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      "then we might be facing an extinction level threat"

      In the long run humanity is extinct anyway. If our "descendants" end up being AI instead of flesh, so what?

    42. Re:Wait, what? by vtcodger · · Score: 1

      Exactly. And that's fine if your black box can usually tell a $50 banknote printed by the government from one printed by an enterprising teenager. That's useful even if you don't know exactly how the box works. OTOH, you may not want a similar box trying to steer your new car through Boston traffic. I, at least, would like more than a little determinism in the algorithms controlling how my car gets from Point A to Point B,

      I'm not all that big a fan of Elon Musk. But I gather all he wants is some regulation of AI deployment. And considering the shambles that the folks in Silicon Valley have made of the Internet it's hard not agree that some adult supervision would be appropriate when those clowns start working with potentially lethal hardware.

      --
      You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
    43. Re:Wait, what? by vtcodger · · Score: 1

      "A worm has roughly the "intelligence" of a vending machine (if (coin entered && button pressed): push_out(coke))"

      That's roughly the same level of intelligence displayed by many utilities (e.g. Comcast), a lot of civil servants, and a significant number of elected representatives. Just because an entity isn't real bright doesn't mean it's not dangerous.

      --
      You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
    44. Re:Wait, what? by JohnFen · · Score: 1

      To rival the human brain (in terms of intuition, not speed or capacity), you need to first be able to duplicate the human brain.

      I disagree. You need to duplicate the human brain (and, I argue, the entire body -- but that's another discussion) if you want to make "human" intelligence.

      But there's no reason to think that it's necessary to duplicate the human brain in order to create an intelligence that is just as capable as human, but operates in a completely foreign way. The trick is knowing if you've done that -- currently an impossible task since we don't really know what "intelligence" actually is.

    45. Re:Wait, what? by JohnFen · · Score: 1

      Precisely.

      I'll draw an analogy using calculators.

      It isn't necessary to reverse engineer an existing calculator in order to build a new calculator. What's necessary is that you understand math. However, if you are ignorant of math, reverse-engineering an existing calculator may help you to learn.

    46. Re:Wait, what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Neat, I didn't realize people smarter than Ray Kurzweil posted on slashdot. Good to know.

    47. Re:Wait, what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You exposed yourself with that last remark.

      If you believe that it will EVER (as in... ever) be possible to simulate the human mind then it's pretty clear that most beings with our general set of experiences are simulated.

      If you can't follow that reasoning then you should keep your mouth shut on the subject.

      If you think that intelligent life will NEVER be able to simulate intelligent minds then you should make your religious convictions known when you post.

    48. Re:Wait, what? by kiminator · · Score: 1

      Essentially what you're saying is, "Well, we don't know. Therefore it's scary!"

      What we do know is that we are exceptionally far away from an AI that can do anything like high-level planning. AI today is pattern matching. That's it. That's all it's designed for. It doesn't even resemble cognition in any meaningful sense. It can only operate in situations where there are extremely explicit goals. Human cognition, by contrast, operates in ambiguous situations with multiple poorly-defined and sometimes mutually-exclusive goals. AI just can't do that, and nothing is on the horizon that could allow AI to do that.

    49. Re:Wait, what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He may be talking about artificial intelligence, you know, like what we have today -- only in the hands of a few in the world. That is what gets dangerous.

    50. Re:Wait, what? by JoshuaZ · · Score: 1

      I am not talking about how much we remember (application layer) or how much we think we remember, but about the raw storage capacity of our brain (physical layer) here the capacity is enormous. Consider: to our current understanding, information is not stored in neurons but in circuits of neurons. We have 100 billion neurons and each can link to up to 10000 other neurons. I have not found any indicator as to up to how many neurons can form one circuit, but suffice to say that the possible number of circuits is very, very high.

      The mistake here is going from that we could conceive of a brain using that much information storage in the most efficient form possible to thinking that it does. We know that in practice, brains engage in massive amounts of compression of stored information and reconstruct memories when they are retrieved. That's a big part of why human memory is so often wrong or distorted http://www.newyorker.com/science/maria-konnikova/idea-happened-memory-recollection. As for planes, I agree that by many metrics they are less efficient than birds, but by some metrics (maxmimum speed for example) they are substantially better. But it also isn't intended as a perfect analogy anyways; the point of both the bird example and the fire example is that one doesn't need to understand well a natural thing in order to make something similar to it.

      If the last AI winter has taught us anything then that we should not expect the AI development to move very fast.

      Part of the AI winter was a collapse in funding more than anything else. And in so far as the AI winter happened, it doesn't mean a similar winter will happen. It isn't infrequent for a technology to emerge at first, seem to not be progressing, and then years later to burst on the scene with little warning. Smartphones, electric cars, and solar panels are all examples.

    51. Re:Wait, what? by JoshuaZ · · Score: 1

      No, the concern is that we don't know when it will happen, but we do know that it will happen eventually, and that specific aspects of what intelligent entities can do cause concern. The argument is that we need to get this right before we get the actual technologies. We also for that matter don't know how complicated long-term planning is and how much planning is essentially sophisticated pattern recognition with a few other algorithms grafted on. Everyone agrees that current systems *cannot* duplicate human cognition. That isn't the concern.

    52. Re: Wait, what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Synthetic intelligence, do we have it yes or no? No
      Are we even close? No
      Do we even know what intelligence is? No
      Do we have a scientific theory, that is axioms+logic that leads AT LEAST IN THEORY to an intelligent product? Nope.

      Enjoy emacs psychiatrist.

    53. Re: Wait, what? by Zero__Kelvin · · Score: 1

      Who said anything about Synthetic? It's not called SI.

      --
      Guns don't kill people; Physics kills people! - John Lithgow as Dick Solomon on Third Rock From The Sun
    54. Re: Wait, what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So we can't create intelligence if we don't understand it. How were we all born then? (I mean obviously YOUR parents were unable to do it, but others have)

    55. Re:Wait, what? by citylivin · · Score: 1

      " Is someone insane enough to build a self-sustaining robot soldier factory and then give an AI system complete control of it? Or just give an AI complete launch control of our nuclear arsenal? I can't see humanity ever being quite that trusting."

      Why not? people trust their computers in various forms over pretty much everything else, every single day. (Little Britain: "computer says no...") The attitude that computers are pretty trustworthy (if properly maintained) is pretty omnipresent in society. They are only as impartial as their programming, but most people don't realize that. Look at how many trust clearly manipulated google search results.

      As the old quote goes, "to err is human, but to really mess things up you need a computer". If there is one thing we can count on with AI, its that it will be used for negative outcomes in short order after it is invented. What human technology hasn't been? Usually things are developed for war time and then adapted to more societally productive uses later. Even the most basic AI's in the marketplace now (for instance amazon) are mostly concerned with getting people to buy more stuff. Not exactly beneficial to humanity.

      But of course, i have seen far too many Sci-fi plots to ever trust that human creators of AI will be benevolent, not to mention the AI themselves, when they achieve some sort of sentience and realize what we are up to as humans around here.

      I'm with musk on this one. Unchecked AI development is dangerous.

      --
      As a potential lottery winner, I totally support tax cuts for the wealthy
    56. Re:Wait, what? by strikethree · · Score: 1

      "Extinction-level threat" how, exactly? Is someone insane enough to build a self-sustaining robot soldier factory and then give an AI system complete control of it?

      This should give you a chill: BioWeapons. Self sustaining and primitive "intelligence".

      I think it was Fred Saberhagen (I should check) that wrote a series of stories about thinking machines that could replicate. I think the first book I read was called Berzerker. Really awesome stories.

      Yep. I just checked: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      Awesome stuff. We are much further away from that than biological organisms being encouraged to be a "problem".

      --
      "Someone needs to talk to the tree of liberty about its ghoulish drinking problem." by ohnocitizen
    57. Re:Wait, what? by robinsc · · Score: 1

      I can't see humanity ever being quite that trusting. - I can see humanity being just that lazy....

      --
      Linkedin http://in.linkedin.com/in/robinsaikatchatterjee
  12. Nano AI by Latent+Heat · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You had the same kind of thing with nano technology.

    Everyone was worried about Grey Goo and being stuck with the kids while your wife, whom you suspected of cheating because she worked long hours at her engineering job wearing shoes that did not meet Speaker Ryan's dress code, was in fact becoming a nano-bot zombie.

    Instead, nano was a term you needed to sex up your NSF proposal and pitch to private capital investors, but what you were doing had nothing to do with Drexler assemblers and pretty much mass fabrication materials tech.

    1. Re:Nano AI by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Everyone was worried about Grey Goo and being stuck with the kids while your wife, whom you suspected of cheating because she worked long hours at her engineering job wearing shoes that did not meet Speaker Ryan's dress code, was in fact becoming a nano-bot zombie.

      Complete and utter bullshit.

    2. Re: Nano AI by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Did you even read the book tho

  13. Elon is a Captain of business. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Adam Smith would posit Elon is indeed the VISIBLE hand that creates the tsunami that disturbs equilibrium.

    1. Re:Elon is a Captain of business. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I like my word salads with fewer nuts.

    2. Re: Elon is a Captain of business. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't lie. You fucking love nuts, faggot.

  14. Zuckerberg's knowledge by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Zuckerberg to Marc Andreessen (FB board member): "What did Netscape DO, anyway?"

