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More Drooling Over The Opteron
bradv writes "I havent heard much about the new 64bit chips from AMD lately and was excited to find this article to satisfy my appetite for a little while longer. Probably more info than most people will ever care about. "
Not only is the chip 64 bits, it also runs at 64 degrees Celsius!!!
How can I not love a 64 bit processor that for some reason makes me think of the Transformers...
Fire in the hands of the village idiot is no tool, but a weapon of mass destruction
makes me feel prickily all over
I have great faith in fools; My friends call it self-confidence. Edgar Allan Poe 1809-1845
Doesn't perform..and I mean really perform...I'm not sure if AMD will be with us much longer, which would be a shame.
SPEC results linked from The Inquirer ... here
Does it support TCPA? If so, I'll pass, thanks.
"Probably more info than most people will ever care about."
Yeah... And yet that is surely why you posted it on Slashdot - "News for Nerds".
more info than most people will ever care about
That's a great reason to put it on the front page.
I think this is accurate because of the architecutural choice AMD made--instead of going with an all-new architecture, ala Itanium, they instead blew out the x86 system to 64 bits. That level of division in the CPU market at this time feels like it will have a very significant effect on the balance of power.
No one besides servers can use 64 bit chips right now
This is exactly what makes the Opteron an attractive processor. Rather then being simply a 64 bit proc like the Itanium, it has the ability to run legacy 32-bit instructions. This is a Good Thing. Now I can have a 64-bit proc that can still run all my old apps, but still can take advantage of the benefits of 64-bit architechure.
In fact, as I see it, the only people that won't benefit from 64-bit are Windows users. Until MS makes a 64-bit version of Windows the standard, the only people that will benefit from the Opteron will be the people that run OSes that they compiled themselves.
> ability to run legacy 32-bit instructions
But, if you read the article, you would have noticed that they mentioned the very poor performance of Opteron while executing those instructions.
do you even know what an Opteron is? It's architecture doesn't limit it to just servers, because it supports existing x86 instruction sets. Sorta like how Windows 95 could still run Windows 3.1 apps, the Opteron will still be able to run x86 apps. I can see one of these in my workstation a lot sooner than I'll see an Itanium.
Jon.
Verify the maximum amount of drool the chip can sustain before you start to droll over it.
It is a common assumption that 64-bit is for servers only. I am working on a quite widely used medical imaging & physics application that is suffering from the 2 GB (and even 4 GB) barrier at the client side. The CT/PET/MR image data with symbolic images, triangle meshes, dosimetric data, etc. are just too much for the 32-bit memory space. Our db servers are fine with 32-bit memory space, but the clients must be upgraded pretty soon now.
-- Imperial units must die --
Mod the post, not the poster.
--
SweetAndSourJesus
I didn't think that was a very good article. There seemed to be a lot of guesses in there, none of which appeared to be particularly informed - or at least, they were not explained - and some of it sounded downright childish. Like:
:-)
I don't know what Reserved might mean. One of the reviewers says that maybe in this case the processor turns into DSP. It's a mad idea, but if AMD realized it, this processor would be second to none in some kinds of operations.
or
AMD realizes it, and at present they develop several independent versions of the compiler together with famous software development companies. I won't unveil their names - AMD will do it if necessary. You just should know that at launch the processor will have the required support of the compiler allowing using its architectural advantages.
sorry?
No, i'd rather read C'T, at least they already have one of them chips on the test bench
"Now, this is cool tech, so it's a fun read. But is anyone really holding there breath for this thing? This thing is doomed without support from Microsoft, and they are going to be in bed with Intel as usual. AMD should stick to what it does best, emulating Intel's CPUs, until it can amass enough market share and forge enough partnerships with OS makers to strike out on their own."
Actually, Microsoft has endorsed AMD's 64 bit platform. They are also pressuring Intel to adopt a x86 approach as well. Why? Easier to code for.
The Itanium has been nothing but a disaster so far.
The Opteron could be a real turning point, with Intel for once forced to clone AMD designs...
