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Ask Slashdot: Which Businesses Will Go Away In the Next 10 Years? (nbcnews.com)
AmiMoJo writes: Ten years ago NBC published a list of business types that it predicted would disappear in the following decade. Ten years later and we can see how good their fortune telling was. What businesses do you think will go away by 2027? Who is destined to become the next buggy whip manufacturer, whose demand dried up due to changing technology and a changing world?
For reference, NBC's list was: Record stores; Camera film manufacturing; Crop dusters; Gay bars; Newspapers; Pay phones; Used bookstores; Piggy banks; Telemarketing; Coin-operated arcades.
For reference, NBC's list was: Record stores; Camera film manufacturing; Crop dusters; Gay bars; Newspapers; Pay phones; Used bookstores; Piggy banks; Telemarketing; Coin-operated arcades.
just kidding, lighten up
Table-ized A.I.
Correct on all counts. None were reaches, but they weren't trying to be sensational.
They will implode under the weight of SJW idiocy and the cost of installing transgender bathrooms.
gas stations will go away very soon...
Hahahaha thanks NBC for the laughs.
After all, once immigration is ended once and for all, who needs a lawyer?
... crop dusters still dust, film is making a comeback, telemarketers are still here and are still going to hell ;~)
I think it'd be far more likely for Mozilla to disappear long before Google does.
Firefox is the only product of Mozilla's that really sees much use, and even it's losing market share. The latest browser stats show it has only about 5% of the market now, and essentially no presence in the mobile market (0.04%!).
If I'm not mistaken, their search deal with Yahoo expires in 2019. Given Yahoo's state, and Firefox's almost non-existent market share, I wouldn't be optimistic about it being extended.
After that, the rest of Mozilla's products could, in my opinion, be seen as failures, including Persona, Firefox OS, Rust, Servo, Thunderbird, and Pocket. I can't really see how any of them help bring in revenue.
What's their greatest accomplishment as of late? Obfuscating their logo into "moz://a"!
I think the future looks very bleak for Mozilla.
Poorly maintained forums that get sold from sucker in search of advertising revenue to sucker in search of advertising revenue. Doubly so if they don't support unicode (or if they do).
If you want a vision of the future, imagine a youtube comments section scrolling - forever.
So Zero from Ten? all are still pretty common. If anything some of them have been making resurgence like record stores and coin operated arcades.
We need to consider if we'll be around in ten years before we waste time prognosticating on the businesses that will go out.
The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
Now, admittedly, they may not be used for the same thing as they originally were, but the market is increasing.
I'd tend to say the following:
1. Repair stations (not tire shops) - electric cars and trucks need about half as much maintenance and a lot of it is instrument driven. A good way to diversify is add bike repairs to one of your bays, or a chai/bubble tea store.
2. Single gender bathrooms in retail. Most places can't really afford having separate facilities, so you'll probably see most places just have a room with both fixtures. Exception: bars, restaurants.
3. Fear based local TV news. Unhappy, scared people don't buy stuff. And TV is mostly dead.
4. Food delivery and prepackaged meal delivery services. Those that survive will transition to restaurant delivery. Uber will vaporize as drones replace on demand delivery.
5. Furniture places. 2025-2035 will see most people getting smaller places and getting rid of large furniture. Exception: couches, chairs. Best to diversify into Tiny Home style furniture that incorporates storage into the furniture (dual use furniture).
6. Expensive spicy food places. As Americans age into retirees they will start wanting to go to diner type places. This won't kill ethnic foods, but a lot of current restaurants will suddenly lose foot traffic, as retirees don't eat out that much. Nobody will miss them.
7. Parking garages. The combination of on demand self driving vehicles, more retirees, more cyclists, more pedestrians, and quiet electric transit will kill off a lot of parking garages and the attached malls. Nobody will miss them, except us skateboarders.
8. Single family home lawn supplies. Lawns will be replaced by gardens and more people will live in multi-family towers next to green parks. But plants will be in high demand for the apartments and decks. Tiny greenhouses too.
9. Cell phone stores. The 2025-2035 period will see ubiquitous self-powered wifi devices (like ST comms badges) that run off incidental radiation, and attach to clothes (either as sleeves, belts, broaches, or necklaces. This will save jewelry stores, of course.
10. Wallets. See 9 above. The new devices will mostly replace wallets and purses. People will wear nifty gem sacks at their belts, in which they store their coins (see how Canada does dollars, or Euro coins).
-- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
Please, let it be Oracle.
Gun stores.
Comment removed based on user account deletion
Comments here are for the US (mostly...)
Fast food chain burger flipper -- replaced by a robot. There still will be employees at the stores, just a bunch less. Minimum wage laws have made their work too expensive.
More and more agricultural crop picking work will be automated. Especially if Trump continues to clamp down on illegal immigration. Growers either won't be able to find workers, or the workers that remain will want too much money.
And this will apply in a lot of other places as well. More and more low-end jobs across all sectors will be replaced by robotics and/or AI. (Except government. That will continue to be bloated, corrupt, and inefficient as ever.)
If wireless internet access becomes cheaper and more ubiquitous, at some point that becomes the end of AM/FM and satellite radio. (I love Sirius/XM, but if they survive, it will be through relatively cheap Internet streaming, not their expensive satellite systems.) Some content remains, but it's now all streamed/podcasted.
As both wireless and wired Internet access become cheaper and more ubiquitous, at some point that becomes the end of satellite/cable TV distribution. TV becomes distributed via the Internet instead (as already is the case several services).
Wired phone lines (POTS) become more or less dead as well. And the phone companies largely are happy about that. They don't want to have to maintain that infrastructure, and rather make money in wireless and Internet offerings.
Newspapers continue their demise. They aren't dead yet, but most (with a few exceptions) are doing terribly. Same with most magazines. 10 years from now, things will be even more bleak.
Bookstores, except for used ones, die out. Used ones remain as a niche, as their product is cheap, and include collectors items. And they can be largely a warehouse for their online operations as well, selling books via Amazon and eBay.
Despite environmentalist daydreams, gas and diesel engines will still be around and still be way most new vehicles are powered. But coal power plants will be dwindling, probably not all gone. Cheap natural gas and better solar will make dirty coal more and more unattractive. Cheap natural gas is already doing this right now.
The country of Venezuela will be gone, at least as we know it. But it's probably going to be gone in the next year or two, and maybe less, crashing from its own failures.
