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Polar Bears Drowning As Globe Warms

An anonymous reader writes "The Times Online is reporting on disturbing findings from the arctic. Polar bears appear to be drowning when they attempt long sea crossings as a result of receding summer ice." From the article: "New evidence from field researchers working for the World Wildlife Fund in Yakutia, on the northeast coast of Russia, has also shown the region's first evidence of cannibalism among bears competing for food supplies ... As the ice pack retreats north in the summer between June and October, the bears must travel between ice floes to continue hunting in areas such as the shallow water of the continental shelf off the Alaskan coast -- one of the most food-rich areas in the Arctic. However, last summer the ice cap receded about 200 miles further north than the average of two decades ago, forcing the bears to undertake far longer voyages between floes. "

503 comments

  1. How long till the skeptics post? by cliffski3 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    I guess it won't be long till this debate is cluttered with the SUV driving slashdotters who deny that this is really happening. I guess its all an islamic / communist pinko plot right?

    1. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by gronofer · · Score: 5, Funny

      Perhaps they will have a theory that polar bears have a natural cycle of extinction and re-evolution every few hundred years.

    2. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by AbRASiON · · Score: 0

      Fucking awesome A+ would read again.

      I hate to say it but lol.

    3. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Interesting

      I was wondering how long it would take before the "OMGWTFBBQ" doom-n-gloom post made it on here. Looks like you were first.

      Tell ya what leftie, prove to us that it's man made and not solar / natural and we'll shut up. Until there, we're right here making sure that your rantings are seen in the same light as the earth being flat and the sun rotating around the earth.

    4. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I ride my bicycle nearly everywear. However I am slightley (but not fullyly) skeptical.

    5. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hmm, give me some more posts like that and I might change my stance on SUVs. Maybe they are cool after all.

    6. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Evolution? Gasp! You mean intelligently redesigned, right?

    7. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by gronofer · · Score: 1

      Yes, sorry, I forgot who I was dealing with for a moment.

    8. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by x_codingmonkey_x · · Score: 1, Interesting

      I think that you misunderstood most of the skeptics. I don't think anyone is doubting that the globe _is_ getting warmer. You can't really argue with hard facts. However, that being said, the majority of skeptics take the stance that the world goes through cycles of increasing global temperature and decreasing global temperature. Therefore, the belief is that with a mere 150 or so years of data, it is _impossible_ to lay the blame our feet (although we might be contributing a little bit). While I know that we have core samples from certain times in the past, it has already been show that the temperature and CO2 levels have been much higher in the past. Just a quick link [bbc.co.uk], you can scroll down to the middle and see the quote: "It was significantly warmer so people could move north without adaptation." This was about Britain and 700,000 years ago. It says that Elephants and other tropical animals lived there. AFAIK, there were no SUVs 700,000 years ago.

    9. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by cliffski3 · · Score: 1

      go buy one. its a useful way for sane people to spot those in society who are selfish and gullible, and thus an effective filter on who to bother talking to.

    10. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by cliffski3 · · Score: 1

      ah a slanging off from an anonynmous coward. I feel so underwheled. Maybe you should go back to ranting about how america is the land of the free instead? although given your own president undermines your constitution to spy on you, admits it, and most of you are too stupid to stop voting for him, I guess its a lost cause.

    11. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by bbdb · · Score: 3, Informative

      There's more data than that, but the darling of the global warming scare maniacs is the CO2 level claimed to supposedly have been 280-290 ppm in the preindustrial. The problem is - this is bollocks. The "scientists" in question have falsified the data and this single lie has been repeated over and over in the same publications, trying to create impression of many independent original sources, whereas in reality there was just one: http://www.john-daly.com/zjiceco2.htm "The problem with Siple data (and with other shallow cores) is that the CO2 concentration found in pre-industrial ice from a depth of 68 meters (i.e. above the depth of clathrate formation) was "too high". This ice was deposited in 1890 AD, and the CO2 concentration was 328 ppmv, not about 290 ppmv, as needed by man-made warming hypothesis. The CO2 atmospheric concentration of about 328 ppmv was measured at Mauna Loa, Hawaii as later as in 1973[8], i.e. 83 years after the ice was deposited at Siple. An ad hoc assumption, not supported by any factual evidence[3, 9], solved the problem: the average age of air was arbitrary decreed to be exactly 83 years younger than the ice in which it was trapped. The "corrected" ice data were then smoothly aligned with the Mauna Loa record (Figure 1 B) , and reproduced in countless publications as a famous "Siple curve". Only thirteen years later, in 1993, glaciologists attempted to prove experimentally the "age assumption"[10], but they failed[9]."

      --
      Python is nice quick and flexible... but it provides so much rope a monkey would hang the whole ecosystem with it. -- in
    12. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by bbdb · · Score: 1

      "I think that you misunderstood most of the skeptics. I don't think anyone is doubting that the globe _is_ getting warmer. You can't really argue with hard facts." ..except the facts are not really that hard: http://www.john-daly.com/ Look at section " `Global Mean Temperature' - Disputed Data " (no direct link). It appears that where the meteo stations have been properly maintained in last two centuries - Western Europe and United States - there is no observable global warming right up to 1990s. It's only if you factor in the poorly maintained stations elsewhere that you get the effect. Data should read "global warming everywhere except where the major industrial powers have been producing its CO2" - come on!

      --
      Python is nice quick and flexible... but it provides so much rope a monkey would hang the whole ecosystem with it. -- in
    13. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by Rei · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It's brilliant people like you who think that the entire science of climate change study is based on (Paper A) or (Paper B). There are tens of thousands of studies, using hundreds of cores across dozens of timescales from dozens of locations, in addition to many other complete lines of study apart from cores. What an extreme bit of ignorance of the science to pretend that there's only one relevant study of all that has been done - how creationist of you.

      Believe it or not, Jaworosky is in the extreme minority in the scientific community (just like those who deny evolution are in the biological community). Those who pick on a single piece of data and claim that it tears down an entire science practice the lowest form of scientific inquiry. Jaworsky actually claims the ridiculous notion that he can prove that the world is getting colder, despite even direct *thermometer* measurements to the contrary and the huge amount of glacial retreat. Jaworosky's theories were not published in a peer-reviewed scientific journal. The were published in a magazine run by Lyndon LaRouche. I.e., his claims are a bunch of garbage that wouldn't stand up to peer review, because otherwise he'd have done it.

      The reality is that even if you don't want to compare CO2 levels to those 100 years ago, you can compare them to CO2 from 200, 400, etc years ago. Modern CO2 is the highest it's been in several hundred thousand years, and it went that way from low CO2 levels in a hundred (or even if you believe Jaworowsky) a couple hundred years. Even the most rudimentary glance at Vostok data makes it painfully obvious that CO2 levels are extremely tied to temperature (which is obvious from the properties of CO2). And it's obvious that this would be the case - the amount of CO2 that we pump out easily outpaces all animal life on earth and volcanic activity, and expecting that plants can arbitrarily keep up is silly (most plants are not limited by CO2 - they're limited by various nutrients. There are huge oceanic dead zones because of, for example, iron deficiency.)

      --
      Man on crucifix terrorizes church, demands they eat his flesh and blood. Details at 11.
    14. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by The_Quinn · · Score: 1

      Even if you gleefully murdered all the evil humans on Earth, the Earth would continue on it's climate path. The history of climate is periods of warming punctuated by ice ages.

    15. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      who deny that this is really happening

      or who simply deny this is happening because of humans.

      GASP!

    16. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Before the Earths last ice age, that ice was not even there for the polar bears to use. When Alaska was further south and globbed together in a land mass now called Pangea, that ice was not there. There used to be ice formations in the area of the US where the great lakes are now. All of this has changed without the modern SUV.

    17. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by rolandog · · Score: 2, Funny

      There are SUV driving slashdotters? I would've expected they were already driving gokarts powered by their own sense of self-satisfaction.

    18. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by bbdb · · Score: 1

      It's brilliant people like you who think that the entire science of climate change study is based on (Paper A) or (Paper B).

      That's how science works - it's not based on voting, but on being correct.

      If there are 10,000 bad studies and a single correct study, the 10,000 in question gets thrown out, and that one gets accepted. If you don't understand that, well, you're mistaken. That is how Popper's falsifiability works: not much evidence is necessary to get the entire theory thrown out.

      There are tens of thousands of studies, using hundreds of cores across dozens of timescales from dozens of locations, in addition to many other complete lines of study apart from cores.

      ...and all of them eithr having the problem of telling incorrect CO2 levels due to common error to them all:

      "Perusal of these determinations convinced me that glaciological studies are not able to provide a reliable reconstruction of CO2 concentrations in the ancient atmosphere. This is because the ice cores do not fulfill the essential closed system criteria. One of them is a lack of liquid water in ice, which could dramatically change the chemical composition the air bubbles trapped between the ice crystals. This criterion, is not met, as even the coldest Antarctic ice (down to -73C) contains liquid water[2]."
      2. Mulvaney, R., E.W. Wolff, and K. Oates, Sulpfuric acid at grain boundaries in Antarctic ice. Nature, 1988. 331(247-249).

      Repeating the same mistake 10,000 times is repeating the mistake 10,000 times. Not being correct just because you could afford massive propaganda.

      Time for you to say a big OOPS. Come on, it's not a shame. Everybody's wrong from time to time.

      And if you bothered to actually have read the paper, you would find quite an extensive bibliography of other works. Not just one single scientist.

      What an extreme bit of ignorance of the science to pretend that there's only one relevant study of all that has been done - how creationist of you.


      Making such remarks proves you're dumb, ignorant and obtuse.

      Believe it or not, Jaworosky is in the extreme minority in the scientific community (just like those who deny evolution are in the biological community). Those who pick on a single piece of data and claim that it tears down an entire science practice the lowest form of scientific inquiry.

      Quick, call the philosophers working on methodology of science and tell them that Karl Popper was a fraud!
      Jaworsky actually claims the ridiculous notion that he can prove that the world is getting colder, despite even direct *thermometer* measurements to the contrary and the huge amount of glacial retreat.

      Jaworowski said NO SUCH THING. He merely claimed that what he found INVALIDATES THE CLAIMS THAT HAVE BEEN DEMONSTRABLY MADE. You're not thinking precisely. It's like reality is one way, and finding that the claims made of it are based on frauds and distortions. It doesn't even prove that GW is not happening. It merely proves that EVIDENCE YOU CITED is a fraud.

      Jaworosky's theories were not published in a peer-reviewed scientific journal. The were published in a magazine run by Lyndon LaRouche. I.e., his claims are a bunch of garbage that wouldn't stand up to peer review, because otherwise he'd have done it.

      1. Attacking the credibility, not the criticism. Non-sequitur.

      2. As a matter of fact, Jaworowski points out the articles published in NATURE. You obviously have not read the paper.

      3. Global Warming gets talked about on NPR (or so I hear), which is even more damning than that total cretin Larouche picking some subject up.

      The reality is that even if you don't want to compare CO2 levels to those 100 years ago, you can compare them to CO2 from 200, 400, etc years ago. Modern CO2 is the highest it's been in several hundred thousand years, and it went that way from low CO2 levels in a hun

      --
      Python is nice quick and flexible... but it provides so much rope a monkey would hang the whole ecosystem with it. -- in
    19. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by Millenniumman · · Score: 1

      You didn't answer his question.

      --
      Stupidity is like nuclear power, it can be used for good or evil. And you don't want to get any on you.
    20. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > the SUV driving slashdotters who deny that this is really happening

      You misspelled "Americans".

    21. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by fbjon · · Score: 1
      ...except he makes a heavy-handed assumption:

      "Urbanisation has been more successfully corrected for in the US than in the rest of the world and the US also has the best maintained network of weather stations in the world. This must therefore be a better representation of the global picture too." Say what? (emphasis mine)

      He also helpfully includes satellite measurements from the last 26 years or so, which don't really say anything about longer trends.

      --
      True confidence comes not from realising you are as good as your peers, but that your peers are as bad as you are.
    22. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 1
      Wow, still at it? I'll just pick at your philosophical argument, since I have no interest in digging through Google to find the counter evidence.

      You're right, science is not about voting. It's about being right. Now, my question to you, and where I smell the big rat, is why pick that one paper? Why not pick the ones that debunk it? You state that "Repeating the same mistake 10,000 times is repeating the mistake 10,000 times." But how do you know it's a mistake? You redo the expirement, you cross check, you let other people have a crack at it. And if they find the same stuff? Well, it's probably you didn't make a mistake. Note that it doesn't mean that all papers and studies have to agree. Nor that it becomes "truth". It simply means that it looks like your model is able to accurately predict future developments.

      Here's where you are dishonest: Popper and his philosophy of science is about empirical falsifiability. This does not mean that all it takes is one person to state something for a theory to come crumbling down. And research papers are exactly that: one person presenting a theory, providing evidence that is claimed to support the theory and inviting others to check it. Simply publishing a paper means nothing in and of itself. Got that? It's still an opinion. Just a well-supported one - or so you hope. How do you distinguish the cranks from the good stuff? If you don't know climatology, you go by where the consensus is pointing. Judging from your arguments, which all reference arguments (instead of argumenting on your own and citing data sets for support), you'd be better off going with the consensus.

      Oh, and just because I can, here's the latest say on the satellite anomaly, curtesy of 15 minutes on Google: it's the orbital decay, stupid.

      I suppose I shouldn't be surprised by your insistence to rely on a few flawed papers instead of listening to what people say. Apparently, it's now a proven fact that people tend to discard information if it contradicts their pre-existing beliefs. Even in that information is overwhelming and the pre-existing belief random. I'd say you're exhibit A for that behavior.

      --
      Those who can, do. Those who can't, sue.
    23. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by drdewm · · Score: 1

      What question? Questions usually include question marks. He made a sarcastic nasty trolling comment.

    24. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by RedWizzard · · Score: 2, Informative
      While I know that we have core samples from certain times in the past, it has already been show that the temperature and CO2 levels have been much higher in the past.
      That's incorrect. A recent ice core has shown that atmosphere CO2 levels are now 27% higher and methane levels are 130% higher they have been at any other time in the last 650,000 years. Do a search on Google news and you'll find plenty of stories about this data. Here's one for you: http://www.latimes.com/news/science/la-na-ice25nov 25,0,5657925.story
    25. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by swillden · · Score: 1

      You state that "Repeating the same mistake 10,000 times is repeating the mistake 10,000 times." But how do you know it's a mistake? You redo the expirement, you cross check, you let other people have a crack at it. And if they find the same stuff? Well, it's probably you didn't make a mistake.

      I don't have a stake in this and I haven't read any of the cited resarch, but it's obvious to me that you're missing the previous poster's point. His claim (accurate or not) isn't that the 10,000 different core sample studes were done incorrectly, but rather that the underlying methodology is flawed. Specifically, his claim is that ice core samples don't provide accurate records of CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere. If that is correct, then even if every study "finds the same stuff", it only confirms that all of the researchers are performing their analyses correctly, it doesn't confirm that the interpretation of those analyses is correct.

      Maybe it is, maybe it isn't. I don't know enough about it to know. But if the interpretation is wrong, more measurements aren't going to help.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    26. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by Millenniumman · · Score: 1

      Well, that's true, but he made a statement that he suggested someone argue with although he probably had no intention of answering. As for the sarcasm, I agree, but the response was just as bad if not worse. What irritated me was that the response was irrelevant. The Patriot Act has nothing to do with proving that global warming is affected by humans. He had no better response, so he starting ranting about things he did have an opinion on.

      --
      Stupidity is like nuclear power, it can be used for good or evil. And you don't want to get any on you.
    27. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by Jim_Callahan · · Score: 1

      Some fellows at Berkeley attempted to quantify cycles of diversification and pruning in the species history of the planet. I think they found a regular cycle for the planet on the order of a hundred million years or so, and some shorter cycles for individual species (a cycle being a diversification or increase in the number of species followed by the extinction of the unnecessary lines to leave a small fraction of the diversity in place). As of the last time I checked, they were unsure if external factors just pressured regularly by coincedence ofr if the excess diversity was actually self-regulating.

      So in short, yeah, cycles of diversification and extinction are quite capable of occuring outside of civillized human influence, if that's what you mean by 'nature'.

      And even high-school level biology will tell you that if a species goes extinct, a branch of another will move to fill the niche, if it still exists.

      Being sarcastic about something does not make it untrue.

      --
      ...it's really a sad day for America when we require a goddamn ACT OF CONGRESS to make our DVD players work properly. ~
    28. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by Puff+Daddy · · Score: 1

      You misunderstand what one person's interpretation of one set of data mean. You see, science is, in fact, based on voting. More precisely, since you seem so interested in using that word as weapon, it is based on peer review. Until a paper has been peer reviewed, it is completely irrelevant to those outside the field. You say Jaworowski "points out the articles mentioned in NATURE," what you do not say is that Jaworowski has submitted his work for publication, had it undergo the process of peer review, and get published. This does not necessarily mean he is wrong, but it does mean that he should by no means be thought of as right. I haven't read his paper, it seems like you have and take his results and methodology to be sound. That's fine, but since I'm not a climatologist and I know very little about global warming, I'm going to wait until some of the experts in the field weigh in on the matter. If this paper refutes our theories on global warming like you say it does, then it will certainly merit discussion.

      On the other hand, its entirely possible that every legitimate journal out there has peer reviewed his paper, but Jaworowski doesn't want to tell you about it. If he has, as the grandparent poster pointed out, been cited by Lyndon LaRouche then this is most likely the case. Anyway, to get back to my point, 1 paper that makes erroneous claims based on bad data, methodology, or interpretation does not refute 10,000 papers that say otherwise at all. I'm not necessarily saying Jaworowski's paper is incorrect, but it does smell that way. You can try to back it up all you want, but the fact is that I don't know enough about the subject to pick fact from well written fiction, like approximately 99.9%* of the people reading this. Yippee! Sulphur bubbles! That sounds sciencey, this guy must be smart! Sorry, ain't buying it, get it in The International Journal of Climatology and I'll believe it. Until then, keep trying to impress people who think they can tell their ass from a hole in the ozone layer, it helps them think they're intellectual.

      * All cited statistics have a margin of error of 100%.

    29. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

      Wouldn't ice cores from different parts of the world have different rates of liquid water, and thus different CO2 levels? Unless they all get liquid water at some point or another (perhaps several times over) and reach an equilibrium such that 2 "waterings" or 100, all come out to about X.

      --
      (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
    30. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 1

      You're right about the parent poster's claim - and my initial paragraph was badly phrased. However, my point is easily expanded to include methodology as well as actual data sets. If someone has a problem with a methodology, people will dissect it, and at some point, a consensus will emerge on whether the methodology is appropriate.

      --
      Those who can, do. Those who can't, sue.
    31. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by Bush+Pig · · Score: 1

      He (or she) probably thought it wasn't worth the effort. Trying to have a sensible discussion with climate-change sceptics (especially if they post AC) is kind of like trying to reason with creationists - it's a waste of your time and it annoys the creationist.

      It's a lot more fun (and more satisfying) to just slag them off.

      --
      What a long, strange trip it's been.
    32. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by Bush+Pig · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Meh - he's just another creationist-equivalent with his head shoved so far up his arse he'll _never_ see the light of day. You can't have a reasonable discussion with these people. Stop wasting your time.

      --
      What a long, strange trip it's been.
    33. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by Rei · · Score: 1

      That's how science works - it's not based on voting, but on being correct.

      And if you can't stand up to peer review, nobody is going to believe that you're correct.

      "Perusal of these determinations convinced me that glaciological studies are not able to provide a reliable reconstruction of CO2 concentrations in the ancient atmosphere.

      And no peer review group agrees with him - otherwise, it would have been published by someone more respectable than Lyndon LaRouche. What about this are you not understanding?

      And if you bothered to actually have read the paper, you would find quite an extensive bibliography of other works. Not just one single scientist.

      He cites others, but since he can't get pubished, he's obviously abusing the data. Creationists use hundreds of cites in exactly the same way.

      What an extreme bit of ignorance of the science to pretend that there's only one relevant study of all that has been done - how creationist of you.

        Making such remarks proves you're dumb, ignorant and obtuse.


      You completely missed the point. Even if *all* ice cores are wrong, ice cores are themselves just a small fraction of climatology science.

      Jaworowski said NO SUCH THING. He merely claimed that what he found INVALIDATES THE CLAIMS THAT HAVE BEEN DEMONSTRABLY MADE.

      If you yell, it will make it true, right? Sorry to burst your bubble, but even a simple google search shows that Jaworowski believes in global cooling.

      Yell some more, perhaps you'll change reality!

      1. Attacking the credibility, not the criticism. Non-sequitur.

      Yes! If the claims were scientifically valid, he'd have been able to get them into a scientific journal. What about this is so difficult for you to understand? People who work in the field clearly found his claims to be BS.

      2. As a matter of fact, Jaworowski points out the articles published in NATURE. You obviously have not read the paper.

      So do creationists. Anyone can abuse references. What matters is if they are doing the science correctly, and the method of determining if a person is doing the science correctly is if it withstands peer review by experts in the field. It did not.

      3. Global Warming gets talked about on NPR (or so I hear), which is even more damning than that total cretin Larouche picking some subject up.

      Yes. They *report* on what has been published in *scientific journals*, and thus has undergone *peer review*.

      Look, if you don't want to trust the review of dozens of people who are experts in their respective scientific fields, and would rather listen to a single crank, lets just go into some glaringly obvious holes in his paper right offhand. If that's not enough for you, I've got one heck of a lot more. His paper is a pile of garbage, and there's no surprise at all that it didn't stand up to peer review.

      --
      Man on crucifix terrorizes church, demands they eat his flesh and blood. Details at 11.
    34. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by swillden · · Score: 1

      If someone has a problem with a methodology, people will dissect it

      Isn't that precisely what the paper referenced by the other poster does?

      at some point, a consensus will emerge on whether the methodology is appropriate.

      At some point. These things don't happen quickly. That the consensus hasn't yet shifted isn't a valid argument against a differing point of view. Perhaps it will never shift, perhaps other papers will rebut the claim that ice core samples don't provide an accurate picture of historical CO2 levels, but that can't be known in advance so it isn't a valid argument. Perhaps the sound, well-reasoned rebuttals have already been published, in which case your argument is easy: simply cite the rebuttals.

      Bottom line: There may be a scientific hole in the other poster's argument, but there's no philosophical hole.

      --
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    35. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by Rei · · Score: 1

      No, the previous poster was just outright wrong. Of course, you usually are when you rely on claims by someone who can't stand up to peer review. Never, ever trust scientific data that hasn't been peer reviewed (even peer review isn't enough to catch everything but at least it catches extreme cranks like this guy).

      --
      Man on crucifix terrorizes church, demands they eat his flesh and blood. Details at 11.
    36. Re:How long till the skeptics post? by swillden · · Score: 1

      Ahh, now *that* link is a real argument. Thanks.

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      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
  2. super polar bears by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    I can see evolution breeding stronger polar bears capable of swimming to your house to eat you. i for one welcome our polar bear overlords.

    1. Re:super polar bears by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      hey! Iam from Kansas!

    2. Re:super polar bears by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      so move and get a life and join the rest of the intelligent human race, moron!

    3. Re:super polar bears by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I thought polarbears drank coke and partied with penguins...

  3. Make Polar bear death history. by davro · · Score: 1

    Water Wings for Polar bears, support your bears today.

    1. Re:Make Polar bear death history. by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      No, we need polariod of polar bears. Waterwings are a pool-side fashion faux-pas.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    2. Re:Make Polar bear death history. by Bush+Pig · · Score: 1

      Just be happy they aren't bipolar bears ...

      --
      What a long, strange trip it's been.
  4. Sounds Horrible by sanman2 · · Score: 1

    Sounds awful. I wonder how the seals feel about it? Anyway, if the Polar Bears can't find food the regular way, they may have to adapt by moving southward, which will bring them into contact with more people. Come to think of it, why didn't they just do that before?

    1. Re:Sounds Horrible by someone1234 · · Score: 1

      Since seals are food, and the bears can't find them anymore, this implies seals died earlier. As such, they don't feel too strongly about it.

      --
      Patents Drive Free Software as Hurricanes Drive Construction Industry
    2. Re:Sounds Horrible by Mecdemort · · Score: 1

      Because people kill them when they come too close. So it is in their best interests to not look for food further south. Natural selection hard at work.

    3. Re:Sounds Horrible by orthogonal · · Score: 1

      Anyway, if the Polar Bears can't find food the regular way, they may have to adapt by moving southward, which will bring them into contact with more people.

      Microsoft has stepped up, and say they'll provide support for the polar bars. And something about polar bears eating penguins.

    4. Re:Sounds Horrible by jacksonj04 · · Score: 1

      Don't be stupid, polar bears can't eat penguins. They can't get the wrappers off.

      --
      How many people can read hex if only you and dead people can read hex?
    5. Re:Sounds Horrible by drn8 · · Score: 0

      Polar bears == north pole. Penguins == south pole. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Penguins http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polar_bears

    6. Re:Sounds Horrible by aevan · · Score: 1

      He never said how far south =P

  5. Ice Age by LiquidCoooled · · Score: 1

    The same thing has been happening for ever.
    Its how bio diversity starts.

    Its just that we are seeing it first hand now that its an issue.

    --
    liqbase :: faster than paper
    1. Re:Ice Age by aussie_a · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The same thing has been happening for ever.

      Agreed. But the question is, is it our fault this time? People die all the time. But that doesn't mean I can get away with murder.

    2. Re:Ice Age by LiquidCoooled · · Score: 0

      No its not our fault, the same as it wasn't our fault when continental drift occured.

      Evolution in action, the strongest will survive (and as another poster said they will start finding weak humans to eat)

      --
      liqbase :: faster than paper
    3. Re:Ice Age by M3rk1n_Muffl3y · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You may find that this is how biodiversity ends. I doubt that there many animals capable of evolving over the space of 100 years.

      --
      This is not the sig you are looking for...
    4. Re:Ice Age by Firethorn · · Score: 0

      It all depends on how many generations you get with that 100 years. Fruit flys, for example, can evolve quite a bit during that period.

      Still, there's a difference between 'a more difficult swim' and an 'impossible swim'.

      Loss of habitat will result in more deaths, until the population reaches a stable level for the new amount of land/food etc.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    5. Re:Ice Age by Toby+The+Economist · · Score: 5, Insightful

      > The same thing has been happening for ever.
      > Its how bio diversity starts.

      Not quite.

      Ecological change is usually on the order of hundreds of thousands of years.

      Evolution is a slow process; it can cope with hundreds of thousands of years.

      It doesn't cope with drastic changes on the order of a hundred years.

      When *that* happens, species just get wiped out.

      The rate of change in their environment is greater than the rate of change in their genome and so they find themselves trying to behave in a way entirely unsuited to their new environment.

      Examples of this are swimming sixty miles in open water in storms, or trying to eat bamboo when there's none left because it doesn't grow any more, or laying eggs which only hatch when it gets hotter than 28.5C but it never gets that warm any more, etc.

    6. Re:Ice Age by droleary · · Score: 1

      You may find that this is how biodiversity ends. I doubt that there many animals capable of evolving over the space of 100 years.

      I would wager a proponent of punctuated equilibrium would say that evolutions necessarily happens in 100 years. After all, when you're talking about survival of the fittest you're comparing it to death by old age, and I can't think of any animal that is very reproductive after 100 years. Unless the environment is killing every member of a species, some will live to pass on survival traits. And other animals with those same traits will be more likely to survive as well. Diversity definitely shifts, but it isn't at all clear that it is ends, or is even reduced.

    7. Re:Ice Age by smoker2 · · Score: 1
      I doubt that there many animals capable of evolving over the space of 100 years.
      Evolution is IIRC, the process of adapting to ones environment. It is the description of adapting behaviour patterns that in the final analysis may be shown to have influenced physical mutations that benefited the adopted behaviour.

      The bears that can swim further will survive and reproduce, as will the ones who choose a different lifestyle (ie scavenging in places where they don't have to swim too far). If you are suggesting that without the bears growing flippers in the next 100 years, they are all doomed, then you're a nut.

    8. Re:Ice Age by Bazzalisk · · Score: 5, Funny

      Don't worry they'll have several million years to adapt to the new conditions once the environment has become uninhabbitable to humans ...

      --
      James P. Barrett
    9. Re:Ice Age by M3rk1n_Muffl3y · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Let me explain my point just a bit more clearly for you. Animals do adapt but that takes time. If their environment changes faster than they can adapt and a large part of population is lost, then that may result in their survival becoming unsustainable. This could be due to inbreeding which will result in a weaker species. Please read up more on extinction if you are going to be arguing points like this in future. BTW, I do not remember saying anything about bears growing flippers.

      --
      This is not the sig you are looking for...
    10. Re:Ice Age by Hope+Thelps · · Score: 1

      Agreed. But the question is, is it our fault this time?

      No it isn't. The important questions are whether something is happening that we would rather not have happen (whether that's the polar bear issue itself or other aspects of global warming) and whether we can do anything about it.

      --
      To summarise the summary of the summary: people are a problem. ~ h2g2
    11. Re:Ice Age by softends · · Score: 1

      No, this is biodiversity happening before our eyes. It's natural selection, survival of the fittest. The fittest bears can swim the distance.

    12. Re:Ice Age by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're right. It's all nature's fault. If it'd stop allowing heat to get trapped as we add carbon dioxide and other gases to it, then we wouldn't have that problem.

      It's also the Earth's fault for not allowing greater blackbody radiation. Stupid Stefan-Boltzmann law.

    13. Re:Ice Age by fourtyfive · · Score: 1

      You failed to cite some credentials that give your information credence, or even sources.

    14. Re:Ice Age by CDLI · · Score: 1

      So really we should be bringing about harsher conditions so that we help this process along? I'm getting the impression that you think that this sort of selection is a good thing, which suggests to me that we should be promoting it when possible.

    15. Re:Ice Age by alicenextdoor · · Score: 2, Informative
      I would wager a proponent of punctuated equilibrium would say that evolutions necessarily happens in 100 years.

      Even to proponents of punctuated equilibrium, "geologically instantaneous" is not 100 years. Gould and Eldredge, who came up with the concept, say "for small populations speciating away from a central mass in tens or hundreds of thousands of years, will translate in almost every geological circumstance as a punctuation on a bedding plane, not gradual change" Original paper here In world beset by global warming, the bears are not going to have time to evolve floaties.

      --
      of course, biting monkeys is not to everyone's taste - Konrad Lorenz
    16. Re:Ice Age by dsci · · Score: 1

      Ecological change is usually on the order of hundreds of thousands of years.

      Bull puckey. I suggest you read Spencer Weart's excellent article in Physics Today. Seems there is a whole heap of data to support the notion that a lot of ecological change occurs on very short time scales (oceanic currents, de/re-forestation due to climate alterations, etc).

      In this article, pay particular attention to the part where he outlines the history of climatologists around 1900 or so. Specifically, they bought the belief that all geological/climatological change was slow, and ignored much compelling evidence to the contrary.

      Unfortunately, that band of scientists has shaped the training of many in our age.

      --
      Computational Chemistry products and services.
    17. Re:Ice Age by slumberer · · Score: 1

      The thing is that humans aren't the only things to have such a drastic effect on the environment. You can actually argue that the way that we are accelerating global warming is perfectly natural, at least as natural as a metorite crashing into the planet and wiping out most species.

      And yes, drastic change like that has happened in the past (think about what happened to dinosaurs) and look at the diverse range of life that exists today.

      The thing is that it would be millions and millions of years at least for such a diverse range to come about again. That is what we should worry about. The world will continue on as it always has even if we screw it up for ourselves. Unfortunately we probably won't.

    18. Re:Ice Age by toddestan · · Score: 1

      What if the distance becomes so large so quickly that even the fittest bears won't make it? What if only 1% of the bears make it? Will there be enough diversity in bears left to prevent problems with inbreeding and stuff like that? Just because species can evolve doesn't mean they can't go extinct.

    19. Re:Ice Age by Toby+The+Economist · · Score: 1

      > > Ecological change is usually on the order of hundreds of thousands of years.

      > Bull puckey. I suggest you read Spencer Weart's excellent article in Physics
      > Today. Seems there is a whole heap of data to support the notion that a lot of
      > ecological change occurs on very short time scales (oceanic currents,
      > de/re-forestation due to climate alterations, etc).

      I'm aware of punctured equilibrium/isolated population theories and I agree with them.

      Unfortunately, I think you've been sidetracked by this issue; it's irrelevent the main issue.

      The problem of rapid environmental change is that the more rapid it is, the greater the proportion of species are wiped out. For sure a proportion will survive and adapt, but the more rapid the change, the smaller that proportion is.

      I have no wish to see the continuation of the current mass extinction event, because I like biodiversity.

    20. Re:Ice Age by Carpe+PM · · Score: 1
      Countless species/genera/etc. have died out in the last few billion years for any number of reasons. 30 entire genera were wiped out by Native Americans (according to a college prof I had). Stuff happens.

      Goodbye, polar bears. I will miss you. Say hello to the dodos. We'll be along eventually.

    21. Re:Ice Age by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

      Within 100 years, probably a lot less, you'll be able to "code up" a bear on your computer and send it to the bio "printer's" to get your life form issued to you.

      Not long after that, the singularity will occur, so it'll all be moot anyway.

      --
      (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
    22. Re:Ice Age by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

      More likely they'll evolve to be more cowardly to go in the water. Same result.

      --
      (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
    23. Re:Ice Age by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

      We're on the brink of restoring mammoths, for god's sake.

      Take a few samples, deep freeze them, and let's get on with life. Idiots!

      --
      (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
    24. Re:Ice Age by cobras2 · · Score: 1

      >Ecological change is usually on the order of hundreds of thousands of years.

      Dr Rex: "But, you see, kids, we dinosaurs don't have anything to worry about since ecological change takes plenty of time.. we'll have a chance to adapt. I mean, fast ecological change is totally unrealistic.. you'd require a comet hitting the earth or something."

      Little velociraptor in the back of the class: "Umm, sir, what's that large flaming ball descending from the sky at this very moment?"

      Personally I doubt all change is slow and gradual.
      Whether or not the change is our fault, well.. that's certainly important. I believe God gave us the world and said "take care of it" and so if we're wrecking it then we're failing in what we were told to do. But the only question is whether or not it's because of man that global warming is happening... and from various things I've read, I personally think it's being way overly pessimistic to think man's responsible for all the global warming.

      p.s. I disbelieve in evolution, just so you know.
      p.p.s. And for further information that some people may not already have, disbelieving in evolution is not the same as disbelieving in science.

      --
      Early bird may get the worm.. but the second mouse gets the cheese.
    25. Re:Ice Age by shawb · · Score: 1

      One of the most catastrophic events was the arisal of photosynthesis. Oxygen was fatal to the vast majority of early organisms, therefore many of them died once the atmosphere became oxygen rich. The arisal of oxygen DID however allow for life to become more complex: production of collagen requires oxygen. Collagen is literally the protein that holds cells together; without it (or another suitable replacement, which we haven't found yet) multicellular life could not exist.

