Being familiar with long range sci-fi extrapolations I would put core mining at about 10 to 100 times more difficult than asteroid mining.. Creating a material that can survive the problems of pressure and heat of the planets core without melting or collapsing is the big problem.. Its the kind of problem that might be solved using force fields.. - But then the same kind of force fields would be a good base for - manipulating singularities and wormholes, FTL tech, teleportation, miniature nuclear fusion reactors, portable beam weapons, power armour, and many other sci-fi things.. Force fields might even be a good starting point for building gravity engines - and by that point asteroid mining wouldn't be much more expensive than ordinary mining.. : )
Of course the real problem is that you cant have real intelligence without consciousness. I have been working on consciousness based Strong AI for over 20 years and you are kind of correct.. Its very difficult to build a working machine out of standard hardware or software, the strong AI machine must be designed to cope with non-finite state sets, mathematical totality, and injected noise.. Half of the machine is a complex neural net, and the core of its operation is a 'dynamic synthesis'. Welcome to non-deterministic computing...
911 itself was done for a very specific reason at least according to the people who did it. It was done as revenge against the US for supplying Israel with bombs that were used in the bombing of Beirut in the mid 80's. We had put ourselves inside an old war between the Jewish state and the Muslim world - which is why an attack had long been predicted..
The disaster in the aftermath of the invasion of Iraq was a totally unnecessary and self inflicted wound. A wound which made the US and the UK the targets of hate and revenge for millions of Muslims around the world.. and which inspired the radicalism which gave us the 'gift' of ISIS. (Not mentioning Obama's and Cameron's role in its creation.) What kind of beast is Islamic terrorism? the dimwits in charge are still treating it like a dragon - its not a dragon its a hydra. Cut off each head and you get another or two more.. Each Jihadi who dies radicalises and inspires the next, a religion inspired by revenge. So how do you beat radical Islam? only really two ways, either compromise or total annihilation.. The only other option is continuing wars and more terrorism probably on-going indefinitely. Me, I'm interested in seeing what monstrosity comes after ISIS.
"..Considering that every legitimate study and every reliable piece of data suggests that less than one in a million rape charges are falsely filed, this is really not a major concern..."
If that was remotely true then it would vastly exceed the ability of any court to get a right answer - for jury trials the error rate is about 1 out of 10 at best.. If it is true then as soon as a woman makes an accusation the man should simply be charged and sent straight to jail.. In reality the real figure is probably that somewhere between 1 in 5 and 1 in 10 rape allegations are actually false.
The question is are women human? if the answer is yes then they are just as likely to lie as men.
Women lie - for money, for revenge, over sex, over power, for exactly the same reasons that men lie.. As is already quite widely known (as a statistical generalization) judges and juries are already biased in favour of young & pretty women. The younger you are, the prettier you are, if your sex is female, if you can cry on tap, all move the outcome statistics in a trial in your favour..
Except of course the real nuclear bomb is a lot less powerful than the Hollywood bomb, or rather that the real Earth is a lot bigger than a movie set. The real estimates put that an average of about 50 to 60% of people would have died in the participating countries, and overall human population would have been reduced by up to about a 1/5.. Even if a nuclear winter had killed double the number of the actual war humanity would still have survived.
Is the universe a simulation? Is the universe a hologram? Is reality real? Are there uncountable numbers of universes? Quantum physics is very expensive to calculate and ultimately a simulation requires more energy then the equivalent real universe. Tricks like lazy computation don't work.
People only come up with crazy ideas like these because general relativity is crazy and poisons the rest of the physics 'system'. If 'pure' general relativity is correct then the universe cannot exist making simulation type arguments much stronger. 'Impure' general relativity includes an absolute FTL frame, which means it contains elements which directly contradict each other.. FTL physics is a real mess..:)
Can't use lazy computation because quantum mechanics wouldn't work. The real irony is that in the end such a simulation requires more energy than creating a real universe.:) People only come up with crazy ideas like this because general relativity is crazy and poisons the rest of the 'system'. If people apply pure general relativity then the universe cannot exist making the simulation argument much stronger. Impure general relativity includes an absolute FTL frame, which means it contains elements which directly contradict each other.. FTL physics is a real mess..:)
Do you mean the metal machines or the humans who have turned themselves into mindless rule following automatons? Machines made of paper and words and human flesh..
Shows the absolute ridiculousness of security. Newsflash - real terrorists don't go about with the word 'terrorist' written on their foreheads. Also shows that 'Venmo' are NOT to be trusted..
"What's more troubling to me is that police, the FBI, and the US Marshals are apparently using this data to get search warrants and to raid peoples' homes! Shouldn't they be subpoenaing the ISP?"
