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The Doomsday Clock Just Ticked Closer To Midnight (usatoday.com)

Scientists moved the hands of the symbolic "Doomsday Clock" closer to midnight on Thursday amid increasing worries over nuclear weapons and climate change. From a report: The clock is now two minutes to midnight. "Because of the extraordinary danger of the current moment, the Science and Security Board today moves the minute hand of the Doomsday Clock 30 seconds closer to catastrophe," said Rachel Bronson, president of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. "This is the closest the Clock has ever been to Doomsday, and as close as it was in 1953, at the height of the Cold War." Each year, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, a non-profit group that sets the clock, decides whether the events of the previous year pushed humanity closer or farther from destruction. The symbolic clock is now the closest it's been to midnight since 1953. It was also two minutes to midnight in 1953 when the hydrogen bomb was first tested.

319 comments

  1. Damn! by PPH · · Score: 4, Funny

    I thought it was almost lunchtime.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
    1. Re:Damn! by dejitaru · · Score: 5, Funny

      I think you mean launchtime

    2. Re: Damn! by backslashdot · · Score: 1

      Yes it is, if you like your steak well done.

    3. Re:Damn! by spth · · Score: 5, Funny

      It's just his autocorrection: https://xkcd.com/1834/ Philipp

    4. Re: Damn! by David_Hart · · Score: 1

      Yes it is, if you like your steak well done.

      Can I get that with fries and a Nuka Cola..... (grin)

    5. Re:Damn! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Is there any situation not covered by XKCD?

    6. Re:Damn! by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      I thought it was almost lunchtime.

      Indeed, lunchtime for the post-apocalypse radiation-zombies.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    7. Re:Damn! by nitehawk214 · · Score: 1

      But I am le tired.

      --
      I'm a good cook. I'm a fantastic eater. - Steven Brust
    8. Re: Damn! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      My peanuts just feel off.

    9. Re:Damn! by dejitaru · · Score: 1

      Well. Then. Have a nap. Then fire ze missiles!

    10. Re:Damn! by penandpaper · · Score: 1

      What's going on, eh?

    11. Re: Damn! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This situation was better covered by the launch party scene in the office.

    12. Re:Damn! by Jake+Griffin · · Score: 1

      WTF, mates?!

      --
      SIG FAULT: Post index out of bounds.
    13. Re:Damn! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I said LUNCH not LAUNCH!

    14. Re: Damn! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fucking kangaroos

    15. Re: Damn! by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      ARRRGH! MOTHERLAND!

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    16. Re: Damn! by Gibgezr · · Score: 1

      'Bout that time, eh chaps?

  2. Scientists my foot by RightwingNutjob · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Attention-seeking peaceniks is more like it.

    1. Re:Scientists my foot by HornWumpus · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Their credibility has been gone for a _long_ time. Should be ignored.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    2. Re:Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You mean people who study history so that they do not end up repeating it?

      Historically, free trade prevents wars because everybody has a stake in peace.

      When one country starts placing tariffs on good, then trade wars start up and nobody has a reason to preserve the peace.

      Wake the fuck up

    3. Re:Scientists my foot by richardellisjr · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Considering they believe we are closer to doomday now that we were during the Cuban missile crisis I'd say your spot on.

    4. Re:Scientists my foot by servo335 · · Score: 4, Funny

      Free trade? i cite Rule of acquisition #34 War is good for business

    5. Re:Scientists my foot by RightwingNutjob · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Russian and Ukraine had pretty tight trade relations. And then what happened?

      History and economics are not an exact science. Acting as though they are and assuming nothing but economic self-interest motivates people will lead you astray.

      Economic integration is good in that it leads to lower prices but it is bad in that it can reduce people's ability to feel like they can stand on their own two feet, especially if the integration is attempted between first-world and third-world countries, as the history of the past several decades shows. That's a psychological cost and it's a real cost. The real cost is that you lose your ability to make stuff. Not just the stuff you buy cheap from over there but also the other stuff that isn't so cheap to buy from over there. The latter happens because your industrial base is eroded and that's just plain bad.

      You don't see this as bad if you're a white-collar or academic type who goes to work to wrestle with abstractions of your own making instead of real things. That's a blind spot you have. And your pronouncements on the subject aren't the whole story. If you had an ounce of humility you'd understand that instead of doubling down on globalist dogma.

    6. Re:Scientists my foot by RightwingNutjob · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Reagan used to say that freedom isn't passed down through the blood; it must be taught to the next generation. Same thing with loonie left nonsense like this. They'll keep talking, so we have to keep refuting them. The antidote to bad ideas in the public sphere is good ideas in the public sphere. Jordan Peterson and Cathy Newman is a perfect example.

    7. Re: Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What? You have a reading problem?
      I said that tariffs lead to trade wars, which lead to actual wars... with nuclear states

      Yep, thermo nuclear destruction because some billionaires want to shake a few more dollars into their pockets

      You astro-turfing trolls should read the posts that you are commenting on, and ask you agitprop masters for some appropriate responses

    8. Re:Scientists my foot by penandpaper · · Score: 3, Funny

      So what your saying is that you hate brown people and women?

    9. Re:Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Free trade? i cite Rule of acquisition #34 War is good for business

      That depends on the business and it's not good for a country and her peoples. Wars drain the coffers of the country - wars are expensive. Wars are a waste. And seeing those young people coming back maimed or dead is just sad. When I see a young man who had a promising career as an engineer come back in a wheel chair drooling on himself all because he needed to pay for school, I am appalled at what is happening to our country and the World.

      A huge part of our current national debt is from those two unnecessary wars. And we have passed the tipping point were the USA will be at war until we go broke and our country ends.

      We glorify war in this country - and that is a sign of a decaying society.

    10. Re:Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      So what you're saying is that you're a big Cathy Newman fan?

    11. Re: Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

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      You can be sure I will be watching this fake account too. I know this is you because you told me you were working on your freepass 11 file server and you are so dumb that you can't even masquerade yourself properly.

      Now, I told you I was out of meds last week and you didn't even care to contact me you lazy fucker.

      How many times do I have to express the emergency of the situation??????

      The python click script you wrote for my pheromone revenue stream web site suddenly stopped to work!!!!!!

      You fucking incompetent python script writer!!!

      When it works, I get 4000+ clicks a day on my pheromone revenue stream web site but only 5 or 6 without it!!!!

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      Bonus:
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      The tree was him and the tree knot was his butt hole!

      So, his uncle packed his fat ass with lard and with his cock! Not that it makes much of a difference but anyway, there it is!

      Signed:
      Ethell, The girl that used to love you and now hates you, burn in hell where you belong you sexist pig!

    12. Re:Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, what he's saying is we should all organize like a society of lobsters! :D

      Someone marked your comment as a troll - methinks you were a tad to subtle for some?

    13. Re:Scientists my foot by k6mfw · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Nothing wrong protesting against actions of billionaires hellbent on starting wars where someone else's children has to fight them.

      --
      mfwright@batnet.com
    14. Re: Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The trade war started when China decided to corner markets by economically destroying competitors. You continue to repeat the lie that this is Trump's trade war, vice Obama's wise decision to maintain solar panel production capacity in the US.

    15. Re:Scientists my foot by mi · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Maybe. What is certainly wrong, however, is the allusion, that the protesters being "atomic scientists" (whatever that means) somehow makes their protest weightier and/or attention-worthy...

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    16. Re:Scientists my foot by I'm+New+Around+Here · · Score: 2

      between first-world and third-world countries,

      Russia is not a first-world country. It is, by definition, second-world.

      --
      If you think I voted for Trump because of this post, you're wrong. I voted for Dr. Jill Stein of the Green Party. Again.
    17. Re: Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is a TON more money in installing lots of cheap solar panels than chasing after thin margins manufacturing panels

      Now, with the 30% tariff, there will be much fewer panels installed and lower profits for American companies

    18. Re:Scientists my foot by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      i cite Rule of acquisition #34 War is good for business

      War is only good for business if you win. Even then, the effect is often only temporary, since wars increase both inflation and debt. They are often followed by economic depression even in the countries that won the war.

      I don't think anyone believes that a nuclear war would be good for business.

    19. Re:Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ukraine wanted free trade with the West, and Russia wanted to force them to stay in their state controlled (or oligarch controlled since they really are not socialist or communist any more) market... the exact opposite of free trade

    20. Re: Scientists my foot by Reverend+Green · · Score: 1

      Profits vs energy self-sufficiency. Hmmm......

    21. Re:Scientists my foot by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 0

      The "Doomsday Clock" is no longer about just nuclear war, since the chance of that has faded. They have diversified into alarmism about climate change, and GMO fear mongering. After all, the best way to make people take climate change seriously is shrill warnings that it is going to destroy the earth in two minutes.

    22. Re:Scientists my foot by tinkerton · · Score: 1

      If that is true it's very unfortunate. I don't know how knowledgeable these people are but I consider the chance of terminal nuclear war pretty high. All unintentional of course. Maybe a Korean conflict can be contained, but India/Pakistan is less clear and the US seems to be completely in control of warmongers or reckless tensionmongers who are to stupid to know where to stop. It's full of useful idiots who are only there to make money for others.
      These days nukes are considered 'a jobs program'.

    23. Re:Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Peacenik, defined by MW as "an opponent of war."

      Yes, how terrible they are! They oppose war! So your counter-point is that "scientists" must be either neutral or pro-war?

    24. Re:Scientists my foot by stabiesoft · · Score: 1

      War is good for biz when your country is an arms supplier and not a party to the conflict.

    25. Re:Scientists my foot by penandpaper · · Score: 1

      methinks you were a tad to subtle for some?

      lol, just a little. :)

    26. Re:Scientists my foot by Bootsy+Collins · · Score: 1

      the allusion, that the protesters being "atomic scientists" (whatever that means)

      What it means is that the folks who founded and originally wrote for/edited/published the journal were predominantly scientists who played prominent roles in the Manhattan Project during WW2.

    27. Re:Scientists my foot by mi · · Score: 1

      predominantly scientists who played prominent roles in the Manhattan Project during WW2.

      WW2 ended in 1945 and everybody of prominence back then is long dead.

      But even if they were alive, try explaining, why their role in the development of the weapon makes them better experts on matters of foreign policy, military, and psychology, than that of any engineer or a dentist?

      Why, in other words, should we value their opinion on how imminent the use of their weapon is over that of an engineer or a dentist?

      Do you think, bladesmiths could better predict the imminence of duels, than other contemporaries?

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    28. Re:Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Curse you for invoking Rule 34 with the Ferengi.

    29. Re:Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nothing wrong protesting against actions of billionaires hellbent on starting wars where someone else's children has to fight them.

      Yes, but then again we didn't elect her no did we?

    30. Re:Scientists my foot by citylivin · · Score: 1

      "Considering they believe we are closer to doomday now that we were during the Cuban missile crisis I'd say your spot on."

      I'm much less scared of nuclear missile negotiations with both armies on high alert being handled by someone like kennedy, than your current dumbfuck president handling his personal cell phone.

      Having idiots driving the ship makes it much more likely to have an incident than simply driving dangerous cargos around competently.

      --
      As a potential lottery winner, I totally support tax cuts for the wealthy
    31. Re: Scientists my foot by sound+vision · · Score: 1

      Yeah, it's grandstanding. But you don't need to be a scientist or a "liberal" to see that having the most vain, impulsive President with the least understanding of international affairs in our history is a danger. You do have to be a braindead partisan cheerleader to ignore it. The good thing is, I think the military guys in his cabinet will be able to reign him in from disposing of MAD and launching a pre-emptive nuclear strike.

    32. Re: Scientists my foot by sound+vision · · Score: 1

      The fact is that we are in the middle of a mass extinction event on par with the one that wiped out the dinosaurs. Apex predators (like humans) typically don't do well in these events due to their reliance on the rest of the ecosystem functioning. You've been insulated from the need to directly hunt and farm by modern technology, but that doesn't mean it's not critical to survival. In fact, that softness is what makes your survival less likely when the large-scale commercial farming starts to buckle. Like a domesticated poodle left to fend for itself in Alaska. The fact that some isolated pockets of humanity might survive on some corner of the planet seems like little consolation.

    33. Re: Scientists my foot by stewski · · Score: 1

      History is no guarantee of anything, unless we equate the ability to utterly destroy the habitability for humans on earth, with the development of the long bow?

    34. Re: Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      People can easily prey on people for food, by the time that source runs low there will be less competition for what remains...

      Sure, civilization will no longer exist, but feral humans will be pretty tough by then

      Evolution is a bitch

    35. Re:Scientists my foot by Bootsy+Collins · · Score: 3, Informative

      predominantly scientists who played prominent roles in the Manhattan Project during WW2.

      WW2 ended in 1945 and everybody of prominence back then is long dead.

      Not sure how that pertains to my answer to your question; but yes, the Manhattan Project (or its precursor) scientists involved in the creation of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists -- Rabinowitch, Szilard, Oppenheimer, Bethe, Urey, etc. -- are gone now, although a few survived until relatively recently (Hans Bethe, for instance, did not pass until 2005).