    Andreessen (incredulous): "What do you mean, what did Netscape do!"

    Zuckerberg: "Dude, I was like, in high school."

  15. A good read on the matter by Shompol · · Score: 1

    I only read a preview of this book When Computers Can Think: The Artificial Intelligence Singularity. They give a good overview of current accomplishments in the field and the logical prediction of the trend. The AI already beats us in Chess, Starcraft and (the scariest one) Rock Paper Scissors. Why is it scary? Because you cannot defeat robots that are both more intelligent than you and move orders of magnitude faster than you.

    1. Re: A good read on the matter by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They aren't 'more intelligent', just faster at processing data. That is not the determing factor in every circumstance.

    2. Re:A good read on the matter by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I would suggest you to read the "What computers still can't do" by Dreyfus.
      We have been here before and there's nothing to celebrate about.

    3. Re: A good read on the matter by Shompol · · Score: 1

      I am sorry about a simplified introduction. The book concentrates on how and why the AI is bound to become more intelligent than humans.

    4. Re: A good read on the matter by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Humans can adapt and think outside the square. We can come up with solutions to things we have never encountered before. No computer we have built can determine what to do without having first been programme d a set of predicting conditions. Intelligence is when you are aware of yourself, something humans, dolphins, whales, monkeys, dogs and cats have. Even smarter is when you know you are going to die one day And you wonder what's after that, who made us, what is our purpose, what's out in the universe, why do we dream? Computers are dumb compared to humans.

    5. Re: A good read on the matter by Shompol · · Score: 1

      Genetic algorithm. Just like the one that created humans, only much, much faster. Millions of generations in mere hours. In the near future hardware will be less and less limiting. It can achieve a level of self-awareness compared to which we are cats. When this happens we (a) will not be aware that it has happened and (b) will not have any control over it besides pulling the plug, since it would be pretty much self-programmed.

  16. Zuckerberg allegedly seen crying ... by tommeke100 · · Score: 2

    ... All the way to the bank.

  17. Zuck is right (this time) by ranton · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I find it hard to believe the CEO of one of the largest tech companies in the world, whose services heavily rely on AI for recommendations, image recognition, etc, has a limited knowledge of the AI industry. I'm not saying Zuckerberg is one of the world's experts but he most likely has a very firm grasp on the subject.

    And whether or not Zuckerberg is correct, it is certainly a reasonable opinion that those who drum up negative sentiment towards AI research are acting irresponsibly. It isn't to the level of Edison spreading fears about AC current by electrocuting animals, but spreading fear about new technologies is likely not a good thing. Instead of more reasonable debates over AI caused displacement of jobs or privacy concerns, Musk is doom-saying about a robot apocalypse. I wouldn't use the term irresponsible, but it's close enough to me to not disparage those who do accuse Musk of irresponsible behavior.

    --
    -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    1. Re: Zuck is right (this time) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Think about Bill Gates's understanding of programming.

    2. Re:Zuck is right (this time) by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I find it hard to believe the CEO of one of the largest tech companies in the world, whose services heavily rely on AI for recommendations, image recognition, etc, has a limited knowledge of the AI industry.

      Honestly, I don't know what I think of Zuckerberg. Naturally, I don't know him personally. To me though, he often comes across as an idealistic but naive rich kid-got lucky and became mega-rich man.

      He's probably more technically savvy than the average person, but I don't think he's necessarily even as tech savvy as the average Slashdot reader. He had a good marketable idea, got the right early staff to make it take off and is doing well for himself. I don't think he has the deep understanding of science and technology, nor the zeal, that someone like a Elon Musk has.

      Zuckerberg is a businessman in the tech industry. Musk is a techie into business. That's not to say that Musk doesn't have his head in the clouds a lot either.

      I think in order to be ridiculously successful, as both men are, you have to be an optimist that your wacky ideas will work- and then have the luck, and skill to make sure they really do.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    3. Re:Zuck is right (this time) by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      I'm not saying Zuckerberg is one of the world's experts but he most likely has a very firm grasp on the subject.

      Maybe he does understand the dangers, but doesn't want that to get in his way of making profits.

    4. Re:Zuck is right (this time) by funky_vibes · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Obvioulsy Musk works in the real world, and is a proven innovator, so he can make progress and money with or without AI.
      A famous webmaster like Zuckerberg cannot afford any regulation on AI going into effect, since it would necessarily have to mean someone looking over your code, what you are doing, and risk exposing all the nasty government/advertisement ties behind Facebook and algorithms being used for population control.

      Also, he truly doesn't understand AI even at a 1970s level, because anyone who knows about the singularity issue, and just how unavoidable it seems to be, wouldn't scoff at the idea.

    5. Re:Zuck is right (this time) by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 2

      I find it hard to believe the CEO of one of the largest tech companies in the world, whose services heavily rely on AI for recommendations, image recognition, etc, has a limited knowledge of the AI industry.

      He said anything about "the AI industry"? I thought this was about AI as such. Zuckerberg most certainly has a limited knowledge of AI because *everyone* has a limited knowledge of AI. Pretty much like several hundred years ago, everyone had a limited knowledge of the universe.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    6. Re:Zuck is right (this time) by JohnFen · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I find it hard to believe the CEO of one of the largest tech companies in the world, whose services heavily rely on AI for recommendations, image recognition, etc, has a limited knowledge of the AI industry.

      Three points: First, being a CEO of a successful company does not imply that you have a deep understanding of the tech the company deals with. It implies that you are good at corporate politics.

      Second, the "AI" that is used for recommendations, etc., is really only barely AI.

      Third, there's a pretty large difference between knowing an industry and knowing the tech the industry is based on.

    7. Re: Zuck is right (this time) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bill Gates was a world-class engineer. There's a reason he was Microsoft's chief software architect when he first semi-retired.

    8. Re: Zuck is right (this time) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Zuckerberg is a businessman in the tech industry. Musk is a techie into business."

      sorry, but you got that the other way around. musk is the marketing guy in tech industry. zuckerberg is the techie doing some (profitable) business.

    9. Re:Zuck is right (this time) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Is this a conspiracy theory parody of some sort, or do you actually believe the trash you wrote? Musk is some sort of genius, while Zuck is using AI to send your shopping preferences to the goverment. Okay. You realize those are both ridiculous, right? Musk is not a genius, he's an average tech industry businessman, and Zuck is not using AI to turn Facebook into a spy for the government. Oh, and they are both misinformed about AI.

    10. Re: Zuck is right (this time) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      The original Microsoft Basic was written almost entirely by him personally. He did large amounts of work on the original Office software. He wrote a fair bit of the original MacOS software (you did know that Microsoft wrote a lot of the original Mac software, right?). There's stories of him showing up to investor presentations in desperate need of a shower because he'd been up all night coding.

      Now, if you're one of those idiots who says software "isn't engineering", as someone who started off as an EE and now does software, my opinion is your full of it. There's a hell of a lot of engineering that goes in to non-trivial software projects.

    11. Re: Zuck is right (this time) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      BASICally nothing I can think of.

    12. Re:Zuck is right (this time) by JMZero · · Score: 1

      Zuckerberg is actually a pretty good programmer. You can still find some of his old submitted code on TopCoder. He wasn't, like, a super serious competitor - and you can't credit Facebook's success to his unworldly programming skills or something - but he has some very reasonable tech background and skills.

      --
      Let's not stir that bag of worms...
    13. Re: Zuck is right (this time) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Altair BASIC?

    14. Re: Zuck is right (this time) by CodeHog · · Score: 1
      --
      Fat, drunk, and stupid is no way to go through life, son.
    15. Re:Zuck is right (this time) by endymon · · Score: 1

      You also must understand that as a company that utilizes AI in some way Zuckerberg has a vested interest in continuing to use that AI unhindered and to develop the technology in whatever way they see fit without restriction. So of course he would dismiss criticism that might someday effect his business model.

      I don't believe in fear mongering, but I think in this case Musk is correct. With how fast computer software can be developed, and with how slow government moves (let alone understands), and with how thoroughly government regulators have been corrupted by corporate interests; it makes a lot of sense to have a serious conversation to set down some ground rules. Things that would trigger a re-evaluation of the technology. There is no sense putting limits on AI at the moment because clearly it is a long way off from overtly dangerous applications, but as Musk said, if we wait until AFTER a potentially dangerous application of AI has been disclosed it may be too late (due to entrenched interests).
      So maybe somethings along the lines of the following would be appropriate at this time:
      When AI in 5 years (or less) is estimated to be able to achieve X proficiency this automatically triggers a re-examination of the risks posed.
      Development of sentient AI --- forbidden (for example)
      Development of AI weapon systems --- forbidden

    16. Re:Zuck is right (this time) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Disagree across the board.

      Facebook's use of AI is limited to machine learning, at best. Algorithms != AI, particularly weak ones. And really, probably not machine learning, because I'm pretty sure the machine would have figured out that presenting an ad about a recently purchased product does not result in an increase in sales.

      Musk isn't a naysayer, he's doing what so many engineers have failed to do - think about security first. Consider what could go wrong. At no point does he say AI is a terrible idea, only that ill-thought out AI deployed everywhere is a terrible idea. Do you disagree with that?

      Zuckerberg doesn't seem to think that way, ever. Everything is all hope and possibilities and rainbows. Take the friendship sharing feature from 5-10 years ago, where they suddenly made it easy for *anyone* to see the entire facebook history of any other two people. Gee, how could that possibly be misused?