Yes but if you watch the video its quite clear that this robot is using DB tech. - Its balancing and walking algorithm is essentially the BD system. Look at how fast and powerful its servos are - either BD tech or something similar.. As the video went on what struck me was that this looks like a prototype of R2D2. A small robot of this type could do a lot of useful jobs, is less dangerous than a humanoid type robot, less likely to damage itself, and probably costs a lot less too. This robot might cost maybe $100,000 to $200,000 per robot instead of maybe a $1 million level cost for an Atlas robot. A lot more people can afford $100,000 than $1 million.
A little piece of information I gleaned a while ago answers that question.. Those Atlas robots cost about $1 million each to build. - I don't know whether that's a base cost or cost + profit, but they are not cheap..
That's is probably not an excessive cost for such a complex, and robust robot. I'm working on a Strong AI project that will ultimately (in 5 - 10 years) need to build similar machines - and my vague cost projections put it at about $200,000 to $400,000 per machine. Boston Dynamics have actually done it for real. (servos that are both fast and high power can become astronomically expensive - its more like Jet fighter tech than everyday tech)
. ..And I've got this Ethiopian Prince with some shares he wants to sell if your interested?
Seriously this thing will take full video of everywhere you use it and of all the people around you. It will probably have microphones which will record everything you say. Its very easy to stich all that video together to make 360 picture files, translate speech into text then scan it with AI. Plus the pictures and video of the people will no doubt help make better dossiers of all your friends and family.
Just another step towards full immersion observation. Always on 24 hours a day. Everyone afraid of their TV and computers and phones in case they say something that incriminates them. Gangs of children the most feared because they watch and report on everyone - in the original it was for party loyalty, today its for the likes. In both its because they are taught to hate and fear adults. Facebook is watching you. (sadly its true)
You thought you were buying something innovative and free and open and spent quite a bit of money on it, then learned a while latter that its owners had just sold out to Facebook. I'd say butthurt is exactly how I would feel.
I actually have a business idea 'invention' potentially worth many billions - and a business in start-up to create it. But in real life things are never so simple - getting my design to a working machine has a lead time of at least ten years minimum and is immensely complicated, plus the project is very high risk and has a minimum setup cost of about $1 to 5 million. There are an even bigger set of problems that I wont go into that make recruiting a good team next to impossible - so far too much will have to be done by me alone. - The machine also requires a complete new computer platform (based on FPGA and SMP) - which requires some pretty heavy electronics engineering, as well as stuff like bespoke compilers, test software, a new thin operating system, and bootstrap code.. Fortunately most of that can be farmed out to people who know what they are doing - though it will cost.:) Every project is different..
Yes then there is the guy creating a new start-up based on the idea of selling stuff like insurance through a web page, or just like you said setting up a new 'innovative' dating site..
You put what is often the real problem with VC. If you pull out of a business to cash in after three to five years then you will often end up with relatively little, even for the most successful.. seven to ten years is often a much better bet. Facebook was making money on the scale of $50 million per year after three years, $280 million per year after five years, but $3700 million per year after seven years.. and $12,500 million after ten years.. Google followed a similar kind of path, after 5 years worth about $100 million, after seven worth $1470 million, $6500 million after ten years. Today worth something over $100 billion.
Buying Lottery tickets is never a better way to 'invest' your money. The only way statistically to win the Lottery is not to play.. basic maths... Your better off just giving your money to beggars on the street.
VC is great way of making money - if you know what you are doing. The perfect example is Facebook, it might be s**t but its investors have still made themselves billionaires off that piece of s**t. Are you telling me you would not want the money just cos its got a little brown on it?
Here in the UK Netflix is a constant disappointment to me and I keep asking myself I am I still bothering to subscribe.. Its not uncommon to go a whole month without watching a single Netflix program and finding interesting stuff under the interface is always a nightmare.. Mythbusters series 1, 3, 3 only - for what must be over a year now, cmon. So many common shows unavailable, so many good films unavailable, the cycling of new stuff so slow. I dare them to put their prices up now.. - Of course there's not a lot of other (good) choice out there. Already have Amazon Prime but most of the good stuff costs just as much as buying it on Blu-ray, so why not just buy it on Blu-ray and own it without contract limits?
Once spent hours debugging a C++ program only to find it was a single errant piece of white space, one that caused the compiler to misinterpret a math operator in a totally weird way.
Slashdot Mirror
Being familiar with long range sci-fi extrapolations I would put core mining at about 10 to 100 times more difficult than asteroid mining..