      The increase in oxygen rates also allowed for high metabolism activities such as active movement and increasing complexity of the nervous system.

      This is not to say that a human mediated extinction will cause such a new spark of life. But chances are if we drastically change the environment, we won't be around to see the long term results anyways.

      --
      I'll never make that mistake again, reading the experts' opinions. - Feynman
    26. Re:Ice Age by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      To help the process along, we should catch the "winners" (best swimmers) and breed them in vitro (because we cannot make them breed naturally in zoo's). Repeat as necessary.

    27. Re:Ice Age by Bush+Pig · · Score: 1

      The new stable population level is likely to be 0.

      --
      What a long, strange trip it's been.
    28. Re:Ice Age by berbo · · Score: 1
      The fittest bears can swim the distance.

      But if only a small fraction of the population is 'fit' for this radically different environment, there will not be enough bears to maintain the population.

    29. Re:Ice Age by MarkGriz · · Score: 1

      >Ecological change is usually on the order of hundreds of thousands of years.

      Dr Rex: "But, you see, kids, we dinosaurs don't have anything to worry about since ecological change takes plenty of time.. we'll have a chance to adapt. I mean, fast ecological change is totally unrealistic.. you'd require a comet hitting the earth or something."

      Little velociraptor in the back of the class: "Umm, sir, what's that large flaming ball descending from the sky at this very moment?"

      If only dinosaurs were built like the Toyota Tacoma

      --
      Beauty is in the eye of the beerholder.
    30. Re:Ice Age by EnderWigginsXenocide · · Score: 1

      When *that* happens, species just get wiped out.

      Uhm, this IS part of evolution.

      ADAPT OR DIE.

      If a species is overly specilized to a flourish in a certain envorment, and that enviroment changes the specalist species becomes extint.

      Think DINOSAUR.

      Once the enviroment that they specialized for was disrupted the generalists(mamals) became the dominant force in the animal kingdom.

      The fact that those best fit for survival to the age of sexual maturity are the ones that survive is one of the cornerstones of evoution.

      Did the over-night change in the enviroment of the earth following the great meteor impacts mean the end of life on earth? Hell no. Life (by adapting) can slog right on through fast-onset changes, be they a global warming (been there, done that), global cooling (ice ages, been there done that) or terrible ecological disasters (huge meteors, wicked volcanic activity, etc...again..life has been there, done that, and gone on rocking the world.)

      --
      Blessed are the pessimists, for they have made backups. -- 0 1 My two bits
  6. ...and here come the sceptics by Da+Fokka · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Everytime there is an article about global warming there will be an army of sceptics who say that global warming has not been scientifically proven and that trying to do anything about it is a wast of money and bad for the economy.

    This bothers me a great deal. Although it may not be possiple to _prove_ without a hair of a doubt that global warming is occurring, there are way too many signs saying our climate is changing drastically.

    We know this and we know that CO2 and other greenhouse gases have a strong influence on our climate. Looks like reason enough to strive for a change to me. Because of the upcoming shortage of fossil duels, reducing fuel depency also makes sense ecologically. And no, without significant increases in nuclear power usage, the hydrogen economy is not it.

    1. Re:...and here come the sceptics by aussie_a · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Although it may not be possiple to _prove_ without a hair of a doubt that global warming is occurring, there are way too many signs saying our climate is changing drastically.

      Common tactics in arguments is to misrepresent the "opponents" and turn the issue into something other then it is. Are the non-wack job conservatives (yes, they do exist. Another common tactic is to paint your opponents as inherently worse then yourself) even arguing about whether or not global warming is happening? I thought they had conceeded that point, but are now unsure if it is caused by humans.

      And that's a fair point. The weather is cyclical and isn't static. So it is possible that it isn't caused by humans. Having said that, I don't know whether or not there is damning proof it's being caused by humans. That's because I keep seeing liberals just arguing about whether or not it is happening.

    2. Re:...and here come the sceptics by EtherealStrife · · Score: 1, Insightful
      Actually, it's part of a natural cycle of glacial / interglacial periods. Pollution is just uh...speeding things up. :) Even if pollution is stopped overnight, the climate will continue to change. Hot, cold, hot, cold, it's recorded in geological records.

      It should be noted that I'm 100% against the monster trucks that are passing for SUVs these days (and most other vehicles that get less than 30mpg); if you need a truck for hauling a boat or the trailer you live in there's no reason you can't use bio-diesel!

    3. Re:...and here come the sceptics by metlin · · Score: 0

      And yet, rather than take an objective viewpoint and concede to the fact that it might be possible that they might be have a point or two, you are quick to establish that your claim is appropriate and theirs isn't.

      Do I believe the earth is warming up? Yes. Do I believe that the humans are entirely responsible for it? No.

      Look at your own statement:

      We know this and we know that CO2 and other greenhouse gases have a strong influence on our climate.

      We know that they have an influence, and we know that we are at the end of an ice age. We do not have sufficient data to prove conclusively that this is purely a function of greenhouse gases.

      But anyway, the point is not which one of us is right - the point is losing the objectivity of science. If you are willing to risk that for whatever reason, you are not a scientist. Go become an activist or participate in propaganda.

    4. Re:...and here come the sceptics by e.colli · · Score: 2, Insightful

      And, with all this doubts in mind, what you think we must do? Either just sit down and wait to see what will occour in the next 100 years or work to reduce environmental pollution?

    5. Re:...and here come the sceptics by metlin · · Score: 1

      That is not the goal of science. That becomes a social/political/moral/ethical decision.

      The goal of science is to provide answers, not to make decisions for people.

    6. Re:...and here come the sceptics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Truth: Earth is warming fast.
      Truth: Ozone deteriorating, alot of good theories show that this might just be our fault, giving a proved mechanism to how this might be going on, just not sure about the scale of it.
      Yet we select "this has yet to be proven"? WTF?

      What happened to a "theory can be concrete as hell, yet be shot down by one shred of evidence to the contrary?"

      We take relativety as a given, yet someone in the future may prove something else. This is how science works.

      Anyway, my point: Take an aquarium full of fish. If you stick a pump in there to stir up the sand with the water, the fish will die. Will the aquarium return to it's original state? Sure. Is this normal? Sand always gets somehow mixed in water. Fish won't die, they will probably just adapt...

    7. Re:...and here come the sceptics by saikatguha266 · · Score: 1

      In my mind, its is less an issue of "proving" global warming, but rather asking -- Does it matter?

      Yes, the average temperature seems to have gone up a couple of digrees over the last fifty years. It did the same at the end of the last ice age. Temperatures went down before the last ice age, they can go down again. If there any evidence to show that global warming is irreversible?

      Sure, the effects may be catastrophic; cities may get washed away, millions in coastal areas may die. There have been catastrophic events in the past; dinosaurs got wiped out. Is there any evindence to show that global warming will wipe all life as we know it?

      Basically, yes, there has been evidence that shows temperatures have risen -- but is there evidence to show it won't come back down?

    8. Re:...and here come the sceptics by HD+Webdev · · Score: 1

      And, with all this doubts in mind, what you think we must do? Either just sit down and wait to see what will occour in the next 100 years or work to reduce environmental pollution?

      Dance you rascally Strawman, Dance!

      --
      This is not a dream, not a dream...we are transmitting from the year 1-9-9-9.
    9. Re:...and here come the sceptics by JollyFinn · · Score: 1

      There is enough evidence for the fact that not entire warming up is caused by humans.
      There is ample of evidence showing that there was warming that was 10% as fast as current rate before industrial revolution. However there is ample of evidence showing that humans are the MAIN contributing factor right now. So yes. Its correct to say that the earth is warming up naturally and humans are not the entire cause for warm up. Yes its correct to say that with out industrial revolution the earth would warm up anyway. Only thing that if there is omission of fact that the natural rate is so small that it doesn't matter too much for survival of many species, and we would of had 1000 yeard or more time to adapt to new warmer environment. Instead of much faster change we are having now.

      There is plenty of lobbying using that fact against any actions to reserve.
      They look what ever reasons there are for the 10% warm up, and state them as some of the reasons for warming up. And show up many natural ways of warming up our planet.

      The worst lie is lie that has some truth in it because its easier to "proof" that its true by proofing whats true in the statement.

      --
      Emacs is good operating system, but it has one flaw: Its text editor could be better.
    10. Re:...and here come the sceptics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not sure people are saying that global warming isn't happening. The common argument I hear is that it's not in any signficant way due to human interaction with the environment, and that the warming is part of the natural lifecycle of the planet.

    11. Re:...and here come the sceptics by Channing · · Score: 1

      > Although it may not be possiple to _prove_ without a hair of a doubt that global warming is occurring, there are way too many signs saying our climate is changing drastically.

      I agree. Even if we eventually proved conclusively that global warming is a natural phenomena we had nothing to do with, there are still many reasons we should endevour to reduce carbon emissions etc.

      This is one circumstance in which we can't afford to say "no one's proven its our fault so until they do we going to carry on regardless".

    12. Re:...and here come the sceptics by ozmanjusri · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The goal of science is to provide answers, not to make decisions for people.

      Science doesn't have a goal. It's a method, not an entity.

      The people practicing science have goals, and their goals often include helping to solve social, political and ethical problems.

      --
      "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
    13. Re:...and here come the sceptics by x_codingmonkey_x · · Score: 0
      I think that you misunderstood most of the skeptics. I don't think anyone is doubting that the globe _is_ getting warmer. You can't really argue with hard facts. However, that being said, the majority of skeptics take the stance that the world goes through cycles of increasing global temperature and decreasing global temperature. Therefore, the belief is that with a mere 150 or so years of data, it is _impossible_ to lay the blame our feet (although we might be contributing a little bit).

      While I know that we have core samples from certain times in the past, it has already been show that the temperature and CO2 levels have been much higher in the past. Just a quick link, you can scroll down to the middle and see the quote: "It was significantly warmer so people could move north without adaptation." This was about Britain and 700,000 years ago. It says that Elephants and other tropical animals lived there. AFAIK, there were no SUVs 700,000 years ago.

    14. Re:...and here come the sceptics by metlin · · Score: 1

      I stand corrected. However, finding answers and understanding the world around us is usually the fundamental purpose of the methods that science employs, which was my point.

    15. Re:...and here come the sceptics by nathanh · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Actually, it's part of a natural cycle of glacial / interglacial periods [noaa.gov]. Pollution is just uh...speeding things up. :) Even if pollution is stopped overnight, the climate will continue to change. Hot, cold, hot, cold, it's recorded in geological records.

      Right, but the natural cycle is approximately 100,000 years (as says the NOAA link). It seems that with pollution we've managed to compress that down to just a few 100 years. Over 100,000 years there is time for flora and fauna to adapt to the changing conditions - through evolution, or migration, or whatever. In the space of a few 100 years there's no opportunity for adaption; the flora and fauna simply die.

      Consider an analogy. A human life is on average 70 years and if you stab them to death that's just uh... speeding things up. But stabbing someone to death is considered criminal. Speeding up the natural glacial cycle by several orders of magnitude causes more death than a single stabbing yet for some reason it's not considered criminal. Why isn't mass extinction a criminal act?

      And it's even worse than that. The real danger is that rainfall distribution will change. Unfortunately rainfall in the Sahara won't suddenly make the desert a fertile ground for crops. The desert simply lacks the nutrients and the surrounding ecosystem of insects and animals to sustain a high volume of life. However a reduction of rainfall in farming regions will lead to failed crops and widespread starvation. You can't just move the farm to where the rainfall occurs; the non-fertile ground can't support the crops, and the fertile ground lacks the necessary rainfall. Over 100,000 years there is time for the non-fertile ground to become fertile. But over a few 100 years? There simply isn't enough time to adapt.

      So don't you dare say that this is all fine because it's natural. About 100,000 years is natural. A few 100 years is frightening.

    16. Re:...and here come the sceptics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Again with the extremist reaction in the wrong direction... We're not saying "Don't Give A Hoot, Polute!!!". We don't like breathing in Smog any more than you do.

      You wanna clean up the planet, I'm with you. You want to increase recycling, sounds great. You wanna replace my 2003 Dodge Durango SLT Plus with a Hybrid? If you can match or better my fuel costs and towing power and get me that same grey color paint, fine, I'll seriously look into it. Otherwise, you can come to my house and haul my fishing boat to the lake on your own back.

      As for the Environment, there is no way for us to determine what the climate will be like in the next weekend, let along the next few decades. It's the "We're all gonna die on a desert planet" speeches that anger us because there is no basis in fact for it.

      Up until a few months ago when it was shown that we could be heading towards another "mini ice age" similar to that of the 1300-1800's, the "call to arms" of the envrio-nazi's was "It's Global Warming, we're all gonna die". Now you are starting to see them with "It's Global Cooling, we're all gonna freeze".

      huh?

      Well, which is it? Is man cooling or warming the planet up? First off, "Man" is not going anywhere, so wishing the planet back to a Jungle World is not going to happen. Next, nobody knows the global temps in detail except for the last ~50 years because we're only been keeping track of global tempeartures for the last 200 years and for most of that time, the numbers are few, infrequent, and unreliable. I'm a man of science, not conjecture and consensus.

      It's this mindset that "The temperature should always be the same and variations should never happen" that you all have stuck in your head that is wrong. Nothing about the Earth is static, why would the temperature be? We're never in the same place in space. We're always moving. The Moon is slowly moving away from us. The Sun is in flux slowly burning out, but even it goes through hot and "cold" cycles. Can you disprove the Theory that the Sun is the cause of all of this?

      No. You cannot. Nobody can.

      Hold the discussion in the bound that is should be a "Hyopthesis", just as Global Cooling and all the other arguments should be.

      Claiming things as facts when you know they are not is the main cause of the all the trouble between "our sides".

    17. Re:...and here come the sceptics by metlin · · Score: 1

      The deterioration of the Ozone layer was very well proven, and Crutzen, Molina, and Rowland won the Nobel for conclusively proving that CFCs caused the depletion of the layer.

      Now, global warming is a fact. Yes, Earth is warming up.

      However, whether that warming directly correlates completely to an increase in greenhouse gases is not yet known, nor fully established.

      Now, are you saying we should clean the planet? I'm right there with you. Cut down on our pollution? Right on, let's do it. Stop being so dependent on petroleum? Excellent idea.

      But do it because it needs to be done - do not cite Global Warming as the reason. You assume that just because someone does not believe in global warming as a theory means that they do not approve of keeping the planet clean.

      That's not true. I believe in keeping the planet clean. I do not believe in global warming (the theory, that is - I do believe the planet is getting warmer). Now, I don't need the two to be related.

      If you do, I'm happy for you. Just don't argue with me because I demand more evidence.

    18. Re:...and here come the sceptics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      The people practicing science have goals, and their goals often include helping to solve social, political and ethical problems.

      A good goal of a scientist is to gain predictive accuracy about his or her field of inquiry.

      "Scientists" that want to solve "social, political and ethical problems" have probably decided in advance how to conduct a scientific inquiry: in whatever way supports their social, political and ethical agenda.

    19. Re:...and here come the sceptics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree. I just read a comment by climate scientist who said that currently all climate scientist in the world agree that climate change is a fact. Even those in US! He said that all the sceptics currently are from other fields of science or ones without any professional education to climate science.

      Then to the topic.. It's sad to see such a thing happening. I personally don't think there is much we can do (anymore). Polar bears of course won't be able to evolve to changes because they happen way too fast. It's fact that changes like these have happened in past but never in speed even close to the current rate. And rate of changes are quite a bit faster on north. I know this, living close to the artic circle. We never have had this warm falls like we have had in recent years. The snowy time has shortened dramatically! Any Bush who claim there is no change should come to see all the changes we are seeing around here. You can almost see the change from year to year.

    20. Re:...and here come the sceptics by metlin · · Score: 1

      Actually, I must add one more thing - one of the goals of science is finding out the truth. Whether or not these cohere with that of the folks practicing it is a different issue.

    21. Re:...and here come the sceptics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, well, every scientist does this in formulating his hypothesis.

      Einstein wanted very much to find an alternative to quantum mechanics because he disliked it on philosophical grounds. Does this make him less a physicist? Does the fact that he was unsuccessful discredit his attempts as "bad science"?

      There's a difference between biasing a largely statistical study through what amounts to bribery (drug studies, I'm looking at you) and passionately trying to prove or disprove something you believe.

    22. Re:...and here come the sceptics by seac0rd · · Score: 1

      I don't post comments very often but I think I need to way in on this one. I agree that the planet is absolutely warming. Just like there are those who would deny evolution is a fact even though they can see it for their own eyes, you'll find plenty of people that say that the world isn't changing.

      I use the word changing because every thing on this planet cycles, lakes expand and recede, populations of jack rabbits go up and down. The climate is the same way and that was made very clear by this year's hurricane activity. All through the historical record you find evidence of a 25 year pattern of hurricane activity in the US. The overall climate is much the same way but on a larger scale.

      So we know that the world warms and cools. The real question here is are we causing this or is it just one of the natural cycles?

    23. Re:...and here come the sceptics by jellomizer · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What contributes this problem of skeptics to global warming are the Ultra Environmentalist, who are just as unscientific if not more then the environmental skeptics, the ones who blame every problem in the world with human intervention, every solar flare is due to global warming etc. Environmental groups need to work harder to change there image from the green peace crazies, to more moderate groups that understand that correct environmental actions require tradeoffs. And except for saying Driving Cars is BAD. They should encourage people that moving from a 6 cylinder to a 4 cylinder car, and 4 cylinder to hybrids. They need to direct culture that show that having the more powerful vehicle means you are more successful. The reason people buy gas guzzlers is normally to impress other people, and less of actual need. When you are at the car dealership the dealer will try to emasculate you for you choice of a 4 cylinder car when there is a 6 cylinder version available. And people get caught up in it. Culture has to much momentum to make it decide to stop drive all together. But if the Environmental groups work wisely then they can start making baby steps.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    24. Re:...and here come the sceptics by jav1231 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You're confused. Determining that the climate is changing and blaming humans for it are two different things. The problem is that you have climatologists on the one hand saying, "We're seeing temperatures rise in parts of the globe to this degree. This seems to be an indication of a global climate change." On the other hand you have politically motivated environmental groups saying, "global climate change is a result of CO2 emissions and humans wasting resources!" When these two groups start to blur and contain the same groups, you have people rightfully questioning their motives. It becomes harder to hear the truth when it's muddied by activitsm. The truth probably is that this is a cyclical event as has already been demonstrated by ice cores and rock strata samples. For some this simply isn't enough.
      It will interesting over the next 100 years if the Earth's magnetism switches polarity, as is expected. This too has been shown to be a cycle event yet there will be politically minded people who will blame that on humanity, another nation's greed, or their least favorite politcal party, whatever that happens to be.

    25. Re:...and here come the sceptics by bbdb · · Score: 1

      More like there's an Army of Moronic Doom troopers out there who whine about the world coming to an end anything happens, say, there's a year 1000 to turn around, or the metals are to run out and the globe is going to become desolate desert by year 2000 - see that maniac Paul Ehrlich, and now polar bears are dying. That's FUD designed to put the gullible in state of fear I say. Actual evidence is poor, it's just the Moronic Troopers never bother to check the evidence well because guess what... they don't need any hard evidence! It's not about "proving" smth. It's about having enough evidence and once you take a good look at the evidence of the maniacs it turns out to be outright falsification like 'hockey stick' fraud, or abuse, like declaring contemporary ice cores as pre-industrial ice cores to get "correct" CO2 levels. Morons don't need good evidence, all they need are their own "feelings". That's witch-hunt mentality, no more.

      --
      Python is nice quick and flexible... but it provides so much rope a monkey would hang the whole ecosystem with it. -- in
    26. Re:...and here come the sceptics by MonkeyOfRage · · Score: 0

      Speeding up the natural glacial cycle by several orders of magnitude causes more death than a single stabbing yet for some reason it's not considered criminal.

      I think a hundred thousand years of creeping, incremental change could easily cause several times more death, just not so much all at once. As for criminality, this nettlesome thing called a burden of proof needs to be met. Explanations for our planet's warming seem more credible when they can account for the concurrent warming on other planets in our solar system, where there are drastically fewer SUV's, and I have yet to see such an explanation that admits of criminality.

    27. Re:...and here come the sceptics by avasol · · Score: 0

      Look. The rest of the world, which incidentally is everything outside of the borders of the US, knows this is a fact. The rest of you are either Republican, fundamentalist scum - or you're the people enslaved by the former which means that your arguments and facts are only used as fuel.

      So unless somebody devices a plan to get rid of Bush, educate Republicans, and crush those memes spread by the media used to control you - we're toast. And if you're part of the Republican Team Darkness, then be assured that you will be held responsible in the next life. Slashdot users are very familiar with the concept of Kharma.

    28. Re:...and here come the sceptics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not a scientific argument to say, "Once we thought X, now we think Y, so it's clear can never know." Guess what, just 60 years ago plate tectonics was a controversal theory. Not much over 100 years people thought the Earth wan't even an order of magnitude close to 6 billion years old. Now we think it's billions of years old. Well, which is it? Clearly nobody can know.

      Global warming, global cooling, the temperature change is almost incidental. It's climate change that's signficant. Go read some real science publications.

    29. Re:...and here come the sceptics by bbdb · · Score: 1

      The deterioration of the Ozone layer was very well proven, and Crutzen, Molina, and Rowland won the Nobel for conclusively proving that CFCs caused the depletion of the layer.

      http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2003/08/08 05_030805_ozone.html

      Now the issue is why this is happening - the argument about whether this and CFC ban is causation or merely correlation could probably go on forever.
      However, if the phenomenon is cyclical (after all ozone is produced by UV radiation from regular O2 oxygen, so increasing/decreasing ozone levels might be just yet another complex cyclical phenomenon), we're going to find out. This might take time, though.

      Look here:

      http://www.faqs.org/faqs/ozone-depletion/intro/

      --
      Python is nice quick and flexible... but it provides so much rope a monkey would hang the whole ecosystem with it. -- in
    30. Re:...and here come the sceptics by bobbuck · · Score: 1

      OK. What are you doing to stop global warming?

    31. Re:...and here come the sceptics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      And no, without significant increases in nuclear power usage, the hydrogen economy is not it.

      You can blame the same environmentalist liberals for protesting nuclear options over the last 30 years. Now they cry 'global warming' and think we all must listen and accept their conclusions.

      No deal.

    32. Re:...and here come the sceptics by Jeremi · · Score: 1
      Why isn't mass extinction a criminal act?


      Because the legal system also takes time to adapt. I suspect that after environmental degradation claims the lives of a few million people, the environmental laws will become more stringent. (whether or not they will be able to much good at that point is debatable)

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    33. Re:...and here come the sceptics by Jeremi · · Score: 1
      Does it matter? [...] Sure, the effects may be catastrophic; cities may get washed away, millions in coastal areas may die


      Okay, it sounds like you have answered your own question.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    34. Re:...and here come the sceptics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Everytime there is an article about global warming there will be an army of posters to say everytime there is an article about global warming there will be an army of sceptics who say that global warming has not been scientifically proven and that trying to do anything about it is a wast of money and bad for the economy.

    35. Re:...and here come the sceptics by JonBuck · · Score: 1

      How do you explain the Little Ice Age, then?

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Little_Ice_Age

    36. Re:...and here come the sceptics by jav1231 · · Score: 1

      Then there are those who simply label your post as flamebait who disagree. Idiot.

    37. Re:...and here come the sceptics by Alascom · · Score: 1

      > So don't you dare say that this is all fine because it's natural. About 100,000 years is natural. A few 100 years is frightening.

      It may be frightening to you, but that doesn't mean it isn't natural. Am I a right-wing neo-con nut? Maybe. So lets check out what Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution has to say.

      "Most of the studies and debates on potential climate change have focused on the ongoing buildup of industrial greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and a gradual increase in global temperatures. But recent and rapidly advancing evidence demonstrates that Earth's climate repeatedly has shifted dramatically and in time spans as short as a decade."

    38. Re:...and here come the sceptics by Coryoth · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The weather is cyclical and isn't static. So it is possible that it isn't caused by humans. Having said that, I don't know whether or not there is damning proof it's being caused by humans.

      Well what we do know is that as CO2 emissions have increased in the last 200 years, raising the global atmospheric C02 concentration a significant amount (an order of magnitude larger than any fluctuation in C02 levels in the last 650,000 years). We also know that average global temperature has risen over roughly that same time frame.

      Of course correlation does not prove causation. What tends to weigh in heavily on the side of causation is that we know from basic physics that atmospheric C02 will trap heat, so we have good reason to believe that C02 levels may be causing observed warming. When computer climate models are used we find that the increase in C02 levels and the predicted rate of heat retention accounts for that portion of warming (about 60% of the increase) for which we have no other explanation.

      So yes, correlation does not prove causation, but then we have a lot more to claim causation than just a correlation.

      Jedidiah.

    39. Re:...and here come the sceptics by EtherealStrife · · Score: 1

      Ssssh, this is /., scientific evidence is only permitted if it supports Groupthink. :)

    40. Re:...and here come the sceptics by EtherealStrife · · Score: 1
      There is no set time period, as there have been escalations in the past. The neanderthals went through many shifts, and were probably only around for ~150k years. I guess archaeologists missed their coal plants and SUVs...

      IIRC we're about 20k years away from the next major ice age, and are infact approaching the middle of this interglacial. If you want to hate pollution, do so for the right reason. Carcinogens will be killing us all long before climate changes do, just look at the ridiculously high cancer numbers.

    41. Re:...and here come the sceptics by Phronesis · · Score: 2, Insightful
      it's part of a natural cycle of glacial / interglacial periods. Pollution is just uh...speeding things up. :)

      The current levels of CO2 are about 25% higher than they've been in any interglacial in the last 650,000 years. The levels of other important greenhouse gases, such as methane and nitrous oxide are even higher relative to previous earth history. This means that the current warming is expected to bring about temperatures significantly higher than we'd see in any of the Pleistocene interglacials.

      To some extent, small amounts of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions (enough to raise global CO2 levels by around 20 ppmv) may have a beneficial effect by offsetting the natural climate cycle, keeping us comfortably warm when the earth would otherwise be heading slowly toward another ice age over the next several millennia, but we've gone way beyond that point (the increase is around 110 ppmv from the early Holocene, 10,000 years ago).

      Fussing about SUVs is completely beside the point. Transportation accounts for only about 30% of US CO2 emissions. Much more (around 38%) comes from burning coal to produce electicity. Switching all 18 mpg SUVs to 36 mpg hybrids would have a much smaller effect on global warming than switching all coal-fired electric power plants to gas-turbines. Better still, let's have a crash program to put nukes in service.

      But at the end of the day, if we're serious about limiting global warming, we need to cut the world's use of energy by about a factor of ten over the next few decades. There won't be anywhere near enough clean or renewable energy sources to replace our dirty ones over that time scale, so the only options are to shut off 90% of our electricity, stop driving cars altogether, and stop artificially heating and cooling our homes or else learn to live with the disruptions global warming will throw our way.

    42. Re:...and here come the sceptics by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      So yes, correlation does not prove causation, but then we have a lot more to claim causation than just a correlation.

      It's worth pointing out that in fact it is only when you have a non-statistical scientific reason for there to be causation that one can begin to say that correlation is more than correlation.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    43. Re:...and here come the sceptics by nuonguy · · Score: 1

      What I find funny is that the people that say that global warming has not been scientifically proven strongly believe in a mythical creature they call 'god' and that they expect you to prove that god doesn't exist. Sweet irony, that.

    44. Re:...and here come the sceptics by Lord+Ender · · Score: 1

      Everything you said is universally accepted except "with pollution we've managed to compress that down to just a few 100 years."

      But even given that, I think the idea that genetic engineering is becoming useful at the same time that climactic changes are outpacing evolution is exciting. Perhaps this woudl provide us with the motivation to architect a better-designed ecosphere--one that is more efficient and less fragile. One free of mosquitoes and other parasites. I'm looking at genetically engineered fish in my fish tank right now. Perhaps we don't need to wait for evolution, and we can instead take fate into our own hands.

      --
      A slashdotter who didn't build his own computer is like a Jedi who didn't build his own lightsaber.
    45. Re:...and here come the sceptics by Have+Blue · · Score: 1

      A major volcanic eruption would cause far more climate disruption than human activity ever has. Is it natural for this to cause extinctions? Should we try to prevent it, or let nature take its course? If the planet gets hit by a large asteroid it could very well be completely sterilized, and for all we know that's the end of all life anywhere in the universe. Should we try to prevent this, or let nature take its course?

      It's arrogant to think that humans are harming or short-circuiting nature. We ARE nature; we just change the world with our tools and creations instead of our bodies like all other animals do.

    46. Re:...and here come the sceptics by nathanh · · Score: 2, Informative
      Explanations for our planet's warming seem more credible when they can account for the concurrent warming on other planets in our solar system, where there are drastically fewer SUV's

      You have fallen for Anti-Global Warming Myth #81.

      Can the observed changes be explained by natural variability, including changes in solar output?

      Since our entire climate system is fundamentally driven by energy from the sun, it stands to reason that if the sun's energy output were to change, then so would the climate. Since the advent of space-borne measurements in the late 1970s, solar output has indeed been shown to vary. ... There is though, a great deal of uncertainty in estimates of solar irradiance beyond what can be measured by satellites, and still the contribution of direct solar irradiance forcing is small compared to the greenhouse gas component. -- http://lwf.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/globalwarming. html

      Wake up to reality. Stop listening to Rush Limbaugh.
    47. Re:...and here come the sceptics by nathanh · · Score: 2, Informative
      A major volcanic eruption would cause far more climate disruption than human activity ever has.

      Do you just make this stuff up to justify your wasteful lifestyle?

      INFLUENCE ON THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT:

      Volcanic eruptions can enhance global warming by adding CO2 to the atmosphere. However, a far greater amount of CO2 is contributed to the atmosphere by human activities each year than by volcanic eruptions. Volcanoes contribute about 110 million tons/year, whereas other sources contribute about 10 billion tons/year. The small amount of global warming caused by eruption-generated greenhouse gases is offset by the far greater amount of global cooling caused by eruption-generated particles in the stratosphere (the haze effect). Greenhouse warming of the earth has been particularly evident since 1980. Without the cooling influence of such eruptions as El Chichon (1982) and Mt. Pinatubo (1991), described below, greenhouse warming would have been more pronounced. -- http://www.geology.sdsu.edu/how_volcanoes_work/cli mate_effects.html

      Notice how I link to an educational site, written by scientists. What possible source of information do you have for your claim that volcanic activity is a greater contributor than mankind? The Rush Limbaugh Fan Club? The SUV Enthusiast Blog? The Oil Funded Think Tank of the Month? Take your head out of the sand.

    48. Re:...and here come the sceptics by kesuki · · Score: 1

      fuel economy isn't enough what we need are carbon neutral power sources. some people are trying to do that by making companies that provide carbon neutral fuel but we've got a long way to go, trying to 'preach' people into using more efficient equipment is not nearly as effective as trying to promote and support the development of companies that actually give people a REAL solution that replaces the carbon dioxide increasing fuels we use now.

    49. Re:...and here come the sceptics by toomanyhandles · · Score: 1


      We should just be telling the anti-warming people to take it on "faith" I guess.

      I saw it written on a cold french fry, myself.

      The problem of how to convince people of a problem which requires a little education and critical thinking to comprehend, when the unsubtle trend in the USA (at least) is anti-intellectual, anti-critical thinking is a tough one to solve.

    50. Re:...and here come the sceptics by nathanh · · Score: 2, Informative

      It may be frightening to you, but that doesn't mean it isn't natural. Am I a right-wing neo-con nut? Maybe. So lets check out what Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution has to say.

      "Most of the studies and debates on potential climate change have focused on the ongoing buildup of industrial greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and a gradual increase in global temperatures. But recent and rapidly advancing evidence demonstrates that Earth's climate repeatedly has shifted dramatically and in time spans as short as a decade."

      The following quote is also from the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution website.

      Q. Have humans contributed to the warming?
      A. Yes, but there is debate over how much. Natural variability - such as that arising from changes in the sun's energy input to Earth, volcanic activity, and regional climate phenomena like El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) - does play a role in adjusting the global thermometer. But the observed temperature record cannot be wholly accounted for by natural causes. -- http://www.whoi.edu/institutes/occi/currenttopics/ abruptclimate_15misconceptions.html

      And further down on that same page.

      Q. Is there anything we can do about it?
      A. The major stress on the climate system now is rapidly rising greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere, and a significant portion of that is from human activity. -- http://www.whoi.edu/institutes/occi/currenttopics/ abruptclimate_15misconceptions.html

      Hrm, but wait, your quote makes it seem like abrupt global changes in a few decades are natural. You even explicitly quote the WHOI in apparent support for your statement that the rapid climate change over the past 100 years "doesn't mean it isn't natural". Yet the two quotes I just gave say quite clearly that the recent changes cannot be wholly accounted for by natural causes. How can this be? How can there be two clearly contradictory claims from the same organisation? Could it be... no, certainly it's not possible that you cherry picked a quote to support your self-claimed right-wing neo-con agenda, without realising that the WHOI actually agrees that the current spate of global warming is primarily caused by human activity and that abrupt climate change is significantly affected by global warming?

      It is important to clarify that we are not contemplating a situation of either abrupt cooling or global warming. Rather, abrupt regional cooling and gradual global warming can unfold simultaneously. Indeed, greenhouse warming is a destabilizing factor that makes abrupt climate change more probable.

      But records of past climates--from a variety of sources such as deep-sea sediments and ice-sheet cores--show that the Conveyor has slowed and shut down several times in the past. This shutdown curtailed heat delivery to the North Atlantic and caused substantial cooling throughout the region.

      New ocean-based instruments also offer the potential to reveal the ocean's essential, but poorly understood, role in the hydrological cycle--which establishes global rainfall and snowfall patterns. Global warming affects the hydrological cycle because a warmer atmosphere carries more water. This, in turn, has implications for greenhouse warming, since water vapor itself is the most abundant, and often overlooked, greenhouse gas. -- http://www.whoi.edu/institutes/occi/currenttopics/ climatechange_wef.html

      Oh dear, it seems that's exactly what happened. The WHOI is saying that global warming in combinatio

    51. Re:...and here come the sceptics by WalksOnDirt · · Score: 1

      He didn't say a major volcanic eruption would cause warming, just disruption. The last eruption that I would call major in this sense was Toba, around the time humans were starting to spread. It appears that it caused a larger change in climate than we have yet to, although probably not as long lasting; possibly because the extra carbon dioxide in the atmosphere helped to reverse the short term cooling.

      --
      a,e,i,o,u and sometimes w and y (at be if of up cwm by)
    52. Re:...and here come the sceptics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, it's too bad there's not an 'incoherent confused crap' moderation, but they have to make do best they can.

