While it is true that China is winning by leapfrogging from old tech like dirty coal and replacing it with more efficient (2x) cogeneration scrubbed coal (to reduce emissions) and by installing cheaper and more efficient solar and wind, it is also true that many US states are doing the same. These states (like the 13 that joined California in implementing higher renewable and clean air standards) are competing very well, and since we have more than 50 percent of the US economy, it's a fair battle.
But, yes, the other states are being left in the dust. Or the floods and storms. Whatever.
Adapt or die.
Many US corporations are requiring all their facilities do the same, because more efficient and cheaper energy gives them a competitive advantage over the buggy whip old industries that don't adapt. Even WalMart, which had to do this to get business in China.
OK, I'm going to tell you a truth that will shock you.
Twitter, and other social media platforms like Facebook, can both remove and censor bots, especially Russian bots and Nazi bots and accounts.
Want proof?
Set your home country and location data to Germany.
Voila. Gone.
The correct interpretation is both Twitter and FB and other sites like Pintrest and so on can all do this, but choose not to.
Why not?
Because:
1. It artificially inflates their metrics. Their account totals, their ad buy counts.
2. It's not cheap. But they make a profit in Germany, so it is doable. They don't want to.
3. They like Nazis and Russian hackers. They make a lot of money from not just the ad buys, but all the activity, and they want us to yell at each other, because it means more traffic, more fake accounts, and more ad sales.
In the old days, penetration exploits like this would be noticed, as large file transfers flooded routers going to unusual IPs, and someone literally would pull the plug on the router or swap in a honeypot.
Nowadays, there is no such oversight, and the weakest point in any system is any weak point, be it someone not following basic security protocols or the NSA and other groups (there are more than you think) leaving exploit holes everywhere, including in your mouse, keyboard, monitors, and so on.
It's like voting, use paper ballots. In this case, don't outsource weapons research. Don't trust, verify. And keep verifying, use social engineering tests on your "secure" facilities. I used to wait for people to "just go to the bathroom" (easy method: pop up a button cam under a windowsill, motion activate, fixed on door, after a while you pattern match with one on bathroom door, easy to extrapolate.
About the only thing I watch is soccer and curling, and I can get that on CBC and watch soccer games on Telemundo. They have this neat over the air feature on my HDTV called SAP, which allows me to hear English on a Spanish channel, and if I turn on this other thing, it shows me a translation from Spanish to English as well in text, it's designed for people who are hard of hearing.
So, this move to limit us from getting rid of all those hundreds of channels we never watch would be a good thing for consumers.
Look, the problem is how the market exists, and how it will change, not in how it used to be.
IBM rolled into services, having initially come from services.
MSFT started with OS and apps, but is fighting three different wars:
1. Tiny tech. Stuff that is so small nobody will ever pay for an OS for it. It's in the background. Do you ever think "oh, my new fridge and toaster need a fancy Kenmore OS, not some Braun OS". Nope. Wearables don't care. Only Apple (which amounted to a large share of MSFT apps market share, originally) has managed to make people pay for that.
2. Ubiquitous Linux blade servers. Nobody cares what your database and AI runs on. Oh, at trade shows they pretend they do, but IRL they don't. Cheap fast quick reliable wins every day.
3. Cell/mobile vs Desktop/Server. MSFT has never grokked cell or mobile. Ever. Still don't. They keep trying to chrome it up, and they aren't Apple, so it never works.
Thing is, you think MSFT gets most of their money from stuff and services they sell. They don't. They get it from all the bits and pieces of companies they own.
(caveat: many of my friends got rich off of MSFT or Apple or IBM, and my first house was from selling MSFT stock I bought below book value on Black Friday stock crash)
One, there was a theory that approximately half of all matter was "missing".
This led to the theory of Dark Matter.
Now, after peer review and followup research, we should then rerun the calculations and find one of the following: a. Dark Matter, if it exists, is miniscule or non-existent, based on this discovery; or b. This accounts for most but not all missing matter, and Dark Matter may be a theory to account for the remainder; or c. Both Dark Matter and this new discovery are false conclusions.
Wake me when you have three peer-reviewed articles.
This is pretty much a waste of time, as the new wearable self-powered circuitry (communicator or sleeve with keyboard) that will replace mobile OS already is pretty much done.
But, hey, keep pushing stuff we don't need, grandpa
All of this follows on the "legal" IP transfers by multinational corporations to Ireland and Luxembourg inside the EU to avoid taxation. The EU is coming down on these, and now the US is coming down on tribal IP transfers (for the same reason).
