It was a pretty safe bet to invest in tesla, when their stock price was, and a reasonable premium over a 'normal' company might not be unreasonable. But - a market cap over Ford,...
There are some sane reasons that this might be still a good investment. Tesla is planning to have their autopilot in a state that it can do driveway to driveway from one coast to the other by the end of the year. At this point, there will be some tens of thousands of autopilot-hardware-capable vehicles on the road. It could be that they can get autodrive rolled out and working properly before any competitor. Which could have obvious benefits. Autopilot in a $30K car somewhat kills other vendors which might have tried to launch it only at a superpremium price point.
And even if everyone can be an engineer or a programmer - that doesn't help.
Look at for example amazon warehouses. The algorithms that drive the robots in the warehouse are not going to be done on a local warehouse level, but programmed globally, running on one of a few different platforms. You can have a smart algorithm that drives robots around, and another smart algorithm that knows how to pack boxes, and suddenly a team of a few dozen has removed the need for many thousands.
Similar or worse gearings happen - facebook, for example has likely killed way more media jobs indirectly simply by taking screen-time away from the media sources, with very few employees.
Apps aren't much help - everyone has 24h a day, and their screen time is monopolised by a handful of apps. The remainder of the market is not significant.
Even if everyone was to become skilled enough for the 'new' jobs that are displacing the old, it doesn't help much, as there are so many fewer of them.
We need to somehow fundamentally re-engineer what 'work' is and how it's paid - the alternatives are very, very bad.
'Playing Russian Roulette is perfectly safe, I've done five rounds so far'.
The jobs that went away in the past were the trivial ones, where you may literally have been able to replace a person with a transistor or automatic valve. (Elevator/lift operator). There were plenty of newly available jobs for people of average skill to move into.
The game-changer today is not that any particular field is being automated, but that in many places, the robot is equal to 'the person of average skill'. If all of the delivery, warehousing, farming,... jobs go away, that is an enormous hollowing out, with masses out of work. The new jobs may be around, but increasingly the new jobs leverage computers to solve with a team of 20 (that may get very rich) problems that used to take thousands of employees.
And yet, the article is not referring at all to accidents due to the above sort of thing (vehicle impact injuries, squashed by fork-lifts,...). Safety can be achieved in different ways.
The problem is that often patents are granted to ideas come-up-with-able by a three year old, and with engineering that looks complicated to a patent attorney, but is in no way difficult to an engineer that would be employed to create this sort of thing.
The patent provides no societal value at all - it does not explain how to do a thing in a way an engineer could not work out in normal product development, with no appreciable added time. It is wholly negative in that now you can be sued for doing something obvious and not knowing of the obvious patent.
http://www.guinnessworldrecord... - a healthy breed of cow (not an optimised dairy cow, which have shorter lives) probably can usually be milked for 16 years, if kept healthy.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... (began in 1967) "The studies, named after the Whitehall area of London and led by Michael Marmot, found a strong association between grade levels of civil servant employment and mortality rates from a range of causes: the lower the grade, the higher the mortality rate. Men in the lowest grade (messengers, doorkeepers, etc.) had a mortality rate three times higher than that of men in the highest grade (administrators). This effect has since been observed in other studies and named the "status syndrome".[3]"
Agreed, flat out troll. GPLd tools do not cause the use of those tools to require your code to be GPL. If you modify GPLd code, then you need to GPL your modifications and distribute them if you distribute to customers is probably the shortest summary. The conditions if you want to modify and distribute bits of windows are somewhat harsher!
I note from 2009 http://logs.nslu2-linux.org/li... 'Some brief numbers indicate that 60GHz - power over wifi may not be insane... Jun 07 02:22:58 And at that scale, you can do beamforming antennas on a platform the size of a microSD card'
Or from 2009, " 60GHz or so steered beams are 'easy' - given good 60GHz tech that makes 128 or so channel transmitters cheap."
The driver hours (and possibly lower insurance costs) mean that it can be economic to just scrap a working vehicle. However, another reasonable option for the more expensive vehicles would be a retrofit kit.
The problem is easily lampooned. A major problem is that devs are computer literate. They are likely to understand an explicit list changing to a little downwards pointing arrow in a new version, where the arrow simply needs clicked to expose the list.
Now try explaining this change over the phone to a 90 year old, who's just about coping with the existing interface. 'Trivial' changes often aren't.
You can't. I've had alexa trigger (mostly unintentionally) while listening to streams with streamers that have very high pitched voices. I couldn't say the activation word that high pitched if I tried. It's intended for 'smart home' type uses, where having to enrol different users is presumably thought to be a significant negative.
Depending on your intent, and jurisdiction, perhaps. In the UK, for example, it seems likely to be covered under the computer misuse act. Little 'hacking' legislation specifies the internet, just saying things like 'intentional unauthorised access'. (and no, not having a password is not the same as having authorisation)
It's really hard to predict what the deep learning is in fact learning. It may be often useful over the training, this very much does not mean that it's going to do the expected when faced with the unexpected, and not for example decide that it should go over an intersection because the person next to it is wearing a green hat that looks more like a green light than the red light looks like a red light.
