Slashdot Mirror


PC Market Sees Its First Growth Quarter in Six Years (venturebeat.com)

From a report: Gartner found PC shipments were up globally in Q2 2018, the first quarter of year-over-year global PC shipment growth since the first quarter of 2012. Gartner estimates that worldwide PC shipments grew 1.4 percent to 62.1 million units in Q2 2018. The top five vendors were Lenovo, HP, Dell, Apple, and Acer. Lenovo in particular saw big gains (its highest growth rate since the first quarter of 2015), although that's largely due in part to the inclusion of units from its joint venture with Fujitsu.

67 comments

  1. A New Challenger Approaches by Hydrian · · Score: 1

    You mean when there is real competition, lower prices, and innovation there is more interest in PC market the market grows... Who'd a thunk it?

    --
    No good deed goes unpunished.
    1. Re:A New Challenger Approaches by Desler · · Score: 2

      No. The reports state that the sales increase was due to business refreshes.

    2. Re:A New Challenger Approaches by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I went out to *BSD's grave on Decoration Day. The old forgotten cemetery is to be found adjacent to the dark woods beyond the edge of town. There within olfactory distance of the municipal treatment plant you will find *BSD's final resting place.

      *BSD's tombstone was shrouded by thick mosses and knots of noxious ivy. A mournful, bedraggled crow stood watch as I gently pulled aside the tangled twists of thorns, and cleaned the decaying marker the best I could. A suffocating melancholia filled my heart, while I pondered that this indeed was *BSD's figurative charnel house of which so many have plaintively spoken.

      Nothing is so pitiful as an untended grave, a loved one now forgotten. The short sad life of this doomed and fated OS makes us realize that there but for the grace of God go all of us.

      I planted some wilting marigolds, found discarded in the waste heap behind the caretaker's shack, hoping that by some miracle these fleurs de mort take root and bring a modicum of cheer to *BSD's God forsaken plot. My fervent hope is that the torpid colored boy who so carelessly mows the grounds doesn't slice them down, inadvertently mirroring *BSD's own doomed encounter with death's irresistible scythe.

      Funny how things work out. Linux, that brilliant novam stellam, now runs the Internet and the world's fastest computers, while *BSD lies moldering within its forgotten crypt. Let the barren silence of *BSD's tomb be a mute reminder that hubris and braggadocio were no defense on that woeful day when the Angel of Death's bleak umbra was cast upon *BSD.

    3. Re:A New Challenger Approaches by Hydrian · · Score: 1

      Right... And the fact that AMD just added competition to the market and Intel was forced to cut their prices on many of their chips and release the i9 series has nothing to do with that. The IT purchasers probably were finally able to get their needs past the bean counters to get what they needed now that prices are coming back into check.

      --
      No good deed goes unpunished.
    4. Re:A New Challenger Approaches by Desler · · Score: 1

      No, that's just you making an unfounded assertion not backed up by either report.

    5. Re:A New Challenger Approaches by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More like Intel duped people into buying there bug ridden processors which when patched performance decreases by 60%.

      No the Meltdown and Spectra fix gave me 70% performance reduction on my ten year old p9700 (core2, 6M L2 cache). Thinking about just rolling my kernel back and staying offline, then i could easily get another five years out of this Thinkpad W500.

    6. Re: A New Challenger Approaches by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your CPU may not have all of the features that are responsible for the bugs found after meltdown and specter.

    7. Re: A New Challenger Approaches by datavirtue · · Score: 1

      I came here to guess that it was probably Fortnite causing this.

      --
      I object to power without constructive purpose. --Spock
    8. Re:A New Challenger Approaches by Agripa · · Score: 1
  2. You don't say by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The average person replaces their PC on average every 5-6 years, i've had my desktop toaster for 8 now and am gonna replace it next year or year after.
    Wish i'd replaced it before bitcoin miners fucked up the GPU prices, but what can you do.

  3. It's about time! by JudgeFurious · · Score: 2

    All those machines from 6 years ago, they're finally wearing out. I didn't think this would ever end!

    --
    Appended to the end of comments you post. 120 chars.
    1. Re:It's about time! by Proudrooster · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Windows 10 Finally Killed them all, grinding them to a halt.

    2. Re:It's about time! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ironic when you refer to it as Windows Ten.

      But here in the Matrix, we refer to it simply as "Version One Oh"---the time when we decided to scorch the sky.

    3. Re:It's about time! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All those machines from 6 years ago, they're finally wearing out.

      I'd guess it has more to do with corporate computer turn-over. If you look online, you'll find out that computers 6 years old are now going up for sale at decently low prices (like the HP 8300 Elite) and with a modern graphics card they make for very decent gaming rigs. It really isn't that the systems are wearing out. Well, the Windows 7 license is.