Corporatism != Free Market
They tested with Slackware 1.2? They might want to try a version released within the past 5 years though. Perhaps version 8.1.
I control the time!
Why? Easier to code for.
I don't really know if it's fair to say "easier to code for", though it would definitely be fair to say "easier to transition to".
Invoicing, Time Tracking, Reporting
Of course, the majority of us still won't read the article.
Maybe its just me but there is no author and no references. The opening sounds like a technical presentation but from whome? A AMD Press release?? should it not say???
Of course, the Opterons haven't been shown at full speed yet. By all means keep posting flamebait and disinformation, though. Estimated SPEC scores have been available for a while. Here is the relevant snippet:
A single Opteron core running at an actual clock speed of 2.0-GHz with registered PC2700 memory yielded a SPECint2000 score of 1202, and a SPECfp2000 score of 1170, Weber said. He did not formally disclose whether the chip was a "Clawhammer" or "Sledgehammer" chip.
The scores for a Dell 3.06 P4 are 1084 SPECint, 1092 SPECfp. Not bad for 2/3 the clock speed...and much faster on integer performance than Itanic. :-)
Do you really think AMD's new .13 micron chip will top out at 2.0 GHz. in the near term?
The other beauty of Opteron is the ease of building multiway systems up to eight-way...as opposed to HYPErthreading. Personally, I prefer multiple real processors if I'm going to pay additional license fees...
Galileo: "The Earth revolves around the Sun!"
Score: -1 100% Flamebait
All data are ECC protected.
"Data" is a plural word, finally someone noticed.
I want to delete my account but Slashdot doesn't allow it.
Nice try. Microsoft has already publically announced 64-bit Windows support for x86-64.
Relevant quote:
AMD's newly named Opteron server processor will get its own 64-bit version of Windows, and the 64-bit desktop Athlons will not be forgotten either
Linux is ready as well.
Now, if we can just get MacOS X.... =)
Galileo: "The Earth revolves around the Sun!"
Score: -1 100% Flamebait
A photoshop plugin that will address more than 4 gb would sell many thousands of these units in very little time.
love is just extroverted narcissism
The Opteron could be a real turning point, with Intel for once forced to clone AMD designs
And, just in case anyone's wondering, Intel does have rights to use x86-64 if they wish -- dates back to cross-licensing agreements between AMD and Intel, as well as various lawsuits.
There were rumors of an Intel chip in the pipeline that would implement x86-64, but those rumors were squashed repeatedly about 9 months ago. Intel keeps hoping that IA64 will pan out someday, despite repeated indications otherwise (well, ok... it seems to be doing ok for them as a company, since the profit margins are huge... but it's doing nada for the average consumer).
Do we honestly need to keep breathing new life into x86? Whenever I see an article about intel posted, all I see is "x86 sux" posts (and I agree). However, when its Itanium vs. Opteron, its always "Go Opteron Go". Itanium actually uses a new instruction set, while Opteron keeps hacking x86 to work for yet another generation.
Why, thank you Mr. Cringely...
"In a 32-bit world, you're a 2-bit user. You've got your own newsgroup, alt.total.loser." -Weird Al
..is that the processor is based on x86 architecture.
Isn't this puppy the first chip to have Palladium built in? Oh, enhanced security thanks to TCPA with a bullet proof MS OS on top. Can't wait...
:(
Seriously though, the chip looks cool but Palladium just leaves me with a bad taste in my mouth. AMD is such a MS whore
1. Profit ?? ..
2.
3. Profit ??
Not only MS, but also LBT endorses using x86-64 instead of IA-64. I'm in the "Kill x86 and bring back Alpha!" boat myself, and am only waiting for the day when open-source has taken over the world and hardware companies can actually design some senseful new ISA's instead of just building more and more kluges on top of x86. Ah well. Wishful thinking.
errrr wrong.
More and more people are doing the home-movie dance. Trust me, 4GB of memory will be the deafult on any home PC within 5 years. By then we'd be stuck if not for 64bit computing.
