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Musk-Backed 'Slaughterbots' Video Will Warn the UN About Killer Microdrones (space.com)

An anonymous reader quotes Space.com: A graphic new video posits a very scary future in which swarms of killer microdrones are dispatched to kill political activists and U.S. lawmakers. Armed with explosive charges, the palm-sized quadcopters use real-time data mining and artificial intelligence to find and kill their targets. The makers of the seven-minute film titled Slaughterbots are hoping the startling dramatization will draw attention to what they view as a looming crisis -- the development of lethal, autonomous weapons, that select and fire on human targets without human guidance.

The Future of Life Institute, a nonprofit organization dedicated to mitigating existential risks posed by advanced technologies, including artificial intelligence, commissioned the film. Founded by a group of scientists and business leaders, the institute is backed by AI-skeptics Elon Musk and Stephen Hawking, among others. The institute is also behind the Campaign to Stop Killer Robots, a coalition of non-governmental organizations which have banded together to call for a preemptive ban on lethal autonomous weapons... The film will be screened this week at the United Nations in Geneva during a meeting of the Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons... The Campaign to Stop Killer Robots is hosting a series of meetings at this year's event to propose a worldwide ban on lethal autonomous weapons, which could potentially be developed as flying drones, self-driving tanks, or automated sentry guns.

"This short film is more than just speculation," says Stuart Russell, a U.C. Berkeley considered an expert in artificial intelligence.

"It shows the results of integrating and miniaturizing technologies we already have."

252 comments

  1. Don't make killer robots by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm going to make killer robots.
    -t Musk

    1. Re: Don't make killer robots by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We are the Borg. You will be assimilated. Resistance is futile. Lower your pants and prepare to be boarded.

    2. Re:Don't make killer robots by sycodon · · Score: 2

      You jest, but people thought the machine gun was going to make war too terrible to wage.

      The New York Times, in 1897, called Maxim’s invention “terrible automatic engines of war,” and suggested their mere existence might convince world leaders to settle conflicts diplomatically.

      It seems that the worst things are often the handy work of people trying to prove something.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
  2. Pointless by Templer421 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If it can be thought up it WILL BE built!

    1. Re:Pointless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They've already been built, just not with the swarming AI whiz-bang in the video. THAT IS EXPENSIVE. The only barrier to these things is the budget.

      That's why we need to reign in the DARPA black project bullshit back into the sunlight before they build something we can't put back in the bottle, again.

      Madmen like Trump would use it. The pursestrings are the only power that can prevent any of this with judicious oversight.

      And now they're directly running child molesters like it's NBD. So, prepare your descendants for the dystopia our careless political unaccountability now allows.

    2. Re:Pointless by JoshuaZ · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Nuclear bombs which are highly cobalt salted to increase fallout have been thought of but the evidence is that no nuclear power has built them https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cobalt_bomb. Similarly currently, we know how to make a massive number of different types of chemical weapons, but the vast majority of countries have none in their arsenals.

    3. Re: Pointless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeag. Sure. And Israel has no nukes. You bet. Mmhmm.

    4. Re:Pointless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Bingo.

      As for what can be done now. PLENTY. If you can attach a camera to a drone, you can attach a bomb. It may be more tactful to simply have the drone drop the bomb and then toss itself in a river though to hide the evidence.

      We've also been predicting this in video games a lot longer. They exist in HalfLife 2. They've appeared in television (James Cameron's Dark Angel, from 2000, predicted this by 2019, which is the year it takes place in) as a tool of the corrupt law enforcement. Also the thing mentioned in the show is quickly coming true as well "All those 1's becoming zero's", as the law makers decide to pass laws to give themselves everything and kill millions of people in the process.

    5. Re:Pointless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Then we need even faster drones to protect us. /s

    6. Re:Pointless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Similarly currently, we know how to make a massive number of different types of chemical weapons, but the vast majority of countries have none in their arsenals.

      Both Syria and North Korea have chemical weapons and both countries have used them to kill people in 2017. If weapons exist, it's only a matter of time before they're used.

    7. Re:Pointless by Baron_Yam · · Score: 2

      Given that you could make these swarms with COTS parts and mostly open-source software... yeah.

      Of course, drones that are capable of carrying a significant payload are still expensive. Right now this would very much be a 'one person per drone that gets through the defenses' kill tool. It's for assassinations, not terrorism.

      The real fun starts when someone realizes you can fly very small drones at high altitude and have them loiter until someone on the ground marks the target for them. There are already military weapons designed to do this - to home in on SAM installations that dare to turn on their targeting systems, I believe. There's nothing stopping you from scaling it down to a small Pi-powered hobby plane with a half-kilogram of explosives flying too high for anyone to notice, searching the ground below for a laser painted target.

      The day may come when high profile people don't ever want to be under an open sky.

    8. Re:Pointless by ravenshrike · · Score: 1

      Auto shotgun manjacks loaded with birdshot for everybody's roofs.

    9. Re:Pointless by psycho12345 · · Score: 1

      You are referring to HARM missiles, which are designed to home in on electromagnetic emissions, which for their application is radar emissions.

    10. Re:Pointless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Look at it as a free promo video for a million dollar weapon business offer. Not pointless, just miscalculated.

    11. Re:Pointless by eth1 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Nuclear bombs which are highly cobalt salted to increase fallout have been thought of but the evidence is that no nuclear power has built them https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cobalt_bomb. Similarly currently, we know how to make a massive number of different types of chemical weapons, but the vast majority of countries have none in their arsenals.

      The weapons you mention are indiscriminate, and can easily cause just as many problems for those that deploy them as they do for the targets. There are very good reasons not to use or bother building them. The whole point of the drones is that they're cheap, surgical, and can be deployed with little to no consequence for the attackers.

    12. Re:Pointless by Aighearach · · Score: 1

      Pew pew pew pew pew what could go wrong?

    13. Re:Pointless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Having watched the video, I'm not sure why AI is the villain here. That scenario is terrifying even if the drones have human controllers. Actually they're more terrifying since AI simply isn't up to the tasks shown in the video, while a human-directed drone doing the same things is at least plausible.

    14. Re:Pointless by geekmux · · Score: 3, Insightful

      currently, we know how to make a massive number of different types of chemical weapons, but the vast majority of countries have none in their arsenals.

      Tobacco kills 7 million people worldwide every year.

      Alcohol kills over 3 million people worldwide every year.

      Countless other harmful yet legal chemicals used in pesticides and food additives. Cancer affects 1 in 3 humans.

      Every battlefield humans have ever stepped on cannot even try to compare to these statistics.

      Perhaps we need to understand that chemical warfare is a lot more fucking subtle these days.

    15. Re:Pointless by vivian · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The worst thing about the drones is that even if they are only used by state actors with legitimate targets in mind, they still won't be 100% accurate.

      Errors in facial recognition will happen, or criteria will be set too broadly to ensure the target gets hit - but that well targeted killbot could just as easily get the wrong guy, which would be chalked up to "acceptable collateral damage".

      If its so hard to get OCR to be more than about 98% accurate, when its analysing a high resolution scan of stationary text under nice lighting conditions, what are the chances we can get a face scanner to be 100% accurate and never get false positives when the target is running like hell and ducking under stuff? You can be sure that the bots will just be programmed to go for the strike when they get better than a 70% match, or something like that.
      I have no doubt these can and will be made, but they will never have the surgical strike capability that they will be marketed as having - they will be much more indiscriminate.

    16. Re:Pointless by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Of course, drones that are capable of carrying a significant payload are still expensive.

      A quadcopter that costs $120 to build from eBay parts can carry a kilo. The actual production cost is way lower. And you could deliver the same payload much cheaper with styrofoam, foamcore, or coroplast gliders. You'd need some way to launch them, but there's a variety of ways to do that. Balloon drop, say.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    17. Re: Pointless by mSparks43 · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Obama was only doing what Charles Windsor ordered him todo.
      You donâ(TM)t say no to the British monarchy and live very long.

      Especially now they have these drones.

    18. Re:Pointless by mikael · · Score: 1

      Mosquito sized drones that give doses of LSD, sarin or anything else toxic.

      --
      Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
    19. Re:Pointless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      they still won't be 100% accurate.

      They will just define accurate as within a hundred miles of the official target and anyone within that region as enemy.

    20. Re:Pointless by ElizabethGreene · · Score: 2

      >> They will just define accurate as within a hundred miles of the official target and anyone within that region as enemy.

      You aren't wrong. In Afghanistan the definition of a militant for the purpose of counting civilian casualties was "all military-age males in a strike zone".

      Said another way, if we blew up a male aged 15-35 it was cool, because he was a "terrorist".

    21. Re:Pointless by JoshuaZ · · Score: 1

      That's a very valid point in this context. My intent was only to address the claim that if it can be built it will be built. I agree that there's a lot more incentive here than with the examples I gave.

    22. Re:Pointless by Reverend+Green · · Score: 0

      Donald Trump stole my car! I saw him do it!!

    23. Re:Pointless by Reverend+Green · · Score: 0

      Syria and North Korea are targets of financialist imperial aggression. I cannot believe anything written about them in the financialist-owned media.

    24. Re: Pointless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What's terrifying is that the tech is available and it doesn't cost billions to develop. We have had weapons like this for years. The cruise missile is a program and forget weapon. I think what makes this demo video so scary is that anyone can visualize these things entering one's home.

    25. Re: Pointless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      LSD is not particularly toxic. It'll give a hell of a trip if you take too much but doesn't kill at doses of even 10s of grams

    26. Re:Pointless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Did you miss the part about the drones falling into the wrong hands?

    27. Re:Pointless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think this is completely backwards. Inaccuracy makes the weapons less scary, not more. Indiscriminate weapons are very old, and though they have done a lot of harm, they are just not that effective at achieving violent ends in modern times because of the high proportion of collateral damage they cause. To kill the latest leader of Hezbollah, Israel often blows up an entire apartment block, and they can only pull that shit so often before they lose the world's support.

    28. Re:Pointless by Agripa · · Score: 1

      The worst thing about the drones is that even if they are only used by state actors with legitimate targets in mind, they still won't be 100% accurate.

      Errors in facial recognition will happen, or criteria will be set too broadly to ensure the target gets hit - but that well targeted killbot could just as easily get the wrong guy, which would be chalked up to "acceptable collateral damage".

      Targeted assassinations, bombs, and precision guided munitions are not 100% accurate either but governments use them anyway.

      The real threat here like mass surveillance and ubiquitous law enforcement is that it makes assassination, terror, and warfare easier. But unlike targeted assassinations via other means, bombs, and precision guided munitions, eases the requirements for non-state actors even more.

  3. Swarms? by quonset · · Score: 2

    Is this like Millennium Challenge where swarms of small, fast boats were able to disable/sink numerous simulated ships? Or, during that same exercise, swarms of cruise missiles overwhelmed the fleet defenses?

    I guess, in one respect, at least someone's talking about it.

    1. Re:Swarms? by Aighearach · · Score: 1

      A cruise missile is just about the worst thing you would have coming at ships. I mean, the "cruise" in cruise missile means it is a cross between a missile and an airplane! If you have a whole "swarm" of them, duh, that's bad, and the ships will sink.

      This is why when the US moves all our ships suddenly out of the Persian Gulf, Iran starts accusing of us preparing for war! Because in a war against an enemy who has cruise missiles, any nearby ships would sink.

      For America, this is a danger to sailors in a Navy; they have to be prepared for sacrifice in time of war. It is a solemn duty. And then the airforce will flatten whatever patch of land the cruise missiles are flying off of.

      Countries like Iran that have fleets of small patrol craft with single anti-ship missiles mounted on them can sink any ship that passes by, sure. But what next? They cannot shoot down any airplane that flies over! So that is why those ships are so powerful; you can't really attack them without creating a big scene and getting Uncle Sam's blood pressure up!

