Do you think the standard that they would have to reach is really being set to completely preventing it from ever happening? Google has in fact made it virtually impossible for content owners, especially those without considerable budgets, to stop their material from being shared illegally on YouTube. I'm confident that even if this is enforced the difference will be that they have to more effectively stop content from being uploaded or remaining for too long not that they'll be liable if it happens less and is acted on quickly.
Sounds about right, though I'm not sure if that was just an observation or you were making a point that I missed? I have an opinion on minimum wages but my point wasn't that the UK should have a minimum wage or that it was at the right level. My point is that the fifth largest economy in world has a national minimum wage and has for some time and has seen unemployment decrease since it was implemented. I don't claim this proves there is no link, but it provides a handy initial rebuttal to people claiming that minimum wages invariably drive up unemployment.
How likely is it that you would have been able to find a vehicle at a normal price if surge pricing had reached a 400%+ premium? The one undoubtedly true thing about surge pricing is that it makes it easier for people willing and able to pay a premium to get quick transport by pricing out people who aren't willing or able. It seems unlikely that you'd have been easily able to have found a normal taxi quickly at a time when surge pricing is that high.
I still don't see them; you seem to have confused me saying I am not in favour of market restrictions without justification, for me not understanding that others may see or invent reasons they believe/claim are important.
You'd have to ask the people who dislike surge pricing on that basis if you want to know how they'd define that line. Government's often regulate transport related costs (whether you agree or not) and that includes taxi rates in many cities, while not regulating prices of many other things so clearly a decent sized group of people don't think the line between price control is an all or nothing thing.
He's got 80%+ approval ratings amongst republican members so yes I think most people think he is. You're making the mistake of thinking that republican has some fixed definition and doesn't change with it's membership and their views.
Wouldn't that be wonderful? Wouldn't it be great to even ever hear any Democrat or Republican say "we thought it was a good idea, but it's not actually working that well, so we can stop doing that."
It would, but will it ever happen if the voters then vote the person who spent $x billion on the program that wasn't working out of office because the other party target the electorate with a campaign highlighting their incompetence for wasting that money. There was a great episode of the West Wing that provided a great story of exactly this paradox (I think it's Slow News Day). In the episode about reforming social security two of the 'good guys' in the white house staff have to explain how they got a Republican who had argued for years for the same reforms they wanted voted out of office with a cynical campaign attacking him for those views because they thought they could get a democrat who would be aligned with them on other issues to replace him; and now they can't get any other Republicans on board, because even though they agree with it they don't want the same thing to happen to them.
The UK has considerably increased minimum the minimum wage since it was implemented at £3.60 in 1999 to £7.83 now (notably above inflation) and has seen a decrease in unemployment. I haven't seen any credible analysis yet that shows a clear correlation between minimum wages and unemployment, perhaps you'd like to share some? I assume you must be basing your view on credible and extensive analysis because if you weren't it would be a little hypocritical to claim other people can't argue logically.
I agree about considering consequences of decisions, and your sporting event example is well chosen. What I'm not sure of in that example is 1) how much difference in supply of drivers would there be if surge pricing was stopped or restricted and 2) how many people who would drive when they shouldn't would move to services like Uber if they would have to pay high surge prices.
In the UK it is quite common for taxis to operate on fixed rates. Because drivers want to be busy and earning fares you still see vastly more drivers operating around peak times than during quite times. An Uber driver who currently works 4pm-11pm because there is high demand (and also some surge pricing) then if surge pricing is stopped his choice is keep working the same hours without surge pricing where there will still be demand (likely more), or move to other hours which will either have untapped demand in which case their is a societal benefit to the service being available at the different time, or there isn't untapped demand in which case he will earn less.
Again, my natural inclination is that surge pricing should be allowed because I don't think we should interfere in markets without a very strong reason for doing so and I haven't seen one in this case.
It will be interesting to see what difference it makes if there is a cap implemented; though my own opinion is that one shouldn't be.
The argument for surge pricing pretty much boils down to the idea that sellers should be able to charge whatever they think buyers will pay (thus when there is scarcity prices increase) and that the existence of surge pricing encourages sellers to operate when demand is higher increasing supply. I'm yet to be persuaded that surge pricing really makes that much difference to supply at peak times (people who want work were likely to work when their is demand, and people who weren't planning to work often won't be able to respond fast enough to benefit from surge pricing). I am comfortable with the idea that people can make huge profits by selling a scarce resource, but I can see why many people dislike that it is "profiteering" and restricting access to a relatively basic service for those with relatively low incomes.
