We don't have kings. We can't have them. It is against the Constitu... Nevermind, there is nothing of any authority that says that we can't have kings.
Why does Amazon always pay people thousands of dollars to move into a very expensive area, and then pay them above market rate? (I don't work for Amazon, but it makes the point.) Because labor costs aren't a big deal when you are so well automated.
As long as the revenue per employee is so high... It makes much more sense to pay 200k to bring in 1,000k than to pay 50k to bring in 500k. You make 800k vs. 450k. Paying someone 0 isn't even worth it, because of management overhead. Dealing with people is hard. You deal with computers when you can. No matter how cheap that pay gets, as long as the difference in revenue is greater than the pay difference, it is a no-brainer.
This is why people who know how to automate solutions get paid so much. It isn't about productivity of coding. It is about business-level productivity. The relevant cost is not the cost of labor, but the ability to scale vs. the overhead of managing product and scale, which spreads that cost out until it is almost nothing.
This is why professional services is dying. Throwing people at the problem is a waste of everyone's time. Everything has to be able to work self-service, and at unlimited scale. Everyone doing that is making a ton of money.
I get job candidates that want more than 100k because they are programmers, but they have never automated a thing in their life. They come in after being in several failed startups, complaining about a lack of business plan. I wouldn't even pay them 0 because they bring failure. They don't even know how to do basic sysadmin stuff.
That is why devops is a thing now. The ops part makes the money. The dev is just a means to that end.
I don't believe that we will ever run out of "jobs". Even today, we are nearly fully automated in our survival needs. Even in the 1920s, philosophers were talking about forcing people to only work part time days because automation reduced the need to work to survive, and we are far more productive now than then. But nearly everything is about increased luxury and entertainment, even today. People will keep paying for that forever, even when they don't have to worry about survival.
The only economic issue is that the income inequality is so great that consumers can barely afford to pay for their consumption tech, and can't afford to risk the development of their production capacity. I think nearly everyone should be both consumers and producers. We don't really *need* capitalism or communism or socialism. We just need whatever system we use to share consumption with production. Let's face it. The only productivity issue we face today is environmental issues. We need to go clean, and incentivize that fast. That's it. The rest is just annoying foreign policy stuff that will be resolved when we can share consumption in a clean way, and no one will be incentivized to be violent anymore, even with silly religion memes.
Blackberry Passport has a nice dynamic function row above the physical keyboard, just like this. That combined with the keyboard being also a touchpad meant that I never had to touch viewport area very often. I really enjoyed that. This allows apple to push back against the touchscreen demand, and I like the design. It isn't exactly innovative, but that doesn't mean it isn't good product design. I wished for Blackberry to make a laptop. I guess I got it now?
Well, to be fair, the physical is usually minor news because it usually doesn't involve a brain damaging concussion used as an excuse in relation to a national security investigation. So maybe people would like to know the severity of it, since it relates to past, present, and future performances of her duties. Just a thought.
I have a very strong sense that this is so that they can hire more "family oriented people" (to get their count of women up), still make them work 50 hours a week, and still pay them less, but for not working 80 hours a week.
We are talking about economic fairness between generations, which is indeed generally understandable by looking at the well-documented flow of money between generations.
Straw-man arguments are exactly why I just point to the data these days. Since you are apparently so good at logic, that is all the more reason why you should be looking at the data.
I have been talking about it for 15 years, and there is only one thing I have seen so far that is even going in the right direction.
What is that one thing?
I'm glad you asked. HTM is the first thing that I have seen that comes from the study of how intelligence works in connection to the physiological component.
The importance of the physiological component was first identified by Hermann Helmholtz, the founder of modern physiology. In the 1860s, he came up with a theory for studying any sense system, and basically created a modern aesthetic theory in order to study physiology. He described the aesthetic flow of information from the physical, to the physiological, to the psychological, and was the first to posit that proper psychology needs to interface properly with physiology, and that the philosophical error of ignoring the physiological component is what leads to problems in studying both psychology and physiology.
I found this while actually studying aesthetic theory to develop a proper descriptive music theory. In order to find anything on aesthetic theory, I had to read original sources going back centuries, and found that scientists back then spent a lot of time explaining their philosophical approach, because any major work involved the creation of a new scientific field, and this needed to be explained philosophically to be credible. So nearly all aesthetic theory is tied in with scientific work on the senses, and existentialist philosophy, and most of that is tied to destroying the philosophical error of mind-body duality, which, as you are probably guessing by now, is something that must be done for the field of Artificial Intelligence to make any sense at all.
