For the owner of the server, the relevant event is, in fact, his server (or one of his small number of servers) failing.
For a slashdot reader, the relevant event is a reader-submitted story about server failure being accepted.
We can easily have significance for the first event, but not the second. As you kindly point out, the holiday influences the second event but not the first. For all we know, the server isn't even real; just slash-hype.
Anyway, this has nothing to do with the "probability being 100% because it already happened"; that was my only point, as pedantic as it is.
No, it's not a misapplication. It's a textbook-standard application of statistics, which looks at the probability of an event (which did occur) happening under a "null hypothesis", in this case including 1) no extraordinary event associated with year roll-over (no time dependence); 2) all servers are stochastically identical (i.e. they each have the same failure rate).
The hypotheses are a bit strong, but it's not a mis-application.
Statistics often answers the question "How likely was that to have happened without an extraordinary explanation?" By nature, this deals with events of "100% probability" as you misleadingly call them.
That's not true. It might be, that both sides are capable of forcing a draw, implying that neither is capable of forcing a win. Thus, no winning move except "not to play" (although I'd call not playing the game as a draw, and not a win, but whatever).
It all falls down there, doesn't it? As reasonable and mild as your suggestions are, they don't stand a chance in "civil" (haha) society and would quickly be lumped in with the "pissing and ranting".
There's little incentive at all to be reasonable... I for one haven't seen it pay off yet.
Also, no algorithm is going to get it right the first time (?), so you'll need to go through a lot of different suppliers and safe-drops before it works. This is, arguably, a skill although a purely criminal one.
How exactly are they stupid kids? Sure, people have the responsibility to know the law, but when the laws are increasingly at odds with basic ideas of freedom, it takes unreasonable effort to know them.
"In the meantime... please ensure you are CLOTHED when taking pictures of yourself."
In the meantime, please ensure you log your internet traffic and report it to the state. Just in case a law requiring this has been passed.
In the meantime, please ensure you don't buy any laboratory glassware to ensure you aren't mistaken for a meth lab. Just in case.
In the meantime, don't say disparaging things about the president. Just in case.
Or the path to your "home" in KQ3. It was a statistical certainty that your character would have fallen and died already in the process of walking it daily during his apprenticeship.
Or you could buy a boatload of CC#s from a Russian clearinghouse for a coupla bucks.
Not that I would do what iCONICA did of course, but you'd have to have a truly niche skill-set/hobby/ethics to puzzle out iCONICA's CC#, and not just buy them directly.
According to those links you provided, Trend Micro did not find anything wrong. (could be different settings, version, &c.) However... many of the positives were heuristic and, as further evidence of this, the identifications were not consistent.
Maybe it's just badly coded junk; nearly as bad, perhaps, but exactly what you'd expect from the Wal*Mart holiday special.
(insert obligatory comment about slashdot editors)
That is to say, the distribution of variates generated by a pseudoRNG should resemble in all ways the distribution it claims to simulate. There is no reason not to call, then, the pseudoRNG as an estimator of an ideal distribution.
(Although I should remark, that statistical unbiasedness of the first order is not that difficult to achieve, by say von Neumann's method for biased coins. Thus it's a little misleading to claim that you need fullblown hardware RNGs for it; but it's definitely not nonsense.)
I thought von Neumann was eager and anxious to renounce his Hungarian citizenship as soon as possible?
Not that this means anything about Hungary. Although he was an indisputable genius, von Neumann was a horrible person and a coward. Among other things, his first choice for the Japanese atom bombing was Kyoto on the grounds that since it had no military value, it had not been attacked yet and thus would show the effect better.
And let's not forget his emergency plan to win the cold war: move all Important Americans into shelters in the Rockies; then cover the ice caps with black plastic to raise sea levels. The kill ratio would vastly favor the West, don'tcha know?
Atop all of this, he was enough of a craven coward to accept Catholicism on his death bed "just in case". I wish there were a hell for him to go to.
