well, only (5) is false; but you added (4) and (6) as if they're bad things. loud and greedy arrogance is actually mostly harmless fun if you're not ignorant and economically; politically; and morally bankrupt.
you're right that it's not meth. however, there's both extended- and instant-release adderall. even the extended-release is just a mixture of amphetamine salts which are metabolized at different rates, thus spreading out the response. speed is just a slang word for amphetamine (sometimes specifically dextroamphetamine which is in adderall anyways), and so adderall is speed by definition.
very roughly speaking, two measures of adderall will have at least as much effect as one measure of standard amphetamine. seeing as dosage varies by doctor, i don't see why it would have less addictive potential than any other orally-consumed form of speed.
i was being unclear. i'm more a mathematician than a programmer (though really i'm neither). by generate, i meant that there is a probabilistic model generating these strings. i wasn't talking about actually investing a few bob on amazon ec2 instances to gloryhound a trivial pursuit.
nonetheless, i illustrate my point here. fix the alphabet as letters a-z without capitalization or punctuation or spacing (as the schmuck in the story actually did). now suppose shakespeare's idiot brother produced a single work which reads: "polyps", and let's suppose the monkeys are working on 2-character groups rather than 9.
there are five 2-character groups: "po"; "ol"; "ly"; "yp"; "ps". your argument is totally correct if the objective is to collect all of these groups; the waiting time is a sum of independent geometric random variables with (parameters p1=5/26^2, p2=4/26^2,..., p5=1/26^2).
however the objective is to generate the _text_, not all groups. thus for instance {"po", "ly", "ps"} (up to ordering and repetitions) will work and is the minimal 2-cover. there is also however {"po", "ol", "ly", "ps"} (up to ordering, repetitions, and which one of the covers doesn't overlap the others). finally, only if one is unlucky one is stuck with the maximal cover of all five groups. so, not only are the covers generated randomly, but there are different random absorbing states.
your method gives a very loose upper bound on how long it will take to do what this guy was doing (i know because i made the same mistake, and came up with an estimate which was 6x his result). the real mathematical model is beyond me and probably requires entropy arguments and a sophisticated model of shakespearian english.
that's fine; i'm sure it was also a nice exercise in learning hadoop. it's the gloryhounding that bugs those of us who've done much more and much harder work without recognition (which is most of slashdot).
actually, i take it back partially. this is somewhat interesting, but not because of the infinite monkey "theorem"; that's just silly.
what's interesting is that there are different ways to get 9-character covers of the same text. for example, i could pull "tobeornot" and then "tobethati". alternatively i could pull "rnottobet" and then "hatistheq". either one will cover the substring "rnottobethati" and remove it from the pool.
i'm pretty sure there is a way to find the approximate number of draws by an entropy argument, but it is not a trivial application of coupon collecting, since a draw can give you more than one coupon.
the point is more that he apparently doesn't realize how completely pointless this is, whatever his resources. the coupon collector's problem has basically been completely solved (in the sense we have an asymptotic rate, and shakespeare's work are long enough that this limit applies). there's no point whatsoever in simulating it.
it would be exactly like taking physics I and then trying to create an ideal point mass or a completely frictionless surface because they talked about that in a few of the lectures... 1) it's impossible; 2) you've missed the point entirely.
what about the fact that a lot of dixiecrats joined the Rs under the southern strategy? does that not matter?
one wildcat strike by one union, and the shooting seems like a lone gunman. i see no evidence that this has any systemic meaning.
i am curious whether these correlations of planned parenthood &c. go away when you control for poverty. again, separating the historical from the current-day is a big deal for me. today's PP may just go to where areas are poor; even if their poverty is due to past D interference, doesn't mean i should hold it against today's Ds.
i certainly think that the D party is more subtly racist than most realize, and that their well-intentioned programs can be counterproductive in their meddling, but i don't necessarily think it's intentional. i certainly don't see the R as a paragon of anti-racism either. if the Ds are directly responsible for poor black academic performance, then we should expect locally republican areas to have at least somewhat more even performance. i doubt that this is the case.
by "coincidentally" i meant exactly that; an accident of age, rather than any strong moral epiphany.
did robert byrd ever personally advocate violence? i find guilt-by-association arguments fairly weak, especially when the association is over 30 years old and the kkk allegiance was at least partly a politically-motivated move. this goes for both sides of course. the lines people draw are sometimes too convenient; for example, does ron paul count? he takes money and has support from white-supremacist organizations. it doesn't particularly bother me, but where is the demarcation?
what are the other violence-based democratic party "related" organizations?
