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User: thrich81

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  1. Re:What's been the hold up???? on NASA Laying Foundation For Jupiter Moon Space Mission · · Score: 2

    I'm aware of JUICE and wish them well. I wish I had thought of Rosetta and would have given ESA credit for that one in my original post. I was also aware of Cassini-Huygens but finessed that by saying only NASA had "launched" outer planet missions. So let me apologize for not giving the Europeans full credit for what they have done/are planning, caveated with a big, "It's about time!". Europe has had an economy larger than that of the US for a while now, and always bigger than Russia's -- why have they been such slackers in space exploration? Obviously, the cold war competition between the USA and the Soviets gave space exploration its initial kick, but I'm still disappointed that Europe and Japan didn't come along stronger over the last 30 years. And since the late 90's there hasn't been any cold war space race, but the US planetary program has been as strong as ever. Any Europeans or Japanese want to weigh in? Is it that without the national pride/competition thing the US and Russians had, space just isn't considered worth the Euros and Yen?

  2. Re:What's been the hold up???? on NASA Laying Foundation For Jupiter Moon Space Mission · · Score: 5, Informative

    "Why don't the US ask Russia which one they're going to, and beg for a lift"
    One reason might be that the Russians have never (that is - not ever, not even once, not even attempted) launched a mission to the outer planets, neither have the Europeans; only the USA has shown the capability, several times over, starting in 1972 with Pioneer 10 and most recently Juno to Jupiter in 2011.
    The US has plenty of unmanned launch capability and does it all the time with Atlas's and Delta's and Falcons. The US has a temporary lapse in human capable launch vehicles and spacecraft which is unfortunate, but that is being remedied on multiple fronts and to extrapolate that to, "the US should ask Russia for help to the outer planets" shows a complete ignorance of the history and state of outer planet exploration.

  3. Re:Scientists "know"? on Physicists Produce Antineutrino Map of the World · · Score: 1

    You are right and I mentioned the neutrinos, but up until a few years ago when the neutrino physicists accepted neutrino oscillations, the neutrinos detected from the sun did not at all agree with theory, that situation lasted for at least a couple of decades. And nuclear fusion in the sun was well accepted before any of the neutrino results came in. Maybe not the greatest example on my part.

  4. Re:Scientists "know"? on Physicists Produce Antineutrino Map of the World · · Score: 2

    We don't have any direct evidence of nuclear fusion in the sun's core either (maybe the neutrino detectors count for that lately), but we pretty much 'know' it is happening. Lack of 'direct evidence' != 'lack of evidence good enough to say with almost certainty'. 'Scientists know' can be shorthand for 'the established scientific consensus allows us have a very high degree of confidence'.

  5. Re:Savvy on Back To the Moon — In Four Years · · Score: 1

    Well, Surveyor 1 in 1966 was the FIRST attempt by the USA to put a soft lander on the moon or any other extraterrestrial body. It landed successfully on June 2, 1966, sent back 11,237 photos, and sent back engineering data through Jan 7, 1967, for over seven months. Same result for the USA's first attempt to soft land on Mars, Viking 1, it worked as designed and functioned on the surface for over six years. Not disputing your issue about risks need to be taken, but if you do it right you can be successful the first time and the US's actual record of success in space missions is pretty good. And this is more to refute the OPs assertion about how the US is falling behind China in space.

  6. Re:Mr Obama on Russian State TV Anchor: Russia Could Turn US To "Radioactive Ash" · · Score: 1

    I'll grant that Reagan happened to be the guy in charge when the Soviet Union finally cracked (I'm counting Bush I as a continuation of Reagan), and Reagan's forceful policies probably helped, but:
    1) Reagan's policies (aggressive military build up, foreign policy, and rhetoric) were not hardly any different from Kennedy's and Johnson's in the 60s, so why did they work in 80s and not the 60s?
    2) I have in-laws from the Soviet Union and they don't credit Reagan much, they say it was just time for the Soviet Union to collapse.
    We don't want to go back to the 60s or the 80s, too many close calls. By the way I was in the military through the 80s and saw the Russians up close.
     

  7. Re:Saw it last week on Endeavor Launch Pad Being Rebuilt Piece By Piece · · Score: 1

    NASA had a selection for a new astronaut class just last year. Selected eight new candidates/trainees.

  8. Re:Mr Obama on Russian State TV Anchor: Russia Could Turn US To "Radioactive Ash" · · Score: 3, Insightful

    As someone who lived through the '80s with a couple of close calls of mutual annihilation, I'd rather not have those foreign policies back.