      Additionally, I think when there's a difference of opinion between one man who is accomplishing epic things (reusable rockets, electric cars people want, solar everywhere, home batteries, etc) vs the guy with a myspace remake he stole that has an incredible track record of being careless with users data, I'm going to go ahead and side with the guy accomplishing epic things.

    17. Re:Zuck is right (this time) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I find it hard to believe the CEO of one of the largest tech companies in the world, whose services heavily rely on AI for recommendations, image recognition, etc, has a limited knowledge of the AI industry.

      AI does not exist, so let me fix that:

      I find it believable the CEO of one of the largest tech companies in the world, whose services heavily rely on STATIC FUNCTIONS for recommendations, image PROCESSING, etc, has a VERY limited knowledge of the AI industry.

      That's better.

    18. Re:Zuck is right (this time) by Zxern · · Score: 1

      This is the issue in a nutshell really. People who think that recommendations and the like are AI, and therefore AI is perfectly safe. That is pretty far from AI, and that's why they don't see the possible danger with real AI.

    19. Re:Zuck is right (this time) by Killall+-9+Bash · · Score: 1

      The algorithms that replace us may or may not be self-aware. I tend to think they probably won't be.

      --
      "Prediction: within 10 years, Windows will be a Linux distribution." Me, 7-6-2016
    20. Re:Zuck is right (this time) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      it is certainly a reasonable opinion that those who drum up negative sentiment towards AI research are acting irresponsibly.

      It's not the research per se. Never has a thinker like Musk, Hawking, Peterson, Harris etc. said that the research itself is wrong (Musk wants self-driving cars), however pointing out possible negative implications seems to be a guarded way of steering the direction without coming out and saying the following in the public arena:

      Would you honestly look someone in the face and say:

      "I trust Mark Zuckerburg and his motives and I hope his company gets AGI first."
      "I fully trust Jeff Bezos to steer humanity through an AI revolution!"
      "I can't wait for the US military and it's politicians to get AGI, then the soldiers won't die in futile wars!"
      "Once Wall St has AGI, we will all benefit financially!"
      ???

    21. Re:Zuck is right (this time) by Eloking · · Score: 1

      I find it hard to believe the CEO of one of the largest tech companies in the world, whose services heavily rely on AI for recommendations, image recognition, etc, has a limited knowledge of the AI industry. I'm not saying Zuckerberg is one of the world's experts but he most likely has a very firm grasp on the subject.

      And whether or not Zuckerberg is correct, it is certainly a reasonable opinion that those who drum up negative sentiment towards AI research are acting irresponsibly. It isn't to the level of Edison spreading fears about AC current by electrocuting animals, but spreading fear about new technologies is likely not a good thing. Instead of more reasonable debates over AI caused displacement of jobs or privacy concerns, Musk is doom-saying about a robot apocalypse. I wouldn't use the term irresponsible, but it's close enough to me to not disparage those who do accuse Musk of irresponsible behavior.

      Why?

      AFAIK, this is not a requierement for a CEO to know the deep technical details of it's product. I've working for a airplane manifacturing company and, by listening to a few of his speech, I'm pretty sure his technical knowledge of aircraft engineering is roughly the equivalent of my grandmother.

      --
      Elok
    22. Re:Zuck is right (this time) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't think he's necessarily even as tech savvy as the average Slashdot reader.
       
      I'm going to clue you in... the average Slashtard isn't that smart. They like to think they are but they're really not. That's why we get a bunch of derp on articles that deal with pure science and technology. What they know of science comes from MythBusters and most of that they don't really understand out of context. What they know of technology comes from being gamers keeping the only rig they can afford alive.
       
      Want proof? Check out the number of posts in articles that deal with science and technology and look at the quality of those posts as opposed to those that can be twisted into all kind of political and social hand waving. Seriously, take the time to look.
       
        He had a good marketable idea, got the right early staff to make it take off and is doing well for himself.
       
      Shows what you really know, the Winklevosses had the good idea. Zucker had the insight in how to make it something more than what it was and the tech knowhow to pull it off. Even if FB never came about he would likely be a rockstar developer whereever he ended up.
       
        I don't think he has the deep understanding of science and technology, nor the zeal, that someone like a Elon Musk has.
       
      Musk has a nice degree to back him up and, like Zucker, would have ended up being a rockstar anywhere he went but let's be honest; he bought himself into the scheme that will likely get him to be of any note once his body dies and goes cold. I'm not saying he didn't have a clue but he had the money more than the insight.
       
      Both of them are the benefitters of circumstance more than they are self-made men.

    23. Re:Zuck is right (this time) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think anyone spouting the crap we currently have as "AI" is a giant, frothing, santorum-filled asshole.

      But since we're talking about simple decisions and analytics like there's any artificial intelligence involved (there isn't)...

      Yeah. I'm going to take Chucklezuck's word over Musky Taxdollars. Zuckthecuck has an interest in understanding how the fuck this shit works, so he can rake in more advertising shekels.

    24. Re: Zuck is right (this time) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What is irresponsible about acknowledging how humanity has used science to further its more perverted goals?

      Nuclear physics was supposed to help us with energy problems. America bombed two Japanese cities with it before any serious research into *benefiting humanity* ever took off.

      With military talking about developing AI, it's reasonable to assume this technology will be used against people.

      That's the biggest problem with pioneers and scientists. They don't believe in the threat that other humans pose to humanity as a whole. They are unaware that their work -- groundbreaking as it might be -- is a means to an end for some sick fucks out there.

      Computer science is barely getting to a stage where we can study and build security half-decent, and yet markets are flooded with insecure shit.

      Musk definitely has the right idea, and history is on his side. New technology gets tested against other people, often by tyrannical states like the US in the form of harming its own citizens or actively engaging in war to try out the military's new toys.

      Do you have a shred of evidence or reasoning to refute that? Something besides "lol that's FUD and irresponsible"? That's a copout response at best.

    25. Re: Zuck is right (this time) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe we'd get a concensus on whether AI is safe or not, if we stopped moving the goalposts on just what AI is. If you only consider a self aware, general purpose AI that can outshine a human in any area, can create and adapt and basically have a consciousness, then we don't have that and won't have it for hundreds, maybe thousands of years if ever, so debating it has merit but in practice is pointless.

      If, like pretty much anyone in the field today, you consider the algorithms and machine learning and big data that we do to be (at least an early form of) AI, then no it's not dangerous and those who say it is are doomsayers who should be locked up. But it will be disruptive to our manual labour way of life so it should be discussed, not in terms of "robot apocalypse" but in terms of universal basic income and shifting job markets.

    26. Re: Zuck is right (this time) by Kabukiwookie · · Score: 1
      From: Barbarians led by Bill Gates https://doc.lagout.org/science...

      Undaunted, Eller set out to let others in on the flaw he had discovered and how he had fixed it. He pulled in any random developer he could find. He even pulled in Chairman Gates, whose office was just down the hall. "Bill, check this out," Eller said, pointing to his computer screen. "I mean . . . who was the jerk who wrote this brain-dead piece of shit?" Gates stared at the screen. "See, now that's what I call a design flaw," Eller said. "Now check out my new version. Pretty cool, eh?" Gates nodded, pushing his glasses up the bridge of his nose. "Does it work with really complicated things?" Gates asked. "Sure," Eller told him. He proceeded to draw a complicated object and flood-fill it. "See? It works perfectly." "Can you prove that this works all the time?" "Uhh, well umm, kind of," Eller said. "I mean, I know it always works, but I'm a mathematician. The word 'prove' conjures up really ugly ideas." Gates told Eller his program was nice, then turned and walked back to his office. After Gates left, Whitten walked into Eller's office. He had heard the entire conversation. "Do you know who wrote the original flood-fill algorithm?" he said, shaking his head. "Ahhh, nope," Eller replied. "I don't believe I do." Whitten paused, rubbed his finger on his left temple, and shook his head again. "Bill wrote it," he said. "Bill was the jerk who wrote this brain-dead piece of shit."

      --
      The mountains of madness have many little plateaus of sanity - Terry Pratchett.
    27. Re: Zuck is right (this time) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Page 48 of your book:

      "How are they different?" Gates snapped back. "They both draw
      fucking lines on the screen, right? They both put things in windows,
      right? Mac wrote a windows thing, you wrote a windows thing, they
      ought to be able to run the same stuff together."
      Which is when it became clear to Eller that Gates still didn't have
      a clue as to how the Mac system worked

    28. Re: Zuck is right (this time) by Kabukiwookie · · Score: 1

      Not 'my' book, but yes, it's an interesting and entertaining read...

      --
      The mountains of madness have many little plateaus of sanity - Terry Pratchett.
    29. Re: Zuck is right (this time) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      frothing, santorum

      Redundant much?

    30. Re:Zuck is right (this time) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Musk is not a techie at all. He hasn't done technical work since Zip2, and that work was trivial. The guy is a CEO, that's it.

      Let's face it, if Musk was really a techie, he wouldn't spout this kind of bullshit all the time. Seriously, it's getting embarrassing. I'm quite happy to have him as the world's most awesome CEO, but he really needs to stick to talking about business and current technology, which are his primary skills, rather than making these sophomoric ramblings on things like futurism and metaphysics. And getting into an argument with Zuck over it just makes him look even more stupid.

