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Rescue Mission For European Space Industry

metz2000 writes "The New Scientist reports that the European Space Agency (ESA) has pledged hundreds of millions of Euros to guarantee its independent access to space. Europe also looks set to co-operate with the Russian Space Agency. Looks like the space industry is hotting up again. How will NASA react to this news after being the dominant space agency over the past three decades? A lot of money is going into rocket technology also; with this and the 'European version' of GPS are we heading towards a future conflict across the Atlantic?"

90 of 563 comments (clear)

  1. First! by Billly+Gates · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Anyway I do not think its a conflict. Unlike the cold war there is no need to create a space race in order to improve military technology.

    Most european countries just purchase American or Russian military vehicles and weapons anyway.

    I think it would be great for nasa to work together. If the US wants to be seen as a world player they may need to increase funding to NASA and have it work with the European space agency. The russians have been great help working with Nasa and I expect the same.

    1. Re:First! by splateagle · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Most european countries just purchase American or Russian military vehicles and weapons anyway.

      Pretty sweeping unsupported statement that, you might want to look at EADS before making any more blind assumptions there... That said I think you're missing the point.

      The first space race might have been driven by the military, but if there is to be a second race between ESA and NASA I imagine it'll most likely be driven more by developments in civil aerospace.

      Arianespace are hardly a minor global player, neither are Airbus. While admitedly they've yet to show a direct interest in space flight, they are part of EADS and given Boeing's development, it's unimaginable that Airbus hasn't got it's eye on space at some point in the future...

      As it stands the ESA have already been working with NASA and the remnants of the old soviet space agency (calling it "Russian" is confusing, since Russia is in Europe) and I expect that they'll continue doing just that, the Space Station is after all an International venture, not just an American thing.

      Race or not, this news seems to suggest that (as happened with civil aviation technology in the later years of last century,) Europe might be about to take the dominant role in Space technology now... maybe. Should be interesting anyway, and anything that drives us forward globally has to be a good thing.

    2. Re:First! by Alan+Partridge · · Score: 2, Informative

      "Not to mention that, of the eight trillion-dollar economies in the world today, three of them (UK, France, Germany) are in Europe"

      You forgot Italy ($1.44 Trillion), and Spain isn't far off the big T ($828 Billion). EU GDP is larger than that of the USA, as is population - but the combined armed forces are no match for America's ludicrously expensive collection of death toys. We tend to spend our money on hospitals instead...

      --
      That was classic intercourse!
    3. Re:First! by dbrutus · · Score: 2, Informative

      It may be confusing for you to call Russia's space agency Russian but you clearly haven't quite wrapped your brain around the reality of the USSR. The ESA's launch site is a french colony (french guyana) and the Russian's launch site is a former Russian colony, Kazakhstan. Russia, for the geographically challenged is both a european and asian entitiy that is the US' closest neighbor after Canada and Mexico who actually share a land border.

      Beyond that, you might want to wrap your head around the fact that the EU does not consist of all of Europe and will not likely do so for quite some time. The ESA is a grandiose title that may someday be true but is by no means true today and will not be true this decade at least.

    4. Re:First! by splateagle · · Score: 2

      actually I meant it was causing confusion for others - check a few other posts and you might see what I mean.

      As for the rest, please don't lecture me about "wrapping my head around" stuff that for all you can tell I already know much more of than you. Thanks.

  2. Space is hotting up indeed by lingqi · · Score: 5, Interesting
    Did y'all know that China has very recently launched it's third navigational satellite, making it possible for china to use its own positional system independently of US / EU / Russia? (three is the minimum for triangulation - if you assume that the triangulated point in space is to be thrown out)

    btw, I find it so very amusing that whenever western sources refer to the chinese space program, they just HAVE to add phrase like "secret, military linked," as if NASA is completely independent of the military, or something...

    anyhoo. maybe there is still a chance for me to visit mars before I die eh? or some serious possibility of WWIII - as China and EU becomes increasingly suspicious of US... (not unwarrented or anything)

    --

    My life in the land of the rising sun.

    1. Re:Space is hotting up indeed by Cyberdyne · · Score: 5, Interesting
      Did y'all know that China has very recently launched it's third navigational satellite, making it possible for china to use its own positional system independently of US / EU / Russia? (three is the minimum for triangulation - if you assume that the triangulated point in space is to be thrown out)

      You need three visible satellites for triangulation. Picture the globe, and work out where the satellites would be. Either they're geostationary, clustered over one part (which would give a crude GPS service - over one chunk of the Earth only) or they're not (in which case you can't triangulate anything from them on Earth). You might be able to use them from a lower orbit, though, for positioning satellites; all 3 equidistant GEO satellites would be visible when you're over either pole. Whatever it is, it's not [yet] a GPS rival!

      btw, I find it so very amusing that whenever western sources refer to the chinese space program, they just HAVE to add phrase like "secret, military linked," as if NASA is completely independent of the military, or something...

      It is independent of the military, actually; the Pentagon did have input in the Shuttle program early on (they wanted to be able to use it for launching and servicing/upgrading spy satellites, which can't be done with a rocket) but these days they launch their own stuff, on rockets from Lockheed Martin. (Built in what Michael Moore claimed in BFC was a "missile factory", as it happens.) NASA probably handle some stuff for the military, still, but most of it is done "in-house" using their own systems - in fact, orbital monitoring is military, with a full-time member of staff to liase with NASA and monitor the status of the Shuttle and ISS.

    2. Re:Space is hotting up indeed by BJH · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well, since I dare say China probably has no intention of providing positioning information to anyone outside of China, three satellites is almost certainly sufficient to provide GPS-like functionality within Chinese borders.

    3. Re:Space is hotting up indeed by Alan+Partridge · · Score: 2, Interesting

      " (Built in what Michael Moore claimed in BFC was a "missile factory", as it happens.)"

      He actually refers to them as "rockets with a Pentagon payload", which is about right. There's a good chance that the kind of payload that those Titan and Atlas rockets carry is a LOT more dangerous than a Tomahawk.

      --
      That was classic intercourse!
    4. Re:Space is hotting up indeed by pe1chl · · Score: 2, Insightful

      >btw, I find it so very amusing that whenever western sources refer to the chinese space program, they just HAVE to add phrase like "secret, military linked," as if NASA is completely independent of the military, or something...

      That is similar to certain presidents always mentioning "weapons of mass destruction" linked to certain countries, while having stockpiles of those in their own yard...
      (even more amusing when they fail to come up with evidence about them)

    5. Re:Space is hotting up indeed by Anonym0us+Cow+Herd · · Score: 2, Insightful

      since I dare say China probably has no intention of providing positioning information to anyone outside of China, three satellites is almost certainly sufficient to provide GPS-like functionality within Chinese borders.

      Positioning information within your borders is only useful for peaceful purposes, such as tracking the movements of dissidents.

      Positioning information outside of your borders is useful for diplomatic purposes, such as ensuring that your bombs hit their targets.

      --
      The price of freedom is eternal litigation.
  3. Hmmm, Interesting by SkArcher · · Score: 4, Interesting

    With the current problems in the US space program, it may be that the newly fixed Arianne launch system can claim a significant share of the market.

    It is important to remember that Arianne is also somewhat cheaper than the Shuttle for any given weight of payload - the shuttles main advantage is that its live crew (which is the reason for the higher cost) can perform and regulate scientific tests.

    I await the next Arianne launch with baited breath.

    --

    An infinite number of monkeys will eventually come up with the complete works of /.
    1. Re:Hmmm, Interesting by Anspen · · Score: 3, Informative

      With the current problems in the US space program, it may be that the newly fixed Arianne launch system can claim a significant share of the market.

      Arianespace already has a significant share of the market (~40-50%) and has had so for years.

      Up until recently one of the main reasons it didn't have a bigger share was the requirement that US satellites to be launched with US launchers.

      The new Ariane-5 series however is more expensive, and it could take awhile until optimization has it back to the competitiveness level of the 4 (though it was necessary to move to the 5 due to the increasing requirements for payload weight)

      It is important to remember that Arianne is also somewhat cheaper than the Shuttle for any given weight of payload - the shuttles main advantage is that its live crew (which is the reason for the higher cost) can perform and regulate scientific tests.

      Actually the Arianne series doesn't really compete with the shuttle, it's main (US) competitor is the Atlas series.

      The shuttle is massively more expensive to launch for anything but the largest payloads not so much because of it's crew (though it doesn't help), but because it was designed for an altogether different mission.

      Meanwhile the Russian rockets are in many ways cheaper than both.