Hey, I can dream, can't I?
they'll get eaten alive by a vulture capital firm in a leveraged buyout. Just happened to Toys-R-Us. I figure a few more retailers are next. Maybe one of the remaining sporting goods stores.
Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
Just kidding. Lobbying will be a growth industry for the next decade at least.
sub f{($f)=@_;print"$f(q{$f});";}f(q{sub f{($f)=@_;print"$f(q{$f});";}f});
(No explanation needed.)
Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
Drivers, burger flippers, mechanics,
What company will disapear? Uber! You cannot loose money on every trip forever.
Please, for the love of the gods, please let this stop being a profession.
My beliefs do not require that you agree with them.
NBC did not do a good job predicting:
2/10 = 20% is not a good rate of prediction
Goodbye NBC, we hardly watched you...
I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
One can only hope it doesn't take 10 years.
Learning HOW to think is more important than learning WHAT to think.
Dont Let It Die
It's interesting how Peak Oil has disappeared from the collective consciousness in discussions about the not too distant future. News Flash: Peak Oil is here. And Peak Natural Gas is less than 10 years out. When you consider how integrally woven petroleum is to most developed nation economies -- and Capitalism in general -- plus it's role in climate change, major upheavals across all sorts of businesses should be expected. Cheap, portable alternatives to gas and diesel are going to be hard to find for things like airplanes, container ships, and construction equipment. Also, energy-intensive activities like mining, paving and concrete production will likely get very expensive. It's going to be interesting times..
Ther will probably still be some business entity around called Microsoft but it will be fully owned by the Chinese and will just be an IP troll.
It will be pretty much irrelevant and insignificant in any real sense, They won't be making or selling any actual products by then.
When all its principals are jailed...
I'm not being optimistic about renewable energy use or the will of the government to stop pollution, it's just that natural gas has been gutting the coal industry and despite a recent uptick, automation is replacing most workers. The companies may survive another 7 years but the occupation as we know it will die. With no economic incentive (jobs) to keep the sector alive, politicians that aren't heavily bribed will turn on coal completely most likely by other growing sectors that bribe them better.
Here's the long trend and here's the more recent trend.
Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
Lenevo and Tata will purchase the remnants.
Co's won't invest in much automation R&D unless the labor actually does dry up.
Table-ized A.I.
If the facebook has its way with virtual reality then the worlds oldest business will vanish. Cross physical feed back with AI then things get ... creepy.
I read at +2. If your post doesn't reach that level I will not see or respond to it.
> ... The quality of the community and articles is not what it was. It keeps getting passed around from company to company. It is just one corp org away form shutting down ...
Back when /. was started they never delete comments for political, or for whatever silly reasons
Now comments vanished if they contain messages that the mods do not like
> ... What is left is a very loyal community ...
Sorry, a lot have left, and as a result, the quality of the comments (and the commentors) has gone south
Used book stores will be around. The idea of going paperless is now where close. People bought their 'readers' and dumped them as they don't like to read on them. We have 6 used books stores in my area for the past 30 years and only one has closed due to death in the family.
Ride sharing + autonomous cars = no need for private ownership
Not that it is even the business it was 10 years ago, but at the current track in the stock price, it could be gone in much less than 10 years.
...and what does that mean about similar predictions now?
"NBC's list was: Record stores; Camera film manufacturing; Crop dusters; Gay bars; Newspapers; Pay phones; Used bookstores; Piggy banks; Telemarketing; Coin-operated arcades."
Record stores: almost gone, but there are still a few indies around and they're doing great with the current boom in vinyl sales. i.e low-volume/niche business now.
Film manufacturing: Kodak (owned by others) and Fuji are still in the business, but it's low-volume/niche (this will become a trend...).
Crop Dusters: still very much in business, though the precise materials being spayed have changed a bit. PREDICTION FAIL.
Gay bars: still very much around. PREDICTION FAIL But not a rapidly growing market niche.
Newspapers: not gone: there are still many around, but much thinner than they used to be. Not really a prediction fail (many newspapers in fact have gone away), but we get most of our news elsewhere now.
Pay phone: still a few around, but no more are being added. Very low-volume/niche item. Call it PREDICTION SUCCESS.
Used Book Stores: PREDICTION FAIL. Still many around, in fact they're about the only place other than Amazon to get Real Books any more. Amazon in fact has been a boon for them - another outlet for their books.
Piggy Banks: huh? A lot of kids don't know what coins (or cash in general) are any more. I'd call it a PREDICTION SUCCESS, though as a very small niche they're still around.
Telemarketing: PREDICTION FAIL. No further discussion needed.
Con-op Arcades: PREDICTION SUCCESS in their original form, but there is still a niche. They're turning up now as trendy spots for games, drinks, and food; and most multiplex theaters still have a small one. Oh, and Chuck E. Cheese isn't completely out of business yet.
E-commerce will grow a lot and force local retailers to close. Internet services based only on ad revenue are going to have trouble. /F
Ten years? We're talking legacy here. How about 100 years?
Here's one that's already dying, and should continue to wither: the monologue-centric academic lecture hall.
Here's another one that will take more than ten years but is already happening: the death of cooking (esp. baking) in U.S. volumetric units.
No-one in the younger generation thinks accurate digital scales are exotic any longer. And what if you want to make 50% more? And the original recipe calls for 1 1/2 tsp? Oh, dear. So what, apart from inertia, keeps us locked into this weirdly discrete measurement system?
Answer: whole chicken eggs sold in the shell.
That could change, too, but I'm not counting this as an official answer.
All these old printed cookbooks call for one onion. Seen an onion lately? I've picked up 10 lb bags from Costo, where every onion was 450–500 g. Seen a mushroom lately? Where I live, back in the 1980s, a mushroom was one inch across. A quarter cut was almost diced. Now I'm usually doing an 8-cut, and sometimes doing a 12-cut.
Everything in grams. It's more durable. Please and thank you.
We got YOU under control, that's what really matters. And no one cares about your so-called "trolls".
Creimer, have you noticed that there are very few users who get the treatment you do? Maybe that should tell you something about how distinctly unpleasant the majority of slashdot thinks you are.
'nuff said
These cult-like profit-driven industries with their control of who gets what jobs need to die, or at least shrink a lot.
Neither Google, Apple, nor Amazon will be around in their current form. All will be broken up in various overseas monopoly trials.