  9. Re:Par for those folks... on New Jersey Auto Dealers Don't Want to Face Tesla · · Score: 1

    I guess you didn't flee here to Texas which already had the laws on the books prohibiting Tesla's sales model. The northern states have nothing on the South as far as businesses buying off the legislature to their benefit. Except that in the South it is actively encouraged as "Pro-Business"!

  10. Entitlements on Up To 1000 NIH Investigators Dropped Out Last Year · · Score: 1

    True on Social Security, but Medicare has been highly undercapitalized since its inception, due to medical cost inflation and recipients' expectations which outstripped all projections when Medicare tax rates were set. Thus your Medicare taxes (and everyone else's) are very unlikely to pay (even accounting for hypothetical investment gains) for your Medicare expenses in old age. The Medicare system is unsustainable as is; the oldsters who got it already got a great deal but sooner or later that will have to change.

  11. You Are Cherry Picking on Israeli Group To Attempt Moon Landing · · Score: 4, Informative

    Let's look at the subject in more detail. First satellite, first human, first successful lunar mission -- clearly the Soviets.
    After that:
    First successful mission to another planet: Mariner 2 flyby of Venus, 1962, USA. Your listing of Venera 1 as the "first to reach another planet" neglects to mention that the spacecraft failed before it got there.
    First successful mission to Mars: Mariner 4, 1964, USA.
    First communications satellites: passive, Echo I, 1960, USA; active, Courier 1B, USA.
    First spacecraft rendezvous in orbit: Geminis 6 and 7, 1965, USA.
    First spacecraft docking in orbit: Gemini 8, 1966, USA.
    First manned spacecraft beyond low earth orbit: Apollo 8, 1968, USA
    First manned spacecraft in lunar orbit: Apollo 8, 1968, USA
    First spacecraft to orbit another planet: Mariner 9, Nov 1971, USA
    First mission beyond the inner solar system: Pioneer 10, 1973, USA
    First flyby of Jupiter: Pioneer 10, 1973, USA
    There are many others.
    Now let's examine some of the Soviet space firsts:
    First soft lander on the Moon: 3 Feb 1966, Luna 9, USSR, a success by any definition, sent back pictures, operated for 3 days on lunar surface
            compared to:, Surveyor 1, first USA soft lander, landed 14 July 1966, operated for nearly 6 months on the lunar surface
    First soft lander on Mars: Mars 3, Dec 1971, USSR, operated for 14.5 seconds on the surface, compared to Viking 1, first USA Mars lander, July 1976, operated for 6 years on the surface.

    So the story that the USSR was the clear leader in early space exploration is clearly false. Both nations had impressive 'firsts', anyone who doesn't acknowledge the accomplishments of both has poor knowledge of the subject.

  12. Re:slashdot: idle speculation for ignorant morons on Is the West Building Its Own Iron Curtain? · · Score: 1

    julian67 -- I broke my vow not to post any more on Slashdot in order to congratulate you on the greatest ever title to a Slashdot comment. The comment itself was good, too.

  13. Re:Reality interferes... on How Quickly Will the Latest Arms Race Accelerate? · · Score: 3, Interesting

    True about NATO expanding after the fall of the Soviet Union. However it is also true that every nation which entered NATO practically begged for it. They had their taste of Warsaw Pact life and wanted their best chance of avoiding a repeat. So what do you do when newly freed people ask to join your alliance -- tell them they are shit out of luck and first targets in Putin's next attempt to rebuild the USSR? The answer is probably, 'yes' from a cold, self interested view of the original NATO members, but it doesn't seem quite right.

  14. answer -- not the USA on How Quickly Will the Latest Arms Race Accelerate? · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "Go ahead and ask your friendly neighborhood Chinese exchange student about whose nation should be humiliated in the next 20 years" -- if by that you mean, which nation do the Chinese still resent the most, which nation has killed the most Chinese people ever, and which nation the Chinese government is most using as a bogeyman to whip up nationalistic fervor? -- that would be Japan. By the way, if the US ever pulls out of the western Pacific or looks like it is going to, Japan will field nuclear weapons within in six months, followed almost simultaneously by S. Korea, and maybe Taiwan.

