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  1. Re:Predictions on Technology Predictions for 2006? · · Score: 1

    Especially if they have Sirius in 1984 in some weird alternate universe.

  2. Re:Prediction: economic colapse on Technology Predictions for 2006? · · Score: 1

    Paranoid? Things are not as bad as MoveOn.org and the ACLU would like you to believe. Our housing market isn't teetering on a crash. We are at a high on home lending, as historically interest rates have never been so low, but that doesn't mean everyone or even a large percentage of people have completely overextended their incomes. The last few years have been a great time to buy property, and people have been doing just that. Is it going to slow? That's inevitable, I'm surprised it has lasted this long. Is it "spurring the economy"? Yes, because people are reinvesting in their own assests by mortaging instead of renting. Noone else seems to make the connection that this enormous cost savings is resulting in a more widely distributed wealth than the traditional "land lord" economics and people are having more assets to borrow money against. Banks aren't extending so much credit out there that everything is going to crash because they would lose the most, and they aren't that stupid.

  3. If only I had remembered to HTML format! on Technology Predictions for 2006? · · Score: 1

    Sorry about that last post, I didn't realize it wouldn't carry CRs
    I've got money on most of my predictions, but I'll have them out here..

    1. WiMax, Intel signed onto this technology in 2005, and companies like Alvarion has already deployed BreezeMAX solutions all around the world. I think this is going to be one of the biggest trends in wireless networks in 2006, but maybe to hit the US the latest.

    2. Video on Demand, this one has been around and gradually picking up steam, but as higher bandwidth starts hitting the national infrastructure and portable devices capable of carrying it around with you increase in popularity, the demand for this is going to start gaining exponentially. Companies like Path One Networks develop video switches and such for this technology that is going to do very well in 2006.

    3. High Definition TV, in 2006, Sony is going to be the first company that has an end-to-end solution for HDTV from hardware to content. HDTVs, players, games, and videos. Expect the PS3 to be bigger than just what "core" promises. The Blueray will challenge against HDTV will be monumentally strengthened by the Japanese demand for this console, and once again, we will see the United States slow to adopt the revolutionary technology foreign countrys are recognizing first.

    4. Portable electronics, with chip manufacturing down to a 65nm process, look for continued improvements in minaturization and energy efficiency to make more capable, portable electronic devices. Look for Sony to make the thinnest, lightest most capale VAIO yet. Also look for competition erupting against the Blackberry with devices like the Treo and iPod to meet head-on challenge in the portable mp3 player market.

    5. Digital Rights Management, everyone's skittish about this one as it threatens many of our very lifestyles. Today we have the flexibility to record and tranfer our files between our devices spurring the innovation of new products. With the RIAA lobbying heavily to Congress to put barriers in manufacturing and lawsuits against application, don't be surprised if digital right managements mandated by law are applied to consumer electronics devices, and don't be surprised if these applications of the law suck worse than the recent Sony-BMG fiasco.

    6. Unlimited bandwidth, Sun's been talking about this for years it seems like. The infrastructure is dependant on the fattest pipes you can imagine, and I'm imagining a combination of several emerging technologies competing and combining to create the fastest, most robust architecture ever conceived to emerge in 2006. Utilizing powerlines, wireless, fiber to the home, as well as improvements to cable signaling will result in companies like SBC, Verizon, and Comcast to offer cost-effective internet capablities up to 100mbit, and allow home access upward of 35mbit.

    7. This one is wishful thinking, but an application of techonlogy that is entirely feasible and useful in 2006. The first self-bootable chipset. I'm talking the first motherboard with an integrated C: for loading an operating system resulting from "on board" nvram. I've got my fingers crossed it will be a company like ABIT or ASUS that drop this, what I see as the inevitable evolution in chipsets. Companies like Saifun that used different signaling storage to double the capacity of NVRAM promises to see the emergance of a 4GB nvram chip in 2006, which would be sufficient space to load any operating system in existance at lightning fast speeds. We've already integrated the sound card, networking cards, and everything else into the chipset, with the tremendous performance increase of integrated storage, coupled with the demand for "locked configuration" workstations dependant on network file storage system, the ability to expand with SATA devices doesn't even seem necessary in many configurations leaving us a motherboard, usb ports, and a video port combined with new low heat cpus could result in the slimmest pc yet, and without an optional optical drive.. no moving p

