Text will obviously not die, this is just executive extrapolation about going from a few percent videos to a few percent more in a short time span.
I can read text with the sound off at work, in bed, while watching a movie, or while riding on a noisy train. Videos are only desirable if I am wearing headphones, or the rest of the family is busy in a separate room. Having the audio on often catches the ear of other folks who just have to ask what I am watching, which is very distracting (not just while watching pron). When it comes to most instructional videos, they just suck. A half hour to talk through a half dozen one line instructions with motion sickness inducing camera movement.
So maybe for illiterate tweens who are not self-aware and don't mind bugging everyone else in the room/class/car/office/theater/etc we will see near saturation with videos, but I don't see it happening for the majority of posts. Maybe if Facebook goes by the way of MySpace and Friendster I will be wrong, but so long as they stay popular with a broad demographic I just don't see it.
Remember that M$ is the one that brought us the ribbon interface. Assuming they will introduce features that actually make their products more useful is a BIG stretch.
Excel used to make nice graphs by default. Now it makes cartoons that require a lot of fiddling in buried settings to get them looking non-cartoon (grids, labels at the bottom, etc).
Word similarly used to be good for writing documents, now the ribbon and obscure feature bloat has made it a raging mess. We spend way too much time fixing the formatting that engineers break during their edits. It is sort of half a nanny, getting in the way when doing simple things, and not enforcing rules when doing complicated things.
So I expect that LinkedIn will get similarly effed up. You might be required to sign up for Skype for any recruiters to contact you. The site might intentionally only work under the Edge browser. Clippy might even make a comeback for all we know.
Version 16.1 (Xenial Xerus) kernel 4.8. Non-linux people look at the wide quagmire of distros and are baffled, many interested people who would like a desktop alternative get turned off by the impenetrable complexity and holy wars of the community (systemd, whatever the hell that is, I don't give a crap, vi, emacs, etc). Then you get to Ubuntu as the one targeting non-linux folks to join up, and are confronted with this BS. Xenial Xerus? Really? You picked a revision number, why add a really stupid moniker to it?
Keep it simple stupid. But I guess the folks that like stuff to be simple and just work are not the target for linux, and are actively mocked as not worthy. The whole thing is pretty much turning into what Ham radio guys did about 20 years ago. Sad sots staring at their own navals while the world marches on.
Linux a pool of contradiction. "We have a GUI as good as Windows/OSX!" But then GUI users are mocked, and frankly the GUI is only half heartedly implemented, sort of a facade. Real work is done at the command line, and important settings are only available by knowing where esoteric files in a variety of scripting languages live that then must be modified using an editor the proudly user surly.
At $14k you'd think they would round off the corners, but instead they made them taper into points. I see complaints of them wearing hold in Armani's suits left and right.
All their effort has been on power savings, which for desktop PC's is a pretty darn low priority. I'd much rather they dropped the crappy integrated GPU in the higher end chips and filled that area with a couple more cores. Instead of go beyond 4 cores you have to but the higher end motherboard and pay Extreme pricing.
Who would buy a 6600k or 6700k and not buy a separate GPU?! It boggles my mind. A good 40% of the die area will never get used by the majority of buyers, there is enough room to fit 8 cores, but 4 is all you get.
Ads have gotten so bad that there seems to be a bit of a backlash lately, so there is hope. Ad-blocking has become mainstream, and I find the web to be a nightmare when I am on a device without it.
We cut the cord more out of frustration with ads than for cost. I'd rather watch old reruns on Netflix and pay the extra $4 a month for the mostly ad-free Hulu option than watch free TV with excessive inundation of ads. Fighting the losing tide against keeping Windows 10 off my home PC is more about fighting the ads they have slipped in than getting spied on by M$.
Since mostly cutting ads out of our home lives I am doubly repulsed when I am stuck with ones that sneak through. I am really hoping my kid grows up watching only a fraction of the ads I did as a kid.
Agreed. I am curious if it could have been much smaller, perhaps a single page, to show just the set of values that failed the test, or was that what took 200 TB? Sounds like you'd need to show that all 7825 integers had been shown to have been cycled through all possible color combinations, but were all those combinations tabulated to be the 200 TB of data?
