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In Some Bay Area Counties, College Grads Have Higher Unemployment (mercurynews.com)

Higher education is supposed to be the ticket to employment. But in some Bay Area counties, workers with a high school diploma have lower unemployment rates than those with bachelor's degrees or higher. From a report: Experts suggested the Bay Area's backwards numbers, which run counter to the national trend, could be the result of too-few lower-wage workers, many of whom have been driven out by skyrocketing housing prices and the rising cost of living. "We have employers call us all the time (saying), 'I'm looking for low-wage, entry-level workers,'" said Kris Stadelman, director of NOVA Workforce Development in Sunnyvale. But there are few workers willing to take on those positions who don't already have jobs, she said.

In Santa Clara County, the heart of Silicon Valley, the unemployment rate for workers with a high school degree is 3.3 percent, compared to a 3.6 percent rate for workers with a bachelor's degree or higher, according to the U.S. Census Bureau's 2017 American Community Survey, which measures unemployment by educational attainment for workers between 25 and 64 years old. The same situation exists in two other Bay Area counties -- Marin and Sonoma -- where workers with at least a bachelor's degree don't have the lowest unemployment rate.

The trend is starkest in Sonoma County, where workers without a high school degree have a 0.2 percent unemployment rate compared to a 4.4 percent rate for workers with a bachelor's degree or higher. Workers with a high school diploma in that county have an unemployment rate of 2.8 percent. Statewide, workers with a high school diploma have an unemployment rate of 6.2 percent, nearly double the 3.5 percent rate of those with a bachelor's or higher.

18 of 272 comments (clear)

  1. Not news. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Most college degrees have been worthless for 20 years, this is not news. Entering a trade right after high school and making money during your most productive years is MUCH better than spending that time going into six-figure debt for a worthless piece of paper. Higher education turned into a racket during the 1990's, probably before.

    1. Re:Not news. by DarkRookie2 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I make more now working in a office than I would've made as an electrician.
      Also, the hours sucked. It is brutal to work in Florida outside in the summer. Or where there is nothing to move air. Also, much higher chance of dying on the job.

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    2. Re:Not news. by poet · · Score: 4, Interesting

      "Most" is probably the "most" inaccurate statement in the world on this.

      It is true you don't need a degree to be a fantastic Pythonista. Try getting a job as a discrete graphics engineer, nurse, teacher, or accountant without a degree. It is true that Trades are a great way to go as well but even most trades have a required educational component.

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    3. Re: Not news. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      On what planet is a starting electrician only making $10/hr?

      "In 2016, the median wage for an electrician was $52,720. The highest-paid earned $90,420, while the lowest-paid electricians earned around $31,800 that year. An apprentice usually makes between 30 percent and 50 percent less than someone who is fully trained."
      https://money.usnews.com/careers/best-jobs/electrician/salary

      The scale varies in areas with higher cost-of-living too. Expect those wages to be much higher in Silicon Valley.

    4. Re: Not news. by Highdude702 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Electrician since I was 16 full time minus few years in prison. Was between jobs once tried a call center.. after 3 days of being told I was weasrimg the wrong clothes and that I had to stay seated at my "desk" I told the manager to fuck off and where to put his job and walked out. He chased me down as I was one of the productive people begging me to stay. All I can say is FUCK THAT NOISE! Excuse me while into back to terminating this panel. And fuck a desk job.

    5. Re: Not news. by NormalVisual · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Also, when was the last time you saw an electrician (or plumber, or carpenter, or other tradesman) get his job sent overseas?

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    6. Re:Not news. by jwhyche · · Score: 4, Interesting

      An yet here we have a great example of the problem. You think just because YOU find these jobs boring that other people do too. YOU think that everyone has the same values as you do. That is far from the truth.

      Odds are you have never done any of these jobs so you really know only what you have been taught about them. I have cousin that is welder. He loves his job. One month he is working on a job in New Orleans, a few months later he is welding high steel in Chicago. His job takes him all around the country.

      I have another cousin who is diesel mechanic. He drives a truck around repairing broken down 18 wheelers. He rarely travels 30 miles from his home. He loves his job. He says he wouldn't be doing anything else.

      A job, ether blue collar or white is what you make out of it. Some people just like working with their hands and wouldn't have it any other way.

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    7. Re:Not news. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I am an artist. I weld. Plumbing and electrical work are also art.

      You aren't doing your children any favors.

  2. Not just the Bay Area. by BitterOak · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I think it's true just about everywhere. The old saying "More learnin', less earnin'," is truer now than it ever was.

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    1. Re:Not just the Bay Area. by thegarbz · · Score: 3, Informative

      That's called observer bias. The idea that dropping out and learning a trade is a road to riches is just daft and ignores the realities of trade industries:

      Those who make it big:
      - Run their own business, and don't play with a welding machine or a socket outlet.
      - Work for a major company as staff on a large plant often in the middle of bumshart nowhere, and are lucky to have gotten this competitive and sought after role.

      Those who you *think* have made it big:
      - The guy who charges you $80/h labour while you ignore the fact that he wastes half the day driving between jobs and will not be fully booked.
      - The guy who is loaded in cash today but can't make ends meet tomorrow because the majority of trade based industries are peak and trough cycles.

