Every additional piece of information you can layer on to the intelligence that you already have builds a more complete understanding of the operations.
Whataboutism at its finest. Good work AC (anonymous comrade). It will work better next time if you at least go to the trouble to set up a sock-puppet account. Spread the word to your team.
Look at the graph in TFA it appears that they sold 30 megawatts for two one hour periods at this price, i.e. a total of 60 MWh. This is an extreme, but very limited marginal pricing event.
To your broader point, it is important to realize that the reason this battery backup was deployed in the first place is that this is an unusual, problematic local grid situation. This is a fix for a remote area of Australia, the edge of the 5th largest population center (Adelaide*) separated from it by 100 miles and isolated by hundreds of miles of emptiness from anywhere else. There is little redundant/backup infrastructure, or all that many people.
*The greater metropolitan area of Adelaide has a population of 1,317,000 which is 77% of the entire population of South Australia (which is 50% larger than Texas). Things get really sparse really fast out past Adelaide's metro area.
They respond automatically to grid voltage or frequency drops. The accounting is done after the fact, but also I suspect automatically subject to previous agreements.
However, the excuse being offered for the "sh!thole" remark is that it was referring to the poverty of the countries, not their ethnicity. In which case, yes indeed, North Korea would fall into the "Trump sh!thole class", even though North Koreans are not emigrating to the U.S.
We already have dates for modern humans of about that age from mitochondrial DNA analysis. The matrilineal most recent common ancestor (MRCA), known as "Mitochondrial Eve" dates to 150,000 to 200,000 years ago. This won't be the true origin of modern humans, which will be older, since MtDNA lineages go extinct in small populations periodically, this is only the oldest lineage they avoided extinction.
AC claims of identity are of course utterly worthless.
From the Wikipedia page you link to, which provides no support whatsoever for your claims: "Parchment from a number of the Dead Sea Scrolls has been carbon dated. The initial test performed in 1950 was on a piece of linen from one of the caves. This test gave an indicative dating of 33 CE plus or minus 200 years, eliminating early hypotheses relating the scrolls to the medieval period."
So they were dated within two years of their discovery.
I thought the first humans didn't leave Africa until about 60,000 years ago. This has been stated authoritatively again and again. Now it seems it is 117,000 years to 194,000 years. What an error rate. My guess is the methods they are using for dating materials is a complete joke, but no one likes to admit it.
Your thought was wrong.
About 60,000 years ago was when the ancestors of the current modern human population outside of Africa departed.
This says nothing at all about earlier, short distance emigrations that died out, which is what this research describes. It is only 250 miles from this cave to Africa.
Guessing in ignorance is a fruitless activity. Try doing some research on the topic next time.
Agreed. When police activity leads directly to additional revenue to the police department then we do not have a system that is "prone to corruption" we have a system that is already institutionalized corruption. As any economist can tell you - organizations respond to financial incentives. The departments actions and decisions will be largely driven by what increases revenue.
Yep, that is exactly what happened. People were constantly noticing this plainly evident margin alignment. Wegener reasoned that if the two continent systems once were joined, then the geology and fossils on either side the split at the time it occurred must be the same everywhere, not just here and there. Wegener showed that this was the case. If he had been able to show the opposite he would have decisively disproved the idea.
Once he had convincing evidence that this was true geologists should have believed it, and then gone to work on thinking about how it happened.
The speculation that continents might have 'drifted' was first put forward by Abraham Ortelius in 1596. The concept was independently and more fully developed by Alfred Wegener in 1912
You should have a lower user ID if you're that old.
Kids daydreaming in school and looking at the world map hanging on the wall will on occasion notice that the margins of Eurasia-Africa fit into the Americas. Ortelius gets the credit for making this observation because it was incidental to the main reason history remembers him - he was the leading cartographer and atlas publisher of his age. He had in this hands the first good set of maps of the margins of the two continent systems anyone had ever prepared, so he was the first to be able to notice this readily apparent fact.
