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Response to Spider Robinson on the State of Sci-Fi

Garund writes "A day or so ago Slashdot posted a story on Spider Robinson and his lament for Science Fiction. Well, other people, including Mark Oakley, publisher of one of my favorite independant comics, posted a response to Spider on his Thieves & Kings website (scroll about a third of the way down the page). Interesting take on it, I thought."

199 comments

  1. Spider Robinson on SF? Huh? by topham · · Score: 5, Insightful

    What makes Spider Robinson a commentator on SF, Sci-Fi or anything else other than pablum?

    He doesn't write science fiction, he writes fantasy staged in the non-existant future.

    And as for the 'Speculative Fiction', well, he isn't a writer of that either.

    hand him back his toke and send him on his way.

    he's done.

    1. Re:Spider Robinson on SF? Huh? by srmalloy · · Score: 4, Informative
      What makes Spider Robinson a commentator on SF, Sci-Fi or anything else other than pablum?

      You mean besides winning a Locus award for Best Critic? Besides being book reviewer for Galaxy, Analog and New Destinies magazines for nearly a decade, and continuing to write occasional book reviews and a regular Op-Ed column, "Future Tense," for The Globe and Mail, Canada's national newspaper.? Nothing, I guess...
      And as for the 'Speculative Fiction', well, he isn't a writer of that either.

      The people who voted to award him three Hugo awards (science fiction's top honor), a Nebula award, the John W. Campbell Award for Best New Writer, the E.E. "Doc" Smith Memorial Award (Skylark), the Pat Terry Memorial Award for Humorous Science Fiction, and a second Locus award for Best Novella would appear to disagree with you. But you can always define 'speculative fiction' to be whatever you want, and set up your definition to exclude what he writes.
    2. Re:Spider Robinson on SF? Huh? by Robotech_Master · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Uhm...not necessarily to disagree with most of your points, but I guess that since Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire won a Hugo, it must be science fiction too, right?

      --
      Editor Emeritus and Senior Writer, TeleRead.org
    3. Re:Spider Robinson on SF? Huh? by aallan · · Score: 1

      ...but I guess that since Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire won a Hugo

      Accompanied by alot of the old school fans being violently sick, me amougst them. There is no way that a Harry Potter novel should ever have won the Hugo, just because its popular doesn't mean its good writing, or had anything profound to say abotu the world. Put it along side something like "Fire Upon the Deep" or "Ender's Game" and it pales in comparison.

      Al.
      --
      The Daily ACK - Eclectic posts by yet another hacker
    4. Re:Spider Robinson on SF? Huh? by yog · · Score: 1

      The charm and challenge of the science fiction experience is the open-mindedness which it begs of the reader. Surely there exists in the great panorama of science and speculative fiction a bit of room in the corner for novels like the Harry Potter series. The fact that J. K. Rowling has made a huge fortune seems to color other authors' perceptions of her talents to the point where their denigrations of her writing begin to sound like sour grapes. Friend aalan, happen you to be a writer?

      Rowling's use of language, at least in the un-Bowdlerized U.K. editions, manages to be clever and amusing. The faux-Latin names of spells and the suggestive surnames like Fudge, Malfoy, and Lupin lend the stories enough of a fairy tale flavor to charm the child's mind while making the adult smile. Real life human foibles abound; parents can read these stories along with their children and feel fully committed to this world of magic.

      As for comparisons with hard science fiction like Vinge or Ender's Game, surely this is comparing apples and oranges. They are utterly different types of stories within the very broad category of "F&SF". No more sense would it make to pit Conan against Doc Savage (though such an idea rendered into novel would be quite intriguing).

      One should also consider the impact of a literary work upon society. Rowling surely deserves recognition, if not a Hugo then some sort of accolade, if only because she is educating generations of children in the mysterious ways of adults: politics, deceipt, pomposity, kindness, and generosity. Don't believe what you read in newspapers, her books scream; don't trust those high mucky-mucks in their comfortable offices.

      Children (and adults) could read worse.

      --
      it's = "it is"; its = possessive. E.g., it's flapping its wings.
  2. Get off his ass by Klinky · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Any community is going to experience points of stagnation and critics who bitch about it. I think people need to face the facts that community as a whole loses that shiny interesting effect on them. Everything is no longer "WOW!", it's "Oh I've seen that before". This has happened with Anime. Miyazaki said the state of anime was critical and that less and less worthy series are being made. Well the same can be said for movies. The same can be said for Sci-Fi. The same could be said for alot of things. The thing is instead of bitching about it, he needs to get off is ass and go right some create some new great genre defining novel, or whatever.

    1. Re:Get off his ass by RestiffBard · · Score: 1

      hell, we've been saying the state of slashdot has been deteriorating for years.

      --
      - /* dead coders leave no comments */
    2. Re:Get off his ass by Sparks23 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Not only that, but many genres suffer from dilution. When there's a dozen people writing in a genre or producing for it, it's far easier to separate the wheat from the chaff. I think today, there's more wheat, but there's also more chaff.

      Today when I go to the bookstore and look at the science-fiction section, I see all these new books, half of which are by authors I've never heard of before. Brand-new, first-time writer, or someone who's just not gotten coverage, or whatever. And every book has testimonials on the cover, someone saying the author is 'The most promising new writer to enter the genre since...' or whatever. So really, the only way to know what's good is to read it yourself... and since there's so much out there these days, there's much more chaff to sort through to find the wheat.

      I think it's true with anime, too -- the growing popularity over the past few years has made a number of anime pop up which, honestly, aren't all that worthy, to reference the Miyazaki quote. It's true of almost any medium of fiction and expression when the field becomes crowded; it's not necessarily that the number of worthy things has decreased, but that the number of things /overall/ has increased.

      That said, it's nice to see M'Oak get some linkage. Maybe it'll spur a few more T&K fans. :)

      --
      --Rachel
    3. Re:Get off his ass by Robotech_Master · · Score: 1

      "...the only way to know what's good is to read it yourself..."

      Not quite true...

      --
      Editor Emeritus and Senior Writer, TeleRead.org
    4. Re:Get off his ass by Artifex · · Score: 2, Informative
      I think it's true with anime, too -- the growing popularity over the past few years has made a number of anime pop up which, honestly, aren't all that worthy, to reference the Miyazaki quote.


      And, to make things worse, Newtype USA pushes some of the most pathetic anime series through its monthly DVD (ADV Films has some real garbage). Unfortunately, new fans pick up the magazine and think, "Cool! Translated, and all about anime!" They may read about some cool anime coming out in Japan, but what gets offered here isn't always the best, but whatever is easiest or cheapest to make. And this is killing new interest in the genre.

      Most people will never hear of works like Grave of the Fireflies (reference here, here, and of course Roger Ebert); they've been turned off by countless screens of tentacle porn, giant robots, and fantasy heroes with fill-in-the-blank special powers, not to mention the ubiquitous card game of the month merchandising. And as long as we settle for paddling around in the "shallow" end of the pool, we'll never get more chances to immerse ourselves in the "deep."
      --
      Get off my launchpad!
    5. Re:Get off his ass by Sparks23 · · Score: 1

      Actually, to be fair, Grave of the Fireflies is one of the very few 'non-standard' anime that people /are/ more likely to have heard of; it's been pushed through enough art-house circuits that it's at least slightly more likely to be known.

      That does not, however, negate the general point you made; to build on the terminology in the post I made earlier in this thread, an overabundance of chaff in a genre does turn people off from it as it burns them on out looking for the wheat buried among it.

      With 8 million 'panty-shot' anime or recycled-plot series coming out, films like Whisper of the Heart are sadly likely to be overlooked. Heck, even the really beautiful and engrossing Twelve Kingdoms, despite getting translated, is likely going to not get a great deal of notice.

      The same is true with books, as well; I'm reading an excellent book by a relative newcomer author, Sarah Ash, but I'll bet you that many people -- having been burned by bad books by newcomers to the fantasy genre -- will skip this one and stick to the authors they already know and like. And that's a shame, because -- while I only just picked up the book, and am only a few chapters in -- so far 'Lord of Snow and Shadows' is a surprisingly engrossing and well-written book.

      And really, that's what's to be lamented. The push by publishers and distributors to focus on quantity over quality, to the point that until you've read -- or gone looking for reviews -- a book or watched an anime or whatever, you can't tell the chaff from the wheat. Choice is good, but it does burn some people out and make them stick to the authors/series/works/whatever that they know, not risking the chaff.

      --
      --Rachel
  3. Brilliant by Autistic_Treat · · Score: 5, Funny

    I guess you have to be smart to write science fiction, but attributing lower sales to the fact that people like other sci-fi/fantasy titles better is sheer genius.

    1. Re:Brilliant by Black+Parrot · · Score: 1


      > I guess you have to be smart to write science fiction, but attributing lower sales to the fact that people like other sci-fi/fantasy titles better is sheer genius.

      Maybe the RIAA should hire him as a consultant.

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
  4. The demise of sci-fi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I'll certainly grant that sci-fi isn't what it was when I began reading it a number of years ago. I'll grant that a lot of the gadgets described as futuristic then exist now. But this theme which says there's nothing else which can be imagined as a future invention reminds me of the patent clerk who quit around the turn of the last century because there was nothing left to invent!

    1. Re:The demise of sci-fi by fuzzix · · Score: 1

      Good point, but we haven't done everything. I guess time travel isn't that exciting...

    2. Re:The demise of sci-fi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As one of the editors running a small SF/F magazine, I can tell you that the hardest thing for us is to get noticed. We're publishing fresh SF and F (print magazine, not web-based stuff) from known and unknown authors, we have a web page, we have a loyal bunch of subscribers but we can't seem to break out to the wider world. (We send review copies to locus mag and other trade publications too)

      I'm referring to Andromeda Spaceways Inflight Magazine (www.andromedaspaceways.com)

      I myself write humorous SF novels (Hal Spacejock - www.spacejock.com) and I've found many SF authors turning to fantasy trilogies to boost their sales. Publishers see the sales of fat trilogies and want more of the same.

      Cheers
      Simon

    3. Re:The demise of sci-fi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But this theme which says there's nothing else which can be imagined as a future invention reminds me of the patent clerk who quit around the turn of the last century because there was nothing left to invent!

      Didn't happen.
  5. It was not really a disagreement by Henry+V+.009 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    A rather amazing reply. In essence he says: "You're right. We don't care about the future anymore. But that is because this is the future now, and there is nothing much down the road."

    Reminds me of Francis Fukuyama in a way. The important decisions of history have been made, and things will not got significantly better or worse than they are right now. Democracy and capitalism have conquered the world.

    1. Re:It was not really a disagreement by RestiffBard · · Score: 1

      democracy and capitalism, in its present form, have only really been around for the life of the United States. That's only a couple hundred+ years.

      The Roman Empire was around much longer and they thought that the Roman way had conquered the world too.

      --
      - /* dead coders leave no comments */
    2. Re:It was not really a disagreement by krymsin01 · · Score: 1

      I just can't buy into the whole, "We're here, this is all there is" mentality that is present here. This isn't it, the end all and be all of humanity. Time is marching forward, always.

      John F Kennedy said "Change is the law of life. And those who look only to the past or present are certain to miss the future." In our times, I think that people in general have become too caught up in the present.

      --
      stuff
    3. Re:It was not really a disagreement by snooo53 · · Score: 1
      Democracy and capitalism have conquered the world.

      I have to disagree. While capitalism has been around forever in the world, there's no assurance that it will be anything like its current form even a hundred years down the future. What happens when someone invents a "replicator" and can solve the world's hunger, shelter, and other consumption needs in one fell swoop? Capitalism will all but disappear. I think then there will be some very important decisions to make. What will everyone do when 3/4 of the world is no longer struggling to obtain the basic needs in life?

      And democracy too? Like another poster said, how do you know it will be around in a hundred years? The roman empire lasted for centuries more than the US or any other "democratic" nation. And is it really Democracy in the US when you have 2 major polical parties that get their funding from the same mega-corporations? Is it really democracy when you have less than 50% of the population turn out for any given election??

      After the revolutionary war, people wanted to crown George Washington as king, and frankly, I don't think too many people would even really care beyond the knee-jerk reaction if the president were to have powers equal to a monarch today. As long as he's a good ol' boy who says the right things who really gives a damn? Today in America people only vote when it's convenient, and don't see a world outside the border. I imagine a lot of the other "democracies" are the same way. It'll be interesting to see if it does survive another hundred years, or whether the apathetic masses will let democracy slide into a footnote of history.

      --
      The sending of this message pretty much inconveniences everyone involved.
    4. Re:It was not really a disagreement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A rather amazing reply. In essence he says: "You're right. We don't care about the future anymore. But that is because this is the future now, and there is nothing much down the road."

      You're misinterpreting him; he presents that as one common view; it's not necessarily his. He's too intelligent to believe anything so silly.

    5. Re:It was not really a disagreement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Democracy existed long before the United States -- and so did capitalism (in it's present form).

      Democracy in its present form (universal sufferage) didn't exist in the U.S. until very recently. Stop being such a blinkered fucking USian patriot.

      Stupid bloody Americans, you think you invented Freedom. Let me explain something to you: Ben Franklin, Thomas Paine, and the rest got most of their inspiration from the *British* government in the years before it turned away from freedom and towards imperialism and massive military build up (before the cause of the war of independence). You might consider this the next time Bush starts one of his wars of conquest... he's busy making the same mistakes the British made.

    6. Re:It was not really a disagreement by RestiffBard · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I... I can't even conjure a proper response to that. I'll try.

      Firstly, Thomas Paine was a twit who only wrote one piece worth mentioning, Common Sense, after which he was an utter waste.

      Capitalism, in its present form, wasn't really codified until Wealth of Nations. I'm quite aware, written by a Brit.

      Freedom may have been around forever, as a concept, but the United States made it happen. All those theories and concepts that everyone was coming up with, not just the Brits, were actually implemented in the United States.

      As for being a "blinkered fucking USian patriot" you might in the future consider not being such a blinkered fucking anti-american. There's 300 million of us. Do you honestly believe that all of us share the same mind on all matters?

      As for Bush. It is my opinion that Bush is the greatest threat to freedom, democracy and capitalism in the history of my country. It's my fear that my people will be condemned to decades trying to reverse many of the policies that Bush has implemented.

      Something that I don't understand and that I think a great many Americans don't understand is why so many of you hate us. We don't hate you. We make jokes about Canadian speech patterns, British food, French snobbery but we don't hate you. We don't go to sleep at night dreaming of the downfall of Chretien. Most of us don't even know who he is. Not because we're stupid. Because we don't care. Americans care about raising their kids, getting a nice house, seeing a good movie. In the back of our minds we consider that somewhere someone is suffering so that we can have all our luxuries. We, at times, feel bad about it.

      Why don't we do anything? If we feel so bad for the people in sweat shops why don't we stop that practice? Why don't the people in the sweat shops rise up on their own? Why do they need our help? Americans may not have many hard fast beliefs but I believe we all trust in self-determination and self-reliance. Those are the values my nation was built on. No one helped us win the Revolution until the French late in the game (for that I honor the French and Lafayette).

      So, in the future, get your head out of your ass. Meet some real Americans. Get a different view on the world than the one you cling to in which the United States is now the Evil Empire. Visit us. Spend some time with some of us. Get to know us. Come see a movie.

      --
      - /* dead coders leave no comments */
    7. Re:It was not really a disagreement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Firstly, Thomas Paine was a twit who only wrote one piece worth mentioning, Common Sense, after which he was an utter waste.

      I mention Thomas Paine because he was a rabble-rouser whose writing pulled together British colonists. Or do you think it was all individual idealism. You also avoided Franklin, but we'll let that slip.

      All those theories and concepts that everyone was coming up with, not just the Brits, were actually implemented in the United States.