They'll remain a good meeting place for SJWs to protest against anything they decide to take offence to, but they must surely be set to shrink.
I study both at university, extra-murally, and online, using udemy and others.
Observing them side-by-side for the last two years, online courses have been cheaper, shorter, better and more current.
Creimer is impervious to reason, logic, or indeed, reality itself. He lives in a psychotic little fantasy universe where he's the victim, the content creator, the lovable loser.
Meanwhile, no one likes him, no one cares about his shitty ebooks, no one cares about his self-created victim status on here.
We only care about sending more electricity into the corpse-brain and studying the reactions.
Redhat for sure. Hopefully google too.
Creimer is impervious to reason, logic, or indeed, reality itself. He lives in a psychotic little fantasy universe where he's the victim, the content creator, the lovable loser.
That description can be applied to many non-AC users, not just Creamie.
The number of lawsuits is just staggering!
665: The mark on the forehead of Satan's slightly less evil brother, Stan.
Slashdot real editor NOTE: Only 3 or 4 paste-bins can handle all posts related to creimer.
Thanks God! And it still attracts traffic.
Exactly! We, at Special Education for the Santa Clara County Office of Education, couldn't agree more with you!
For the valuable /. users that might already have read the following, please note that there is an important update.
IMPORTANT UPDATE:
Special Education for the Santa Clara County Office of Education has invested money to buy Chris a new chair:
http://www.keynamics.com/image...
Information about Christopher Dale Reimer and autistic people:
Autistic people have obsessions about things normal people don't care. For example, one of our autistic patient went haywire when he realized that there was a penny missing in his pocket change.
To calm him down, one of our educator pretended to have found it on the floor and gave a penny to him.
The autistic patient condition went even worse because he realized it wasn't the same penny!
Chris has an obsession with budgeting every penny. He doesn't understand that most people do not budget to the penny and have a flexible amount they allow for miscellaneous items.
I am Nancy Guerrero and I am Director of Special Education for the Santa Clara County Office of Education. We use Chris' (a.k.a. creimer,cdreimer) picture in our document because he is the hardest case we have ever had to handle:
http://www.sccoe.org/depts/stu...
Our artists were inspired by the low carb diet that Christopher follows scrupulously for the small lunch box and by the picture linked below for the rest. I am sure that you will notice the similarities such as the bump on the side of his chest and more:
https://ibb.co/gVad65
Please be easy on Christopher although, I am aware that some of our staff handling Chris post joke comments here and obvoiusly, the Santa Clara County Office of Education disapprove that behavior vehemently:
https://school.discoveryeducat...
But it isn't Chris' fault if he is the way he is. We do the best we can do with him and he is partially integrated into society. We try to cure his abnormal need for attention but he is kind of stubborn and won't listen to anybody.
Thank You dear users,
-Nancy Guerrero
Khyber and Rockoon come to mind, but even they haven't progressed beyond the "itchy nose" stage. Creimer is like an intense desire to shit in a crowded elevator, he's the smell of a hundred unwashed spice factory workers on the bus in summer, he's a thousand-edged pebble in a tight shoe on a hike in the Grand Canyon.
He's a fully-larded knothole filled with bees, he's 48 sexless years, he's a badly-written novel on a desert island, he's that fat guy on the bus that has to sit next to you with a sour milk smell, and insisting on starting a conversation with you.
Creimer is like a yeast infection in your asscrack on that century bike ride but you didn't pack any chamois butter. He's that fay guy who hogs the shoulder fly machine for fifteen minutes doing nothing while you're trying to keep a routine going.
Creimer is that creepy middle-aged loser with a scraggly beard in the comic book store trying to hit on the 21 year old cashier.
And he sees nothing wrong with any of this, and is convinced the problem is you.
Slashdot does have rules about trolls only being allowed to post a few times a day...although of course some users get around it through using multiple troll accounts.
Dammit, that didn't make any sense.
I guess it's time to close up shop on my Betteridge's law of headlines auto-responder consultancy.
At least business is booming at my Poe's Law-firm.
I stole this Sig
Things that will be gone in ten years:
- credit cards
- cable TV
- radios
- taxi drivers
- smart phones
- car GPS
- cashiers
- waiters taking orders
- ATMs
- PIN numbers
- AC adapters for charging
...honestly, they are nearly dead right now. And a bunch of retail outfits will not make it 10 years from now. I don't really like that, but that is the trend.
Gordon
My bet is on Equifax. Rather based on the history of how these things play out I'd be entirely shocked if it was still around come 2020.
In America at least, the market no longer supports independent consultants. It's all been offshored to India. Most of my friends in the business were starved out in recent years, and I myself was finally starved out this year.
Oh, and before you get on your high horse about keeping skills up to date... I very quickly landed an employee job as Director of Devops with an American startup. The company was fucking shocked by how fast I work and how good the product is. So no, skills have nothing at all to do with it.
My theory is, the change is not only about price. Due to very well known issues with quality, companies rarely save much money in the long run. Rather it has a lot to do with social status relations.
The typical inbred nepotist in upper management resents working with people who are his social equals and intellectual betters, prefers bossing around slaves. By and large India-based Indian freelancers are ass-lickingly servile. Probably as a result of their repugnant caste system. My ethnically-Indian friend from LA (he's as American as any of us) was also starved out of the independent consulting business.
assuming they don't move on to making other things, companies that make...
+ Keyboards
+ mice
+ laptops
+ graphing calculators
Nullius in verba
Sure, many will still be around for other things, but their core business, money transfer, will be out of their hands.
I hope more for Facebook to go away.
Microsoft has had its peak, but will probably not go away.
Oracle is at larger risk. it's big and bulky with an unclear business strategy.
Several cloud service providers are at risk.
Some ISPs with bad customer treatments.
Analog land lines are already dying in bulk.
Trumps real estate business is probably at risk.
Apple - past Jobs the vision is gone.
If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
Investment advice is already done by computers, as is some type of legal advice - computerised appeals against parking tickets
Other forms will follow: medical advice, counselling (though it doesn't even take a smartphone to say "how does that make you feel")
Journalism. That is already dead in most publications. It just hasn't stopped moving yet.
TV repair and other home appliances. Already on their last elbows, soon to be totally extinct.
Train driver. Just as soon as they can unionise robots and teach them how to go on strike
TV / Film personalities. We have already seen a few avatars (Max Headroom, anyone?) But a digital "personality" is far easier to work with
National leaders : see TV personalities
Postal deliveries. Does this need explaining?
