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Norway Will Make All Short-Haul Flights Electric By 2040 (independent.co.uk)

Norway's public operator of air transport plans to make all short-haul flights in the country entirely electric by 2040. "State-owned Avinor, which operates most of Norway's civil airports, is aiming to be the 'first in the world' to switch to electric air transport," reports The Independent. From the report: "We think that all flights lasting up to 1.5 hours can be flown by aircraft that are entirely electric," chief executive Dag Falk-Petersen told AFP. The announcement confirms Norway's reputation as a leader in electric power. In a 2017 report, Avinor announced that in cooperation with the Norwegian Sports Aviation Association and major airlines, it had set up a development project for electric aircraft. Avinor said it had "called for Norway to be established as a test arena and innovation center for the development of electric aircraft." Avinor intends to reduce aircraft greenhouse gas emissions in the short term by phasing in biofuels in the coming years, and then build on these reductions by phasing in electric planes.

206 comments

  1. Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    "Flight 666, I know you're at 1% battery, but maintain flight level 3 5 0 while we land more prominent flights."

    1. Re: Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are the airplanes also single use disposable? Power density per pound of battery is not approaching avgas or jet a. Believe it or not the same plane that flies one hour, may be used to fly six hours. What idiot would have a fleet of one or two hour only aircraft?

    2. Re: Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What you get when u have the government running things.

    3. Re:Nope by Rei · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The funny thing is, electric aircraft can regenerate on descent. If for some strange reason you "ran out of power" in the air, yes, you'd have to make an emergency landing, but it would be an emergency powered landing. Unlike the unpowered landing a combustion-powered aircraft landing has to make if it runs out of fuel.

      --
      Santa Ana Winds: Like the Dustbowl, but with awards shows.
    4. Re: Nope by vtcodger · · Score: 1

      "What idiot would have a fleet of one or two hour only aircraft?"

      Norwegian idiots apparently.

      Personally, I'd wait until I had a few years experience with electric aircraft in a variety of environments and weather conditions before I decreed liquid fuel to be passe.

      BTW, how many kwhr do they plan to stuff into these things in how many minutes in order to turn their aircraft around for a return flight?

      --
      You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
    5. Re: Nope by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 4, Insightful

      2040 is 22 years from now. So some politician gets publicity and greenie support while needing to budget nothing, negotiate nothing, and pay no consequences since he will be retired long before anything happens.

      A lot can change in 22 years, so by 2040 electric flights may actually make sense, but that won't be because of any political pronouncements. It is nerds that change the world, not politicians.

    6. Re: Nope by ceoyoyo · · Score: 3, Informative

      You can probably fly pretty much anywhere in Norway and to the capitals of her neighbours in that amount of time. I live in Canada, which is huge, but most of the traffic is on ~1 hour short haul routes.

      Personally, I'd wait until I had a few years experience with electric aircraft in a variety of environments and weather conditions before I decreed liquid fuel to be passe.

      2040 is still a ways off.

    7. Re: Nope by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

      BTW, how many kwhr do they plan to stuff into these things in how many minutes in order to turn their aircraft around for a return flight?

      You can refuel as fast as a jet if you use liquid H2 feeding into fuel cells. That still counts as "electric".

      Liquid H2 has three times the energy density of jet fuel. 140 MJ/kg for H2, vs 43 MJ/kg for jet fuel. A fuel cell is twice as energy efficient. So that gives you a total of six times the range per kg of fuel.

    8. Re:Nope by jshackney · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Chip hasn't exactly been active on that blog for a while. Did he ever regenerate more than 2%? The drag on this system would be tremendous. I think it would make a better speed brake than a power regeneration system. In my aircraft, I have to descend at least at a 6-degree angle (or greater) in order for the weight of the plane to drive the N1. And that's a mostly free turbine (it does turn an accessory box for hydraulic and electric). I can't imagine putting a heavy electric-generating load onto a propeller system and recovering enough energy to do more than 60-90 seconds of modest powered flight. Perhaps that would be enough to make that one final correction on landing, but if it's not enough to do a go-around, it's just not enough.

    9. Re: Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      LH2 is also less dense in terms of mass per volume than jet fuel is, and is cryogenic requiring heavy fuel tanks.

    10. Re: Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If God had meant us to fly electrically, he would have given us electric wings

    11. Re: Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In that time, they will probably have better solar panel efficiency, better battery capacity.

    12. Re: Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > What you get when u have the government running things.

      The USA is what you get when you don't have a government running things.

    13. Re:Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Regenerating generates significant drag, which requires a steeper descent and significantly changed the glide range.

    14. Re: Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unless you have a decent way to make jet fuel from solar and wind power, then it doesn't make any difference what the downsides are.

    15. Re: Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      2040 is 22 years from now. So some politician gets publicity and greenie support while needing to budget nothing, negotiate nothing, and pay no consequences since he will be retired long before anything happens.

      A lot can change in 22 years, so by 2040 electric flights may actually make sense, but that won't be because of any political pronouncements. It is nerds that change the world, not politicians.

      Are you bi-polar ShanghaiBill?

      You usually switch arguments every other post, but here you're switched arguments between your first and second paragraph.

    16. Re:Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Combustion powered aircraft have ram air turbines that do the same thing.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ram_air_turbine

    17. Re:Nope by Rei · · Score: 2

      It certainly steepens your descent profile, but the scenario in question was the plane running out of power while circling. And even a couple minutes worth of propulsion at landing makes a world of difference (2% of a 90 minute flight = nearly 2 minutes).

      but if it's not enough to do a go-around, it's just not enough.

      Seriously, you're demanding go-around capability on emergency, out-of-"fuel" landings?

      --
      Santa Ana Winds: Like the Dustbowl, but with awards shows.
    18. Re: Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The energy density of a battery can never come close to that of carbon fuel. Combustion engines don't need to carry oxygen, or carry their exhaust afterwards.

    19. Re: Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Liquid H2 is about 8.5 MJ/l while jet fuel is more like 37.4 MJ/l. Even being twice as efficient means that you need twice the volume of fuel tanks.

      And fuel tanks that can keep LH2 liquid (-253 C)need a lot of insulation. If you use gas instead of liquid then you can get 9 MJ/l at 10 kpsi, but then you have to make tanks that can withstand the pressure and not leak too much.

      Not to mention how explosive all that hydrogen is! You can store it as a metal hydride so it's not explosive and you'll get 11.5 MJ/l, but then you only get 2 MJ/kg.

      dom

    20. Re: Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is beyond rational doubt and discourse we observe the earth to be round, like a pancake! yummie!

    21. Re: Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Which is a good reason to live there (except for the times when the government ignores the Constitution).

    22. Re: Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Seems pretty consistent reasoning. Please point out where the "argument" changed.

    23. Re:Nope by joe_frisch · · Score: 2

      All aircraft can trade potential energy (altitude) for range. Even in an electric, rather then use the engines as generators it would be more efficient to feather the props and make use of the improved glide.

      Its a way that aircraft are fundamentally different from cars and why electric airplanes don't get the same sort of efficiency win.

      You could use regenerative breaking rather than putting out drag devices (spoilers and similar) but those are generally used for a small percentage of flight time because they are inefficient.

    24. Re: Nope by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      And fuel tanks that can keep LH2 liquid (-253 C)need a lot of insulation.

      You only need a lot of insulation for long term storage. If you gas-up-and-go, you will be drawing out gaseous H2 to feed the fuel cell even faster than it boils off.

      Not to mention how explosive all that hydrogen is!

      Gasoline is more explosive than hydrogen. Either can be handled safely with appropriate equipment and procedures.

    25. Re:Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You have absolutely no idea what you're talking about.

      Source: Anyone who flies motor gliders.

    26. Re: Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Huh? Somalia is what you get when you don't have a government running things. People come back looking at these comments for years so let's try not to fudge the truth by orders of subjective magnitude.

    27. Re:Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And exactly how is this different to an aircraft running low in fuel? Idiot with mouth flapping, brain disengaged.

    28. Re: Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Synthesizing hydrocarbons is an established technology, we've been doing it successfully for decades now. The synthetic oil that people buy for their automobiles is often made from natural gas. Synthesizing the natural gas to get the process started is trivial, but they use natural gas because it is cheap. The energy used to synthesize the motor oil is now derived primarily from coal, nuclear, and natural gas, again because it is cheap, getting that energy from wind and solar is trivial as well.

      The reason we don't burn synthesized hydrocarbons is because it is far cheaper to burn petroleum. Using wind and solar power to synthesize fuel is a solved problem, technically. What concerns me is that if we get to a point where we are using wind and solar to synthesize jet fuel then we've got to a point were only royalty could afford to fly. The rest of us would be doing transoceanic travel by sailboat.

      We aren't going to be flying in electric planes either. If we get to the day where electricity is cheap enough to power an aircraft then someone is going to find a way to turn that electricity into jet fuel, and kill any attempts to fly an electric plane by being cheaper. Perhaps a few wealthy people might fly an electric plane out of some novelty. Much like how the wealthy flew in supersonic aircraft, even though it burned something like four times the fuel to do it compared to a subsonic flight.

    29. Re: Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Actually, I'm sure to deprecate the government as a whole and for that I must apologize, which I do with sincerity; lots of good people work in the government, trying to make the best from bat shit orders coming from the higher echelons. Again: sorry for the dumb generalization.

      Also, it was figurative language; of course the US has a government, but now it's probably not working at its full performance, since someone is worried about building impossible walls and offending lots of countries all over the world.