The fact that they are almost totally automatic and don't require a restart makes them pretty close to maintenance free. Since I can basically ignore ubuntu updates except for the kernel, they are effectively much less of a disturbance than XP updates.
A few months ago I went back to my Ubuntu partition after XP started choking on me and losing on the wifi. The first thing I saw was Update Manager with "You can install 274 updates." At first I was mortified, but the downloading and installing was barely noticable and finished in 20 minutes with no reboot necessary! That's as much time as it takes XP to bring itself to install a standard batch of 5 or 6.
Throughput isn't that bad, given how much free time everyone seems to have these days; you get to choose the rip quality; and best of all, no (or, very very few) MPAA worries.
The word "tack" has over twelve meanings as a noun. Many of them work here metaphorically, for example the meaning of a billiard cue; ship's rigging; or parcel of land. Basically, if you keep screwing up, you should perhaps change your tools. The analogy is obvious.
Regarding your racist tirade; since "tack" is a thoroughly British word, I guess you must be a native American or a druid. Or a dumbfuck.
I have ordered to the States from amazon.co.uk, although it was some years ago... Are you sure you can't go the other way? If you're willing to shell out the $ for a hardcover anyway, surely the shipping can't be much more if you do it overseas.
Half of the arcade machines I've used have at least one practically-useless arrow. I mean, it "works", but you have to stomp on the damned thing which of course ruins the game.
I suspect that the working ones in fact break down just as often, and are (were) just maintained better... DDR at its peak must have been a big money-maker.
Slashdot Mirror
The Catholic Church accepts evolution (they're the ones who are big on the 10% thing...).
It's sad that that's even remarkable, but it's true nonetheless.
Ecological fallacy.
You haz it.
A case can be made for smoking... I'll just assume that he didn't bother making it.
It depends on the context.
For the owner of the server, the relevant event is, in fact, his server (or one of his small number of servers) failing.
For a slashdot reader, the relevant event is a reader-submitted story about server failure being accepted.
We can easily have significance for the first event, but not the second. As you kindly point out, the holiday influences the second event but not the first. For all we know, the server isn't even real; just slash-hype.
Anyway, this has nothing to do with the "probability being 100% because it already happened"; that was my only point, as pedantic as it is.
No, it's not a misapplication. It's a textbook-standard application of statistics, which looks at the probability of an event (which did occur) happening under a "null hypothesis", in this case including 1) no extraordinary event associated with year roll-over (no time dependence); 2) all servers are stochastically identical (i.e. they each have the same failure rate).
The hypotheses are a bit strong, but it's not a mis-application.
Statistics often answers the question "How likely was that to have happened without an extraordinary explanation?" By nature, this deals with events of "100% probability" as you misleadingly call them.
That's not true. It might be, that both sides are capable of forcing a draw, implying that neither is capable of forcing a win. Thus, no winning move except "not to play" (although I'd call not playing the game as a draw, and not a win, but whatever).
Anyone care to sponsor a bill?
It all falls down there, doesn't it? As reasonable and mild as your suggestions are, they don't stand a chance in "civil" (haha) society and would quickly be lumped in with the "pissing and ranting".
There's little incentive at all to be reasonable... I for one haven't seen it pay off yet.
OK, but you also need the ethics and inclination.
Also, no algorithm is going to get it right the first time (?), so you'll need to go through a lot of different suppliers and safe-drops before it works. This is, arguably, a skill although a purely criminal one.
How exactly are they stupid kids? Sure, people have the responsibility to know the law, but when the laws are increasingly at odds with basic ideas of freedom, it takes unreasonable effort to know them.
"In the meantime ... please ensure you are CLOTHED when taking pictures of yourself."
In the meantime, please ensure you log your internet traffic and report it to the state. Just in case a law requiring this has been passed.
In the meantime, please ensure you don't buy any laboratory glassware to ensure you aren't mistaken for a meth lab. Just in case.
In the meantime, don't say disparaging things about the president. Just in case.
Or the path to your "home" in KQ3. It was a statistical certainty that your character would have fallen and died already in the process of walking it daily during his apprenticeship.