    4. Re:It's about time! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And it gets slower and slower after each update. That's we accelerated our replacement schedule.

    5. Re: It's about time! by TimMD909 · · Score: 1

      Fortunately, we knew exactly where they were due to the telemetry. Saved a lot of time.

    6. Re:It's about time! by ncc74656 · · Score: 1

      All those machines from 6 years ago

      If it was only six years. My work box runs on a Core 2 Quad Q6600 from 2008. It still keeps up with most things, though an OpenSCAD render yesterday took the better part of 45 minutes to complete. (Probably ought to run that same render on the Core i5 4690K at home to see how it compares.)

      --
      20 January 2017: the End of an Error.
    7. Re:It's about time! by antdude · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but I am using a decade old desktop PCs. They are starting to get to their limits. However, I am still unemployed after 1 year, 6 months, 27 days, 19 hours, 34 minutes, and 1 second. :(

      --
      Ant(Dude) @ Quality Foraged Links (AQFL.net) & The Ant Farm (antfarm.ma.cx / antfarm.home.dhs.org).
    8. Re:It's about time! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I still have 10-year machines running strong. There's no reason they can't run for 10 more with free software.

    9. Re:It's about time! by ArylAkamov · · Score: 1

      It's amazing when my decade old thinkpad running arch is faster than the 2018 laptop my friend just bought.

  4. Needing an upgrade. by jellomizer · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The issue is, for a lot of people their Phones and Tablets have been more then good enough for their computing use. The people who do real work on their computers actually have been taking advantage to the fact companies like Microsoft, and Apple and the others have been working dilgantly trying to get their bloated apps optimized for mobile devices, that the PC applications have been getting updates which work faster then before, saving us from getting an upgrade.

    However we are reaching a point now where things are catching up and our 6 - 8 year old computers are starting to show their age and are due for an upgrade.

    However as I have ranted many times before, We are no longer really looking for a PC, but a Workstation. The PC Functions have fallen to our mobile devices, were real work and processing is more of Workstation thing.

    --
    If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    1. Re:Needing an upgrade. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's gaming

    2. Re:Needing an upgrade. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hello Threadripper. Just waiting for the Ryzen+ version to pull the trigger on my first PC upgrade since 2009. Gonna go future proof for the next ten years with a 16 or 24-core Threadripper2 with at least 32GB of CAS 14 3200 MHz RAM. Expensive today, but amortized over a decade of work it's peanuts.

    3. Re:Needing an upgrade. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      >> "The issue is, for a lot of people their Phones and Tablets have been more then good enough for their computing use"

      > That's not true. I wish people like you would just stfu with your "opinions as facts". No one gives a shit what you think.

      Micro$oft people get angry so easily...

    4. Re:Needing an upgrade. by Tough+Love · · Score: 1

      Just waiting for the Ryzen+ version to pull the trigger on my first PC upgrade since 2009. Gonna go future proof for the next ten years with a 16 or 24-core Threadripper2

      Why not 32?

      --
      When all you have is a hammer, every problem starts to look like a thumb.
    5. Re: Needing an upgrade. by TimMD909 · · Score: 1
    6. Re: Needing an upgrade. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      445

  5. Thanks spectre and meltdown! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Who wants to bet that the industry finds similar vulnerabilities to fix on a regular basis from now on? In the same way that Apple "fixes" their older phones.

  6. Working? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So the "OMG all ur PCz has spectres and meltdownz" bit is working?

    1. Re:Working? by Desler · · Score: 1

      No:

      “PC shipment growth in the second quarter of 2018 was driven by demand in the business market, which was offset by declining shipments in the consumer segment,” Gartner principal analyst Mikako Kitagawa said in a statement.

  7. Cyclical by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    The business has become cyclical for just those reasons.

    We'll see this year and maybe next of increased sales and then sales will decline. And when those machines wear out or whatever, people will start buying machines again.

    Markets are only so big and they all eventually get saturated.

    1. Re:Cyclical by jellomizer · · Score: 2

      The PC upgrade cycle has also became longer then before too.

      1989 8088
      1993 486DX 50 MHZ
      1997 Pentium 200 MHZ
      2001 Pentium 3 1ghz (Technically I switch to a powerbook at the time, but that would be the competing processor)
      2006 Core II Duo
      2012 Core I7 3rd gen Sandy Bridge
      That is where I am at now The 8th Gen Chips seems nice, but I will probably upgrade next year..