      But even if they were alive, try explaining, why their role in the development of the weapon makes them better experts on matters of foreign policy, military, and psychology, than that of any engineer or a dentist?

      Why, in other words, should we value their opinion on how imminent the use of their weapon is over that of an engineer or a dentist?

      Do you think, bladesmiths could better predict the imminence of duels, than other contemporaries?

      I don't know why you're asking me these questions, since I merely answered the one you posed (about what the basis for the name was), and made no assertions of the sort that your questions seem to imply or defenses of anything the Bulletin has ever published.

      The so-called "Doomsday Clock" is undoubtedly the most notorious thing about the Bulletin; but it's a tiny fraction of what they publish and what they argue. In general, and from my experience, the papers/articles published therein which argue for any particular viewpoint on an issue tend to be supported with attempts at logical reasoning built upon a set of claimed evidence. That absolutely does not make any of them right, any more than the many papers that fill scientific journals every week are all correct; and it's completely reasonable to argue that one sees flaws in their reasoning or in the set of facts/axioms/whatever on which their reasoning is based; and I'd be very surprised if any of the principals involved in the publication now, or those who write for it, would argue to the contrary.

    36. Re: Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Perhaps the better question is why are we bickering about the messenger, and ignoring the message? There's a strong undercurrent of braindead partisanship on this whole thread.

    37. Re: Scientists my foot by RightwingNutjob · · Score: 2

      For all the doomsaying, he hasn't actually done or tried to do anything out of the ordinary. But listening to one side of the debate, you'd think he's hatching a plan to enslave half the globe and roast the other half in nuclear fire to feed it.

    38. Re:Scientists my foot by HyperQuantum · · Score: 1

      Don't forget rule 35: Peace is good for business

      source

      --
      I am not really here right now.
    39. Re:Scientists my foot by Prien715 · · Score: 1

      Both countries were armed with nukes at the time the clock was moved; the main difference being Fidel Castro was in charge of the nukes then and Kim Jong Un is in charge of the nukes now.

      I'd trust Castro's sanity before I'd trust Kim's.

      --
      -- Political fascism requires a Fuhrer.
    40. Re:Scientists my foot by tsqr · · Score: 1

      I'm much less scared of nuclear missile negotiations with both armies on high alert being handled by someone like kennedy, than your current dumbfuck president handling his personal cell phone.

      Do you really need reminding that one of the armies on high alert was being handled by Nikita Kruschev? Anyone old enough to remember his shoe-banging episode at the UN in 1960 can tell you Nikita makes Trump and Putin look like a pair of pot smoking peaceniks.

    41. Re:Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You'll just keep on lying and projecting you mean.

      Why would anyone believe a thing that corrupt senile old failure Reagan said anyway?

    42. Re:Scientists my foot by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      ... Fidel Castro was in charge of the nukes then ...

      No, he wasn't. Do you think the Soviets would have actually given Fidel control over their nuclear weapons? Seriously?

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    43. Re:Scientists my foot by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      "She" isn't a billionaire. "He" is.

      You were saying...?

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    44. Re: Scientists my foot by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      But listening to one side of the debate, you'd think he's hatching a plan to enslave half the globe and roast the other half in nuclear fire to feed it.

      That "one side" being his own nonstop shitposting on Twitter.

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    45. Re: Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      People can easily prey on people for food, by the time that source runs low there will be less competition for what remains...

      Sure, civilization will no longer exist, but feral humans will be pretty tough by then

      Evolution is a bitch

      The sad thing is we discussing these vile possibilities in the times they promised we would living in a star-trek world.

      I loved the 70's...

    46. Re:Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      between first-world and third-world countries,

      Russia is not a first-world country. It is, by definition, second-world.

      Call it whatever you want. I'll go with a shit hole. Put some sprinkles on top if it makes you feel better.

    47. Re:Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Reagan was an idiot and anyone who voted for him should be shot.

      Can think of a few new ones who will be among the first against the wall. My guess is you won't even get to that point. You'll be hiding in your basement jerking off. Dumb fuck.

    48. Re:Scientists my foot by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      If that is true it's very unfortunate.

      You can read about on their own website. They see the major threats to human existence as "unchecked climate change" and "abuse of social media". This is classic mission creep.

    49. Re:Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of this highly publicized, and well photographed and televised event, at no time is Khrushchev shown banging a shoe. Waving it yes, banging it, no.
      And somehow despite much encouragement from his own Warniks, and those in the West salivating at the prospect of a splendid provocation, Khrushchev did not drop two Nuclear Devices on a Country that Russia was at War with. (What he let loose above the Arctic circle is another matter.)
      Putin I doubt would go so far either, although he does like the Nuclear Sabre rattling. Putin is no Commie; he just wants to restore the historical concept of Russian Oligarchies, and perhaps once again rule a Russian Empire.
      Trump might do it just out of spite at being told that he shouldn't. Dude has no sense of self-control. In the last year he has ballooned; he is on track to beating Taft as the Fattest US President. He already won the Stupidest title.
      The Norks might do it, if only to have some determination in matters their own inevitable extermination.

      Only one Leader ever dropped Nukes in Warfare, and the debate as to whether Truman should have done so is is stronger today than ever. Which is the whole bloody point of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, and has been since it's founding by Manhattan Project dissenters. That Public Debate.

    50. Re:Scientists my foot by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

      Go live under Putin if you like hi...

      Oh, wait. You ready are living there, collecting a check for posting this drivel.

      --
      (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
    51. Re:Scientists my foot by tinkerton · · Score: 1

      Okay, they don't see abuse of social media as a major threat to human existence. I can understand they want to include climate change because it's commonly considered a major threat. Independent of how solid that claim is I wouldn't have done that because indeed, mission creep. They moved from nukes to general threats and it dilutes the message.

    52. Re:Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > Hans Bethe, for instance, did not pass until 2005

      Hate to make you feel old, but that's 13 years ago. There young adults alive today that don't remember 2005.

    53. Re:Scientists my foot by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      The EU offered Ukraine a chance to join the EU customs union to basically poke the Russians.

      Customs unions are not free trade - quite the reverse as countries in one have to level a common external tariff and cannot sign free trade agreements with countries outside the customs union.

      In a sane world Ukraine would have one free trade agreement with the EU, another with Russia, the UK, US and so on and no one would attempt to expand customs unions which are by their nature exclusionary.

      Of course it's not a sane world. The Russians offered Ukraine a chance to join the Russian customs union. The EU offered them a chance to join the EU one. And inside Ukraine there was split between the pro Western parts and the pro Russian ones that led to governments falling and Russian backed separatists starting a civil war.

      Russia was wrong to invade but the EU were wrong to troll Russia and then abandon Ukraine to Russian invasion.

      A big part of the reason BREXIT is a good thing is because the UK will leave the EU customs union and replace it with a free trade agreement with the EU. And is then free to sign a free trade agreement with the US, Commonwealth countries, India, China etc.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    54. Re:Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I would disagree. A lot of groups who used to have some credibility completely lost it because they make outlandish claims "to start a conversation". If you proclaim that the world is ending because of every minor issue you're doing more harm than good.

    55. Re:Scientists my foot by pots · · Score: 1

      Oh? I wasn't aware of that.

      It seems as though it would be hard to lose credibility over something like this, since it's basically just a reminder that there are some unstable people in charge of nuclear weapons right now. This fact is hard to deny: even people who think that Trump is totally stable and, like, a really smart guy, probably aren't as generous towards Kim Jong-il. And vice-versa for supporters of Kim Jong-il. So regardless of where you stand on those two, you should be able to recognize a problem there.

      And that's just two examples. Wasn't there a story recently about Russia's new nuclear-equipped underwater drones? And there are always the nukes in Pakistan, which are not exactly reassuringly secure.

      Could you specify when this group's credibility was lost? I'll accept a general answer, I don't need a date and time.

    56. Re:Scientists my foot by thegarbz · · Score: 0

      Credibility? You mean having a loonie bragging about the size of his nuclear button while actively taunting a hostile nuclear state isn't grounds for having the same doomsday threat level as we had in the cold war?

      Are people just desensitised to the possibility of nuclear war or what?

    57. Re:Scientists my foot by mjwx · · Score: 1

      Considering they believe we are closer to doomday now that we were during the Cuban missile crisis I'd say your spot on.

      During the Cuban missile crisis, we had two leaders who were actively trying to avoid conflict, this culminated in a deal that saw the Soviet remove the missiles in Cuba and the US remove it's missiles in turkey. Both sides went to the table and backed down sensibly. The idea that the US was seconds away from nuclear war in the Cuban missile crisis was laughable.

      Right now, we don't just have the two US parties fighting each other, the republican party is fighting its own leader. We are at the risk of two of the most powerful economic powers in the world, if not the two most powerful individual nations collapsing economically due to their own stupidity.

      Look at this thread. Many Americans are too interested in trying to find a way to blame this on a "left" that doesn't exist in the US than admitting they're in serious economic strife. Same with the Brexiteers in Britain, too interested in trying to prove things aren't as bad as they could have been, but ignoring the fact things are much worse than they would have been without Brexit.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
    58. Re:Scientists my foot by conquistadorst · · Score: 1

      Free trade? i cite Rule of acquisition #34 War is good for business

      It's not, actually. Not even close. There's only a handful of businesses that profit from war, the rest of the economy takes a huge toll. Sure, billions of dollars in weapons production sounds like a lot of money but in comparison to the rest of the economy it's not. It's less than 1/10 of a % in the US' near-$19T economy. Whatever gains your conspiracy theory thought there was, it would be inconsequential by the negative impacts on the rest of the economy.

      Just try to think of any historical example where war was good for business. Only if you're not even a party to the war and watching from the stands is there even a remote chance, but still likely not since your trade partners are going to be taking a hit in the long term. Take even the US during WW2 which is often cited as an example. If it wasn't for the fact the rest of the world was simply pulverized, resetting the playing field, it wouldn't have looked like such a boon to the US. Not at all. I only see on arguable intangible benefit benefit of war, its tendency to jumpstart motivation. You get a boost to people's vigor, nationalism, efforts, and sometimes research. Computing and nuclearization may have been accelerated by a few years for example. Pretty heavy price to pay though, not worth it.

    59. Re:Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You've got that right! The sky is falling! The sky is falling!

    60. Re: Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes I burn them all.

    61. Re:Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      erm, no He just gave a pretty good assessment of current nuclear risk, and certainly not one the Putin would approve (you see, Russia only has DEFENSIVE nuclear weapons according to Putin).

      The biggest risk is that either or both Kim and Trump push too close to the edge, fire shots at each other and China and/or Russia get dragged into the conflict

      China will not respond 'gently' if the US starts flying bombing runs over NK, and Russia will not stand on the sidelines if we use a tactical nuke on Kim

      These are very well known situations that Trump seems unaware of

    62. Re:Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      She had billions behind her campaign ($1.2 billion). He didn't ($647 million).

      You were saying..?

    63. Re:Scientists my foot by tbannist · · Score: 1

      No, they think the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists is criticizing a Republican, so of course, it must have no credibility. There's no deeper thought than that assigned to this exercise in dismissal.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    64. Re:Scientists my foot by Bootsy+Collins · · Score: 1

      Yeah. I don't remember 2005 either, but that's *because* I'm old.

    65. Re: Scientists my foot by tbannist · · Score: 1

      For all the doomsaying, he hasn't actually done or tried to do anything out of the ordinary.

      Personally, I think directly taunting Kim Jong Un on Twitter is definitely out of the ordinary.

      But listening to one side of the debate, you'd think he's hatching a plan to enslave half the globe and roast the other half in nuclear fire to feed it.

      I think his side of the debate is worried both about what Trump might do and what Trump might provoke someone else into doing.

      You should remember that World War I was started by the assassination of Archduke Ferdinand. It's not always obvious what will trigger a global conflict.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    66. Re:Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well..... Yes, they gave him direct control over ~100 tactical nukes. And, I mean if you put nuclear missiles in a country surrounded and defended by their military, then those nukes are THEIRS one push comes to shove. We put nukes in Turkey, the USSR put nukes in Cuba. Turkey currently has 90 nuclear bombs with a total of 30MT. In the 60's the USSR had nuclear missiles in Cuba WITH NUCLEAR WARHEADS.

      In early 1992, it was confirmed that Soviet forces in Cuba had, when the crisis broke, already received tactical nuclear warheads for their artillery rockets and Il-28 bombers.[119] Castro stated that he would have recommended their use if the US invaded despite Cuba being destroyed.[119]

      And Castro most certainly planned on using those nukes if Cuba was ever invaded. And of course he had power and influence over the local soviet forces in control of the missiles with the big nukes.

    67. Re:Scientists my foot by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      There's no deeper thought

      I think about this every time some one slashdot says the word "Republican" or "Democrat". But hey you're probably right, after all in the past 20 years all republican presidents have been aggressive war mongers so I imagine it would appear to be bias.

    68. Re:Scientists my foot by chihowa · · Score: 1

      You do know that the US president doesn't actually have a "LAUNCH TEH NUKES" button on his desk, right? Even if Trump was literally Hitler and actually wanted to start WW3, his command would have to filter through quite a few more rational minds before anything actually happened.

