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Bill In U.S. House Plans Manned Mars Mission

maddogsparky writes "Spaceref.com has a copy of a bill laying out a roadmap for NASA to send a manned mission to Mars by 2022. Highlights include an manned asteroid landing, building a research outpost on one of Mars' moons and actually providing funds to start mission planning."

133 of 383 comments (clear)

  1. Shotgun by ManDude · · Score: 4, Funny

    I call shotgun!

    1. Re:Shotgun by 56ker · · Score: 2

      What's that mean?

    2. Re:Shotgun by rehannan · · Score: 2

      It means you want the front passenger seat. I believe the term originated in the stage coach days when one person would drive the horses while the other person carried a shotgun (or rifle or something) to ward off hostile folks (Indians, bandits, etc...).

    3. Re:Shotgun by LadyLucky · · Score: 3, Funny
      Gaper.

      You can't call shotgun if you haven't seen the vehicle. I call Gaper on you, nullifying your shotgun call.

      --
      dominionrd.blogspot.com - Restaurants on
    4. Re:Shotgun by isorox · · Score: 2

      I call shotgun!

      That's OK, as long as I'm driving

  2. Heard this before by jthomas2 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Sounds good, very reminicent of the National Space Commission report except that had more emphasis on return to the moon versus Lagrange points.

    (Of course I know a little bit about Lagrange points,
    http://www.finds-space.org/thomasneuraute r.html,

    We do have some stuff to publish soon.)

    Well, as always, I'd like to believe.

    -Jay Thomas
    http://www.uiuc.edu/~jthomas2

  3. Not to be cynical..... by Rebel+Patriot · · Score: 3, Insightful

    but this will probably turn out like that manned space station we were going to be using in 1980. Plans for it were drawn in what, '64? The logistics of this are unreasonable and currently impracticle. Self-sufficient environments on other planets will remain the realm of science fiction for years to come. The largest problem to overcome IMO is distance. The distance between Mars and Earth is phenominal. Like the English who first came to America, this would be almost doomed to failure. There will be many Roanokes before one Jamestown.

    Just my $0.02.

    P.S. First post?

    --
    Slackware forever. Honestly, what else would you trust when it absolutely positively has to be stable, secure, and easy
    1. Re:Not to be cynical..... by Rebel+Patriot · · Score: 2
      the apallo astronauts took risks, the mercury astronauts took risks, the wright bros took risks, we've got to take a risk -which means we have to be able to deal if something goes wrong.

      I agree whole-heartedly that we need to be able to take these such risks, but really, what boon would we receive from a small, self-contained dome on Mars that needs resupply every so often from Earth? What could possibly justify the risks?

      Assuming some one answers that question satisfactorily (sp?), we'll have to figure out some way to do this enormous feet. History is filled with instances where grit determination, hard work, and a vision achieved great, seemingly miraculous things (Great Pyramids, anyone?). However, this will require much more than grit determination, hard work, and vision. It will require technology that simply does not exist in this day and age. There is no quick way to relay information from Mars to Earth, much less water, food, and oxygen.

      --
      Slackware forever. Honestly, what else would you trust when it absolutely positively has to be stable, secure, and easy
    2. Re:Not to be cynical..... by IdahoEv · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I have to say I disagree that the logistics are unreasonable. We made it to the moon 33 years ago - a third of a century - before we even had modern computers. Getting to and from mars is simply a matter of scale... it takes longer and takes more thrust to get back off the surface. But that doesn't remotely mean it can't be done. The distance is phenomenal, yes, but in space distance just becomes time. Possibly the biggest logistical problem is medicine ... in the apollo program there was a maximum return time of about 4 days... if someone gets sick you can get them home to go to a doctor. For Mars, that's not an option because you're 6 months away with limited opportunities for orbital transition. But there are a *lot* of people working on this very problem, even while NASA hasn't yet made concrete plans for a mars mission.



      Take a look at some of the plans invented by groups outside of NASA, most notably Robert Zubrin's Mars Direct concept. I'll spare you going into detail but this plan has so many fail-safes it's ridiculous. The entire thing uses more-or-less existing technology.



      Meanwhile, there are two experiments already running to study the difficulties of having people live isolated on Mars for an extended mission (many months until the next launch window floats around). Check out the Mars Arctic Research Station and the Mars Desert Research Station (site temporarily down?). All this research and work is already being done, independantly of NASA. (usually marssociety.org is a great reference... at the moment it seems to be undergoing maintenance or something. Bad timing.)



      Technologically, it can be done; I think there's little question about that. As for the policital will and the money, that's a different issue. But maybe this bill shows that there is some interest after all.



      Personally, I put my money on commercialization of space being the primary driving force in the next 20 years. The profit motives and the opportunities of space tourism and potentially near-earth asteroid mining will outstrip anything the US government will deliver in the near future.



      --
      I stole this sig from someone cleverer than me.
    3. Re:Not to be cynical..... by drinkypoo · · Score: 2
      The logistics of this are unreasonable and currently impracticle. Self-sufficient environments on other planets will remain the realm of science fiction for years to come. The largest problem to overcome IMO is distance.

      Distance? What part of self-sufficient didn't you understand? The distance is irrelevant (except for travel; If delicate probes can get to Mars, then so can people) to the fact that you're supposed to be self-sufficient.

      While Kim Stanley Robinson's Mars series (Red Mars, Blue Mars, Green Mars, Purple Horseshoes... no wait I made that last one up) is pretty fantastical and highly speculative in terms of what we will actually find when we get to Mars and do some serious work there, and extrapolates a lot of technology that may not be practical any time soon from current trends, the basic ideas are sound, which is the whole point of sci-fi. You need to send a lot of equipment ahead and drop it on Mars to wait for people to show up and do something with it. You need a LOT of hardware to achieve self-sufficiency. You will definitely need to bring a certain amount of mass to achieve self-sustaining food crops. That is a seriously nontrivial problem.

      This is one reason the ISS is so important, though of course it is a very different situation. You can be sure that the ISS will be doing a lot of experiments related to closed-cycle living. They will be keeping close track of what has to be brought up and what can be sustained on board, because it costs an awful lot to put mass into orbit. I don't think we'll be putting a colony on Mars any time soon, but it's definitely worth thinking about, and I do think that if we spent enough money on it, we could do it in the very near future.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    4. Re:Not to be cynical..... by Yorrike · · Score: 5, Interesting
      what boon would we receive from a small, self-contained dome on Mars that needs resupply every so often from Earth?

      The same boon we received by sending humans to the moon - huge technological advances being made in short amounts of time. As a species, we need to do this. With one self sustained dome will come another, and another. It would be less of a giant leap and more of a 3 1/2 second Wright Flyer hop.

      But there needs to be competition involved. The reason the Apollo missions were so successful is because you Americans were obsessed with beating the Russians. Perhaps a multi country backed privatised race?

      --

      Looks can be deceiving. Or CAN they?

    5. Re:Not to be cynical..... by zsazsa · · Score: 2

      but this will probably turn out like that manned space station we were going to be using in 1980. Plans for it were drawn in what, '64?

      It seems like long-term planning is the death for big plans in space. People can't seem to grasp these far-off dates. I think that's why the Apollo Moon landing program was so successful -- it had a short deadline (get it done before the decade was over.) That, and the cold war was on.

      Ian

    6. Re:Not to be cynical..... by JimPooley · · Score: 2
      Why are technological advances a boon?
      Why do we need to advance technologically as a species?

      You can't be serious...
      If you ARE serious, then try this. Find a cave somewhere remote. Live there for a year, with no clothes, no tools, no artificial light or heat and live off rainwater, berries, and any animals you can catch and cook on the fire you made by banging the rocks together (No. Wait. Fire was a technological advance. It's raw food for you, buddy-boy).

      Go on, do it. Then ask us why technological advances are a boon and why we need to advance technologically as a species.

      Or take this.
      Ever since man discovered how to make fire, and how to fashion flint into tools and weapons, we have been advancing technologically as a species.
      If we hadn't, we'd still be living in caves with a life expectancy of about 25, or some other species would have finished us off.
      So if that was a serious question, you're an idiot.
      --

      "Information wants to be paid"
  4. Not a wise investment. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Troll

    In this day and age we need to be thinking about things like making sure there is enough money going into welfare, war on drugs, war on terrorism, enforcement of gun laws, etc and not on crazy stuff like going to mars. I hope this bill is struck down as it might be damaging from investment into the social programs of this country.

    1. Re:Not a wise investment. by bourne · · Score: 2

      In this day and age we need to be thinking about things like making sure there is enough money going into welfare, war on drugs, war on terrorism, enforcement of gun laws, etc and not on crazy stuff like going to mars.

      In this day and age we need to concentrate on working hard toward the day we can distribute the human population among multiple planets and eventually solar systems, so that when all the problems you mention boil over and result in global thermonuclear war or global biological war, our genetics will survive somewhere.

      So, I say, let's go to Mars and leave the welfare/drugs/gun law crap to sort itself out. Once you've got a decent mirror, why worry so much about the individual disks?

  5. "It would take an act of Congress to ..." by Etcetera · · Score: 5, Interesting


    One of the problems with these various large scale concept/projects is that things can flounder forever in the planning stages.

    For those of you familiar with large bureaucracies, everything lies in the funding. By forcing the funding of something and laying out a defined timetable, this bill would IMHO stand a good chance of actually causing this to become a reality. (Technical delays notwithstanding.)

    I agree, this probably won't pass... but it would a very clear signal, a strident first step, and a more exciting two decades if it did.

    So write your Congressmen, damnit! =)

  6. If we donate money.... by neuroticia · · Score: 2, Funny

    If we donate money can we maybe send off a few of the slashdot trolls on the space shuttle? I think Mars would suit them well.

    1. Re:If we donate money.... by Stephen+VanDahm · · Score: 2

      If Slashdot trolls go out and populate space, there could be trouble. Imagine when, years from now, radio telescopes start getting bizarre encoded transmissions (Contact style) that say:

      1. BSD is dying.
      2. Hot grits
      3. Petrified Natalie Portman [insert body part here]
      4. Rob is gay.
      5. So is Jon Katz

      It would be ultimate troll. We can't give them that satisfaction.

      Steve

  7. on NOT getting to the moon by drDugan · · Score: 2

    please.

    this intrigued me too for about an hour. None of the "evidence" that we never made it to the moon is convincing at all. this is despite the fact that there would be NO WAY to pull off such a "vast" conspiracy.

    rage away

    NB -- parent is already at -1, So I will quote:
    we never made it to the moon you boob. it was all a vast and deep penetrating conspiracy [dibona.com] with key hitters such as RMS [stallman.org] and the mexican government.


  8. Importance of slashdot in regards by x-empt · · Score: 4, Insightful

    In general the /. community is interested in the Space Program and the benefits it provides to the technology community.

    As this Bill progresses it will be important to have the Slashdot (dare I say "geek" crowd) write their representatives and encourage the support of this bill.

    Please keep the Slashdot editors informed on news regarding this Bill so that more people can read about it on Slashdot and in turn write their Senators to support it.