Road sweepers. The first public / road-travelling robots.
Airport baggage handlers.
Librarians. No more libraries
politicians are like babies' nappies: they should both be changed regularly and for the same reasons
The appeasement of Islam business
You are clueless.
Everything I write is lies, read between the lines.
Electronics Repair as a career: It won't just be stopped by lack of parts and schematics; things just won't break as much. We already have some phones that can take a swim and be fine. The day screens become more durable and batteries don't have a shelf life, that's really most of the problem.
TV repair: (see above) It's really only the panels that break unless there's a power surge. Most remaining TV repair services will be working hand-in-hand with salvage services like what I did on the side for a few years until the screens just got too damn big to handle. Only bigger operations will be able to make it economical. And, with lighter weight and fewer nasty chemicals to deal with since the switch to LED lighting, it'll actually be okay.
Enthusiast-targeted boutique computer stores/hardware makers: With Moore's Law slowing down and Nintendo with the Switch and plenty of phone/tablet makers having proven it already, games are getting easier to run on smaller and smaller equipment. You'll still be able to "roll-your-own", but it will be easier to just tick a few boxes on an order to get that fire-breathing GPU (which will be based on a card built for Deep Learning and other intense math stuff, as today), just don't expect twenty different brands with ten different models each, let alone a flashy heatsink, since there won't be any way to see it: big computers will be unnecessary. SSDs are small and optical is all-but-dead. Big computers will go the way of the "more fans, the better" and the big CRTs of the dot-com era.
The local hotspots like clubs and bars: Or at least they'll need an overhaul. Dating already pretty much changed forever with the advent of Tinder and the more streamlined online dating services that could be accessed from a phone app. Going to a club or bar to meet random people, looking for that spark is pretty much history in ten years. I know there are already clubs and bars that are less about bumping music or doing shots and more about being able to just sit and chat in a relaxed atmosphere. There will get to be more of those since going to an expensive restaurant just to be away from the screaming toddlers and annoying waitstaff of Applebees et al just isn't a thing in most places.
Silicon Valley: After seeing so many tech companies show up and thrive in the last place I ever expected (Salt Lake City area), I knew there had to be plenty of such development elsewhere, too. Yep. If you're data-heavy, all you need is that fast pipe.
YouTube "stars": I'm not talking about bigclive, EEVBlog, AvE, AVGN, Louis Rossmann, Simon and Martina, GottLove, moviebob, or any other example who actually contributes usable content, I'm talking about the ones who thrive on the same flash in the pan trash tabloids, gossip shows, and such do: creating drama or shock. Like that numbnuts who destroys expensive shit just because his ad revenue more than makes up for it. Or that subset of douchebags who just try to create content from conflicts between other "stars" and sometimes try to drag actual content creators into their mess.
Anything marketed directly at fat people: If your target demographic isn't worth the advertising budget, you put those dollars elsewhere. And, like it or not, people are moving around a lot more. You don't have to be at home to get on the Internet. You don't have to sit at home and wait for TV. You can be doing things. And good food is going to become easier to get access to. We are going to slim down. It's already happening.
SAE measurements in construction: The US is going Metric. I believe in a decade we will see construction materials dual-labeled, at the very least, like Canada does with road signs. Once construction goes Metric, it's a go for the rest of the transition to be made.
MP3 as a format: It will be left in the dust completely, as data rates and storage volumes increase. Technology is getting better. Earphones and even bluetooth speakers (if they have that aptX technology) sound good enough that FLAC or another lossless audio compressio
In a world of the blind, the one-eyed man is king--and the two-eyed man is a heretic.
My predictions for business that may well be dead in the not-to-distant-future (if they aren't already):
Video rental stores (I am surprised the ones that still exist have been able to hang on for so long given the rise of both rental kiosks and digital content purchase/rental/streaming/etc)
Landline phones (more and more people will replace home phones completly with mobile like I have or they will get some sort of VoIP service running over cable or fibre or whatever other tech rather than actual proper old-school copper wire phones)
Tobacconists (as less people smoke, taxes on tobacco increase and more and more general retailers like supermarkets and petrol stations are selling cigarettes, less and less people will have a reason to go to a specialty tobacconist for their tobacco products. Laws regulating how retailers can display and sell tobacco products dont help matters either)
Paid FTP software (with free alternatives like FileZilla being as good as the paid alternatives if not better, why would anyone bother to pay for FTP software anymore?)
Classified advertising in newspapers (why would anyone bother with newspapers when buying cars, buying property, looking for a job or buying general crap when things like Gumtree, realestate.com.au, Seek, CarSales and others in other countries are so much better)
Printed TV guides and listings (with digital TV even free-to-air channels give you up-to-date on-screen program guides so you can see what's on and when plus if you do need to look it up without looking on your TV, the Internet has you covered for that)
Printed phone books (I am surprised these aren't completly dead yet)
Toy stores (with the recent bankruptcy of Toys R Us and consumers increasingly buying toys from online or from big box department stores that have lower prices than the toy retailers, could the death of the toy store be far away?)
Posters like you** who make frequent long detailed posts about Creimer are quite the odd and interesting specimens. You seem to have very strong and complex feelings about Creimer and a constant need to express them in detail. Is it love? hate? envy? something else?
Whatever it is, it's some form of strange obsession and you might want to get it looked at.
**Are you several obsessives or just one posing as several?
2013 article!
Some content farming never dies.
It's love, fascination, repulsion, and pity. It's kind of the same set of reasons why you post what you do.
We got YOU under control, that's what really matters. And no one cares about your so-called "trolls".
Who is in control: the fool who post a comment or the fools who post comments after him?
Seems like a lot people lose their shit when creimer posts a comment.
Most of these are reasonable, but you are way off on tobacconists. I can't imagine why you think more locations are going to start selling cigarettes, almost all gas stations/convenience stores/general retailers already do, and have for some time. What is starting to happen is stores that used to sell them are getting out of the business, Target was the first major retailer some time back, but more recently CVS stopped selling tobacco products. Others likely aren't far behind. If anything, in the future smokers will have to go to a tobacconist because there won't be other options.
Who is in control: the fool who post a comment or the fools who post comments after him?
Seems like a lot people lose their shit when creimer posts a comment.
Pavlov’s dogs. When the master whistles, every dog takes a shit.