Creating a material that can survive the problems of pressure and heat of the planets core without melting or collapsing is the big problem.. Its the kind of problem that might be solved using force fields.. - But then the same kind of force fields would be a good base for - manipulating singularities and wormholes, FTL tech, teleportation, miniature nuclear fusion reactors, portable beam weapons, power armour, and many other sci-fi things.. Force fields might even be a good starting point for building gravity engines - and by that point asteroid mining wouldn't be much more expensive than ordinary mining.. : )
Of course the real problem is that you cant have real intelligence without consciousness. I have been working on consciousness based Strong AI for over 20 years and you are kind of correct.. Its very difficult to build a working machine out of standard hardware or software, the strong AI machine must be designed to cope with non-finite state sets, mathematical totality, and injected noise.. Half of the machine is a complex neural net, and the core of its operation is a 'dynamic synthesis'. Welcome to non-deterministic computing...
Even "password" can be a pretty good password with a few numbers and a couple of misspellings.. :)
911 itself was done for a very specific reason at least according to the people who did it. It was done as revenge against the US for supplying Israel with bombs that were used in the bombing of Beirut in the mid 80's. We had put ourselves inside an old war between the Jewish state and the Muslim world - which is why an attack had long been predicted..
The disaster in the aftermath of the invasion of Iraq was a totally unnecessary and self inflicted wound. A wound which made the US and the UK the targets of hate and revenge for millions of Muslims around the world .. and which inspired the radicalism which gave us the 'gift' of ISIS. (Not mentioning Obama's and Cameron's role in its creation.)
What kind of beast is Islamic terrorism? the dimwits in charge are still treating it like a dragon - its not a dragon its a hydra. Cut off each head and you get another or two more.. Each Jihadi who dies radicalises and inspires the next, a religion inspired by revenge. So how do you beat radical Islam? only really two ways, either compromise or total annihilation.. The only other option is continuing wars and more terrorism probably on-going indefinitely. Me, I'm interested in seeing what monstrosity comes after ISIS.
"..Considering that every legitimate study and every reliable piece of data suggests that less than one in a million rape charges are falsely filed, this is really not a major concern. .."
If that was remotely true then it would vastly exceed the ability of any court to get a right answer - for jury trials the error rate is about 1 out of 10 at best.. If it is true then as soon as a woman makes an accusation the man should simply be charged and sent straight to jail.. In reality the real figure is probably that somewhere between 1 in 5 and 1 in 10 rape allegations are actually false.
The question is are women human? if the answer is yes then they are just as likely to lie as men.
Women lie - for money, for revenge, over sex, over power, for exactly the same reasons that men lie.. As is already quite widely known (as a statistical generalization) judges and juries are already biased in favour of young & pretty women. The younger you are, the prettier you are, if your sex is female, if you can cry on tap, all move the outcome statistics in a trial in your favour..
You can reveal the truth of this by publishing all your bank details and pin numbers and passwords right now.. :) Me I prefer a little secrecy.
Except of course the real nuclear bomb is a lot less powerful than the Hollywood bomb, or rather that the real Earth is a lot bigger than a movie set. The real estimates put that an average of about 50 to 60% of people would have died in the participating countries, and overall human population would have been reduced by up to about a 1/5.. Even if a nuclear winter had killed double the number of the actual war humanity would still have survived.
Is the universe a simulation? Is the universe a hologram? Is reality real? Are there uncountable numbers of universes?
Quantum physics is very expensive to calculate and ultimately a simulation requires more energy then the equivalent real universe. Tricks like lazy computation don't work.
People only come up with crazy ideas like these because general relativity is crazy and poisons the rest of the physics 'system'. If 'pure' general relativity is correct then the universe cannot exist making simulation type arguments much stronger. 'Impure' general relativity includes an absolute FTL frame, which means it contains elements which directly contradict each other.. FTL physics is a real mess.. :)
Can't use lazy computation because quantum mechanics wouldn't work. The real irony is that in the end such a simulation requires more energy than creating a real universe. :) :)
People only come up with crazy ideas like this because general relativity is crazy and poisons the rest of the 'system'. If people apply pure general relativity then the universe cannot exist making the simulation argument much stronger. Impure general relativity includes an absolute FTL frame, which means it contains elements which directly contradict each other.. FTL physics is a real mess..
Do you mean the metal machines or the humans who have turned themselves into mindless rule following automatons? Machines made of paper and words and human flesh..
Shows the absolute ridiculousness of security. Newsflash - real terrorists don't go about with the word 'terrorist' written on their foreheads. Also shows that 'Venmo' are NOT to be trusted..
Yes but apes are just a sub-genus within the group of more general monkeys - they are still -basically- monkeys and so are we.. :)
"What's more troubling to me is that police, the FBI, and the US Marshals are apparently using this data to get search warrants and to raid peoples' homes! Shouldn't they be subpoenaing the ISP?"