    2. Re:Hmmm, Interesting by GrimReality · · Score: 2
      With the current problems in the US space program, it may be that the newly fixed Arianne launch system can claim a significant share of the market.

      It seems logical, but one should also consder the following:

      • Ariane is heavily dependent on commercial launches, while NASA will always have a steady stream of US defence projects.
      • The 'current problems in the US space program' that you refer to seems to be limited to manned missions, and I don't know if Ariane is a platform intented for manned flight, so these current problems might be irrelevant.
      • Consider also the fact that NASA probably has a lot more financial power than Ariane (their almost exclusive dependence on commercial launches stated above fits in here).

      Therefore, the overall picture suggests that Ariane might not gain 'any significant share of the market' due to the 'current problems in the US space program'. US defence contractors would continue to use NASA and the third world will continue to use Ariane or Russian rockets (probably due to the cost factor and the access factor).

      In other words, there probably won't be any significant change in market shares.

      Thank you.
      GrimReality
      2003-06-04 15:26:08 UTC (2003-06-04 11:26:08-0400)

  4. Heavy lifters by Bombula · · Score: 5, Interesting
    We've seen many articles we've recently about space, including the recent Shuttle tragedy and the successful launch of the Mars Express, as well as the X-prize. Throughout, I continue to see an emphasis on the importance of reusable equipment. Can someone give a comprehensive explanation for why lifting technology needs to be reusable?

    It seems like 30 years ago we did pretty well with expendable rockets. Since each shuttle mission costs hundreds of millions, is it really worth it? Why not invest in the development of a 'cheap' single-use lifting technology, like a successor for Soyuz? Even if each rocket cost $100 million wouldn't it still save lots of money, and wouldn't it mean much larger payloads could be delivered?

    --
    A-Bomb
    1. Re:Heavy lifters by SkArcher · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Yes and no. The idea behind the shuttle was to save on having to build an entirely new launch vehicle every time you wanted to put a payload into orbit.

      Unfortuanately, the shuttle program was based on some incorrect assumptions. First, it was assumed that their cost predictions for the shuttle would be accurate (they weren't, it costs far more per launch than predicted) and secondly, the increase in payloads wanting taking to orbit wasn't predicted (there was a massive increase, IIRC)

      In theory, reusables are cheaper, but in the short term the throw away option works better.

      What would make throw away rockets even cheaper is a dual use philosophy of design, allowing the entire rocket (or a lot of it at least) to reach orbit, where it could be reused to form parts for orbiting storage or some such (after all, these are generally allready presurized tanks, so they will be airtight in orbit)

      --

      An infinite number of monkeys will eventually come up with the complete works of /.
    2. Re:Heavy lifters by Stuntmonkey · · Score: 2, Insightful

      On an economic basis there is no justification for reusable vehicles. Launch costs today are dominated by the cost of the ground crew (thousands of people are needed to maintain and launch the shuttle). The best way to reduce costs is to simplify ground operations as much as possible. Reusable vehicles don't do this, in fact they do the opposite.

      If the world were run by rational people, there would be two primary vehicles: (1) A heavy-lifting, single-use, less reliable unmanned system for cargo, and (2) a small, but highly safe/redundant system for people. Combining these in the manner of the shuttle forces human reliability standards throughout, which is a bad way to get stuff into space cheaply.

      So why do people persist in thinking that rockets should be reusable? It's just one of those persistent cultural myths, probably borne out of the American fascination with the automobile. Blame the Jetsons. Or maybe Star Wars. Who knows.

    3. Re:Heavy lifters by WindBourne · · Score: 2, Informative

      Well, everybody likes to use the shuttle as an example of an inexpensive reuseable system, but it was botched from the git-go. Nixon's ppl, and NASA, outright lied about costs and incomes. Worse still, Nixon cut the funding further to which nasa simply put into place more disposable systems which now add higher costs. The shuttle is not a good example of a reuseable system. The way that NASA wanted to do the original shuttle is the way that rutan is doing it. 2 parts with one peice being a jet and the final delivery vehicle being a rocket. Great way to go. But back then, it would have been about 1.5 x the cost to develop it. The reusable approach with a standard payload and many launches, really is the right way for going to earth orbit.
      Now, for sending fewer very large payloads, or simply breaking earth orbit, that would require much larger rockets. That is where we should be using throw-aways.
      This is somewhat backwards from what we have today. We use the shuttle for large delivery and throw aways for small devices. On the other

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    4. Re:Heavy lifters by johannesg · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Reusables basically provide a service that is not much in demand: returning goods from orbit down to Earth. If you take that away you are left with a very simple requirement: returning astronauts. There is a good, tried and tested way of doing that: capsules. A capsule is cheap to build and cheap to launch.

      When you have capsules, you do not need to to launch wings, control mechanisms, and all the other bits that make up an airplane into orbit. That saves a huge amount of weight. The saved weight can be "spent" in two ways: cheaper rockets and larger payloads.

      The cost advantage of cheaper rockets (i.e. Soyuz) over a shuttle is obvious (something like a factor 20 or so).

      The cost advantage of larger payloads is also obvious: all of your energy is used lifting stuff that actually needs to be in space, rather than used to return safely to Earth. A shuttle launch assembly minus the shuttle (instead imagine a huge cargo container in its place) would have phenomenal lifting power; in fact, the Russian equivalent of this, Energia, could have launched the entire weight of ISS in just three launches! That would have saved a few hundred billion dollars.

      So stop thinking of the shuttle as a "cool space plane", and instead consider it to be a highly over-engineered, *heavy* method of returning to Earth.

      So what is the problem with this? I guess it has to do with NASA being afraid to lose face, which seems inevitable when they give up on the shuttle and return to expendable launchers.

      Here's what I believe the various space agencies should do to replace the shuttle:

      - Develop an expendable launcher that can lift *really heavy* items into a useful orbit (which can be ISS orbit, geostationary, or some escape orbit). Russia's Energia would be a good starting point, as would the shuttle launch stack (they are related anyway). This would be the heavy workhorse for orbital construction.

      - Develop an expendable launcher that can lift people to that same orbit. Put a capsule on it in which people can travel comfortably and safely during the entire trip - i.e. it is fine to overengineer a bit, since it will one day safe lives. Use that just for people.

      - Want to do something in orbit? Put your equipment on a big launcher (together with a lot of other stuff), and put your people on a small, safe launcher. The big launcher delivers to ISS (or some other orbital facility - constructing them will be cheap with this model), where the resident astronauts can install and operate it.

    5. Re:Heavy lifters by The+Shepherd · · Score: 2, Interesting

      A major problem with the development of heavy lifters is the loss of information. When the US decided to stop relying on the heavy lifter model they also stopped keeping the current information up-to-date. In order to redevelop the heavy lifter the entire program would have to be restarted. The price tag is simply to high for the American Government to contemplate. Backup for this idea can be found in the book Space: The Final Frontier? by Giancarlo Genta and Michael Rycroft, page 88 "The American decision (shut down Saturn production lines) was probably a mistake; also for the loss of know-how which followed. If a rocket like Saturn V had to be built today, a long research and development programme would be needed and not only to introduce all of the updates due to the advances of the three most recent decades. Technological know-how in all fields cannot be considered as something acquired once and for ever. Of some capabilities are not used for a certain time, they fade and can be regained only with large investments, in terms of human and financial resources."

    6. Re:Heavy lifters by Ex-MislTech · · Score: 3, Interesting

      They want to get the cost per kilogram/pound down .

      They want to launch more often, and this idea
      will get them clear of the air traffic lanes .

      Just position this out over the pacific high
      above any storm systems reach .

      I think a high altitude rail gun platform would work
      nicely to get cargo into space .

      It would not work for ppl, as it would pull so many G's
      it would kill them .

      Some tested rail guns have hit Mach 120+ in the low earth
      atmosphere with all its friction .

      At 160,000 feet using high altitude balloon tech to build
      a suspended launch platform you could fire a rail gun
      to launch cylinders into space with needed materials .

      Getting ppl into space would require a more conventional means,
      but the cargo has always been the heavier portion .

      www.21stcenturyairships.com has already got working prototype
      ballons working at near 70,000 feet .

      NASA set a world record for a ballon at 161,000 feet , so it
      can be done , 32 miles up would be a good head start .

      http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2002/08/020 82 7063353.htm

      These guys could provide the balloon logistics :

      http://www.andyelson.com/proj_theedgeofspace.htm

      With 99% of the earth's atmosphere out of the way, a high power
      rail gun shooting something at speeds in excess of mach 120
      would get it to the moon with NO PROBLEM .

      Less atmosphere, less friction, less gravity .

