Did someone evaluate whether it was because there were more false right-leaning stories being posted?
Of course there are. The right has been much faster to adopt post truth politics. I used to live in eastern Tennessee and have plenty of alt-right relatives, and I am amazed at some of the nonsense they are willing to believe, and how immune they are to factual information. For instance, my idiot brother-in-law has emailed me petitions 3 times to stop atheist activist Madalyn Murray O'Hare from banning any mention of God on TV, despite the fact that I have told him each time that 1) Her name is spelled "O'Hair", 2) She has no authority over what is on TV, 3) She has been dead for more than 20 years. None of that matters to him, and now he thinks I am part of the God denying conspiracy.
Wait so people found his blatant lying refreshingly truthful?
Yes.
What mental contortions did you have ot jump through to come up with that?
None. Like I said, I didn't vote for him. But I have talked to many people that did. They know he is lying, but they don't care, and they don't expect him to follow through on what he literally said. So by pointing out his lies, you are just talking past his supporters. You need to get out of your bubble, and talk to some of your fellow citizens. How many Trump supporters do you know? Have you talked to them?
Maybe then people will finally come to realize what the iPhone really costs.
The labor cost of an iPhone is small, and going down as automation gets better. Most estimates put the labor cost of assembling an iPhone at less than $10. American manufacturing labor is about 5 times as expensive, so Americans will earn $50 assembling them, right? Wrong. Americans are more productive, by at least a factor of 2, and there will be greater incentive for automation. So the cost may be about $20, for a marginal cost increase of $10. But that will still lower unemployment in America, right? Maybe. If Americans spend an extra $10 on an iPhone, they have $10 less to spend on other things, reducing demand and lowering employment. These lost jobs will be spread through the economy, so you can't point to one person and say "this guy lost his job to protectionism", but the job losses are still real.
Then there is the issue of retaliation. If we put barriers on Chinese goods, they will put barriers on American goods. China is the world's biggest market for new aircraft, and a lot of Boeing jobs in Seattle will become Airbus jobs in Toulouse, and later Comac jobs in Shanghai.
So we will have fewer $80k/yr jobs making carbon fiber composite aircraft wings, and more $15k/yr jobs making plastic toys for Walmart. The $80k jobs support a lot more service jobs, as that employee spends his money. As production jobs shift to lower productivity and lower pay, many service jobs will disappear.
If a real trade war gets going, it is also possible that the US dollar will lose its status as the world's reserve currency, with big negative consequences for the American economy.
Protectionism is not a "new idea". It has been tried many, many times throughout history. It has never worked out well, and it won't this time either.
Doesn't a market disappearing look the same as having a lower demand for the product, and thus drive costs *down* as companies need to offload surplus?
No. Classical supply and demand apply only when supply is limited and marginal costs go up with more demand. So if you are growing corn, and the demand goes up, then farmers will put marginal land into production, increasing costs and driving up prices. For mass produced items, increased demand may cause a short spike in prices, but in the long term push prices down as costs are lower through increased economies of scale.
iPhone, since a few of their own corporations make some not-insubstantial cash from manufacturing the things...
The labor cost of an iPhone 7 is estimated to be about $5. About $220 is parts. The rest is marginal profit. If Apple is forced to shift production to America, and Chinese buy Xiaomi phones instead, it will hurt America far more than it will hurt China.
He is already reversing course on all the rhetoric used to rile up the populist vote.
Trump's supporters don't expect him to follow through on the literal statements he made during the campaign. Only his detractors took him literally. When he promised to build a wall, his supporters were not expecting a physical wall, just that they would finally see a politician take illegal immigration seriously.
Disclaimer: I didn't vote for Trump, but I know plenty of people that did, mostly relatives.
That matters to Slashdotters, but to almost no one else. Neither politicians, nor normal voters, consider "IP" to be an important issue. The people that voted for Trump don't care, and likely don't even know, about the IP provisions. The are just sick of foreigners "stealing their jobs". They look at TPP as "another NAFTA" (which is not true).
So why did democrats want it, and republicans not want it?
Mostly, that is not true. Most congressional Republicans support trade agreements, and most congressional Democrats oppose them. The public is generally opposed, and less educated people are more likely to be opposed. There are two reasons for this: 1) Low income people are more likely to lose their jobs to trade, and 2) it is "simple and obvious" that buying stuff from China is worse than making it in America, and the reasons why that is wrong are complicated and require thinking.
It was widely presumed that TPP would pass in the lame duck session for two reasons: 1) Hillary Clinton would be the next president, and 2) the Republicans would lose control of the Senate. Neither of these happened. So now the Democrats aren't supporting TPP because they are generally protectionist, and the Republicans aren't supporting it either because Trump campaigned against it, and they don't want to be seen opposing their own president-elect.