'those jobs that involve doing the exact same series of steps repeatedly are the most vulnerable.' - not quite.
Those jobs that involve a large number of people in the same facility, doing the same steps are extraordinarily more vulnerable.
Any new factory setup wil be reducing employees to the bare minimum. If you're building a new factory in the USA, and contemplating employing workers at $10/hr for 5 years (three shifts), that's $500K per station or so (probably more costing all costs of employees.
If you have even 100 employees constantly doing a very similar job, you can easily afford to spend 5 million developing a custom robotic solution, and deploying it for another $5m ($50K/station), and come very considerably out in front.
($10/h*24h*365*5 = 438k. Employers taxes and obligations add to this comfortably exceeding the 500k figure for three shifts)
'within the next century' - I don't think you realise what that means in this context. In 1917, automated machines pretty much used simple mechanical 'memory' and automation. The position of a tool was set in much of mass production by a template of some form that was followed. In 1917, there were 2.5 million horses in the UK. There were 0.3 million cars.
50% is _way_ too low. 50% of jobs can easily go away in the next three decades, conservatively.
Starting out, in the UK, there are 500000 truck drivers, another 300000 taxi drivers, add in postmen, and you get around a million. That's 3% right there, a substantial majority of which are simply automatable once self-driving vehicles come in. Farming is currently another 1.5% or so of people, and advances in computer vision, simple automation, and small robotics is increasingly being trialed on a small scale. Most of these jobs are going away. Similarly, construction, much of retail, warehousing, security,... 50% of jobs simply aren't 'creative'.
Lol. 52 megawatt-hours. It's not 'water towers'. In order to store 52 megawatt-hours, you need to lift 52 million kilos 360 meters. Or 52000 tons, or 20 olympic swimming pools. Ten times that if you want 'only' 36m tall towers.
Slashdot Mirror
That doesn't help if there is one master switch, in case of (for example) fire, and he activated it.
It was a pretty safe bet to invest in tesla, when their stock price was, and a reasonable premium over a 'normal' company might not be unreasonable. ...
But - a market cap over Ford,
There are some sane reasons that this might be still a good investment.
Tesla is planning to have their autopilot in a state that it can do driveway to driveway from one coast to the other by the end of the year.
At this point, there will be some tens of thousands of autopilot-hardware-capable vehicles on the road.
It could be that they can get autodrive rolled out and working properly before any competitor.
Which could have obvious benefits.
Autopilot in a $30K car somewhat kills other vendors which might have tried to launch it only at a superpremium price point.
And even if everyone can be an engineer or a programmer - that doesn't help.
Look at for example amazon warehouses.
The algorithms that drive the robots in the warehouse are not going to be done on a local warehouse level, but programmed globally, running on one of a few different platforms.
You can have a smart algorithm that drives robots around, and another smart algorithm that knows how to pack boxes, and suddenly a team of a few dozen has removed the need for many thousands.
Similar or worse gearings happen - facebook, for example has likely killed way more media jobs indirectly simply by taking screen-time away from the media sources, with very few employees.
Apps aren't much help - everyone has 24h a day, and their screen time is monopolised by a handful of apps. The remainder of the market is not significant.
Even if everyone was to become skilled enough for the 'new' jobs that are displacing the old, it doesn't help much, as there are so many fewer of them.
We need to somehow fundamentally re-engineer what 'work' is and how it's paid - the alternatives are very, very bad.
'Playing Russian Roulette is perfectly safe, I've done five rounds so far'.
The jobs that went away in the past were the trivial ones, where you may literally have been able to replace a person with a transistor or automatic valve. (Elevator/lift operator).
There were plenty of newly available jobs for people of average skill to move into.
The game-changer today is not that any particular field is being automated, but that in many places, the robot is equal to 'the person of average skill'. ... jobs go away, that is an enormous hollowing out, with masses out of work.
If all of the delivery, warehousing, farming,
The new jobs may be around, but increasingly the new jobs leverage computers to solve with a team of 20 (that may get very rich) problems that used to take thousands of employees.
And yet, the article is not referring at all to accidents due to the above sort of thing (vehicle impact injuries, squashed by fork-lifts, ...).
Safety can be achieved in different ways.
Unless, of course, it's the car doing the driving.
How do you expect a company to not be haemorrhaging money, when they're ramping up to be able to make 500000 cars in 2018?
The problem is that often patents are granted to ideas come-up-with-able by a three year old, and with engineering that looks complicated to a patent attorney, but is in no way difficult to an engineer that would be employed to create this sort of thing.
The patent provides no societal value at all - it does not explain how to do a thing in a way an engineer could not work out in normal product development, with no appreciable added time.