      Honestly, as wacky as the place seems, North Korea probably has a similar arrangement too. Most people want to continue to be alive tomorrow and know that starting a nuclear war is just about the worst way to ensure that it happens.

      --
      If you want a vision of the future, imagine a youtube comments section scrolling - forever.
    69. Re:Scientists my foot by pots · · Score: 1

      I do know that, yes. We would be well past midnight if Trump just had a big round "launch the nukes" button that he could mistake for a boob and start groping one day.

      Instead we have his campaign of antagonism and threats against... pretty much everyone. (except Russia, natch) It's not as certain or as quick as a "launch the nukes" button, but it's another way to get there.

    70. Re:Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thanks; those were exactly the points that I was trying to make. We may quibble over the details, but that is what debates are for.
      Impy is a fucking ignorant Libertarian knuckle-dragger. Hell, he can't even spell "impious" right. I would gone after the implied pun myself, something along the lines of "impio-U.S.", meaning lacking reverence for US Institutions, but that may have struck too close to the bone for his anarchic core.

      Oh damn, it's Friday, time to cash my Check. A Kopeck just doesn't seem to go as far as it used to...

    71. Re:Scientists my foot by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Why do you restrict yourself to talking about loonie left nonsense? Either you're using a word unnecessarily, or you fail to see all the loonie right nonsense.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    72. Re:Scientists my foot by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      The Soviet Union was, by definition, second-world. That particular classification has been useless for decades now (my son has a college degree and a job, and is living independently, and postdates the Soviet Union by years).

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    73. Re:Scientists my foot by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Assuming the UK can get a reasonable free trade agreement with the EU. Economically, the UK needs the EU more than the EU needs the UK.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    74. Re:Scientists my foot by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I've been told that Khruschev was wearing both shoes during that incident, so it was a planned action. He was a lot more cool and calculating than he wanted to appear.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    75. Re:Scientists my foot by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      Barnier has already said the UK will get a 'Canada style' trade deal. I.e. no trade tariffs, but no financial passporting.

      https://www.theguardian.com/po...

      And that's his opening offer. I'm sure all those Remoaner banks like Goldman Sachs will get financial passporting in the end. If not, that's just tough. But they are traitors and kind of deserve it.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    76. Re:Scientists my foot by ebvwfbw · · Score: 1

      You're right. However a lot of people still are fooled by Obama. He and his billionaire friends shit all over Europe by making sure Libya was taken out and helping very stupid people invade Europe. Now we have terrorism, rape, stealing and so on going on. Europe will be in flames again soon in war. It's just a matter of time as they take over. They're taking over London as you read this. Just a matter of time.

    77. Re: Scientists my foot by RightwingNutjob · · Score: 1

      Nuclear weapons have kept the peace among the great powers for over seven decades.

    78. Re:Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You seem to be retarded.

    79. Re:Scientists my foot by DeVilla · · Score: 1

      They may be scientists, but I think it's safe to assume they are not operating in a scientific capacity when they are playing with their Doomsday Clock.

    80. Re:Scientists my foot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "If it wasn't for the fact the rest of the world was simply pulverized, resetting the playing field"

      Well, there's your answer, then!

      We need to re-pulverize the rest of the world.

  3. Doomsday Clocks are Stupid by avandesande · · Score: 4, Insightful

    They are a graphic for about a half dozen logic fallacies.

    --
    love is just extroverted narcissism
    1. Re:Doomsday Clocks are Stupid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      BINGO!

    2. Re:Doomsday Clocks are Stupid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is this the successor to the clock? A doomsday bingo card?

    3. Re:Doomsday Clocks are Stupid by I'm+New+Around+Here · · Score: 1

      It would be more accurate. And amusing.

      --
      If you think I voted for Trump because of this post, you're wrong. I voted for Dr. Jill Stein of the Green Party. Again.
    4. Re:Doomsday Clocks are Stupid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      B-52

    5. Re:Doomsday Clocks are Stupid by Jake+Griffin · · Score: 1
      Miss.

      C-4

      --
      SIG FAULT: Post index out of bounds.
    6. Re:Doomsday Clocks are Stupid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      UUU F4

      DXFFJ U9HGT UMWQA LL9RT SMWTM FOKUW HZR74

      UUU F4

      ACKNOWLEDGE OUT

    7. Re:Doomsday Clocks are Stupid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey, how did you get my Windows XP install key??

    8. Re:Doomsday Clocks are Stupid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My favorite was that they made a big show about the clock. Filming with a small audience and having it shrouded in a black curtain which they then unveiled to move the minute hand.

      "Look how amazing this is!" was the feeling I got from the way they set it up.

  4. It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisis? by geschbacher79 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I think this idea of the Doomsday clock being soooo close to midnight reveals just how useless a measurement of crisis it actually is. They're suggesting that a global nuclear holocaust has never been more likely? More likely than during the Cuban Missile Crisis? Than when the president of China urged President Nixon to join him in nuking Russia? Closer than when Pakistan and India took turns testing nukes underground in the early 2000's? All of those years of the cold war where both the US and USSR had nuclear-armed bombers flying all around?

    The only location where a nuclear event is likely to take place would be in North Korea: If any event took place, it would have to be a limited attack by the North Korea, prompting a US response. But that isn't to suggest an entire global nuclear winter would necessarily follow.

    This is nothing but attention-seeking for the organization behind the clock and in no way measures the actual threat of a nuclear doomsday.

  5. Revoke Their PhDs by NicknameUnavailable · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Hippies practicing scare tactics aren't scientists. From the weather through volcanology history has shown that people predicting the future are not scientists of any merit.

    1. Re:Revoke Their PhDs by hdyoung · · Score: 1

      Actually, the predictive ability of a scientific field is an excellent measure of it's maturity. Biology, weather modeling, certain fields of physics and chemistry are still very young and immature. Lots of things fundamental things are not understood yet and these branches of science can't reliably predict the detailed behavior of things. As a field develops, the predictive capability grows, and can eventually predict the future with great precision. Usually, the mature scientific fields spawn a similarly related engineering field. Example: climate science is not a mature field. It cant predict global weather with precision yet. There is no field called "weather engineering". One the other hand, electronic, mechanical and thermal physics are so precisely developed that we have these applied scientist types called "mechanical, aerospace and electrical engineers" who can design a huge commercial jetliner, with literally over a million parts, and predict how it will fly and operate with incredible precision before it even leaves the ground.

  6. Cuban Missile Crisis by mrlinux11 · · Score: 1

    Where was the clock then ?

    1. Re:Cuban Missile Crisis by magarity · · Score: 5, Funny

      There was a Democrat in the White House then. It tracks closer to midnight when a Republican is there and further when a Democrat is. It should be named the Liberal Angst Clock.

    2. Re:Cuban Missile Crisis by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I wonder if they pushed it forward when Hillary wanted to conduct wargames near the border of Russia? Damn Democrat Chickenhawks.

    3. Re:Cuban Missile Crisis by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Much worse than that. When she was secretary of state she suggested and pushed for a no-fly zone over Syria. The only people that were flying in the area were a few Syrian military planes and a daily number of sorties by Russia. The secretary of defense, when explaining that would mean open war with Russia, Hillary was unfazed. It took additional military commanders and Obama pulling at her reins to get her to stop proposing the hostile action.

    4. Re:Cuban Missile Crisis by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There was a Democrat in the White House then. It tracks closer to midnight when a Republican is there and further when a Democrat is. It should be named the Liberal Angst Clock.

      Clearly, it explains why the year when it was furthest from midnight (1991) there was a Republican administration.

    5. Re:Cuban Missile Crisis by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Well the current president is comparing nuclear button sizes with a hostile state. The previous republican president waged war on terror, and started a war in Iraq, the republican before that joined the USA in the Gulf War, and the republican before that waged war on drugs.

      #cherrypickingforfun.

  7. Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by xxxJonBoyxxx · · Score: 5, Insightful

    >> This is the closest the Clock has ever been to Doomsday, and as close as it was in 1953, at the height of the Cold War

    Hmmm...2 away minutes = global nuclear destruction in 1953 but 2 away minutes = incremental climate changes and a possible limited exchange (over North Korea, etc.) in 2018. Why are the goalposts moving?

    1. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by geek · · Score: 4, Insightful

      They don't like Trump. He says mean things. Therefor, doomsday is approaching. Typical leftist hysteria

    2. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      They don't like Trump. He says mean things. Therefor, doomsday is approaching. Typical leftist hysteria

      They should rename this to the "Butthurt clock".

    3. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by allcoolnameswheretak · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Or maybe, you need to take your head out of your ass and acknowledge that climate change is a real thing, threatening the health and stability of the human civilization on this planet, like 99% of the scientists believe.

      But since Trump says it's fake news, and he is a very stable genius, you might as well keep your head inside of your ass where it's nice and warm.

    4. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He's in a unique position to actually start wars by saying "mean things." His total lack of self control should be a worrying attribute to the people blindly defending him.

    5. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by ThunderBird89 · · Score: 2

      You are aware that no nuclear exchange in our lifetime will be "limited", right? Once somebody launches the missiles, no matter who they are aimed at, protocols take over and suddenly, everyone is launching everything at everyone.

      The line between MAD and MAS is razor thin, and MAS only works because so far, all leaders with nuclear arsenals have thought it's better to keep on living than to be vaporized.

      As for the Cold War, the Cuban Missile Crisis flared up and down so fast, the Bulletin did not have time to react by moving the clock. It was like 23:59:59.750+0000, but they couldn't get together and debate it fast enough for the clock to actually reflect that.

      --
      Hyperbole: I use it liberally!
    6. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by pastafazou · · Score: 3, Insightful

      So now the potential of a couple of degrees of warming over the next half century is equivalent to mutually assured destruction at the hands of two antagonistic nuclear superpowers? Keep sipping that kool-aid...

    7. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Simple misunderstanding, really. It's actually all the way back at 11:58am at the moment - it just looks like 2 minutes to midnight.

    8. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by penandpaper · · Score: 2

      Whoa you are conflating two things.

      ' climate change is a real thing ... 99% of the scientists believe.". Yes, true no problem. Fine.

      "threatening the health and stability of the human civilization". Pure un-adulterated speculation that is not agreed on by anyone. Even if the worst of the worst happens for climate change that will not end human civilization and it is debated if it will threaten health or stability and by how much. Again, you can speculate but I can speculate about hookers and poker on Mars.

      Don't act like climate change will cause war and conflate that as scientists agree that climate change is real. Speculation is not science.

    9. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      So when DPRK shot that missile over Japan the protocols all took over no matter where it was aimed and everything was launched at everyone?

    10. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      If Pakistan and India go nukes, why would anybody else get involved?

      If N Korea launched you think the Chinese wouldn't be part of the invasion (just to protect their own interests)?

      The status of the big arsinals hasn't changed. You haven't thought this through.

      This group has all the credibility of the Nobel Peace Prize committee. They're spending on a credibility 'credit card' like drunken sailors at this point.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    11. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by Baloroth · · Score: 1

      Or maybe, you need to take your head out of your ass and acknowledge that climate change is a real thing, threatening the health and stability of the human civilization on this planet, like 99% of the scientists believe.

      Sure, and there's going to be major conflict over resources and land availability over the next century, but human civilization will survive it (assuming no one starts a nuclear war). Global thermonuclear war indicates the literal end of the world for human civilization, possibly for humanity period, which is the point of the "Doomsday" clock. The latter is doomsday, the end of the world, the probable extinction of humanity. The former is a period of strife which will reshape the global political and economic scene, but at the end of the day probably be no worse than past such events which humanity has endured (like WWII). In a word, climate change is not doomsday, not by a long shot.

      --
      "None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license." --John Milton
    12. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by Nidi62 · · Score: 1

      If N Korea launched you think the Chinese wouldn't be part of the invasion (just to protect their own interests)?

      Depends what precipitated the launch. During this latest round of brinkmanship China basically said that they would honor their commitment to protect NK if an exchange or conflict arose due to American aggression (ie if we start it), but if NK does anything peremptorily they are on their own. Of course, China's interpretation of what would be enough to trigger a defense of NK is rather unclear, and would very likely depend on the context and political climate surrounding that action. But I would not be in any hurry to test that promise.

      --
      The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
    13. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by Reverend+Green · · Score: 1

      Pollution sucks ass. Everyone agrees on that. But have some perspective. It's not global nuclear war.

    14. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      By "lack of self control" you mean "insufficient deference to the para-state"?

    15. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is no invasion in a nuclear war. There is radioactive wasteland. How long you wait to leave your Vaultec dwelling is up to you (maybe).

    16. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > acknowledge that climate change is a real thing, threatening the health and stability of the human civilization on this planet, like 99% of the scientists believe.

      LOL. So earnest! Does your anxiety about the "health and stability of human civilization on this planet" provide meaning to your boring, pedestrian life? Do you think that your oh-so-serious concern makes you better than others who choose - if they worry at all - about the problems which only affect them in a tangible and personal way? Such a bourgeois attitude that you won't find amongst the people of the shithole world.

