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User: ShanghaiBill

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  1. Re:We need to kill nafta 2.0 on The Case Against Ratifying the Trans Pacific Partnership (michaelgeist.ca) · · Score: 1

    It is easy to see the losers from free trade. America has no more textile mills, and those jobs are gone. But I work for a tech company and 70% of our revenue comes from foreign customers. For most tech companies, that is typical. So, if you are a nerd, one of the jobs created from free trade is likely YOUR job.

  2. Re:We need to kill nafta 2.0 on The Case Against Ratifying the Trans Pacific Partnership (michaelgeist.ca) · · Score: 1

    We need to kill nafta 2.0 as the first one killed a lot of jobs

    NAFTA was a treaty between America, Canada, and Mexico. The citizens of ALL THREE countries believe that they got shafted, and all the benefits went to the other two. Logically, at least two of them must be wrong. Most economists believe that all three are wrong, and NAFTA was a net benefit to all participants.

    Today, Mexican tortillas are made with America corn (maize). How can a Mexican peasant with a hoe possibly compete with an combine in Iowa that can cut a 30 foot swathe through a field? So poor Mexican must be the biggest losers from NAFTA, right? That is the way the Mexican see it. Of course, this is nonsense. Mexican cornfields have been converted to mango and avocado orchards, with are much more profitable and create far more jobs than corn. The same is true in America: some jobs are gone, but other jobs have been created.

  3. Re:I've got a great business idea!!!1 on China Criticizes Subsidized Ride-Hailing Apps As Anti-Competitive (thestack.com) · · Score: 1

    They'll be back on the street inside of a month.

    They will be back much quicker than that, because they will never be off the street. In most countries Uber competes with taxis. But in China, the taxi drivers are Uber drivers, and also Didi Diche drivers. Nearly every taxi driver has a smart phone will all the apps, as well as a meter. They take riders from any source. Most urban taxi passengers also have all the apps. I can't see how any of these services can "drive out" any other, since there is near-zero fixed costs to running a server. As soon as one raises prices, customers will just tap on the other icon.

    China is a huge market for ride apps. Most people do not own a car, and even those that do are often restricted from driving them by odd/even day rules in some big cities. I can see why companies want to be dominate the market, but I can see how they can do that by price alone. Often the cheapest way to get a ride in China is to hail a taxi on the street, and ask the driver to go off-meter for cash.

  4. Re:Obama administration supports backdoors on Obama Administration Supports Recycling Code and Open Source · · Score: 1

    Just because the license permits you to modify/redistribute it however you wish (the definition) ...

    That is NOT the definition of "Open Source". You can modify OSS, and you can redistribute OSS, but you cannot do it "however you wish". All OSS licenses put restrictions on modification and/or redistribution. Only "public domain" has no restrictions, and while that is Open Source, it is not a license.

    While Obama's proposal sounds good, it is actually a step in the wrong direction. Under current policy, much government source code is automatically in the public domain. So if this proposal uses any other OSS license, it will mean more restrictions, not fewer.

  5. Twim primes? on Mathematicians Discover Prime Conspiracy (quantamagazine.org) · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I wonder if this has anything to do with Twin primes. If a prime ends in 9, then its twin will end in 1, and so we should expect primes ending in 9 to more often be followed by primes ending in 1. The number of twin primes is believed to be infinite, but they get more sparse as you go towards infinity (proportional to 1/(ln(n)^2)), even faster than primes (proportional to 1/ln(n)), so if they are responsible for the bias, then the bias should diminish as you go up.

  6. Re:Rocket to Nowhere Lives Up To Its Name on NASA Begins Planning the First Human Mission To Cislunar Space (blastingnews.com) · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Apollo 9 astronauts spent 10 days orbiting the Earth with a LEM, right? I mean, what a fucking waste! They should have just gone to the Moon.

    If they had gone to the moon and succeeded, we would have saved billions of dollars. If they had failed, and died, we would have lost 3 expendable people, at a time when dozens of Americans were dying everyday in Vietnam, and over a hundred were dying everyday in traffic accidents.

  7. How is this "first"??? on NASA Begins Planning the First Human Mission To Cislunar Space (blastingnews.com) · · Score: 1

    There have been 312 manned missions to cis-lunar space (the space between the earth and the moon). So how is this the "first"? TFA does not say it is the first, just that it is the first using Orion.