      I never said "it was just the Brits"... I said that claiming America as the first (which you did) is simply bullshit. Many countries had universal suffrage before the U.S... the U.S still had apartite laws until very recently. You want to think the U.S. is some kind of gold standard for freedom and capitalism, fine... but you are, like many tub-thumping USians, a delusional fool fed on the pledge of allegiance from birth.

      Something that I don't understand and that I think a great many Americans don't understand is why so many of you hate us.

      I don't hate Americans (nice jump in reasoning there). I hate a particular type of American... the noisy sort who substitute patriotism for thinking.

      No one helped us win the Revolution until the French late in the game (for that I honor the French and Lafayette).

      Hoooweeee... you sure are ignorant boy. The French did not come in late in the game... and, unlike what you are trying to imply, you simply could not have won without their Naval power. Not ot mention Britain involved in a global power stuggle with France and Spain left the U.S fighting considerably less than the full might of the British empire -- right from the very start. WHy don't you try reading some books *not* written by patriots. Being proud of your country is one thing -- blind to its true history and flaws is another. Believe you me, I hate British tub-thumping patriots more than American ones.

      And BTW: I know many Americans... I married one, for a start.

    8. Re:It was not really a disagreement by RestiffBard · · Score: 1

      dear god this won't ever end.

      for one, not once have I tried to insult you, with the exception of using the same insult you used against me. There's no reason to insult.

      Now, I have to go all the way back to my first comment in this thread. OK, just re-read it. You're right I may have implied in my original comment that America was first. I should have used more explicit wording. Obviously you were waiting for an opportunity to get into this argument. I said that the present form had "only really been around for the life of the United States".

      I never said that the United States invented these ideas or that we were exclusive in having them. Try re-reading the comment a few times. The key phrase is "life of". I was using the birth of the United States as a simple point on a timeline. Please don't argue with me that the birth of the United States was not the culmination of the Enlightenment ideals of the Founders. And, that the Enlightenment dealt greatly with capitalism and democracy. Can we at least agree on that?

      Two last points.

      One, I wish you weren't writing all of this anonymously. not cause I think you're a coward. There are a million reasons not to put an identity to your words. What bugs me is that I don't know if you're always seeing my replies.

      Two, stop using that fucked up term "USians". What the hell is that? I know you desperately are trying to avoid calling me an American and having Canadians jump in your shit. That's fine. But, if you want to give me a title use one that is technically correct. You're obviously going for technicality. I am a United States citizen. But, technically, I am primarily a citizen of Virginia. So, in future correspondence you may refer to me as a Virginian. Thank-you.

      See how easy it is to hold a conversation without calling someone a "blinkered fuck" or an "ignorant boy".

      Also, we can debate the merits of the French and their affect on US independence till the cows return. For every historian that says we couldn't have won without them there is another that says we could. Personally, just to refute your insinuation, I believe we would have had a hell of a time of it without the French. I never said that we would have won without them.

      I so look forward to our next exchange.

      --
      - /* dead coders leave no comments */
    9. Re:It was not really a disagreement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Can we at least agree on that?

      As long as you admit that you made a completely unsubstantiated comment... you want to say it was poorly judged, fine.

      I am a United States citizen. But, technically, I am primarily a citizen of Virginia. So, in future correspondence you may refer to me as a Virginian. Thank-you.

      No, I like "USian", it sums things up nicely. So I'll keep using it thanks.

      For every historian that says we couldn't have won without them there is another that says we could.

      Very few reputable ones -- or ones without an axe to grind. There are a good many things carefully air-brushed out of the mainstream USian view of TWOI. Imagine the tales told by the Vietnamese about Americans and you'll get some idea. BTW: The Vietnam war, and the WOI have some startling similarities.

      I so look forward to our next exchange.

      Whatever... you could try putting some solid points. It'd make it more interesting.

    10. Re:It was not really a disagreement by RestiffBard · · Score: 1

      you're still posting anonymously.

      "USian" is moronic and still not correct.

      Quote me the so-called unsubstantiated comment. I'll determine if I want to agree to that.

      Now you're bringing in the Vietnam War? What brought that on? There are similarities between the American Revolution and a great many other conflicts in history. That's no revelation. It's certainly not startling. Hell, they even started in the same place, Boston.

      --
      - /* dead coders leave no comments */
    11. Re:It was not really a disagreement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you're still posting anonymously.

      And?

      "USian" is moronic and still not correct.

      No it's not and yes it is.

      Quote me the so-called unsubstantiated comment. I'll determine if I want to agree to that.

      democracy and capitalism, in its present form, have only really been around for the life of the United States.

      Now you're bringing in the Vietnam War? What brought that on?

      World superpower using its military might to try to crush rebels in a much weaker country, and end up losing badly. All the problems of fighting a long way from home, in a fairly alien environment (parts of the U.S). There are many "startling" similarities (many more than I've listed here).

    12. Re:It was not really a disagreement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      i think a few more vietnamese than americans died in that war.

      the us couldn't bomb everywhere they wanted in that war as they didnt want chinese involvement.

      Outside of slashdot, I have never seen the term "USian" in print. While residents of north and south america may refer to themseleves as "americans", when the international media says "americans" almost everyone recognizes that they are refering to United States Citizens. It seems when USian is used, it is in a derogitory fashion.

  6. I completely agree with Robinson... by CrayHill · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ...that the genre of SF (as many other artistic endeavors) is having creative difficulty. Walk into a bookstore these days, pick up an interesting-looking book, and see that it is 12th in a series of 18. Come on, if the authors cannot deal with new character development, like they did 40 years ago for virtually every novel, something is wrong!

    1. Re:I completely agree with Robinson... by Zarquon · · Score: 1

      Series Sell(TM). You can either 1) Develop the character more than you can in a single book, or 2) Sell the same stories 12 times over with the serial #s filed off. Barely.

      And there's always gratuitous sex scenes.. and romances, female porn.

      (There are still authors that do #1. There also are series where there are no continuing characters, only continuing setting.)

      --
      "'Tis great confidence in a friend to tell him your faults, greater to tell him his." --Poor Richard's Almanac
    2. Re:I completely agree with Robinson... by gl4ss · · Score: 1

      it's a shame though.. but on the plus side, i still got shitloads of science fiction to read(though i like to think of books in a one pile rather than categorising everything too much, as you indeed are narrow minded if all that matters to you is that the main character is a robot and not a 10th century peasant) from earlier years(of the later writers, zahn, gibson & banks are almost only writers that have provided enough solid material that i'd buy their new book just based on writers name if i saw it for sale).

      some of the best scifi are short stories though.. as often that's enough to show the writers meaning, especially when the story is made just to show one spesific thing the writer invented in his/her head(you might have noticed how some of those dozen episode books are also extremely thick and consist mostly of soap opera material instead of focusing on the issue at hand).

      --
      world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
    3. Re:I completely agree with Robinson... by Brandybuck · · Score: 1

      The Sword of Truth series is a good example. I liked "Wizard's First Rule". But damn, we're on like the seventh book of the series now. I tired of reading about how much Richard loves Kahlan! Have Jagang choke on a chicken bone and kill himself, then write something new in a completely different world.

      --
      Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
    4. Re:I completely agree with Robinson... by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      We (wifelike unit and I) gave up after he defeated communism by working.

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    5. Re:I completely agree with Robinson... by Brandybuck · · Score: 1

      Yeah, halfway through the book I knew that was coming. I could understand him getting through to Nicci, but to start a whole revolution with a statue? Hah!

      Frankly I think he's just cranking out the books too fast. The character's were one dimensional, the moral dilemas all black and white, and the societies too contrived. I almost thought for a moment Ayn Rand was still alive and writing fantasy under a pseudonym!

      --
      Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
    6. Re:I completely agree with Robinson... by el-spectre · · Score: 1

      Eh, some of the all time classic SF writes are most famous for their series work. In particular, Asimov often wrote stories in the same universe, if not with the same characters. I am thinking primarily of the robot/empire/foundation series. There must have been 30 unrelated robot stories that had common characters from US Robots and Mechanical Men in them.

      For anyone who is a SF buff, I suggest getting some collections of old 40's/50's short stories. Wonderful stuff, although sometimes they don't work as the science in them is wrong (having advanced by 50 years).

      --
      "Faith: Belief without evidence in what is told by one who speaks without knowledge, of things without parallel." - A.B.
    7. Re:I completely agree with Robinson... by Zarquon · · Score: 1

      I gave up after he had the guy commit murder by STD, and I got tired of (Live happily ever after, no wait, live happily ever after, no wait, live happily ever after, no wait...)

      I did like _wizard's first rule_. And I liked _Rhapsody_ by another author, but her followups are not going to get reread by me.

      --
      "'Tis great confidence in a friend to tell him your faults, greater to tell him his." --Poor Richard's Almanac
  7. Re:"Enterprise": Answer to Robinson's Question by Jeremy+Erwin · · Score: 1

    What does Enterprise have to do with Science Fiction? Spider Robinson is a writer. He's talking about other people's writing. TV, movies, and their various spinoffs are irrelevant.

  8. What age do we live in? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    "Why are our imaginations retreating from science and space, and into fantasy?"

    Well, mainly because we live in a sci-fi age. There are very few revolutionary discoveries now - and fewer groundbreaking ideas - most are evolutionary. We are at a point where science is getting smaller and less accessible to the average reader. Consequently, this doesn't make good reading, so we're still reduced to reading about warp cores and wormholes.

    What I'd like to do is read more books about the impact of technology on society and it's effects. Science fiction needs to step back and look at things from a different angle.

    1. Re:What age do we live in? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are very few revolutionary discoveries now [...] most are evolutionary

      Science is always "evolutionary". Even computer science have roots in the XVII century.

      science is getting [...] less accessible [...] Consequently, this doesn't make good reading

      I'm not a specialist in sci-fi but most novel I've read (if not all) were not about science but about the implication of science. They were not about specific mathematical theory but about general ideas and inventions. Why are we stuck with warp cores and wormholes? Well probably for the same reason that romantic fiction sells more book than any other category.

      What I'd like to do is read more books about the impact of technology on society and it's effects

      Isn't it what science-fiction is really all about?

    2. Re:What age do we live in? by srmalloy · · Score: 1
      There are very few revolutionary discoveries now - and fewer groundbreaking ideas - most are evolutionary. We are at a point where science is getting smaller and less accessible to the average reader. Consequently, this doesn't make good reading, so we're still reduced to reading about warp cores and wormholes.

      It would make the universe a poorer place to think that we had discovered all of the fundamental ways to manipulate it, and that all we can look forward to is ever more expensive ways of fiddling further and further to the right of the decimal point. The problem with truly revolutionary discoveries is that they are, by their very nature, impossible to search for directly -- you can't know what it is that you do not know. All we can do is keep pushing out the limits of what we do know until someone looks at a set of results for a hitherto-predictable test and says, "That shouldn't be happening", and then follows it out to find out why. Over and over again.
  9. Not a troll by ishmaelflood · · Score: 1

    Fair comment.

  10. But...why? by Otter · · Score: 5, Interesting
    Both the original and this completely beg the basic question -- in much of the 20th century people had a very vivid picture of The Future, accurate or inaccurate. Today, that sense has completely disappeared. Why?

    Just saying over and over that it's so, as this response does and most of the comments here last time did don't explain WHY it's so.

    1. Re:But...why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      'cos the people are feeling betrayed and disappointed?

    2. Re:But...why? by Daniel_Staal · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Here's an answer for you: because they are having enough trouble imagining the now. We work, day to day, to just keep up with the pace of change; we don't have time or energy to spare to try to push that change beyond the immediate necessity. It is not that the sense has disappeared, so much as it is already in use.

      For a good exploration of this idea, I would suggest the book 'Future Shock'. A very good read.

      --
      'Sensible' is a curse word.
    3. Re:But...why? by MalachiConstant · · Score: 1

      I think he does explain that. His point seems to be that all that amazing stuff that Heinlein, Clarke, and Asimov wrote about is either a reality or not worth the bother even though we could do it. We could make flying cars (someone already has), but they're not useful.

      We understand, too, that everything we haven't made yet is so far in the future it's not interesting in the same way it was in the 50's. Artificial intelligence was exciting in the 50's because a robotic house maid was right around the corner. Now we know how incredibly difficult the problem is, and that it's not likely to be solved within our lifetime, so it's less exciting.

      It's odd, I never really understood that science fiction got started for a reason (the industrial revolution?), and that one day it would basically end. Really, if you're living in a Star Trek world reading about starships wouldn't be any great novelty or mental exercise. I guess we're close enough to that reality now that less people are excited by sci-fi writers' imaginings.

      But I'm still gonna pick up Heinlein's new book.

    4. Re:But...why? by gaijin99 · · Score: 1
      Both the original and this completely beg the basic question -- in much of the 20th century people had a very vivid picture of The Future, accurate or inaccurate. Today, that sense has completely disappeared. Why?

      A critical quesiton I agree. I won't pretend to know the whole answer, but I think I know part of it. I think that Daniel Quinn (Ishmael, Story of B, My Ishmael) is partially right. Back in the 1950's we had a clear cultural vision: the world was made for man, and man was made to conquer the world. Today it is increasingly obvious that that cultural vision is broken. Much of fantasy tends to be backward looking, showing a time when the cultural vision worked. SF, by its nature forward looking, can't really keep that vision without looking dated (see many of Heinlein's books, especially "Tunnel in the Sky" for an example of this).

      I think another contributing factor is that we've been in a technological plateau period for the past 50 years or so. Technological advance has been mostly the evolutionary type, that is, improving on existing technology, rather than building truly new things. During the first 50 years of the 20th centrury technological advance was revolutionary (from "heavier than air flight is impossible" to "heavier than air flight is commonplace" for example).

      Since 50 years counts as "forever" for most folks, people today tend to think that the current period of evolutionary, slow, technological advance will continue "forever". This means that, as has been pointed out, most people writing SF today are not writing about new orders of technology, but about incremental advances of existing technology. Which isn't nearly as exciting...

      I think that we will soon (10-15 years) be moving off the plateau and into another period of technological revolution, which will doubtless spur a new era of SF.

      --
      "Mission Accomplished" -- George W. Bush May 1, 2003
    5. Re:But...why? by Radlef · · Score: 1
      From the article:
      "That is to say, here we all are, arriving in the Future!"
      People simply believe that the future is now, so why do they need to think about the future anymore? Look at how many advances have cropped up in the past couple of decades. We have not only seen a dramatic increase purely in the number of new advances, but also appearing at a seemingly unbridled rate. To older generations, there's little else to think of (or little motivation to do so). For younger generations, things change so rapidly that there's little reason to speculate, just read the news later that evening and you'll have an answer.

      Of course, there are still things to develop and research (otherwise nanotechnology would be further along), but that's not important to give the masses a vivid picture of the future. As long as most people think that science and technology are to the point where everything major has been accomplished, it can be taken for granted that the future will look alot like today. If more people understood what today's technology was capable of, then there might be a vivid picture of the future. How many people (besides slashdotters) really keep up with technology these days however?
      --
      Right brain, wrong mind.
    6. Re:But...why? by Otter · · Score: 3, Insightful
      That certainly seems reasonable.

      A couple of other things that occurred to me as I started thinking about it.

      1) The notion of reinventing humanity has mostly died out, after the most popular schemes accomplished little and killed 100 million or so people. On the whole that's good, but visions like, "Overalls seem practical. In the future, everyone shall wear overalls! Gray overalls!" are gone with them.

      2) There was a logical progression from airplanes to spaceships to space travel that made up a large part of the future vision. We followed that path to the moon, at which point the real obstacles that had been brushed off in fiction ("Mr. Sulu, warp 3!") came into play.

      I'm sure there's plenty more.

    7. Re:But...why? by John+Miles · · Score: 3, Interesting

      We work, day to day, to just keep up with the pace of change; we don't have time or energy to spare to try to push that change beyond the immediate necessity. It is not that the sense has disappeared, so much as it is already in use.

