Matches my observations. 10-15% are smart, can think independently, can verify claims by others and can identify and use rules in whatever they do. They are not fooled by things "everybody knows" and see standard-approaches as first approximations that, of course, need to be verified to work. They do not trust anything blindly, but can identify whether something actually work well and build up a toolbox of such things.
The problem is that in coding, you do not have a "(mass) production step", and that is the only thing that the 80% are really useful for. Hence, in coding, even the 80% can easily be non productive or cause negative productivity, because the 10-15% are investing more time in cleaning up after them than they would have needed to write something better themselves.
My experience as an IT Security Consultant (I also do some coding, but only at full rates) confirms that. Most are basically helpless and many have negative productivity, because people with a clue need to clean up after them. "Learn to code"? We have far too many coders already.
Bad education is generally not a problem of funding. Sure, you can cause bad results with really low funding, but the problem in the US is the wrong goals and the wrong mind-set in the people that determine what gets taught and how it is taught, and also, who gets to be a teacher. I mean and education system where, for example, Evolution is taught as "just a theory" or not at all will probably have a _negative_ effect overall, regardless of funding. When you make indoctrination the primary goal and facts become arbitrary or even suppressed, then you cannot qualify people to be productive members of a modern society.
You are an idiot. Please do a bit of research what universities do this in what courses and what their standing in international ratings is. Then realize that you just spouted complete nonsense. Incidentally, it is usually not a year, but more like 2 times 3 months or something like it.
It seems after getting rich on screwing the whole world with an overpriced bad OS and office package, he finally cares about doing at least something good. The US education system is beyond fixing though, it does serve primarily as a mechanism to teach conformity and already pre-select the next prison generation. It is not about qualifying anybody to be a responsible, capable, insightful person. Why do you think the US has to import so many academics? US citizens are not more stupid or more intelligent than other people, but they are almost universally really badly educated.
On his predictions, I think he is right on cancer, but infectious diseases are a moving target and may actually get mostly unsolved (for those that still respond to antibiotics) in the near future. I would really like to be wrong on that though.
Ironically, you are full of it. You cannot just "steal" a drug. You basically have to invent it yourself, just a bit later. There is no rational reason to give all to the first to then rip everybody else off.
I fully agree. This is way more complicated than most people think. A good craftsman needs to use his brain! And there is not even a dim glimmer of intelligence to be had in "AI" these days and it is unclear whether that will ever happen. What is available today is "automation" and it can be dumb very, very fast. That solves some problems nicely and is completely ineffective for others. Most things craftsmen and engineers do are not even remotely within reach of automation.
Indeed. There are some promising new technologies, but even they are targeted only at marking it easier for the bricklayer, not at a full replacement. And they are years from market-readiness and there still are a lot of kinks to work out. Maybe bricklayers will have a job crisis in 20 years, or maybe not. Incidentally, the same is true for welders. There is some impressive automatic welding equipment today, but it is all special purpose. And have a special skill like welding stainless steel, and you may be really sought after.
That said, if you are a mediocre or bad craftsman, your prospects may not be that good after all.
Some trades are threatened, but most of the next automation wave will target bureaucrats, insurance agencies and other desk-workers. There is no way to automatize the jobs of most craftsmen anytime soon. I mean they are currently still working out the basics of "printing" very simple houses. Automated document processing and creation of offers is something that worked to a degree 30 years ago. Maybe in 50 years things will look different, but a competent craftsman is about as safe as a competent engineer and that is a pretty good position.
A lot of academics would benefit hugely from working as a roofer or carpenter for a year or so. It provides a connection to _reality_. For engineers it is so invaluable that some really good universities require something like it.
Indeed. Everything worth doing is worth doing well. And everybody that can do valuable things really well deserves respect for that. I mean, the difference between an experiences and capable craftsman and a burger-flipper is about as large as that between the burger-flipper and an engineer or a scientist. Society has forgotten who actually keeps things working and troubleshoots all the problems. Theory is worthless unless you can apply it to something. Yet a lot of academics cannot or produce spectacularly bad results to the point that they have massive negative productivity.