It is true that solar PV is the largest new build electricity generation component in non-military sources (and, actually, even in military sources, supply lines are difficult to maintain).
The problem is that:
1. residential total energy use is shrinking. Part of this is, in fact, residential purchases of solar PV and powerwalls or similar batter systems that doesn't feed back into the grid, but part is literally the more efficient appliances and lighting of modern homes.
2. the existing base on non solar energy use is quite large. We see the drop of oil and coal and the replacement is mostly natural gas (and also LNG CNG propane etc) for shaping purposes in systems that add solar PV and wind.
3. the cost of solar PV is cheapest in commercial usage (rooftop dead space, think LA warehouses) but most buildings before 2010 were not built to a standard needed to support the electrical and weight components to support adding solar PV, except in a few counties. this is changing quickly, but the lowest cost of solar is industrial scale solar, which costs about half what residential solar PV panels do.
That said, it's good news for the planet. Or, more specifically, the humans on the planet. Earth doesn't care if we go back to dinosaurs, they lasted a heck of a lot longer than humans have.
I don't see my love of spicy food going anywhere until I die. My dad had Tabasco on the table until the day he died. Thai food isn't that much more expensive than a diner.
Personally, I make my thai and Tex-Mex and Italian and Japanese food at home. Restaurant food is so bland.
Have you ever toured the Tabasco plantation/salt dome? I recommend it, they have a cool bird sanctuary.
That said, I'm talking about changes from 2017 to 2027.
If you look at the pics, you'll notice the areas with buildings that had distributed microgrids of power, as in houses with some solar or wind that could be protected or taken indoors, were the first to regain power, followed by diesel backup generators that either pre-existed or were provided by the military or commercial/private interests.
While it is true that undergrounding is a good choice, it would not have prevented blown transformers, flooded power generation sites, storm damage to all utility power generation, so bringing the grid back up becomes very difficult. You have to isolate the cells and bring them back up one by one. Problem is the load is too high. Modern equipment mostly goes to off mode (e.g. furnaces shut down during power interruption, fridges go to quiet/standby mode), but there's a lot of old equipment on islands.
Current Energy Policy articles recommend that most islands go to sustainable/resilient renewable microgrids with both battery (e.g. Tesla PowerWall and equivalent (cheaper to make yourself)) and CNG/LNG power backups.
This is not about you. This entire topic is about Things That Will Go Away By 2027.
We do still have buggy whips. We used to have whaling stations, people used kerosene for light, and 99 percent of America used to live on family farms, but now it's about 1 percent.
Well sure. But apartments? Gardens for food? Not being able to afford a car? C'mon.;)
This is an obvious transition. I'm sorry you haven't seen how the world is changing, but it is.
The problem is you have this concept of "owning a car". In most cases, people lease cars and don't own them. People under 35 aren't buying as many cars. Electric cars, even if larger percent of market share, are more easily used for car sharing, or on demand uses.
It's all part of the urbanization thing. Nobody will force you to get rid of things, but choosing to live those lifestyles will become ever more unreachable or not desired by larger and larger segments of the population.
No, seriously, you will literally wear TBs of info in your jacket. Get used to it. I'm going to glam up with a bioluminescent glow sleeve and my old combat badge repurposed as a comm badge.
Nah, I'll still be rich. Technically, I'm worth more than Bernie Sanders, and he's a US Senator. I've been investing since I was a teen.
I'll be fine.
Just adapt. Realize certain things are inevitable. Including lower energy usage in American residences, higher efficiency, more distributed energy generation from renewables, drop in beef and pork consumption (partially replaced by beefalo, so cowboys will come into fashion again, with robotic exoskeletons (those things are ornery)), insect farming, and replacement of plastics with biodegradeable vegetable fiber based composites and mushrooms instead of leather.
Now, admittedly, they may not be used for the same thing as they originally were, but the market is increasing.
I'd tend to say the following:
1. Repair stations (not tire shops) - electric cars and trucks need about half as much maintenance and a lot of it is instrument driven. A good way to diversify is add bike repairs to one of your bays, or a chai/bubble tea store.
2. Single gender bathrooms in retail. Most places can't really afford having separate facilities, so you'll probably see most places just have a room with both fixtures. Exception: bars, restaurants.