    2. Re:Swarms? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, so America's navy is just waving a little dick around to scare the children. When everyone who counts knows it's tiny and are laughing at you behind your back.
      Like the little brat kid, you looking at me, you looking at me. Well my daddy over there will beat you up.

  4. Common sense by gijoel · · Score: 1

    I'm wondering if this is the sort of technology that can be defeated with chicken wire.

    1. Re:Common sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Various jamming technologies maybe. But you like your cell phone and wireless internet right?

      Trouble with chicken wire is you would have to put it every where, and then when the as many as it takes successive waves of drones come in they may take out quite a few layers of chicken wire.

      You don't want to have to live in a bunker anyway do you?

    2. Re:Common sense by Alwin+Henseler · · Score: 1

      I'm wondering if this is the sort of technology that can be defeated with chicken wire.

      You mean against those pesky wire-cutter equipped drones? Probably not.

      I'd think more along the lines of "a layer of defense" rather than "defeated". Preparing for an attack by something that has feature X? Include something in your defenses to defeat feature X.

    3. Re: Common sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I could see flak guns make a come back as a means to disable drone swarms like this cheaply.

    4. Re:Common sense by ClickOnThis · · Score: 1

      I'm wondering if this is the sort of technology that can be defeated with chicken wire.

      Probably not. The video demonstrates the swarms defeating windows and other hard surfaces by having a subset of the swarm commit suicide so that the rest can penetrate. No doubt these bots could be designed to handle countermeasures like chicken wire with some similar approach.

      --
      If it weren't for deadlines, nothing would be late.
    5. Re:Common sense by sheramil · · Score: 1

      I'm wondering if this is the sort of technology that can be defeated with chicken wire.

      I was wondering that, also, along with large butterfly nets, jumbo cans of silly string, large tennis racquets - now that would be fun, kind of like a lethal version of "pass the parcel" - but primarily I was wondering how long their batteries last, how well do they function in the rain, and how much facial recognition technology can you get into something the size of a matchbox? Enough to ensure that wearing a Guy Fawkes mask can keep you safe?

      On second thoughts, maybe not a Guy Fawkes mask - they strike me as the sort of thing that would be on the kill list. Perhaps a papercraft Matt Damon mask; he's at the top of the one "nicest people in the world" list I consulted.

    6. Re:Common sense by Aighearach · · Score: 1

      Yeah, the gaps in chicken wire are way less than a nanoparsec, so it is definitely good for nanoscale defense!

    7. Re:Common sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is much like the mechanisms built to defeat explosive tank armor. Send multiple projectiles in quick succession, the first to trigger the active armor explosion, the next to penetrate the now "defenseless" part of the tank.

  5. Re: Ob by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Um... "jaapie"?

    Another racist term for a Japanese person... you should be modded down to -1 for your racist post. Also, you really should apologize for the multiple racist posts you've made.

  6. Aren't killer droids already used by gouverments? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is something that history has showed us from time to mie, goverments try to use technology to kill other people....
    Makes you think about it, thousands of years and still more technology and resources given to fancy clubs with nails and so little effort to commit to peace and equality.

  7. why palm sized? by iggymanz · · Score: 1

    why not a grape sized one that injects a neurotoxin?

    1. Re:why palm sized? by leonbev · · Score: 1

      Or insect sized, for that matter. Black Mirror already did the whole "killer swarm of robots" thing before with robot bees were reprogrammed to kill. This idea isn't new.

      Hell... why bother even building something new for this, when you can reprogram of modify something that already exists. Frankly, I'm suprised that a black hat hacker or terrorist hasn't already found a way to hack the autopilot system in a Model S in order to use it as a weapon.

    2. Re:why palm sized? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why not a full size drone at 35,000 feet with a missle. Oh yeah, we can do that now.

    3. Re:why palm sized? by jon3k · · Score: 1

      Wouldn't it be easier to just spray around some ricin?

    4. Re:why palm sized? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This one is targeted by image.

    5. Re:why palm sized? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because it would be expensive, and the evidence will be easy to find who did it since everyone who owns a Tesla S has to have it serviced by Tesla, and there will be a paperwork record. You can't service it yourself, and a third party won't be able to.

      Most of the "automated vehicle is hacked" type of potential requires direct access to the vehicle in the first place. eg you can hack most CANBUS II equipped vehicles, and insurance companies willingness to adopt CANBUS dongles for insurance purposes is the easy target.

      You can't simply hack a Tesla over WiFi, because unless you're following it, you can't control it, and telemetry over a 3g/4g network will have too much latency and too little bandwidth to actually weaponize a car. At least at current technology levels. It may be possible to at some point to remote control a car, and use the automated driving features as a way to avoid collisions with other vehicles to get it to your target before you remotely disable the safety features, put it in manual steering and acceleration and do some damage.

    6. Re:why palm sized? by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      You can't service it yourself

      Where is the slashdot rage about being able to hack and repair your own stuff?

    7. Re:why palm sized? by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 2

      The size is a very relevant aspect. Firstly, you need some space to store all the required electronics. Secondly, you cannot generate enough force without reaction/inertial mass. Even the size in the video seems extremely small for what is expected to be accomplished. Even by forgetting about all the required space to store what is needed to more or less autonomously operate in a 3D space, it doesn't seem possible to shoot anything in a position to pass through a skull from a so small (and instable! The fact of being flying around increases the minimal mass requirements) object even under ideal conditions. In a random situation, with that small thing flying over people and shooting from random positions, it is certainly impossible. Same thing with your proposal of injecting whatever: although almost any part of the body and minimal force seem required when talking about a deadly toxin, there are still some constraints that are very difficult or even impossible to be met under the intended conditions.

      --
      Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
    8. Re:why palm sized? by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      Black Mirror did it. But Bugs did it first

    9. Re:why palm sized? by leonbev · · Score: 1

      I figured that someone would just steal the car and make the modifications that way.

      I would like to hope that if someone found a remote exploit of Tesla systems over their network, it would get patched quickly. That said, if Tesla continues to totally botch their Model 3 rollout and sends the company into bankruptcy, there might be a ton of unpatched cars out there in the future.

    10. Re:why palm sized? by ElizabethGreene · · Score: 1

      >> Frankly, I'm suprised that a black hat hacker or terrorist hasn't already found a way to hack the autopilot system in a Model S in order to use it as a weapon.

      There are some who believe that vehicle hacks have already been militarized and used for targeted killings. Until someone leaks proof, that remains the province of conspiracy theory.

    11. Re:why palm sized? by ElizabethGreene · · Score: 1

      >> Most of the "automated vehicle is hacked" type of potential requires direct access to the vehicle in the first place. eg you can hack most CANBUS II equipped vehicles, and insurance companies willingness to adopt CANBUS dongles for insurance purposes is the easy target.

      Most, but not all. There have been at least two successful compromises of production vehicles via the IP connected entertainment system. It's also worth noting that RF keyless remote systems are usually directly integrated into the ECU, and there are in-the-wild vehicle-unlocking exploits against those. It is not unimaginable that there are other exploits against that system.

    12. Re:why palm sized? by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      you make a bunch of assertions without proof or reasons.

      Grape sized drones exist, that's why I specified the size. Neurotoxin that are lethal in microgram quantities exist. Ramming a person with a needle the width of a human hair or less mounted on a grape sized drone is a trivial feat to accomplish. Having a swarm of these attacking a crowd is just an engineering challenge of moderate difficulty.

    13. Re:why palm sized? by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      targeted assassinations are a surgical way to shape the future, while mass murder is just a news item.

    14. Re:why palm sized? by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

      you make a bunch of assertions without proof or reasons.

      There is no available data to perform the corresponding calculations, but I think that my statements can be intuitively confirmed. Just take any gun as a reference to understand the minimum size/weight requirements, notably higher than what is being displayed in the video. Without forgetting that you need all the 3D movement operating electronics. I am intentionally ignoring the AI part because, at this point, creating a bot able to move more or less autonomously as shown in the video is simply impossible.

      Grape sized drones exist, that's why I specified the size

      I don't doubt that. But they certainly cannot shoot bullets which might go through a skull.

      Neurotoxin that are lethal in microgram quantities exist

      My comment was focused on the physical requirements of a flying object to shoot/inject something anywhere: relevant force/pressure (momentum) which cannot be generated unless reacting against something (= opposing weight/mass). Coming up with some kind of suicide bot might be relatively easily (making sure that it hits the target might be quite difficult though), but a reusable one is a completely different story. Think about what a mosquito does: even by ignoring the difficulty associated with landing in a random location, you need to exert a relevant pressure. Emulating the required actions/muscles at such a micro-scale seems really difficult.

      Having a swarm of these attacking a crowd is just an engineering challenge of moderate difficulty.

      Bots of that small size and being reusable is, as explained, either extremely difficult or practically impossible. It would be much easier to create much bigger ones shooting whatever projectiles.

      --
      Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
    15. Re:why palm sized? by jon3k · · Score: 1

      Pretty sure you could target an individual with ricin. Just wait until they walk out their front door.

    16. Re:why palm sized? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    17. Re:why palm sized? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "But they certainly cannot shoot bullets which might go through a skull."

      True.

      What has that got to do with the video?

      Did you watch, listen to and understand the video?

      There ARE no bullets.

      it's a shaped charge applied to the skull of the victim.

      E = MF, if I recall my physics lessons from decades ago.

      The M is very little, this is true, but the F is rather high.

      Applied, in a shaped charge, right to the forehead (or temple, or other part of the skull).

      This results in, at the very least, damage.

      Imagine, if you will, a steel knitting needle, one of the rather thin ones.

      Now, hold it in your hand and shove it towards someone's head, trying to hit them with the pointy end.

      Fast.

      And hard.

      If you hit it, that is, hit their skull with a stiff, hardened and strong steel rod, will you injure them? Will they suffer brain damage? Will they be functional human beings anymore?

      Will they be inconvenienced at all, even in the least manner?

      Any of the above situations is useful to opponents of that target.

      So, these things might be possible now, they certainly will be possible in the near future.

      Because someone posted a video where it. Was. Very. Useful. And. Effective.

      Like DDOS attacks, there will be entities taking Block chain currency as payment who will claim to be able to deliver targeted attacks to victims based on their apparent ethnicity, political allegiance, social posting history, hair colour, tattoos, height, favourite band, year, month or date of birth, vehicle choice, suburb they live in, education level, favourite colour, last eaten food, number of children, and . . the list goes on.

      What would this ability to literally kill people anonymously via blockchain paid for drone change our world?

      Yeah, I think, on past experience and a basic knowledge of history, yes, yes it would.

      I believe that this is not a good thing.

      DethLok.

  8. Re: Ob by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ob? Screw you, racist asshole. Go away.

  9. hmm by buddyglass · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Seems pretty easy to thwart facial recognition. More concerning is the fact that most of us carry around a homing beacon in our front pocket.

    1. Re:hmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Seems pretty easy to thwart facial recognition. More concerning is the fact that most of us carry around a homing beacon in our front pocket.

      I guess perhaps these bigwigs might know already of government/fiveeyes systems that already do this with a multitude of methods, and the fear would be some Snowden-level-skilled terrorist would have a zero-day that gives them access to use that system, rather than build it themselves. Or that it would just be used for racist terrorism (skin pigmentation being the only criteria).

    2. Re:hmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      THIS... A million times THIS!

    3. Re:hmm by speedplane · · Score: 1

      Seems pretty easy to thwart facial recognition. More concerning is the fact that most of us carry around a homing beacon in our front pocket.

      Super easy, just wear a different mask every day of your life! See killer drone problem solved, easy-peesy.

      --
      Fast Federal Court and I.T.C. updates
    4. Re:hmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Facial recognition is just one feature that can be used to identify you. Body shape, your movement, voice, odor, as well as your habitual behaviors can all be used as identification. There are already sensors that are able to penetrate clothing making masks and disguises far less effective. You'd have to live your life in a box in order to avoid all this.

