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User: apoc.famine

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  1. Re:Irrational exuberance all over again on Tesla Meets Self-Imposed Deadline For Model 3, Rolls Out 7,000 Cars In a Week (cnbc.com) · · Score: 1

    And you claim that with what authority?

    Simple logic. Ford made $8 billion in PROFIT last year on $156 billion in revenue and has a market cap of $40 billion or so. Tesla lost $2 billion on $11 billion in revenue and has a market cap of $60 billion?

    That's hilarious logic right there. You don't even understand that you're not comparing the same thing, do you?

    Further Tesla has shown no credible path whereby they will generate profits superior to Ford's in the future.

    So, what you're saying is that you don't know anything about Tesla. I get it.

    With this level of expertise, I can't imagine why you're not the next Warren Buffet.

  2. Re: Renewable needs baseline + storage to be effec on Westinghouse AP1000 Nuclear Reactor Starts Generating Power (world-nuclear-news.org) · · Score: 1

    Are you saying Hydro (e.g. pumped storage with pumping powered by Solar) isn't "green"?

    No, it's not really green. Greener than fossil fuels, for sure, but dams have a massive carbon footprint and a massive ecological footprint.

    Concrete production is one of the most CO2 intensive activities that humans undertake. Dams take a massive amount of concrete to build.

    Damming a river also changes the environment substantially, and can also release a lot of CO2. If you drown all the vegetation for miles, all that stored carbon is released as it decomposes. The new lake can also speed decomposition of anything that ends up in it, whereas it might decompose a lot slower if it was somewhere dry.

    Granted, the CO2 release is most intense during the construction and first few years of a dam's life, but during that time dams do directly generate a lot of CO2.

  3. (every launch is a one-off, using disposable rockets designed primarily for orbital missions)

    You've missed that little company called SpaceX, huh? Are you aware that something like 15% of the rockets launched worldwide so far this year have been completed on reused rockets?

  4. A lot of the CO2 emissions are during construction. Concrete production is one of the major CO2 sources in the world, and nuclear power plants take an insane amount of concrete to build. Once they're built and the uranium is mined, they're pretty much releasing no CO2.

    Hydroelectric power is another surprising producer of CO2, for the same reason.

  5. Sure, but one key point that a lot of people are missing is that he's playing a numbers game to keep production numbers down as well as a numbers game to keep them up. Now that they're out of Q2 he doesn't have to keep the production numbers down to retain the tax incentive anymore.

    It had to expire at some point, because it's based on the total number of cars sold, but the pressure was to avoid doing hitting that mark at the end of a quarter which would trigger the incentive to laps starting the next quarter. Now they're poised to hit that number early this quarter, but all of the cars sold will have the incentive until Q4 starts. So the pressure now is to crank out as many cars as possible, to meet the Q3 demand which will probably lower in Q4 due to the lack of incentive.

    Where you're curious to see if they can even make 5k/week, I'm curious to see how much they've been holding back. My guess is that it's quite a lot, and I wouldn't be surprised to see 7k/week in Model 3s by August.

  6. Re:Short selling is fine on Tesla Meets Self-Imposed Deadline For Model 3, Rolls Out 7,000 Cars In a Week (cnbc.com) · · Score: 1

    When a stock is as irrationally over priced as Tesla...

    And you claim that with what authority?

    I'm not entirely disagreeing, but I'm not willing to make the claim that it's "irrationally over priced", because Tesla is in a position that few companies have ever been in. As they ramp up their volume, they're quite possibly going to drive one or more established auto makers out of business.

    Look at Ford. They're discontinuing all of their auto lines in the US except their trucks, the Focus hatchback, and the Mustang. All of the rest, gone. The rest of the Focus models gone, along with the lines for Fusion,Taurus, CMax, Fiesta, which are joining the Crown Vic and Thunderbird in the dust heap of history. That means that Ford isn't competing with Tesla on electric vehicles. Either they know they can't compete, or they've entirely misread the market for electric vehicles.

    Tesla has already sold pretty much all of the vehicles it will produce this year, and maybe next year, without sales people, showrooms or a national advertising campaign. Think about that for a moment. They sell a software upgrade which costs them $0 for $5k in pure profit. Their margins are higher than any other car maker. And they don't require three dealerships in any medium sized city, and one in every moderate sized town to do it.