    Seriously, the /. crowd is numerous enough to put some good pressure on Congress to do something right.

    Read the bill, it makes note of some serious issues facing the Country's space program and it's future years down the road... such as no MAJOR challenging missions after the ISS "Alpha" is assembled.

    --
    Ever need an online dictionary?
  9. Re:10 Bucks... by snilloc · · Score: 2, Interesting
    First, nice sig

    Second, that couldn't happen in the House because of rules about the germaneness of amendments. A Senate version could have all sorts of "Christmas tree ornaments" (as Bush-41 sometimes called them) because they have no rule about amendments being germane.

  10. Not until there's a reason. by nesneros · · Score: 3, Insightful

    As much as I long to see a person set foot on mars within my lifetime, I feel like we shouldn't even bother unless we're going to give a compelling reason to go. We went to the moon long before we had any plan or reason (other than "beat the russians"), and look how far that's gotten us.

    Personally, I consider "research terraforming" to be the best of all possible reasons, and I think now is as good a time as any, but I don't see a bulk of the population realizing anytime soon how valuable another livable planet would be to the future of the human race.

    --
    Some men spend their entire lives trying to kill themselves for having been born. --Ross MacDonald
    1. Re:Not until there's a reason. by canadian_right · · Score: 2
      We go now to learn how to do it. Once we terraform Mars we will have to send some people to get the ball rolling.

      As others have pointed out there will ikley be technology developed that will find many uses right here on Earth.

      It is just a cool thing to do.

      --
      Anarchists never rule
    2. Re:Not until there's a reason. by Alex+Belits · · Score: 2

      Evacuating the human race from Earth won't be a realistic project for at least three or four centuries, regardless of how we go to Mars or if we even bother.

      Three or four centuries that it may take assuming that science and technology will continue being developed certainly beat ten centuries of Dark Ages, that happened when development stopped. And current attitude toward development of science being measured only in the amount of money spent on overinflated prices that military/government is accustomed to paying to Boeing, Lockheed, Raytheon and their likes, can lead us to another stretch of the same thing.

      --
      Contrary to the popular belief, there indeed is no God.
  11. Re:flying cars by Ooblek · · Score: 2
    People can't drive in the rain, and you want them to fly?!?! Yikes!

    I can just see....no more gunman rampages in lawyers offices on the 10th floor of a high-rise. They just fly the car through the window when they seek the ass-licking lawyer walk into his office. A whole new definition of stalking.

  12. Twenty years away?! by dstone · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If the U.S. had a competitor in this race for Mars like they did for the moon in the late 60s, they would have a man there in a few short, focussed years. So, um, can we maybe pretend there's a competitive nation and get on with it?!

    1. Re:Twenty years away?! by Servo5678 · · Score: 4, Funny
      So, um, can we maybe pretend there's a competitive nation and get on with it?!

      And in other news, the president announced today that members of Al Qaeda have been spotted on Mars. "We're going to find them and smoke them out of their canals," the president said.

    2. Re:Twenty years away?! by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 2
      If the U.S. had a competitor in this race for Mars like they did for the moon in the late 60s, they would have a man there in a few short, focussed years.

      One of the primary reasons that we managed to get to the moon so quickly is because the computers of the day had only a few kilobytes of memory. This meant that the corresponding software had to be small and writing it was a tractable problem.

      It has been said that software is a gas that expands to fill its container. Today, with terabytes of storage available, it is very unlikely that we could finish writing and testing the software for this mission before it was cancelled due to schedule and budget overruns.

      This is one case where advances in technology has actually made it almost impossible to do something we used to have the potential to do.

    3. Re:Twenty years away?! by snake_dad · · Score: 2

      Well, it does have a porous border...

      --
      karma capped .sig seeking available Slashdot poster for long-term relationship.
    4. Re:Twenty years away?! by Arcturax · · Score: 2

      We have a competitor now. Unless you've been asleep for the past 3 years, China is getting ever nearer to putting a man in space. They are also planning on having their own seperate space station. Their launch and ground control facilities are very impressive, as are their space craft and their long march rockets.

      Take a look at the pictures

      Here is the rest of the site

      --

      --Won't that be grand? Computers and the programs will start thinking and the people will stop. - Dr. Walter Gibbs
  13. Mars isn't the question by WolfWithoutAClause · · Score: 2, Insightful
    It isn't even the answer.

    We aren't at the point where Mars makes any kind of sense. It's a bit like Columbus discovered America and now we've been to American 6 times and everyone is saying- hey we've never been to Antartica! Antartica is the next step! It's the future of mankind!

    Even that is pushing the analogy too far. Antartica is a lot more habitable than Mars. Mars has no atmosphere- well just 1% of earths- it's a vacuum; the lightbulbs in your house have more gas in them. Sure we can live on Antartica, or Mars, but we can't thrive there right now. We have the technology, but the economics aren't there- it's gonna cost hundreds of millions per person. That's no way colonise anywhere. It's pure flags and footprints. We go, we plant the flags, we come back. That's it. Yeah, it'd be glorious. But so what? It leads nowhere.

    We need to mine something that isn't at the bottom of a gravity well. Mining something at the top means you can slide it downhill to LEO, or towards Mars. Until we have mining, Mars is out of reach for practical settlement; as is most of the solar system for that matter.

    Phobos or Deimos- yes. The moon- maybe, a NEA or a comet, yes. Mars? Later.

    --

    -WolfWithoutAClause

    "Gravity is only a theory, not a fact!"
    1. Re:Mars isn't the question by kruhft · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I think that the mars landing would do something far greater even without a plan as you're saying. With such a huge project no one country is going to get there alone, which requires sharing the engineering and financial burden with other countries of the world. Now where do you think that almost all of the world's population would be when that capsule is broadcasting live about to land on the surface of this new planet?

      The result: total unity of the world's population. At least for that moment, but the reprocussions could be far reaching.

      Granted, the project may not have the practical uses that you seem to require, but the cultural ramifications would be massive. I wasn't alive for the moon landing, but I can assume what all of america felt when watching those first steps. I know i would be glued to the tv during those first moments and would never forget those first grainy images of the surface of mars. I know i'm not alone.

      Of course, making the world's population "feel good" isn't always an important requirement for most projects. Who knows what the next step in human evolution (reaching and colinizing other plants) will lead to down here?

    2. Re:Mars isn't the question by Guppy06 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      "It's a bit like Columbus discovered America and now we've been to American 6 times"

      Columbus stumbled across the New World in 1492. How many permanent European settlements were established between and the end of the 15th century? Heck, let me be generous: Between then and the end of the 16th century?

      We got to the moon and back six times in a span of half a decade or so. Starting from 1492, when's the first time that there were six expeditions to the New World in such a small time frame?

      "it's a vacuum"

      For a planet with no atmosphere, it sure seems to have a lot of dust storms. Not to mention all the erosion that's apparent on the surface...

      "We need to mine something that isn't at the bottom of a gravity well."

      As I recall from my physics courses, if it's something, by definition it's in the bottom of a gravity well.

      And while we're on the subject of asteroid mining, sure they tend to have lots of heavy elements, but if you're looking for light stuff (say, oh, I dunno... reaction mass!?!), you need a heavy duty gravity well to hang on to it and collect it.

      "Phobos or Deimos- yes."

      After expelling enough reaction mass to get to Mars in a reasonable amount of time (ie. before the crew gets microwaved into crispy critters), you honestly think bringing enough fuel to reach Martian escape velocity (remember, 1/3 G) is really going to make that much of a difference? Heck, landing on Mars has the advantage over its satellites in that it at least has SOME atmosphere, so you don't need near as much shielding once you get there. Especially when you consider how long you're going to have to be there until Earth catches up with you again (even if you're using nuclear rockets).

      "a NEA or a comet, yes"

      Instead of going on a manned interplanetary expedition to someplace we run into once or twice a year or so, you're in favor of trying to catch up with and land on something that doesn't come anywhere near here for a few centuries or millenia? And what will the crew do when they get there? Start digging their own graves?

      "Mars? Later."

      "If not now, when? If not us, who?"

    3. Re:Mars isn't the question by WolfWithoutAClause · · Score: 2
      "We need to mine something that isn't at the bottom of a gravity well."

      As I recall from my physics courses, if it's something, by definition it's in the bottom of a gravity well.

      Not really. With most asteroids and quite a few moons you are talking more like a gravity puddle at the very most. Phobos has an escape velocity which is about the speed a man can run.

      And while we're on the subject of asteroid mining, sure they tend to have lots of heavy elements, but if you're looking for light stuff (say, oh, I dunno... reaction mass!?!), you need a heavy duty gravity well to hang on to it and collect it.

      Comets and carbonaceous asteroids have plenty of ice. They aren't in any kind of heavy duty gravity well. Ice can be turned to steam for an ISP of 190 seconds, or electrolysed and burnt for an ISP of 455 seconds.

      After expelling enough reaction mass to get to Mars in a reasonable amount of time ... you honestly think bringing enough fuel to reach Martian escape velocity (remember, 1/3 G)

      Surface gravity isn't it. Escape velocity of Mars is about 5km/s; that's only half that of Earth.

      is really going to make that much of a difference?

      Yes. It makes a big difference. ~6km/s is quite a considerable amount of fuel.

      Heck, landing on Mars has the advantage over its satellites in that it at least has SOME atmosphere, so you don't need near as much shielding once you get there.

      The Mars atmosphere provides only very modest shielding. On either Mars or an asteroid you will have to bury yourself underground to survive long term.

      "If not now, when?

      When the costs come down to nearer the costs that Dennis Tito can afford, then. If you think you can finance a trip before that- sure go ahead. Good luck.

      --

      -WolfWithoutAClause

      "Gravity is only a theory, not a fact!"
    4. Re:Mars isn't the question by barawn · · Score: 2

      OK, few points: there are advantages to going to a fixed planet rather than a stray comet or asteroid. First, it's easier - we have more data, more accuracy, and less chance for a course error. In addition, most comets (not asteroids) are in hyperbolics or extremely eccentric orbits, so you have a very very brief window of time to actually land on them - you can't do a transfer orbit: you have to actually intercept them, and errors in either orbit or course leaves you whizzing through empty space, with no hope of fixing your course. You can't match orbits with them, and since they definitely aren't much of a gravity well, orbiting around them is harder than Mars.

      I'm not discounting the rest of your arguments - they're valid. But getting to asteroids and comets is much much harder than getting to Mars. This is in theory, of course. Our track record for getting to Mars isn't that good (it's good, but not perfect), and we have virtually no statistics for asteroid/comet landings (no, NEAR does not count. You have to actually LAND on the thing, not careen crazily into it.)

      Second, the Martian atmosphere is only part of the problem with irradiation - that's only solar radiation, and only EM radiation. Mars has no magnetic field (none worth speaking of - it wouldn't even guide a compass) and therefore has no magnetosheath which blocks the solar wind. There are no Van Allen belts, no auroras, etc. All the radiation from the Sun just blasts on it. You'd have to bury yourself a fair bit underground to survive.

      Playing devil's advocate again, though, as has been pointed out before, both Mars and the Moon have excellent shielding material available - their own soil.