Wegener's contribution was on another level entirely. He studied the geology and fossils along the margins of both continental systems and showed the same geology and fossil species are found along the margin of the divide from one end to the other. And plainly species distributions look nothing like that at any recent time (recent here means the last 150 million years). Wegener also identified the strata, and thus time were the similarities end and divergence begins.
He did not have theory about how it moved, which was what kept the idea from being take seriously. But the evidence for the fact that they were joined 175 million years ago that Wegener compiled is overwhelming. Even without a plausible explanation for how they managed to move apart the fact that did had such an astonishing body of evidence supporting it geology should have accepted that fact as it stood, and start thinking about how to uncover a mechanism by which it occurred, and developing theories to test through field research. As it was sea floor spreading was discovered serendipitously, through anomalies in other more general oceanographic studies.
They were investigating a $300k theft from a UPS truck, not a single phone or bike.
No, they were definitely investigating the activation of a single phone.
Did they have reason to believe that this single phone possessor might be able to give them a lead to the thieves? Sure. But they were still investigating the possession of one single supposedly stolen phone
No, all for fucking 300 $1.2k phones, aka $360,000 worth of stolen merchandise. The police were hoping that they'd find all of the phones (and the thieves) at the same location.
This hardly makes any more sense.
What they had to trigger this was the activation of one phone that they (falsely) believed had been stolen weeks before. When thieves steal phones they sell them. The buyers activate them.
Did they have reason to believe that a phone buyer might be able to give them a tip leading back to the whereabouts of the phones and thieves? Sure. But to believe that this must be one of the thieves is very poor police work. Poor work in one respect does not then provide an excuse for poor behavior in another.
Have you ever read any of TAOCP? Years ago I kept hearing how great it supposedly is, so I read all of the volumes that were available at that time. I have to say, I was very underwhelmed. It wasn't a bad work, but I don't think it was deserving of the praise that's heaped on it so often. I've since found that Wikipedia articles are often more comprehensive, more comprehensible, have better examples, and are more practical.
This is akin to someone saying "I don't know why everyone says Shakespeare is so great. His writing is just a bunch of famous quotations strung together."
The ultimate source of all this stuff is the reliably unreliable Bill Gertz formerly with the Moonie paper Washington Times and now with the right-wing rag Washington Free Beacon. Gertz is a conspiracy theorist who has a long history of "breaking" nonsense stories of horrible new super weapons in the hands of our potential adversaries that turn out to be vapor.
There have been many claimed bizarre Soviet/Russian super weapons that never existed. The mighty Soviet particle beam program. Red mercury. Vast nuclear armed ABM networks that rendered U.S. weapons impotent. And an incredible civil defense program that was able to protect every Soviet citizen under ground with a years worth of food creating the conditions for a Soviet first strike.
First problem is the fundamental ridiculousness of the described weapon from any military or strategic or budgetary viewpoint. It actually resembles schemes cooked up in the 1950s out of the novelty of hydrogen bombs, and lack of good delivery technologies at the time but they were all abandoned without ever beginning development because they were hare brained schemes.
Second I started following the links from the Popular Mechanics article to the various reports and confirmations and so forth and they went out into a swamp of increasingly questionable sources. Some Administration crank put this on a Pentagon public relations briefing document, and suddenly stuff that appears of right-wing conspiracy sites becomes "confirmed by the Pentagon".
I think it not unreasonable to think that they understand the connection between fire, critters fleeing fire, and burning sticks spreading fire. That critters flee fire, and that burning sticks start fire are both easily observed. Predators hunt by learning associations that indicate the presence of prey.
Since the Havre Seamount is at a depth of 900 to 1200 m, while the critical pressure for water is 218 bar (the pressure at 2200 m depth), steam can form in such an eruption so I would have expected a lot of noise from this event. Did no one with hydrophones notice anything?
Slashdot Mirror
Every additional piece of information you can layer on to the intelligence that you already have builds a more complete understanding of the operations.
No demonstrations in Charlottesville at all, no siree.
Trump was elected by a mere 79,000 votes in some heavily targeted districts. So, 250% of Trump's "margin or victory" Very significant.
So, take heart Anonymous Comrade, you may have gotten Trump elected.