      But before when upgrading after every 4 years I have gotten a noticeable improvement in the computer. Then by 2008 With the great recession, and also the popularity of mobile systems, While they are still keeping up with mores law, the usefulness of old systems seems to be lasting much better now.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
  8. Multi screen / Bitcoin effect by devslash0 · · Score: 2

    I can't imagine how people can get anything done without support for many multiple screens. Two external units are my bare minimum. Most laptops however, either support only one or make you turn off your built-in LCD when you connect the second one because they can't handle the total resolution. For me, a professional programmer, desktop is the only viable choice.

    On a different note, I'd be inclined to risk a statement that the PC market growth has something to do with the declining price of bitcoins and GPU prices reaching sane(r) levels again.

    1. Re:Multi screen / Bitcoin effect by locopuyo · · Score: 1

      Most laptops from the last 5 years support 2 or 3 screens. They're fine for development, although I prefer my desktop pc and 8 monitors.

    2. Re:Multi screen / Bitcoin effect by jellomizer · · Score: 1

      I think Laptop Computers a now classified as a PC nowadays too.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    3. Re: Multi screen / Bitcoin effect by TimMD909 · · Score: 1
    4. Re:Multi screen / Bitcoin effect by avandesande · · Score: 1

      I have two extra monitors, one of them 4k on my old thinkpad and the laptop screen still works.

      --
      love is just extroverted narcissism
    5. Re:Multi screen / Bitcoin effect by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 0

      With DEs that support multiple desktops having been a thing for decades, I've never seen the need to emulate them in hardware.

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    6. Re:Multi screen / Bitcoin effect by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Even my Eee 1000 can do it. GP is either delusional or unlucky.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    7. Re:Multi screen / Bitcoin effect by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      Wow, looks like I managed to get under someone's incredibly thin skin, eh. Ow!

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
  9. AMD Ryzen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Could it be the effect of AMD Ryzen? Lots of people, myself included, were using 5-7 year old machines while something that disrupted the scene appeared, Intel is pushing out the same microarchitecture for years now, and this was the first new offering. Maybe AMD fans jumped in, Intel fans too, and if they didn't, maybe went with newer Intel CPUs just to show some love. I'm using a Ryzen 5 1600X now, was using an Intel Core i5 laptop before that for some years.

    1. Re:AMD Ryzen by Desler · · Score: 1

      No, the growth was entirely in business computer refreshes which ended up canceling out the decline in growth of consumer sales.

  10. thank you.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I just bought a new computer, seems to be good economy....

  11. Windows XP, Vista, etc by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    PC sales are up because Microsoft no longer supports XP and Vista. Plus many old PCs can't handle the Fall and Spring Creators update. So it's a choice between paying some geeks $200 to fix an old computer vs $300-400 on a new PC. PC makers should thank Microsoft.

    1. Re:Windows XP, Vista, etc by AvitarX · · Score: 1

      As a computer user, I think a lot of it is JavaScript too.

      It used to be "I just need a computer for browsing the web and word processing", now browsing the web is by far the heaviest demand out on my computer (work one even).

      I do simple layout, photo editing, prepress, the creative suite is lighter for this type of work than many websites that are just for faffing about.

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
    2. Re:Windows XP, Vista, etc by xack · · Score: 2

      There will be the 2020 bump with the end of Windows 7 as well.

    3. Re:Windows XP, Vista, etc by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Right, the JavaShit abomination also kills battery life on laptop. Now, I am very careful of the sites I visit when on battery, and typically close the browser.

    4. Re:Windows XP, Vista, etc by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 1

      As a computer user, I think a lot of it is JavaScript too.

      It used to be "I just need a computer for browsing the web and word processing", now browsing the web is by far the heaviest demand out on my computer (work one even).

      I do simple layout, photo editing, prepress, the creative suite is lighter for this type of work than many websites that are just for faffing about.

      Jesus Christ, have you forgotten about Flash already? That was far worse.

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
    5. Re:Windows XP, Vista, etc by AvitarX · · Score: 1

      Heavy flash was less omnipresent than heavy JS I think.

      For normal web browsing anyway.

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
  12. It's not due to mobile by Solandri · · Score: 3, Interesting

    PC sales began leveling off in the late 1990s, more steeply after 2000. Long before smartphones and tablets.

    What happened was Intel and AMD ran headfirst into physics. Prior to 2000, CPU clock speeds had been doubling roughly every 18 months. But the power a processor needs increases non-linearly with frequency. Past about 3 GHz (roughly 2002), CPUs began to require exorbitant amounts of additional power for little gains in clock speed.

    Consequently, the rate of clock speed increases nearly stalled after 2002 (at a bit above 3 GHz). Before 2000, each new gen of Intel CPU roughly doubled performance. Today, each new gen only nets about a 5%-15% performance improvement, and most of that has been due to improvements in parallel processing (more cores, speculative execution, hyperthreading, all the goodies which made the news last year as avenues for new exploits).