      It also should be pointed out we are talking about PLANETS here. Not islands, or little bitty rocks: planets. Huge. You know, like our own. Mars may have only roughly what, like, 1/4 the surface area? but that's still the same amount of land space as Earth has excluding ocean. You're CRAZY if you think that you can't find a considerable amount of fuel on Mars as well. The only problem is that it might take some effort to find it (but hello, we have satellites in orbit around the planet now, and they have these things called 'instruments', which can find things...). A well planned mission to Mars could really work.

      Will we have to put some work into doing it? Yes. But is there significant benefit to going to Mars over going to an asteroid or comet? Yes. Do the benefits outweigh the additional costs? Don't know. I'm not an economist.

    5. Re:Mars isn't the question by WolfWithoutAClause · · Score: 2
      In addition, most comets (not asteroids) are in hyperbolics or extremely eccentric orbits

      True but irrelevant. We are only interested in the ones we can get to. There's thousands of NEAs; and I include Phobos and Deimos as NEAs, well half the time anyway ;-)

      OK, few points: there are advantages to going to a fixed planet rather than a stray comet or asteroid. First, it's easier - we have more data, more accuracy, and less chance for a course error.

      I don't buy that argument; asteroids are easy to track to excellent accuracy, it's trivial astronomy; even amateurs do that routinely.

      You're CRAZY if you think that you can't find a considerable amount of fuel on Mars as well.

      There's no known energy source on Mars, apart from solar, and that's even weaker than on Earth. You could take a nuclear reactor with you, but there are issues with that too; noteably political.

      Do the benefits outweigh the additional costs? Don't know.

      That's the $100 billion question though isn't it?

      --

      -WolfWithoutAClause

      "Gravity is only a theory, not a fact!"
    6. Re:Mars isn't the question by ShavenYak · · Score: 2

      Using your analogy, Columbus should never have gone so far out to America...

      Columbus wasn't going to America. He didn't know it was there. He thought he would make it to the East Indies, because he was using a figure for the circumference of the earth that was about half the size of the correct value that the Greeks had determined centuries before.

      He was an idiot, and if a continent hadn't been there to stop him, he'd have been dead long before rounding the globe.

      --

      Hey kids, there's only 5 days left 'til Yak Shaving Day!
    7. Re:Mars isn't the question by WolfWithoutAClause · · Score: 2
      Using your analogy, Columbus should never have gone so far out to America... It was extremely risky and had too many unknown quantities.

      It's not the same; and I am comparing Antartica with Mars, not America. America was essentially habitable. A few indians, and you don't want to go too far north otherwise you freeze your manhood off, but it's habitable.

      I consider Mars as a "backup" for civilization.

      I consider space as a backup for civilisation. Mars is a subset of space.

      I'm so sick of the whining about "oh, there's less atmosphere", "it's too cold", "it's too far", "we don't have the technology yet", "why do we have to go".

      Oh well, in that case if you're sick of whining, then we obviously have to go right away.

      I think we either go to Mars or stagnate and die.

      Yeah, that's obviously going to happen. We go into space, we go to the moon, we go to Phobos and Deimos, and lots of other places, but the human race would be doomed if we never go to Mars. Uh huh.

      --

      -WolfWithoutAClause

      "Gravity is only a theory, not a fact!"
    8. Re:Mars isn't the question by WolfWithoutAClause · · Score: 2
      The result: total unity of the world's population.

      I remember seeing people saying that when men landed on the moon. I'm still waiting for peace to break out.

      --

      -WolfWithoutAClause

      "Gravity is only a theory, not a fact!"
    9. Re:Mars isn't the question by barawn · · Score: 2

      All comets are in eccentric orbits, and you (or a previous poster) justified the preference of going to NEAs and comets by saying that comets contain low-weight gases and compounds (water ice, etc.). Asteroids will contain high-density materials (metals), but if you want low-density stuff (water, gases) you're going to a planet or a comet, and intercepting comets sucks.

      You also misunderstood the point about tracking asteroids - we're not talking about tracking the asteroid in the sky, we're talking about tracking the distance between a known point (asteroid) and an unknown point (the craft that's heading there), and that involves more than just astronomy - it's physics, because you have to know the propulsion of the craft itself. Also, 'excellent accuracy' is somewhat relative. Check the accuracy of known NEA objects, and you'll find that, well, it's not ridiculously good. It's good, but you could still end up missing it by a long shot. For an asteroid in a normal orbit, it's not bad, as you can do standard course corrections, though you don't have the added assistance of a huge cross section like you do with planets.

      It's impressive that we've managed to actually intercept all of the asteroids we've tried to, but it's not 'trivial' at all. Getting to another planet is trivial - getting to an asteroid is not.

      Finally, as for the known energy source, there's large reserves of water (one hopes- in the form of the ice caps), which is perfectly good fuel if you use solar power to split it. Plus don't forget that Mars suffers the same fate as the Moon: direct solar wind impingement, so you'll probably get things like a severely enhanced deuterium-to-water and helium-3 to helium-4 ratio. Granted, at the moment, lacking a fusion reactor design, this isn't that useful, but one hopes (one hopes!) that in the future, this is.

      Saying "there's no known energy source on Mars" is really naive. It's a planet. It probably has pockets of gas stored in its surface somewhere, and probably other sources of fuel as well. We already know (or hope) that the caps contain water (ok, ok, it's up in the air whether it's CO2 or H2O and has been for a while). My point wasn't that we know of any fuel sources, but that it's a planet. Big. Large. It probably HAS fuel sources we haven't found yet - we just need to look for them.

      Definitely will agree that the main question is whether or not the benefits do outweigh the additional costs. It's funny - in this situation, they really should be exploring the low cost options (asteroid mining), but that seems to only be a side interest at all. I think the main problem here really is that all that asteroids have is stuff that Earth already has in abundance.

    10. Re:Mars isn't the question by barawn · · Score: 2

      You do have to remember that unstable radioactive compounds on Mars are going to be far more abundant on Mars than they are on Earth (or at least, they should be) - lacking a magnetic field, Mars gets irradiated directly with the solar wind and solar radiation, so there's a lot more bombardment with the possibility to create radioactive elements.

      Uranium is unlikely, I will agree: however, if we ever (dear God) develop a fusion type reactor on Earth, that's easy as hell to refuel. We know the Moon has a highly enhanced Helium-3 to Helium-4 ratio due to solar particle radiation, and it's highly likely that Mars will have a very enhanced deuterium-to-water ratio as well as an enhanced helium-3 to helium-4 ratio (deuterium's stable - so once it's made, it's done).

      Yet more reason for working on fusion reactors...

    11. Re:Mars isn't the question by WolfWithoutAClause · · Score: 2
      Asteroids will contain high-density materials (metals), but if you want low-density stuff (water, gases) you're going to a planet or a comet, and intercepting comets sucks.

      I get where you are coming from here. I don't believe that the scientific evidence agrees with what you are saying however. First of all, we know that the density of carbonaceous asteroids is very similar to that of ice. It seems likely, although not 100% certain that below the surface of, say, Phobos (it's believed to be a carbonaceous NEA that was captured by Mars) there is ice that is kept cold by an insulating layer of rock; that's more or less what happens on Mars itself. By the time you get to the main asteroid belt- there's almost certainly LOTS of ice out there- the sun isn't able to bring the temperature up enough to make the water sublimes in even geologic timescales. Indeed asteroids are believed to be pushed away from the sun by evaporation caused by the Sun.

      Check the accuracy of known NEA objects, and you'll find that, well, it's not ridiculously good. It's good, but you could still end up missing it by a long shot.

      Yes, but that's long term accuracy. If you actually point a telescope at a rock a few nights in a row, if you can actually find it initially, you can plot its course for a few years ahead, and you can return to it whenever you want and reestablish its position to entirely enough accuracy.

      It's impressive that we've managed to actually intercept all of the asteroids we've tried to, but it's not 'trivial' at all.

      Nothing is ever truly 'easy'. Still, this is evidence that it's not that difficult. And we've missed Mars several times. Mars is harder to hit, partly because it tends to line up with the sun at about the same time you arrive there.

      It probably has pockets of gas stored in its surface somewhere, and probably other sources of fuel as well.

      Yes, but there's nothing to oxidise it with. On earth we have a few percent oxygen- that's not there on Mars. There's probably nuclear, but you'd have to hunt for it. On an asteroid you have guaranteed sunlight 24x7, and you don't necessarily have to turn it into electricity to use it; solar ovens are low tech, simple to build and just plain WORK.

      I think the main problem here really is that all that asteroids have is stuff that Earth already has in abundance.

      Except energy. Asteroids have 6x the solar energy that the earth gets, it's lots, and lots of energy, trivially heat energy, but electrical isn't that hard either. It works out at about 6x because of lack of day/night cycles, cosine law effects, and weather. Of course it does vary a bit depending on distance from the sun. And Mars looks like it has much the same stuff, less energy, and the gravity is more awkward before you even start to look at delta-v to go other places.

      The main problem appears to be lack of education. People like the idea of living on a brave new world, whereas space stations are looked on as artificial. All this whilst they live in their buildings, watching TV, and driving in their artificial cars with air conditioning... The reality is going to be different. Mars is a frozen, airless wasteland; you'd be living indoors 99.9% of the time. You'd need space suits to go outside, and there's no native energy sources, nuclear power (i.e. fission; forget fusion- it's always 50 years away) is the most realistic option. Terraforming would be nice given a millenium or two, but I ain't holding my breath.

      --

      -WolfWithoutAClause

      "Gravity is only a theory, not a fact!"
    12. Re:Mars isn't the question by barawn · · Score: 2

      Yah, I know about the thoughts that carbonaceous asteroids might contain ice, but that's still iffy. Looking for 'pockets' of ice is likely to be hit and miss with an asteroid. With Mars there's a LOT more surface area for a pocket to be contained. It depends really what you want, though.

      The lack of an oxidizer isn't true - Mars has plenty of oxygen - in the soil. It's true you'd have to get the oxygen out of the soil, and that likely means "solar", which will take a longer time, but it really depends what you're talking about here - long term viability, or short term viability. I doubt an asteroid outpost could last that long: I really wonder exactly how MUCH water would be available on an asteroid. Then again, if you're mining, you don't care: it's a once and done thing, so again, it really depends what you're talking about.

      It's too bad we're not talking about Venus here. Sigh. If only we had infinite energy - creating a new Earth is easy - we already know how to do it. Smack Mars into Venus. Poof. New Earth. It's kinda funny that there happened to be two Mars like objects, and two proto-Earth like objects in the solar system to begin with.

      I will note that fusion isn't that far away: people may say it's "always 50 years away", but they don't note that significant progress IS being made. Reactors have crossed the breakeven point. The next step is ignition, which is just going to take some time. Damn Moore's Law. Always expecting the pace of innovation to be as insanely stupid as the computing industry has taken it.

      (Interesting point of note: what other industry is racing as fast as the computer industry towards a brick wall? None. Name another industry where the fundamental laws of physics are going to be limiting their growth? Yah. Thought so.)