    53. Re:...and here come the sceptics by Prune · · Score: 1

      There's no evidence that the cancer rate is significantly affected by environmental pollutants for the majority of human populated areas. With increasing lifespans and improved treatments of other ailments, cancers will become more and more major killers. Don't forget that evolution by natural selection only removes genetic predispositions to diseases that occur early enough in life to prevent reaching of breeding age. There's no evolutionary mechanism to have made middle- and old-aged people more resistant to cancers. The simple process of living, and lack of perfect DNA error correction, guarantee that as lifespan increases, the probability of cancer arising tends to one.

      --
      "Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason."
    54. Re:...and here come the sceptics by EtherealStrife · · Score: 1
      Industrial and cigarette smoke have both been found to cause lung cancer, so yes it is affected.

      one such study in england

    55. Re:...and here come the sceptics by Senzei · · Score: 1
      Wow, you really burned him ... good thing all those influential people on slashdot saw you calling someone on the other side out ... I mean, now that you spent probably half an hour looking up information to tell us that the GP probably didn't read the whole website before he took a quote everything is just about settled.

      On the other hand maybe you could just supply the missing information without accusing someone of anything more than not having all the facts. Then again I guess it is easier to assume that people are evil instead of just misinformed.

      --
      Slashdot: Where anecdotes and generalizations can be freely substituted for facts, logic, or intelligence
    56. Re:...and here come the sceptics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and still the contribution of direct solar irradiance forcing is small compared to the greenhouse gas component

      Yeah, but those numbers are ignoring feedback for the solar component. The raw contribution of carbon dioxide is pretty small too if you ignore feedback. This is a poor way to make conclusions.

      Wake up to reality. Stop listening to Rush Limbaugh.

      How about you drop the rhetorical techniques, and start paying attention to the major unknown components of a significantly complex system, such as the feedback mechanisms involved with solar irradiance. If your goal is to just dismiss any questions or criticism of your treasured belief, then I'm sure you'll succeed at dismissing it. But don't pretend it's somehow more enlightened to ridicule the opposing view while ignoring the foundational faults of your own.

    57. Re:...and here come the sceptics by shawb · · Score: 1

      The goal of science is to provide answers. Science is not an object that has its own hopes or desires, but a process that humans utilize in order to find answers about how the world around them works. Using the phrase "the goal of science..." is logically equivalent to saying "The goal people use when utilizing science." This is the same thing as saying "The goal of exercising is to get in better shape" or "The goal of hammering is to get a nail into a piece of wood."

      --
      I'll never make that mistake again, reading the experts' opinions. - Feynman
    58. Re:...and here come the sceptics by Bush+Pig · · Score: 1

      As soon as you start using words like "enviro-nazi", you sacrifice your credibility.

      --
      What a long, strange trip it's been.
    59. Re:...and here come the sceptics by MonkeyOfRage · · Score: 1

      Wake up to reality. Stop listening to Rush Limbaugh.

      I don't even know if Limbaugh airs in my city. Since it doesn't bear on the discussion, only on your pejorative assumptions about my intellectual capacity, character, or whatever other snotty inference you meant to imply, I'll thank you to leave your dogma at home.

      Mars, Pluto, and Triton are warming without any greenhouse effect (they haven't enough atmosphere to try it), and who knows what's happening with Jupiter (which is nothing but atmosphere) since all we know for sure is that warming is happening on top of its cloud cover. Even Venus, whose temperature (IIRC) the greenhouse theory was formulated to explain, seems to be warmer than absorbed solar radiation and a greenhouse effect would predict. None of this is myth - it is observed change and measured fact.

      When I look for a common thread between them, it is not the greenhouse effect, nor SUV's, nor even the Kyoto protocol that I find - it's the tremendous, fiery orb pumping out inconceivable amounts of energy that they all orbit. The observation is miles from conclusive, but I'll always find a single, common explanation more plausable than numerous and varied ones when looking for the cause of several similar events. That doesn't mean I'll always be right, just that even with no further interference from reason I'd still be right more often than not.

      There is though, a great deal of uncertainty in estimates of solar irradiance beyond what can be measured by satellites, and still the contribution of direct solar irradiance forcing is small compared to the greenhouse gas component.

      And we don't even know what the greenhouse gas component is. We have no idea what impact is realized by introduction of x tons of CO2, and just an inkling of how much energy is re-radiated into space or by what mechanisms. When there's so much relevant data -- and funcitonality -- missing from even our best climate models, and so much that the flavor-of-the-month hysteria that is global warming fails to explain, "the simplest explanation is the most likely" has added heft in my mind. When the climate models predicting that we're causing our doom can't even predict the past, I'm not willing to lend them the heft to compete.

      Anthropogenic climate change is not conclusive fact, and natural variability is. Greenland was green within the last few hundred years. Glaciers in the French Alps grew so fast as to swallow villages whole. Palm trees used to grow in northern Europe. Wake up to reality.

    60. Re:...and here come the sceptics by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 1

      That's the problem. You're watching someone other than scientists.

      Here's a tip: science doesn't work on the web, in courts, at the cafe, on TV, in newspapers, or on Slashdot. If you keep seeing a bunch of liberals disagreeing about global warming, that has absolutely NO bearing on the subject.

      Pay attention to the scientists. Oh, and by the way, they're saying that the evidence that global warming is increasing, and becoming more persuasuve.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
    61. Re:...and here come the sceptics by tabrnaker · · Score: 1
      Don't forget that our solar system isn't a closed system.

      Wonder what part of the galaxy we're traveling through right now. People tend to forget that the earth is basically like a space ship hurtling through space, traveling in ever larger groups, solar system, galaxy, universe?

      If we're cold outside, walk inside and it's warm, do we automatically assume that our body is suddenly ramping up it's heat production?

    62. Re:...and here come the sceptics by jav1231 · · Score: 1

      If it's incoherent to you, might I suggest this?

    63. Re:...and here come the sceptics by jellomizer · · Score: 1

      fuel economy isn't enough
      No but it is a start. You can't get a population to switch to a new fuel overnight. They paid a lot of money for their cars and they feel good about them. As you satated your many of the green technologis are a long way to go. But except for making everyone feel guilty for driving a car and not give them a good alternative. Ask them to drive a more fuel efficant car, because it is something they can do about it. America is a widly spread country, Living near your work place isn't always an option. Public transportation doesn't always take you where you need to go. Until you can find a fuel source that is cheaper then gasoline, you are not going to make the mass switch. The best you can do is make them use less of it.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    64. Re:...and here come the sceptics by nathanh · · Score: 1
      Mars, Pluto, and Triton are warming without any greenhouse effect (they haven't enough atmosphere to try it)

      Mars.. Is... Leaving... Winter... And... Solar... Irradiance... Is... In... DECLINE.

      Greenland was green within the last few hundred years.

      Greenland is still green on the southern coast and that hasn't changed since the times of Erik the Red (985 AD). Greenland has for the most part been an icy wasteland for millenia. The name Greenland was an exercise in marketing. Erik the Red had been banished from Iceland (for murder) and wanted to attract settlers to an otherwise inhospitable land.

      Anthropogenic climate change is not conclusive fact,

      Yes, it is. The scientists who study this stuff, who know this stuff, and who are highly educated about this stuff, have pretty much unanimously concluded that the current spate of climate change is primarily due to human activity. This has been the result of decades of research and tens of millenia worth of data. Your rebuttal to this mountain of evidence is...

      The observation [ed: that would be your observation] is miles from conclusive, but I'll always find a single, common explanation more plausable than numerous and varied ones when looking for the cause of several similar events. ... When there's so much relevant data -- and funcitonality -- missing from even our best climate models, and so much that the flavor-of-the-month hysteria that is global warming fails to explain, "the simplest explanation is the most likely" has added heft in my mind.

      In other words, you believe in the intellectual equivalent of the God of the Gaps argument. You don't like the complex answer that is supported by the facts so you prefer the simple answer that the facts disagree with. Even worse, you use as support for your simpleton conjecture that the Real Science has too little "funcitonality", meaning too many holes, aka TOO MANY GAPS. You have so much more in common with a creationist than you do with a scientist.

      But what really boils my blood is this incredible assumption you've made that the scientists haven't considered the "fiery orb" called the Sun. As if somehow they've spent the past couple of decades ignorant of the contribution of the Sun and it takes some random Slashdotter to point out the fatal flaw in their reasoning. What sort of hubris must you have to be so arrogant.

      If you want to know why I showed contempt for your "intellectual capacity" it is because you're a damn idiot.

    65. Re:...and here come the sceptics by Vellmont · · Score: 1


      And that's a fair point. The weather is cyclical and isn't static. So it is possible that it isn't caused by humans. Having said that, I don't know whether or not there is damning proof it's being caused by humans. That's because I keep seeing liberals just arguing about whether or not it is happening.

      The thing is that it's not just "liberals" arguing about whether or not it's happening. You don't have to trust the liberals, or the coservatives. You just have to trust that the consensus opinion of scientists is a good one. The majority of climate scientists say that humans are influencing global temperatures. Is it "possible" that they're wrong? Of course, that's what science is about. The thing that most people seem to miss is that there's almost never absolute certainty in science and there's always a reasonable amount of doubt among some respected scientists well after there's a mountain of evidence. Some dissent is a good thing and is to be encouraged. To give you an example it wasn't until the early 20th century that atomic theory (that is all the normal stuff we see every day is made of atoms) was conclusively accepted.

      The question is, should we really wait another 100 years while everthing is conclusively "proven" beyond a shadow of a doubt? (Meanwhile more CO2 that's hard to get rid of gets released into the atmosphere).

      The underlying problem I think is that most people aren't very comfortable with uncertain facts. It's either known, or it's unknown. Any hint of unknown in an area of knowledge shoves it firmly into the unknown category. There is no grey or even off-white.

      --
      AccountKiller
    66. Re:...and here come the sceptics by MonkeyOfRage · · Score: 1

      Mars.. Is... Leaving... Winter...

      That's pretty amazing. Here all this time I thought that only half of a planet could be doing something like leaving winter, while the other half would have to be leaving summer. I bow in awe before your superior wisdom. It was the ellipses that convinced me - someone who isn't right couldn't use so many.

      I had mistakenly believed that this trend had been supported by continued observation since first reported in the December 7, 2001 issue of the journal Science. However, Mars is leaving winter, so that doesn't matter. I'm glad that your punctuation set me straight.

      And... Solar... Irradiance... Is... In... DECLINE

      Or increasing, but nevermind that. Still, Pluto continues warming despite moving away from the sun for over 10 years now, and is anticipated to continue warming for at least the next decade as it moves yet farther away. It's almost as if, even on a planet with such thin atmosphere, the climatic effects of irradiance don't - and aren't expected to - turn on a dime. Crazy. Happily for you, I guess the Earth's can. I feel so foolish now.

      The name Greenland was an exercise in marketing. Erik the Red had been banished from Iceland (for murder) and wanted to attract settlers to an otherwise inhospitable land.

      Certainly, all the Norse trading vessels that visited Greenland wouldn't bring back any news to contradict such a claim if it were false. It's not as if news travelled by sail in those days, right?

      The norse settlements subsisted mainly on sheep in the early years. We know they hunted cold-weather animals by goods they traded (like walrus tusks), and even that they had to hunt different areas by season, so Greenland clearly wasn't another African veldt. It must have been temperate enough then for a settlement to graze a sizable herd though, and yet today archaeologists have to chip their artifacts out of permafrost.

      They lived mainly on fish later, before they disappeared - this suggests to me that, for whatever reason, the sheep thing wasn't working out very well by then. If memory serves, they weren't doing so hot with the farming then either. It's speculation, but not exactly wild, that climate shift had made herding and farming unsustainable.

      Read just an article or two on archeology in Greenland. Hit up Google, and pick something from a source that looks reputable to you. There's plenty of support for climate change during the span of Norse settlement.

      The scientists who study this stuff, who know this stuff, and who are highly educated about this stuff,

      Uh-oh... an appeal to "the experts", and such an effort to establish their authority too. That never smacks of an independant conclusion.

      have pretty much unanimously concluded that the current spate of climate change is primarily due to human activity.

      Wow, such a consensus? Well, unanimous except for these 17,000 quacks and hacks, I suppose you mean. But gee, if all of the experts say that I'm wrong... hey, wait a minute! Didn't the experts also all agree that the earth was flat, the universe orbited the earth, and the sun was a fiery chariot? And that the 1970's marked the dawn of a new ice age, the barbary lion was extinct and giant squid didn't really exist. Medical science 'pretty much unanimously concluded' that there was no such thing as female orgasm until the last half of the 20th century - and a female is a lot easier to collect data on than a planet. How could it all have been wrong? I don't understand - they all agreed! Isn't reality imposed by a democratic body of scientists?

      Incidentally, being that you seem fond of mythology, this huckleberry might hol

    67. Re:...and here come the sceptics by MonkeyOfRage · · Score: 2, Funny

      If we're cold outside, walk inside and it's warm, do we automatically assume that our body is suddenly ramping up it's heat production?

      No, of course not, that's silly. But we DO know what it means when we see people carrying umbrellas every time it rains - it means we must destroy the umbrella makers before the effects of umbrellas drown us all!

    68. Re:...and here come the sceptics by hawkfish · · Score: 1
      How do you explain the Little Ice Age, then?
      I'm not sure what this question means. Assuming you mean that "this is evidence that the climate varies on human time scales," well we all knew that. For example, from the article you cited:
      "Scientists have identified two causes of the Little Ice Age from outside the ocean/atmosphere/land systems: decreased solar activity and increased volcanic activity."
      In other words, the forcings for the LIA are well known and included in current models.

      Oh, and next time, you might try linking to a description written by researchers in the field, rather than an uncredentialled, non peer-reviewed Wikipedia entry. Judging from the history of that article, it has seen quite a few edits in the last month alone, a number of which are backing out other people's changes. Looks like it may not be that trustworthy.
      --
      You will not drink with us, but you would taste our steel? - Walter Matthau, The Pirates
    69. Re:...and here come the sceptics by hawkfish · · Score: 1

      Maybe people should get more than one "fact" before they open their mouth in a public forum...

      --
      You will not drink with us, but you would taste our steel? - Walter Matthau, The Pirates
    70. Re:...and here come the sceptics by hawkfish · · Score: 1
      He didn't say a major volcanic eruption would cause warming, just disruption.
      So would an alien invasion. But I don't see that as an argument for not jumping off a cliff...
      --
      You will not drink with us, but you would taste our steel? - Walter Matthau, The Pirates
  7. Climate is Cyclical by core+plexus · · Score: 2, Informative
    I say this every time this argument/discussion comes up: the Earth's climate is cyclical, and complex.

    As a geologist, I know that the areas I work in here in southcentral Alaska were covered by an ice sheet 1,000 feet thick just 9,000 years ago, but 65 million or so years ago it was hot and humid, and there were many more active volcaloes than there are now. I suspect that there were few, if any, humans around in an industrial culture 65 million years ago.

    That ice sheet was one of many recent glaciations. Are humans contributing to "global warming'? Perhaps. Is that contribution significant compared to natural process? I am skeptical.

    Finally, in another article I read, (CONSERVATIONISTS FILE LAWSUIT) I have to ask exactly what, other than fund-raising, will this lawsuit remedy?

    Alaska Volcano Getting Stinky, May Erupt

    1. Re:Climate is Cyclical by aussie_a · · Score: 1
      Finally, in another article I read, (CONSERVATIONISTS FILE LAWSUIT) I have to ask exactly what, other than fund-raising, will this lawsuit remedy?

      From YFA:
      Listing under the U.S. Endangered Species Act will provide broad protection to polar bears, including a requirement that U.S. federal agencies ensure that any action carried out, authorized, or funded by the U.S. government will not "jeopardize the continued existence" of polar bears or adversely modify their critical habitat.... will provide important protections to this majestic animal


      Looks like it will protect them if successful, by forcing the American government (if it is to follow it's own laws) to not fund anything that will harm the climate of polar bears. Is it a bit much to ask people to read their own fucking articles?
    2. Re:Climate is Cyclical by core+plexus · · Score: 1
      "Looks like it will protect them if successful, by forcing the American government (if it is to follow it's own laws) to not fund anything that will harm the climate of polar bears."

      And how exactly would it do that? And how would it protect the polar bears in Canada and other countries?

      Sorry, I'm being rational. And I did read the article.

    3. Re:Climate is Cyclical by qewl · · Score: 1

      65 million years is a LONG time change. Studies show, without doubt, climate could not change at the current pace without human intervention. Let me point you to a study. I don't care how many rocks you get off to looking at, if you read this response to a similar argument of Rush Limbaugh's (he's an idiot), it may just tell you more about climate change than the religious school you got your degree at presumably did.

      Limbaugh falsely denied human causes of ozone depletion, global warming

      --

      (\_/)
      (O.o) This is Bunny. (> <)
    4. Re:Climate is Cyclical by M3rk1n_Muffl3y · · Score: 1

      Being a geologist you can probably see how the "ice sheet" level have been changing over the past 20 years. I doubt that they have remained constant, though feel free to prove me wrong if you know otherwise. Also, while climate is cyclical, these cycles last tens of thousands of years, not tens.

      --
      This is not the sig you are looking for...
    5. Re:Climate is Cyclical by JollyFinn · · Score: 1

      You know what we are talking now.
      You talked about MILLIONS of years ago.
      Vs years ago.
      The global climate changes naturally, in thousands of years period, not years.
      The true problem is that for most of people 50 years is a long time.
      For climate 100 years or 200 years is like a blink of an eye.
      Any change that is visible in human life time in global climate is not natural.
      And I said clobal. A change in ocean currents can happen faster.

      --
      Emacs is good operating system, but it has one flaw: Its text editor could be better.
    6. Re:Climate is Cyclical by core+plexus · · Score: 1
      Have you conducted any reserach on your source? I quote you; "65 million years is a LONG time change. Studies show, without doubt, climate could not change at the current pace without human intervention. Let me point you to a study." (Apparently you didn't comprehend my post).

      Media Matters for America is a Web-based, not-for-profit, 501(c)(3) progressive research and information center dedicated to comprehensively monitoring, analyzing, and correcting conservative misinformation in the U.S. media.

      Launched in May 2004, Media Matters for America put in place, for the first time, the means to systematically monitor a cross section of print, broadcast, cable, radio, and Internet media outlets for conservative misinformation -- news or commentary that is not accurate, reliable, or credible and that forwards the conservative agenda -- every day, in real time." Here's their staff.

      Certainly that is an objective, unbiased source of, something. I failed to find your purported study, however.

      As for your troll: ""..."religious school you got your degree at presumably did." I wasn't aware that UAF was a "religious" school. Thanks for pointing that out.

    7. Re:Climate is Cyclical by kestasjk · · Score: 1

      core plexus I'm not sure what to think about the global warming debate (not whether or not it's warming but whether or not it's happening because of humans). Being a geologist what's your response to his argument that climate change happens over very long periods of time, but now it seems to be happening very quickly? I've seen some graphs that show it happening (on a geological scale) very quickly, is this what's happening now? If so what tips the scale and causes a climate shift naturally? Could I get your e-mail? Mine is kestas.j.k@climatekuliukas.com (remove 'climate') Regards

      --
      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    8. Re:Climate is Cyclical by BushCheney08 · · Score: 1

      As a geologist...I suspect that there were few, if any, humans around in an industrial culture 65 million years ago.

      As someone with a geology degree, I suspect that you either didn't take any paleo or biology courses...

      --
      Be a real patriot: Question authority. Think for yourself. Formulate your own conclusions.
    9. Re:Climate is Cyclical by penguin-collective · · Score: 4, Insightful

      As a geologist, [...] That ice sheet was one of many recent glaciations. Are humans contributing to "global warming'? Perhaps. Is that contribution significant compared to natural process? I am skeptical.

      As a geologist, you aren't particularly qualified to make judgements about cause and effect in climate models.

      In any case, it is unnecessary to prove conclusively that human activity is causing global warming in order to justify taking steps; reducing CO2 emissions is sensible and economically beneficial public policy.

    10. Re:Climate is Cyclical by BushCheney08 · · Score: 1

      As a geologist, you aren't particularly qualified to make judgements about cause and effect in climate models.

      Just curious. What sort of background exactly do you think a paleoclimatologist should have?

      --
      Be a real patriot: Question authority. Think for yourself. Formulate your own conclusions.
    11. Re:Climate is Cyclical by hankwang · · Score: 1, Insightful
      the areas I work in here in southcentral Alaska were covered by an ice sheet 1,000 feet thick just 9,000 years ago, but 65 million or so years ago it was hot and humid,

      And where was current Alaska back then? Continental drift is a few cm per year, so it could have been several 1000 km away from where it is now.

    12. Re:Climate is Cyclical by core+plexus · · Score: 1
      From what we know, the change has happened very quickly at times in the past. For example, for millions of years, this area of Alaska was covered by a thick sheet of ice. Then 9,000 years ago, the climate warmed very rapidly, and the melting ice caused many catastrophies. Canyons were cut through solid rock, lakes were drained, and new drainage patterns were formed. Were aboriginal peoples driving SUV's and burning fossil fuels? Unlikely.

      I can't explain this. No reputable scientist can, but some would stretch the data when funding time comes around.

      Certainly some changes were very gradual, but some were very sudden. Look at the formation of the scablands in Washington state.

    13. Re:Climate is Cyclical by core+plexus · · Score: 1
      "As a geologist, you aren't particularly qualified to make judgements about cause and effect in climate models."

      Of course, because I stayed away from the courses in geomorphology. Why would any serious scientist care about the effect of climate, since it obviously has no relation to the formation of geologic deposits. Weathering, transportation, deposition, hydrography, compression, vulcanism...what does any of this have to do with geology? Everyone knows the earth is 6,000 years old, and is exactly how God created it, mainly to play tricks on people. So how could rocks of the Jurassic period be affected by the Tertiary Period, or ice that is supposedly 9,000 years old. /sarcasm off

      Here's a news flash for you: climatology is a very young science, and climatologists are arguing amongst themselves. Can you imagine why?

    14. Re:Climate is Cyclical by core+plexus · · Score: 1

      Or I was being a smartass...

    15. Re:Climate is Cyclical by moro_666 · · Score: 1, Insightful


      As a geologist, you aren't particularly qualified to make judgements about cause and effect in climate models.
      Just curious. What sort of background exactly do you think a paleoclimatologist should have?


      I wouldn't even care if your middle name would be Einstein or Nobel.

      Everyone who can clash at least 2 braincells randomly together can figure out:

      1) we're are speeding up the climate changes.
      2) polar bears are dying because if it right now
      3) we're going to die because of it sooner than we should ...

      Who gives a shiny damn ass about what degree someone got from where if we're going to extinct ?

      Maybe cutting back on some CO2 emissions and replacing the tech we use today with something more economical could give your grandchild a f*cking chance to see the f*cking sun ? Gee i thought someone would teach you people something useful at universities but it seems like planning more than 1 tiny year forward didn't fit into your schoolplan.

      I don't know about you dudes, but i want to teach my grandson how to shoot a bow and teach what animals live in the forest after 50 years from now, not be some damn Waterworld hero who drinks his own ... (you can fill the gap if you saw the movie) to get anything not saltie to drink at all.

      The whole f*cking planet is going down and you dudes fight about some damn uni degree...

      ps. people that really attended the lessons at uni, remember that we have no freaking idea what the planet can look like after 25 years from now.

      --

      I'd tell you the chances of this story being a dupe, but you wouldn't like it.
    16. Re:Climate is Cyclical by core+plexus · · Score: 1
      The geology of Alaska is made of many pieces. Only a small part of it (mostly the southern part) has been transported here. And much of that has been subjected to subduction, and so is under the surface of what we know today. So that doesn't really count.

      Alaska is still a very active area, especially along the margin of the Pacific Plate.

    17. Re:Climate is Cyclical by BushCheney08 · · Score: 1

      or you were being a smartass... : p

      --
      Be a real patriot: Question authority. Think for yourself. Formulate your own conclusions.
    18. Re:Climate is Cyclical by BushCheney08 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Damn. Overreact much? I haven't given any indication of what my beliefs are regarding global warming, yet you obviously know exactly what my stance is. You clearly think I'm some uber-religious right-wing neo-con nutjob because of my nick...I'm so proud of you moron_666!

      --
      Be a real patriot: Question authority. Think for yourself. Formulate your own conclusions.
    19. Re:Climate is Cyclical by moro_666 · · Score: 0

      for a man that obviously is limited to 1 language you seem to have a big mouth.

      there are hundred of languages in the world and you obviously think that my nickname is in any way related to the single language that you posess ?

      just to make it clear, the nick came from my nape capitals M.R. , when you write it comfortably it often seems like MoRo , and i added 666 because just 'moro' was already taken when i registered. and moro has lots of meanings in other languages than english, the fact that you can rape the 'n' into the end of it and think you're a damn comedian right now doesn't make you seem any smarter.

      i didnt spectate on your beliefs on global warming, i just thought that having a discussion about someone's stupid degree (can someone really be worth any degree if you consider 1 language world-wide spoken ?) while the damn planet is going down is kind of weird ...

      it just seems like it's kinda s.t.u.p.i.d. to argue about one's shirt colour when a nuke is exploding over your head, don't you think ?

      --

      I'd tell you the chances of this story being a dupe, but you wouldn't like it.
    20. Re:Climate is Cyclical by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In your mothers rotten crotch

    21. Re:Climate is Cyclical by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Alaska wasn't exactly this far up north back then, was it?

    22. Re:Climate is Cyclical by damsa · · Score: 1

      It would prevent people from importing delicious Polar meat into the US.

    23. Re:Climate is Cyclical by Detritus · · Score: 1

      What about the Little Ice Age?

      --
      Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
    24. Re:Climate is Cyclical by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm glad to see that "multi-lingual" is a requirement for science education. While I have no objection to language studies, I don't understand why knowing Hmong will help me study geolegy. Or why discussions of climate change, its causes and effects and what if any influence these should have on our lives are related to language. Then again, I'm just a silly English-speaker, so I probably lack the education and cultural sophistication to understand your fancy "foreign" ideas.

    25. Re:Climate is Cyclical by Halfbaked+Plan · · Score: 1

      What sort of background exactly do you think a paleoclimatologist should have?

      Well, first off, a charter membership in the Green Party. Regular participation at Earth First! rallies....

      No, scratch that. I was just continuing the grandparent's thoughts...

      --
      resigned
    26. Re:Climate is Cyclical by Halfbaked+Plan · · Score: 1

      i just thought that having a discussion about someone's stupid degree (can someone really be worth any degree if you consider 1 language world-wide spoken ?) while the damn planet is going down is kind of weird ...


      Well, jebus cripes! If 'the damn planet is going down' in your view, why the heck are you planted between chair and screen and wiggling your fingers over a keyboard? Isn't there dried food and water for you to be gathering up? Shouldn't you be microfilming US Army Survival Training Manuals and making sure you have spare bulbs for your microfiche reader in your Bunker???!!!???

      Think, Man! You've got to SAVE THE WORLD, and SAVE YOURSELF!!!

      --
      resigned
    27. Re:Climate is Cyclical by JollyFinn · · Score: 1

      Little ice age, and medieval warm period both where MAINLY european anomalies. Not global.
      I knew about both when I wrote. Thats why I said global.
      Sure, there is one temporary quick change that can happen without human intervention, volcanic ash may cool earth pretty quickly. As can asterites.
      Also I spoke about sea currents besides global. EUROPE gets its share of cold when there north atlantic circulation weakens. And the sea currents can heat the europe more when they are stronger.

      Anyway east coast of USA is going to be pretty good area to spot hurricanes with the global warming, and its nice to know that the global warming is starting to bite USA, in not too distant future.

      --
      Emacs is good operating system, but it has one flaw: Its text editor could be better.
    28. Re:Climate is Cyclical by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      i didnt spectate on your beliefs on global warming, i just thought that having a discussion about someone's stupid degree (can someone really be worth any degree if you consider 1 language world-wide spoken ?) while the damn planet is going down is kind of weird ...

      it just seems like it's kinda s.t.u.p.i.d. to argue about one's shirt colour when a nuke is exploding over your head, don't you think ?


      You realize that the discussion didn't really devolve until you interjected, right?

    29. Re:Climate is Cyclical by lionheart1327 · · Score: 1

      So let me get this straight.

      "Everyone who can clash at least 2 braincells randomly together can figure out:"

      That everything *you* think is exactly right.

      Have you ever thought of the horrible possibility that, I don't know, you might be wrong. About *anything*?

    30. Re:Climate is Cyclical by penguin-collective · · Score: 1

      Someone who makes statements about cause and effect in predictive climate models should have an extensive background in applied mathematics, statistics, and climate modeling; some knowledge of ecology, biology, chemistry, and physics is also important.

      Geologists may provide relevant historical climate data, but that's all they have to contribute. Generally, geologists seem to overestimate the relevance of historical climate data to what is happening today, ending up with some variant of the fallacious statement the GP post was implying, something to the effect of "because it's been this hot before, we have nothing to worry about".

    31. Re:Climate is Cyclical by penguin-collective · · Score: 1

      Of course, because I stayed away from the courses in geomorphology.

      If you want to make climate predictions, the courses you should have been taking are courses in dynamical systems theory, numerical simulation, fluid dynamics, statistics, and visualization. Training and research in geology and related subjects only qualifies you to provide input data for climate models (including historical data and relevant geochemical data), not to make predictions.

      Here's a news flash for you: climatology is a very young science, and climatologists are arguing amongst themselves. Can you imagine why?

      Probably because people like you insist on making statements outside their area of expertise.

    32. Re:Climate is Cyclical by BushCheney08 · · Score: 1

      Someone who makes statements about cause and effect in predictive climate models should have an extensive background in applied mathematics, statistics, and climate modeling; some knowledge of ecology, biology, chemistry, and physics is also important.

      You do realize that ALL OF THESE are covered quite extensively in any serious geology program, don't you? And that's just for a general degree. Specialized concentrations go much further. Of course, you're going to simply dismiss this post because, in your mind, geologists don't know anything.

      Also, the OP wrote: Is that contribution significant compared to natural process? I am skeptical.

      If you spoke to anyone with a good understanding of the history of the earth and it's natural processes, this is the general consensus. In the grand scheme of things, our damage is similar to what happens naturally. Should we do our best to minimize these effects in order to preserve life as it currently is on this planet, including our own? Absolutely!

      --
      Be a real patriot: Question authority. Think for yourself. Formulate your own conclusions.
    33. Re:Climate is Cyclical by dsci · · Score: 1

      Read up on the work of Wallace Broecker, C.E.P. Brooks, Andrew Ellicott Douglass, Hans Suess and Reid Bryson to name a few. Rapid climate changes are well documented in the historical record.

      --
      Computational Chemistry products and services.
    34. Re:Climate is Cyclical by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The whole Earth was a lot warmer 65 million years ago. North and South America hadn't joined up, and the dominant ocean currents were east-west instead of north-south. The entire global climate was different. Comparing the Earth of then to the Earth of today is specious at best.

      Comparing the Earth of 9500 years ago is of course a lot closer. And yeah we had an Ice Age back then. I don't think anyone know why.

      I also don't think there's any realistic way to get people to stop burning oil and coal, since they're basically free energy, so we'll just have to deal with whatever changes happen as a result.

    35. Re:Climate is Cyclical by goof21 · · Score: 1

      Training and research in geology and related subjects only qualifies you to provide input data for climate models (including historical data and relevant geochemical data), not to make predictions.

      And in the process, he wouldn't be at all aware of trends crucial to making predictions...

      What you're saying is kind of like stating a weatherman can't predict a storm surge after a hurricane because he's not an oceanographer, and therfore, unqualified. What a troll.

    36. Re:Climate is Cyclical by penguin-collective · · Score: 1

      What you're saying is kind of like stating a weatherman can't predict a storm surge after a hurricane because he's not an

      Weathermen are trained in prediction, geologists aren't.

      And in the process, he wouldn't be at all aware of trends crucial to making predictions...

      The way it works is that geologists measure past trends, and then experts on prediction and data analysis need to take over.

      What a troll.

      People like you believe whoever has impressive sounding academic credentials and happens to be preaching what you want to hear. Whether it makes sense or not is irrelevant.

    37. Re:Climate is Cyclical by goof21 · · Score: 1

      Weathermen are trained in prediction, geologists aren't.

      And in the process, he wouldn't be at all aware of trends crucial to making predictions...

      The way it works is that geologists measure past trends, and then experts on prediction and data analysis need to take over.


      And years and years of watching those trends, along with education and experience, wouldn't make them qualified at all to make an educated prediction. That's just asinine elitism at work... "It's not his intellictual turf, it's someone else's!" Don't tell me someone with a background in crunching numbers is better at predicting the behavior of the Earth than an actual student of it.

      People like you believe whoever has impressive sounding academic credentials and happens to be preaching what you want to hear. Whether it makes sense or not is irrelevant.

      Nah, I know there's plenty of folks with a graduate education serving my coffee at Starbucks... it takes more than a sheepskin to impress me. Peices of paper don't count nearly as much with me as accomplishments and experience. Yet another asinine assumption on your part... go you!

  8. No shortage of fossile fuel by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    There is no shortage of fossile fuels. The oil resources are humoungous but a lot of it is too expensive to be counted in the oil reserves (yep, there is a big difference between resources and reserves here. This is also the reason the oil companies have been able to tell that the oil reserves have stayed at "enough for 35 years" for 35 years despite no new significant oil resources have been found for a long time now), but the demand for it will only trigger the prices so that it becomes economically viable.

    The known oil resources are expected to last for 150 years with the current pace of burning. When this runs out, we still have coal for a 1000 years or so. We will have to stop using fossile fuels for other reasons. For environmental reasons.

    1. Re:No shortage of fossile fuel by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Although, 150 years is not a very long time. It's probably just 1.5 generations from now.

    2. Re:No shortage of fossile fuel by ipfwadm · · Score: 1

      The known oil resources are expected to last for 150 years with the current pace of burning.

      And how much oil will we be pumping from the ground 149 years from now, just before all the resources are exhausted? A few barrels here and there? We're not going to continue to pump at our current rate and then suddenly hit the bottom of the barrel, so to speak. The amount we are able to pump will be in decline long before the resource is exhausted.

    3. Re:No shortage of fossile fuel by mp05 · · Score: 1

      Interesting comment, what is the source for this information? All that I have seen and read indicate that many of the major wells have reached or have passed their peak in production, pointing toward problems meeting demand very soon. It also gets super-expensive to extract the last bit of oil, making it pretty much unviable as a fuel source.

      MP.

      Try our Timesheet Software

    4. Re:No shortage of fossile fuel by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm the GP.

      My sources are my memory, so the numbers are rounded. Original source is from Miller's Living the Environment, the European/World version, i.e. not the American version.

      And surely, the very last bit gets really expensive, but there's a whole lot of oil to extract before we reach that point. What's not being extracted will be extracted tomorrow at a slightly higher price, and given the huge demand for oil today, we are likely to extract most of it in time.