Whataboutism at its finest. Good work AC (anonymous comrade). It will work better next time if you at least go to the trouble to set up a sock-puppet account. Spread the word to your team.
Look at the graph in TFA it appears that they sold 30 megawatts for two one hour periods at this price, i.e. a total of 60 MWh. This is an extreme, but very limited marginal pricing event.
To your broader point, it is important to realize that the reason this battery backup was deployed in the first place is that this is an unusual, problematic local grid situation. This is a fix for a remote area of Australia, the edge of the 5th largest population center (Adelaide*) separated from it by 100 miles and isolated by hundreds of miles of emptiness from anywhere else. There is little redundant/backup infrastructure, or all that many people.
*The greater metropolitan area of Adelaide has a population of 1,317,000 which is 77% of the entire population of South Australia (which is 50% larger than Texas). Things get really sparse really fast out past Adelaide's metro area.
They respond automatically to grid voltage or frequency drops. The accounting is done after the fact, but also I suspect automatically subject to previous agreements.
Just make sure, if he shows up at your party, he isn't packing heat.
However, the excuse being offered for the "sh!thole" remark is that it was referring to the poverty of the countries, not their ethnicity. In which case, yes indeed, North Korea would fall into the "Trump sh!thole class", even though North Koreans are not emigrating to the U.S.
We already have dates for modern humans of about that age from mitochondrial DNA analysis. The matrilineal most recent common ancestor (MRCA), known as "Mitochondrial Eve" dates to 150,000 to 200,000 years ago. This won't be the true origin of modern humans, which will be older, since MtDNA lineages go extinct in small populations periodically, this is only the oldest lineage they avoided extinction.
AC claims of identity are of course utterly worthless.
From the Wikipedia page you link to, which provides no support whatsoever for your claims: "Parchment from a number of the Dead Sea Scrolls has been carbon dated. The initial test performed in 1950 was on a piece of linen from one of the caves. This test gave an indicative dating of 33 CE plus or minus 200 years, eliminating early hypotheses relating the scrolls to the medieval period."
So they were dated within two years of their discovery.
I thought the first humans didn't leave Africa until about 60,000 years ago. This has been stated authoritatively again and again. Now it seems it is 117,000 years to 194,000 years. What an error rate. My guess is the methods they are using for dating materials is a complete joke, but no one likes to admit it.
Your thought was wrong.
About 60,000 years ago was when the ancestors of the current modern human population outside of Africa departed.
This says nothing at all about earlier, short distance emigrations that died out, which is what this research describes. It is only 250 miles from this cave to Africa.
Guessing in ignorance is a fruitless activity. Try doing some research on the topic next time.
Agreed. When police activity leads directly to additional revenue to the police department then we do not have a system that is "prone to corruption" we have a system that is already institutionalized corruption. As any economist can tell you - organizations respond to financial incentives. The departments actions and decisions will be largely driven by what increases revenue.
Ideas aren't patentable you fucking moron.
Inventions are patentable. Ideas aren't.
I am pretty sure that an invention that exists only in your head - has no demonstrated embodiment - is called an "idea".
Yep, that is exactly what happened. People were constantly noticing this plainly evident margin alignment. Wegener reasoned that if the two continent systems once were joined, then the geology and fossils on either side the split at the time it occurred must be the same everywhere, not just here and there. Wegener showed that this was the case. If he had been able to show the opposite he would have decisively disproved the idea.
Once he had convincing evidence that this was true geologists should have believed it, and then gone to work on thinking about how it happened.
The speculation that continents might have 'drifted' was first put forward by Abraham Ortelius in 1596. The concept was independently and more fully developed by Alfred Wegener in 1912
You should have a lower user ID if you're that old.
Kids daydreaming in school and looking at the world map hanging on the wall will on occasion notice that the margins of Eurasia-Africa fit into the Americas. Ortelius gets the credit for making this observation because it was incidental to the main reason history remembers him - he was the leading cartographer and atlas publisher of his age. He had in this hands the first good set of maps of the margins of the two continent systems anyone had ever prepared, so he was the first to be able to notice this readily apparent fact.