Agreed. But how else do we get attention on it? I would really like to see limitations as to what is allowed in a T&C. We've reached the point where everything has an arbitration clause, everything I do in an app is likely now owned by the company, and nothing has privacy protections.
I bet >99% of folks have never read an entire T&C of ANY of the apps they use. Most are pretty unreadable to non-leagal'ese speaking folk.
Few teachers come into the system after years in the "real world". If you are even slightly successful at anything above an administrative assistant teaching will be a step down in pay after spending a minimum of 15 months getting a teaching certificate (many schools have a summer through summer accelerated program).
So anyone coming from industry to teach either couldn't cut it, or is a lucky person who isn't teaching to pay the bills. The latter are very rare critters, and in the couple cases I have seen they don't last long at all.
One of my fellow engineers also owns a pet store (run by his wife and son). Over the weekend their computer that runs their point of sale software upgraded itself. The store's software does not run on Windows 10, so this was a mess for them while they spent the effort and time to downgrade. He is suitably pissed.
Once it has been there awhile I would expect that they could easily move it down, or hold the caps constant as usage goes up (4k/8k streaming, ever bigger games downloads, etc.). Getting folks used to it with large caps keeps the outrage down, while still acclimating everyone to the concept.
Tilting at windmills. Internet outrage has only a minuscule effect on the real world, and outrage on a niche site like Slashdot has even less effect.
Write your congressman, complain to the FCC. Those avenues are also weak due to regulatory capture and the corrupting nature of our style of campaign finance, but they are still orders of more effective than swearing into the void.
Being too being to manage is no excuse. Hell, we already have the RICO statute that allows left hand of a criminal organization to go to jail for a criminal act the right hand perpetrated without need to show communication between them.
Our choices for elected officials are already defacto rigged. Either getting on the ballot or staying in office you to have licked the boots of the elite to get donations and access to party power structures. Most of those power brokers and large donors stay elite through behaviors similar to this. I see it as a vicious cycle that is not likely to change anytime soon.
There needs to be some incentive to fight bad tickets. Often the tickets cost less to pay than to fight. Winning against a disputed ticket should come with automatic restitution of a median day's pay (sort of how mileage reimbursements are a flat amount per mile).
Around here you have to show up to fight one. After waiting a long time to show you are present to argue it, you get put into a second line to eventually see the judge. You waste a whole day of work just to finally get in front of the judge. So frankly it is not worth it to fight most minor infractions.
Show me one plant where the fuel has been cleanly disposed of completely. We have vast amounts of fuel piling up with no way to make the stuff benign. It will be hanging around indefinitely. You can quote all you want of ways to recycle and reuse the fuel until it is benign, but so far that is all just talk and has not moved beyond the vaporware stage. I throw it in the same camp as Clean Coal technology.
OMG! 1/3 of the country has no job? My 3 year old is a dead beat! Granny should quick slacking off! Its a crisis!
Seriously, they is a very misleading number. Unless you factor out the young and old it is meaningless. We have a lot of Baby Boomers retiring now, and old folks are living longer. Not factoring this out is disingenuous.
Prime age participation (ages 25-54) is at 81.2%, only slightly lower than the all time high of 84.6% right before the dotcom bubble popped.
Or add cores. A 6 core processor is a huge jump in price, and requires a different socket with a more expensive shipset (more $$$). Intel has really spent all their effort on energy efficiency and let the performance stagnate.
Worse yet, the CPU's from intel have bogged down badly. 4-core i7's are only about 20-25% faster than they were 5 years ago. They are more power efficient by >2x, but most home users don't really care about that. Hell, most have no clue how much power their PC's use (hence the proudly boasted about 1000W supplies for machines that peak out at ~300W).
SSD's have been the biggest system speed boost in recent years. My new machine 6 months ago barely feels faster than the 9 year old machine with an SSD.
So why upgrade to a new machine that is barely faster and comes pre-loaded with Big Brother?
Text will obviously not die, this is just executive extrapolation about going from a few percent videos to a few percent more in a short time span.