Oh God! Isn't that the blind leading the blind? :)
Yes but if you watch the video its quite clear that this robot is using DB tech. - Its balancing and walking algorithm is essentially the BD system. Look at how fast and powerful its servos are - either BD tech or something similar..
As the video went on what struck me was that this looks like a prototype of R2D2. A small robot of this type could do a lot of useful jobs, is less dangerous than a humanoid type robot, less likely to damage itself, and probably costs a lot less too. This robot might cost maybe $100,000 to $200,000 per robot instead of maybe a $1 million level cost for an Atlas robot. A lot more people can afford $100,000 than $1 million.
A little piece of information I gleaned a while ago answers that question..
Those Atlas robots cost about $1 million each to build. - I don't know whether that's a base cost or cost + profit, but they are not cheap..
That's is probably not an excessive cost for such a complex, and robust robot. I'm working on a Strong AI project that will ultimately (in 5 - 10 years) need to build similar machines - and my vague cost projections put it at about $200,000 to $400,000 per machine. Boston Dynamics have actually done it for real.
(servos that are both fast and high power can become astronomically expensive - its more like Jet fighter tech than everyday tech)
. . .And I've got this Ethiopian Prince with some shares he wants to sell if your interested?
Seriously this thing will take full video of everywhere you use it and of all the people around you. It will probably have microphones which will record everything you say. Its very easy to stich all that video together to make 360 picture files, translate speech into text then scan it with AI. Plus the pictures and video of the people will no doubt help make better dossiers of all your friends and family.
Just another step towards full immersion observation. Always on 24 hours a day. Everyone afraid of their TV and computers and phones in case they say something that incriminates them. Gangs of children the most feared because they watch and report on everyone - in the original it was for party loyalty, today its for the likes. In both its because they are taught to hate and fear adults. Facebook is watching you. (sadly its true)
You thought you were buying something innovative and free and open and spent quite a bit of money on it, then learned a while latter that its owners had just sold out to Facebook. I'd say butthurt is exactly how I would feel.
"Really, it's a transient thing (this internet) so they're foolish for doing so but it's how it is - I'm pretty sure."
The inevitable nature of human behaviour..
Ah yes I see the problem. Someone went and left the brainwashing setting on high again. Poor hipsters never stood a chance...
I actually have a business idea 'invention' potentially worth many billions - and a business in start-up to create it. :)
But in real life things are never so simple - getting my design to a working machine has a lead time of at least ten years minimum and is immensely complicated, plus the project is very high risk and has a minimum setup cost of about $1 to 5 million. There are an even bigger set of problems that I wont go into that make recruiting a good team next to impossible - so far too much will have to be done by me alone. - The machine also requires a complete new computer platform (based on FPGA and SMP) - which requires some pretty heavy electronics engineering, as well as stuff like bespoke compilers, test software, a new thin operating system, and bootstrap code.. Fortunately most of that can be farmed out to people who know what they are doing - though it will cost.
Every project is different..
Yes then there is the guy creating a new start-up based on the idea of selling stuff like insurance through a web page, or just like you said setting up a new 'innovative' dating site..
You put what is often the real problem with VC. If you pull out of a business to cash in after three to five years then you will often end up with relatively little, even for the most successful.. seven to ten years is often a much better bet.
Facebook was making money on the scale of $50 million per year after three years, $280 million per year after five years, but $3700 million per year after seven years.. and $12,500 million after ten years..
Google followed a similar kind of path, after 5 years worth about $100 million, after seven worth $1470 million, $6500 million after ten years. Today worth something over $100 billion.
Buying Lottery tickets is never a better way to 'invest' your money. The only way statistically to win the Lottery is not to play.. basic maths... Your better off just giving your money to beggars on the street.
VC is great way of making money - if you know what you are doing. The perfect example is Facebook, it might be s**t but its investors have still made themselves billionaires off that piece of s**t. Are you telling me you would not want the money just cos its got a little brown on it?
Here in the UK Netflix is a constant disappointment to me and I keep asking myself I am I still bothering to subscribe.. Its not uncommon to go a whole month without watching a single Netflix program and finding interesting stuff under the interface is always a nightmare.. Mythbusters series 1, 3, 3 only - for what must be over a year now, cmon. So many common shows unavailable, so many good films unavailable, the cycling of new stuff so slow. I dare them to put their prices up now.. - Of course there's not a lot of other (good) choice out there. Already have Amazon Prime but most of the good stuff costs just as much as buying it on Blu-ray, so why not just buy it on Blu-ray and own it without contract limits?
Once spent hours debugging a C++ program only to find it was a single errant piece of white space, one that caused the compiler to misinterpret a math operator in a totally weird way.
Shopping. Now that's what I use the internet for. :D (plus about a dozen other things)