    Up til about 20002, software makers had been counting on increased CPU performance to support the new features they were adding. They relied on people upgrading their PCs to be able to run the latest version of their software. Now that an upgraded PC was barely faster than the PC it replaced, software makers were forced to do something they'd given little thought to in the past - optimize.

  13. Isn't this the same firm by Archfeld · · Score: 1

    Isn't this the same firm that was declaring the PC market dead about 6 months ago. It is like the 7th day Adventists, if you predict the death of something every other week, and growth the weeks in between, eventually one or the other will happen.

    --
    errr....umm...*whooosh* *whoosh* Is this thing on ?
    1. Re:Isn't this the same firm by esperto · · Score: 1

      I'd love to see someone making a graph of what gartner and IDG predict and what actually happened and show how stupidly off those predictions actually are. Usually in economic predictions, short term at least, are kind of self fulfilling, as people may tend to use them as targets, but the ones made by these 2 entities a more like random number generators...

    2. Re:Isn't this the same firm by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 1

      Isn't this the same firm that was declaring the PC market dead about 6 months ago. It is like the 7th day Adventists, if you predict the death of something every other week, and growth the weeks in between, eventually one or the other will happen.

      Oh come on. "Global PC shipments grew 1.4% in Q2 2018, first increase in 6 years" - same time last year sales fell 4.3%. In 2011, Q2 saw sales of 83.3 million, this year it was 62.1 - a drop of 25.5% despite that huge growth you so loudly cheer now. The PC market is at best undead.

      Heck, here's a chart if you need a visual cue. https://www.businessinsider.de/pc-sales-decline-year-chart-2017-1?op=1&r=US&IR=T.

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
  14. Two possible explanations by Artem+S.+Tashkinov · · Score: 2

    A lot of journalists attribute this to Windows 10.

    I'm not so sure but what I'm sure of is that PCs just don't run forever and probably we're close to the stage when a large mass of older PCs have finally been deprecated in favor of new purchases. Secondly, the number of people on this planet is still growing, so that should have happened sooner or later.

    1. Re:Two possible explanations by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's more likely the result of Ryzen and Coffee Lake actually providing major performance gains (in term of core counts, anyway).

      I've got a first gen i3 that still runs fine. It's hard to justify an upgrade when everything works well enough and each new generations of CPUs was a slight upgrade.

      Well, six-core mainstream CPUs are here and that's a good point for many of us to finally upgrade.

    2. Re: Two possible explanations by datavirtue · · Score: 1

      In the places where the population is growing they can barely afford a $100 cell phone.

      --
      I object to power without constructive purpose. --Spock
    3. Re: Two possible explanations by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      I there causation or merely correlation? And if so, which way round?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  15. Meh, think I'll wait another couple of years. by EnsilZah · · Score: 1

    My computer is six years old, but I'm not running into any issues that are frustrating enough to actively try to solve.
    My six year old GPU still runs today's games, can handle my three monitors.
    My six year old SSD still handles files fine.
    My six year old CPU still handles the workload.
    The 32GB RAM limit of my MOBO is starting to be a bit irksome, but not really a big issue.

    So maybe if I wait a few more years CPU manufacturers will handle their security issues, their process shrink issues.
    GPU manufacturers will return to pre-crypto-bubble prices.
    Maybe that whole non-volatile-memory Xpoint thing will mature into a viable option.
    Maybe, and this is a long shot, Microsoft will sort the whole Windows 10 situation out.

    1. Re:Meh, think I'll wait another couple of years. by AHuxley · · Score: 1

      Same. SSD, GPU, lots of RAM, Windows 10 are all ok for now.
      Some clear direction from the CPU design over the security issues and then its time to upgrade.

      --
      Domestic spying is now "Benign Information Gathering"
  16. Uptick in sales! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't worry. We'll see way more sales once all of spectre generation flaws have caused firmware/microcode updates to cripple current gen CPU's.

  17. No, it's Gentoo vs Chromium vs Air Conditioning by ShoulderOfOrion · · Score: 1

    A decade ago, it was compiling OpenOffice on Gentoo that moved me to Q6600, then Sandy Bridge, then Ivy Bridge. Now it's the Chromium and Webkit build times that are moving me to Ryzen/Threadripper, provided my HVAC can handle the load. What else would you use a computer for?

  18. The rise of blockchain ? by fygment · · Score: 1

    You don't do coin mining on a laptop and not everyone can afford a server/GPU rack so ...

    --
    "Consensus" in science is _always_ a political construct.
    1. Re:The rise of blockchain ? by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 1

      You don't do coin mining on a laptop and not everyone can afford a server/GPU rack so ...

      So next year the PC market will completely collapse - like coin mining.

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
  19. Re:Windows 10 by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    I could eat ramen and shit better haikus than that.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."