    5. Re:hmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      An excellent point, absolutely. Any realistic device like this that's designed for accuracy would almost certainly use multiple recognition methods in addition to face ID. It's just that face ID is especially important for the video because all users of Facebook know it works, and you can't power down your face like you can your phone. But I agree: it's much more likely to be your phone and not your face that betrays you. Modern people are very easy to find and assassinate.

  10. Swarm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Was this the Michael Crichton novel? Maybe Musk shouldn't read at night before bed.

  11. Re: Ob by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you were going to post again, you should have said this instead: "I'm sorry for my racist post about Japanese people."

    Hope that helps.

  12. What's the problem, exactly? by FritzTheCat1030 · · Score: 4, Funny

    Swarms of microdrones dispatched to kill U.S. politicians? I see no reason to rush through a preemptive ban on this technology.

    1. Re:What's the problem, exactly? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Swarms of microdrones dispatched to kill U.S. politicians? I see no reason to rush through a preemptive ban on this technology.

      They say the devil you know is better to have around than the devil you don't. I got your joke, but I'll point out that Robocop (the original) was made decades ago. I'd say it's clear there is no rush going on with this issue. No doubt the U.S. politicians, or their shadow government masters, already have this technical capability. The worry I think is that it will be the next 9/11 "boy, we should have taken those bloody violent action thriller blockbusters with diabolic villians a little more seriously in retrospect" kind of thing. I share that worry. Good cinema seems to be a good choice for sharing that worry with a wider audience. The cinema could even include a classified segment that due to NDA is never discussed, that shows the existing technology in a simulated demonstration (perhaps 1000 humanoid dummies or robots get blown to bits in the film with existing tech that they plausibly claim cost the creator less than $1M).

    2. Re:What's the problem, exactly? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We won't need drones. Eliminating the estate tax should motivate their heirs to hurry up their deaths.

    3. Re:What's the problem, exactly? by ClickOnThis · · Score: 2

      Overrated. I'm not fond of the prospect of killer drones the size of hockey pucks flying around programmed to target political leaders, no matter what side of the aisle they sit on, thankyouverymuch.

      --
      If it weren't for deadlines, nothing would be late.
    4. Re: What's the problem, exactly? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      magic

    5. Re:What's the problem, exactly? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem is they have not tested it yet on millions of invading shitty smelly parasites hindu-chimps.

    6. Re:What's the problem, exactly? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ... a pre-emptive ban ...

      You jest but think what that will mean to anyone with a million dollars: He gets to choose your politician. In the USA, congress-critters are already bought but should the 'wrong' one be elected, an assassination can be implemented from a few kilometres away. Thus, no more democracy, for anybody. Murder by remote-control can become so frequent it's impossible to hold elections.

    7. Re:What's the problem, exactly? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      it would take about three years to implement such a ban anyway.

    8. Re: What's the problem, exactly? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      magic

      jtrig?

  13. Re:Ob by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Republican?

  14. Re:The truth usually gets censored... apk by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

    hosts files can't melt steel beams.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  15. speculation is speculation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "This short film is more than just speculation," says Stuart Russell, a U.C. Berkeley considered an expert in artificial intelligence.

    "It shows the results of integrating and miniaturizing technologies we already have."

    Speculating on what will happen if miniaturization of technology is possible and happens is still speculating. Not that I disagree with the position of great concern about the foreseeable future.

    1. Re:speculation is speculation by ClickOnThis · · Score: 2

      Speculating on plausible outcomes is the first step towards mitigating the consequences of them.

      --
      If it weren't for deadlines, nothing would be late.
  16. Re: Ob by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Another racist term for a Japanese person...

    Again, the SJW mod crowd shows they are idiots, but on one thing, you're right. It is a racist term, but it's racist against white people' specially, South African and Rhodesian whites.

  17. Laughterbots by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    You can't spell slaughterbots without laughterbots.

  18. Reusable ? by wolfheart111 · · Score: 1

    Of its backed by musk then the bots must be Reusable. They just dispense the bomb with a timer then fly away. :)

    --
    [($)]
  19. Minefield by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's an active anti-personnel minefield, and as such a military weapon. An automatic grenade launcher on delivery vehicle would do the same damage. Didn't we have a convention for banning such weapons already?

    1. Re:Minefield by j-beda · · Score: 1

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
      The Convention on the Prohibition of the Use, Stockpiling, Production and Transfer of Anti-Personnel Mines and on their Destruction, known informally as the Ottawa Treaty, the Anti-Personnel Mine Ban Convention, or often simply the Mine Ban Treaty....

      To date, there are 162 state parties to the treaty.

      The United States has not signed, being one of 35 non-signatories.

  20. Tesla Model C by goombah99 · · Score: 1

    the "C" is for "Christine". He's a steven king fan.

    --
    Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
  21. Anti-drone drones by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Seems like you could just ban drones and/or supply your own police drones (or anti-drone weapons) to take out any in the air. An FAA for drones would also help identify which drones are flying legally. Of course, you'd need sensors everywhere.

  22. Re:The truth usually gets censored... apk by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

    Calm down, buddy, and take these little pink pills. Now the Vatican has what, exactly, to do with any of this?

    Anyway, I did my part. After Mandalay Bay, I called UBS and sold all of my bump stocks.

  23. Re: Aren't killer droids already used by gouvermen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Beware the beast Man, for he is the Devil's pawn. Alone among God's primates, he kills for sport or lust or greed. Yea, he will murder his brother to possess his brother's land. Let him not breed in great numbers, for he will make a desert of his home and yours.

  24. Neal Stephenson already did this.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ..in The Diamond Age. Nanobots so thick theyre like smog.

    1. Re:Neal Stephenson already did this.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ..in The Diamond Age. Nanobots so thick theyre like smog.

      That was the one with the high bitrate interpersonalnetwork of sexual fluid amongst orgies wasn't it?

  25. 20 gauge Handguns by kenwd0elq · · Score: 1, Insightful

    A 20-guage handgun with small birdshot loads would do a number on a whole swarm of microdrones.

    Better yet, self-defense anti-drone microdrones to destroy any microdrones that approach a protected target....

    1. Re:20 gauge Handguns by mentil · · Score: 1

      Drones that can employ facial recognition can also employ firearm recognition, and avoid the projected trajectory of its projectiles. They can also spread out enough you wouldn't take out more than a couple per shot. If you're in public, you're unlikely to want to start shooting randomly, particularly if they're level with you. They could just wait until you're asleep, have your pants down, have to reload, or don't have your shotpistol on you. You're also assuming you see/hear them coming, which may not be a safe bet.

      Furthermore, anyone likely to bother assassinating someone is likely to have more resources than their target, so a defensive swarm would get overwhelmed in swarm-to-swarm combat. Random non-celeb with a massive counter-swarm? Found the spy!
      You're also forgetting that there are many other types of killbots, not just microdrones. For example, something that perches on rooftops and snipes you from a mile away. Your defensive microdrone won't do much against a .50 bullet. I suspect the eventual countermeasures will be "no-drone zones" enforced by automated directed-energy weapons, and licensed transponders that give exemptions to certain drones.

      I'm kinda surprised there haven't been any terrorist drone attacks yet. However, consider that there was that one devastating truck attack, and then terrorists started copycatting that left and right shortly afterward, even though such attacks had been promoted by terrorists for years prior. Once the first drone attack happens, it will become commonplace. What's easier than pulling a trigger? Running a kill-script for your drone (although I suppose you'd have to mod it first, 3d printers will make this much simpler eventually.)

      --
      Corruption is convincing someone that the selfless ideal is the same as their selfish ideal.
    2. Re:20 gauge Handguns by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ISIS was using drones quite a bit towards the end. Look up their drone strike on the SSA ammo depot. They've also used them a bit in battles.

      anyways, if an ai can dodge away from the direction the gun is facing an ai can direct the gun
      I guess the future is ai controlled automatic shotguns loaded with silly string on every street corner.

  26. AI Monopolization by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Militarization is one of the best ways of Monopolization.
    Don't let everyone have access to a technology or that technology will kill you!!
    Of course only we can safely own that technology!

  27. Re: The truth usually gets censored... apk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Oh hai fake APK.

  28. The problem is they're too cheap by TheNarrator · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's not that these things are more destructive than older weapons. It's that these things give the power of a targeted artillery strike to anyone for pennies of what nation state weapons cost, so it opens up WWI type levels of destructive capability to just about anyone on any budget. WWI really caught people off guard. People had no idea the level of destruction that was going to be unleashed by the industrial revolution. Likewise people have no idea the destructive power that's going to be unleashed by the AI revolution.

    1. Re:The problem is they're too cheap by mentil · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Forget artillery strikes. What's really gonna stir shit up is when drone attacks allow for anonymous murder. What society could cope with that? It's gonna be like handing a Death Note to every citizen on Earth, only you won't need to know their name. I COULD see a ban on murder-drones actually working though, as after the first time a crime family gets whacked, the black market won't touch them; people will go after individual sellers as well. Wearing a mask in public might become the norm... until voice-recognition is used instead.

      --
      Corruption is convincing someone that the selfless ideal is the same as their selfish ideal.
    2. Re:The problem is they're too cheap by TheNarrator · · Score: 1

      I imagine that organized crime would see it as bad for business. All those newly out of work hired killers won't be happy either. In the dystopian future, any sociopathic jerk with a few bucks can be a mafia boss and have a gang of robot killers working for him. I guess you could say that the invention of affordable firearms was a similar disruption, but civilization made it through that. Still, it's going to be a really gruesome couple of years once some factory in god knows where starts spitting these out.

    3. Re:The problem is they're too cheap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > as after the first time a crime family gets whacked, the black market won't touch them

      Because they're known for showing restraint and stopping after the first blood is drawn.

    4. Re:The problem is they're too cheap by gtall · · Score: 0

      Hah, the NRA will simply claim it is part of their second amendment rights to weaponize drones. There's no limbo bar low enough for them. Their goal is to keep bodies from shooting in the low single digits before one of their members pulls out .44 magnum and shoots the perp while miraculously missing every one else; he'll also do it before getting his own ass shot off by the perp or the cops when they see the blood and the righteous NRA member standing there with that hand cannon.

    5. Re:The problem is they're too cheap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Likewise people have no idea the destructive power that's going to be unleashed by the AI revolution.

      "Milliseconds to live" will be the new mantra of the human armies everywhere. Too bad we don't have that Wonder AI to save the day, movie style.

    6. Re:The problem is they're too cheap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Give everybody a nuke, Raven style! By NRA logic, this should provide perfect defense for everybody because nobody wants mutual assured destruction to happen to them.

    7. Re:The problem is they're too cheap by mea2214 · · Score: 1

      I COULD see a ban on murder-drones actually working though, as after the first time a crime family gets whacked, the black market won't touch them; people will go after individual sellers as well.

      Sell a man a murder drone and he gets to murder once. Teach a man to configure a drone to murder and he can murder for a lifetime.

    8. Re:The problem is they're too cheap by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      Don't we have anonymous murder now?

  29. wrong conclusion by lucm · · Score: 2

    swarms of killer microdrones are dispatched to kill political activists and U.S. lawmakers

    I know that deadly scenario is scary and romantic, but really, what is more likely to happen is swarms of microdrones delivering chicken mcnuggets and tubes of k-y, not killing political activists.

    --
    lucm, indeed.
    1. Re:wrong conclusion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      " swarms of microdrones delivering chicken mcnuggets and tubes of k-y"

      Same thing as 3 grams of shaped charge to the forehead, just a LOT slower.

      DethLok

  30. Re: Ob by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yeah, I think the AC is doing an Afrikaans accent, not Nipponese.

    DethLok

  31. Re: Ob by lucm · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Another racist term for a Japanese person...

    Again, the SJW mod crowd shows they are idiots, but on one thing, you're right. It is a racist term, but it's racist against white people' specially, South African and Rhodesian whites.