      And above all: You're looking in the bay area and extrapolating. Sorry to burst your bubble, but unless you have a useless degree in golf course management or art critiquing you'll pretty much find work anywhere in the world.

  3. Re:There is a reason for it by jpaine619 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    They do pay well. Maybe not in comparison to other jobs in the Bay Area, but that's something those commies up there will have to deal with on their own. Once it's too expensive to live there, for trades people, the programmers and other IT goobers will find the cost of repairs is going to shoot up. You pay for the labor and you pay for the commute to get to the labor. Supply and Demand... If your supply of plumbers is zero and the demand is greater than zero....

    In areas outside of Silicon Valley a plumber can still earn a very comfortable living. The prospects look even better for continued wage growth as the amount of people becoming plumbers is dwindling. Plumbing is one of those jobs that will be around forever.. If the available pool continues to shrink the wages will continue to rise in response. Same thing is happening with electricians.. A friend with a construction company said his average pay for electricians is about $45/hour right now. I know that doesn't sound like a whole lot to a Bay Area person but in the regular world that's pretty damn good. The median income for CA is $60,336/yearly. $45/hour puts you at about $93,600/year. That's over 50% higher than the median. So basically, anywhere besides San Fran, you're earning a very good living.

    When things go awry a competent plumber is a whole lot more important, at that moment, than just about any tech type job.. If your shit won't go down the toilet, fixing that becomes about the most important job in the world...

  4. Not Surprising by jpaine619 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I'm not really surprised by this.. We have a glut of college educated people out there. Hiring those people for fields other than what they earned their degree in is.. risky at best.. If the job they are seeking, at the moment, is not what they have a degree in you can be fairly sure they are going to bounce when a more appropriate job comes along.

    That means you're potentially wasting the training you may have to provide. Sure, you might get lucky and they stick around long enough that the training was still a good investment but your gain would be their loss, and that's not an ideal situation either.

    The term for this phenomenon is "over qualified". Hiring a guy with a master's in math theory to do plumbing isn't gonna work out in the long term. That guy wants to do mathy stuff and he'll punch out the second he can. I don't fault him for that, of course, but if you're the potential employer that's a problem. Better to just spend the time training the guy with no degree who actually wants to be a plumber. Sure he might go work elsewhere for better wages, but that's at least something you can compensate for (pay more). No reasonable amount of $$ is going to make a math guy happy being a plumber.

  5. Hold the phone by PopeRatzo · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The trend is starkest in Sonoma County

    Sonoma County is rural. Of course there are more jobs for people without degrees. You don't need that masters in CS degree to pick fucking grapes.

    I'm not sure this phenomenon has anything to do with the value of a college education, or the number of H1B visas. It might just be a highly localized issue. Let's keep reading...

    Statewide, workers with a high school diploma have an unemployment rate of 6.2 percent, nearly double the 3.5 percent rate of those with a bachelor's or higher.

    See what I mean?

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  6. Um... my kid's in college right now by rsilvergun · · Score: 4, Interesting

    for Nursing. All told it's going to cost me about $140k for 4 years (tuition, books, room, board, the car I had to buy her because it's physically impossible to take a bus from her morning classes to her clinicals in time, etc). Starting salary will be between $50-$70k/yr depending on the job she takes and where she takes it.

    A trade pays $9/hr to start, $15/hr after a few years and then tops out at $25/hr. I did a stint as an electrician's apprentice so I'm pretty familiar (cut those numbers by about 30% for inflation and you know where I was at). You're gonna top out around $50k/yr, which is where my kid _starts_. Over 40-60 years of work that will add up fast. Not to mention she will have much, much better benefits.

    Heck, if you're a teacher in it for the money you can start around $40k/yr as long as you're willing to move and/or commute to a wealthy district (the way districts are funded means if you want to teach in a poor neighborhood because you grew up there plan on getting shafted).

    I see a lot of folks saying a degree ain't worth it, but it always seems to be the kind of folks who don't want to pay for kids to go to school. It's expensive as hell ($140k in my case and I'm cutting corners) so I get where they're coming from, but this is why our country gets flooded with H1-Bs. It lets the companies go to Congress and say "Well, we wanted to hire American, but we just can't find anyone with the _skills_ we need".

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  7. The most important question not asked... by negated · · Score: 4, Interesting

    ...what do these unemployable graduates have degrees in?

    Something useful that is a marketable skill that would lead to a decent job or a graduate degree in interpretive dance theory?

  8. Re:I believe it! by Highdude702 · · Score: 3, Funny

    fuck you, you need to STFU before I do to you what I did to the guy that cut me off last week!

  9. Good point by rsilvergun · · Score: 4, Informative

    A lot of guys I knew in the trade were laid off 2-3 months out of the year doing odd jobs to get by. The company I worked for kept us year round and found busy work, but they could only do that because they had a nice business contract. Most tradesmen have lean months and a tough time throughout the year as a result. The huge cutback on infrastructure spending and, as a result, construction hasn't helped matters either.

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  10. Re:I believe it! by novakyu · · Score: 3, Funny

    It's your fault for getting cut off. If there's less than 1 car length between your car and the car in front of you, no one can cut you off (or at least in the case of accident, they'll be at fault).

    It's called defensive driving.