I have 3 compuyers at home : 1 PowerMac with 1GB of memory, one PC with 2GB of memory (parsing 3 or more crosslinked SGML files > 512MB is a pain with less than 2GB) and my tiny game machine with 'only' 512MB. Just by examining the curve of purchased machines, I'll hit the need for 4GB within 2 years. And I'm not even doing video !
When will I end this grieving ? When will my future begin ?
If AMD can deliver this on a desktop level, then Moore's Law can once again be considered applicable...
Think about it - the main problem in terms of pushing computing power these days is electron migration, caused by extremely high clock rates.
By doubling the word length to 64-bits, you can reduce the clock rate of the chip, and will still be able to perform more instructions per second than your top-of-the-range Athlon/Pentiums.
This was always the case with graphics cards; the GeForce 256 was a big step up from the Riva chipset, due to doubling the word length.
Supercomputers, such as the SGI Origin series, have been using 64-bit processing for quite some time now (MIPS processors), and while the Itanium series has its flaws (like a lack of backward compatibility), surely it's time to move on from the same old x86 architecture?
We don't all have to wait for Microsoft to make their WinXP 64-bit version mainstream; there's no point in them pushing this until the 64-bit architecture breaks into the home market.
Because the Opteron has this backward compatibility, then the 64-bit architecture will reach the home users, and they can upgrade to the 64-bit version as soon as it is deemed economically viable by Microsoft to release it.
I wonder what kind of performance increase you'd get from a program such as SETI@home or Distributed.net by upgrading to a 64-bit platform...
I married Miss Right. I just didn't know her first name was 'Always.'
Lots of data-intensive applications desperately need more than 2Gbytes of RAM. If Opteron can deliver that for only a modest premium over regular Athlon-bsaed PCs, it will be a huge success. And if it can run existing binaries in 32bit mode and work with existing drivers, that's icing on the cake. There is just nothing else like it out there.
As soon as they come out, assuming Linux does run reasonably well on them and there are no unexpected show-stoppers, we are going to buy half a dozen of them. We want a Beowulf cluster of these.
WOW! excellent link.
:-)
:-) (i wasnt in EE)
I wonder how much of it is true. Even more important than "competition" or "monopoly", this might result in standards. set by MSFT
By the way - I've met Rajit Manohar, supercool+smart guy, at Cornell. I had no idea he was so well known
The article has some fairly interesting material, but what really amused me was how the reviewer didn't really seem to understand most of what he was writing about. He seems to have alternated between copying stuff directly from some marketing glossy and what he could get from a comp arch textbook...ususally following up with something like "I'm sure this is good for something or someone somewhere, beats me though!". You can almost see him scratching his head. It all starts when he is confused by the 'Resevered' entry in a table of register settings.
Is this the first time the guy has looked at processor specs or seen a pinout diagram or bitfield description? He seemed to get awfully excited about the word "reserved" and imagined some sort of super-computer hidden inside a magic bit. It means "reserved for future use" i.e. "it doesn't do anything yet so don't twaddle it or you will break something years from now when we find a use for it."
... "Give me a woman who loves beer and I will conquer the w
Key features of instructions addressing, memory segmentation, x86 instructions themselves didn't change since the i386 - that was the last revolutionary processor.
I stopped reading it after that. He knows very little about CPU design, if he thinks that the i386 was revolutionary.
Just before it explains the processor core, the article lists tested operating systems. My question is, where the hell did they find copies of slackware 1.2 and 2.0? And why version so old?
I wouldn't consider the Athlon a clone of the Pentium III/4. The only thing the athlon and Pentium III/III++ share is their instruction set. The architectures are completely different. The K7 series of processors marks the first time that AMD has really designed their own architecture. The K5/K6 were Pentium/Pentium II clones, but the K7 was basically AMD's coming out in the Microprocessor realm, and has been extremely successful!
I want my rights back. I was actually using them when our government stole them after 9/11.
Okay, AMD have worked hard on its new baby...
