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User: the+gnat

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  1. Re:Dang... on Siberian Discovery Suggests Almost All Dinosaurs Were Feathered · · Score: 2

    Good parroting of the popular Dawkins-driven line, but simply vastly historically incorrect as the sequence of events. Origen of Alexandria (one of the "Fathers of the Church", that is, one shaping core positions at the very earliest foundation of Christianity) was arguing for allegorical interpretation of Genesis in the second century A.D.

    I'm aware that many Christians throughout history have argued for an allegorical interpretation of Genesis, which is why I specifically said "literalists" (i.e. creationists and associated nuts). Whatever other problems I may have with the Catholic Church (for example), I do not consider them anti-science. I had in mind the people who try to prove that the speed of light must have changed drastically in order to make the observed size of the universe compatible with their reading of Genesis (e.g. the Ussher chronology). I'll grant that I was a little unfair in blaming "the Bible" for this, but you can't really escape the fact that Christianity is dependent on an essentially immutable set of scriptures*, and there is also a large contingent that views allegorical interpretations as heresy.

    The notion that science comes along and "shows religion incorrect" is fanciful nonsense.

    Which is why I never said that. But it is certainly not nonsense to point out that the available scientific evidence supports a much different origin theory than the literal reading of Genesis. You can view the hand of God in there if you want; I don't really concern myself with such things. However there is still that very large subset of Christians (and Muslims, and Jews) for whom this compromise is intolerable, because for them, whatever the Bible says must be true.

    (* At least within the last millennium or so. Of course in the longer time frame the contents of the Bible - especially the Old Testament - were subject to a great deal of revision and selective editing, which is why the literal interpretation really seems nonsensical to me..)

  2. Re:Dang... on Siberian Discovery Suggests Almost All Dinosaurs Were Feathered · · Score: 2

    Science is wrong

    That's a bit of an exaggeration. Science was incomplete, in the sense that our assumptions about the appearance of dinosaurs were based on limited fossil evidence (and analogies to modern lizards rather than birds). And the raw evidence wasn't even "wrong", it was totally valid - only our interpretations were incorrect. Now we have new evidence, which is being incorporated into how we think about dinosaurs. When was the last time that anything was added to the Bible?

  3. Re:Dang... on Siberian Discovery Suggests Almost All Dinosaurs Were Feathered · · Score: 2

    There are more models to support the scientific theory, but even then, there are something like 35 competing theories of evolution.

    Possibly, but the general concept isn't even remotely controversial (at least among actual scientists). Especially the theory that humans and apes have a common ancestor, which is simultaneously the most minimal example of evolution, and the one that seems to upset people the most.

    However, if one wants to be totally objective (or at least minimize biases), one has to admit that science doesn't always have the answers. The idea that science can eventually explain everything is as an untestable hypothesis as a deity creating everything. Neither can be proven.

    The predictive ability of science - and the number of things it explains - does continue to improve over time, however. The same cannot be said of religion. Or, put another way, science is capable of changing as new evidence is obtained, as exemplified by this article. The Bible, however, is immutable, and the literalists have to resort to increasingly contorted explanations for how the Genesis account could be factually correct.

  4. Re:Whelp. on Siberian Discovery Suggests Almost All Dinosaurs Were Feathered · · Score: 1

    large reptiles of today which are descended from dinosaurs.

    Uh, nope. Crocodilians for certain predate dinosaurs and evolved in parallel. I'm pretty sure the other big lizards did too.

  5. Re:Advanced? on Finding Life In Space By Looking For Extraterrestrial Pollution · · Score: 1

    The thing is, fossil fuels run out rather quickly on the cosmic scale. A few centuries and the consequences of pollution become apparent quickly too. A civilization must quickly move to something cleaner or it dies. Either way, the pollution stops. What are the odds that our telescopes will find a planet inhabited by a civilization that just happens to be going through a (likely) one-time few century window of time?

    This is an excellent point, but it's also orthogonal to the post I was replying to. You're arguing based on certain physical constraints which are based on reasonable extrapolation from our present circumstances. The GP was arguing that pollution was "illogical", which is just a nonsensical argument. Polluting the planet to the point of species extinction would be illogical, but trace levels of CFCs in the atmosphere don't necessarily indicate a fundamental lack of logic, just a transitional period where a civilization was smart enough to make such things, but not smart enough to realize the long-term impact. (But I agree that this timeframe is not likely to be very long.)