    13. Re:Mars isn't the question by WolfWithoutAClause · · Score: 2
      Looking for 'pockets' of ice is likely to be hit and miss with an asteroid.

      Maybe. Maybe not.

      The lack of an oxidizer isn't true - Mars has plenty of oxygen - in the soil.

      Already reacted with something. We are talking about an energy source remember?

      I really wonder exactly how MUCH water would be available on an asteroid.

      I wonder why you really wonder. Astronomical amounts of water. Literally and figuratively. Carbonaceous Chondrites are 11% water by mass. Separating water off is called 'distillation' and isn't exactly rocket science.

      I will note that fusion isn't that far away: people may say it's "always 50 years away"

      Yeah, at the moment its maybe only 30 years away- there's been some breakthroughs. But its not going to be RSN; there are some huge problems.

      --

      -WolfWithoutAClause

      "Gravity is only a theory, not a fact!"
  14. How about this... by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Personally, I would like to see space exploration start happening, and continue happening. Let's be honest: The moon missions, while probably the most significant and arguably the most complex engineering feat in human history, basically was "Wow! We made it! Now what??".

    Instead of throwing all this government money into the sh**hold where we know it will probably never come out, let's give tax incentives to get private companies into space. First company to mine an asteroid gets a 20 year tax moritorium! Same deal for space-based factories!

    The key is that space has to pay for itself. If we depend on the government to put men into space, then men in space depends on the whims of budgets and politicians. The only way to get there and stay there is to have an economic incentive to stay there.

    --
    Sometimes it's best to just let stupid people be stupid.
    1. Re:How about this... by Restil · · Score: 2

      Uh... WHAT taxes?

      If you spend your own money to get a ton of equipment up into space, if you're mining in space, and everything you build is in space, and it stays in space, exactly what country do you owe ANY taxes too? You could set up shop on earth in practically any country you wanted to and run your space business from there, or space. Unless you have a satellite (no pun intended) office in a country that has taxes, you shouldn't have to pay any to anyone. In time, simply fork off the space based enterprise as its own entity, or even have it declare itself its own country. You can then trade with that country as you see fit, barring any embargos. I would have a difficult time declaring my independance in the USA, since no matter how strong I am, I have to be able to fend off the entire US military. And frankly, thats not going to happen. But in space, what is anybody going to be able to do about it? Nobody will support spending hundreds of millions of dollars to shoot something out of deep space simply because they're not paying thier taxes.

      Or maybe they would. Who knows.

      -Restil

      --
      Play with my webcams and lights here
    2. Re:How about this... by canadian_right · · Score: 2
      Taxes are not the problem. All those international treating OUTLAWING the commercialization of space are a problem. Have a look here for a list of current space treaties:
      Space Treaties

      The "Treaty on Principles Governing the Activities of States in the Exploration and Use of Outer Space, Including the Moon and Other Celestial Bodies (1967)" is a good example with articles like:

      The exploration and use of outer space, including the moon and other celestial bodies, shall be carried out for the benefit and in the interests of all countries, irrespective of their degree of economic or scientific development, and shall be the province of all mankind.

      Very noble, but its hard to make a buck.

      --
      Anarchists never rule
  15. woo by nomadic · · Score: 2

    Great, maybe congress can infuse a little enthusiasm into NASA, whose lofty goals involve a few decades of launching incrementally better satellites.

  16. About that research outpost... by Papineau · · Score: 2

    Just make sure nobody tries to do inter-dimensional space travel over there. You never know what Hell will do... and I don't want my rabbit to die.

  17. What's really needed is nuclear propulsion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Good bill. It's always refreshing to see politicians work toward dreams in science, technology and exploration. The time table for this bill may need to slow down a bit to be realistic, but what is really needed to make the human Mars exploration and the further exploration of the solar system after Mars practical and economical is the development of nuclear propulsion, something that has always been a political hot potato.

    Without nuclear propulsion, a manned mission anywhere farther than the moon will always take too long be too costly and have a much too small margin of error to be acceptable.

    1. Re:What's really needed is nuclear propulsion by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Ironic, isn't it? One of the benefits of using a nuclear craft would be that, by reducing the duration of the journey, it would reduce astronauts' exposure to radiation.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

  18. Wait Until Every Other Problem Is Solved? No Way! by GuyMannDude · · Score: 3, Insightful

    In this day and age we need to be thinking about things like making sure there is enough money going into welfare, war on drugs, war on terrorism, enforcement of gun laws, etc and not on crazy stuff like going to mars.

    Yeah, alright, we'll just put science on the backburner until every other problem is completely solved. Gees. I got news for you: we're always going to have big problems here on Earth. You need to watch a little less Star Trek. I'm all in favor of social programs but we need to fund science as well.

    Now, I'm not an expert on space and, to be honest, I didn't even read the Mars proposal, but the idea of "hold off on the space stuff until we fix problems on Earth" is one of those things that really grates on my nerves. This bill should be judged by the scientific benefits of the Mars trip alone. The fact that there are so many other needy non-space causes shouldn't enter into this.

    GMD

  19. Re:Do we really want it? by Papineau · · Score: 2

    s/2 million dollars per year/2 billion dollars per year/?
    I know there's been inflation since then, but 2 million wasn't that big back then... it certainly is not anymore.

    I second your proposition for M. Gates. Now, who will try to convince him? :)

  20. Old People by DeadBugs · · Score: 2

    In 2050 we will hear old people complaining
    "We can put a man on Mars, but can't make a car that works right"

    --
    http://www.kubuntu.org/
  21. If Osama Bin Laden spent some of his... by SIGFPE · · Score: 2

    ...money on funding an Islamic space programme maybe we could get another space race going. That's the only way we're ever going to see any more manned exploration.

    --
    -- SIGFPE
  22. Redundant, and toothless by clem.dickey · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Redundant: In 1969, Vice-President Spiro Agnew committed the United States to a manned Mars mission by the year 2000. That beats this bill by 22 years. [As a side note, the Vice-President has traditionally been the administration's point person for space activity. That is why Apollo mission responsibility shifted from the Kennedy Space Center in Florida to Mission Control in Texas (Lyndon Johnson's home state) as soon as the Saturn V cleared the launch tower.]

    Toothless: There are no penalties for failure to execute. If the mission is not completed on schedule, NASA bosses should be looking at some hard prison time. Otherwise, what's the point?

    'Nuff said.

    1. Re:Redundant, and toothless by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 2


      Toothless: There are no penalties for failure to execute. If the mission is not completed on schedule, NASA bosses should be looking at some hard prison time. Otherwise, what's the point?

      That depends on how much control the "NASA bosses" have. If the flow of funds is not guaranteed and the objectives aren't set in stone , as was done in Apollo, then I don't see how NASA can be expected to deliver when demands on them constantly shift and when the rug of support can be yanked without due cause.

    2. Re:Redundant, and toothless by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 2

      I can see a new phrase circulating in the Chinese government: "If we can fund Clinton's presidential campaign, then why can't we put a man on mars?"

    3. Re:Redundant, and toothless by kubrick · · Score: 2

      As a side note, the Vice-President has traditionally been the administration's point person for space activity.

      Yeah, but this VP has a lot more power than they normally do -- Cheney is Bush Senior's "numbers man", isn't he? In other words, he's definitely one of the powers behind the throne in the current administration.

      Not that it makes me any more hopeful of seeing this happen, unless they decide that it's a good way of doling out billions in corporate welfare...

      --
      deus does not exist but if he does
  23. Why go to Mars, if there is no point to the ISS by Henry+V+.009 · · Score: 2

    If manned spaceflight were that cool, we would be talking about all the nifty things we could add to the ISS right now. The fact is, there is not enough science up there that requires human beings to justify the cost of sending them.

    Now, getting costs down is smart. We should be investing our money in cheap methods of getting to orbit. That is the kind of thing that will pay off. Once space is cheap, a hell of a lot more space science is justified.

  24. how much? by Profe55or+Booty · · Score: 2, Funny

    how much do you think it'll cost for some billionare to get a ride on this?

    --
    sig - .
  25. This won't work by DietFluffy · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Even if this bill passes, which I doubt it will, a simple act of Congress cannot possibly restore NASA to its former glory. Space exploration is no longer a top priority for the American people, now that the cold war is over. Once thought of as essential for national security, NASA is now suffering due to budget cuts.

    The public might still think that space exploration is "cool," but few would be willing to sacrifice other government programs or accept a tax hike in order to free up money for NASA. If the public doesn't care, why would politicians care? NASA won't win you votes at the ballot box.

  26. Even if this passes by jchawk · · Score: 2

    Here's the problem that I see. Even if this bill passes it is only the first step in the grand scheme.

    The bill would offer -

    $50,000,000 for fiscal year 2003.
    $200,000,000 for fiscal year 2004.

    This would be used for planning, etc. . . This is only a small fraction of what it is going to take to develop the needed equipment/technology to get there.

    They are shooting for 2020? Even if this bill does pass that leaves 16 more years for congress to de-rail or bury this project in favor of something else (see military spending, tax breaks, etc. . .).

    I agree that this bill is a start, but it certainly doesn't offer a lot in the way of a long term commitment from the American government. If only there was a way to get a president involved maybe he could get the American people excited about the space program again.

  27. Re:flying cars by Restil · · Score: 2

    Well, at least someone is throwing their hat over the wall for the good of mankind.

    They've given a deadline. :)

    -Restil

    --
    Play with my webcams and lights here
  28. Election year, dammit. by Dyslexic · · Score: 2, Insightful
    What the /. community seems to be missing is, that 2002 is a (re)election year. Many Senators/Reps are proposing bills that would never actually get passed (for instance the ludicrous Constitutional amendment that would ban same-sex marriages).

    Every politician is looking for their ticket into the next term, and it looks like Rep. Lampson is going for the space angle. Hell, he may be even trying to capitalize on the ATOC sci-fi brouhaha (it wouldn't suprise me, knowing how the political system works in the USA).

    With an administration that has been chopping NASA's budget left and right, this has very little chance of actually taking place.

    Dys.

    --
    This comment is brought to you by the drug caffiene, and the number 5.
  29. Not Senators... House of Representatives... by x-empt · · Score: 2

    Yeah, the Senators aren't involved in this ... its in the House. So write your House Representatives. No need to mess with the Senate governed by Palpatine... it will just backfire. Lets make sure Natalie Portman gets the office of Senator after her terms of Queen are up!

    --
    Ever need an online dictionary?
  30. Re:Here's how to save money... by Dolohov · · Score: 2

    I'd go in a heartbeat! Unfortunately, I'm just a lowly engineer, not a senator or anything. Maybe I should get a job at Enron... ;)

  31. The problem with a tax moratorium... by isaac · · Score: 2

    A tax moratorium to encourage space development would be great... if companies actually paid taxes. Enron never paid a dime of federal taxes. Tyco International dodged $400 million in taxes last year by incorporating in Bermuda. Etc. etc. etc. ad nauseam. There are too many tax shelters already that are a hell of a lot easier to establish than an asteroid mine.