  8. Re:because on Why Do We Work So Hard? (1843magazine.com) · · Score: 1

    We dont have the equivalent of Californias "right to work" rules here.

    California is not a "right to work" state. Closed shops are legal in California, and union membership can be compelled.

  9. Re:This is impressive, but... on Alpha Go Takes the Match, 3-0 (i-programmer.info) · · Score: 1

    I suspect that if we were to slightly tweak the rules that AlphaGo would become useless and our master player would easily adapt.

    AlphaGo did most of its learning through self-reinforcement: playing against itself. So if the rules were changed, it could learn the new rules quickly through self-reinforcement, while the human player would have to relearn a lifetime of habits. Lee Sedol has been training daily since he was four years old. AlphaGo surpassed him after only a few hundred hours of training. The results of a rule change would likely be the opposite of what you predict. AlphaGo would adapt far quicker than a human.

  10. Re:Win a game... on Alpha Go Takes the Match, 3-0 (i-programmer.info) · · Score: 5, Informative

    But, this isn't 'AI', it's just another 'expert system'.

    No. Alpha-Go is pretty much the opposite of an "expert system". Expert systems encode expert human knowledge in a series of explicit rules and if-then tables. Alpha-Go is based on neural nets and self-learning. There is no list of explicit rules.

  11. Re:Is the software written in Rust? on Alpha Go Takes the Match, 3-0 (i-programmer.info) · · Score: 5, Informative

    Is this AI software written in Rust?

    I believe it is written in C++ and Lua, because that is what the authors used in previous projects. Most of the computing is done on GPUs, which is most likely done with CUDA, because that is what they used in the past, but they could use OpenCL.

  12. Re:this will create a twitter access bias on Twitter Can Predict Hurricane Damage As Well As Emergency Agencies (sciencemag.org) · · Score: 2

    if during emergency, twitter is inaccessible to certain locations and accessible to others ...

    In an emergency, one of the top priorities should be to get communications working. Drones with cell repeaters should be sent in as soon as the storm passes, and the phone companies should be able to let FEMA know which cell towers are not functioning. Cell towers are rugged, and they have backup batteries, so unless there was an EMP, most should be functioning.

  13. Re: No right to $500 rent in SF on Some Root For a Tech Comeuppance In San Francisco · · Score: 1

    Problem is that there's no room to build.

    Manhattan is half the size of SF, but has twice as many people. There is plenty of room to build. Just look up.

    If there was really no room to build, they wouldn't need to deny any requests for building permits, because there wouldn't be any requests. Yet they receive thousands of requests every year, and deny almost all of them.

  14. Re:How safe again? on GM Buys Driverless Software Startup Cruise Automation (thestack.com) · · Score: 1

    With all the talk of how it's impossible for a computer to have an accident

    Nonsense. Nobody said it was "impossible". Self driving cars have already had accidents. But they have also driven millions of miles on public roads, and have a safety record far better than human drivers.

    how safe would you feel in an autonomous vehicle that gets shut off by harsh weather conditions (like a snowstorm)

    All current SDCs can be manually controlled, and will be for the foreseeable future. So just flick it into manual mode, and drive it home.

    Would you feel safe on roads occupied by autonomous vehilcles with malware and trojans installed in them?

    Soccer moms yakking on their cellphones have killed infinitely more people than malware on SDCs.

    How many years after mainstream driverless cars are developed will a hack cause more than one thousand simultaneous deaths?

    If it is less than once a month, it will still be fewer deaths than human drivers cause.

    How easy will it be to simply reprogram the autopilot and send it on a killing spree

    Reprogramming the autopilot is not "simple". There is already very little stopping people from mass murder. The main reason it doesn't happen more often is that most people have little interest in killing. SDCs are not going to change that.

  15. Re: No right to $500 rent in SF on Some Root For a Tech Comeuppance In San Francisco · · Score: 1

    Absolutely wrong. Prices are set arbitrarily to bring in and push out a specific class of people.

    Are you serious? So you actually believe that there is really plenty of housing in SF, but there is a vast secret conspiracy, involving tens of thousands of landlords, to forgo profit, hold housing off the market, in order to keep out "low class" people? Do you have a brain tumor or something?

  16. Re: No right to $500 rent in SF on Some Root For a Tech Comeuppance In San Francisco · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I suspect that SF has a long history of pretending that economics don't apply to its housing, based on the little I've read about it.