      That's a really good point. In Asimov and Heinlein's heyday, we didn't have appliances that were smarter than their users. No VCRs blinking an endless noon; no DVD players that insult their owners. Our cars didn't have an average of a dozen CPU chips each, and we didn't have hundred-million transistor personal computers that only a few dozen people on the planet can honestly say they understand through and through. The ubiquitous Joe Six-Pack could still assimilate the technological content of his life as late as the mid-Seventies, and he had time left over on the weekends to think about what it all meant and where it was going.

      But then the Japanese figured out how to fit 10 pounds of shit in a 5-ounce box. The sales graphs at Heathkit flatlined, Radio Shack started selling toys, and some hippie named Wozniak dragged a weird-looking piece of hardware to a club meeting in a forgotten basement in Sunnyvale. We quit making stuff in the Western world, both personally and industrially speaking, around the time of the last Apollo mission. When subscriptions to Popular Electronics started to decline, how long could Asimov's Magazine of Science Fiction hold out?

      Maybe this is why the few examples of really-successful modern SF have been escapist fantasies rather than celebrations of futuristic hardware and intellectual conquest. I really liked this guy's essay, and I suspect he's a lot closer to the truth than Spider Robinson is. Fantasy hasn't replaced SF; it's just less optional today.

      --
      Dahlmann tightly grips the knife, which he may have no idea how to use, and steps out into the plain.
    8. Re:But...why? by RickHunter · · Score: 1

      They still do. You just have to look in different places. Wil McCarthy, Lois McMaster Bujold, Peter Hamilton, David Weber, Timothy Zahn, Hiroyuki Morioka, Yoshiyuki Tomino, Tatsuya Hamazaki, and John Barnes all have very vivid (and different) pictures of the future. And that's just authors whose works (sci-fi novels, manga, and anime) I've enjoyed lately.

      It hasn't disappeared. Its just that authors like Robinson didn't think big enough and Hollywood and TV have gotten scared of technology. They've seen what computers are doing to their business model, and how they were encouraged by all the sci-fi shows and movies of the '60s-80s. They don't want to feel responsible for the next big disruptive technology. Or authors falling victim to the "all we know now is all we'll ever know" poison.

      To the sci-fi authors who're complaining: Stretch your imagination a little, guys!

    9. Re:But...why? by dspeyer · · Score: 1
      Alternative theory, the future is getting even weirder.

      In the past, we thought about improvements in transportation, weapons, manufacturing, and other fields that left us bascally as we were. But the interesting ideas of the near future are in communication and thought -- things that will change *us*. That's a lot harder to imagine.

      Yeah, this idea is largely from Vernor Vinge, an excellent science fiction writer who's still writing (but not fast enough!).

    10. Re:But...why? by ericman31 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      But the interesting ideas of the near future are in communication and thought -- things that will change *us*

      Of the "modern" writers, I like Greg Bear best. He is actually exploring the new frontiers of science, like genetics and evolution in "Darwin's Radio" but keeping to the tradition of great SF writing. Take a single idea about something new and explore how it impacts society and people. Gordon Dickson, a bit older, did the same thing in The Childe Cycle stories.

      --
      In my universe I'm perfectly normal, it's not my fault you don't live in my universe.
    11. Re:But...why? by ericman31 · · Score: 1

      Really, if you're living in a Star Trek world reading about starships wouldn't be any great novelty or mental exercise. I guess we're close enough to that reality now that less people are excited by sci-fi writers' imaginings.

      Actually, I don't think that's it at all. We aren't living in the SF reality, because the pace of change is still accelerating, and it shows no sign of stopping. Consider nano technology and genetic engineering as just two examples of really interesting change in the world today. The real probelm, I think, is that the change has been so fast and sudden that the human race got scared. It wants a bit of safety and stability. Unfortunately, that extinctive desire to stabilize and keep the status quo is likely to lead to the death of the human race. Biology is about competition at it's most basic level. If we reach the end of competition the race will die out and evolution will replace us with something that is ready for the next round of competition.

      --
      In my universe I'm perfectly normal, it's not my fault you don't live in my universe.
    12. Re:But...why? by retinaburn · · Score: 1

      Excepting of course those who do decide to push beyond the need of immediate necessity, partly perhaps to get funds for their own immediate needs, the likes of which are Cory Doctorow, who in my humble opinion, takes a good look at where we are and what we can become in some of his fiction...science or otherwise.. own0rz3d or such as featured on salon is worth reading as are his more recent works such as "Down and out in the Magic Kingdom". Those who are more sober than me can link if thou art lazy. The mainstream media is often behind the up and coming trends, of which Cory and others are the forefront.

    13. Re:But...why? by kmarius · · Score: 1

      I agree. Most of the current improvements in technology is improving what already exist. If you look back 20 years, the technology has improved a lot, but most of the improvements have been incremental.

      Cars are basically the same. We have more TV-channels, mobile phones are more practical and computers are cheaper and faster. The only real change is they way we handle information. We have access to an almost unlimited source of information, that would be hard to believe only 10 years ago. Everyone (in the west) has a cell phone and can access the internet with a computer if they want to. but it's still "more of the same". Connect fast and cheap computers in a global network and information overload is the logical conclusion.

      The problem is that we are so used to improvements in technology, that we don't think about them like people 50 years ago. While they were just getting used to nuclear weapons, TVs and electric kitchen appliances, the government started putting people into space! At the same time the society changed dramatically. This forced people to not only be aware of what was around them, but they also needed to think about where the world was going.

    14. Re:But...why? by danila · · Score: 1

      May be people are scared of the real future. They were comfortable with the old ideas like flying cars and mechanical slaves (more of the same, but shinier), but today (or today's tomorrow) is a whole different story. Like they say in ideologically wrong genre. "The world is changing. I feel it in the water. I feel it in the Earth. I smell it in the air." :) What was fun to dream about 30 years ago is scary now that the change is just behind the corner. Capitalism is going to be abandoned soon. Real world abandoned for virtual reality. Material posessions and emotions abandoned for pursuit for knowlede. Humanness abandoned for rationality of merged human-AI mind. Death for immortality.

      People generally don't like change. Especially the change happening to them. Since they usually can do nothing at all to stop it, they choose to ignore it.

      My young sister is even a bit uncomfortable with the idea of large cheap high-quality displays being widely available in 10 years or so. It breaks her understanding of the world, where plasma displays are an indicators of someone's status. The changes may be wonderful, but they are scary because they are close. That might be the reason sci-fi is no longer popular.

      --
      Future Wiki -- If you don't think about the future, you cannot have one.
    15. Re:But...why? by miu · · Score: 1
      Both the original and this completely beg the basic question -- in much of the 20th century people had a very vivid picture of The Future, accurate or inaccurate. Today, that sense has completely disappeared. Why?

      Just saying over and over that it's so, as this response does and most of the comments here last time did don't explain WHY it's so.

      I disagree that people have lost their vivid picture of the future. The difference is that the picture has fragmented and there is no common vision for the future.

      The popular SF of each period always had a common set of assumptions: galactic empires, police states, hive minds, AI, human-machine interfaces, rampant crime, evil aliens, psionics, benevolent aliens, human immortality, and so on. The vision of the future (which finds its way into SF) has always depended on what is happening in the real world and at this point we have little agreement about what is happening in the world.

      The future presented in popular SF these days tends to be somewhat depressing - Vinge went from the "singularity" to the "age of failed dreams", Banks has always been more than slightly bitter, Williamson has a future in which humanity has been subjegated for thousands of years, even the wildly optimistic Brinn has lost the faith in a bright and shiny future.

      SF still offers vivid pictures of the future - but the image of the future as a better place has mostly disapeared. So some of the SF reading public has switched to fantasy, or fantasy masquerading as SF, or Clancey.

      --

      [Set Cain on fire and steal his lute.]
    16. Re:But...why? by himself · · Score: 1

      >
      > In Asimov and Heinlein's heyday, we didn't have appliances that were smarter than
      > their users. No VCRs blinking an endless noon; no DVD players that insult their owners.
      >
      Dude, I thought my VCR was flashing *midnight*, not noon.

    17. Re:But...why? by John+Miles · · Score: 1

      Yeah, mine too, but 'endless noon' sounded so much more euphonic...

      --
      Dahlmann tightly grips the knife, which he may have no idea how to use, and steps out into the plain.
  11. Thieves & King Website by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    So. . .

    Spider Robinson is depressed about the state of Science Fiction.

    He cites dropping sales and no new authors replacing the old, as well as a mass defection of readers to 'Tolkienesque' fantasy.

    You can read his article/rant here.

    I can understand where he's coming from. Heck, I've heard his lament on the lips of numerous other Sci-Fi writers. To be part of a fading industry isn't exactly inspiring, seeing fellow creators slip from view, watching the dizzying excitement of a once lunatic market place die down to something which actually makes sense. . . (Well, I don't know if the paperback book market could ever really be described as 'lunatic' in quite the same way comics were for a while. . . Nobody I knew ever sealed away paperbacks in vinyl bags for posterity!) In any case, I do feel for Mr. Robinson.

    Moreover, though, it got me wondering. . .

    And, ohhh, but this is a can of worms like none other!

    I'll start off small. First of all, I should explain that I have always felt Science Fiction, from the day it first began to materialize, has had an expiry date stamped across its forehead. I'm not just reiterating the tried and true, "Sci-Fi will be pointless when when there really are people walking around in space suits and zipping back and forth between the stars."

    No, no. It's much simpler than that.

    See, I think stories have only two basic purposes and that everything else is just turkey trimming. Ahem. . .

    "I believe that stories exist for no other reason than to explore and share ideas."

    It works like this; when people become curious about a subject, there is a desire to examine and to consider that subject. When desire grows enough, somebody will inevitably sit down at a keyboard and hammer out a book about it. Ideas flow, you see, whether we want them to or not, and they must be contained! Recorded. Sifted through. Shared. --And if the subject is fascinating enough, why then a lot of somebodies will hammer out a whole lot of books!

    Look at teen romance novels for instance; because there are always young women clamoring to know everything they can about love and relationships, there is a more or less permanent market for 150 page paperback novels with sappy covers about dating and first love and all that. --When young women grow up, then we see the far more prolific 'grown up' romance novels for slightly different reasons, but still driven by the desire to spin around and absorb certain sets of ideas. So long as there are heroines, (and hormones), there will be romance novels.

    Not so with Science Fiction. No hormones there. (Well, actually, there were quite a lot, but that wasn't Science Fiction's reason for being.) No. Science Fiction came into existence because the millions of minds living through the first two thirds of the twentieth century were besieged with the growing awareness that technology and industry could, and very likely would achieve terrifying and spectacular wonders! --The kinds of wonders which would change the very shape of humanity itself into something new!

    But crikey, if people had only the dimmest clue of what that something would be. . .

    Indeed, people had only the most vague notions, but with Hydroelectric dams being built, telescopes probing ever more deeply into space, rockets being erected, new materials being developed, and all manner of new technological powers being discovered. . , people quickly began to realize that whatever the change was going to be, it was going to be Big with a capital 'B' --and that they'd better start thinking about it right smart quick!

    But no fear; the trusty human mind has ways to deal with this kind of scenario. Why, the human mind when faced with sudden shocking possibilities, will Think About Them A Lot, thank you very much. --The mind will swim in new ideas and jump around with great excitement, examining the problem from every angle as though it wer

  12. Re:"Enterprise": Answer to Robinson's Question by aardvarkjoe · · Score: 1

    Spider Robinson's article was about science fiction, not specifically about books or writing (although that was the point he focused on.) TV and movies are completely relevant; he was addressing science fiction in all its forms.

    I will admit, though, that Enterprise isn't really science fiction. Some of the other Star Trek series/movies were, but Enterprise is a completely lost cause.

    --

    How can we continue to believe in a just universe and freedom to eat crackers if we have no ale?
  13. He mistakes science fiction by ishmaelflood · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Nice response, and far more sensible than the whine that sparked it off.

    However, he is describing hard science fiction, ie technology extrapolation and the use and abuse of physical laws, SF is much bigger than that. There are also all the other parts of the science fiction field- for instance PKD is still completely out there. A Scanner Darkly is a technology proof novel.

    I like his point that we are living in the future. I've always extended it to "We are living in the future and it is slightly crap". My cell phone is often out of range. My whizzy looking car has a 30 year old chassis. Passenger aircraft got bigger, and less comfortable, not faster. 'We' fly to the moon. But not often. (Damn these anti-curmudgeon pills are wearing off).

  14. I like spiders stuff but by Crashmarik · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I have never considered him a science fiction writer. His work is much more on the order of screwball comedies. He usually starts off with with some urban legend type material a bunch of crazy characters, and he finishes up with see how good things are when we get along ? In the callahans stuff he generally winds up with in the future people will be alot nicer and regularly violate the laws of physics because of the fact.

    Its not science fiction, its very good, I enjoy it a heck of alot and have bought just about everything he has written.

    His rant about science fiction dieing was annoying the first time it had been done back in the 60's when hard scince fiction writers griped about the new wave kids.

    Theres alot of great science fiction being written today more than I have ever seen before It just doesn't look like what it did 50 years ago. Theres a reaon The future isn't what it used to be. Look at the recent works out there by Greg bear, Greg egan,Ian macleod, Rosemary Kirsten, Vernor Vinge, Charles Stross, Dan Simmons, The list goes on. Its very high quality stuff and shows a greater understanding of underlying science than 90% of the golden age authors could manage.

    What Mr. Spinrad misses is that there are things that just won't fly in the genre anymore. It's no longer possible to take a crap story toss in a few bug eyed aliens a spaceship and a girl in a brass bikini and expect people to read the story. Its also not enough to do a techno gimmick story anymore. As much as I loved George O Smiths stories, they don't read well anymore.

    Elves and mythical pasts don't compete with science fiction. Theres always going to be a future and theres always going to be people speculating about it. How well the genre does will depend how well the authors bring the future to life.

    1. Re:I like spiders stuff but by junkgoof · · Score: 2

      Exactly. There are some great older authors (simak, Wyndham, Wells etc.) and lots of nostalgically overrated crap. Movies like "Pulp Fiction" get by just making fun of similar junk, the parodies work, the serious attempts end up like the original "Little Shop of Horrors."

      A number of more recent authors, such as Gibson, Sterling, Stephenson, are as good as any of their predecessors, and in part because they take writing more seriously than science fiction ("Asimov has interesting ideas, but his writing! I wouldn't let him write junk mail!" --Douglas Adams). Quite a number of sci-fi authors, including some who still sell well (and not just the ones who write "Star Wars" adaptaions) just cannot write good English. Heinlein, Asimov, Anthony (OK, he writes kid stuff now, but he used to write "seriously", he just did it awkwardly). Not to say these authors did not produce good stories, they just did it without grace and poetry (and don't look for any in my posts, I'm a critic, not an artist).

      Come to think of it there are even sci-fi authors (or were recently) who wrote well enough they could make junk mail readable. People like Douglas Adams, Donaldson (who works hard at making the subject material unpleasant), Gibson (who also has great ideas)... Compare what recent authors put out to the crap Heinlein wrote for most of his career (OK, I haven't read much of his older stuff, but there is a good reason for that), and see what you prefer.

      90% of sci-fi has always been crap, just like 90% of most things (especially entertainment things) is crap. I think the top 10% today is as good as the top 10% 30 years ago. Nostalgia is just another way of revising history.

      --
      You got me into this! You were the ideologue! I'm only a poor assassin! - Twenty evocations, Bruce Sterling
    2. Re:I like spiders stuff but by thynk · · Score: 1

      Its not science fiction, its very good, I enjoy it a heck of alot and have bought just about everything he has written.

      A few things worry me about Spider's books, or his main characters more specific. I've yet to read one of his books where the main character wasn't either a musician, dope fiend, hippy or serious mac user (or all of the above). He's even got Tesla using what sounds like an IMac in Lady Slings the Booze.

      I think he concentrates more on the emotions, feelings and people in his books than the tech. Even in DeathKiller (reprint of MindKiller and Time Pressure) that I just finished yesterday - there wasn't a LOT of science in it. Found the timing of this posting a little odd, finish a reprint book late one night and the next evening the author complains there isn't any new stuff coming out. Hmmm...