In the UK you would need ~5-6 drivers to run a vehicle 24/7 accounting for breaks, holidays, illness etc. If you pay them £10.50 (about the London bus driver rate) then after pensions, national insurance etc you're talking around £3,000 a week, which is £160,000 a year (around $230,000). The driver and the equipment needed for a driver take up space and add weight that adds more additional cost.
London buses are expected to have a £350,000 cost over their 14 year lifetime, while based on the above a drivers costs £2.24 million over 14 years (I'm assuming higher utilisation though). In short, if self-driving tech doubled the bus purchase and running cost it would still cost £1.9 million less over its 14 years in service.
Perhaps think of a bus on the scale of 6-12 passengers rather than 30+ and it makes more sense. If 5 other people who commuted something similar to my route and were willing to pay the same for a bus service as they pay in fuel and other costs then that'd be ~£180 a day for that commute; and the vehicle would be available to do other work during the day, on weekends and in the evening.
Is that revolutionary? Maybe not, but if it could be made 20% cheaper than driving that's £1,500 I save a year, and I'm getting to sit in a comfortable environment and do something other than drive with 3 hours a day (and yes I appreciate that 1.5 hr commutes are an edge case, and no I don't intend to do it forever), and there'd be 1 vehicle on the road instead of 6.
The issue with trains is that you've got fixed routes and stops with very little scope to modify these. I've just started a new job that's virtually on top of a train station in greater london. Even though I live within 15 minutes of two stations on different lines and 30 minutes on another line, all of which go into London, it is considerably faster for me to drive for 90 minutes each way than get the train because none of those lines are the one that goes where my work it.
My wife was looking at a role in Tooting (another area in London) near a station and you'd think by the number of train and underground lines, combined with the amount of London traffic it'd be a no brainer to use public transport... wrong, the need for three changes means it's much quicker to drive or even bike. Start looking at somewhere that doesn't have hundreds of stations and it becomes even less likely that rail transport is the way forward.
Now if someone offered a automated bus that took ~15 mins longer to get from near my house to the office and cost ~£30 a day (my effective car cost) I'd be all over that.
That still wouldn't be meaningful because it's a guy walking around for a few seconds taking measurements once. This is a photographic art series not a serious scientific expose of radiation levels.
So the EU want to force companies to serve customers regardless? Fuck that. Fuck that big time. If a customer doesn't want to meet the criteria for using the website, then the website should be perfectly within its rights to refuse service.
Governments already require a number of things of companies that wish to operate in their jurisdiction. I'm inclined to think this is a bad idea, but it really isn't any more restrictive than any number of other restrictions; to make such a comparatively minor point a deciding factor in a referendum about broad ranging economic and political union seems like a complete inability to keep a sense of perspective when making decisions.
We should have allowed that to be the lesson for everyone else in the region about what happens to you when we don't get the status of forces agreement we want.
We should have let ISIS have Iraq, its not our fight anymore. Perhaps you shouldn't have invaded the fucking country if you didn't want the hassle of fixing it afterwards.
You for example. The point of dumping bonds isn't that the bond you dump hurts the country but that by putting it on the market at a price that is more competitive than the value of new issues the US won't be able to sell new ones at an acceptable price. Sure the government could offer a higher interest rate, but then you're paying more interest on $750 billion in loans than you otherwise would have had to. In my opinion we're hardly talking the end of the world but it could easily cost the US tens or even low hundreds of billions over a couple of decades. You also seem to misunderstand the Saudi financial position; given their 'budget crunch' selling off something like bonds to get cash would be a perfectly normal behaviour and something they might wish to do anyway.
All true, but I think you're assuming more about what he means than you should. If you handle financial transactions then there are burdens placed on you by the government; even if you think that such a message is an obvious joke you could be putting your company in existential peril by processing the payment or giving the money back. Thus even though you might think this is all bollocks, you "can not afford to take chances."
It's $42 dollars to a friend for some beer with a message they probably assumed no one other than the recipient actually sees; maybe it is a little stupid to assume that this kind of stuff isn't being monitored constantly and overreacted to but that's pretty depressing in itself.
We're not allowed to talk about race or skin colour because that's racism.
