Slashdot Mirror


User: JDS13

JDS13's activity in the archive.

Stories
0
Comments
35
First seen
Last seen
Profile
(view on slashdot.org)

Comments · 35

  1. Re:$50 billion seems quite cheap on Environmentalists Propose $50 Billion Buyout of Coal Industry - To Shut It Down · · Score: 1

    I wonder where they $50 billion number came from. The market cap of the top ten US coal companies is $25 billion. To get control would only take half that, maybe less depending on how concentrated the shareholdings are.

    The bigger problem is that these companies all have entered into multi-year supply agreements. Either the new owners willfully violate those agreements and suffer the financial consequences, or they stay in the coal business.

    The market cap of these companies is less than total assets, suggesting that the markets value the fixed assets at less than the book value, and that the return on assets and equity is modest.

  2. Re:Why not massively subsidize the Solar Industry? on Environmentalists Propose $50 Billion Buyout of Coal Industry - To Shut It Down · · Score: 1

    Ivanpah is at 35.57N. The southernmost point of New York State is the bottom of Staten Island at 40.5N, around 300 miles farther north. A 100-square mile tract for this ridiculous project would be even farther north.

  3. Re:Why not massively subsidize the Solar Industry? on Environmentalists Propose $50 Billion Buyout of Coal Industry - To Shut It Down · · Score: 1

    85 square miles? The world's largest solar project is Ivanpah, California. The site is 3500 acres or 5.5 square miles - but the heliostat area is just one square mile, in the middle of the Mojave Desert.

  4. Re:This is more than a little bit naive. on Environmentalists Propose $50 Billion Buyout of Coal Industry - To Shut It Down · · Score: 3, Informative

    > when it comes to talk about cutting these subsidies, the "big oil" boyz are all against it.

    I don't know what "subsidies" you're referring to. I've never seen this in any formal statement from a major oil company. Exxon remains one of the world's biggest taxpayers, with an effective tax rate of 46% of gross margin. In 2013, they paid $30.6 billion in sales-based taxes, $33.2 billion in other taxes, and $24.3 billion in income taxes. (That is, those taxes were included in the price of Exxon's products.)

    But the fact is that no business really pays taxes. They're passed along to customers in higher prices, to shareholders in reduced returns, to employees in lower wages. The net effect is a reduction in wealth for all three constituencies.

  5. Re:This is more than a little bit naive. on Environmentalists Propose $50 Billion Buyout of Coal Industry - To Shut It Down · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Absolutely right. It's so-called "green" energy that gets real taxpayer subsidies, with capital contributions, taxpayer-funded rebates, loan guarantees, accelerated depreciation, purchase mandates, and (to name just one egregious example) the insane Zero Emission Vehicle credit system that creates a situation where electric cars actually increase net CO2 emissions (not that that matters).

    And how will we heat our homes on a cold, dark, windless winter night? And get hot water?

    The idea that $50 billion in capital would be squandered in this way boggles the mind. The people who came up with this press release probably have never run more than the $50 in their checking accounts.

  6. Re:Steyn is Slime on Michael Mann Defamation Suit Against National Review Writer to Proceed · · Score: 1

    There have been two judges so far... In any case, the essential question of fact to be determined at trial is whether it is libelous to use the word "torture" to describe the adjustments made to the various data series, and the parameter choices used for the PCA, and the various choices in the final graphical presentation. I spent two years feeding repeated PCA runs into a general optimization model. With the right parameter choices I could pretty much get any answer I wanted.

  7. Re:Actually he is debating Steyn in court on Michael Mann Defamation Suit Against National Review Writer to Proceed · · Score: 4, Informative

    Actually, one of the most interesting effects of this trial is that Mann must comply with Steyn's discovery demands, to see whether indeed he "tortured" the data... Mann and others have still refused to disclose the details of their models, saying (astoundingly) that people just wanted to prove them wrong. Trying to prove a model wrong is the usual way of science... So whether you think this is "settled science" or not, you should welcome this open disclosure and wonder why it takes a court proceeding to achieve it.

    As for the notion of "settled science", which presumably means you should stop questioning something - this is a very disturbing concept which in my opinion has no place at all on slashdot, of all one forums. slashdot is one place where people discuss new ways of looking at old ideas - experiments test Einstein's Special Theory of Relativity, studies about whether cutting salt from your diet reduces hypertension, the value of dietary suppliements, and other bits of uncommon knowledge. Almost every interesting post here challenges some "settled" idea.