      Oh well, I keep looking for books of his I don't have, just like Asmov, Heinlin and anything in the Bolo series.

      --

      Good judgment comes from experience, and a lot of that comes from bad judgment.
    3. Re:I like spiders stuff but by Flamerule · · Score: 2, Informative
      Compare what recent authors put out to the crap Heinlein wrote for most of his career (OK, I haven't read much of his older stuff, but there is a good reason for that), and see what you prefer.
      As the great quote from Wolfgang Pauli goes, "I think what you said is not even wrong."

      Your statement is turned around 100% from reality. You call Heinlein's output for "most of his career" "crap", and then stunningly declare "I haven't read much of his older stuff, but there is a good reason for that". No, there isn't. Ask 99% of SF fans (and by that, I mean all but 5 guys), and they will tell you that it is Heinlein's later output that is crap. His early stuff is the foundation of science fiction, and it is fantastic. For our purposes, we can call 1973's Time Enough for Love the dividing line. Before that we have The Moon is a Harsh Mistress, Stranger in a Strange Land, and Starship Troopers, among many other notables.

      Those 3 novels are classic, classic, CLASSIC. The opposite of crap. And what else do we have? How about Double Star, and a wealth of excellent juveniles (Space Cadet, Red Planet, Starman Jones, Tunnel in the Sky, Time for the Stars). A large library of excellent stories.

      I think we can safely poll science fiction readers, and determine that no, the writing of recent authors has not magically become literary nirvana, while that of the first Grand Master is suddenly tripe.

      Now, if you want to discuss writing quality, you have a point about the increasingly meritorious literature that the genre is seeing, as opposed to what was often a lack of "grace and poetry" in the old masters. However, calling it "crap" is 100% completely and totally unacceptable.

      Since you do seem to have a knowledge of SF, as you mention Simak, Wells, Gibson, Sterling, Stephenson and others, you obviously are well-versed in the genre. But please don't mistake your personal preference for absolute truth.

    4. Re:I like spiders stuff but by ericman31 · · Score: 1

      And let's not forget some of the other Grand Masters from the golden age. Asimov's Foundation and Robot stories are absolutely fantastic work. "Nightfall" is probably the best short SF story ever, although "Lifeline" ranks a close second (my personal opinions, feel free to disagree). Ben Bova wrote some good stuff too. And "Doc" Smith created the space opera. When you just want some whiz-bang escapism his books are great way to do it. You might not like his literary style, but "Doc" Smith's grammar was perfect, except when his characters needed to speak, and his stories flowed. They are fun to read too. Which is more than I can say for a lot of the pretentious crap that passes itself off as SF these days. Much of it is turgid, stilted and boring. The characters don't sound like real people.

      Give me a classic by Heinlein, Asimov, Bova, Pournell or Dickson any day over most of the wannabe stuff we see today. Without their work SF wouldn't be the same. I'd rather be captivated by imagination than bored to tears by fancy writing, thanks very much.

      --
      In my universe I'm perfectly normal, it's not my fault you don't live in my universe.
    5. Re:I like spiders stuff but by Paradise+Pete · · Score: 1
      Give me a classic by Heinlein, Asimov, Bova, Pournell or Dickson any day over most of the wannabe stuff we see today.

      Another guy from that era, Budrys, never quite got his due, I think.

    6. Re:I like spiders stuff but by Jherico · · Score: 1
      Your statement is turned around 100% from reality. You call Heinlein's output for "most of his career" "crap", and then stunningly declare "I haven't read much of his older stuff, but there is a good reason for that". No, there isn't. Ask 99% of SF fans (and by that, I mean all but 5 guys), and they will tell you that it is Heinlein's later output that is crap.

      Well I have read virtually all of Heinleins work, and I think a lot of it is crap. His science fiction elements were fine for the most part, as far as I'm concerned. Its more his politics that I cannot stand as I grow older and presumably (hopefully?) wiser.

      I do have to agree with the original poster though that when you put Heinlein next to say Alastair Reynolds, or Greg Egan, his science fiction elements pale considerably, all of it.

      --

      Jherico

      What can the average user can do to ensure his security? "Nothing, you're screwed"

    7. Re:I like spiders stuff but by Nefarious+Wheel · · Score: 1

      Truth is, Spider Robinson is a science and science fiction fan who writes literature.

      --
      Do not mock my vision of impractical footwear
    8. Re:I like spiders stuff but by junkgoof · · Score: 1

      Point well taken. I liked "Stranger in a Strange Land" and "Starship Troopers," I guess I chose badly when I picked up other stuff (some bad juveniles, some less polished recent books, did not find them memorable, don't remember which...).

      90% of everything is crap. Not Heinlein's stuff, maybe, but 90% of all science fiction is. 90% of art is crap. 90% of software is crap. 90% of music was crap, but the percentage has increased with RIAA power.

      I don't feel that all old sci fi was crap, or that all Heinlein was crap. I do think that with the growth in popularity of the genre more people, and more literate people, are writing sci fi, and the quality is improving.

      Nostalgia edits out the negative. Is there any earlier time in history that you would rather live? The '50s with racism, McCarthyism, and censorship (obvious censorship, that is)? Any earlier period without electricity and running water? A small number of rich people lived well (as is the case in any society) prior to the 20th century, but it was a very small number, and well is very relative. The quality of science fiction is similar. If you glorify good old stuff, forget bad old stuff, and ignore new stuff it may be in decline. If you look at all the old stuff and all the new stuff there may actually be positive progress.

      --
      You got me into this! You were the ideologue! I'm only a poor assassin! - Twenty evocations, Bruce Sterling
  15. Yawn by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Everything in the arts has been pronounced dead: theatre, the poem, the novel, the symphony, photography, paintings etc. You name it, at some point someone has worried about stagnation. And then embarrassed by their comments in retrospect. This is a non-story and a non-issue. In any case, it would be a mistake to uncritically equate the health of an artistic form with sales.

    BSD on the other hand is a actually dead of course... a hundred thousand troll posts can't be wrong!

  16. Re:"Enterprise": Answer to Robinson's Question by Planesdragon · · Score: 1

    I will admit, though, that Enterprise isn't really science fiction. Some of the other Star Trek series/movies were, but Enterprise is a completely lost cause.

    I wouldn't say that. At the least, it's a neruotic attempt to explore the possible ramifications of time travel.

  17. Re:Response to THREATS to my SELF by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you post to slashdot again i'm going to send them to deal with you. If you post again I'll know and you will have to face the consequences.

  18. Wolf is right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting
    The future is here and most science fiction dates badly. If I recall correctly, Larry Niven's first science fiction story was obsolete just before publication because of new data abour Mercury.

    But I think Wolf and Robinson ignore the the new paradigm of computers and virtual environments. Science fiction was the perfect literature for the burgeoning of science and technology in peoples' lives. However, with cyberspace, I think that a better model, a better metaphor, is magic. Think about what's the most popular virtual community: Everquest. All of the progress of the scientific worldview to make not just computers, but the Internet, and the best interaction is a magical world. It fits.

    1. Re:Wolf is right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OMG Everquest is the best interaction?? Have you tried real life?? It got a very favorable review on gamespot. 9.6 is right up there!

    2. Re:Wolf is right by jejones · · Score: 1

      I'm not familiar enough with Niven's work to say, but there is a chance that you're thinking of Asimov's "The Dying Night," in the Earth is Room Enough anthology.

  19. 5...4...3...2... by dswensen · · Score: 4, Funny

    Any day now Bruce Sterling should be along to write a snarky editorial on how he predicted all this stuff years ago, and no one listened to his infinite wisdom...

  20. Re:Response to THREATS to my SELF by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you SERIOUSLY think that THEY are any match for HIM, then feel free to BRING THEM ON.

    Don't remember what happeened LAST TIME do you?

  21. The difference being by RLiegh · · Score: 1, Offtopic

    In roman times, not even half of the world had been explored, and they had conquered that. In our times, the entire world has been mapped out and america has conquered it, economically if not physically (physically, in the cases of afghanistan, iraq and syria).

    1. Re:The difference being by RestiffBard · · Score: 2, Insightful

      what I'm saying is that Rome's conquest was, too them, complete, and lasted centuries longer then we've been around. When Democratic-Republic/Capitalism has been around longer then the Roman Empire or the Persian Empire or any other empire that pretty much thought they had this whole conquest thing sewn up then I'll get cocky. In the meantime some economist/poli-sci student is out there inventing the new world and preparing for the revolution.

      --
      - /* dead coders leave no comments */
    2. Re:The difference being by yuri+benjamin · · Score: 1

      In roman times, not even half of the world had been explored...

      ... by europeans.

      There were Aboriginees in Australia, Native Americans in America and various other non-european indigenous people scattered across the globe.

      To say "not even half of the world had been explored" is very euro-centric.

      --
      You make the mistake of thinking you can educate the fundamental stupidity out of people. You can't.
    3. Re:The difference being by fuzzix · · Score: 1

      Indeed. Probably believes Columbus discovered America.

    4. Re:The difference being by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The difference between "half of the word" and the entire world is simply the size of it. In this case it's irrelevant, the point being there was no more enemy nor competitor.

      But did the US really conquered the entire world? If I'm not mistaken, Bush is trying to get help from other countries to "rebuild" Iraq... Is that how a conqueror act? Do you remember that Bush couldn't persuade Canada and Mexico to vote in favor of the war? It was not about sending troops it was about a simple vote. Do you remember what Turkey did? Seems to me the US is not as strong as you think... and now that the USSR is not a danger anymore there's a lot of country who are beginning to give the finger to the USA. And what can the USA do about it? I'm sure France is really hurt by those freedom fries...

      BTW, since when did the US conquered syria?

    5. Re:The difference being by CrowScape · · Score: 1

      I don't think he meant "conquered" in quite that way. When the concept of MAD was still frighteningly real and only a political mis-step away, SciFi writers always had a means where the status quo could be swepped asside and their idealistic view become reality. References to WWIII abounded in SciFi, normally taking the role as the bop on the head humanity needed in order to start seeing it from the author's point of view, and thus they could write about their future. Now, we look around and we feel stuck, so what's the point in writing about the future if we can only see more of the same coming down the pipe?

      Oh, the US did conquer Syria and it's now a happy democracy overflowing with good will twoards the US. It's just that the liberal media refuses to report it ;D

      --
      common sense: noun
      What those who are ignorant of the subject matter think; usually wrong.
    6. Re:The difference being by yuri+benjamin · · Score: 1

      Rome's conquest was, too them, complete

      There were tribes/nations known to the romans whom they did not conquer.

      --
      You make the mistake of thinking you can educate the fundamental stupidity out of people. You can't.
  22. The state of SciFi today is just fine by ekuns · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The high price of paperbacks may, as much as anything else, discourage purchases. I still buy books faster than I can read them and I continue to discover new authors who I consider to be breaking new ground.

    The character of Good SciFi changes with time, and some people do not like that. But life isn't static. I see this argument as akin to those who think that music stopped being good in the 60s (or 70s or 80s or pick your favorite era). How can anyone reasonably expect any genre to remain static and still remain interesting? Perhaps Spider is holding on to older times and doesn't want to live in the actual future! :)

    OK, I probably read more fantasy than I used to, as a percentage. Perhaps some of the creative energy has moved in that direction. (Jim Butcher for example) But for recent SciFi how about Lyda Morehouse, Greg Egan, James Hogan (still publishing interesting stuff), Urulsa K LeGuin (anyone read The Telling?) and John Barnes.

    There is a lot of good stuff out there. There is also a lot of drek. That's just life. Maybe the people who complain that SciFi is no longer interesting are those who are just not finding the good stuff. It's out there.

    I find the genre of hard SciFi continues to improve with time.

    For those who aren't holding onto older times and those who are willing to look through the stacks to find the good stuff, maybe some of those left who complain just don't like the direction and the ideas being investigated in current SciFi. I continue to be amazed at the interesting and new directions that SciFi authors take stories.

    1. Re:The state of SciFi today is just fine by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      Totally off-topic, but what is James Hogan smoking these days? I read "The Anguished Dawn," his most recent(?) book, and I'm at a loss to understand what happened. Isn't this the same guy who wrote "Code of the Lifemaker"? The opening chapter was probably the best depiction of evolution I'll probably ever read.

      But now he seems to have leapt wholeheartedly into "Intelligent Design" arguments, bogus mathematical arguments against evolution, and even seems to take Immanuel Velikovsky seriously. Can anyone explain just what happened?

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    2. Re:The state of SciFi today is just fine by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      The high price of paperbacks may, as much as anything else, discourage purchases.

      Used to be that paperbacks were less than the minimum wage. Now they're 10%-30% higher. Is the minimum wage not keeping up or are the price of paperbacks outpacing inflation? And where can one find a good inflation-ometer, where one can plug in the current price of goods and see them reflected back through time?

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    3. Re:The state of SciFi today is just fine by Ella+the+Cat · · Score: 1

      I'm interested that someone else has noticed his drift away from "geeks can change the world for the better despite being put down by the system" forte. Whichever Hogan book had the Velikovsky stuff in has the rare honour of being a book I couldn't finish reading.

      Maybe it's a more general trend, I like early Niven, early Heinlein, but their later stuff that tends to preach I don't like.

  23. Fukuyama pro & con by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ahh, but as Fukuyama notes, democracy+capitalism presents a self-correcting system able to incoroporate valid critiques of itself, the first and only such system that human social communities have discovered.

    Of course, Fukuyama's latest book admits that the Hegelian notion of self embedded in this argument is invalid in the face of biotechnology, particularly biotechnology's promise to allow us to tamper with the human genome and, in doing so, to change the 'essential' human nature that drives the whole Hegelian historical enterprise.

  24. Insert apocryphal PTO Director quote here... by DCheesi · · Score: 1

    I think he has a point, insofar as people believe this to be the case. But that doesn't make it so. It's entirely possible that some grand upheaval could yet undermine global corporate hegemony. I'll grant you that the extreme capitalist dystopia has been done to death in scifi these days, but that just means that scifi writers need to broaden their own horizons a bit.

    1. Re:Insert apocryphal PTO Director quote here... by dillon_rinker · · Score: 1

      Empires are conquered from without. Every empire that has ever fallen has done so because of an external invader. Corporatism HAS no external invaders. Chew on that.

    2. Re:Insert apocryphal PTO Director quote here... by ericman31 · · Score: 1

      It's entirely possible that some grand upheaval could yet undermine global corporate hegemony.

      It's only a matter of time until the current order changes. There is something out there waiting to change it that we can't even see. If you look back through history, every time a civilization reached a point of diminishing returns something came along to overthrow it and bring about new opportunities for change, competition and growth. Look at the Greek culture, Rome, the various Chinese dynasties, the Medieval Europeans, the Victorian World, the USSR. When each of them reached the point where they no longer served the human drive for growth, change and competition the factors allowing the creation of a stable environment were removed.

      Today's environment is ripe for change. My vote is for cheap space exploitation to arrive, totally changing the dynamic. I don't think it's that far off, the question who will make it happen. Sadly (sad from my perspective, I'm an American) I don't think it will be the U.S. that makes it happen.

      --
      In my universe I'm perfectly normal, it's not my fault you don't live in my universe.
  25. Re:But...why? Other references by HiThere · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Vernor Vinge: The Technological Singularity.

    Another work is: The Spike. (I forget the author.)

    Vernor Vinge also uses the basic concepts in some of his fiction. I particularlly like Across Realtime

    --

    I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
  26. There's still some decent science fiction... by emtilt · · Score: 2, Informative

    it's just hard to find. I suggest reading The Metamorphosis of Prime Intellect, but you'll have to read it online.

    1. Re:There's still some decent science fiction... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I hate that story.