The problem with this kind of reactionary response is that it completely misses context. We already know that their is an unconscious bias towards white males in western society, it's been demonstrated time and again, and it even applies to the views of people who aren't white males themselves (black Americans do worse in tests when they've been asked to state their ethnicity in advance for example). We don't know exactly why this is, but it is widely believed amongst people who study this that it comes down to people expecting what they've experienced in the past. So in this case we've heard comparatively little about important black and important female mathematicians but plenty about important white male mathematicians so we unconsciously expect that to be true in future. A story like this, taken positively rather than defensively as a threat, can help adjust those unconscious biases.
So in short we should have these kinds of things shoved in our face. We already have white male success shoved in our face constantly: 96/100 Senators are white, 95% of S&P company CEOs are men, and so on and so forth. Highlighting the odd capable black woman doesn't concern me as a white male, the worst thing it might do is remove some unfair advantage I'm getting due conscious/unconscious bias and I don't want or need that to compete thanks.
Seriously. I don't want to call people "morons", but buying a car sight-unseen is bad.
Which is good because that's not what people have done, and if you managed to mistake putting down a refundable deposit for buying it would look like throwing stones from glass houses.
It depends on the kind of product your selling. "Kids" might make the odd expensive vanity purchase, but even if I hadn't been quite so tight in my younger days there's no way I could match the amount I spend now overall; our current sofas probably cost more than we spent on household furniture in the first 8 years of living in our own place. As a kid I'd jump through considerable hoops to get stuff free, now I'd happily pay to avoid that hassle.
It's not optimal, but calling it wrong is a perfect example of the old stereotypical out of touch with reality coder mentality. The purpose of the app is to make it effectively impossible to avoid random screening; even though seeding each event is poor practice it isn't "very very wrong" if the app fulfils its purpose.
Even if it was viable to stand there watching the line for long enough to detect a pattern, which I'm not remotely persuaded it is this still wouldn't be an issue. The odds of an organisation actually trying this as an attack vector is nominal, there ability to pull it off and then get in line carrying something that they need to get through screening in a way that ensures they get to the decision point in the right place is even lower.
Tesla. If they have in fact promised to produce a product which they can't provide at a price and time period that matches their customers expectations. To give an extreme example to demonstrate: If I offered to sell people a car that could match a BMW 330i for performance while running on water for just $20k the fact that 10 million people want to buy it doesn't stop it being an issue if I have no viable way of providing it and wreck my brand by massively failing to deliver.
Obviously I'm not saying that Tesla is in that position, but it shows a lack of critical thinking skills to think that just having huge demand for something you've claimed you can deliver doesn't mean everything must work out great for you.
Do you think the standard that they would have to reach is really being set to completely preventing it from ever happening? Google has in fact made it virtually impossible for content owners, especially those without considerable budgets, to stop their material from being shared illegally on YouTube. I'm confident that even if this is enforced the difference will be that they have to more effectively stop content from being uploaded or remaining for too long not that they'll be liable if it happens less and is acted on quickly.
Sounds about right, though I'm not sure if that was just an observation or you were making a point that I missed? I have an opinion on minimum wages but my point wasn't that the UK should have a minimum wage or that it was at the right level. My point is that the fifth largest economy in world has a national minimum wage and has for some time and has seen unemployment decrease since it was implemented. I don't claim this proves there is no link, but it provides a handy initial rebuttal to people claiming that minimum wages invariably drive up unemployment.
How likely is it that you would have been able to find a vehicle at a normal price if surge pricing had reached a 400%+ premium? The one undoubtedly true thing about surge pricing is that it makes it easier for people willing and able to pay a premium to get quick transport by pricing out people who aren't willing or able. It seems unlikely that you'd have been easily able to have found a normal taxi quickly at a time when surge pricing is that high.
I still don't see them; you seem to have confused me saying I am not in favour of market restrictions without justification, for me not understanding that others may see or invent reasons they believe/claim are important.
You'd have to ask the people who dislike surge pricing on that basis if you want to know how they'd define that line. Government's often regulate transport related costs (whether you agree or not) and that includes taxi rates in many cities, while not regulating prices of many other things so clearly a decent sized group of people don't think the line between price control is an all or nothing thing.
He's got 80%+ approval ratings amongst republican members so yes I think most people think he is. You're making the mistake of thinking that republican has some fixed definition and doesn't change with it's membership and their views.
