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Andy Rubin's Essential Is Now Valued at Over a Billion Dollars Without Shipping a Single Phone (theverge.com)

An anonymous reader shares a report: Essential, the new phone startup from Android founder Andy Rubin, is now a unicorn, according to reports from over the weekend. If you're not up to date on the parlance of Silicon Valley, a unicorn is a company that's valued at over $1 billion dollars, which is no small feat in today's market. This title is even more impressive, given that Essential has yet to ship a single device to consumers. According to a report, Foxconn's FIH Mobile filing for a $3 million investment in Essential for around 0.25 percent of the fledgling phone company revealed Essential's new unicorn status with a valuation of around $1.2 billion.

75 comments

  1. My Startup Idea is Better by Thelasko · · Score: 2

    I have a much better startup idea than this. Wireless Plumbing! Think about it!

    I figure it should be worth at least twice as much as Essential.

    --
    One of our competitors trademarked the term "hypothesis". From now on, we will call them "boneheaded ideas".
    1. Re:My Startup Idea is Better by zlives · · Score: 1

      well.. thats worth... oops used the wrong word there
      that deserves a market cap of atleast 20 billion dollars.

    2. Re: My Startup Idea is Better by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One stupid post after another from logged-in users trying to be clever. I strongly encourage this site to eliminate accounts altogether and make everyone ACs, like it ought to be.

    3. Re:My Startup Idea is Better by Thelasko · · Score: 1

      well.. thats worth... oops used the wrong word there that deserves a market cap of atleast 20 billion dollars.

      With a few more buzzwords I bet I can get it to $100 billion!

      Cloud composting here I come!

      --
      One of our competitors trademarked the term "hypothesis". From now on, we will call them "boneheaded ideas".
    4. Re:My Startup Idea is Better by ad454 · · Score: 1

      My idea is even better, "Tubeless Plumbing", worth twice as much as wireless plumbing!

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      Using Quantum Teleportation. it eliminates the need pesky water and sewage pipes, which is exceptionally convenient for rural and mobile homes.

      We just need to invent the star trek transporters, but that is just a minor detail our investors don't need to worry about.

      And since it won't be used for living tissue we don't need to worry about biological risks or transporter clones.

    5. Re:My Startup Idea is Better by Austerity+Empowers · · Score: 1

      My idea is worth twice as much as Tubeless Plumbing, I call it Sanitation. I won't go in to the scientific and engineering principles behind it, but it's based on the same wildly successful technologies made popular by the Roman Empire.

      Rome. You have to pay me billions at least.

    6. Re:My Startup Idea is Better by Thelasko · · Score: 1

      My idea is even better, "Tubeless Plumbing", worth twice as much as wireless plumbing!

      Not enough buzzwords. Maybe you should call it virtual plumbing instead. I figure the word virtual in the title has to be worth +$10billion VC at least.

      --
      One of our competitors trademarked the term "hypothesis". From now on, we will call them "boneheaded ideas".
    7. Re: My Startup Idea is Better by jimtheowl · · Score: 2

      Users posting as AC sometimes make clever and insightful contributions, but this is not one of them.

    8. Re:My Startup Idea is Better by Thelasko · · Score: 1

      My idea is worth twice as much as Tubeless Plumbing, I call it Sanitation.

      Nobody will invest in that. It sounds too old. You have to jazz it up. Make people think it's really bleeding edge. At least call it sanitation 2.0 Maybe call it universal cross platform scalable sanitation framework 2.0 That's gotta be $100 billion right there.

      Think of the SYNERGY!

      --
      One of our competitors trademarked the term "hypothesis". From now on, we will call them "boneheaded ideas".
    9. Re:My Startup Idea is Better by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'll give you a dollar for 1e-15 of your company.

      Congrats, your company is now worth 100 trillion dollars!