    -Isaac

    --
    I am not a lawyer, and this is not legal advice. For Entertainment Purposes Only.
    1. Re:The problem with a tax moratorium... by isaac · · Score: 2
      Guess what... Corporate taxes are your taxes. Buy a loaf of bread and that evil corporation's taxes are just part of the price YOU pay.

      Of course. Don't be snarky, I realize the implications of business taxes. Consider: What if I don't buy that loaf of bread, and the bakery still pays taxes. Am I paying the taxes? Sure, in some totally diffuse way, but tracing the pennies is pretty tough. Might it be more efficient to collect taxes from businesses rather than individuals? Probably, which is why businesses are responsible for individual income tax witholdings, even though they're not responsible for the filing.

      My point is not that corporate taxes don't affect my wallet, but that there is a tax structure that many corporations, mainly large ones, are dodging. Your regional bakery is probably not incorporated in Barbados - is it a good thing or a bad thing that a transnational corporation has tax shelters available to it that a small business does not? I'm not of the belief that our tax structure should incentivize size this way - the rewards of size should be economies of scale, not tax shelters. This is a philosophical position, but I think it is reasonable to suggest that bigness is not itself a virtue.

      When Tyco avoids $400 million, if they really are avoiding it, the products you buy are that much cheaper/better.

      Cheaper is not necessarily better. Consider two identical products, one slightly cheaper, but made with the blood of kittens. Is the cheaper one better? Maybe if you don't like cats. Myself, I like cats, so I'll take the kitten-free product as the better, though it comes at a marginally higher cost. Of course, if you only consider the finished product, rather than its origin, then the cheaper one might be better, but you only reach that analysis by externalizing the kittens.

      Anyway, focusing on Fed. taxes is pointless. Corporations pay all kinds of taxes, real estate, fuel, etc. etc. The fact they are deducted from the Fed. tax doesn't make them any less paid in the first place. It just makes them charged once into the product's price. Indeed, for you, it keeps YOU from paying the tax 3 times over.

      I'm not talking about deductions, I'm talking about reincorporating in tax shelters, when the only presence a company may have there is a PO Box. I'm talking about transferring profits to offshore subsidiaries in order to write off fictional losses. This isn't Enron-type stuff (off-books partnerships to hide debt), these are mainstream tax strategies for large corporate entities, and they're ugly, and people would be (IMO, justifiably) pissed if they realized the implications.

      -Isaac

      --
      I am not a lawyer, and this is not legal advice. For Entertainment Purposes Only.
    2. Re:The problem with a tax moratorium... by isaac · · Score: 2
      If you don't but the bread, the bakery goes out of business and you buy the bread elsewhere. To live, you eat. To eat, you buy bread. To buy bread, you pay taxes. Once on your income you need to pay for the bread; and again on the taxes bundled into the cost of the bread.

      I'm talking about a bakery with other customers, not a private baker that serves only me. Suppose I'm allergic to wheat, and don't buy baked goods. The lack of my patronage probably won't drive a bakery with many other customers out of business. My point was that if I don't patronize a particular business, and do not pay that business for goods and services, then it doesn't matter if the business' tax burden is included in the price - I'm not paying the business, so I'm not paying that business' tax, except in the most diffuse way. Put simply, a business passes its tax burden most directly onto its customers - I don't think we're in disagreement on this rather tangential point.

      > Might it be more efficient to collect taxes from businesses rather than individuals?

      No, actually it serves to keep them hidden. How else could one extort a total tax rate of 50-55% of income from almost everyone. If people knew they worked more for the Goverenment than they did for themselves, they might get, well, irritated.

      It might serve to keep them hidden, but that is orthogonal to the question of whether collecting taxes from a smaller number of business is more or less efficient (economically speaking) than collecting taxes from the much larger number of individials. Philosophy is not an answer to a question of efficiency.

      >Consider two identical products, one slightly cheaper, but made with the blood of kittens. Is the cheaper one better?

      Again, little to do with moratoriums. Nor does dead kitten blood equate well with the business drive to minimize passt-thru expenses.

      My point related to your original conflation of "cheaper" and "better." I was suggesting that the cheaper product might only be better if one externalized other costs in producing it - labor costs, environmental costs, tax costs. If you're philosophically opposed to all business taxes, that's fine, except that the ability of a business to evade taxes has more to do with its size than anything else, and such tax avoidance by large firms increases the share borne by smaller ones. This is the gist of my beef, so to speak.

      Anyway, your claim that a moratorium would be great "if companies actually paid taxes" is false. It applies only if you consider Federal Income. Companies do pay taxes, and abating them would offer some market advantage to the company.

      So... if we take your proposed regime where there are no corporate taxes, how could one incent space development (the original point of the parent) with a selective tax moratorium, since there would be no taxes to begin with? My original offhand gripe was based on the inequitable application of the existing tax structure that already allows large companies (the only sort with the necessary resources to commercially develop space) to avoid taxes, which would limit the efficacy of such a tax incentive. I stand by this analysis.

      -Isaac

      --
      I am not a lawyer, and this is not legal advice. For Entertainment Purposes Only.
    3. Re:The problem with a tax moratorium... by isaac · · Score: 2
      Geez. Don't have to club you over the head with bat, do we. You have to eat. s/bread/food-housing-car-electronics-etc.etc.etc./

      Bread, or not, you have to buy sh*t.

      We track imbedded tax load, you moron. We happen to do it for bread 'cus everyone (but you apparently) buys it. Bread serves as the proxy for EVERYTHING you buy

      Hey now, I'm not calling you a moron - let's be civil here. You are saying that embedded in the cost of goods is the tax burden on the producers (all the way up the chain). I am agreeing with you. I am also saying that someone NOT purchasing a PARTICULAR good is NOT paying that PARTICULAR producers' tax burden, except in the most diffuse way. I thought I was clear.

      TAX load imbedded within a loaf of bread? According to Price Waterhouse...27.7%. That excludes explicit sales taxes

      Interesting! You know, I've never been able to find that Price Waterhouse study. After an extensive search on Google, Nexis, and Westlaw, The only place I can find this figure bandied about is in an article by Ralph Reiland (who seems to get the figure from Americans for Tax Reform), a short blurb on the Americans for Tax Reform website, Grover Norquist's congressional testimony of 2/26/98, or articles citing to Mr. Norquist's ATR organization.

      The figures seem to vary a little bit as this blurb gets passed around - the study found the tax on a $1.09 loaf of bread to be 30 cents according to some sites, 31 cents according to Mr. Norquist's testimony. The percentage is variously described as 27% or 27.2% (no place I found called it 27.7%). This variability and the fact that all references cite Mr. Norquist's congressional testimony or his organization as the source, not Price Waterhouse, leave me a bit skeptical. I wonder if you could provide a proper citation to this study?

      I am willing to believe that the aggregate tax on a loaf of bread is 30 or 31 cents, but I would like some corroboration as to the existence and methodology of this study before I accept this figure. In other words, I'm calling your hand on this point. I'd also like to mention that it is disingenuous to say that this figure, even if it is correct, "excludes sales taxes" - no state that I'm aware of imposes sales taxes on a staple food like bread.

      > whether collecting taxes from a smaller number of business is more or less efficient (economically speaking) than collecting taxes from the much larger number of individials..

      Yes, it does. Every individual files tax documents. The cost of collection at the individual level is sunk. Adding additional collection processes for business taxes is a lessening of efficiency through duplication.

      Ah, now that's an answer! I'll accept that. I was thinking of collecting taxes from businesses vs. from individuals, not the existing scheme of collecting from both, but given the current system, your point is fair.

      > So... if we take your proposed regime where there are no corporate taxes, how could one incent space development (the original point of the parent) with a selective tax moratorium, since there would be no taxes to begin with?

      By paying for it directly. Nothing like a check to incent someone.

      Sounds good to me! But this isn't really a tax moratorium, which is the idea I was originally criticizing.

      -Isaac

      --
      I am not a lawyer, and this is not legal advice. For Entertainment Purposes Only.
  32. Re:Boo! by mangu · · Score: 2

    You don't need to worry, because, no matter how many billions they spend, all those dollars will stay right here on Earth. They will pay wages for people who work in the aerospace sector, they will pay for research done in universities, they will finance companies doing work for NASA.

    Not a single penny will be spent on Mars. There's no one there to receive it.

  33. Chance of passing: zero by Ars-Fartsica · · Score: 3, Insightful
    We've got a budget deficit, a war on terrorism that has devolved to the US managing a quarter of the world, a huge catastrophe looming with social security, crumbling schools, a growing military budget....

    All of these add up to very very little money for Mars.

    I would love to be proven wrong, but I suspect that this bill will not see much debate.

    1. Re:Chance of passing: zero by Ars-Fartsica · · Score: 2

      Good post. I have some comments which should not be construed as being adversarial...just some points of disagreemtn.

      1. Budget deficit is a paper tiger. We always have a budget deficit

      We also have a balanced budget amendment. Both Clinton and Bush were serious about erasing the national debt as well. All of these don't make big deficits for space programs seem possible.

      2. The War on Terrorism is funded largely from the existing military budget - this type of thing is actually budgeted for.

      I don't know where you got this from but it doesn't jive with anything I see on CSPAN. This conflict has already create a extra cost of over $10 billion dollars. I understand there are sunk costs with reference to staffing overseas bases, but armaments and fuel are not sunk costs.

      3. Castastrophe Looming with Social Security is simple FUD

      Oh I agree, but its a huge voter issue, and Bush is going to have address it in some fashion. SS is dead one way or another - there is no arithmetic in the US econonmy that can save it, but don't tell that to the AARP.

      In any case, even in terms of pure science I can think of a dozen different research projects more deserving. Alternative energy. Grid computing. Nanotechnology/MEMs. Genomics. etc etc.

    2. Re:Chance of passing: zero by ArsSineArtificio · · Score: 2

      We also have a balanced budget amendment.

      Just to clarify - you're not arguing that there exists a Balanced Budget Amendment to the U. S. Constitution, are you?

      Because, well, there's not.

      --
      All employees must wash hands before seeking equitable relief.
    3. Re:Chance of passing: zero by Fastolfe · · Score: 2

      The deteriorating state of the middle east and growing tensions elsewhere are precisely why I think we should be looking toward getting some of our species off this rock. Nuclear and biological weapon proliferation is unavoidable, and given the agenda of many nuclear-seeking nations and factions out there, I'd say our species needs to get a foothold on a few other worlds while we still can.

    4. Re:Chance of passing: zero by Gromer · · Score: 2

      1. The fact that we always run deficits doesn't mean that we shouldn't worry about them. Those deficits do have consequences. Those 'special sources' you mention are, as you point out in #3, completely imaginary. The reality is that in the federal budget, the money going out has to equal the money going in because the government cannot save money, nor can it create money. Consequently, any expenditures beyond what is covered by tax revenue must be financed by selling bonds to the private sector.

      The problem with selling bonds is twofold: first of all, those bonds must be serviced yearly, like any loan, which means these bonds show up in the budget as additional expenses. As the debt burden grows, the interest and principal expenses grow. As these expenses grow, they crowd out other spending. Eventually, the government may be forced to take out new loans just to pay back old ones, thereby crossing a fiscal point-of-no-return towards economic disaster which can only be averted by crippling budget cuts.

