Step 1: Read Peter Senge's Fifth discipline Step 2: Understand that the Wii is a perfect example of the Beer distribution game Step 3: Realize that demand is at least ONE ORDER of magnitude smaller than reported.
Case in point: Person X goes to store 1 and asks for a wii, then proceeds to search through store(s) 1-10... they may even place orders at each store... when person X gets a wii, they cancel all other orders. So "10" orders really was 1 order.
If Nintendo attempts to fill the "Billion" in orders, they will greatly overshoot and end up with a flooded market that can't get rid of the damn things. Slow and steady wins this race, a few million in sales lost over the entire potential beats the crap out of overshooting with 100 million dollars worth of hardware sitting on shelves, or ending up in landfills
I remember working in a DoD shop, and we FREQUENTLY built shelf-ware. You'd get involved in the project, and do to the water-fall nature of the requirements, things would change so much (or get finished in time for a better tool to be built). And it went on the shelf. The worst part was you usually found out it was going on a shelf before you completed it, but you HAD to complete it to finish the contract and get some other task that would replace it... it was all very silly.
Seems to me we always seem to be building technology to make old ideas into a reality. I've always felt that all these hands-free interface ideas look like wizards waving their hands around in the air. If they had eye-glass headsup displays, they'd look like they're casting spells or something.
Its not that it is indistinguishable from magic, its that were TRYING to make it look like that.
I personally believe that we should throw a massive party for some of the most intelligent, hard working, well planning individuals on the planet who can successfully deliver delicate instruments into orbit on what amounts to a large bomb, and still get them home safely.
Sounds better than throwing a huge party for a bunch of crappy musicians to give awards to each other for recycled music.
I remember in a democracy seminar I took in college, society as a whole decides who has the right of franchise, and this age frequently denotes the point at which a person is responsible for their actions. This is usually for those who fall under a certain age, and within certain norms and other boundaries. Additionally this is why criminals lose their franchise in the democracy (they "gave it up" when they exceeded a social norm for antisocial behavior).
The discussion came down to why "18"? or "16" (for some things in europe) or "33" (I recall something about Masai and having to travel for an extended period before being able to marry - but could be mistaken)? It was purely based on a social decision, that at a certain age/limit a person is able to enter into a contract with another, and will be held responsible for that agreement.
Sure you can look at brain development to back up your argument after the fact... but its a bit like coming to a conclusion then looking for physical evidence to support it. I believe it is related, but I believe the primary focus is just more fuzzy.
18 is an arbitrary age for responsibility in our society, that is all it is. By consensus, we all pretty much agree 18 is a pretty good marker. Personally, after watching others (and myself), I think 21 should be more appropriate.
dah leet pirates wit millions of $$$ will h4xor your unmanned vessels. duh.
It will work for a while, and then it will just escalate the stakes.
And when you have limitless manual labor, you can afford to send out fishermen that blow up the unmanned vessels. (by holding their family hostage). "Don't mind me, I'm just fishing, see ya later... smile and wave" (boom).
So the modern equivalent is "What I can't see won't eat me"... seems to be the same mistake. More likely, if 99.99% of your senses tell you that you are safe, then worrying about meteors or lightning strikes is a waste of energy.
Plus you gotta think "selfish gene". Is I *feel* "secur-i-ness", I can proceed with making babies... while you're so worried about lions, you fail to impress the ladies.
Color code, or otherwise mark up the text. Personally, I like the color coding even though a percentage of the population might have trouble. Obviously you could do it with electronic documents using tags. or perhaps font changes in print.
Generally the U.N. is pretty good with standards (english for pilots) and lists (like ISO country codes), and very ineffective, well - how about "tedious"... they can be effective if only slow, when politics or "national identity" are involved. This isn't the UN's fault so much as the fact that it is made of people.
So.. As far as the lists go, UN would be great (say.xxx), but very sensitive to getting rid of "identities" like.su or.yu if it can be shown that the domains are offering some kind of cohesive bond between sites.
my 0.02, or at least two cents worth of B.A. in international studies from 11 years ago. In this day and age, probably worthless.
I just don't see why if 1) there are known decompiled versions of it and 2) the network activity can be monitored. why 3) Hasn't code been written to exploit the 'sploit and shut them down. Something that infiltrates, but keeps them running for - oh, say a week - while the exploit percolates through the system, and then kills and patches the running process.
As the owner of a slightly defective valve, I feel encouraged that when the time comes, I'll have my own supply of spare parts. (Or will be able to use loaners while mine are being grown.) Good work, folks!
They don't know you, and by default cannot trust you.
What prevents the government from doing the same to entrap users (even allowing them to proxy, so they can watch their activity).
Bad idea, you have to establish networks of trust first. Someone would only use your server if they got the address from someone they know personally. Well, someone who isn't a complete idiot.
Thats a funny reference, because the same book explains in great detail how to form a large terrorist organization organized by cells - and how to command and control those cells without giving away the leadership.