Chris, try to put some zing into your replies.
Everyone who disagrees with you must be Chris. Yet you’re the one who shits on command when he whistles.
Here in Australia it must be different then. All the major supermarket chains still sell cigarettes, as do many petrol stations and convenience stores. Some newsagents and other smaller businesses still sell cigarettes as well.
As for tobacconists in Oz, a lot of the ones I see are more shops selling all sorts of crap (e.g. sports/car racing merchandise, bar/alcohol related merchandise, heck I even saw one such store selling a Hookah Pipe in the shape of a Kalashnikov) that also happen to sell cigarettes on the side.
They probably survive more because of the other crap they sell than because of the money they make on cigarettes.
If anything, its likely to be the smaller businesses that exit tobacco retailing whilst the big chains like Coles and Woolworths remain in the business. Newsagents as well as any independent (or independently franchised) petrol stations and convenience stores that dont make enough money from tobacco sales to cover the increasing costs will be the first to stop selling I suspect.
I dont smoke and I am not involved in the business but I do notice what is happening and what sorts of businesses are still selling the products and what sorts are not...
Creimer, have you noticed that there are very few users who get the treatment you do? Maybe that should tell you something about how distinctly unpleasant the majority of slashdot thinks you are.
Have you noticed how few users are still left on Slashdot? Creimer spent six months fighting your bullshit, declared victory and went home.
Not 'just kidding'!
*** Don't be dull.***
Typical Creimer self-aggrandizing narrative, complete with non-sequitur. How does your second sentence derive from or reinforce the first sentence?
Seems you're the one who can't resist refreshing your browser and getting in your digital feces, Chris.
Let’s roll out the user account since you can’t wait to post another comment as AC.
Pundits and 24-hour news channels
I am so glad that the telemarketers disappeared and now I never get calls from strangers wanting to sell me stuff. /sarcasm
"Have you noticed how few users are still left on Slashdot? "
No, Chris, I haven't, but that's a typical creimer talking point.
"Creimer spent six months fighting your bullshit, declared victory and went home."
More like spent six months getting ridiculed and lambasted, decided even he doesn't have enough free time in a day to reply to everyone, and got SENT home.
I think that interpretation is closer to the truth, don't you think, Chris?
Still bitter, FakeFuck39?
More non-sequitur digital diarrhea from our favorite incontinent 400 pound Labrador.
I think that interpretation is closer to the truth, don't you think, Chris?
This reminds me of an old TV show, “Everyone Hates Chris”.
Microsoft. Like IBM has nearly disappeared after decades pioneering... Microsoft has very little left.
I've been on it a long time... and I try not to keep up with 'breaking' news - the focus of now what is 'mainstream' media changes constantly, and it's exhausting.
I come here every day or every other day. It's kind of like not going to the theater to see new movies, and waiting for them to come out on DVD/Netflix. Sure, I'm never the first to hear about something, but when I do it's still relevant and interesting to me.
My beliefs do not require that you agree with them.
Smart phones. People will switch to Dick Tracy Watches with audio implants and eye glass projectors.
Nothing ever completely dissapears. There are still people making a living in ways we consider obsolete. You can still buy a new buggy whip, suit of chain mail, vinyl record or roll of35mm film.It doesn't matter. Those things have gone and are functionally irellevant to 21st century life in the developed world.
There are some groups of people who want a buggy whip for its actual purpose. Some of them are avoiding the 20th or 21st centuries for cultural or religious reasons. Others might drive horse powered buggies for fun.
I watch someone on Youtube who is getting a suit of armour. It's an expensive hobby but it is being made by a serious professional.
Similar things could be said of the other items I listed but they are all gone as far away as they ever will./p>
What things will go the same way over the next 10 years?
1. Paper books will take a lot longer but there are less in the rich developed world but that is only a drop in a small part of the world.
2. Landline telephones do not exist in much of the world. I haven't had one for years but I know plenty of people who do. Businesses will stick with them for use in offices. Maybe in 25 years, they will be less common.
3. Pagers/bleeps are still more widely used than people think. Those of us who are tied to them would probably not mind if they all went the way of the dodo. The technology has been around for a long time. We just need management to realise it and for old systems to be replaced as they fail. 10 years? No problem.
I'll see your Constitution and raise you a Queen.
Video rental stores (I am surprised the ones that still exist have been able to hang on for so long given the rise of both rental kiosks and digital content purchase/rental/streaming/etc)
Kiosks don't have older titles, and $4 to rent a movie from Amazon is more expensive than (say) $1 per night from a brick-and-mortar store like Family Video. It's even worse if you live outside the service footprint of fiber, cable, or DSL, as you have to add on $5 to $10 per GB on top of that for the Internet data transfer quota overages that satellite and cellular ISPs charge. (Examples include rural areas and Seattle.)
Landline phones (more and more people will replace home phones completly with mobile like I have or they will get some sort of VoIP service running over cable or fibre or whatever other tech rather than actual proper old-school copper wire phones)
Unless they live in an area where the local fiber, cable, or DSL provider bundles a landline at no additional charge with Internet access.
Printed TV guides and listings (with digital TV even free-to-air channels give you up-to-date on-screen program guides so you can see what's on and when plus if you do need to look it up without looking on your TV, the Internet has you covered for that)
Unlike the on-screen guide in OTA or cable TV, a printed guide doesn't cover up the program that someone else in the household is watching.
with the recent bankruptcy of Toys R Us and consumers increasingly buying toys from online
Online has no showroom, and though it's not quite as important for toys as for (say) clothes or laptop computers, it's still nice to get a feel for a toy's scale before buying it. (That's another reason I don't like blind boxes, apart from the duplicates.)
or from big box department stores that have lower prices than the toy retailers
Toys "R" Us has toys on shelves that Walmart and Target didn't have.
Crop dusters; Gay bars; Newspapers; Pay phones; Used bookstores; Piggy banks; Telemarketing; Coin-operated arcades.
At least one of each of these things exists within a 20 mile radius of me, so NBC scored 0%.
But some of these businesses went from being ubiquitous to being rare. Is that what's meant by "go away"?
(Hell, we even still have a Radio Shack and two video rental stores.)
Huh, why?
By the way, looking at your post history, that was a hilarious Chuck Norris joke you posted yesterday, in the year 2017. So funny! It's great Slashdot gives you the chance to socially interact with people who normally would want nothing to do with you.