    Bingo. This is just basic supply and demand economics. San Francisco restricts the supply of rental housing. 95% of all building permit requests were denied last year. Rent control laws discourage landlords from entering the market. Then when the inevitable shortage occurs, they blame tech.

  17. Re:Why not work on real pci-e ext cables / buses on AMD's XConnect Brings Native Driver Support For Thunderbolt 3 Graphics Cards · · Score: 5, Informative

    Why not work on real pci-e ext cables / buses that does not need bios or bridge chips and is not capped at pci-e 3.0 X4 (at best)

    1. Thunderbolt does not have a chicken-and-egg problem. There are plenty of Thunderbolt displays already available.
    2. Thunderbolt is "good enough". It can daisy chain multiple hi-res displays.

  18. That's not quite fair to the Alexa app

    Designing the backend is part of the process, so that is no excuse. A grocery list is just a few hundred bytes. I cannot imagine why it should take 2 full minutes to download it, even when connected to my home WiFi at 50Mbps. The quality and speed of the network seems to make no difference. It is always slow. Using cached data from days ago may not be best, but it doesn't even used cached data from 30 seconds ago, and will refetch data (using an algorithm slower than carrier pigeons) every time it wakes up.

  19. People that are bothered by "half conversations", generally are not bothered if the conversation is in a foreign language that they don't understand. Because their brain is no longer distracted, trying to reconstruct the missing half.

  20. Re:looking for 1 of 3: on Apple Announces 'Let Us Loop You In' Event For March 21st (theverge.com) · · Score: 2

    But when we start getting excited about a new strap for a bloody watch is when we should stop and think if we're not taking our fanboi-ism a tad too far.

    The Apple Watch is not a technology product. It is a fashion product. You wear it to make a statement about yourself. Apple realized from the beginning that the Watch was not competing with Samsung or LG, but with Rolex and Patek Philippe. From a fashion perspective, a new strap that accentuates the watch is a big deal. There is no point in buying an Apple Watch if nobody is going to notice it.

  21. Re:Classic memory leak. on Software Bug in F-35 Radar Causes Mid-Flight System Reboot · · Score: 1

    but of course someone wanted to save money

    No one wants to save money. Defence contracts are "cost plus", so cost overruns lead to higher profits for Lockheed. Congress is happy, because more money goes to the subcontractors in their districts. The Air Force is happy with the overrun, because a bigger project means a promotion for the officer that manages it. The public is also happy, because higher defense spending makes us safer.

  22. Oh, and if he carried a baseball bat to break the kneecaps of anyone putting their feet up on the seats

    What should he do about manspreading?

  23. Re:No good guys. on Chicagoan Arrested For Using Cell-phone Jammer To Make Subway Commute Tolerable (chicagotribune.com) · · Score: 4, Interesting

    remove one of the people and half the conversation and people are suddenly put out by it.

    Correct. Many people find half a conversation to be very annoying, as their brain is distracted by trying to "fill in" the other half. Psychologists have studied the phenomena, and some comedians exploit it (Bob Newhart was a famous example).

    Other people (including me) are not bothered by it. I find it easy to tune out other people, sometimes even when they are talking directly to me. My wife can confirm this.

  24. Re:Guess it's time to on Tor Users Can Be Tracked Based On Their Mouse Movements (softpedia.com) · · Score: 4, Informative

    I would imagine trackpads are vulnerable to the exact same fingerprinting techniques.

    What Cdsparrow is saying is that you use a trackpad on Tor, and use a mouse for normal browsing. Both can be fingerprinted, but they won't be the same fingerprint. When I want to arrange a major drug deal, or hire an assassin, I use a different computer (a second hand Chromebook that I bought for cash), and I connect through a public WiFi. It has a trackpad, a different browser, and a much slower CPU than my desktop.

  25. That such a major player as Facebook writes such a shitty awful resource hogging app frankly shocks me...

    It should not shock you. Big companies write some of the worst apps. If a small company makes a crappy app, they are out of business. But a big company doesn't have much at stake. So they design by committee, and their coders and QA are not even on the same continent. I have an Amazon Echo, and their Alexa app is one of the worst I have ever seen. Every time it wakes up, it spends several minutes spinning the "pinwheel of death" ... just to display the shopping list. Then while I am getting the orange juice, it goes back to sleep, and I have to wait again before I can get the next item. It is so painful to use that I just open the list once and copy it onto a piece of paper.