    5. Re:No shortage of fossile fuel by walt-sjc · · Score: 1

      Generations are not counted in lifetimes. In fact, they are closer to 20 - 25 years. It has to do with when your kids have kids, starting a new generation... But I guess bad math is now insightful... Sigh.

    6. Re:No shortage of fossile fuel by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      yea sure

  9. Darwin, anyone? by User+956 · · Score: 5, Funny

    "The Times Online is reporting on disturbing findings from the arctic. Polar bears appear to be drowning when they attempt long sea crossings as a result of receding summer ice."

    So that means the bears that do survive will be better swimmers than previous. Evolution wins again!

    --
    The theory of relativity doesn't work right in Arkansas.
    1. Re:Darwin, anyone? by cliffski3 · · Score: 1

      pretty tough for the drowning bears though eh? by this reckoning, maybe we should shoot 10,000 random people in your home town. The ones who survive will be best at dodging bullets right?

    2. Re:Darwin, anyone? by aussie_a · · Score: 1

      Or it means that polar bears will die out and another animal will fill its niche. Y'know, nature might be fine with that, but as a sentient human I have a small problem.

    3. Re:Darwin, anyone? by srussell · · Score: 4, Funny
      So that means the bears that do survive will be better swimmers than previous. Evolution wins again!
      ... and, eventually, their front legs will turn into fins, and their hind legs will fuse into one large fin, all to help them swim further. And they'll get sued by the seals for patent infringement.

      --- SER

    4. Re:Darwin, anyone? by ozmanjusri · · Score: 1

      Or it means that polar bears will die out and another animal will fill its niche.

      It is the niche which is dying. Polar bears need that niche to survive, so they will die out too.
      The world is being changed by our activities, and polar bears will be one of the early high-profile victims of those changes.

      --
      "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
    5. Re:Darwin, anyone? by dana340 · · Score: 1
      So that means the bears that do survive will be better swimmers than previous. Evolution wins again!



      You speak of Darwin as if you are T.H.Huxley. Yes, the polar bears that survive all have the common thread that they are better swimmers, but this is combined with other factors. Think about it. They are in search of food. How about if I set you out to swim just a mile with no food. Last time I swam a mile, I had plenty of food before and afterward. So they were able to survive the swim, yes, but likely because they had food more recently. And you can't go off saying that the ones that captured food before they swam are better hunters too, because food is few and far between up there, it's more a matter of luck than skill. Polar bears have evolved to go long periods of time between meals jsut for this reason.



      The process of natural selection takes time, thousands of years, to pick out desirable traits. And these desirable traits are mutations in strands of DNA that seem to give creatures an advantage over same members of their species. The mutations tend to give slight advantages over other members of the species. Also it takes millions of years to beak off a new species because of one desirable mutation. Single generation problems like this are not how evolution happens; it's restriction of the gene pool.



      If you still don't believe me, think of the people you know, think of people who don't quite seem to fit their family, almost like they were adopted, they don't always inherit the traits of their parents. Polar bears are the same way. Just because mama bear and papa bear are good swimmers, this doesn't mean baby bear will be too.

      --
      "10001110101 - periodic table with a centerpiece of mind" -Clutch
    6. Re:Darwin, anyone? by penguin-collective · · Score: 1

      So that means the bears that do survive will be better swimmers than previous. Evolution wins again!

      Or they'll die out altogether; that's what often happens to species when the environment changes rapidly.

    7. Re:Darwin, anyone? by MonkeyOfRage · · Score: 1

      by this reckoning, maybe we should shoot 10,000 random people in your home town. The ones who survive will be best at dodging bullets right?

      Or we could just stop thwarting evolution and quit protecting idiots from themselves. That sounds a lot easier, and I'm all about the easy.

    8. Re:Darwin, anyone? by Halfbaked+Plan · · Score: 1

      Y'know, nature might be fine with that, but as a sentient human I have a small problem.

      And your problem is that it's not happening Under Your Control??

      That's all I can deduce from your comment, and the key hint you gave about your being sentient.

      --
      resigned
    9. Re:Darwin, anyone? by Jeremi · · Score: 1
      Or we could just stop thwarting evolution and quit protecting idiots from themselves. That sounds a lot easier, and I'm all about the easy


      It's likely that at some point in your life, the "idiot" will be you, or someone you love. When that time comes, you will be glad that nobody listened to your glib advice.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    10. Re:Darwin, anyone? by red990033 · · Score: 2, Funny

      >... and, eventually, their front legs will turn into fins, and their hind legs will fuse into one large fin, all to help them swim further. And they'll get sued by the seals for patent infringement.

      .. and then the RIAA will sue the seals claiming they stole their name from the artist Seal.

      --
      Do what I say, cuz I said it.
      -Meatwad
    11. Re:Darwin, anyone? by MonkeyOfRage · · Score: 1

      We have to put labels on butane lighters to warn people that the contents are flammable. I'm just saying that if people who can't piece that together without written notice got out of the gene pool, we might all be better off.

    12. Re:Darwin, anyone? by darkmeridian · · Score: 1

      They'll team up and start chewing on us once they swim to our continents.

      --
      A NYC lawyer blogs. http://www.chuangblog.com/
  10. Wrong Direction by TheStonepedo · · Score: 3, Funny

    Ice melting is not the real problem here. The bears are simply swimming in the wrong direction because the change in position of the Magnetic North Pole combined with the accumulation of too many Leap Seconds has screwed up the BearSUV's latest Navigation Package. Fix the SUV software, sell more BearSUVs with good software to bears, and forget that "global warming" mumbo jumbo.

    --
    I'll be your candy shop of infinite deliciousity if you'll be my discotheque of endless rump-shaking.
  11. Nice work! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Trolling with junk science AND mocking conversationalists in one short post! Have to hand it to the apologists. At least they're getting quicker.

    Here's the clue stick. Please beat yourself with it. It's not the change that's unnatural, it's the RATE OF CHANGE THAT'S UNNATURAL.

    1. Re:Nice work! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Its not junk science. Go take a course in Geology some time. Or research the information yourself.

  12. 200 miles further north than the average by jonastullus · · Score: 4, Insightful

    1) could we please have a proper discourse about probability distributions? having the ice recede 200 miles further north than the average means nothing without a given variance. and even then they would have to name the period of observation to get any meaning out of it. obviously giving all that information won't go so well for an article, but giving just scraps of information isn't all that hot either

    2) global warming is not a threat to nature! nature has dealt with catastrophic climated changes in the past and it will deal with them in the future. the threat of global warming is to us humans and the the status quo of nature, but there's no doubt in my mind that the ecosystems will adapt to a warming planet - as they have to countless ice ages, meteor hits, etc. although i would find it a shame to see ice bears going extinct due to human interference in world climate, we _can_ not take responsibility of _nature_ on this scale; what if a warmer climate brought forth an even more beautiful creature than the ice bear? wouldn't we make _that_ extinct by preventing global warming as well?

    note, i'm not advocating to do nothing, nor am i lacking sympathy for the ice bears. but in my mind, global warming is first and formost a danger to the status quo and to _our_ survival. if the planet heats up drastically other species will replace the current ones and the cycle of life will turn on; with the difference of us being dragged down by the environmental changes...

    jethr0

    1. Re:200 miles further north than the average by rritterson · · Score: 1

      Under the logic of your number 2, anything that does not destroy the planet is acceptable. Do you really wish to assert something so extreme?

      Also, consider that, in a natural ecosystem, all waste is recycled. The planet is a zero-sum system when it comes to mass (we have a net flow of energy in from the sun). Humanity is not. We continuously put out far more waste (Trash, nuclear waste, CO2, etc) than we reuse, and it simply isn't sustainable for any extended period of time. Worse, we're doing it on a such a massive and unbalanced scale that I worry the natural processes of evolution may not be able to save us.

      We do not need to halt global warming and freeze the climate of earth into a perpetual steady state. We do, though, need to be cautious not to upset the balance that has existed for billions of years unecessarily.

      --
      -Ryan
      AUWYHSTOT (Acronyms are Useless When You Have to Spell Them Out Too)
    2. Re:200 miles further north than the average by MoralHazard · · Score: 2, Funny

      ...although i would find it a shame to see ice bears going extinct... ...an even more beautiful creature than the ice bear? ...nor am i lacking sympathy for the ice bears.

      What in the heck is an "ice bear"?

    3. Re:200 miles further north than the average by HD+Webdev · · Score: 1

      what if a warmer climate brought forth an even more beautiful creature than the ice bear? wouldn't we make _that_ extinct by preventing global warming as well?

      Screw that! What about all of the Google articles we'll miss here if things heat up too much?

      --
      This is not a dream, not a dream...we are transmitting from the year 1-9-9-9.
    4. Re:200 miles further north than the average by mkro · · Score: 1
      What in the heck is an "ice bear"?
      This is. And yes, global warming will kill it.
      --
      I shall go and tell the indestructible man that someone plans to murder him.
    5. Re:200 miles further north than the average by Halo1 · · Score: 1

      It's the literal translation into English of the Dutch (and most probably not just Dutch) word for polar bear.

      --
      Donate free food here
    6. Re:200 miles further north than the average by grozzie2 · · Score: 1
      Worse, we're doing it on a such a massive and unbalanced scale that I worry the natural processes of evolution may not be able to save us.

      But you dont 'get it' when it comes to the natural process of evolution. If we destroy the environment that supports us, and die of because of it, that IS the natural process of evolution functioning as it should....

    7. Re:200 miles further north than the average by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      3) ???
      4) PROFIT!!!

    8. Re:200 miles further north than the average by Halo1 · · Score: 1

      I think what the GP was trying to say is that being concerned about the environment does not necessarily have anything to do with tree hugging or fluffy animals. If you are not religious and do not believe in a grand scheme or inherent purpose of it all, then the Earth and everything else are simply a bunch of atoms combined with chemical reactions.

      Sure, our actions may destroy this planet as we know it much sooner than would otherwise be the case, but the universe won't cease to exist because of this. And the planet may just start more or less anew in a couple of millions of years. It's like if there once was intelligent life on Mars and that somehow eradicated itself. Sure, it's too bad we can't communicate now with those little green men, but compared to the size and possibilities of the entire universe, it's nothing of a real significance.

      If you look at it from a purely rational point, the only reason to care for the environment is to ascertain the continued existence of the human race (and the other species that currently live here, but that's the same as everything is interconnected). Because in the larger view of the entire universe, it just does not matter what we do or don't do. Even if our choices now would at one time or another affect the outcome an event with large consequences in the future, it still doesn't really matter: in the world of vacuum, atoms and chemical reactions there is no "wrong" and "right" or "what should have happened".

      Of course, most humans do have a sense of moral responsibility and fortunately do not think about their life and interactions with others in such fatalistic terms (I don't either, for that matter). But in the end I think that moral responsibility is simply something which is part of our survival capabilities. Without enough of it, Darwinism will simply make us extinct because we lack essential qualities to survive.

      So people who do not care for the environment because they don't feel any moral responsibility for it, could maybe simply see it as the only way to survive. The only downside may be that things are not (yet) going downhill fast enough for them to realise this, and by the time it does it may be too late for that. And most will probably think they can't do anything about it anyway (although that's incredibly naive and shortsighted, but then again that's fully in line with the rest of their way of thinking).

      --
      Donate free food here
    9. Re:200 miles further north than the average by jonastullus · · Score: 1

      well, it might not be the _exact_ thing i was thinking/writing, but your explanation represents sth like a radical version of my view :)

      i didn't want to get into any discussion about morals and ethics, but was indeed pointing out that if we change the earth's climate enough, we'd be one of the first species to go down. some humans might survive, but a population of billions is simply not sustainable if our crops won't grow. and switching from wheat/rice/corn to something different in a few years or even decades is a challenge that we might not be up to. and the slightest shortage of food will cause riots, wars, etc...

      therefore the idea of us as the caretaker of nature is ridiculous; us being one of the first of its inhabitants to vanish... the idea of us being such astopping. guardian is a christian one of human dominion over all of nature. if the gulf stream stopped turning, we'd have no way of getting it to move again and that should be pragmatically enough reason to prevent it from happening.

      but deciding whether an ice age or a warmer period has "good" or "bad" effects on the flora and fauna of this planet is ridiculous! and whether this climate change is caused by us or not is really quite a moot point. if the next ice age were upon us we'd also try to prevent it from happening and there'd be no discussion of "letting nature have its way". humanity is defined by its possibility of changing and transforming its environment, and trying to abstain from that is hard enough without billions of mouths to feed, but nearly impossible with them.

      who are we to decide what the climate should look like, who are we to decide which species are to survive (maybe except the ones we _directly_ killed)? we are not smart enough yet to discern between the changes made by us and how the process would have looked without our interference! let's just drop the topic of what caused it initially and get on with the question of how to prevent billions of people from dying.

      the idea of saving species seems like a very romantic notion to me; as if our understanding of beauty had any objectivity. who's talking about all the life-form's living space we are taking up with our cities or the predators that would otherwise have lived from the cattle that we now claim for us? if we kill the wolves either something else will take its place or the ecosystem will change (or unlikely vanish).

      whether we feel an obligation towards some species, and whether we are fond of the current status quo of nature, are completely different questions and should really be discussed separately from global warming. maybe the dog is a better animal than the wolve, and maybe not. but i'm not even sure whether we can decide that conclusively.

      in the end, nature is a process of adaption, and trying to fix its status quo or working against its selections seems futile.

      and i don't think we have the possibilities yet to extinguish all life on this planet - at least not by accident!

    10. Re:200 miles further north than the average by charlesesl · · Score: 0

      2) global warming is not a threat to nature! nature has dealt with catastrophic climated changes in the past and it will deal with them in the future. the threat of global warming is to us humans and the the status quo of nature, but there's no doubt in my mind that the ecosystems will adapt to a warming planet - as they have to countless ice ages, meteor hits, etc. although i would find it a shame to see ice bears going extinct due to human interference in world climate, we _can_ not take responsibility of _nature_ on this scale; what if a warmer climate brought forth an even more beautiful creature than the ice bear? wouldn't we make _that_ extinct by preventing global warming as well? Yestoday it was the dinasours. Today it is the polar bears. Tomorrow it will be the humans. Regardless of the possibilities, naturn gets the last laugh while we do not.

    11. Re:200 miles further north than the average by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      if the planet heats up drastically other species will replace the current ones

      I guess that's it, then. We have to appoint worthy successors to the planet. A species that will take better care of it. Let's not go by size, because I bet there are some Chihuahuas with some good ideas.

      On a personal note, I believe this was the year that the Polar Bears all went metric, thereby miscalculating the distance between floes.

    12. Re:200 miles further north than the average by jonastullus · · Score: 1

      i was not talking about "acceptable". i was saying that under any of our actions that won't destroy the planet, life will go on and in a few millions of years likely reach a very complex state again. and we are _not_ the ones to decide whether this newly evolving ecosystem will be better or worse than ours.

      if you ask me whether i think we can do what we please, my answer is no. but we are changing the planet's ecosystems day by day and with the current state of affairs will have to do so for a long time to come. if nature were untouchable we wouldn't be allowed to extract _any_ kind of energy because all forms (maybe solar enery to a lesser degree) have measurable impacts on the environment. nor could we try to "improve" our cattle or plant species. not even to speak of powerlines, dams, cities, waste dumps, etc.

      i don't think that our actions have enough punch to destroy _all_ life on this planet. some fungi, single-cell organisms, bacteria will survive anything we could possibly do. and AFAIK there _are_ lifeforms that can live on oil, plastic and about anything. it would just be a very different world than the one we know.

      there has been no balance for billions of years. it's been turmoil all the way, just on a very slow scale. ice ages coming and going, the dinosaurs going extinct, sea level changes, continents shifting and i'd be pretty surprised if the gulf stream had been there all the time.

      all i'm saying is that apart from moral/ethical issues, purely _pragmatically_ we have to try to keep the status quo for the sake of our own survival. BTW, what should we do if a naturally caused ice age was coming? would we really be talking about how the projected climated looked like or wouldn't we rather try to prevent it from happening? we are not smart enough to know what would've been there without our intervention, so why try to second-guess it? this obviously doesn't absolve us from morals/ethics, but it puts into perspective the idea of "correcting" our past misdoings.

    13. Re:200 miles further north than the average by JollyFinn · · Score: 1

      Sure as long as there is no unnatural barriers like human habitation and freeways blocking the species changing from one habitat to other.
      Think of it a little.
      Previosly when something happened. Like things gotten warmer. The species travelled more to the north. Or changed their eating habbits. Now humans have taken lots of landmass between natural reserves. There is barrier for nature to move to different habitat.

      --
      Emacs is good operating system, but it has one flaw: Its text editor could be better.
    14. Re:200 miles further north than the average by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Please put these two statements of your side by side:
      The planet is a zero-sum system when it comes to mass
      and this one
      We continuously put out far more waste (Trash, nuclear waste, CO2, etc) than we reuse,

      We are not putting out more waste, in many ways, we are concentrating certain types of mass in certain areas like a garbage dump, or spreading concentrations of some material around like radioactive material and CO2 (of course some radioavitivity is reconcentrated again into barrels) As for the CO2, burning fossile fuels is returning the CO2 that was once in the atmosphere back. I am not claiming that is a good thing but it was there before, this CO2 was not created recently. The Earth as a whole has the same concetrations of materials that it had forever.

      My comments are based soley on your summary and nothing else. Sounds like a dumb idea right? Well you tried to some up global warming, resource useage patterns, and evolution with nothing more then a small paragraph as well. There are millions of data points across millions of years that have to be considered before anyone can make an educated assumption about what is happening. Anyone can pick a few points and try to prove a point about global warming and environmental impact but does that conclusion really mean anything? Not to me but I'm sure the others that already share your same opinion on that same miniscule subset of data will back you up.

      - Temperature went up X degrees in Y years
      - Ice is receding
      - Polar bears are dying

      Netcraft confirms it, SUV's and nuclear waste are the cause.

      Please let me know where on the timeline above where I fit the wholly mammoth, dinosaurs, a cromag or anyone of the tens of thousands of pre historic exinct species in there.

    15. Re:200 miles further north than the average by RKenshin1 · · Score: 0

      In soviet russia, nature deals with you!

    16. Re:200 miles further north than the average by gtm256 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I agree, nature will not be threatened by global warming. It's on the natural order of things for species to be completely wiped out due to climate change and for new ones to eventually develop over time. That we're somehow speeding up the process is of no offense to nature what-so-ever.

      The arguments I hear that it's a natural phenomenon or that we're causing it are irrelevant. If the climate changes, independent of the cause we'll go extinct. For our own survival we need to be looking for ways to stabilize our environment, which is currently extremely chaotic and dangerous.

      I seriously doubt we'll become so powerful that we can protect ourselves from everything. The problem gets even worse if you consider current scientific thought, which says that our sun will eventually explode. We'll have to escape that somehow. But even if we find a way, we'll have to figure out how to escape the universe before entropy takes hold and cools it down completely.

      It's arrogent to think our technology will save us. You have to ask yourself, what's so special about us as a species that we deserve to live after all life in the Universe has died? I think I'd be kind of lonely.

      I say don't worry about global warming or our dying sun. Go play in the rain. It's fun. Just try not to think so much about the lightning off in the distance.

    17. Re:200 miles further north than the average by skipper444 · · Score: 1

      "I say don't worry about global warming or our dying sun." ...because *obviously* those two occurances are on the same scale. F..A..L..L..A..C..Y

    18. Re:200 miles further north than the average by gtm256 · · Score: 1

      They are on about the same scale relative to our tiny insignificant existance. But perhaps if you factor in our arrogence it comes out even. You missed my point fallacy boy.

      What I was saying was that maybe we should deal with the fact we're going to die out as a species. It will happen. And in light of this inevitability, how do you think we should live?

      All we have is now. Who cares that the earth will destroy us when it had it in for us all along? There's no pain in death. It's living that's a real kick in the pants. You want to worry neurotically about something, worry about that.

      Me, I don't care. I'm going to go eat doritos, watch star trek reruns in my underwear, and wait for the sun to explode.

  13. Re:Nice troll! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    The junk science you refer to is the environmentalists.

    And did you mean conservationists?

    Tell us more about your knowledge of the rate of climate change.

  14. Darwin or not this is a problem. by Irvu · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Even if you don't give a damn about the bears further changes such as these signal problems for us. Our civilizations depend upon stable food supplied, stable ocean levels, predictable tides, seasons, and weather, all of which may likely be thrown off drastically by global warming. Most of humankind lives within a few miles of sea level. As polar ice retreats oceal levels rise. As temperatures rise so do the frequency of powerful storms such as Katrina. Similarly rising temperatures herald more unpredictable seasons and thus crop losses. Changes in weathere patterns seem likely to doom some areas to overly warm weather (e.g. Africa) and some areas to much colder weather (e.g Europe).

    It is one thing to be sanguine about the loss of polar bears to natrual selection. The loss of human populations, that's another thing.

    1. Re:Darwin or not this is a problem. by MonkeyOfRage · · Score: 1

      predictable tides

      Just curious, how does warming affect the predictability of tides?

    2. Re:Darwin or not this is a problem. by JollyFinn · · Score: 1

      I for instance predict that tides are higher at higher sea level.
      Like bye bye netherlands high.

      --
      Emacs is good operating system, but it has one flaw: Its text editor could be better.
    3. Re:Darwin or not this is a problem. by Irvu · · Score: 1

      The tides are diven by both the moon and by weather, local weather conditions can increase the severity of a tide leading to flooding issues. This also becomes a problem with fishing and drinking water in that, as local temperatures change, the frequency of "red tides" will doubtless also change. Red Tides, or algal blooms are tides extra-heavy in a particular alge. This alge is toxic to humans and can infect water supplies, fish, and shellfish making a particular fishery toxic for some time.

      So no, I was not suggesting that the Moon would be usurped in its role as the major driver of tidal action. Rather I was asserting that local conditions, as with the weather will create new and potentially dangerous combinations.

    4. Re:Darwin or not this is a problem. by penguinoid · · Score: 1

      It is one thing to be sanguine about the loss of polar bears to natrual selection. The loss of human populations, that's another thing.

      Really? I, for one, favor improving our gene pool.

      --
      Don't waste your vote! Vote for whoever you want, unless you live in a swing state it won't matter anyways
    5. Re:Darwin or not this is a problem. by seether78 · · Score: 1

      What was the line from A Christmas Carol?

      "I wish to be left alone," said Scrooge. "Since you ask me what I wish, gentlemen, that is my answer. I don't make merry myself at Christmas and I can't afford to make idle people merry. I help to support the establishments I have mentioned: they cost enough: and those who are badly off must go there."

      "Many can't go there; and many would rather die."

      "If they would rather die," said Scrooge, "they had better do it, and decrease the surplus population."

      Bah Humbug!

  15. win-win by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    This is a win-win situation. Without polar bears we can go ahead and drill for oil without the risk of harming them. There might be a surplus of seals since the bears won't be around to eat them so go ahead and hunt them too.

    1. Re:win-win by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Yes! Time for some good old baby seal clubbing!

    2. Re:win-win by Himring · · Score: 4, Funny

      There might be a surplus of seals since the bears won't be around to eat them so go ahead and hunt them too.

      So this baby seal walks into a club....

      Try the veal....

      --
      "All great things are simple & expressed in a single word: freedom, justice, honor, duty, mercy, hope." --Churchill
    3. Re:win-win by fatmal · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Q: What's a fur seals favourite drink?

      A: Canadian Club on the Rocks!!

    4. Re:win-win by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are no old baby seals.

  16. wheres the photos by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    I was kind of hoping the article had some photos of the drowning polar bears?

  17. Re: Polar Bears Drowning As Globe Warms by ewe2 · · Score: 4, Funny

    Baby seals are cautiously optimistic.

    --
    insecurity asks the wrong question irritation gives the wrong answer
  18. Republicans are Naive and Blind by ruebarb · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It astonishes me the blind naiviety of these Republicans who insist they aren't convinced that Global warming is happening. Every year we get another story or two like this and they still have their hands over their ears going "LA LA LA - I CAN'T HEAR YOU." Even more naive is the notion that it can't affect us or that we can buy our way out of any issues it causes.

    The house has smoke all thru the ground floor - the ceiling is burning two stories up out of sight and all Republicans can say is "Well, we're not convinced this smoke is our house. And we're not convinced that there hasn't been smoke here before and that this is natural geology - and we're not convinced the fire will spread to the ground floor if the building is on fire.

    idiots - naive, blind, idiots

    --

    ----------
    ah honey, we're all resplendent - Bill Mallonee
    1. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind by ruebarb · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I was originally modd'd down for flamebait - I apoligize - I am not trying to start a political fight - but I am upset at the focal point of greatest resistance.

      Imagine another 20 years of weather like last year and Cat 5 hurricanes 3 or 4 times a year. The Entire Southeas would become uninhabitable - uninsurable - our Port infrastructure would have to be totally retooled to keep supplies coming into the US.

      This is heavy stuff, people - Katrina was the first example of the BAD stuff. We joke when it's winter about a 2 degree increase, but forget how the climate feels about it....

      I am just MAYBE, MAYBE starting to think Mother Earth is getting a bit pissed off and swinging back?

      RB

      --

      ----------
      ah honey, we're all resplendent - Bill Mallonee
    2. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind by thedletterman · · Score: 1

      I'm a Republican, and I can't speak for all Republicans but I can say that I don't believe global warming isn't happening. It is happening, and it's been happening for the last 50,000 years. What I don't get is how 'alarmed' liberals are about this act of nature. These were the same people who declared 20 years ago that 'global cooling' was going to destroy all life on the planet. Mass extinctions, blah blah blah. I'm not convinced that the Earth getting warmer, or polar bears drowning because ice is diminishing is cause for global panic, or even action. Can we really do anything to stop global warming.. would we really want to? I mean, they have found ancient preserved tropical forests deep in the ice sheets of Siberia, and yes.. even in the arctic circle. Is the Earth changing? Every day. Are we so powerful that we can stop it? probably not. Are we so wise as to know that we should? Definately not.

      --
      Any fool can criticise, condemn, and complain, and most fools do. - Benjamin Franklin
    3. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind by thedletterman · · Score: 1, Insightful

      It's common knowledge that cold temperatures resulted in the near extinction of life on this planet. There was a greater abundance of life millions of years ago when the earth had a more stable (and higher) average temperature. The idea that warmer temperatures will result in inevitable disaster is not only foolish, but to try to throw a monkey wrench in our economic strength (what gives us the resources to affect informed changes) is wreckless. Water Vapor accounts for 98% of the "greenhouse effect", not "pollution". What boggles my mind is how China, the world's greater polluter of the really dirty pollution that matters, stuff like Mercury and Sulphur Dioxide (think fetal brain damage and acid rain), is exempted from the Kyoto Treaty and the United States is considered the world's largest polluter because of Carbon Dioxide emmissions which are easily converted by plants to usable oxygen. Here's my key point in all of this: The moon fluxuates in temperature over 500 degrees because it has no "greenhouse gases". The Earth does not. More greenhouses gases means warm, moderate, and stable climates... none of which are necessarily a bad thing. I read somewhere that if the stable mean temperature of the earth was to increase about 6 degrees C, then we would approach a "optimal" temperature for life. I mean seriously, would it really hurt us to have warmer water, more beaches, and less snow? It's rising and falling temperatures that cause hurricanes, and greenhouse gases insulate temperatures.. so it's intellectually embarrasing to try to point to one as causal evidence for the other.

      --
      Any fool can criticise, condemn, and complain, and most fools do. - Benjamin Franklin
    4. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind by nathanh · · Score: 4, Insightful
      It astonishes me the blind naiviety of these Republicans who insist they aren't convinced that Global warming is happening. Every year we get another story or two like this and they still have their hands over their ears going "LA LA LA - I CAN'T HEAR YOU." Even more naive is the notion that it can't affect us or that we can buy our way out of any issues it causes.

      What astonishes me more are the idiots who insist on turning it into a Republicans vs Democrats debate. The world doesn't revolve around American partisan politics and we wish you'd stop reducing all discussions to this petty bickering over whose political logo is the prettiest (because, let's be honest, the parties are otherwise identical). Pretending that the only people who deny Global Warming are Republicans is ignorance to the nth degree. The reality is that some Republicans think Global Warming happens and there are some Democrats who don't. Don't bring your personal politics into this; it's divisive and destructive.

      You should be more like Australians. We hate all our political parties equally. When something goes wrong it's not the Liberal party's fault or the Labor party's fault. It's just the politicians fault. All you merkins could learn something from that.

    5. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind by maxume · · Score: 1
      Katrina was the first example of the BAD stuff.

      Was it? It didn't seem like it to me, but then, I use a sane amount of gasoline and live above the local flood plane.

      Katrina seemed like a big deal, because rich people were terrified they wouldn't be able to get fuel. The experience straightened them out and no one worried that much about Rita. Sure the talking heads were flapping away, but if you watched the markets, they hardly blinked, and those are the people that care(you would too if it meant millions of dollars).

      I realize that Katrina is huge deal to the people in New Orleans who lost everything, but I have trouble digging up much empathy, New Orleans has been hammered 3 times in the last 100 years. If your memory is that short, that's your damn problem. Lots of those neighborhoods were essentially uninsurable as it was, except for stupid federal flood insurance that worries more about getting some asshole reelected than it does about 'making sense'.

      And yeah, it pisses me off that some bastard got rich developing the low ground around NO, but you know what, he probably managed to sell all his developments, if people had thought about it for a minute, maybe they wouldn't have lost thier homes.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    6. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As a "merkin", I have to protest your disdain equally distributed between political parties down under (where?). The USA sent Democratic representatives to the Kyoto Conference, and signed on tentatively while waiting for the Republican controlled Congress to approve it.

      When Green Peace and the US Department of Defense see eye-to-eye in regard to (1) global warming actually happening, and (2) the impact of human activity on its' rate of change, any rational thoughtful USA citizen might conclude that the head of the regime currently in power here is either (1) a "bloomin' idiot", (2) a corrupt "mouthpiece" for big corporate interests, (3) looking to make a future killing on seaside resort property in Topeka, Kansas, or (4) all of the above.

      Actually, the real answer is number 4.

    7. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Is the Earth changing? Every day. Are we so powerful that we can stop it? probably not. Are we so wise as to know that we should? Definately not.

      Fuck that! Given sufficent time and energy, we could make the climate do a jig. Admittedly, the time may be measured in decades, but that's OK in this case. Are we wise enough to know if we should? Why not! If a) we know what we want the climate to be and b) we can manipulate the climate with some degree of precision then clearly we should change it. Whether or not it would have changed on its own is largely moot.
    8. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is, I suspect, the global warming hysterics who are naive and blind.

      I am 46 years old. All of my life I have been hearing dire predictions of doom from exactly the same sort of folks who are flogging global warming now. The coming Ice Age, the population explosion, the Club of Rome and depletion of basic commodities, great famines, on and on ad infinitum. Today's fad is global warming and peak oil. The Chicken Littles have a high bar to scale, given their record.

      There seems to be some sort of deep-seated need for some Westerners to believe that modern life and technology are inherently evil; this belief is more related to religion than reality. Since 1970, the world is cleaner, healthier, richer and more technologically advanced. I suspect this trend will continue, even through the next decade's fears of demographic collapse or hydrogen shartages or whatever.

      That said, reducing dependence on fossil fuels, controlling pollution, deforestation and biodiversity are all worthy goals in their own right, and I hope efforts to achieve these goals continue.

    9. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Mother Earth" is just a dumb rock wrapped in some recombining genes. Happy recombination.

      Nature doesn't care, only we do.

    10. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind by LittleLebowskiUrbanA · · Score: 1

      Yep, it's all the Republicans fault, right? Those evil Republicans. It couldn't be that the earth is in the middle of a natural warming cycle, right?

    11. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind by Cheetahfeathers · · Score: 1

      No, it is not. Not according to the scientific evidince we have. If humans were not putting huge amounts of gunk into the air, this would not be happening. There is zero controversy among scientists in this field that global warming is happening, and that human activity is contributing to it. You will not find a single scientific paper in a peer reviewed journal stating otherwise. You will find people outside of the field saying otherwise.. but they only provide spotty 'evidence' at best, ignoring what they don't like. But just as you shouldn't listen to say, a genetic scientist about how particle physics is all a lie (without extremely
      good and well researched evidence), you should be listening to scientists in this field first, not some statistician, for example.

      To blythely say that this is a 'natural cycle' is to ignore evidence, ignore the experts on the subject, and to ignore reality.

      Personally I don't care so much why it is happening so much as what are we going to do to stop it? If somehow every scientist in the field were wrong and it is a natural warming cycle, I would still want to change it. We have the ability to change the world. Let's do so for the better.

    12. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind by Scrameustache · · Score: 1

      It astonishes me the blind naiviety of these Republicans who insist they aren't convinced that Global warming is happening.

      It astonishes me that you don't realise that they are evil and lying, not naive and blind.

      They know they're fucking up the environment: They don't care, as long as their profits keep rising along with the temperature.

      --

      You can't take the sky from me...

    13. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind by Scrameustache · · Score: 1

      I was originally modd'd down for flamebait - I apoligize

      Any criticism of the Republican Party, or United State policy in general, is moderated as flamebait. They don't want it heard.

      --

      You can't take the sky from me...

    14. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind by CAIMLAS · · Score: 1

      Nobody is denying that climate change is occuring. What people are denying is that the climate change is a general warming trend (very few people), and that we (humans) are responsible for it (many people).

      Scientists in the 70s were bitching about "global cooling", then warming in the '80s and early 90s, then cooling again for a couple years... and now it's warming. What hte hell is wrong with this picture? Could it be that it's not consistent, and that if it were scientific, there would at least be a trend of agreement from year to year, instead of blatant flip-flopping and contradiction? Could it be that the "models" they use to inerpret this stuff are made out of whole cloth for funding and political purposes?

      Simply put, there is no evidence whatsoever that human influence on the environment is causing the global climate change. In fact, there's strong historical evidence to say that we aren't, as we're still coming out of a mini-iceage.

      --
      ~/ssh slashdot.org ssh: connect to host slashdot.org port 22: too many beers
    15. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I hate to break it to you, but there is no evidence that this years storms are a result of this "Global Warming" thing. The storms, just like the rest of the planet, are cyclical. We're just had it easy as of recent. Go check the records to Hurricanes and you will see for yourself. Anybody trying to tell you that it's GW's fault, it's Global warming's fault.. (heh, they both start with GW... hrmmm), then they are just a Leftie on a rant or an insurance salesman.

      Better yet, go watch the Discovery Channel and check out the "Mini Ice Age" that we are moving into.

      "So Where's Your Global Warming Now!!!"

    16. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind by mesocyclone · · Score: 1

      What amazes me is the naivette of those who imagine that we can do something about global warming, even if the primary effect is anthropogenic (which is dubious - mankind's contribution of CO2 probably has SOME effect, but it doesn't explain why the icecaps of Mars are melting).