  15. Compare National Space Budgets on China: The Next Space Superpower · · Score: 3, Informative

    From Wikipedia:
    USA NASA annual budget: $17.7 billion, and that is just the NASA budget, the US Air Force Space budget is another $8 billion.
    China CNSA annual budget: $1.3 billion.
    Total pending by all national space agencies: $40.6 billion.
    So the NASA budget is over 10 times that of CNSA and almost as much as all the other nations' programs put together. Considering that the US GDP is only about twice that of China's, then the NASA budget is a far larger percentage of the US GDP than the proportion that CNSA is of China's.

  16. AC Needs Some Space History on How Astronauts Took the Most Important Photo In Space History · · Score: 1

    Reposting what I accidentally just put up as AC:
    Von Braun's group could have almost certainly launched a satellite for the US in 1957 before Sputnik 1. In 1956 they had already launched their Jupiter-C rocket to over 70% of orbital velocity and over a thousand km high with a DUMMY 4th stage. Through 1957 they repeatedly asked for permission to launch one with a live 4th stage but the Eisenhower administration considered it "provocative". After Sputnik 1 orbited, the von Braun team was given their go-ahead orders and launched Explorer 1 into orbit aboard a Jupiter-C less than three months later. Can anyone doubt they could have done it in 1957?

  17. Re:Return to a space suit design of the 1960s on NASA Testing Lighter Space Suits For Asteroid Work · · Score: 4, Interesting

    "They never learned to build infrastructure. They never wanted to launch a mission that had any risk." It's hard to tell what NASA you are talking about here, NASA in the '60s or NASA in the 2000's? If it was NASA in the 60's then you are wrong. NASA in the 60's was all about risky missions. I personally heard Frank Borman at a conference a few years ago state that when he launched on Apollo 8 he figured that he had a 50% chance of coming back. For lasting infrastructure, the Vehicle Assembly Building and the crawler-transporter at Kennedy were built for the first Saturn V then used through the Space Shuttle program with plans for use by SLS. Same for the engine test stands at Stennis in Mississippi. On the pert charts -- one of the acknowledged major accomplishments of the Apollo Program was the development of a management process to successfully pull off such a gigantic and fast moving program.

  18. Re:They have the money to do this on Chinese Lunar Probe Lands Successfully · · Score: 1

    Everyone gripes about how the "US has given up in space" or fallen behind or some other bull, but it is just wrong. The US currently has two functioning rovers on Mars (which is two more than anyone else) , a probe on the way to Jupiter, a probe on the way to PLUTO, a functioning orbiter around Mercury and a probe which recently left orbit around the asteroid Vesta on the way to orbit the dwarf planet Ceres, and a functioning orbiter around the moon. The US spends more money on space operations, both civil and military, than any other country. The US has a temporary gap in the ability to launch crewed missions but has at least three funded projects in place to build human-rated launchers (Space-X Falcon 9, ULA Atlas 5 , and NASA SLS) and at least three funded crewed capsules in work (Space-X Dragon, Boeing CST-100. Lockheed Orion). Other countries are doing things in space, -- great!!, but the USA remains the premier spacefaring nation in the world, due to the nation's technology and will to devote the resources to do it. China or anyone else putting crews on the moon is a great thing, but the US has been there, done that, and is moving on.

  19. Re:missing the point on How China Will Get To the Moon Before a Google Lunar XPrize Winner · · Score: 1

    Out of all the manned spaceflight milestones of the 60's, only three really stand out in history -- Gagarin's orbital mission (Vostok 1), the lunar orbit mission of Apollo 8 and the lunar landing mission of Apollo 11. Lesser milestones as far as future space development is concerned were the first orbital rendezvous of Gemini 6/7 and the first orbital docking of Gemini 8. Your caveat that things turned around in the mid-60's is a rarely acknowledged point in these sort of discussions.

  20. Just Doing the Public Will on Employee Morale Is Suffering At the NSA · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The reason the NSA metastasized into what it is now is because that is what the American people wanted. After (and before) the 9/11 attacks they wanted government protection from the big bad world. Why did the Bush administration go nuts after 9/11 (Gitmo, rendition, etc)? -- it's because they knew they could stand the heat from the pundits and legal beagles who said a lot of it was illegal. And they also knew that the Bush administration would not have survived another 9/11 style attack. Same for the Obama administration -- they cannot tolerate a big attack on Americans as long as the Republicans will claim it was "lax vigilance" which allowed it (look at the insanity over Benghazi and that was only four Americans in a foreign country!). So the rational actor in that case errs all the way on the side of preventing another terrorist incident no matter the legality or cost to civil liberties. Same for the NSA now -- if the US suffers another big attack then there will be 290 million (out of about 300 million) Americans blaming the NSA for letting it happen and demanding that the NSA do "whatever it takes" to prevent another. This is irregardless of the facts of the situation. That is just the way it is. You won't fix that anytime soon. As time goes on without an attack we can get some more oversight of the NSA, perhaps, but in the big scheme of things it's not going to change until the American public gets a lot better at risk estimation, which they never will. If you don't like it -- tough, and no place else in the world is any better -- the foreigners don't have any better governments and for most of them it's a lot worse. Life isn't fair -- you were born to live in the 21st century, not the paradise of liberty which the 18th and 19th centuries were (yeah right!); or you can try living completely off the grid like it was the 18th century, for a fun time. Or you can accept that (in the Democracies, at least) the jack booted thugs aren't likely to kick your door in tonight and try to get policies changed over time, through voting and persuasion of others in the public and your government.