  8. Re:Steyn is Slime on Michael Mann Defamation Suit Against National Review Writer to Proceed · · Score: 3, Informative

    Steyn didn't assert that Mann is a fraud, but rather that Mann "tortured" the data. You may recall that Principal Component Analysis was used on a limited and secretly-adjusted data set to come up with the alarming "hockey stick" chart.

    It's pretty much indisputable that there was significant warming from like 1930-1996, but very little since then in spite of more or less linear increases in CO2 concentrations since like 1850. The anthropogenic component of global warming is poorly understood, and the appropriate interventions even less so. But diverting taxpayer dollars so wealthy people can get a Tesla as their third or fourth auto is probably suboptimal.

    The actual source code is this, from briffa_Sep98_d.pro http://wattsupwiththat.com/200... - you can decide for yourself whether this is "torture" or not, and whether this particular debate should be squelched:

    ;
    ; Apply a VERY ARTIFICAL correction for decline!!
    ;
    yrloc=[1400,findgen(19)*5.+1904]
    valadj=[0.,0.,0.,0.,0.,-0.1,-0.25,-0.3,0.,-0.1,0.3,0.8,1.2,1.7,2.5,2.6,2.6,2.6,2.6,2.6]*0.75 ; fudge factor
    if n_elements(yrloc) ne n_elements(valadj) then message,'Oooops!'

    yearlyadj=interpol(valadj,yrloc,timey)

  9. Re:Benedict Saverin on Facebook Co-Founder Saverin Gives Up U.S. Citizenship Before IPO · · Score: 1
    The trope that a successful businessperson should "give back" as if they've taken something is an evil perversion of the American economic system and of capitalism itself.

    A thief? A country that worked hard to give him a chance at his dreams of success - are you kidding? It worked just as hard for you - why don't you pay a few hundred million dollars in taxes, as Saverin will? The "country" didn't work any harder for him than it did for you.

    Facebook created billions of dollars of wealth - $96 billion or so - out of nothing, and created thousands of jobs and far greater pleasure and wealth and utility for its millions of users and customers and affiliates. Facebook and its founders have no need to "give back" - they've already done the giving with their great ideas and brilliant execution, and $96 billion is very precisely a measure of how much they've given.

    You mention all that infrastructure - but that infrastructure was not bought with income or capital gains taxes. Gasoline excise taxes pay for the roads (except when they're looted for blackhole "green" projects). Airports are funded by airlines and concessions and gate fees. The mail system is mostly paid for by user fees, and should be entirely so. Public education is paid for by property taxes which have nothing to do with Saverin.

    Don't confuse taxes with social good. Warren Buffett and indeed Mark Zuckerberg (if not Steve Jobs) are giving large pieces of their fortunes to charities not because they want to "give back", but because charitable gifts allow them to decide how to spend it, and allow them to keep politicians from squandering it. You happen to mention fire departments. Not too long ago, fire departments were funded by insurance companies or by annual subscription. And in those days, the local fire chief didn't make $250,000/year (as one nearby chief does) or get $700,000 annual pensions (as another does).

  10. Re:Unfair taxes ! on Facebook Co-Founder Saverin Gives Up U.S. Citizenship Before IPO · · Score: 1

    These programs deserve a more thoughtful response... Social Security is a transfer from the young to the old. My mother (who didn't really need it) thought it was the greatest thing in the world until I pointed out that what she received was roughly what her three sons were paying in taxes - while we struggled to pay the bills and make homes for her grandchildren. Now I am about to receive my own Social Security payments, but I hope to be able to give all that money back to my own children. We can afford to help the needy elderly - but do we need this blind transfer from young people to old? As for Medicare and Medicaid - again, we need a system that helps the truly needy. But we also need a system that puts a price tag on health - it can't be free, and the consequences of bad life choices should also have financial consequences. Why should taxpayers pay hundreds of thousands of dollars for LVADs? They'll buy granny a few weeks in agony, sedated in the hospital... You have to say yes if it's "free" but what if the hospital asks you for a $100,000 cashier's check in advance? We need skin in the game, not bureaucrats deciding for us.