I would add that thanks to VoIP technologies, telemarketers are not only alive and well but thriving.
Arcades and more specifically Barcades are popping up all over the place now.
Except as far as I can tell, barcades require age 21 to enter, and other arcades are dominated by redemption games (those that spit tickets) for small children. Where does this leave people who have outgrown the shallow, often random-number-driven gameplay of redemption games but haven't reached the senior year of college yet?
You also don't need immigration lawyers if there are no borders.
Once any and all immigration is legalized these lawyers will go out of business.
Won't you please think of the lawyers?
Kiosks don't have older titles, and $4 to rent a movie from Amazon is more expensive than (say) $1 per night from a brick-and-mortar store like Family Video.
Your local library is even cheaper.
Unless they live in an area where the local fiber, cable, or DSL provider bundles a landline at no additional charge with Internet access.
That doesn't mean they actually hook it up to anything. Phone books are free too, but good luck finding anyone who actually keeps them.
Unlike the on-screen guide in OTA or cable TV, a printed guide doesn't cover up the program that someone else in the household is watching.
Can't really say anything here because I haven't used one in more than 20 years. Never really found them to be terribly useful, but they were better than the endlessly scrolling non-interactive channel guides at times. You can always use the web or app version if the television is in use.
Online has no showroom, and though it's not quite as important for toys as for (say) clothes or laptop computers, it's still nice to get a feel for a toy's scale before buying it. (That's another reason I don't like blind boxes, apart from the duplicates.)
There's no substitute for seeing a product in person. But you have a much better chance of finding a lot of things online. I go into TRU at least once a week, and it's usually the same stuff on the shelves that's been sitting there for the last 6 months. Anything new either sells in a day or two or joins the store's permanent collection. I imagine it's the video games and baby supplies that are keeping them afloat, barely.
Toys "R" Us has toys on shelves that Walmart and Target didn't have.
Oh, don't get me started... They do get a lot of exclusives, both individual items (though Target and Walmart usually get their own, many exclusives are shared with online retailers like BBTS, and the prices tend to be absurdly high) and entire lines (because nobody else wants them). But they also tend to get stuck with massive overstock, partly due to their price markups, leaving them with products that have long since sold through or been clearanced out by everyone else. This comes in handy sometimes; occasionally you can find stuff from years ago that you missed the first time around or, if you're lucky, something that has been removed from the system and rings up at 3 cents. Can't be good for the store's bottom line though.
I suspect that as more countries and US states legalize recreational marijuana consumption, tobacconists will branch out into that market. They'll sell fancy bongs alongside the high-end cigars. "Weed sommeliers" capable of telling you the different kinds of highs you can get from different weed cultivars will become a thing, if they're not already.
I was on my way to work the other day and found out the replacement: helicopters. A crop-dusting helicopter did a 180-turn right above me, then started dusting crops, to my surprise!
Still raping the neighbor's goats?
(PS: Chris, I never understood that particular "witty reply" of yours. Are you asking if you can go next?)
Actually lame jokes aside his comment history is impressive
"They must be really special atoms since protons are 3D with a Charge radius of 0.8751(61) fm"
Lots of good physics there. All we ever see you post is spam, daily updates about who was on your short bus, which brand of underwear you like, which hot goth girl you hit on at work... all shit that belongs on your blog and not in the comments section of slashdot.
Ironically you cry about slashdot in your blog. Seriously creimer why is it you're so odd? Like you must be extremely weird.
The only thing on that list I have not used this year is the record store. And I will give you film since my B&W's are kinda retro on purpose and not the mainstream which is what they were talking about. But there was a payphone at the campground this summer, Powell's Books is alive and well, my son has a piggy bank he loves and it's stuffed with rare coins. I STILL get telemarketing, although they all go to the blacklist now. And we definitely go play arcade games reguarly in addition to home based video games. Skee ball is still skee ball.
So, dumb list, pretty much.
The list of businesses going down from ten years ago has an interesting anomaly; the camera film business.
There is actually a resurgence of film cameras among art students. My local camera shop is almost totally digital these days but reports a huge surge in sales of low end film cameras and B&W film. The reason is the art department at a local University having a hugely popular program called "Photography as Art" and the advanced course goes into detail on how darkroom technique creatively works with the subject matter.
For businesses going down the tubes in the next decade; I think "record labels" will be one of the first to go. For actually purchasing music; a label is totally irrelevant. The RIAA is only relevant for dunning streaming services for royalties. If someone organizes an association of music producers; the RIAA will be defunct totally as a union of creative talents can replace an association of industrial record pressers and greedy copyright holders. "Burn to Order" will probably be common for physical recording media soon as the norm is digital. Streaming is the new radio. But those with more eclectic tastes will still want to own copies of what they like.
Oddly, as record labels die, there is a resurgence of vinyl record companies doing audiophile pressings. I wonder if there will be a resurgence of glass recording makers as those were considered the audiophile versions back when vinyl was the mundane norm?
Die shoe stores, Die!
At least I hope they will but, alas, there are enough with a shoe shopping fetish to keep some open. Yet, if you are not of average size feet, you know the hate you have for all those stores with hundreds of style of shoe but all in average width. If you have wide or narrow feet, you are out of luck.
If someone makes a way to print a template then photograph your feet on it as a way to make custom shoes by computer controlled manufacturing; they would automatically rule the 40 percent of feet that don't fit average sizing.
NRRPT/RCT
Slashdot.org
These will be gone by 2027.
Cable TV
Landlines
Bitcoin
For reference, NBC's list was: Record stores; Camera film manufacturing; Crop dusters; Gay bars; Newspapers; Pay phones; Used bookstores; Piggy banks; Telemarketing; Coin-operated arcades.
Record stores; Nope, nostalgia
Camera film manufacturing; Nope, nostalgia and art
Crop dusters; Do they not know where their food comes from?
Gay bars; Nope, gays like their gay bars sans breeders.
Newspapers; Maybe twenty more years
Pay phones; Close, but they're like vending machines.
Used bookstores; WTF. Never! Used book stores are booming right now!
Piggy banks; Huh? Piggy bank makers?
Telemarketing; Phone spam? doubtful it will leave.
Coin-operated arcades. Maybe, but nostalgia might bring it back again one more time when Gen X retires.
Slashdot is a dot org website.
Slashdot is a dot org website.
That's probably why it didn't crash during the dot com bust. It's been in decline ever since.