Or you could buy a boatload of CC#s from a Russian clearinghouse for a coupla bucks.
Not that I would do what iCONICA did of course, but you'd have to have a truly niche skill-set/hobby/ethics to puzzle out iCONICA's CC#, and not just buy them directly.
According to those links you provided, Trend Micro did not find anything wrong. (could be different settings, version, &c.) However... many of the positives were heuristic and, as further evidence of this, the identifications were not consistent.
Maybe it's just badly coded junk; nearly as bad, perhaps, but exactly what you'd expect from the Wal*Mart holiday special.
(insert obligatory comment about slashdot editors)
Sometimes an estimator is a distribution...
That is to say, the distribution of variates generated by a pseudoRNG should resemble in all ways the distribution it claims to simulate. There is no reason not to call, then, the pseudoRNG as an estimator of an ideal distribution.
(Although I should remark, that statistical unbiasedness of the first order is not that difficult to achieve, by say von Neumann's method for biased coins. Thus it's a little misleading to claim that you need fullblown hardware RNGs for it; but it's definitely not nonsense.)
I thought von Neumann was eager and anxious to renounce his Hungarian citizenship as soon as possible?
Not that this means anything about Hungary. Although he was an indisputable genius, von Neumann was a horrible person and a coward. Among other things, his first choice for the Japanese atom bombing was Kyoto on the grounds that since it had no military value, it had not been attacked yet and thus would show the effect better.
And let's not forget his emergency plan to win the cold war: move all Important Americans into shelters in the Rockies; then cover the ice caps with black plastic to raise sea levels. The kill ratio would vastly favor the West, don'tcha know?
Atop all of this, he was enough of a craven coward to accept Catholicism on his death bed "just in case". I wish there were a hell for him to go to.
At least he was rational.
The fact that they are almost totally automatic and don't require a restart makes them pretty close to maintenance free. Since I can basically ignore ubuntu updates except for the kernel, they are effectively much less of a disturbance than XP updates.
A few months ago I went back to my Ubuntu partition after XP started choking on me and losing on the wifi. The first thing I saw was Update Manager with "You can install 274 updates." At first I was mortified, but the downloading and installing was barely noticable and finished in 20 minutes with no reboot necessary! That's as much time as it takes XP to bring itself to install a standard batch of 5 or 6.
Sure. It's what I did after all, as a weaseling left-wing commie pinko incapable of summoning forth original ideas out of pure indomitable will.
Oh don't even bother. These are hard core randroids; they think that Motorola should run the courts in the first place...
The problem to them isn't limited liability; it's liability.
No, it isn't, as long as you return the DVD. It's copyright infringement; neither more nor less.
It was also clear that we were talking about the practical aspects of the procedure.
Reference desperately needed. Thx.
What's wrong with ripping DVDs?
Throughput isn't that bad, given how much free time everyone seems to have these days; you get to choose the rip quality; and best of all, no (or, very very few) MPAA worries.
I was (really) hoping that they had ditched that script. I take it you are referring to the one with the tachyon-boosted sniper rifle?
Well, they're not really considered correct as such. You see, no one actually reads papers anymore.
The word "tack" has over twelve meanings as a noun. Many of them work here metaphorically, for example the meaning of a billiard cue; ship's rigging; or parcel of land. Basically, if you keep screwing up, you should perhaps change your tools. The analogy is obvious.
Regarding your racist tirade; since "tack" is a thoroughly British word, I guess you must be a native American or a druid. Or a dumbfuck.
I have ordered to the States from amazon.co.uk, although it was some years ago... Are you sure you can't go the other way? If you're willing to shell out the $ for a hardcover anyway, surely the shipping can't be much more if you do it overseas.
Half of the arcade machines I've used have at least one practically-useless arrow. I mean, it "works", but you have to stomp on the damned thing which of course ruins the game.
I suspect that the working ones in fact break down just as often, and are (were) just maintained better... DDR at its peak must have been a big money-maker.