    17. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by allcoolnameswheretak · · Score: 1

      https://www.technologyreview.c...

      Some people might survive global nuclear war. A planet with average temperature in the hundreds ÂC? Not so much.

      But naaah! No big deal. I'm sure it's gonna be fine! Let's wait it out and see.

    18. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why is he the only one expected to have self-control?

    19. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by allcoolnameswheretak · · Score: 1

      So you think a shortage of essential resources, such as water and arable land, will not lead to food shortages and famines? And that these in turn will not lead to discontent masses, unstable countries, mass migrations, radicalization, nationalism and xenophobia? Do you not know what desperate people are capable of, and what those people who are scared of desperate people are capable of?
      Also, ever heard of runaway climate change?

    20. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by allcoolnameswheretak · · Score: 1

      Unless we get a runaway climate change effect, which will be worse, by a long shot.
      Some people might survive a nuclear war. Not much will survive a planet with average temperatures in the hundreds of degrees C.

    21. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by penandpaper · · Score: 1

      It doesn't matter what I think because it would be speculative as is what you think. Maybe you missed my point. "Even if the worst of the worst happens for climate change that will not end human civilization and it is debated if it will threaten health or stability and by how much. ". It's like claiming that New York City streets will be underneath 5 ft of horseshit if trends continue. Sure, it could happen but that was speculation as is what you are claiming will happen. 2c global temperature increase does not mean the end of the world or humanity. Get over it.

      discontent masses, unstable countries, mass migrations, radicalization, nationalism and xenophobia

      Don't we already have this? Oh no! More of the same. GG no re. Am I supposed to be concerned about this maybe happening in the future? Wow, so different. So dramatic. So what.

    22. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      remember all the BS predictions that Al Gore made?

      None of it came to pass. You are correct, but you can't tell the clowns that.

      the Church of Climate Change is every bit the Zealot they make themselves out to be. The sky is not going to fall, it already had according to them, or per their flaky past predictions that is!

    23. Re: Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by Reverend+Green · · Score: 1

      Reeeeeeeeeee!

    24. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by Voyager529 · · Score: 1

      As for the Cold War, the Cuban Missile Crisis flared up and down so fast, the Bulletin did not have time to react by moving the clock. It was like 23:59:59.750+0000, but they couldn't get together and debate it fast enough for the clock to actually reflect that.

      You aren't kidding. At one point in 1962, the Russian submarine B-59, armed with nuclear torpedoes and part of a flotilla in the Atlantic near Cuba, was discovered and surrounded by American vessels. All three commanding officers had to agree to fire those nukes, and two of the three aboard were ready to go. Vasili Arkhipov was the only officer to disagree, preventing them from being launched. Literally, that one guy not being trigger happy prevented nuclear war in 1962...and Russia wasn't exactly thankful for his heroism.

      If the Doomsday Clock is arguing that the current state of affairs puts us that close to total annihilation, either someone lost perspective by equating mean Tweets and the existence of SUVs to a powder keg standoff between two superpowers with armed and active nukes, someone didn't read their history books and never saw Fail Safe, or someone knows something we don't.

    25. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by cats-paw · · Score: 1

      they hate Trump. He's a lying fucking moron. That's a good reason to hate him. And also too says mean things when saying things that are true and not in a mean way would do more good.

      meanwhile remember that right wing hysteria when Obama was going to come take your guns away ?

      I sure do, and lot's of other right wing hysteria too.

      good times.

      --
      Absolute statements are never true
    26. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Typical media hysteria taking the bait of a brazen attempt to get themselves some free publicity. In other words, fucking trolls.

    27. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't think China would get involved if NK launched nukes at anybody. The glowing remains of NK would ensure an impermeable barrier between them and South Korea and they would be well-regarded by the rest of the world for showing restraint and not siding with NK. Win-win.

      The nations with the arsenals to actually scorch the earth have no stomach for that. Regional conflicts and mad dogs don't need to involve the big players in a world-ending war.

    28. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Funny you would mention perspective. Not saying they're right, but if 2017 was the 40000th anniversary of humanity, and the best case is extinction in 50 years, worst case is extinction within 1 year, then (40000+1)/40050 isnt very different from (40000+50)/40050

      You argue as if anything outside the scope of your life is insignificant

    29. Re: Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by Reverend+Green · · Score: 1

      How's that Kool-Aid taste?

    30. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by Rakarra · · Score: 1

      Pollution sucks ass. Everyone agrees on that. But have some perspective. It's not global nuclear war.

      I think their point has often been that climate change leads to larger conflicts, since almost no nation is just going to accept having less (less production, even less land) and that fighting over diminishing resources, food, and water will lead to more large scale violence.

      That said, they were pretty open that even though climate change has affected their clock in the past, moving the minute hand this year was based entirely on the nuclear situation between the US and North Korea, China, and (less likely) Russia.

    31. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by Rakarra · · Score: 1

      By "lack of self control" you mean "insufficient deference to the para-state"?

      Is that what we call lack of recklessness now? Because most people in government aren't actually... you know, reckless, they have self-control, and they think this antagonism is absolutely idiotic, they're the ones who have the attitude problem when an easily-trolled nitwit gets into power?

    32. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by Rakarra · · Score: 1

      If Pakistan and India go nukes, why would anybody else get involved?

      It depends on what defense pacts other countries have. World War I could have just been a small regional conflict but everyone in Europe was tightly bound in entangling alliances. The idea was "peace through strength," since if any country attacked a country in a pact, they would face massive retaliation. But at the same time it was a domino effect where a regional conflict involved a third country, then another, then another.

      Serbia got annoyed with Austria and vice versa. Russia got into it with Austria because of their pact with Serbia. Germany got into it with Russia because of their unification with Austria. France got into it with Germany because they had a pact with Russia. More followed.

    33. Re:Why wasn't the Cold War worse, again? by Reverend+Green · · Score: 1

      Well, it's their clock, so they can be alarmist as they like I suppose.

      Imho the danger from an unintentional detonation, due to deterioration of equipment with age or our good friend human error, is a far greater risk than a military exchange between the United States and North Korea.

      The danger of a false alarm MAD exchange between the major atomic powers is likewise a greater threat. Russia's Dead Hand system is still running - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... - and I suspect our version is also still in operation.

      Despite all their public bluster, it's obvious that atomic weapons are valuable to the Norks as a *deterrent*, not as an offensive weapon. In the age of ICBMs, there is no winning move for any side that involves a nuclear first strike.

      The financialist propaganda about NK's leader Kim being "crazy" is stupid and dangerous. Like his predecessors, he finds it useful to bluff a lot and loudly rattle his sabre. But keep in mind his country *will* be invaded by my country if they let their guard down for even a moment. We're still at war. You don't have to like, or even not-vehemently-dislike, Kim's style of government to appreciate that his national defense posture is rational.

      The best policy American can pursue now is to rattle our sabre right back whenever Kim rattles his - but keep any trigger-happy cowboys far far away from the launch codes. And don't even think about invading NK. It would be a bloodbath for both sides that makes the Vietnam War look like a walk in the park. Rather we must pursue a diplomatic resolution to this problem.

      So far as I can tell, the only peaceful solution is the reunification of the Koreas. I can't say what it would take to achieve that. But I believe it's what both peoples want, and that it *is* a realistic possibility in my lifetime.

  8. Maybe if people listened... by TigerPlish · · Score: 2

    Maybe if more people listened to and learned from Iron Maiden we would not be in this mess

    --
    The "Civilized World" jumped the shark ca. 1973.
    1. Re:Maybe if people listened... by pastafazou · · Score: 1

      So you're saying we all should have run to the hills? Ran for our lives?

    2. Re:Maybe if people listened... by TigerPlish · · Score: 1

      No, what we've done is stuck our heads in the sand, (a metaphorical way of run to the hills) instead of dying in a flash of the blade, with our boots on.

      We let the military-industrial complex rule our lives. We lost.

      --
      The "Civilized World" jumped the shark ca. 1973.
    3. Re:Maybe if people listened... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I always blast some Iron Maiden every time there's a story about the Doomsday Clock. I mean, how can ya not?

    4. Re:Maybe if people listened... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      obligatory: whoosh.

    5. Re:Maybe if people listened... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      +1

      The Golden Goose is on the loose and never out of season!

    6. Re:Maybe if people listened... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Whoosh yourself.

    7. Re:Maybe if people listened... by h4ck7h3p14n37 · · Score: 1

      It's time to kill the unborn in the womb!

  9. So the Doomsday Clock is closest to midnight ever? by Eloking · · Score: 1

    Really, so now is the time where the Doomsday Clock is the closest to midnight in its whole history? Really?

    More than those WW3 close calls? : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    --
    Elok
  10. To hell with it. by jwhyche · · Score: 5, Funny

    To hell with this 2 minutes and 2 seconds to midnight. Lets just roll the damn thing right on up to midnight and see what happens! Common Hippies, make my day! Lets set that fucker right on midnight!.

    --
    I read at +2. If your post doesn't reach that level I will not see or respond to it.
    1. Re:To hell with it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Come on mothers throughout the land,
      Pack your boys off to Kimmieland.
      Come on fathers, and don't hesitate
      To send your sons off before it's too late.
      And you can be the first ones in your block
      To have your boy come home in a box.

    2. Re:To hell with it. by penandpaper · · Score: 1

      But then it wouldn't be the current day! I am scared of the future.

    3. Re:To hell with it. by jwhyche · · Score: 4, Funny

      I think we should live dangerously. Lets set the damn thing 2 minutes PAST midnight and see what happens.

      --
      I read at +2. If your post doesn't reach that level I will not see or respond to it.
    4. Re:To hell with it. by penandpaper · · Score: 1

      God help us all. You're mad!

    5. Re:To hell with it. by jwhyche · · Score: 2

      I'm not mad! I'm insane!!

      I said! I'm not mad! I'm insane!

      Really there should have been some thunder and lightning there. Yo! Where is my thunder? Did any one queue my lightning?

      --
      I read at +2. If your post doesn't reach that level I will not see or respond to it.
    6. Re:To hell with it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thanks to Facebook, they can now set the clock in Flicks, or 1/705,600,000 seconds. That's a perfect tool for a more careful and considered approach to the end of the world, and one that mostly doesn't flicker.

    7. Re:To hell with it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let's get it over and set the clock to 12, nukes are nothing to fear, just duck and cover !
      See a flash? Got a desk? Then just go under it and hold your ears till the boom sound stops..
      No desk, no problem, get to the nearest hallway away from windows and duck and cover.
      That's what we learned long ago in school.

  11. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by alvinrod · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I think that their problem is that they continually wanted to protest some action and kept pushing the clock closer, only now they've run out of room and look damned foolish because all of these little political statements have add up to what we see now. As you point out when you look at it in a historical context, it makes you roll your eyes quite a bit.

    They clearly need to walk the clock back quite a bit and do so periodically when whatever new thing they're worried about fails to come to pass or lead to new cause for concern.

  12. Donald Trump is president by rsilvergun · · Score: 0, Troll

    and he's going to be up for reelection at some point. And it's not just Trump, it's all his 'the best people'. We handed nukes to a bunch of grifters who grew up with silver spoons in their mouths. If it were me I'd have shaved at least a minute off the clock.

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
    1. Re:Donald Trump is president by geek · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Oh fuck off you whiny little bitch

    2. Re:Donald Trump is president by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's the brilliant insight and understanding dialogue that Trump supporters are known for! Oh wait, I meant "name-calling Internet comments without punctuation."

    3. Re:Donald Trump is president by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 0

      Too bad the Trumptards^Wtrollbots of indeterminate nationality all seem to have bonus mod points today...

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
  13. Fake nuclear war by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The danger of nuclear weapons is overblown. They can devastate cities, but you literally need hundreds of thousands of them to destroy a civilization. To destroy destroy a large country you need a thousand nukes minimum. Most nukes are in the range of 10 to 100 kilotons of TNT strength. To destroy a major city you need at least a 10 megaton nuke which is 100 times the power of any nuke Kim Jong Un has. Basically if he were to somehow have perfect aim, he could only destroy 1% of any major US city.

    1. Re:Fake nuclear war by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      To destroy a major city you need at least a 10 megaton nuke which is 100 times the power of any nuke Kim Jong Un has.

      And yet, with only a half dozen nukes set off in the upper atmosphere, all three US electrical grids would be taken out. Estimates range form two to four years to get them repaired because it's hard to make what we'd need without electricity.

      Nonetheless, you keep telling us what we need to know, obviously you have this all though out.

    2. Re:Fake nuclear war by tinkerton · · Score: 1

      This is clueless. A modest nuclear war say between India and Pakistan can cause a nuclear winter which leads to a worldwide famine which by itself can decimate the world population in a short time without all the conflicts and the structural desintegration which result from that. It would be very hard to contain.

      The danger of a war with North Korea is of course in the first place that there would be millions of dead over there, and maybe a fraction of that in the US. If everything remains contained. But for things to remain contained you need an awful lot of competence and a lot of luck.