      Second, those bonds are sold on the open market. Simple supply and demand shows that as the demand for money (the real commodity being traded) is driven up by government borrowing, the price of funds (the interest rate) goes up. This makes it harder for businesses and individuals to get loans, which has a contractionary effect on the national economy. Put simply, government borrowing drives down the economic groth rate, and excessive borrowing could even trigger a recession.

      In short, the deficit issue is very real indeed.

      By the way, the budget surplus of the past few years was just as real as our current deficit- between 1996 and 2000, net debt dropped by close to half a trillion dollars, which led to corresponding decreases in interest expenses.

      3. The social security crisis is equally real, although you are correct that almost nobody in the media presents it accurately. As you note, the 'trust fund' is an accounting fiction- there's no pile of money sitting in some treasury building waiting to be tapped into. This just makes the crisis that much more imminent. For the moment, social security is in surplus- social security tax revenue exceeds social security payouts, so the difference can be diverted to other expenses.

      Within the decade, and by some estimates within 5 years, this will cease to be the case, and social security outlays will begin to exceed revenues. When that happens, the money will need to either come out of existing government programs, or out of new taxes.

      The big problem is that social security is an entitlement- if you qualify for social security, the government is legally obligated to pay you, so the government can't budget it- it can't, for example, cut social security by 10%. All it can do is change the qualifications for social security benefits and hope the resulting expenses go down by the appropriate amount.

      The basic problem, as you point out, is that thanks to the AARP, meaningful cuts in benefits are simply not in the offing, and so the result in the long run will either be enormous cuts in other programs (unlikely), or drastic tax increases. You may be pretty relaxed about that fact, but I'm not, and you shouldn't be either: the kind of tax increases we're talking about here are enough to trigger a severe recession.

      So the looming social security crisis is very real, and very genuinely worrying.

      Your basic point stands- Congress will not reject this bill because it literally can't afford it, although it might reject it because there are more political points to be won by looking thrifty than by looking pro-science. That doesn't mean that we, the people who ultimately foot the bill, should not be worried about the budgetary impact of a proposal like this.

      --
      "Never let your sense of morals prevent you from doing what is right" -Salvor Hardin
  34. If men are from Mars... by thumbtack · · Score: 3, Funny

    shouldn't we be planning a mission to Venus instead?

  35. Bah! It'll Never Happen by istartedi · · Score: 3, Funny

    Not enough votes on Mars.

    No farmers, no steelworkers, no Cuban immigrants, no nothin'. It ain't a key "swing planet", it has no electoral votes, no representation, no key industries, and it isn't even a decent vacation spot.

    What we need is a lobby. First make land grants on Mars. Slip it in as a rider on some military spending bill. Then, we can start complaining about how transportation is lousy there; maybe divert some funds from Amtrak, grease a few palms here and there. The first rocket needs to be loaded with representatives for welfare mothers, schoolchildren, teachers, steelworkers, farmers, union members, and other key constituency groups who know how to lobby. The scientists can come later.

    If the rocket makes it we'll get one helluva Mars lobby. If it blows up, that'll be fine too. It's a win-win situation.

    Hey, don't blame me. You were the ones who brought Congress into the picture.

    --
    For all intensive purposes, "whom" is no longer a word. That begs the question, "who cares"?
  36. 2022? AHAHAHAHAHA by HanzoSan · · Score: 2

    First USA may not even exsist in 2022 if we dont stop terrorism.

    Second by 2022, we should be building on mars, not sending the first man to mars.

    I mean damn, If we are going to pollute earth shouldnt we be preparing mars.

    2022? Come on, we can go to Mars 5 years from now.

    2022? ITs not a technology issue, its cheap Americans who want tax cuts. My Prediction, China or Russia will go to Mars before us.

    --
    If you use Linux, please help development of Autopac
  37. Distance is not a problem, PRICE is the problem by HanzoSan · · Score: 2

    It would cost hundreds of billions of dollars to go to Mars.

    To Terraform Mars it would cost trillions. I think we should start doing this LONG before 2020 though.

    I think 2008 we should send a Man to mars, 2015 try to terraform mars.

    By 2030 Terraforming will be done, and we can build stuff on mars because the pollution and the population will increase to the point that by 2050 we will need to be on Mars.

    --
    If you use Linux, please help development of Autopac
    1. Re:Distance is not a problem, PRICE is the problem by canadian_right · · Score: 2
      Emigration rarely helps local population pressure, and I think its obvious that emigraion to Mars will not help the Earth's population reduce. The importance of being on Mars is to seed a new colony that will grow independantly so that humanity now lives in TWO baskets, not one.

      15 year to terraform Mars? I think you are a wee bit optimistic. 300 years might be more reasonable. Important things take longer than "one quarter".

      And yes, the Martian atmosphere is only about 1% as thick as the Earth's, and is 95% co2.
      Mars facts are at: Nasa Mars Facts
      More Mars Info

      --
      Anarchists never rule
    2. Re:Distance is not a problem, PRICE is the problem by HanzoSan · · Score: 2

      800 years IF our technology doesnt advance at all.

      IF our technology continues to advance at this pace, it wont take 800 years. Maybe 15-30.

      --
      If you use Linux, please help development of Autopac
    3. Re:Distance is not a problem, PRICE is the problem by HanzoSan · · Score: 2

      I think we can do it in 15 years.

      Technology 15 years from now may be so much more advanced that we may have.

      Unlimited energy source.
      Nano Technology.
      Unlimited power super computer.

      With enough energy, and Nano technology, as well as using our bio technology, couldnt we speed up the process?

      --
      If you use Linux, please help development of Autopac
  38. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 2

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  39. Call your Congress-critter! by einstein · · Score: 2

    pour the equal amount of pressure on your congress critter to vote for this as we poured on to not vote for things like the SSSCA! I'll be writing some letters tomorrow. of course, I'm unemployed so I have a lot of time to do such things..
    ---

  40. Re:Mars Direct is a better idea by mikeee · · Score: 2

    A problem with Mars Direct is that it uses nuclear energy. I don't have much of a problem with nuclear energy when its on another planet, but it makes it politically more difficult. I think its use stems from Zubrin nuclear engineering background and from his unwillingness to consider advances in technology that will be obtained by the time a Mars program actually starts.

    I don't think any possible chemical fuel could provide enough energy to do what is needed for his plan, and I doubt you can carry solar cells to get enough power.

    The nuclear plant is the key to this plan; everything else hinges on having tons of electricity available on Mars.

  41. Uh, by HanzoSan · · Score: 2

    Why cant we invest in both? Increase taxes by about 2 trillion dollars

    (it was cut by about 1.5 trillion)

    This leaves 500 billion for a manned mission to Mars.

    The terraform project would require trillions, we cant afford to terraform mars. But we can send a man there, the reason we dont is, is it worth all that money just so we can claim we were first?

    The terraform project is more important, we should begin now taxing for it, so that in 10 years we will have a few trillion dollars which will be enough to begin.

    --
    If you use Linux, please help development of Autopac
  42. See the problem is this by HanzoSan · · Score: 2


    POLLUTION, We wont have air in 2020, there wont be any rainforest left, and the Ozone layer will be completely gone,

    yeah thats when we will send a MAN to mars, when will we terraform? 2050? If we wait until then, it will be too late, We'll all be dead.

    --
    If you use Linux, please help development of Autopac
    1. Re:See the problem is this by HanzoSan · · Score: 2



      Dude do you notice the air getting clearer or dirtier? Stop making stupid as hell excuses. We are messing up the enviornment, accept it and prepare.

      The hole is a mechanism? thats one theory out of many, the most likely theory is we created the hole considering it wasnt there until we started polluting.

      Eco Scares? Its not about scares, pollution really exsists, you can ignore it and hope the world still exsists, or you can assume its all our fault and make SURE the world exsists

      --
      If you use Linux, please help development of Autopac
    2. Re:See the problem is this by Arcturax · · Score: 2

      As president of planet Spaceball, I can assure you and your viewers there is no air shortage!

      *hangs up*

      Shithead...

      *starts sniffing a can of "Derrie Aire*

      --

      --Won't that be grand? Computers and the programs will start thinking and the people will stop. - Dr. Walter Gibbs
    3. Re:See the problem is this by dylan_- · · Score: 2


      the hole in the Ozone Layer is an effective mechanism for balancing global temperature and atmospheric mix


      I thought the hole in the ozone layer had to do with blocking harmful radiation. Did I miss something, or are you thinking of global warming due to increased CO2 in the atmosphere?

      --
      Igor Presnyakov stole my hat
  43. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  44. The Dream of a Lifetime. by Morpheaus · · Score: 2, Insightful
    June 20, 1969

    My dad was 12 years old when he first saw the television broadcast of Neil Armstrong take the first steps onto a world of wonders.

    The whole world stopped and watched. People in the former Soviet Union and the world sat dumbfounded at the accomplishment. It wasn't just 'America' that made it to the moon, it was the entire world.

    Now imagine that feeling, for one moment. What would it be like for just one second to actually have a sense of accomplishment that goes above anything and everything. Above all the petty differences regarding possessions and wealth. I would give anything to have that excitement in my lifetime. What was your feeling on Sept. 11th? I can tell you mine, horror. Can't we have something different? Something spectactularly humbling and amazing?!

    I think it's time that we as humans actually try to accomplish something more then making money and material wealth. That we prove to everything and anything out there that we will continue to survive if we actually try to work together. Think of the jobs that this type of project would create.

    I've read some other posts regarding this...ppl saying we should do this to welfare and blah blah blah. What if this created 100,000 more jobs? What if this actually motivated ppl to get off their butts and do something?

    What if for even 10 mins, you could say that you someway, no matter how minor it was, YOU contributed to something so grand, so spectacular, that nothing or no one could ever take that satisfaction away from you.

    But then again, we as humans will probably never be able to experience that feeling. We'll continue to argue about welfare, who gets what money and what possessions. Who's house is bigger. etc. etc. etc.

    I just turned 21. I hope for just one second I will be able to experience something that will atleast leave me somewhat satisfied so that before I die, I can actually relfect on the accomplishments as a race that we have accomplished. What I have accomplished will never compare to what if we all worked together to accomplish.

    I wish for that feeling my Dad had...33 years ago.

    That is my dream, and hope.

  45. This is cool, but some other things are also... by LWolenczak · · Score: 2

    This is cool. Don't get me wrong, I like the Idea, and am for it 110%, but, there are other projects that need funds, like projects developing impulse and warp drive.

    And maybe a faster then light communications method... Plus, we need to setup a sensor permiter of our solar system :)

  46. $$$'s by Easy2RememberNick · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Maybe if the government didn't give $180 billion to farmers then a mission to Mars would be possible. I know let's send the farmers to Mars.

    1. Re:$$$'s by yobbo · · Score: 2

      Do you enjoy eating?

    2. Re:$$$'s by raygundan · · Score: 2

      Of course we all enjoy eating, barring some sort of nasty illness.

      But that doesn't mean food needs to be subsidized. Farmers should simply charge what it costs plus a little profit, just like everybody else in every other industry everywhere. And how would we afford these unbelieveable food price increases? Why, with the money we're no longer paying in taxes.