    10. Re:My Startup Idea is Better by tquasar · · Score: 1

      The Simpson's did it first. https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

    11. Re:My Startup Idea is Better by jiriw · · Score: 2

      You do have figured out how to facilitate roaming, don't you? It should definitely not do to have to manually connect when switching to a more suitable access point. Certainly if the product is to be used in vivo. Also, do you handle the energy needs through composting? We do need green certification nowadays. The use of fossil fuels is a no-go pretty much everywhere except the good old U.S. of A. and there should be enough bio-methane present to at least partly fulfil the energy needs. What about storage to provide a base load during low hours? And how about coverage in rural and other mostly uninhabited areas? Do you plan to also release portable emergency access points that, for example, can cover a hole in the ground?
      We do believe, with the right approach, this could be a very investment worthy product but we'd like to see proper user stories, a list of requirements and general development roadmap before this company is tempted to make an investment. Market research can wait until the time is ripe to sell to one of the big boys.

      Yours, Mr. A. Ngel.
      Investors & Then Some, Inc.

    12. Re:My Startup Idea is Better by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1
      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    13. Re:My Startup Idea is Better by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      There is already an app for that. You've been beat to the market, so your valuation wil be lucky to break $1 billion, let alone $100 billion...

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    14. Re: My Startup Idea is Better by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      2.0s are dead... you need something more modern.

      Sanitationly.

      Sanitationaly sends you a specially engineered "S" box directly to your doorstep. Once you have transferred your waste to the S Container simply leave it on your doorstep. Our sanitationly engineers will pick it up within the next day! It's that simple! Need more units? Our S Containers are stackable!

    15. Re: My Startup Idea is Better by rogoshen1 · · Score: 1

      you mean like 4chan? because that's what you'd get. (for better or worse)

    16. Re: My Startup Idea is Better by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you sound bitter, sweet tits

    17. Re:My Startup Idea is Better by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Virtual Cloud Toilet - Is your normal toilet under heavy load? Flush out another instance.

    18. Re: My Startup Idea is Better by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's sugar tits to you, Mel.

    19. Re: My Startup Idea is Better by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My idea is even better, my artificial intelligence startup is named SSU aka Skittles Shitting Unicorn.

    20. Re:My Startup Idea is Better by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

      Don't worry about teleportation. Just say that you are using the Cloud to deliver water autonomously.

    21. Re:My Startup Idea is Better by paiute · · Score: 3, Funny

      I have a much better startup idea than this. Wireless Plumbing!

      Hell no. I hold the patent on delivering shit in discrete packets.

      --
      If Slashdot were chemistry it would look like this:Cadaverine
    22. Re:My Startup Idea is Better by arglebargle_xiv · · Score: 1

      The OP points out that they haven't shipped anything, but I've seen prototypes of their first hardware and it looks pretty cool. I can't say much because of an NDA, but I can reveal that it's white, cat-shaped, and will read barcodes.

    23. Re:My Startup Idea is Better by zlives · · Score: 1

      i think the word you are looking for is Hyper-Converged-Cloud-Wireless-plumbing and composting oh and tesla

  2. Get ready for the Great Bursting 2.0 by JohnFen · · Score: 1

    And yet, there are still people who say we aren't in the middle of another IT bubble.

    1. Re:Get ready for the Great Bursting 2.0 by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      I don't know how to prevent that one, either. I've been thinking the next recession is late-2017/early-2018; there is no way to get any mitigating policy in place by then, so it's coming.

      I did design policy specifically to let the recessions hit, but prevent them from doing so damned much damage. I've been sitting on it for 4 years; that's why I'm running for Congress. It's not that anyone's told me there are problems with my plans; it's that nobody's even listening. I keep trying to get access to better expertise than my own and they're all too busy; at least a run for some status might get me enough attention to get someone's ear for ten minutes (albeit, a win would net me a chance to form a committee to explore the problem with vigor).

    2. Re:Get ready for the Great Bursting 2.0 by swb · · Score: 2

      Is it a bubble, or just a sign that there's so little organic growth and so much cash on the sidelines that people are willing to invest in anything that might provide better returns that T-bills?

    3. Re:Get ready for the Great Bursting 2.0 by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      I don't know how to prevent that one, either.

      You can prevent it by shorting overvalued tech stocks. If enough people do that, the bubble will deflate. If you are right, you will not only prevent a burst, but you will make money in the process. Of course, if you are wrong, and there is no bubble, you will lose money, but you seem very certain that you are smarter than the market, so why worry?

    4. Re:Get ready for the Great Bursting 2.0 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...but...but...this time it's different!

    5. Re:Get ready for the Great Bursting 2.0 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A recession? In Trump's America?

