Saturated industries often consolidate for vertical integration. Large companies buy smaller competitors, and they also purchase their vertical supply chain to reduce costs and manage dependencies. A classic example is the American car industry, which went from 1500 companies to today's Big Three (and the occasional glitch like Tesla).
If the IT industry is post-inflective, then vertical integration might be happening. This spreadsheet defines the "Vertical Web" as power production, data centers, etc, up to consumer devices and software.
If a mature industry can support three or four major players, ther are some interesting predictions:
Twitter is a natural acquisition target for a couple of the stronger players.
Twitter will not be one of the Big Three (or Four).
Yahoo is a weak player, despite its industry longevity.
Facebook or Amazon will probably emerge as the fourth player, and the loser will be absorbed or parted out. One of the top three may stumble but it seems unlikely at this point. Facebook is the newest and least experienced company.
The Big Three (or Four) will eventually do significant layoffs. If you're a current employee and relatively young, you should think about when this might occur.
Haha. It's the law of transaction costs but on the other party now. Just because computers can cheaply process transactions now doesn't mean people can. The same reason the the restaurant diesn't charge you for salt or sugar packets.
And each worker now has an extra 8 hours to learn stuff, If they desire. Create more positions if you want people To invest time. They will not do it for diminishing Opportunity.
i bought a first-gen with SSD last year, loaded it with ubuntu. it's awesomely fast , simple and light, Iike it far better than my Macbook. Real touch typists know the value of the trackpoint far outweighs Mac's "gestures".
I needed an ISO in 2010 but Microsoft wanted an additional $150 from me so I switched to Ubuntu.
No more Microsoft products for me and quite happy about it. Ubuntu is faster, smaller, easier to backup, restore and I don't have a gigantic company that's purposely looking for ways to ruin my computer or software so I'll have to buy more.
The layoff wasn't much of a surprise. I've been expecting it for a few years and I expect that Apple and Google will follow suit, just not sure of the timeframe. They're all engaged in verticalizing their information equivalent of a supply chain, i.e. an indicator of saturating markets.
here's some numbers and quantified conjecture. the MSFT layoffs were a complete non-surprise to me and I expect to see something similar from Yahoo, Apple and Google, not sure of the timing, though.
The Big Data Crash began about a year ago. Google jiggered the numbers from its own Trends tool sometime earlier this year to disguise it, but you can still still it happening on Indeed.com/jobtrends page. Most likely, they're cutting prices in the face of declining rate-of-increase in demand. i wrote this article about it six months ago -
Today's capitalists are so all-consumed with greed that it's hard to imagine somebody like Henry Ford actually raising wages to his workers could buy mor stuff. Mister Super-Genius Tom Perkins probably can't even imagine an act like that, or imagine reducing the national workweek to 36 hours to force employers to broaden income distribution, which is really how the Great Depression was fixed (48-hour workweek reduced to 40).
Cry me a river when the government takes your obscene wealth away, Tom.
America's IT companies are today's modern-day equivalent to the pre-WW2 German Industrialists. More than happy to clamp diigital handcuffs on their own customers for a few $$$, shove them into electronic cattle cars and ship them off to Information Death Camps.
You can't legislate egos. Young guys always know more than old guys.
I remember two years ago young guys telling me about Mongo and how they were "beyond Codd's rules and integrity contraints".
Of course, now there's a movement to "structure" Mongo. Yuk yuk yuk.
Why, just on this board somebody replied that they were now "beyond design patterns". Yeah, let me know that one works out, kid.
I mean, really, a for loop is a for loop. How hard is that to figure out? Apparently quite hard for younger people who think they invented a new for loop because it's in javascript or erlang.
Slashdot Mirror
http://nodemy-ghost.herokuapp....
Saturated industries often consolidate for vertical integration. Large companies buy smaller competitors, and they also purchase their vertical supply chain to reduce costs and manage dependencies. A classic example is the American car industry, which went from 1500 companies to today's Big Three (and the occasional glitch like Tesla).
If the IT industry is post-inflective, then vertical integration might be happening. This spreadsheet defines the "Vertical Web" as power production, data centers, etc, up to consumer devices and software.
If a mature industry can support three or four major players, ther are some interesting predictions:
Twitter is a natural acquisition target for a couple of the stronger players.
Twitter will not be one of the Big Three (or Four).
Yahoo is a weak player, despite its industry longevity.
Facebook or Amazon will probably emerge as the fourth player, and the loser will be absorbed or parted out. One of the top three may stumble but it seems unlikely at this point. Facebook is the newest and least experienced company.
The Big Three (or Four) will eventually do significant layoffs. If you're a current employee and relatively young, you should think about when this might occur.
Twitter and Facebook are already trying to throw the election for Hillary Clinton
but they need even more censorship to do that?
That's why I use neither.
It's not a resignation if you're moving to another position for more money.