But is it actually any good compared with other 64bit CPS's like the MIPS or UltraSPARC's???
And (important bit this), have AMD finally fitted a thermal cut-out device?!?!??!?! Does this chip catch fire if the CPU fan dies???? It's not nice seeing your computer burning!!!
As to people saying that AMD is dead if x86-64 doesn't work, I agree. They are basically betting the farm on the x86-64 chips. If they don't payoff, they'll most likely leave the desktop/server/whatever CPU market. They'll still be alive in microcontrollers and millions of other things, but they won't be competing with Intel for the CPU of your PC. If this happens, I'll be worried, becase we all know that we need a second big name in CPUs to keep prices in the "ludicrous and below" area.
BUT... if they don't take off on the PC side, the chip is still superior to the little 1.x GHz PPCs that Apple is using. If they could be the new chip for Apple, then they could stay in the CPU market, and Apple could get a major contender again (CPU wise). I'd love this to happen. OS X is already proted (according to rumors, and we know that the kernel already runs on x86s, so it would be fast ported to the -64s, especially by AMD). Software would be easy to port from PCs to Macs (no endianess mess). Even as just a failed market expirament, this could mean alot to Apple, AMD, and Intel.
All speculations, my opinions, and such. If you doubt me, send $200 to me and I'll consider your point of view better. The address is below....
(address cut due to excessive donations)
(WOOT!)
Comment forecast: Bits of genius surrounded by a sea of mediocrity.
You may be interested to read about the HyperTransport capabilities of the chip at http://www.hypertransport.org
One thing I found particularly interesting was the SMP abilities of the AMD, through the use of Hypertransport. It allows multiple chips to be used on the same board without all the glue logic normally associated with SMP setups, so you can have arrangements like the Power4 and suchlike, without enormous amounts of additional circuitry.
Funky stuff
You're mistaken if you think Itanic has created a profit for Intel at this point. Instead, it is a net loss that looks more and more like a looming disaster.
Intel will lose tremendous face in the computer world if Itanic fails. My guess is that it will.
Galileo: "The Earth revolves around the Sun!"
Score: -1 100% Flamebait
They should go with a 1-bit processor, much like parallel to serial ATA, and the 1-bit DAC. This seems to be the fad these days. Just keep the registers 64 bit for 64-bit addressing.
i was going to say something else that was equally ignorant but I forgot what it was.
The Operton drools over YOU!
Another perspective might say that Microsoft is doomed because of Linux and possibly OSX, which run across all these platforms, and consumers win from all the competition between IBM, Intel and AMD for 64-bit computing. We have some very nice chips coming to market next year, let's hope all the companies bringing them to us survive that long in this hostile American market.
d000d!
How have you been?
- Sketchy Joel -
Back in the early days of the 8086 there was a processor from Zilog called the Z800 (not the z8000 - which was a different chip). It was a super chip; it ran far more software than the 8086 - it was faster and easier to program - being directly compatible with the existing core of CP/M software. There was every reason to believe that the Z800 would wipe the 8086 from the computer market.
The problem was that Zilog never actually got around to building the Z800; it was a classic example of vaporware.
The real question for AMD is: can they build the Opteron? Sadly, the longer the Opteron is delayed the more likely it is to turn from silicon to vapor phase.
I suspect that the real reason that the Intel X86-64 processor got canceled is that Intel decided that the Opteron was likely going into vapor phase. The fact that AMD has little to say on the subject sadly confirms this. The z800 was never officially dropped, it just faded away quietly - which is how vapor phase works.
And yes, I have a manual from Zilog featuring the Z800 - so the documentation AMD has recently produced really doesn't matter much.
AMD did produce real clones -not just sharing the overall architecture but transistor by transistor identical clones- but the latest of the line was AMD386s IIRC. I don't seem to remember clone 486s, although I do recall AMD's 486 offerings.
cringley claims p4 is somehow worse because it achieves less instructions per clock. obviously real performance comes from I/clock * clock. so increasing i/c OR c is a valid approach. the alpha basically smoked everyone else back in the day by focusing on clock over hyper-deep pipelines like the other designers. the p4 is taking the same approach.
never mind his woefully inaccurate summaray of yamhill...