Directly around me and in my immediate circle of friends? Not a whole lot. A few serial monogamists. A few (and more and more) married. I only know of one couple involved in an affair. I've been celibate for years, by choice.
I really don't know how to respond to the rest. Seems like part of it is basically a documented fact of the past ~two centuries (although not discussed publicly), and the rest is very speculative. Once I finish the first season of the acclaimed documentary ``Mad Men'', I'll get back to you.
I don't find the mistress model that interesting, personally; it's a rather brutal thing, although I don't hold much personally against its participants. The only possible "victim" is the wife, and I suspect that in most cases she's more aware of the game than media/society likes to portray. Stable polygamous families (multifamilies?) are a more interesting concept to me, and may become a viable strategy for resource-sharing once the economy begins to contract.
Wow; you guys are really milking the hell out of Strom Thurmond's coincidentally-earlier retirement and death, aren't you? If Thurmond had just been born 15 years after Byrd, rather than before, the shoe would be on the other foot, although still pretty meaningless. They were each products of their times, now past.
Yes, technically, Thurmond was not a member of the KKK; this was either luck or shrewd politicking. His actions and speech were quite consistent with it.
just look at other science articles and you'll see the same kind of raving.
so maybe it's a bunch of sneaky liberal vandals. but even if that were the case, it would mean that the conservapedia contributors can't tell the difference anyway.
the wbc parodies are in large part commentaries on the original work and artist; specifically, that they are morally depraved and damned. it's not a very deep or insightful commentary, but it's enough to qualify as fair use.
aren't lawsuits public information? why is it that this claim is never substantiated apart from a few isolated cases?
even if it is true, it doesn't contradict their sincerity. they can sincerely believe everything they say and still sue people, either out of legitimate grievance or in order to fund what they see as a holy mission.
finally, apart from their antics and hyper-focus on sodom and gomorrah, their church is theologically pretty much a five-point calvinist church. a lot of southern churches are pretty much one or two families with a couple of hangers-on. westboro is just more extreme and successful.
i'm an atheist. i find westboro entertaining. they're like the 4chan of ultraconservative christianity.
I hear all of this and yet the Libertarians don't seem to care much about calculating the value of these externalities imposed on people. Instead, they claim that a smaller government will magically do these core jobs better. Looking at things pragmatically, I see no reason to believe that this will happen. Roughly, to a skeptical liberal person: the upsides of Libertarianism are second-order effects and thus more questionable, while the immediate downsides (gutting every social program at all) are first-order effects. Since the social programs do at least try to take care of externalities (although in a way that Libertarians don't like), I think Libertarians should put more effort to being constructive about exactly what kind of tort system would accomplish what they claim.
If I am missing information, please give cites. If you're going to flame at me about social programs and wealth distribution and whatever, just skip it; I've heard it already a thousand times. I'm only asking exactly what the libertarian program for taking care of externalities like this is.
