Fully Driverless Cars Could Be Months Away (arstechnica.com)
An anonymous reader shares a report: Real driverless cars could come to the Phoenix area this year, according to a Monday report from The Information's Amir Efrati. Two anonymous sources have told Efrati that Google's self-driving car unit, Waymo, is preparing to launch "a commercial ride-sharing service powered by self-driving vehicles with no human 'safety' drivers as soon as this fall." Obviously, there's no guarantee that Waymo will hit this ambitious target. But it's a sign that Waymo believes its technology is very close to being ready for commercial use. And it suggests that Waymo is likely to introduce a fully driverless car network in 2018 if it doesn't do so in the remaining months of 2017. [...] According to a report on The Information, Waymo's service is likely to launch first in Chandler, a Phoenix suburb where Waymo has done extensive testing. Waymo chose the Phoenix area for its favorable weather, its wide, well-maintained streets, and the relative lack of pedestrians. Another important factor was the legal climate. Arizona has some of the nation's most permissive laws regarding self-driving vehicles. "Arizona's oversight group has met just twice in the last year, and found no reason to suggest any new rules or restrictions on autonomous vehicles, so long as they follow traffic laws," the Arizona Republic reported in June. "The group found no need to suggest legislation to help the deployment." According to the Arizona Republic, a 2015 executive order from Gov. Doug Ducey "allows universities to test vehicles with no driver on board so long as a licensed driver has responsibility for the cars and can take control remotely if the vehicle needs assistance." Waymo is getting ready to take the same approach.
Let me guess: the "extensive testing" took care of that problem.
But won't be. I'm 28 (and healthy) and I doubt we'll see widespread driverlese cars in use within my lifetime.
...how is this ride-sharing?
Debate is a form of harassment. Do not question my truth.
If the self-driving cars mow people down, it’s just Republicans, so who cares?
Jetpacks, shields, airflow, ... 9__________)==fill-in-the-blank
Jump in front of these things for a massive payout.
Check list.
* Favorable weather
* Well-maintained streets
* Lack of pedestrians.
* Everyone driving slow golf carts
* Shopping malls don't always work.
Sounds like not really ready for prime time, just cherry picked locations.
Whatever municipality is green lighting this bullshit, I'd sue the fuck out of them if I lived there. My city is not your beta test environment UNLESS you want to pay ME and not my city - and it's gonna have to be a fuckton of money too because it's risky and you can afford it. Or go test in India.
Sounds weird to me. Where I live, people enjoy warm sunny days, so more pedestrians are on the streets when the weather is like that than when it is cold and rainy.
..multiple times every day. It's no surprise that we're taking a more liberal stance on testing the technology. With that said...
Another important factor was the legal climate. Arizona has some of the nation's most permissive laws regarding self-driving vehicles.
That's because of our lousy state legislature (a.k.a. Ducey's rubber stamp).
The McDonald's manager's pay package ($30K/year salary for their time and trouble - it's for about 6-7 mos out of the year) keeps a lot of people out of the job. Then you get the legislators' pool watered down more by having such a strong GOP-leaning electorate. GOP candidates have a 20% margin of stupidity error, so you get some even more unqualified people in office simply because they're a member of the popular tribe.
So - What kind of results are you going to get out of that "talent pool"?
A: At best: well-meaning but ultimately not-too-bright people willing to tow the Doug Ducey party line. At worst: Evan Mechams and Russell Pearces... Outright kooks with unrealistic agendas, ideologically-driven manifestos, and an SB1070 cherry on top.
If you said "flying car" to them, most would imagine "The Jetsons" cars and just say, "Cool!"
So last weekend I drove down I-5 to L.A. Trucks in the right line going 55-60mph. Cars in the left lane going 90mph, or passing anyone on the right who isn't.
So how does this work with automated cars? because I didn't see a SINGLE car on I-5 traveling at the legal limit. Will the Google car go 100 on I-5? Cause I can't imagine anyone wanting to ride in one if they only go the speed limit.
The automated future looks like this?
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=2&ved=0ahUKEwjc74PF1NXWAhWFZCYKHdgvC_oQtwIIKTAB&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.youtube.com%2Fwatch%3Fv%3DOoETMCosULQ&usg=AOvVaw3MIoTgv0uPGe1y2g--CUp6
So in other words, soon we'll be seeing articles about how a self driving car ran over this child or that pet, and automated car proponents will be in full force explaining how that pet or child were using the outside wrong.
Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
They can't drive in the snow or rain. They can't drive into the sun. They can't understand road construction. They can't dodge potholes. They basically can't drive in real world scenarios. No way in hell are these coming out in a month.
Should your child or pet get hit by an automated vehicle, you will automatically be billed for the costs of cleaning and inspecting the vehicle for damage incurred during the incident.
A steamy pile of crap now.
ully Driverless Cars Could Be Months Away But they are not Fully Driverless Trains and Planes are not here yet.
There is years of testing left. No one is close to driving on real roads. Then how good is good? People are not 100% how will AI be? In rain snow, ice, Fog? In slush? behind a truck spraying the car with salt? How about Maintenance? Hydrogen Cars may be closer.
I mean, the public transport drivers, how will they find another job.
Cars are operated like that in South Florida . . . all the time!
Sounds like a last ditch effort to get in the spotlight so they can pay their lawyer fees after stealing their tech from other companies
What all of you luddites are missing is a very simple point - a driverless car only needs to be a little better than the average human driver, and it will take over like wildfire from humans.
Not only is there the obvious savings of not paying every increasing salary and taxes to pay a human driver, but there's the massive hidden savings on insurance costs as driverless cars ratchet up the quality of performance relative to again, the average human.
The demand will be enormous, not only driven by taxi/trucking companies, but by an aging population who no longer have to worry about driving as senses and reflexes deteriorate.
As for the examples you list - most of the deployments would be hard pressed to be confused by much, they will not need ANY network connection because on-board they will have the entire system they might be driving within already stored for comparison with external sensors. And the examples you gave? Why would any *human* driver not be equally confused by a bag or a ladder, plenty of accidents have been caused by people swerving to miss something innocuous - a computer system can classify and react to something WAY faster than human can, while also knowing with certainly if cars are to either side to maneuver - something most humans cannot handle.
I cannot believe how behind the times most Slashdot readers seem to be of modern performance and capabilities of neural networks, to the point where calling this place a technical site anymore seems pretty questionable. I never really bought fully into the idea of the Singularity, but there are facets of life like driving where that concept is obviously valid.
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
Before you step into the path of a self driving car, consider this - there are going to be MANY cases where the programming will consider pedestrians expendable. After all, if braking super hard means the car behind may slam into them and harm many people, everyone involved will be happier if it just slows down somewhat and hits just you - trying to minimize harm to you, but you are the LEAST important thing in the equation and you should remember that possibility before playing games.
Afterwards of course, it will have a face scan from you that it shares with the network and future cars that encounter you will know to pay you even less attention because they know you are asking to get hit...
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
Probably not as much as the faster drivers you are seeing, but they will generally be programed to follow the flow of traffic, which is much safer than following a speed limit. Except for school zones where the programming would probably keep it pretty strict out of an abundance of caution...
Basically just think of the best drivers on the road, that is what self driving cars will be doing. Only better. Because once they know how to do something well, they just improve from there.
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
We already have to pay for "Uninsured Motorist". Will this give the Insurance companies a New fee for "Driver-less Motorist"??
sarcasm ;), ;) If you do not settle with us legal action :"WILL BE" taken. . zzzzzzzzzzzzzzz! ;) lol
/sarcasm
;)
;) And a central point to this is the degree of risk the CEO's, bureaucrats and politicians are accepting for the public at large as the kinks get worked out of this technology.
I would like to know what happens if one hits me. Does the vehicle just try and drive off and perform a return to base, while I am trying to get the lic number and vendor id before it gets out of sight.
Will it drop a little paper note saying, "Call this number to settle up with us over your accident."
And when you call you get a message saying, "Your call is very important to us! Someone will be with you soon."
Do these vehicles have orange flashing beacons on the roof letting everyone know "Warning, Be Careful, Be Aware, Automated Machine in your midst!"
Do they have any liability protections built in to the laws to protect the companies deploying these vehicles?
Is it assumed the human is wrong and the autonomous vehicle is right?
Do the companies have complete control of all the logs on the vehicle before the authorities? Do they get to choose what to hand over and when?
