What are the deltas? The relative positions might not be very interesting when the actual data used to establish them are compared (I mean, if #1 is 1% more developed than #20, the difference isn't likely to matter).
The 100,000 year window was specifically for comets. There aren't that many of them and space is...big.
As far as asteroids, I am willing to believe that an effective tracking and deflection program will be ready far before any sort of viable, self-sustaining colony even hits the drawing board.
Well, I was trying to point out a clear example of where the interests of society and individuals may not align (which is to some extent what you commented about), so I was pretty much agreeing with you, that society can make rules that end up reducing consumption and saving money, even if they seem to create a new cost.
Anyway, my point hinges on the fact that it is much cheaper to create a well insulated house from scratch than it is to build a poorly insulated house and then upgrade it. Sure, people will be willing to pay slightly more for a house that is cheaper to own, but they won't pay much above the difference in ownership costs (unless they foresee increasing energy prices). Even that price difference might be swamped by the desirability of the location, or market sentiment.
Sort of. The thing is, people were barely buying $140 oil (they were, but they were working awfully hard at finding ways not to, downsizing vehicles, moving closer to work, quitting their jobs, etc.), so predictions of $200 oil are a little silly. Higher, ever more so.
I agree that the smartest short term move is to start building new nuclear plants. Lots of big ones.
Not quite as trivial to produce as ethanol, but vastly better as a portable fuel (better energy density, doesn't suck up water, not as aggressive a solvent).
The species would easily survive an energy shock. Civilization probably wouldn't.
Any new civilization that arose would not have the problem of mistakenly basing their consumption on abundant oil (insert joke about dead humans turning into oil here).
People apparently have sufficient CO2 for dry ice and beer. I sure haven't ever had trouble finding either.
If it was harder to get carbon in the form of crude oil (or coal, or...), there might be a bigger market for CO2 (which is going to require energy to convert into more useful forms of carbon, as opposed to maybe yielding energy when converted).
A well insulated house is more expensive for the first inhabitants to buy. If they don't plan on staying there for a long time, it may be more expensive than heating a poorly insulated house.
For society, the well insulated house will nearly always be cheaper.
Hurricanes probably won't get much huger. They generally arise from an energy imbalance, so if you start pushing in more energy, they should just get more frequent.
See, I don't see any reason to start worrying about sending humans to Mars until your asteroid miner is up and actually producing raw materials (this means decades of research to go on earth).
I guess some toy space stations to work on the gravity problem fit in there somewhere, I think the shielding is as much a launch issue as anything else (I'm pretty sure you can get by with a fat tank of water, which is 'merely' expensive to launch, but not real tough to develop).
Slashdot Mirror
I saw it on the Tonight Show, the coming Facebook-Google-Twitter mashup will be called YouTwitFace.
I was incorrect, the movie I was thinking of is "Red Planet".
Did you take the job where the manager said you had to blow him once a month?
"Just make the inside a vacuum"...Just?
Anyway, those dongles apparently are more 'involved' to work around than they are hard to work around:
http://www.woodmann.com/crackz/Dongles.htm
What are the deltas? The relative positions might not be very interesting when the actual data used to establish them are compared (I mean, if #1 is 1% more developed than #20, the difference isn't likely to matter).
So you like both your beer and your sheep to be frosty?
Doesn't Yelp have a poor Yelp rating that they paid Yelp to hide?
I think they are probably going to have trouble inside for quite a long time.
Mission to Mars does a nice job showing something like this.
That still leaves determining what a parody is. Just saying 'parody' should not be a defense for all rights violations.
And the uranium and the phosphate, and maybe the water.
Dude, you are supposed to plug them into the laptop.
The 100,000 year window was specifically for comets. There aren't that many of them and space is...big.
As far as asteroids, I am willing to believe that an effective tracking and deflection program will be ready far before any sort of viable, self-sustaining colony even hits the drawing board.
Wikipedia says 98:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biobutanol#Properties_of_common_fuels
Well, I was trying to point out a clear example of where the interests of society and individuals may not align (which is to some extent what you commented about), so I was pretty much agreeing with you, that society can make rules that end up reducing consumption and saving money, even if they seem to create a new cost.
Anyway, my point hinges on the fact that it is much cheaper to create a well insulated house from scratch than it is to build a poorly insulated house and then upgrade it. Sure, people will be willing to pay slightly more for a house that is cheaper to own, but they won't pay much above the difference in ownership costs (unless they foresee increasing energy prices). Even that price difference might be swamped by the desirability of the location, or market sentiment.
Sort of. The thing is, people were barely buying $140 oil (they were, but they were working awfully hard at finding ways not to, downsizing vehicles, moving closer to work, quitting their jobs, etc.), so predictions of $200 oil are a little silly. Higher, ever more so.
I agree that the smartest short term move is to start building new nuclear plants. Lots of big ones.
You should use butanol for this argument.
Not quite as trivial to produce as ethanol, but vastly better as a portable fuel (better energy density, doesn't suck up water, not as aggressive a solvent).
Pretty much everything you buy has some sort of energy footprint.
I'm not suggesting those numbers are accurate, just that you need to do a little more than account for household electricity use.
The species would easily survive an energy shock. Civilization probably wouldn't.
Any new civilization that arose would not have the problem of mistakenly basing their consumption on abundant oil (insert joke about dead humans turning into oil here).
People apparently have sufficient CO2 for dry ice and beer. I sure haven't ever had trouble finding either.
If it was harder to get carbon in the form of crude oil (or coal, or...), there might be a bigger market for CO2 (which is going to require energy to convert into more useful forms of carbon, as opposed to maybe yielding energy when converted).
Vegas. Disney. Etc.
A well insulated house is more expensive for the first inhabitants to buy. If they don't plan on staying there for a long time, it may be more expensive than heating a poorly insulated house.
For society, the well insulated house will nearly always be cheaper.
Hurricanes probably won't get much huger. They generally arise from an energy imbalance, so if you start pushing in more energy, they should just get more frequent.
See, I don't see any reason to start worrying about sending humans to Mars until your asteroid miner is up and actually producing raw materials (this means decades of research to go on earth).
I guess some toy space stations to work on the gravity problem fit in there somewhere, I think the shielding is as much a launch issue as anything else (I'm pretty sure you can get by with a fat tank of water, which is 'merely' expensive to launch, but not real tough to develop).
Just break the single pane ones. Make sure to break them good so that they get completely replaced.
Hilariously, there have been government subsidies to do this over the last few years.