Nobody except Gartner believes most of what they predict anyway. Did anyone really think that Microsofts n-th attempt to make a phone OS would be any more successful than the previous ones?
I'm surprised that Blackberry fell so deep, because it still has a strong foothold in the finance and some other highly security-conscious industries (military, etc.) and some of its security features are still unique.
Synergy in business context is another word for "efficiency", which is another word for "profit". If you pay me enough, I will work whatever hours you want. Since I'm an expert in my field, I do have that negotiation power. But when I see minimum wage people working crazy hours, I ask myself which unfortunate life conditions force them to do so. UBI would allow these people the same negotiation power.
Only if you are intentionally trying to read something into it. The example I put immediately behind it should make it clear. Many people - myself included - do not like to get up early. I would rather work from 10 till 6 than from 8 till 4. Same hours, but better hours for me. Other people want to be home to their families early. They might prefer a 5 till 3 shift.
With UBI, you do not have to work in order to not starve. That gives you a tremendeous amount of negotiation power. Not just about salaries, but also about working conditions.
You desperately need to pick up the skill of reading comprehension.
I would most likely work more - but spread it out into different areas. Your overly narrow definition of "work" is false-to-facts as well as stupid. I worked as a freelancer for some years, and many of my friends have turned their hobbies into their profession, and in either case the line between "work" and "spare time" begins to blur and the narrow definition of "work" as being the time between punching in and punching out at the company clock disappears.
I know how I would act under basic income. Work as much in my sphere as I enjoy, and spend more time on side-projects that I enjoy a lot (writing, making games) but that bring in less money.
Also, I would work better hours. A lot of shops would have different opening times because a lot of people would say "sure I can be here at 6 - but not for this money".
I wasn't aware that robots were invented by bank CEOs. Or computers. They certainly did invent cutting away the social security systems that held society stable.
If you think that only the owner of a company deserves the profits that the company makes, you just busted the top end of the idiot scale. Trade unions should go on strike more often to remind those owners who is actually generating the profits of the company.
You are right, the people who earn the profits should get them. That means the sales clerks and the bank tellers, the pilots and the stewardesses, the guys on the factory floor, the repairmen and the driver, the nurse and the doctor.
Talk to long-time unemployed people and ask them if they would work given the chance. Most of them will answer in the positive. Sitting around being lazy is wonderful if you are a working person, because it is a change from your usual routine. Once it becomes your routine you absolutely want to work again.
Of course there are exceptions. Many of them have other problems (alcohol, drugs, etc.) that are unrelated to UBI.
560 is low, but it is higher than social security in most European countries. And it isn't far away from a reasonable sum. During some times when I was a freelancer, I lived for about 1000 Euros a month, without cutting much into my lifestyle. Granted, no holidays or weekend trips were included, and I was already set up with a home, computer, etc. etc. so I didn't need any major purchases. I also know people who manage with much less, who would be perfectly ok with 560.
How to find the money is trivial. Right now western economies are bleeding crazy amounts of money into tax havens, casino^H^H^H financial market investments and into the pockets of super-rich and multinational corporations. These profits are the results of automation, international trade, economy of scale, etc. etc. - basically, all the profit that these recent developments in trade and economy have generated are distributed unfairly. Distribute them fairly and you will find you have a lot of surplus money.
That's not very unusual. People also think Merkel has high approval ratings in Germany because the media says so. Strange that I haven't met one person in eight years who thinks highly of her.
Its simple, more and more people are now avoiding the USA.
So true. Haven't been to the US in 20 years, despite plenty of reasons to go there, including conferences, other business, and even an invitation from top level oil company management.
Lots of Europeans are avoiding the US now, and Green Cards are not so much sought after as they used to be. Do you know where the US remains to be popular, ironically? Russia. A lot of middle class Russians dream about going to the US.
Who thinks that Trump really wanted to ban anyone, and who thinks that he wanted to demonstrate to his voters that he is good for what he promised, and now the evil tech companies are stopping him?
He can only win with such actions. In the eyes of his supporters, he is the good guy, whether someone stops him or not. And in the eyes of his enemies, there is nothing to lose anyway. And thanks for a century of the two-party-system, there aren't many left who are inbetween and could be convinced of joining his camp. You're either in it already, or you won't go there anyway.
Obama unsuccessfully tried the "election is over, let's all work together" approach. Trump has a completely different approach: "You voted against me, so I don't give a fuck what you think".
Americans already know too few foreign languages. It's not just about the language, it is also about culture and psychology. Language tells so much about how people think, and knowing at the very least one foreign language is - in my eyes - an absolute prerequisite to calling yourself civilized.