From what Dad said, they would fly over and bomb during the day, and then fly over at intervals to make sure the roads were "unusable"... so the VC made sure the roads looked unusable.
I'm sure they used more than just shovels, but that was how his story went. He's not the "war story" type, so I tend to believe what he said. He doesn't talk about the whole thing much, thats probably one of 5 stories I've ever heard about vietnam from him.
Never underestimate the power of infinite cheap labor.
My Dad was navigator for a squadron of Recon F-4s (RF-4s - sheep in wolf's clothing) that flew night missions in vietnam. Their job (occasionally) was to take pictures at night of the Ho Chi Mihn trail. The fighter/bombers would bomb the road during the day. The VC would literally drive trucks down the bombed-out road at night. They would have a crew with shovels in front and behind. One crew filled in the craters, the truck would driver over, one crew dug out the craters. If you flew over the next day, the road still looked "bombed out". Infinite cheap or free labor is a powerful thing.
Yep, its me alright.. promise. See the email address K4r1@rove.info - how could it not be me. They'd have to employ a large number of, oh, say journalists to verify each and every participant.
The logical fallacy is "Al qaeda edited these videos"... perhaps it should be stated as "Al qaeda videos have been edited"... you have no idea WHO actually edited them.
Not that I'm pointing fingers or anything. ahem (wag the dog)
I remember this movie! "Hardware" circa 1989. The movie has like 10 different endings, a damn good soundtrack, and lots of bad acting.
Spoiler: Guy finds pieces of a battlebot on the field and gives to his girlfriend to use in her art. Machine rebuilds itself, kills fat stalker (Oh we all walk, the wifferly wafferly walk...), really awesome sex scene, and well, rambles on worse than my post.
I wonder if armed robots fall under geneva conventions.. oh, wait, our administration quit the geneva conventions right before they started "streamlining" our Bill of Rights.
I really feel sorry for a kid that runs across one of these ED-209's
We (Bigattichouse's Vectorspace Database) went through their Linux certification (as well as Grid cert), and they were a pleasure to work with - providing expert advice and patience in every step of the process. Not exactly on topic, I guess, but I thought I'd share.
They really seem to embrace the engineering and spirit of Linux.
Slashdot Mirror
Step 1: Read Peter Senge's Fifth discipline
... they may even place orders at each store... when person X gets a wii, they cancel all other orders. So "10" orders really was 1 order.
Step 2: Understand that the Wii is a perfect example of the Beer distribution game
Step 3: Realize that demand is at least ONE ORDER of magnitude smaller than reported.
Case in point: Person X goes to store 1 and asks for a wii, then proceeds to search through store(s) 1-10
If Nintendo attempts to fill the "Billion" in orders, they will greatly overshoot and end up with a flooded market that can't get rid of the damn things. Slow and steady wins this race, a few million in sales lost over the entire potential beats the crap out of overshooting with 100 million dollars worth of hardware sitting on shelves, or ending up in landfills
I remember working in a DoD shop, and we FREQUENTLY built shelf-ware. You'd get involved in the project, and do to the water-fall nature of the requirements, things would change so much (or get finished in time for a better tool to be built). And it went on the shelf. The worst part was you usually found out it was going on a shelf before you completed it, but you HAD to complete it to finish the contract and get some other task that would replace it... it was all very silly.
Porn will take this technology further than everyone else.
Seems to me we always seem to be building technology to make old ideas into a reality. I've always felt that all these hands-free interface ideas look like wizards waving their hands around in the air. If they had eye-glass headsup displays, they'd look like they're casting spells or something.
Its not that it is indistinguishable from magic, its that were TRYING to make it look like that.
Just a thought.
I personally believe that we should throw a massive party for some of the most intelligent, hard working, well planning individuals on the planet who can successfully deliver delicate instruments into orbit on what amounts to a large bomb, and still get them home safely.
Sounds better than throwing a huge party for a bunch of crappy musicians to give awards to each other for recycled music.
I agree.
I remember in a democracy seminar I took in college, society as a whole decides who has the right of franchise, and this age frequently denotes the point at which a person is responsible for their actions. This is usually for those who fall under a certain age, and within certain norms and other boundaries. Additionally this is why criminals lose their franchise in the democracy (they "gave it up" when they exceeded a social norm for antisocial behavior).
The discussion came down to why "18"? or "16" (for some things in europe) or "33" (I recall something about Masai and having to travel for an extended period before being able to marry - but could be mistaken)? It was purely based on a social decision, that at a certain age/limit a person is able to enter into a contract with another, and will be held responsible for that agreement.
Sure you can look at brain development to back up your argument after the fact... but its a bit like coming to a conclusion then looking for physical evidence to support it. I believe it is related, but I believe the primary focus is just more fuzzy.