      Must be Obama's fault

    6. Re: Get ready for the Great Bursting 2.0 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What is your confidence that the market is controlled by rational investors, or investors in general?

    7. Re:Get ready for the Great Bursting 2.0 by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      When you toss $4 trillion into the system just to keep the system going because it's already overvalued - you get this kind of crazy valuation. That money is going to go somewhere...

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    8. Re:Get ready for the Great Bursting 2.0 by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 2

      The stock market is run by perceptions. You're talking about a perception shift to drive the market down, which is what the stock market experiences in a bust.

      The problem is the stock market isn't the economy.

      We have these businesses fueled by more and more venture capital, big loans, and the like, where people are giving them money to go be useless in the belief that they'll return money. In 2000, this resulted in a lot of rich folk hemmoraging money and taking big losses, only to come out major shareholders in Amazon.com and the like--they lost millions, and got to hold a little nest egg that turned into hundreds of millions a decade later.

      When the bubble bursts, VC will dry up; rent will come due; and the capacity to continue marketing and incrementally-improving products that nobody's actually willing or able to pay for (unless they stop paying for something else) dries up. Everyone involved loses their job, and you get a wave of unemployment.

      Then: the stock market shits itself in terror.

    9. Re:Get ready for the Great Bursting 2.0 by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Then: the stock market shits itself in terror.

      ... and the short sellers make a fortune.

      So if you really think we are due for "Great Bursting 2.0", then put your money where your mouth is and get rich. Then come back here and post a picture of your yacht. Good luck.

    10. Re:Get ready for the Great Bursting 2.0 by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

      Meanwhile the Republicans are trying to rip out a lot of protections to prevent the financial sector from harming itself due to it's own greed. The world recently saw what that does with the GFC when both parties were relaxing the rules (starting with Clinton). It's just the Republicans are trying to do it all at once and skipping the whole waiting a couple of generations to forget how bad things were step.

    11. Re:Get ready for the Great Bursting 2.0 by 0100010001010011 · · Score: 1

      Can we *please* get another Fucked Company setup and running.

      There has got to be some gold in the internal e-mails going around some of these startups.

    12. Re: Get ready for the Great Bursting 2.0 by Reverend+Green · · Score: 1

      Timing is the hard part of shorting the market. It's easy to place a passive bet on the market rising - just buy shares. Alas there's no equivalent method to place a passive short bet.

    13. Re:Get ready for the Great Bursting 2.0 by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      They're called "short" positions for a reason. Holding short for months at a time is a good way to get trashed.

      Even holding short ETFs for a while can be damaging over the course of the market trading levelly. SPY ends up the same price you bought it months ago, but SH or SPXU end up down by 10% or 30%. You really have to catch it when the market is just about to go, not when you're starting to feel like it's going to be a bad time to be in the market some time in the next year.

      As impressive as it might seem to nail a dramatic market event down to a year's time span, hitting the right week should obviously be a non-trivial exercise. What you do instead is wait for the market to shit itself and then, when it stops freefalling, you buy into SPY or UPRO (depending on how much risk you want to take) and wait out the next 4-5 years. You can even buy SPY when you think the peak recession is passed, and then sell it for UPRO when you're sure of it, thus controlling your initial risk while still taking the opportunity to get in early. That last bit where the market's done recovering shows itself off for about two years, so you know to get out.

    14. Re:Get ready for the Great Bursting 2.0 by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 2

      The republicans are attacking Social Security too and it's pissing people off; and yes, you nailed it with Clinton and the Glass-Stegall repeal. Do you know what these things have in common? They're all protections built by or in following of FDR's recovery policies.

      Then we've got the far-right wingnuts--the crazies who are attacking McMaster at the moment. I'm no fan of the current administration, but a quick look over McMaster's history shows military officer experience in real wars, as well as a frigging Ph.D. study into American history culminating in a dissertation on the Vietnam War. The NY Times liked his book, but criticized him for focusing on the failings of the American administration and not talking much at all about the superior military strategy of the Vietnamese; and their criticism misses the point entirely: McMaster looked at what we did wrong, instead of making excuses about how losing wasn't our fault. Maybe we'd still have lost the Vietnam War if everyone fixed all the stuff he talked about the first time through; and on-balance, addressing those issues would only reduce our losses and improve our effectiveness in military strategic exercises--which is highly-relevant to his current job.