      And, conversely, returning the favor: in 2500, Somalia might be a leading nation -- just as the USA was a backwater itself in its beginning.

    30. Re: Nope by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Charging speed isn't a big issue. First thing they do when the plane docks is plug it in anyway because the fossil generators in the engines stop. They have to unload passengers and cargo and rubbish, then load it all back up again... The turn around time is enough to charge the batteries.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    31. Re: Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just you wait, SJW''s and snowflakes come to power...

      We had it bad, Russian people that is, this shit is gonna smack you worse...

    32. Re:Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Flight 666, I know you're at 1% battery, but maintain flight level 3 5 0 while we land more prominent flights."

      Not really any different from current situation.
      No-one puts more fuel in the plane than what they need to make the trip + a minimal margin.
      It is all about reducing weight.

      This will of course be different with battery driven planes. Batteries doesn't weigh more just because they are fully charged.
      The planes with only a one hour trip have half an hour worth of charge left when arriving.
      A fuel driven plane that is only going to do a one hour trip won't put more fuel in it than necessary.

      Go find a different reason to not go for electric flights because your current reason sound a lot like the arguments against EV and autonomous driving where people bring up contrived examples that tends to actually speak against their argument once you start analyzing it.

    33. Re:Nope by leathered · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't want to be the controller who tells Bruce Dickinson that there are more prominent flights than his one.

      --
      For all intensive porpoises your a bunch of rediculous loosers
    34. Re: Nope by geoskd · · Score: 1

      What idiot would have a fleet of one or two hour only aircraft?

      Electric motors are already far more efficient and cost effective in stationary applications (you don't see any factories that have their conveyors and machinery run on any kind of hydrocarbon engines). Even base load hydrocarbon electric generation is quickly becoming more expensive than solar and wind, even including the cost of battery storage. Standalone IC and jet engines are significantly less economical than electric already, and the only reason they are not already replaced with electric motors is that the battery technology has been insufficient for the task. There are multiple different technologies in development right now that show promise of continuing the battery improvement equivalent of moore's law. Even if batteries cost 10 times what they do now, if they had double the volumetric energy density of todays batteries, they would be an economical replacement for jet-a. That density point should be reached in commercially available batteries in less than 6 years. GE, Rolls-Royce and Pratt and Whitney are all in late stage development of electric aircraft motors that can replace jet engines. These products should be available for aircraft designers to use within 4 years, although specs are already available for these motors today, allowing the aircraft manufacturers to start designs based on them today.

      Within 10 years, the first all-electric aircraft will be rolling off the production lines in large quantities. They will be significantly cheaper for the airline to operate, they will be quieter and more comfortable for passengers, and after the initial bugs are worked out, they will require far less maintenance while having much higher reliability. All told, this will be a revolution for the air industry that has long been hard set on all sides by extremely thin margins.

      --
      I wish I had a good sig, but all the good ones are copyrighted
    35. Re:Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Seriously, you're demanding go-around capability on emergency, out-of-"fuel" landings?

      No.

      He is suggesting that the ability to do a go-around would be a significant benefit that is possibly worth the cost of dramatically increasing your descent angle and reduced glide distance. But without that benefit, the small amount of power generated is not worth the negative effects of the generation system.

    36. Re:Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wouldn’t you think if for some reason you had no power mid flight that you’d likely not be able to store anything energy from the descent. I mean unless they just ran the battery flat in the air...

    37. Re: Nope by naughtynaughty · · Score: 1

      There are no short haul aircraft that are also used to fly 6 hours.

      But Norway thanks you for your expertise

    38. Re: Nope by naughtynaughty · · Score: 1

      H2 vehicles use compressed H2, not LH2 and the fuel tanks aren't heavy for compressed H2

    39. Re:Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's a more prominent flight than Ed Force One?

    40. Re: Nope by lgw · · Score: 1

      Airships full of hydrogen gas? I can see no flaw in that plan, from either an engineering or marketing perspective. It's a non-starter - doesn't pass the laugh test, doesn't pass the smoke test.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    41. Re: Nope by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      Have you seen the fuel tanks for compressed H2? And the stresses they undergo?

      Methane is less aggressive about the way it attacks metals but the number of tanks that blow due to pressure cycling is still scary.

      If you were to power aircraft from H2, then it must be LH2 or the risk from exploding tanks and consequent maintenance downtime will ensure airlines won't touch it - and if it's LH2 then you need to have enough insulation to ensure that it doesn't all boil off before the end of your flight (You don't need massive cryogenics, just enough to protect from cold embrittlement and ensure the LH2 lasts the flight)

      That said, H2 is a bitch of a substance to work with. Even at room temperature and pressure it embrittles metals and organic compounds like rubber, making sealing an absolute cow (inflate a toy balloon with hydrogen and leave it for 3-5 days, then deflate and see what condition it's in. Do the same with another one and see what happens when you try to light it.) If you pressurise it, the stuff permeates through most metals relatively quickly, so leakage and explosive gas buildups are a constant danger.

      If you have the energy to make H2 "fuel" (from water vs stripping it from natural gas) then you have enough energy and can take the time to tack on some carbon atoms making it easier to handle. There's far more hydrogen in a litre of kerosene/diesel/gasoline than a litre of liquid hydrogen and there's far more in LH2 than there is in a litre of compressed hydrogen.

    42. Re: Nope by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      "then you have to make tanks that can withstand the pressure"

      Making tanks that can handle the pressure is relatively easy.

      Making tanks that can stand constant deep pressure _cycling_ is another matter.

      There's a reason that no car manufacturer has actually sold any H2 vehicles yet. They don't want the liabilities that accrue when tanks get old or are poorly maintained (and that WILL happen). By keeping the cars on leases they can control the life cycles of the tanks.

      Yes, yes, I know: "Metal Hydrides". People have been working on those for 40 years and whilst they work, you're not going to sell a car where the fuel tank is worth more than the entire rest of the vehicle and takes 6 hours to fill up. That's just Range Anxiety under a different banner.

    43. Re: Nope by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      "Gasoline is more explosive than hydrogen"

      And both are far more explosive than Kerosene, which is one of the reasons that airline safety improved when piston engine airliners became a thing of the past - and why there's a constant interest in aeromotive diesel engines despite the weight penalties.

    44. Re:Nope by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      Electric aeroplanes don't win on efficiency because power to weight ratio is far more important, along with maximum power output

      Turbines use 30% more fuel than equivalent piston engines, but they're less than 1/4 the weight AND mechanically simpler (far lower maintenance downtime) AND they can scale up to 30MW output. The largest piston engines ever put on wings were only about 2MW and they were HEAVY as well as needing an overhaul pretty much after every long flight.

      Weight is key. Geared turbofans are much more efficient than direct drive ones, but a gearbox capable of handling 20-30MW is necessarily big and heavy - possibly heavier than the gas turbine core powering it. Making it light enough to be practical along with reliable enough not to shred itself is something that's only just starting to happen (LEAP engines, etc)

      Aviation is all about tradeoffs. Yes you can probably build an electric aircraft that will carry passengers on a 90 minute flight but the battery mass pretty much ensures they won't have any baggage allowance and the turnaround time will require a nuclear power station or 3 right next to the airport simply to handle aircraft requirements (Sorry, the airport's closed for the next 6 months whilst we recore the fuel supplies)

    45. Re: Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So why are you all here to astroturf for fossil fuels? Reduction of emissions by using electricty made sense decades ago; why the fuck didnâ(TM)t the baby boomers do nothing? It wasnâ(TM)t until GenX folks began to gain executive power that things seemed to be changing â" instead of the finger pointing, hand wringing, and general winging of people like you.

    46. Re: Nope by ebvwfbw · · Score: 1

      Offending other countries? Did you realize that Mexico has a wall at their southern boarder? They also have very strict and nasty illegal alien laws. The left has told you to throw away your brain and just listen to their lies. They're not offended. They understand why we wouldn't want them here. 1st world people don't, however.

    47. Re:Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Many airliners already have a wind-powered turbine that generates standby electric power in case of an emergency power loss. It's retractable in order not to cause unnecessary drag when not needed.
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ram_air_turbine

    48. Re: Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who will fund the nerds? Who holds the purse-strings to much of research spending?

    49. Re:Nope by Rei · · Score: 1

      If you're talking power to weight ratios, according to this, jet engines are typically ~5kW/kg, exceptionally to 10. A EMRAX 348 delivers about 4kW/kg continuous and about 8kW/kg peak. Very much in the same ballpark.

      Now, the latter doesn't count the prop and the inverter. But then again, the former only includes the core engine, not the cowling / thrust reversers / etc associated hardware and fuel management hardware.

      Now obviously, batteries are a lot heavier than aviation fuel (even accounting for higher motor efficiency, little wasted "fuel" on taxi, less parasitic losses, some regen on descent rather than inefficient running of turbines at low power, etc), limiting electric aircraft to only regional service for the time being. A jetliner full of fuel and passengers can go halfway around the world; with the lower energy density of batteries, you're limited to a couple hundred km max at present. But why not change out those flights that are under a couple hundred km? Not all air routes are long - three of the top ten busiest air routes in the world, for example, are only around 400km (Seoul-Jeju, Sao Paulo-Rio de Janeiro, Tokyo-Osaka) . And with a lower cost option being available for flight (electric), traffic would inherently shift toward shorter routes, both in terms of consumer behavior (airport choice) and airline behavior (hub/routing choice).

