It seems like a clinical trial is a nice simple truth detector but the truth is often too nuanced for this tool. Studies on acupuncture (which is also outside of our scientific framework) when done by Eastern medical doctors show higher effectiveness than when done by their Western counterparts, for whatever variety of reasons.
That said I agree, clinical trials are at least some tool, and as far as I know they show homeopathy is as effective as placebo. Which is better than nothing, since the placebo effect is not trivial to induce.
If I understand what you mean (as brain is organic matter just as much as the rest of the body) I think those are medical views from circa 1950s. E.g. now we have good reasons to believe that gut bacteria for example influences our decision making. The whole is not just the sum of the parts.
Your assumption here is that chemistry-based medicine is the most effective approach to treating ALL conditions. Even medical doctors would disagree with you. The good ones anyway.
If you visit a homeopath for a non life-threatening condition and he listens to you and gives you something that cannot harm you and you get a sense of optimism and a sense of control that you are doing something to get well, it only helps your body do what it is supposed to do -- heal itself. Does it not? It doesn't matter that homeopathy is outside of science when health to a large part is outside of science.
All negations of homeopathy are based on chemistry but you are not a sack of chemical reactions gone wrong.
You are focused on whether what he said is true or false or logically consistent, whereas Trump says something to make an effect.
Just look at us: we are talking not whether they are silencing but if they should be allowed to keep silencing. So it has already entered the common consciousness that social media censorship is going on.
Right on. I looked him up and the turned out to be a Democrat. What is it with liberals getting so worked up about controlling who is allowed to speak? Even Wikipedia says "Liberals sought and established a constitutional order that prized important individual freedoms, such as freedom of speech and freedom of association." Maybe it's time to redefine the terms.
The US is vastly larger than the UK and so it needs a different form of organization to be efficient. To a degree that is comparing apples and oranges.
The US electoral system has historically been working well for the US. There may be another system that could work "better" by some criteria, but at this point that is pure speculation.
Too much democracy is bad. Were it not, we would have referendums on every single thing. The reason we do not is we trust our elected representatives to decide on those things for us.
It's the same with the Electoral College. We elect representatives that pick the President for us. You may think that's too little democracy, but the point against that view is that the country has been quite successful with the Constitution as it is so it may well be at the sweet spot.
I wrote the same thing about two years ago and got comments "when the other side is racist there can be no discussion with them." Those people hate nothing more than someone appealing to balance and reason.
But maybe they are right, likely no one is really neutral in these mindwars, even if they fancy themselves to be.
You don't realize that it has always been like that. But don't take my word for it, take Max Planck's:
"A new scientific truth does not triumph by convincing its opponents and making them see the light, but rather because its opponents eventually die, and a new generation grows up that is familiar with it."
No if anything Microsoft will be seen by the left as possibly a right leaning organization because it creates "false equivalency" that Russians are targeting Republicans as well. "False" because they are merely targeting Republicans but have actually elected Trump, in the eyes of the left.
We have arrived at a point where the consensual norm of what is reality is shifting. That view has been subject to upheavals and revolutions since the dawn of humanity and now it's happening again. The process creates great friction in individual and collective minds and this time around it visibly manifests as obsession with Trump and anti-Trump.
I see it as a good thing though. It's part of the evolution of our collective views. We've apparently hit a wall with our previous collective view of reality and are now forming a new one. How it will serve us remain to be seen but there is no escaping it.
I've read about an engineering principle they used in England in the Middle Ages to make bridges safer: bridge constructors were required to sleep for two weeks under the bridge after it was constructed. With their families.
This was Trump's actual tweet: "Too many voices are being destroyed, some good & some bad, and that cannot be allowed to happen. Who is making the choices, because I can already tell you that too many mistakes are being made. Let everybody participate, good & bad, and we will all just have to figure it out!"
Who is good and bad to Trump is anyone's guess but Jones is the only high profile case, seems like "some bad" is thrown in there to agree with most people's perception that Jones is nuts.