To this day, the philosophical error of mind-body duality is still blocking a lot of Artificial Intelligence research. When you do not integrate your model of the mind with a model of the body, you can't get past one of the most famous philosophical errors going back thousands of years.
And this, of course, explains my skepticism that humans will be so easily replaced. It would first require a total defeat of the mind-body duality problem, and that has been a struggle dating back thousands of years. Even after it is defeated philosophically, it takes decades for this to produce its output on society. Historically, it takes about 50 years, and that is not limited by knowledge but by the speed that humans *forget*, meaning that people need to *die* for progress to happen. The ironic thing is that, as technology has increased modern lifespans, it has been harder and harder for real paradigm shifts to happen.
I mean, we in the US still can't get over our bad relationship with Russia, simply because not enough politicians have died of old age. The Baby Boomers are still afraid to hand over the reigns of the country. Sorry, I have a tendency to ramble off on tangents. I'll shut up now.
I am confident because I have seen and analyzed the observational data myself. What is it that you want from me? Do you want me to try to persuade you with logic that goes back to premises that we don't agree on? That would be arrogant of me. What use is logic when premises are ignored?
That's why it's good to have absolute numbers, like at census.gov. The National Academy has been citing the data for years with tons of insightful research into which policies are more or less fair. When you have absolute numbers, it is really easy to define fair and equal. Hint: it involves an equals sign.
This is the scientific way to measure fairness, as opposed to the political way of controlling the visibility of contexts to make an argument. Every question you raised rhetorically has a scientific answer that is waiting for you in data that is already freely available, and thousands of people research this, and no one listens to them. It is frustrating to see this. We need fewer lawyers and more scientists in politics.
Neural networks are just tools. There is a huge amount of Natural Intelligence going into Artificial Intelligence, and that is going to be true for a long time. The psychological layer interfaces with a very complex physiological layer, and artificial intelligence is a very long way off from solving those problems. Most of it isn't even going in the right direction. A very select portion of the field is even aware of this kind of issue. I have been talking about it for 15 years, and there is only one thing I have seen so far that is even going in the right direction. Everything else is basically a next-gen statistical approach.
The cruising aspect would be too much of a problem. Can't have a bunch of slow cars driving around. You could just have ZipCar allow cars to be parked in random spots, but only if someone else has agreed to take responsibility for it, otherwise you will have parking ticket issues. But anyway, there seems to be a lot of room for improvement without needing to have 100% automation. Maybe have ZipCar negotiate parking with the city, and a small fleet of people move ZipCars around to where demand is higher.
I think the 100% automation goal is basically a fundraising tactic, since you can tie valuation to the 100% automation assumption. But it is a lot further off than people think. Meanwhile, Amazon is going to be making real, incremental improvements, and not making a big deal about 100% automation, because they just automate what makes sense at any given moment. But Amazon is much more smooth at convincing people that they will be ahead in the end, without needing to trump up this 100% automation claim.
I think Uber thought that they could trump up 100% automation, and use the funds to leverage their way into China, and then realized that economic forces are greater than their imagination. Now they are getting hit with reality day after day. In software, we are used to being divorced from physical limitations, and it seems that Uber is a prime example of the software mentality going a step too far.
They are complaining because their employer is violating the law. Can people not do that anymore?
It is easy to seem entitled when claiming something entitled do you by law. The whole point of laws overriding contracts is because of the leverage problem Adam Smith pointed out in On The Wages of Labor, and continually reaffirmed by the problem of indentured servitude.
The founding documents of capitalism are public domain. Please read them. Then you will understand. These kinds of struggles have been a well-documented aspect of history for centuries. Scientific datasets have been available for centuries. I understand that people aren't generally educated in this history, but it is very easily accessible these days.
It gives me a sense of faith in humanity to see that the generation after me is asserting their rights.
They want things to be fair. Things are currently not in their favor. I refer you to census.gov American Community Survey. Take a look at the data before you speak, please.
"Self-driving" is still going to be driver-assist for a very long time. They are still going to need "drivers" for years, and with the vast number of drivers out there, the politics of allowing vehicles to be driverless is going to be very difficult.
