"Wealth transfers don't work. It hasn't since the every country envisioned a social security type program that, due to basic math (more going out than coming in) is unsustainable."
Let me guess you are living in the US ?
Most western countries are doing very well actually.
Al though it might be going to get a lot harder to keep it going the way it is, because of how old populations are in comparison to the people still working.
I think the number was something like: average age around the world (not including Africa) 60 year old by 2050.
I guess this means a random selection of people who are unemployed.
For such a test it would actually be very important to see why are these people unemployed, because they could possibly have very different results based on that.
If someone has been unemployed for a couple of weeks, really between jobs or someone who has been unemployed for 3 years. The results could be very different.
That was when it was easy to retrain and there were will jobs to had, but what will happen when the volume of jobs goes down in comparison to the size of the human population.
"Horses didn't get unemployed now because they got lazy as a species, they are unemployable. There is little work a horse can do to pay for it's housing and hay. And many bright perfectly capable humans will find themselves the new horse: Unemployable through no fault of their own."
A more clickbait headline way of describing it would be:
The 'highest skilled job' has actually already been automated with better results than humans.
As I understood/remember reading it: this 'highest skilled job' is the job that requires the most years of education of all jobs that exist. It's the specialized field of long cancer diagnosis aka looking at X-ray photos and trying to determine the type of long cancer a person has. This is clearly a job which just has 'one task' and thus can be fully automated.
Actually, did you know the best chess players in the world are ? A human and a computer working together in a tight nit team. Better than any humans or computers alone.
That is how we all will have to work in the future to keep our jobs, know how to let the computer do certain tasks. Experienced knowledge of how the software works.
I guess in a way lots of people become a sort of data-analyst, who knows how to ask the computer the right questions to not waste computer time crunching the wrong numbers.
Anyway, for many people: part/tasks of the job will get automated, you will be working more on other parts/tasks of your jobs. The more repetitive your job, the likelier it will get automated.
Remember: during the great depression 25% of the people were unemployed.
Some years ago the prediction was: 40% of the current jobs have the potential to be automated by 2030.
Lots of other jobs will not be automated, but many tasks will be automated, which means: they will end up being more productive OR those jobs will require less people.
Remember the FBI Apple iPhone debate in the US and a solution was found how to gain access to the data, my guess would be they could be sharing those kinds of solutions. I would be surprised if they had things even more advanced than that.
Baby steps, you can't go from completely closed to completely open in one step.
I believe it was this talk by Bunnie that talks about the usefulness and uselessness of where we are now and how long a way there is still to get to get something we trust:
While automakers focus on defending the systems in their cars against hackers, there may be other ways for the malicious to mess with self-driving cars. Security researchers at the University of Washington have shown they can get computer vision systems to misidentify road signs using nothing more than stickers made on a home printer.
UW computer-security researcher Yoshi Kohno described an attack algorithm that uses printed images stuck on road signs. These images confuse the cameras on which most self-driving vehicles rely. In one example, explained in a document uploaded to the open-source scientific-paper site arXiv last week, small stickers attached to a standard stop sign caused a vision system to misidentify it as a Speed Limit 45 sign.
Remember it's not just VW, it's a lot of car companies. This is the same as: benchmarks for GPUs optimising for certain demos, but not actually giving you better performance. But in this case it's actually illegal or at the least immoral what they were doing.
Normally I would agree, but the Indian government has some strange ideas about how money should be managed. A large percentage of cash was declared basically useless over night.
While there seem to be a large number of people who keep thinking T-Rex is a hunter.
Have to say, I'm more and more in the camp which suggest that T-Rex is more like a vulture. T-Rex has a big noose, body for long walks, not sprints, etc.
Did you check who are involved ? These are the same people who worked on VP and Dirac and then some companies that know how to do streaming.
Mostly the same core companies that were working on Opus at IETF, they started this work at the IETF as well. Not sure why they went their separate way for this though.
Slashdot Mirror
From what we've seen so far, his supporters won't care.
"Wealth transfers don't work. It hasn't since the every country envisioned a social security type program that, due to basic math (more going out than coming in) is unsustainable."
Let me guess you are living in the US ?
Most western countries are doing very well actually.
Al though it might be going to get a lot harder to keep it going the way it is, because of how old populations are in comparison to the people still working.
I think the number was something like: average age around the world (not including Africa) 60 year old by 2050.
Why could it not develop sentience ? Especially if you put it into something like a humanoid robot. So it can develop a sense of self, etc.
I guess this means a random selection of people who are unemployed.
For such a test it would actually be very important to see why are these people unemployed, because they could possibly have very different results based on that.
If someone has been unemployed for a couple of weeks, really between jobs or someone who has been unemployed for 3 years. The results could be very different.