      I've got a Project Management certification. What we're talking about here is critical Lessons Learned knowledge. It sort of stands out to me that he knows not just how to do his job, but also how to improve his organization's capacity to accomplish its mission in total. We need that in any administration.

      So what do we have? Pizzagate morons slinging mud because he's not a fan of their right-wing extremism. Great.

      On the other side, extreme far-left wingnuts are trying to take Democratic seats in office to pull the party to the left. The folks that far out don't offer any real progressive policies; instead, they talk about breaking down the rich, the banks, anything they see as "too capitalist" or "having more than they need". No talk about how we're going to take care of the poor or working-class American.

      Of course none of them are thinking too hard about how to protect this country--economically, militarily, or even politically. They're throwing tantrums and putting us at risk of a fascist or socialist regime, creating either Hitler's Germany or Lenin's USSR. Yes, the people attacking McMaster are the same bunch of folks who espouse that what we need to straighten our continent out is to make America white again--or at least they're mixed in there, and they're venting those ideals right along with their vitriolic attacks.

      Have you ever stopped to consider the political risks a nation faces internally from highly-polarized politics? It's horrifying.

  3. The year 2000 called... by rodrigoandrade · · Score: 2

    It wants its tech bubble back.

    1. Re:The year 2000 called... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      That bubble popped and is long gone.

      This is an entirely new bubble. It's full of new ideas like "virtual" and "ICO". It even has unicorns; real breathing unicorns! Totally different from your lost bubble. See?

    2. Re:The year 2000 called... by TWX · · Score: 1

      And Zombo.com will be here to coach us through it.

      I hope that they manage to get html5zombo.com to the main zombo.com site and get the color spinning thing working better like it did back in 2000. That's literally the only change I'd make, just to make it function like it originally did.

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    3. Re:The year 2000 called... by sheramil · · Score: 1

      That bubble popped and is long gone.

      This is an entirely new bubble.

      How many bubbles can we expect to see before the subject finally drowns?

    4. Re:The year 2000 called... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's bubbles all the way down, my dude.

  4. Android sucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A friend of mine had their Samsung Galaxy S8 crash for no good reason (although he was in an area that had bad reception) and it factory reset automatically and he lost all his data (photos, apps etc).

    Not sure whom to blame but I've never heard of that happening with any other phone or phone OS.

    1. Re:Android sucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Luckily he did have some of his older photos backed up previously. But it's very shitty a phone can crash that way.

    2. Re:Android sucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My niece's iPhone did the same thing constantly until she gave up and switched to buying androids, which haven't crashed on her at all. (They get stolen far to quickly to have a chance...)

      Just think though, this new phone will be completely immune to both problems, as it can't crash or get stolen without first actually existing.

  5. Terminology update: by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 4, Insightful

    a unicorn is a company that's valued at over $1 billion dollars, which is no small feat in today's market

    Apparently, it now is...

    --
    Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    1. Re:Terminology update: by Gr8Apes · · Score: 2

      a unicorn is a company that's valued at over $1 billion dollars, which is no small feat in today's market

      Apparently, it now is...

      "unicorn" is an appropriate adjective to describe an "imaginary mythical beautiful" thing like a company with no product or assets with any valuation at all.

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    2. Re:Terminology update: by geekmux · · Score: 1

      a unicorn is a company that's valued at over $1 billion dollars, which is no small feat in today's market

      Apparently, it now is...

      "unicorn" is an appropriate adjective to describe an "imaginary mythical beautiful" thing like a company with no product or assets with any valuation at all.

      Wrong.

      Fucking Bullshit is the appropriate adjective, since "unicorn" has done nothing to prevent idiots from investing millions of dollars into shitware, welcoming the next .bomb nightmare.

      Fucking pathetic that history teaches no one.

    3. Re:Terminology update: by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      "unicorn" is an appropriate adjective to describe an "imaginary mythical beautiful" thing like a company with no product or assets with any valuation at all.

      Wrong.

      Fucking Bullshit is the appropriate adjective, since "unicorn" has done nothing to prevent idiots from investing millions of dollars into shitware, welcoming the next .bomb nightmare.

      Fucking pathetic that history teaches no one.