It would, but will it ever happen if the voters then vote the person who spent $x billion on the program that wasn't working out of office because the other party target the electorate with a campaign highlighting their incompetence for wasting that money. There was a great episode of the West Wing that provided a great story of exactly this paradox (I think it's Slow News Day). In the episode about reforming social security two of the 'good guys' in the white house staff have to explain how they got a Republican who had argued for years for the same reforms they wanted voted out of office with a cynical campaign attacking him for those views because they thought they could get a democrat who would be aligned with them on other issues to replace him; and now they can't get any other Republicans on board, because even though they agree with it they don't want the same thing to happen to them.
The UK has considerably increased minimum the minimum wage since it was implemented at £3.60 in 1999 to £7.83 now (notably above inflation) and has seen a decrease in unemployment. I haven't seen any credible analysis yet that shows a clear correlation between minimum wages and unemployment, perhaps you'd like to share some? I assume you must be basing your view on credible and extensive analysis because if you weren't it would be a little hypocritical to claim other people can't argue logically.
I agree about considering consequences of decisions, and your sporting event example is well chosen. What I'm not sure of in that example is 1) how much difference in supply of drivers would there be if surge pricing was stopped or restricted and 2) how many people who would drive when they shouldn't would move to services like Uber if they would have to pay high surge prices.
In the UK it is quite common for taxis to operate on fixed rates. Because drivers want to be busy and earning fares you still see vastly more drivers operating around peak times than during quite times. An Uber driver who currently works 4pm-11pm because there is high demand (and also some surge pricing) then if surge pricing is stopped his choice is keep working the same hours without surge pricing where there will still be demand (likely more), or move to other hours which will either have untapped demand in which case their is a societal benefit to the service being available at the different time, or there isn't untapped demand in which case he will earn less.
Again, my natural inclination is that surge pricing should be allowed because I don't think we should interfere in markets without a very strong reason for doing so and I haven't seen one in this case.
It will be interesting to see what difference it makes if there is a cap implemented; though my own opinion is that one shouldn't be.
The argument for surge pricing pretty much boils down to the idea that sellers should be able to charge whatever they think buyers will pay (thus when there is scarcity prices increase) and that the existence of surge pricing encourages sellers to operate when demand is higher increasing supply. I'm yet to be persuaded that surge pricing really makes that much difference to supply at peak times (people who want work were likely to work when their is demand, and people who weren't planning to work often won't be able to respond fast enough to benefit from surge pricing). I am comfortable with the idea that people can make huge profits by selling a scarce resource, but I can see why many people dislike that it is "profiteering" and restricting access to a relatively basic service for those with relatively low incomes.
In the UK you would need ~5-6 drivers to run a vehicle 24/7 accounting for breaks, holidays, illness etc. If you pay them £10.50 (about the London bus driver rate) then after pensions, national insurance etc you're talking around £3,000 a week, which is £160,000 a year (around $230,000). The driver and the equipment needed for a driver take up space and add weight that adds more additional cost.
London buses are expected to have a £350,000 cost over their 14 year lifetime, while based on the above a drivers costs £2.24 million over 14 years (I'm assuming higher utilisation though). In short, if self-driving tech doubled the bus purchase and running cost it would still cost £1.9 million less over its 14 years in service.
Perhaps think of a bus on the scale of 6-12 passengers rather than 30+ and it makes more sense. If 5 other people who commuted something similar to my route and were willing to pay the same for a bus service as they pay in fuel and other costs then that'd be ~£180 a day for that commute; and the vehicle would be available to do other work during the day, on weekends and in the evening.
Is that revolutionary? Maybe not, but if it could be made 20% cheaper than driving that's £1,500 I save a year, and I'm getting to sit in a comfortable environment and do something other than drive with 3 hours a day (and yes I appreciate that 1.5 hr commutes are an edge case, and no I don't intend to do it forever), and there'd be 1 vehicle on the road instead of 6.
The issue with trains is that you've got fixed routes and stops with very little scope to modify these. I've just started a new job that's virtually on top of a train station in greater london. Even though I live within 15 minutes of two stations on different lines and 30 minutes on another line, all of which go into London, it is considerably faster for me to drive for 90 minutes each way than get the train because none of those lines are the one that goes where my work it.
My wife was looking at a role in Tooting (another area in London) near a station and you'd think by the number of train and underground lines, combined with the amount of London traffic it'd be a no brainer to use public transport... wrong, the need for three changes means it's much quicker to drive or even bike. Start looking at somewhere that doesn't have hundreds of stations and it becomes even less likely that rail transport is the way forward.