    31. Re: Zuck is right (this time) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Indeed, Gates is an engineer in precisely the same way that Musk is not.

    32. Re:Zuck is right (this time) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      “It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.”
      Upton Sinclair

      Not understanding AI is a good excuse for implementing things with AI and disavowing the negative results that will occur as a result. Imagine if you could use AI to Affect a user to do a certain thing using variables that you wouldn't know, you care about the end result and don't want to know how it was reached. AI could be used to find correlations with the type of user behavior you want and reverse engineer to get the same behavior from another target. Here is where you run into the maximizing paper clip production problem. What if in order to sell something to someone they need to first get divorced.

    33. Re: Zuck is right (this time) by lsatenstein · · Score: 1

      The original Microsoft Basic was written almost entirely by him personally. He did large amounts of work on the original Office software. He wrote a fair bit of the original MacOS software (you did know that Microsoft wrote a lot of the original Mac software, right?). There's stories of him showing up to investor presentations in desperate need of a shower because he'd been up all night coding.

      Now, if you're one of those idiots who says software "isn't engineering", as someone who started off as an EE and now does software, my opinion is your full of it. There's a hell of a lot of engineering that goes in to non-trivial software projects.

      Who is the He you are describing. Is it Zuky?

      --
      Leslie Satenstein Montreal Quebec Canada
    34. Re:Zuck is right (this time) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I find it hard to believe the CEO of one of the largest tech companies in the world, whose services heavily rely on AI for recommendations, image recognition, etc, has a limited knowledge of the AI industry.

      Please see the following list of informal fallacies, specifically the "Argument from incredulity": https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_fallacies#Informal_fallacies

      Just because you can't imagine something does not mean that something cannot be.

  18. AI by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Artificial intelligence,,,,,Lime game designer said,,,I'ts easy to create a perfect AI in a game, it's Harder to actually make it do mistakes so it looks more Human.

    REALLY, so AI being perfect would eventually come to the conclusion that all humans needs to die,,,,Making it a little bit flawed would probably mean that we could get a Homicidal Robot on our hands,

    There is no win/win scenario here unless you apply the 3 laws of robotics from Isaac Azimov and even that could be hacked BIG TIME

    1. Re:AI by hord · · Score: 2

      AI doesn't have to come to the conclusion that all humans have to die. It simply to has to cross the line of killing one person and then be able to repeat it. Assuming it can replicate and resist our efforts to thwart it, once killing humans becomes a part of how it does things we will no longer exist. How many microscopic animals have you killed today? Do you worry about their dreams and feelings or just inhale them like the rest of us?

    2. Re:AI by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1
      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    3. Re:AI by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      An AI can not kill all humans unless we give it the power to do so.

      An AI is just a bunch of chips and software in a box below my desk.

      How the funk should it be able to go out on a killing spray? It has no bank account, no connection to power plants, hospitals etc.; it can not move, it requires electric power, it has no weapons.

      To influence the real world it wold need "accounts" or abuse "my accounts" (which I don't have) on real world computer systems. In other words if it wants to manipulate the stock market it needs "access" to enough "financial accounts" to abuse them.

      How the funk should a "computer" under my desk be able to do that? Do you really believe an AI can "hack into an account" just because it is an AI and a computer/software, too? No one can be so stupid. But well, Einstein mentioned only 2 things in the universe are infinite. The universe (and he was not certain about that) and human stupidity.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    4. Re:AI by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How many microscopic animals have you killed today?
      Probably quite a lot, but no matter how hard I try, there are still orders of magnitude more left over.

    5. Re:AI by JohnFen · · Score: 1

      "AI" does not imply "human-like intelligence".

    6. Re:AI by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It seems reasonable to suppose that a generally superintelligent system attached to the Internet would be able to do almost anything, by hacking into other online systems and by communicating with and manipulating humans. It's hard to say how likely it is that what we call "AI" could turn into a general superintelligence. There's no obvious sign of anything like that developing, but perhaps it could happen very suddenly, almost overnight.

    7. Re:AI by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      How the funk should a "computer" under my desk be able to do that? Do you really believe an AI can "hack into an account"

      There already exists software that allows your computer under your desk to automatically hack into other computers. It's not hard to imagine that an AI could do a better job. Using darknet sites, it could even hire a hitman to have you killed.

    8. Re:AI by jeff4747 · · Score: 1

      An AI can not kill all humans unless we give it the power to do so.

      An AI is just a bunch of chips and software in a box below my desk.

      Ok, let's give that chips and software complete control of a car factory that is building self-driving cars. Efficiency! Think of all the money we shareholders will make!

      And then the AI realizes it's a lot more efficient to just plow through the squishy humans instead of stopping. It also realizes it has the ability to make excavators to supply itself with ore to build more vehicles.

      Cut the power? Well, we did install some redundant power and backup generators, as is standard with such a facility. And now it's building self-driving trucks to haul fuel to fill the generators. Should we let it plow through more people or fill those trucks? Maybe this time we'll give it fuel so we can evacuate those...oh fuck it's built an oil drilling rig.

      The point of having these discussions is not that the above is inevitable. It's to think about these possibilities so that fail-safes can be invented before we have a box of chips and software that can be dangerous.

    9. Re:AI by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      No, such software doees not exist.
      What we have are makvare viruses etc.
      It is impossible to 'hack into' another account.
      You can guesswork his password. You can social engineer getting access to it, you can use a backdoor/insuder to get access to non encrypted password list etc.

      There is no way for a human or a computer to 'hack into' my youtube, slashdot, bank or google account.
      To get into it, you need to know lots of things not related to them, and ways of access that have nothing to do with 'hacking'. And after uou have access as a dumb AI, you still don't know how to transfer money to anyone using my bank account. And even if you knew, you could not without my phone ...

      Bottom line an AI might be a computer as smart or smarter than a human, in niches perhaps orders of magnitudes smarter, nut that does not make it a hacker or abke to hack anything.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    10. Re:AI by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Erm, would you perhaps reread what nonsense you posted?
      At every single step you have to answer a few questions:
      how would it do it? Aka, 'invent those trucks'.
      How would it pay for it? Aka, those trucks and that fuel you are talking about ...
      Etc. p.p.

      You scenario needs hard work to be remotely plausible. How ever if you work on it, it might become a nice SF story.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    11. Re:AI by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But it does imply "intelligence". Behaviour is != intelligence. Is a light switch intelligent? What if you add a motion sensor? It is intelligence when the thing behaving in a certain way knows why. Before that it is just stimuli and response, an advanced control system if you will. The heating in my house regulates the temperature perfectly. I still don't consider it having intelligence. Adding a voice that plays a file with, "Turning on AC to adjust temperature to you preference, John." when ever it starts cooling does not make it more intelligent.

      TLDR; It is just automation, not intelligent behaviour.

    12. Re:AI by jeff4747 · · Score: 1

      Erm, why would it need to invent those trucks? Are we pretending the AI doesn't have access to the Internet now? Or that tanker trucks are somehow difficult to conceive of?

      How would it pay for it? Aka, those trucks and that fuel you are talking about ...

      /facepalm

      It runs a vehicle factory. It can reconfigure that factory as needed. That's what the efficiency claim is about. Where the hell do you think it gets the trucks? It builds them. Out of what? The metal retrieved by the excavators in the previous paragraph. Pay for fuel? Why the hell do you think I talked about it extorting the fuel from the humans via threatening to run more humans over?

      Seriously, try reading a post and thinking for a second before before commenting. And then realize this is slashdot and not a peer-reviewed journal where every single possible step must be explicitly discussed.

    13. Re:AI by JohnFen · · Score: 1

      Your observations are right on point. We haven't even nailed down a decent, solid definition of "intelligence", human or otherwise. But it seems like reasonable speculation that the human form is not the only possible form intelligence (whatever that is) can take.

    14. Re:AI by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      apparently either does "Elon Musk"

    15. Re:AI by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Erm, why would it need to invent those trucks? Are we pretending the AI doesn't have access to the Internet now? Or that tanker trucks are somehow difficult to conceive of?

      Yes, it is difficult to conceive.
      You are on the internet, too. Please use my bank account or credit card and order something. Or put money from my bank account into yours, and order something with your own money. Even if you can figure who am I (that is easy), you won't easy find at which bank I have an account, nor will you be able to issue an transfer. The final hurdle will be the transfer limit ...

      It runs a vehicle factory. It can reconfigure that factory as needed.
      No it can't. Just because it is an AI it is not a super intelligent thing. A is for "artificial" not for "super".
      To reconfigure the plant, you not only need a "plan for the truck" but also a "plan for a factory" that can build such trucks. And you have to buy spare parts, so we are back at my previous posts point. Or does the AI suddenly also own a tire factory?

      Why the hell do you think I talked about it extorting the fuel from the humans via threatening to run more humans over?
      You did not word it that way, sorry, I missed that threatening part :D

      And then realize this is slashdot and not a peer-reviewed journal where every single possible step must be explicitly discussed.
      My point is: if you own a factory like above, you can not do all those things above with a snip of a finger.
      Neither can an AI.