I am very suspicious about this being fast tracked. About issues and accidents being covered up. What are the liability protections for the public and the riders?
I think it would also be interesting to hear from inidivduals working in one of the Amazon warehouses that have both bots and individuals working in them. What is their experience? Maybe that would be informative
I am not against this, I just think the path is longer than most think
There are five SAE accepted levels of autonomy:
Level 0: No self driving features
Level 1: Some driver assistance
Level 2: More driver assistance
Level 3: Conditional autonomy
Level 4: Nearly autonomous.
Level 5: Completely autonomous.
When will it get here? Dates range from 2017 (Ol' Musky) to 2026 (president of IIHS) and beyond, from people in the know.
Every bit of driver assistance I think is a good thing, but Level 5 - true autonomy - is still a ways off, it seems to me.
So...100 years = 1200 months. So yes, definitely just months away!
remotely so are they paying an sat + cell link with no caps and no roaming fees?
or an drive in to mexico or canada can cost $10K-$20K for just 1GB of data on some plans.
What is it like to believe in magic?
It must be wonderful, this fantasy world you live in.
It is amazing to see that the number of xkcd references are starting to outnumber the number of references in the original Slashdot post, isn't it ?!?
While automakers focus on defending the systems in their cars against hackers, there may be other ways for the malicious to mess with self-driving cars. Security researchers at the University of Washington have shown they can get computer vision systems to misidentify road signs using nothing more than stickers made on a home printer.
UW computer-security researcher Yoshi Kohno described an attack algorithm that uses printed images stuck on road signs. These images confuse the cameras on which most self-driving vehicles rely. In one example, explained in a document uploaded to the open-source scientific-paper site arXiv last week, small stickers attached to a standard stop sign caused a vision system to misidentify it as a Speed Limit 45 sign.
https://blog.caranddriver.com/...
New things are always on the horizon
So... what, you're emitting gamma radiation that disrupts the silicon? Or do you plan to smash through the hood with a hammer to break the computer?
Enquiring minds want to know!
I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
And don't forget that the value of those cars will be zero after the warranty expires. No insurance company will cover 5 year old tech for liability.
Sorry, No thanks!
Driver-assist? Lane keeping? Collision warning? Auto-park? Cool.
But I ultimately refuse to put my physical safety into the hands of a machine built AND programmed by humans.
Chas - The one, the only.
THANK GOD!!!
LOL,
Think of all the data Google can collect about road data and road closures via 3d capture methods. Then share it with all it's cars to prevent accidents.
Sorry Tesla, you don't have a chance.
Once air temperature nears body temperature (~98 F) it's officially hotter'n Hell. Fans and breezes have little to no cooling effect.
"No fear. No envy. No meanness." Liam Clancy
Personally I could also see if having detrimental effects if we don't make the cars more energy efficient at the same time.
That is obviously going to happen at the same time, a big benefit you get from driverless cars is they can go find a charging location while you are busy, meaning you don't have to have every parking spot have charging capabilities (which will not happen).
Instead there will probably be charging hubs cars scattered through cities that cars can top off at, then return to be close to you before you need them.
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
such a detailed map will need an big data plan / endless updates for years. And just remapping roads say each 6 months (may be to long of gap) will big a lot of work / need a lot of hardware.
and a drive outside the usa can cost you the cost of a NEW CAR in roaming fees at are as high as $15-$20 a MEG.
Perhaps when it's Waymo/Google's cars that get stuck trying to make a left turn across a four lane road at an uncontrolled non-intersection during rush hour because Google Maps thought that was quicker they'll get around to correcting those suggestions.
This Space Intentionally Left Blank
Yeah, from a logistical standpoint it seems completely impractical and uneconomical. But hey, I thought the same thing about Google maps with streetview in the first place, so who knows.
"First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
So, what do you think municipalities will do when they realize that by allowing driverless cars, they've effectively slashed their revenues to the bone?
In the (alleged) words of George Westinghouse, "where will we put the meter?"
Lots of great ideas have died horrible deaths by being suffocated by red tape.
An enigma, wrapped in a riddle, shrouded in bacon and cheese
streetview is years out of date in some areas
hope for a criminal case where that EULA shit goes away!
And my farts for the next year won't smell either.
Both are lies.