Or it may prevent some attacks just by announcing this new rule and not doing anything else different. From the perspective of an attacking nation with means and something to gain or lose, they may see removal of "be nice" rules as a slightly increased risk of retaliation.
I ran a Chrome extension ("Social Book Post Manager") that used the FB Activity Log to uncomment, unpost, unlike everything I've ever done on FB. (I've downloaded all the data first.) I've made my FB account effectively stateless -- all that is left is my contact list without losing any of the benefits of FB.
I'll admit I don't know what exactly that accomplishes but it feels like I have taken leverage away from FB. They can't hold me hostage through my data since it's gone. I don't care if I lose my account, I can recreate my contact list from a new account if I need to. The deleted data is probably not accessible to 3rd parties, and I will look for a way to autogenerate tons of posts that I'll delete in the same way. A script that uploads photos of generic faces and tags me in them, then deletes everything would be next.
So maybe I can use the service without being the product. And if everyone does it and that kills the service -- good riddance.
I imagine with $250M to lose over two days TSMC could easily say Hey Vendor certify your stuff to run in a VM pronto. Vendor would do it, unlike porting their app to Linux. Would they not, realistically?
As for VM, can you make a correct VM image backup while the VM is running? Seems to me that could be done in the background without affecting production.
So what's to do? Would it be possible to have each legacy system run inside a sandbox, VM or VM-lite kind of thing, maybe like Sandboxie for Windows but industrial strength, and you make a copy of the sandboxed image every day. If a virus infects the guest OS, you simply go back a few snapshots. If the virus hasn't wiped or encrypted the application-generated data files, you can restore those from the latest sandbox or snapshot.
Is there anything obviously missing in this scheme?
I think Turkey has what Friedman would describe as a fairly large geopolitical margin of error. It's defined by the country's strength and by its threats. Turkish economy is ranked 17th, and they are not under a military threat from any of its neighbours. So they can make a mistakes and still be fine. (Unlike, for example, Israel, or, increasingly, Iran, and Russia too.) With the 17th economy and favorable conditions they may well come up higher in the rank by mid century.
Japan is in his analysis more interesting: he says Japan has been a militaristic nation for all of its existence, and only after their WW2 defeat they became pacifist. But that too is regressing to the norm, which you can see by the expansion of their Constitution as to what their military can do. At some point, Friedman's hypothesis goes, Japan will feel threatened by the US for the same reasons it always has been, including at Pearl Harbour: that the US will attempt to control Japan's energy supplies. Hence the initiative for war, to secure freedom, as is always said in a war.
Btw the country with probably the largest margin of error is the US.
... of (now) Geopolitical Futures, in his book "The Next 100 Years." It even describes, as an example, a plausible space-related war taking place around 2050, between the US and Poland on the one side and Turkey and Japan on another. In the description the war is on the ground but a technological breakthrough happens in which the US figures out the way to efficiently beam energy collected from solar panels in outer space to the earth, working from its large orbital space station.
It's an interesting bit of sci fi, especially if you believe it has a small chance of happening in some form.
Same here, except I also deleted -- undid -- all my facebook posts, likes, and comments I ever made. Did it with a Chrome extension that uses your Activity Log to automatically undo all. I did download a copy of all my fb activity first.
It's a clean slate now, and it feels like freedom. I visit every now and then to check posts from a couple of people who consistently post useful stuff but that's about it. And I still have my contacts.
Btw watching that plugin do its thing at 16x speed was fascinating, realizing how much time I had making that content. I'll be sending the plugin author some coffee money.
The whole article seems directionless and that is likely due to the lack of direction of the product. Reading it feels like asking what have you got? and hearing well, you know, there's this thing we're building, and I think when it's fully done and people are onboard with it it's going to be cool, in part because we believe that...
Slashdot Mirror
It seems like a clinical trial is a nice simple truth detector but the truth is often too nuanced for this tool. Studies on acupuncture (which is also outside of our scientific framework) when done by Eastern medical doctors show higher effectiveness than when done by their Western counterparts, for whatever variety of reasons.