  4. Without reading their list on Technology Predictions for 2006? · · Score: 0, Redundant

    I've got money on most of my predictions, but I'll have them out here.. 1. WiMax, Intel signed onto this technology in 2005, and companies like Alvarion has already deployed BreezeMAX solutions all around the world. I think this is going to be one of the biggest trends in wireless networks in 2006, but maybe to hit the US the latest. 2. Video on Demand, this one has been around and gradually picking up steam, but as higher bandwidth starts hitting the national infrastructure and portable devices capable of carrying it around with you increase in popularity, the demand for this is going to start gaining exponentially. Companies like Path One Networks develop video switches and such for this technology that is going to do very well in 2006. 3. High Definition TV, in 2006, Sony is going to be the first company that has an end-to-end solution for HDTV from hardware to content. HDTVs, players, games, and videos. Expect the PS3 to be bigger than just what "core" promises. The Blueray will challenge against HDTV will be monumentally strengthened by the Japanese demand for this console, and once again, we will see the United States slow to adopt the revolutionary technology foreign countrys are recognizing first. 4. Portable electronics, with chip manufacturing down to a 65nm process, look for continued improvements in minaturization and energy efficiency to make more capable, portable electronic devices. Look for Sony to make the thinnest, lightest most capale VAIO yet. Also look for competition erupting against the Blackberry with devices like the Treo and iPod to meet head-on challenge in the portable mp3 player market. 5. Digital Rights Management, everyone's skittish about this one as it threatens many of our very lifestyles. Today we have the flexibility to record and tranfer our files between our devices spurring the innovation of new products. With the RIAA lobbying heavily to Congress to put barriers in manufacturing and lawsuits against application, don't be surprised if digital right managements mandated by law are applied to consumer electronics devices, and don't be surprised if these applications of the law suck worse than the recent Sony-BMG fiasco. 6. Unlimited bandwidth, Sun's been talking about this for years it seems like. The infrastructure is dependant on the fattest pipes you can imagine, and I'm imagining a combination of several emerging technologies competing and combining to create the fastest, most robust architecture ever conceived to emerge in 2006. Utilizing powerlines, wireless, fiber to the home, as well as improvements to cable signaling will result in companies like SBC, Verizon, and Comcast to offer cost-effective internet capablities up to 100mbit, and allow home access upward of 35mbit. 7. This one is wishful thinking, but an application of techonlogy that is entirely feasible and useful in 2006. The first self-bootable chipset. I'm talking the first motherboard with an integrated C: for loading an operating system resulting from "on board" nvram. I've got my fingers crossed it will be a company like ABIT or ASUS that drop this, what I see as the inevitable evolution in chipsets. Companies like Saifun that used different signaling storage to double the capacity of NVRAM promises to see the emergance of a 4GB nvram chip in 2006, which would be sufficient space to load any operating system in existance at lightning fast speeds. We've already integrated the sound card, networking cards, and everything else into the chipset, with the tremendous performance increase of integrated storage, coupled with the demand for "locked configuration" workstations dependant on network file storage system, the ability to expand with SATA devices doesn't even seem necessary in many configurations leaving us a motherboard, usb ports, and a video port combined with new low heat cpus could result in the slimmest pc yet, and without an optional optical drive.. no moving parts. This is a corportate administrator's dream, but I still think this configuration is more likely for 2008 than 2006. 8. AMD, 2006 is

  5. Re:oy vey on Steve Jobs thinks Objective C is Perfect? · · Score: 1

    This was a point I considered making but didn't even want to 'go there'. I quit developing last decade as a mostly ASM and Modula2 programmer. The development of RAD tools has allowed the suites of applications that might run half as fast, and take five times the disk space as what I would have written, but it probably would have taken me ten times as long to write and would have been ten times more expensive.