      --
      Santa Ana Winds: Like the Dustbowl, but with awards shows.
    50. Re:Nope by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      It's the power to weight ratio of engine AND fuel that matters. For pistons/turbines the mass difference is in the engines, but for electric vs turbines the it's the mass of the fuel vs mass of batteries.

      Petroleum-based products are around 10kWh usable per kg. Batteries are a few hundred Wh at very best. (ie, 250-700Wh for raw cells, minus whatever you put around them for protection - less than 1/10 the density)

      Some numbers:
      Even a shorthaul 737 is carrying 10-20 tons of fuel for its day's work

      - 737-800 = 26 tons max fuel capacity, 79 ton MTOW and 65tons max landing weight
      - with batteries the aircraft doesn't lose weight as it flies, so you're effectively instantly losing 14 tons of equivalent fuel/cargo capacity when you go electric by having MOTW=MLW

      You start appreciating the scale of the problem. You can have range or carrying capacity but not both.

      Puddlejumper airlines don't have the luxury of being able to wait 3-5 hours for recharging after each leg - the vehicle has to carry enough charge at the start of the day to last the day, minus whatever you can stuff into the batteries in 30-90 minutes

      EVs have the same problem when used all day. An electric urban delivery vehicle is a great idea and an electric personal hire vehicle/bus can charge in its off-periods. An electric long-haul transporter is going to have its cargo capacity constrained by the battery weight or its usable range constrained by battery capacity - and at least with terrestrial solutions we may be able to develop some form of power feeding to moving cars/trucks that doesn't involve trolley wires

      Unless/until we find something that can approach the energy density of petroleum products, the best solution may well be nuclear-sourced synfuel processes (hydrogen -> methane -> diesel/kerosene(*)) that may not be overly efficient, but allow specific vehicles to retain long range without increasing carbon emissions.

      (*) There's a _lot_ more hydrogen in a litre of diesel/kerosene/gasoline than a litre of liquid hydrogen and you don't have the faff of having to handle cryogenic liquids and the unsolved problem of hydrogen embrittlement as you would need for fuel cells/electric motor combinations.

  2. Amazing by hawk · · Score: 4, Insightful

    A timeline to switch over before the first successful prototypes been demonstrated . . .

    hawk

    1. Re:Amazing by iamhassi · · Score: 2

      I was thinking the same thing. Has there been any successful electric planes made yet?

      --
      my karma will be here long after I'm gone
    2. Re:Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Nope. Just another retarded clickbait article and attention grab. Hey! Look at me! Look at me!! HEEEYY!! Over here! Heyyyy! HEY!

    3. Re:Amazing by Rei · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I assume you're kidding. People have been flying electric light aircraft since 1997, when the Alisport Silent Club added an electric takeoff option. The fastest manned electric plane, the 330 LE, goes 340 kph. For the low-end consumer, you can get an Electraflyer-ULS for under $60k. While it has a 2 hour flight time, it's more like a powered glider, of course, with a very low cruising speed. For a bit more ($104k) you can get a 2-seater a Pipistrel Alpha Electro with a cruising speed of 200 kph and a range of 600km.

      --
      Santa Ana Winds: Like the Dustbowl, but with awards shows.
    4. Re:Amazing by CrankyFool · · Score: 1

      9/12/61, JFK proposed the US commit itself to landing a man on the moon before the end of the decade. No meaningful successful prototypes existed (a Soviet man had already gone to space, but that's not the same thing as going to the moon, just like we already have successful examples of electric planes at the prototype level).

    5. Re:Amazing by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      How long do you think the lead time for commercial aircraft is? Not ultralights or piper cub speed light aircraft, new commercial aircraft.

      2040 isn't completely undoable, but they better have improved batteries soon or the schedule is blown. Norway isn't a big enough market by itself.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    6. Re:Amazing by Rei · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Quite to the contrary, I think it's absurdly pessimistic. People always underestimate S-curves. They did it with wind, they did it with solar, people are in various phases of realizing that they did it with EV passenger vehicles, and they're actively doing it with electric road transport, electric marine transport, and electric aircraft.

      There's several companies close to offering electric puddle jumpers. Today. It's not going to take 22 years to transition.

      --
      Santa Ana Winds: Like the Dustbowl, but with awards shows.
    7. Re:Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, because that happened once in all of human history and -- guess what -- didn't even lead to manned moon landings happening after 1972.

      Wake me up when Sweden starts an electric plane arms race with Norway and Norway goes and spends at least 25% of its GDP on these planes.

    8. Re: Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's what Time Cock did with iPhone - everyone will be listening to headphones wirelessly, and using emoji bar to code and to run space stations.

    9. Re:Amazing by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      So you should be able to point me to one that's well into it's FAA type certification process. Being 'close' to ready. Cite?

      By 'puddle jumper' you mean commuter airliner, right?

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    10. Re:Amazing by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

      A timeline to switch over before the first successful prototypes been demonstrated . . .

      Necessity is the mother of invention.

      However, I think it would be wiser if they were more broad with there definition of "electric" so that you could use an extant technology like hydrogen fuel cells. It requires electricity to take hydrogen out of water but if you have plenty of electricity then it's feasible.

      --
      Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
    11. Re:Amazing by Richard_at_work · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I don't, i think it's wildly optimistic.

      The problem with switching an aircraft over to electric power involves a metric which isn't really that much of an issue with cars or boats - weight.

      Batteries weigh the same at the start of the flight as they do at the end of the flight - so the aircraft has to carry more weight further.

      It also has to land with that extra weight, each and every time.

      So the airframe needs to be stronger, which inevitably means more weight.

      In airline terms, weight is everything. Boeing and Airbus get to pat themselves on the back when they remove a single metric tonne of weight from an aircraft such as the 787 or A350, so when you take an aircraft such as an ATR-72 and tell it to fly around and land with an extra 1.5 tonnes of weight for it's entire lifespan, it's going to be an issue.

      22 years to move to an all electric platform in a 1.5 hour sector goal is a huge ask, imho.

    12. Re:Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      it would be a step up from the current experiment which spends upwards of 10% of our GDP.

    13. Re:Amazing by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      Yes, JFK did that - but he didn't say "do it with economics that work for both airline and aircraft manufacturer", he and his successors basically just threw money at it until it happened, and then it was cancelled.

      When you can't simply throw money at a problem, the problem becomes a lot harder to solve.

      Will airlines be willing to bear the cost of a $40billion development? Would they buy aircraft priced at $150million each when they paid $30million before?

      Is Norway going to subsidise development and operational cost increases?

    14. Re:Amazing by pz · · Score: 1

      [snark] Did you look at the Pipistrel Alpha Electro specs? Yeah, I definitely want to have hundreds of pounds of lithium-polymer batteries in my small, two-seater aircraft. [/snark]

      --

      Put my fist through my alarm clock with its ding-dong death inside my ear. - The Blackjacks.
    15. Re:Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the idea is to have a single electric commercial plane flight and then accomplish little beyond that - your analogy would hold. However, commercial mass production works on different scales to massive single use government projects.

    16. Re:Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow, would love a sea-plane version of that glider to use here in the pacific islands.

    17. Re:Amazing by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      What's an FAA and why do Norwegians need one?

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    18. Re:Amazing by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      The "invention" that will arise here is not of an aircraft designed to fulfil these requirements, but rather that there will be no sectors flown direct from Norway under 1.5 hours - airlines will simply fly you to a hub further away and then you fly on to your destination.

    19. Re:Amazing by Kjella · · Score: 1, Informative

      A timeline to switch over before the first successful prototypes been demonstrated...

      Norway is a tiny speck on the world map made rich by oil with vast delusions of grandeur. In particular I'd there's three areas where the elite thinks Norway makes a global impact:

      1. Peace talks
      2. Eliminating poverty
      3. Environmentalism

      The first one leads to things like the Oslo Accords where Yitzhak Rabin, Yasser Arafat and Bill Clinton ended the Middle East conflict - that's pretty much what was promised anyhow. Strangely enough they also got the Nobel Peace Prize which Norway awards. The second is another chest-thumper as one of very few countries give 1% of our GDP in foreign aid, difference is of course we can afford to. In the global economy we're still a fly spec with 0.5% of the world's GDP, even if we bat harder than average with just 0.07% of the population. And the third is environmentalism, renewable energy and green tech, if you read the domestic press it's almost like Tesla exists because of Norwegian tax breaks. They've promised to *end* the sale of fossil fuel cars in 7 years, this is perfectly in line with that.

      I could go on but suffice to say that the Norwegian economy is running a massive deficit made up for by oil fund yields. Over the next couple decades we'll see a massive economic downturn as the oil income dries up and the post-WWII generation retires where we'll see a very rude wake-up call to economic realities we haven't really had to deal with in decades. And that's when I expect this near unbounded idealism will end, we'll stop trying to save the world and start getting busy with saving ourselves. Though I'm pretty sure we've been spoiled rotten and instead of making the hard and unpopular changes we will end up burning through our savings to crash in a Greek inferno. But we have enough money for some decades so hopefully I'll be dead by then.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    20. Re:Amazing by Antique+Geekmeister · · Score: 1

      Those are not passenger craft. A very expensive-to-fly proof of concept aircraft is not the same as flying thousands of passangers a day from a commercial airport.