  27. Answering myself by ishmaelflood · · Score: 1

    Although, I don't really agree that in order to comment on a field you have to be a practitioner in it. I feel qualified to comment on SF, I've never written any. I just don't expect people to take my comments very seriously.

  28. Another genre will emerge, by cubyrop · · Score: 1

    one that will supplant science fiction in content, but not in perspective.

    Having just returned from an utterly serious debate on whether or not humanity will be extinct within 100 years, I'm convinced that even though we may have stepped over a significant boundary as far as technology is concerned, other questions about the future will emerge.

    Whereas before, the question was "what type of robots will there be", the new question will be "now what?" We have a weird, weird future ahead of us (well, those of us who aren't dying from AIDS), and imaginations will soar again, just not about stupid goddamn robots anymore.

    --
    If I could make this sig kill you, I would.
    1. Re:Another genre will emerge, by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      "Kiss my shiny, metal ass!"

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
  29. The Shape of Things to Come by antsnax · · Score: 1

    It is disheartening to think that SciFi is a dying genre, because the "Future" is here. Science fiction can serve to both challenge our minds and inspire our imaginations. Case in point: Joseph F. Engelberger, founder of Unimation, Inc., and author of Robotics in Practice: Management and Application of Industrial Robots, credits the robot stories of Isaac Asimov in creating his interest in robots. It was Asimov himself who first used the term "robotics" in 1942. I agree that we have not experienced any revolutionary technology advances in the last few decades, but it would be arrogant to think the future is Now.

  30. Wait, Most of Heinlein's Career? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Heinlein started writing just before the 1940's, "Time Enough for Love" was published in the early '70's. He was dead by 1988 or so, and wasn't really very prolific in his last 20 years, which is when all the stuff that is normally written off as crap was published. (I would argue that the later stuff was actually quite good, you just had to have read the older stuff to understand its context) The bulk of his writing was between 1940-1965, and so much of that, especially the short stories, was pure gold.

    So what of his did you read? Try the short story collections, "The Menace from Earth," "The Unpleasant Profession of Jonathon Hog," etc. Any of the future history short stories are great. The juveniles, 1945 through 1960 or so are also wonderful if you can appreciate them. Many of them are fun adventure stories, written to be serialized in Boy's Life, they're entertaining, and the science, for the time, is pretty damn good. If you only like Gibson-esque books, then its not going to appeal to you, but if you can appreciate good old fashioned futurism, then they're a blast.

    Don't dismiss him on the basis of the half dozen books from the very end of his career, most written while he was actively in the process of dying of TB, and he never got to edit properly.

    1. Re:Wait, Most of Heinlein's Career? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dude, don't sweat it. This is the essential problem with Slashdot - some dork who can barely read or write his own native language will, when the subject of sci-fi comes up, tell you how horrible a writer Heinlein was as if it were an established fact and he were the person who established it. Never mind that he hasn't (by his own admission) read the very material he's discussing, and probably has never been laid.

      These are people who think an MCSE or the ability to install Linux qualifies them to make value judgments on Heinlein's :
      1) views on politics
      2) views on gender equity and sexual issues
      3) ability to write at all
      4) worth as sci-fi author
      5) relevance to today's authors

      I guess they think that if it doesn't have superstrings or mention Finux, it's not sci-fi and it's poorly written.

      Just ignore them, like you do the GNAA idiots and the 'BSD is dead' morons.

  31. We're in the future? by melvinElvin · · Score: 1

    What a daft comment to make. His notion that we are somehow at the end of the road in terms of sciene is complete bollocks. Yes, 20 years ago we were dreaming about going to the moon, jumpsuits, and zipping around from planet to planet. In some ways yes we can do that now. So what happens now? well we start dreaming about the next thing. We start dreaming about parallel universes or blackholes or whatever. To suggest we are somehow in the future, is as stupid as saying that tommorow is today. There will always be more technological advancements, always new things to discover and therefore always new things for sci-fi to write about. Sci-fi is about the sciene of the future, not about one particular milestone of sciene in the future.

  32. Only one of those books... by fuzzix · · Score: 0, Redundant

    Only one of those books/concepts mentioned is actually conceivable given the current global context.
    Welcome to Oceania, Winston!

  33. How to find the good stuff? by TMLink · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I think you're right, but it does bring up the question "How do you find the good stuff?" With so much being published these days, it takes more effort to weed through it to find what's interesting to you.

    Same with music. The increase in the number of bands out there seriously trying to make it, compounded by less diversity on the radio, makes it harder to find new bands that are doing stuff that you're interested in. I used to be able to use what was on the radio to not only directly find new bands, but to also jump off into new directions to find bands that might not be on the radio. Of course that kind of exploration can still be done today, it just takes more time to do so. Time that just isn't there (for me at least). More content out there to weed through, less time to do so.

    So yeah, I state the problem and then don't offer up a solution. But what is the solution? Is it just finding several critics that seem to enjoy the same content that you do? Or is there another solution that just hasn't come to fruition yet?

    --
    Every time a guy gets a threesome, somewhere in heaven an angel gets his wings. --Cary Tennis
  34. How politcally correct of you by RLiegh · · Score: 2, Interesting

    given your predeliction for making statements of a PC nature, I imagine you probably buy into the "benevolent savage" myth. That being the case, or even if it isn't, I think that you have to agree that the aboriginees and the indians were not creating vast empires that encompassed their world.

    >>In roman times, not even half of the world had been explored...

    > ... by europeans.

    By anyone. Did the aboriginees know about egypt, or the chinese know about madagascar?

    1. Re:How politcally correct of you by yuri+benjamin · · Score: 1

      By anyone. Did the aboriginees know about egypt,

      No, but they knew about Australia. Most of the world was explored, but not all by one tribe or nation.

      or the chinese know about madagascar?
      Probably not, but they had universities when the anglo-saxons were still living in grass huts.

      I'm not trying to be PC. I just don't like too narrow perspectives of history.

      --
      You make the mistake of thinking you can educate the fundamental stupidity out of people. You can't.
    2. Re:How politcally correct of you by yuri+benjamin · · Score: 0, Redundant

      I imagine you probably buy into the "benevolent savage" myth

      Quite the opposite. I believe all of us are descended from savages who have been most malevolent at some stage or another.
      Sometimes I'm not even sure we've really risen above it.

      --
      You make the mistake of thinking you can educate the fundamental stupidity out of people. You can't.
    3. Re:How politcally correct of you by Brandybuck · · Score: 1

      Probably not, but they had universities when the anglo-saxons were still living in grass huts.

      Funny thing about Chinese civilization. The quickly reached their peak, then stayed there ossified for the next 1500 years.

      --
      Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
    4. Re:How politcally correct of you by yuri+benjamin · · Score: 1

      Funny thing about Chinese civilization. The quickly reached their peak, then stayed there ossified for the next 1500 years.

      I wasn't going to go there, but you're right. Some would blame communism, but the ossification (is that a word?) started long before that. I'll let others post their theories on this.

      --
      You make the mistake of thinking you can educate the fundamental stupidity out of people. You can't.
    5. Re:How politcally correct of you by Flamerule · · Score: 3, Informative
      Probably not, but they had universities when the anglo-saxons were still living in grass huts.
      Funny thing about Chinese civilization. The quickly reached their peak, then stayed there ossified for the next 1500 years.
      Oh please, Brandybuck.

      Your single number is fucked up. "1500 years"? 1500 years ago is 500 CE. I hate to tell you this, but the dynasty of the Later Han collapsed in 220 CE. The Sui didn't reunite China until 589 CE, and China didn't really get going again until the Tang attained full control in 626 CE. Now, the universities grandparent was referring to were the imperial universities of the Han, already with 3,000 students in 8 BCE. We should consider that a peak -- and it doesn't correspond to your schedule.

      So your date isn't a peak at all, but a trough in one of the many interregnums between Chinese dynasties.

      You see, China's history is largely a story of the cyclic rise and fall of dynasties, one after the other. There has never been a time when Chinese civilization was allowed to ossify for such a long time as you posit -- dynasties collapsed much faster than that. And as far as "peak"s are concerned, China has had many peaks. The Han, the Tang, the Song, the Ming...

      If you want objective evidence, instead of subjective cultural achievements, let me point you to Admiral Zheng He's 15th-century maritime voyages -- which the following article is referring to when it says "during the Song dynasty, China developed the world's largest and most technologically sophisticated merchant marine and navy". That article should be edifying as to why, despite its invention of gunpowder, printing, and the compass, China never conquered the world.

      Well, this comment hasn't been flawless, but no, yuri benjamin, Brandybuck isn't right. Hope you enjoyed my theory, though.

    6. Re:How politcally correct of you by yuri+benjamin · · Score: 1

      Well, this comment hasn't been flawless, but no, yuri benjamin, Brandybuck isn't right. Hope you enjoyed my theory, though.

      I enjoyed your theory enough to add you to my friends list.
      You've researched this more than I have, my only document on ancient chinese culture being a translation of the famous myth Monkey, which was also made into a very entertaining TV series about 15 years ago.

      --
      You make the mistake of thinking you can educate the fundamental stupidity out of people. You can't.
    7. Re:How politcally correct of you by Ella+the+Cat · · Score: 1

      I blame communism for the past 1500 years of Chinese ossification, make no bones about it.

    8. Re:How politcally correct of you by Jonathan · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Probably not, but they had universities when the anglo-saxons were still living in grass huts.

      Only for a very, very, very loose definition of "universities". A bunch of people studying together doesn't quite cut it. It's like claiming the ancient Chinese or Egyptians had "science", when they didn't even understand the difference between induction and deduction -- they just some technological tricks that they learned more or less by trial and error, and even those were mixed with a lot of mystic nonsense. There's no question that today China has some first class universities like Beijing University where they do first-class science, but both those concepts came from the West.

    9. Re:How politcally correct of you by jefflinwood · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Have you ever heard of the Aztec, Maya, or Incan empires?

      I don't know who or what was contemporary with the Roman empire at that point in time, but there certainly were organized societies even in your world of "savages"

  35. S-F Naysayers Projecting Own False Gloom & Doo by reallocate · · Score: 1

    If -- and it's a very big and doubtful if -- science fiction is in trouble, it is due to a dearth of good writers and good writing, not to any "end of history", "the future is now" nonsense.

    It is arrogantly stupid for anyone in the year 2003 to imagine that we've plumbed the depths of science and technology Not that that has anything at all to do with good writing, but some folks seem to think that because we can do a few of the things that H.G. Wells and Jules Verne wrote about a century ago, we've reached the end of our tether.

    Even judging by the bogus rockets and robots yardstick, we've only managed to get to the next nearest stellar body -- the Moon, and our robots are lucky to be able to vacuum the floor. Getting to the Moon is rather like the first sailors paddling 100 yards out into the surf and coasting back in. And we're a very long way from needing Asimov's laws.

    Science fiction isn't dead, but some readers' hopes and imaginations seem to be.

    --
    -- Slashdot: When Public Access TV Says "No"
  36. so they've lost their imagination? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    is that what all this bitching is about?

  37. no future by howajo · · Score: 1

    How about this. No one is interested in Sci-Fi, because Sci-Fi is about people facing the future, and in the real future, a person is not important (except maybe to themselves). We are slowely but surely becoming less independant creatures and more cells of the colony. We are merging into a super-organism that really doesn't care much about us... maybe it will read sci-fi.

    1. Re:no future by Excen · · Score: 1

      Ok. No more posts from you while you are high.

      --
      "No beer until you finish your tequila!" -Leela's Dad
    2. Re:no future by howajo · · Score: 1

      OK, well, how about this. People are becoming less able to do a variety of things. The most successful people in our society are extremely specialized. Almost like cells one might say. Say hypethetically you are an early pioneer in the American West. In order to survive, it is necessary for you to be able to a wide variety of things. Hunt, Fish, Build a Cabin, Farm, Repair Equipment, Mend Clothes, Use a Rifle, Fight Fires, I can go on and on... A person who couldn't do many things had a reduced chance of being succesful from a natural selection standpoint. Now, Take an IS specialist. He works computers and networks all day. It's his role. His needs are met by other specialist. He does not grow his own food, he does not make his own clothes, he does not build his house. He is unable to reproduce without the help of a huge team of Specialist that help his wife deliver the baby. If you look at the division of cells in the human body, you will find that all are specialized for specific task, and none are able to supply all of their own needs. They are dependent on other specialized cells to survive. Now look at our society. We have specialist to supply our food, handle our waste products, manage reproduction. We have a "circulatory system" composed of roads and railways and shipping to distribute resources to all the "Cells". We have all sorts of means of electrical and radio communication to carry critical information where it needs to go (like a nervous system). We have law enforcement to handle threats (like an immunse system). I can go on and on, the analogy never breaks down. It is simply a matter of scale. Just because you are not "glued" to the person next to you does not mean you are not a cell. I think instead of accusing me of being high, you should examine the possibility that you just didn't get it.

  38. Well then by Bullet-Dodger · · Score: 1

    Well, you heard it folks. This 'future' thing we've been striving for is here. Now there, you naughty scientists, pack all that up. You don't need to think about theses things anymore; If people really wanted to live on moon colonies, don't you think they would be by now? I'm sorry, but if you really wanted flying cars you should have spoken up before. We've achieved the future. It's too late to go changing things now.

    1. Re:Well then by antsnax · · Score: 1

      My entomology professor and mentor once said that science will be dead the day we believe that everything has been discovered. Question what you read in textbooks, and don't be afraid to disagree with the "experts" with higher degrees, he told us. His teachings inspired many of us to do just that. To name a few accomplishments of his students - discovery of new species of mayflies, restoration of subalpine habitat at Mt. Rainier, the expansion of Ecology Action, the only nonprofit recycling organization in Austin, TX. "It's like standing on the shoulders of giants, and slashing their Achilles heels". Dr. Riley Nelson

  39. I still think it's funny... by Cody+Hatch · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ...for Spider Robinson to be saying this. I don't really consider him a sci-fi author, and I don't much care for his books. Indeed, to the extent that there is a decline in sci-fi, I've always thought of him as a prime exhibit. His stories are so...soft. Fluffy. Fantastic (in the very litteral sense).

    That being said, I don;t think there's really any crunch coming for sci-fi. What Spider is saying is that the type of sci-fi he likes (and that he writes) is disapearring. This is true! But sci-fi is the reflection of tomorrow on today, and is constantly changing. In times past, post-apocalytpic wastelands, or psi powers, or laser printers, or time machines, or Martians, or portable phones almost as small as your fist were fantasies that appealled. Sometimes the world moved on, sometimes we learnt they weren't plausible, sometimes they happened - but in any case, they're now no longer suitable for sci-fi.

    There's plenty of great sci-fi being written today (Baen Books publishes several good authours (and should in any case be supported for pioneering a content distribution model that doesn't rely on DRM. They give away some titles on their website, sell others cheaply, and include CDs with some hardbacks with dozens more.)

    But it's not the same kind of sci-fi as was being written 20 or 30 years ago (and it would be pretty worrying if it was). For some, that puts it beyond the pale - it isn't "real" sci-fi. It's space opera, or military sci-fi, or too soft, or too hard, or whatever. For these people, intent on living in the past, I suppose the appeal of Fantasy isn't too surprising. But that's not the same thing as saying sci-fi is declining. Sci-fi is where it's always been - slightly on the edge, asking question some people would rather ignore.

    1. Re:I still think it's funny... by anagama · · Score: 1

      WOW! Check out Eric Flint's visionary statements re posting string free digital books. Someone should print that out and send it the RIAA.

      Excerpt: There was a school of thought, which seemed to be picking up steam, that the way to handle the problem was with handcuffs and brass knucks. Enforcement! Regulation! New regulations! Tighter regulations! All out for the campaign against piracy! No quarter! Build more prisons! Harsher sentences! ... I, ah, disagreed. Rather vociferously and belligerently, in fact. And I can be a vociferous and belligerent fellow. My own opinion, summarized briefly, is as follows:

      --
      What changed under Obama? Nothing Good
  40. It's all about Futureshock by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

    People have had the future crammed down their throats for the last 50 odd years and can't handle the present, much less think about the future. I see this all the time (IT at small college) with faculty, staff, and, yes, students, not being able to use all the cool gadgets they think they need. Hell, there's still the blinking VCR thing happening.