  6. The very heart of the culture flaw at Apple on Steve Jobs thinks Objective C is Perfect? · · Score: 1

    Steve Jobs' hubris. The idea that objective C is perfect is laughable. Some developers may have considered it (mostly in arrogance) "ahead of it's time", I would have considered it's development "timely and innovative". Being first to the market with an innovative new improvement is not "ahead" of time, it's "first to market" which is ideal timing, if you ask anyone on wall street. The idea that their products are "ahead of time" and "perfect" is what allows their products to loose innovation while others are improving off their innovation and gaining steam while their "perfect" products stagnate, apparently "waiting for their time to come". If Apple had any sense, are were the "renegades" and "pirates" of programming that they think they are, they would at least have a small division programming for windows, using windows tools. "Know thy enemy" would be my mantra, not "blow thy own horn". Apple's criticisms of Windows and windows tools show a profound knowledge of generalizations and stereotypes, all of which are laughable in the face of actual experience. I'm anxiously looking forward to Apple adopting support for the Intel chipset to start seeing apple to apple comaprisons of windows vs macintosh. I said back in 4Q 2004 when Apple financials reported that a majority of it's income was from Ipod instead of PC sales that the end of Apple's RISC chipset was to happen in the next 3 years, and it looks like that premonition might soon come true. Given the end of the chipset, I wonder how much staying power the Operating System will have head to head against the competition of Windows vs Linux?

  7. What bothers me more... on Bush Backed Spying On Americans · · Score: 1

    Don't we have an independant investigator Fitzpatrick actively investigating CIA leaks to the press? Doesn't this story qualify? Are we going to see fair and equal treatment? Are we that complacent that as a public we can tolerate leaks of classified information to the New York Times intentionally and at the author's whim? Also why are congressmen who were fully aware of what was going on suddenly "shocked" and "disgusted" at this "inappropriate" behavior they have had a hand in all along? It was the government that approved the NSA to spy on international calls, which should be devoid of constitutional protection in my book.. especially if the signal is interecepted outside the jurisdiction of the United States.

  8. Re:Why Bush can be sent to jail for this on Bush Backed Spying On Americans · · Score: 1

    I skipped the whole post. This went before the house intelligence committee at least a dozen times for approval as well as the FISA Court. Bush isn't going to jail for this, that entire premise is retarded. This (year old) story was released to the New York Times 10 days before the (New York Times Staff) author of the story is due to release his book (for which this article is given an entire chapter) about the CIA and the Bush administration. It's those little details the New York Times feels it is entirely ethical to omit or otherwise avoid.

  9. Re:Great. Another feature that I'll never use... on Preview of Nokia's Webcore-Based Browser · · Score: 1

    3G/EDGE looks like a promising technology for the US cellphone market, I'm really looking forward to WiMAX which seems to be implemented from every country except the US (but it is getting closer). As far as San Fran and New Orleans deploying 802.11 networks.. as an information architecture consultant for the City of New York it only strikes me as par for municipal governments to take medoicre advice and implement mediocre solutions.

  10. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind on Polar Bears Drowning As Globe Warms · · Score: 1, Insightful

    It's common knowledge that cold temperatures resulted in the near extinction of life on this planet. There was a greater abundance of life millions of years ago when the earth had a more stable (and higher) average temperature. The idea that warmer temperatures will result in inevitable disaster is not only foolish, but to try to throw a monkey wrench in our economic strength (what gives us the resources to affect informed changes) is wreckless. Water Vapor accounts for 98% of the "greenhouse effect", not "pollution". What boggles my mind is how China, the world's greater polluter of the really dirty pollution that matters, stuff like Mercury and Sulphur Dioxide (think fetal brain damage and acid rain), is exempted from the Kyoto Treaty and the United States is considered the world's largest polluter because of Carbon Dioxide emmissions which are easily converted by plants to usable oxygen. Here's my key point in all of this: The moon fluxuates in temperature over 500 degrees because it has no "greenhouse gases". The Earth does not. More greenhouses gases means warm, moderate, and stable climates... none of which are necessarily a bad thing. I read somewhere that if the stable mean temperature of the earth was to increase about 6 degrees C, then we would approach a "optimal" temperature for life. I mean seriously, would it really hurt us to have warmer water, more beaches, and less snow? It's rising and falling temperatures that cause hurricanes, and greenhouse gases insulate temperatures.. so it's intellectually embarrasing to try to point to one as causal evidence for the other.