    Subculture slang is not relevant out of its cultural context. There's a handful of well-known ethnic slurs and we don't need more. It's possible to narrow down to cover smaller populations (such as ice chinks for inuit) but you can't use localized versions for groups that are already covered by a top-level label, otherwise you're just creating confusion.

    Also I would like to point out that an ethnic slur is not the same as a racist term. Just like it's not sexist to call a woman a cunt, it's not racist to call an Asian a chink. It's rude but that's not the same as racist. I guarantee you that there's people in nice offices that will silently pass on a resume if the name sounds ebonic or latino but that would never say "the n word", while there's blue collar workers calling each other "pollocks" or "fucking sand n-word" without an ounce of discrimination in mind.

    --
    lucm, indeed.
  32. Re:The truth usually gets censored... apk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Your post is plainly readable by anyone who cares to adjust the threshold. It has not been deleted. This is not "censorship."

    This is the majority of the community deciding that they don't care to read your stupid posts. This is not some injustice against you or anyone, this is you throwing a fit because the rest of the world doesn't agree with you.

    I find your post to be off topic, inappropriately accusatory, and juvenile.

    Grow up, kid.

  33. mod up please by ishmaelflood · · Score: 2

    The ignorance of the politically correct echo chamber is revealed yet again.

  34. Nope, white south african actually by ishmaelflood · · Score: 1

    clueless AC, behaving cluelessly, abetted by clueless mods.

  35. Re: Aren't killer droids already used by gouvermen by ishmaelflood · · Score: 1

    What about chimpanzees? cats? dogs?

  36. A firecracker, not a bomb by raymorris · · Score: 3, Interesting

    >> Armed with explosive charges, the palm-sized quadcopters use real-time data mining and artificial intelligence to find and kill their targets.

    >> If you can attach a camera to a drone, you can attach a bomb

    The cameras used to hobby drones typically weigh 20-100grams. In the US, Fourth of July fireworks sold to the public can weigh 1,000 grams (with 500 grams of explosive inside). So the camera could be replaced with a small firework, which would make the target curious about that popping noise.

    1,000 Kg is a decent bomb (1 million grams, or 10,000 times as much as a drone camera).

    $500-$1000 quads CAN carry a bit more weight, but at a major reduction in flight time and range, as well as speed and the ability to fly in a stiff breeze. Unladen, a DJI Phantom 3 Professional ($700) can fly for about 23 minutes. Add a 1Kg payload and flight time is less than half that much. At 6MPH it could cover about 1 mile, if there is no breeze at all. With a 5MPH breeze against it, and carrying a 1Kg load would cover a several hundred feet before the battery died.

    You're probably better off just throwing the pipe bomb with your hand. Much simpler. If you must go "fancy", a potato gun (plumbing pipe and hairspray) will go just about as far with a 1Kg grenade.

    1. Re:A firecracker, not a bomb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How much does a bullet weigh, genius?

      You don't neeed 500 grams of gunpower to kill someone, let alone 500 grams of explosive?

    2. Re:A firecracker, not a bomb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The cameras used to hobby drones typically weigh 20-100grams. In the US, Fourth of July fireworks sold to the public can weigh 1,000 grams (with 500 grams of explosive inside). So the camera could be replaced with a small firework, which would make the target curious about that popping noise.

      Do you have any experience with explosives? We used them for demolitions when I was in the Engineering Corps and I have the utmost respect for them. I have seen what 200 grams of TNT will do to a human body and what 125 grams of plastic explosive does to a big rock.

      Someone building a exploding drone would not use black powder for the explosive, they would use something more modern. Why use a delivery system from 2015 to deliver a payload from 1700? And half a stick of plastic explosive detonated close to you is no firework. Make it a shaped charge and it will be even more effective taking out that target that you sent the drone for. Make a swarm of drones and the target is done for.

      Yes, there are more low tech ways to deliver payloads, but that is not the point. Someone could carry a suitcase to a location, open it and release a swarm of small drones and then walk away and let the drones go after their target while getting away to a safe distance. As drone technology improves they would be more silent (DJI just released new propellers that significantly cut noise), have a better range, higher payloads, etc. making them even more dangerous.

      So even though I am not as afraid as some, I share the viewpoint that in going the wrong direction we have a huge problem on our hands. Yes, some may ignore treaties, but that would open them up for a huge problem should they use those weapons (as per chemical weapons for example). The rest of the international community would not silently sit and watch and suddenly that combattant could see its' opponents getting universal support for their side.

      In 1999 we got the Ottawa treaty that bans the use of land mines. Land mines kill people without someone being present, making the decision to take the kill. You can use certain types of land mines provided a human pulls the trigger, just making it a remote weapon. But they may not detonate by themselves. Why would we now allow some other kind of delivery system that goes back on this? Exploding drones are essentially flying landmines with a criteria based fuse.

      So I am all for a treaty to ban the use of autonomous systems and/or drones for delivering weapon payloads. If you want to use drones for information gathering in a combat area, fine by me. But not as weapons.

    3. Re:A firecracker, not a bomb by raymorris · · Score: 2

      > Do you have any experience with explosives?

      Yes, I do.

      > I have seen what 200 grams of TNT will do to a human body

      Ah so you saw the video that purports to represent what could happen if you were holding it in your hand when it went off? The one made with a glove full of hamburger meat (pre-ground)? Yeah it's not recommend to hold it in your hand. Put it a few feet away, perhaps on a flying drone, and see how much difference that makes. I'm no saying it would be totally safe, but it's also not a particularly effective weapon.

      > Yes, there are more low tech ways to deliver payloads, but that is not the point.

      Yes, there are low tech ways that are cheaper, easier, and more effective. So I hope any bad guys are dumb enough to try to use a drone, thereby rendering their attack less effective.

      > Someone could carry a suitcase to a location, open it and release a swarm of small drones and then walk away

      Yes, they could have, in a suitcase, four small drones, each carrying a charge enough to be dangerous, but probably not deadly (maybe 100 grams). OR they could have the suit case be full of explosives, tens of thousands of grams of explosives, and skip wasting most of the space with RC toys. A suitcase full of explosives would be a hell of a lot more effective than drones carrying enough explosive to ruin your hand IF the target cooperates by holding onto the weapon while it goes off.

      > So I am all for a treaty to ban the use

      I don't necessarily disagree, but the "so" part confuses me. Are you suggesting your hypothetical terrorist os going to follow treaties? He IS too dumb to fill the suitcase with explosives, so I guess maybe he'll read up on the Geneva conventions and make sure his terrorism would otherwise be legal, except for the fact that it's terrorism.

    4. Re:A firecracker, not a bomb by SuricouRaven · · Score: 2

      Maybe not enough for a simple bomb, but 150g is enough for a long needle laced with something suitably toxic. A bit beyond the means of a lone wolf attacker, but well within the capabilities of even the smallest nation. All the drone need do is identify the target and ram. Ricin would be ideal. Or abrin - that stuff is so toxic you'd only need to fly the drone around your target's head while dispersing it into the air.

      I've seen this idea before many years ago. It was an episode of Bugs. Their drones looked like insects rather than quadcopters, but the idea was the same: They are just smart enough to identify a target, home in and stab.

    5. Re:A firecracker, not a bomb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think all this talk of drones is a ruse to implement LRAD and microray technology which has been deemed as a torturous and abusive military tech that could threaten the freedom of the people.

    6. Re:A firecracker, not a bomb by Chris+Mattern · · Score: 1

      How much does a bullet weigh, genius?

      A bullet needs a gun to fire it. You also need a lot of bullets to have any real chance of hitting something., At this point you are talking about a fairly large amount of weight.

    7. Re:A firecracker, not a bomb by Kjella · · Score: 4, Interesting

      A more realistic weapon for a palm-sized drone would be a wasp-style injection, just ram the target and have a spring released needle to punch through the clothing and skin or shoot from close range like a taser gun. There are plenty toxins you could deliver that would be fatal with even a very tiny dose. But the topic wasn't really if a drone attack is practical, but whether an autonomous drone attack is more practical. I don't really see it, if there's only one target then human RC will do fine. If there's many targets, gathered in a relatively small space like some form of meeting or conference, why wouldn't you just hit that with one big bang? I mean the assumption here is that you're willing to commit mass murder, are you going to care if there's a little collateral?

      I'd think the only reason you'd care is because you're trying to be the good guys, like IS is using human shields or they're in a camp with women and children or whatever and you want to make precision kills without harming the rest. In any case there's probably good reasons to build all this technology for non-lethal purposes, swapping out some non-critical function with some kind of trigger/detonator is always going to be easy. It's like trying to build an alarm clock that can't be rigged to blow up a bomb when the alarm goes off. What are you going to do, ban alarm clocks?

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    8. Re:A firecracker, not a bomb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You should have looked up some details on energy density of various explosives before writing your post. Gunpowder is fairly low on the list and we have much, much more powerful explosives available that will do far more than make a small pop.

    9. Re:A firecracker, not a bomb by mikael · · Score: 1

      Or you could have a high-speed slug of metal that travels at hypersonic speed and uses kinetic energy exclusively to cause damage, much like a snipers rifle.

      --
      Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
    10. Re:A firecracker, not a bomb by crunchygranola · · Score: 1

      If your knowledge of explosives is limited to fireworks, you don't know anything about the subject. Don't you think it odd that no military employs fireworks as weapons?

      Here are three types of explosive munitions that would be quite deadly even in "hobby drones": explosive formed projectiles (EFPs), directed fragmentation munitions like the Claymore mine, and then there are ordinary fragmentation grenades.

      A drone/EFP system designed for assassination (aiming and attacking a specific target) could use an EFP weighing only 10 grams to fire a 3.6 gram projectile (same weight as a typical M-16 round) at 2000 m/sec (twice the velocity and four times the kinetic energy of the M-16 round at the muzzle). This actually a much more powerful projectile than what you need to kill someone. EFPs are quite easy to make, there are "energetic materials" hobbyists who post their "experiments" online. Large EFPs made with simple tools were a huge problem to U.S. forces in Iraq.

      Not happy with taking only a single shot? Well then multiple fragmentation weapons are just the thing. You can use an array of EFPs like that described above to send a cluster of them at your target. Or consider the venerable Claymore mine that weighs 1600 grams and fires 700 projectiles at 1300 m/sec. At 25 meters these are 100% lethal in a zone 25 meters wide. For a drone you would probably make a scaled down version, even a narrow cone "micro" version to send a cluster of high velocity projectiles into your target.

      Simply replicating the M67 fragmentation grenade which weighs 400 grams and is 100% lethal at 5 meters in all directions would work fine.

      With a suitably designed fragmentation device, if you can get a 100 gram payload within 5 meters of a target you can get a kill with 100% certainty without even requiring sophisticated aiming or munition design. With more effort you can do the same at greater range, or with even lighter payloads.

      --
      Second class citizen of the New Gilded Age
    11. Re:A firecracker, not a bomb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why not hit them with a single bang? Simple as fuck you dimwit: a city is more valuable if you can take it without damaging the infrastructure. To the greatest extent possible, per-person weapons achieve that aim. Spend hundreds of millions of dollars to ghost $city with drones, save hundreds of billions not having to restore it to a usable state when you occupy it.

    12. Re:A firecracker, not a bomb by ElizabethGreene · · Score: 1

      >> $500-$1000 quads CAN carry a bit more weight, but at a major reduction in flight time and range, as well as speed and the ability to fly in a stiff breeze. ...
      >> You're probably better off just throwing the pipe bomb with your hand.

      ISIS has published a highlight reel of effective attacks with the weapons you describe as ineffective or implausible.

      The video is here. This shows people dying.
      NSFW, NSF-Children, NSF-Snowflakes.

      https://www.liveleak.com/view?...

    13. Re:A firecracker, not a bomb by Templer421 · · Score: 1

      Ever heard of 12 Gauge Buckshot?