1 who's my customer 2 What does he or she actually want.
What you mention are not programming problems.
I am a programmer and I deal with these two issues way more than any problems with multi-threading and NP-completeness. Multi-threading isn't that hard if you have some experience and a good library. NP-Completeness is more of a math problem than a programming problem. For programming, there is no optimal way to do NP-complete, so you just use a heuristic for a "good enough" solution.
exactly the same devastating effect on party unity that the Tea Party had.
So you mean they would win the presidency, the senate, and house of representatives, the supreme court, and 2/3rds of the state governments. The Republicans will soon control all of these.
He got less than 1% of the vote from his own party, and he has a lot of dirt that wasn't exposed because he was too insignificant to matter. For instance, he is a worse misogynist than Trump. Trump made plenty of off-hand sexist remarks, but Webb eloquently argued for sexist policies such as booting women out of the service academies.
Yes, under different rules the candidates would have campaigned differently. But the voters would have also voted differently. I live in California, and I cast a protest vote for Gary Johnson, secure in the knowledge that my vote didn't matter anyway. In a popular vote system, I would have voted for one of the big two. Gary got about 3%, enough to easily swing the election.
They came here a few times for fund raisers. But they didn't campaign here, and (more importantly) they ran ZERO political ads here. I love having my vote not count. Please keep the Electoral College as it is!
I doubt it, the Democrats wouldn't be stupid enough to try Corruptillary again.
Who else will they pick? Bernie will be 79. Tim Kaine is too centrist to win in the primaries. Trump would love to run against Elizabeth Warren. The Democrats have a very weak bench.
Appalachia is a poor location for almost any industry. It would be more cost effective to pay the coal miners to move elsewhere, and then turn Appalachia into a really big national park.
Disclaimer: I used to live in Appalachia. I got out when I was 18 the same way many other young men leave: by enlisting in the military. Now I live in California. I miss the forests and the mountains, but not much else.
people who push for some sort of Utopia should read the original book of that name.
I had to read it in high school. When my teacher asked which country came the closest to the utopian society described by Thomas More, I said either a Nazi concentration camp or a Soviet gulag. I didn't do well in that class.
Lots of liberals said the same thing back in 1980 when a B-movie actor was elected president.
He was re-elected in 1984 with one of the biggest landslides in history.
Over the past year, many people have underestimated Donald Trump... "he will flame out before the Iowa Caucus", "he can't survive Super Tuesday", "he can't win over moderate Republicans in the upper midwest", "he is leading the Republican Party into the wilderness", "he doesn't stand a chance against Hillary". So far, they have all been wrong.
I have met Peter a few times, and listened to him talk many times. He is certainly weird, but I don't think he is creepy. He has a lot of original idea and insights, although many of them are... well, weird... like his idea to start an independent libertarian utopia on an ocean platform. He is a self-described libertarian, so I was surprised to see him endorse Donald. But the American people voted for change, and if Peter lands a spot in Trump's administration, it certainly won't be business as usual.
How is solving a rubik's cube ANYTHING like self driving?
It isn't. Solving Rubiks Cube is trivial. Anybody can learn to do it, and many people can solve a randomized cube in under a minute.
A computer can find the solution in a few microseconds. The hard part isn't finding the solution in software, but building a mechanical contraption to rapidly twist the cube without breaking it. This is an achievement in mechanical engineering, not software. TFA completely skipped over the substance to focus on the trivial.
Pedophiles fear many things. If they seek psychiatric help, the doctor is required to report them. So they stay untreated in the shadows. Other countries are more enlightened. In Japan, pedophiles can buy child-sized sex dolls. Although data is scarce, the dolls appear to provide a release for their predilection and reduce offenses against actual children. This is unlikely to happen in America, but soon we will have a sexual predator as our president, so maybe he will be more empathetic.
you could have more than one if you wanted to pay heavy fines.
My wife is Chinese, and her brother wanted a 2nd kid back in 2003, when the "fine" was 5000 RMB, or about $700. I gave him the money, and they had a daughter a year later. She is 12 years old now, and is the world's nicest niece. It was the best $700 I ever spent.
Did someone evaluate whether it was because there were more false right-leaning stories being posted?
Of course there are. The right has been much faster to adopt post truth politics. I used to live in eastern Tennessee and have plenty of alt-right relatives, and I am amazed at some of the nonsense they are willing to believe, and how immune they are to factual information. For instance, my idiot brother-in-law has emailed me petitions 3 times to stop atheist activist Madalyn Murray O'Hare from banning any mention of God on TV, despite the fact that I have told him each time that 1) Her name is spelled "O'Hair", 2) She has no authority over what is on TV, 3) She has been dead for more than 20 years. None of that matters to him, and now he thinks I am part of the God denying conspiracy.