  6. Re:Advanced? on Finding Life In Space By Looking For Extraterrestrial Pollution · · Score: 1

    First off, what we can or cannot imagine has absolutely nothing to do with what is or is not real, so it isn't clear why you're bringing this up.

    The parent poster was criticizing the making of "assumptions" about how advanced alien life might behave in the process of trying to detect it. If we don't make certain assumptions based on what we can observe firsthand, our imaginations are all we're left with. And I agree this is a shitty way to do science, which was kind of my entire point.

  7. Re:Advanced? on Finding Life In Space By Looking For Extraterrestrial Pollution · · Score: 2

    Would an advanced race actually do something so illogical?

    By "advanced", I assume the summary meant "technologically advanced". How would any civilization reach a high level of technology without going through industrialization? It's not like anyone enjoys living downwind of a coal plant, but the messier forms of energy production are convenient, cheap, and don't require any advanced materials or science. Try to imagine an alternate history where we emerged from the industrial revolution with effective, sustainable fusion and solar power without ever polluting the planet.

    One of my least-favorite sci-fi tropes is an alien race which is simultaneously technologically adept enough to build starships and aggressive enough to spread through the galaxy meets (much less technologically advanced) humans for the first time and sadly remarks on our lack of environmental consciousness and our propensity for violence. It requires the assumption that exactly none of the circumstances that constrained our development, and none of the evolutionary pressures which drove it, might apply to other species. Yes, we can't be certain that other forms of life aren't so radically different that these rules don't apply - but we have yet to observe such life forms on Earth, at least.

  8. Re:Make-work Project? on China Plans Particle Colliders That Would Dwarf CERN's LHC · · Score: 1

    The "shock therapy" theory of introducing democratic reforms all at once doesn't actually work.

    It worked fine for South Korea, Taiwan, Poland, the Czech Republic...

  9. Re:Correction on UEA Research Shows Oceans Vital For Possibility of Alien Life · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Actually, we know almost all basic chemistry, and the range of (stable) molecules that silicon can form is orders of magnitude less than for carbon.

    Well, yeah, but I didn't want to offend the pedants even further. Unless the laws of physics (and therefore basic chemistry) are very different elsewhere in the galaxy, it's not unreasonable to think that carbon-based, liquid-water-dependent lifeforms are the most probable. In fact, I'd be willing to bet a tidy sum of money that the overwhelming majority of unique forms of life are not terribly dissimilar from ours as far as the underlying chemistry is concerned. They might be fantastically alien in all sorts of other strange ways, but they'll still be based on simple organic polymers. But this is still irrelevant to the discussion at hand, because even if there were different forms of life, we have no idea how we might detect them at astronomical distances.

  10. Re:Correction on UEA Research Shows Oceans Vital For Possibility of Alien Life · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I wish I had mod points. Every time I hear about planets not being able to support life, this is my first thought.

    And every time a story about extraterrestrial life gets posted on Slashdot, several dozen people say exactly the same thing, as if they've had some brilliantly original insight that the scientists researching the subject missed. No one is explicitly ruling out the possibility that there are gaseous lifeforms living in the clouds of gas giants, or silicon-based rock monsters like the one in Star Trek. Hell, it would be a huge discovery if we found something like that. But since we're presently incapable of observing such lifeforms firsthand, and have no idea what we should be looking for at a distance of light-years, we have to settle for looking for the planetary "signatures" of temperature, oceans, oxygen content, etc. It may not satisfy the pedants, but it's still extremely difficult by itself. When we're capable of actually exploring other solar systems directly, then maybe we can start to look for fantasy lifeforms on frozen airless rocks and methane clouds.

  11. Re:So depressing. on A Look At NASA's Orion Project · · Score: 2

    All the hundreds of bases on foreign soil should be liquidated, and the foreign countries that get those back should start footing the bill for their own defense. Then we'll see how much they want to cry about American expansionist policies and so on.

    In fairness, it's generally not the South Koreans (to pick one obvious example) complaining about American expansionism.

  12. Re:Wish I could say I was surprised on Peer Review Ring Broken - 60 Articles Retracted · · Score: 2

    Alternatively (or in addition), we could increase the penalties for those caught cheating.

    FYI, cheating like this is already a guaranteed career-ender. People who do things like this aren't rationally weighing the cost of getting caught against the career advancement that comes from publishing; they simply don't expect to get caught.