  11. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind on Polar Bears Drowning As Globe Warms · · Score: 1

    I'm a Republican, and I can't speak for all Republicans but I can say that I don't believe global warming isn't happening. It is happening, and it's been happening for the last 50,000 years. What I don't get is how 'alarmed' liberals are about this act of nature. These were the same people who declared 20 years ago that 'global cooling' was going to destroy all life on the planet. Mass extinctions, blah blah blah. I'm not convinced that the Earth getting warmer, or polar bears drowning because ice is diminishing is cause for global panic, or even action. Can we really do anything to stop global warming.. would we really want to? I mean, they have found ancient preserved tropical forests deep in the ice sheets of Siberia, and yes.. even in the arctic circle. Is the Earth changing? Every day. Are we so powerful that we can stop it? probably not. Are we so wise as to know that we should? Definately not.

  12. 10 individual tracks equivalent to one album???? on After Brief Respite Music Industry Slump Deepens · · Score: 1

    "According to an estimate from SoundScan, overall sales of recorded music are down about 4.5%, if one considers 10 individual tracks the equivalent of an album.' " How many albums have you bought because it had 10 killer tracks on it? I mean seriously, have these guys considered that their expectations and equivalences are a little off base? Record sales are definately slipping, but that's becaues they decided to introduce a single track purchasing system for $0.99 How many people selectively buy three or four tracks of an album, and forget about the rest? Their music is NOT that great, and the industry paradigm has changed that people don't need to buy an entire album to hear their favorite tracks. If you asked me, they should have quit trying to price control albums in stores to exorbitant prices (Who really wants to pay $18.99 for a freaking CD?) and let the prices naturally deflate as the processes improved to get more albums into more stores at a cheaper price. Whatever, by my model, artist sales are skyrocketing, record label profits are just down.

  13. Human reasoning and cognition under the age of 5.. on Chimpanzees Beat out Children in Reasoning Test · · Score: 1

    Sucks. We already know this. There's a famous experiment in which two equal sized glasses were filled with an equal amount of fluid and the children were asked, which has more? Then, right in front of their eyes, they poured one container into a tall, thin glass, and one container into a short and fat glass. The children were then asked, "which has more liquid?" The children overwhelmingly selected the tall, thin glass. It is no secret that human brain development is a long and gradual process comparative to every other species of animal. I wouldn't have been suprised had the test reported that a lawn mower had a better grasp of cause and effect than a human child, I would only be curious as to how the test came to this conclusion.

  14. Re:Not new, but maybe promising on Hydrogen-Emitting Microbe Examined · · Score: 1

    This isn't by far the only microbe that releases hydrogen as a byproduct, I had examined this matter on several occassions when talking about what I think will eliminate the demand for oil importing, a hydrogen combustion engine (a la Mazda's Renesis hydrogen/petro combustible). Eliminating the need for gas for vehicles would make the US pretty much oil independant. Hydrogen can not only be converted by microbes and burning petrol chemicals as a previous author noted, but can easily be converted by nuclear powerplants, electro-chemical reactions such as solar, as well as other electro-mechanical devices such as steam turbines and windmills. The positive note I think would be the elimination of the millions of tanker trucks hauling fuel every day. Any petrol station with a water and power line could manufacture their own fuel.

  15. america is becoming anti-science... on Is The U.S. Becoming Anti-Science? · · Score: 1

    evolution has never been tested or proven, therefore it's not scientific fact. yes, it is an argumentum ad numerum, having garnered the support of a wide scientific community, and created a paradigm of modern naturalistic thought, but it is not a fact, nor is it a science. evolution is as much dogma as the bible, with only scientific inuendo that suggests it is true, and glaring discrepencies that suggest it is false. the fact is that evolution is inarguably not a complete, full, a proven scientific model. what is anti-science, is that idea that any aspect of science is exempt from peer review, and public discussion. to observe a dataset, and draw a hypothesis based on your conclusions is not science, but in fact is exactly what darwin did. evolution has then been hung out there, and as aspects of it are diminshed or destroyed, the theory is 'fine tuned' leaving opponents with continually disproving an infinate number of possibilities, while the ability of the theory to be applied and tested and proven positive is ignored. You don't fix facts to meet your conclusion... you don't find fossils to meet your assumptions. that is not science, in fact, it is considered by modern scientifc standards of testing to be anti-science. is there a problem in the United States with intelligent design? perhaps, but it is a philosophical problem, not a scientific one.