I'm saying that the argument about corporate tax rates misses the mark because (a) it's based on the statutory rate rather than the effective rate, (b) it ignores other taxes, (c) it ignores other expenses that the US is powerless to cut.
We live in a world in which national sovereignty has been reduced to a degree that the Communists of old could only have dreamed of. Our options are limited. That's not saying that there's nothing we can do, but a race to the bottom is one that would hurt us a lot worse than it would China or Vietnam.
So don't expect those old good-paying low skill jobs ever to come back. That's a fool's hope. Instead embrace a future where there are three roles: (1) farmers, (2) innovators, and (3) people who provide services to the other two groups.
Well, then by your standards semiconductors are no longer semiconductors because under certain circumstances they act like conductors.
Language works because the speaker and listener share a common base of knowledge; not because speech conveys pure ontological assertions. You simply cannot explain what a "semiconductor" is to someone who has not been taught the rudiments of the physics behind it, no matter how precise you try to make the terminology.
Business taxes in the US are 39% on paper, but in practice average around 27% when you count deductions US law allows. The effective US rate is about the same as the average for OECD countries (27.7%) and is only slightly higher than the Netherlands' 25%. China's tax rate is 25% as well, although it goes down to 15% for certain industries. Both China and the Netherlands have a national value-added-tax (17% and 21% respectively); the US has in-state sales taxes in some states but no cross-state sales tax.
Of course 2% of a 1.4 billion in profits is a lot of money, but even if the US dropped its effective rates to 25% I doubt you'll see a lot of new semiconductor fabs going up in the US.
In an era of free trade, nobody's going to locate many manufacturing jobs in the US with a median wage of $51K when the median wage in China is $4755, and in Indonesia less than half that. The only reason to make anything here is to get something that you can't get elsewhere, and lets face it there are plenty of tax havens out there with lots of unemployed people. So what can you get here? Access to US universities and research centers. The US, at least for now, is a natural tech incubator. That won't last long under an austerity program.
So until US wages drop by about 90%, even a major cut to effective business tax rates aren't going to make us competitive with China for commodity manufacturing jobs.
That's like saying it makes no sense to say that by assembling semiconductors into a transistor they can be made to conduct electricity. By your logic if they conduct electricity under any circumstances they must be conductors.
I didn't say that other people taking cheap shots at you was a bad thing. It's an inevitable consequence of giving people a chance to know what they're voting into office.
So far as I know nobody thinks oil in the ground lubricates movements along a fault.
It may help to think not in terms of earthquakes, but in terms of what comes in between earthquakes. Stuff is in equilibrium, which means forces are balanced and stuff isn't moving around. If you remove a force (such as that exerted by oil in hydrostatic equilibrium), you have a weak spot and the system shifts to a new equilibrium point. That shifting is an earthquake, and the movement is along faults -- which aren't necessarily exactly where you removed the oil from; the slabs of rock the faults separate are simply moving to the point where forces are balanced again.
Well, actually you aren't reading the paper, you are reading a popular press account of what's in the paper, and even that not too closely:
Nowadays, water is carefully used to replace the pumped-out oil, which prevents land from sinking and helps extract more oil.
Most important, by keeping the pressure on the fault balanced, there would be less of a chance of disturbing the fault to rupture earlier than expected.
So right there in the newspaper account, is a description of mechanism; presumably in the Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America you'd see a more technical/jargony description.
Note also the use of the word "may" -- even in the newspaper headline. Earth science is not like a high school chemistry lab experiment. The Earth is big, complex, and hard to measure, and there isn't a teacher who tells you what your objective is and provides all the materials needed to complete the experiment in a 45 minute period. So a lot of the papers are about correlations and hypothetical causes. It's not the kind of science that gets you a good grade from your high school teacher, because it's actual science, not just spitting back the expected answer.
The main problem here is that there's no citation data, and the abstract is not up on the journal website yet. But judging from the other articles published in BSSA it's likely to be technical enough for any layman's taste.
However, Slashdot's servers respond to requests from anywhere, not just a particular Russian bank. So it's not the same thing. The evidence is enough to conclude that the Trump organization probably has some kind of relationship with that bank, which is not illegal per se.
This is politics; if you leave yourself open to innuendo, you get shellacked. Trump could easily have avoided this by releasing his tax returns, just like Mitt Romney did.