It is wholly negative in that now you can be sued for doing something obvious and not knowing of the obvious patent.
http://familycow.proboards.com...
http://www.guinnessworldrecord... - a healthy breed of cow (not an optimised dairy cow, which have shorter lives) probably can usually be milked for 16 years, if kept healthy.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... (began in 1967)
"The studies, named after the Whitehall area of London and led by Michael Marmot, found a strong association between grade levels of civil servant employment and mortality rates from a range of causes: the lower the grade, the higher the mortality rate. Men in the lowest grade (messengers, doorkeepers, etc.) had a mortality rate three times higher than that of men in the highest grade (administrators). This effect has since been observed in other studies and named the "status syndrome".[3]"
Agreed, flat out troll.
GPLd tools do not cause the use of those tools to require your code to be GPL.
If you modify GPLd code, then you need to GPL your modifications and distribute them if you distribute to customers is probably the shortest summary. The conditions if you want to modify and distribute bits of windows are somewhat harsher!
I note from 2009 http://logs.nslu2-linux.org/li... ...
'Some brief numbers indicate that 60GHz - power over wifi may not be insane
Jun 07 02:22:58 And at that scale, you can do beamforming antennas on a platform the size of a microSD card'
Or from 2009, " 60GHz or so steered beams are 'easy' - given good 60GHz tech that makes 128 or so channel transmitters cheap."
It's depressing patents like this get granted.
The driver hours (and possibly lower insurance costs) mean that it can be economic to just scrap a working vehicle. However, another reasonable option for the more expensive vehicles would be a retrofit kit.
The problem is easily lampooned.
A major problem is that devs are computer literate.
They are likely to understand an explicit list changing to a little downwards pointing arrow in a new version, where the arrow simply needs clicked to expose the list.
Now try explaining this change over the phone to a 90 year old, who's just about coping with the existing interface.
'Trivial' changes often aren't.
You can't. I've had alexa trigger (mostly unintentionally) while listening to streams with streamers that have very high pitched voices. I couldn't say the activation word that high pitched if I tried.
It's intended for 'smart home' type uses, where having to enrol different users is presumably thought to be a significant negative.
Depending on your intent, and jurisdiction, perhaps.
In the UK, for example, it seems likely to be covered under the computer misuse act.
Little 'hacking' legislation specifies the internet, just saying things like 'intentional unauthorised access'. (and no, not having a password is not the same as having authorisation)
On some devices, no.
Amazons Alexa for example has a choice of three words, the alternatives are probably more common in use than alexa.
http://rocknrollnerd.github.io... - I recommend.
It's really hard to predict what the deep learning is in fact learning. It may be often useful over the training, this very much does not mean that it's going to do the expected when faced with the unexpected, and not for example decide that it should go over an intersection because the person next to it is wearing a green hat that looks more like a green light than the red light looks like a red light.
I have various health issues.
I cannot legally drive.
A self driving vehicle would be enormously freeing.
'those jobs that involve doing the exact same series of steps repeatedly are the most vulnerable.' - not quite.
Those jobs that involve a large number of people in the same facility, doing the same steps are extraordinarily more vulnerable.
Any new factory setup wil be reducing employees to the bare minimum.
If you're building a new factory in the USA, and contemplating employing workers at $10/hr for 5 years (three shifts), that's $500K per station or so (probably more costing all costs of employees.
If you have even 100 employees constantly doing a very similar job, you can easily afford to spend 5 million developing a custom robotic solution, and deploying it for another $5m ($50K/station), and come very considerably out in front.
($10/h*24h*365*5 = 438k. Employers taxes and obligations add to this comfortably exceeding the 500k figure for three shifts)
'within the next century' - I don't think you realise what that means in this context.
In 1917, automated machines pretty much used simple mechanical 'memory' and automation. The position of a tool was set in much of mass production by a template of some form that was followed.
In 1917, there were 2.5 million horses in the UK.
There were 0.3 million cars.
50% is _way_ too low.
50% of jobs can easily go away in the next three decades, conservatively.
Starting out, in the UK, there are 500000 truck drivers, another 300000 taxi drivers, add in postmen, and you get around a million. ...
That's 3% right there, a substantial majority of which are simply automatable once self-driving vehicles come in.
Farming is currently another 1.5% or so of people, and advances in computer vision, simple automation, and small robotics is increasingly being trialed on a small scale. Most of these jobs are going away.
Similarly, construction, much of retail, warehousing, security,
50% of jobs simply aren't 'creative'.
If you get enough, you can rewrite the remaining bits.
Is there a way for purchasers to search for non-commingled other than hoping the vendor mentions it - which seems vanishingly unlikely.
Lol. 52 megawatt-hours. It's not 'water towers'.
In order to store 52 megawatt-hours, you need to lift 52 million kilos 360 meters.
Or 52000 tons, or 20 olympic swimming pools.
Ten times that if you want 'only' 36m tall towers.
So you don't tell the users until you get it approved.