      Building a space elevator sounds cool, but cost is
      prohibitive and the logistics sound VERY scary .

      The link to the world's fastest rail gun is

      http://www.totse.com/en/technology/science_techn ol ogy/railway.html

      use CTRL+F and then enter "fastest" for your search .

      speed of sound at sea level is 330 yds/sec, they achieved
      39,991M/sec .

      Peace,
      Ex-MislTech

      --
      google "32 trillion offshore needs IRS attention"
    7. Re:Heavy lifters by tinrobot · · Score: 3, Informative

      The shuttle is only partly reusable. The external tank burns up and the solid boosters need to be towed back from sea and retrofitted. Plus, the trip tears up the shuttle itself. It takes months to turn one around after a launch. That adds a lot of cost.

      Disposable rockets dispose of, well, the rocket. That is also not a trivial expense. Imagine throwing away your car every time you took a trip. Gets kinda expensive, even if you buy really cheap cars.

      In a truly reusable system, the only costs would be fuel and maintenance. It would be more like an aircraft than a car in terms of maintenance, but it would still be significantly cheaper. Inventing something like that is very expensive, but by amortizing it over many vehicles and many launches, it would make space much more acessible.

    8. Re:Heavy lifters by meringuoid · · Score: 4, Informative
      - Develop an expendable launcher that can lift *really heavy* items into a useful orbit (which can be ISS orbit, geostationary, or some escape orbit). Russia's Energia would be a good starting point, as would the shuttle launch stack (they are related anyway). This would be the heavy workhorse for orbital construction.

      NASA are considering cloning the Energia: it's called Magnum.

      Why they don't just use Energia itself I don't know... probably politics.

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
    9. Re:Heavy lifters by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Yep. My father, who also worked on Apollo (yes, Daddy really did send men to the Moon -- decades later, I still get a little-kid jolt out of that idea), Skylab, and Viking, left the aerospace industry in disgust during the early stages of the Shuttle program. He said it was heartbreaking how things kept getting scaled down; the engineers knew the administration was being penny-wise and pound-foolish, but they couldn't do anything about it.

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    10. Re:Heavy lifters by kirinyaga · · Score: 2, Interesting

      actually, there is a major problem however with launcher able to lift really heavy payload : really heavy payload cost a lot of money and the launcher can just explode and blow all the really heavy & expensive stuff away. Until such a really huge launcher would have proved itself reliable enough, the "expected cost" (cost times risk) would be higher than lifting a lot of small parts. There is a need for slighty bigger launchers however.

      --
      Kirinyaga
    11. Re:Heavy lifters by flyingdisc · · Score: 2, Interesting
      NASA are considering cloning the Energia: it's called Magnum.

      Part of the reason that the energia was pulled out of active service was the environmental impact of the thing. Claiming to lift up to 100 tones in to high altitude the rocket packed a huge punch in terms of fuel. So much so that it had a demonstratable impact on the launch site. This and the cost made it untenable. It's easier, less costly, lower risk to launch large structures (eg ISS) into orbit in a modular fashion.

      Current space philosophy is smaller lighter faster. What's the need for 100 ton launchers if we can do the same job with smaller rockets?

    12. Re:Heavy lifters by dbrutus · · Score: 3, Informative

      No thanks, I'd rather take the elevator instead. Cost to build $20B. Cost to fund (with 100% contingency) $40B total. You get a nice, smooth trip to orbit suitable for even medically challenged individuals. The estimated cost to launch 1kg would be $100-$200 instead of $40,000 via shuttle.

  5. If something goes very wrong by itchyfidget · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ... then surely it would be an advantage for the stricken space-program to have the other party to fall back on?

    I'm thinking particularly of in-space rescues where the other program may have the resources ready to launch a rescue-mission, but there are probably other scenarios from which both NASA and ESA would benefit.

    Plus, competition will mean that the science thrives, particularly in the current political climate (don't kid yourself - the US and Europe are *not* friends right now).

    --
    Mod early, mod often.
  6. Timely by akadruid · · Score: 5, Informative

    The New Scientist report is both inaccurate and out of date.
    A more timely report was published last week at the BBC.
    All the same, this is a very interesting move for the ESA, and for Europe. A challenging move here could well help our efforts towards a more united Europe.
    This is a rare 'carrot' for UK residents, more used the threat of monetory union and other unpleasent symptoms of a united Europe.

    --
    "Those who cast the votes decide nothing; those who count the votes decide everything." (attrib. Joseph Stalin)
    1. Re:Timely by den_erpel · · Score: 2, Insightful

      This is a rare 'carrot' for UK residents, more used the threat of monetory union and other unpleasent symptoms of a united Europe.


      I think you should get off your Island more often, monetory union is hardly an unpleasent symptom as we experience it. Most Europeans in the Euro zone, that are not confined to their 20 square kilometers around their homes, would not want to go back to the pre-Euro aera.

      Most of the ppl I know, just shop around in different contries (e.g. for electronics), because prices are easily compared...

      Next to the fact that the UK is never considered as an integral part of the EU by most other member countries, you can hardly call the UK a team player... As it turns out, they'll most likely back NASA when Washington orders them to do so.
      --
      Genius doesn't work on an assembly line basis. You can't simply say, "Today I will be brilliant."
    2. Re:Timely by pubjames · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This is a rare 'carrot' for UK residents, more used the threat of monetory union and other unpleasent symptoms of a united Europe.

      Unpleasent? You obviously don't travel or trade between European countries often.

      Here's a hint. 75% of the press in the UK is owned by three men. Those three men are anti-europe, and are using their control over the UK press to sway public opinion away from Europe. If you read The Sun, The Telegraph, The Times or The Daily Mirror (amongst others) then be aware that they have an agenda to feed you with negative propaganda about Europe. As a UK citizen who now spends most of his time "in Europe" I must say that my previous (and in retrospect naive) view of England as having an quality, open and honest press has changed considerably over the last five years. It is dishonest and manipulative. Don't fall for it.

    3. Re:Timely by pubjames · · Score: 2, Interesting

      As for trade, there are companies that like the fact that multiple currencies are in use - because they are able to make money by moving money around the different currencies.

      I guess you're not from a business background. No company likes the fact that there are multiple currencies - it means uncertainty. Many companies have multiple currency accounts to try to counteract currency movements to reduce the uncertainty.

      Let me explain it this way. You as a Brit sell a product to, say, the USA. It costs you £5 to make, you sell it for $15. The dollar weakens (in case you haven't noticed, it just has quite considerably). Either you have to charge more for your product (making it less competitive with products produced within the USA, because of course the currency change doesn't affect them), or you make less profit. Here's the crunch - you have no control over currency fluctuations. One day you could be making a profit, the next day a loss, due to something completely out of your control. Now are you seriously going to argue that this is something that businesses like?

      Umm, I thought it was kinda obvious that the papers have thier own agendas

      There's a huge difference between the press voicing their opinions about things and deliberately lying to or misleading their readership, which is what happens in the UK these days unfortunately.

  7. Good news by anagama · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I say more power to 'em. Something has to get the US off it's fat ass, and if it won't, someone else needs to carry the torch of science and progress into space.

    I say this as a US citizen BTW.

    --
    What changed under Obama? Nothing Good
  8. Is there more to it than traditional exploration? by arcite · · Score: 2, Interesting

    After reading recent stories here on /. about Chinese interests in building a moon base and extracting resources, I wonder what are Europe's space program's primary goals? Are they interested mostly in hard science stuff? Or are they creating and building up an entirely new kind of space industry? Perhaps what I really want to know is, when do the orbiting space hotels go up? :)

  9. Cooperation by fridzappa · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The ESA and NASA already have a history of working together. The Saturn-bound Cassini, for instance, has the ESA-designed Huygens aboard. A little competition is healthy (see the current Mars missions), but international cooperation is the only way we'll see big projects like Cassini in the future.

    1. Re:Cooperation by TheCaptain · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Actually, what makes me wonder, is why the Russian, European AND American space agencies don't work together on this stuff more - the very tone of the posting "How will NASA react?" tells me NASA probably wasn't even invited to the party. I am not saying they all need to be involved in everything each other do...but why this tone? (Making NASA sound like they are somehow in the defensive?) The tone of the writing only serves to try to foster a little mutual paranoia...rather childish actually, and certainly not helpful.

      Anyways...I thought the EU was all about international cooperation and getting along. I am glad NASA and the ESA cooperate as much as they already do...they should likely do more. I seriously doubt NASA has a problem with working with other agencies abroad...

  10. A Good Thing (TM) for the Space Industry by stoborrobots · · Score: 3, Interesting

    This may just be a good thing for the space industry in general...