That said I agree, clinical trials are at least some tool, and as far as I know they show homeopathy is as effective as placebo. Which is better than nothing, since the placebo effect is not trivial to induce.
If I understand what you mean (as brain is organic matter just as much as the rest of the body) I think those are medical views from circa 1950s. E.g. now we have good reasons to believe that gut bacteria for example influences our decision making. The whole is not just the sum of the parts.
Your assumption here is that chemistry-based medicine is the most effective approach to treating ALL conditions. Even medical doctors would disagree with you. The good ones anyway.
If you visit a homeopath for a non life-threatening condition and he listens to you and gives you something that cannot harm you and you get a sense of optimism and a sense of control that you are doing something to get well, it only helps your body do what it is supposed to do -- heal itself. Does it not? It doesn't matter that homeopathy is outside of science when health to a large part is outside of science.
All negations of homeopathy are based on chemistry but you are not a sack of chemical reactions gone wrong.
You are focused on whether what he said is true or false or logically consistent, whereas Trump says something to make an effect.
Just look at us: we are talking not whether they are silencing but if they should be allowed to keep silencing. So it has already entered the common consciousness that social media censorship is going on.
Right on. I looked him up and the turned out to be a Democrat. What is it with liberals getting so worked up about controlling who is allowed to speak? Even Wikipedia says "Liberals sought and established a constitutional order that prized important individual freedoms, such as freedom of speech and freedom of association." Maybe it's time to redefine the terms.
The US is vastly larger than the UK and so it needs a different form of organization to be efficient. To a degree that is comparing apples and oranges.
The US electoral system has historically been working well for the US. There may be another system that could work "better" by some criteria, but at this point that is pure speculation.
Too much democracy is bad. Were it not, we would have referendums on every single thing. The reason we do not is we trust our elected representatives to decide on those things for us.
It's the same with the Electoral College. We elect representatives that pick the President for us. You may think that's too little democracy, but the point against that view is that the country has been quite successful with the Constitution as it is so it may well be at the sweet spot.
...of public obsession with all things digital, that software will cure all ills Zuckerberg style, and that schoolchildren need tablets to learn.
As a nerd, I say good riddance. Leave the nerd stuff to us.
I wrote the same thing about two years ago and got comments "when the other side is racist there can be no discussion with them." Those people hate nothing more than someone appealing to balance and reason.
But maybe they are right, likely no one is really neutral in these mindwars, even if they fancy themselves to be.
You don't realize that it has always been like that. But don't take my word for it, take Max Planck's:
"A new scientific truth does not triumph by convincing its opponents and making them see the light, but rather because its opponents eventually die, and a new generation grows up that is familiar with it."
No if anything Microsoft will be seen by the left as possibly a right leaning organization because it creates "false equivalency" that Russians are targeting Republicans as well. "False" because they are merely targeting Republicans but have actually elected Trump, in the eyes of the left.
We have arrived at a point where the consensual norm of what is reality is shifting. That view has been subject to upheavals and revolutions since the dawn of humanity and now it's happening again. The process creates great friction in individual and collective minds and this time around it visibly manifests as obsession with Trump and anti-Trump.
I see it as a good thing though. It's part of the evolution of our collective views. We've apparently hit a wall with our previous collective view of reality and are now forming a new one. How it will serve us remain to be seen but there is no escaping it.
I've read about an engineering principle they used in England in the Middle Ages to make bridges safer: bridge constructors were required to sleep for two weeks under the bridge after it was constructed. With their families.
This was Trump's actual tweet: "Too many voices are being destroyed, some good & some bad, and that cannot be allowed to happen. Who is making the choices, because I can already tell you that too many mistakes are being made. Let everybody participate, good & bad, and we will all just have to figure it out!"
Who is good and bad to Trump is anyone's guess but Jones is the only high profile case, seems like "some bad" is thrown in there to agree with most people's perception that Jones is nuts.