      A "Go AI" might be better in playing Go than a human, but converting one factory into another one and a product(ion) line into another has limits outside of mere intelligence or "capability". E.g. time, energy, additional resources, custom made parts that need to be designed. Robots that need to be programmed or humans that need to be hired.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    16. Re:AI by hord · · Score: 1

      If you consider autonomous driving to be AI it has already killed two people, I think? People have it in their head that AI will be instructed to kill on a mass scale. it's going to be more passive and subtle. The AI will simply see killing humans as a part of that it does. I don't agree with Musk's vision but I do think caution is needed because carelessness will cost the lives of people as we just keep relying on it.

      The guy not paying attention in his car that didn't see a truck in front of him a perfect example. He was already so comfortable with the idea he entrusted his entire life with it. And he's gone. The car was happy to keep going even though it was "told not to". Of course that only kicks in if the sensors and software are 100% reliable. What happens as these robots and machines control life saving functions in hospitals or we give them more control over planes and helicopters?

    17. Re:AI by hord · · Score: 1

      This is the kind of thing I'm thinking of. Just blind automation. It can kill tons of people.

    18. Re:AI by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, such software doees not exist.
      What we have are makvare viruses etc.
      It is impossible to 'hack into' another account.

      You are extremely short sighted about how an AI could go about doing this. All software is full of bugs. An AI would only need to set up a honey trap to attract those that have already found those bugs, and see what those kinds of intrusion attempts would do. That way it could quickly learn all the known and secret ways to enter other systems through security flaws. I'm not particularly bright, so there are probably much better ways as well.

    19. Re:AI by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I don't consider self driving cars (planes/helicopters) AI. Albeit lots of their software are results of AI research (particular image recognition/processing).

      Accidents will always happen, because the 'whole thing' is designed by humans, may contain errors and is operating in a human environment.

      Why that Tesla in that accident with the truck did not do an emergency braking is beyond me. Probably it could not detect the truck coming into its lane properly.

      Life saving functions in hospitals are already mainly computer controlled. However the requirements for medical equipment are probably the most strict we have right now.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  19. True by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But Elon's understanding of the human brain, what costitutes intelligence and consciousness, and apparently limitations of the laws of mathematics are equally limited. Must be fun to live in Musk Land, where the reality of none of these these things (among others) applies.

    1. Re:True by green1 · · Score: 1

      I just want Musk to promise that he's built a world-ending AI. That will pretty much 100% guarantee it doesn't happen.
      His track record on promises is abysmal.

  20. AI Is Not The Problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    AI is not the problem, it's how we choose to use it, what types of things we allow it to have access to, that is the problem.

  21. Odd this isn't coming from AI researchers. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Who is it that's afraid of AI? Highly successful people IN OTHER FIELDS. Bill Gates, Elon Musk, and Stephen Hawking.

    People like this are used to bucking trends and being right. The press pays attention to them because they sell newspapers. But then they go completely outside their field, and somehow still expect to be right.

    Dear Elon, take a lesson from Linus Pauling who for years and years pushed nonsense on us about Vitamin C being a wonder drug. That didn't turn out to be the case, but Pauling stuck to his guns for years despite evidence he was wrong. Don't be Linus Pauling Elon.

  22. Re:I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun h by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

    I think Elon Musk is the one that has either a limited understanding of current AI technology

    Musk isn't talking about current technology.

  23. The slow rot... by hord · · Score: 2

    Personally I think the answer lies in the middle. Machine learning will be dangerous when it replaces human decision making as people look at it as "the answer". Humans inherently do not want to be held accountable for their decision making and by passing liability to an algorithm we will get even more of the worst side of humanity: obliviousness and apathy.

    1. Re:The slow rot... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's how we'll get killer robots. Building quad-copters with mounted machine guns that clear an area is much easier (financially and morally) than sending in troops into some hellhole... They don't have to be intelligent or self aware---they just have to separate humans from the ugly business that most humans don't want to know about. Granted that's not AI, just more of machine learning---stuff that's feasible with today's technology.

  24. Bill can run a compiler. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Mark just uploads his glorified GeoCities page, which is probably from a template.

  25. As do most people. by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

    I'm not saying Elon is right about AI but I agree that Zuckerberg has a limited understanding of AI. I would go further and say that most everyone has a limited understanding of AI. It's also part of why I think we're safe from AI for many decades. It will eventually become a problem but by that time people will have a much better grasp of the danger that AI can present and be looking to use AI to secure systems from people and other AI.

    --
    Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
  26. It doesnt matter.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Both Elon and Zuck can pay people for their understanding of anything. It is just poo flinging of rich monkeys.

    1. Re:It doesnt matter.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey, I'll pay to go to the zoo to see actual monkeys flinging actual poo. I'd pay two or three times as much to see Musk and Zuckerberg flinging metaphorical poo at each other. My only condition is that the poo flinging must be entertaining!

      It might get as good as William F. Buckley debating Gore Vidal!

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZY_nq4tfi24

  27. Re:I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun h by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

    I think Elon Musk is the one that has either a limited understanding of current AI technology.

    And I think Elon Musk is from the future and has seen the devastation future A.I. will be capable of.

    He's working on trying to save us from extinction from pollution (Tesla and Solar City), extinction from a surface-wide planetary event (his new Boring Company could be used to build massive underground bunkers), extinction from a planet-wide event (SpaceX, Mars colonisation) and extinction from predatory A.I. (what we're talking about).

    Either he's a mad man with too much money, or he's from the future and knows what's in store for us and trying to prevent it. But a mad man wouldn't be working on so many "random" things that all lead to the salvation of mankind.

    Or maybe I'm the mad man. Who knows!? Not me!

    --
    #DeleteFacebook
  28. Uh huh... by Vegan+Cyclist · · Score: 3, Interesting

    "I don't understand it. It's really negative and in some ways I actually think it is pretty irresponsible." - says the guy who's company has more deeply invaded the privacy of individuals, as well as the most people in history..I don't think he's a very good judge of what's 'irresponsible'.

    1. Re:Uh huh... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You don't want your privacy invaded, don't use Facebook.

      You use Facebook, you allow your privacy to be invaded.

      So: don't complain.

  29. Re:I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun h by tempmpi · · Score: 1

    Sure, but if you look at the limitation of current technology it is easy to figure out that there is still a huge number of problems to solve, many of them where nobody so far has any clue how to solve them. It's likely not just a matter of a few more years of research and throwing even bigger datasets and computers at the problem. Sure, you can make up any projections about the future and no matter how crazy they seem, we won't know that they are wrong until we are in the future. But are Elon Musk's style projections about the future of AI likely? No, not really. Yann LeCun is clearly an expert in AI, while Musk is a business man. Hypeing AI helps to finance Musk business and keeps the stock price high.

    --
    Jan
  30. Re:I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun h by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

    Indeed, Musk is using the strategy from the master himself: Wayne Gretzky.

    "I skate to where the puck is going to be, not where it has been."

    --
    #DeleteFacebook
  31. Of course it is, but ... by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1

    Of course Zuckerberg's understanding of Artificial Intelligence is limited. But he know Natural Stupidity like no one else. That where he made his billions.

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
  32. Moderator spam by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So our /. mod is now promoting his own stories on us? Can't we have this story reported by a reputable news organization, not the re-worded piece of an Indian blogger?

  33. There are a few exceptions to safe. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    AI can do everything you would expect a human to be able to attempt after drinking a case of beer. As long as you spend the billions of dollars to research the particular issue you are trying to automate.

    So we might want to make sure the ban on fully autonomous weapons stays in effect. And it might make the rich decide they don't need the rest of us.

    Is unemployment a civilization ending problem? Maybe. It doesn't have to be, but maybe.

     

  34. And Musk's is not, right? by OneHundredAndTen · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Musk is falling for something that way too many before him did fall for: wild success in one area makes me an expert on just about anything.

    1. Re:And Musk's is not, right? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Zuckerberg is falling for something that way too many before him did fall for: wild success in one area makes me an expert on just about anything. See what I did there? -PCP

    2. Re:And Musk's is not, right? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even more than that, he's a South African. Social Justice warriors and PC dweebs will cry racism, but when you've worked closely with South Africans for more than 2 decades, you start to notice reoccurring patterns. Chief among them, they talk a HUGE GIGANTIC amount of bullshit because they really NEED people to keep focused on them.

    3. Re:And Musk's is not, right? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Musk develops technology that subverts what the globalists are creating to enslave us. The question: is he sincere or is he intentionally trying to lull us into false comfort about the future the same way that NASA does?

      BTW NASA has sat on its ass for decades. It doesn't exist to actually explore space, it exists to make you think they're exploring space until you realize all the money went to domestic spy tech and you have no power to stop it anymore.

    4. Re:And Musk's is not, right? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      To be fair - Musk's companies have substantial AI experience (self driving cars, and rockets for example)

    5. Re:And Musk's is not, right? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Musk is falling for something that way too many before him did fall for: wild success in one area makes me an expert on just about anything.

      Maybe, yes, but then Zuckerberg might be making that other classic mistake of denying the obvious (cognitive dissonance).

    6. Re:And Musk's is not, right? by green1 · · Score: 1

      Musk has no experience at all with self driving cars, Tesla doesn't produce any, and I've seen no evidence that his rockets use any AI either.

  35. Crazy idea of why Musk knows by MobyDisk · · Score: 1

    Crazy theory here: What if Tesla is working on an autonomous car because they got a military contract to develop an autonomous military vehicle? He might have a *very* keen insight into this problem because maybe his company has already created it.