    Didn't the really great advances in space travel come about because of the intellectual battle between the US and the Soviet Union?

    If the ESA starts making inroads into space research and NASA wants to keep its top position, it will be forced to become really competitive, and this might mean that we will see missions which *succeed*!!!

    Or we may just see more missions, with more cut corners... :-(

  11. No Space War by sparkes · · Score: 2, Informative

    I don't think we are heading for a new cold war europeans have been in space for years.

    The problems are the funding (and this is what is being discussed in the article) To the best of my knowledge all the worlds space agencies are losing money. Currently the only way they make money (apart from ever reducing government grants) is by launching comercial cargo. This is why there is so much crap up their in orbit.

    We need to limit the amount of commerical launches or we risk ruining space for the next few generations. If this extra money means less satilites are launched for companies that will go bust before they are ever used then it is good money. But if the money is going to be used to subsidise the launches of this type of cargo then it good money after bad.

    The reason for a euro GPS system is also commercial. You need to be a partner of the US government to get full access to GPS data at the highest resolution. The euro GPS will sell to those companies that want to make use of accurate GPS data but can't (or are unwilling to attempt) to get the US government to play ball. This is both a good and bad thing. If access to accurate GPS helps governments and companies develop and help local peoples then it is a good idea but I personally think the data will be used by robber oil barons and weapons manufacturers making the current situations even worse for the average man on the streets.

  12. why should there be a conflict .. by teemu.s · · Score: 2, Insightful

    .. ? Its not very effective to compete in a field like shooting stuff to mars .. if they could work together, theyll have more advantages, than disadvantages .. look @ the ISS -
    of course I know its mainly driven by the U.S. - but I think it works out fine if they combine their knowhow and money.

    And at leat it would be a bad idea if just the U.S. would settle at the mars ..

  13. Conflict across the Atlantic? by jazman · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Um, so what you're saying is that when America does space stuff, it's good for the world, but when Europe does space stuff, that's "conflict across the Atlantic?" How's that work then?

    Not intending to troll but that "conflict" thing does seem like an odd conclusion. Are Europeans now terrorists? How about a bit more reasoning, rather than just saying "Europe? Space? WAR!!!!!"

    1. Re:Conflict across the Atlantic? by sparkes · · Score: 4, Funny

      You know what they say behind every Bush is a terrorist these days ;-)

    2. Re:Conflict across the Atlantic? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      We (those of us in the USA) have gotten jaded ever since the Cold War ended and now expect the rest of the world to just follow along and pick up the crumbs we leave behind.

      Heaven forbid anyone else should dare to lead (or try to lead) in any particular sector of industry...or in anything for that matter!!!

      Not really I suppose but that's how it seems and the maintainers of Slashdot appear to think that way too...it is just sooo much easier to have a closed mind.

      Off topic-ish but I'm personally getting tired of so much nationalism and the relentless need by everyone to overtly and aggressively demonstrate their religious, nationalistic or philosophic identity at the drop of a hat.

      I dread next year's Olympics...:(

  14. Competition is always good by [cx] · · Score: 2, Insightful

    As in any market competition encourages the other competitors to step up the pace to beat out the latest and greatest from their foes. This is really the birth of the space race, as privatized sectors will probably get more funding than NASA these days. Lots of rich people are ignorant and very interested towards space (NSYNC Member Lance Bass) and they have the money to power their dreams. These companies will open more gateways into space and will further technology on planet Earth, Luna (The moon) and Mars (To get to Mars).

    It's hard to find a negative side other than NASA will have to be more of a space agency than a satellite monitoring system.

    I look forward to new technology that will allow me to drink Tang all day, and that chalky hard ice cream! But seriously, I look forward to new innovations in space ship design as well as thrusters that will get us out of the atmosphere with some kind of renewable fuel source and enough power to move around outside of orbit.

    (Maybe in 22nd century)

    Dont flame me I have bad karma as it is :)

    [cx]

  15. "Competition" by Jhan · · Score: 2, Insightful

    <mood type="foul">

    ESA and the russians aren't much competition right now... On the other hand neither is NASA, what with the Columbia debacle which will probably lead to a permanent moth-balling of the remaing orbiters.

    The russians will just keep cranking out 1960's era craft until the factories break down. Nothing wrong with 60's rockets, but we need to have modern designs and materials if we're going to lower the cost of space access.

    ESA is at least trying to develop new technology. Witness the Ariadne 5 a.k.a. "worlds most expensive fire cracker". Last thing I heard ESA needed 500.000.000 to redesign it from scratch. That kind of expense will cripple ESA for decades. *Sigh*. I guess I'll have to hold my thumbs for the Chinese.

    </mood>

    OT: Actual shell experience (UnixWare)

    1> df space
    df: cannot access space
    --

    I choose to remain celibate, like my father and his father before him.

    1. Re:"Competition" by WolfWithoutAClause · · Score: 3, Insightful
      ESA and the russians aren't much competition right now...

      Well, Arianespace owns most of the GEO satellite market where most commercial space launches go, and American launchers only launch vehicles that can't go on Ariane for one reason or another, so I don't really agree.

      The russians will just keep cranking out 1960's era craft until the factories break down. Nothing wrong with 60's rockets, but we need to have modern designs and materials if we're going to lower the cost of space access.

      Interestingly, the Russian hardware is cheaper than the Americans, even when you account for the lower wages in America. This is evidence that higher technology is not the answer and may well be counterproductive. The only trick that is needed for cheap space is to launch. Launch often. Launch really often. Economies of scale are bigger than every other known trick for reducing the cost of space, even put together. Of course the Russians use mass production techniques to build their rockets.

      --

      -WolfWithoutAClause

      "Gravity is only a theory, not a fact!"
  16. Re:European GPS by CausticWindow · · Score: 3, Interesting

    And "eruo-gps" is supposed to be hundred percent commercial. If the military want to use it, they'll have to pay like everybody else.

    How's that for free market, US?

    --
    How small a thought it takes to fill a whole life
  17. no need to keep 100% accurate local time by lingqi · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I was always under the impression that even with three satellites, you would be able to use the GPS signal to correct your local clock.

    Few reasons for this, IIRC:

    1) all three satellites are keeping perfect time, so if your clock is off, it is very easy to compensate for.

    2) satellites transmit positional information - this can be compared with your local positional table to correct your local time

    Besides the point - since details are sketchy, they might even be using dual-band per satellite to compensate for atmospheric delay errors.

    Of course, i might be talking out of my ass - so if you have evidence backing up what you say, prove me wrong.

    --

    My life in the land of the rising sun.

    1. Re:no need to keep 100% accurate local time by pe1rxq · · Score: 4, Informative

      Its not that hard:

      Suppose you have a bunch of satelites transmitting time and their location. When you receive that you know were that satelite was at that moment.

      Suppose you have also have a good clock, and you receive one satelite. In that case you can calculate the distance between you and the satelite (time difference between the two clocks multiplied by the speed of the radio signal, ignoring atmospheric influences for simplicity).
      No you know that your position is somewhere on a sphere around this satelite.

      When you receive two satelites you get two intersecting spheres. Two intersection spheres gives a circle of common points. So now you know that your position is somewhere on this circle.

      With a third satelite you get a two (unless you are in space exactly in between three satelites) intersect point. So now you now your exact position since one can easily be ruled out. (Unless you ARE in space ofcourse)

      But this only works if you have an accurate (as in atomic clock accurate) clock.
      If your clock is a litle bit behind the calculated distance between you and ALL three satelites becomes larger and you have no way of knowing it did. (Your still get one singular intercept point).

      If you have three satelites and a questionable clock all you know is that you are on a line intersecting the two points I mentioned earlier.

      With four satelites you can make several groups of three satelites (three groups to be exact) resulting in three of such lines.
      Were these three lines intersect is the point you are. (This method also rules out you accidently thinking you are in space btw)
      With this point you can adjust your own clock...

      Jeroen

      --
      Secure messaging: http://quickmsg.vreeken.net/
  18. paranoid? by xyr0 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    well, its really funny that some ppl might think that a space mission to mars will trigger a new cold war + even a real war. hmmm ... as far as im informed the ESA and NASA have been working together in numerous missions before with everyone depending on each other. the problem was that sometimes the europeans were only allowed to play the passengers and didnt get the science information first hand. some also mentioned the european gps system. it was started because the normal gps could be turned off at any place by the US military. so the european one is more like consumer-orientated (and not wobbling :). and the russians and chinese also have their gps system. but on the whole i think that a little competition is never bad. but why does this sort of thing upset some ppl? afraid of a multipolar world (that some governor doesnt want). oh man!