Threatened? You are kidding, right? Unless the company is actually being broken up, with no prior warning, they won't give a fuck. They just are that kind of company.
You have never done any game development, it's obvious.
The step from single-player game to multiplayer game is not a simple upgrade, it's a complete shift in everything. It requires a completely different approach, not a refined version of the same approach.
In any non-trivial multiplayer game, the interactions between all the players matter, and the complexity of those is subject to combinatorial explosion. Poker being a relatively low-interaction game will not make this as bad as some others, but beating one person and beating a table of people is not the same system with a little more cycles, it quite possibly requires a different approach altogether.
It will be interesting to see the jump happen, but it is a jump, not a step.
AI beating humans at a game is merely a beta test. The real application will feed unending greed, which will never die.
Actually working in the banking business instead of gambling in the stock exchange casino would save banks hundreds of billions. No wait, scratch that, it would save taxpayers hundreds of billions.
Which manufacturing capacity does ISIS have left? Which engineers have not yet run away from the sinking ship?
Someone is using ISIS as a test run for their latest toy, and it's not the Russians (they would test by themselves). Expect the US or some of its allies to use weaponized small drones in the next war against the next terrorists, the result of "years of military research".
That is what I was saying just without any of the technical details.
In a good system, the provider would not manage the keys. He would only provide the means for the initial key exchange (if for whatever reason he decides to not use DH).
Yes, the provider could initiate a man-in-the-middle attack against all users from the start. However, let us assume that he didn't do that, for various reasons that are for a seperate discussion.
In such a scenario, Alice conversation with Bob is secure. It requires only the initial secure key exchange. Once that is complete, they are fine.
But with the backdoor of silent key-renegotiation, the provider can at any time decide that now they want to eavesdrop into this or that conversation. Say, because a government agency asked them nicely, or a FB employee looked up that woman he met last night in the database and found her WhatsApp number...
It is a different scenario with different ramifications.
Slashdot Mirror
As much as I'd love for you to be right - MS has behaved like this for 20 years and they're still the dominant desktop OS.
Nobody except Gartner believes most of what they predict anyway. Did anyone really think that Microsofts n-th attempt to make a phone OS would be any more successful than the previous ones?
I'm surprised that Blackberry fell so deep, because it still has a strong foothold in the finance and some other highly security-conscious industries (military, etc.) and some of its security features are still unique.
Synergy in business context is another word for "efficiency", which is another word for "profit". If you pay me enough, I will work whatever hours you want. Since I'm an expert in my field, I do have that negotiation power. But when I see minimum wage people working crazy hours, I ask myself which unfortunate life conditions force them to do so. UBI would allow these people the same negotiation power.
Only if you are intentionally trying to read something into it. The example I put immediately behind it should make it clear. Many people - myself included - do not like to get up early. I would rather work from 10 till 6 than from 8 till 4. Same hours, but better hours for me. Other people want to be home to their families early. They might prefer a 5 till 3 shift.
With UBI, you do not have to work in order to not starve. That gives you a tremendeous amount of negotiation power. Not just about salaries, but also about working conditions.
You desperately need to pick up the skill of reading comprehension.
I would most likely work more - but spread it out into different areas. Your overly narrow definition of "work" is false-to-facts as well as stupid. I worked as a freelancer for some years, and many of my friends have turned their hobbies into their profession, and in either case the line between "work" and "spare time" begins to blur and the narrow definition of "work" as being the time between punching in and punching out at the company clock disappears.
All of that has been done extensively already.
I know how I would act under basic income. Work as much in my sphere as I enjoy, and spend more time on side-projects that I enjoy a lot (writing, making games) but that bring in less money.
Also, I would work better hours. A lot of shops would have different opening times because a lot of people would say "sure I can be here at 6 - but not for this money".
No, that would be stupid. Whenever politicians suddenly get a lot of money somewhere, they immediately squander it on some stupid prestige project.
As with water pipes, you should set up both ends before you turn on the water.
I wasn't aware that robots were invented by bank CEOs. Or computers. They certainly did invent cutting away the social security systems that held society stable.
If you think that only the owner of a company deserves the profits that the company makes, you just busted the top end of the idiot scale. Trade unions should go on strike more often to remind those owners who is actually generating the profits of the company.
You are right, the people who earn the profits should get them. That means the sales clerks and the bank tellers, the pilots and the stewardesses, the guys on the factory floor, the repairmen and the driver, the nurse and the doctor.
No, I was answering to one specific point in one specific comment. Try to see the context of things.
Talk to long-time unemployed people and ask them if they would work given the chance. Most of them will answer in the positive. Sitting around being lazy is wonderful if you are a working person, because it is a change from your usual routine. Once it becomes your routine you absolutely want to work again.