      Go back 100 years. Horse droppings were a major problem and increasing. The world was ruled by Europe and the US. Furthermore, although horse poop fuel was renewable, it required about 25% of US farmland (itself taken away form mother nature and reformed dramatically) to produce the fuel that resulted in the horse poop.

      If at that time we all decided to create a global treaty to reduce horse poop, what would have been the result?

      Note that any of the following factors would have been enough to destroy the treaty:

      1) World War I (100 years ago, it was felt that war would no longer happen)

      2) The rise of international communism, which (as anyone who has been to a former communist country can testify) had no interest in either obeying treaties or improving the environment.

      3) The rise of Fascism, with the same result.

      4) World War II

      And, of course, the invention of the gasoline powered automobile would have rendered the treaty moot.

      In other words, we can posture all we want, and we can take feel-good actions (such as Kyoto or buying little cars), and it won't make a measurable difference.

      Kyoto, in 100 years, has no measurable effect, and its predicted effect, based on unproven climate models, only sets back the warming curve by six years. This is based on the UNCC models used by those advocating Kyoto. Hence to really make a difference (by those same UNCC models), draconian measures would be required (such as 40% energy use reductions). And yet, India and China are increasing their energy needs and their mobility at a dramatic rate, and neither is likely to agree to any draconian measures. I suppose we could just nuke them so we could meet CO2 reduction goals...

      Furthermore, we cannot predict or control the global political scene just a few years out. Who thought, a mere 5 years ago, that New York would have suffered a catastrophic attack and that the US would have conquered two middle eastern countries?

      Of course, we don't know what technological innovations will come along that might:
      -reduce CO2 emissions at a much lower cost
      -reduce the world's population to a few hundred million survivors of a bio-terror attack
      -make new kinds of warfare (and treaty breaking) possible

      So go ahead and posture. Tell us what wonderful things you are going to do to solve the problem. Tell us the restrictions you are going to place on the rest of us in the name of reducing CO2 emissions. Then explain the future, in detail.

      Of course, if one is really serious about reducing global warming, take political action to increase the fraction of power generated by nuclear power (renewable sources are interesting but numerically cannot come close to doing the job, and nuclear still faces the problem of getting the power into moving automobiles where a lot of it is needed).

      Personally, I would like to see more research money dumped into the following problems:

      1) How to remediate the effects of global warming
      2) Better research on climate change, including especially better paleoclimatology
      3) Electric car or fuel cell car technology, with the focus on low cost and good features. This last one faces the problem of energy storage - gasoline does a great job of this, but releasing the energy produces CO2. Batteries so far are not even close to a reasonable energy density, life cycle cost requirement.
      4) Energy transport and storage from nuclear sources, or other non-CO2 producting sources *if* they can produce enough power to be noticeable in the mix (they don't now and are unlikely to ever do so). Note that hydrogen is hard to transport and store (did you know that it embrittles steel?), the hydrogen f

      --

      The only good weather is bad weather.

    17. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind by mesocyclone · · Score: 1

      I would suggest you read up on the North Atlantic Oscillation (and for that matter, the Pacific Decadal Osciallation). Then I would suggest you look at the long term cycles of hurricane activity and strength (hint - the strongest hurricanes were in the 1930s). Then I would suggest that you don't get your scientific information from the New York Times or equivalent sources.

      Those of us who have been involved with Hurricane disaster relief have long known that the end of the multi-decadal quiet period was coming and that much nastier hurricane seasons were due. And sure enough, they have arrived.

      --

      The only good weather is bad weather.

    18. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind by toddhunter · · Score: 1

      Unless of course, *our* contribution to global warming is actually holding back much worse climate change and storms.
      BAD stuff is hard to define in such a complicated system.

      A good example is massive forest fires. Bad thing right? Well no not really, they actually tend to be a good thing in the long run. The trick is not to get caught in the middle at the time.

    19. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind by urbanRealist · · Score: 1
      The world doesn't revolve around American partisan politics....
      I'd like to see you tell that to the Iraqi people with a straight face. More relevantly, have you ever heard of the Kyoto Accord?

      The world does revolve around American partisan politics in the sense that the Republicans stand in the way of global cooperation. Now I'm sure that Australian political parties may do the same, but the effect is not as great as the world's only remaining superpower destroying man's last hope (at working together to resolve our differences).

      I'm not saying the Democrats are saints either, I'm saying that a journey has to begin with a step in the right direction.
      --
      I've seen a lot of things, but I've never been a witness.
    20. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind by Jim_Callahan · · Score: 0, Troll

      Well, in defense of the mods, in this case the post was actually flamebait. If you honestly think opening a post with a content-free tirade of insults is an invitation to polite discourse, please tell me where your ettiquette instructor is buried, as the perpetual rotary motion could prove quite handy as a clean source of energy.

      --
      ...it's really a sad day for America when we require a goddamn ACT OF CONGRESS to make our DVD players work properly. ~
    21. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind by Scrameustache · · Score: 1
      Well, in defense of the mods, in this case the post was actually flamebait.

      Flamebait -- Flamebait refers to comments whose sole purpose is to insult and enrage. If someone is not-so-subtly picking a fight (racial insults are a dead giveaway), it's Flamebait.


      Hmmm, I'm not convinced the sole purpose of the post was to insult and enrage, but you have a point.
      --

      You can't take the sky from me...

    22. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind by Koiu+Lpoi · · Score: 1

      You've swayed me. I'm moving to Australia. Who's with me?

    23. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind by Senzei · · Score: 1
      Imagine another 20 years of weather like last year and Cat 5 hurricanes 3 or 4 times a year. The Entire Southeas would become uninhabitable - uninsurable - our Port infrastructure would have to be totally retooled to keep supplies coming into the US.

      While we are imagining stuff, how about hyperintelligent mutant twinkies that can spontaneously combust at will? It would decimate our geek population and could possibly wipe out the internet. Our national communications infrastructure would be entirely unusable.

      Not to say that your ideas are baseless, or even wrong, but they are unsupported, and right now I would rather think about imaginary evil flaming twinkies.

      --
      Slashdot: Where anecdotes and generalizations can be freely substituted for facts, logic, or intelligence
    24. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind by goof21 · · Score: 1

      I'd like to see you tell that to the Iraqi people with a straight face. More relevantly, have you ever heard of the Kyoto Accord?

      Iraq has nothing to do with partisan politics, as both parties showed overwhelming support while on the road to war. As for Kyoto, of course he's heard of it, as Australia has also refused to sign.

      The world does revolve around American partisan politics in the sense that the Republicans stand in the way of global cooperation.

      So Clinton also refusing to push the treaty to Congress for ratification was what you'd consider opening doors for international relationships?

      ...as the world's only remaining superpower destroying man's last hope (at working together to resolve our differences).

      ...with help from China and India, who are in agreement with the treaty but exempt from its framework, leaving the largest chunk of the global population free to pollute until their hearts are content. The whole treaty is flawed, and even Clinton recognized this. Hell, under Byrd-Hagel, it was illgeal for Gore to sign it in the first place. US partisan politics have absolutely nothing to do with the debate surrounding this treaty... you'll find people on both sides of the aisle who want nothing to do with it, to include two presidents representing both parties.

      You can make Bush shoulder the blame for doing a lot of things unilaterally, but this isn't one of them.

    25. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ok, there's a lot of argument about whether there's really global warming, whether there's enough scientific evidence blah blah blah. I suppose these are valid concerns, but they miss the point. How about a bit of decision theory? Let p be the probability that global warming is actually happening. Now suppose our best and brightest come up with a plan for doing something about it and let q be the probability that the plan will work. Let A be the cost of implementing, and let B be the cost of not doing anything, drowning our polar bears, starving, etc. Now, which is bigger? B(1-p) or A+Bp(1-q)? If it's the former, i.e. if B>A/(1-pq), for pete's sake go do something already.

    26. Re:Republicans are Naive and Blind by LittleLebowskiUrbanA · · Score: 1

      You're wrong. Hope you're man enough to open your mind a bit and dump the science of the 70's and read a bit.

  19. Dumb evolution arguments by Squidbait · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I have to say this, because every time something like this comes up, there are a bunch of posts saying, "It's natural, it's evolution, new species will develop, nature will repair itself, bla bla bla". I just want to point out a fucking obvious fact that people seem to forget. Yes, nature will sort it out. Somewhere during the next several million years. You, your grandkids, and the whole human race probably won't be around to see it. Evolution works on geological time scales. Try and wrap your head around it. Save those species now, because from our point of view they will never be replaced.

    1. Re:Dumb evolution arguments by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >Somewhere during the next several million years. You, your grandkids, and the whole human race probably won't be around to see it.

      O RLY?

      In that case, who cares!?

    2. Re:Dumb evolution arguments by asuffield · · Score: 1

      Save those species now

      In a word: why?

      Aside from the rather strange desire some people feel to play god, why should we interfere? Don't we have anything better to do than create fake environments for creatures that couldn't adapt to survive in real ones?

    3. Re:Dumb evolution arguments by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because polar bears are awesome. That's really all there is to it: the world would be a noticeably worse place if polar bears went extinct. When you sum the effect over all the other cool animals that are threatened, the world becomes a significantly worse place. Most people can see this pretty clearly, and it's why we still have endanged species laws.

    4. Re:Dumb evolution arguments by damsa · · Score: 1

      Hey, Some people like me like driving an SUV and living in the Suburbs.

    5. Re:Dumb evolution arguments by Halfbaked+Plan · · Score: 1

      Me, I like living in the country (it's COOL having four or five acres of land to do your projects on!) and driving cheap beatup old trucks.

      --
      resigned
    6. Re:Dumb evolution arguments by Jeremi · · Score: 1
      Aside from the rather strange desire some people feel to play god, why should we interfere?


      We're already interfering. But I agree, we should stop. Reducing CO2 emissions would be a great first step.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    7. Re:Dumb evolution arguments by Squidbait · · Score: 1

      Ok, fine. If you really don't care, then don't save them. My point is that it is stupid to think about them being replaced, or nature "sorting it out", since these things probably won't happen while humans are still around. From our point of view, they might as well never happen.

    8. Re:Dumb evolution arguments by Jim_Callahan · · Score: 0, Troll

      Just for the record, evolutionary changes scale with rapidity of the reproduction cycle, the severity of environmental pressures, and a great number of other factors. Even speciation (the usual benchmark for an 'extreme' evolutionary change) can thus occur in a couple decades, if you're a bacterium or a fruit fly living under relatively harsh conditions. Lesser things like behavioral patterns and communication methods can change well within the human timescale.

      What I'm saying here is that the reason you think it's going to take several million years is that you've set your standard of 'sorting it out' artificially high. If I pulled the same arbitrary bullshit in the opposite direction, I could tell you that the sorting-out is pretty much instantaneous. After all, any eliminated species either was eliminated through termination of its niche (and thus had no purpose) or because it's been or is being supplanted by another (in which case the role is filled). I'd be just as right as you, too.

      Ok, do I win the 'hijacking the OP's strawman' contest yet?

      --
      ...it's really a sad day for America when we require a goddamn ACT OF CONGRESS to make our DVD players work properly. ~
    9. Re:Dumb evolution arguments by Nurf · · Score: 1

      Your post is fundamentally wrong. Evolution is capable of producing new species of macroscopic organisms in a matter of months. For example, new species of Malawi Cichlids (a kind of fish) have been observed developing over a six month period, in the wild, by scientific researchers.

      In short: Evolution does NOT work on geological timescales. It is quite capable of working WAY faster than that.

      All the factors that affect how fast changes will occur in a particular species are not understood yet, but fast changes have been observed and documented.

      --
      ---
    10. Re:Dumb evolution arguments by toddestan · · Score: 1

      Your post is fundamentally wrong. Evolution is capable of producing new species of macroscopic organisms in a matter of months. For example, new species of Malawi Cichlids (a kind of fish) have been observed developing over a six month period, in the wild, by scientific researchers.

      In short: Evolution does NOT work on geological timescales. It is quite capable of working WAY faster than that.

      All the factors that affect how fast changes will occur in a particular species are not understood yet, but fast changes have been observed and documented.


      The exception doesn't make the rule. Just because some species have been observed to evolve very fast, doesn't mean we are going to get Polar Bear version 2.0 in the next few years. Most evolutionary changes DO take place over geological time scales.

    11. Re:Dumb evolution arguments by Squidbait · · Score: 1

      When people talk about a polar bear going extinct, and then claim that evolution will create new species so we shouldn't worry (which is not a straw man by the way, I have seen people say things like this repeatedly, including in response to this article), they are proposing that whatever we lose by not having polar bears we can regain through the evolution of new species. Yes, fine, evolution can take place on shorter timescales. But when large mammals go extinct, you won't be seeing new ones developing from other species for a very long time. I'm talking about changes that non-biologists will notice.
       
      In all seriousness, if polar bears went extinct, how long would we expect to wait to see something else resembling a polar bear or anything else remotely as interesting develop? Sure, if polar bears were extinct, maybe some other bear species would evolve into something similar (though I'd imagine that would still take a long time). But if all bears were extinct, would you hold your breath for say, canines or some other mammal to evolve into something fundamentally different (ie, as different as a polar bear is from a dog)? The attitude I'm taking aim at here is "Who cares how we mess up the environment, nature will repair itself". Is it so difficult to see my point, or do you just like to nit pick?
       
      Of course, there is a question of assigning value to things. How is having polar bears more valuable than not having them? "Nature" doesn't care. Of course not. But people do. People don't appreciate species because they fill an ecological niche. A polar bear is something to be appreciated for it's beauty, as a subject for biological study, for its role in a diverse ecosystem, and as a unique and irreplaceable product of million of years of evolution.

    12. Re:Dumb evolution arguments by Nurf · · Score: 1

      *sigh* No, they just just take as long as they need to take. That means that when things are easy there isn't much change. Strong selection pressure (picky females/males, hostile environments, parasites) all make for faster change, that we know of. For example, 85% of the variation in the human genome is due to the Malaria parasite. We think Malawi Cichlids speciate so fast because their females are so picky. Etc.

      Anyway, your original post used the "it's obvious" proof technique, and, well, it's not. Saying something is obvious because you can see a plethora of examples that may not apply doesn't make something obvious.

      --
      ---
  20. Bears and seal just need.... by Charcharodon · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Here in California the seal population is exploding since they are protected, and they have gotten to the point of nuisence, well at least to rich people who own boats. The funny thing is the seals like to find a nice new boat, the kind with an easy to reach swim platform and then have a sunbathing party on said boat. They proceed to trash the boat by shitting all over it, tear up the gear with mating/territory fights, and then finally they pack onto it like a bunch of high schoolers in a compact car on a Friday night, sink it with their shear weight.

    As far as the seals and the bears up north go, it wouldn't take too much to apply the same concept, minus the million dollar boats, and build some platforms (artificial bergs) up the coast for them to use. For the distances they're swiming placing one every 10 miles or so should be plenty, and would give a boost to the fishing in the area as well.

    1. Re:Bears and seal just need.... by mr_matticus · · Score: 1

      I assume you mean sea lions, which are not, in fact, seals.

    2. Re:Bears and seal just need.... by dabigpaybackski · · Score: 1
      As far as the seals and the bears up north go, it wouldn't take too much to apply the same concept, minus the million dollar boats, and build some platforms (artificial bergs) up the coast for them to use. For the distances they're swiming placing one every 10 miles or so should be plenty, and would give a boost to the fishing in the area as well.

      That sounds like a worthwhile project, as long as they're constructed in such a way as not to endager shipping. There's going to be a lot of ship traffic up that way if the ice continues to recede.

      --
      "OH SHIT, THERE'S A HORSE IN THE HOSPITAL!"
    3. Re:Bears and seal just need.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So, who cares about fucking rich people's boats?

    4. Re:Bears and seal just need.... by RobertLTux · · Score: 1

      interesting idea hows about we make them more or less the same size and put some sort of beacons on them (light and or Radio based?) a couple solar panels and maybe some cameras and this might work.
      What would be the correct size for a Polar Bear "Party Barge"? (just remember when you do your math polar bears get very heavy (An average adult male weighs 500 to 600 kg (1100 to 1300 lbs))
      as far as Shipping is concerned if we make these things more or less stationary and have beacons on them its Same Sea Different Day time.

      --
      Any person using FTFY or editing my postings agrees to a US$50.00 charge
    5. Re:Bears and seal just need.... by lawpoop · · Score: 1

      You could build long-lasting icebergs (or floating platforms) using Pykrete.

      However, I can't help but think building lots of icebergs will affect the weather in some way, probably negative. Let's just build like two or three.

      --
      Computers are useless. They can only give you answers.
      -- Pablo Picasso
    6. Re:Bears and seal just need.... by n54 · · Score: 1

      Lol :)

      Suddenly I find myself appreciating seals even more than before (apologies to rich people owning boats but you guys are probably rich enough to buy another one, not to speak of insurance money...).

      However on a slightly more serious note: won't anybody please. ple-e-e-ease, think of THE FISH and lift the protection on californian seals? ;)

      --
      this comment is provided "as is" and without any express or implied legibility or congruity [...]
    7. Re:Bears and seal just need.... by Jugalator · · Score: 1

      The funny thing is the seals like to find a nice new boat, the kind with an easy to reach swim platform and then have a sunbathing party on said boat. They proceed to trash the boat by shitting all over it, tear up the gear with mating/territory fights, and then finally they pack onto it like a bunch of high schoolers in a compact car on a Friday night, sink it with their shear weight.

      Hey, all that sounds like a party with my pals!

      --
      Beware: In C++, your friends can see your privates!
    8. Re:Bears and seal just need.... by ozbird · · Score: 1

      The funny thing is the seals like to find a nice new boat, the kind with an easy to reach swim platform and then have a sunbathing party on said boat.

      Natural selection for boat designers/owners.

    9. Re:Bears and seal just need.... by Charcharodon · · Score: 1

      You are absolutely correct. I just call them all seals. The only seals I've out here are the Spotted Harbor Seals, but those guys are much smaller than the sea lions and alot less pushy. They are funny though they'll follow quietly along while you scuba dive and scare the poop out of you when you turn around and find a pair of eyes a couple feet from yours. The sea lions like it a little more exciting and will get the same result with a few good attack runs and buzz you.

    10. Re:Bears and seal just need.... by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      The funny thing is the seals like to find a nice new boat, the kind with an easy to reach swim platform and then have a sunbathing party on said boat. They proceed to trash the boat by shitting all over it, tear up the gear with mating/territory fights, and then finally they pack onto it like a bunch of high schoolers in a compact car on a Friday night, sink it with their shear weight.

      That's god-damned hilarious.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    11. Re:Bears and seal just need.... by mr_matticus · · Score: 1

      Yes yes, the seals are much more pleasant face-to-face. Got scared shitless a few times out in the water when I'd be staring into a set of eyes, only to realize that it was only a harbor seal playing with me.

      The characters you meet surfing! (Human and otherwise.)

  21. What about on Mars? by CCMCornell · · Score: 5, Funny

    How are the polar bears handling the polar ice cap melting on Mars? Must be the Mars rovers...

    1. Re:What about on Mars? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mars summer, and closer to the sun. Stop being a dumbass and go visit a climatologist website where they'll explain everything to you with nice pictures.

      Considering the fact that even the Bush administration has admitted for some years now that climate change and global warming is actually happening, you are behind the times and showing your ignorance.

      For the last few years, the only argument from the Bush administration and Oil concerns is whether or not humans are a significant cause or not. And as usual, they rely on misinformation to attempt to make their case.

      There is no debate within the professional scientific community from anyone qualified to comment - climate change is occurring and it IS due to humans.

    2. Re:What about on Mars? by RedWizzard · · Score: 1
      How are the polar bears handling the polar ice cap melting on Mars?
      I hope you're not implying that global warming here has the same cause as the CO2 ice caps melting on Mars. Because that article you linked to clearly states that current melting on Mars is a regular seasonal event.
  22. pathetic by wall0159 · · Score: 2

    Cue the 'I'm more cynical than you' comments, more like.

    'evolution in action' 'they need SUVs'

    More like 'I'm feeling mighty cosy and safe here in one of the richest countries in the world'.

    Unfortunately, kiddo, there's no gaurantee that will protect you.

    Also, a thought. People talk about there being a lack of evidence for climate change. What we're doing at the moment is conducting a global experiment in how hard we can push the climate without it changing. Guess what happens if we cock up?

    So when people talk about making a change in our lifestyle, they're talking about keeping the Earth as consistant as possible, because no one has a bloody clue what the climate might do. If you think about it, you'll realise that reducing CO2 emmisions is actually a conservative approach.

    1. Re:pathetic by smittyoneeach · · Score: 2, Insightful
      So, what are we going to do, then?
      Massive reverse-osmosis water purification plants on the African coast, to terraform our own planet?
      In all seriousness, are we willing to accept phenomenal loss of human life in Pakistan, Indonesia, and the US gulf coast, because we don't want to pollute in the name of saving life?
      Do we roll back the clock to simpler, agrarian times, and excuse ourselves from feeling any guilt, or roll the clock forward to cleaner technologies?
      you'll realise that reducing CO2 emmisions is actually a conservative approach.
      I do realize this. The question is, what political leadership has sufficient moral authority to champion the cause? The problem with the Republocrats is that they're obviously in the pocket of Big B'iness. The problem with the Demmicans, at least as far as Red State America is concerned, is that their power base consists of societal elements at least as dangerous as global warming itseslf.
      Thus, the existing political order is about as helpful as the tacit global experiment underway to which you allude. Running your question through the Inspector Fowler Paraphraser: "Our cock-up, our arse". A less than erotic realization.
      --
      Get thee glass eyes, and, like a scurvy politician, seem to see things thou dost not.--King Lear
    2. Re:pathetic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Guess what happens if we cock up?"

      You'll suck it?

  23. Re: Polar Bears Drowning As Globe Warms by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Till a Canadian comes by with his club...

  24. cousin by distantbody · · Score: 1

    That makes me a sad panda

  25. Not long at all! by Firethorn · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Not extinction and re-evolution, but swings in population levels can be quite severe even in 'undisturbed' nature.

    Like another poster mentioned, unless this gets much, much worse natural selection will simply start choosing bears better at swimming, or that find an alternate method for moving.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
    1. Re:Not long at all! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      Like another poster mentioned, unless this gets much, much worse natural selection will simply start choosing bears better at swimming, or that find an alternate method for moving.

      Yaah, let's see the creationists argue with a friggin' flying polar bear!

    2. Re:Not long at all! by solo6 · · Score: 1

      Firethorn is, apparently, a died-in-the-wool NRA wingnut. He includes in his post a URL that leads to an online survey that could be nothing other than a transparent attempt to lead one toward adoption of that hayseed groups twisted view of human life and justice. As a statistical rejoinder to the post; Why is it that the US, with about 3.5% of the worlds population and the only country in which a group such as the NRA has colossal political clout, annually takes the lives of 17 children by gunfire for every ONE lost in the other 96.5% of the planetary population? Something is really sick somewhere....

    3. Re:Not long at all! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      That's one skewed ass statistic if I ever saw one.

    4. Re:Not long at all! by rubycodez · · Score: 2, Interesting

      a person's membership in the NRA has no bearing on the truth or falsehood of the statement made, you've got a chip on your shoulder. Interesting that the stats of 12,000 children per yer quoted by the Coalition Against Guns and such don't agree with the FBI *estimates* (they take reported deaths and multiply by factor of 3 or more) of 10,000 people killed per year and 10,000 more suicides per year from guns. 80% of the 10,000 killed were in houses with history of domestic violence, hmmmmm. So it seems to me that at least 90% of deaths due to guns can't be used as an argument against guns, i.e., the suicides and trashy violent people shooting their own families.

    5. Re:Not long at all! by Firethorn · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Solo6,

      If you don't want to take the survey, click on the other option. It leads to essays and pictures that explain my point of view. Just because the questions make you think doesn't mean that you have to insult me. Yes, I am a member of the NRA. And I think you need to check yourself for prejudices. Hayseed? I'm a city boy.

      annually takes the lives of 17 children by gunfire for every ONE lost in the other 96.5% of the planetary population?
      Even if your statistic were true, I have to ask: Do you consider it better for a child to be beaten to death with a club than shot? Just to elaborate, I make no distinction by method. I consider such a death equally tragic, whether it be by gun, knife, club, or any other method.
      As for the statistic, I think it's likely to include the old 'child is anyone under 21' statistic, combined with cherry picking the countries for the other '96.5%' statistic. You know, not including africa for one.
      Finally, I firmly believe that the best way to prevent child gun deaths is education. Education on proper handling and storage. The good old 'don't touch, tell an adult' for kids.

      twisted view of human life and justice
      You deduced this, apparantly from just seeing the survey, not even browsing the essays? Is it twisted to want to see the attempted murderer dead, instead of his intended victim? Is it justice to let a rapist conduct his business without opposition? Is it twisted to consider human life so valuable that it's worth defending?

      I suggest you read the site.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    6. Re:Not long at all! by MORTAR_COMBAT! · · Score: 1


      Like another poster mentioned, unless this gets much, much worse natural selection will simply start choosing bears better at swimming, or that find an alternate method for moving.

      Yaah, let's see the creationists argue with a friggin' flying polar bear!


      My kingdom for some mod points today. +1 funny.
      --
      MORTAR COMBAT!
  26. Fossil Duels by Bueller_007 · · Score: 2, Funny

    "Fossil Duels". Best. Video game name. Ever.

  27. oh noes! by ClippySay · · Score: 1

    Then they will dissolve!

    --
    cpu0: Microsoft Clippium ("GenuineClippy" ChromedMetal-Class). Paperbinding, lockpicking, fish-hook-hack support.
  28. Sounds like a logical fallacy to me by diogenes57 · · Score: 2, Insightful
    I get a little tired of hearing any little happening tied to human-produced global warming. Although I am all for cleaning up all manner of human pollution, it seems a little like Post Hoc to say that polar bears' drowning has anything to do with human activity. The environment should be kept clean for its own sake, I don't think we need to use global warming as an excuse.

    Maybe we could just use the truths that we know to promote environmental friendliness and leave out the unprovable theories. There are too many factors in the atmosphere to even predict local weather, let alone the cause of global warming.

    1. Re:Sounds like a logical fallacy to me by soundoff · · Score: 1

      "it seems a little like Post Hoc to say that polar bears' drowning has anything to do with human activity"...

      I can't understand why the parent was marked as insightful. To disregard evidence without even considering its implications is not scientific, intelligent or constructive. And it is definately not "insightful".
      Our actions, whilst maybe not being the sole cause of global warming, are undeniably contributing to it.

      1. We are destroying the ozone layer through propagation of airborn chemicals, carbon compounds and CTCs, especially at the polar regions.

      +
      2. The ozone layer helps control climate and global temperature, as well as soaking up much of the harmful UV light that causes amongst other things, skin cancer in humans.

      +
      3. Your Other Factors.

      =
      4. More UVB in our atmosphere, faster global warming and unpredicatable climate change.

      Please, people who refuse to acknowledge human responsibility are horribly destructive to the drive for "cleaning up human pollution" you seem to care about.

    2. Re:Sounds like a logical fallacy to me by bbdb · · Score: 1

      1. Ozone layer as such has nothing to do with global warming. You're terribly confused. Ozone layer is protecting us against UV radiation and not against the heat buildup - just what would be the physical principle behind it? Ozone is merely O3, as far as I know it has no special qualities re heat conductance either way. Besides, it's thin anyway. I'm no physicist, if there is anybody like that around here (doubt it, 99% are slashtrollers), please explain, but I doubt it has much to do with greenhouse effect as such.

      Nonetheless, even "ozone layer" disappearing is a lie as well: it appears that the phenomenon is cyclical. It's just they found it 10 years after starting the measurements, cried wolf when they found it shrinking, and then "forgot" to say oops when ozone started to build up again.

      ... 4. More UVB in our atmosphere, faster global warming and unpredicatable climate change.
      Oh please, whether absorbed by ozone layer in the atmosphere or in any other place, absorbing x joules of energy is absorbing it all the same! The atmosphere would _absorb_ exactly the same amount of energy with ozone layer and without it! The big question is what is happening to RETAINING energy.

      --
      Python is nice quick and flexible... but it provides so much rope a monkey would hang the whole ecosystem with it. -- in
    3. Re:Sounds like a logical fallacy to me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nonetheless, even "ozone layer" disappearing is a lie as well: it appears that the phenomenon is cyclical. It's just they found it 10 years after starting the measurements, cried wolf when they found it shrinking, and then "forgot" to say oops when ozone started to build up again.

      You say that it is a lie to say that the ozone was disappearing because it was only measured for 10 years prior to that claim. Your claim that it is a lie begs the question ... how do you know that it was a lie? Do/did you have a better source of data than the atmospheric scientists? I suspect not. What are your qualifications to challenge experts in the field? I am not an atmpspheric scientist, so I tend to take their word on things in their field, especially when there is a broad consensus. Just as I expect they would take my word for it if I were hired to work on one of their malfunctioning computers and explained to them that their Internet wasn't working because their DHCP server had exhausted its pool of IP addresses and that they needed to increase the scope. I wouldn't expect some jackoff air scientist to pipe up in the back, "it's all lies, it's only based on a couple minutes of measurements."

    4. Re:Sounds like a logical fallacy to me by bbdb · · Score: 1

      Do/did you have a better source of data than the atmospheric scientists?

      1. Well, have you bothered to read the links I posted?

      2. Do YOU have claims of any?

      3. How do you know you can even trust them? There is evidence of fraud and "sagecraft" for publicity and grants after all:

      Improper manipulation of data, and arbitrary rejection of readings that do not fit the pre-conceived idea on man-made global warming is common in many glaciological studies of greenhouse gases. In peer reviewed publications I exposed this misuse of science [3, 9]. Unfortunately, such misuse is not limited to individual publications, but also appears in documents of national and international organizations. For example IPCC not only based its reports on a falsified "Siple curve", but also in its 2001 report[14] used as a flagship the "hockey curve" of temperature, showing that there was no Medieval Warming, and no Little Ice Age, and that the 20th century was unusually warm. The curve was credulously accepted after Mann et al. paper published in NATURE magazine[15]. In a crushing criticism, two independent groups of scientists from disciplines other than climatology [16, 17] (i.e. not supported from the annual pool of many billion "climatic" dollars), convincingly blamed the Mann et al. paper for the improper manipulation and arbitrary rejections of data. The question arises, how such methodically poor paper, contradicting hundreds of excellent studies that demonstrated existence of global range Medieval Warming and Little Ice Age, could pass peer review for NATURE? And how could it pass the reviewing process at the IPCC? The apparent scientific weaknesses of IPCC and its lack of impartiality, was diagnosed and criticized in the early 1990s in NATURE editorials [18, 19]. The disease, seems to be persistent.

      http://www.john-daly.com/zjiceco2.htm

      Read the whole paper. It's pretty enlightening.

      --
      Python is nice quick and flexible... but it provides so much rope a monkey would hang the whole ecosystem with it. -- in
    5. Re:Sounds like a logical fallacy to me by bbdb · · Score: 1

      And BTW, come on, this is all a SOCIAL GAME: to further your agenda, to spread FUD, to get your critics ridiculed/killed, to spread your religion/cult - for instance eco-cult, to proselytize, to feel the mystique, to get grants, journalists to be able to write articles about Doom of The Day (they have to make a living after all), govt to get rationale for more regulations (after all it's not govt who pays for it, it's somebody else in society), to do the following:
      The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed and hence, clamorous to be led to safety - by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblin, all of them imaginary. -- Mencken

      I say that there are real bits and pieces of problems in nature that get blown out of proportions by the moronic public and well-intentioned, but gullible people like you, first by massive reports of "sheep blinded by UV in Chile" and mass panic, then by politicians and econuts making their "whale sanctuaries" out of this, worshipping the dumb mammals as gods.

      If there is kernel of real stuff, the facts, in this, it only serves the politics for dummies. I say it's all bullshit, even if the phenomenon is real - that serves merely as a tool for inflicting social pressure on critics.

      Ozone layer recovering, like that National Geographic article reports? Well, who gives a fuck? We need more doom.

      --
      Python is nice quick and flexible... but it provides so much rope a monkey would hang the whole ecosystem with it. -- in
    6. Re:Sounds like a logical fallacy to me by bbdb · · Score: 1

      How about selectively OMITTING THE INCONVENIENT DATA THAT DOESN'T FIT? Here:

      "I do not question the extreme nature of the summer of 2003, however, using the Pfister index, this summer would rank 3 only in June and August, the 2003 summer index so equals 1536, 1540 1616 and 1947. The first three hot summers are are notably absent in your reconstruction."
      http://members.lycos.nl/errenwijlens/co2/errenvslu terbacher.htm

      Come on! This is a fraud!

      Note: this does NOT mean that global warming isn't happening: it may be happening, it may be not happening. What we do know, though, that such frauds as typically get published do not support the theory!

      --
      Python is nice quick and flexible... but it provides so much rope a monkey would hang the whole ecosystem with it. -- in
    7. Re:Sounds like a logical fallacy to me by Pentagram · · Score: 1

      There are too many factors in the atmosphere to even predict local weather, let alone the cause of global warming.

      The logic in your argument is faulty. It's often easier to predict long term trends than short ones. You can predict to a large degree of accuracy the spread of numbers you'll get if you make 1000 dice rolls, but it's much more difficult to say what number you'll get on an individual roll.

    8. Re:Sounds like a logical fallacy to me by Wraithlyn · · Score: 1

      "I get a little tired of hearing any little happening tied to human-produced global warming. Although I am all for cleaning up all manner of human pollution, it seems a little like Post Hoc to say that polar bears' drowning has anything to do with human activity."

      OK, who exactly are you ranting against?

      There is nothing in either TFA or the /. blurb which even HINTS that humans are the cause.

      The argument presented is essentially:

      1) Polar bears are drowning, because...
      2) They have to swim farther, because...
      3) The ice floes are more spread out, because...
      4) The arctic is rapidly melting, because...
      5) Temperatures are rising. No cause is mentioned for this.

      Seems pretty solid, and does not mentions humans as a cause anywhere.

      --
      "Mind, as manifested by the capacity to make choices, is to some extent present in every electron." -Freeman Dyson
  29. Yes, it might be irreversible... by vistic · · Score: 5, Informative
    I guess you missed this slashdot story: Global Warming Past The Point of No Return

    ""The UK's Independent is running a front page story today on a scientific report claiming that global warming is now unstoppable, after measuring changes in the level of ice in the arctic." From the article: "The greatest fear is that the Arctic has reached a 'tipping point' beyond which nothing can reverse the continual loss of sea ice and with it the massive land glaciers of Greenland, which will raise sea levels dramatically. Satellites monitoring the Arctic have found that the extent of the sea ice this August has reached its lowest monthly point on record, dipping an unprecedented 18.2 per cent below the long-term average."


    1. Re:Yes, it might be irreversible... by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      ...global warming is now unstoppable!!!!!!!