  19. What conflict, why? by kimmo · · Score: 5, Insightful

    >
    > "...are we heading towards a future conflict across the Atlantic?"
    >

    What kind of conflict do you mean, and what might cause it because Europe develops some tehcnological abilities of it's own?

    Does the US feel somehow threatened when it doesn't have a monopoly on many kinds of stuff anymore? Does it have a reason to be afraid in that case?

    "Hey, i'm growing potatoes, you must not research the hoe technology (because then i would lose the monopoly on producing and selling these artificially degraded and overpriced potatoes to whom i wish, whenever it might suit my needs).."

  20. Re:European GPS by CausticWindow · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Their paranoia?

    You haven't been following politics lately, have you? The EU (in general) aren't going to trust the US again in the near future. Most Europeans are fed up with their arrogance, and scared by their military superiority. Also, the US "democracy" is converging to a plutocracy, or in the best case a corporate police state. Not something you would like to be dependant on.

    The EU doesn't trust the US, and have good reasons not to. Would you like to tell me how it's a waste for the EU to have a military too? The US already got that part covered, don't they?

    --
    How small a thought it takes to fill a whole life
  21. Few problems, many positives by Logopop · · Score: 3, Interesting

    First of all, I see no future 'conflict'. There are many players here besider the US, and the International Space Station shows us that we have no problems besides technical to cooperate when it comes to space exploration (except maybe Russian funding). Both the Chinese and the Japanese have programs with great momentum.
    The system redundancy argument is a good one. I am sure that there's a lot of obscure politics involved, but technically speaking I am looking forward to being able to utilize a GPS receiver that can correlate the results from two independent systems. There were receivers that did that with GLONASS, I don't know if that system is still operable.
    Competition is of course good, however I think that the potential for commercial competition is fairly slim for the time being due to the high cost of anything space related and that you can't 'claim' resources in space like you do on earth (AFAIK).
    All in all - the more people/equipment/systems we can bring out into space, the easier it will be to colaborate and go 'where no man has gone before'. Manned mission to Mars, anyone?

    -Kris

  22. NASA the dominant agency? by LeoDV · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If I remember correcty, the ESA are the only ones actually making money from space with their Ariane program. If you ask me, the dominant agency has been ESA for a long time. And before that it was Russia.

    I'd like to remind you of the fact that even though NASA is very glad to have won the race to the moon, there was no such thing. Instead of going there and back, the Russians put Mir in orbit, which is a more useful and lasting feat than putting a flag on the moon.

    1. Re:NASA the dominant agency? by spakka · · Score: 3, Informative

      I'd like to remind you of the fact that even though NASA is very glad to have won the race to the moon, there was no such thing.

      Some respected commentators would dispute this 'fact', for example James Oberg.

  23. Some prospective by Eminence · · Score: 4, Informative

    They said they would put "over 1 billion euros" on that. What about some prospective? ESA's budget for 2002 was around 2,8 bn euros. With this sort of money for last four years they were able to put together a mission to Mars - and that's about it. NASA's budget is around 15 bn Euros and it is barely enough to keep the Shuttle fleet flying and make around two scientific missions a year (look for example at the state US Mars exploration is in). And that is not all the money US spends on space - there is also DoD budget.

    A single Ariane 5 launch costs around $150 M which is roughly $140 MEuros, so this is good for around ten launches. Proton and Soyuz are cheaper - $80M and $40M respectively. (a table of launch vehicles costs). But of course this money won't be spent directly on launches, you have to have something to launch first.

    Europe's space program has been so far driven mostly by France and to some extent Britain. Others were just interested, but with no real substance. All projects of manned missions were dropped along the way (and there were a few - a small shuttle designed by French that was supposed to be Ariane's payload - I forgot the name, German SSTO Sanger plane and similar British project). As a result Europe has no experience in building manned spacecraft - unless they would get it from Russians. I'm afraid that 1 bn Euros won't be enough to put together a manned mission unless it would be just flying Russian spacecrafts with Europe's yellow stars logo painted on them.

    If Europe would spend this money on building a GPS-like system, then 1 bn Euros is a significant amount, however again not enough to build the system - and keep it running (Russians build one to guide their warheads but couldn't afford to keep it up).

    What is most likely however is that this money won't be spent on a single mission or project. As the article says this money would be "pumped into the sector to overhaul its manufacturing and marketing programmes". It means that it would be divided into many small donations to various projects just to keep the industry afloat. So it is nice, but is far from enough if Europe really wants to be a player in the Space Race.

    And - BTW - Deutsche Telekom's loss for 2002 was "over" 24 billion euros.

    1. Re:Some prospective by flyingdisc · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It's not true that ESA is primarily a French project with some British involvement. The ESA funding comes from most of the primary participants, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Belgium, Denmark etc. The French contribute a large chunk of the funding but they also have a large role with their government funded labs working on research which compliments the ESA work which enhances their role in european space science. The British on the other hand pay propotionally much less than the other european partners (do you see a pattern here). British institutions will bid for research areas much like other european institutes but they don't contribute as much to the centralised european fund (ESA).

      The lander on the current mars mission is British built - but not really as a ESA project. It was cobbled together from research funding from various british university and research labs for an obscenly small sum of money. (relative to the other lander projects) - an will be a real coupe if the scientific payload pays off.

      A single Ariane 5 launch costs around $150 M which is roughly $140 MEuros, so this is good for around ten launches. Proton and Soyuz are cheaper - $80M and $40M respectively. (a table of launch vehicles costs). But of course this money won't be spent directly on launches, you have to have something to launch first.

      ESA have just announced that they intend to offer Soyuz launch vehicals from the european launch site in south america. This is partly intended to bring the cost of launch down and partly to provide a small load, reliable launch vehical which fills a gap for payloads smaller than the Ariane lifters. Ariane is designed for much larger payloads - taking 2 or 3 instruments up at a time. The newest Ariane (before it's recent suspension) could lift nearly 10 tons - making the largest active lifter.

      I don't think that europe is or will want a european space race. Europe should be able instigate and push some interesting projects in the next 10 years (venus express, rossetta etc) but most of these missions (if not all) are hugely collaborative and involve US, Canadian, European, Japanese, Russian and Chinese participants. The time when any individual agency wanted to go it alone are long gone.

    2. Re:Some prospective by joestar · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Your comment makes me think nobody should trust any statement in comments unless checking the information!

      The Galileo project has been really launched now. It's a project funded by different partners (*including* ESA) : European Commision, ESA, European Investment Bank and other smaller partners to come. The goal of Galileo is double : 1) get rid of our current dependency towards the american military GPS system for strategic reasons and because there are reliability issues with the GPS (in particular for civil planes) 2) offer a better system (better precision in localization), primarily for civil usage (but not only) and make money from that.

      Galileo's price is 3.2 billions Euros which is roughly the price for building 150 kilometers of semi-urban motorway.

      All these informations were taken from the official Galileo website at:
      http://europa.eu.int/comm/dgs/energy_transport/gal ileo/index.htm

  24. Our integrated circuit technology by alizard · · Score: 2, Interesting
    was originally invented for military / aerospace.

    For quite a few years, the military / aerospace sector has basically been building on electronic and computer technology developed for the private consumer sector.

    Perhaps it's time for another driver for new technology to show up on the market. Especially given the increasingly successful attempt to suppress new consumer technology by the *AA (RIAA/MPAA) organizations.

  25. ESA was already taking over . . . by Mentorix · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If I remember correctly ESA is already both marketleader launching commercial sattelites AND making money while doing it. The biggest threat to ESA's position right now is not NASA but country's like China and India.

    That's what happens when you keep launching something that was designed over 30 years ago and never reached it's design goals, like for example being a reusable vehicle(!). The current space "shuttle" is more like a pod sitting on top a big rocket that can land by itself. Almost everything else needs to be build again.

  26. Re:Conflict US - Europe by bigboard · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "I don't think so, Europeans are quite pacifists (If we remove the uk, of course) they are not oriented to conflict aspects and try to avoid violence as much as possible."

    Yeah right. The Germans asked, "How can we avoid violence at all costs? I know," they said, "Let's invade Poland."

    --
    Cynicism is the natural defence of the romantic.
  27. No conflict necessary by spakka · · Score: 3, Funny

    Europe should simply wait a generation or two until creationist christians have complete control of the US government and education system. When the entire US public believes the sky to be an inverted bowl suspended over a flat earth, it will be safe to resume space travel.