Wait so people found his blatant lying refreshingly truthful?
Yes.
What mental contortions did you have ot jump through to come up with that?
None. Like I said, I didn't vote for him. But I have talked to many people that did. They know he is lying, but they don't care, and they don't expect him to follow through on what he literally said. So by pointing out his lies, you are just talking past his supporters. You need to get out of your bubble, and talk to some of your fellow citizens. How many Trump supporters do you know? Have you talked to them?
Maybe then people will finally come to realize what the iPhone really costs.
The labor cost of an iPhone is small, and going down as automation gets better. Most estimates put the labor cost of assembling an iPhone at less than $10. American manufacturing labor is about 5 times as expensive, so Americans will earn $50 assembling them, right? Wrong. Americans are more productive, by at least a factor of 2, and there will be greater incentive for automation. So the cost may be about $20, for a marginal cost increase of $10. But that will still lower unemployment in America, right? Maybe. If Americans spend an extra $10 on an iPhone, they have $10 less to spend on other things, reducing demand and lowering employment. These lost jobs will be spread through the economy, so you can't point to one person and say "this guy lost his job to protectionism", but the job losses are still real.
Then there is the issue of retaliation. If we put barriers on Chinese goods, they will put barriers on American goods. China is the world's biggest market for new aircraft, and a lot of Boeing jobs in Seattle will become Airbus jobs in Toulouse, and later Comac jobs in Shanghai.
So we will have fewer $80k/yr jobs making carbon fiber composite aircraft wings, and more $15k/yr jobs making plastic toys for Walmart. The $80k jobs support a lot more service jobs, as that employee spends his money. As production jobs shift to lower productivity and lower pay, many service jobs will disappear.
If a real trade war gets going, it is also possible that the US dollar will lose its status as the world's reserve currency, with big negative consequences for the American economy.
Protectionism is not a "new idea". It has been tried many, many times throughout history. It has never worked out well, and it won't this time either.
Doesn't a market disappearing look the same as having a lower demand for the product, and thus drive costs *down* as companies need to offload surplus?
No. Classical supply and demand apply only when supply is limited and marginal costs go up with more demand. So if you are growing corn, and the demand goes up, then farmers will put marginal land into production, increasing costs and driving up prices. For mass produced items, increased demand may cause a short spike in prices, but in the long term push prices down as costs are lower through increased economies of scale.
iPhone, since a few of their own corporations make some not-insubstantial cash from manufacturing the things...
The labor cost of an iPhone 7 is estimated to be about $5. About $220 is parts. The rest is marginal profit. If Apple is forced to shift production to America, and Chinese buy Xiaomi phones instead, it will hurt America far more than it will hurt China.
So he lied?
All politicians lie. His were just more blatant. He didn't even pretend to tell the truth. Many people found his honesty about lying to be refreshing.
Were anything of the things he said true?
Yes, some of the things he said were true. For instance, he said that the polls were wrong.
he is just going to follow the establishment path on globalisation?
He has effectively already killed TPP. That is not at all what the establishment wanted.
He is already reversing course on all the rhetoric used to rile up the populist vote.
Trump's supporters don't expect him to follow through on the literal statements he made during the campaign. Only his detractors took him literally. When he promised to build a wall, his supporters were not expecting a physical wall, just that they would finally see a politician take illegal immigration seriously.
Disclaimer: I didn't vote for Trump, but I know plenty of people that did, mostly relatives.
TPP is a secret deal written by the RIAA and MPAA
That matters to Slashdotters, but to almost no one else. Neither politicians, nor normal voters, consider "IP" to be an important issue. The people that voted for Trump don't care, and likely don't even know, about the IP provisions. The are just sick of foreigners "stealing their jobs". They look at TPP as "another NAFTA" (which is not true).
So why did democrats want it, and republicans not want it?
Mostly, that is not true. Most congressional Republicans support trade agreements, and most congressional Democrats oppose them. The public is generally opposed, and less educated people are more likely to be opposed. There are two reasons for this: 1) Low income people are more likely to lose their jobs to trade, and 2) it is "simple and obvious" that buying stuff from China is worse than making it in America, and the reasons why that is wrong are complicated and require thinking.
It was widely presumed that TPP would pass in the lame duck session for two reasons: 1) Hillary Clinton would be the next president, and 2) the Republicans would lose control of the Senate. Neither of these happened. So now the Democrats aren't supporting TPP because they are generally protectionist, and the Republicans aren't supporting it either because Trump campaigned against it, and they don't want to be seen opposing their own president-elect.
TPP is dead.
1 who's my customer
2 What does he or she actually want.
What you mention are not programming problems.