I am all for driver-assist technologies to optimize the base case, but a human will be handling edge cases much better for a long time, especially with driver-assist technologies to help. That is, the tech should optimize the physics problems, and the human should optimize the decision problems. I think a lot of people are going to feel that way for a long time, at least until the infrastructure is actually adapted for automation, rather than humans.
We already have vastly cheaper modes of interstate shipping and travel available in the form of trains, and if money were invested in high-speed rail instead, it would have a far better impact, because it would actually reduce the need for drivers, and be faster than trucks.
There are also a lot of delivery services, and it will take years for the porch delivery aspect to be automated. It is still far cheaper to have a human do that.
Done that. What I found was that political parties are private organizations with political monopolies. You can become a member of one, but all that does is provide them with a mandate. If you find success locally, the national level just funds your opponents.
I agree that it is almost certainly selective altruism, but I think that most altruism is selective in exactly the way I think you mean. But personally, Tim Cook did have a long history of being private about his personal life, having waited until a very demanding time to bring it up. The privacy issue itself came up in a very demanding time. It seems to fit him in this case. But then, I am not the best at reading between the lines, so there is that.
Human traits do propagate to businesses run by humans. Greed is often one of those traits. However, a desire to do good can also be one of those traits. I am not saying that we should inherently trust Tim. I am saying that we shouldn't undermine his argument by assuming that he is being insincere. Accuse him of being a hypocrite for not being concerned about other ethical problems, but the argument that he makes should be evaluated on its merits.
Fingerprinting is defeated. Randomly rotate common values. Non-unique signal with noise. Using a VM is actually a more unique signal, and would easily let you be identified with known techniques involving a small fingerprint with an IP netmask. Better hope you aren't the only one doing deploying that VM-browser combination on your VPN service. Just because you are resetting your state doesn't mean you don't have state. It actually makes your profile more stateful in the long run.
Slashdot Mirror
The data will always find a way out. Just allow registrars to salt records, like what is done with political donations.
We don't have kings. We can't have them. It is against the Constitu... Nevermind, there is nothing of any authority that says that we can't have kings.
I am currently being afflicted more and more with age. Treat it like any other medical fact.
Why does Amazon always pay people thousands of dollars to move into a very expensive area, and then pay them above market rate? (I don't work for Amazon, but it makes the point.) Because labor costs aren't a big deal when you are so well automated.
As long as the revenue per employee is so high... It makes much more sense to pay 200k to bring in 1,000k than to pay 50k to bring in 500k. You make 800k vs. 450k. Paying someone 0 isn't even worth it, because of management overhead. Dealing with people is hard. You deal with computers when you can. No matter how cheap that pay gets, as long as the difference in revenue is greater than the pay difference, it is a no-brainer.
This is why people who know how to automate solutions get paid so much. It isn't about productivity of coding. It is about business-level productivity. The relevant cost is not the cost of labor, but the ability to scale vs. the overhead of managing product and scale, which spreads that cost out until it is almost nothing.
This is why professional services is dying. Throwing people at the problem is a waste of everyone's time. Everything has to be able to work self-service, and at unlimited scale. Everyone doing that is making a ton of money.
I get job candidates that want more than 100k because they are programmers, but they have never automated a thing in their life. They come in after being in several failed startups, complaining about a lack of business plan. I wouldn't even pay them 0 because they bring failure. They don't even know how to do basic sysadmin stuff.
That is why devops is a thing now. The ops part makes the money. The dev is just a means to that end.
I don't believe that we will ever run out of "jobs". Even today, we are nearly fully automated in our survival needs. Even in the 1920s, philosophers were talking about forcing people to only work part time days because automation reduced the need to work to survive, and we are far more productive now than then. But nearly everything is about increased luxury and entertainment, even today. People will keep paying for that forever, even when they don't have to worry about survival.
The only economic issue is that the income inequality is so great that consumers can barely afford to pay for their consumption tech, and can't afford to risk the development of their production capacity. I think nearly everyone should be both consumers and producers. We don't really *need* capitalism or communism or socialism. We just need whatever system we use to share consumption with production. Let's face it. The only productivity issue we face today is environmental issues. We need to go clean, and incentivize that fast. That's it. The rest is just annoying foreign policy stuff that will be resolved when we can share consumption in a clean way, and no one will be incentivized to be violent anymore, even with silly religion memes.