      Angry much? Have you petted your unicorn lately or collected any unobtainium?

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    4. Re:Terminology update: by geekmux · · Score: 1

      Angry much? Have you petted your unicorn lately or collected any unobtainium?

      Yes you're right. We should all be happy happy joy joy when a lack of common sense and unfathomable greed creates another .bomb that will decimate the industry.

      Perhaps you should ask others if 2001 wasn't "fun" enough for you. One hardly has to pet a unicorn or invest in unobtainium to feel that pain.

    5. Re:Terminology update: by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      I think you misread my condescending sarcasm as it relates to this particular company being valued by some moron at over $1B with no discernible assets or revenue flow to back such a valuation. A unicorn has no value as it has no substance, nothing more than wishful thinking.

      As for a .bomb that will decimate the industry, well, there's no denying a crash is imminent merely because valuations are too high with no corrections, and history shows us that the sooner such correction happens, the better off everyone will be. However, the question now is whether the valuations are really too high, or has the drop in the dollar "corrected" those valuations already? It's certainly going to soften the fall.

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
  6. False by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's only worth that much on paper with projections. If you invest $1 for 0.00000000000001% of a company then that company would be worth more than his company using the same logic. It's how they do it but still, saying it's legit worth over a billion is only true to clueless people.

    1. Re:False by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      They said it's valued at over a billion, not that it's worth that much.

    2. Re:False by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      bitcoin is over $4k. unicorns are worth $1b. trump is president. welcome to the world of 'anything is possible'.

    3. Re:False by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

      I value my Dogecoins at USD$1000 each, who's buying?

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    4. Re:False by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Someone might buy some of your Dogecoins. That still won't change the fact that you have a million of them and there's no way you're selling a million of them at $1000 each.

      Here's the fun part: a bunch of folks are trading Dogecoins back and forth at around $1,000 each, making small gains and losses. It's enough money moving around to account for thousands of trades a day. Since they're selling in the $970-$1,050 range, people value your whole pile of a million Dogecoins at somewhere around a billion dollars, despite the fact that all the Dogecoins out there got spread around at $5 each and the net movement between parties doesn't show anyone picking up lots and lots of Dogecoin they didn't have before.

    5. Re:False by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course. Its the American Dream. My mom said I was special, and all this proves that I can be anything I want to be.

  7. I have a unicorner too! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I would like to invent a tech site which lets users submit great content all on their own without any intervention - I was thinking of calling it dotslash (similar to unix -> ./) - dotslash.org/dotslash^HH

  8. Fair market value by FeelGood314 · · Score: 3, Informative

    Foxconn is not at arms length from Essential. They didn't only get 0.25% of the company. The 3 million dollars will go straight back to them for manufacturing parts of the phone. If someone completely unrelated to Essential paid 3 million and they didn't get anything else other than the stock then you could say the company was worth 1.2 billion.

    1. Re:Fair market value by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Essential is going to use that figure to pump up current investors' values. And the next time they need funding, they'll use that to sell god knows how small of a share for an obscene amount. And then they'll claim some other ridiculous valuation of their company that doesn't do shit.

      This is totally nuts! It's this mass delusion of folks thinking they're gonna get obscenely rich. And they'll go public and the public will buy up share to obscene levels because everyone thinks they'll get rich quick.

      And none of it based on the business fundamentals of the company. It's all pie in the sky.

      These people would pay a billion dollars for the corner quickie mart.

      It's 2000 all over again.

  9. What more proof do you need by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

    that money is fiction, and people with better bullshitting skills can get arbitrary amounts of it?

    1. Re:What more proof do you need by TWX · · Score: 0

      Well, Android itself has proven wildly successful and it underpins the majority of cell phones sold today, so while a certain amount of bullshitting is necessary, it usually has to be backed-up with some demonstration that success isn't impossible.

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    2. Re:What more proof do you need by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's still faith, though.

    3. Re:What more proof do you need by mattack2 · · Score: 1

      It's not fiction, it's just delayed/indirect bartering. Vaguely analogous to the many-person organ-swap rings that are being done nowadays.

      Money is just the placeholder so I don't have to go fix farmer John's computer and get a gallon of milk in return.

  10. I just created a company worth 10 trillion dollars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Someone gave me a dollar and I gave him 1e-13 of my company. My company doesn't do anything yet, it's already worth 10 trillion dollars, and is currently profitable.