  47. Re:Boo! by redcliffe · · Score: 2

    There will always be problems here on Earth. We should go to Mars because we don't know we can do it. The science that can be done by real live people on a planet is far more than robots can do. And we can then have off site backup as well.

  48. Get off the Planet by msheppard · · Score: 2

    I wonder how fast we could get a colony on Mars if we could cinvince people that our entire specieis is in danger of being destroyed. If we spent half as much effort as we currently spend on religon or anything else, how long would it take? Perhaps it could become it's own religon, saving the species by getting some of eggs out of the same basket.

    --
    Krispy Cream is people
  49. How appropriate by kenneth_martens · · Score: 2

    How appropriate that this bill should be presented to Congress now, just after I have finished reading Frederick Pohl's "Man Plus." (For those who don't know, "Man Plus" deals with sending a man to Mars.)

    I was thinking about how an actual Mars mission might be accomplished, with minimum cost and maximum gain. Here's what I came up with:

    1. Construct a large ship in orbit--launching the entire ship on one rocket wouldn't really be feasible for a Mars expedition as it was for the lunar missions.

    2. The ship might need to simulate gravity by spinning on an axis--after all, this will be a long mission (1-2 years) and we can't let the astronauts get too weak.

    3. Send the ship off to Mars, land with a couple (or three) landing vehicles, then bring the ship back to Earth.

    4. Use the ship as an orbiting space station. That's the real brilliance of my plan. We get a free space station in the process.

    Well, that's all.

  50. You're right, here's what must be done first by Ars-Fartsica · · Score: 3, Insightful
    You are totally correct. Going to Mars is such a huge deal that there is no point going unless it is a useful trip with a real purpose. Right now the technologies needed aren't there and the cost would be astronomical with little pay off.

    At the very least some very strong basic science (with applications) in MEMs and nanotech, not only for the machinery needed to get to Mars, but for construction and terraforming. To make a large scale settlement there, we will have no choice but to build with local materials.

    Second, major advances in space travel need to happen. We could possibly cobble together something that would get there and back but it would be of little lasting value. We need to understand more about alternative propolsion and energy adaption.

    Third, we have very little useful information on human spaceflight, other than it is harmful. We need another twenty years for biotech to help offset the effects of space travel on our muscle and bones.

    Fourth, some major advances in environmental science need to happen. We can barely keep the garden of paradise from turning into a sewage pit, so there's a lot of work to be done if we hope to take something as fragile as Mars and make it liveable.

    Lastly computing still has a ways to go insofar as creating robust systems that can operate autonomously, although consumer applications from blenders to driveless monorail cars seem to be making progress.

    We'll get there, but right now we just don't have what it takes to make the trip worthwhile.

  51. Too late, ice shelf already irreversably melting by Ars-Fartsica · · Score: 2
    Not to depress you, but scientists have recently concluded that there is no meaningful way to reverse the disruption of the polar ice shelf. Get used to seeing more and more of it break off and melt.

    There's probably no way to reverse serious weather disruptions in the next century or rising water lines as a result. I have heard 17 ft as being a possible amount of rise over the next fifty years. That's dramatic.

  52. Re:The price of housing would be enough for me! by Darth_Burrito · · Score: 2

    It seems to be that the population density is too high in our cities, and a great way to thin that out would be to put some businesses on the Moon (or Mars).

    Radius of Moon 1,738 km

    Radius of Earth 6,371 km

    Surface Area Earth : Surface Area of Moon = 50:1

    Somehow I don't think moving people to the moon is going to significantly ease overcrowding on earth. Besides, honestly, who would want to live somewhere like the Moon or Mars? Don't get me wrong, it would be a sweet place to visit, but the pros of being on Earth greatly outweigh the pros of being anywhere else in the known universe.

  53. They have the internet in Idaho now? by Ars-Fartsica · · Score: 2
    Its amusing to hear a anti-government crank come out in favor of...a huge government expenditure program!

    The hypocrisy of this aside, legalizing pot and leaving gun owners alone won't get you as far as Pennsylvania let alone Mars.

    As for the comment about the "war on terrorism", let me get this straight, America shouldn't defend itself, but instead go to Mars. Okay!

    1. Re:They have the internet in Idaho now? by canadian_right · · Score: 2
      "The war on terrorism" is becoming like the "war on communism" - a handly label for anyone the USA doesn't like. I'm all for the USA blasting away at real terrorists, but you guys are passing a lot of laws that infringe on your own rights for the "war on terrorism". Notice how the definition of "terrorist" is very flexible? One man's terrorist is another man's freedom fighter.

      The war on drugs is a failure, and will alwys be a failure. See "prohibition". Legalize, regulate, and tax drugs.

      Gun control, or the lack of it, is a singularly American wierdness among countries not actively involved in brutal wars. I hate to be the one to break the news, but the USA has the highest murder rate due to guns out of any western country. Once you include suicides and acidents the death rate from guns is even higher. About 400 American's a week die from gun inflicted wounds. Half are suicides. 10% accidents, the remainder murder. Out of the murders about 90% involve people he who know each other (so even though a lot of people die, you are very unlikely to gunned down at random).

      --
      Anarchists never rule
  54. Election year pork for Lampson re-election by bogasity · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Mr. Lampson is the congress-critter for the area around the Johnson Space Center, which is about to get hammered for inducing a $5 billion overrun on the International Space Station. The Houston Chronicle recently had an article stating that 4000 jobs were at risk at JSC (out of ~16,000 total). Lampson wants to be able to say that he tried to save jobs at JSC in order to bolster his re-election chances.

  55. Show me the cash by Detritus · · Score: 2

    NASA funding has been in a slow decline for decades. During the Apollo program, NASA had a lot more money to spend on the people and equipment needed to do the job right. Today, the agency is in a slow-motion implosion. Many people are retiring or are being forced out by budget cuts. Very few new people are being hired. There is little money for developing new technology or replacing old equipment. Faster, cheaper, better, pick two.

    --
    Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
  56. Buzz has got some interesting Ideas by Timmeh · · Score: 2, Informative

    Buzz Aldrin has some interesting ideas for getting to mars, again and again for relatively cheap. I actually read a little blurb in this month's popular science that got me interested. Basically you put a few 'space hotels' as the media has begun to call them in orbit around the Sun. Once you've got those puppies in orbit it makes the trip much cheaper then using rockets to get all the way to Mars and back.

  57. Curiously strong mints by Graymalkin · · Score: 3, Interesting

    For geeks going to Mars is a technological achievement, a cool thing to do with no material benefit returned to the people (taxpayers) investing in it. Even the lowest estimates for a Mars mission run in the tens of billions for a single mission. Tens of billions of dollars to...plant a flag, take some measurements, and shoot some pictures? Apollo was a similar sort of mission though they actually had some nice returns on the investment because the technology to accomplish the mission didn't exist. The universities and contractors that designed and built equipment or just worked the numbers for the Gemini and Apollo missions gained immense amounts of knowlage about working in space. Had Apollo not needed small powerful computer systems which didn't exist at the time, slashdot probably would not exist and neither would your PC. The problem with a Mars mission is we have much of the technology needed to get there meaning putting an investment into the project isn't going to give you much of a return. It is inefficient and wasteful to mine Mars or even fabricate materials there for export. Say you had a Mars colony with a space launch infrastructure, it would cost them about as much to send something to Earth as it would cost us to send something to Mars. It is much more efficient to send a self sufficient manufacturing/refinment system to a much less massive body like an asteroid and have it send material back down to Earth. It's like mining the top of a mountain and rolling stuff downhill. As long as you've got a method to stop stuff it requires much less effort than trying to send your material up hill.

    --
    I'm a loner Dottie, a Rebel.
  58. A Big Space program means lots of jobs on earth by redcliffe · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Creating jobs is always popular. A manned mission to mars would create millions of jobs on earth.

  59. We will get there by theolein · · Score: 2

    Why? Because it's there. Because it serves a fundamental need of humanity: To expand and explore. When we will get there is another question altogether. It might happen suddenly because the Chinese are already planning to start a lunar colony by 2015 (astonautix.com) and the US feels the peer pressure. It might happen because the technology eventualy advances to the point where in 2030 say, it is relatively easy to do so. It might happen because someone might realise that the comet/asteroid wacking into the earth theory a la deep impact and armegeddon is not so far fetched (Just ask the dynosaurs) and they need to be able to rendezvous with asteroids. It might happen because of political reasons such as a president needing something to take away the focus from other important problems.

    But it will happen. And even the deepest cynics don't even seem to doubt that. The how and when they doubt, but not the if.

  60. Re:Commercialization possibilities by IdahoEv · · Score: 2

    Asteroid mining: no strip mining, no environmental concerns. Nickel-iron asteroids have a very high percentage of metals (common and valuable) in their composition, and they're solid - it's not like following that narrow vein of material through the Earth's crust. You can break apart and smelt the entire asteroid. Abundant solar power, 24 hours a day, to power clean furnaces.

    It may be hard to get stuff into space, but it's pretty easy to get stuff *down*.

    Assorted calculations show that the market value of the metals in a single smallish nickel-iron asteroid is on the order of a trillion dollars.

    Still think there's no reason for it? It's further away than tourism, but ultimately it may have a much bigger market potential.

    --
    I stole this sig from someone cleverer than me.
  61. No moonbase/farside radio astronomy by gad_zuki! · · Score: 2

    You can kiss those projects goodbye in your lifetime if NASA wants to make a propaganda win by landing some people on Mars. The probes are about as good for most purposes. You simply can't say the same thing about a permanent moon base.

    There are some risky and practical applications for moon missions, yet regarding Mars we'll be lucky to make it back.

  62. There's a better way by ScottForbes · · Score: 2, Insightful
    In 1990, Robert Zubrin and David Baker of Martin Marietta and Owen Gwynne of NASA developed Mars Direct, a plan that would allow permanent colonization of Mars within ten years, at a cost of approximately $30 billion. The plan uses rockets that are only slightly more powerful than Saturn V's, doesn't require building a space station or an orbital shipyard, and has half the payload requirements of a "traditional" round-trip Mars mission.

    The trick is to go there in two steps:

    Send an unmanned ship containing an unfueled return vehicle, six tons of hydrogen, and a chemical catalyst. Use the catalyst and the Martian atmosphere (primarily CO2) to create methane and water from the hydrogen (CO2 + 4H2 --> CH4 + 2H2O, exothermic). Store the methane for later use as rocket fuel. Elecrolyze the water to create oxygen gas (for later use as, well, oxygen) and more hydrogen, which you re-use to make more methane and water. This reaction eventually produces 24 tons of methane and 48 tons of oxygen; the plan calls for making an additional 36 tons of oxygen by reducing CO2.

    So far we've hauled six tons of hydrogen into space, thrown it at Mars, and used it to produce over 100 tons of rocket fuel, which is now sitting in a depot on Mars. Compare this to the cost of hauling 200 tons of rocket fuel into space, much less sending that much mass on a round trip to Mars.