    Very few people can hold or get a handle on the change in the world and project forward. To be able to do this and write and interesting book, with well developed characters is really rare.

    --
    I drank what? -- Socrates
  41. Why he is wrong... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    There are some interesting ideas to be had in the article, but his overall premise--that we've lost interest in exploring the future because we pretty well understand where we're going--seems wrong. I've read too many well-meaning letters to the editor explaining how a clone would be born without a soul, too many half-cocked attempts to disprove "evilution", too many faked-moon-landing conspiracies, and too much scaremongering over relatively straightforward issues like genetically modified foods, to ever be convinced that our species "gets it".

    It's simple: for many people, the time when science fiction was most inspirational was back when it told us exactly what we wanted to hear. Infinite wealth, fast space cruisers, bold heroes who always got the bad guy and the girl (though not in the same way), and jet packs for the taking. But now sci-fi has gotten somewhat more realistic, and more grounded in the plausible. By doing so, it's lost at least a bit of that critical component of escapism.

    If we've lost interest in sci-fi, it's not because we're finally getting comfortable with where this locomotive is headed. It's because we never had the nerve to even look out the window.

  42. Sci Fi is in no danger by fermion · · Score: 1
    First, i don't know what kind of lame SciFi collectors this guy hangs out with, but I have, and know people who have, plenty of paperbacks encased in plastics sleeves.

    Second, there is vast difference between the death of SciFi and the decline of SciFi sales. The later is a distinct possibility, given that most people don't read real novels to begin with. The former is merely a matter of perception. It reminds me of the periodic statements by the educated ignorant that the end of science is nigh. Everything that can be discovered has been discovered. The reality is that though the technology is matured, the problems and possibilities still exists. We have moved from robots as, etymological, slaves to the questions of what makes a sentient being, or, as in the United Nation lingo, a person (see Can Animals and Machines be Persons, Leiber). We have the question of what does it mean to be human when we are no longer unique. Questions of culture, beyond the white human centric model pushed by the popular writers, are also up for grabs.

    We must also acknowledge that the past is gone. As Andrei Condrescu stated on a recent editorial on NPR concerning the death of Teller and Riefenstahl, the 20th century is over. From a Science fiction point of view, we get the same from the death of Rodenberry and Heinlein, and the metaphorical deaths of Star Trek and Star Wars. The classic age of Science Fiction is gone. Complaining that the present is not like the past has to be one of the silliest thing for a SciFi fan to do.

    And modern science fiction reflects this. The genre has not, like the romance novel, stagnating in a perpetual adolescents. It has grown, matured, and become complex. It is as unrecognizable as the friend that one has not seen since childhood. The very nature of that complexity limits the audience. No longer can it be completely understood by the child. No longer is a pulp medium to be passively consumed. It is literature.

    --
    "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
  43. Good Modern Sci-Fi Author List by anagama · · Score: 2, Interesting
    I've always loved Sci-Fi and I just can't imagine it completely dying out. And I think there are some good modern authors too. Here's a short list of authors I've enjoyed who published works in the last decade:
    Who else should be here?
    --
    What changed under Obama? Nothing Good
    1. Re:Good Modern Sci-Fi Author List by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, I nominate Ken MacLeod. His current "Engines of Light" series gets better as it goes, (I've just read the second of the series) and other books of his I've seen, The Stone Canal, The Cassini Division are fabulous. Perhaps he's not been published much in the US as yet, but take a look on amazon.co.uk for his stuff and the reader's comments...

  44. The eternal present by alizard · · Score: 1
    where everything humanity will ever see is a linear extension of what we see now.

    Good until:

    1. The oil runs out (no, conservation and renewable will NOT do it, see below)
    2. The Third World discovers that they will never have the First World lifestyle they've been told they'll get if only they'll sign on to the US "democracy and economic advancement" package. The available energy is just enough to sustain countries that are already First World and maybe countries already on their way to First World status like China and maybe India. We can't get materials (you going to play half-life with a computer with no tantalum caps?) out of there without military force under constant attack, and to be able to exert that level of military force means militarizing our whole civilization. Right now, the US is stretched to its military limits occupying two countries, one of which has oil. You want to see your kids drafted to join corporate "security forces" protecting African mines?
    3. Somebody fucks up terminally on an industrial scale and the species doesn't last long enough to run out of oil. Can anybody say "gray goo"? Lots of other possibilities. The research into GM foods wasn't adequate and there are nasty long-term effects on the consumers. We go to a world full of HTGR reactors and there's a common design flaw in all of them. The problem here isn't the chance of any single disaster, it's that keeping humanity on one planet means that our luck as a species will run out sooner or later.

    Then, the best case the entire world gets is a hellride as the First and fastest growing Third World economies go to war over the last few billion barrels of oil. Maybe the species stabilizes at a population where hunter-gathering will keep it going, though I'm not optimistic even about that. Modern war has nasty effects on the ecosystem.

    Of course, a human race that agrees with Mark Oakley deserves such a fate. Let some other species that deserves it expand into the galaxy and long-term survival.

    Mark doesn't know any better. A guy whose world is defined by his computer and a broadband connect and graphic art set in imaginary sword and sorcery worlds doesn't have to do the kind of research it takes into science, engineering, economics and a dozen other fields it takes to write decent hard SF.

    We are the people who make technology. We are supposed to know better.

    1. Re:The eternal present by Ella+the+Cat · · Score: 1

      Paraphrasing a misquote: the point of science fiction isn't to interpret the world, it's to change it.

  45. It's actually quite simple, and logical, too... by BadElf · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Sci-fi was (and is) a method for exploring the possibilities of existing and theoretical technologies. We are a much more techno-savvy populace now. Even my Grandmother knows what a laser is (it'll fix her eyes).

    Society today, however, though tech-savvy, wants -- no, *needs* -- to find some reason or purpose to life other than just "moving forward" (whether toward the stars, the moon, etc.). Whenever society reaches a critical mass of "understanding" of the "known and accepted potentialities" of technology, it reverts to the "spiritual".

    This is why the fantasy stories are obliterating sci-fi. People already *know* what will most likely happen tech-wise within their lifetime. What they *don't* know is whether there is a "god", or "gods", or whatever else you can dream up in the "spiritual" realm. IMHO, the fantasy genre is more important to the average reader today than sci-fi because fantasy texts address the questions and concerns that today's readers are really interested in.

    Sci-fi is very extro-spective -- focusing on what might happen based on current scientific knowledge and theory. Sci-fi generally ignores or poo-poo's the spiritual/human concerns of us carbon-based entities, instead pushing either techno-utopian agendas, or techno-hell agendas.

    Fantasy, on the other hand, is very intro-spective -- focusing on the (usually) historic, spiritual planes of thought and existence. Fantasy doesn't care about the future, as long as it can describe a believable past.

    In a nutshell, I think what's happening is that people know enough (and have been let down enough) by technology to not have faith in the hypothetical futures described in sci-fi. Instead, these same people want an altruistic world like Tolkein offers (all is black or white, very little grey) that has the semblance of "history" or "religion", and doesn't require buying in to a specific school of futurism.

    Of course, I'm probably full of shit and don't know my own ass from a hole in the ground, but that's what I think about this.

    Peace, my fellow /.'ers

    1. Re:It's actually quite simple, and logical, too... by DavidBrown · · Score: 1

      In a nutshell, I think what's happening is that people know enough (and have been let down enough) by technology to not have faith in the hypothetical futures described in sci-fi. Instead, these same people want an altruistic world like Tolkein offers (all is black or white, very little grey) that has the semblance of "history" or "religion", and doesn't require buying in to a specific school of futurism.

      [comic_book_guy]I wouldn't charactorize any of Tolkien's works as being "black and white". I suppose that this could apply to The Lord of the Rings, to a limited extent. But did you forget that Boromir tried to steal the One Ring from Frodo? Did you not remember Bilbo trying to take the ring back from Frodo at Rivendell? And Tolkien's other works were certainly not examples of a naive black and white world view. The dragon Smaug was a mere footnot to the Hobbit, which concerned itself mostly with the conflict between Dwarves, Elves and Humans over Smaug's treasure. And you surely cannot forget the Elf-on-Elf warfare rampant throughout The Simarillion?[/comic_book_guy]

      --
      144l. ph34r my 133t l3g4l 5k1lz!
    2. Re:It's actually quite simple, and logical, too... by BadElf · · Score: 1

      Not to stomp all over what you've pointed out but...

      Boromir: Starts out on good guy's (white) team. Blatant hints of possible "internal strife" over the ring before they even leave Rivendell (white, hint of grey, but you *know* where this is going). "Why not use it ourselves?" he asks (deliberate "black/grey" injection). A set up. A blatant set up. Then there's the whole scene with Boromir and Frodo where Boromir tries to take the ring in hopes of winning the war against Sauron. But he's still on the "good team" (still white), so Tolkien bails him out in a way that there is no question anymore as to his (Boromir's) true intentions (pure white, as he floats angelically, but dead, down the ol' river). Not even a clever bail out at that.

      Bilbo: One of the original "good guys" (white team). First hobbit "owner" of the ring. Gives it up, but with drama-queen-style reservations (Still white, but lets throw in some overly-obvious gray to make things interesting). Reseverations reinforced plot-wise by Gandalf (still white, but now we have super-wizard to police the situation). Frodo letting him see it at Rivendell would be like someone flashing a needle and some smack in the face of a recovering junkie in rehab (how stupid could Frodo be?). What do you (or did Tolkien) expect him to do? Not so clever.

      Smaug: Supposedly only interested in collecting wealth (black team). Likes to eat virgins and livestock (very black team). Sounds very Republican (sooooo black). Conveniently has a single weak spot in his armor (that only Bilbo and a bird are privy to) that allows the good archer a clean kill (gotta give the white team "some" advantage).

      Elf-on-Elf: Other than sounding like a weird porno, doesn't diverge much from the almost purely black and white of Tolkein's world. Yes, there are white team elves. Yes there are "complicated" elves. But all elves are on the "white" team. No exceptions (it's been a while since I've read the Sim, so I may be in error). Even the so-called "dark" elves are on the white team.

      But if you're looking for the truly grey quantity: Gollum! Here you have the only Tolkien character that is absolutely unpredictable. He started out good (or did he?). He murdered his friend for the ring. Then he used the ring for petty purposes, ultimately getting himself kicked out of the house/village. But after Bilbo gets the ring, then Frodo, Gollum doesn't seem so evil (at least for a while). Tolkien throws in mention after mention about Gol's internal struggles, but you're never sure which side will win. If you had mentioned Gollum alone, I might have agreed with you.

      This may sound like Tolkien bashing (it is, in way), but I actually *love* what he wrote. I've read and re-read his books so many times it's ridiculous. One of the main reasons I keep picking his books back up is the crystal-clear white/black world he created. Even though he put in some feeble attempts at grayness, every character and every plot "twist" increased the contrast so that there was no question as to white or black. There was never any question as to who was good or bad. I'm not knocking that -- it's the stark contrast of white/black, good/evil, that *makes* his stories so great.

    3. Re:It's actually quite simple, and logical, too... by SiliconEntity · · Score: 1

      People already *know* what will most likely happen tech-wise within their lifetime.

      In this you have echoed a comment from the article, "Heck, if you were to ask the average person on the street, I suspect you would probably receive a fairly detailed account of where all this new stuff will take us over the next few years."

      I'm very surprised. I am immensely puzzled over where tech will take us over the course of the next few decades. What will happen with nanotech? With biotech? With AI and augmented reality and universal computing?

      It's possible that in 30 years we will be able to change our houses around at a verbal request, like living in a Star Trek Holodeck, if nanotech and AI work out. Computer, move the window a little more to the right, and change the wall color to dark green. We may be able to effectively teleport anywhere in the world, activating telepresence based mannequins which reshape themselves to look like us. In 20 years we may have cured cancer and even fixed old age, so that people can live forever.

      Am I just a dreamer, are these impossible fantasies? Or would the average man on the street simply shrug and say "of course" when offered these possible futures? I don't think so, for either. I think our SF writers have dropped the ball by failing to depict a continuing course of rapid change over the next few decades. Vinge is one exception, with his Fast Times short story and upcoming novel. Maybe that will shock the masses out of their complacent "the future will be like today only more so" attitude.

  46. it's the exploration, stupid by Ellen+Ripley · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I don't know that Oakley addressed Robinson's main point: "Those few readers who haven't defected to Tolkienesque fantasy cling only to Star Trek, Star Wars, and other Sci Fi franchises." Most people don't want a challenge, they want to sit back and relax. Brightly-colored fantasy like Tolkien is just more soothing than the unknown future you have to construct for yourself.

    In the meantime, there's a news piece once a month on advances in carbon nanotubes to build a space elevator. On orbit for $5 a pound, coming right up, ma'am.

    In the meantime, there's a considerable subset of the population that wants Mars so bad we can already taste her oxidized sands. A few billion dollars (perhaps 10% of what we've spent on the war in Iraq) and ten years and we could be there.

    And no one seems to care. Where is this planet spending it's collective dollars, pounds and rubles?

    "... using perfectly good rockets to kill each other, instead."

  47. Re:"Enterprise": Answer to Robinson's Question by 0racle · · Score: 1

    At which is the heart of current Sci-Fi, that being, its a fantasy. 60's Star Trek was great for everyone because it was nice stories, possibly relevent to the then current world in which the viewers lived, but it still was a fantasy.

    It will never happen, there will never be faster-then-light travel i'm told because some old man in a patent office said so with no real proof of it, he just liked the idea. There can be no time travel because you would be able to undo what your just then doing and that just couldnt be possibe.

    People seem to be reading more fantasy because you just realized that all Science Fiction is a fantasy. I dont recall eating people this morning for breakfast, or asking my computer for a drink at dinner. I've never had a sword of light flung in my face or a huge ass engine destroy space to bring these far flung parts together.

    Sci-Fi is and always has been a fantasy, and that will never change. Why do we still read of space ships fly faster then light, or threw other 'layers' of space? Because the world and physics is quite boring, they say it cant be done. So a Sci-Fi writer has to stick to the magic that has been created before he ever started writing.

    Sci-Fi and Fantasy are one and the same, only the setting differs.

    --
    "I use a Mac because I'm just better than you are."
  48. Plenty of future still... by jiri+B · · Score: 2, Insightful

    On an exponential curve, every place is "the beginning of the really steep bit".

    In the last few years, mobile phones have gone from a rare and expensive device to a ubiquitous one. Similarly the Internet has become "universal" (in the West, at least).

    The future *is* happening, and it will keep on happening, and it will happen faster than it's ever happened before. There will always be a place for science-fiction.

    Jiri

    --
    -- Hi! I'm the "Good Times" signature virus. Copy me into your Sig!
  49. Sometimes they're right. by ArsSineArtificio · · Score: 1
    Everything in the arts has been pronounced dead: theatre, the poem, the novel, the symphony, photography, paintings etc.

    Theatre, the poem, the symphony, and paintings are dead. Those art forms are in the "sucking mud" stage that science fiction writing is in now - latter-day nonnovators who are hoping to get paid to produce vague imitations of what was "cutting edge" fifty years or more previously.

    --
    All employees must wash hands before seeking equitable relief.
  50. More tripe... by __aagmrb7289 · · Score: 1

    Okay, again, same comment here as with Spider's little piece. What facts, what statistics, what anything can these people point to that shows the "decline of Science Fiction" as anything near reality? Some of the best science fiction I have EVER read has come out in the last three years. What the hell are these people smoking?

    1. Re:More tripe... by srmalloy · · Score: 1
      Okay, again, same comment here as with Spider's little piece. What facts, what statistics, what anything can these people point to that shows the "decline of Science Fiction" as anything near reality? Some of the best science fiction I have EVER read has come out in the last three years. What the hell are these people smoking?