    21. Re:Amazing by Antique+Geekmeister · · Score: 1

      > where Yitzhak Rabin, Yasser Arafat and Bill Clinton ended the Middle East conflict

      Norway has been a good example of a stable and peaceful nation. But let's not over-estimate their accomplishments. If Norway develops aircraft as safe and reliable as the borders between Israel and Palestine set in the Oslo accords, would you consider that a success as well? I most certainly would not.

    22. Re:Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      This virtue signalling by grand gestures that the current government won't be around for, is starting to reach peak stupidity.

      There are no electric commercial passenger aircraft, there's 22 years to design, certify, and build in enough numbers to meet demand. For comparison the Airbus A380 started design in 1988, announced in 1990, first flew in 2005, and entered service in 2007. That aircraft required several new technologies, but not to the level and certification difficulties of a whole new propulsion technology.

      Good luck.

    23. Re:Amazing by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      There's a reason that Norway told the EU, "Thanks, but no thanks."

      I'll let you ponder that and draw your own conclusions.

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    24. Re:Amazing by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      That doesn't answer anything at all - if Norway was going to foot the bill for this decree, they would have said so at the same time, but they haven't.

      Norway has no domestic airliner production industry they can indirectly subsidise either, so they have to rely on external companies delivering on their decree.

      Which isn't going to happen.

    25. Re:Amazing by sysrammer · · Score: 2

      Civil Aviation Authority - Norway

      An administrative agency responsible for ensuring safe and efficient operation of civil aviation. Issues regulations, lays down standards for civil aviation activities in Norway, grants licences and operating permits to persons and companies intending to conduct aviation and related activities. Oversees compliance with regulations and conditions.

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
    26. Re:Amazing by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      in Norway

      So, nothing to do with FAA, apparently.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    27. Re:Amazing by joe_frisch · · Score: 2

      The numbers you give for the Pipisterel are for the gas version. The electric has a 1 hour endurance. Cruise speed not listed, but no more than 200km/h and probably lower for max efficiency.

    28. Re:Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      His point is probably that no airplane this size is going to be certified by anyone but FAA first.

      What the FAA Approves the rest of the world rubberstamps.

    29. Re:Amazing by jittles · · Score: 1

      in Norway

      So, nothing to do with FAA, apparently.

      They often have the same rules and regulations. This makes it easier for aircraft and pilots to get the appropriate paperwork to fly in other markets. If anything the European organizations can be a bit stricter than the FAA about some things.

    30. Re:Amazing by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      yes but in norway the government will be pushing for electric. Reviews will be logical and spritely.

      In the u.s. the government is pushing against electric. Reviews will be illogical and mired in red tape.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    31. Re:Amazing by gravewax · · Score: 1

      flying toys is not the same as flying a commercial aircraft full of passengers and luggage and needing to operate many hours every day

    32. Re:Amazing by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      I assume you're kidding.

      I assume you're clueless if you don't grasp the difference between lightweight single passenger sport aircraft and commuter aircraft. The former is no more a prototype for the latter than an econobox rice burner is a prototype for a Formula One race car. There's a massive difference in degree and kind.

    33. Re: Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes but before someone else posts the joke, the flight is going to be about 10 tonnes lighter because the passengers are not all fat Americans.

    34. Re:Amazing by iamhassi · · Score: 1

      Ultralites and fans attached to gliders dont count as electric powered cargo planes

      --
      my karma will be here long after I'm gone
    35. Re:Amazing by iamhassi · · Score: 1

      So the country that created the first mass produced electric car, tesla, is the same country that is pushing against electric vehicles?

      --
      my karma will be here long after I'm gone
    36. Re: Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Tesla isn't the first mass produced electric car, merely the first with a 300 mile range. Renault and Nissan were in the business before, and the latest offerings have 230 mile range, but were only about 80 a decade ago.

    37. Re:Amazing by munch117 · · Score: 1

      Tesla was the first modern age mass produced electric car that people thought was cool. Props for that. But they're more than a 100 years too late to lay title to the first mass produced EV. EV's were all the rage 120 years ago.

      We can agree that the US as a country is not pushing against EV's. But don't you get the feeling that the US government might be? And in the context of of FAA approvals, the government is a pretty important player.

    38. Re:Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      As opposed to gallons (of litres) of flammable aviation fuel?

    39. Re:Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      EasyJet and Wright Electric have already announced an 120/180 seater version for 2027, that should give plenty of time for a complete retry on Norway's behalf if they have failed

    40. Re:Amazing by EETech1 · · Score: 1

      I worked on a boat with a 200 kWhr battery, to think of being anywhere near it if we sank was terrifying. 144,000 18650 cells!

    41. Re:Amazing by Kjella · · Score: 1

      Norway has been a good example of a stable and peaceful nation. But let's not over-estimate their accomplishments.

      "Norway is a tiny speck (...) with vast delusions of grandeur. (...) that's pretty much what was promised anyhow."

      Did I really need an /s on that?

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    42. Re:Amazing by theweatherelectric · · Score: 1

      A timeline to switch over before the first successful prototypes been demonstrated

      Don't worry. They've been demonstrated.

    43. Re:Amazing by theweatherelectric · · Score: 2

      Yes. They have.

    44. Re:Amazing by theweatherelectric · · Score: 0

      i think it's wildly optimistic.

      Nope. Pipistrel went ahead and built one.

    45. Re: Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Oslo accords did not "set" any borders. The reasons for their failure have little to do with Norway, which is the important point - Norway had much less to do with them existing in the first place than it thinks it had.

      P.S. Another example of a failed Norway not-really-led peace process would be the Sri-Lanken peace process - ending with the government acheiving a military "solution".

    46. Re:Amazing by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      A timeline to switch over before the first successful prototypes been demonstrated . . .

      hawk

      Yes indeed. What we really need is a proposal that lacks both an idea and a goal. That will drive innovation! /sarcasm

    47. Re:Amazing by vtcodger · · Score: 2

      "How long do you think the lead time for commercial aircraft is?"

      Based on China's Comac C919 ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... ) , a decade -- maybe a bit more.

      But overall, I think you're correct. When you try to scale up a small scale demo, not everything scales by the same factor. Scaling an electric model plane up to an airliner surely is NOT just a matter of multiplying all the specs by 60.

      Caveat -- I am in no way shape or form an Aeronautical Engineer. But neither, I suspect, are the folks pushing/defending this scheme.

      --
      You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
    48. Re:Amazing by vtcodger · · Score: 1

      The point is surely that if you plan for the economics to work, Norway probably needs to be able to sell these things outside Norway -- In the EU, US, Japan, China. And to do that, they are going to need airworthiness certifications including FAA.

      --
      You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
    49. Re:Amazing by drinkypoo · · Score: 1, Insightful

      so when you take an aircraft such as an ATR-72 and tell it to fly around and land with an extra 1.5 tonnes of weight for it's entire lifespan, it's going to be an issue.

      That's not how it works. That's not how any of this works. You don't put batteries into an existing design. You make a new design which accommodates the batteries correctly. Luckily, basically every major aviation company has been working on this for decades, and every one of them has a prototype. For example, Boeing has committed to a hybrid by 2022 and are backing a startup which plans to have craft in the air within five years.

      The entire aviation industry thinks this is not just possible, but happening, and you don't. I know who I trust in this case, and it's not you.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    50. Re:Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Well, there is this plane that flew around the world
      It was a proof of concept that showed that the current technology is capable of powering an electric plane perpetually with solar panels while in the air.
      The predecessor to it had its first flight in 2009.

      Theoretically that plane doesn't have to land to refuel, ever.
      However that is just an experimental plane. It is made to fly around, not to carry a load.
      A plane like that would probably be pretty good in cases where you want to look for people who have gone missing or want to look at the extent of a natural disaster since it doesn't have to go back to refuel. You only land because the pilots need to rest or because it is too dark to see anything.

      Planes for transporting people and goods will be built differently, but on the other hand they won't need solar panels and batteries that can last them through the entire night.

    51. Re:Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The first one leads to things like the Oslo Accords where Yitzhak Rabin, Yasser Arafat and Bill Clinton ended the Middle East conflict - that's pretty much what was promised anyhow.

      The Oslo Accords worked pretty well. There were still conflicts after it but they were reasonably quickly and peacefully "resolved".
      Shit didn't really hit the fan until Clintons presidency ended and George Bush took over.
      He had no interest in continuing the peace talks. His administration had already drafted up plans to invade Iraq well before 9/11 happened and they had to take a little detour through Afghanistan before carrying out their initial plan.
      I don't see how the Oslo Accords can be considered a failure. It worked well until Bush created the power vacuum that led to the current situation.

    52. Re:Amazing by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      As is the $106 billion dollar fossil fuel industry (2016 revenues) who spent 94 million dollars lobbying last year and who made $108 million dollars in political campaign contributions (a record high) in 2016.

      That's $200 million a year from an industry opposed to electric cars, solar power, and so on.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    53. Re: Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Aircraft designers, particularly those in need of funding, are wildly optimistic with there estimates. Wait until they at least have a flying demonstrator. History is littered with aircraft designers with big promises.

    54. Re:Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The airplane manufacturers are happily taking government money for a pipe dream. The pipistrel isn't an airplane; it's a glider; it doesn't meet the basic aircraft certification requirements. The boeing "hybrid"? It's a fucking turbine with some greenwashing.