Slashdot Mirror
obvious attempt at jury disqualification is obvious.
a key is a hardware dongle. :)
also a good point. :)
the problem is that they should use a hardware dongle for this (don't even mention encryption), but it's just cheaper to use a secondary password.
well, only (5) is false; but you added (4) and (6) as if they're bad things. loud and greedy arrogance is actually mostly harmless fun if you're not ignorant and economically; politically; and morally bankrupt.
alas, we are.
there's a backdoor so the hotel doesn't have to jimmy the safe everytime an idiot forgets their password.
you're right that it's not meth. however, there's both extended- and instant-release adderall. even the extended-release is just a mixture of amphetamine salts which are metabolized at different rates, thus spreading out the response. speed is just a slang word for amphetamine (sometimes specifically dextroamphetamine which is in adderall anyways), and so adderall is speed by definition.
very roughly speaking, two measures of adderall will have at least as much effect as one measure of standard amphetamine. seeing as dosage varies by doctor, i don't see why it would have less addictive potential than any other orally-consumed form of speed.
i was being unclear. i'm more a mathematician than a programmer (though really i'm neither). by generate, i meant that there is a probabilistic model generating these strings. i wasn't talking about actually investing a few bob on amazon ec2 instances to gloryhound a trivial pursuit.
nonetheless, i illustrate my point here. fix the alphabet as letters a-z without capitalization or punctuation or spacing (as the schmuck in the story actually did). now suppose shakespeare's idiot brother produced a single work which reads: "polyps", and let's suppose the monkeys are working on 2-character groups rather than 9.
there are five 2-character groups: "po"; "ol"; "ly"; "yp"; "ps". your argument is totally correct if the objective is to collect all of these groups; the waiting time is a sum of independent geometric random variables with (parameters p1=5/26^2, p2=4/26^2, ..., p5=1/26^2).
however the objective is to generate the _text_, not all groups. thus for instance {"po", "ly", "ps"} (up to ordering and repetitions) will work and is the minimal 2-cover. there is also however {"po", "ol", "ly", "ps"} (up to ordering, repetitions, and which one of the covers doesn't overlap the others). finally, only if one is unlucky one is stuck with the maximal cover of all five groups. so, not only are the covers generated randomly, but there are different random absorbing states.
your method gives a very loose upper bound on how long it will take to do what this guy was doing (i know because i made the same mistake, and came up with an estimate which was 6x his result). the real mathematical model is beyond me and probably requires entropy arguments and a sophisticated model of shakespearian english.
that's fine; i'm sure it was also a nice exercise in learning hadoop. it's the gloryhounding that bugs those of us who've done much more and much harder work without recognition (which is most of slashdot).
it doesn't have to generate every distinct string.
+1, Insightful.
What a strange way to live.
in fact, that xkcd came to mind after i typed that.
you know, eventually, nerds won't need english anymore. we'll just cite the index number of the xkcd which conveys our point. :-/
actually, i take it back partially. this is somewhat interesting, but not because of the infinite monkey "theorem"; that's just silly.
what's interesting is that there are different ways to get 9-character covers of the same text. for example, i could pull "tobeornot" and then "tobethati". alternatively i could pull "rnottobet" and then "hatistheq". either one will cover the substring "rnottobethati" and remove it from the pool.
i'm pretty sure there is a way to find the approximate number of draws by an entropy argument, but it is not a trivial application of coupon collecting, since a draw can give you more than one coupon.
the point is more that he apparently doesn't realize how completely pointless this is, whatever his resources. the coupon collector's problem has basically been completely solved (in the sense we have an asymptotic rate, and shakespeare's work are long enough that this limit applies). there's no point whatsoever in simulating it.
it would be exactly like taking physics I and then trying to create an ideal point mass or a completely frictionless surface because they talked about that in a few of the lectures... 1) it's impossible; 2) you've missed the point entirely.
what about the fact that a lot of dixiecrats joined the Rs under the southern strategy? does that not matter?
one wildcat strike by one union, and the shooting seems like a lone gunman. i see no evidence that this has any systemic meaning.
i am curious whether these correlations of planned parenthood &c. go away when you control for poverty. again, separating the historical from the current-day is a big deal for me. today's PP may just go to where areas are poor; even if their poverty is due to past D interference, doesn't mean i should hold it against today's Ds.
i certainly think that the D party is more subtly racist than most realize, and that their well-intentioned programs can be counterproductive in their meddling, but i don't necessarily think it's intentional. i certainly don't see the R as a paragon of anti-racism either. if the Ds are directly responsible for poor black academic performance, then we should expect locally republican areas to have at least somewhat more even performance. i doubt that this is the case.