Blackberry Passport has a nice dynamic function row above the physical keyboard, just like this. That combined with the keyboard being also a touchpad meant that I never had to touch viewport area very often. I really enjoyed that. This allows apple to push back against the touchscreen demand, and I like the design. It isn't exactly innovative, but that doesn't mean it isn't good product design. I wished for Blackberry to make a laptop. I guess I got it now?
Well, to be fair, the physical is usually minor news because it usually doesn't involve a brain damaging concussion used as an excuse in relation to a national security investigation. So maybe people would like to know the severity of it, since it relates to past, present, and future performances of her duties. Just a thought.
I have a very strong sense that this is so that they can hire more "family oriented people" (to get their count of women up), still make them work 50 hours a week, and still pay them less, but for not working 80 hours a week.
We are talking about economic fairness between generations, which is indeed generally understandable by looking at the well-documented flow of money between generations.
Straw-man arguments are exactly why I just point to the data these days. Since you are apparently so good at logic, that is all the more reason why you should be looking at the data.
I have been talking about it for 15 years, and there is only one thing I have seen so far that is even going in the right direction.
What is that one thing?
I'm glad you asked. HTM is the first thing that I have seen that comes from the study of how intelligence works in connection to the physiological component.
The importance of the physiological component was first identified by Hermann Helmholtz, the founder of modern physiology. In the 1860s, he came up with a theory for studying any sense system, and basically created a modern aesthetic theory in order to study physiology. He described the aesthetic flow of information from the physical, to the physiological, to the psychological, and was the first to posit that proper psychology needs to interface properly with physiology, and that the philosophical error of ignoring the physiological component is what leads to problems in studying both psychology and physiology.
I found this while actually studying aesthetic theory to develop a proper descriptive music theory. In order to find anything on aesthetic theory, I had to read original sources going back centuries, and found that scientists back then spent a lot of time explaining their philosophical approach, because any major work involved the creation of a new scientific field, and this needed to be explained philosophically to be credible. So nearly all aesthetic theory is tied in with scientific work on the senses, and existentialist philosophy, and most of that is tied to destroying the philosophical error of mind-body duality, which, as you are probably guessing by now, is something that must be done for the field of Artificial Intelligence to make any sense at all.
To this day, the philosophical error of mind-body duality is still blocking a lot of Artificial Intelligence research. When you do not integrate your model of the mind with a model of the body, you can't get past one of the most famous philosophical errors going back thousands of years.
And this, of course, explains my skepticism that humans will be so easily replaced. It would first require a total defeat of the mind-body duality problem, and that has been a struggle dating back thousands of years. Even after it is defeated philosophically, it takes decades for this to produce its output on society. Historically, it takes about 50 years, and that is not limited by knowledge but by the speed that humans *forget*, meaning that people need to *die* for progress to happen. The ironic thing is that, as technology has increased modern lifespans, it has been harder and harder for real paradigm shifts to happen.
I mean, we in the US still can't get over our bad relationship with Russia, simply because not enough politicians have died of old age. The Baby Boomers are still afraid to hand over the reigns of the country. Sorry, I have a tendency to ramble off on tangents. I'll shut up now.
I am confident because I have seen and analyzed the observational data myself. What is it that you want from me? Do you want me to try to persuade you with logic that goes back to premises that we don't agree on? That would be arrogant of me. What use is logic when premises are ignored?
That's why it's good to have absolute numbers, like at census.gov. The National Academy has been citing the data for years with tons of insightful research into which policies are more or less fair. When you have absolute numbers, it is really easy to define fair and equal. Hint: it involves an equals sign.
This is the scientific way to measure fairness, as opposed to the political way of controlling the visibility of contexts to make an argument. Every question you raised rhetorically has a scientific answer that is waiting for you in data that is already freely available, and thousands of people research this, and no one listens to them. It is frustrating to see this. We need fewer lawyers and more scientists in politics.
Neural networks are just tools. There is a huge amount of Natural Intelligence going into Artificial Intelligence, and that is going to be true for a long time. The psychological layer interfaces with a very complex physiological layer, and artificial intelligence is a very long way off from solving those problems. Most of it isn't even going in the right direction. A very select portion of the field is even aware of this kind of issue. I have been talking about it for 15 years, and there is only one thing I have seen so far that is even going in the right direction. Everything else is basically a next-gen statistical approach.