Now if someone offered a automated bus that took ~15 mins longer to get from near my house to the office and cost ~£30 a day (my effective car cost) I'd be all over that.
That still wouldn't be meaningful because it's a guy walking around for a few seconds taking measurements once. This is a photographic art series not a serious scientific expose of radiation levels.
Governments already require a number of things of companies that wish to operate in their jurisdiction. I'm inclined to think this is a bad idea, but it really isn't any more restrictive than any number of other restrictions; to make such a comparatively minor point a deciding factor in a referendum about broad ranging economic and political union seems like a complete inability to keep a sense of perspective when making decisions.
We should have let ISIS have Iraq, its not our fight anymore. Perhaps you shouldn't have invaded the fucking country if you didn't want the hassle of fixing it afterwards.
You for example. The point of dumping bonds isn't that the bond you dump hurts the country but that by putting it on the market at a price that is more competitive than the value of new issues the US won't be able to sell new ones at an acceptable price. Sure the government could offer a higher interest rate, but then you're paying more interest on $750 billion in loans than you otherwise would have had to. In my opinion we're hardly talking the end of the world but it could easily cost the US tens or even low hundreds of billions over a couple of decades. You also seem to misunderstand the Saudi financial position; given their 'budget crunch' selling off something like bonds to get cash would be a perfectly normal behaviour and something they might wish to do anyway.
All true, but I think you're assuming more about what he means than you should. If you handle financial transactions then there are burdens placed on you by the government; even if you think that such a message is an obvious joke you could be putting your company in existential peril by processing the payment or giving the money back. Thus even though you might think this is all bollocks, you "can not afford to take chances."
It's $42 dollars to a friend for some beer with a message they probably assumed no one other than the recipient actually sees; maybe it is a little stupid to assume that this kind of stuff isn't being monitored constantly and overreacted to but that's pretty depressing in itself.
The problem with this kind of reactionary response is that it completely misses context. We already know that their is an unconscious bias towards white males in western society, it's been demonstrated time and again, and it even applies to the views of people who aren't white males themselves (black Americans do worse in tests when they've been asked to state their ethnicity in advance for example). We don't know exactly why this is, but it is widely believed amongst people who study this that it comes down to people expecting what they've experienced in the past. So in this case we've heard comparatively little about important black and important female mathematicians but plenty about important white male mathematicians so we unconsciously expect that to be true in future. A story like this, taken positively rather than defensively as a threat, can help adjust those unconscious biases.
So in short we should have these kinds of things shoved in our face. We already have white male success shoved in our face constantly: 96/100 Senators are white, 95% of S&P company CEOs are men, and so on and so forth. Highlighting the odd capable black woman doesn't concern me as a white male, the worst thing it might do is remove some unfair advantage I'm getting due conscious/unconscious bias and I don't want or need that to compete thanks.
Which is good because that's not what people have done, and if you managed to mistake putting down a refundable deposit for buying it would look like throwing stones from glass houses.
It depends on the kind of product your selling. "Kids" might make the odd expensive vanity purchase, but even if I hadn't been quite so tight in my younger days there's no way I could match the amount I spend now overall; our current sofas probably cost more than we spent on household furniture in the first 8 years of living in our own place. As a kid I'd jump through considerable hoops to get stuff free, now I'd happily pay to avoid that hassle.
It's not optimal, but calling it wrong is a perfect example of the old stereotypical out of touch with reality coder mentality. The purpose of the app is to make it effectively impossible to avoid random screening; even though seeding each event is poor practice it isn't "very very wrong" if the app fulfils its purpose.
Even if it was viable to stand there watching the line for long enough to detect a pattern, which I'm not remotely persuaded it is this still wouldn't be an issue. The odds of an organisation actually trying this as an attack vector is nominal, there ability to pull it off and then get in line carrying something that they need to get through screening in a way that ensures they get to the decision point in the right place is even lower.
Tesla. If they have in fact promised to produce a product which they can't provide at a price and time period that matches their customers expectations. To give an extreme example to demonstrate: If I offered to sell people a car that could match a BMW 330i for performance while running on water for just $20k the fact that 10 million people want to buy it doesn't stop it being an issue if I have no viable way of providing it and wreck my brand by massively failing to deliver.
Obviously I'm not saying that Tesla is in that position, but it shows a lack of critical thinking skills to think that just having huge demand for something you've claimed you can deliver doesn't mean everything must work out great for you.