    14. Re:A firecracker, not a bomb by sofakingon · · Score: 1

      Here's a video of a 2.5 gram homemade mini shaped charge against a brass lock: https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

    15. Re:A firecracker, not a bomb by Chris+Mattern · · Score: 1

      Too short range for the use (why do you think shotguns are never mounted on military aircraft?), plus you're still going to need a gun.

    16. Re:A firecracker, not a bomb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't be so short-sighted; try to anticipate tech's evolution just a tiny bit.
      A lot of the problems with tech as it stands today is that our laws and society haven't kept up.
      Keeping up requires some prognostication.

    17. Re:A firecracker, not a bomb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is that an African or European DJI Phantom 3 Professional?

    18. Re:A firecracker, not a bomb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The DJI Phantom and Mavic drones do more than 70 km/h unladen and has quite an impressive range.

    19. Re:A firecracker, not a bomb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A more realistic weapon for a palm-sized drone would be a wasp-style injection, just ram the target and have a spring released needle to punch through the clothing and skin or shoot from close range like a taser gun. There are plenty toxins you could deliver that would be fatal with even a very tiny dose.

      Keep in mind though that drone-based delivery of chemical/biological agents is technically banned currently (by treaties) among major powers. To my knowledge, no treaties exist banning drone-based delivery of explosive agents.

  37. Re:MOD PARENT DOWN -1 FLAMEBAIT by Tuidjy · · Score: 2

    Really? Originally, it was used to describe South-African white males of Dutch descent. Now it is a pejorative term for any white male (males only, because it comes from the male name Jaap)

    Where is it used to refer to Japanese people, and why would you assume it is a slur for Japanese in a context where we are talking about Elon Musk, a South-African?

    --
    No good deed goes unpunished...
  38. Re: Aren't killer droids already used by gouvermen by Tuidjy · · Score: 1

    Pretty much all primates kill for sport, lust and greed - male gorillas kill infants when they want to take over a female, chimps kill in territorial warfare,etc. Hell even our extended family does - plenty of monkeys gang up and kill group members as a social activity. And it is not just them - elephants and dolphins kill for fun without a fight for resources.

    Face it, we are not special, just more powerful right now.

    --
    No good deed goes unpunished...
  39. Going a little larger by raymorris · · Score: 1

    Above I talked about hobby-sized drones like DJI makes, on the $500-$1000 range. I didn't address the "palm sized" concept in the ridiculous video because palm sized toys have don't have the payload capacity to even cause pain. Those might able to barely carry a "black cat" style fire cracker, the tiny ones that come in a roll of 500 crackers. Those don't hurt much when they go off in your fingers, much less cause any permanent injury (guess how I learned that).

    So let's scale up to something that can do some damage. There is a drone that can carry 18,000 pounds of bombs. It's 63 feet long, weighs 40,000 pounds, and costs several million dollars. It was built around 1990 from retired planes. Defense against it is similar to defense against any military plane.

    1. Re:Going a little larger by gtall · · Score: 2

      It only needs to carry a very small amount of a nerve agent. I don't know microbots are viable, but they needn't carry an explosive charge to be lethal.

    2. Re:Going a little larger by wierd_w · · Score: 5, Informative

      There is a big difference between a black cat, and a shaped high explosive charge.

      Take for instance, semtex. This is a commercially available plastic explosive used for demolition. (and frequently used by terrorists.)

      250 grams of it is enough to destroy an in-flight airplane, if properly placed.

      The premise of the video is that a human skull is pretty thin, and not evolved to stop a shaped explosive's concussion wave. If one uses something like this, they can blow half your skull off with just a few grams of material, pretty much exactly like in the video.

      A shaped charge explosive works by having a special void in the explosive material on the surface that is to be favored for blast-wave creation. This provides a high velocity path of least resistance, through which combustion products of the explosion will favor being expelled, and giving the explosion a preferred direction for energy delivery. (This is very different from a fire cracker, which explodes basically uniformly.)

      Considering that just about any high explosive is many times more powerful per gram than the black powder found inside the black cat mentioned by the grandparent, and are capable of producing shaped shock fronts on detonation, I basically call bullshit on grandparent's dismissal. For reference, military grade C4 plastic explosive detonates with a combustion rate 29,000 feet per second. Black powder? Between 600 and 1400 feet per second. Literally, just replacing that "black cat" with the same weight of C4, increases the explosive force 20 times, at best, and 48 times at worst.

      Apples and oranges sir. Your black cat is not even in the same class as the material they are suggesting could be inside these drones.

    3. Re:Going a little larger by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In the video, they say the tiny drone has a shaped charge that is meant to detonate on the forehead of the target. Even relatively small shaped charged explosives can penetrate a tank's armor, so it is not inconceivable that a few grams or less of a shaped charge detonated against the skull of a target would destroy the brain.

    4. Re:Going a little larger by Gorobei · · Score: 1

      The math on explosives in the video is actually about right. 3g of shaped HE would easily drive a self-formed metal jet through skull and 5 inches of brain matter. Just Google for videos of "tiny shaped charge" and be afraid.

  40. ugly slang is not just lockeerroom talk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    or "fucking sand n-word" without an ounce of discrimination in mind.

    And that is the kind of logic Trump espoused when dismissing his recorded comments as 'just lockerroom talk'. You seem like the kind of person capable of buying that line. I understand your point, I've seen all 5 seasons of HBO's The Wire multiple times. I was suspicious for years, though the 2016 Trump campaign resulted in the casual coworker language of the show making more realistic sense to me. The narrative you are going with sounds too dismissive of a real large problem to me. I believe there are many people who believe they aren't sexist and racist, but who must know at some level what their participation and encouragement of such social standards yields as far as oppressing minorities.

    1. Re:ugly slang is not just lockeerroom talk by lucm · · Score: 1

      I believe there are many people who believe they aren't sexist and racist

      Such as anyone who ever hired a person based on gender or race, regardless of the "social climate".

      --
      lucm, indeed.
  41. Groucho Marx Masks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So now everyone has to wear Groucho masks...

  42. Haven't they sen Iron man 2? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Silly clots making short films.

  43. 190 pounds to make it lethal, genius by raymorris · · Score: 1, Interesting

    We toss bullets, actually complete cartridges in the campfire. They make a fun popping noise when they cook off. A bullet is a ball of lead. A cartridge is a bullet combined with gunpowder, a casing, and a primer, for loading into a gun. A gun makes a bullet go fast, and weighs about ten pounds. (Handguns are only effective out to about 20 feet, and even then two or three shots probably won't kill the bad guy.)

    The important bit of the system is the part which aims the gun at a vital part of the target's body and fires at the proper instant. That part is called the marksman. It weighs about 180 pounds.

    1. Re:190 pounds to make it lethal, genius by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      In a drone, that latter part is called "a guidance system". And the former only needs a barrel (pessimistically at that).

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    2. Re:190 pounds to make it lethal, genius by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

      A gun makes a bullet go fast, and weighs about ten pounds.

      Nonsense. A and doesn't weigh even one pound in the case of a pistol.

      Handguns are only effective out to about 20 feet,

      That's a lot of bullshit.

      and even then two or three shots probably won't kill the bad guy.

      That depends very much on how good your aim is.

      The important bit of the system is the part which aims the gun at a vital part of the target's body and fires at the proper instant. That part is called the marksman. It weighs about 180 pounds.

      What does yolo 9000 running on a raspberry pi zero weigh?

      Everything you said was wrong.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    3. Re:190 pounds to make it lethal, genius by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      What does yolo 9000 [github.com] running on a raspberry pi zero weigh?

      Perhaps SFM would be a better thing to do? You don't need to recognize things, you just need to hit the 1.7m-sized thing that moves.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    4. Re: 190 pounds to make it lethal, genius by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unless it's an American gun nut, in which case it's under employed, impotent, diabetic, and 5 feet 7 inches tall at 300 pounds.

    5. Re: 190 pounds to make it lethal, genius by Reverend+Green · · Score: 1

      Disarm the plebs! They don't deserve freedom like us smart, virtuous Democrat partisans!

    6. Re:190 pounds to make it lethal, genius by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Perhaps SFM would be a better thing to do? You don't need to recognize things, you just need to hit the 1.7m-sized thing that moves.

      I didn't watch the whole video (keepin' it slashdot yo) but my impression is that people are concerned about target-recognizing drones. Motion tracking is useful, but aspect tracking is more useful.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  44. Re:The truth usually gets censored... apk by Aighearach · · Score: 2

    No, but the book The Diamond Age covered all this stuff, we don't need a stupid bad video to point out the risks. If they wanted to do this right, they'd pay Neal Stephenson to do a film adaptation!

  45. Re:Scary stuff by Aighearach · · Score: 1

    I drive a Tesla Model 3 so hopefully this doesn't apply to me.

    That's right, if somebody that advanced wanted to personally target you for assassination, they'd just hack your car and the world would think you died from driving and watching goat pr0n at the same time!

  46. Ps: at 200 grams, a "swarm" of one or two by raymorris · · Score: 1

    Btw your story / argument had a couple of conflicting points. You said:

    "200 grams of TNT ... carry a suitcase to a location, open it and release a swarm of small drones"

    To fly around with 200 grams of TNT and deliver it effectively, you're going to need a drone at least the size of a typical hobby drones like the DJI Phantom. That's 20"*20"*8". A "large" suitcase (airline standards) is 30"*19", so that'll hold a "swarm" of exactly one drone. Let's give your attacker an extra large suitcase so he can have a "swarm" of two.

  47. Re: Ob by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Jaapie is a Dutch name.

  48. Why this reluctance? by paai · · Score: 1

    I never understood the reluctance to develop weapons like the drones described here, or at least the emphasis on the problem whether innocent bystanders could be killed without human intervention. It did not stop bombing of open cities or the use of atomic bombs, where no human intervention was needed to select which individual had to die and who not.

    Paai

    1. Re:Why this reluctance? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's certainly a reluctance to use atomic bombs now though, and it's not easy to get make them. These would be made with off the shelf parts so accessible to pretty much anyone. And you can't stop them killing innocent bystanders without human intervention because someone could write their own software without such restrictions.

    2. Re:Why this reluctance? by NicknameUnavailable · · Score: 1

      Just because it can be made with off the shelf parts doesn't mean it is simple to make, or within the realm of anyone but the intellectual elite. To make an autonomous bug-sized drone swarm capable of poisoning people you would have to know how to program for swarm dynamics, how to fit some super-advanced image recognition into the package (i.e. spotting someone's skin instead of landing and shooting your load on a table,) and the production capability to make a bunch of them. It would take a highly competent nerd with mastery of chemistry, biology, robotics, and programming half a decade doing nothing else to put this into practice, and frankly nerds don't kill people.

  49. Outlaw killer robots and by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Only the bad guys will have killer robots

  50. Poison rather than explosive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's odd how in the film the drones fly up real close, but then use mechanical destruction of tissue (projectile) instead of injecting a poisonous or similar agent.

    1. Re:Poison rather than explosive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      It's odd how in the film the drones fly up real close, but then use mechanical destruction of tissue (projectile) instead of injecting a poisonous or similar agent.

      a chunk of lead in front of an explosive is likely to be a bit more reliable than a spring-loaded "epipen" design filled with a chemical. It's not really odd when you think about K.I.S.S. methodology.

  51. I Want Mine Better and Stronger by JimSadler · · Score: 1, Interesting

    If the US went to war with China our only hope would be nuclear war. There are simply so many Chinese that we would be dwarfed by their numbers. The US would have no good choice other than robotic warfare. Therefore I want my bots to be stronger, meaner and more in numbers as well as quantities to prevent a really horrific war. There are also huge monetary concerns. What does it cost for one prison guard? Lethal bots that prevented escapes would save us a king's ransom. Your local convenience store and gas station might also be a lot better off if robbers had no chance at all of pulling stick ups without bots taking them out. We could also gain control of our streets making crime next to impossible so that civilians could walk at any hour of day or night without fear. Also mass shootings might be eliminated as drones would be all over a gunman when he acted out. We might also learn quite a bit. These days when we pass laws and supposedly try to prevent certain situations we really don't want to control those crimes. As an example hookers know to work the expensive hotels as they rarely get arrested in expensive locations. But if they try to work in cheap motels the cops will be all over them. The truth is that the expensive hotels do more business if they have some good looking girls available and the richer folk who haunt these hotels want to be able to hire girls when they get the urge. Since drones could be used to track hookers and summon management you can bet that you won't see that in the expensive hotels. Gated communities act the same way. Some escorts will only go to gated communities as the cops simply do not interfere behind those gates. Our system accommodates certain crimes for certain people.