3. Fear based local TV news. Unhappy, scared people don't buy stuff. And TV is mostly dead.
4. Food delivery and prepackaged meal delivery services. Those that survive will transition to restaurant delivery. Uber will vaporize as drones replace on demand delivery.
5. Furniture places. 2025-2035 will see most people getting smaller places and getting rid of large furniture. Exception: couches, chairs. Best to diversify into Tiny Home style furniture that incorporates storage into the furniture (dual use furniture).
6. Expensive spicy food places. As Americans age into retirees they will start wanting to go to diner type places. This won't kill ethnic foods, but a lot of current restaurants will suddenly lose foot traffic, as retirees don't eat out that much. Nobody will miss them.
7. Parking garages. The combination of on demand self driving vehicles, more retirees, more cyclists, more pedestrians, and quiet electric transit will kill off a lot of parking garages and the attached malls. Nobody will miss them, except us skateboarders.
8. Single family home lawn supplies. Lawns will be replaced by gardens and more people will live in multi-family towers next to green parks. But plants will be in high demand for the apartments and decks. Tiny greenhouses too.
9. Cell phone stores. The 2025-2035 period will see ubiquitous self-powered wifi devices (like ST comms badges) that run off incidental radiation, and attach to clothes (either as sleeves, belts, broaches, or necklaces. This will save jewelry stores, of course.
10. Wallets. See 9 above. The new devices will mostly replace wallets and purses. People will wear nifty gem sacks at their belts, in which they store their coins (see how Canada does dollars, or Euro coins).
Would be better if Tesla would pay all the Puerto Rican truck drivers who are on strike and refuse to make deliveries of the thousands of containers of supplies until they are paid better.
False. They aren't on strike, they just can't walk to work from where they live.
Slashdot Mirror
While it is true that China is winning by leapfrogging from old tech like dirty coal and replacing it with more efficient (2x) cogeneration scrubbed coal (to reduce emissions) and by installing cheaper and more efficient solar and wind, it is also true that many US states are doing the same. These states (like the 13 that joined California in implementing higher renewable and clean air standards) are competing very well, and since we have more than 50 percent of the US economy, it's a fair battle.
But, yes, the other states are being left in the dust. Or the floods and storms. Whatever.
Adapt or die.
Many US corporations are requiring all their facilities do the same, because more efficient and cheaper energy gives them a competitive advantage over the buggy whip old industries that don't adapt. Even WalMart, which had to do this to get business in China.
OK, I'm going to tell you a truth that will shock you.
Twitter, and other social media platforms like Facebook, can both remove and censor bots, especially Russian bots and Nazi bots and accounts.
Want proof?
Set your home country and location data to Germany.
Voila. Gone.
The correct interpretation is both Twitter and FB and other sites like Pintrest and so on can all do this, but choose not to.
Why not?
Because:
1. It artificially inflates their metrics. Their account totals, their ad buy counts.
2. It's not cheap. But they make a profit in Germany, so it is doable. They don't want to.
3. They like Nazis and Russian hackers. They make a lot of money from not just the ad buys, but all the activity, and they want us to yell at each other, because it means more traffic, more fake accounts, and more ad sales.
In the old days, penetration exploits like this would be noticed, as large file transfers flooded routers going to unusual IPs, and someone literally would pull the plug on the router or swap in a honeypot.
Nowadays, there is no such oversight, and the weakest point in any system is any weak point, be it someone not following basic security protocols or the NSA and other groups (there are more than you think) leaving exploit holes everywhere, including in your mouse, keyboard, monitors, and so on.
It's like voting, use paper ballots. In this case, don't outsource weapons research. Don't trust, verify. And keep verifying, use social engineering tests on your "secure" facilities. I used to wait for people to "just go to the bathroom" (easy method: pop up a button cam under a windowsill, motion activate, fixed on door, after a while you pattern match with one on bathroom door, easy to extrapolate.
And never ever trust third party.
About the only thing I watch is soccer and curling, and I can get that on CBC and watch soccer games on Telemundo. They have this neat over the air feature on my HDTV called SAP, which allows me to hear English on a Spanish channel, and if I turn on this other thing, it shows me a translation from Spanish to English as well in text, it's designed for people who are hard of hearing.
So, this move to limit us from getting rid of all those hundreds of channels we never watch would be a good thing for consumers.
Also, he's a wizard with puns
(ducks)
Look, the problem is how the market exists, and how it will change, not in how it used to be.
IBM rolled into services, having initially come from services.