  13. Re:"Security" on A Box of Forgotten Smallpox Vials Was Just Found In an FDA Closet · · Score: 1

    they were just samples of a common infection

    A common infection that killed more people in the 20th century than all wars put together. It's shocking to think that someone would carelessly misplace a vial of an airborne infectious agent with a mortality rate above 20%, even in the mid-20th century. Smallpox is hands-down the deadliest disease in human history - the only reason it could be eradicated was the lack of non-human reservoirs. I'm not particularly afraid of nuclear war, but the thought of smallpox outbreaks scares the shit out of me.

  14. Re:Bitcoin mining? on Computing a Cure For HIV · · Score: 1

    the results one would expect given the resources dumped into this one just are not there.

    I don't know, what kind of results do you expect? HIV is a really tough bug to fight - it's almost the opposite of smallpox where a universal and exceptionally effective vaccine was found early on. Tricking the immune system into killing a virus that is evolved to prey on the immune cells was never going to be easy. But the leading antiviral therapies allow most infected patients to live almost indefinitely while maintaining relatively high quality-of-life, whereas 30 years ago they would nearly all have been doomed (and some of the earlier therapies were debilitating). I consider that a pretty impressive achievement of medical technology.

    Now, the fact that millions of Africans (and others) still have AIDS is less impressive, but the reasons for that are entirely social and political, not technological.

  15. Re:Bitcoin mining? on Computing a Cure For HIV · · Score: 1

    It's because the Republicans won't let them work on that research.

    The National Institutes of Health - the single largest government sponsor of biomedical research in the world - spends
    approximately $3 billion per year on AIDS research. That's about 10% of their entire budget. In comparison, they currently spend about $5.5 billion per year on cancer, which affects vastly more Americans than AIDS, and also kills more in wealthy countries (because AIDS patients - or their insurers - can afford the treatments that enable long-term survival with low viral load). Due to federal budget issues, both funding pools have declined since 2010, but AIDS research only slightly - cancer funding is significantly lower.

    As for treating the cure versus the symptoms, it is extraordinarily difficult to "cure" viral infections with drugs, and HIV has proven to be incredibly difficult to vaccinate against.

  16. Re:Bitcoin mining? on Computing a Cure For HIV · · Score: 1

    There is more money in treating a medical condition than in curing it.

    Not for the insurance companies or government, there isn't. And given the immense cost of long-term treatment for many conditions, pharma companies would be able to charge much more for a drug that completely stopped a disease.* In reality, the reason most medications merely treat rather than cure diseases is that actually eliminating the root cause of a disease without debilitating side effects, for instance death of the patient, is usually really fucking hard.

    (* For instance, the common cold is estimated to be a $40 billion per year drain on the US economy. This suggests that if a drug company could come up with a cure, they would be fabulously rich. Every time I get a cold, my employer loses hundreds of dollars in lost productivity; a $100 pill that returned me to work after a day would be a huge savings, far more effective than $10 of Nyquil.)

  17. Re:Bitcoin mining? on Computing a Cure For HIV · · Score: 1

    Year in, year out, 75-80% of new drugs are invented privately in biotechs/pharma. The remainder are invented by academia.

    Correct; what government grants pay for is the majority of the basic research that informs efforts to find a cure. Naturally, private companies are (mostly) free to use this information when searching for new drugs - this is part of the point of federal funding for basic research. The vast majority of that research won't directly lead to a cure, of course, but it does contribute to our overall knowledge of biomedicine. In contrast, I've heard the drug development process at some companies compared to "piling up stacks of money and setting it on fire", which is why I'm really, really glad the universities and governments don't try to get deeply into the drug development business.

  18. Re:Bitcoin mining? on Computing a Cure For HIV · · Score: 1

    it's the lack of people who have the rare combination of skills of a programmer, mathematician, chemist, biologist and drug engineer coming up with novel and unique ideas to combat disease who will sacrifice industry paychecks to work in academic fields.

    Guess what: there are vastly more jobs like this available in academic groups than in industry. (I know this firsthand, because I work in a related field and am basically stuck in academia unless I can change careers somehow.) The bigger problem is that given the limitations of the simulations and our knowledge of human biology, there is still a huge leap from docking results or MD simulations to working drugs. Effective in silico is light years away from effective in vivo.