Problem is Trump won't go away post-election. If he wins it will be worse than this, and if he loses he starts Trump media and doubles down on the loose talk and continual lies.
Of course Trump won't go away, just like Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi won't go away even if we take away all of ISIS's territory unless we kill him (al-Baghdadi, I mean). But he'll become a lot less important.
What fuels the fire of interest in Trump, even among people who aren't particularly interested in reality TV, is the possibility he might become president. Take that off the table, and becomes a lot less interesting except to a small core of true believers. I guess a lot depends on how decisively he loses. That'll determine whether his wing of the Republican party is a force to be reckoned with, or just another fringe group.
From a logical standpoint this really tells us nothing. Just like existing the Abedin "trove" really tells us nothing. It's just a tabula rasa onto which people can project what they already believe.
It wouldn't be surprising for Trump to have some kind of relationship with a Russian bank; that's not necessarily illegal. Now if you were looking for dirt, that'd be a good place to start looking, because there are sanctions against certain Russian firms and individuals. But it doesn't mean you'd find any.
Hardly. The libs are expecting a massive, ground-shifting victory. It's just that Trump is always good copy. Even people who hate him love to read about him, and pass stuff along.
It's like I said to my sister the other day; I can't wait for November 9 so I can stop obsessing about Trump and start obsessing about the new Harry Potter movie.
When I was in college I volunteered in a community service group and became one of the managers. I noticed that one of the other managers complained a lot about his volunteers -- they had a bad attitude, they weren't reliable, etc. Which was weird because I'd worked with the same people and found them to be perfectly reliable and enthusiastic. So I began to watch this guy, and the problem became obvious: he was a condescending jerk who pissed his volunteers off, and when they wouldn't work with him anymore he'd badmouth them. Then the other managers would get a negative attitude towards that volunteer and he'd end up quitting.
Now I don't want to overstate the case here, but there is such a thing as a self-fulfilling prophecy. If drivers try to avoid low-income neighborhoods, then people in that neighborhood will experience, on average, bad service from your pizzeria. Even when a delivery is on time, expecting it to be late poisons the experience. It takes a lot of good customer service to undo even a single instance of bad service, much less a pattern of it.
Well, it's not my job to source any nonsense you believe in. I see no information about her deleting any metadata; just messages being erased with bleachbit.
Ironically, there may be something to what you say. The dodgy Clinton email server is the one thing that apparently has not hacked. State department? Yes. DNC? Check.
OK. How do you measure sea level then? Be specific.
What you find with datasets like this is that you get contradictory results -- some places will show more rise than others, others may even show sea level dropping. Now you can choose to ignore these discrepancies -- say by just averaging the measurements you have in your dataset. But that assumes an implicit model of what's going on; and an implicit assumption isn't really any better than an explicit one.
Same is true in my experience. It doesn't matter what your record of accomplishment is either -- in fact it's almost a handicap to have an impressive resume when you're older.
One thing I noticed is when it started to get harder to get interviews, when I did get an interview everyone would seem excited about bringing me on... except the hiring manager. The first time it happened I thought it was a fluke, but after it happened a number of times I realized: nobody wants to supervise someone with more experience than they have.
So my advice to older programmers is: don't put your hopes in gaining even more expertise. It works against you. Start your own business, or get training in some other kind of job.
There, fixed that for you. If it had all been spent then the program would be history.
IIRC as of the beginning of this year we'd purchased about 171 F35s out of a planned.2443, leaving 2,272 to go. At a hundred million dollars apiece that's a lot of simolians left to shovel into the furnace. Then there's a trillion dollars in operation and maintenance costs coming down the pike too.
So going ahead with the F35 is going to be gawdawfully expensive. But it turns out extricating ourselves would probably be shockingly expensive too -- the F35 program was designed so that cancellation would be a Congressional poison pill. There'd be job losses in a majority of member districts, and the Marines would end up with nine amphibious assault ships with no ground assault jets that can fly off them but their old subsonic Harriers. But if they did choose to swallow that pill, that'd leave us locked in the tender embrace of Boeing.
So cancel or continue, there's a lot more left to pay.
Slashdot Mirror
I'm saying that the argument about corporate tax rates misses the mark because (a) it's based on the statutory rate rather than the effective rate, (b) it ignores other taxes, (c) it ignores other expenses that the US is powerless to cut.
We live in a world in which national sovereignty has been reduced to a degree that the Communists of old could only have dreamed of. Our options are limited. That's not saying that there's nothing we can do, but a race to the bottom is one that would hurt us a lot worse than it would China or Vietnam.