I can read text with the sound off at work, in bed, while watching a movie, or while riding on a noisy train. Videos are only desirable if I am wearing headphones, or the rest of the family is busy in a separate room. Having the audio on often catches the ear of other folks who just have to ask what I am watching, which is very distracting (not just while watching pron). When it comes to most instructional videos, they just suck. A half hour to talk through a half dozen one line instructions with motion sickness inducing camera movement.
So maybe for illiterate tweens who are not self-aware and don't mind bugging everyone else in the room/class/car/office/theater/etc we will see near saturation with videos, but I don't see it happening for the majority of posts. Maybe if Facebook goes by the way of MySpace and Friendster I will be wrong, but so long as they stay popular with a broad demographic I just don't see it.
Remember that M$ is the one that brought us the ribbon interface. Assuming they will introduce features that actually make their products more useful is a BIG stretch.
Excel used to make nice graphs by default. Now it makes cartoons that require a lot of fiddling in buried settings to get them looking non-cartoon (grids, labels at the bottom, etc).
Word similarly used to be good for writing documents, now the ribbon and obscure feature bloat has made it a raging mess. We spend way too much time fixing the formatting that engineers break during their edits. It is sort of half a nanny, getting in the way when doing simple things, and not enforcing rules when doing complicated things.
So I expect that LinkedIn will get similarly effed up. You might be required to sign up for Skype for any recruiters to contact you. The site might intentionally only work under the Edge browser. Clippy might even make a comeback for all we know.
How about a tie-in the other way? Wouldn't an employer like to have a report saying that Mr. Smith spends an average of 5 hours a day playing Halo?
Version 16.1 (Xenial Xerus) kernel 4.8. Non-linux people look at the wide quagmire of distros and are baffled, many interested people who would like a desktop alternative get turned off by the impenetrable complexity and holy wars of the community (systemd, whatever the hell that is, I don't give a crap, vi, emacs, etc). Then you get to Ubuntu as the one targeting non-linux folks to join up, and are confronted with this BS. Xenial Xerus? Really? You picked a revision number, why add a really stupid moniker to it?
Keep it simple stupid. But I guess the folks that like stuff to be simple and just work are not the target for linux, and are actively mocked as not worthy. The whole thing is pretty much turning into what Ham radio guys did about 20 years ago. Sad sots staring at their own navals while the world marches on.
Linux a pool of contradiction. "We have a GUI as good as Windows/OSX!" But then GUI users are mocked, and frankly the GUI is only half heartedly implemented, sort of a facade. Real work is done at the command line, and important settings are only available by knowing where esoteric files in a variety of scripting languages live that then must be modified using an editor the proudly user surly.
DVD's go out to those who vote for the Oscar's well ahead of the theatrical release. Those get watermarked with text.
At $14k you'd think they would round off the corners, but instead they made them taper into points. I see complaints of them wearing hold in Armani's suits left and right.
All their effort has been on power savings, which for desktop PC's is a pretty darn low priority. I'd much rather they dropped the crappy integrated GPU in the higher end chips and filled that area with a couple more cores. Instead of go beyond 4 cores you have to but the higher end motherboard and pay Extreme pricing.
Who would buy a 6600k or 6700k and not buy a separate GPU?! It boggles my mind. A good 40% of the die area will never get used by the majority of buyers, there is enough room to fit 8 cores, but 4 is all you get.
Ads have gotten so bad that there seems to be a bit of a backlash lately, so there is hope. Ad-blocking has become mainstream, and I find the web to be a nightmare when I am on a device without it.
We cut the cord more out of frustration with ads than for cost. I'd rather watch old reruns on Netflix and pay the extra $4 a month for the mostly ad-free Hulu option than watch free TV with excessive inundation of ads. Fighting the losing tide against keeping Windows 10 off my home PC is more about fighting the ads they have slipped in than getting spied on by M$.
Since mostly cutting ads out of our home lives I am doubly repulsed when I am stuck with ones that sneak through. I am really hoping my kid grows up watching only a fraction of the ads I did as a kid.
Agreed. I am curious if it could have been much smaller, perhaps a single page, to show just the set of values that failed the test, or was that what took 200 TB? Sounds like you'd need to show that all 7825 integers had been shown to have been cycled through all possible color combinations, but were all those combinations tabulated to be the 200 TB of data?