  19. Re:Yawn on Russian RD-180 Embargo Could Boost American Rocket Industry · · Score: 1

    So what you are saying is that it is fine for say China (sorry Chinese people) to migrate a few hundred thousand, or even millions of its people into neighbor regions of neighbor countries, and then annex those territories because majority of the populace are Chinese? Then do the same again, and again, and again... Did you hear that Chinese government, get to it NOW!

    Well, I can think of another country that famously does this, but I don't want to stir up that shit-storm...

    But your description isn't too terribly different from the CCP's actual policy in Tibet and Xinjiang, which has been to move large numbers of Han Chinese (which historically were not present in either province in large numbers, aside from relatively small occupying forces), and then use their presence as one of many justifications for denying self-determination to the Tibetans and Uighers. (It also encourages a sense of ownership among the remainder of Chinese who don't live their, but whose nationalism is an important factor in the survival of the CCP.) But neither China nor Russia has ever been shy about claiming the territory of other ethnic groups as "theirs", which is one reason why so many former Warsaw Pact nations have joined NATO (as Georgia and Ukraine wished to at one point). Not that this makes them unique among nations, of course.

  20. Re:Yawn on Russian RD-180 Embargo Could Boost American Rocket Industry · · Score: 1

    And there are WMDs in Iraq and no one's planning an invasion there. Sure think, Chekov!

    Iraq is a good point of comparison: the US perceived a security threat where none existed - or at least not enough of one to be worth thousands of lives and trillions of dollars - and rushed to invade in the face of international condemnation, while making absurd claims about "liberating" the Iraqi people. We are still dealing with the fallout from that disaster, obviously. Putin has now invaded a sovereign nation under similar delusions and/or pretenses, and I can only hope that fewer people die in the process. Unlike the US, however, he actually annexed the territory. (Although it already worked once in Georgia, so perhaps he was encouraged by that precedent.)

  21. Re:Yawn on Russian RD-180 Embargo Could Boost American Rocket Industry · · Score: 1

    NATO expanding means NATO troops/infrastructure there. You're thinking just the obvious, but that's what CNN/BBC writers like glossing over, yadda yadda yadda.

    According to a Russian news agency, this is not happening either: "NATO has no plans to deploy troops on the territory of Ukraine". This was one of the first links that came up when I Googled for "nato troops ukraine".

  22. Re:Congress on Russian RD-180 Embargo Could Boost American Rocket Industry · · Score: 3, Insightful

    does anyone seriously think that Congress will pass funding for anything related to NASA and the space programs

    If it's sold as a matter of national security and economic competitiveness, and especially if it's sold as an uplifted middle finger to the Russians, I can imagine this happening. Rocket launches are used for lots of other things besides climate science, most of which aren't terribly controversial. And right now the US rocket industry couldn't possibly hire a better lobbyist for its cause than Vladimir Putin.

  23. Re:Yawn on Russian RD-180 Embargo Could Boost American Rocket Industry · · Score: 3, Informative

    NATO expansion to the Ukraine

    NATO never expanded to the Ukraine. Their government asked to join in 2008 but was turned down; it's never been seriously considered since then. Perhaps you're confusing NATO, a US-dominated military alliance, with the European Union, which has nothing to do with the US (militarily or otherwise). It's the kind of distinction I can imagine the Russia Today writers glossing over, but these things do actually matter in the real world.

  24. Re:second best on Robots and Irradiated Parasites Enlisted In the Fight Against Malaria · · Score: 1

    Perhaps a decade from now, when the vaccine is available, the poor folks living in these areas can stop cursing at the western do-gooders who got DDT banned.

    DDT isn't actually banned in the countries where malaria is endemic - the US isn't one of these, obviously. In fact, mosquito control is still agreed to be a valid use for DDT, unlike agricultural pest control. I know "environmentalists kill people" is a fun meme but would it kill you to get your information from someone other than Michael Chricton?

  25. Re:Comparative advantage is BS on Russia Bans US Use of Its Rocket Engines For Military Launches · · Score: 2

    the US needs to stop antagonizing Russia and China. If our leaders want to play global bully

    It's worth pointing out that many of the countries bordering Russia and China desperately want to be our friends right now, because they're worried about their local bullies. Many of these countries have been on the receiving end of Russian or Chinese imperialism in the past, and are anxious not to be come satellite states. Even Vietnam, which as as much reason to hate the US as just about anyone, is on increasingly good terms with us.

    This hardly justifies anything else the US does, but it's not like Russia and China aren't doing plenty to antagonize the world without our help.