  11. Re:Eduardo Saverin, a traitor and scumbag on Facebook Co-Founder Saverin Gives Up U.S. Citizenship Before IPO · · Score: 1

    Do you think people who left East Germany in the 1960s - or North Korea today - should be "lynched as traitors"? If you believe in freedom in the tiniest way, you the you will believe that people are free to leave. The United States does charge an enormous exit tax - you have to pay capital gains taxes on the market value of all your assets, even if you leave them behind. But don't you agree that a key factor of freedom is the freedom to leave? And not be vilified for it?

  12. Re:DHMO on The Rise of Chemophobia In the News · · Score: 1

    Lookchem says that the CAS registry for oxiran is 99932-75-9, but no suppliers have stepped up. Maybe preparing the MSDS would be too onerous.

  13. Re:To be banned in 2020 on $60 Light Bulb Debuts On Earth Day · · Score: 2

    But... very few light bulbs are turned on that many hours per month. Sixty cent incandescents are the most energy-efficient solutions for closets, laundry rooms, attics, and other spaces that are lit rarely. CFLs and LEDs have a higher manufacturing energy content... Sure, many consumers make bad decisions -- but we're all worse off when heavy-handed government tries to make good decisions for everyone. Do you think you're smart enough to do that?

  14. Re:There is a bigger question here. on $60 Light Bulb Debuts On Earth Day · · Score: 1

    I have a couple of $40 light bulbs, provided by the local (City of Palo Alto government-owned) electrical utility. They're on a timer-controlled circuit and burn about 1,000 hours/year. They replaced a couple of CFLs - which means they save about 10kWh/year or $1.50/year. In my opinion, the exercise was a stupid waste of money. Jevons Paradox tells us that with more efficient light bulbs, we'll want to use more electricity for lighting.

  15. Re:These hacks wouldn't matter... on Medicaid Hacked: Over 181,000 Records and 25,000 SSNs Stolen · · Score: 1

    People qualify for Medicaid because they can't afford to pay for their own medical care and haven't arranged for any insurance or other third party payment... so perhaps these hacks won't matter because these Social Security numbers aren't worth anything.

  16. Marmot does not support SOPA, nor to others listed on Crowdsourced List of SOPA Supporters · · Score: 1

    Judging by Marmot's public statement on this - http://marmot.com/content/sopa - many of the companies on this list do not support SOPA specifically but merely took a public stance in favor of some protection for intellectual property rights (which surely we all support).

  17. The Guy on the Right Doesn't Stand a Chance on Osborne 1 vs. IPad 2 · · Score: 2

    In his June 4, 1984 "Inside Track" column in Infoworld (p.95), John C Dvorak wrote this:
            "Apparently there is an advertisement in one of the munitions magazines that goes something like this:
            "The Guy on the Right Doesn't Stand a Chance. The guy on the right has the Osborne 1, a fully functional computer system in a portable package the size of a briefcase. The guy on the left has an Uzi submachine gun concealed in his attache case. Also in the case are four fully loaded, 32-round clips of 125-grain 9mm ammunition.
              "The owner of the Uzi is going to get more tactical firepower delivered - and delivered on target - in less time, and with less effort.
              "All for $795. It's inevitable.
              "If you're going up against some guy with an Osborne 1 - or any personal computer - he's the one who's in trouble. One round from an Uzi can zip through ten inches of solid pine wood, so you can imagine what it will do to structural foam acrylic and sheet aluminum. In fact, detachable magazines for the Uzi are available in 32-, 32-, and 40-round capacities, so you can take out an entire office full of Apple II or IBM Personal Computers tied into Ethernet or other local-area networks.
              "What about the new 16-bit computers, like the Lisa and Fortune? Even with Winchester backup, they're no match for the Uzi. One quick burst and they'll find out what Unix means.
              "Make your commanding officer proud. Get an Uzi - and come home a winner in te fight for office automatic weapons."

    This was written 27-years ago, before deranged individuals with firearms shifted this from ironic humor into tragedy. But at the time it was very very funny.

  18. Re:Hmmmmm on Why Published Research Findings Are Often False · · Score: 1

    Great question... But my hypothesis (and I admit that's all it is!) would be very tough to test. For one thing, it can take lifetimes before we discover that published results are wrong. Also, most "capitalistic, fully performance based" research tends to be kept secret, so we can't compare (%wrong)/(%published) across domains.