MSFT started with OS and apps, but is fighting three different wars:
1. Tiny tech. Stuff that is so small nobody will ever pay for an OS for it. It's in the background. Do you ever think "oh, my new fridge and toaster need a fancy Kenmore OS, not some Braun OS". Nope. Wearables don't care. Only Apple (which amounted to a large share of MSFT apps market share, originally) has managed to make people pay for that.
2. Ubiquitous Linux blade servers. Nobody cares what your database and AI runs on. Oh, at trade shows they pretend they do, but IRL they don't. Cheap fast quick reliable wins every day.
3. Cell/mobile vs Desktop/Server. MSFT has never grokked cell or mobile. Ever. Still don't. They keep trying to chrome it up, and they aren't Apple, so it never works.
Thing is, you think MSFT gets most of their money from stuff and services they sell. They don't. They get it from all the bits and pieces of companies they own.
(caveat: many of my friends got rich off of MSFT or Apple or IBM, and my first house was from selling MSFT stock I bought below book value on Black Friday stock crash)
And I stand by my statement about three peer-reviewed papers.
So, let's go through this.
One, there was a theory that approximately half of all matter was "missing".
This led to the theory of Dark Matter.
Now, after peer review and followup research, we should then rerun the calculations and find one of the following:
a. Dark Matter, if it exists, is miniscule or non-existent, based on this discovery; or
b. This accounts for most but not all missing matter, and Dark Matter may be a theory to account for the remainder; or
c. Both Dark Matter and this new discovery are false conclusions.
Wake me when you have three peer-reviewed articles.
This is pretty much a waste of time, as the new wearable self-powered circuitry (communicator or sleeve with keyboard) that will replace mobile OS already is pretty much done.
But, hey, keep pushing stuff we don't need, grandpa
Look, I hake to wake you up, sunshine, but we're in Cold War III right now.
And the Russians aren't our friends. Nor are the Saudis.
Neither Puerto Rico nor US Virgin Islands are part of this measure.
It's far worse.
This will all fall apart the first time a wealthy white family loses a child to a legal self-driving truck.
Mark my words.
All of this follows on the "legal" IP transfers by multinational corporations to Ireland and Luxembourg inside the EU to avoid taxation. The EU is coming down on these, and now the US is coming down on tribal IP transfers (for the same reason).
Just.
Pay.
Your.
Taxes.
These are predictions for society. Different areas will have different results.
I remember using 1940s trucks in the 1980s in the boonies of BC, for example.
I stand by my 10 predictions.
Why don't you post a thread with your own 10 predictions, based on what you see changing? Complaining won't change things.
It is true that solar PV is the largest new build electricity generation component in non-military sources (and, actually, even in military sources, supply lines are difficult to maintain).
The problem is that:
1. residential total energy use is shrinking. Part of this is, in fact, residential purchases of solar PV and powerwalls or similar batter systems that doesn't feed back into the grid, but part is literally the more efficient appliances and lighting of modern homes.
2. the existing base on non solar energy use is quite large. We see the drop of oil and coal and the replacement is mostly natural gas (and also LNG CNG propane etc) for shaping purposes in systems that add solar PV and wind.
3. the cost of solar PV is cheapest in commercial usage (rooftop dead space, think LA warehouses) but most buildings before 2010 were not built to a standard needed to support the electrical and weight components to support adding solar PV, except in a few counties. this is changing quickly, but the lowest cost of solar is industrial scale solar, which costs about half what residential solar PV panels do.
That said, it's good news for the planet. Or, more specifically, the humans on the planet. Earth doesn't care if we go back to dinosaurs, they lasted a heck of a lot longer than humans have.
6. Expensive spicy food places
I don't see my love of spicy food going anywhere until I die. My dad had Tabasco on the table until the day he died. Thai food isn't that much more expensive than a diner.
Personally, I make my thai and Tex-Mex and Italian and Japanese food at home. Restaurant food is so bland.
Have you ever toured the Tabasco plantation/salt dome? I recommend it, they have a cool bird sanctuary.
That said, I'm talking about changes from 2017 to 2027.
If you look at the pics, you'll notice the areas with buildings that had distributed microgrids of power, as in houses with some solar or wind that could be protected or taken indoors, were the first to regain power, followed by diesel backup generators that either pre-existed or were provided by the military or commercial/private interests.