  28. reflection on the space "battle" by nozpamming · · Score: 4, Informative

    See if I can contribute some bits to this topic:

    First of all both the EU and Russia are highly succesful in the launching business. The Ariane 4 was at one point responsible for over 40% of all commercial launches and still is very successful. The Ariana 5 has seen some significant setbacks with all those errors but still is (will be) a very competitive launcher. The russian launchers, while based on sixties technology have been refined and re-engineered to an enormous ammount for decades and were and still are very competitive. For most commercial apps the shuttle program is outrageously expensive and even the US itself relies on convential rockets (which they also make of course) for many launches. Another problem in general for the US, and more limited for the EU, is that the international space station is costing a lot more than expected (nuttin'new, right?) and this is affecting other projects. This problem is even larger due to the fact that -for now- we need the shuttle as a servicing vehicle for the ISS

    Now for those GPS systems: first of all to clear that bit up: you need a few dozen to make sure always at least three (but better four or five) are visible everywhere on earth (except usually the poles due to orbit mechanics) for triangulation methods. Second of all Europe is not happy with the position the military takes in the GPS system of the US: we saw this many times with both Gulf wars that the US decided to downgrade the system accuracy for everyone but themselves (the military that is). In general people are a bit tired of the US policy to foreign countries with the change from Clinton to Bush (I don't want to take sides on the last war in this comment but in general popularity and support of the US bombed in the EU recently (as in from 60% to 25%), even in the normally pro-US United Kingdom). The military funding of many system in the US is what makes the EU sometimes a bit scared and makes it want to develop its own system, and the anti-US feelings in the population make these kind of projects a lot easier to get funded. Now, wether or not we need another system if another question but it takes time to launch so many sattelites for a new GPS system, so China is still busy get everything up there, as it will also take Europe time to fully deploy. Even more, if the US and the EU can/want work together these GPS system can also complement eachother.

  29. Unfortunate US reaction ahead.... by dackroyd · · Score: 4, Informative

    Tragically we know how the US would like to react:

    http://www.eetimes.com/sys/news/OEG20030522S0050

    The nation's largest intelligence agency by budget and in control of all U.S. spy satellites, NRO is talking openly with the U.S. Air Force Space Command about actively denying the use of space for intelligence purposes to any other nation at any time--not just adversaries, but even longtime allies, according to NRO director Peter Teets.

    At the National Space Symposium in Colorado Springs in early April, Teets proposed that U.S. resources from military, civilian and commercial satellites be combined to provide "persistence in total situational awareness, for the benefit of this nation's war fighters." If allies don't like the new paradigm of space dominance, said Air Force secretary James Roche, they'll just have to learn to accept it. The allies, he told the symposium, will have "no veto power."


    This would not go down to well at all. I know the US economy/military is the biggest in the world - but I still think that a trade war/shooting war with every other country in the world isn't the best way of improving the lives of American citizens.

    --
    "Free software as in beer, copy protection as in racket" - Telsa Gwynne
  30. Re:But ... by -brazil- · · Score: 3, Funny
    If we pull all of our troops out of Europe, who will keep the Germans out of France?


    Frace's highway tolls will.


    It frightens me deeply even thing about it.


    Aren't odd things usually considered more frightening?


    You owe us Europe.. you owe us big.


    Not as much as we owe the Soviets.

    --

    The illegal we do immediately. The unconstitutional takes a little longer.
    --Henry Kissinger

  31. Rail Gun system coming by Ex-MislTech · · Score: 4, Interesting

    For many years the military and other agencies have been looking to
    put payload in space with a rail gun as a launchor assisted launch .
    A variation on that theme would be a high altitude platform using
    something like www.21stcenturyairships.com to lift the cargo to
    near 100,000 ft , then use the rail gun to kick start it and if a
    heavy payload fire a booster as well . The first 20 miles of flight would be eliminated .
    A series of MANY of these balloons could be used to hold the launch
    platform up and the tremendous cargo .
    If you run it all with remote control robots, you do not need
    to worry about life support systems on the launching pad .
    Also you use remote control robots to build your space station,
    and do your repairs up in space .
    Solar power in space is not filtered by the earth's atmosphere,
    there is ALOT more watts per sq. meter up there .
    Imagine the work that could be done with no need for food and
    water, no need for atmosphere , and protected enclosure for the
    repair robots .
    If the chinese are smart when they go to build their base on the
    moon they will start it out unmanned and built by robots ,
    the logistics are just SOOOO much cheaper than trying to keep
    humans alive and sane in deep space .
    Once they have a large Teraformed cavern underground on the moon
    then test it for problems over a period of time , with redundant
    systems and escape pod like rescue vehicles . Test it with robots .
    The majority of the moon base being underground would be shielded
    against meteors , and cosmic radiation .
    The dark side of the moon could be used to acquire cooling for
    machinery and computers, etc etc .
    The light side could be used for a permanent solar farm .
    Robots coming back and plugging into the grid when they get
    low or redundant battery packs get switched out by battery
    serving bots that change one pack at a time and every robot
    has two or three, lol .
    Once we get a moon base, we have a MUCH cheaper launching
    platform than the earth . Less Gravity, no atmosphere
    burning you up , and no wind shear .
    Then wash, rinse and repeat for mars, pretty simple plan and
    we have already sent a tiny robot there .
    Just send a larger one and start rail gunning cargo from the
    moon base , the cargo goes into orbit around mars and is picked
    up by the space station there and then sent down to the surface
    by the bouncing ball airbag method used by path finder .
    The airbag material can be saved and reused for other needs
    once humans arrive once the base is built and safely tested .
    Once again an underground base using the heat from the core of
    mars would keep the underground base somewhat liveable .
    Solar power on mars would not be that good, would need an
    alternative like geo-thermal .
    For safety reasons the drilling should be a great distance from
    the mars base in case a geological problem is let loose similar
    to a kick experienced when drilling here in north america .
    Run the geo thermal power plant with robots, and have it
    beyond a ridge or mountain to protect the colony from
    any possible disasters .
    A large low light garden would be needed to turn CO2 into O@
    to breathe , and provide food , enriched soil with bacteria
    would have to be sent to the moon and mars .
    How mars bacteria and earth bacteria interact could be dangerous,
    another reason to test it with robots for some time .
    The big dig in boston has made underground earth works much
    cheaper, this tech would be perfect for mars, just implementing
    it all the distance aways would be VERY hard .
    Due to delay a LARGE space ship/station would need to be built
    in orbit best from the moon base, then travel to mars
    and ppl could remote control the mars robots from orbit .

    Ok I am really rambling here ... my apologies ...

    Peace,
    Ex-MislTech

    --
    google "32 trillion offshore needs IRS attention"
  32. A Big Circle by Cackmobile · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Its amazing that the leadership of space has finally returned to Europe. Seeing the Germans started in all. As we all know the Americans and Russians all had German scientists at the beginning of their programs. Maybe the Germans should get heavily involved, then we would get to Mars and where ever else we want. They do generally have the best technology. Get BMW/Mercedes to build the rockets.

    --
    -- Karma Karma Karma Karma, Karma Chameleon - Boy George
  33. Re:Some perspective by splateagle · · Score: 2, Interesting

    1: I think you mean perspective not prospective

    2: The "Space Race" was little more than a cold war pissing contest, and It ended decades ago.

    3: The ESA is already very much "a player" in space: for one thing it's the market leader in commercial satelite launches, and for another it's one of the few agencies with an active launch vehicle development programme (unlike NASA for example).

  34. Re:European GPS by sheriff_p · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I'm getting quite tired of hearing the term '[US] military superiority'.

    The United Kingdom, for example, has enough nuclear missiles and sufficient delivery systems to level the US at the touch of a button. So does Russia. So does China. So does France. Give it a few years, and so will India and North Korea.

    In a situation like this, 'superiority' is not really applicable.

    --
    Score:-1, Funny
  35. and it's a terrorist nation ! by The+Famous+Druid · · Score: 2, Funny

    Those of us who live in the pacific region remember the French terrorist bombing of the Rainbow Warrior (a Greenpeace protest vessel) in a New Zealand harbour.

    The terrorists were French Secret Service agents, and were caught, convicted, and sentenced to prison terms in NZ. The French government made a deal with the NZ government where they would serve their terms in French prisons, and once they were back in France they broke this agreement and set them free.

    So, Weapons of Mass Destruction (which actually exist) and proven terrorist links, but no oil. Sadly the conditions for war are not met.

    --
    Quidquid Latine dictum sit, altum videtur (anything said in Latin sounds important)
  36. yes, major conflict brewing by 73939133 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Not intending to troll but that "conflict" thing does seem like an odd conclusion. Are Europeans now terrorists?