It looks like Athlon64 performance is going to be quite good. But even if it weren't, I hope AMD wouldn't hold up the release of the Athlon64 over concerns with benchmarks. If the price is reasonable, we'd buy them right now even if they ran at half the speed of a top-of-the-line Pentium4. The ability to address greater than 4 Gbytes of memory directly just outweighs even fairly significant differences in raw CPU performance. In different words, even a slow pointer dereference is still a lot faster than read/seek/write.
Flopped products may or may not *faze* AMD, but they probably will *phase* AMD - into a new phase of not making CPUs.
From dictionary.com:
Faze: To disrupt the composure of; disconcert
Phase: A distinct stage of development
Dude, I'm great, but I think your mail server's seen better days. I'm at jonathan.oexner@alum..edu .
"In a 32-bit world, you're a 2-bit user. You've got your own newsgroup, alt.total.loser." -Weird Al
Yeah, out school name in the dots. Frikkin' HTML incompetence...
-Jon
"In a 32-bit world, you're a 2-bit user. You've got your own newsgroup, alt.total.loser." -Weird Al
Yeah, and by "out school", I mean "our school". Yeah, that's the ticket...
"In a 32-bit world, you're a 2-bit user. You've got your own newsgroup, alt.total.loser." -Weird Al
Data hasn't become a "mass-noun" now, e.g. cereal, water, snow, etc? It's to the point now that "data are precious" sounds just as bizzare as "snow are precious."
To back up my point, see the following entry here, specifically the "Usage Note" section.
Language changes. We aren't speaking latin anymore. Deal with it.
According to yahoo finance, both Intel and Motorola had 26.6 billion dollars in sales in the trailing twelve months.
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The K5/K6 were Pentium/Pentium II clones, but the K7 was basically AMD's coming out in the Microprocessor realm, and has been extremely successful!
Nope.
Around 1995, AMD was really struggling to build a Pentium class processor. In 1994, the first company to ever reverse engineer an intel processor and create a functional equivalent was NexGen and their Nx586. This processor utilized a RISC core and a translation unit to get 386 instructions into RISC form. I actually owned two of these, a Nx586 66 and a Nx586 100. They were pretty funky. FPU's were optional, but most of the Nx586 100's had FPUs on board. There was always talk of putting a FPU socket a la 487 on the boards, but it never happened.
Neadless to say, AMD purchased NexGen in late 1995 and released the K5, a clone of the Nx586. The K6 was the first processor released by AMD which was faster than the current Intel processor, a oft forgotten fact. For about 3 months before the Pentium II was released, the K6 233 was 5% or so faster than the Pentium Pro 233.
The K6 and Athlon lines of AMD all utilized the same internal RISC core with a translation unit.
So, you are wrong, no one ever cloned the Pentium or Pentium II. A lot of nasty history between Intel and AMD in the 386 days made sure that would never happen ever again. I wish I could find some fun links on the Nx586 for you, but even on google it seems to have been forgotten.
I don't read or respond to AC posts
Zilog made it and it even had a second source (a Japanese company). The problem was, it came out about two years too late to have an effect on the mainstream computer market. I made hardware based on the Z800 and wrote a program for it. Zilog flubbed the chance to maintain their lead in microcomputers many times by failing to rapidly develop the appropriate new products.
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Windows has already been ported to several 64-bit architectures: DEC Alpha, IA64, and AMD64. (Although DEC/Compaq abandoned the Alpha, Microsoft still uses them internally to verify the 64-bit port of NT.)
I worked in the NT division for several years, and I had an Itanium prototype workstation to do my 64-bit work. It worked fine -- the entire OS works fine, and has instruction-level emulation for 32-bit x86 code. (Microsoft had this a long time ago, in their Alpha 32-bit release. This was released as early as NT 3.51.)