    1. Re:I Want Mine Better and Stronger by gtall · · Score: 1

      Hmm....so you are saying the Chinese are busy building ships to get them here? Those bastards!!

    2. Re:I Want Mine Better and Stronger by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      Very interesting comment, but Poe'ly written.

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
    3. Re:I Want Mine Better and Stronger by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wait, so you're placing your hopes on the USA being able to build more little crappy toy drones than China? Oh man, we are so fucked! If there is any hope it all, it will be in getting China to build our China-killer drones for us.

  52. Better get a portable EMP by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Protect yourself from slaughterbots with a portable EMP.
    https://hackaday.com/2016/10/12/become-very-unpopular-very-fast-with-this-diy-emp-generator/

    1. Re:Better get a portable EMP by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What, and fuck up my phone? I think it would be easier to just die.

  53. Re:MOD PARENT DOWN -1 FLAMEBAIT by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Because he's as dumb as a box of rocks?

  54. Slashdot you're letting me down by AndyKron · · Score: 1

    WTF is this ad? Net Neutrality is still in danger. Click here and get a 2nd phone line for $25? Slashdot you're letting me down.

  55. Re: Ob by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    And Jock is a Scottish one, Mick is an Irish one and Fritz is a German one. Still, it's good you pointed it out.

    It's a funny old world, and no mistake.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  56. Whoops, botched a link by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    1911 barrel is 3 1/8 oz. P90 barrel is .5 lb. A cheap 450-sized quad can carry over 2lb. You could have four rifle shots for that, if your rounds were electrically triggered.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    1. Re:Whoops, botched a link by Highdude702 · · Score: 1

      LOL yea, fire a rifle round out of a hobby drone.. the drone will fly in the opposite direction wanted, and the lead will stay stationary almost and drop with very little velocity... Have you ever fired a gun, let alone a rifle?!?

    2. Re:Whoops, botched a link by ElizabethGreene · · Score: 1

      >> fire a rifle round out of a hobby drone..
      >> the drone will fly in the opposite direction
      >> the lead will stay stationary almost

      Conservation of momentum indicates that your assertion is incorrect.

      See also:
      https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

    3. Re: Whoops, botched a link by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fire a bullet in both directions at the same time.

      Also here is a video of a hobby drone firing a gun.

      https://youtu.be/FI--wFfipvA

    4. Re:Whoops, botched a link by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Have you ever fired a gun, let alone a rifle?!?

      My rifle is a Peruvian Mauser.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    5. Re:Whoops, botched a link by Highdude702 · · Score: 1

      Will check video out after work, and shortly after I commented I thought about if the drone was moving forward it would stop the equal separation in both directions. Then I also thought about aiming which from a drone controlled by a phone or even a good hand held controller, will be almost an impossibility. So I'm going to say that the momentum at time of firing will be very little going in any direction. Let's face it a rifle round on a drone isn't a good weapon.. Now maybe a 22LR because there will be a lot less mass and a lot less powder. Still can't see it being easy to be accurate or even deadly unless you're within feet of somebody.

  57. Revelation 9:3-11 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    for comparison:
    Rev 9:3-11

  58. Re:Pointless (it's not) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's never pointless to spread awareness. Videos like these help people think further than they otherwise would, if it helps just one extra safety measure to be implemented into whatever thing that could be weaponized I think it's well worth the effort.

  59. You can't hide from them. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't think that AI won't get so smart that they will recognize a human if another human can. Even if you mask yourself so well that even other humans won't be able to see you the AI still can (it can read your heat or hear your heartbeat).

    The video is just an example. Don't try to counter anything in it, take in its message.

  60. Football Helmet? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you're worried, wear a football helmet on top of your tinfoil...

    Also, what about false positives?

  61. Fucking auto-playing videos by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

    Can we get a link to a website that doesn't waste my bandwidth by auto-loading and auto-playing videos I have no intention to watch?

    --
    #DeleteFacebook
  62. Re:The truth usually gets censored... apk by Highdude702 · · Score: 1

    Ban bump stocks and the mass shootings will stop.

    If you honestly believe this than you're a fucking moron, not to mention banning things has worked so well for us in the past. glad I don't have to worry about my child getting a hold of some heroin on the streets.. They will only use it when the government and their ilk say its ok.

  63. Very "asymmetric" threat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The problem is that this technology is very asymmetric (in the DOD sense). Any 4 nutjobs with college degrees and $5,000 could target anyone with very little risk to themselves. But it would take a huge investment and loss of freedoms to contain that threat.

    Ask yourself: "What would ISIS do with this technology?"

    What about Putin? He kills his national political opponents now. If he had this he could do it world wide.

    1. Re:Very "asymmetric" threat by Aristos+Mazer · · Score: 1

      Is it asymmetric? If they have a whole cloud of drones, you can defend against it with your own cloud of drones. And if you build your own cloud of drones, that cloud can also be used for offense. Asymmetric, as I understand it, is when you have to spend a lot on defense and it doesn't buy you any offense. This is more symmetric because it is really just like equalizing soldiers on a battlefield. If they have 10 drones and you have 10 drones, you can fight them to a standstill. But if you have 100 drones, you can overpower their numbers. Defense is achieved by spending the same amount of money that your opponent spent... that's symmetry.

    2. Re:Very "asymmetric" threat by Henning+Rogge · · Score: 1

      Is it asymmetric? If they have a whole cloud of drones, you can defend against it with your own cloud of drones. And if you build your own cloud of drones, that cloud can also be used for offense. Asymmetric, as I understand it, is when you have to spend a lot on defense and it doesn't buy you any offense. This is more symmetric because it is really just like equalizing soldiers on a battlefield. If they have 10 drones and you have 10 drones, you can fight them to a standstill. But if you have 100 drones, you can overpower their numbers. Defense is achieved by spending the same amount of money that your opponent spent... that's symmetry.

      if you don't have a "front line" with well defined "battle zones" an attacker with an easy to transport weapon system has always an advantage. Defending against swarms as in the video would require the defender to have "defense swarms" everywhere... while the attacker can drive his swarm close to the destination to launch a concentrated attack.

    3. Re:Very "asymmetric" threat by Aristos+Mazer · · Score: 1

      I was looking at trying to defend an individual from targeted attack... in that case, the front line is the region around the "person of interest" where the two drone clouds would encounter each other. If everyone is a "person of interest" then that means every individual person who wants to survive in that environment is a combatant who maintains her/his own defense region. To attack everyone would require spending as much as everyone spends on defense (or vice versa: survival requires a defender spend as much as the attacker spends on offense). We all have immune systems against viruses. We will each need an immune system against drones... possibly very small drones. It remains symmetric, unlike bio/chem/nuke weapons where the spending on defense must be massively higher than the spending on offense, if it can even be done.

    4. Re:Very "asymmetric" threat by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      To attack everyone would require spending as much as everyone spends on defense

      But you wouldn't attack everyone. The attacker's advantage is that he knows where the action is going to be and can concentrate his forces there. This is the Schwerpunkt concept as seen in France, 1940.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  64. Not black powder, and velocity of detonation isn't by raymorris · · Score: 0

    >is many times more powerful per gram than the black powder found inside the black cat mentioned by the grandparent

    Firecrackers aren't made with black powder. They are made with flash powder. Basically dark aluminum or magnesium and are potassium perchlorate.

    > Apples and oranges sir. Your black cat is not even in the same class as the material

    You said in the very next sentence after you made a misleading comparison as if they were the same type. Even within the same class, velocity of detonation is not brisance, and not "explosive force". C4 detonates. Black powder and flash powder combust, so yeah apples and oranges, or apples and weekdays. Saying C4 has "20 times the explosive force" of black powder (or flash powder) is non-sensical - that statement needs work to even achieve the status of "wrong". You may as well have said "steel is 20 times as happy as Tuesday".

  65. Re:Not black powder, and velocity of detonation is by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Splitting hairs, yet informative! But the point lost in all the detail was that C4 is by-weight more deadly than a firecracker, and if carried by a drone in place of a firecracker could make a drone feasible as an assassination device.

  66. Re:The problem is they're too easy to mod. by anon+mouse-cow-aard · · Score: 1

    As well as being low-cost, think about future defibrilator drones that will understand when someone falls down and needs them, flies to them, and administers the life saving treatment, or drones that follow diabetics around with an auto-injector. Give those drones the wrong drug, or the wrong settings, and they kill. Just like a hammer can hit the head of a nail or a person. Or send a bomb in parcel delivered by amazon delivery drone. I dont understand how to implement a ban on killer drones that doesnt take out all kinds of life saving ones at the same time.

  67. I don't think you understand casual racism by rsilvergun · · Score: 1

    The word 'cunt' is basically a feminine form of 'dickwad'. In that context it's no different than adding an 'a' instead of an 'o' at the end of some words in Spanish.

    You point out that these people use the n-word all day long and say they do it without racist intent, but then pass up black or Mexican sounding names. What you're missing is causal and institutionalized racism. It's when you do it without you even know you're doing it. In a lot of ways that's worse than overt racism because it's harder as hell to fight. Hell, you can make things _worse_ trying to fight it, like the left did with forced busing in the 60s.

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
  68. Re:Not black powder, and velocity of detonation is by wierd_w · · Score: 1

    Flash powder is not exclusively used in typical bangpops. Black powder is indeed often used.

    However, for the sake of argument, let's use flash powder. It indeed does burn significantly faster-- 25000 feet per second. (Not too shabby, and in the same general ballpark as C4. However, a significant fraction of a fire cracker is paper and clay containment. You dont need that with a plastic explosive, meaning you get more actual explosive for the payload. There is maybe a gram of flash powder inside a black cat, if that.)

    However, there is a significant caveat. Again, this kind of explosive detonates uniformly. The explosion goes in all directions.

    A shaped explosion focuses the majority of the concussive force of the explosion on a very small area. Still apples and oranges.

    As for your nonsense rambling there at the end, I am sorry, I cant fix your stupidness. Comparing burn rates, and giving a "foo times more explosive force" is very much comparing apples to apples. Specifically, it is comparing burn rates to burn rates. Want to know the magic you are missing there smart ass? An object "Detonates" when the burn rate exceeds the speed of sound (which causes a pressure wave to form.) Black powder burns at subsonic speeds, and thus does not detonate. (It relies on an external compression sleeve to focus the gases created by combustion to focus that energy. In a gun, this is the combination of the cartridge shell and the barrel. In a fire cracker, it is the paper body and clay plugs at the ends. This is important, because of the aside I mentioned prior-- most of the mass of the black cat is paper and clay. With a high explosive, you dont need that. With a shaped high explosive, that force can be focused on a very tiny (say, 2cm dia) area. Two very important bits you of course, speciously omitted in any of your posts, while insisting on being a douche bag and splitting hairs.)

    If after correcting your absurdity as I did above, you are still too stupid to realize that you are fucking wrong, I am sorry. Go fuck yourself, I'm done with you,

  69. I was going to say, in non-technical terms, danger by raymorris · · Score: 1

    Yeah I started to follow up my post by saying;

    Putting aside the fact that no specific number can compare the two since they work in fundamentally different ways, a C4 explosion is intuitively "more dangerous" than a flash powder or black powder explosion. I've made high explosives and made a lot of low explosives, so I wanted to some idea of how "strong" they are in comparison. That's kinda like asking how much stronger Jim Beam whiskey is than solar power, but what I came up with was high explosives such as C4 are very roughly twice as dangerous as low explosives such as Flash powder. That's when both are exploding - it doesn't factor in stability, which varies greatly within each class.