    3. Re:Fake nuclear war by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm a different AC, but all the numbers I've seen crunched indicate that a nuclear winter is unlikely even with all known nuclear weapons detonated. Sooo... No.

      That said... It's unlikely even a small nuclear war would be "pleasant" for anyone anywhere. There would be any number of unforeseen consequences.

    4. Re:Fake nuclear war by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      Thanks for your comforting words.

      Idiot.

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    5. Re:Fake nuclear war by Alioth · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately the so called debunking of the nuclear winter was done by somebody with no knowledge of climate science.

      US and USSR scientists, independently, calculated the effect of the nuclear winter in the 1980s and came to the same conclusion. More recently simulations have been run again, this time with better understanding of the climate and massively more powerful simulation tools - and has discovered that the 1980s predictions if anything were optimistic - the nuclear winter effect was actually likely to be much worse. A simulation was also run on a regional conflict between India and Pakistan with an exchange of just 50 weapons. The effects are worse when the conflict occurs in subtropical latitudes. Such a conflict would trigger a "nuclear autumn" that would shorten the growing season in the US midwest by 60 days in the couple of years following the conflict, and would have serious climate consequences lasting about a decade. This level of growing season shortening would cause food shortages and high food prices in the rich industrialised world, and simply result in famine in poorer countries and places where agriculture is already marginal.

      A US-vs-Russia exchange with a significant fraction of the arsenal...nuclear winter doesn't even describe it - more like "nuclear six month long night" - the models forecast mid day light levels in the northern hemisphere about similar to a moonlit night. Six months without food growth would kill most of the survivors, before even considering the cold.

  14. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Right, because several thousand nuclear warheads ready to be sent from the hand of a man who does not say the same things from day to day, mistrusts his own security agencies and acts like a five year old with countries that are itching to start a war with us or out allies is "stabilizing"

    You are like the frog in a pot of water that is slowly being heated, you end up boiled dead while shouting distraction to everybody else in the pot

  15. Re:So the Doomsday Clock is closest to midnight ev by jwhyche · · Score: 2

    Question. If the missiles do start flying who is going to be left to set the thing to midnight? I doubt the cockroaches and rats will give a shit ether way.

    --
    I read at +2. If your post doesn't reach that level I will not see or respond to it.
  16. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by TheCastro1689 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Pretty sure they also use it for climate change and other crazy shit instead of just nuclear war.

  17. Perspective by grasshoppa · · Score: 1

    "This is the closest the Clock has ever been to Doomsday, and as close as it was in 1953, at the height of the Cold War."

    So they honestly feel as though the world is this close to nuclear war?

    --
    Mod me down with all of your hatred and your journey towards the dark side will be complete!
  18. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Was there ever a time in history when two idiot presidents openly boasted about the "size" of their launch buttons or how readily available the buttons are? Nope.

  19. is it really that bad. by gettin2old · · Score: 1

    Or do they just keep forgetting to adjust for leap seconds.

    1. Re:is it really that bad. by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 2

      Or do they just keep forgetting to adjust for leap seconds.

      If the clock doesn't move back soon we're in big trouble when we adjust for daylight savings time.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
  20. Obviously Wrong by Tulsa_Time · · Score: 1

    Any fool can see they are 3 seconds off...

    The methodology is so transparent and the calculation is easily understood and not controversial in the least....

    --
    5 out of 6 people enjoy Russian Roulette & 6 out of 7 Dwarfs are not Happy
  21. DoomedByU by sdinfoserv · · Score: 2, Informative

    There was a time when America prided itself in it's technological prowess. A time when we believed science had the potential to solve our problems and propel us into the future. It's sad that we've gone the other way, clutching superstition and paranoia, as a great thinker once predicted: https://www.goodreads.com/quot...
    This has historically been a "pro tech" site, which be definition and education should include individuals educated in science... but alas, it's just more politicized, polarized arse holes too willing to jump on the reichwinger "blame libs for all evils" bs....
    Your prizes:
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news...
    https://worldtop20.org/2017-wo...
    http://thehill.com/policy/inte...
    And the cherry, the US, the Country FOUNDED on the principles of freedom, drops to 21....well done....
    http://theweek.com/speedreads/...

    1. Re:DoomedByU by penandpaper · · Score: 3, Insightful

      And the cherry, the US, the Country FOUNDED on the principles of freedom, drops to 21....well done....
      http://theweek.com/speedreads/... [theweek.com]

      I have a hard time taking any analysis that ranks Germany, Canada, and the UK above the US. Hate speech laws. Arrests for tweets and facebook posts. Compelled speech... Not exactly bastions of personal freedom and civil rights. Any report that thinks countries that employ those laws are free are delusional and fundamentally flawed in their analysis.

      I honestly would not trade my citizenship of the US for with any other nation on Earth. The US has it's problems no doubt but the protections for individual liberty are still foundational. I can say what I want and I can defend my right to say it myself without the government.

    2. Re:DoomedByU by pastafazou · · Score: 2, Informative

      reichwinger? You do know the Nazi party was a socialist left-wing party, don't you? Some of their demands that won them votes and power:
      "Since every war imposes on the people fearful sacrifices in blood and treasure, all personal profit arising from the war must be regarded as treason to the people. We therefore demand the total confiscation of all war profits. "
      "We demand the nationalization of all trusts. "
      "We demand profit-sharing in large industries. "
      "We demand a generous increase in old-age pensions. "
      "We demand the creation and maintenance of a sound middle-class, the immediate communalization of large stores which will be rented cheaply to small tradespeople, and the strongest consideration must be given to ensure that small traders shall deliver the supplies needed by the State, the provinces and municipalities. "
      "We demand an agrarian reform in accordance with our national requirements, and the enactment of a law to expropriate the owners without compensation of any land needed for the common purpose. The abolition of ground rents, and the prohibition of all speculation in land. "
      "We demand that ruthless war be waged against those who work to the injury of the common welfare. Traitors, usurers, profiteers, etc., are to be punished with death, regardless of creed or race. "
      "In order to make it possible for every capable and industrious German to obtain higher education, and thus the opportunity to reach into positions of leadership, the State must assume the responsibility of organizing thoroughly the entire cultural system of the people. The curricula of all educational establishments shall be adapted to practical life. The conception of the State Idea (science of citizenship) must be taught in the schools from the very beginning. We demand that specially talented children of poor parents, whatever their station or occupation, be educated at the expense of the State. "
      "The State has the duty to help raise the standard of national health by providing maternity welfare centers, by prohibiting juvenile labor, by increasing physical fitness through the introduction of compulsory games and gymnastics, and by the greatest possible encouragement of associations concerned with the physical education of the young. "
      " We demand that there be a legal campaign against those who propagate deliberate political lies and disseminate them through the press."

      Of course, along with all these socialist left-wing proclamations were a bunch of anti-semitic demands as well, which the left-wingers in Germany had no problem supporting at the time.

    3. Re:DoomedByU by sdinfoserv · · Score: 1

      You do know the US Pledge of Allegiance was written by socialist.... don't you?
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    4. Re:DoomedByU by BadDreamer · · Score: 1

      Those countries are not free, you are correct.

      But they are more free than the US is.

    5. Re:DoomedByU by penandpaper · · Score: 1

      I can say what I want and defend myself to say it and receive a fair trial. How am I not free or less free than those that are arrested for a tweet?

    6. Re:DoomedByU by BadDreamer · · Score: 2

      You are likely to get killed by police for simply driving a car, or playing in a park, in the US. Police get called to homes because someone is suicidal, and they end up killing that person. Read about that every day.

      The government, in other words, will kill you for no reason. I'll take arrest over a tweet over that any day of the year.

      Loss of your life is the ultimate loss of freedom.

    7. Re:DoomedByU by penandpaper · · Score: 1

      Couple of points.
      1, If I am able to defend myself without the government the government has the same means. I do not need the government to protect me from a mob and I do not need to worry about government complicity allowing mob rule. That means that the government has the same means.
      2, Where I live, the national stats do not even come close to reality for "getting killed by police" and is in fact safer than in most of Europe. The stats are skewed by inner city gangs particularly like Chicago and Detroit. Maybe you don't understand how large and diverse the US is. Europe has begun to meddle in that kind of society and have already shown cracks and instability.

      If that is your only example of how I am less free than the person arrested for a tweet then I would suggest that you have failed completely. It's very easy to reduce your risk with encounters with the police; not break law, be respectful, etc. Sure there are still bad examples but those are few and far between. The media portrayal is dismally out of sync with reality (Did you see or hear about the story of the guy in Vegas gun downed in a hotel on his knees hands up?) because they drive click bait for money. If you try to extrapolate what you hear in the media to national behavior then you are a fool. If you try to extrapolate national averages to the local reality then you are a fool.

    8. Re:DoomedByU by BadDreamer · · Score: 1

      No, it is one example. The most egregious one, as it's horrific and accepted in the US. If you happen to belong to the wrong ethnic group, you're not free to do things anyone is free to do in the US without fear of getting gunned down by government agents. That alone makes the US fall hard on the list of free countries.

      And you fail to address what I listed; police killing people simply for driving, playing or walking in grocery stores. These things happen in areas all over the US, and are not confined to gang areas.

      I lived for many years in the US. These examples are not from European media, or even US media. I saw these things happen.

      In addition there are other things. Like the "free speech" zones when the President is holding speeches. Such a 1984 twist it's crazy.

      There is economic freedom, where the US has a tremendously nasty gini index, and is one of the worst in the Western world.

      There is freedom of religion in practice, which is another thing than the government imprisoning you for your religious views. If your religion is non-Abrahamic, the US is not going to be a nice place for you to express yourself in, and even Muslims will find they have problems.

      Absolute freedom of speech ranks rather low on most people's requirements to feel, and be, free. In fact, most people in Western society abhor absolute free speech, as it provides too much power to those who wish to abuse it instead of actually being a boon for society. A balanced approach is preferred, and seen as much better, by the majority of Westerners.

      So yes, I am a lot more free in Europe than I ever was in the US when I lived there. I am more free than a citizen of the US is in the US.

    9. Re:DoomedByU by penandpaper · · Score: 0

      If you happen to belong to the wrong ethnic group, you're not free to do things anyone is free to do in the US without fear of getting gunned down by government agents.

      Again, this is demonstrably false. The media portrayal makes it looks like black men are being killed by police on mass. In reality, they are killing each other far more so. Because you have to make the distinction of "unlawful police killing". Out of the millions of police encounters out of the millions of people only a few end violently and even fewer are unjustified. You are taking media reports and forming your opinion on false partisan talking points. It is false.

      you fail to address

      No, I did not. Very few police encounters end in violence out of the millions of encounters. Fewer of those are unjustified.

      "free speech" zones

      Ok, this one I agree is bad but you are still able to protest but sometimes the place is restricted. Can you make your protest wherever you want? Can you block an ambulance to protest healthcare? Do you have equivalent in Europe? Can you protest any where you want in Europe?

      economic freedom,

      You are taking national averages and trying to extrapolate individual circumstance. The original point was "How am I less free than someone arrested for a tweet". If you don't want to be poor in the US do 3 things: graduate high school, get a full time job, and get married before you have children. Should I concern myself with the national economic freedom index if I did those 3 things and am not poor?

      freedom of religion in practice

      Who is arrested for practicing their religion? Give me specific examples.

      Absolute freedom of speech ranks rather low on most people's requirements to feel, and be, free.

      Anyone that thinks this is a fool and do not understand the importance of free speech. Don't get the wrong opinion, you maybe arrested for it.

      I am a lot more free in Europe

      You have failed to demonstrate it. All you demonstrated is that fools abound, including you.

    10. Re:DoomedByU by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm glad you enjoy your free speech so. Hope you never get sick, or you might be so broke all your other freedoms become moot.

      Signed,
      A citizen in a country with socialized medicine

    11. Re:DoomedByU by Hallux-F-Sinister · · Score: 1

      reichwinger? You do know the Nazi party was a socialist left-wing party, don't you? Some of their demands that won them votes and power: "Since every war imposes on the people fearful sacrifices in blood and treasure, all personal profit arising from the war must be regarded as treason to the people. We therefore demand the total confiscation of all war profits. " "We demand the nationalization of all trusts. " "We demand profit-sharing in large industries. " "We demand a generous increase in old-age pensions. " "We demand the creation and maintenance of a sound middle-class, the immediate communalization of large stores which will be rented cheaply to small tradespeople, and the strongest consideration must be given to ensure that small traders shall deliver the supplies needed by the State, the provinces and municipalities. " "We demand an agrarian reform in accordance with our national requirements, and the enactment of a law to expropriate the owners without compensation of any land needed for the common purpose. The abolition of ground rents, and the prohibition of all speculation in land. " "We demand that ruthless war be waged against those who work to the injury of the common welfare. Traitors, usurers, profiteers, etc., are to be punished with death, regardless of creed or race. " "In order to make it possible for every capable and industrious German to obtain higher education, and thus the opportunity to reach into positions of leadership, the State must assume the responsibility of organizing thoroughly the entire cultural system of the people. The curricula of all educational establishments shall be adapted to practical life. The conception of the State Idea (science of citizenship) must be taught in the schools from the very beginning. We demand that specially talented children of poor parents, whatever their station or occupation, be educated at the expense of the State. " "The State has the duty to help raise the standard of national health by providing maternity welfare centers, by prohibiting juvenile labor, by increasing physical fitness through the introduction of compulsory games and gymnastics, and by the greatest possible encouragement of associations concerned with the physical education of the young. " " We demand that there be a legal campaign against those who propagate deliberate political lies and disseminate them through the press." Of course, along with all these socialist left-wing proclamations were a bunch of anti-semitic demands as well, which the left-wingers in Germany had no problem supporting at the time.