    Yes, compared to the established car companies, Tesla's valuation looks insane. But I'm not really sure you can compare them to those dinosaurs. You make the claim that it's "irrationally over priced", but looking at who is holding Tesla stock, my guess is you're the one who doesn't understand the market.

  7. Re:And you would enthusiastically buy one of the c on Tesla Meets Self-Imposed Deadline For Model 3, Rolls Out 7,000 Cars In a Week (cnbc.com) · · Score: 1

    Can you provide any evidence for this?

    I ask, because a) they shut down twice this month to retool and reconfigure assembly lines, and b) the production rate has steadily risen. It's not like they doubled production for a week out of the blue.

    An "all-hands-on-deck sprint" sounds like the standard bullshit that the people in short positions have chronically been pushing over the last year or so. Are you one of those people, or do you have evidence to back up your claim?

  8. Re:Excessive Money Grubbing by Government on Mumbai Bans Plastic Bags, Bottles, and Single-Use Plastic Containers (theguardian.com) · · Score: 1

    No, it did not. You only think that because you've externalized the cost of disposing of single use plastic on the world/environment. Charge the appropriate fee for proper disposal, and it's likely this would be a money saving change.

  9. That's hilarious. Do you have any idea how many jobs there are available in academia? Not many. The issue is that if you do what you love, what's the incentive to stop? There's a reason that the average age of professors always hovers in the 50s and 60s. It's not uncommon to find semi-retired professors still kicking around well into their 70s teaching one or two classes they love.

  10. Ditto. I could make far more money if I was willing to sacrifice my life for it, but I'm not. When I look for jobs, I make it clear that I value a solid work-life balance.

    My work flatlines after about 30 hours. I get paid to solve hard problems. That's not something you can just do for 50-60 hours every week. I don't do assembly-line work. If that's what you need done, I'm not the person you want to hire.

    Yes, it limits my job opportunities and my pay, but I'm pretty damn happy with my life because of it.

  11. Re:Clearly, the inmates are running the asylum on Trump Officials Planning Escalation of US-China Tech Trade War (arstechnica.com) · · Score: 1

    If you look at the trade balances between the U.S and the countries/blocks Trump has so far threatened or actually started a trade war with you can see that they all have a trade imbalance in their favor.

    A) That's false. We have a surplus with Canada. B)That only works if you engage in limited accounting. For one, ignoring services, especially financial investments, skews the overall perception of what value we're getting for the trade surplus. For another, If a US industry needs a product that is part of that trade surplus, we don't count the financial impact of that against the dollar value of the surplus.

    Simply focusing on the straight dollar amount of the trade imbalance is an overly simplistic thing to do. It's far more complicated than that, which is why everyone who's name doesn't end with Trump is against this plan.

  12. Not only did you mechanically fail on the quote, you entirely missed the story behind this ban. Now go watch the episode on youtube and get unwhooshed.

  13. Re:It'll take a show with a larger audience to mat on China Blocks HBO After John Oliver's Last Week Tonight Mockery of Xi Jinping (scmp.com) · · Score: 2, Insightful

    When you're not very smart, complicated things are not funny or fun to learn about. Oliver tends to be pretty educational on complicated topics, so I can see how there'd be a subset of the population which would find that frustrating.

    Additionally, if you're a rabid believer of anything, someone attacking that thing can feel like an attack on you. And that's not funny. If you can't honestly engage with reality, I can see how Oliver wouldn't be funny as he likely is attacking one of the stupid things you really are passionate about.

  14. China just needs to grin and bear it.

  15. Re:Can someone wipe my phone? on Apple Refutes Hacker's Claim He Could Break iPhone Passcode Limit (cnet.com) · · Score: 1

    Some jackass can also grab your phone and toss it in the toilet, or smash it. How is this different?

    If someone has physical access to your device, yes, they can destroy the data on it. In many different and exciting ways.

  16. Re:So what, who cares? on Burger Robot Startup Opens First Restaurant (techcrunch.com) · · Score: 1

    If you require smarts and agency for food prep, I'm guessing you don't own a toaster, right? Because only a human with enough smarts to give a fuck could make adequate toast. Or coffee. Or popcorn.

    Why would it need to understand what it's doing? One part of this thing is a toaster. I'm assuming that you're ok with that part of the automation. Why not the slicing of veg? The grilling of meat? It's the same thing.