      In another rant of Spider's, he talks about another issue that I believe contributes heavily to the problem -- the compression of the midlist. And it's not just Spider complaining about it -- and it's been going on for some time, with various articles about it, like this one and this one and this one.

      Basically, it's a bottom-line business decision by the publishers. Big-name writers and bestsellers make a publisher lots of money; midlist writers, whose works sell steadily but not spectacularly, don't. So the publishers, driving their book publishing by the almighty bottom line, have their computers watching the sales of each author; if their sales slip, their next book's print run will be smaller, so they don't run the risk of having unsold copies returned or pile up in their warehouse, and the next advance they offer will be smaller. And because the print run is smaller, they won't run as much advertising, and the book won't get as wide a distribution, so that book won't sell as well as the last one -- repeating the cycle. The death of the midlist isn't something that affects just SF, though; it cuts across the entire publishing world, fiction and nonfiction alike. With the eternal drive for profitability, publishers can no longer afford to take chances on anything that doesn't have guaranteed profits. And so you look at the book racks at a gift shop in an airport, and you see entire rows of the latest Tom Clancy or Michael Crichton or whatever the latest blockbuster is, and under them you see the syndicate-written romance novels and movie novelizations and whatnot, one title per rack.

      Does Tom Clancy write books that sell well because he's a fantastic writer, or because his books take up a third of the display space on the book racks and are hyped from here to eternity? And do the midlist writers write books that sell poorly because they're bad writers, or because their latest book is only visible in one tiny rack on the wall, and the announcement of its publication only appears in special-interest magazines?

      All it takes is a barely-perceptible downtick in a midlist author's sales, and the publishers' computers mark him for the descending spiral of lowered advances and lower print runs, eventually downsizing him off their lists unless they can produce a work that beats the curse of diminished print runs and advertising. But while book sales of 1,000 copies is devastation to a large publisher, it's very good for a small publisher -- and midlist writers have been moving to small publishers in droves, resulting in the small publishers becoming so overloaded that it's hard to break in.

      It's not just any putative decline in the quality of writing -- there has always been and always will be more than enough tripe to fill slushpiles -- but science fiction has, for the most part, been a midlist genre, and the business of publishing is squeezing out of existence the area where many well-known SF authors spent their careers.
    2. Re:More tripe... by __aagmrb7289 · · Score: 1

      Excellent! I see some actually, factually, referenced pieces of information that connect to things happening in the real world in this reply! The FIRST I've seen on the subject. Thank you!

  51. My take on this... not that difficult to determine by DaScribbler · · Score: 1

    Okay so I've only read 2/3rds of the comments and responses, however after skimming through the rest I have not seen the simple take on the whole subject. 1st...popular genres come and go. Mainly because what's popular is capitalized upon, and over-saturation kills a market. To the point it becomes 'Old Hat' and boring. 2nd...Media outlets other than Print contribute to the over saturation. Too many movies, TV Shows etc; which while are of a certain quality (some could argue, but let us keep it simple), over-extend conceivable imagination to the point everything seems outright ridiculous (hence Star Trek reverting to a Prequel with Enterprise since the last couple series just took it too far). 3rd...And this is my most important observation. The very article discussing the demise of futuristic Sci/Fi is a bit late. Actually I find it to be quite the opposite. Too many authors; Robert Jordan, Terry Goodkind (and these are the most recent), etc...have over extended their welcome into the Fantasy Genre and have made their books boorish. Not because they've lost talent in writing so much as because they've lost the ability to expand upon a story in a way which has not already been done over and over and over again. Me personally, I'd love to see a new book from C.S. Freidman, Larry Niven, J. Pournell, etc...

  52. Sci-Fi fandom = Maturity now? What a switch! by ArsSineArtificio · · Score: 1
    Most people don't want a challenge, they want to sit back and relax. Brightly-colored fantasy like Tolkien is just more soothing than the unknown future you have to construct for yourself.

    It's kind of amazing, historically speaking, that it's now possible to make the assertion that one is a more mature and stable individual because one reads Sci-Fi. The shades of a thousand pulp writers gasp in astonishment.

    Let's try standing that assertion on its head:

    Most people don't want to think about philosophy and human nature, they want to sit back, relax, and think about rocket ships. Brightly-colored science fiction like Asimov and Robinson is just more soothing than the unknown present you have to figure out for yourself.

    --
    All employees must wash hands before seeking equitable relief.
  53. The sorrow of it all by ArsSineArtificio · · Score: 1
    Any day now Bruce Sterling should be along to write a snarky editorial on how he predicted all this stuff years ago, and no one listened to his infinite wisdom...

    If only we'd build rocket ships out of bamboo, the future would be now!

    --
    All employees must wash hands before seeking equitable relief.
  54. Science Fiction Will Come Again by ASUNathan · · Score: 1

    People realizing the possibility of spaceflight brought us space opera novels.

    People realizing the possibility of nuclear annihilation brought us post-apocalyptic wasteland novels.

    People realizing the potential for computer networks to revolutionize the way we live brought us cyberpunk novels.

    When the someone realizes the potential of some new development, we get a new batch of fresh science fiction novels. Sooner or later, something will be made or discovered that creates thousands of interesting possibilities. When that happens, science fiction writers will write about those possibilities in exciting new works. Until then, we're stuck with book 18 of a 93 book series.

  55. It's not the gadgets .... by ericman31 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I'll grant that a lot of the gadgets described as futuristic then exist now.

    One of the things I always found great about science fiction is that the best stories weren't about the gadgets. The best SF writers took one speculative idea and turned it into a story. They explored how the world and people would be different because of that idea. But at the core, the story was about ..... people, just like any other great story. I'm talking about authors like Heinlein, Asimov, Clark, Pournelle, Gordon Dickson, Greg Bear, and Jules Verne.

    And when you go back and read their stories again sometimes the science and the gadgets are dated, but the great stories stand the test of time. "Stranger in a Strange Land", the Foundation Trilogy, "20,000 Leagues Under the Sea", the Childe cycle, "2001: A Space Odyssey" will always be great reads, because they don't depend on the gadgets.

    --
    In my universe I'm perfectly normal, it's not my fault you don't live in my universe.
  56. 20th Century SF foundations are gone by dlm3 · · Score: 3, Insightful
    At the risk of injecting politics into this discussion, it seems to me that one point has been missed.

    Most hard-core SF was written during and in the aftermath of World War II and the Cold War. All of it escapist, much of it focusing on how humanity carries on after the dawn of the 21st century and presumably civilization as we know it has been destroyed.

    For people looking beyond the horrifying news on the television, SF was a ray of hope.

    Unfortunately (for SF), the Cold War ended and the world as we know it was utterly changed - but not because of world war or nuclear conflict. It was changed largely by the collapse of Communism (outside China and its satellites), removing the immediate threat, and thus the foundation for much of the SF we've all grown to know and enjoy.

    Lacking the need for escape from our current situation into the future, and given the high-tech world that has been thrust upon us in the past decade (as has been noted elsewhere), it seems not unreasonable that Fantasy fiction, especially that espoused by Tolkien and Rowling, would take the fore over hard SF, at least for the moment.

    Someone will probably point out that 9-11 and its aftermath are in fact World War III (or IV, depending upon how you count it), and this should be driving us to some sort of outlet that frees us from the daily drumbeat in the news.

    But instead of Heinlein and Asimov, we're getting Harry Potter and a fish called Nemo... And it works, because these depict simpler themes of good and evil, courage and fear, and the ability of ordinary people (or young wizards or, well, fish) to overcome incredible obstacles placed before them.

    This is not the first time such a thing has happened. During the peak of the Industrial Revolution of the late 1800's, amid motorcars, steam-powered factories, and crazy folk attempting to fly like birds, there was counter-revolution of sorts where people looked for craftsmanship and simplicity in their homes and furnishings, first in England, later in the U.S. It banished the sameness of mass-production and replaced it with objects that had the appearance of being, or were in fact, unique.

    We live in similar times - only now the personal computer and the internet are the invading technology. It should come as no surprise that people have had enough and need an escape to simpler, less stressful things.

    But I would also predict that this is only temporary. We're taking a breather as the next phase of technological development gathers itself together. When it will happen, I don't know, but when it comes to Sci-Fi, I would suggest that a gentleman and his team working in the Mojave desert of all places may unleash the next wave. Or maybe not. We'll see.

  57. One good Spider quote Mark didn't address by snooo53 · · Score: 1
    I believe with all my heart that the pendulum will return, that ignorance will become unfashionable again one day, that my junior colleagues are about to ignite a new renaissance in science fiction, and that our next 50 years will make the first 50 pale by comparison, taking us all the way to immortality and the stars themselves.

    This pretty much speaks for itself- Spider's idealistic and hopeful view of the future... that someday people will care about more than what's in front of their face and the immediate problems of today. That maybe we'll care about going out into this huge universe and really stretching the limits of the human race.

    --
    The sending of this message pretty much inconveniences everyone involved.
  58. I don't call someone an "idiot" lightly, but... by leftie · · Score: 1

    Mark Oakley is an idiot if he believes that the past, the present, and the imaginary are all there is to write about. Hell... you could create a whole sub-genre of literature just about writing about the future adventures of Ted Williams' head. Oakley's "this is the future" viewpoint is about as accurate as the predictions that Bob Beamon's long jump record would never be equaled... and just as foolish.

  59. Oversaturation, desensitization, and consumer mind by Walt+Dismal · · Score: 1
    The current state of speculative media really is oversaturation, with the inevitable dullness that comes from too many mediocre writers and publishers chasing the buck. What little that is good out there is buried in the literary and visual media equivalent of spam. Sturgeon's Law: '99% of everything is crap' really does apply. Or is there someone out there who will defend Britney Spears?

    I went to Tower Books recently to look for a book by William Faulkner. The store had on the shelf exactly, and only, three books by Faulkner. But on the next aisle, ah, there were 10 shelves of Star Trek pablum. All of it mechanically-written stumbling crap written by 10th-graders for easy-listening zombies. Our society's equivalent of the dime novel, disposable. The kind of person who reads this mediocre crap is a consumer, not a thinker.

    But this extends to most media now. Comics for one. Consider Batman. Batman has reached a point where the character has been so overmarketed it has become passe, unentertaining. Nothing new, same old same old.

    On Spider's point about loss of interest in space travel, I agree. Kids grow up watching Trek explore the universe in a star-travelling plush hotel, encountering the alien forehead-of-the-week. There is a combined deplacement of reality and desensitization that occurs. This flashy shiny 'everything is neatly tied up in the 38 minutes left between commercials' absorbs the edge of curiosity that would normally drive people to genuinely engage in furthering real life space travel.

    I compare Star Trek versus real space travel to excessive masturbation versus real sex. It's too easy for the easy gratification to replace the real thing. And it's far inferior.

  60. Official mirror here: by Xanni · · Score: 1

    Mark Oakley's "Thieves and Kings" website, including the editorial linked in the article, is also at the official mirror site.

    Share and enjoy,
    *** Xanni ***

    --
    http://www.glasswings.com/
  61. Re:But...why? Other references by ppanon · · Score: 3, Informative

    Vernor Vinge also uses the basic concepts in some of his fiction. I particularlly like Across Realtime

    Across Realtime was a combination of two novels, The Peace War, and Marooned in Realtime, and a novelette, The Ungoverned. Both novels were much better than his Hugo-winning "A Fire upon the Deep" (which is probably one of his weaker novels, IMO). Each lost the Hugo because they (respectively) went up against Card's "Ender's Game" and "Speaker for the Dead". I won't contest the Ender's Game award, however I think MiR was much better than Speaker for the Dead. Both of the later novels were SF/Mystery cross-overs and MiR is more effective in both genres.

    I still haven't figured out if "Fire upon the Deep" won the later Hugo because voters wanted to compensate for the earlier decision, or because FUtD used Internet references just when the Internet was gaining mass market penetration. Probably a combination of both.

    IMO, the best new novelist of the last decade in the Hard SF genre is Wil McCarthy. Check out The Collapsium, The Wellstone, or even his earlier Bloom. I think his stories have more of a Clarke/Asimov flavour, but with better plotting and characterization. If you like Vinge's Across Realtime, chances are you'll like Wil McCarthy's stuff too. While he's got some too-cool technology ideas, he also tackles some interesting issues (i.e. how will new generations make their place in a world with widespread immortality where the old farts refuse to relinquish power and position?)

    --
    Laissez lire, et laissez danser; ces deux amusements ne feront jamais de mal au monde. - Voltaire
  62. why not wait 5 years?.. by alizard · · Score: 1
    By then, Baen Books will be alive and well.

    The RIAA will be gone. While there may be a trade organization to replace it, this will be a normal political lobbying group, not an attack dog. The "surviving" labels will be under new management and ownership that decided to keep the old name in the hopes of restoring the brand someday. Possible, remember Tylenol?

  63. you'll pay for that! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    you better listen the fuck up! im tired of this motherfuckling shit youre pulling! and im warning you! you fuckling piss me any more you little prick and i will hunt you down and kill you your wife and your kids! i'm not playing fuckling games! that fukngi mr ???? is also dead ! you better get the fuck out of the country!

    YOU'RE NOT GOING TO KICK ME OUT OF THAT CHAT ROOM!

    NO ONE IS!!!

  64. Re:But...why? Other references by Andy_R · · Score: 1

    I still haven't figured out if "Fire upon the Deep" won the later Hugo because voters wanted to compensate for the earlier decision, or because FUtD used Internet references just when the Internet was gaining mass market penetration.

    Actually I think it was because it was an amazingly good book. I guess you just didn't like it? Sure, the net references were timely (and the grey-goo based stuff almost prescient), but it's the way things like the tine's civilisation was built so convincingly from the one really nice idea about pack communication, and the implications of zones and sublimed ancients that made it great book.

    --
    A pizza of radius z and thickness a has a volume of pi z z a
  65. The purpose of science fiction? by Jherico · · Score: 3, Insightful
    When I was in high school I had an english teacher who told the class that science fiction served only one purpose. To warn us about the dangers of the future and technology. I didn't really believe her, but I didn't say anything. I didn't speak up and say "I read science fiction, and not so I can be warned about the future". I so wish I had. But it was high school and there are a million things I wish I could have done differently, knowing what I know now. But this one is a gem, because I already pretty much knew that she was speaking out of her ass.

    The T&K website response reminds me of that teacher. It says that stories are tools to share and explore ideas, and then seems to go on to say essentially 'Science fiction serves only one purpose, to explore ideas related to all the emergent technology of the 20th century.' The T&K website is speaking out of its ass.

    Granted, I'll agree with the statement that stories are tools to share and explore ideas. They can be used for other things. They're often used to inspire emotions, or to entertain, which is essentially the same thing.

    T&K seems to take the position that the paltry foray's we've made into integrating new technology into our lives represent some sort of plateau, if not pinnacle of achievement. Its as if to say, we've got cell phones, we've got GPS, we can occasionally send a probe to mars and not have it crash, hoorah, the future is here.

    Sorry, the future is NOT here. Never will be. We will always remain in the present, always, because if we start living in the future, we stop trying to get there. Sure, cell phones are nice, but wouldn't a subcutaneous direct neural link to all of human knowledge and all other humans be nifty? Or perhaps dangerous. I'm not sure. Lets explore and share ideas. What? You say the future is here and this is the way it will always be? Oh, perhaps I should write a book about navel gazing then.

    So long as there are heroines, (and hormones), there will be romance novels. Not so with Science Fiction. No hormones there.

    I don't know about the author of this statement, but I've definately experience a thrilling rush reading about engineering on a scale I never imagined before, like a gigantic spinning ring around a sun. Or how about one of the myriad ways of defeating death, poverty, and inequality I've read about, couched in science fiction terms.

    The need for stories examining all the possibilities of science and technology isn't really there anymore either.