Agreed. But how else do we get attention on it? I would really like to see limitations as to what is allowed in a T&C. We've reached the point where everything has an arbitration clause, everything I do in an app is likely now owned by the company, and nothing has privacy protections.
I bet >99% of folks have never read an entire T&C of ANY of the apps they use. Most are pretty unreadable to non-leagal'ese speaking folk.
Few teachers come into the system after years in the "real world". If you are even slightly successful at anything above an administrative assistant teaching will be a step down in pay after spending a minimum of 15 months getting a teaching certificate (many schools have a summer through summer accelerated program).
So anyone coming from industry to teach either couldn't cut it, or is a lucky person who isn't teaching to pay the bills. The latter are very rare critters, and in the couple cases I have seen they don't last long at all.
I had similar thoughts. The pet store is a side business, and he'd rather spend his focus on work first, and IT support a distant second.
One of my fellow engineers also owns a pet store (run by his wife and son). Over the weekend their computer that runs their point of sale software upgraded itself. The store's software does not run on Windows 10, so this was a mess for them while they spent the effort and time to downgrade. He is suitably pissed.
Once it has been there awhile I would expect that they could easily move it down, or hold the caps constant as usage goes up (4k/8k streaming, ever bigger games downloads, etc.). Getting folks used to it with large caps keeps the outrage down, while still acclimating everyone to the concept.
Tilting at windmills. Internet outrage has only a minuscule effect on the real world, and outrage on a niche site like Slashdot has even less effect.
Write your congressman, complain to the FCC. Those avenues are also weak due to regulatory capture and the corrupting nature of our style of campaign finance, but they are still orders of more effective than swearing into the void.
Being too being to manage is no excuse. Hell, we already have the RICO statute that allows left hand of a criminal organization to go to jail for a criminal act the right hand perpetrated without need to show communication between them.
The lack of warrant, or other check on power is the objectionable part of this.
Flying has become miserable on so many fronts. I minimize it, and dread it when it cannot be avoided.
Our choices for elected officials are already defacto rigged. Either getting on the ballot or staying in office you to have licked the boots of the elite to get donations and access to party power structures. Most of those power brokers and large donors stay elite through behaviors similar to this. I see it as a vicious cycle that is not likely to change anytime soon.
If only I had mod points for Funny/Dark Humor
There needs to be some incentive to fight bad tickets. Often the tickets cost less to pay than to fight. Winning against a disputed ticket should come with automatic restitution of a median day's pay (sort of how mileage reimbursements are a flat amount per mile).
Around here you have to show up to fight one. After waiting a long time to show you are present to argue it, you get put into a second line to eventually see the judge. You waste a whole day of work just to finally get in front of the judge. So frankly it is not worth it to fight most minor infractions.
Show me one plant where the fuel has been cleanly disposed of completely. We have vast amounts of fuel piling up with no way to make the stuff benign. It will be hanging around indefinitely. You can quote all you want of ways to recycle and reuse the fuel until it is benign, but so far that is all just talk and has not moved beyond the vaporware stage. I throw it in the same camp as Clean Coal technology.
OMG! 1/3 of the country has no job? My 3 year old is a dead beat! Granny should quick slacking off! Its a crisis!
Seriously, they is a very misleading number. Unless you factor out the young and old it is meaningless. We have a lot of Baby Boomers retiring now, and old folks are living longer. Not factoring this out is disingenuous.
Prime age participation (ages 25-54) is at 81.2%, only slightly lower than the all time high of 84.6% right before the dotcom bubble popped.
Source: https://research.stlouisfed.or...
Or add cores. A 6 core processor is a huge jump in price, and requires a different socket with a more expensive shipset (more $$$). Intel has really spent all their effort on energy efficiency and let the performance stagnate.
Worse yet, the CPU's from intel have bogged down badly. 4-core i7's are only about 20-25% faster than they were 5 years ago. They are more power efficient by >2x, but most home users don't really care about that. Hell, most have no clue how much power their PC's use (hence the proudly boasted about 1000W supplies for machines that peak out at ~300W).
SSD's have been the biggest system speed boost in recent years. My new machine 6 months ago barely feels faster than the 9 year old machine with an SSD.
So why upgrade to a new machine that is barely faster and comes pre-loaded with Big Brother?