So don't expect those old good-paying low skill jobs ever to come back. That's a fool's hope. Instead embrace a future where there are three roles: (1) farmers, (2) innovators, and (3) people who provide services to the other two groups.
Well, then by your standards semiconductors are no longer semiconductors because under certain circumstances they act like conductors.
Language works because the speaker and listener share a common base of knowledge; not because speech conveys pure ontological assertions. You simply cannot explain what a "semiconductor" is to someone who has not been taught the rudiments of the physics behind it, no matter how precise you try to make the terminology.
Business taxes in the US are 39% on paper, but in practice average around 27% when you count deductions US law allows. The effective US rate is about the same as the average for OECD countries (27.7%) and is only slightly higher than the Netherlands' 25%. China's tax rate is 25% as well, although it goes down to 15% for certain industries. Both China and the Netherlands have a national value-added-tax (17% and 21% respectively); the US has in-state sales taxes in some states but no cross-state sales tax.
Of course 2% of a 1.4 billion in profits is a lot of money, but even if the US dropped its effective rates to 25% I doubt you'll see a lot of new semiconductor fabs going up in the US.
In an era of free trade, nobody's going to locate many manufacturing jobs in the US with a median wage of $51K when the median wage in China is $4755, and in Indonesia less than half that. The only reason to make anything here is to get something that you can't get elsewhere, and lets face it there are plenty of tax havens out there with lots of unemployed people. So what can you get here? Access to US universities and research centers. The US, at least for now, is a natural tech incubator. That won't last long under an austerity program.
So until US wages drop by about 90%, even a major cut to effective business tax rates aren't going to make us competitive with China for commodity manufacturing jobs.
If you're against something you shouldn't make it sound so cool.
That's like saying it makes no sense to say that by assembling semiconductors into a transistor they can be made to conduct electricity. By your logic if they conduct electricity under any circumstances they must be conductors.
This is not how humans use language.
Trump should have released his tax returns.
I didn't say that other people taking cheap shots at you was a bad thing. It's an inevitable consequence of giving people a chance to know what they're voting into office.
So far as I know nobody thinks oil in the ground lubricates movements along a fault.
It may help to think not in terms of earthquakes, but in terms of what comes in between earthquakes. Stuff is in equilibrium, which means forces are balanced and stuff isn't moving around. If you remove a force (such as that exerted by oil in hydrostatic equilibrium), you have a weak spot and the system shifts to a new equilibrium point. That shifting is an earthquake, and the movement is along faults -- which aren't necessarily exactly where you removed the oil from; the slabs of rock the faults separate are simply moving to the point where forces are balanced again.
Well, actually you aren't reading the paper, you are reading a popular press account of what's in the paper, and even that not too closely:
Nowadays, water is carefully used to replace the pumped-out oil, which prevents land from sinking and helps extract more oil.
Most important, by keeping the pressure on the fault balanced, there would be less of a chance of disturbing the fault to rupture earlier than expected.
So right there in the newspaper account, is a description of mechanism; presumably in the Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America you'd see a more technical/jargony description.
Note also the use of the word "may" -- even in the newspaper headline. Earth science is not like a high school chemistry lab experiment. The Earth is big, complex, and hard to measure, and there isn't a teacher who tells you what your objective is and provides all the materials needed to complete the experiment in a 45 minute period. So a lot of the papers are about correlations and hypothetical causes. It's not the kind of science that gets you a good grade from your high school teacher, because it's actual science, not just spitting back the expected answer.
The main problem here is that there's no citation data, and the abstract is not up on the journal website yet. But judging from the other articles published in BSSA it's likely to be technical enough for any layman's taste.
Well, that may be true, but again you can't be surprised if the other side uses the ammunition you give them.
However, Slashdot's servers respond to requests from anywhere, not just a particular Russian bank. So it's not the same thing. The evidence is enough to conclude that the Trump organization probably has some kind of relationship with that bank, which is not illegal per se.
This is politics; if you leave yourself open to innuendo, you get shellacked. Trump could easily have avoided this by releasing his tax returns, just like Mitt Romney did.
Problem is Trump won't go away post-election. If he wins it will be worse than this, and if he loses he starts Trump media and doubles down on the loose talk and continual lies.