    I think the problem is that Americans like to think of themselves as the most powerful nation on earth and have gotten used to being first in everything. But, objectively, the US is a mid-size nation with an economy that is in deep trouble ($3 trillion in foreign debt and growing rapidly), that depends on skilled immigration for its competitiveness, and that faces enormous inequalities and social problems. The preeminent role of the US was an artifact of the aftermath of WWII. Now that Europe is pretty close to a federation and that China and India have caught up technologically, America becomes merely one among several large players, and not the biggest or most important one.

    The only area where the US is clearly first is in military spending. But that really worries foreign nations. What is the US going to do when (and it's "when", not "if") foreign investments slow down, the dollar crumbles, skilled workers stay away, and the economy falters? Is it going to dismantle its military and quietly accept being a second-rate player on the world stage? Or is the US going to try to get by force what it won't be able to get by other means? Using the US military for economic reasons has happened before.

    It is completely natural for European and Asian space programs, which represent larger populations and economies, to surpass the US programs. This is only the beginning of many changes. The question is whether Americans can get used to it.

    1. Re:yes, major conflict brewing by ScottForbes · · Score: 2, Informative
      But, objectively, the US is a mid-size nation with an economy that is in deep trouble ($3 trillion in foreign debt and growing rapidly), that depends on skilled immigration for its competitiveness, and that faces enormous inequalities and social problems.

      Um, what? The United States alone had a GDP of $10 trillion in 2001, compared to $7.8 trillion for the entire EU -- and an apples-to-apples comparison would measure the EU against NAFTA. The EU is approaching self-imposed limits on its geographic expansion, has a birth rate significantly below the replacement rate, and has economic, cultural, and legal fracture lines that the U.S. eliminated centuries ago.

      China and India may have pockets of technological expertise, but they are not "caught up" in any meaningful sense -- they are not inventing radical new technologies or approaching first-world levels of infrastructure, health care or political stability. It will be a long, long time, measured in centuries, before either country equals the U.S. in an economic, scientific or military sense, even if the U.S. stops advancing.

      What is the US going to do when (and it's "when", not "if") foreign investments slow down, the dollar crumbles, skilled workers stay away, and the economy falters?

      You're describing the 1970s. America's dominance is not a passing phase that started with WWII and ended on 9/11 -- it's a phenomenon that will last as long as America lasts, or until other nations become so much like America that one can't tell them apart. European and Asian space programs may leapfrog the moribund NASA in the short term, especially in light of the Columbia disaster -- but in America private citizens are building their own launch vehicles, and may well put people into orbit before China does.

    2. Re:yes, major conflict brewing by 73939133 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      America's dominance is not a passing phase that started with WWII and ended on 9/11

      The beginning of the decline probably was some time in the 1980's when the US started going into debt more and more (see here). Ultimately, the whole idea of "America" itself becomes fuzzy, when a significant fraction of its assets are foreign-owned.

      I think 9/11 is mostly irrelevant to the long term position of the US in the world. If anything, it has harmed US power because of Bush's foreign policy blunders.

      and an apples-to-apples comparison would measure the EU against NAFTA

      No. NAFTA is primarily a trade arrangement, while the EU is much closer to a federation (free movement of people, harmonized laws, etc.).

      it's a phenomenon that will last as long as America lasts,

      Well, you reiterate common attitudes among Americans; the question is: are there any rational reasons to believe this?

      or until other nations become so much like America that one can't tell them apart.

      That's impossible: there simply isn't enough foreign investment (or oil, for that matter) to run other large nations like the US.

      In any case, the issue is not whether Europe or the US is "better" or a little bigger. The issue is whether the US is clearly predominant or whether it is just one of many centers of power in the world. I think the world will actually consist of half a dozen or so roughly equally powerful blocks or regions, one of which is the US. The question is whether Americans will accept that fact willingly.

  37. Re:Conflict US - Europe by quax · · Score: 2, Insightful

    And later the art of exterminating "Indians" was very much advanced by the US ingeniously using econmic warfare by sponsoring the killing of buffalos (Paragraph E).

    I wonder if US paranoia can in part be attributed to the fact that the US never came to grips with its violent past.

    Quite contrary to Germany. Could you imagine a US president kneeling in front of North Vietnamese monument to honor the Vietcong who died in the war with the US? Well, a German chancellor fell to his knees when visiting Poland in 1960s honoring the Polish soldiers that died in WWII.

    WWII is the reason why Europeans loath war so much. Fortunately at this point in time the meaning of war seems to be clearly embedded in the European collective memory.

  38. GDP and Reality by SunPin · · Score: 2, Insightful

    That's because you can spend it on hospitals. While 15% of the US GDP goes to the military, only three percent of the EU GDP goes to the military. The result is that, right or wrong, defense is something that trumps social programs. Europe has social programs as a higher *spending* priority than defense. Spending is the key word because European governments know that US bases are all over the place to protect them. While you may be delighted if the US leaves Europe (and I would be delighted also), it would cause massive budget priority changes across the continent. You might have to ask the private sector for that hospital or that upgraded public transit system. Basically, saying that Europe is better because they build hospitals instead of tanks is a demonstration of ignorance and a troll at best.

    --
    Laws are for people with no friends.
    1. Re:GDP and Reality by CreationLtd · · Score: 2
      Nukes are useless for states fighting terrorists.

      As are tanks, fighter jets, bombers, submarines, aircraft carriers, destoyers, etc.

  39. Very unlikely on both counts by EnglishTim · · Score: 2, Interesting

    War is not going to break out between the US and Europe - both sides have enough nuclear missiles to completely wipe the other off the face of the Earth. It's not going to happen. Even if we could resist falling back on nukes, neither side has a sufficiently powerful military to overtake the other - it's just not feasible.

    The recent tiff over Iraq is nothing to worry about, and will largely blow over. There's far too much trade in both directions, and there's a lot of Europeans in America and a lot of Americans in Europe. We're just too close to go to war.

    As for The UK splitting off from Europe to join with America - I really can't see that happening. The loss of sovereignty in joining Europe is small fry compared to becoming a state of the US.

    1. Re:Very unlikely on both counts by tenchiken · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I agree with most of your points, except the argument that neither side has a sufficently powerful militay to overtake the other. Europe has around 1 division that is "independent" of NATO (all of the logistics in NATO are US-owned. We are the only ones who would pay for it), and even that unit is not independent until it gets some heavy lift capacity.

      The US on the other had can deploy 3 divisions a month (we have 12 total, I believe), 3 additional Marine divisions (MEU) and 12 super carrier groups. If it came down to a war anywhere in the world, unless there is a act of supreme incompetence or a act of God, you don't want to root against the US.

      The Iraq tiff will blow over, but there are people in Europe who make no bones about wanting to challange American power. Frankly, with how poor Europe is doing with minority populations (see Monyiham's(sp) book) I suspect that Europe will have to challange radical islamists (ala Russia and the middle east) before they challange the US.

      As for the UK, poll after poll states that the English trust America to come to Englands need in case of emergency far more then the commonwealth (Canada, Australia) and orders of magnitude above the EU. I suspect the anglosphere will continue to gain momentum.

    2. Re:Very unlikely on both counts by tenchiken · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The only nation that has anything approximating the forces of the United States is the UK. Here is a dirty little secret, the US Navy and the UK navy are completly in bed already. American commanders can tap into british ships and vice versus (I believe that Canada and Japan can as well). While America does not spend a much larger percentage of GDP on the military (about 2.8-3.1 percent last I looked) the size of the US economy alone, and the fact that the spending has been pretty static for a while results in us having a huge lead in tatics and equipment.

      The other large factor (again) is NATO. Countries that have military units "lend" them to NATO (for example, I believe that the US lends NATO three American divisions). Over time, the European units have focused on front line units, giving them punch in NATO (while the US does all of the logistical concerns). Outside of NATO, they simply do not have the logistical or C2 (command and control) structures neccesary to fight a war.

      The UK and France both have "independent" systems. France however has huge issues with their navy. The UK OTOH under UKUSA and other "anglosphere" agreements focueses much more on integration with the US then anythign else.

  40. Military vehicles and weapons .. by braun · · Score: 2, Informative

    .. aren't only manufactured in Russia and Usa. The beautiful land of Sweden, with companies like Bofors, Space Universities and more, is a big manufacturer and exporter of both military and space technology. Go Fugelsand!

  41. Conflict by theolein · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The relations were shown to be not as convivial as as some had hoped in the Iraq war. But to think it started there is naive. The idea of a European military initiative has been a thorn in the side of US military for some years now, and the US was opposed to the Gallileo system as well. While the US might try to increase other countries dependance on the US, a lot of countries have seen that this is not necessarily in their own best interests.