      There will be some token hydrogen fueled "electric" aircraft that are fueled by cracking hydrogen off of natural gas, and hydrogen has a great mass energy density (not real great volumetricly) but real electric aircraft are a great idea ... for a venusian atmosphere of triple the density.

    55. Re:Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      so when you take an aircraft such as an ATR-72 and tell it to fly around and land with an extra 1.5 tonnes of weight for it's entire lifespan,.

      But that's also because fuel is EXPENSIVE. electricity is much cheaper per kwh. AND electric engines are cheaper and easier to maintain.

    56. Re:Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do not underestimate the power of the "lusekofteperspektiv". Norwegians can be quite nationalistic and sometimes economics just doesn't enter the picture.

      Besides, the country which would need this more than anyone else is probably China, and I doubt they give a rats ass about the FAA. As long as it's safe enough - which it probably will since Norwegians are no more interested in lithobraking than anyone else - and effective enough for their purposes, they're going to be interested.

    57. Re:Amazing by Cajun+Hell · · Score: 1

      Makes me want to say "business as usual" but I'm too embarrassed to say usual for who.

      --
      "Believe me!" -- Donald Trump
    58. Re:Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Luckily, basically every major aviation company has been working on this for decades, and every one of them has a prototype.

      This is a lie. One of my good friends made their career by getting a job on the Boeing engineering team designing their next-generation engine platform. He started that over a decade ago and the engineering team won't be done with the general design for several more years yet. Then another five years to design specific models using that design. Then another five to ten years for testing, tuning, and compliance. His entire career will be made on one engine and "experts" on slashdot think everything is as easy, fast, and cheap as slapping together some buggy code.

      People here are so credulous about statements that tickle their science fiction sensibilities.

    59. Re:Amazing by GNious · · Score: 1

      So'eh, Oslo-Trondheim, via Helsinki?!? That makes fuckall sense

    60. Re:Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A Tesla was not the first the first mass-produced electric car.

    61. Re:Amazing by St.Creed · · Score: 1

      Not just Norway. When the Norwegians demonstrate that the use of these airplanes is both safe and cost effective, European airlines will order them rapidly. The main thing holding back the expansion of Schiphol Airport right now is both sound pollution and air pollution. Any airline that flies EV planes will get as many slots as they need, and will push out the other airlines when so required, because suddenly Schiphol can go from 500.000 airplane movements to "as many as they can handle", which is quite a lot more. No need for that second airport after all...

      Seriously, the Norwegians have less of a problem than Schiphol or heck, Charles de Gaulle, or London City Airport. They'd all be thrilled to welcome EV planes. I bet they'd even install the infrastructure for charging in a real hurry, for free.

      --
      Therefore, by the (faulty) logic you're using, you're just a cow with a keyboard - osu-neko (2604)
    62. Re:Amazing by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      grand gestures that the current government won't be around for

      I see what you did there.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    63. Re:Amazing by MaxiCat_42 · · Score: 1

      " Strangely enough they also got the Nobel Peace Prize which Norway awards."

      Sweden awards the Nobel prizes - better luck next time.

    64. Re:Amazing by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      No cites. I'm treating the original claim as bullshit.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    65. Re:Amazing by lgw · · Score: 1

      But don't you get the feeling that the US government might be?

      No. Nor do I believe Bush did 9/11, or Obama was born in Kenya, or any other whackjob conspirator theory. The simple fact is: electric cars pre-Tesla were garbage cars, sold at a massive loss. Tesla is a big step up, to a markedly sub-standard car at the price (but still something reasonable) sold at break even or a minor loss (once you net out the subsidies). It's a difference in kind: the Tesla S is almost a viable electric car, and the 3 might actually be the first to cross that line.

      Tesla is remarkable for demonstrating that electric cars might soon be viable, to break through the conservatism of the board room. But we won't see a good electric car, a car that normal people unconcerned with virtue signalling want to buy, until we get a decade or two of competition; competition that hasn't quite started yet.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    66. Re:Amazing by munch117 · · Score: 1

      It's hardly a conspiracy theory to note that the Trump administration has opinions on environmental issues.

    67. Re: Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They will still be limited by noise limits. Modern jets have had huge improvements in noise levels, for a similar size plane they are in the same ballpark as turbo props. Despite having a gas turbine with little exhause muffling, the huge majority of turbo prop noise comes from the props. Electric planes will be using props, they won't be much quieter than current 8+ seater commercial aircraft.

    68. Re:Amazing by dgallard · · Score: 1

      Rei wrote (incorrectly):

      > For a bit more ($104k) you can get a 2-seater a Pipistrel Alpha Electro [wikipedia.org] with a cruising speed of 200 kph and a range of 600km.

      Rei, your citation is incorrect - the above speed and range numbers are for the gas-powered trainer.

      The Electric version has a one hour flight time and the article you cited does not indicate airspeed for the Alpha Electro.

      Bummer, but please be careful when citing specs.

      Dennis Allard
      Santa Monica, California
      http://oceanpark.com/

    69. Re:Amazing by lgw · · Score: 1

      If you want an electric car because of "environmental issues" that's virtue signalling. If you want to force electric cars on others, that's totalitarianism. But if you want an electric car because it's a better car, well, that better car isn't quite here yet. Once it is, you can invent conspiracy theories about The Man keeping it down, but in the meantime no evil government action is needed to explain why consumers didn't buy bad products.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    70. Re:Amazing by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      The Alpha Electro has a flight duration of approx 1 hour, or less if you're playing around with touch-and-gos or aerobatics (38 mins to 25% capacity at extreme load)

      Don't confuse the specs for the gasoline version (which is what you quoted) with the electric. You're not going to go far from your home base in an electric trainer with a practical range of only 100 miles and a 1 hour refuelling time - and if you were to put 2 average adults + 20kg baggage apiece in the thing you're unlikely to even get airborne, let alone go 50 miles.

    71. Re:Amazing by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      "They did it with wind, they did it with solar"

      Windmill efficiency hasn't increased, but size has. Reliability is slightly better but they're still catching fire and/or shredding gearboxes at an alarming rate - to the point where they're barely economic even with direct subsidies, "must take" and "inflated buy price" rules. About the only way to be profitable with one is to park it and get paid via the subsidies whilst NOT generating electricity or by the grid operators NOT connect to the grid (this is a big thing in many areas now).

      The safety aspects are worth considering too - apart from the noise aspects (which IS a real problem) thrown blades have been known to go over a mile downwind, so you need a large exclusion zone around your units.

      Solar is a sucess as long as you don't look at the energy costs of production and the massive environmental problems around the factories.

      NEITHER is sufficient to replace current carbon-sourced electrical generation, let alone the added requirements of replacing oil/gas based heating and transportation systems (which will at minimum quadruple electric requirements, if not octuple them) - even if you were to carpet the countryside with windmills and pave every rooftop with solar panels. There are practical transportation limits for electricity too and in any case you can assume demand within 500 miles will account for almost all production - so don't get ideas about paving the Sahara desert and feeding the output to Europe. It's not going to happen.

    72. Re:Amazing by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      "It requires electricity to take hydrogen out of water but if you have plenty of electricity then it's feasible."

      The amount of energy to do this practically (ie, at large volumes) means you need a nuclear power plant - and the temperatures required to do it efficiently means it needs to be a molten-salt plant.

      Once you have that amount of energy at your disposal, taking on carbon atoms is relatively easy and heavy liquid synfuels have a lot of advantages over hauling around a low-energy-density gas like Hydrogen. Being synfuels you can tune them for better combustion and also tune the engines for the fuels.

      The irony of all this being that the Nuclear Aircraft program would indeed end up powering aircraft from nuclear energy - possibly in a way that Alvin Weinberg would have thought about but certainly not what the US military had in mind 65 years ago.

      (We're not going to see directly nuclear powered aircraft. The shielding requirements alone make them too heavy to be practical)

    73. Re:Amazing by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      "Over the next couple decades we'll see a massive economic downturn as the oil income dries up and the post-WWII generation retires "

      Even without the oil income, that wave of retiring Boomers starting to crash on economic shorelines of developed countries worldwide is starting to turn into a tsunami and virtually no government is prepared for it despite 35 years warning.

      The UK is currently spending 65% of its net tax income directly on old age pensions, with another 5-10% going via health provision to the elderly, subsidised housing, winter fuel allowances and free public transport - and that's despite pushing out the retirement age from 60 to 65. It will go out to even higher ages but the harsh reality across the world is that governmental pensions liabilities are increasing at the exact same time that personal-income taxation is decreasing, yet there's an increasing reliance on personal income tax to fund the governments and increasing tax breaks given to the corporate and the rich. This won't end well anywhere.

    74. Re:Amazing by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      I'll add this:

      Norway is one of the very _few_ countries with oil which didn't go nuts squandering the income. They have very well setup investment funds which will continue paying out long after the oil stops.

      By contrast, the UK has spent all of it with precious little to show (most of it went on vote bribery, not on social programs and infrastructure) and then run up debts against future oil income.

    75. Re:Amazing by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Note: That plane uses 'off the shelf' proven engines and isn't breaking any new ground, except Chinese manufacturing.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    76. Re:Amazing by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Hybrid, not battery. Huge difference.

      But don't let that get in the way of your preselected conclusion.

      To 'have it' by 2022 they would have to be flying a prototype today. Not possible.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    77. Re:Amazing by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      There is a little over 5 million Norwegians, about 60k people in the 'aviation industry' nationwide.