  70. Detonation is not fast combustion by raymorris · · Score: 1

    >An object "Detonates" when the burn rate exceeds the speed of sound

    Detonation is a pressure reaction, it is not burning (which is a heat-based reaction). Not even burning "really fast".

    The same compound may be able to both burn (combust) and detonate. Burning is always at a rate less than the speed of sound, so if you measure the reaction to be happening faster than the speed of sound, it must be detonating rather than burning (or detonating in addition to detonating - the products of RDX combust in the air after the RDX itself detonates).

    FYI you happen to be talking to a guy who makes explosives regularly. I've made high explosives. So please get the basic terminology down before you try to call me stupid. When you don't even grasp the basic concepts, like the difference between detonation and combustion, you make yourself look stupid arguing with those of us who do, and have decades of experience.

    1. Re:Detonation is not fast combustion by wierd_w · · Score: 1

      You are aware of how a bullet gets fired, right?

      A primer cap filled with crushed glass and lead azide has a little "hammer" inside it that compresses the mixture inducing a small detonation. That detonation then detonates the powder in the shell.

      In a fire cracker, a burning fuse extends into a sealed container (usually made of paper and clay)- when the inner explosive mix is ignited, it produces lots of gas. This increases the pressure inside the firecracker until the rest of the explosive detonates from the rapid increase in that pressure. (When it does NOT do that, it shoots off like a bottle rocket.)

      Using your jargon, the black cat still detonates. It just does so using a sacrificial pressure vessel to achieve the detonation pressure.

      Since we are discussing items that do indeed detonate when there is sufficient pressure (both the black cat, and the shaped explosive), we are still comparing apples to apples.

      This then goes to explosive force per gram of material. This comes from a number of factors: Rate of combustion (since it needs to combust faster than the pressure wave that initiates the reaction to sustain that compression wave), and amount of expansion of the end products being the main ones. Black powder burns very slowly, but still detonates when combusted in an enclosed chamber. (If it did not, you couldn't make guns with it.) It lacks much power as an explosive agent, because uncombusted material falls behind the detonation front, and does not contribute meaningfully to the pressure wave. The rate of combustion is very important in that respect; Uncombusted explosive that does not burn faster than the speed of sound cannot apply force to the shock front. In a gun, that waste is taken up by the barrel; Combustion continues after the chamber in the barrel, and gases continue to exert pressure on the bullet as it leaves the gun. Most black powder munitions are subsonic, and this is a major factor in why. In a fire cracker, it adds pretty sparks; the primary detonation ends when the paper wrapper ruptures.

      The second feature is where there is a big difference between flash powder and C4. Flash powder detonates, and burns faster than the speed of sound, so the expansion of combustion adds to the shockwave. It also does not need an enclosing container to supply the pressure to initiate detonation in most cases. (a blasting cap inserted into the explosive without a housing is usually sufficient.) Both flash powder and C4 technically meet that requirement (but the loose powder nature of blasting powder typically requires a container of some sort, just not involved in the pressure to detonate. An open topped jar is fine.), but C4 produces much more volume of end product gases than does the flash powder, meaning that the force it puts on the pressure wave as it combusts is much greater.

      A typical consumer fire cracker's design is the same as one made from black powder, even if it contains flash powder instead. A fuse leads down into a paper barrel that has clay plugs at the ends. A burning ember begins combustion of the explosive, which rapidly produces gases faster than they can be expelled through the hole in the clay plug, a pressure wave forms, and the rest of the explosive detonates. The vast majority of the mass of the device is the paper and clay.

      C4 is an entirely different beast. You can light it on fire, and it will likely just go out. Instead, it uses a detonation cap of some kind to supply the needed pressure wave to initiate the combustion; again, it combusts faster than the speed of sound, so that combustion effectively adds to the pressure wave. It produces a large volume of gas product from that combustion, adding high energy to the shock front.

      This comes back to my original post, which was a refutation of your "basically a firecracker" argument.

      C4 explosive--
      1) Does not require a heavy pressure vessel to activate (a small percussion hammer cap will do.)
      2) Burns significantly faster than black powder (and still faster than

    2. Re:Detonation is not fast combustion by raymorris · · Score: 1

      > C4 explosive--
      > 1) Does not require a heavy pressure vessel to activate

      If you figure out WHY high explosives don't need a pressure vessel, you'll be well on your way to understanding the difference between combustion and detonation.

      Then you'll be ready to think about what would happen if, instead of a gun having *propellant* powder which combusts to produce gases which propel the bullet, you put C4 in a handgun and had it *detonate*.

  71. Yep, back to a hand grenade like I originally said by raymorris · · Score: 1

    Yep, something generally along the lines of that 400 gram grenade is about the sweet spot. (Which is why I said "grenade" in my original post. You could try a shaped charge (and good aim) but at this scale I'm not sure how much difference that makes - you get better yield in one direction, but need to aim, which means adding a gimble for aiming and gust of breeze can wreck your day.

    400g plus facial recognition computer is enough to hamper the flight performance of the drone, especially in a breeze, so range is limited, but it could be used. As you said, the drone needs to be within a few meters of the target, and recognize the right time to off, so that's a limitation. The secret service probably isn't going to let a drone within a couple meters of the president, but an attempt to kill a businessman with a drone and grenade might be successful. Of course, you could also just toss the grenade at the same businessman, or tie it to his car door so it goes off when he opens the door.

  72. Compare a pressure cooker (cooking pan) by raymorris · · Score: 1

    Like I said, sure you CAN attach a small pipe bomb to a drone. Basically a hand grenade. Or just throw the same pipe bomb with your hand.

    Compare the video you posted (trusting ISIS to present accurate truth, btw) to the Boston Marathon bombing, which used a pressure cooker, a cooking pan from the 1600s. I think you'll find that the 500 year old technology of a metal pot is more effective than a $700 drone. An attacker can also get about 10 or 20 cooking pots for the same price they'd pay for each drone.

    1. Re:Compare a pressure cooker (cooking pan) by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Ridiculous comparison. I can control a drone while sitting in a hot tub & sipping beer several miles away (if it actually needs controlling at all). To throw a grenade at someone I have to be uncomfortably close.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    2. Re:Compare a pressure cooker (cooking pan) by RespekMyAthorati · · Score: 1

      An attacker can also get about 10 or 20 cooking pots for the same price they'd pay for each drone.

      Sure, you can just pilot the flying cooking pot through a window, above the heads of the secret service agents, and explode it above the politician you are trying to kill.

      All you have to do is invent a flying cooking pot.
      Idiot.

  73. More of the Musky Paranoia by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Need less, not more

  74. WW3 by Max_W · · Score: 1

    More than 1.2 million people are killed every year in traffic accidents http://www.who.int/gho/road_sa... , about 3 times more badly wounded. These are the figures of a WW3.

    The situation will only worsen since cars become silent, overpowered, oversized, overweight, and capable to pick up a high speed almost instantly.

    It is not only traffic accidents, terrorists got it too. Overpowered cars and automatic guns are being used to attack innocent people in reality. However instead of regulating really harmful items, we have got 700 pages of the civil UAV regulations.

    1. Re:WW3 by SuricouRaven · · Score: 2

      I did some calculations a while ago. As of last year (or was it the year before?), the ten-year average annual deaths for terrorist attack in the US is less than that for lightning strikes, but greater than that for sharks.

      In Australia, the sharks scored more kills than the terrorists.

      The point here is that people are absolutely awful at estimating risk. They are highly biased to ignore the common, and consider only the exceptional.

  75. Recognizing irony key to transcending militarism by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 1

    Me being a broken record: http://www.pdfernhout.net/reco...

    Military robots like drones are ironic because they are created essentially to force humans to work like robots in an industrialized social order. Why not just create industrial robots to do the work instead?

    Nuclear weapons are ironic because they are about using space age systems to fight over oil and land. Why not just use advanced materials as found in nuclear missiles to make renewable energy sources (like windmills or solar panels) to replace oil, or why not use rocketry to move into space by building space habitats for more land?

    Biological weapons like genetically-engineered plagues are ironic because they are about using advanced life-altering biotechnology to fight over which old-fashioned humans get to occupy the planet. Why not just use advanced biotech to let people pick their skin color, or to create living arkologies and agricultural abundance for everyone everywhere?

    These militaristic socio-economic ironies would be hilarious if they were not so deadly serious. ...

    Likewise, even United States three-letter agencies like the NSA and the CIA, as well as their foreign counterparts, are becoming ironic institutions in many ways. Despite probably having more computing power per square foot than any other place in the world, they seem not to have thought much about the implications of all that computer power and organized information to transform the world into a place of abundance for all. Cheap computing makes possible just about cheap everything else, as does the ability to make better designs through shared computing. ...

    There is a fundamental mismatch between 21st century reality and 20th century security thinking. Those "security" agencies are using those tools of abundance, cooperation, and sharing mainly from a mindset of scarcity, competition, and secrecy. Given the power of 21st century technology as an amplifier (including as weapons of mass destruction), a scarcity-based approach to using such technology ultimately is just making us all insecure. Such powerful technologies of abundance, designed, organized, and used from a mindset of scarcity could well ironically doom us all whether through military robots, nukes, plagues, propaganda, or whatever else... Or alternatively, as Bucky Fuller and others have suggested, we could use such technologies to build a world that is abundant and secure for all.

    --
    A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
  76. Re:Pointless, IoT creates IED by SysEngineer · · Score: 1

    I single programmer can create the killer apps for others by designing the software and letting other people use it. Iot creates IED, Intelligent Explosive Device

  77. 1984 Dune - Hunter-Seeker drone by burningcpu · · Score: 1

    Reminds me of the Hunter-Seeker drone from Dune: https://youtu.be/bIVzK-h6qao?t...

  78. More like... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...a sales pitch to any US aligned oppressive regimes, e.g. Saudi Arabia, for gadgets to keep their populations under control. Effortlessly assassinate political organisers!

  79. "Mechanical Pesticide" by PJ6 · · Score: 1

    I tried my hand at writing science fiction with this idea years ago.

    Inspired by recent advances in solar power and energy storage, a young scientist invents insect-sized drones that control pests on crops by piercing them. It's an new, environmentally friendly, chemical-free way of farming: mechanical pesticide. The some bright spark at the pentagon realizes that, in sufficient numbers, the technology can be a new, 4th class of weapon of mass destruction, one that the US is free to openly develop and use because there are no treaties banning it yet. Nothing nuclear, chemical, or biological - being tiny, they just bore into a vein and take a ride into your heart. And to reflect their derision for human life, they decide to continue calling the machines "pesticide".

    I never published because I thought the story was both too horrible and too credible.

    1. Re:"Mechanical Pesticide" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey that sounds pretty cool. Have you seen videos of the laser that shoots parasites off salmon in Norwegian fish farms? It's commercial now. Bringing similar tech to farms will definitely happen. It seems to me that robots would be unlikely to catch and stab biological insects, but they could definitely identify them and "call in an airstrike" - probably from a laser overhead. I really like this idea, both as an improvement to agriculture and as a great doomsday scenario.

  80. Screamers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There was a good sci-fi movie in the late 90s where AI micro droids "swords" are used as weapons, and then decide to evolve. It was called screamers (IMDb ~6) and I enjoyed it. Does anyone remember that?

  81. Re:The truth usually gets censored... apk by Reverend+Green · · Score: 1

    Did you know many pieces of military equipment are controlled by computers? And many of those computers have a hosts file? Ban hosts files today, and the killing will stop!

  82. Re:Recognizing irony key to transcending militaris by Reverend+Green · · Score: 1

    But how would our masters make a profit in a world of abundance?