      [citation needed]

      --
      Our reign has gone on long enough. Indeed. Summon the meteors.
    12. Re:DoomedByU by eriks · · Score: 1

      Not this again.

      While the "National-Socialist German Workers' Party" was very cagey about "not being left or right at all" modern scholarship plants them firmly in the "far-right" of the political spectrum.

      It's self-evident if you study them at all, that their primary ideology was nationalistic, not socialistic.

      They *claimed* that their ultimate goal was "socialism for just us aryans, and no one else, once we get rid of all these sub-human dregs that aren't 'True Germans'" but that was probably never going to happen, even if they conquered Europe. Nazis were fascist, not socialist. The actual distinctions can get fuzzy, and this stuff is not ever cut and dry, and the political spectrum itself has warped over many decades, but to say that the Nazis were "left-wing" in any meaningful sense is disingenuous, at best -- neither were they mainstream "right-wing" either, but if you put Fascism and Nazism into the language of the 19th century, they would have indeed been called "far right": Totalitarian, xenophobic and nationalistic.

      To make matters more complex, within the party there were "conservatives" that wanted to hang with mainstream reactionaries and other capitalists, and "radicals" that saw capitalism as a "Jewish threat" (hey, their words, not mine). So the party was basically schizophrenic (surprise surprise). At it's inception the party made all kinds of social promises to the proletariat, but none of that ever materialized (they lost the war after all), and with a few exceptions (those corporations that weren't nazi enough), Hitler let private capital thrive quite nicely.

      To say that the mainstream left in Nazi Germany was anti-Semitic is also disingenuous, since *virtually everyone* in Germany at the time was to some degree, regardless of where they fell on the political spectrum. If anything, it was the left and the far-left that led the fight (such of it that there was) against antisemitism in pre-war and wartime Germany.

      Truth is we can't demonize the "right" or the "left" since virtually all ideologies have at one time or another been used to justify atrocities.

    13. Re:DoomedByU by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Arrests for tweets and facebook posts.

      Isn't that how zero tolerance school administrations handle stupid stuff posted by pupils? Call in the police and have them locked away for a year or two, depending on how much kickback the judge involved gets from his private prison pal.

      Compelled speech

      Vs. waterboarding and other forms of "not torture"? Of course that does not happen within the U.S., just on land that is 100% under U.S. control and done by people working for the U.S. with the blessing of the U.S. government.

    14. Re:DoomedByU by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Good luck at saying what you want and defending your rights at a US airport. Good luck with your liberty when a police officer visits your home because of some false information (for example due to 'swatting'). Good luck when you do not have the money to fight for your rights. And what about the individual liberty of the people that sit in Guantanamo without a trial? Is this ok, because it affects only others and not you?

      However, I agree to what you say about the censorship laws. I do not like them in any country.

    15. Re:DoomedByU by pastafazou · · Score: 1

      Oh, you need a citation, do you? Couldn't google it yourself? Here: http://alphahistory.com/nazige...

    16. Re:DoomedByU by pastafazou · · Score: 1

      While the "National-Socialist German Workers' Party" was very cagey about "not being left or right at all"

      This is an outright lie. They took every opportunity to promote themselves as socialists. You can refer to Albert Speer's "Inside the Third Reich" for plenty of references, including his observation that the SA were used to suppress the communists and right wing voters in the 1933 election.

      modern scholarship plants them firmly in the "far-right" of the political spectrum.

      Modern scholarship, made up of left-wing socialists, like to denounce Hitler, Mussolini, Stalin, and Zedong as "not left-wing" after the fact. They all rose to power on the promises of socialism.

      It's self-evident if you study them at all, that their primary ideology was nationalistic, not socialistic.

      No, it's self-evident that their primary ideology was anti-semitic nationalistic socialism. It promoted all Germans as equal, all Germans above non-Germans, and Jews as unwelcome in Germany. Stop with the revisionist history. 1920's Germany was rife with unemployment following WWI. The National Social German Workers Party appealed to these disaffected Germans with promises of anti-capitalistic changes and nationalizing of German industries. See "national and social bases of the German state" by Gottfried Feder. Feder was a key early shaper of NASDP policy.

      Not only the workers but also the middle classes were badly hit by the serious economic consequences of the war, by the shortage of goods, price increases and unemployment. The 'breaking of interest slavery' here offered itself as a good campaign slogan for a middle way to a 'German Socialism' between capitalism and Marxism. It did in fact quickly gain a degree of popularity in volkisch-nationalist circles outside Feder's immediate sphere of influence.

      -The Shaping of the Nazi State by Peter D. Stachura

      Truth is we can't demonize the "right" or the "left" since virtually all ideologies have at one time or another been used to justify atrocities.

      While that is true, it is also true that the NASDP offered the many promises of socialism in building their popularity, and presented themselves as left-wing socialists. To look at their actions/atrocities and say "right-wing" after the fact is revisionism. It doesn't matter if they didn't follow through on most of their promises. They gained power because of them, and those socialist beliefs were espoused by the senior leadership of the party.

    17. Re:DoomedByU by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Can you force a doctor to give you health care?

    18. Re:DoomedByU by BadDreamer · · Score: 1

      You say "far more so". That is irrelevant. The point is, US police guns down its citizens. You even admit it by this phrasing.

      That is enough for the US to lose out on the freedom scale. Just because you personally may be at low risk does nothing to alleviate that the US government slaughters its citizens.

      And the original point was; why is the US so far down on the freedom index. Since you keep moving the goal posts, I see no reason to continue explaining why your freedom is an illusion. After all, the one suffering is you, not me.

    19. Re:DoomedByU by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If that is your only example of how I am less free than the person arrested for a tweet then I would suggest that you have failed completely.

      The best example is 5-10X more likely to be incarcerated than many other similarly advanced nations. HOWEVER, you may claim this doesn't apply to your race, gender, locality, age, chosen profession. In which case, we have to dig deeper into the stats. I imagine in Europe, being anonymous in your speech (to a degree of avoiding police accountability, not NSA-style accountability) is fa more important than here. OTOH, checkpoint Charlies, unconstitutional seizures, wrongful arrests, 'oopsies' may all be more common here.

      So "we" (I'm new to this thread - not the other poster) would have to dig deeper.

    20. Re:DoomedByU by penandpaper · · Score: 1

      The point is, US police guns down its citizens... the US government slaughters its citizens.

      If that is your point then I should fear black men more than the police.

      why is the US so far down on the freedom index. Since you keep moving the goal posts

      I am not moving the goal post. The only relevant example you brought up is people killed by the police. Yes, the chances of being killed is high if you are violent, criminal, break the law, and resist arrest. Where that happens skew the statistics. You say you lived in the US but obviously do not understand how each state carries out its own laws. I don't live in Chicago or plan to live there, so why should I care? You have failed to explain why I should care what happens in Chicago besides some report that analyzes aggregates that has no bearing on my life or place of living. You missed my point that I have the same means as the police and that means if someone threatens my life or liberty I will gun them down whether they are the government or not. I can do more and say more than most Europeans. I would rather live with the risks of having that freedom than the arbitrary definitions and enforcement of the government.

  22. Re:Because the people in charge during the cold wa by geek · · Score: 1

    Go suck your thumb in the corner

  23. Pfft. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you went back in time and wiped out the people who eventually created the doomsday clock.

    The world would be a lot safer.

    Because before the clock they invented nukes.

  24. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


    More likely than during the Cuban Missile Crisis? Than when the president of China urged President Nixon to join him in nuking Russia? Closer than when Pakistan and India took turns testing nukes underground in the early 2000's? All of those years of the cold war where both the US and USSR had nuclear-armed bombers flying all around?

    With the exception of the cold war, Those are all one-off, incidents that lasted a short period of time. The cuban missile crisis lasted for 10 days? The clock isn't moved that often, it's more of a long term idea. During the cold war the clock was set rather close to midnight, and after the fall of the soviet union and massive arms reduction, it went back as far as it's ever been.

    Also, this isn't supposed to me some kind of accurate metric, like the temperature. It's a political tool to persuade people of the dangers of the political climate and nuclear war.

    And yes, I'd happen to agree that we're possibly closer than we've ever been. The situation with NK is quite bad, and the US relationship with Russia isn't so great either. We have the ruskies meddling in Elections across the world, and a Russia that seems to want to grab land wherever they can.


    This is nothing but attention-seeking for the organization behind the clock and in no way measures the actual threat of a nuclear doomsday.

    Not everything in the world has these nice, completely object ways to measure everything. As I said, this isn't a damn temperature gauge. It's a political tool. It's "attention seeking" if the attention is directed towards the problem of nuclear war.

  25. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by nealric · · Score: 4, Funny

    It's kind of like when your teacher/parent demanded you do something by the time they counted down from 10. But when you still hadn't done it by the time they got to 1, they started with ever smaller fractions.

  26. Re:Because the people in charge during the cold wa by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's only the astonishing arrogance and incompetence of Hilary Clinton that made it possible.

    I think the superpowered votes of yokels (electoral college) and Russian propaganda deserve some credit.

  27. Re:Because the people in charge during the cold wa by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We get it, you don't like Trump. Seriously, we've heard you. Can you please be quiet now? The adults are trying to talk.

  28. Eddie the Doomsday Czar! by geekmux · · Score: 2

    "The clock is now two minutes to midnight."

    Iron Maiden has been waiting for this sponsorship opportunity for a long damn time.

    Time to elect Eddie to Head up the position of Doomsday Czar.

    1. Re:Eddie the Doomsday Czar! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      freaking brilliant.

  29. 1953 ??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Fifty-three ?

  30. Waste by bwt · · Score: 2

    I wonder how much money has been wasted on this snake oil crap over the last 7 decades. Seriously, astrology is more credible.

  31. NK and SK in reunification talks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yes, this must be the closest we've ever been to total annihilation.
    Not.
    This is what happens when you move it for pointless shit. In 5 years it will be one minute closer. Then they will start doing seconds.

  32. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by penandpaper · · Score: 1

    They clearly need to walk the clock back quite a bit and do so periodically when whatever new thing they're worried about fails to come to pass or lead to new cause for concern.

    Admit they were wrong? Never. Better to keep up the facade that the end is nigh. Personally, I like the Dr. Manhattans view on the Doomsday clock. " I would only agree that a symbolic clock is as nourishing to the intellect as photograph of oxygen to a drowning man. ".

  33. Really useful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why it's almost as useful as the DHS's color coded national terrorism advisory system.
    BTW, are there any actual atomic scientists in the organization?

    1. Re:Really useful by avandesande · · Score: 2

      Threat levels or 'risk advisories' make a lot more sense than a clock. One of them is just a meaningless allegorical device....

      --
      love is just extroverted narcissism
    2. Re:Really useful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, both of them are worthless. The problem with the NTAS was its uselessness in alerting the public to regional threats and to the type of threats reported by the government.. That there may be a credible threat of an individual terrorist planning on shooting up a night club in an east coast metropolitan city doesn't justify raising the alert level for the entire nation. The fact that during it use by the DHS, it was stuck on Yellow for years despite penny-ante or no terrorist activity in the US at that time and that it was all but completely ignored by the public, shows that it was just another example of security theater. It's why they discontinued it.

    3. Re:Really useful by Bob+the+Super+Hamste · · Score: 1

      I thought the DHS's rainbow of death was replaced by something else.

      --
      Time to offend someone
    4. Re:Really useful by blindseer · · Score: 1

      They chose the clock as their allegorical device precisely because a clock does not run backwards. That was their mistake. To say that things are bad, and will only get worse, is admitting defeat. Why publish anything if on the cover you admit that the world is going to end in the foreseeable future?

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    5. Re:Really useful by avandesande · · Score: 1

      Not to mention that it would suggest that an event is inevitable-

      It's like having a gun in your house. If you have one, the chance of getting shot with your own gun is now non-zero. Then you can start to add other risk factors such as having children or keeping it loaded under the bed. Then drug or alcohol abuse or someone in home with mental issues.
      You can have all of the above and the chance of a shooting are still fairly slim.

      --
      love is just extroverted narcissism
  34. Here's something to consider by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Symbolism != Fact

    It's all "ooohhhh" followed quickly by hand-wringing. The fact is the Doomsday Clock does not mean shit and does not correlate to any actual outcomes, the whole idea is a subjective stress-inducing mess.

  35. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    The clock is war propaganda to get us to pre-emptively invade NK. The very existence of this clock brings the doomsday itself. Albeit only for a small nation of starving peasants, but still.