by "coincidentally" i meant exactly that; an accident of age, rather than any strong moral epiphany.
did robert byrd ever personally advocate violence? i find guilt-by-association arguments fairly weak, especially when the association is over 30 years old and the kkk allegiance was at least partly a politically-motivated move. this goes for both sides of course. the lines people draw are sometimes too convenient; for example, does ron paul count? he takes money and has support from white-supremacist organizations. it doesn't particularly bother me, but where is the demarcation?
what are the other violence-based democratic party "related" organizations?
Directly around me and in my immediate circle of friends? Not a whole lot. A few serial monogamists. A few (and more and more) married. I only know of one couple involved in an affair. I've been celibate for years, by choice.
I really don't know how to respond to the rest. Seems like part of it is basically a documented fact of the past ~two centuries (although not discussed publicly), and the rest is very speculative. Once I finish the first season of the acclaimed documentary ``Mad Men'', I'll get back to you.
I don't find the mistress model that interesting, personally; it's a rather brutal thing, although I don't hold much personally against its participants. The only possible "victim" is the wife, and I suspect that in most cases she's more aware of the game than media/society likes to portray. Stable polygamous families (multifamilies?) are a more interesting concept to me, and may become a viable strategy for resource-sharing once the economy begins to contract.
Wow; you guys are really milking the hell out of Strom Thurmond's coincidentally-earlier retirement and death, aren't you? If Thurmond had just been born 15 years after Byrd, rather than before, the shoe would be on the other foot, although still pretty meaningless. They were each products of their times, now past.
Yes, technically, Thurmond was not a member of the KKK; this was either luck or shrewd politicking. His actions and speech were quite consistent with it.
But wouldn't that necessitate the abandonment of the so-called monogamous sexual relationship? I mean, as far as men are concerned.
it isn't; google "andrew schlafly" and read http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conservapedia
just look at other science articles and you'll see the same kind of raving.
so maybe it's a bunch of sneaky liberal vandals. but even if that were the case, it would mean that the conservapedia contributors can't tell the difference anyway.
this site is not a joke (well, not intentionally) and it has more than 0 contributors:
http://conservapedia.com/Counterexamples_to_Relativity
#s 13 and 25 are my personal favorites.
the wbc parodies are in large part commentaries on the original work and artist; specifically, that they are morally depraved and damned. it's not a very deep or insightful commentary, but it's enough to qualify as fair use.
aren't lawsuits public information? why is it that this claim is never substantiated apart from a few isolated cases?
even if it is true, it doesn't contradict their sincerity. they can sincerely believe everything they say and still sue people, either out of legitimate grievance or in order to fund what they see as a holy mission.
finally, apart from their antics and hyper-focus on sodom and gomorrah, their church is theologically pretty much a five-point calvinist church. a lot of southern churches are pretty much one or two families with a couple of hangers-on. westboro is just more extreme and successful.
i'm an atheist. i find westboro entertaining. they're like the 4chan of ultraconservative christianity.
I hear all of this and yet the Libertarians don't seem to care much about calculating the value of these externalities imposed on people. Instead, they claim that a smaller government will magically do these core jobs better. Looking at things pragmatically, I see no reason to believe that this will happen. Roughly, to a skeptical liberal person: the upsides of Libertarianism are second-order effects and thus more questionable, while the immediate downsides (gutting every social program at all) are first-order effects. Since the social programs do at least try to take care of externalities (although in a way that Libertarians don't like), I think Libertarians should put more effort to being constructive about exactly what kind of tort system would accomplish what they claim.
If I am missing information, please give cites. If you're going to flame at me about social programs and wealth distribution and whatever, just skip it; I've heard it already a thousand times. I'm only asking exactly what the libertarian program for taking care of externalities like this is.
no, i wanted infrared; it gave me ultraviolet. it's the maintenance man, he knows i like infrared.
i'm a turk, you insensitive clod!