  83. Re:Yep, back to a hand grenade like I originally s by crunchygranola · · Score: 1

    A good directed fragmentation payload could get a reliable kill out to 25 meters (just think of it as one quarter segment of a Claymore mine), which is much more than "a couple of meters", a drone flying straight in and detonating at 25 meters might tax Secret Service perimeter protection to get the President behind cover before the kill shot was made. And only he and the VP have this level of protection. Anybody else in the U.S. would be far more vulnerable.

    And sure booby trapping a car and getting within physical attack range works (if get close enough to throw the grenade accurately, why not just shoot him?) but VIPs with body guards or security details make these things hard, and attacking the target yourself is generally one-time thing, you never get another chance as you will end up in custody (and possibly deceased). With drones you can attack from long range and not get caught. Big, big difference.

    A human piloted drone would be a better single-target assassination weapon (as the U.S. drone program proves regularly). The Slaughterbots video emphasizes AI and facial recognition because using those technologies you can have autonomous attacks at large scale. Even in the case of attacking a U.S. President a swarm attack of drones that simply recognize heads (no need to find recognize faces) will permit a small swarm to indiscriminantly kill everyone in the vicinity of the President, including him or her.

    Also the video is absolutely correct if you can get 3 grams of HE in close contact with a human head, by having the drone simply fly into the target, it will kill the target. I cited the use of fragmentation devices simply to show that even actual contact is not needed so that impenetrable perimeter defenses have to be deployed quite a ways away.

    --
    Second class citizen of the New Gilded Age
  84. Wedlock style drones by pelpet · · Score: 1

    I would expect non-lethal wedlock style drones that swarms people, stuns them with tazers and attach drones with trackers, cameras and microphones around their neck. If you try to take them off, they taze your spinal cord and call in reinforcements. Then they monitor everything everyone does or says. The massive drone swarm is controlled by AI, effectivly forcing everyone to obey the dronemasters. Since such a swarm is non-lethal, the barrier to deploy it is low.

  85. Perhaps. Shaped charge not exactly a bomb or a gun by raymorris · · Score: 1

    Perhaps it would. I certainly wouldn't want to press one against my forehead.

    The summary referred to the tiny drones as carrying "bombs" and that's what I took issue with. That's kinda like calling a .380 pistol round a bomb.

  86. You didn't read / watch the video before linking? by raymorris · · Score: 1

    Next time you link to something to make your point, you might want to read / watch it first. Then you can learn something and avoid looking silly.

    The first response in that thread is a video, which I'll discuss in a moment. The second response says:

    --
    In real word, life or death self defense shootings it is not uncommon for shooters to miss man size targets up to 70% of the time within a few yards distance.
    --

    The next response:
    --
    For a new shooter 7-10 meters.
    For an average shooter no more than 25 meters.
    --

    The question there is the effective range - the range at which shooting an attacker is likely to stop the attack. Killing them is quite a different matter.

    Now let's consider the video in the first reply, which included a Keltec Sub 2000 rifle. That's a rifle I'm quite familiar with, as friends of mine posting on the Keltec site I owned tested it extensively into ballistics gel. Let's just consider the video that you yourself linked to as one of the answers, though. Of the 12 shots fired, from the rifle, shot #8 finally hit part of the target. Two shots hit in the shoulder area or just over the shoulder, so if the target were a man those would have either missed or hurt, but certainly wouldn't have been lethal. One of 12 shots was within the torso, so it might have been lethal, maybe.

  87. *lift* maybe, not so much carry by raymorris · · Score: 1

    A man can lift.1,000 pounds:

    https://i.ytimg.com/vi/SBFTB7X...

    A man can run at 25 MPH:
    https://3c1703fe8d.site.intern...

    A man cannot carry 1,000 pounds at 25 MPH. In fact, a man can't even take a single step while holding 1,000 pounds.

    As discussed above, adding weight to a quad very quickly degrades performance, to the point that to deliver a 1Kg load a potato gun is more effective than a drone.

    1. Re:*lift* maybe, not so much carry by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Well, that's a fair point. You might want to spend slightly more money. For less than twice the money you can put twice the motors and props on it, which won't double the carrying capacity but will increase it. Or you can go up a size class for less than a grand.

      I probably ought to dig out my varmint rifle, take off the stock, and measure what's left if I really want a meaningful weight. That's a tube-fed semi-automatic .22LR Winchester which in its typical complete configuration holds about 14 or 15+1. Something like that would be ideal, even .22LR is dangerous with some hot loads and good aim.

      I have no intention of building anything of the sort, though. I still haven't even got around to putting a camera gimbal on my dead cat.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:*lift* maybe, not so much carry by raymorris · · Score: 1

      > I have no intention of building anything of the sort, though. I still haven't even got around to putting a camera gimbal on my dead cat.

      Lol

      > even .22LR is dangerous with some hot loads and good aim.

      Dangerous, certainly. And most people shot with a 9mm or .40 don't die. Those are many times more powerful than a .22LR. I think for a mission like this you'd want much more than "dangerous".

      Bullets can kill animals or people in three ways:

      Blood loss
      Hitting the spinal cord (impossible on purpose) or brain
      Destroying vital organs

      Basically almost nobody is going to bleed out if they get prompt medical attention. Hitting the spinal cord is a one-in-a-million shot. So that leaves either destroying vital organs with big, fast powerful bullets, or going for the brain. You can live okay with one lung or half a kidney or whatever, so to be reliably lethal an attacker would need to really shot someone up - a a couple little holes from .22 would hurt, but presumably the idea is to kill them, not hurt them.

    3. Re:*lift* maybe, not so much carry by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      You can live okay with one lung or half a kidney or whatever, so to be reliably lethal an attacker would need to really shot someone up - a a couple little holes from .22 would hurt, but presumably the idea is to kill them, not hurt them.

      Put five or six holes from a .22 into them, and see how they fare. With a proper feed mechanism you have more than fifteen rounds, since .22LR is so dinky and light. It will also basically solve the recoil problem.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  88. Re:You didn't read / watch the video before linkin by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    For an average shooter no more than 25 meters.

    Amazing how 25 feet turned into 25 meters there, sport.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  89. Amazing you don't know "no more than". Broadband? by raymorris · · Score: 1

    You're not a Comcast customer, are you? "Up to" and "no more than" mean the same thing - not likely to happen too often in reality. (Comcast customers have experience with this.)

  90. Re:Recognizing irony key to transcending militaris by default+luser · · Score: 1

    Let's assume you create this ideal world of plenty.

    What happens in 100 more years when the Earth's population has doubled again, and there's just not enough room/food/water - again?

    OR what happens when your Gaia gets hijacked by an autocrat, and you're all out of guns?

    The reason we maintain an arsenal is for when the shit hits the fan. It just so happens that coming up with a viable threat against millions of idiots (with minimal casualties) gets expensive. But it also just so happens that having such an effective arsenal brings peace to the majority or large countries in this world.

    If you have no guns, then someone else will bring theirs to the party. Consider it one of the costs of maintaining society.

    --

    Man is the animal that laughs.
    And occasionally whores for Karma.

  91. Wait - so what is the solution to this? by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 1

    I know it probably says somewhere, and I'd be happy to be wrong, but I'm pretty sure the proposed solution to this is going to be some kind of treaty to ban it. Because that totally works and explains why banned things do not exist.

  92. Totally depends on placement. Acupuncture by raymorris · · Score: 1

    That totally depends on shot placement. My brother was shot point blank with a 22 and didn't even go to the doctor. Four or five 22 shots can be acupuncture. Seriously a 7 gauge hypodermic needle is commonly used by doctors and that's .18 inches - almost as big as a .22 round. I think my doctor may have used a 7 gauge (.18) when I had a pneumothorax. A 22 to the chest can bounce right off the rib and need nothing more than a bandage.

    On the other hand, if it hits the forehead perpendicular to the skull, so it doesn't glance off sideways, it can certainly kill. A .22 is kinda like a hammer - getting hit with a hammer normally only hurts for a couple minutes, but certainly people have been killed by a hammer attack.

    Then again, my friend put a shotgun in his mouth and lived, so you never know.

  93. Shoot down all drones by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

    This isn't FUD so far as I'm concerned, it's something someone is inevitably going to do. All the more reason to shoot down drones encroaching on your privacy. Seriously, I wish no one had invented the damned things in the first place, they've become nothing more than a nuisance at best, and a scourge at worst.

  94. Already Illegal by NicknameUnavailable · · Score: 1

    Bug-sized drones aren't exactly large enough for a payload other than chemical or biological, both of which are already outlawed globally in war.

  95. You're holding it wrong by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    Handguns are only effective out to about 20 feet

    You're supposed to hold it so the pipe-thingy is facing away from you and pull the little lever underneath.

    Not chuck the damn thing at the enemy.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  96. Several hundred feet by raymorris · · Score: 1

    > . I can control a drone while sitting in a hot tub & sipping beer several miles away

    With a 400gram load (a grenade) attached, range is several hundred feet, maybe a thousand feet, depending on the breeze. The range of a pneumatic potato gun is about 1000 yards - a little bit more than the drone.

    1. Re:Several hundred feet by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      And how accurate is it at that range?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  97. Re:Perhaps. Shaped charge not exactly a bomb or a by RespekMyAthorati · · Score: 1

    The summary referred to the tiny drones as carrying "bombs" and that's what I took issue with.

    What else would you call a shaped charge of C4?
    Clearly your analysis above demonstrated that you were foolishly assuming the use of black powder. You must be embarrassed as hell.

  98. Pan goes through a window a lot easier than plasti by raymorris · · Score: 1

    Given that anywhere the secret service is, the windows are closed, I think you'll find a metal pan breaks through a window a lot easier than a plastic drone does. It also makes a much bigger explosion, breaking through windows all around.

  99. Re:Recognizing irony key to transcending militaris by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 1

    There's room for hundreds of billions of people on Earth given better designs. Even if there weren't there is room for quadrillions of humans and associated biosphere in self-replicating space habitats around the solar system.
    http://pdfernhout.net/princeto...

    Further, the big problem industrialized nations face now is actually falling populations. For an extreme example, Italy may be the future for us all (if we survive the slaughterbots and engineered plagues and nukes etc made by people with scarcity worldviews):
    https://www.theguardian.com/wo...
    ""We are very close to the threshold of non-renewal where the people dying are not replaced by new-borns. That means we are a dying country," Health Minister Beatrice Lorenzin said. "This situation has enormous implications for every sector: the economy, society, health, pensions, just to give a few examples," Lorenzin said. "We need a wake-up call and a real change of culture to turn the trend around in the coming years," added the minister.""

    Even the USA is below replacement without immigration.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
    "As of 2010, about 48% (3.3 billion people) of the world population lives in nations with sub-replacement fertility.[3] Nonetheless most of these countries still have growing populations due to immigration, population momentum and increase of the life expectancy. This includes most nations of Europe, Canada, Australia, Brazil, Russia, Iran, Tunisia, China, the United States and many others. In 2015, all European Union countries had a sub-replacement fertility rate, ranging from a low of 1.31 in Portugal to a high of 1.96 in France.[4]"

    Let's say people do need an "arsenal" to keep the peace. How big should it be? The USA, for example, spends essentially all its surplus and then some on an arsenal. Which is part of why we in the USA can't have nice things like pothole-free roads without tolls, longer vacations, high speed broadband, first-rate medical care for everyone, community makerspaces everywhere, tuition-free college, and so on...
    https://www.nationalpriorities...

    Needless competition, artificial scarcity, and huge for-profit prison populations are other reasons we can't have nice things:
    http://www.alfiekohn.org/artic...
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    People are a lot less likely to support autocrats and so on if they aren't desperate.
    "The Desperate Middle-Class Voters Who Made Trump the Republican Nominee"
    http://time.com/money/4318531/...

    Strangely, the USA has the most guns and now also is getting increasingly autocratic -- how does that fit into your model of why we need an arsenal?

    --
    A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.