So, you won't see Microsoft lagging behind the 64-bit processors. They are all over 64-bit. As soon as the hardware market is ready, they'll be selling 64-bit OSes.
By doubling the word length to 64-bits.....'That is absolutely not true'
Well yes and no, the CPU speed isn't the bigest bottle-kneck in my PC, it's the memory and bus speeds/bandwidth. so doubling the word size, on the bus will improve performance.
A 32bit processor with a 64bit bus (and properly aligned data) should be faster than a 32bit processor with a 32bit bus.
There are lots of other tricks that can be done to improve cash performance and increase paralisation, but I don't think they've made it out of the super-computer market yet.
thank God the internet isn't a human right.
Sure 4 GB or more will be common place in a couple years, but that's not quite the same issue as to whether or not 64-bit processors will be on the desktop.
I'm sure even Pentium 5 or 6 or whatever computer will be able to use more than 4 GB, but it'll be using memory segments, like in the old days before full 32-bit registers. It's just more of a pain in the ass for an individual process to see more than 32-bits of memory.
A full 64-bit processor makes the programmers life easier, but it's not a requirement to have a system with more than 4 gig.
If you want to see a company that could survive losing a major product, look at Motorola or IBM. Now those are truly HUGE companies.
I don't follow the Mac crowd anymore so I don't know what kind of slant he's putting on it (whatever it is, I'm sure it was his idea all along), but the fact is that Apple is an insignificant speck of Motorola's business -- and WAY WAY more trouble than they're worth -- while IBM didn't even bother to laugh politely when Apple made overtures several months ago, it was more of a spit-spraying HAW HAW HAW HAW kind of deal.
IMHO, that is the where AMD has the strongest edge over Intel and that it does > 32 bit addressing. Micron has demo'ed 1 Gb DDR's which can be used to make a 4 GB DIMM.
Probably the closest competitor is the UltraSPARC IIIi, which is also really easy to do a 2 and 4 way system.
A Shadeless room is a brighter room.
"For about 3 months before the Pentium II was released, the K6 233 was 5% or so faster than the Pentium Pro 233."
I think AMD's 486 offerings were faster than the Intel parts towards the end of the 486 days. Intel stopped at 100mhz before introducing the Pentiums and I believe during this time AMD surpassed them with the 486dx4/120 & 586/133 (which I believe may be of the "nexgen" variety you speak of)
Good point. I'm glad things are progressing so my next machine will be able to take more than 6x the memory of the one I'm using now. Although 3 or 4 GB is still a lot of RAM for 99.99% of current users... ;-)
For those that need it, more is a beautiful thing though.
One thing I wish I'd remembered to post yesterday was that another great feature is that in multiway systems each CPU has it's own memory controller, so both total memory capacity and total memory bandwidth scale with more processors. Interprocessor communication is via either one or two high performance HyperTransport links, so it all looks like one giant memory pool logically.
Very cool.
Galileo: "The Earth revolves around the Sun!"
Score: -1 100% Flamebait
You have just now defined a monopoly. You should have realized this about 75% completiong of your comment. Playing Devil's Advocate: Should Microsoft port its applications to IA64 or let it die? This is also not a well-thought post and wreaks of legacy apeal, of which AMD's Opteron benefits from. Itanium has never failed. The Linux kernel and all the supporting software to feature a stable and near-fully-featured operating system has been completed nearly 6 months ago! Itanium-based computers were available from HP, IBM, and Dell. Intel is releasing an Itanium2. Binary compatibility for X86 is non-existant in the Itanium and Itanium2 because it is a completly New Architecture. Support for Microsoft Windows and old DOS programs does not constitute binary compatibility of an architecture; that is the operating systems job to define. Yes, lack of Microsoft(R) Windows(TM) on IA64 will not alure retail Microsoft-brand customers to Intel...Linux will lure customers to Intel that need a somewhat Unix-compliant environment that once again (Alpha platform) features 64bit precision. What is the difference between a standards-compliant C program compiled in Linux/x86 versus Linux/IA64? The end-product's binary interaction with the architecture is what is different; protocol compliancy is retained. GPL software is just a quick compile away for IA64 by independant programmers and users. The real issue is in the non-opensource or non-interested programmers to port their software to the new protocol-compliant OS/platform. Looking at it another way, you didn't define a monopoly by Microsoft(R). As long as GNU and Linux are around, there is no monopoly from Microsoft(R) to speak of. Yes, Microsoft *tries to force companies out of business by doing certain things, but every company retains their freedom(TM) to contract with others...Linux is the monopoly of IA-64 in this respect, or whoever the fuck someone says should be accountable for another company's product; which IMHO is why I think political opinions/statments and the commercial(contract) world is evil and everyone is better off to be recognized by the goodness of their work, mind, and soul.