    I want to toss out another point. The Ioannides paper highlights how weak statistics and badly designed studies (e.g. "puffery") are used to obtain sensational, publishable results - without any fraud or other truly improper behavior. Some puffery will happen in "capitalistic" research... but the market cost of retracting a false corporate boast is far worse for the business entity than the retraction of a scholarly paper is for the individual. When no fraud is involved, the academic keeps the PhD and professorship (with tenure!) and of course the grant money, but the corporate researcher gets fired and the entire enterprise may suffer for years.

  19. Re:Hmmmmm on Why Published Research Findings Are Often False · · Score: 5, Interesting

    > So, a capitalistic, fully performance based (with results being the performance metric)
    > environment does not seem to work well for science. / Surprised? / Me neither.

    This is a gratuitous, cheap shot. These problems appear only in scientific research that is funded, managed, or supervised by government agencies or academic review committees so that bureaucrats will grant money, or full professorships, or licenses to sell drugs. Hence the crack that if you want to study squirrels in the park, you title your grant proposal, "Global Warming and Squirrels in the Park."

    There are "capitalistic... performance-based environments" in science - but they're the corporate R&D departments that are seeking marketable innovations. There isn't much intellectual corruption or fudging of study results in, say, pushing the limits of video card performance.

  20. Re:Don't Trust EZ Texting on T-Mobile Facing Lawsuit Over Text Message Censorship · · Score: 1

    I was referring to T-Mobile's Terms and Conditions: "17. * Misuse of Service or Device. You agree not to misuse the Service or Device, including but not limited to: ... (e) "spamming" or engaging in other abusive or unsolicited communications, or any other mass, automated voice or data communication for commercial or marketing purposes; ..."

    I'm sure T-Mobile could have worked out who EZ Texting was, if only through their use of the 313131 code.

  21. Re:Don't Trust EZ Texting on T-Mobile Facing Lawsuit Over Text Message Censorship · · Score: 4, Insightful

    In that case, T-Mobile should have notified EZ Texting that the shutdown was because of complaints about unsolicited texts, which are a violation of their terms of service and of Federal law. I'm sure there have been complaints about EZ Texting - I'm a T-Mobile customer and have called them to complain about unsolicited texts. I've also filed 1088's with the FCC.

    Blocking a spammer wouldn't create this lawsuit or publicity.

  22. Re:Do u want V1aGra and pr0n txt msgs? on T-Mobile Facing Lawsuit Over Text Message Censorship · · Score: 1

    EZ Marketing's brief assets they do only "opt-in" marketing, with strict controls on who gets their offers. If that's true - and they're asserting it under penalty of perjury - then T-Mobile is censoring essentially private messages between consenting parties based on message content.

  23. Re:What science is behind this? on Cell Phone Group Sues San Francisco Over Radiation Law · · Score: 1

    PV panels don't work so well at temperate latitudes (where people live), and their output follows the diurnal pattern of solar radiation cycles. Throw in the solar constant and PV makes sense only for special applications off a power grid.

  24. Re:False on Nexus One a Failed Experiment In Online Sales · · Score: 1

    Thanks for the correction. T-Mobile gives you unlimited T-Mobile calling, which is worthless. But (like many others) I rarely make voice calls, so even vs Sprint I save $120/year.

    Also, world-wide GSM coverage is a big plus for me. I was a Sprint customer for ten years, and wasted too many hours of European and Asian trips because I didn't have a phone that worked.

  25. Re:False on Nexus One a Failed Experiment In Online Sales · · Score: 5, Informative

    I bought my Nexus One outright for $529 plus tax, and pay T-Mobile $60/month (plus $4 tax) for unlimited data, unlimited texts, unlimited night and weekend talk, and 500 prime time talk minutes/month. If I'd taken the subsidy and bought the phone for $179, then I'd have to pay $80/month for the same deal. Similar plans are at least $100/month on Verizon or ATT, and $80 on Sprint.

    By foregoing the subsidy, I paid an extra $350 for the phone. But over 24 months, I save $20/month or $480, so (at 0% interest) I come out ahead by $130. Also, the phone is unlocked so I can pop in an ATT or European or Asian SIM card, and talk economically on the phone anywhere. And if I was unhappy, I could sell it on eBay.

    But I'm not unhappy - it's a terrific phone at a great price.