    Three years later, launch the manned rocket. With the return vehicle and fuel already on Mars, your manned vehicle only needs enough fuel to get there, and doesn't need the ability to lift off from Mars again; in fact, the vehicle is designed to become a permanent, habitable fixture of the Martian landscape. Your first rocket has already explored the territory with a few roving robot probes, and is even providing a landing beacon.

    At the same time as the manned vehicle launch, launch a second unmanned rocket, identical to the first. This is your redundant backup for the incoming astronauts, in case the fuel depot springs a leak while they're in transit; at worst they'll have to wait for the second chemical factory to ramp up production, but otherwise you can have a complete failure of the first rocket and still be safe.

    Spend 1.5 years on Mars. No need to worry about getting home before your fuel runs out, because you're making more fuel as you go; you brought enough food supplies to last at least three years (and will leave some behind as a backup for the next manned mission, just in case), and you're producing oxygen and water faster than you can consume them.

    Get in the return vehicle and go home. Repeat the cycle until you've colonized Mars.

    The problems with Mars Direct fall into two broad categories: It requires a small nuclear reactor (smaller than the typical nuclear submarine's) to provide the initial power supply for the first unmanned lander, which makes the anti-nuclear lobby go nuts. The second problem is that Mars Direct doesn't scratch enough backs within the NASA bureaucracy to get funded: It bypasses the need for space stations, lunar landings, orbiting space fleets, warp drives, etc., and thus doesn't get support from any of the intra-NASA groups that want their pet project funded instead.

    The reasons we haven't been to Mars have nothing to do with practicality or affordability: Getting to Mars is achievable with current technology, and could be done for the cost of a steel tariff. It's all about politics and votes -- if half a million people marched on Washington to demand a Mars mission, we'd be there by 2010.

  63. What's needed is a land grab. by Colin+Smith · · Score: 2

    If you can get to it and put yout little flag on it, it's yours.

    --
    Deleted
  64. Re:The Face and D&M pyramid by nagora · · Score: 2
    I would tend to think that they are important enough to warrant further investigation.

    Very slightly odd geological formations are a lot less important than looking for liquid water or micro-organisms.

    Here's an interesting story you might find useful when dealing with various claims about aliens, pyramids, and Mars.

    Last year my girlfriend and I went to Egypt to spend the millenium (Jan 1st 2001) at the Great Pryamids. As part of the two week break we flew down from Aswan to Abu Simbel to see Ramses' great temple to Ptah, Ra, and Osiris. The 'plane flew quite low (~8000 feet) and we had a good view of the landscape.

    Guess what we saw?

    Pyramids. Hundreds of them, and dozens of Sphinxes. All natural shapes carved out of the stoney sand by the wind.

    At Abu Simbel itself we could see a couple of these natural pyramids, with one even sticking up out of the water of Lake Nassir.

    This tells us several imporant things: The Egyptians did not need alien visits to inspire their pyramids, or the Sphinx; that such shapes in a desert are not uncommon; and that resources expended on a trip to Cydonia are very likely to tell us nothing that a quick trip in a cheap Egyption airliner didn't tell me.

    TWW

    --
    "Encyclopedia" is to "Wikipedia" what "Library" is to "Some people at a bus stop"
  65. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 2

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  66. slashdotter's piss me off by argStyopa · · Score: 2

    The response of some /.'ers ticks me off. Granted, it's because I expect a rather more intelligent debate here than in the general public (foolish optimism), but still...

    For every person who complains that a mission to Mars would 'cost too much' or 'be of little/no benefit' I say fooey.

    1) Let's take the long view, for ONCE. It's hard enough to get corporations to look into NEXT year's returns. It's hard enough to get politicians to plan for any time after their next re-election campaign. But please, can't anyone see that interplanetary travel will significantly benefit the entire human race, FOREVER? To ever achieve it, someone, somewhere, somewhen HAS to make the first faltering, tentative steps. Someone has to spend the money to TRY. We're the wealthiest, (arguably) most technologically advanced state on the planet. We are basically at peace and have been for 50 years. To echo another poster - if not us, who? If not now, when?

    2) for those who argue that there's too little return to a Martian mission I also say fooey. The gains in terms of working knowledge regarding long-term space travel, propulsion systems, long distance communication, life support systems etc are already a long list. But the subsequent gains - if you see the mission to Mars as a stepping stone in a vital and thriving space program - are truly stunning. Asteroid mining - they are a HECK of a lot further away than Mars (in general). Having the nuances of long term space travel well understood would allow the reasonable pursuit of asteroid exploitation in the nearer future. A billion tons of nickel-iron already in orbit anyone? Anyone care to calculate how our space opportunities would explode if we already had the raw materials in space to work with?
    Or further: what about longer-range missions? Ganymede? Titan? What if there's a reasonable chance of finding life on these worlds (or even still Mars)? How much is it worth to us to know that there is other life out there? If you are talking dollars and cents on the bottom line this year? Probably $0.00. How much is it worth to us philosophically and as a species? Those of us who are space-optimists would say it's of incalculable value. Those who aren't would still say $0 and I pity them. They're also the ones who said man wasn't meant to fly, either.

    --
    -Styopa
  67. Re:-1:Uninformed by meringuoid · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Russia is unlikely to go to Mars by themselves, but as the only country with much relevant BFB experience (I understand that much of the Saturn 5 blueprints have been lost).

    It's not that the Saturn V blueprints are missing, more that all those 1960s components are no longer in production, and all those engineers are retired... NASA are having to scour eBay for 8086 processors for the Shuttle, so finding the parts for a Saturn (which last flew six years before the first Shuttle) would be a nightmare!

    The Russian Energia rocket is much more recent, but it would still be difficult to reactivate. It's heartbreaking to see Buran as a lawn ornament... But realistically our best bet for a BFB is the US Magnum, which is basically Energia built out of Shuttle technology. Shuttle tanks, engines and SRBs *are* still in service, and the components and engineers are readily available.

    The Russians would be a key partner though for anyone else. In particular they still have the most expertise for long-term missions, in particular of building stuff that is maintainable.

    Yep, that's their big advantage. You'd want the Mars ship to be Russian-built. They kept Mir alive through disaster after disaster, seven years after it was supposed to be replaced. That sort of durability is an absolute must for interplanetary work.

    Question: could we supply a Mars ship by leaving a string of Progress drones along its path, and let it collect 'em along the way?

    --
    Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
  68. A joint US/Europe/Japan effort by hoytt · · Score: 2, Interesting

    In my opinion, no country, how powerful and rich they may be will ever be able to cough up the money for a mission to mars, let alone the things that might come after that. So I think the best way to do it is to make a world wide coalition to get ppl sent to mars. If we can get the ESA, NASA, and NASDO into this and perhaps even the russians, (they have a huge knowledge on living in weightless conditions), this project might have a better chance than when the US would do it alone.

  69. Boring.... by SpinyNorman · · Score: 2

    Sure it'd be a cool engineering feat to put men on mars, but so what? For what purpose? Real world mars? There's only two things I really want to see out of the space program:

    1) Find extra-terrestial life

    2) Create extra-terrestial human colonies (MUCH lower priority)

    1) Can much better be accomplished using robots than manned missions, and the seas of Europa seem a more interesting destinationn than mars. By all means send a serious exploratory robotic mission to mars too, though.

    2) We'll learn 99% of what we would on mars by putting a colony on our moon, and it's be a hell of a lot cheaper and safer.

  70. Bill number by Guppy06 · · Score: 2

    When you write your Congresscritters, be sure to mention that you're talking about bill HR 4742.

  71. Re:Bah! It'll Never Happen by cybercuzco · · Score: 2
    What we need is a lobby.

    www.marssociety.org Check out operation Congress. Sure looks like a lobbying effort to me.

    --

  72. Terrorists/Gun Control by medcalf · · Score: 2

    A terrorist is a person who kills civilians to advance a political aim. Yes, this means that Dresden was a terrorist act (since military aims are inherently political) and the murder of Pim Fortuyn was a terrorist act and so on. The US is theoretically attacking terrorists with "global reach", which would rule out the domestic variety of political murders and such. A freedom fighter, presumably a person whose political goal is to remove the influence of a government over a particular geographic area or some population subgroup, can still be a terrorist, if they kill civilians. Not all terrorism is bad, and not all freedom fighters are good, and the whole thing is mixed up together. What we are currently engaged in is the routing out of terrorists who target people across borders or in some way contrary to our interests.

    As to gun control, I believe that Switzerland has a higher per capita gun ownership than does the US. Oh, and the US also has the most murders by knife, defenesration and a number of other methods.

    -jeff

    --
    -- Two men say they're Jesus. One of them must be wrong. - Dire Straits
  73. How about Integrated circuits? by maddogsparky · · Score: 2
    First invented in 1958.

    First practical method of production in 1959.

    It was initially very expensive. Development of the lunar lander guidance computer drove world-wide production of ICs in the 1960s. At one point, over 90% of all ICs _in_existance_ were in this project! Funding for Apollo is what drove the research and resulted in the basic building block of the modern computer. And without modern computers, a plethora of other inovations would not have come into existance, such as the Internet and anything else you can think of that had something to do with heavy number crunching.

    --
    science is a religion
  74. Reasons why the Chinese make a good competitor by maddogsparky · · Score: 2
    They have state a goal of having a manned lunar outpost within 10 years.

    The father of their space program was a Chinese man who help put the US in space, then went back to China.

    When the US and USSR were competing, nobody knew if it was possible; now that question has been answered.

    Russian has been selling China space-related technology. They have more experience in space than the US.

    The US are 15 years behind schedule because the corporations started milking the system. The Chinese leadership just has to say "it shall be thus" and it is--the reason they haven't started sooner is because their leadership made the concious decision to work on other things first. Now they have turned the corner and decide that they want to go to the moon--permanantly.

    And to top it off, they are (in theory) communists, so the capitalist US must oppose them! And as a bonus, they have a red flag, so we can just recycle the rhetoric about "the reds"!

    --
    science is a religion
  75. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 2

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  76. Re:The Face and D&M pyramid by nagora · · Score: 2
    Ben Bova in his second Mars book also talks about retriving things like the Sojourner and the Viking probes, which could be an interesting idea. I know *I'd* pay money to see those!

    I'd rather they stayed where they are and NASA took us up there to see them in-situ!

    TWW

    --
    "Encyclopedia" is to "Wikipedia" what "Library" is to "Some people at a bus stop"
  77. Re:The Face and D&M pyramid by nagora · · Score: 2
    the precision and expertise necessary to build the artificial ones is unbelievable.

    The precision isn't as great as some would have you believe (so you're right-it is unbelievable!), but is high. The pyramid shapes at Cydonia are nothing like as good, even at the resolutions we've seen so far. Which is what I'd expect if they were natural.

    TWW

    --
    "Encyclopedia" is to "Wikipedia" what "Library" is to "Some people at a bus stop"
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  80. why plan for a round trip? by thogard · · Score: 2

    Wired did a story a while back about why sending people to mars with a 40 year supply of gear is cheaper than sending a return vehicle. Henry Spencer (of regex and usenet fame) was even willing to go along for the one way trip.