:%) (please be gentle)
IA64 and Opteron both have their markets; Linux bridges them together with *protocol* compatibility: which Microsoft chooses to *not* dream about. Microsoft is rumored(announcment without supporting evidence) to be porting Microsoft(R) Windows(TM) to IA64; just nothing yet. Linux-based software has already been operating on first generation Itantium; look on eBay and notice how expensive Itanium realy is for par-Pentium4 performance with a thoroughly-engineered architecture.
On the user-end, all IA-64 and Opteron systems are expected to perform in a stable manner. Question: Do end-users blame Microsoft or Intel/AMD/IBM/VIA for their computer crashes? Nice to clear things up on your perception of absence of Microsoft support for IA-64. I hope I didn't appear to be rude or yelling in any way...or maybe I'm too late and you are off in the jungle swinging towards my adobe with a machete. I can make guacamole and I have tortilla chips fresh from the oven...
But I'm sure you already Gnu that.
They try to put Palladium into the hardware...impossible to be removed. Programs will be built to interact with some ASIC(s) and without those they will be rendered non-compatible? Wrong...all the software you will be using to work-around Palladium-endabled software will just be (vile grin) virus-like. The anticipated approach for customers that will not buy Palladium-enabled hardware is to implement Palladium in the software. More risky, but still effective. With all matters in consideration, Palladium will fail because 2 million world-wide crackers have more skill in manipulating software than you think...the vocal ones have a penguin or bsd_daemon sticker on their shirt.
Think big happy thoughts for the future of Microsoft, because we all will remember the happy thoughts that give people more functionality with their Computer(TM) whether open or closed source.
But I'm sure you already Gnu that.
I think you have it backwards. If MS wins out and becomes a monopoly, then there will be no improvements, because improvements force them to spend money. While if they had a true monopoly they could get away selling software without doing anything. That is plain economics.
Look at a different picture where Microsoft has lost its monopoly but Linux is not a big force. Then the leading OS vendors have to follow whatever is the dominant chip. Ofcourse in this case there can be a monopoly in the chip market like the intel monopoly. The OS vendors will build only for intel, and we will have less improvements. But if we have a non monopoly situation we will have OS vendors supporting more than one chips, and there will be choice.
Next take a look at what happens when Linux and other Free Operating Systems constitute a monopoly, ie proprietory OSs have been relegated to niches. In this case all kinds of chips are supported. A hardware vendor is not at the mercy of the OS vendor, but can produce his own distribution and provide it along with the hardware. This is possibly the best of all worlds in my opinion.
Well you can look around you and see that current situation is precisely because there is a MS monopoly. AMD provides a processor but only because it is a clone of intel. No independent processor design can exist, in this monopolised environment. If Linux was the monopoly OS, Alpha wouldn't have died.
I got tired of listening to the recording on the phone at the movie
theater. So I bought the album. I got kicked out of a theater the
other day for bringing my own food in. I argued that the concession
stand prices were outrageous. Besides, I hadn't had a barbecue in a
long time. I went to the theater and the sign said adults $5 children
$2.50. I told them I wanted 2 boys and a girl. I once took a cab to
a drive-in movie. The movie cost me $95.
-- Steven Wright
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