While it is true that undergrounding is a good choice, it would not have prevented blown transformers, flooded power generation sites, storm damage to all utility power generation, so bringing the grid back up becomes very difficult. You have to isolate the cells and bring them back up one by one. Problem is the load is too high. Modern equipment mostly goes to off mode (e.g. furnaces shut down during power interruption, fridges go to quiet/standby mode), but there's a lot of old equipment on islands.
Current Energy Policy articles recommend that most islands go to sustainable/resilient renewable microgrids with both battery (e.g. Tesla PowerWall and equivalent (cheaper to make yourself)) and CNG/LNG power backups.
This is not about you. This entire topic is about Things That Will Go Away By 2027.
We do still have buggy whips. We used to have whaling stations, people used kerosene for light, and 99 percent of America used to live on family farms, but now it's about 1 percent.
Come up with your own predictions.
Well sure. But apartments? Gardens for food? Not being able to afford a car? C'mon. ;)
This is an obvious transition. I'm sorry you haven't seen how the world is changing, but it is.
The problem is you have this concept of "owning a car". In most cases, people lease cars and don't own them. People under 35 aren't buying as many cars. Electric cars, even if larger percent of market share, are more easily used for car sharing, or on demand uses.
It's all part of the urbanization thing. Nobody will force you to get rid of things, but choosing to live those lifestyles will become ever more unreachable or not desired by larger and larger segments of the population.
Micro SDs are the only way to go.
No, seriously, you will literally wear TBs of info in your jacket. Get used to it. I'm going to glam up with a bioluminescent glow sleeve and my old combat badge repurposed as a comm badge.
Nah, I'll still be rich. Technically, I'm worth more than Bernie Sanders, and he's a US Senator. I've been investing since I was a teen.
I'll be fine.
Just adapt. Realize certain things are inevitable. Including lower energy usage in American residences, higher efficiency, more distributed energy generation from renewables, drop in beef and pork consumption (partially replaced by beefalo, so cowboys will come into fashion again, with robotic exoskeletons (those things are ornery)), insect farming, and replacement of plastics with biodegradeable vegetable fiber based composites and mushrooms instead of leather.
You'll love it!
Not as a market, but the new AIs will hunt them down.
Now, admittedly, they may not be used for the same thing as they originally were, but the market is increasing.
I'd tend to say the following:
1. Repair stations (not tire shops) - electric cars and trucks need about half as much maintenance and a lot of it is instrument driven. A good way to diversify is add bike repairs to one of your bays, or a chai/bubble tea store.
2. Single gender bathrooms in retail. Most places can't really afford having separate facilities, so you'll probably see most places just have a room with both fixtures. Exception: bars, restaurants.
3. Fear based local TV news. Unhappy, scared people don't buy stuff. And TV is mostly dead.
4. Food delivery and prepackaged meal delivery services. Those that survive will transition to restaurant delivery. Uber will vaporize as drones replace on demand delivery.
5. Furniture places. 2025-2035 will see most people getting smaller places and getting rid of large furniture. Exception: couches, chairs. Best to diversify into Tiny Home style furniture that incorporates storage into the furniture (dual use furniture).
6. Expensive spicy food places. As Americans age into retirees they will start wanting to go to diner type places. This won't kill ethnic foods, but a lot of current restaurants will suddenly lose foot traffic, as retirees don't eat out that much. Nobody will miss them.
7. Parking garages. The combination of on demand self driving vehicles, more retirees, more cyclists, more pedestrians, and quiet electric transit will kill off a lot of parking garages and the attached malls. Nobody will miss them, except us skateboarders.
8. Single family home lawn supplies. Lawns will be replaced by gardens and more people will live in multi-family towers next to green parks. But plants will be in high demand for the apartments and decks. Tiny greenhouses too.
9. Cell phone stores. The 2025-2035 period will see ubiquitous self-powered wifi devices (like ST comms badges) that run off incidental radiation, and attach to clothes (either as sleeves, belts, broaches, or necklaces. This will save jewelry stores, of course.
10. Wallets. See 9 above. The new devices will mostly replace wallets and purses. People will wear nifty gem sacks at their belts, in which they store their coins (see how Canada does dollars, or Euro coins).
If you actually watched some of the video of PR after the storm, you would have seen solar panels on many roofs.
At least those who covered them to protect them during the storm.
That said, it would also be helpful to send them PV solar panels.
Would be better if Tesla would pay all the Puerto Rican truck drivers who are on strike and refuse to make deliveries of the thousands of containers of supplies until they are paid better.
False. They aren't on strike, they just can't walk to work from where they live.