However, download terabytes of data instead of reporting the problem is an issue.
First you say it's possibly to work with people/for a company in an other timezone and then you say: well, it doesn't fit my schedule.
I think what you mentioned first still applies in that case, although the timezone might be on the other side of the world or something like that...
Wasn't the problem that the UK didn't make a treaty yet before the deadline because the UK government is working to slow ?
That was when it was easy to retrain and there were will jobs to had, but what will happen when the volume of jobs goes down in comparison to the size of the human population.
Time to start investing in that "Australia Project": http://marshallbrain.com/manna...
"Horses didn't get unemployed now because they got lazy as a species, they are unemployable. There is little work a horse can do to pay for it's housing and hay. And many bright perfectly capable humans will find themselves the new horse: Unemployable through no fault of their own."
https://www.youtube.com/watch?...
This is why people around the world are at least looking into Universal Basic Income.
A more clickbait headline way of describing it would be:
The 'highest skilled job' has actually already been automated with better results than humans.
As I understood/remember reading it: this 'highest skilled job' is the job that requires the most years of education of all jobs that exist. It's the specialized field of long cancer diagnosis aka looking at X-ray photos and trying to determine the type of long cancer a person has. This is clearly a job which just has 'one task' and thus can be fully automated.
Actually, did you know the best chess players in the world are ? A human and a computer working together in a tight nit team. Better than any humans or computers alone.
That is how we all will have to work in the future to keep our jobs, know how to let the computer do certain tasks. Experienced knowledge of how the software works.
I guess in a way lots of people become a sort of data-analyst, who knows how to ask the computer the right questions to not waste computer time crunching the wrong numbers.
Anyway, for many people: part/tasks of the job will get automated, you will be working more on other parts/tasks of your jobs. The more repetitive your job, the likelier it will get automated.
Remember: during the great depression 25% of the people were unemployed.
Some years ago the prediction was: 40% of the current jobs have the potential to be automated by 2030.
Lots of other jobs will not be automated, but many tasks will be automated, which means: they will end up being more productive OR those jobs will require less people.
It used to be true, but that's a long time ago: https://thecurrentmoment.wordp...
They use profits from one sector to automate and maybe under price in an other until they conquer that sector too. Repeat.
So basically, a Trojan, nothing new really, just from a difference source:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
The biggest producer of solar panels, China, and also one of the countries that is betting big on solar also makes wrong predictions about this.
Their prediction of 2017 from 2016 are wrong. Their prediction from early 2017 about 2018 have already been updated.
If you want to fault the US for these kinds of things, these predictions are not the ones you should be looking at.
Remember the FBI Apple iPhone debate in the US and a solution was found how to gain access to the data, my guess would be they could be sharing those kinds of solutions. I would be surprised if they had things even more advanced than that.
Baby steps, you can't go from completely closed to completely open in one step.
I believe it was this talk by Bunnie that talks about the usefulness and uselessness of where we are now and how long a way there is still to get to get something we trust:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?...
While automakers focus on defending the systems in their cars against hackers, there may be other ways for the malicious to mess with self-driving cars. Security researchers at the University of Washington have shown they can get computer vision systems to misidentify road signs using nothing more than stickers made on a home printer.
UW computer-security researcher Yoshi Kohno described an attack algorithm that uses printed images stuck on road signs. These images confuse the cameras on which most self-driving vehicles rely. In one example, explained in a document uploaded to the open-source scientific-paper site arXiv last week, small stickers attached to a standard stop sign caused a vision system to misidentify it as a Speed Limit 45 sign.
https://blog.caranddriver.com/...
Gold hardly has any real value either. It's just like everything else. Whatever people are willing to trade for it.
Remember it's not just VW, it's a lot of car companies. This is the same as: benchmarks for GPUs optimising for certain demos, but not actually giving you better performance. But in this case it's actually illegal or at the least immoral what they were doing.
Normally I would agree, but the Indian government has some strange ideas about how money should be managed. A large percentage of cash was declared basically useless over night.
http://www.independent.co.uk/n...
Let's be very clear about this: most consumers don't buy a PC anymore.
They buy a laptop, tablet or phone. Or game-console. Or a smart-TV.
While there seem to be a large number of people who keep thinking T-Rex is a hunter.
Have to say, I'm more and more in the camp which suggest that T-Rex is more like a vulture. T-Rex has a big noose, body for long walks, not sprints, etc.
Did you check who are involved ? These are the same people who worked on VP and Dirac and then some companies that know how to do streaming.
Mostly the same core companies that were working on Opus at IETF, they started this work at the IETF as well. Not sure why they went their separate way for this though.