      Where do people come up with this stupid shit? I mean really, wtf is wrong with this world? I guess everybody has forgotten that a million years ago, the world was covered with ice. Yeah, that's right, we were in a fucking ice-age. Have you forgotten about woolly mammoths and the large-scale carving-out of North America and Europe? The Great Lakes emptying south through the US, instead of north into Canada? The Mediterranean Sea emptying and refilling multiple times?

      Oh, that's right, I forgot that god created the world 6,000 years ago and we've just been ruining it ever since. Does it matter that we have good evidence that the world has actually been warming up for about 30,000 years now? Or evidence that the world has been warmer than this on multiple occasions? Guess not. Probably makes no difference that we have strong evidence that the polar ice caps have all melted away on more than one occasion too.

      Really, the world has been "globally warming" for the last 30,000 years, and, I know this will be a shocker, but WE CAN'T DO ANYTHING ABOUT IT!!!. Because it's the damn world coming out of an ice age, and we don't have that sort of power. Can we slightly affect it? Yes, we can. Can we totally screw up our environment? Yes, we're shockingly good at it.

      I just get frustrated at the lack of historical climate knowledge, as "global warming" is really nothing to get excited about. Because there is no one "right temperature" for the world. It changes all the time. While it has been fairly stable during most of the time humans have been writing stuff down, that is a tiny snapshot in the overall history of the world. If you were to cram the entire history of the world onto a calender, with the world forming on Jan 1, humans would show up Dec 31 at about 11pm. We'd start writing shit down at about 11:59 PM on Dec 31. We've only experienced the tiniest snapshot of the earth's history, and for us to get all frantic about "global warming" is moronic at best.

      I guess global warming, as idiotic a rallying cause as it is, has replaced "hole in the ozone layer" because it's scarier to more people. And ultimately, we need to scare people into taking responsibility for their pollution. But from a science standpoint, I'd much rather people get all worried about excessive carbon in the atmosphere, because that's a problem. I'd rather people get all worried about massive deforestation, because that's a problem. I'd rather people get worried about sulfur emissions or overfishing, because those are problems.

      Getting all shouty about "global warming" is like getting all shouty about "seasonal warming" as one heads into spring and summer. It happens normally. But we need something to scare people into being responsible, and "Global Warming!!!!!" is apparently it now.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    2. Re:Yes, it might be irreversible... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, and who cares that at least one of those times when it was warmer all life on earth almost died out, big deal. We can't do anything about it so we might as well just lay down and die.

    3. Re:Yes, it might be irreversible... by JonBuck · · Score: 1

      Recently I started wondering what evidence there was against human-caused global warming. I found some items on what's been going on in Alaska:

      http://climate.gi.alaska.edu/ClimTrends/Change/490 4Change.html

      http://climate.gi.alaska.edu/ClimTrends/Change/770 4Change.html

      The two graphs above show that the average temps rose in 1977 and have remained fairly steady ever since.

      http://www.junkscience.com/MSU_Temps/Moberg2005.ht m

      This graph shows the Little Ice Age and that today's temperatures have barely reached the Medieval Climactic Optimum.

      And here's a Newsweek article from 1975 about... global cooling:

      http://www.junkscience.com/apr05/coolingworld.pdf

      I'm sure some will discard the Junk Science site because of its political bent. I encourage people to ignore that and look at the data he presents as well as the links to climatology articles published in scientific journals. We know far less about how climate works than we think we do.

      http://www.junkscience.com/MSU_Temps/Warming_Glanc e.htm

    4. Re:Yes, it might be irreversible... by vistic · · Score: 1

      Wow, you need to calm down just a bit.

      Believe it or not you're not the only person who knows that there have been ice ages... everyone knows that the earth has gone through heating and cooling periods in the past.

      What those scientists who are smarter than you, were saying in that article I linked to, is that it's possible that there is a "tipping point" where it becomes a runaway reaction that's irreversible.

    5. Re:Yes, it might be irreversible... by Spectra72 · · Score: 1

      The killer asteroid will get us first, or maybe bird flu. Or AIDS..or whatever "OMG! We're all going to die!" claptrap disaster the fearmongers are peddling tomorrow.

  30. Erm... by Hakubi_Washu · · Score: 1

    and why exactly is not "replacing" them during my lifetime somehow bad if nature will sort it out eventually? Evolution does indeed work on geological timescales, that doesn't make it work any less... Showing polar bears to my grandkids is of purely romantic value, I'd say, not something I "need" from a rational POV.

    1. Re:Erm... by gedhrel · · Score: 1

      From a "rational" point of view, what do you need? Enough energy to live?

      The danger with "rational" arguments like this is that they avoid moral questions through spurious reductionism. Personally, I feel a moral responsibility toward other moral creatures (I'm european, it goes with the territory). The question is, what's my responsisbility towards other things: more abstract stuff, like the state of the environment, the continued existence of polar bears, etc? I'd answer that as follows: those things deserve moral consideration because of the regard they are held in by other moral beings. I don't particularly care about the reasons: a bunch of fluffy econuts want to preserve polar bears just because it'd make them sad to see such a noble species disappear. It may not be a "rational" argument (and I elide any discussion that ignoring "emotional" arguments is in any way rational) but by what metric does that make it any less relevant?

    2. Re:Erm... by Hakubi_Washu · · Score: 1

      I wasn't saying that emotional "arguments" are less relevant to someone, but they're deeply personal. Criticising people for making the rational argument "nature" (whatever exactly that may be) will "replace" a lost species by telling them an emotional problem some people may have with that is simply not an argument (which, if valid, needs to be accepted), it's an opinion and the grandparent assumed everyone had to share it, which just isn't the case.
      Morals always are opinions, and while I tend to spend a lot of time figuring out what I consider to be right there's no way I'd ever argue my morals were "more right" than anyone elses, which includes no morals at all and eating babies. I'm just convinced that in the end, "right" doesn't exist outside each little mind... BTW: I'm european, too, which is no argument either.

    3. Re:Erm... by Jeremi · · Score: 1
      Showing polar bears to my grandkids is of purely romantic value, I'd say, not something I "need" from a rational POV.


      Right, all you "need" is enough air, food, and water to continue living your miserable existence on the ruined hulk of a planet with little other than humans and soybeans living on it. But you wouldn't enjoy it.


      Seriously, there are real psychological costs to allowing the beautiful and awe-inspiring components of our planet to be destroyed. Try giving up your nice, well-decorated house for a few years and living in a bare tin shack in a slum, and you'll get a feel for it -- the difference being that you can move away from the slum when you've had enough. The polar bears (and other extinct species), on the other hand, can't be brought back to life once they are gone.


      Even ignoring the psychological/aesthetic aspects, there are practical issues: Many species play important roles in maintaining the balance of their respective ecosystems; roles which we may not even be fully aware of until the species' extinction makes them apparent by their absence. To give a (purely hypothetical) example: perhaps it is polar bears that keeps the population of seals in check. When the polar bears get wiped out, the seal population explodes. The seals wipe out the fish stocks, making it harder for people to get fish to eat. It's even possible for the problem to cascade: e.g. the reduced fish stocks can no longer control the algae population, so then we get massive algae blooms, which take so much oxygen out of the water that more species die, and so on.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    4. Re:Erm... by Squidbait · · Score: 1

      Any value that, say, a polar bear has to you, romantic or otherwise, you will lose if it goes extinct. Maybe it has no value. Whatever. But don't expect nature's sorting it out to be any comfort to you. Hell, we could wipe out everything except single celled organisms, and nature will sort it out. Nature isn't something that cares; we are.

      There is at least one other post for this article thats says "why should we protect the polar bear if its environment changes; what if some new creature adapted to the new environment emerges that is just as interesting?" My point is that we will never see this creature, it's going to take millions of years to evolve.

  31. Polar Bears are special by putko · · Score: 3, Informative

    The polar bears seem incredibly adapated to living on ice -- the article says they live their whole lives on ice. Their natural range is circumpolar (http://www.solcomhouse.com/polarbears.htm ). I know their feet, fur and sense of smell are all optimized for living in ice. I'm sure there are more things.

    It seems that the next time the earth gets warm, for whatever reason, the polar bears are going to die off in droves.

    The same is true for camels: they've got special eyes, feet, a way to store water and energy for long periods, etc. If there is ever a mass greening of the earth, wild camels will have a hard time.

    More general animals, like brown bears ("grizzly" bears) have it differently: their problem is that they are adapted to living in Eurasia and North America, so they come into conflict with humans in nearly all the areas they'd like to be. Here's their range (it would all of North America and Europe, but for humans):
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Ursus_arctos_di stribution.jpg

    If you look, you'll see brown bears live all over Alaska. That's where that bear-maniac Treadwell got mauled by them. There's now a movie about it, and it uses his amazing bear footage:

    http://maisonbisson.com/blog/post/10725/

    --
    http://www.thebricktestament.com/the_law/when_to_s tone_your_children/dt21_18a.html
    1. Re:Polar Bears are special by bbdb · · Score: 1

      The polar bears seem incredibly adapated to living on ice -- the article says they live their whole lives on ice. Their natural range is circumpolar (http://www.solcomhouse.com/polarbears.htm [solcomhouse.com] ). I know their feet, fur and sense of smell are all optimized for living in ice. I'm sure there are more things.

      There have been things like that happening before - between a few last big Ice Ages, a few species have evolved to take advantage of the shallow marsh areas, like "big beaver". The climate changed - I don't think it was due to SUVs or possibly not even due to greenhouse effect, or not by itself - and the species died out.

      The entire premise and begging the question in such articles is always the same, the same theme of neurosis running there: us bad, bad humans, repent, go back to nature, don't make all those evil industries. It's always trying to create this imaginary hobgoblin to alarm us. It's naive to expect politics and media to try to enlighten. The purpose is to scare and control, not help. So EVEN if those polar bears are dying, it may have nothing to do with us really - the plausible impression merely serves a useful goal in political games. It's all bullshit, I say.

      --
      Python is nice quick and flexible... but it provides so much rope a monkey would hang the whole ecosystem with it. -- in
    2. Re:Polar Bears are special by mkw87 · · Score: 1
      I know their feet, fur and sense of smell are all optimized for living in ice. I'm sure there are more things.

      Yes, their members actually appear larger when cold, contrary to the human male. Thats optimization for survival of course.

      --
      Arguing with an engineer is like wrestling a pig in mud. Soon, you realize the pig is dirty, and he likes it.
  32. Re:How long till the skeptics post? BSOD scenario by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Nothing to do with communism or Islamic terror. The Phenomenon may well lead Slashdotters to the conclusion that polar bears are Windows-operated, and their drowning is simply due to the fact that longer swims increase the risiko of getting a BSOD before reaching the shore. A team of slashdotters may be sent to do some on-site assistance and format all bears, to then install linux. Or BSD. OpenBSD to be sure no hunters can hack into the bears?

  33. where's the mythbusters interviw? by TheCreeep · · Score: 0

    Okay, global warming, bears drowning, peechy keen fine and dandy, but whatever happened to the Mythbusters interview we were promissed?
    -1 Offtopic, but can you blame me?

  34. evolution in action by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The economy could collapse and we would see evolution in action too. The power could go out and we would see it. And all the punks on 'top' of the evolutionary ladder 'cos they have text messaging bluetooth phoneberries or whatever but can't make a wireless device out of rolled up sheets of reynolds wrap, paper, mineral spirits, copper wire, teflon tape if you find some, and magnets be the first to go.

  35. when i lived out there by CiXeL · · Score: 1

    i heard all about that. also there were pollutant making sealions go crazy and attack people. this was pretty much around the time i took a sailing class and we rounded the dinghy too close to the buoy at the harbor entrance and the sealion reared up at us and i saw the terror look in my instructor's face who was sitting in a small powered boat 20 ft away. fortunately nothing happened but there are just too many sealions and theyre acting like they own the road now.

    seems to me what they need to do is put a small low voltage wire all the way around the boat to irritate their wet skin just enough to make it uncomfortable for them to attempt to get onto the boat.

  36. Good.... by theheff · · Score: 1
    because polar bears are obviously evil and help the ice queen... oh wait... I've come out of the wardrobe since then.

    (see Chronciles of Narnia)

    1. Re:Good.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      hell we need the white witch to get the heck out of Narnia and come to the pole and set things right!

  37. I've been trying by CiXeL · · Score: 1

    to inform people of that for a very long time. Theres also some heating on one of uranus's or neptune's moons i dont recall which, which is heating up the atmosphere there. Its the sun thats causing all of this. Maybe if we're lucky we'll see mars thaw a bit. I wonder how much the sun would have to heat up to make all the ice thaw there.

  38. Introduce them to antarctica by CiXeL · · Score: 1

    May wind up being the only solution, thats probably the only spot on the planet that will stay coldest the longest as the rest of the planet thaws.

  39. Yep you're right by CiXeL · · Score: 1
    1. Re:Yep you're right by Squidbait · · Score: 1

      Hmmm. You appear not to have a point. Volcanoes are fast, therefore complex species can evolve within human lifespans?

  40. yes . . . if that was the only thing in the world by Phil+Urich · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Not extinction and re-evolution, but swings in population levels can be quite severe even in 'undisturbed' nature.


    Like another poster mentioned, unless this gets much, much worse natural selection will simply start choosing bears better at swimming, or that find an alternate method for moving.


    Interesting thing about evolution: it's not a perfect upwards slope. Indeed, in many ways biodiversity has been on a downwards slope for long before humans came onto the scene. Furthermore, consider that introducing a new way for animals to die doesn't happen in a vacuum; this is one of many examples of shrinking habitats and increasingly hostile situations that animals in the world (including humans, but we're good at changing our immediate environment to offset the overall environment) are finding themselves in.

    To go back to what I was nudging towards initially, though: 'natural selection' is not another name for 'all-powerful god', that is to say, just because a new method is needed doesn't mean that this 'natural selection' thing will magically provide it; natural selection is just trimming combined with chaos, there are severe limits to what it can do, and I can't think of many methods that the bears could use other than swimming (I do realize that you said "unless this gets much, much worse", but really, there aren't that many alternate methods of moving, it's not like they'll suddenly develop wings). And anyways, I would think that after so much time, Polar Bears as a species would be pretty damn good at swimming. I doubt it's merely the few weaker ones that are drowning. The article notes that ALL the bears are being forced to swim further from the shore, and some of the deaths noted were from storms that arose; so whether they're good swimmers or not isn't even going to make that much of a difference, it's an extra bonus to the death rate period.

    Hmm, in some ways I'm sortof making a straw man out of your argument. But really now, just think about it for a moment. As you mentioned, population levels can swing quite dramatically in rather 'natural' situations, yes. Now say that one of those swings happens for some random reason, combined with the problems noted in the article. It's not that hard to imagine entire populations of polar bears dipping dangerously low. The article mentions increases in the rate of cannibalism due to the lack of food sources, so for many populations there may be a tipping point that would create a downward spiral. Consider also that this is just one of many examples of the effect of humans on the environment that hurts wild populations, so I might agree with you if this was all that was going on in the world (ie. if the only thing that polar bears had to deal with was having to swim further), but it's the combination of many harmful factors that puts species at risk.

    Plus, just from an empathic perspective, I'm not exactly going "hurrah! animals are dieing!". I'd rather they, umm, not die when they shouldn't be.

    --
    I remember sigs. Oh, a simpler time!
  41. Threatdown by BushCheney08 · · Score: 4, Funny

    Oh man, Stephen Colbert's gonna be pleased with this!

    --
    Be a real patriot: Question authority. Think for yourself. Formulate your own conclusions.
    1. Re:Threatdown by e40 · · Score: 1

      But Stephen isn't dumb enough to believe the hype of the liberal media, on both counts (that global warming exists and that bears are dying).

    2. Re:Threatdown by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You clearly don't get the joke.

    3. Re:Threatdown by heychris · · Score: 1
      I don't think so. Natural selection will lead to bears who will be able to swim farther. Eventually, these superbears and their powerful legs will be able to rip our homes apart. No honey will be safe!

      Bears, you're on notice...if you aren't already for replacing Santa on Coke cans.

      CC

  42. Polarbear Whales? by transami · · Score: 1

    Will these environmental stresses fork the polar bears evolution toward becoming a water creature? Are there any indications that some them could manage not to drown and actually survive spending most of their time in the water?

    --
    :T:R:A:N:S:
    1. Re:Polarbear Whales? by Bazzalisk · · Score: 1
      Millions of years.

      Not that hard to understand is it?

      --
      James P. Barrett
    2. Re:Polarbear Whales? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I doubt they'd be competitive against the already established water-dwellers.

  43. No worry by Gnutte · · Score: 1

    We'll house em in Sweden. There are so many polarbears around the streets anyway, a few more wouldn't do any difference.

    What about Coca Cola? Do thay have to change their ads?

  44. The purpose of environmentalism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The point of environmentalism is to protect the human race from suffering and devastation due to the way we interact with the rest of the environment.

    The point of environmentalism is not to "protect the planet" because animals are cute or because somebody particularly cares, on a moral level, if we pollute or if we exhaust our finite resources per se.

    It is completely irrelevant if on geological timescales the earth will cool down again, if it means the human race is nearly or completely extinct by the time it does.

    People who say "it is irrelevant because the Earth will heal" are the worst kind of tree-hugging hippies ;) I could give a shit. I don't want to die, however.

  45. Similar article from CNN by yorugua · · Score: 1
    http://www.cnn.com/2005/TECH/science/12/16/polar.b ears.ap/index.html

    Extract:

    ANCHORAGE, Alaska (AP) -- Three environmental groups sued the federal government Thursday, seeking to protect polar bears from extinction because of disappearing Arctic sea ice.

    The lawsuit, filed in federal court in San Francisco, demands that the government take action on a petition environmentalists filed earlier to have polar bears listed as "threatened" under the Endangered Species Act.

    Once a species is listed as threatened, the government is barred from doing anything to jeopardize the animal's existence or its habitat.

    ....

    1. Re:Similar article from CNN by Jim_Callahan · · Score: 1

      "sued the federal government"... which is constitutionally impossible in the US. I really don't have a point here, except that journalists seem to be getting even stupider as I age.

      --
      ...it's really a sad day for America when we require a goddamn ACT OF CONGRESS to make our DVD players work properly. ~
  46. Please mod parent up... by greppling · · Score: 1

    ...as funny, because I can't take the thought that he might be serious.

    1. Re:Please mod parent up... by Mindjiver · · Score: 1

      I guess the thought of someone having a different opinion than you makes you scared. :)

      --
      I know not what course others may take; but as for me, give me liberty or give me death!
  47. We're working on it by Sippan · · Score: 1

    Please polar bear with us as we attempt to get the carbon dioxide levels drown a bit.

    --
    Frog blast the vent core.
  48. Churchill, Canada by __aaijsn7246 · · Score: 2, Informative

    No discussion of polar bears is complete without mentioning Churchill, Manitoba, The Polar Bear Capital of The World. I visited at the end of October and had the chance to go out on a "Tundra Buggy" tour. It was quite exotic.. we saw 3 polar bear. There's also a guy who lives out on the tundra for a few months a year in a huge tundra buggy with satellite internet access.. He has a site: http://www.polarbearcam.com/

    The buggies are amazing.. probably about 4-5 feet off the ground, HUGE tires, furnace inside to keep warm.. we ate dinner on board as well, with the bears just outside. Our tour guide was VERY professional and knowledgeable, we were quite impressed. It turned out he had also lived in Africa for many years and given tours there, etc etc..

    Here's some fun facts about polar bear off the top of my head:

    Their skin is actually black to absorb the sunlight (it's amazing how well adapted they are). The fur is really transparent but looks white in the same way a cloud looks white because of all of the water droplets.

    They have suction cups on their paws to keep from slipping on the ice.

    Churchill has had, I believe, only 2 or 3 fatalities in the past 30 years. One was a few weeks before I got there as a drunk wandered out of the town limits.

    They are very careful about bear up there, for obvious reasons. Every night they fire off shotguns to keep the bears away. People living on the outskirts of town always have rifles in their houses just in case - they also put out traps.. basically boards with nails going through them.. to keep the bears away.

    If a bear comes into town they will stun it and carry it away with a helicopter! We actually saw this happening! They move it further north IIRC... but if the bear comes back 2 more times, they put it into the "polar bear jail" which is in town (no tourists allowed sadly). They only water the bear in the jail, and do not feed it, otherwise the bear may view it as a rewarding experience.

    I was surprised how nice everything was up there.. beautifully decorated hotels, at least on the insides. Food is expensive though and their economy is pretty much dependent on the bears, although they do export grain to Europe. The train takes 2 days from Winnipeg and is quite a slow ride, sometimes traveling at only 10 miles per hour. (They run 2 engines just in case one breaks down.)

    I remember lots more about the bears and Churchill if anyone is interested.. just ask!

    Oh - there was far less ice compared to previous years when I was up there. Everyone I asked said they weren't sure if it was global warming or just a temporary cycle. You can check the sea ice information for the Hudson Bay at the Canadian Ice Service site.

    1. Re:Churchill, Canada by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Polarbearcam.com is worse than a porn site.
      They don't even let you see one full size photo of a bear.

    2. Re:Churchill, Canada by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      I remember lots more about the bears and Churchill if anyone is interested.. just ask!

      [Me hits joystick UP towards "Tell me more".]

  49. More cynical than thou... by Anne+Thwacks · · Score: 1
    Guess what happens if we cock up?

    And for those with a limited imagination, you might want to google what happened at Chernobyl when they experimented with "what happens when an unstable, self dependent system with positive feedback gets out of hand".

    The rest of us are down at Paddy Power's placing large bets on the number of days till the next "once in 50 years" hurricane happens in New Orleans while the odds are still reasonable.

    --
    Sent from my ASR33 using ASCII
  50. white bears swim to "find food". Black bears loot by Cryofan · · Score: 5, Funny

    from the article:
    The researchers were startled to find bears having to swim up to 60 miles across open sea to find food.


    Typical racist media! Polar bears--WHITE bears--swim to FIND FOOD. But you KNOW that if that had been BLACK bears instead of white bears, this article would have called it LOOTING.

    --
    eat shiat and bark at the moon
  51. Seals by Windows+Breaker+G4 · · Score: 1

    And yet seal populations are thriving. Seals vow to create more hydrocarbon emissions in coming years. News at 11

    --
    brickspeed.net for your old Volvo performance addiction
    1. Re:Seals by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      "And yet seal populations are thriving. Seals vow to create more hydrocarbon emissions in coming years. News at 11"
      In other news, fishermen lose their livlihoods as seal population decimates fishing stocks.
  52. Wild extrapolation here we come... by DiamondGeezer · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Four dead polar bears in the open ocean. Therefore they died because they drowned. Therefore its because the Arctic has warmed recently. Therefore the warming is caused by "Global Warming" caused by human fossil fuel use.

    But wait, the Arctic from 70-90 is still not as warm as the 1930s, as can be seen from long station records all across the high Arctic (for example Nuuk or Ostrov Dikson ) This was well before large increases in carbon dioxide.

    Since the poster child for linking climate change with carbon dioxide use has been shown to be a product of bad statistics and the whole multiproxy study paradigm shown to be without significance (see Bürger, G., and U. Cubasch (2005), Are multiproxy climate reconstructions robust?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L23711, doi:10.1029/2005GL024155.) I'd say the whole "Cry Polar Bears are drowning" schtick to be Yet Another Fake Panic.

    Therefore, hence, or in conclusion: I call bullshit.

    Of course this message has been brought to you by Exxon Mobil, the Bush Administration, the Republican Party, the Freemasons, the Illuminati and all stations to Satan.

    --
    Tubby or not tubby. Fat is the question
    1. Re:Wild extrapolation here we come... by welcher · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Gee, look at that - get a couple of ground weather station in the artic, look at the local surface temperature and conclude that there is no global warming effect. If only one of those scientists who spend every day studying this had actually had such a good idea. But just the someone might wonder - what is the connection between the ground temperature at these places and the extent of sea ice? Well, it seems that sea ice has been decreasing over the last 40 years: see http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/286/544 6/1934 [science] But, by looking at those two temperature time series you probably wouldnt guesss it. The primary claim here is that polar bears are dying because artic sea ice is retreating to a greater than normal extent. This tallies with predictions that climate change science makes.

    2. Re:Wild extrapolation here we come... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Four dead polar bears in the open ocean. Therefore they died because they drowned. Therefore its because the Arctic has warmed recently. Therefore the warming is caused by "Global Warming" caused by human fossil fuel use.

      You left out a few things in your attempt tp recruit Fox News viewers: Tree ring samples from around the planet indicate longer growing seasons and warmer growing seasons in the last 150 years, the fact that the AVERAGE temperature across the Artic is increasing at twice the rate of the rest of the planet, that glaciers on mountains across the planet are in retreat, and that sea temperatures from Antartica to the Arctic are rising. Strangely, all of these phenomena are almost perfectly correlated with the levels of CO2 in the atmosphere. Saying that we should do nothing because we might not be the cause of the warming is like saying you shouldn't turn the heater down in the summer because it isn't your heater causing it to be hot.

      But wait, the Arctic from 70-90 is still not as warm as the 1930s

      Whoa buddy! Talk about wild extrapolation. You have two points of data and you think that invalidates every thing else? I know you're not that stupid, so you must be intellectually dishonest (a new, unexplored frontier for conservatives). You do know that global warming doesn't mean that every single measurement point on the Earth will show an increase in temperature don't you? You know that some places will get colder as the climate changes, right? Tell me you haven't been sleeping through class. Bueller ... Bueller.

      Since the poster child for linking climate change with carbon dioxide use has been shown to be a product of bad statistics

      Actually, your pet theory has been shot down. Sorry. Next.

      Therefore, hence, or in conclusion: I call bullshit.

      You can call bullshit all you like if it makes you feel better, but it doesn't make you right. Don't you have a Target store to protest or something?

    3. Re:Wild extrapolation here we come... by LittleLebowskiUrbanA · · Score: 1

      Agreed. Global warming being larely influenced by humans and you don't have to be a right wing nut to agree with what scientists have been saying for years now. Here's an interesting link.

    4. Re:Wild extrapolation here we come... by bbdb · · Score: 1

      Or, look for the evidence that Goddard numbers have been cooked. Like, the calculation methods that they use are out of sync with data collected from ships for instance.

      --
      Python is nice quick and flexible... but it provides so much rope a monkey would hang the whole ecosystem with it. -- in
    5. Re:Wild extrapolation here we come... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Four dead polar bears in the open ocean. Therefore they died because they drowned. Therefore its because the Arctic has warmed recently. Therefore the warming is caused by "Global Warming" caused by human fossil fuel use

      Classic straw man. Good try, but intellectually dishonest. New territory for conservatives I must admit.

      Arguing that the current warming is a natural cycle, and therefor we should do nothing, is no different than suggesting that one should not turn off the heater in the summertime because it is natural processes are responsible for the increasing temperature.

      But wait, the Arctic from 70-90 is still not as warm as the 1930s, as can be seen from long station records all across the high Arctic (for example Nuuk or Ostrov Dikson ) This was well before large increases in carbon dioxide.

      Two problems with your reasoning: 1) Carbon dioxide has been increasing for about 150 years now. Last I checked, the 1930's was only 70 years ago. That's an 80-year margin of error there. Better check your math. 2) When the climate changes, it doesn't change everywhere in lockstep. Some places will get colder, and some will get warmer. Talk about wild extrapolation. You are asking us to believe that temperature data from two isoloated stations should contradict the overall trend from hundreds of thousands of stations across the entire planet over hundreds of years.

      Since the poster child for linking climate change with carbon dioxide use has been shown to be a product of bad statistics

      Hate to tell you buddy, but your pet theory was shot down about 5 years ago. Take a read at a real scientific paper here: http://www.nap.edu/books/0309068916/html/. Not only that, but do you know anything about Venus? Do you know why it's so hot there? You do know that carbon dioxide is fairly opaque to infrared, and that's how it insulates, right? I assume you are not trying to call into question basic laws of chemistry and physics while at the same time accusing others of wild extrapolations are you?

      Therefore, hence, or in conclusion: I call bullshit.

      What is wrong with you people? This isn't crazy hippies crying about killing the poor flowers somewhere. This is a near perfect consensus of scientists across dozens of different disciplines on a global scale. They are trying to sound every alarm at their disposal and we are ignoring them. Instead of taking their word about their fields of expertise, we have people with no trainng at all (most with no college at all) questioning the conclusions of people who have spent their entire lives studying this stuff. The sad thing is that, if they are right, in 50 years the Republican Party is going to be having hearings on why our scientific community failed us, and they will be telling us how they were trying to save us all these years and it was the evil liberals that stopped them.

      Of course this message has been brought to you by Exxon Mobil, the Bush Administration, the Republican Party, the Freemasons, the Illuminati and all stations to Satan.

      I don't think most of us imagine anything so grand. Just uneducated, dishonest conservatives who see global climate change as a threat to their monied way of life, and who are willing to risk making a world of Katrina-like events commonplace to protect that way of life. Simple as that.

    6. Re:Wild extrapolation here we come... by groomed · · Score: 1

      You are asking us to believe that temperature data from two isoloated stations should contradict the overall trend from hundreds of thousands of stations across the entire planet over hundreds of years.

      At least he provided data. You provide only babble.

      This isn't crazy hippies crying about killing the poor flowers somewhere. This is a near perfect consensus of scientists across dozens of different disciplines on a global scale.

      Science is not a consensus discipline. At the same time scientists are not immune to groupthink. The "scientific consensus" has included howlers such as the subhumanity of negros and the notion that every boy wants to fuck his mother.

      Just uneducated, dishonest conservatives who see global climate change as a threat to their monied way of life, and who are willing to risk making a world of Katrina-like events commonplace to protect that way of life.

      The root of the matter is that you and your cronies fundamentally oppose the wealth and affluence (and, yes, the inherent waste) of the society we live in, and will use any excuse at your disposal to curb its further growth, be it global warming, overpopulation, the dawning of a new ice age, nuclear scares, peak oil or worried aliens.

    7. Re:Wild extrapolation here we come... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, ship's records are no good either. Sea bouys in North pacific have proved that:

      http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/ne ws/2001/01/14/wglob14.xml

    8. Re:Wild extrapolation here we come... by bbdb · · Score: 1

      You left out a few things in your attempt tp recruit Fox News viewers: Tree ring samples from around the planet indicate longer growing seasons and warmer growing seasons in the last 150 years, the fact that the AVERAGE temperature across the Artic is increasing at twice the rate of the rest of the planet, that glaciers on mountains across the planet are in retreat, and that sea temperatures from Antartica to the Arctic are rising

      I just love it how dumb (and anonymous) morons throw Fox News charges aroudn (FYI, I'm not American and haven't ever seen Fox News on TV, just a few clips on the internet) - that kind of shows how dumb they really are, if that is ALL that they are able to project on their critics. Kind of shows who's the dumb and sentimental party around. Ad rem:

      Tree rings:

      "Hot and Cold Summers (23 Aug 04)

      A paper titled "European seasonal and annual temperature variability, trends, and extremes since 1500" was published in the issue dated March 5, 2004, of the AAAS magazine named Science. It seems that the authors concluded that the summer of 2003 was the hottest summer in Europe since 1500.

      It also seems than Hans Erren does not share that conclusion, and in an article at A debatable European summer temperature since 1500 he suggests that the summer of 1540 rivals the summer of 2003 in the category of hot European summers.

      Among the points of contention are the accuracy of tree ring, and other, proxies for temperatures, as well as the validity of extrapolation of small geographic area information to large geographic areas. You may find the discussion interesting.

      Let me mention an aspect that particularly caught my attention. In the comparison of the Luterbacher et al. graph with a graph based on the Pfister index, the Pfister index indicates that the notorious summer of 1816 was particularly cold, which seems quite plausible to me; the Luterbacher et al. graph does not, which seems not quite so plausible to me.

      Was there a tree ring problem, an extrapolation problem, or what?"

      http://members.lycos.nl/errenwijlens/co2/errenvslu terbacher.htm

      Ice mass: lost the link somewhere, but there have been credible papers published that the total ice mass of Antarctide is actually GAINING in recent years. Similar with e.g. Pacific temperatures, they've been falling.

      Oh, and last but not least: the pre-industrial levels of CO2 (claimed 280-290 CO2 ppmv before Industrial Revolution) have been FALSIFIED. Heard me? It's a FRAUD.

      How does THAT reflect on the credibility of people making such claims?

      --
      Python is nice quick and flexible... but it provides so much rope a monkey would hang the whole ecosystem with it. -- in
    9. Re:Wild extrapolation here we come... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      At least he provided data. You provide only babble.

      I'm sorry. Did you miss the link? Try reading the whole post before replying. I know it's hard during the commercial breaks on the O'Reilly show, but you could at least try.

    10. Re:Wild extrapolation here we come... by bbdb · · Score: 1

      Shit, one can't trust anything out there apparently...

      Thanks for the link anyway..

      --
      Python is nice quick and flexible... but it provides so much rope a monkey would hang the whole ecosystem with it. -- in
    11. Re:Wild extrapolation here we come... by groomed · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry. Did you miss the link?

      The link, dimwit, contains precisely the sort of babble of which the proximity to reality is being questioned. To wit:

      a) Satellite and weatherballoon data doesn't show significant warming
      b) Panel insists global warming must nevertheless be occurring

    12. Re:Wild extrapolation here we come... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Ok. I guess I have to hold your hand.

      Do you see the pretty little pictures on this page? Do you know what those are? Those are called bar charts. Do you know what bar charts are? Well class, bar charts are how we represent data in a graphical form so that it is easier to see trends. Isn't that neat? But, that's not all!!! Shit you say. There are even footnotes that give us the sources of the data in the graphs. I'm telling you it's crazy, you can't make this stuff up.

      Don't give up yet! There's even more data here. WOW!!! That data has footnotes too. These scientist people are crazy with their wacky agendas I tell you, but they have gone overboard with it this time:



      Lookey here. They even address uncertainties in the data. Those guys just don't quit. They are crazy with their dimwitted scientific method. That didn't stop them in their dimwittedness though:



      Do you feel like you're the moron yet? If not, please consult your local yellow pages under "Psychiatry."
    13. Re:Wild extrapolation here we come... by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 1
      Oh, and last but not least: the pre-industrial levels of CO2 (claimed 280-290 CO2 ppmv before Industrial Revolution) have been FALSIFIED. Heard me?

      I heard you. Except there is exactly zero supporting evidence for your claim. Considering that most people who do this for a living conclude that Global Climate Change (coming from an overall increase in average temperatures), I'd take their opinion over nitpicking such as "1540 could have been hotter than 2003". Come to think of it, all falsifications I've read so far seem to revolve around "it could be something else" or "it's not definite proof". The problem is that all the evidence taken together indicates that something massive is afoot. Too many things are starting to indicate that the global warming models are correct (or at least going in the right direction). Arguing that they might not be completely accurate is starting to sound like arguing whether that fire in your house is going to burn it down to the foundations or merely gut the top floor.