  21. Re:Healthcare on Computer Model Reveals Escape Plan From Poverty's Vicious Circle · · Score: 1

    I will end up strengthing your argument against single payer but with an opposite factoid -- you said, "2. Being that health care is on the persons dime (either directly or threw insurance) they are more likely to make decision if a particular care is worth it or not to take care of. Vs. a single payer system, where some procedures will be deemed by a higher authority as not worthy."
    However a major problem with health care spending in the USA is the enormous proportion of a person's total healthcare spending which occurs in the last year of life, futilely keeping them around another couple of months. This is only possible because the person or their family are not paying those bills directly but usually through single payer Medicare. So the flaw now in single payer is not that the higher authority is too stingy, but instead is too free with other people's money, and the people directly involved are not in a position to make rational cost-benefit decisions.
    "One out of every four Medicare dollars, more than $125 billion, is spent on services for the 5% of beneficiaries in their last year of life." -- http://money.cnn.com/2012/12/11/pf/end-of-life-care-duplicate-2.moneymag/

  22. Re:What's wrong with cutting the wire? on European Commission Outlines Steps To Restore Trust In EU-US Data Flows · · Score: 1

    According to the WikiLeaks/Manning revelations, the French are the worst industrial spies in Europe. "France is the country that conducts the most industrial espionage on other European countries, even ahead of China and Russia, according to leaked U.S. diplomatic cables, reported in a translation by Agence France Presse of Norwegian daily Aftenposten's reporting."
    Another quote, "In October, 2009, Berry Smutny, the head of German satellite company OHB Technology, is quoted in the diplomatic note as saying: "France is the Empire of Evil in terms of technology theft, and Germany knows it.""
    http://www.cbsnews.com/news/wikileaks-france-leads-russia-china-in-industrial-spying-in-europe/

  23. Re:Taxing is not going to fix the problem on EU Plastic Bag Debate Highlights a Wider Global Problem · · Score: 1

    In Austin, the city council just banned plastic bags last year. It would have been more elegant to tax them instead -- thus the demand is suppressed but if someone really wants a bag they can still get it, and the tax offsets the cost of the city dealing with them in the trash and picking them up off the roads and parks. After a lot of public crying by people who said they wouldn't be able to get their groceries home, everyone seems to have adapted OK.

  24. Re:Texas, a Gangrenous Pustule on the Body Politic on Getting Evolution In Science Textbooks For Texas Schools · · Score: 1

    As a native Texan I have to respond! To be fair, Texas is just the largest and most influential gangrenous pustule. I'd put the morons running Alabama, Mississippi, S. Carolina in with the Texas government morons, with plenty of their like sprinkled throughout the country (see 'Idaho'). If it was just Texas, the state would just be an amusing spectacle, not a source of problems. Seriously, only 60% of the electorate of Texas votes for these morons, 40% of us don't, but 40% doesn't get you much in elections in this country. I think Texas politics are either at bottom now or very close. Things should look start looking up in a few years. Even now, none of the big cities are run by crazy people, just statewide and out in the sticks.

  25. Re:How is it different from this ... on China Creates Air Defence Zone Over Japan-Controlled Islands, Issues War Threat · · Score: 1

    As I just replied to Dark Ox for his similar comment; having to dig up the events at Kent State 43 years ago is really stretching it. That's forty-three years, most American residents alive now were not born at that time. You at least have to make a reasonable argument that things are not any different now. I can make lots of arguments that things are different in the US than in China. Read your own link about all the investigations, larger protests, etc which occurred after Kent State. As far as calling out the National Guard -- they did good things in the South during the civil rights confrontations of the 50's and 60's.