      They aren't going to fund anything like a new airliner by themselves, no chance. They're in a league with the flat earther rocket launch. Should get a Vans kit and start with that.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    78. Re:Amazing by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

      If it can be done by using reclaimated CO2 then I'm all for it.

      --
      Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
    79. Re: Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We'll see how cheap that electricity is after the demand of charging aircraft and cars. But we won't see that for a while as the generation capacity simply isn't there and has lead times

    80. Re: Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A training aircraft with significantly more limitations than the gas version is hardly a demonstration of a commercial passenger aircraft.

  3. Don't Fear The Reaper by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    So, how long until they add super caps and fly towards storms?

    1. Re:Don't Fear The Reaper by jshackney · · Score: 1

      You're a freakin' genius.

  4. Not surprised by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    Ideas like this are why we need more people like Norwegians in our country and fewer losers from shithole countries

    1. Re: Not surprised by St.Creed · · Score: 1

      Well, let's not be too harsh on the Americans.

      --
      Therefore, by the (faulty) logic you're using, you're just a cow with a keyboard - osu-neko (2604)
  5. Are they sure they don't mean by chispito · · Score: 2

    Are they sure they don't mean "Norway to make all short-haul flights trains by 2040?" And, yes, I am aware of Norway's geography, it just seems like electric passenger flight is... uncertain at best.

    --
    The Daddy casts sleep on the Baby. The Baby resists!
    1. Re:Are they sure they don't mean by RightwingNutjob · · Score: 1

      Your insistence on your flight not exploding in a burst of lithium fire mid-air is just a personal bias. It's not where we are as a society.

    2. Re:Are they sure they don't mean by Rei · · Score: 2

      Yes, I prefer my airplanes to be filled with nice safe hydrocarbons. They never burn.

      EVs have a lower per-km rate of fires than gasoline cars (various figures suggest around 1/5th the rate). Why would it be any different with aircraft? Furthermore, it's much easier to make components redundant with EVs. Electric motors are light, batteries packs are easy to isolate from each other with no extra weight penalty, etc. In one design NASA has been working on there's a huge number of small props on the wing; they're only run at full power at takeoff, but beyond redundancy, they provide a huge amount of extra lift, greatly reducing takeoff distance. So far, though, they've only built a wing testbed ;)

      --
      Santa Ana Winds: Like the Dustbowl, but with awards shows.
    3. Re:Are they sure they don't mean by RightwingNutjob · · Score: 1

      Huge number of small props, PV cells on every surface, the best batteries money can buy and barely able to break even on weight and power.

      Given how demonstrably impractical electric is for automobiles, who in his right mind thinks it's even remotely possible for passenger aircraft?

    4. Re:Are they sure they don't mean by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Huge number of small props, PV cells on every surface, the best batteries money can buy and barely able to break even on weight and power.

      Barely able is able.

      Given how demonstrably impractical electric is for automobiles, who in his right mind thinks it's even remotely possible for passenger aircraft?

      Yeah, they only work for 95% of the population, 95% of the time. That's terrible!

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    5. Re:Are they sure they don't mean by RightwingNutjob · · Score: 1

      That's conjecture, to put it charitably. EVs aren't even .95% of sales, much less the whole passenger vehicle fleet.

    6. Re:Are they sure they don't mean by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      That's conjecture, to put it charitably. EVs aren't even .95% of sales, much less the whole passenger vehicle fleet.

      That's conjecture, to put it charitably. The reasons most people don't buy EVs aren't that they won't suit their needs.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    7. Re:Are they sure they don't mean by naughtynaughty · · Score: 1

      I just can't figure out why my demonstrably impractical electric automobiles have safely and reliably been driven over 65,000 miles without any problems.

      Heck, I can't even figure out what is impractical about them at all. Can't be the zero time I spend standing out in the rain, wind, cold, dust, heat fueling them. Can't be the zero time I've spent getting oil changes. Can't even be the cost since they have been far cheaper to own than the gas powered automobiles that proceeded them.

      Those crazy Wright brothers were just plain nuts, nobody in their right mind would see any practical use for their glorified hang gliders.

    8. Re:Are they sure they don't mean by RightwingNutjob · · Score: 1

      I'm afraid you've lost the train of your own argument. But let's keep going with it. Star Trek teleporters are an even better alternative than cars, planes, or trains. We should legislate the use of teleporters instead of wasteful personal vehicles for all transportation. They'd meet the needs of everyone everywhere all the time, not a mere 95% of the time. But people aren't using them. Not because they don't meet they're needs, because they don't exist. Like electric cars don't exist other than publicity stunts and like electric planes don't exist other than a few publicity stunts, the most technologically advanced of which has no payload capacity beyond its own batteries, flies along slower than most cars drive, and is fragile to the point where a bit of unexpected wind sheer tears it apart.

    9. Re:Are they sure they don't mean by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      They probably did. Even with Norway's geography, short haul flights of less than an hour are better done by train and in most countries trains beat aircraft for any journey of less than 3 hours unless there are substantial bodies of water in the way which require long diversions.

  6. They Can use Fuel Cells, they will be ready in 5 y by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They will be ready in 5 years. They will always be ready in 5 Years.

  7. Physics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Lithium polymer battery 0.95 MJ/kg

    Jet A 42.80 MJ/kg

    1. Re:Physics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Super capacitor 0.032MJ/kg

    2. Re:Physics by jshackney · · Score: 1

      Does Moore's Law apply to MJ/kg in LiPo battery tech?

    3. Re:Physics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No. All improvements so far have been incremental by a few percent at best. Batteries are limited by chemistry,so existing batteries probably won't make it. Have to find a new combination of chemicals.

    4. Re:Physics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Potato anal seepage.

  8. Pronunciations... by Frosty+Piss · · Score: 1

    Sure. Interesting idea. But it's in reality just an idea. It all depends on technology that doesn't exist yet.

    --
    If you want news from today, you have to come back tomorrow.
    1. Re:Pronunciations... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No harm to have a crack at it, I guess. When Los Angeles had some of the worst motor vehicle air pollution emission standards that didn't exist yet were progressively stipulated. Vehicles became more efficient, less polluting and cheaper to run.

    2. Re:Pronunciations... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are a couple of electric planes around.
      There is even an experimental plane that have solar panels to recharge while in the air and batteries enough to last through the night.
      It doesn't have to refuel ever. Over the clouds the sun always shines so the solar power is reliable.
      It made a trip around the world 2016.

    3. Re:Pronunciations... by ebvwfbw · · Score: 1

      With no passengers. It's barely a thing with just 2 or 4 passengers. You're far better off buying a gasoline aircraft. The really big problem is energy storage. Aircraft have a weight problem. A really big one.

  9. It's not difficult by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 2

    We've had the capability to do this for quite a while, at least on the military side.

    Remember, without massive tax subsidies and tax exemptions, fossil fuels aren't that cost effective.

    People are just fearful of change: suppliers, operators, capital loans providers, and so on.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    1. Re:It's not difficult by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Remember, without massive tax subsidies and tax exemptions, fossil fuels aren't that cost effective."

      Bull Shit

      There are a few subsidies on the renewable side. Just small ones... And all the ones fossil energy gets to deduct too! win-win

    2. Re:It's not difficult by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 3, Informative

      We've had the capability to do this for quite a while, at least on the military side.

      Can you point to a single electric plane that can carry at least 70 people? The Embraer 175 series is really the airplane of choice for short hop/short-haul planes, and it seats 75 to 85, depending upon configuration. What is out there, electric, that does that?

      Remember, without massive tax subsidies and tax exemptions, fossil fuels aren't that cost effective.

      Oh, so fossil fuels now get tax exemptions, not just tax subsidies? And solar and wind do not? Wind and solar are massively subsidized, especially when you take into account the much lower amount of energy we get from them. Without the much-more massive subsidies for wind and solar, they would be DOA.

      People are just fearful of change: suppliers, operators, capital loans providers, and so on.

      Some love change simply because they want to "stick it to the man" and want to "change things up" for no reason other than change. Forcing adoption of electric commercial planes - when there isn't a single, viable plane in existence or even planned - is extremely short sighted. But hey - it gets the no-nukes/hate-fossil-fuel crowd all motivated!

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    3. Re: It's not difficult by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In the UK wind no longer gets subsidies, but is still being built.

    4. Re:It's not difficult by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You should take the American approach. Let some other country design and build it and then buy it from them and complain about your trade balance.

    5. Re: It's not difficult by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      UK wind no longer gets _DIRECT_ subsidies (which is untrue, there are still subsidies to build them, just not to run them)

      The _HIDDEN_ subsidies are:

      - Grid operators are required to take wind as first choice.

      - Grid operators are required to pay an almost 1000% premium over other sources.

      - Grid operators are not allowed to refuse windpower even when generation exceeds demand

      - Grid operators are not allowed to charge wind operators the costs of building the connection to the windfarm (normal powerplants pay for the lines to the grid)

      - Grid operators are not allowed to charge wind operators for the massive buildout projects required to keep the grid stable in the face of uncontrollable and unstable power sources - projects which are adding massive complexity to management of power flows

      - Grid operators are not allowed to charge wind operators for individual stabilisation projects such as Elon's Battery Farm

      - secondary to the first point, if wind fails and backup generation capacity is required, grid operators are required to take wind when it resumes _even if the startup costs of the backup plant haven't been paid for by the bulk electricity rate_ - leading to peaking plant operators declining to fire up plants, which is what led to one of the two statewide South Australian power outages in 2016.

