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Guessing Linux 2.6.0 Release Date

thorgil writes "Guessing about the linux-2.6.0 release date is hard, but here is a new angle (pseudo-scientific): I made a graph (gif) based on errors/warnings from John Cherry's (OSDL) compile statistics for linus' linux bitkeeper tree. My guess is around 12th October, 2003. What is your guess and more important, why?"

27 of 313 comments (clear)

  1. Support the Protest Against Patents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's ironic that slashdot would run a story about linux today at all. But what really surprises me is that Slashdot would continue operation today, even though they allegedly support the Online Demonstration Against Software Patents.

    I would urge the /. staff to immediately shut down operations and support the
    demonstration, unless they really don't care about open-source software at all.

    1. Re:Support the Protest Against Patents... by sproket99 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Or in case they decide not to follow the demonstration, they should at least explain why.

    2. Re:Support the Protest Against Patents... by Simon+X. · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I second that.

    3. Re:Support the Protest Against Patents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Actually slashdot does not act in anyones interest at all (other then its own). All it does is be a place to rant and have a mechanism which makes it more effective for whatever the users rant about.

      People would like slashdot to join this demonstartion because they perceive slashdot in their own way but it cannot be 'all ways'.

      Slashdot is a name and thats all it has to it, its mechanism is under the GPL and not patented, it already is fragmenting for several reasons.

      Good thing slashcode is not patented eh?

    4. Re:Support the Protest Against Patents... by Seahawk · · Score: 3, Insightful

      TBH i have a hard time understanding a protest like that - the only people that will se your support, is people that is very aware of the problems with patents.

    5. Re:Support the Protest Against Patents... by 4lex · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I don't care about losing karma as Redundant or Offtopic, this is really an issue which deserves non-anonymous support.

      Today is an important day for demonstrations here in Europe. If we manage to minimize the damage caused by software patents legislation (ideally cancelling their approval), software freedom (and our personal freedom btw) will be much safer.

      Slashdot, close your operation, shutdown -h NOW!
      Tomorrow you can resume normal activity, and rejoice by talking about how proper your behavior was.

      --
      My journal. Mainly about freedom.
    6. Re:Support the Protest Against Patents... by Spider[DAC] · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I have to agree. This trap which is the sk. "Software Patents" needs to be stopped before its sprung here in EU as well.

      --
      I didn't do this, now did I?
    7. Re:Support the Protest Against Patents... by EmagGeek · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Slashdot's advertisers would be very pissed if Slashdot shut down for a day. Therefore, slashdot will not shut down today.

      Simple logic...

  2. My guess... by FrostedWheat · · Score: 4, Insightful

    To quote a famous game developer: "When it's done."

  3. Stable version? by Vajsvarana · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The question that really count is when will the first stable version of 2.6.x be out. I mean 2.6.35 or such...

    1. Re:Stable version? by Vajsvarana · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "Pretty stable" is one thing... by "Stable" I mean "No data corruption/work loss", which is another one.
      Unfortunately 2.4.0 was "pretty stable" too, but until 2.4.18 reiserfs and block devices bugs caused many cases of data corruption, which costed to my firm quite a good amount of work and money.

      Maybe I'm much too conservative on this, but I think that whichever software (expecially a kernel!) should not be considered "Stable" until the absence of crashes and data corruption has been thoroughly stress-tested. Sorry, but "it' been up for some days on some PC" is just not enough.

      Flamebait? Maybe. But I really don't like the current attitude toward kernel versioning:

      maybe it compiles -> devel
      compiles (quite) and seems to work -> stable
      no more serious bugs -> end of life, occasional maintanance

      I think it shoud be:

      maybe it compiles -> don't even release
      seems to work -> unstable
      no more serious bugs -> stable, thorough maintenance to squash last few bugs.

      "End Of Life" of a stable version shoud happen only when a newer one goes stable. Waiting months to see the security breach on 2.4.20 corrected while no other stable kernel were around should happen NO MORE.

      Forcing users to test new kernels by cheating on version numbers it's not a way to gain testers, but rather to loose many of them, after their data gets eaten...

  4. Sure it compiles. by noselasd · · Score: 5, Insightful

    But I don't think the "it compiles, let's ship it" is the criteria for releasing 2.6.0 A better way is to look at Andrew Mortons must-fix list. When most items are fixes, it can be released. ftp://ftp.kernel.org/pub/linux/kernel/people/akpm/ must-fix/must-fix-6.txt

  5. Best fit? by steveheath · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Should it be a linear best-fit? I'd be guessing that the number of errors/warnings will only approach zero? Much like tracking bugs.. On second thoughts, errors will more than likely hit zero but warnings we can live with..
    Anyway, interesting stuff :)

  6. November, 30th by Crash42 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Oct, 12th is in about 6 weeks. So, because every IT project takes twice as long as you think, my guess is around Nov, 30th.

    --


    ....Excuse me, but ... ah, forget it...
  7. Since when by Bluelive · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Since when do compile time errors and warnings reaching zero mean that there no more bugs in a program? Most bugs are those the compiler doesnt complain about.

  8. July 13 by muirhead · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Kernel 2.6.0-test1 was released by on July 13 2003.

    What are you waiting for?

  9. Should have been a poll by G3ckoG33k · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This should have been a poll. Now, it just leads to endless ramblings.

  10. Re:My guess by tanya2526 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Free time is what all of us visiting Slashdot have. And we like to play with our free time, or to find free time to play around with stuff to come up with something that excites us...