18 is an arbitrary age for responsibility in our society, that is all it is. By consensus, we all pretty much agree 18 is a pretty good marker. Personally, after watching others (and myself), I think 21 should be more appropriate.
dah leet pirates wit millions of $$$ will h4xor your unmanned vessels. duh. It will work for a while, and then it will just escalate the stakes. And when you have limitless manual labor, you can afford to send out fishermen that blow up the unmanned vessels. (by holding their family hostage). "Don't mind me, I'm just fishing, see ya later... smile and wave" (boom).
It isn't the bits behind the vest that are the problem anymore (mostly). Its the arms legs and brain that are getting all the damage.
So the modern equivalent is "What I can't see won't eat me" ... seems to be the same mistake. More likely, if 99.99% of your senses tell you that you are safe, then worrying about meteors or lightning strikes is a waste of energy.
Plus you gotta think "selfish gene". Is I *feel* "secur-i-ness", I can proceed with making babies... while you're so worried about lions, you fail to impress the ladies.
As an entrepreneur it would seem logical to me to buy up these votes, and then sell the large blocks - where they could be more effective Mike
Color code, or otherwise mark up the text. Personally, I like the color coding even though a percentage of the population might have trouble. Obviously you could do it with electronic documents using tags. or perhaps font changes in print.
Generally the U.N. is pretty good with standards (english for pilots) and lists (like ISO country codes), and very ineffective, well - how about "tedious"... they can be effective if only slow, when politics or "national identity" are involved. This isn't the UN's fault so much as the fact that it is made of people. So.. As far as the lists go, UN would be great (say .xxx), but very sensitive to getting rid of "identities" like .su or .yu if it can be shown that the domains are offering some kind of cohesive bond between sites.
my 0.02, or at least two cents worth of B.A. in international studies from 11 years ago. In this day and age, probably worthless.
I just don't see why if 1) there are known decompiled versions of it and 2) the network activity can be monitored. why 3) Hasn't code been written to exploit the 'sploit and shut them down. Something that infiltrates, but keeps them running for - oh, say a week - while the exploit percolates through the system, and then kills and patches the running process.
As the owner of a slightly defective valve, I feel encouraged that when the time comes, I'll have my own supply of spare parts. (Or will be able to use loaners while mine are being grown.) Good work, folks!
They don't know you, and by default cannot trust you. What prevents the government from doing the same to entrap users (even allowing them to proxy, so they can watch their activity). Bad idea, you have to establish networks of trust first. Someone would only use your server if they got the address from someone they know personally. Well, someone who isn't a complete idiot.
Thats a funny reference, because the same book explains in great detail how to form a large terrorist organization organized by cells - and how to command and control those cells without giving away the leadership.
Obligatory Heinlein reference "The Moon is a Harsh Mistress"
To paraphrase: When you run out of room, there's always the moon.
From what Dad said, they would fly over and bomb during the day, and then fly over at intervals to make sure the roads were "unusable"... so the VC made sure the roads looked unusable. I'm sure they used more than just shovels, but that was how his story went. He's not the "war story" type, so I tend to believe what he said. He doesn't talk about the whole thing much, thats probably one of 5 stories I've ever heard about vietnam from him.
Never underestimate the power of infinite cheap labor. My Dad was navigator for a squadron of Recon F-4s (RF-4s - sheep in wolf's clothing) that flew night missions in vietnam. Their job (occasionally) was to take pictures at night of the Ho Chi Mihn trail. The fighter/bombers would bomb the road during the day. The VC would literally drive trucks down the bombed-out road at night. They would have a crew with shovels in front and behind. One crew filled in the craters, the truck would driver over, one crew dug out the craters. If you flew over the next day, the road still looked "bombed out". Infinite cheap or free labor is a powerful thing.
Yep, its me alright.. promise. See the email address K4r1@rove.info - how could it not be me. They'd have to employ a large number of, oh, say journalists to verify each and every participant.
always thinking of ways to wage peace with their technology.. not one mention of frictionless bullets.
touché!
The logical fallacy is "Al qaeda edited these videos" ... perhaps it should be stated as "Al qaeda videos have been edited" ... you have no idea WHO actually edited them.
Not that I'm pointing fingers or anything. ahem (wag the dog)
I remember this movie! "Hardware" circa 1989. The movie has like 10 different endings, a damn good soundtrack, and lots of bad acting. Spoiler: Guy finds pieces of a battlebot on the field and gives to his girlfriend to use in her art. Machine rebuilds itself, kills fat stalker (Oh we all walk, the wifferly wafferly walk...), really awesome sex scene, and well, rambles on worse than my post. I wonder if armed robots fall under geneva conventions.. oh, wait, our administration quit the geneva conventions right before they started "streamlining" our Bill of Rights. I really feel sorry for a kid that runs across one of these ED-209's
We (Bigattichouse's Vectorspace Database) went through their Linux certification (as well as Grid cert), and they were a pleasure to work with - providing expert advice and patience in every step of the process. Not exactly on topic, I guess, but I thought I'd share. They really seem to embrace the engineering and spirit of Linux.