      When wind operators are paid going rates AND are required to install their own battery backup system to smooth outputs AND pay for their own connectivity, then I'll believe that subsidies are going away. In the mean time the main thing that's being farmed by wind and solar operators is subsidies, not electricity.

  10. How many flights per day? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How many flights per day will these be capable of? a standard hydrocarbon based plane can be disembarked, reloaded with passengers, cargo and fuel in around an hour or so. Seems like these would need HOURS to recharge between flights. possibly capable of a flight or two per day?

    Unless batteries are made to be standard cargo container sized modules that can be swapped between planes.

    I can only imagine the power demand something like this would require as well. An airport would probably have to have its own onsite hydrocarbon based generation facilities, most airports probably dont have the space for solar for this kind of demand, and you arent going to be putting wind turbines within a mile or more of the airport.

    1. Re:How many flights per day? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We have wind turbines near Kalibo Airport, in Boracay and also at the airport in Pagudpud, here in the Philippines.

  11. Norway and oil by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Norway pats itself on the back with it's push for environmental electric driven transportation. But, we need to remember that Norway gets most of it's power from hydroelectric sources, which many countries cannot do and wealth from drilling oil (and ultimately polluting the Earth) from the pristine Arctic Ocean.

  12. Wrong ocean, wrong aspect by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    That's the wrong ocean. Norway's oil and gas is in North Sea, the Norwegian sea, and recently the Barents sea.

    The polluting happens where oil consumption is done. If you don't like it, don't buy it. The world still needs oil at the moment, there's no option to stop supplying other countries.

    There's also no reason to complain about Norway's unique nature. There are plenty of other sources of energy such as solar and wind. The point of leading is to go there first, before everyone else, and maybe bringing about technological innovations that can be used by countries that don't have vast amounts of hydroenergy. It's a Good Thing (TM).

  13. No Heat by Templer421 · · Score: 1

    Small price to pay in Norway.

    It is just like Los Angeles right?

    1. Re:No Heat by Tony+Isaac · · Score: 1

      At 30,000 feet, it's arctic cold no matter where you are in the world.

  14. Short-haul defined by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    Definition of short-haul: the length of the cable.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    1. Re:Short-haul defined by St.Creed · · Score: 1

      Now I finally understand why they call it a short *haul*... thanks!

      --
      Therefore, by the (faulty) logic you're using, you're just a cow with a keyboard - osu-neko (2604)
  15. Intriguing.... by Ferretman · · Score: 1

    ...they might even have a deep enough cycle battery tech by around 2040 or so by then...

    Definitely hope this works.

    Ferret

    --
    Sic gorgiamus allos subjectatos nunc
  16. seems to be marketing speak or unrealistic by gravewax · · Score: 1

    This seems a little stupid. Given the design and lead time to developing any aircraft how can they possibly expect to be fully converted in 20 years. They will be lucky to have a small test fleet of planes by then.

  17. Re: Nope -Charging is the problem. Do the math.. by scsirob · · Score: 1

    The problem isn't even with the batteries. Just try to estimate what kind of electrical infrastructure must be laid to charge those batteries back up to full charge, in 30 minutes max. Kerosine delivers about 10kWh per liter. Take the amount of energy in, say 6000 liters of kerosine (737-800 short-haul trip). that's 60MWh. Try charging that in 30 minutes.

    --
    To Terminate, or not to Terminate, that's the question - SCSIROB
  18. Re: Nope -Charging is the problem. Do the math.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why would it need to be recharged in thirty minutes? Why would turnaround time need to be thirty minutes, and why would replaceable battery packs not be an option?

  19. Fake news? by torstein.sivertsen · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I don't know if this has been mentioned here by someone else, but somethings seems off about this news article. As a Norwegian I couldn't help to wonder where this story originated from, as I have seen nothing about this in norwegian newspapers. Slashdot links to the independent, that refers to an article by NRK on norwaytoday.info. This website does in fact not represent NRK. NRK uses their own NRK.no. The rapport from Avinor predicts that electric aircraft should be available from 2030, not that all Norwegian flight use them from 2040. This seems like a bad job by the journalists in siting sources, or just bad journalism.

    1. Re:Fake news? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      https://www.nrk.no/norge/norsk-luftfart-skal-bli-elektrisk-i-2040-1.13864654

  20. Re: Nope -Charging is the problem. Do the math.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Also, you might go with smaller planes. This is domestic Norwegian flights we are talking about; most of them 30-60 minutes with maybe 30 passengers. The government might also give subsidies to have planes grounded to allow for a slightly longer time to refuel.

  21. Write your congressman by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And tell him to stop paying subsidies to Chinese solar.

  22. Wisdom, pay attention! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Norway doesn't need domestic flights. She is a long and thin country, much like Japan. Similarly, Norway could be ideally served by one or two longitudinal very high-speed railway mainlines with short branches to serves rural destinations. Furthermore, Norway has a huge amount of hydro-electric power installed on their fjord waterfalls, an essentially free source of electrified railway traction. Considering Norway's rather extreme weather and very long artic winter nights, surface transport by rail is also more reliable and less risky than flying.

    The problem is, Norway and neighbouring Sweden use an obsolete form of railway electrification, called fractional frequency supply. This scheme forces them to build a parallel national grid and/or install a lot of frequency-changing substations to provide 50/3 = ~16.7 Hz, 15kV AC electricity for the catenary, thereby excessive huge construction / expansion costs. (Note: a similar obsolete system for electric railway traction existed in small parts of the USA until early 1970s with ~ 11kV / 25Hz AC supply.)

    To this day, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland, Austria and Germany haven't adopted the UIC world standard Kando-system, that is railway traction power taken directly from the national electric grid (50Hz AC in Europe) via simple, low-cost 120/25kV ZBD-type transformers. This germanic-nordic weakness is mercilessly exploited by the powerful air travel lobby, which is also supported by the military-industrial complex (namely EADS-Airbus in Europe) because aviation tech is considered useful for warfare, while railways are no longer appreciated by the general staff.

    The above is chief reason why Norway is investing in un-nneded and un-tested electric domestic aviation, even though high-tension electric railways have been a daily reality in service since 1902 and high-speed rail has been mature since 1964.

    1. Re: Wisdom, pay attention! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Really informative, thank you. Any links for further reading you can recommend?

    2. Re:Wisdom, pay attention! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I appreciate your insight and find it very interesting, but without ANY citations/references, it sounds like the ramblings of some of the crazies that still hang around on Slashdot.

    3. Re:Wisdom, pay attention! by alw53 · · Score: 1

      FAA requires commercial flights to be able to fly to the destination, then to an alternate and then for 45 minutes more. That's going to take a big chunk out of 1.5 hours.

    4. Re:Wisdom, pay attention! by dunkelfalke · · Score: 2

      And yet Germany has one of the longest and densest railway grids in the world. There are several power plants in Germany that provide electrical power just for the trains, even one nuclear reactor used to be amongst them. It is true that the fractional frequency supply is more expensive, but it is manageable.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    5. Re:Wisdom, pay attention! by amorsen · · Score: 1

      Just to make it more fun, while Sweden and Norway and Germany are on 16.7Hz electric rail, Denmark is on standard 50Hz... While you are right that 50Hz is the sensible standard, from a pragmatic perspective it would have been better for Denmark to be on 16.7Hz.

      The problem is mostly solved by running diesel trains under the overhead wires. There ARE dual-standard trains like Öresundstoget though.

      Much fun is had with the difference in train signals between the various countries, which will get even more fun as Denmark is trying to upgrade to purely electronic signals.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    6. Re:Wisdom, pay attention! by alw53 · · Score: 1
    7. Re:Wisdom, pay attention! by St.Creed · · Score: 1

      Dude, have you ever *been* to Norway? There is just NO way in hell a train will ever be able to compete with a plane, over any sort of distance. The terrain is *rugged*.

      --
      Therefore, by the (faulty) logic you're using, you're just a cow with a keyboard - osu-neko (2604)
    8. Re:Wisdom, pay attention! by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      "To this day, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland, Austria and Germany haven't adopted the UIC world standard Kando-system, that is railway traction power taken directly from the national electric grid (50Hz AC in Europe) via simple, low-cost 120/25kV ZBD-type transformers. "

      In the old days this had a lot to do with losses in the lines (you need bigger transformers at 16Hz but the losses are lower). DC arcs are self sustaining and at 50/60Hz, 25-50kV arcs can sustain themselves via the ion trail they establish in the air. 16Hz arcs tend to be guaranteed self-extinguishing (and the motors were a lot easier to design in the days of direct-switching power to the motors)

      These days it's a lot easier as track segments are only powered up when there's a train using them, but you still need your separated reticulation system, else the national grid operator has to deal with a 10MW load suddenly becoming a 8MW generator as a train crests a hill in one area, with other loads and generators in other areas, resulting in a lot of grid juggling.

      New Zealand's North Island Main Trunk Railroad electrification was built this way (government decree) in the 1970s-80s, which in a more competitive and profit oriented envoronment results in the grid operators paying the railway companies to NOT run electric locomotives due to the complexity they induce. Standard electromechanical control systems which have served grid operators well for decades are no longer fast enough - even when high speed computers are interposed. We're at the point where you have to predict the big load and source swings on a second-by-second basis and that needs more complexity and cooperation between the various entities involved - the problem there is that whilst governments are mandating that grids provide connectivity to these kinds of loads and sources, they're not allowing the grid operators sufficient power to control the manner of the connection or raise charges to cover the costs.