      --
      Those who can, do. Those who can't, sue.
    14. Re:Wild extrapolation here we come... by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 1
      The root of the matter is that you and your cronies fundamentally oppose the wealth and affluence (and, yes, the inherent waste) of the society we live in, and will use any excuse at your disposal to curb its further growth, be it global warming, overpopulation, the dawning of a new ice age, nuclear scares, peak oil or worried aliens.

      Wow. You just managed to prove his point in one blindingly arrogant sentence.

      At least he provided data. You provide only babble.

      I'm starting to think that babble for you is stuff that disturbs your happiness while driving your SUV. 2 minutes of googling brings up the next link. There's about 2 million more out there, thanks to a strong consensus by people who do this for a living. But I'm sure it's just babble to you. http://www.whrc.org/resources/online_publications/ warming_earth/scientific_evidence.htm/

      --
      Those who can, do. Those who can't, sue.
    15. Re:Wild extrapolation here we come... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tree ring samples from around the planet indicate longer growing seasons and warmer growing seasons in the last 150 years,

      I took some water measurements at the ocean this morning and I calculate that within 3 days we're all going to be 10 foot underwater!11one!!evelenty!!1

    16. Re:Wild extrapolation here we come... by groomed · · Score: 1
      Look, you're a fanatic and a jackass with the good fortune to live in an era where fanatics and jackasses rule the world. Which is why there is really no point in arguing with you or upholding the pretense of a cultured back-and-forth; you'll just yell, snark and cajole your way back to the consensus reality you find so comforting. Still one remains hopeful that even a boor like you might recognize the bright flame of reason as a liberation from, rather than as a threat to his miserable existence, and it is in that spirit that I shall leave you with the following:

      • On average, CO2 and Methane make up less than 0.1-0.01% of the Earth's atmosphere, combined. To be sure, this is a very, very small amount. Kyoto strives to reduce CO2 emissions by 5%. The approximate cost of this reduction, which is miniscule and wholly within the margin of error on a global scale, amounts to tens of billions of dollars which can no longer be invested in education, medicine or social benefits. Is this good governance or just fanaticism?

      • NASA has presented evidence of increased solar radiation since the '70s and postulated a link to climate change -- not just on Earth, but on Mars and Pluto as well, where measurements have shown unprecedented polar ice cap shrinkage over the past half decade. Why is this fact never mentioned in media reporting on the phenomenon on climate change?

      • To the extent that the climate is indeed changing, regardless of the cause, we are extremely poor at predicting the local effects of this change and we do not know to what extent we are capable of controlling it. Spending billions trying to avert a disaster, the magnitude of which is unknown and may be very small indeed, that may happen sometime in the next century or perhaps not at all, that we may not be able to avert in the first place, while every winter an increasing number of old people in the developed world are freezing to death because they can't pay their energy bills and levees are being underfunded, is that good governance or just a really expensive form of penitence for the perpetual guilt-trip of the fanatic?
    17. Re:Wild extrapolation here we come... by groomed · · Score: 1

      There's about 2 million more out there, thanks to a strong consensus by people who do this for a living.

      Again, science is not a consensus discipline. For example, the strong consensus in the '70s was that we were about to enter a new ice age. Nothing of the sort seems to be the case today. In a very real sense, scientific progress comes about not from the 100 corroborating experiments but from the single anomalous one.

      The data provided in your link is interesting but the source is obviously biased and every particular claim easily disputed. Your "2 minutes of Googling" could equally have turned up http://www.co2science.org/scripts/CO2ScienceB2C/da ta/ushcn/stationoftheweek.jsp, for example.

      More importantly your link doesn't address the fundamental questions: to what extent is the climate changing, what kinds of effects will this have, to what extent can or should we prevent it?

      The original poster, being a fanatic, doesn't entertain any of these questions. For a fanatic, it's only important to know that a) the sky is falling, b) we are to blame, and c) they are morally superior to everyone who doesn't see it that way.

      Whereas for normal people, the question is one of compromise: to what extent is climate change actually happening, to what extent can we manage or control the risks of climate change, and to what extent do we sacrifice other desirable goals in order to curb the risk.

    18. Re:Wild extrapolation here we come... by TufelKinder · · Score: 1

      Generally speaking, it's acknowledged that their might be
      as much as a sum total .5 degrees celcius increase in global
      temperature in the past century. (Although this is debated,
      obviously, we'll assume for the moment that it's accurate.)

      Can you provide any proof that it's man-caused warming?
      Can you provide any proof that it's CO2 related?

      How could we have a 20 year cooling period in the middle
      of the century when the steady increases in CO2 should've
      been causing steady increases in warming?

      --
      If liberty means anything at all, it means the right to tell people what they do not want to hear. -- George Orwell
    19. Re:Wild extrapolation here we come... by DiamondGeezer · · Score: 1

      What are you babbling about? Who says there is no warming? Not me.

      I simply point out that according to actual temperature stations in the Arctic, the current temperatures are not exceptional and appear to have been higher in the 1930s than they are today. Since climate alarmists persist in saying that its warming...and therefore...they never point out that they always measure that warming against a known cold period (the 1950s and 1960s).

      Most characteristic of the constant crying of "wolf" is the need to extrapolate from a single data point. Four polar bears appeared to have drowned, that's a shame (unless you're a seal, that is). So is this unusual? A growing trend? Nobody knows.

      I pointed out that the posterchild for linking carbon dioxide to temperatures (the so-called "Mann Hockey Stick") has been shown to have been a product of bad statistics (and pointed to the peer-reviewed article that demonstrates it). I point out that there is a study of all the multiproxy reconstructions showing that they ALL have severe mathematical conclusions that invalidate their results.

      Your link doesn't address it at all, it only deals with the last 30 years. Do you think all /.ers are that stupid?

      Yes, sea ice is diminishing. Yes, climate change is happening. But that's always been the case. The sea ice retreated in the 1920s and 1930s further back than today. A thousand years ago Erik the Red found Greenland so warm and green that they could grow crops there. It's still too cold to do that today.

      Somehow the bizarro world of climate alarmism links four dead polar bears to global catastrophe. Tune in to Reality FM.

      --
      Tubby or not tubby. Fat is the question
    20. Re:Wild extrapolation here we come... by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 1
      In a very real sense, scientific progress comes about not from the 100 corroborating experiments but from the single anomalous one.

      Correct. Who said it? "All scientific discoveries did not start with 'Eureka!' , but with 'That's funny...'"

      However, this is only true in retrospect. When we look back to the double-slit expirement, we realize that this was the moment that the wave-particle duality was proven. However, at that time, it was merely one more link in a long chain composed of multiple experiments, discussions, refutations and refinements. Science does not exist as a single experiment. Why do you think that cold fusion is regarded as a joke? Because the single experiment that did show a net energy gain could never be properly reproduced.

      In short, the single anomalous experiment can be start, but also a dead end. Only hind sight can show which it is. In the meantime, consensus is all you can go on. Unless you're willing to do the research yourself. And at that point, you'll realize that what matters is neither 100% consensus nor a single paper or data set. What does matter is whether the current data has been thoroughly analyzed, and that the conclusions have been independently verified.

      More importantly your link doesn't address the fundamental questions: to what extent is the climate changing, what kinds of effects will this have, to what extent can or should we prevent it?

      Absolutely. It also wasn't intended to. It was simply intended to provide a counterpoint. The fact that it was easy to find underscored the fact that simply throwing quotations is not only easy, but also completely pointless. It doesn't advance the discussion. However, there are plenty of articles on the points you mention. Specifically, the two biggest studies done on the subject so far are the IPCC (http://www.ipcc.ch/) and UN (http://unfccc.int/). It has plenty of info on all your questions.

      --
      Those who can, do. Those who can't, sue.
    21. Re:Wild extrapolation here we come... by fluffy666 · · Score: 1

      Again, science is not a consensus discipline. For example, the strong consensus in the '70s was that we were about to enter a new ice age.

      Utter rubbish. But standard fare from 'skeptics' who are curiously credulous of whatever supports what they already believe.

      In a very real sense, scientific progress comes about not from the 100 corroborating experiments but from the single anomalous one.

      Again, garbage. Progress comes from the 100 corrobarating experiments that may have been suggested by the original anomoly. It does NOT come from throwing out existing theories because of a single one off result. The 'isolated hero' model of science is just hollywood bunkum.

      If you think that picking out individual temperature recored proves anything apart from a complete ignorance of stastitics, then again you are talking rubbish. Come back when you've finished kindergarten.

    22. Re:Wild extrapolation here we come... by groomed · · Score: 1
      Again, garbage. Progress comes from the 100 corrobarating experiments that may have been suggested by the original anomoly. It does NOT come from throwing out existing theories because of a single one off result. The 'isolated hero' model of science is just hollywood bunkum.

      I was referring to Popper's falsification principle. A thousand white swans might support the hypothesis that all swans are white, but just a single black swan disproves it.

      Now the problem with the global warming hypothesis is that it has become increasingly resistant to falsification. We are finding a number of black or at least grey swans;

      • Measurements from sattelites and weatherballoons fail to show the expected increase in upper air temperature.
      • Ice core measurements show that an increase in CO2 has historically never preceded an increase in temperature, but always trailed it. As such CO2 can be ruled out as a causal agent (although it is likely to play a sustaining role).
      • NASA readings link increased solar radiation to unprecedented polar ice cap melting on Mars and Pluto as well as Earth; this would certainly suggest a strong non-human component to any real or perceived climate change here on Earth.
      • CO2 and Methane constitute a tiny, tiny fraction of the Earth's atmosphere, on the order of 0.1% to 0.01%. So far nobody has conclusively demonstrated how fluctuations in such a tiny quantity might effect the huge predicted changes in climate.

      Taken together, these observations raise serious questions about the degree to which we understand global warming and the degree to which we can or should prevent it.

      That the Earth is getting warmer on average is probably a given; everyone is familiar with the fact that the temperature in big cities can be up to a full degree or two higher than in the countryside, and combined with the fact that the planet is becoming increasingly urbanized, it stands to reason that the Earth's temperature will have increased by some amount over the last 50 or 100 years.

      The real question is whether this is a problem. And to the extent that it is indeed a problem, what is the best solution? It costs billions and billions to effect the few percent CO2 emission reduction as required by Kyoto; but the evidence for CO2 being a causal agent in global warming is very thin; and the ultimate effect of this reduction in terms of e.g. environmental damage or sea level rise is unpredictable and perhaps negligible. Then considering all this, and considering that all the money we sink into emission reductions can no longer be spent on projects that have a directly measurable effect, such as better public transport, or wildlife conservation, or water management; is this really a windmill we want to be tilting at?
  53. Of course by Mark_MF-WN · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Of course -- major extinctions are SUPPOSED to take place in the span of 50 years. People die of heart-attacks all the time too. But it's different when it's YOUR fault. If you cause something, you are morally responsible for it. Oh right... the thousands of papers supporting global warming (and the one or two contradicting it, written by ECONOMISTS) are just a liberal conspiracy, I forgot.

    1. Re:Of course by tacocat · · Score: 1

      You touched on the cornerstone of why it's not being addressed as much as it is. Economics.

      In a way you could argue that we are all addicted to Economics to the extent that nothing of significance will take place to change human behaviour unless there is an economic force acting behind it. The Pony Express was prohibitively expensive, difficult, and inefficient. It lasted about a year. But it was the most economical method of quickly delivering mail across the country until the railroad was completed.

      The internet was largely a toy for academics and geeks until someone realized that money could be made. After that it was an avalanche of activity to get on the internet as both a client/user and a server/storefront. Today, the super-majority of the internet is all about making money.

      Alternative Energy has been around since the 1960's but it's still something that has minimal adoption. This is the result of it's cost to start and return on investment. Why don't we all live in hyper efficient off-grid homes? Because for the same amount of money I can get a much larger house and that's exactly what most people end up doing.

      If you disagree with the idea that economics is the engine for everything that human civilization does today, consider this. The EU recently put into place a law for B-2 diesel fuel to be standard. This has put a tremendous economic pressure to develop bio-diesel. The most economic source for bio-diesel today is to use Palm Trees. This has put an economic pressure to start up Palm tree plantations. Do you know what they are doing about this? They are cutting down rain forests to build palm tree plantations to make bio-diesel to help the EU fight global warming. Does it makes sense environmentally? Does it make sense economically? Economics win.

      I'm not actually aware of ANYTHING that has been done contrary to this economic force which was a voluntary action of the people participating in a civilization. Dolphin free Tuna was lobbied by small groups. California's higher than Federally mandated emissions is driven by the State government, not economics. Californians tolerate the extra costs incurred for the emissions regulations, but probably not by much. Perhaps they realize there isn't much choice for them because places like Los Angeles has very intolerant geographical features with respect to pollution.

      So this will continue until there is either an economic force introduced to make it worthwhile to shift or for some government to actually get enough momentum built to legislate is. Take heed: the EU did it and we are losing rainforests as the result of it.

      Personally, I think it would be valuable to add a federal tax to all fossil-fuels (diesel, gasoline, kerosene) to the effect of about $3.00 per gallon to be used for the development and subsidization of alternative energies that compete in the same segment of the market. If you really want to have an effect, take $3.00 away from the gas guzzling SUV and give $3.00 to the biodiesel or electric vehicle geek and watch the industry turn around.

      And no, not hydrogen fuel cells. They aren't cost/energy effective solutions. They consume more energy than they produce in the long run. Just like Ethanol.

  54. But what about the deal w/ Coke? by d_force · · Score: 1

    But, surely all of those Coke endorsements will save the polar bears!

    /me drinks more Coke...

    --
    SELECT * FROM USERS WHERE A_WINNER = "YUO";
  55. But Islam means peace... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    http://www.tcsdaily.com/article.aspx?id=121505E
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Theo_van_Gogh_(film_d irector)
    http://www.jihadwatch.org/
    http://today.reuters.com/News/newsArticle.aspx?typ e=topNews&storyID=2005-12-18T102039Z_01_FLE836834_ RTRUKOC_0_US-IRAN-ISRAEL.xml

    Anyone who can still deny the threat that Islam presents to the freedoms we hold dear in the West is just not paying attention, or they're just afraid of ending up like Theo Van Gogh.

  56. Am I just a sick puppy ... by krumms · · Score: 1

    ... or do other people find the idea of drowning polar bears funny?

  57. Probably yet another lie by econuts. by bbdb · · Score: 1, Troll

    Flooding with poor propaganda is just that, a propaganda. It's probably like that "study" with certain species of butterfly being given nothing but GM plant to eat and then concluding "GM plants are killing the butteflies". This type of organizations is filled with maniacs bent on spreading hysteria or else they lose publicity. Seals dying, bears cannibalizing on each other, seas rising (even though there is good evidence sea level has actually FALLEN by some 20 cm since the 19th century), omigod, the sky is falling as result of global warming. Best to ignore that nonsense.

    --
    Python is nice quick and flexible... but it provides so much rope a monkey would hang the whole ecosystem with it. -- in
    1. Re:Probably yet another lie by econuts. by wes33 · · Score: 1

      Say, where is your evidence that global mean sea level (not at some local, selected spot) has fallen since the 19th century.

      I read, after 10 seconds on google, here that:

      "Sea level is indeed rising. This determination is made when one averages changes in sea level over the entire globe for the past century. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has estimated that the global average sea level has risen 10 to 25 cm (4 to 10 inches) in the past century. However, sea level is affected by many factors, including local ones, so sea level change at any single location may be either a rise, a fall, or no change at all."

      Of course, nasa and the IPCC may be just lying about this. So we need to see the counter evidence.

    2. Re:Probably yet another lie by econuts. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      " so sea level change at any single location may be either a rise, a fall, or no change at all."

      So this change could not actually exist is what they are saying? Could it be that in the last century, we've been able to more accuratly measure the level of the seas as we got closer to the present? Or maybe it's due to land masses shifting, rising, sinking, etc... Seems that shifts in land masses could alter tides, currents, depths. Could be any number of things. But I guarentee that 100 years ago, they were not getting daily reading from thousands of tide stations.

    3. Re:Probably yet another lie by econuts. by bbdb · · Score: 1

      Evidence:

      http://www.john-daly.com/deadisle/index.htm

      John Daly's evidence is absolutely compelling. Note that it has been presented at Royal Society and generally praised. It's a very thorough work, not some crankish confabulation. So far nobody has been able to present good argument why Daly's work was wrong.

      Note the interesting censorship by the BBC reporters:

      http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/467007.stm

      BBC version:

      "... John Daly's interpretation has been dismissed by Dr David Pugh, from the Southampton Oceanography Centre, UK. Dr Pugh has gone over Lempriere's original work which had been buried in the Royal Society's archives. The Southampton scientist is now assisting CSIRO in their current research programme. "John Daly has taken the mark, which is a nice clear bench mark, and said 'that is the mean level of the sea at that time', and it wasn't," says Dr Pugh. "From all the evidence we know it was the high water level at that time - it's like the difference between mid-tide and high-tide. He's wrong." "

      Daly's remarks:

      " In rejecting the Ross testimony, Pugh et al. are essentially rejecting two items of information given in that narrative, not just one. They reject the notion that the benchmark was stuck at Mean Sea Level (MSL) as stated clearly (and several times) in the narrative, and they reject the method described by Ross, namely the use of previous tide data to arrive at an estimate of MSL. Pugh et al. base this rejection on two grounds - the height of water in Lempriere's tide gauge (6ft 1in), as given by both witnesses who read the now-lost `curious little stone' and, the time given by one of them, 4.44 p.m. in Mr. Mason's version [4, 7]. That for them was enough to negate the Ross narrative both as to the height struck and the method by which it was struck, even though Mason reported the stone and the writing on it as being damaged. Instead they believe Lempriere acted alone, and contrary to what Ross said. But the above narrative shows that to be a risky option for Lempriere - "the Governor, whom I had accompanied on an official visit to the settlement, gave directions to afford Mr. Lempriere every assistance of labourers he required, to have the mark cut deeply in the rock in the exact spot which his tidal observations indicated as the mean level of the ocean." An order from your colonial Governor in the context of the British Empire of Victorian days is not something to be flouted lightly, and definitely not in a convict colony like Port Arthur where the authorities already had suitable accommodation for recalcitrants."

      " In rejecting the Ross testimony, Pugh et al. are essentially rejecting two items of information given in that narrative, not just one. They reject the notion that the benchmark was stuck at Mean Sea Level (MSL) as stated clearly (and several times) in the narrative, and they reject the method described by Ross, namely the use of previous tide data to arrive at an estimate of MSL"
      ------------

      See the trick? The original researcher (Ross) stated CLEARLY HE WAS MARKING MEAN SEA LEVEL. John Daly presented the evidence as well as described that in his paper. Dr Pugh has simply denied it, BBC faithfully reported denial ignoring Ross' own writing plus all the illogical problems with it found by Daly, and that was it.

      Do NOT trust the journalists.

      --
      Python is nice quick and flexible... but it provides so much rope a monkey would hang the whole ecosystem with it. -- in
    4. Re:Probably yet another lie by econuts. by Bazzalisk · · Score: 1
      I don't disagree on any particular point (except the falling sea-level - you're wrong about that)- but simply because one side of the question is full of media-whore fanatics using bad science doesn't mean that that side is wrong.

      Were that the case we'd have to conclude that both sides were utterly wrong ...

      --
      James P. Barrett
    5. Re:Probably yet another lie by econuts. by wes33 · · Score: 1

      It's an interesting article, but seems to be about a certain port in Tasmania. Nobody but nobody thinks that everyplace on every coast will have the same sea level rise. The nasa link discusses this. How does the Daly work show that mean sea level of the earth is not rising?

    6. Re:Probably yet another lie by econuts. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You sure seem to have a lot of posts under this article, most in the tone of "don't trust these econuts, they're scaremongering, they cook their numbers, etc.". Do I smell a motive?

  58. At least we can then play... by abulafia · · Score: 4, Funny
    --
    I forget what 8 was for.
  59. Why you're busy bitching by TheConfusedOne · · Score: 0

    You might want to rail against those "Republicans" who voted unanimously against Kyoto in the sense of the Senate resolution back when the enlightened Bill Clinton and Albert "The Environment in Balance" Gore were running the show.

    Until you acknowledge that this isn't simply "the damn Republicans want to destroy everything for a buck" your arguments are needlessly inflammatory.

    --
    --- I wish I could hear the soundtrack to my life. That way I'd know when to duck.
  60. Mars Cycle by palad1 · · Score: 1

    You just finished reading KSR's Mars Trilogy didn't you?

  61. Now-wait-a-minute-here-Coke-Conspiracy-detected by HellYeahAutomaton · · Score: 1

    How do we know that these drowning polar bears aren't liberal Democrats on one of those "roughing it" getaway weekends while the Republican polar bears are slowly dying a death from The Conspiracy of high fructose corn syrup Coca-Cola? They must be trying to get to Canada to find some cane sugar Coke.

    Every species must have its political factions as well as its Darwin awards.

  62. Mothra! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...with certain species of butterfly being given nothing but GM plants to eat...

    Somehow I can't help but picture mothra pigging out on the chevrolet assembly factory.

    I, for one, welcome our new winged overlords!

  63. Re:loss-loss by c_forq · · Score: 0

    The American people are too stupid and too uninterested in politics to do anything about it.

    More like the American people don't want to bite the hand that feeds them. American has a history of isolationism, now that we have been forced into the global market we are still going to be as isolationist as possible, so that translates to only caring about Americans.

    --
    Computers allow humans to make mistakes at the fastest speeds known, with the possible exception of tequila and handguns
  64. It's obvious what's causing this global warming.. by musakko · · Score: 1

    Al Qaeda have completed their weather-machine!

  65. More non scientific clutter by robbhar · · Score: 2, Informative

    Another good example of how the non-scientists at Time can mangle a study to their own views. Anyone care to get the actual study and review it instead? Good clue how they have missed the issues again - read this slowly, "However, last summer the ice cap receded about 200 miles further north than the average of two decades ago, forcing the bears to undertake far longer voyages between floes." When can we get the global warming issue out of the political MSM and back to the scientists?

  66. Re:white bears swim to "find food". Black bears lo by ShadowBlasko · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I know this was a joke, but you *are* aware that Polar Bears are actually black right?

    Black with white (dense) hollow hair, that acts similar to millions of small fiber optic pieces to channel light down to the black skin, where it is more efficiently used.

    So, more accurately think of an old black man with white hair. I know a few of those, and they are pretty cool!

    --
    There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order- Ed Howdershelt Via Tass
  67. How old is the Polar Bear species? by tentimestwenty · · Score: 1

    Your theory is all well and good, but how old is the polar bear species? Over 100 years? How old are other species that WE'VE wiped out? Older than 100 years? The fact is that none of these species are going to survive because none can adapt quick enough. Sure "nature" will survive but it will be so different from what we have now that it would be hard with good conscious not to consider our responsibility in bringing it about. I guess you're just hoping that humans don't make it to have to deal with the consequences of having no animal species to live amongst?

    1. Re:How old is the Polar Bear species? by jonastullus · · Score: 1

      Sure "nature" will survive but it will be so different from what we have now that it would be hard with good conscious not to consider our responsibility in bringing it about. I guess you're just hoping that humans don't make it to have to deal with the consequences of having no animal species to live amongst?

      apart from the "hoping that humanity will not make it" part you've just beautifully summarized my point. "nature" will survive global warming, humanity might, but will we want to live in a world so different from ours?

      easy question, easy answer, so let's fix this global warming problem! (no ethics attached)

    2. Re:How old is the Polar Bear species? by Halfbaked+Plan · · Score: 1

      Near as I can tell (and it's hard, what with having to sift through all the hysteria and hype) polar bears have been drowning for as long as they've existed as a species and used ice floes as a means of transportation.

      Have you seen the new movie 'Chicken Little'?? There is a whole crowd of people involved in this discussion who would probably enjoy it a lot.

      Mellow out. It might mean living a life with a little more ambiguous 'purpose' but give it a try.

      --
      resigned
  68. My daughter's room makes me sad by gearmonger · · Score: 1
    Like many toddlers, it's decorated...littered, really...with images and figures of wild animals -- polar bears, lions, tigers, gorillas, etc.

    And she probably won't reach adulthood with all of these creatures still in existence in the wild.

    Sure, we've celebrated them to the point of even surrounding our children with their virtual presence, yet we let them slide into extinction all the same.

    We are poor, stupid, short-sighted stewards of this planet.

    1. Re:My daughter's room makes me sad by kencurry · · Score: 1

      mine does also;

      only, she's a teenager, and its full of pop-shithead posters and dirty laundry.

      --
      sigs are for losers (except to point out that sigs are for losers)
  69. Smog in LA by aplusjimages · · Score: 1

    Come on we all know the polar caps melting is all natural, just like the smog in LA. Humans didn't cause that, God did. I blame God and his pal Jesus.

    --
    Can I bum a sig?
  70. Not the same by Stan+Vassilev · · Score: 1

    "polar bears drowning" is not even close to "they have to travel longer to do their job now" There are animals that travel a lot longer to survive, survival of the fittest you know.

  71. FYI by soundoff · · Score: 2, Informative

    Actually, the effects of the depletion of the ozone layer and global warming on each other is pretty circular- UVB destroys small phytoplankton in the Antarctic. This contributes to global warming [see HERE], as well as a collapse in the polar and sub-polar oceanic food supply. I also hope you appreciate that global warming helps to slow the repair of the ozone layer by raising the temperature of the stratosphere. Just because you haven't been taught something, it doesn't mean it's wrong. And yes, the UVB is absorbed no matter *where* it's absorbed, but to be honest I'd rather it were absorbed higher up, and not by the micro-organisms that help to keep our climate stable. In any case, the ozone disappearing and reappearing *is* cyclical, but most recent science takes it for granted that CFCs and our activities on earth are seriously affecting that pattern.

    1. Re:FYI by bbdb · · Score: 1

      Actually, the effects of the depletion of the ozone layer and global warming on each other is pretty circular- UVB destroys small phytoplankton in the Antarctic. This contributes to global warming [see HERE], as well as a collapse in the polar and sub-polar oceanic food supply.

      I could point out dozens of flaws in this theory (e.g. what's the actual, real rate of such destruction? how do you know if it is anywhere near significant?) and counter that competent scientists themselves believe little in such shallow factoids as you claim, e.g. here:

      http://www.faqs.org/faqs/ozone-depletion/uv/

      "Subject: 7.) Are sheep going blind in Chile?

      If they are, it's not because of ozone depletion.

      For a short period each year, the edge of the ozone hole passes over Tierra del Fuego, at the southern end of the South American continent. This has led to a flurry of reports of medical damage to humans and livestock. Dermatologists claim that they are seeing more patients with sun-related conditions, nursery owners report damage to plants, a sailor says that his yacht's dacron sails have become brittle, and a rancher declares that 50 of his sheep, grazing at high altitudes, suffer "temporary cataracts" in the spring. (_Newsweek_, 9 December 1991, p. 43; NY Times, 27 July 1991, p. C4; 27 March 1992, p. A7).

      These claims are hard to believe. At such a high latitude, springtime UV-B is naturally very low and the temporary increase due to ozone depletion still results in a UV fluence that is well below that found at lower latitudes. Moreover, the climate of Patagonia is notoriously cold and wet. (There is actually more of a problem in the summer, after the hole breaks up and ozone-poor air drifts north. The ozone depletion is smaller, but the background UV intensity is much higher.) There may well be effects on _local_ species, adapted to low UV levels, but even these are not expected to appear so soon. It was only in 1987 that the hole grew large enough to give rise to significant UV increases in southern Chile, and cataracts and malignant melanomas take many years to develop."

      --
      Python is nice quick and flexible... but it provides so much rope a monkey would hang the whole ecosystem with it. -- in
    2. Re:FYI by bbdb · · Score: 1

      Oh, and I wouldn't trust ANYTHING that 'new scientist' is publishing: it's total trash. I would have double-checked Archimedes law if they published article on it.

      It appears that playing an agenda for publicity with dubious claims is catching up to more and more scientists and people working around science (such as science reporters), sadly. The general attitude of such people is throw any claim supporting this vague feeling, smth plausible, not really adequate, since it is all taken on faith anyway. This is the standard approach of the whiners presenting their version of Standard Litany of Doom.

      --
      Python is nice quick and flexible... but it provides so much rope a monkey would hang the whole ecosystem with it. -- in
  72. Go ahead, mod me a troll... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That doesn't change reality. I refer you to the French, the Dutch, and now the Australians. Ignorance of the true nature of Islam will not alter the reality that the West is on the cusp of a battle for survival against a barbaric horde. Denial, appeasement, and suppression of the truth about the nature of the enemy are not effective tactics in this battle.

  73. Funny by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Liberals think that this adds credibility to global warming.

    It is nothing but a punchline.

  74. freeze to death in the dark by p51d007 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    And how long will it be till the enviro-wackos like yourself tell us to quit doing anything and just die, so the earth will go back to its old self? The earth has been warming LONGER than we've even been on this planet you idiot. Typical response from someone who was probably schooled in a government school.

    1. Re:freeze to death in the dark by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

      There is a subtle (or not so subtle) psychological kick one gets from believing one is "onto something big". This is used to support environmentalism, or religious fervor, or other political fervor.

      "I know something, and it's so god damned important I'm gonna ram it down your throat whether you want to believe or not."

      It's like watching chipmonks fight, except that they drag me down with them.

      --
      (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
  75. Your 'proof' isn't what you say it is by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Your link to the national academies org site only says they need better monitoring equipment and methods because they're producing junk data right now.

    This doesn't make your point. It completely destroys your point.

    The sky is falling and will keep falling as long as it funds someone's science project.

    Then when it doesn't fall they'll want funding to study why it hasn't fallen yet.

  76. We don't deny that Global Warming is happening... by Rize · · Score: 1

    We deny that it is caused by people. The earth has been undergoing warm/cool cycles for millions of years. Nature's a bitch, get over it.

  77. Re:white bears swim to "find food". Black bears lo by jafiwam · · Score: 1

    Never heard about that before.

    Discovery channel has been saying it's hollow = boyant so the bear can swim with less effort.

    It could do both I suppose.

  78. Puppies will die!! by Halfbaked+Plan · · Score: 0, Troll

    Quick! Fetch the zoom lens! We need a few heart-rending shots of some poor critter suffering and dying, just like they've always suffered and died, to use in pushing our Sociopolitical Agenda!

    --
    resigned
  79. Wrong problem by cdrguru · · Score: 1
    The problem isn't that it is too expensive to do anything - it is that it is too expensive to do the wrong thing. Sure, stopping all unnecessary use of fossil fuels would be something, but what is necessary? Air travel? Shipping? Personal automobiles? Ambulances? There is no real energy transport mechanism that is both (a) practical and (b) usable today that can replace gasoline. There is no universally acceptable energy source for running power plants besides fossil fuels today. So, we can either turn the switch off or we can keep working. I disagree with those that want to turn the switch off.

    The other part of the problem is if we do something active today we have really no idea of what the result might be. It could be that the only thing that is keeping glacial ice from burying New York City is the current level of CO2. It could also be that without immediate, drastic elimination of all production of carbon - i.e., burning - we face a runaway heat cycle where the surface of the Earth will be like Venus in 50 years. Sadly, we have no idea which way to jump. And guessing "conservatively" in favor of reduced emissions - like 1990 levels - is likely a feel-good measure without any real results. Sure, it might help everyone's attitude, but it isn't going to make much difference if the necessary level is where we were in 1790.

    The one thing that might help - a massive war which would eliminate at least 25% of the population of the Earth - is getting closer and closer all the time. That would solve the problem for a very long time, especially since it would be most of the first-world countries that would be hit the hardest.

  80. Re:yes . . . if that was the only thing in the wor by Firethorn · · Score: 1

    Oh, I won't argue that it could be a contributer to polar bear's extinction in the wild. It's just that I feel certain that until something more severe happens there will still be enclaves of polar bears.

    I won't argue that people shouldn't keep an eye on it, or that nothing should necessarily be done. Like somebody else posted, there might be ways to plant buoys/rest spots. And yeah, they're very good swimmers, not much to improve on there without some sacrifices on other fronts.

    I'm fully aware that evolution tends to refine and eliminate species. I remember that occasionally there is an explosion of new species, most of which die off very quickly(over half of them in a few thousand years). Then it gradually slopes off until you get to today, where you're down to a few per year, instead of hundreds.

    What I haven't seen is any sort of explanation for the 'explosion'. The creationists might of had an arguement if they had an explanation for that, but if they do I haven't heard it. It's part of the reason that I say that evolution is a observation of current events, not an explanation of how life began.

    And no, I don't go 'hurrah' at the deaths of animals that aren't trying to eat me. ;)

    What always gets me is why so many 'greens' seem to want stasis. This and that change are always 'A threat to ...'. I love when I hear about placements of artificial reefs, reforestation, bird nests, etc. Improvements in habitat.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
  81. Re:white bears swim to "find food". Black bears lo by Chmcginn · · Score: 2, Insightful
    I know this was a joke, but you *are* aware that Polar Bears are actually black right?

    This is kind of a debateable point. When you're talking about an animal that is, normally, covered entirely in fur, it's fairly standard to refer to it as its fur color, not its skin color. (For instance, I would say my dog is tan & white, not pink & brown. Unless you shaved her. In which case she'd probably get upset with you.) I guess it would be more correct to say that polar bears have white fur & black skin. (Although I thought it was more brown... Or was that artic foxes?)

    --
    Have you been touched by his noodly appendage?
  82. Who died and made us god? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Since when are we "stewards" of this planet?

    That is such an incredibly arrogant thing to say.

    Also, in the case of the animals you're talking about, if any of them go extinct it won't be to "globabl warming" (whatever happened to the ice age they promised when I was a kid?), it'll be to humans expanding into their habitats.

    Why? Because improved access to food and medical care with no natural predators has created essentially no limits to human population growth. Only some sort of world wide plague or an asteroid hit will reverse growth rates at this point. And fresh water, that's a problem too.

    Bears and tigers and oh my! it's global warming!

    1. Re:Who died and made us god? by gearmonger · · Score: 1
      As the only significant population of sentient beings on the planet capable of widespread and/or purposeful modification of ecosystems, we act as "stewards" despite us not being granted that authority by anyone.

      If we were like every other animal on the planet and had no ability to wreck global havok on the environment, then we could go about our merry lives just as they do: living for the moment and just focusing on the day-to-day struggle for survival.

      However, we *do* have the capability and we *do* have the intelligence to consider the long-term consequences of our actions. Therefore, we must act like we are stewards even though nobody officially assigned us that title.

    2. Re:Who died and made us god? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Additionally, for those who don't like logic, but take the first part of the Bible seriously. It says man should be taking care of "the garden".

  83. algae - hydrogen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Have you ever heard of hydrogen produced by algae?
    And no, it's not yet ripe for highly effective mass-production and probably won't be for the next 10-20 years, but it's IMO the way some energy problems could be
    solved without "poluting" atomic repositories and the immanent danger of accidents
    or other catastrophic events (plus, IIRC, the Uranium resources on earth will be depleted not _much_ slower than fossile oil/gas/etc. are.)
    P.S: Yes, hydrogen can be burned and can explode, but there are solid-material tanks that are good in preventing that (although only in development, for now) IIRC.