I tried to do the comparison with only one operand. I keep getting an error: "expected expression before ';' token".
Next time, address my clear intention. And again, please do it after reviewing actual data on the subject.
The cruising aspect would be too much of a problem. Can't have a bunch of slow cars driving around. You could just have ZipCar allow cars to be parked in random spots, but only if someone else has agreed to take responsibility for it, otherwise you will have parking ticket issues. But anyway, there seems to be a lot of room for improvement without needing to have 100% automation. Maybe have ZipCar negotiate parking with the city, and a small fleet of people move ZipCars around to where demand is higher.
I think the 100% automation goal is basically a fundraising tactic, since you can tie valuation to the 100% automation assumption. But it is a lot further off than people think. Meanwhile, Amazon is going to be making real, incremental improvements, and not making a big deal about 100% automation, because they just automate what makes sense at any given moment. But Amazon is much more smooth at convincing people that they will be ahead in the end, without needing to trump up this 100% automation claim.
I think Uber thought that they could trump up 100% automation, and use the funds to leverage their way into China, and then realized that economic forces are greater than their imagination. Now they are getting hit with reality day after day. In software, we are used to being divorced from physical limitations, and it seems that Uber is a prime example of the software mentality going a step too far.
They are complaining because their employer is violating the law. Can people not do that anymore?
It is easy to seem entitled when claiming something entitled do you by law. The whole point of laws overriding contracts is because of the leverage problem Adam Smith pointed out in On The Wages of Labor, and continually reaffirmed by the problem of indentured servitude.
The founding documents of capitalism are public domain. Please read them. Then you will understand. These kinds of struggles have been a well-documented aspect of history for centuries. Scientific datasets have been available for centuries. I understand that people aren't generally educated in this history, but it is very easily accessible these days.
It gives me a sense of faith in humanity to see that the generation after me is asserting their rights.
They want things to be fair. Things are currently not in their favor. I refer you to census.gov American Community Survey. Take a look at the data before you speak, please.
That is all years away. Thank about it.
"Self-driving" is still going to be driver-assist for a very long time. They are still going to need "drivers" for years, and with the vast number of drivers out there, the politics of allowing vehicles to be driverless is going to be very difficult.
I am all for driver-assist technologies to optimize the base case, but a human will be handling edge cases much better for a long time, especially with driver-assist technologies to help. That is, the tech should optimize the physics problems, and the human should optimize the decision problems. I think a lot of people are going to feel that way for a long time, at least until the infrastructure is actually adapted for automation, rather than humans.
We already have vastly cheaper modes of interstate shipping and travel available in the form of trains, and if money were invested in high-speed rail instead, it would have a far better impact, because it would actually reduce the need for drivers, and be faster than trucks.
There are also a lot of delivery services, and it will take years for the porch delivery aspect to be automated. It is still far cheaper to have a human do that.
Done that. What I found was that political parties are private organizations with political monopolies. You can become a member of one, but all that does is provide them with a mandate. If you find success locally, the national level just funds your opponents.
I agree that it is almost certainly selective altruism, but I think that most altruism is selective in exactly the way I think you mean. But personally, Tim Cook did have a long history of being private about his personal life, having waited until a very demanding time to bring it up. The privacy issue itself came up in a very demanding time. It seems to fit him in this case. But then, I am not the best at reading between the lines, so there is that.
Human traits do propagate to businesses run by humans. Greed is often one of those traits. However, a desire to do good can also be one of those traits. I am not saying that we should inherently trust Tim. I am saying that we shouldn't undermine his argument by assuming that he is being insincere. Accuse him of being a hypocrite for not being concerned about other ethical problems, but the argument that he makes should be evaluated on its merits.
You are right. Cities shouldn't be involved in infrastructure. Wait, what?
If you have $1000 cash, negotiating a major medical bill just became a whole lot easier, especially since balance billing is usually involved.
This is basically something that was cool in, say 2004? I suppose this is the level of innovation we can expect from google.
Fingerprinting is defeated. Randomly rotate common values. Non-unique signal with noise. Using a VM is actually a more unique signal, and would easily let you be identified with known techniques involving a small fingerprint with an IP netmask. Better hope you aren't the only one doing deploying that VM-browser combination on your VPN service. Just because you are resetting your state doesn't mean you don't have state. It actually makes your profile more stateful in the long run.