Of course Trump won't go away, just like Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi won't go away even if we take away all of ISIS's territory unless we kill him (al-Baghdadi, I mean). But he'll become a lot less important.
What fuels the fire of interest in Trump, even among people who aren't particularly interested in reality TV, is the possibility he might become president. Take that off the table, and becomes a lot less interesting except to a small core of true believers. I guess a lot depends on how decisively he loses. That'll determine whether his wing of the Republican party is a force to be reckoned with, or just another fringe group.
From a logical standpoint this really tells us nothing. Just like existing the Abedin "trove" really tells us nothing. It's just a tabula rasa onto which people can project what they already believe.
It wouldn't be surprising for Trump to have some kind of relationship with a Russian bank; that's not necessarily illegal. Now if you were looking for dirt, that'd be a good place to start looking, because there are sanctions against certain Russian firms and individuals. But it doesn't mean you'd find any.
Hardly. The libs are expecting a massive, ground-shifting victory. It's just that Trump is always good copy. Even people who hate him love to read about him, and pass stuff along.
It's like I said to my sister the other day; I can't wait for November 9 so I can stop obsessing about Trump and start obsessing about the new Harry Potter movie.
When I was in college I volunteered in a community service group and became one of the managers. I noticed that one of the other managers complained a lot about his volunteers -- they had a bad attitude, they weren't reliable, etc. Which was weird because I'd worked with the same people and found them to be perfectly reliable and enthusiastic. So I began to watch this guy, and the problem became obvious: he was a condescending jerk who pissed his volunteers off, and when they wouldn't work with him anymore he'd badmouth them. Then the other managers would get a negative attitude towards that volunteer and he'd end up quitting.
Now I don't want to overstate the case here, but there is such a thing as a self-fulfilling prophecy. If drivers try to avoid low-income neighborhoods, then people in that neighborhood will experience, on average, bad service from your pizzeria. Even when a delivery is on time, expecting it to be late poisons the experience. It takes a lot of good customer service to undo even a single instance of bad service, much less a pattern of it.
Even if a few lower class black people still use African names, doesn't change the fact the names tell the story of where they come from.
This unconsciously reiterating the study's point.
Except that's not how this study worked. It controlled for that by using ride requests with black-sounding names vs. white-sounding names.
Well, it's not my job to source any nonsense you believe in. I see no information about her deleting any metadata; just messages being erased with bleachbit.
Citation, please. FBI preferably.
Straw man. After selling my company I would have been happy to take a programming job at $45K instead of the 100K-150K I'd been earning.
The logs were not deleted.
Ironically, there may be something to what you say. The dodgy Clinton email server is the one thing that apparently has not hacked. State department? Yes. DNC? Check.
Except the stuff that sounds like jerkbait.
OK. How do you measure sea level then? Be specific.
What you find with datasets like this is that you get contradictory results -- some places will show more rise than others, others may even show sea level dropping. Now you can choose to ignore these discrepancies -- say by just averaging the measurements you have in your dataset. But that assumes an implicit model of what's going on; and an implicit assumption isn't really any better than an explicit one.
Same is true in my experience. It doesn't matter what your record of accomplishment is either -- in fact it's almost a handicap to have an impressive resume when you're older.
One thing I noticed is when it started to get harder to get interviews, when I did get an interview everyone would seem excited about bringing me on ... except the hiring manager. The first time it happened I thought it was a fluke, but after it happened a number of times I realized: nobody wants to supervise someone with more experience than they have.
So my advice to older programmers is: don't put your hopes in gaining even more expertise. It works against you. Start your own business, or get training in some other kind of job.
I think some of it's already been spent.
There, fixed that for you. If it had all been spent then the program would be history.
IIRC as of the beginning of this year we'd purchased about 171 F35s out of a planned.2443, leaving 2,272 to go. At a hundred million dollars apiece that's a lot of simolians left to shovel into the furnace. Then there's a trillion dollars in operation and maintenance costs coming down the pike too.
So going ahead with the F35 is going to be gawdawfully expensive. But it turns out extricating ourselves would probably be shockingly expensive too -- the F35 program was designed so that cancellation would be a Congressional poison pill. There'd be job losses in a majority of member districts, and the Marines would end up with nine amphibious assault ships with no ground assault jets that can fly off them but their old subsonic Harriers. But if they did choose to swallow that pill, that'd leave us locked in the tender embrace of Boeing.
So cancel or continue, there's a lot more left to pay.