Wegener's contribution was on another level entirely. He studied the geology and fossils along the margins of both continental systems and showed the same geology and fossil species are found along the margin of the divide from one end to the other. And plainly species distributions look nothing like that at any recent time (recent here means the last 150 million years). Wegener also identified the strata, and thus time were the similarities end and divergence begins.
He did not have theory about how it moved, which was what kept the idea from being take seriously. But the evidence for the fact that they were joined 175 million years ago that Wegener compiled is overwhelming. Even without a plausible explanation for how they managed to move apart the fact that did had such an astonishing body of evidence supporting it geology should have accepted that fact as it stood, and start thinking about how to uncover a mechanism by which it occurred, and developing theories to test through field research. As it was sea floor spreading was discovered serendipitously, through anomalies in other more general oceanographic studies.
They were investigating a $300k theft from a UPS truck, not a single phone or bike.
No, they were definitely investigating the activation of a single phone.
Did they have reason to believe that this single phone possessor might be able to give them a lead to the thieves? Sure. But they were still investigating the possession of one single supposedly stolen phone
All for a fucking $1.2k phone.
No, all for fucking 300 $1.2k phones, aka $360,000 worth of stolen merchandise. The police were hoping that they'd find all of the phones (and the thieves) at the same location.
This hardly makes any more sense.
What they had to trigger this was the activation of one phone that they (falsely) believed had been stolen weeks before. When thieves steal phones they sell them. The buyers activate them.
Did they have reason to believe that a phone buyer might be able to give them a tip leading back to the whereabouts of the phones and thieves? Sure. But to believe that this must be one of the thieves is very poor police work. Poor work in one respect does not then provide an excuse for poor behavior in another.
Have you ever read any of TAOCP? Years ago I kept hearing how great it supposedly is, so I read all of the volumes that were available at that time. I have to say, I was very underwhelmed. It wasn't a bad work, but I don't think it was deserving of the praise that's heaped on it so often. I've since found that Wikipedia articles are often more comprehensive, more comprehensible, have better examples, and are more practical.
This is akin to someone saying "I don't know why everyone says Shakespeare is so great. His writing is just a bunch of famous quotations strung together."
I have loved XKCD 162 ever since he published it. It is a marvelous fusion of romance and physics.
The ultimate source of all this stuff is the reliably unreliable Bill Gertz formerly with the Moonie paper Washington Times and now with the right-wing rag Washington Free Beacon. Gertz is a conspiracy theorist who has a long history of "breaking" nonsense stories of horrible new super weapons in the hands of our potential adversaries that turn out to be vapor.
I am with you on this one.
There have been many claimed bizarre Soviet/Russian super weapons that never existed. The mighty Soviet particle beam program. Red mercury. Vast nuclear armed ABM networks that rendered U.S. weapons impotent. And an incredible civil defense program that was able to protect every Soviet citizen under ground with a years worth of food creating the conditions for a Soviet first strike.
First problem is the fundamental ridiculousness of the described weapon from any military or strategic or budgetary viewpoint. It actually resembles schemes cooked up in the 1950s out of the novelty of hydrogen bombs, and lack of good delivery technologies at the time but they were all abandoned without ever beginning development because they were hare brained schemes.
Second I started following the links from the Popular Mechanics article to the various reports and confirmations and so forth and they went out into a swamp of increasingly questionable sources. Some Administration crank put this on a Pentagon public relations briefing document, and suddenly stuff that appears of right-wing conspiracy sites becomes "confirmed by the Pentagon".
I think it not unreasonable to think that they understand the connection between fire, critters fleeing fire, and burning sticks spreading fire. That critters flee fire, and that burning sticks start fire are both easily observed. Predators hunt by learning associations that indicate the presence of prey.
Crows use tools.
The temptation to put them in the airlock and open it would be strong.
Since the Havre Seamount is at a depth of 900 to 1200 m, while the critical pressure for water is 218 bar (the pressure at 2200 m depth), steam can form in such an eruption so I would have expected a lot of noise from this event. Did no one with hydrophones notice anything?