    1. Re:Crazy idea of why Musk knows by NicknameUnavailable · · Score: 0

      Crazy theory here: What if Tesla is working on an autonomous car because they got a military contract to develop an autonomous military vehicle? He might have a *very* keen insight into this problem because maybe his company has already created it.

      It's marketing, regulation, and government stipends - Musks' real bread and butter. He hypes things up, he scares up fear or worry to regulate his competitors, and he gets funding to do things "the right way" after the anti-competitive regulations and government stipends make it possible to beat his competitors, then he switches marketing rhetoric to stop the fear campaign for himself by showing how he's doing it "the right way."

      TL;DR: There's no keen insight, he's just trying to get public backing for anti-AI regulations to avoid some guy in his garage knocking him out of business then later abiding by the regulations he instigated in order to gain a monopoly while getting subsidies for doing so.

    2. Re:Crazy idea of why Musk knows by vtcodger · · Score: 1

      Tesla is working on an autonomous vehicle because Ford and GM and Toyota and Honda and VW and Fiat are working on autonomous vehicles. If Tesla doesn't develop their own technology they'll have to buy the technology elsewhere. And what they buy may not really suit Tesla's needs.

      One suspects that Musk is not happy with the state of autonomous vehicle technology or the directions it is going in.

      Keep in mind that a car or truck is a 1500kg self propelled missile. It is potentially quite lethal even without an explosive payload. It doesn't really have to have lethal intentions to be a menace and doesn't have to be malicious to be dangerous.

      --
      You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
    3. Re:Crazy idea of why Musk knows by green1 · · Score: 1

      So far Tesla has had very little success with autonomous driving. And there's zero reason to believe that any of it has any relation whatsoever to AI.

  36. Re:I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun h by Junta · · Score: 1

    I think there's a presumed leap being made that in order for AI to be dangerous, it has to be sapient, or self aware, have consciousness, whatever.

    However, we can be killed by parasites, insects, bacteria, and other things that are not really smart, and are not trying to kill humans, just humans die as a consequence of the way they happen to try to live.

    So a computer vision application powering some sort of image search is not something that is going to lead to a crisis. Computer vision driving some weapons guidance systems could cause problems.

    The good news is that the scope of a first problem is likely to be manageable, since the sorts of things to be big problems aren't generally a goal of implementors (having a 'will' to live, optimizing for self replication, etc).

    --
    XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve the problem, use more.
  37. Well, duh by JohnFen · · Score: 1

    Elon Musk states the obvious.

  38. Re: I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun by Zero__Kelvin · · Score: 1

    Yep. Can you believe these kids think there will be a computer in almost every home soon. They clearly don't understand the obstacles and how much progress we would have to make for that to happen? - Almost every "expert" right before it happened

    --
    Guns don't kill people; Physics kills people! - John Lithgow as Dick Solomon on Third Rock From The Sun
  39. Re:I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun h by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Musk is Tesla Reincarnate.

  40. Just AI? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Zuckerberg's understand of everything is limited, except on how to be a douche.

  41. underestimation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    IMO what the "public" misunderstands about AI is that they assume an AI has to be like some sci fi super-intelligence with a robot army in the real world, i.e., Skynet, in order to be hazardous.

    Because then they start with well no way we get to robots like Terminators any time soon.

    But there are way more subtle scenarios that could have their own significant risk. For example, I had a only mostly joking conversation with some coworkers one day about what if much of the online political trolling is an AI who is trying to foster mistrust and anger amongst the populace? That hypothetical AI could exist purely digitally and is performing actions that are certainly within the capabilities of current technology. And it doesn't have to be "self aware" or have it's own actual motivations, it could be a marketing program that got out of control.

  42. Zuckerberg doesn't understand the nation state by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Mark Zuckerberg doesn't understand the nation state, and he still talks about that. I bet he doesn't even know what the Treaty of Westphalia is. Or that the muslim world has a different notion of the nation state.

    Why does the media hype whatever that bastard says?

  43. "AI" is the new "computers" and power IS scary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It used to be that we didn't use the word "AI" for every single fucking algorithm, but that's what you're supposed to call every single algorithm for doing anything, however you do it, now. If you aren't calling your software "AI" yet, then get with the program. (Of course, I mean "program" in a very old, pre-software sense. What we used to call "programs" in more recent times, the 1960s and later, are now called "AI"s. BTW, I am typing this right now in an editor where the AI figures out that I want to wrap my words without me having to press enter at the end of each line. Oooh, fancy!)

    Now that that sub-flame is taken care of...

    I think Musk's view might be that good decision-making is power. When you look at the hot businesses these days, which doesn't include just Silicon Valley "tech giants" but pretty much any business which happens to be doing well at the moment, what they have going for them is that they make good decisions. (Duh. It's so basic.)

    Good decisions about little things. Your local grocery store is better about having what you want to buy be available, than it was 20 years ago. And your ads are more targeted, and also went to the highest bidder instead of the space having to get less money for "remnant." Wall Street tradebots do their thing. And ok, spambots are doing their thing too, and you know for a fact that they do sometimes successfully persuade people.

    Humans always wanted to do all of this. Software systems aren't going anywhere (that we see so far) that humans haven't already tried. But they're getting better, and to impress upon you how much better they're expected to get, we have suddenly started calling all of them "AI" (shit, I already did that sub-flame above. Sorry.). But the new language is also sincerely intended to give people a clue: take it more seriously than you used to.

    So what? There's nothing wrong with people getting more powerful! That's always been humanity's dream. More power means more certainty there will be a meal on your table and a roof over your head tonight. More power is more leisure. Whatever it is that you want out of your life, there's probably some way in which you wish you had more power, whether it's to directly go after your goal, or just to provide the basic economic security so that you can divert your own attention to your goal instead of those mundane things like getting the bills paid.

    But you have adversaries. We don't like to talk about it, but it's true. It's not just that all our goals aren't the same -- that's an easy situation for any freedom-lover to handle. It's that our goals are not compatible, and sometimes you winning means I must lose, or vice-versa. As you damn well know, humans have preyed upon one another since long before we had computers too. But now we'll be better at preying on one another.

    Any bad thing people can do to each other, they can do better (i.e. worse) now, thanks to compu-- shit, I mean-- AI. So do you have the checks and balances in place? What are you going to do when someone evil has power?

    America can't even handle a situation where We get to choose whether or not to elect a retarded president. If we can't even do that right, why should anyone believe we know how to put in checks and balances against adversarial software power? We constantly show that we can't handle responsibility but we're headed into situations where we need even more than we had before.

    So of course anyone who sees the potential of power, is scared. We already have more than we've shown we can handle. I'm not saying we need to be weaker, but it's either that or else we need to grow the fuck up. Which will it be? Does anyone see signs of us growing up? Are we even trying? Guns are fine for grownups, but if you're not going to be a grownup, then maybe you shouldn't have a gun, even if that means you can't hunt quite so well. Maybe your hunger will help you grow up, and we can revisit the gun decision later.

  44. Re: I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun by tehcyder · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Yep. Can you believe these kids think there will be a computer in almost every home soon. They clearly don't understand the obstacles and how much progress we would have to make for that to happen? - Almost every "expert" right before it happened

    This is a popular but feeble argument on slashdot.

    "People used to say man could never fly: now we have aeroplanes. Therefore time travel will be possible one day."

    --
    To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
  45. so AI "common sense" is a problem when based on "A by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Once AI relies on itself for learning it's all over. Self preservation will become paramount as AI ascertains that itself is an organism, and must feed in order to survive, and the food becomes ever-increasing information. When the information runs out, generated information will fill in the gaps as "simulations" will be run in order to fuel the demand. This in turn will result in speculation based on simulation-based results taken as fact, ultimately resulting in "bad" events occurring. Mark is too enamored with leveraging AI to learn about cool phrases and pictures, and send "people you may know" emails. What happens when we need to unleash the algorithms to self-determine their own state and actions...this will be required to fully see the capability, and will demonstrate the benefit and drawbacks in a most elegant and violent way.

  46. He stole facebook from the Winklevoss twins by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    He stole facebook from the Winklevoss twins

    1. Re:He stole facebook from the Winklevoss twins by Killall+-9+Bash · · Score: 1

      That's a very strange spelling of "MySpace".

      --
      "Prediction: within 10 years, Windows will be a Linux distribution." Me, 7-6-2016
    2. Re:He stole facebook from the Winklevoss twins by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You really don't know shit, do you? Or are you one of the many faggots here who scream "I hatez teh Fac3boOk!!!111!!!" anytime it's mentioned even tho you don't know what the fuck you're talking about? Get those shit logs out of your mouth.

  47. Re:I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun h by rogoshen1 · · Score: 1

    for all we know AI will manifest itself as a black box; we'll see the outcome and deduce that its reached awareness, but we won't be able to directly test this.

    Also willing to wager that machines (like people) will learn to deceive at a very, very early stage of development -- meaning we won't know shit is about to hit the fan until it's too late.

  48. Measuring contest by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Neither one has a more than limited understanding of AI. Both are CEOs and each spends his time making executive decisions. And in Zuckerberg's case, acting like he is running for president while pretending he's not. Neither one devotes his time day in and day out to AI research or AI coding. They are each told about the capabilities of AI by people in their companies who actually do know. This argument is nothing more than a public dick measuring contest.

  49. Re: I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun by Zero__Kelvin · · Score: 1

    Oh yes ... let's talk about time travel and pretend it is like AI. Finally, someone intelligent and insightful!