Things will get really interesting when automation will take a lot of jobs in the next 20 years or so. Be a mid-level bureaucrat with a college degree? You are very much going to be replaced. But be a plumber that makes his customers happy by fixing their problems? Not so much.
Depending on what type of coding you do, you may need a lot more of education. true, most coding jobs need only some formal education, but a lot of talent, dedication and drive. But there are those that need a lot more. If you are going for one (IT security is an example), do not scoff on that education and make sure to get the most of it. I had to prove formal properties to make things work in the real world. And while that happens rarely, if it happens it is the only thing that helps. Again, most coders, even most really good coders, will never need that, but some will and there is a kind of exclusivity to the jobs you can get with those skills that is very nice.
This is a common fault in most of our "capitalist world" where the economy is dictated by accountants rather than people who know stuff.
Oh, yes. And the bean-counter do not at all understand were you can save a bit, were it is risky and were it is impossible. So they save everywhere and kill all chances of success.
This would be lack of ability as well. Also, there are so many things that do not work that it is not only corruption. It is incompetence by basically all involved, possibly because they think their part does not matter so much in the whole. Well, guess what if all or most involved parties think that, the project fails. But there are other examples as well, and no lack of them.
I think he asked a "handling fee" or the like for those disks. Still an insane verdict completely out of touch with reality. But what else can you expect from members of the legal profession?
Slashdot Mirror
Oops. Good thing I never did anything military. I am definitely in the "clever and lazy" class.
Matches my observations. 10-15% are smart, can think independently, can verify claims by others and can identify and use rules in whatever they do. They are not fooled by things "everybody knows" and see standard-approaches as first approximations that, of course, need to be verified to work. They do not trust anything blindly, but can identify whether something actually work well and build up a toolbox of such things.
The problem is that in coding, you do not have a "(mass) production step", and that is the only thing that the 80% are really useful for. Hence, in coding, even the 80% can easily be non productive or cause negative productivity, because the 10-15% are investing more time in cleaning up after them than they would have needed to write something better themselves.
My experience as an IT Security Consultant (I also do some coding, but only at full rates) confirms that. Most are basically helpless and many have negative productivity, because people with a clue need to clean up after them. "Learn to code"? We have far too many coders already.
Bad education is generally not a problem of funding. Sure, you can cause bad results with really low funding, but the problem in the US is the wrong goals and the wrong mind-set in the people that determine what gets taught and how it is taught, and also, who gets to be a teacher. I mean and education system where, for example, Evolution is taught as "just a theory" or not at all will probably have a _negative_ effect overall, regardless of funding. When you make indoctrination the primary goal and facts become arbitrary or even suppressed, then you cannot qualify people to be productive members of a modern society.
You are an idiot. Please do a bit of research what universities do this in what courses and what their standing in international ratings is. Then realize that you just spouted complete nonsense. Incidentally, it is usually not a year, but more like 2 times 3 months or something like it.
It seems after getting rich on screwing the whole world with an overpriced bad OS and office package, he finally cares about doing at least something good. The US education system is beyond fixing though, it does serve primarily as a mechanism to teach conformity and already pre-select the next prison generation. It is not about qualifying anybody to be a responsible, capable, insightful person. Why do you think the US has to import so many academics? US citizens are not more stupid or more intelligent than other people, but they are almost universally really badly educated.
On his predictions, I think he is right on cancer, but infectious diseases are a moving target and may actually get mostly unsolved (for those that still respond to antibiotics) in the near future. I would really like to be wrong on that though.
And long overdue.
Funny words from a citizen of a has-been country that is trying desperately to preserver its former wealth.
Ironically, you are full of it. You cannot just "steal" a drug. You basically have to invent it yourself, just a bit later. There is no rational reason to give all to the first to then rip everybody else off.