  36. Re:Maybe if people listened...Iron Maiden? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    or rather ...Megadeth?

  37. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by dj245 · · Score: 3, Informative

    I think that their problem is that they continually wanted to protest some action and kept pushing the clock closer, only now they've run out of room and look damned foolish because all of these little political statements have add up to what we see now. As you point out when you look at it in a historical context, it makes you roll your eyes quite a bit. They clearly need to walk the clock back quite a bit and do so periodically when whatever new thing they're worried about fails to come to pass or lead to new cause for concern.

    It's even more foolish now. The Koreans are talking to each other, the US has postponed their military exercises in Korea until after the Olympics, and the proxy wars in the Middle East are not as hot as they were a year ago. Ukraine and Crimea have "calmed down" in the sense that nobody in the USA cares anymore.

    If anything, they should be setting the clock backwards.

    --
    Even those who arrange and design shrubberies are under considerable economic stress at this period in history.
  38. Re:Almost Dominionist party time! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    from the way the trolls are foaming at the mouth here, it sounds like they'd give more creedence to the rapture index

  39. Re:Because the people in charge during the cold wa by penandpaper · · Score: 1

    He wasn't supposed to win? According to who? Peter Strozk and Lisa Page with their insurance policy?

    Last I understood people in elections decide who is supposed to win.

  40. Re:creimer spam alert by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    creimer is trying to get you to subscribe automatically to his youtube channel and make money of you!

    1) The YouTube subscription confirmation prompt requires a Yes or No answer.
    2) You can't make money on YouTube.
    3) Creimertard. Mod down.

  41. Re:creimer spam alert by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Chris living in his imaginary world again which most people find weird, twisted and absurd and which Chris accepts as being perfectly normal.
    ---
    Nancy Guerrero
    Director
    Special Education
    Santa Clara County Office of Education

  42. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think it is actually closer for once. I mean come on... there's an actual narcissistic retard in the WH... and he's old enough he doesn't really have to worry about the future either. He's not going to be around long enough to have to live through it.

  43. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's kind of like when your teacher/parent demanded you do something by the time they counted down from 10. But when you still hadn't done it by the time they got to 1, they started with ever larger wooden spoons.

    That's how I remember it...

  44. Re:creimer spam alert by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Obviously, Chris confuses his signature and homepage link with an advertisement space!

    --
    Silvia Bunge
    Psychology Department
    University of California, Berkeley

  45. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I would question that. North Korea is China's puppet. A launch from the DPRK would be done because China (which has been rapidly militarizing, including garrisoned "islands") wants in the war, and retaliation from a North Korean nuke hitting the US would definitely give them an excuse to come in swinging. 24 hours later, Taiwan is overrun, Japan is either nuked or EMP-ed, South Korea is a crater due to Chinese... erm North Korean artillery, and smaller nation-states like Signapore would be blockaded. The US would not retaliate against China, so the territory gains would be definite by them.

    China isn't making islands for their military to inhabit because they are lacking resorts on the mainland. They want the Pacific Rim, and it is just a matter of time before all their military buildup is used for something.

  46. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by jwhyche · · Score: 1

    Really, we never have. Can you please post some links to illustrate his clueless buffoonery? Credible sources only please.

    --
    I read at +2. If your post doesn't reach that level I will not see or respond to it.
  47. Probably closer with N Korea and Iran by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You know Iran is still continuing development in secret, we know that country would never adhere to any agreement with anyone. North Korea already has nukes which is almost a guaranteed strike with one sooner or later with such a nut in control as Kim. A country like N. Korea is so unstable anything is possible with that country.

  48. USA foreign policy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    USA foreign policy is causing instability and tension all around the world; this is partly because USA is losing power and its grip on various regions but at the same time it is pursuing a more aggressive behavior to prevent future decline in power. BTW it actually amazes me how gullible the general public are and how terrible the state of affairs are in the world is just looking back 50 years ago, where politicians were able to so easily invoke their citizens into war. I think non-state controlled social media may actually able to prevent that kind of social climate (just imagine the outage if USA was to re-implement the draft now).

  49. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

    I think this idea of the Doomsday clock being soooo close to midnight reveals just how useless a measurement of crisis it actually is. They're suggesting that a global nuclear holocaust has never been more likely? More likely than during the Cuban Missile Crisis?

    OK... so time for my smart ass response... of course we're closer to a global nuclear holocaust than the Cuban Missile Crisis- because that event was in the past- any potential nuclear holocaust can only exist in the future... (sorry had to get that out the way- I'm not proud of myself)...

    Than when the president of China urged President Nixon to join him in nuking Russia? Closer than when Pakistan and India took turns testing nukes underground in the early 2000's? All of those years of the cold war where both the US and USSR had nuclear-armed bombers flying all around?

    The only location where a nuclear event is likely to take place would be in North Korea: If any event took place, it would have to be a limited attack by the North Korea, prompting a US response. But that isn't to suggest an entire global nuclear winter would necessarily follow.

    This is nothing but attention-seeking for the organization behind the clock and in no way measures the actual threat of a nuclear doomsday.

    Serious response time. Obviously we're no more in danger of mutually self-assured mass destruction (in the short term) than we appeared to be during any of those events. Few people would sanely argue that we are. It can change any moment... two major world leaders have a big misunderstanding about something, read a missile launch incorrectly... *boom* - but the plain reality is, that doesn't appear to be any more likely now, than it did during those events.

    With that said, I think the doomsday clock has some merit. It's not really scientific, it's not really accurate, it's more subjective than objective, but it still has value. It's a social narrative that says "hey look-here; we need a wake up call, things are going down the wrong path... we don't want to accidentally blow up the earth."

    When the newspapers of the world write "doomsday-clock moves closer to midnight" it always makes news around the world and people at least partially pay attention. (we're discussing it now). The problem with this model is...it's not as easy to move backwards as it is to move forwards. You move the hand back and it gives people the wrong impression; the result is you have a hand moving ever closer to *boom*.

    Could a better scale be made? Could a better system be put in place?

    Absolutely, but this is one the public understands and know about now so it appears to have stuck. Even a broken clock occasionally tells the right time.

    --
    "That's the way to do it" - Punch
  50. Is that accurate? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Probably if it is an atomic clock!

  51. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by I'm+New+Around+Here · · Score: 1

    It's kind of like when your teacher/parent demanded you do something by the time they counted down from 10. But when you still hadn't done it by the time they got to 1, they started with ever larger wooden spoons.

    That's how I remember it...

    Spoons? You were lucky.

    And what the hell is this concept of a parent 'counting down from 10'? We might have had a word of warning, or not, depending on how loud the crying was.

    --
    If you think I voted for Trump because of this post, you're wrong. I voted for Dr. Jill Stein of the Green Party. Again.
  52. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by ClickOnThis · · Score: 1

    There is one important difference between the Cuban Missile Crisis and today. Kennedy and Khrushchev were talking to each other. Trump and Kim are not.

    --
    If it weren't for deadlines, nothing would be late.
  53. NOT scientific protests by mi · · Score: 0

    continually wanted to protest some action and kept pushing the clock closer

    Kind of like predictions of Global Warming killing off humanity in N years — for the last 2N years...

    Some of the protesters may be scientists, but their protests aren't scientific and thus not any more valid than those by engineers, nurses, or musical directors.

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
  54. launched by Reverend+Green · · Score: 1

    Kim Jong-un nuked my neighbor's poodle! It was unbelievable!

    1. Re:launched by Scarletdown · · Score: 1

      So now there can be no more Tweedle Beetle paddle battle in a bottle on that noodle eating poodle thanks to Kim Jong Goon?

      --
      This space unintentionally left blank.
  55. Re:creimer spam alert by Reverend+Green · · Score: 1

    Nice wallotext!

  56. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by Bob+the+Super+Hamste · · Score: 1

    I'd rather have them doing proxy dick waving by comparing launch button sizes than by comparing smoking holes in the ground.

    --
    Time to offend someone
  57. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Was there ever a time in history when two idiot presidents openly boasted about the "size" of their launch buttons or how readily available the buttons are? Nope.

    Thank Bill Clinton for that:

    “North Korea will freeze and then dismantle its nuclear program. South Korea and our other allies will be better protected. The entire world will be safer as we slow the spread of nuclear weapons.”

  58. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by Kjella · · Score: 1

    The only location where a nuclear event is likely to take place would be in North Korea: If any event took place, it would have to be a limited attack by the North Korea, prompting a US response. But that isn't to suggest an entire global nuclear winter would necessarily follow.

    Assuming the Trump administration is willing to sit there and watch them build bigger bombs and better missiles while throwing insults and bluffs for Kim Jong-il to call. I mean if this was a bar I'd call them fighting words, just looking for an excuse to start swinging fists. And assuming China is willing to just let North Korea fall and be gobbled up by a US-friendly united Korea. My guess is that after the US has leveled Pyongyang and started to prepare for an invasion China would roll in their troops and try to make it a new Tibet.

    --
    Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
  59. Trump will find a positive way to spin this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    and all will be well again.

  60. Meanwhile Israel and Palestine by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ....are more at odds than ever

    Which have more terrorists launching attacks in other countries, these two or NK & SK? Hmm

  61. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The problem with proxy dick waving about launch buttons is that you have to escalate the shit talking until you have nowhere to go but to use the button.

  62. Re:Because the people in charge during the cold wa by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Rich Hillaryists sure do hate poor countryfolk.

  63. That's ok by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In Newfoundland the Doomsday clock is at 12:28!

  64. Re:Maybe if people listened...Iron Maiden? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    or not... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2_Minutes_to_Midnight

  65. WHAT THE HELL IS WRONG WITH YOU PEOPLE? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Not you Tiger, but after 134 comments, not one link?

  66. Re:So the Doomsday Clock is closest to midnight ev by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hmm. Odd that Wikipedia article you linked to had no mention of a NATO exercise called Able Archer 83, carried out in Nov. 1983.

    Historians such as Thomas Blanton, Director of the National Security Archive, and Tom Nichols, a professor at the Naval War College, have since argued that Able Archer 83 was one of the times when the world has come closest to nuclear war since the Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962.

  67. Re:Because the people in charge during the cold wa by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    and unless I missed something, the only reason Trump was elected was because the Republican party allegedly with overseas help gamed the electoral college system, while Clinton, who was not necessarily the better candidate won the popular vote.

  68. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by tinkerton · · Score: 1

    Ukraine and Crimea have "calmed down" in the sense that nobody in the USA cares anymore.

    .
    And that is how you measure the danger. That's just the public perception. The main reason these doomsday people aren't taken serious is because the public is now completely clueless.
      The danger in Ukraine is increasing, not decreasing. The danger of an unintentional war between Russia and the US has increased massively. Much shorter warning times because the US is on Russia's border (and to much smaller extent the opposite is also true) and an aggressive US policy which feels safe because 'it didn't go wrong before' and a US decision system which is out of control.

  69. It's SI prefixes all the way down... by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 1

    I think that their problem is that they continually wanted to protest some action and kept pushing the clock closer, only now they've run out of room...

    If they really are physicists then they have a huge amount of room left. 2 minutes is 120 billion nanoseconds and you can gain the same factor again by going to attoseconds. At that point though you are at the accuracy of the most accurate clocks ever made and things like the height of the clock will start to matter due to gravitational time dilation.

  70. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Does it measure nuclear crises? No, it measure the likelihood of apocalypse (of any type) that humans have control over. Hence "doomsday" and not "nuclear clock". It doesn't change fast enough to track an individual crisis anyway.

    There is no doubt it's closer now than under Obama. He didn't brag about nuking stuff, try to build smaller tactical nukes, didn't get in pissing matches with a nuclear armed leader. Now we have a president that does all those things.

    There is no doubt we are closer than the cold war. Now we have a president seemingly pushing in the direction of worsening climate change. The difference between now and the cold war is that we are far, far along the global warming curve to the point we have exploding permafrost holes in Siberia and clathrates bubbling out of deep cold (getting warmer) ocean, it's pretty damn concerning and not something that happened in the cold war. Other data points, half the great barrier reef in serious distress, the opening of the northwest passage due to dropping arctic ice, acceleration of glacial movement in Antarctica, large ice sheets snapping off.

    Like it or not a group of scientist have determined we are closer to the edge, and I agree. I'm most certainly not alone either great swathes of the population agree.

  71. Re:creimer spam alert by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    1) Since creimer likes numbers so much, how many people subscribed so far? What percentage, creimer? 0%?

    2) Another pointless hobby to feed creimer's need for attention.

    3) No one is listening to creimer, fat man.

  72. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I see you playing only one move ahead. So:

    "Sure, the source will things he himself said."

    Doesn't matter where.

  73. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by penandpaper · · Score: 1

    And what the hell is this concept of a parent 'counting down from 10'?

    I'm New Around Here ( 1154723 ). You better start cleaning your room before I count to 10. 1. 2. Skip a few. 9. ... ... ... 9 1/2. 9 3/4. 9 7/8. 10. Dammit. I'm New Around Here ( 1154723 ) you are grounded! Your father will belt you good when he gets home!