    100 years ago no one could have imagined the way the world would change with the automobile. 50 years ago no one could have imagined the way the world would change with computers. We can't imagine how the world will be in 50 years, but we can try.

    Sure, today's technology is growing mature, but science fiction is like a nebula. For those who don't know, nebulas are the results of a star exploding, and are the birthplace of new stars. The remnants of a pervious generation giving birth to the next. That works for ideas as well. Maybe some of today's technology was born in some science fiction writer's mind, and maybe the next generation which we can't even imagine yet is being born right now, slowly drawing itself together.

    The idea of readers defecting to 'fantasy'. Trying to draw a line in the sand between science fiction and fantasy is like trying to nail jello to a tree. Most people call Star Trek science fiction, but its not. Not to me. Star Trek has always been about people, at least when its been good. If you watch the 5 series you'll see that they're each set in the era they were produced in. Watch the original and look at the way people act and interact and try to believe you're not in the 60's. Look at 'Enterprise' and try to believe you're not living in an America that is living in fear of terrorists. The fact is that technology molds society just as much as socie

    --

    Jherico

    What can the average user can do to ensure his security? "Nothing, you're screwed"

  66. A very good response, but... by danila · · Score: 1

    I think Mark Oakley is quite right. At least his ideas look believable. We switch from sci-fi describing technologies to sci-fi and fantasy describing revolutionary social change, because that's what we are going to see.

    Still, I think not enough attention is (and was) paid to the technological side of things. There simply wasn't enough sci-fi describing the reality (not the fiction) of modern technologies, such as genomics, nanotechnology, AI, etc. Yes, there is much more certainty now, but that doesn't mean the need for sci-fi went away. We can't use 50-year old "blueprints" (like Childhood's End) to explain how technology would work to people, because now we know better.

    So I still don't see the answer. Why hard sci-fi becomes less popular (and this isn't an American phenomenon, this happens in other countries too and is discussed there as well).

    --
    Future Wiki -- If you don't think about the future, you cannot have one.
  67. Re:"Enterprise": Answer to Robinson's Question by Jherico · · Score: 1
    I will admit, though, that Enterprise isn't really science fiction. Some of the other Star Trek series/movies were, but Enterprise is a completely lost cause.

    Oh please. Every series of Star Trek has had the occasional snippet of a new idea in it, but by and large, every show has had the guts to ask the bold question 'What if we had faster than light travel and teleporters, but society was exactly like it was today despite this?' In terms of exploring the idea of what the future will actually be like, Star Trek is, and always has been, utter bullshit.

    Don't jump on me for being a Trek basher either. I'm a total trekkie, and I've seen every episode of every series, but its just entertainment. Well, granted, in the case of Voyager and Enterprise, its more like some sort of self-inflicted punishment I can't turn away from. A concept all the more disturbing when you consider that since the addition of 7of9, there has always been a dominatrix character on the show. You know, the utterly icy yet undeniably desirable babe with the bondage fetish clothes on?

    Don't even get me started on 'The blue room'.

    --

    Jherico

    What can the average user can do to ensure his security? "Nothing, you're screwed"

  68. Re:"Enterprise": Answer to Robinson's Question by Jherico · · Score: 1
    Wow, I just realized I sound exactly like one of those guys who can't stop talking about how he doesn't watch TV and brings it up as much as he can. My apologies.

    Jherico

    P.S. I hate SCO and Microsoft SOOOOO much. There. Now I sound like everyone else again

    --

    Jherico

    What can the average user can do to ensure his security? "Nothing, you're screwed"

  69. Online: Not for Long by localroger · · Score: 1
    I am (finally) in the process of formatting MOPI for Book-On-Demand publication as promised in the "Dead Tree" essay. I'll be updating the site when this happens. It may take a couple of more months, since I had a major personal disaster recently, but it's happening.

    I have also plotted and started writing a sequel, inspired to some degree by many of the comments about the original novel.

    I did not guess when I put MOPI online that the experiment would come to anything like the success it has seen. I put at least part of the blame on the publishing industry. In the 70's there were dozens of publishers, all of whom had at least one person dedicated to reading the slush pile; now there are only a few mega-publishers who would all rather publish the sure thing 12th installment in some safe series than strike out in a new and potentially unprofitable direction.

    It has not become as hard to find an agent (that is, a good agent with the right connections who can actually get stuff read) as it once was to find a publisher. And we wonder why all the stuff on bookstore shelves looks the same. Sheesh.

    --
    Brackets contain world's first nanosig, highly magnified:[.]
  70. Oops, make that "online ONLY: not for long" /nt by localroger · · Score: 1

    Oops. It will not be going off-line when printed copies become available.

    --
    Brackets contain world's first nanosig, highly magnified:[.]
  71. Unfortunately, this IS the future! by hermango · · Score: 1

    ...and if we landed on the moon, why aren't we there now? Well, look no further than the mirror in the bathroom to see the person responsible for that. The current "Space Program" is nothing more than a make-work program for scientists and engineers, combined with the pork-barrel benefits therein. If you want to go to the moon, and beyond, then invent some method of propulsion that doesn't throw mass out the ass end. That's the only way we'll ever have a REAL SPACE PROGRAM!

  72. No, a very bad response from Oakley by leftie · · Score: 1

    No new technological change ahead, huh? Read much SF about superstring theory? There's between 10 and 26 dimensions in spacetime if the math supporting superstring theory is correct. Riiiiight. There's nothing new out there we could possible wanna write about.

    1. Re:No, a very bad response from Oakley by danila · · Score: 1

      I recommend a short story by Gregory Benford called "Topological journey" or smth. like this (I've read a Russian translation). It borrows heavily from superstring ideas and is quite cool, even though it doesn't adhere strictly to the real science.

      It might be a bad response, I don't know... :) When reading articles, I usually filter out the crap on the subconscious level and measure the quality of text by how much is left. :) Oakley has one interesting (though highly speculative) idea and this makes his response worth reading. The idea is that people start feeling the change and prefer stories about change. I agree (and I said that in the parent post) that there are many new technologies worthy of stories, but may be they are relatively less important now. 50 years ago writers and readers could ignore the transition phase and simply write about the future. Now we feel the world changing and simply can't ignore it. So the problems of transformations become more important and we see an increase in stories about it and a relative decrease in stories about the future per se.

      This may not be entirely correct, but still it's an idea worth considering.

      --
      Future Wiki -- If you don't think about the future, you cannot have one.
    2. Re:No, a very bad response from Oakley by leftie · · Score: 1

      The changes that will be caused by genetic engineering and nanotechnology will make the changes caused by splitting the atom look mundane. Humanity will be able to make anything living or inanimate it desires to make. That's far greater change than television, don't you think? If Oakley had said something like.. we are in a cycle where people are more concerned about social changes than technological ones right now... whatever, that's an opinion that's debatable. However, Oakley said there is NO future technological changes ever going to happen that are worthy of discussion again. That's an outrageous, extremist position that is only worthy of mockery.

  73. Population as a whole has become less literate by leftie · · Score: 1

    Part of the problem SF is facing is facing literature as a whole. The whole population reads and writes with less skill than it used to. With a less skilled population, you get fewer standout works. So why the explosion of fantasy? All the dungeonmasters have hit book writing age. There were ALWAYS far, far more fantasy role players than SF players because TSR marketed D&D better than GDW marketed Traveller. D&D was also much more fleshed out. Traveler's small thin books always seemed so skeletal (pardon the pun) in comparison. Cranking out book 17 of the latest fantasy saga is little more work than preparing for the weekly hack n' slash session the writers used to run.

  74. *Science* Fiction by Damek · · Score: 1

    The thing that defines sci-fi is not the fiction part. Anyone can make up any old story and it's fiction. What makes it science fiction is supposed to be when *science* plays a major role in the story. Mark Oakley makes a big to-do about how science and industry have given us just about all they're going to, and so that's why science fiction is diminishing.

    He's wrong. Science will always be with us. The "industry" part may have played itself out (capitalism might be dying, too), but science won't go away. It was even around when we didn't know what to call it! Plato's Republic was science, perhaps even science fiction. Moore's Utopia was Science Fiction.

    Look, we haven't discovered everything yet. Every civilization at its apex thinks it knows all, and perhaps we're at the height of ours, so we think we're masters of the universe.

    I bet India or China would have something to say about that.

    Science fiction as we knew it in the mid-20th century - that masturbatory festival of industry, power and teenaged wet dreams - that sci-fi is gone. Because the world that it imagined us developing from is gone. The future of that world *is* here, and Oakley is right in that respect.

    But we, here and now, we still have a future, and there are many bright minds writing about it. It may seem hard to grasp who the bright minds are, because there aren't only one or two sources telling us who they are like in the 50s when you had a couple of well known sci-fi magazines. Now the soapboxes are everywhere, and so are the authors.

    Modern scifi knows that the current questions about our unknown future are: what will the political human landscape be like (yes, that's a scientific question)? What will biological studies bring us? Will the economic world change? Will multinationals just grow and grow? (That question has been with us since Neuromancer, and probably before, and it hasn't yet gone away.)

    Some questions are still unanswered. We still don't know enough about physics to truly state if we'll ever be able to travel from one point to another instantaneously, or develop artificial intelligence.

    As long as there are still questions to be asked about the interconnect of science and society, there will be sci-fi. It's just that the questions change, and people still looking for stories about questions to which we already know the answer, or questions in which few today are interested (yes, fashion plays a role), will find few examples to satisfy them, and so they will proclaim the death of their genre.

    Yet there are still great sci-fi authors out there right now, asking today's important questions. Ken MacLeod is one of my favorites, along with Kim Stanley Robinson. Robert Charles Wilson is good, too. And there are many more...

    1. Re:*Science* Fiction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm with you, dude - and I'd add Alastair Reynolds to that list of good current sci-fi authors. If you haven't read his books, you should definitely check them out.

  75. Re:"Enterprise": Answer to Robinson's Question by Planesdragon · · Score: 1

    It will never happen, there will never be faster-then-light travel i'm told because some old man in a patent office said so with no real proof of it, he just liked the idea. There can be no time travel because you would be able to undo what your just then doing and that just couldnt be possibe.

    There are posulated conjectures about how FTL could work and still not violate Einstein's theory of relativity. Bendng space, quantum entangled gateways--and the very easy conjecture that Einstein's just missing a principle that kicks in at .9c or something.

    (FWIW, 'Trek's "warp" system actually does fit in, in an accidential kind of way, with relativity.)

    Sci-Fi is and always has been a fantasy, and that will never change.

    Science Fiction is an expression of ideas.

    Fantasy is telling epic tales about different places.

    There is a LOT of overlap, but there are also easly spotted differences. Asimov wasn't fantasy--if a fantasy writer wrote as badly as he did, they'd be sacked. Tolkien wasn't science fiction--he managed to not have a single new idea, and his writing added a bit too many extraneous details.

  76. SciFi Has been Co-Opted by the Mainstream by lperdue · · Score: 1

    Back when television and direct -ial long-distance were the highest tech that most people came in contact with, futuristic science was a niche genre for a very few people with imaginations to see what might be.

    Because book editors pretty well reflect the trailing edge of technology, they were quick to pigeon-hole anything to do with science.

    Now that people are surrounded by technology and its consequences, from GPS, cellphones, and genetically-modified corn in the nacho chips, science is a mainstream thing.

    I've written 19 published books and the degree to which they deal with technology would have put me in the science fiction genre 30 years ago. Now my stuff is in mainstream fiction, although I still do a fair number of signings from fantasy and science fiction specialty bookstores.

  77. Nonsense. by Grendel+Drago · · Score: 1

    What will everyone do when 3/4 of the world is no longer struggling to obtain the basic needs in life?

    You know, people keep asking that, and we still have vast misery, poverty and hunger in this world. I think we'll deal with the problem of arbitrary abundance when we get to it.

    On the other hand, for someone in this county, food, shelter and clothing can be taken care of by someone working minimum wage. If you make an order of magnitude more than that, you spend it on gadgetry, larger versions of everything that wage-slave owns, entertainment of various sorts and broadband.

    Oh, and big SUVs.

    Don't fool yourself; we will always have a way to set the haves apart from the have-nots.

    --grendel drago

    --
    Laws do not persuade just because they threaten. --Seneca
  78. sf def by packrat2 · · Score: 1

    sf? as idea, educational or problem solving. philosopy of western (tech) world) content driven, in other words... rather than character or action.. nice thought. BUT.... veg city lives. **** I zine, cartoon, atempt to comic write play etc. http://slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=03/09/13/191221 7&mode=thread&tid=186&tid=214 for the thread at slashdot. pat http://mywebpage.netscape.com/Patr44PDonovan

    --
    packrat ; writer-informer. http://packrat.comicgenesis.com http://www.youtube.com/area163 https://www.smashwords.com/
  79. TB?! by Grendel+Drago · · Score: 1

    Where did you get the idea that Heinlein ever had tuberculosis? He had a debilitating stroke, but surgery helped him to recover until he finally died in 1988 of heart failure on a Sunday.

    Some of his work was fuzzy and incomprehensible while he was recovering from his stroke, but he was just as bright and lucid in his waning years as he had been earlier... that is, if you can stand what a dirty old man he was...

    --grendel drago

    --
    Laws do not persuade just because they threaten. --Seneca
  80. *sigh* by Grendel+Drago · · Score: 1

    Bah. Shows what I get for posting quickly and angrily. Heinlein did have TB; it caused him to get booted from the Navy in the mid-1930s.

    --grendel drago

    --
    Laws do not persuade just because they threaten. --Seneca
  81. Card Vs. Rowling - Steel Cage Match! by disappear · · Score: 1
    There is no way that a Harry Potter novel should ever have won the Hugo, just because its popular doesn't mean its good writing, or had anything profound to say abotu the world. Put it along side something like "Fire Upon the Deep" or "Ender's Game" and it pales in comparison.

    To preface this, I'll admit that I'm only somewhat of a science fiction fan, but I've been reading the stuff since I was a little tyke. I haven't read any Vinge, so I can't comment on Fire Upon the Deep, either.

    On the other hand, I'll note that just because something is popular doesn't mean it's crap, and just because something is science fiction, that doesn't mean it has anything profound to say about the world.

    To my mind, the fourth Harry Potter volume (and probably the third and fifth volumes, as well) have at least as much to say about the world as does Ender's Game. The latter is effectively a political novel, and does indeed have great stuff to say about the organization of society, the power of electronic information networks, and the value or lack thereof of coercive strategies for raising children, among other issues. I enjoyed reading it immensely.

    In fact, the novel is a great companion to Harry Potter: they're both about kids who are effectively orphaned and subsequently raised by adults to take sides in a war about which they haven't had a chance to form their own opinions.

    In the early novels, it's simplistic, but in the last couple of volumes, I believe that Harry Potter has become a profound meditiation on good and evil, and what lies between them. I believe that, as a novel about morality rather than politics, Rowling is every bit as profound a thinker as Card, if not more so.

  82. Weird. by Grendel+Drago · · Score: 1

    So... what are Vernor Vinge, Iain M. Banks and Neal Stephenson producing vague imitations of that was cutting-edge in the 1940s and 1950s?

    --grendel drago

    --
    Laws do not persuade just because they threaten. --Seneca
  83. Huh. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well, I'm convinced.

  84. Re:But...why? Other references by CaptainAvatar · · Score: 1
    nother work is: The Spike. (I forget the author.)

    That woud be Damien Broderick, who shamefully I have never read (bar a couple of short stories a decade or more ago), despite his being a research fellow at my uni!

    --
    The real Captain Avatar is a fictional character, so I suppose he doesn't mind if I impersonate him.
  85. wish.. by alizard · · Score: 1

    I'd thought of that. :-)

  86. Re:Oversaturation, desensitization, and consumer m by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    But on the next aisle, ah, there were 10 shelves of Star Trek pablum. All of it mechanically-written stumbling crap written by 10th-graders for easy-listening zombies.

    Wow! You must read pretty fast to have gone through all those Trek books in one sitting.