    The EU is not alone in this kind of thinking, India also tries to minimise it's dependance on the US, as does China.

  42. What choice do you think the Europeans have? by Fefe · · Score: 4, Informative
    The USA has repeatedly threatened to use their GPS monopoly to deny service to people they don't like. Here is one story from 2001:

    wired: U.S. Could Deny GPS To Taliban

    The international fear and uncertainty has become so large that the Pentagon even feld compelled to say they wouldn't enact a global GPS blackout during war time. This is obviously a completely unbearable situation for anyone besides the US government. Here is a link:

    Reuters: Pentagon pledges 'no global GPS blackout'

    I don't know what happened to the Russian space positioning system that was once discussed as alternative, but the European Union is completely right in that they think they have to create an alternative to GPS. Even more puzzling is the fierceness with which the USA have tried to stop Galileo (why would they do that if not to leverage their monopoly pressure?). Here is a satnews.com story about it:

    EU Postpones Decision on Galileo System Until 2002

    The argument of the US government against Galileo was that it "could be abused by future enemies". So you can see how the US government is using GPS to pressure others. It is very important to create an alternative to GPS, even if it's just to stop the US from bullying other nations.

    So much about Galileo, but what about other reasons for a non-US space program? I think one of the most dramatic display of bullying ever to be seen by any government is what the US government semi-openly discussed according to a Reuters story this February: to deny other nations access to space:

    U.S. Pentagon Sees Space as Military 'High Ground'

    If any sovereign nation sees something like this, it is obvious that a big space program besides the US one is absolutely necessary. The USA have proven time and again that they are a very volatile friend who on a whim decides to deny their resources to their friends.

    There was one well documented case in the Bosnian war that is quite telling. The US vehemently denied ground troops and any real war involvement of theirs in Bosnia, on the grounds that Clinton thought his political career would be over of pictures of dead soldiers arrived home. So the role of the USA was mostly reconnaissance and intelligence and they did help keeping the air space empty. However, it later turned out that they gave weapons to the rebels, in violation of NATO orders. Here is one link about it:

    Washington finances ethnic warfare

    This is a very serious issue, please don't take my word for it, look for yourself. There was a good joint European documentary about it a while ago, where they interviewed the NATO official in Bosnia, a Norwegian military official, and he said that the USA basically denied their allies the contractually guaranteed intelligence to cover up their covert operations.

    In my eyes this kind of behaviour leaves Europe no other choice but to go for independence in space and military. Most nations have given in to US surveillance and intelligence superiority, some like Australia and Britain even joined the Echelon system. There are stories that even those very close allies do not have full access to the jointly generated intelligence. In effect, the USA is exploiting and abusing everyone else around them, and now Mr Bush has stepped over the line with his excessive bullying and the other nations are banding together.

    I have been waiting for this for many years, and I am happy that it finally happened. While I despise Bush on all levels, he did something very valuable for the world. He gave them enough motivati

    1. Re:What choice do you think the Europeans have? by smallpaul · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I followed one of your links and found this: Our space assets now are probably more important to warfighters and more important to our ability to win this global war on terrorism than they ever have been historically.

      Here's what amazes me. America learned one lesson with 9/11: there are people who want to destroy it. But America seems to be oblivious to another lesson: they do not need high-tech weapons, weapons of mass destruction, ballistic missiles etc. They can use commercial airlines. They can use fertilizer. They can use off-the-shelf explosives. They can use box cutters. The Military/Industrial complex wants to fight Al Queada as if it were the Soviet Union: "we'll have bigger guns than them and then we'll win." "Iraq is developing big guns so we better invade them." But that shows a complete misunderstanding of the tactics of the real enemy. They shocked the world by using innovation rather than big guns.

    2. Re:What choice do you think the Europeans have? by Sloppy · · Score: 2, Insightful
      You don't have to forsake your high-tech weapons in order to fight a low-tech enemy.

      If you are facing an enemy who uses trucks full of fertilizer, are you supposed to fight them by driving your own fertilizer trucks at them? No, you spy on them from your Electric Eye in the sky, and then drop a GPS-guided bomb on 'em.

      Ok, maybe it's not really that simple, but high-tech weapons will always be useful and have advantages over not having high-tech weapons.

      --
      As copyright owner of this comment, I authorize everyone to defeat any technological measure which limits access to it.
  43. Re:European GPS by itchyfidget · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Yeah, because the UK being killed 100x over by the US would be so much more degrading than for the US, who would just be killed once by the UK...?

    Does *nobody* remember the 1980s?? Jeez, you'd think *someone* would have learned something ...

    --
    Mod early, mod often.
  44. encouraging private space industry by KavanaghNY · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Sadly, the Russian Space Agency has encouraged private enterprise more in the last decade than has it's cold-war capitalist rival, NASA.

    To effectively stimulate the commercial launch industry NASA must stop competing with private start-ups. The most important first step it could take would be to competitively bid resupply for the Internation Space Station. In this transport sector, the space shuttle is hogging potential commercial business that NASA could otherwise outsource.

    "The government should seek to cultivate a commercial launch industry in the same way that postal airmail did with civil aviation in the early 20th century."

    Letter to Senators from NY on NASA's future
    http://stellarlink.com/blog/archives/00000 9.html

  45. NASA Won't React by StAugustineLovesYou · · Score: 3, Insightful
    "How will NASA react to this news after being the dominant space agency over the past three decades?"

    NASA won't react. The sad truth is that right now American society is leaning far more towards guns than butter. The reality for NASA is that American pride no longer sores on NASA wings. (Note: I'm not endorsing this view, just expressing popular culture). The reality is that the drive in congress is just not there for supporting NASA, as it's far easier to woo voters with bribes and fears on TV, than with pictures of engineers behind control stations.

    There will be speeches at NASA HQ, but no money from congress.

  46. Re:EU's Collosal Waste of Money by arevos · · Score: 2, Informative

    The US is also suffering from "a combination of stangant economic growth, high unemployment, and the threat of deflation", and it could be argued that the EUSA is more cost efficient than NASA, who insist on using the rather cost inefficient shuttle system. The Ariane system has been quite successful commercially, and, as one poster pointed out, the Ariane 4 made up 40% of all launches at one point.

    Furthermore, Galileo obviously won't be using 20 year old technology. It'll be more up to date, and it's meant to be far more accurate than the GPS system.

    Since this is seems to be the only comment of your account, I'm assuming you're a troll here, but I'll continue on with my reply anyway.

    Some EU countries do have vastly inflated tax rates that could come down a bit, but mostly it's a system that works well. The majority of the taxes go to health care and schooling, rather than to the unemploymed (which is hardly a desirable situation by any means). It costs an awful lot to run a national health service, but you can hardly claim it's wrong to help the injured, or to provide cheaper education to people.

    And a lower birth rate isn't necessarily bad. The EU has many more people packed into a smaller area than the US, and the world's population is increasing at an undesirable rate. Less people might be better. Besides which, the current rate things are going, the EU is still going to have more people per square mile than the US for quite some time, so there's hardly a danger of depopulation.

  47. Re:EU's Collosal Waste of Money by jesco · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The economic problems (which there are many of, as in the U.S.) aside, Arianespace and ESA are two rather successful operations.

    A single ariane is a) cheaper in total than a shuttle launch and b) able of lifting more cargo into space than any other space craft. About 40% of all satellite launches are done by Arianespace. That's hardly unsuccessful.

    About Galileo. Did you ever hear the word 'competition'. GPS is the only vendor in the global positioning market. Monopolies are, however, from an economical point of view highly unwanted for they tend to provide inferior products for higher prices. And, while the concept is the same, Galileo is hardly anymore a rip-off GPS than a Mercedes is off a Ford :)

  48. Re:European GPS by mark2003 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    A couple for you:

    The constant banging on about how America is the home of democracy, freedom, blah, blah, blah.

    The constant re-writing of world history by Hollywood to show how America saved the day, was the best, is the best - usually at the expense of Britain, e.g. U575 (British ship captures German sub, rewritten as Yank sub capturing German sub) and The Patriot.

    The constant harping on by the Americans on talk boards about how they can kick anyone's arse.

  49. Re:Conflict across the 49th parallel by cheesybagel · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Yes.

    IMHO the US ended up not buying the plane because of the NIH syndrome and the fact that the US really does not buy weapons technology from abroad: period.

    Regarding the Canadian government pulling the plug, at that time several governments considered that bombers were obsolete, hence fighters were unnecessary. Missiles were all the rage.

    The UK RAF also suffered terribly from this misguided perception.