Of course there are exceptions. Many of them have other problems (alcohol, drugs, etc.) that are unrelated to UBI.
560 is low, but it is higher than social security in most European countries. And it isn't far away from a reasonable sum. During some times when I was a freelancer, I lived for about 1000 Euros a month, without cutting much into my lifestyle. Granted, no holidays or weekend trips were included, and I was already set up with a home, computer, etc. etc. so I didn't need any major purchases. I also know people who manage with much less, who would be perfectly ok with 560.
How to find the money is trivial. Right now western economies are bleeding crazy amounts of money into tax havens, casino^H^H^H financial market investments and into the pockets of super-rich and multinational corporations. These profits are the results of automation, international trade, economy of scale, etc. etc. - basically, all the profit that these recent developments in trade and economy have generated are distributed unfairly. Distribute them fairly and you will find you have a lot of surplus money.
That's not very unusual. People also think Merkel has high approval ratings in Germany because the media says so. Strange that I haven't met one person in eight years who thinks highly of her.
In many western countries a noticeable amount of the people are alergic against gluten.
How come we didn't notice for... uhm... 15,000 years ?
Its simple, more and more people are now avoiding the USA.
So true. Haven't been to the US in 20 years, despite plenty of reasons to go there, including conferences, other business, and even an invitation from top level oil company management.
Lots of Europeans are avoiding the US now, and Green Cards are not so much sought after as they used to be. Do you know where the US remains to be popular, ironically? Russia. A lot of middle class Russians dream about going to the US.
So which social media site is the first that will let users configure a distress password?
Who thinks that Trump really wanted to ban anyone, and who thinks that he wanted to demonstrate to his voters that he is good for what he promised, and now the evil tech companies are stopping him?
He can only win with such actions. In the eyes of his supporters, he is the good guy, whether someone stops him or not. And in the eyes of his enemies, there is nothing to lose anyway. And thanks for a century of the two-party-system, there aren't many left who are inbetween and could be convinced of joining his camp. You're either in it already, or you won't go there anyway.
Obama unsuccessfully tried the "election is over, let's all work together" approach. Trump has a completely different approach: "You voted against me, so I don't give a fuck what you think".
Americans already know too few foreign languages. It's not just about the language, it is also about culture and psychology. Language tells so much about how people think, and knowing at the very least one foreign language is - in my eyes - an absolute prerequisite to calling yourself civilized.
Yeah, that worked so well in the past. Please. They will tie you up in court until the president or chief prosecutor or whatever changes.
Threatened? You are kidding, right? Unless the company is actually being broken up, with no prior warning, they won't give a fuck. They just are that kind of company.
You have never done any game development, it's obvious.
The step from single-player game to multiplayer game is not a simple upgrade, it's a complete shift in everything. It requires a completely different approach, not a refined version of the same approach.
In any non-trivial multiplayer game, the interactions between all the players matter, and the complexity of those is subject to combinatorial explosion. Poker being a relatively low-interaction game will not make this as bad as some others, but beating one person and beating a table of people is not the same system with a little more cycles, it quite possibly requires a different approach altogether.
It will be interesting to see the jump happen, but it is a jump, not a step.
AI beating humans at a game is merely a beta test. The real application will feed unending greed, which will never die.
Greed is a game.
Is that US-only or is that the story they are telling?
I look at Spain and Italy and Greece and while they didn't have the best economy to start with, it was the bailouts that did them in.
I also wonder, where did these billions come from? The stock exchange is a zero-sum game. So who paid these billions to the taxpayer?
Actually working in the banking business instead of gambling in the stock exchange casino would save banks hundreds of billions. No wait, scratch that, it would save taxpayers hundreds of billions.
Which manufacturing capacity does ISIS have left? Which engineers have not yet run away from the sinking ship?
Someone is using ISIS as a test run for their latest toy, and it's not the Russians (they would test by themselves). Expect the US or some of its allies to use weaponized small drones in the next war against the next terrorists, the result of "years of military research".
That is what I was saying just without any of the technical details.
In a good system, the provider would not manage the keys. He would only provide the means for the initial key exchange (if for whatever reason he decides to not use DH).
Different problem.
Yes, the provider could initiate a man-in-the-middle attack against all users from the start. However, let us assume that he didn't do that, for various reasons that are for a seperate discussion.
In such a scenario, Alice conversation with Bob is secure. It requires only the initial secure key exchange. Once that is complete, they are fine.
But with the backdoor of silent key-renegotiation, the provider can at any time decide that now they want to eavesdrop into this or that conversation. Say, because a government agency asked them nicely, or a FB employee looked up that woman he met last night in the database and found her WhatsApp number...
It is a different scenario with different ramifications.