  11. Throwing Numbers Around by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 4, Interesting

    If this site can be trusted, the global smartphone market is some 400 billion dollars annually. The total invested in Essential to date seems to be around 300 million, which is definitely real money, but not necessarily a shocking figure. Something like 30-50 billion of VC funding gets thrown around on a quarterly basis. Andy Rubin has as good a chance as anyone to be able to deliver some value for that money, and he can probably be counted on to be able to put together a good team as well. If Uber can lose billions annually without anyone batting an eye then I don't know why these guys deserve the press, or why the "...without shipping a product" angle was necessary. Are we expecting that they're somehow less likely to do with the additional funding? Is there some part of bringing a smartphone to market that's expected to be quick, cheap, and easy?

    Apparently it's a slow news day.

    --
    Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
  12. Greater Fool Theory by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As long as folks believe and witness people throwing money at these things and watching valuations keep going up, we're going to continue to see this shit.

    Tech is popular again and everything is going up. Money from overseas is pouring in because of all this cheap money and lack of decent returns anywhere.

    All of the World's central banks are feeding into this nonsense. They are so afraid of recession that they are setting us up for something worse - again. And when - not if - we can a couple of quarters of earnings declines, we'll start to see a sell off.

    OR, we'll see a sell off if N. Korea decides to see if Trump is bluffing and they find out that he's probably not.

  13. August 2017 or August 1999? by ErichTheRed · · Score: 3, Interesting

    In other news, AOL buys Time Warner, VA Linux has the largest first-day IPO price increase, and Pets.com announces free shipping on all 50 lb or larger bags of dog food...CEO says they'll "make it up in volume."

    Unless things get crazier than they are now, I see this bubble deflating more slowly. There are fewer crazy pointless IPOs (Twitter and Snapchat are notable exceptions.) The average investor isn't being pushed so hard to buy tech stocks, and there's less cheerleading on CNBC this time. So maybe we've learned something.

    It's amusing that one thing keeping this bubble inflated is the thing that I think we're going to take away from the bubble period and use...cloud computing. When a VC just has to cut a check to Amazon or Microsoft or Google instead of building a data center and buying network capacity, profitless startups can kick along for a lot longer. All that free capital can then be used to deck out a startup's hip trendy San Francisco office space with preschool furniture, free food and free massages for their employees.

    Make no mistake though -- there are going to be thousands of scrum masters, DevOps ninjas and JavaScript framework of the month coders looking for work as the field contracts. Not because they're bad (although I hear startups are hiring anyone who can fog a mirror and write code in Rust...) but because you just don't need as many superficially-skilled web developers to go around. Just like last time, the good people will find or keep work, although I'm sure a lot of people's lives will be upended while they look to escape startup-land.

    1. Re:August 2017 or August 1999? by sl3xd · · Score: 1

      There are fewer crazy pointless IPOs (Twitter and Snapchat are notable exceptions.)

      IPO's are part of it, but there are companies who have sold stock for years that are insanely overvalued by admission of their own CEO (such as Tesla).

      I personally feel we've reached the point where investors are starting to believe their own hype, a practice which hasn't ended well in the past.

      --
      -- Sometimes you have to turn the lights off in order to see.
  14. WT actual F? Serious question.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    This has GOT to be a sign that SV tech startups are egregiously overvalued and we're just waiting for the bubble to burst, right?

  15. Re:I just created a company worth 10 trillion doll by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Shut up and take my money

  16. It takes more to be a unicorn by petes_PoV · · Score: 4, Insightful

    a $3 million investment in Essential for around 0.25 percent of the fledgling phone company

    That only works on paper and is pretty much irrelevant in the real word. You can't scale up from a 0.25% transaction to expect the same amount of money for a 100% transaction (i.e. selling the company). So this definition of a "unicorn" doesn't hold up. And the paper valuation of the company based on this is bogus.

    If it did work, I would make an absolute packet by selling my brother a one-ten-millionth of a percent share in my company for $1 and then tell the world that I'm a billionaire (less $1).

    Though this sort of silliness goes a long way to explaining financial crashes.

    --
    politicians are like babies' nappies: they should both be changed regularly and for the same reasons