  84. in 2025 the story reads: by cdn-programmer · · Score: 1, Troll

    Global cooling harming seal populations.

    Ice conditions in the arctic continue to deteriorate as global cooling continues to increase the size of arctic ice flows. Whereas 20 years ago Polar Bears had to swim as much as 60 miles between flows, the cooling trend over the last 2 decades has reduced the distance to as little as 1-2 miles in some cases.

    Polar bear populations have been exploding in recent years. Polar bears are preditors of baby seals (see picture of cure little seal with big brown eyes attached). Polar bears have been known to eat as much as 100 pounds of seal flesh in a single feeding. Bears can kill several seals in a single day.

    Bears search around until they find the breathing holes seals need to make through the ice in order to breath. Faced with certain death from drowing the hapless seal has no alternative other than to take her chances.

    2 decades ago the arctic was warmer than today and with the cooling, vast areas of the arctic ocean which were formerly open water are now freezing over. This further adds to the misery faced by the seals. In the past seals could simply surface in the open ocean whereas today they must not only cope with the encroaching ice, they also face certain dead either from drowning or from predatory bear attacks.

    Global cooling has been attributed to the inability of mankind to stabilize the climate.

    Fossil fuel consumption has been in decline worldwide since the peak of World Oil Production in 2007. CO2 levels are still rising but are not strong enough to offset the well recoginzed cooling trend identifed by the progression of our planet into another ice age. As the planet cools, ice continues to build up and ever greater amounts of water vapour are lost from the atmosphere. This sets on a vicious positive feedback mechanizm which will eventually culminate with a full blown glacial cycle with Glaciers to a depth of over 10,000 feet in the North Eastern part of the USA.

    The peak of the last ice age occured about 18,000 years ago and is widely recognised as the 22'nd cycle of the recent Pleistocene ice ages. The present ice ages have been gripping the earth since the cooling trend of the last 30 million years which is now recognized as being a partial consequence of the mountain building which peaked in the Miocene and which continues today in areas like the Himalyan Ranges.

    The present cooling trend is thought to be the beginning of another ice age which is anticipated sometime during the next 20,000 years. In the past glacial cycles occured with a frequency of about 110,000 years and are caused by the variations in the Earth's orbit (Milankovitch cycles).

    For more information please check Christopher Scotese's paleoclimate website: http://www.scotese.com/lastice.htm

    1. Re:in 2025 the story reads: by Groundhog_Day · · Score: 1

      Some scientists believe that global warming will trigger a new ice age. Greenland's glaciers have been moving more rapidly into the sea lately thus producing more icebergs. So it is assumed that Greenland's ice shelf is melting rapidly but satellite data shows that more moisture is falling as snow over Greenland and that the ice shelf actually grew higher (2 or 3 inches). If more moisture falls as snow over northern Canada and Siberia then sunlight in those areas will be reflected back into space, the snow will not melt and next season it will pile up even higher, and within a few thousand years it could be huge... another ice age.

    2. Re:in 2025 the story reads: by cdn-programmer · · Score: 1

      Your logic is correct but it has nothing to do with the presumed warming which BTW is not at all proved. Paleoclimatologists are now starting to debunk the myth of Global Warming.

      Lots of land at high elevation is connected with global cooling and we have had a great deal of mountain building since the end of the Creataceous (65 million years ago). if you check Scotese's section on the Miocene he elaborates on this: http://www.scotese.com/moreinfo15.htm

      This may have been enough to tip us into the present snow ball earth. However it is more likely that it was a number of factors working together and the mountain building is just one of them.

      Nevertheless once we cooled and the poles froze over - at that point the Milankovitch cycles clearly are enough to cause repeated glaciation and interglacials and we are presently in an interglacial.

      Over the last say 30 million years there has been a great deal of erosion of the high elevation land mass... yet there is still a large amount of land mass at high elevation. So where this leaves us with regard to whether the earth is stable in a hot house phase or snowball phase is an open question. I rather think we are stable in either phase and nobody knows where the boundries are.

      In addition we have the cosmic radiation flux and this varies depending on where the solar system is in our trip around the galaxy. Presently it is argued that the flux is high and this results in a greater amount of cloud cover. This in turn increases the reflection of incident solar radiation.

      The press however ignores this for the most part and still focuses on CO2. The truth of the matter is that it is quite easy to see that CO2 has a minimal effect at levels under say 10,000's PPM and presently these levels are at about 370 PPM. In the past CO2 did have an effect, and is probably responsible for the cycles in the precambrian where the planet is likely to have frozen all the way down to the equator. The distribution of Precambrian tilites supports this.

      With the earth completely frozen over then CO2 which was still being released by volcanic activity could not be absorbed by the oceans and indeed the amount of photosynthesis was reduced due to the frozen climate... and in this environment CO2 would have built up to several 10,000's PPM - like maybe 30,000 PPM or more - this would eventually be enough to start a warming.

      In this environment as the oceans at the equator melted, the CO2 would be absorbed and meanwhile as the temperatures climbed above freezing, the water vapour in the atmosphere would have climbed back into the 10,000's of PPM - so H2O back then would have replaced the CO2 as a greenhouse gas - as it has been doing since the end of the Precambrian.

      We know that CO2 levels during the Taconic Orogeny of the Ordovician were 13x to 17x greater than now. This was not enough to prevent a global cooling. Back then the planet dropped from a hot house into a snowball phase and then warmed back up again. Albeit the sun was producing less energy back then. This leaves us with the proof that high levels of CO2 back then could not keep the planet warm and the positive feedback of a hothouse earth with high water vapour levels augmented with high CO2 couldn't keep the planet warm.

      So the whole round earth did cool during the Ordovician and eventually slipped into an ice house phase (like today). Later the earth did warm up in spite of the fact that the positive feedback and low water vapour levels due to condensation of water vapour (IE the inability of the atmosphere to hold significant volumnes of water at temperatures below the dew point) could not keep the planet cold.

      Large amounts of land at high elevation may have caused the Ordovician cooling and the subsequent erosion of this land may have allowed the planet to warm up. But this explanation would be an oversimplification, and at best it is likely only a factor in the picture.

      CO2 during the Or

  85. meh - good riddance by Tumbleweed · · Score: 1

    That's what they get for not having opposable thumbs. Stupid bears.

  86. Global Warming Based on False Data!!?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  87. Let's ignore all Other Science too..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    1) The sun has had more sunspot activity, longer duration, higher degree of spin off, and more force in the spin off, than any time in our recorded history starting circa 1986. On top of this the activity is increasing. Could it have Some effect on the temperature of the Earth? I mean, it's only a few billion nuclear bombs reaching our upper atmosphere. Could the constant higher level of bombardment cause holes in the atmosphere? It depends upon whether you believe that nuclear material can cause "burning" of atmosphere or not. We have always worried about it "in theory".

    2) The sun is scheduled to go super nova, last I checked, in about a mere 10,000 years. Go figure. We suddenly have large changes in the spin off now...

    3) If you got to www.co2science.com you can get some expert opinions, from people who actually work in the field, rather than some computer program calculations based upon statistics and path plotting. I am not saying that pathing models are not useful, but they tend to be highly inaccurate, remember the sun rotating around the earth was accepted for a long time due to pathing predictions. heh.

    I am not denying changes, they are measurable. But they may be part of some other effects, and we have not been recording information for long enough period to determine what is happening. We go by 10,0000 year blocks of time for measuring changes in the past, because we have to. That does not mean the changes were not sudden, just that our tools are limited to detect that aspect.

    After spending many decades in science, both applied and theoretical, I think it is pretty arrogant to think we matter in the scheme of things. Since the advent of printed matter humans have claimed we are destroying ourselves and our world. It hasn't happened, yet our arrogance of our "power" continues.

    1. Re:Let's ignore all Other Science too..... by Wellerite · · Score: 1

      Well, I'm assuming you're either a troll or very mis-informed. But the fact someone has modded you "Insightful" is slightly disturbing so I'll have to reply.

      The lack of sources quoted in your comment makes me think they're not too credible.

      For anyone wondering if the sun is going to supernova in 10,000 years, the answer is no - see here for a good guide to our sun and here specifically for info about the end of the sun's lifetime. Spoiler Warning. For the curious, the sun will red-giant in about 5-billion years time, destroying the solar system, but it will not actually super-nova.

    2. Re:Let's ignore all Other Science too..... by heck · · Score: 1
      The sun is scheduled to go super nova, last I checked, in about a mere 10,000 years ?!?


      Last time I checked, the sun:

      • can't go supernova because it lacks enough mass
      • is a few billion years from exhuasting its hydrogen mass, and then it will switch to being a red giant


      Where'd you get your facts? Weekly World News?

  88. Alberta, Canada by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A tangent on this topic and why the bears are drowning...

    As an example of our greed for energy that drives our economies, my government has allowed coal bed methane, heavy oil and tar sands to be extracted. All this activity has been done without proper enviromental assessments. So after everyone else has consumed our resources, the province has guaranteed future generations nothing in return for these immediate gorging.

    The governments motto is sustainable development. What a F**KING crock oh shit.

    Tell that to the drowning bear, as he floats by.

    PS Wake up people, you have to make quick choices NOW...
    The prevalent NIMBY attitude does not work, this is in everyones back yard.

  89. Re:white bears swim to "find food". Black bears lo by JabberWokky · · Score: 1
    If you start talking about the color of animals when you remove their outer layers, we can just refer to all human beings as red with white and yellow streaks.

    --
    Evan

    --
    "$30 for the One True Ring. $10 each additional ring!" -- JRR "Bob" Tolkien
  90. Extinction by drowning? by n54 · · Score: 1

    First of all nice post, I see your point of view and share a wish for polar bears and animals (and plants) in general to survive but I'm way more concerned about effects of pollution on animals (and humans for that matter) than anything else including loss of habitat --only to a certain level of course: they all need "enough" habitat.

    I don't see the link between drowning (which may or may not happen often and may or may not be a new thing) and extinction since polar bears live in plenty of areas that aren't made up of freefloating ice but actually ice and snow on land.

    I can see how it might split up polar bears and decrease their numbers and so on, but not extinction. Polar bears are perfectly capable of surviving without large expanses of floating ice or for that matter cold and winter (although that would have a greater effect).

    Places that comes to mind as excellent polar bear country, which has significant landmass, and in which they've already established themselves are:
    Greenland (huge)
    parts of Siberia (huge)
    parts of Canada (huge)
    Spitsbergen/Svalbard (a small place though so it doesn't necessarily count and too far away for a swim to northern Norway (we don't actually have polar bears walking in the streets on the mainland :) )

    As far as I can understand any climate change would have to be even more drastic and sulfurfilled than the worst fantasies of fanatically religious environmentalists to make polar bears extinct. To my knowledge most climate scientists say that global warming will lead to colder weather at the poles and more precipitation (snow). Not that that's an argument in any way as they all seem to be talking out of their asses giving totally divergent and contradicting "predictions", I'll instead give credence to NASA measurements and real empirical meteorologist rather than simulation-addicted environmentalists (oops this turned into a rant, sorry about that :) ).

    Anyway I might be wrong, so if you or anyone else can fill in the gaps between the drowning and the extinction please do so.

    Disclaimer: I'm very sceptical towards the idea of human-triggered climate changes (be it warming or cooling or both and anything) as well as the strong tendency for crisis-maximizing by any and all environmental scientists (be it from honest alarm or securing funds).

    --
    this comment is provided "as is" and without any express or implied legibility or congruity [...]
    1. Re:Extinction by drowning? by RyatNrrd · · Score: 1

      I'm also very sceptical toward the idea that human activities are changing the climate. And I'm also very sceptical towards the idea that we are NOT changing it.

      Both ideas are so shrouded in vested interests and bad science that it seems impossible for an end-user like me to know what to believe.

  91. Life copes by amightywind · · Score: 1

    Evolution is a slow process; it can cope with hundreds of thousands of years. It doesn't cope with drastic changes on the order of a hundred years.

    Really? There has not yet been a catastrophic event in Earth's history that life has not coped with. The KT event that killed the dinosaurs led to the massive radiation of bird and mammal species that we know today. You don't call that drastic? The Permian-Triassic extinction wiped out an even larger percentage of species, and then back they came. The kind of hyperbole you are slinging is typical of the environmental movement today. Warming is not dire enough, so they recently announce that the gulf stream is shutting down and will put Europe in a deep freeze. Which is it guys?

    --
    an ill wind that blows no good
    1. Re:Life copes by RedCard · · Score: 1

      >>Evolution is a slow process; it can cope with hundreds of thousands of years. It doesn't cope with drastic changes on the order of a hundred years.

      >Really? There has not yet been a catastrophic event in Earth's history that life has not coped with. The KT event that killed the dinosaurs led to the massive radiation of bird and mammal species that we know today. You don't call that drastic?


      "That life has not coped with" ... Am I to assume here that you are OK with wiping out all large species, introducing a loss of complexity that will take hundreds of millions of years to return? Because life will "cope" with it?

      Generally speaking, evolution can be assumed to take place at a rate proportional to the generational time of the species in question, and survivability is largely determined by the ratio of the amount of resources available to the resources required.

      This is why bacteria have adapted so fast (~50 years) to antibiotics. They have run through hundred of millions of generations in that time. Large animals with a longer generational time can't adapt that fast. You will notice that it was predominantly the LARGE animals that were wiped out in the K-T extinction event... the animals that require more resource and with a higher generational time.

      In addition to breeding quickly, small animals such as mice use far less resources than large animals, allowing them to more easily survive such an event.

      A large animal with a relatively long generation time (such as a polar bear) cannot be expected to easily adapt to change on the order of 10s of years.

      >The Permian-Triassic extinction wiped out an even larger percentage of species, and then back they came.

      The lost species did not "come back". New species arose. This is an important difference.

    2. Re:Life copes by Toby+The+Economist · · Score: 1

      > Really? There has not yet been a catastrophic event in Earth's history that life
      > has not coped with.

      I think the whole point of being worried about global warming is that catastrophic events are best avoided.

    3. Re:Life copes by amightywind · · Score: 1

      I think the whole point of being worried about global warming is that catastrophic events are best avoided.

      And how will that be? With feel good treaties that can have no predicable affect? There are 4 billion living in poverty. Producing CO2 emissions will necessarily mark their rise in standard of living.

      --
      an ill wind that blows no good
    4. Re:Life copes by Carpe+PM · · Score: 1
      I think the whole point of being worried about global warming is that catastrophic events are best avoided.

      Tell my ex wife that.

    5. Re:Life copes by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

      > Warming is not dire enough, so they recently announce
      > that the gulf stream is shutting down and will put Europe in a deep freeze.

      I'm sure the Dutch'll be glad to get back to skating on their canals in winter, like they used to be able to during the Maunder minimum, in all those wonderful paintings of olde.

      --
      (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
  92. Relocate Polar Bears to Antarctica by Groundhog_Day · · Score: 1

    There are huge ice shelves in Antarctica that polar bears could live off. If the planet is warming up maybe the south pole could be a little more hospitable on the coast lines and ice shelves. There are plenty of seals to eat down there. Would it be a problem for the Penguins?

    1. Re:Relocate Polar Bears to Antarctica by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I am intrigued by your comments and wish to subscribe to your newsletter.

  93. YES!, re:"seriously-do-you-need-more-proof?" by feelyoda · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "seriously-do-you-need-more-proof?"

    As much as I am starting to dislike the editorial filter that Slashdot has and Digg avoids, let me just say in response:
    Proof of warming does not equate to proof Kyoto is a good idea.

    Even the planners agree that all countries participating for a century would do almost nothing for the projected warming. Recently, the non-Kyoto-signer US has had higher economic growth and greater improvements on GHGs than the Kyoto signers of the EU. Do you need any more proof that it's the wrong approach?

    Perhaps instead of a half-ass non-solution, we should fund more research for true, viable alternatives. I want bettery batteries, solar, and fusion to all be so cheap that any GHG emitting methods of energy generation and storage aren't used because of their economic cost.

    Arbitrarily trying to limit carbon emissions, when billions of people who embrace modernity need energy and don't have alternatives, is a bad idea. Here is a good article by Bjorn Lomborg on the The relative unimportance of global warming, with better policy suggestions.

    --

    Robo-Blogs of the world: UNITE!
  94. Re:white bears swim to "find food". Black bears lo by binarybum · · Score: 1

    discovery channel also was my source for hearing what the parent mentioned about lightguides - was on a "how polar bears hunt" special.

    --
    ôó
  95. Re:white bears swim to "find food". Black bears lo by Scrameustache · · Score: 1

    Black with white (dense) hollow hair, that acts similar to millions of small fiber optic pieces to channel light down to the black skin, where it is more efficiently used.
    So, more accurately think of an old black man with white hair. I know a few of those, and they are pretty cool!


    Cool? But... But... But you said it was to warm them!
    I'm all confused now :-S

    --

    You can't take the sky from me...

  96. Day After Tommorrow by olddotter · · Score: 1

    Just watched it again last night. Becomes more alarming everytime I do watch it.

    Mainly because there is much more evidence to support the conclusions of the movie every day. (Yes I not the change won't come in 6 days. But I'm no longer sure it will take 100's of years.)

    1. Re:Day After Tommorrow by cdn-programmer · · Score: 1

      Oh come on now! Read my posts below. In order to get global cooling you need to reflect off huge amounts of solar radiation. The oceans contain vast amounts of energy and moderate the planet's temperature over scales of 1000 years.

      Yes - there is evidence of a massive cooling as depicted in "Day After Tomorrow". It happened more than 540 million years ago during the PreCambrian.

      Since then, there has been blamy days. I would say that over 540 million years of history might point the finger in the direction of a few more good years to come!!! Furthermore CO2 levels were 13x-17x greater than now during the Ordovician for instance and yes - the planet cooled - but not because of the CO2 - it is said to cause warming in fact! The planet cooled in SPITE of the high CO2 levels.

      And when it cooled it cooled to about like it is now - maybe a little warmer overall - but not near as depicted in the movie.

      You should try to get your paleoclimatology information from sources other than Hollywood.

    2. Re:Day After Tommorrow by fluffy666 · · Score: 1

      You should try to get your paleoclimatology information from sources other than Hollywood.

      Yes, the voices in your head appear to be a more reliable source. Your 'posts below' are a mish mash of isolated facts (it appears that you have no concept of the difference between geological time and current events), which you appear - wrongly - to think discredit AGW.

    3. Re:Day After Tommorrow by cdn-programmer · · Score: 1

      May I suggest you take at least some undergraduate level geology.

  97. DDT saves Lives by Derling+Whirvish · · Score: 1
    In all seriousness, are we willing to accept phenomenal loss of human life in Pakistan, Indonesia, and the US gulf coast, because we don't want to pollute in the name of saving life?

    Given that we ban DDT which if it were not banned would save hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of lives lost each year to Malaria -- the answer is "yes". The same for money spent on reducing CO2 emissions that if it were spent on providing clean water and sanitation in many third-world countries instead would save equal number of lives lost to Cholera and Dysentery. It's a choice made every day and we choose to let people die.

  98. Lake Bears by drfrog · · Score: 1

    Originally call lake bears, they were renamed when they got chased from their hunting grounds around the great lakes

    --
    back in the day we didnt have no old school
  99. Re:white bears swim to "find food". Black bears lo by AmberBlackCat · · Score: 1

    It was still a fucked up joke.

  100. Warming Arctic" Positive Feedback Loops by guygee · · Score: 1

    The positive feedback loop associated with the difference in albedo between sea ice and open water is generally recognized. Another, potentially more powerful feedback loop that is not as widely known is the potential huge release of methane from the arctic permafrost. First, note that atmospheric methane is a very strong greenhouse gas, about 8 times stronger than carbon dioxide. According to http://www.fe.doe.gov/programs/oilgas/hydrates/,

    "Methane hydrate form in generally two types of geologic settings: (1) on land in permafrost regions where cold temperatures persist in shallow sediments, and (2) beneath the ocean floor at water depths greater than about 500 meters (about 1,640 feet) where high pressures dominate. The hydrate deposits themselves may be several hundred meters thick." "In 1995, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) completed its most detailed assessment of U.S. gas hydrate resources. The USGS study estimated the in-place gas resource within the gas hydrate of the United States ranges from 112,000 trillion cubic feet to 676,000 trillion cubic feet, with a mean value of 320,000 trillion cubic feet of gas. Subsequent refinements of the data in 1997 using information from the Ocean Drilling Program have suggested that the mean should be adjusted slightly downward, to around 200,000 trillion cubic feet -- still larger by several orders of magnitude than previously thought and dwarfing the estimated 1,400 trillion cubic feet of conventional recoverable gas resources and reserves in the United States. Worldwide, estimates of the natural gas potential of methane hydrate approach 400 million trillion cubic feet -- a staggering figure compared to the 5,500 trillion cubic feet that make up the world's currently proven gas reserves."

    I was interested in what proportion of the methane hydrate reserves were located in the permafrost region, and how much methane release might result from melting of the permafrost. Here is some revealing information:http://www.lpi.usra.edu/meetings/geoma rs2001/pdf/7035.pdf

    From the above link we learn that oceanic hydrate contains up to 95% of all naturally occurring hydrate worldwide. The methane deposits under the permafrost are at least 200m deep, some much deeper, and those deposits constitute an estimated 5% of total methane hydrate deposits on Earth. So the actual estimate of methane trapped beneath the permafrost is estimated at 5% of 400 million trillion cubic feet of methane is:

    2,000,000,000,000,000,000 cubic foot = 56,633,693,423,376,624,568 liters, trapped below the permafrost.

    Now, further: "What matters for climate change is methane mass (kg or tonne). Normally, volume (m3) or flow rate (m3/h) is measured using some measurement device or instrument, and these volume values are converted to mass (kg or kg/h). An intermediate step usually involves adjusting the measured volume by measured pressures and temperatures to volumes at standard conditions (0 C and 1 atm, equal to 1.013 bar)." http://cdm.unfccc.int/methodologies/inputsconsmeth /MGM_methane.pdf

    So for methane, "1 gm mole occupies 22.4 litres at 273 K and 1 atm.

    C 12.01115

    H 1.00797

    16.043 g CH4 = 22.414 litres

    Density (16.043 / 22.414) = 0.7157 g/litre or kg/m3.

    So 56,633,693,423,376,624,568 liter * 0.7157 g/liter= 40,532,734,383,110,650,203 grams = 40,532,734,383,110 metric tons [metric] (40.5 trillion metric tons).

    somebody please check my calculations...

    For comparison, the mass of the Earth's atmosphere is estimated at 5.3×10^18 Kg =5,300,000,000,000,000 ton [metric]

    Scientists are beginning to see evidence that methane and CO2 release from thawing permafrost is a positive feedback result of the warming

  101. MOD PARENT UP! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Made me chuckle anyway...

  102. Re:white bears swim to "find food". Black bears lo by shawb · · Score: 1

    Polar bears using their hairs as fiber optic guides to help warm the skin is a theory that has mostly been debunked. Using sunlight to warm up seems relatively obvious, untill you consider the actual environment they live in. Arctic winters have very little to no sunlight... in the coldest part of the year, mind you. The theory originated from the fact that the guard hairs are indeed hollow, but studies have not supported the idea that the hollow shaft allows light to penetrate deep into the follicle. More likely, the hair is hollow so as to become a better insulator because it has air pockets trapped inside the follicle. The reason polar bears appear white? To match the white background and provide camouflage against prey (I don't think polar bears have any significant predators besides humans and occasional sea lions. The hunter sea lions can be identified by large yellow tusks: they are large because they don't get worn down scraping the sea floor for mollusks, and they are yellow because they are stained by fat.)

    --
    I'll never make that mistake again, reading the experts' opinions. - Feynman
  103. Re:white bears swim to "find food". Black bears lo by shawb · · Score: 1

    Also, a dark outer coat would likely be worse for heating; a black body does indeed absorb light and convert it to heat more effectively than a white body, but a black body will also radiate heat as electromagnetic energy more effectively than a white body. Considering the extremely short to nonexistant days in the polar winter, white would be a better choice as the ratio of sunlit to dark is so low.

    --
    I'll never make that mistake again, reading the experts' opinions. - Feynman
  104. Ditto! re:Do need more proof that wrong approach? by Truth_Quark · · Score: 1

    Kyoto puts a financial value on Greenhouse emissions, and therefore forces investment in developing those technologies that imporved GHGs. The USA's economy is more right wing than Europes. Ie. They sacrifice more economic growth for more social security. Slower growth is to be expected - you need to do better statistics to isolate the effect of Kyoto than that.

    Futhermore euopean infrastructure has been converted to us infrastructure in Iraq by the war. US has stolen billions in oil from the Iraqi people through infrastructure invested in by the French (and Russians - but they aren't first world).

    Compared to Kyoto requriements which are based on 1990 GHG emissions, the US has certainly not had greater improvements on GHG emissions. The US is lagging a long way in this.

    re: we should fund more research for true, viable alternatives.
    That is what Kyoto does. It provides a real economic reason for that development.

    re :Arbitrarily trying to limit carbon emissions, when billions of people who embrace modernity need energy and don't have alternatives, is a bad idea.
    Carbon credits can also be bought and sold. Kyoto doesn't "Arbitrarity limit" - it provides a cost to the production.

  105. Check out the sun's ouput for yourself. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    http://aom.giss.nasa.gov/srsun.html

    Does that make you feel warm & fuzzy....or just warm?

  106. The Polar Bear Myth by Evil+Pete · · Score: 1

    This is highly dubious. There has been a scientific myth around for some time that polar bear hairs are optical fibres. Yeah right. Just think about it, there is little sunlight at the north pole in fact none during winter when warmth is most needed, the most usable light is in fact available when the bear needs it least: summer.

    Why are polar bears white? Camouflage is the best guess to catch food to supply energy, not to have optical fibre hair.

    --
    Bitter and proud of it.
  107. Re:white bears swim to "find food". Black bears lo by iammaxus · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I've heard this before and I think it's likely a myth for some basic physics reasons. Polar bears appear white. That means they reflect most of the light that hits them. Now its conceivable that the hairs work only in certain directions, but if a polar bear looks mostly white at all angles, I am pretty sure that it is impossible the polar bear to be simultaneously absorbing any large percentage of the light. You can't get the best of both worlds, either you are white and camouflaged (with the snow) or black and use the sun to heat yourself.

  108. No. That is incorrect. by snowwrestler · · Score: 1

    Or at the very least, poorly phrased.

    Ecological change is usually on the order of hundreds of thousands of years.

    Up for debate. Certain specific types of ecological change, like the orientation of the magnetic poles or ice ages, happen gradually over thousands of years. Other types, such as asteroid strikes or massive super-volcano eruptions, happen very quickly.

    Evolution is a slow process; it can cope with hundreds of thousands of years. It doesn't cope with drastic changes on the order of a hundred years.

    "Evolution" is simply shorthand for change; it can happen at any speed. Mass extinction due to meteor strike would happen extremely quickly for some species, but that would still be considered an aspect of evolution.

    When *that* happens, species just get wiped out.

    Which is, of course, the heart of evolution--the extinction of certain species in favor of better-adapted species.

    It's incorrect to think that "evolution" could somehow "cope" with arctic warming vis a vis polar bears if it happened more slowly. In fact the speed makes little difference. If the ecological conditions shift to select against polar bears, they are going to go extinct; it doesn't matter how fast or slow it happens.

    What you might be thinking is that if it happens slowly enough, it may allow time for speciation to occur, and the polar bear line to branch into new, better adapted species. But it might not--it's not a guaranteed thing. Natural selection can only work with what speciation gives it.

    --
    Build a man a fire, he's warm for one night. Set him on fire, and he's warm for the rest of his life.
  109. Perhaps we could spend some activity on correcting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    And it's obvious that this would be the case - the amount of CO2 that we pump out easily outpaces all animal life on earth and volcanic activity, and expecting that plants can arbitrarily keep up is silly (most plants are not limited by CO2 - they're limited by various nutrients. There are huge oceanic dead zones because of, for example, iron deficiency.)
    1. Could we try to "promote" plants, by "fertilisation" of their habitats (for example, assemble big rafts with iron junk hanging bellow them, or even better small buoys, to avoid possibility of accidents and cover larger areas, spray rainforest areas with KPN fertilisers solution, grow and let loose predators that control herbivores...)? I suppose that would create other problems and perhaps make another scar on biodiversity, but we don't seeem to have much choice - there is no other viable way for direct conversion of CO2 into stabile, solid pure carbon except thru classic (photosynthetic) production and subsequent anaerob baking of biomass.
    2. Could we create artificial "crushed ice" (not actual ice - fiberglass rafts painted white) to help polar bears survive?
  110. Exactly. by David+Rolfe · · Score: 1

    It's worth pointing out that in fact it is only when you have a non-statistical scientific reason for there to be causation that one can begin to say that correlation is more than correlation.

    Exactly. We have a non-statistical scientific reason like physics. I think it was mentioned in the post you are responding to. It's hard to perform controlled experiments on the whole earth though, so we can't just put on our goggles, fill up the atmosphere with CO2 and then fly out to space to measure the temperature gradient (then repeat said experiment with varying amounts of CO2 and other gasses to get precise observed data). Because of this fact really smart physicists make models by observing more wieldy experiments. While these can be equations as simple as F=ma, for very complex systems, like the whole Earth, it takes very complex computer programs. I know you know all this, so here's the basics for everyone else (the kids): Increased CO2 in the atmosphere prevents heat from being lost to space. It's kind of like how glass prevents heat from being lost to the outside of a greenhouse. That's where the perky name came from. In general air is a pretty good insulator (that's why double paned windows and styrofoam are full of it). Air is even more transparent than glass (so it let's through even more light)! Light excites atoms blah blah increased kinetic energy gives off heat energy as atoms collide blah blah blah...

    Anyhow, light to heat conversion and insulation is pretty basic physics. High school physics in some places. Further, both topics are covered extensively on the Internet.

    Oh, my point (sorry for all that rambling!): we know the Earth is warming (we've measured it). We know why (more CO2 means better insulation given a more or less constant source of light). The only debate is how much of that carbon do we put in the atmosphere (anthropogenic forcing) by, for example, the last 200 years of burning enormous amounts of organic material that had previously been buried for tens of millions of years versus some natural process; and whether we should do anything about it.

    Forgive me if I'm preaching to the choir. I know practically no one is going to read this now that the story is off the main page and the RSS.

    --
    Read Heinlein's 1953 Revolt in 2100, now more than ever.
    1. Re:Exactly. by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      Forgive me if I'm preaching to the choir. I know practically no one is going to read this now that the story is off the main page and the RSS.

      Yeah, I know. I myself knew it was largely futile to make the point I did. Since "correlation does not imply causation" is a mantra for refuting a lot of the bad science that shows up on /., I thought I'd point out in advance to the inevitable non-scientific skeptic why in this case it did not hold.

      But now I almost can't keep from laughing at myself for wanting to try, anyway. :)

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
  111. Re:Perhaps we could spend some activity on correct by Rei · · Score: 1

    I'm not sure about your second idea, but the first one is already a seriously considered proposal. The idea is to tank a tanker-full of iron oxide powder to iron-deficient waters and dump it in, creating an artificial algal bloom. You get something like a 100-to-1 rate of CO2 sequestration compared to how much iron you have to use. The potential risks need to be studied, however - as you increase the iron in the waters in one location, the algae will eat up other nutrients that would normally have made it downstream, so you risk damaging fisheries elsewhere and even potentially causing unintended extinctions. Thus, this needs to be approached slowly, and carefully monitored.

    --
    Man on crucifix terrorizes church, demands they eat his flesh and blood. Details at 11.
  112. 200 miles further north? I *wish* by Gorshkov · · Score: 1

    However, last summer the ice cap receded about 200 miles further north than the average of two decades ago, forcing the bears to undertake far longer voyages between floes.

    I am not a biologist, but I do know a *few* things about polar bears - I've been all across the Canadian Arctic, from Churchill, Inuvik, Tuktoyuktuk, Alert, Nain, Frobisher Bay, points inbetween, and grew up in Labrador.

    One think I CAN say, though, is that if the ice cap had receeded 200 miles in the last 20 years, the North West Passage would no longer be a dream, but one of the most crowded waterways in the world.

    There are just too many things in that article that are on the surface, at least, nonsense that I doubt the rest of it.

    Propoganda from the global warming folks, maybe?

  113. Re:white bears swim to "find food". Black bears lo by zxnos · · Score: 1

    so, is a zebra white with black stripes or black with white stripes? if the latter is true i bet they jam...

    --
    always mosh clockwise
  114. Re:white bears swim to "find food". Black bears lo by WhiteDragon · · Score: 1
    --
    Did you mount a military-grade, variable-focus MASER on an unlicensed artificial intelligence?
  115. moderation sux by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Gad the moderation is bad sometimes.

    1. Re:moderation sux by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're right. The moderator should be fired for stupidity

  116. If you think the warming is because of humans... by waif69 · · Score: 1

    Lock yourself up in a cell without electricity or heating or cooling. You are just as responsible as anyone else and should be stopped. You are the problem!

  117. Re:white bears swim to "find food". Black bears lo by ObsessiveMathsFreak · · Score: 1

    Typical racist media! Polar bears--WHITE bears--swim to FIND FOOD. But you KNOW that if that had been BLACK bears instead of white bears, this article would have called it LOOTING.

    Ironically black and grizzly bears are often accused of looting and general mayhem when they encroach on human development. or more appropriately, human development encroches on them.

    Polar bears also "loot" and rummage in this way, but this is largely overlooked.

    These facts however, have no bearing on race relations withing the continental United States, but do make for good comedy routine material.

    --
    May the Maths Be with you!
  118. Totally OT by David+Rolfe · · Score: 1

    Great commentary on the 'Gender Gap in IT' article btw. "Self-fullfilling fallacies" abound in that discussion ("everyone knows girls suck at computers!" Sheesh). Thanks for being a voice of reason. I avoided posting as much as I could because I already argued it 'til I was blue in the face on the 'Depictions of Women in Video Games' article the other day. If you want my take on it, it's in my comment history.

    --
    Read Heinlein's 1953 Revolt in 2100, now more than ever.
    1. Re:Totally OT by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      Great commentary on the 'Gender Gap in IT' article btw. "Self-fullfilling fallacies" abound in that discussion ("everyone knows girls suck at computers!" Sheesh).

      Thanks. It was the hundreth time I read that exact piece of nonsense that I felt I had to respond. Of course the responses only depressed me more. *sigh* Hopefully by the time I retire we can look back at these neanderthals and laugh at them just like we laugh at everyone who thought a woman couldn't make a fine doctor.

      I appreciated your take on it. It baffles me how many people instantly leap to nature as the explanation when nurture is so much more obvious and readily available. The problem is people often have a hard time understanding their own culture when they are required to account for its effects. Also if nature is the answer then there is no reason to try to change culture, which is why a lot of people who like the status quo gravitate toward it.

      Anyway, thanks for the insight on both that and this article. Peace.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are