I think outdoor recreational stores will see a decline in the next 10 years. Stores like Dicks sporting goods, Cabelas, and REI (to name a few US examples) already struggle to compete with online retailers, often due to higher markups in brick and mortar establishments for the same or similar equipment. Combine that with an industry that is on the decline (objective opinion based on what I've seen in recent years) and sales will continue to drop. Don't get me wrong, equipment for more "traditional" sports like football and baseball will still be around but for things such as camping/backpacking, canoeing, and mountain biking? I'm not so sure. Additionally, I think there will be a overall decline in publicly accessible land for these kinds of activates. I hope I'm wrong though, whatever happened to spending time outside?
Well slashdot wouldn't let me post my calm well thought out post because it set off the "lameness filter"
So I'll just have to tell you that most people don't have "trolls" who follow them everywhere. Please go get behavioral therapy you could have had a normal life by now and you'd be thinking about selling your house and retiring. You got in a spat with one or two users and then proceeded to offend the entire board with your amazon links. You need to learn how to keep yourself from doing this for your career and your friendships.. and your ability to shitpost online too I guess.
Please Read: A Personal Appeal from Wikipedia Founder Jimmy Wales.
It would make me extremely happy to see the site's real moderators do their job and totally IP ban creimer.
If a normal poster with excellent karma built up 2 alts they could completely shortcircuit the moderation system. They could post as Anonymous Coward and effectively get the same starting score as our best posters.
A normal person with some urge to troll would assume the flaw in this plan is eventually being assigned a complete IP ban from a living breathing human but creimer demonstrates this is not true. Each day that he allowed to continue posting on slashdot is more affirmation that there are no consequences for exploiting flaws in our self moderation model. As a matter of fact it appears that site administration was compassionate enough to try to help him dodge the trolls... which he fucked up within a day.
Sure they watched it unfold and can see he's just a shitty poster. He even spams amazon ad-links from his alts, since he's stopped doing it on his main I assume that the ad-spam was a condition of his continued presence on this site.
Just pitch him in the trash plz.
Who goes to your blog? It's just people who look at your Slashdot posts. So of course your slashdot related blog posts are going to get the most views.
I'm normal.
You are a 48 year old virgin who is morbidly obese and will be sleeping on the street within a decade or two, with a delusional ego. You are anything but normal.
"I'm normal."
The only thing normal about you is your height. Everything else about you is either repulsive or off the charts. You literally couldn't even weigh yourself properly because you overloaded the industrial scale at a gym. That's normal?
" My merry band of wanker trolls are odd."
Odd that you lost all your karma and your user name, huh Chris?
"I believe this has to do with the jock culture replacing nerd culture."
Strange, I believe it has to do with your unpleasant obnoxiousness. You are disliked by nerds and jocks.
"Jocks, of course, thinks their behavior is totally acceptable"
With crammar like that, you sure you're not a jock?
" and get offensive when an outsider points this out."
Like a big baby calling out his "trolls" on his shitty personal vomit site?
Like that?
Now go comb the crumbs out of your white jowlbeard, you can eat those for breakfast. You know, with that 4$ a day food budget you have.
"(this morning's exchange was hilarious)"
Chris,
Just because it is morning in Santa Clara doesn't mean it is morning everywhere.
For the valuable /. users that might already have read the following, please note that there is an important update.
IMPORTANT UPDATE:
Special Education for the Santa Clara County Office of Education has invested money to buy Chris a new chair:
http://www.keynamics.com/image...
Information about Christopher Dale Reimer and autistic people:
Autistic people have obsessions about things normal people don't care. For example, one of our autistic patient went haywire when he realized that there was a penny missing in his pocket change.
To calm him down, one of our educator pretended to have found it on the floor and gave a penny to him.
The autistic patient condition went even worse because he realized it wasn't the same penny!
Chris has an obsession with budgeting every penny. He doesn't understand that most people do not budget to the penny and have a flexible amount they allow for miscellaneous items.
I am Nancy Guerrero and I am Director of Special Education for the Santa Clara County Office of Education. We use Chris' (a.k.a. creimer,cdreimer) picture in our document because he is the hardest case we have ever had to handle:
http://www.sccoe.org/depts/stu...
Our artists were inspired by the low carb diet that Christopher follows scrupulously for the small lunch box and by the picture linked below for the rest. I am sure that you will notice the similarities such as the bump on the side of his chest and more:
https://ibb.co/gVad65
Please be easy on Christopher although, I am aware that some of our staff handling Chris post joke comments here and obvoiusly, the Santa Clara County Office of Education disapprove that behavior vehemently:
https://school.discoveryeducat...
But it isn't Chris' fault if he is the way he is. We do the best we can do with him and he is partially integrated into society. We try to cure his abnormal need for attention but he is kind of stubborn and won't listen to anybody.
Thank You dear users,
-Nancy Guerrero
C.D. Reimer is a renowned Slashdot collaborator, as he puts it himself; "Because of the quality of my posts and my article submissions, I'm a highly rated commentator and moderator."
But does anybody ever wondered what "C.D." stands for? Well, it stands for Creimy Dumpty of course!
Creimy Dumpty sat on the wall,
Creimy Dumpty had a great fall.
All the king's horses
And all the king's men
Couldn't put Creimy Dumpty
Together again.
Creimy's siblings video and theme song, very realistic, especially the pants, just like Creimy's:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?...
Creimy's real pictures:
Before the sex change:
https://ibb.co/cc7Ddw
After the sex change:
https://ibb.co/gVad65
Creimy's "enterprise-level" chair, he talks about it all the time on slashdot:
http://www.keynamics.com/image...
Creimy's head, while his supervisor was talking to him, not with him, since it is impossible to do with Creimy:
https://school.discoveryeducat...
Creimy acting in educational resource document, he actually confirmed himself on Slashdot that he was handled by Special Education for the Santa Clara County Office of Education! He is really a king Dumpty!:
http://www.sccoe.org/depts/stu...
So I will answer the question: drama sells.
Quit bragging about how much you sell and help me you revenue stream hogging disgusting fat sexist tube of lard, Christopher Dale Reimer!
Now, I told you I was out of meds last week and you didn't even care to contact me you lazy fucker.
How many time do I have to express the emergency of the situation??????
The python click script you wrote for my pheromone revenue stream web site suddenly stopped to work!!!!!!
You fucking incompetent python script writer!!!