I am a programmer and I deal with these two issues way more than any problems with multi-threading and NP-completeness. Multi-threading isn't that hard if you have some experience and a good library. NP-Completeness is more of a math problem than a programming problem. For programming, there is no optimal way to do NP-complete, so you just use a heuristic for a "good enough" solution.
exactly the same devastating effect on party unity that the Tea Party had.
So you mean they would win the presidency, the senate, and house of representatives, the supreme court, and 2/3rds of the state governments.
The Republicans will soon control all of these.
They could have beat him this time with Jim Webb
He got less than 1% of the vote from his own party, and he has a lot of dirt that wasn't exposed because he was too insignificant to matter. For instance, he is a worse misogynist than Trump. Trump made plenty of off-hand sexist remarks, but Webb eloquently argued for sexist policies such as booting women out of the service academies.
Yes, under different rules the candidates would have campaigned differently. But the voters would have also voted differently. I live in California, and I cast a protest vote for Gary Johnson, secure in the knowledge that my vote didn't matter anyway. In a popular vote system, I would have voted for one of the big two. Gary got about 3%, enough to easily swing the election.
How many times did Clinton or Trump go to CA?
They came here a few times for fund raisers. But they didn't campaign here, and (more importantly) they ran ZERO political ads here. I love having my vote not count. Please keep the Electoral College as it is!
I doubt it, the Democrats wouldn't be stupid enough to try Corruptillary again.
Who else will they pick? Bernie will be 79. Tim Kaine is too centrist to win in the primaries. Trump would love to run against Elizabeth Warren. The Democrats have a very weak bench.
Appalachia is a poor location for almost any industry. It would be more cost effective to pay the coal miners to move elsewhere, and then turn Appalachia into a really big national park.
Disclaimer: I used to live in Appalachia. I got out when I was 18 the same way many other young men leave: by enlisting in the military. Now I live in California. I miss the forests and the mountains, but not much else.
How many years before the gas runs out- 5 years, 10 years?
Most estimates are that America has at least enough to last a century at current usage rates.
As more areas are explored, and recovery techniques are improved, that estimate is likely to grow.
There are plenty of good reasons to stop using fossil fuels, but "we are running out" isn't one of them.
people who push for some sort of Utopia should read the original book of that name.
I had to read it in high school. When my teacher asked which country came the closest to the utopian society described by Thomas More, I said either a Nazi concentration camp or a Soviet gulag. I didn't do well in that class.
He's already planning to bring coal burning back
Coal isn't dying because of politics. It is dying because of cheap shale gas. Coal is not coming back.
Good. I want the Republicans to go all in
Lots of liberals said the same thing back in 1980 when a B-movie actor was elected president.
He was re-elected in 1984 with one of the biggest landslides in history.
Over the past year, many people have underestimated Donald Trump ... "he will flame out before the Iowa Caucus", "he can't survive Super Tuesday", "he can't win over moderate Republicans in the upper midwest", "he is leading the Republican Party into the wilderness", "he doesn't stand a chance against Hillary". So far, they have all been wrong.
is he really that weird and creepy?
I have met Peter a few times, and listened to him talk many times. He is certainly weird, but I don't think he is creepy. He has a lot of original idea and insights, although many of them are ... well, weird ... like his idea to start an independent libertarian utopia on an ocean platform. He is a self-described libertarian, so I was surprised to see him endorse Donald. But the American people voted for change, and if Peter lands a spot in Trump's administration, it certainly won't be business as usual.
Solves -which- permutation of a Rubik's cube in less than a second? Every single one? How can they prove that before the end of the universe?
It has been proven that 20 moves suffice to solve Rubik's Cube from any starting position.
If you restrict each move to a quarter turn, then 26 moves suffice.
The proof only took 35 years of CPU time.
How is solving a rubik's cube ANYTHING like self driving?
It isn't. Solving Rubiks Cube is trivial. Anybody can learn to do it, and many people can solve a randomized cube in under a minute.
A computer can find the solution in a few microseconds. The hard part isn't finding the solution in software, but building a mechanical contraption to rapidly twist the cube without breaking it. This is an achievement in mechanical engineering, not software. TFA completely skipped over the substance to focus on the trivial.
Pedophiles fear many things. If they seek psychiatric help, the doctor is required to report them. So they stay untreated in the shadows. Other countries are more enlightened. In Japan, pedophiles can buy child-sized sex dolls. Although data is scarce, the dolls appear to provide a release for their predilection and reduce offenses against actual children. This is unlikely to happen in America, but soon we will have a sexual predator as our president, so maybe he will be more empathetic.
you could have more than one if you wanted to pay heavy fines.
My wife is Chinese, and her brother wanted a 2nd kid back in 2003, when the "fine" was 5000 RMB, or about $700. I gave him the money, and they had a daughter a year later. She is 12 years old now, and is the world's nicest niece. It was the best $700 I ever spent.