That's called a promotion.
you become, from worrying about retribution.
you can see the trend clearly in the government and large corporations.
http://sikhism.about.com/od/To...
they are a respectable warrior culture with fairly high integrity.
they are not engaged in a jihad against Western culture.
Haha. It's the law of transaction costs but on the other party now. Just because computers can cheaply process transactions now doesn't mean people can. The same reason the the restaurant diesn't charge you for salt or sugar packets.
It's not that hard to figure out.
4 jobs at 40 hours equals 5 jobs at 32 hours.
And each worker now has an extra 8 hours to learn stuff,
If they desire. Create more positions if you want people
To invest time. They will not do it for diminishing
Opportunity.
i bought a first-gen with SSD last year, loaded it with ubuntu. it's awesomely fast , simple and light, Iike it far better than my Macbook. Real touch typists know the value of the trackpoint far outweighs Mac's "gestures".
Too little and far too late.
I needed an ISO in 2010 but Microsoft wanted an additional $150 from me so I switched to Ubuntu.
No more Microsoft products for me and quite happy about it.
Ubuntu is faster, smaller, easier to backup, restore and I don't have a gigantic company that's purposely looking for ways to ruin my computer or software so I'll have to buy more.
also evil.
The layoff wasn't much of a surprise.
I've been expecting it for a few years and I expect that Apple and Google will follow suit,
just not sure of the timeframe. They're all engaged in verticalizing their information
equivalent of a supply chain, i.e. an indicator of saturating markets.
http://nodemy-ghost.herokuapp....
here's some numbers and quantified conjecture.
the MSFT layoffs were a complete non-surprise to me and I expect to see something similar from Yahoo, Apple and Google, not sure of the timing, though.
http://nodemy-ghost.herokuapp....
Information has finite value.
I joined Mensa in 1988 to meet chicks
but they were too weird for me!!!
The Big Data Crash began about a year ago. Google jiggered the numbers from its own Trends tool sometime earlier this year to disguise it, but you can still still it happening on Indeed.com/jobtrends page. Most likely, they're cutting prices in the face of declining rate-of-increase in demand. i wrote this article about it six months ago -
http://nodemy.jit.su/post/TheB...
Today's capitalists are so all-consumed with greed that it's hard to imagine somebody like Henry Ford actually raising wages to his workers could buy mor stuff. Mister Super-Genius Tom Perkins probably can't even imagine an act like that, or imagine reducing the national workweek to 36 hours to force employers to broaden income distribution, which is really how the Great Depression was fixed (48-hour workweek reduced to 40).
Cry me a river when the government takes your obscene wealth away, Tom.
America's IT companies are today's modern-day equivalent to the pre-WW2 German Industrialists. More than happy to clamp diigital handcuffs on their own customers for a few $$$, shove them into electronic cattle cars and ship them off to Information Death Camps.
It has to be designed some way or another, why not Star Trek?
Because the Millennium Falcon had cooler gun bays, that's why!
I kind of wish they'd used the Death Star for greater irony and creepiness.
Suggested experiment: remove all NSA leaders and administration but leave all hardware intact.
Expected result: no significant change.
We'd need a New Tron Bomb for that.
Perhaps NSA chose the wrong movie.
The shark with the fricking laser beam is over at DARPA.
Get yore agencies straight!
I even then only in a programming conferences for apps or interpreted languages.
"Interpreted languages"?!!!
What kind of racist mindset is that, anyway?
If you're paying attention, the consumer IT industry is consolidating along a 'vertical stack integration" strategy.
Check out my Microsoft column for "mobile hardware". :)
http://nodemy.jit.su/post/VerticalStack
You can't legislate egos.
Young guys always know more than old guys.
I remember two years ago young guys telling me about Mongo
and how they were "beyond Codd's rules and integrity contraints".
Of course, now there's a movement to "structure" Mongo.
Yuk yuk yuk.
Why, just on this board somebody replied that they were now "beyond design patterns".
Yeah, let me know that one works out, kid.
I mean, really, a for loop is a for loop.
How hard is that to figure out?
Apparently quite hard for younger people who think they invented a new for loop
because it's in javascript or erlang.
Are you the type that stands there staring at other mens junk? .
Not now when I can disable my camera LED and just film surreptitiously. :)
Apple and Google are rapidly owning their entire vertical infrastructure.
Their own power centers.
Their own data centers
Their own hardware.
Their own mobile.
Facebook is missing a lot of that, although they're (apparently) trying to catch up.
Likewise with Amazon and Microsoft.
Maybe most of the women gamers are lesbian or bi
and like sexy female characters, too?
Maybe they like imagining they are those characters?
Maybe the teen-minded boys like imagining they are those characters, too?
So yeah I'm only a top UNIX syadmin for... 150 year old company so I may be out of the loop. .
Well, if you're a charter member of the company,
you could be out of the loop.