When it works, I get 4000+ clicks a day on my pheromone revenue stream web site but only 5 or 6 without it!!!!
Now, it seems like you dont care and that you have abandoned me you heartless fucking pig!
Bonus:
Here is a story that creimer told me when convincing me what a hard life he had:
The tree was him and the tree knot was his butt hole!
So, his uncle packed his fat ass with lard and with his cock! Not that it makes much of a difference but anyway, there it is!
Signed:
The girl that used to love you and now hates you, burn in hell where you belong you sexist pig!
obnoxiousness
Wow! As you could guess by my name, English isn't my first language and you made me search for a definition to a word that I had never searched for before.
And guess the funniest part? The origin a the word is Latin according to:
http://www.dictionary.com/brow...
Thanks a lot, dear Slashdot user!
---
Nancy Guerrero
Director
Special Education
Santa Clara County Office of Education
Funny, I would have thought that's the first word in creimer's file.
Hello Nancy!
Do you have any pictures of you available on-line? Google image search returns too many and I think we went to school together.
Anyway, people who learn English as a second language can often spot the stupid errors that Creimy Dumpty makes miles away, depending on how well they master their first language in the first place.
Creimy Dumpty can't even manage his own language, imagine a second one!
If management can't get these damn trolls under controll.
Hey look at this, how amazing!
Creimy-Dumpty knows how to place bold tags for specific letters of a word! He is really a miracle worker, just as we've heard.
Congratulation Creimy-Dumpty! Maybe next you'll manage to stay on the wall.
reference:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?...
Exactly! We, at Special Education for the Santa Clara County Office of Education, couldn't agree more with you!
For the valuable /. users that might already have read the following, please note that there is an important update.
IMPORTANT UPDATE:
Special Education for the Santa Clara County Office of Education has invested money to buy Chris a new chair:
http://www.keynamics.com/image...
Information about Christopher Dale Reimer and autistic people:
Autistic people have obsessions about things normal people don't care. For example, one of our autistic patient went haywire when he realized that there was a penny missing in his pocket change.
To calm him down, one of our educator pretended to have found it on the floor and gave a penny to him.
The autistic patient condition went even worse because he realized it wasn't the same penny!
Chris has an obsession with budgeting every penny. He doesn't understand that most people do not budget to the penny and have a flexible amount they allow for miscellaneous items.
I am Nancy Guerrero and I am Director of Special Education for the Santa Clara County Office of Education. We use Chris' (a.k.a. creimer,cdreimer) picture in our document because he is the hardest case we have ever had to handle:
http://www.sccoe.org/depts/stu...
Our artists were inspired by the low carb diet that Christopher follows scrupulously for the small lunch box and by the picture linked below for the rest. I am sure that you will notice the similarities such as the bump on the side of his chest and more:
https://ibb.co/gVad65
Please be easy on Christopher although, I am aware that some of our staff handling Chris post joke comments here and obvoiusly, the Santa Clara County Office of Education disapprove that behavior vehemently:
https://school.discoveryeducat...
But it isn't Chris' fault if he is the way he is. We do the best we can do with him and he is partially integrated into society. We try to cure his abnormal need for attention but he is kind of stubborn and won't listen to anybody.
Thank You dear users,
-Nancy Guerrero
Plus, Creimy-Dumpty is going worse by the minute. I am almost sure he meant Monday morning, not Tuesday morning pacific time. So, it would have been more than 24 hours ago anyway at the time of his post.
He should have written "yesterday" instead of "this morning". This way, he would have had all bases covered, like in baseball.
Creimy-Dumpty: Are you sure that you are American?
I just tried to update a test file with that word in it and it is automatically blocked by our system.
Go figure why I had to search for it!
---
Nancy Guerrero
Director
Special Education
Santa Clara County Office of Education
Yes!
Let's make Slashdot great again!
C.D. Reimer is a renowned Slashdot collaborator, as he puts it himself; "Because of the quality of my posts and my article submissions, I'm a highly rated commentator and moderator."
But does anybody ever wondered what "C.D." stands for? Well, it stands for Creimy Dumpty of course!
Creimy Dumpty sat on the wall,
Creimy Dumpty had a great fall.
All the king's horses
And all the king's men
Couldn't put Creimy Dumpty
Together again.
Creimy's siblings video and theme song, very realistic, especially the pants, just like Creimy's:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?...
Creimy's real pictures:
Before the sex change:
https://ibb.co/cc7Ddw
After the sex change:
https://ibb.co/gVad65
Creimy's "enterprise-level" chair, he talks about it all the time on slashdot:
http://www.keynamics.com/image...
Creimy's head, while his supervisor was talking to him, not with him, since it is impossible to do with Creimy:
https://school.discoveryeducat...
Creimy acting in educational resource document, he actually confirmed himself on Slashdot that he was handled by Special Education for the Santa Clara County Office of Education! He is really a king Dumpty!:
http://www.sccoe.org/depts/stu...
Indeed, indeed!
Birth certificate please!
---
The chief representative AC
Let's make Slashdot great again!
Hey cock sucker who also like to reime assholes like the hole in a CD!
Nobody invited you in our sub-thread so why do you have the habit of inviting yourself in all the time?
Buzz-off our sub thread and while at it, buzz-off /.
Yes, as an advanced version of creimer would put it: "enterprise-level" strategy to look politically correct sometimes involves eradicating words from existence, nuking them from orbit if necessary.
That's why you guys at Special Education, Santa Clara County Office of Education have your hands tied with cases like Creimer's.
I mean, even Dice tolerates his non-sense for the very same reasons.
"he most outrageous shit by my merry band of wanker trolls became fodder for my blog. Where else on the Internet do you get falsely accused of threatening to shoot people, fake accounts are created to mock you, and dick pics of Russian schoolboys with your contact info are posted on Russian image websites?"
You should try spamming your blog on 4chan I used to post links to my last measure shock site mirror saying will smith died and I'd get hundreds of hits. Think of all the DRAMA you can sell! You could even retire!!!
there will still be some left of everything, nothing ever really goes away.
On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero.
Don't know about 10... but in 30? Almost all of them. Climate emergencies, wars over refugees, immigration, water shortages, and food shortages will eliminate all but the bare necessities, and of course the military. I'd bet my money on the people who build the parts for tanks!
Predicted death of : Tesla Solar City and IoT that's not managed within the Apple or Google framework for consumer.