    9. Re:Wisdom, pay attention! by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      "There ARE dual-standard trains like Öresundstoget though"

      There are a lot of multi-standard trainsets around. Every year it gets easier to do and some european international sets have to cope with not only 4 types of power, but also overhead vs track shoe pickups on different parts of the same journey.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... - and there are electrodisels on top of that (part time diesel engines) (Eurostar runs on 750V DC shoes, 3kVDC overhead or 25kV 50Hz AC overhead, as one example - the 750V is not used on journeys anymore but still needed for maintanence routes - and adding the german system is planned to allow continuous runs into Hamburg. Likewise Germany has multistandard ICEs modified to go all the way to UK 750V stations

      The train signalling issue isn't as bad as you make out, with Europe working towards harmonising across the entire continent and all-electronic signals are the targetted norm.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    10. Re:Wisdom, pay attention! by amorsen · · Score: 1

      I am unfortunately only too aware of ERTMS. The wonderful new system that is unable to cope with, wait for it, stations. But I get it, without stations there'll be no passengers, and without passengers the trains are going to run much more smoothly and scheduling could be made so much more rational.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    11. Re:Wisdom, pay attention! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > Dude, have you ever *been* to Norway? There is just NO way in hell a train will ever be able to compete with a plane, over any sort of distance. The terrain is *rugged*.

      Dig tunnels for the train tracks. That's what Japan, Switzerland and Italy are doing with their Alps. Up to 45km tunnel lenght is now trivial from an engineering point of view, although not cheap or built overnight, but neither was Rome.

    12. Re:Wisdom, pay attention! by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      The point about ERTMS is that it's a unified target standard and as such the bugs can be ironed out. The proliferation of incompatible standards and wildly varying operation rules across Europe is a far worse problem than making ERTMS work for all use cases.

      It's a bit like going from the various competing old analog mobile phone systems to GSM, with a requirement to keep being able to use the old networks until everyone's cut over.

      https://web.archive.org/web/20...

    13. Re:Wisdom, pay attention! by amorsen · · Score: 1

      It is EXACTLY like going to GSM. Because precisely going to GSM is a major part of it -- ERTMS runs on pretend-circuit-coupled data with GSM (except lower frequency) at the physical layer. Unfortunately there is not enough bandwidth in the allocated spectrum to provide each train at a decent-sized station with one circuit, like the standard requires.

      You CAN try to do ERTMS-over-something-vaguely-modern, likely the already obsolete 3G, but that means packet switching which again means unpredictable latency and retransmissions. This is pretty much a solved problem today, but that does not help existing standards.

      Denmark is effectively going to invent a Denmark-only version of ERTMS-over-3G to solve this. It is obviously possible that the ERTMS will, perhaps around 2030, get around to blessing that solution as the proper way to do it. In all likelihood the finished ERTMS-over-packet-switching will be on 4G or 5G though, and Denmark will be left with national almost-ERTMS.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
  23. Re: Nope (H-powered aviation is insanely risky)! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    > use liquid H2 feeding into fuel cells. That still counts as "electric".

    Sponsored by hydrogen:

    Zeppelin von Hindenburg (1937)
    Apollo-Saturn mission 13 (1970)

  24. Some back-of-the-envelope calculations.... by rew · · Score: 1

    Lets do some calculations. Lets start with a 737 class plane. Empty I found figures of just less than 40 tonnes, the highest MTOW I could find was 70 tonnes. Probably not for the same plane, but lets just take the extremes. That leaves 30 tonnes of fuel or in this case batteries. We're neglecting the fact that we might want to take along some passengers and freight, but this is back-of-the-envelope....

    Now I happen to have a few batteries that are not all bad at the energy density. 1.5kg for 800kJ
    So our electric plane can take along about 20000 of these batteries for about 16GJ of energy.

    Now... in 1.5 hours of flight, for safety you really want for 2 hours worth of fuel. (regulations require more than 45 minutes of extra fuel, but back-of-the-envelope, remember?). In those two hours you'd normally fly about 1600km, but let us round that down to 600km/h, or 1200km. At a glide ratio of 20 (current planes reach about 18, so some improvement is required), that means you need to spend about 1200km/20 * 70 tonnes * G = 42GJ of energy. That's the prop-output energy, so prop-input energy is going to be more on the order of 60GJ. (props are max 70% efficient).

    So there is a factor of 4 to 6 to gain in terms of energy density for LIPO batteries before you can fly a commercial plane for 2 hours on batteries. (the "6" there comes from the fact that the difference between MTOW and empty weight is not all batteries).

    Such a big improvement of energy density sounds a bit far fetched to me.

    1. Re:Some back-of-the-envelope calculations.... by AbrasiveCat · · Score: 1

      I'd mod this comment up. I think the end result will be Norway backs off on their requirement when no one comes up with the required product.

    2. Re:Some back-of-the-envelope calculations.... by naughtynaughty · · Score: 1

      Why start with a 737 class aircraft when the Norwegians are talking about short haul flights with much smaller passenger counts?

    3. Re:Some back-of-the-envelope calculations.... by St.Creed · · Score: 1

      Given the traffic, 12-20 seats would make a lot more sense to me.

      --
      Therefore, by the (faulty) logic you're using, you're just a cow with a keyboard - osu-neko (2604)
    4. Re:Some back-of-the-envelope calculations.... by ebvwfbw · · Score: 1

      I did the same thing. It comes out to about 70 KW. The numbers were actually surprising to me. 50,000 lbs of thrust (both engines) /550 (Lbs/hp) or 91 HP. A lousy 91 HP? My airplane is rated at 225 HP and I can't go anywhere near as fast. Anyhow, 91HP * 746 Watts/hp = 67886 Watts or 68 KW. I just think of the wires that would be required for a 70 KVA service. Imagine storing that with any speed.

      You're right never the less. We're way off from that. Unless we find another guy like Tesla. I bet he could do it. On the other hand, nothing is for free. If we could do that, imagine what else it could do... Something else for people to be upset about.

  25. Re: Nope -Charging is the problem. Do the math.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    To keep weight down by reducing intra-plane wire and bus-bar needs, one could design planes to have very many external charging ports near each subset of batteries. 120MW delivered at 120V over 1000 ports leaves 1000 Amps needed per port for delivering 60MWh in a half hour. That's a lot of welding cable and the connecting robot would have to provide mechanical support, but it is not infeasible to design such a system.

  26. What about a hybrid electrical generator system? by az-saguaro · · Score: 1

    The discussions and technological development about electric cars and airplanes always seems to imply an all-or-none approach to the power source and the drive train. The motive force, torque or thrust, comes from a fuel-energy system that is either all carbon-combustive or else all electrical. Why not a hybrid system?

    Assume that the best way to go for the future is an electric drive train. Electric engines provide the mechanical motive force to move the vehicle, and an electrical system (battery or fuel cell) delivers the energy to the engines. But, what if there was an added component to resupply the fuel system - a classic carbon-combustion engine driving an electrical generator. The generator engine would be wholly separate from the drive train (unlike current hybrid electrical cars). It would serve only to generate electricity to restore charge on the batteries (or as needed, feed directly through the power inverter or electrical output stage). In principle, the generator would be a much smaller, lighter, more efficient device than the primary motive engines. It need not run at all except at times of high demand, or for emergency situations such as primary "fuel" running low or unexpected failure in the primary electrical supply system.

    Many of the comments in this thread talk about the inadequacies of current electrical technologies to meet FAA requirements for 45 minutes extra flight time, or what next when the batteries are drained? As a back up safety or a range extension subsystem, it seems that a carbon fuel based electrical generator has merit at many levels. Yet, there never seems to be much discussion of such. So, for those more knowledgeable about the subject, what are your thoughts about using a fossil fuel electrical generation system to feed the batteries?

  27. Re:What about a hybrid electrical generator system by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

    "Why not a hybrid system?"

    To sum it up in one word: Weight.

    To sum it up in two words: Weight & reliability

    Unlike every other form of transport, aircraft designs are incredibly sensitive to weight and using less efficient engines (turbines) makes sense when the engine power is higher (so you need fewer of them = less weight) and the reliability is higher (in the days of pistons it was routine for "long-distance" flights to arrive with one engine out and the engines tended to need heavy maintenance every other flight anyway, making turnarounds extremely slow)

    Adding extra mass for a big motor/generator and batteries doesn't make sense, especially when you factor in that aircraft engines spend the vast majority of their operating life either idling (warming up, cooling down and taxiing) or at one fixed power level (plus/minus 10%). Hybrids make more sense when the power requirements are continually varying, so the gains you might make from a hybrid system are outweighed by the extra complexity and mass. The same mass penalties are why it's not considered worthwhile adding electric drive to the wheels, especially given the engines need to be running for some period before applying full power/after landing - the benefits simply aren't worthwhile (and designing for extended ground tows adds weight to the undercarriage with its own sets of panalties)

    Electric engines are theoretically better than turbines, but battery energy density needs to improve by at least a factor of 10 before they'd be practical for civil transports.

  28. Caveat... by martinfb · · Score: 1

    They are just not allowed to leave the Li batteries connected - to avoid fires.

    --


    Self-importance and self-indulgence is the root of ALL evil.