    You must not be so new around here ;)

  74. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by tinkerton · · Score: 1

    I'm not sure that's a good comparison. Trump is currently bluffing , that's his style. He's not afraid of raising the tension and it doesn't mean he won't negotiate. He may well make a shift to negotiations later on, but there is considerable risk that things escalate in the meantime unintentionally. There is far too much confidence.

  75. picks up peg... by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

    YOU SUNK MY BAFFLESHIT!

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
  76. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by Jake+Griffin · · Score: 1

    Yeah, we had this growing up: https://www.rayzist.com/Assets...

    --
    SIG FAULT: Post index out of bounds.
  77. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by tinkerton · · Score: 1

    In a general sense I think you're right. The US sees much less reason to talk than 50 years ago but that's independent of Trump.

  78. Re:creimer spam alert by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Creimer is breaking out today with multiple on-topic comments and gaining mod points. The Slashdot community is welcoming him back.

  79. Poster boys by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

    I read at +2. If your post doesn't reach that level I will not see or respond to it.

    I read at +6 !!! With Sigs off !!!

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    1. Re:Poster boys by jwhyche · · Score: 2

      I read at +6 !!! With Sigs off !!!

      I used to read at that level. But it got lonely.

      --
      I read at +2. If your post doesn't reach that level I will not see or respond to it.
  80. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by Jake+Griffin · · Score: 1

    And yes, I'd happen to agree that we're possibly closer than we've ever been. The situation with NK is quite bad, and the US relationship with Russia isn't so great either. We have the ruskies meddling in Elections across the world, and a Russia that seems to want to grab land wherever they can.

    I guarantee you we are closer than we've ever been. Also, every time you breath, you are one breath closer to death, so I would probably stop doing that. /s

    --
    SIG FAULT: Post index out of bounds.
  81. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by Jake+Griffin · · Score: 1

    breathe**

    --
    SIG FAULT: Post index out of bounds.
  82. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

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  83. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

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  84. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

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  86. Threat level midnight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think Michael Scott was on to something.

  87. Re: It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Cris by c6gunner · · Score: 1

    That's some fine propaganda there, comrade. Russia is annexing neighbouring nations, but it's the US that's aggressive and "on their borders".

  88. Re: It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Cris by tinkerton · · Score: 1

    Ever taken a look at the map where nato was 20 years ago and where it is now? Oh that doesn't count. Let's not forget ,the US has DEFENSE forces, so it's not aggressive . So if for instance it now officially starts pumping weaponry into Ukraine that's not aggressive. By definition,right?
    'comrade' is clueless in two ways. one, the spectrum of people who would agree with me includes political realists like Walt and Mearsheimer. Second, current government in Russia is rightwing, not communist. Oh the few communists who are still around somewhere might well take russia's side, because they're anti imperialist.

  89. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Exactly.

    The problem with the Doomsday clock is that it's... well... a doomsday prediction, so people see it in the same light as other doomsday predictions.

    For example, I don't spend a whole lot of time worrying about the second coming of Jesus Christ - from time to time, certain self-proclaimed experts will point to a series of events and say "See, Jesus is coming soon! You'd better get ready!" and sure enough, life will continue more or less exactly as before.

    Hear enough of these predictions, over a long enough period of time, and eventually most people will get the idea that they don't really know what they're talking about and stop paying attention. Or to put it another way - this is basically a scientific version of "the boy who cried wolf".

    Bonus apathy points in this case because I'm fairly sure nobody who's on this board is actually in a position to directly prevent a nuclear holocaust in the first place. As bullshit as personally believe the Bible to be, at least with the second coming of Christ there's a documented action plan :).

  90. Wrong then, wrong now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I thought these guys claim to be scientists. Why don't they even attempt to apply the scientific method? Could it be because they have a political agenda instead of an truth agenda?

  91. Re: It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Cris by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

    You might want to take into account that most of the countries added couldn't wait to join NATO and/or EU as soon as they were free to do anything that didn't come on orders from Moscow.

    --
    Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
  92. Re:creimer spam alert by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If creimer actually is on topic, creimer is welcome back.

  93. Just set it to midnight already by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Make it clear that you have nothing useful to say and while you're at it, let the news sites all know that there is no point reporting on it anymore.

  94. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I read at +2. If your post doesn't reach that level I will not see or respond to it.

    Why should we bother answering the questions of someone who shows himself to be a liar the instant he posts them?

  95. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

    North Korea is China's puppet.

    If this were even remotely the case, NK would not have its own nukes.

    --
    Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
  96. Alternative solution. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They clearly need to walk the clock back quite a bit...

    They should let it just roll over. You know like with Y2K bug or whatever. If they moved it just 3 minutes or so ahead situation will be safe again. You can't escape the future, it simply is.

  97. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by I'm+New+Around+Here · · Score: 1

    Our mom and dad never counted to or from any number. They told us to do something, and we got spanked if we didn't.

    --
    If you think I voted for Trump because of this post, you're wrong. I voted for Dr. Jill Stein of the Green Party. Again.
  98. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by penandpaper · · Score: 1

    The counting would only happen sometimes. If I was in trouble I would get my full name and the belt. Funny why using the full name would denote being in trouble. Never understood that one I just knew that if I heard my full name things were serious and I was probably in trouble.

  99. Proven political hacks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In every Republican admin they advance the clock, and in liberal admins they ease it back.

    When Reagan built up US defenses they advanced their agitprop "clock" and issued their terrifying statements to try to freak-out the "soccer moms" of the western world.... and then he won the cold war without firing a shot.

    Putin has been cheating on arms deals and building new treaty-busting nukes, and Obama did nothing to slow the NorK nuke advance and in fact FUNDED the damned Iraninan nuke advance and the BAS response? Nothing.

    Trump comes along, and BAS goes, predicably, all bat-guano.

    These people are more transparent than glass, and their actions, under the banner of "science" do terrible damage to the reputation of scientists.

    Want to know why so many peoploe discount scientuific pronouncements on climate change? Look no further then these clowns, the vegitarian "scientists" always ranting about cow farts, and the slimeballs outed in the "climate gate" emails. Science is being more seriously damaged by political hacks with PhDs than by any knuckle-dragging flat-Earther critics..

    1. Re:Proven political hacks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How did he fund Iran? It was their money to begin with!

      numbnuts

  100. Clock moved annually; crisis was 13 days by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Cuban missile crisis (a.k.a. the "October crisis") began and ended before the doomsday clock's annual review could consider it.

    This complaint is silly for exactly the same reason as people claiming that January's cold snap disproves long-term global warming.

  101. Let me translate this for y’all:

    A group of people who know absolutely nothing more about the future than any of the rest of us have just issued a message whose only possible impact is to cause people increased worry and stress, since in the event of the assholes in charge deciding to commit mass suicide on behalf of the entire planet, you personally cannot do a single, solitary goddamned fucking thing about it. If you crawl into a shelter in time, assuming you survive, living through the aftermath will make the worst of times today look like a picnic with wine and roses. Also, not to belabor the point, but it either will happen, (in which case we are all 100% fucked,) or it won’t, in which case fretting over it is completely goddamned pointless.

    These so-called scientists don’t know if it WILL HAPPEN, OR IF IT WON’T ANY MORE THAN THE REST OF US. There is no precedent to be extrapolated from. No one has ever been in a so-called “Mexican Standoff,” (a term from old Westerns, referring to a group of people pointing guns at other people inside the group,) with everyone in the world’s lives depending on every member of that effectively circular firing squad behaving in a fashion consistent with NOT killing anyone.

    It makes precisely the same amount of sense worrying about this on a day to day basis as it does worrying about some nearby star emitting a Gamma Ray Burst, and sterilizing the Planet Earth with a bath of absolutely deadly radiation that will kill each and every living organism on the planet, wherever it is, instantly, no matter how hardy and/or protected it may happen to be. It either won’t happen or it will, and nothing you do can have any impact on that either, so don’t worry, be happy. It’s not like if it happens, you’ll even notice it. As for things you might be able to do about any of this stuff long-term, like Global Climate Change... consider starting with not voting for anyone who takes corporate or large & anonymous campaign bribes. That’d be the biggest single step in remedying our problems and extending our species’ life-expectancy. Worrying about some bullshit hypothetical Scare You Clock is, by contrast, counterproductive.

    --
    Our reign has gone on long enough. Indeed. Summon the meteors.
    1. Re:So? by Dutch+Gun · · Score: 1

      Now I'm worried about a sudden gamma ray burst from space too.

      --
      Irony: Agile development has too much intertia to be abandoned now.
  102. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Same reason you show yourself to be an annoying cunt weasel.

  103. We get it already. by JustNiz · · Score: 1

    Most academics and the media are hardcore democrats that are (still) scaremongering as much fake news and unjustified paranoia to stir up unrest against the current government, just because they didn't get their way during the election. So what's new?

  104. Re: It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Cris by tinkerton · · Score: 1

    I even take in account that Russia itself considered joining NATO. I Suppose if Canada and Mexico started piling up Russian missile systems against the US that would not be a problem as long as they did it voluntarily.

  105. Re: It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Cri by c6gunner · · Score: 1

    lol @ "piling up missile systems"

    Good one comrade! That's some fine cold war era propaganda right there.

  106. Why all the hate? by mrwireless · · Score: 1

    There's a lot of rage against the clock in this thread, without much in the way of good arguments, and with a lot of name calling.

    Personally, I think it's great.
    - It's an effective hack of the discourse. After all we're talking about it.
    - It's beautiful in that it's a visual metaphore, one which we all get. The angst of getting close to a deadline. Rarely are scientists able to bring across their message in a way that is more emotional than numerical. And that alone should be applauded.
    - For me, the position on the clock resonates. Not having experienced the Cuban missile crisis, I can tell you this is the first time in my life that I consider nuclear war as a potential outcome of our current situation and trajectory.

    What is wrong with attention seeking peaceniks? Isn't peace what we all want?

  107. Clock? It behaves nothing like a clock. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Call it "Fear meter" instead.

  108. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by thegarbz · · Score: 1

    To be clear you have a colossal idiot bragging about the size of his nuclear button while actively threatening a hostile nuclear capable state that is allied with a very large nuclear capable state.

    So for a given rounding error I would say the prediction is pretty damn dire. It may not be worse than the Cuban Missile Crisis, but it sure as hell is worse than some other country simply doing a few tests.

  109. 2 Minutes to midnight? by MerlTurkin · · Score: 1

    Up the irons! (how many of you will get the reference?

  110. Climate change leading to doomsday?!?! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That is total BS.

    In the short term, there is no way climate change will end the world or kill all humans.

    It will cause severe disruptions in weather patterns and reshape the landscape, potentially leading to a global famine and mass migrations (and probably a few pandemics), however it will not kill off the human race.

    On a very very large timescale I suppose it could lead to a runaway effect which could lead to Earth becoming like Venus, which is likely to kill off all life, but this process does not happen overnight or even in the course of a century. And it would likely take a lot more greenhouse gases (like orders of magnitude more) to make this happen and I just do not see us being capable of producing that amount even if we consumed all fossil fuel on Earth.

    The only way I can imagine climate change causing a doomsday is perhaps it leads to wars for lands and drinking water which escalates to a nuclear war. But that is 1 of many reasons why a nuclear war could happen, and IMHO one of the less likely scenarios that is immediately threatening us.

  111. Re:It's closer now than during Cuban Missile Crisi by ausekilis · · Score: 1

    Relax, the original scientists that looked at global extinction are long gone. It's now a measure of angry tweets and Starbucks proximity.

  112. Midnight, be still our beating hearts! by TheRealHocusLocus · · Score: 1

    I note general hilarity here. You people should be ashamed. The Doomsday Clock broke again on the day they issued a memo with a ranked list placing the threat of "climate change" above "nuclear war".

    It is a little known fact that the Doomsday Clock is over 150 years old, and for many years was kept by the Masons and existed in secret at an undisclosed Lodge. On June 30, 1908, much to the surprise of those assembled in its chamber, the Doomsday Clock actually chimed midnight! Scaring the bejeezus out of everyone. Mystified them too because the whole idea of a minutes-to-midnight Doomsday Clock had been an old yarn because they had this broken clock and didn't have the heart to toss it out.

    Nervously they dragged the hands back from midnight and their brethren have been flicking it back and forth ever since. Until this old Russian film emerged no one knew why the clock had chimed.

    SEE this old Russian film and learn the TRUTH.

    FULL DISCLOSURE: I changed the music, its original music was contaminated by heavy metals. Also last year I changed the video's title from "Bedtime Story" to "Bedtime Story - The First 100 Days of A Donald Trump Presidency" to troll for anti-Trump persons.

    --
    <blink>down the rabbit hole</blink>
  113. Re:Because the people in charge during the cold wa by Rakarra · · Score: 1

    and unless I missed something, the only reason Trump was elected was because the Republican party allegedly with overseas help gamed the electoral college system, while Clinton, who was not necessarily the better candidate won the popular vote.

    Yes, well, when the rules say that the electoral college decides the President, then you go with what the rules say and don't whine that that's the way the other side played when you lose.