CNN along with the sea of left media and celebrities is more addicted to, and obsessed by, Trump's tweets than any of Trump's followers.
Or it may prevent some attacks just by announcing this new rule and not doing anything else different. From the perspective of an attacking nation with means and something to gain or lose, they may see removal of "be nice" rules as a slightly increased risk of retaliation.
I ran a Chrome extension ("Social Book Post Manager") that used the FB Activity Log to uncomment, unpost, unlike everything I've ever done on FB. (I've downloaded all the data first.) I've made my FB account effectively stateless -- all that is left is my contact list without losing any of the benefits of FB.
I'll admit I don't know what exactly that accomplishes but it feels like I have taken leverage away from FB. They can't hold me hostage through my data since it's gone. I don't care if I lose my account, I can recreate my contact list from a new account if I need to. The deleted data is probably not accessible to 3rd parties, and I will look for a way to autogenerate tons of posts that I'll delete in the same way. A script that uploads photos of generic faces and tags me in them, then deletes everything would be next.
So maybe I can use the service without being the product. And if everyone does it and that kills the service -- good riddance.
I imagine with $250M to lose over two days TSMC could easily say Hey Vendor certify your stuff to run in a VM pronto. Vendor would do it, unlike porting their app to Linux. Would they not, realistically?
As for VM, can you make a correct VM image backup while the VM is running? Seems to me that could be done in the background without affecting production.
So what's to do? Would it be possible to have each legacy system run inside a sandbox, VM or VM-lite kind of thing, maybe like Sandboxie for Windows but industrial strength, and you make a copy of the sandboxed image every day. If a virus infects the guest OS, you simply go back a few snapshots. If the virus hasn't wiped or encrypted the application-generated data files, you can restore those from the latest sandbox or snapshot.
Is there anything obviously missing in this scheme?
I think Turkey has what Friedman would describe as a fairly large geopolitical margin of error. It's defined by the country's strength and by its threats. Turkish economy is ranked 17th, and they are not under a military threat from any of its neighbours. So they can make a mistakes and still be fine. (Unlike, for example, Israel, or, increasingly, Iran, and Russia too.) With the 17th economy and favorable conditions they may well come up higher in the rank by mid century.
Japan is in his analysis more interesting: he says Japan has been a militaristic nation for all of its existence, and only after their WW2 defeat they became pacifist. But that too is regressing to the norm, which you can see by the expansion of their Constitution as to what their military can do. At some point, Friedman's hypothesis goes, Japan will feel threatened by the US for the same reasons it always has been, including at Pearl Harbour: that the US will attempt to control Japan's energy supplies. Hence the initiative for war, to secure freedom, as is always said in a war.
Btw the country with probably the largest margin of error is the US.
... of (now) Geopolitical Futures, in his book "The Next 100 Years." It even describes, as an example, a plausible space-related war taking place around 2050, between the US and Poland on the one side and Turkey and Japan on another. In the description the war is on the ground but a technological breakthrough happens in which the US figures out the way to efficiently beam energy collected from solar panels in outer space to the earth, working from its large orbital space station.
It's an interesting bit of sci fi, especially if you believe it has a small chance of happening in some form.
Same here, except I also deleted -- undid -- all my facebook posts, likes, and comments I ever made. Did it with a Chrome extension that uses your Activity Log to automatically undo all. I did download a copy of all my fb activity first.
It's a clean slate now, and it feels like freedom. I visit every now and then to check posts from a couple of people who consistently post useful stuff but that's about it. And I still have my contacts.
Btw watching that plugin do its thing at 16x speed was fascinating, realizing how much time I had making that content. I'll be sending the plugin author some coffee money.
The whole article seems directionless and that is likely due to the lack of direction of the product. Reading it feels like asking what have you got? and hearing well, you know, there's this thing we're building, and I think when it's fully done and people are onboard with it it's going to be cool, in part because we believe that...
I was hoping (and still am) that in the age of Trump people in the US will ditch facebook.