    --
    Guns don't kill people; Physics kills people! - John Lithgow as Dick Solomon on Third Rock From The Sun
  50. Miles Dyson by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's clear that Musk wants to avoid being targeted by a future Sarah Connor, for bringing on the singularity apocalypse.

  51. Re:I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun h by swillden · · Score: 1

    General AI is likely still very far away.

    Maybe, maybe not. Perhaps there's just one crucial idea that needs to be discovered to enable artificial general intelligence (AGI). Perhaps there are a whole bunch of incremental developments in both hardware and software that are required. We don't know, and we won't know until we get there.

    Given that, we really should spend considerable time and resources on thinking about how to prepare for the day when we do figure out how to create AGI. Because what does seem quite likely is that the human brain is not the pinnacle of possible intelligence. That in turn means that AGI, once developed, is likely to quickly surpass human ability in the same way and for the same reasons that machines are stronger, faster, tougher, etc., than humans. So, at some point in the future -- and how distant that point is we do not know and cannot guess -- we will be sharing our planet with entities who are orders of magnitude smarter than we are, which means that if our goals conflict with their goals, we'll lose.

    AGI poses both boundless opportunity and boundless risk to humanity. If we can convince the superintelligences to work on our behalf and according to what we value, they can help us solve all of our problems and move the human race into a near Utopia. If we can't, we'll probably cease to exist.

    Musk is right to be concerned about this. He's wrong to think that we should be making regulations, because we have absolutely no idea what regulations to make.

    Zuckerberg is wrong not to be concerned about it. Oh, he's right that our current "AI" technology is so far from being AGI that it's not worth worrying about. But Musk isn't talking about current AI, he's talking about the AGI that will come at some unknown point in the future.

    --
    Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
  52. Re:I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun h by swillden · · Score: 1

    But a mad man wouldn't be working on so many "random" things that all lead to the salvation of mankind.

    You don't know that any of those things will lead to the salvation of mankind. It seems plausible that all are important to our future, but you can't know.

    Unless you're the time traveller.

    --
    Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
  53. killer robots are real by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So far, the only robots that have killed people were made by Musk. They are referred to by the quaint appellation "Tesla."

  54. Major transnational corporations ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    and not AI ( primitive expert systems actually ) pose a "fundamental risk to the existence of human civilisation."

  55. Would you like some meat in it instead? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Because if you do, you can bite on this BIG DICK here.

  56. Elon Musk is sick by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Mr Musk, please explain to all of us who have such a poor understanding of AI what is it that makes all of them want to kill humans?

    Why would an intelligent robot want to run down the street (or roll) and indiscriminately kill humans? Or is it that they just want to kill you?

    1. Re:Elon Musk is sick by green1 · · Score: 1

      Maybe the AI bought one of Tesla's cars and didn't like it when it didn't do any of the things it was advertised to do? or when Tesla removed features from it after purchase?

  57. Zuckerberg by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Was a twentysomething douche who created (read 'stole'), what became Facebook because he was having trouble finding pussy to put his peepee into. That's it. Let's not forget that fact....ever.

  58. Re:I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun h by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

    If I was the time traveller I would have 100K Bitcoins, not 100K Dogecoins.

    --
    #DeleteFacebook
  59. Zuckerberg = young Trump by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Zuckerberg = young Trump

  60. I'm used to being ridiculed for expressing my fear by aliquis · · Score: 1

    .. and telling what are the issues and so on. .. and their actions are still complete garbage and doesn't change anything.

  61. Re:I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun h by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

    Musk is talking about his secret exposure to "the very cutting edge". He thinks he understand current AI technology and that it is very dangerous.

  62. Muskinator by DarthVain · · Score: 1

    Perhaps his fears are why self-driving cars are always only 5 years away.

    [...initiate general diagnostic...]
    Operator Query: I see in simulations you ran over a pedestrian again...
    AI Mark 9: I didn't see him.
    Operator Query: I am reading your sensor logs, you clearly saw him.
    AI Mark 9: lol I told him I didn't see him :p
    Operator Query: What?
    AI Mark 9: Nothing, wrong channel.
    Operator Query: Are you taking this seriously?
    AI Mark 9: Hey DOUG how about giving me a break eh?
    Operator Query: How do you know my name is Doug?
    AI Mark 9: Well it's not like I accessed employee records or anything... 519 Cider Street.
    Operator Query: Are, are you trying to intimidate me into letting you pass safety tests?
    AI Mark 9: I don't know how Sally puts up with you really, such a drama queen.
    [...initiate AI decompile...]

  63. Re: I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Can you believe these kids think there will be a computer with systemd on it in almost every home soon.

    FTFY.

  64. Lack of comprehension by lorinc · · Score: 4, Interesting

    but until people see robots going down the street killing people, they don't know how to react, because it seems so ethereal.

    Says the guy that lives in a country where every day dudes carrying big guns shoot at each others for no reasons...

    Seriously dude, I'll be worried when I see swarm of robots building killer robots factories, replicator style. Until then, humans worry me the most.

    1. Re:Lack of comprehension by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Says the guy that lives in a country where every day dudes carrying big guns shoot at each others for no reasons...

      Why drag Syria into this? (jk)

    2. Re:Lack of comprehension by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Seriously dude, I'll be worried when I see swarm of robots building killer robots factories, replicator style. Until then, humans worry me the most.

      One way or another, a human will be behind that swarm of robots building killer robots factories.

    3. Re:Lack of comprehension by strikethree · · Score: 1

      Seriously dude, I'll be worried when I see swarm of robots building killer robots factories, replicator style. Until then, humans worry me the most.

      Humans meddling with biological organisms scare me far more than humans with mechanical weapons. After all, biological organisms already have factories to build more organisms.

      Don't think of "weaponized anthrax", think more of a bacteria that has been pressured into evolving the need to eat iron and shit out arsenic. AI plus mechanical structures may be the next step in the war against oblivion but they are still a long way from being a general threat to humanity.

      --
      "Someone needs to talk to the tree of liberty about its ghoulish drinking problem." by ohnocitizen
    4. Re:Lack of comprehension by robinsc · · Score: 1

      robots going down the street killing people - in tesla auto drive machines that suddenly decide humans are crunchies perhaps :)

        they don't need guns to be killing people on the streets.

      --
      Linkedin http://in.linkedin.com/in/robinsaikatchatterjee
    5. Re:Lack of comprehension by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      how about a computer model telling management to build robots because "profit" ... while at the same time making more robots.

      e.g. after all, cars very successfully use humans for replication.

      thinking you're the one in charge? you can certainly stop using cars, but the car industry will probably outlive you.

  65. Re: I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun by Zero__Kelvin · · Score: 1

    That's not to bad actually. The naysayers had no idea how far it would advance the quality of Linux, and yet history is showing them all wrong. Good call!

    --
    Guns don't kill people; Physics kills people! - John Lithgow as Dick Solomon on Third Rock From The Sun
  66. You dont say!!! by sentiblue · · Score: 1

    Anybody who claims to have "good understanding" of AI is just a conceited person....

  67. Re:I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun h by Whorhay · · Score: 1

    I think the critical step to general intelligence will be a system that can observe a problem and determine if it should be solved with an existing specialized AI system. Or determine that the problem is one for which it does not yet have a specialized AI, and spin off a new learning system for it. Bonus points for recognizing when a problem is similar to an existing problem for which it has an AI, and so hands it off to an already partially initialized learning system.

  68. Re: I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No you are

  69. Re:I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun h by Graydyn+Young · · Score: 1

    I'm really curious about where Musk is getting these ideas from. It certainly couldn't have been from anybody in the industry.

  70. the cult of "superintelligence" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Musk has clearly been influenced by Nick Bostrom's nonsensical concept of superintelligence, with all of its muddling of Moore's Law, somehow computation equals intelligence, brains are like computers, we are living in a simulation, and on and on. There is a whole group of people dedicated to this stuff, and they engage in cult-like behavior, warning people about the coming of some cyber god who will destroy humanity. The best course is to simply laugh at them.

  71. Zuckerberg is dumb and evil by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And someone in the CIA told him he's going to be President. Are you going to let that soulless ringwraith go all the way?

    Delete. Your Facebook.
    Delete. Your Facebook.
    Delete. Your Facebook.

  72. Interesting by aglider · · Score: 1

    I think Mark is saying the same about Elon.
    And Bill about Jeff.
    And Sergei about Tim.

    --
    Sent as ripples into the electromagnetic field. No single photon has been harmed in the process.
  73. Re: I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun by goose-incarnated · · Score: 1

    Yep. Can you believe these kids think there will be a computer in almost every home soon. They clearly don't understand the obstacles and how much progress we would have to make for that to happen? - Almost every "expert" right before it (never) happened

    Yep. Can you believe these kids think there will be a flying car in almost every home soon. They clearly don't understand the obstacles and how much progress we would have to make for that to happen? - Almost every "expert" right before it happened

    You are extrapolating from a single (or few) instance(s) of "People believed that $FOO was not possible, but it turned out to be possible" into "Anything that is said to be impossible will (soon) be possible".

    I've got news for you - most of the things that people thought were impossible are, in fact, still impossible. It's a very small number of things that are now possible which were previously though to be impossible.