  17. I really feel that not having the attention span to read/write a few solid paragraphs is a huge problem with the world today. You don't get the rapid spread of misinformation that way. You don't get people who understand only part of the discussion that way. Not being able to sit down and write some long, coherent passages significantly reduces your ability to share your thoughts. Not being able to sit down and read said passages limits your ability to understand the world.

    See also: the medium is the message.

    So "Jonathan Schwartz @OpenJonathan 11h" repeated 10 times is the message? Or are the icons showing shares and retweets repeated 10 times the message? Or is it the giant, distracting background that you can easily see because someone decided to limit the text width to 1/3 of the page is the message?

    None of that is message. It's 100% distractor from the message.

    Here's a site tackling the same subject: https://www.discountdrugnetwor...

    I find that far more readable than the thread of 10 twitter posts you linked to. I can't fathom how one would prefer that stupid and poorly formatted thread of micro-thoughts to actual writing.

  18. Re:These surveys rarely make sense! on That Tablet On The Table At Your Favorite Restaurant Is Hurting Your Waiter (buzzfeed.com) · · Score: 1

    As much as I hate this sort of thing, that's an issue with management, not with the survey or delivery mechanism. Place blame where it should lie. And if you're an employee, why would you put up with management that incompetent?

  19. Re:I guess the places I go to on That Tablet On The Table At Your Favorite Restaurant Is Hurting Your Waiter (buzzfeed.com) · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Yep. I wish we could get editors who would not just blithely copy click-bait headlines.

    That Tablet On The Table At Your Favorite Restaurant Is Hurting Your Waiter ....In data-hungry, tech-happy chain restaurants...

    Like you, I've never seen a tablet at a restaurant. But then again, I don't go to chain restaurants.

    How god damn hard would it be to just write an honest headline like, "Waiters at restaurants using tablets for ordering hurt by diner ratings." or "Waiters rated by diners electronically see hours cut".

  20. What's even more damning to Uber is that they previously found out that the car detected the pedestrian something like 6 seconds before the crash, but wasn't configured to autobrake or potentially to even give a warning that it sensed that condition.

    If you don't even have autobraking worked out, why would you be testing an autonomous car anywhere but a private track? You'd need to be an immoral company who thinks that laws are an inconvenience to make that sort of a decision.

  21. What the fuck is wrong with people? That's pretty unreadable garbage. Why do you prefer a dozen different snippits with all the clutter of single tweets around them interspersed with images that don't add to the conversation to a couple of dense paragraphs? For fucks sake, the content doesn't even take up 1/3 the width of the page, so it's even longer and harder to read than it has to be.

    It just blows my mind that people not only accept this, but prefer it.

    If you want to write a couple of paragraphs, twitter is not the medium you should be using. And if you want to have any sort of reasonable information flowing between you and your readers, you need a length that gets measured in paragraphs.

  22. Is that a bug or a feature?

  23. Re:Anyone know on The World's Smallest Computer Can Fit on the Tip of a Grain of Rice (vice.com) · · Score: 1

    Skip a bit, brother....

  24. Re:Most important Ubuntu desktop metrics on Ubuntu Makes Public Desktop Metrics (ubuntu.com) · · Score: 1

    So something that is fully compatible and with comparable output to Caesar II (for piping) STAAD or RISA for structural, AutoCAD, Plant 3D, REVIT for CAD, Inventor and Solidworks for 3D modeling.

    That's fucking hilarious. Allow me to quote the relevant part back to you:

    Spoken as someone who is completely out of touch with the normal workforce.

  25. Re:Now, fries, drinks, shakes, etc on Burger Robot Startup Opens First Restaurant (techcrunch.com) · · Score: 1

    However, I'd rather fast food make ordering kiosks their priority. It would eliminate a major source of error and confusion.

    Especially if you could visually display the order! It shouldn't be too hard to have an image for all the stuff you'd put on a burger, and show what the person is configuring. Dominos already does this with their pizzas.

    The cost of implementing that would vastly reduce overhead, both in terms of staff taking orders and resolving errors. You could even do a "no refunds or exchanges" with that, because the customer knew exactly what they were getting and pressed OK. (Assuming they got what they ordered.)

    The lack of automation of fries I am also really surprised at as well. One chain near me advertises that their fries are "hand cut" like that's some badge of honor. They just have a fry press. The staff grab a washed potato, throw it into the bin, and pull the lever. The potato gets cut by the blades and falls into a bowl. There is no reason that a pressure sensor and a small electric motor couldn't do exactly the same thing.