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Moore's Law Disputed
Kumiorava writes "Transistors can be packed to same chip two times more in every 18 months. This Moore's law has been repeated already over 30 years. Computers become faster, IT economy grows, but Moore's law doesn't apply. That has been proven by researcher Ilkka Tuomi. You can read the research from First Monday article The Lives and Death of Moore's Law." 'tho, to be fair, it seems to me that Moore's Law has lasted a lot longer then the throng of people who keep predicting its death.
My guess is that the reports of the death of Moore's Law will turn out to be greatly exaggerated.
Pathman, Free (as in GPL) 3D Pac Man
First the 2nd law of thermodynamics fails, then Moore's Law... When will things start fulling upward?
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Let me introduce the Slashdot law. This law is inversely proportional to the decline of Moore's law.
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Bad boys rape our young girls but Violet gives willingly.
Lisa, in this house we obey the laws of thermodynamics.
Sorry, couldnt help myself
The level of Vodka in your blood doubles every 18 months
The number of people incorrectly predicting its demise will double every 18 months.
Every 18 months, computer software will be made to take twice the processing power for the same task.
However big, fast and/or powerful your computer is Adobe Photoshop will always take an age to start up.
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The number of illicit, dishonest and monopolistic tactics employed by Microsoft doubles every 18 weeks :-| Have a Day
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'tho, to be fair, it seems to me that Moore's Law has lasted a lot longer then the throng of people who keep predicting its death.
I just saw a throng pass away last week!
That doesn't sound so bad.
I suffer from attention surplus disorder.
Moore's Law is like Moore's love, hard and fast.
For a second I thought that the headline read "Murphy's Law Disputed". I was going to argue it bitterly.
The global economy is a great thing until you feel it locally.
Godwin's law fails!
USENET authorities are disturbed by the failure of a law that some thought to be a lynchpin of internet discussion: Godwin's Law. Simply stated, "As a Usenet discussion grows longer, the probability of a comparison involving Nazis or Hitler approaches one." Beginning last week observers began to notice something was wrong. Says one 'lurker', "I came across this thread on abortion, you see. I started reading--and that's when I noticed something strange. Every post in the thread simply got better and better as each participant read the other's arguments and replied calmly. It was then when it hit me--no Nazi references anywhere. I went back to read it again, and I was sure--Godwin's Law has been broken."
The violation of Godwin's law is hailed by some as a doomsday scenario for USENET. "These threads will just keep going and going forever! There is nothing to stop them. Eventually it'll all just reach critical mass and collapse in on itself," says a popular USENET troll. Others don't see it as Godwin's law fails! USENET authorities are disturbed by the failure of a law that some thought to be a lynchpin of internet discussion: Godwin's Law. Simply stated, "As a Usenet discussion grows longer, the probability of a comparison involving Nazis or Hitler approaches one." Beginning last week observers began to notice something was wrong. Says one 'lurker', "I came across this thread on abortion, you see. I started reading--and that's when I noticed something strange. Every post in the thread simply got better and better as each participant read the other's arguments and replied calmly. It was then when it hit me--no Nazi references anywhere. I went back to read it again, and I was sure--Godwin's Law has been broken." The violation of Godwin's law is hailed by some as a doomsday scenario for USENET. "These threads will just keep going and going forever! There is nothing to stop them. Eventually it'll all just reach critical mass and collapse in on itself," says a popular USENET troll. Others don't see it as cataclyismic, put painful all the same. "World War II is a large part of the world's history--I don't want to see that forgotten," reads one post to alt.military.history., put painful all the same. "World War II is a large part of the world's history--I don't want to see that forgotten," reads one post to alt.military.history.
If Moore's Law does official die, will there be sightings of it afterwards like that of Elvis?
That has always been my favorite.
The article, although very long and intense is well-written and very educational in the many interpretations of Moore's Law. A good read.
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Moore's Law, Moore's Law, Moore's Law...Christmas!
What "Law"? How about "Postulate", or "Theorem"...no, not theorem...how about "conjecture"? How about "cockamamie bullshit"? You could probably make a similar "law" that describes the performance of light bulb technology over the last 100 years..."well, lightbulbs become (sort-of) 5% less expensive to make and 5% brighter every decade! Whoopee!!!"
Everybody's seen the graph. It's not linear. It's not exponential...it's just up. Hit or miss. No "law" involved here at all.
The whole idea that Moore's Law is a Law is stupid from the get-go. Damnit, I wish I could remember the name of the...oh yeah, the IgNobel. They should give the IgNobel to the cat who disproved Moore's Law. I mean, come on people, duh!
This is almost as stupid as those clone-aid wackos...
How about y=x^(1/2)
"It's not that transistors use less material, but that the atoms themselves in the material shrink!" declares Special Agent Fox Mulder, expert in conspiracy theories.
"For eons we've wondered how come Dinosaurs were so much larger than modern mammals, but it's because the closer you get to the Big Bang, the largers those atoms were. I have something in my pocket that will astonish you..."
Agent Mulder removes from his pocket an atom the size of a tennis ball. "This is an atom from the Dawn of Time itself. The Al Queda has been trying to get there hands on this puppy, because you can split it with a butter knife."
(Portions of this post were lifted from a bit of Fan Video called "The Fed-EX Files" produced by a film crew in Montreal, Canada.)
Here's McQuitty's Law.
If Moore's law states the power of computers will double every 18 months, McQuitty's Law states it is never fast enough.