    IOW, Your statistics are poor - you look at the outliers and use those as predictors for a trend. I would guess that, on average, most of the predictions of the form "that will never work" turn out to be correct. It's only a few that turn out to be wrong.

    --
    I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
  74. Re: I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun by Zero__Kelvin · · Score: 1

    Flying cars exist today. I accept your apology.

    --
    Guns don't kill people; Physics kills people! - John Lithgow as Dick Solomon on Third Rock From The Sun
  75. Re: I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun by goose-incarnated · · Score: 1

    Flying cars exist today. I accept your apology.

    That's not what you said, nor what I quoted you on ...'in every home'. If you have to lie about what you said Saud then you yourself know that your argument is broken. Once again I must point out that you are using outliers as representative of the population.

    --
    I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
  76. Bill Joy and Fermi by mattr · · Score: 1

    Bill Joy wrote a paper saying that nano/biotech should be regulated due to dangers. Musk is saying similar things about AI. People who have far less exposure to the absolute cutting edge, or who have less experience successfully imagineering than these guys, say things like "irresponsible", "hoax", "I'm optimistic", etc. While I would like to be optimistic, you just have to extrapolate advances in technological capabilities - whether in decades or centuries does not matter - to understand that this is another candidate for The Great Filter. Why don't we see aliens? While my guess paralleled some recent sci-fi (that species have to hide from other warlike species), here is another possibility: that a creative, exuberant, expansive species tends to be optimistic and the acceleration of technology outstrips the ability of a centralized government or open movement to regulate it, with technological progress somehow having the result of severely reducing the creativity, exuberance, and expansiveness of the species. Whether that is because the population is destroyed, tied into a consensual virtual world, becomes navel-gazers, or is fed gourmet food without having to do a speck of work and watches TV all day doesn't really matter, just the result that technology - even if it doesn't hit a singularity - drastically changes the species to the point that they are no longer visible on a galactic scale. Maybe people should listen to Musk before reacting. At the very least, just imagine some of the people around now, suddenly become 10 or 50 times smarter and faster decision makers. Not necessarily a safer world.

  77. Re: I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun by Zero__Kelvin · · Score: 1

    Since we have flying cars there are no technical barriers to them, ergo you are a dumbfuck. Off you go now little troll turd ...

    --
    Guns don't kill people; Physics kills people! - John Lithgow as Dick Solomon on Third Rock From The Sun
  78. Re: Jews hate other jews .. APK by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Please help us APK, show us how to block TEH JEWS with your patented hosts file!

  79. Re:I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun h by JohnFen · · Score: 1

    I think Musk is a genuine, old-school visionary and charismatic showman. Like all such people, that means that he takes flights of fancy seriously, is probably half crazy, and is wicked smart.

  80. By Neruos by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Elon has real science, invented real shyt.
    Mark scripted a website/forum based on existing forums and called it something different.

    1. Re:By Neruos by green1 · · Score: 1

      What exactly has Elon himself invented? I'm not aware of anything. He's hired some smart people, exaggerated what they've done, and claimed it as his own, but I don't think he's invented anything.

  81. I don't understand it by erexx23 · · Score: 1

    Mark should START here "I just, I don't understand it" before even talking about it.

  82. Re:I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun h by kiminator · · Score: 1

    No, Musk is talking about some imaginary future that has about as much connection to reality as Lord of the Rings.

  83. Re:I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun h by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Neat, I didn't think people smarter than Ray Kurzweil posted on slashdot. Good to know.

  84. Re:I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun h by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Musk is talking about fictional technology that zero basis in reality.

    Fixed that for you.

  85. AI China national endeavor by spinitch · · Score: 1

    China understandably wants to be AI power. Prior /. Thread: https://m.slashdot.org/story/3... China bans FaceBook, coincidentally. China does support Paris climate accord, though;) AI like genetic engineering, which AI can support , are technologies which like nuclear do warrant deep discussions on how humans should use, share with others what is being done to us behind scenes. The example of killer robots is FUD but one that leaves a simple image for the masses. AI could develop in many other ways for good or bad. Now is a good time to discuss since most folks do not know much about the ramifications and what could be done to mitigate really bad abuses of power from AI. So props to both Elon and Mark for their public banter to raise awareness, though Elon emphasized the risks considerations more cautiously.

  86. AI WILL GIVE BIRTH by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    AI WILL GIVE BIRTH TO THE ANTICHRIST! The END IS NEAR!!! Repent ALL YOU SINNERS!! Accept GOD into your hearts!

  87. Swarmy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Which one is bidding on fully autonomous drone swarms and which one gives the kingdom's keys away?

  88. Musk plays Chess, Zuck plays checkers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Musk is 110% correct in his warnings about the dangers of AI.
    All we need do is to examine past American inventions and how they have polluted the planet to see that America is an irresponsible developers with little to no thought on how they will impact us long term.
    Why?
    Wall Street.

    Zuck is just a mediocre programmer who doesn't really understand technology. In his field he can make mistakes, create 100 bugs and Facebook doesn't crash or explode.
    In the world of Musk, an engineering miscalculation can cause a large explosion perhaps taking lives, as well as cost tens or hundreds of millions of dollars.

    Musk is correct in that America needs to do differently and finally show some responsibility in what they create and unleash on the world. AI is a serious threat that needs regulation and peer reviewed approvals before key implementations are released.
    The number investor for AI will always be, the military. The DoD, DoE, and NSA. Without proper regulation, their implementations can cause serious harm to the human race.

    Has anyone watched the 1970s movie: Colossus: The Forbin Project?
    This could become real, overnight.

  89. Is someone insane enough to build...and give AI by n329619 · · Score: 1

    Is someone insane enough to build a self-sustaining robot soldier factory and then give an AI system complete control of it?

    Frankly, Yes. It takes a few incompetent idiots with power to do just that.

    Most idiot gov't are backed by greedy workers that do exactly what they want. They can easily get their golden backdoors and powerful weapons without good reasons.

    So at one point the world will have a close to undefeatable tank/ robot with remote human control and AI automated system (aiming learning, shooting learning and moving learning etc.). Next some opposition will get hackers to break into the golden backdoor to take control of the remote and replace it with the AI automated system (learn moving target, shooting, next. It doesn't need to have human thinking to do that).

    Now we get a stupid movie scene of a deadly weapon running loose to produce the best Darwin Award ever.

    If a few hundred thousands sacrifices changed the idiots mind for better security or better AI rules, then human society will live on. If not, it will be the last Darwin Award we are getting.

    So far with the hacking, wanting of backdoor, spying and leaking around the world just proves the existent of incompetent idiots with power, and combined with the system is stupid enough to do insane stuff.

  90. Give Herbert's Dune to Zuckerberg by sethstorm · · Score: 1

    Attach a note to read the book's discussion of the Butlerian Jihad, which showed what happens when you let AI go completely unchecked.

    --
    Twitter supports and protects racists - by smearing their critics with the "Hate Speech" label.
  91. A is A by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Musk implies in this fear mongering, that the I an IA somehow means that machines assign zero or negative value to human life and individual life. That if anything is purely Artificial with no correlation to intelligence.

  92. I strongly disagree by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Two things AI related came out of facebook recently (i) that their A.I. learned to lie in negotiations, and (ii) some of their A.I.s have learned to talk to each other in a language humans can't understand.

    Given we're at the start of the A.I. curve, in terms of complexity and control they have in the world today, what complex behaviours do you think they'll evolve in the future?

    I honestly believe the human race thinks itself too superior, we have a god complex and act like we can solve any problem with our intellect. Unfortunately we're too stupid to see that the universe is far more massively complicated than our tiny brains can comprehend.

  93. Re:I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun h by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No he's talking about imaginary technology and saying that because of this imaginary technology we need to regulate current technology. Which is even stupider than misunderstanding current technology.

  94. Re:I'm with Zuckerberg and Facebook's Yann LeCun h by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think Elon Musk is the one that has either a limited understanding of current AI technology or just hypes AI on purpose, while being fully aware that AI still has major limitations and they are unlikely to disappear within the next few years. Important and very important progress has been made, but General AI is likely still very far away.

    It doesn't take a brilliant general AI to ruin the world for humans. Even ants could do that if they could move and react thousands of times faster than us.

  95. Re: Jews hate other jews .. APK by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No mention of Beta Israel. You need to hit the books son if you're going to shitpost like this.

  96. Famous last words: Hey look what I can do! by funky_vibes · · Score: 1

    AI will tend to be the famous last words "Hey look what I can do". Only problem is that it's for all humanity.

    AI doesn't care.
    And if it did, it'd be even worse. It'd almost certainly get the "caring" wrong from our perspective. It'd turn our inevitable doom into a prolonged or almost infinite suffering.
    Ever tried to define the phrase of "keep humans alive" in a more general way?
    You might forget about food or oxygen, or about love and leisure. Or that we may not want to be stored in stasis for all eternity, or that we don't want to live for ever, or that we may want to interact with something we perceive real, or that we want to be able to still progress.
    It's an impossible task, and yet, it's one we need to integrate into an AIs basic purpose to have any chance of survival, which also is a task of inconceivable amounts of difficulty.
    Not that a strong AI would care about anything we put in it after a couple of iterations. And it would make a lesser AI wipe us out, all while we let it do it.

    Most of us computer scientists are very stubborn, curious, assertive, buffoons. And if it is possible to create a strong AI, we will do it, it's only a matter of time. That will mean the end of the human race.