    I think that gif is a nice hack. So lay off those "too much time on your hand" stuff..

    however, I must ask myself - do hacks have to be necessarily of some utility? I mean, Zen would say "it will be out when it will be out".

  11. Wrong question by GrouchoMarx · · Score: 4, Insightful

    When the kernel itself is declared "released" is irrelevant to most people. If you really want the latest and greated, you can always download whatever the current version is, whatever it's called, and use it.

    What's important is when most distro companies (other than bleedinge edge Gentoo and "we don't need no steenking 2.x kernels" Debian) will start building their distributions around 2.6-final instead of 2.4. For that, it's quite obvious at this point: The spring refresh cycle. (The fall cycle may have a few optional pre-release kernels, but the real action will be the spring.) Sometime in the April timeframe we'll see Red Had, Mandrake, and SuSE releasing 2.6-based versions. Hopefully they'll also have funness like KDE 3.2 and so on by then, which are just as important to most people.

    When Linus says "ok, I'm done, let's work on something else" isn't important. When Red Hat says "we'll give you a support contract on this now", THAT'S important.

    --

    --GrouchoMarx
    Card-carrying member of the EFF, FSF, and ACLU. Are you?

    1. Re:Wrong question by Karora · · Score: 4, Insightful

      What's important is when most distro companies (other than bleedinge edge Gentoo and "we don't need no steenking 2.x kernels" Debian)

      Debian Unstable currently has 2.6.0-test kernels available.

      Your complaint, which is perhaps mildly legitimate, is that Debian Woody (current "stable") was released with the standard default vanilla kernel as a 2.2 kernel.

      In fact it had plenty of choices there for people who wanted to run 2.4 kernels - they just weren't the default standard vanilla choice.

      Really: just what you want for a stable server-oriented environment.

      --

      ...heellpppp! I've been captured by little green penguins!
  12. Re:beta testers by jbert · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Do some searching around (linux-kernel mailing list archives, the bugzilla for linux-kernel) and try to work out whether it has already been reported.

    Ensure that you can reproduce the problem on the latest kernel.

    If the bug has only just appeared, it is very useful for the developers to know which kernel version it appeared in. The best way to find this out is to do a binary search between the working and non-working kernel versions.

    If it has been reported, you might be able to contact the relevant maintainer (check the bug details or the MAINTAINERS file for details) and get a "possible fix" patch to try out.

    If it hasn't been reported, I guess the best way to report it is to use the bugzilla. Please read and follow the advice there for how to report a bug, but again common sense applies.

    Depending on the bug and your level of interest and ability, it can be really fun to try and work out a fix yourself.

    (Sometime you can do this even if you aren't a great coder

    e.g. Once I couldn't mount a CD and had a kernel message error about a 2k block size. I knew nothing about the driver, but grepped for the message, found it was bracketed by a "is it 1k or 4k" test. Simply adding 2k as another option to the "if" test and recompiling/rebooting allowed the CD to mount. That ruled.)

    If you do produce your own fix, sending it to the relevant maintainer as a suggested change may be helpful, but please don't be upset if your fix isn't used. There are many reasons (some good, some bad) why something which works for someone isn't a good thing in general. (If you do send a patch, use 'diff -u oldfile.c newfile.c' to generate the patch file)).

    Good luck

  13. Hofstadters law by kluro · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Hofstadters law:

    "Everything takes longer than you expect, even when you take into account Hofstadters law."
    Douglas Hofstadter, "Godel, Esher, Bach", ISBN: 0465026567

  14. Call me optimistic but... by r00zky · · Score: 2, Insightful

    didn't Linus said that 2.6 was being released when x86 code was stable?
    And other archs maybe would have to wait some minor versions?

    Considering this and the graph predictions, my guess is 3-4th week of September.

    --
    I'm a chainsmokin' alcoholic sociopath, so-ci-o-path
  15. Simple, but depressing, answer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful
    Because this is open source, where there are no quality controls, everyone gets to do his or her own thing, and even the merest suggestion of things like the kind of process you're talking about are seen as evil attempts at (gasp!) centralization.

    I'm with you, though. I think Linux and its users would be much better off if the developers imposed a bit more process on themselves, and didn't rely so heavily on the "keep tweaking and releasing until it seems to be right" model.

  16. Re:who checks in code that compiles with warnings? by basking2 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ... this reads like a troll, but... Eliminating warnings is often good, but sometimes will convolute code or make it less efficient. A good example is the seemingly endless type-casting circus my code ends up hosting. Regarding cooperations, it is a rare company that has effective coding standards that help and don't hurt productivity. Warning-free code should be a nice-to-have but never required. Otherwise you lose cycles to silly things when your next quarter is around the corner.

    --
    Sam
  17. Best Guess by digrieze · · Score: 1, Insightful

    I'm going to guess it'll be delayed until the SCO code is publicly released so any problems can get cleaned up. Possibly in October we'll get a "gold level" release that would be the final kernal minus SCO fixes, that way if SCO loses it can just be rebranded without losing any worktime and if SCO wins the claim can always be made that as soon as the problem was shown it was fixed and never made it into the "final" kernal. Linus has been accused of being arrogant at times (mostly by folks with rejected code) but never accused of being stupid.

    --
    It doesn't matter what you wrap your emotions around, Reality is a brick wall specifically designed to scramble eggs
  18. Not gonna happen, here's why by Overly+Critical+Guy · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Slashdot is corporate-owned. It's a business. It makes money. They're not going to shut down their business for a day when they could be posting more SCO, "Microsoft hole," anime, and amateur rocket stories.

    --
    "Sufferin' succotash."