In other words, an ideal guy to take the fall, even if innocent.
More likely the went through his trash.
The idea basically means anybody can legally sequence your DNA. That is not good at all and the problems far outstrip any positive uses.
I fully agree. This is way more complicated than most people think. A good craftsman needs to use his brain! And there is not even a dim glimmer of intelligence to be had in "AI" these days and it is unclear whether that will ever happen. What is available today is "automation" and it can be dumb very, very fast. That solves some problems nicely and is completely ineffective for others. Most things craftsmen and engineers do are not even remotely within reach of automation.
A craftsman that does these things usually has the same hourly rate as a good engineer and deservedly so.
Not anytime soon. Eventually, it may happen, but for that 50-100 years is a realistic perspective.
Indeed. There are some promising new technologies, but even they are targeted only at marking it easier for the bricklayer, not at a full replacement. And they are years from market-readiness and there still are a lot of kinks to work out. Maybe bricklayers will have a job crisis in 20 years, or maybe not. Incidentally, the same is true for welders. There is some impressive automatic welding equipment today, but it is all special purpose. And have a special skill like welding stainless steel, and you may be really sought after.
That said, if you are a mediocre or bad craftsman, your prospects may not be that good after all.
Some trades are threatened, but most of the next automation wave will target bureaucrats, insurance agencies and other desk-workers. There is no way to automatize the jobs of most craftsmen anytime soon. I mean they are currently still working out the basics of "printing" very simple houses. Automated document processing and creation of offers is something that worked to a degree 30 years ago. Maybe in 50 years things will look different, but a competent craftsman is about as safe as a competent engineer and that is a pretty good position.
A lot of academics would benefit hugely from working as a roofer or carpenter for a year or so. It provides a connection to _reality_. For engineers it is so invaluable that some really good universities require something like it.
Indeed. Everything worth doing is worth doing well. And everybody that can do valuable things really well deserves respect for that. I mean, the difference between an experiences and capable craftsman and a burger-flipper is about as large as that between the burger-flipper and an engineer or a scientist. Society has forgotten who actually keeps things working and troubleshoots all the problems. Theory is worthless unless you can apply it to something. Yet a lot of academics cannot or produce spectacularly bad results to the point that they have massive negative productivity.
Things will get really interesting when automation will take a lot of jobs in the next 20 years or so. Be a mid-level bureaucrat with a college degree? You are very much going to be replaced. But be a plumber that makes his customers happy by fixing their problems? Not so much.
Depending on what type of coding you do, you may need a lot more of education. true, most coding jobs need only some formal education, but a lot of talent, dedication and drive. But there are those that need a lot more. If you are going for one (IT security is an example), do not scoff on that education and make sure to get the most of it. I had to prove formal properties to make things work in the real world. And while that happens rarely, if it happens it is the only thing that helps. Again, most coders, even most really good coders, will never need that, but some will and there is a kind of exclusivity to the jobs you can get with those skills that is very nice.
Not knowing where to invest to keep it stable and reliable _is_ lack of knowledge. Not doing it when it is needed _is_ lack of knowledge.
This is a common fault in most of our "capitalist world" where the economy is dictated by accountants rather than people who know stuff.
Oh, yes. And the bean-counter do not at all understand were you can save a bit, were it is risky and were it is impossible. So they save everywhere and kill all chances of success.
I know the project in Karlsruhe. It basically destroyed the inner city. Is this mess still not complete?
This would be lack of ability as well. Also, there are so many things that do not work that it is not only corruption. It is incompetence by basically all involved, possibly because they think their part does not matter so much in the whole. Well, guess what if all or most involved parties think that, the project fails. But there are other examples as well, and no lack of them.
I think he asked a "handling fee" or the like for those disks. Still an insane verdict completely out of touch with reality. But what else can you expect from members of the legal profession?