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Intel Researchers See Moore's Law Becoming Obsolete

prostoalex writes "A paper, published by Intel researchers, claims we might be the witnesses of Moore's Law becoming obsolete, as the rate of shrinkage for transistors goes lower with each year. In 2018 we might be able to get the chips manufactured with 16-nanometer technology, then one or two more manufacturing processes will shrink it even further, but after that we're facing the physical limits."

28 of 396 comments (clear)

  1. thrillbert's law by thrillbert · · Score: 4, Funny

    Ladies and Gentlemen, I proudly present to you thrillbert's Law :

    This law states that new laws to govern electronics and transistors will become obsolete every few years and will be replaced by new and improved laws which again will become obsolete as we as humans become smarter and find newer and better ways of creating things.

    That is all, you may return to your previously scheduled activity.

    ---
    The goal of science is to build better mousetraps. The goal of nature is to build better mice.

  2. Re:Moore's law is NOT obsolete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    This is assuming that De Beers doesn't push these people off a high rise first. :/

  3. Re:mirror by Vengie · · Score: 2, Funny

    You do realize that less and less people get that "Kathleen Fent" joke every day. [stfu, i lurked long before i registered, dont look at my numeric id...]

    --
    When in doubt, parenthesize. At the very least it will let some poor schmuck bounce on the % key in vi. (Larry Wall)
  4. Moore's Law is Obsolete by use_compress · · Score: 3, Funny

    Because Less' Law has just been developed. Of course, Moore's Law made Kat's Law obsolete.

    1. Re:Moore's Law is Obsolete by jcuervo · · Score: 2, Funny
      Because Less' Law has just been developed. Of course, Moore's Law made Kat's Law obsolete.


      Less's Law was made obsolete by Most's Law.
      --
      Assume I was drunk when I posted this.
  5. mcc's law by mcc · · Score: 5, Funny

    The number of papers publicly published proclaiming the "real soon now" end of Moore's law will double every 18 months.

    1. Re:mcc's law by Kris_J · · Score: 3, Funny

      Kris_J's corollary: The frequency of stories on Slashdot about the end of Moore's Law will double every 18 months, as will the number of posts attached to each story that call for an end to said coverage.

    2. Re:mcc's law by IthnkImParanoid · · Score: 4, Funny

      IthnkImParanoid's law: As a discussion of Moore's law procedes over time, the probability of someone naming a law after themself approaches one. At that time, rational discussion becomes impossible as people flood the thread with their own laws.

      --
      It's nothing but crumpled porno and Ayn Rand.
  6. 3 Moore Laws by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    Moore's Law #1: The Dudley
    Things are going to get really small. And funny.

    Moore's Law #2: The Demi
    Silicon/silicone, who cares what they're made of, just lookit those chips, baby!

    Moore's Law #3: The Roger
    Q will never cease to amaze me with these clever gadgets.

  7. Re:I wonder.. by MikeMo · · Score: 1, Funny

    It'll have to be damn fast if she's using Windows XP 2023.

  8. Re:Funny ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Perhaps, however, it takes my 3GHz Xenon
    based PC with 1Gb of ram about the same
    time to boot as it did my 100MHz Pentium
    Pro with 32Mb of Ram from 1995.

    What Intel giveth, Microsoft taketh away.

  9. So... by splaytree · · Score: 3, Funny

    Does this mean in 2018 I can put my cat Schrodinger and a vial of hydrocyanic acid in my PC and watch the sparks fly?

  10. Ok, Ill say it... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    ...Diamonds are a boy's best friend!

    "Do you have a nerd or geek in your life? show him how much you love him by purchasing a intel diamond wedding processor(tm). A processor is forever."

    "Introducing, the new intel pentium 9, the Bling Bling Ice(tm), available in both yellow and white gold settings!"

    I for one, welcome our....oh, wrong tired, over used tagline....

    1. Re:Ok, Ill say it... by md65536 · · Score: 2, Funny

      "... intel diamond wedding processor(tm). A processor is 18 months."

      Or maybe the diamond cartel should borrow ideas from the computer industry and try to sell things that won't last long and will need to be replaced.

      "Show her you'll love her for the next 18 months."

  11. Re:Moore's law is NOT obsolete by krbvroc1 · · Score: 2, Funny

    So you're saying that exponential growth can be sustained forever?

    Hey, if it applies to our national debt, why not. ;)

  12. AMD on the other hand... by Loki_1929 · · Score: 2, Funny

    Has announced that they have hired Voyager's Kes, who can see past the subatomic level. Thus, AMD expects Moore's Law to survive for many years to come. Said one senior engineer at AMD's Dresden facility:

    "Physical limitations? Fuck physical limitations!"

    --
    -- "Government is the great fiction through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else."
  13. Re:Economics will cause Moore's Law to peter out by anakin876 · · Score: 3, Funny

    [quote] Engineers will be able to continue the shrink for another 15 years based on what we know now [/quote] this should make for an interesting effect. A whole new market will open up in tiny cubicles and desks, with tiny-engineer sized keyboards as well. What will the final engineer size be? Will they finally become small enough that millions can be employed as miniature chip makers themselves, thus solving the problem of high costs associated with the creation of a new chip-fab?

  14. Re:Moore's law is NOT obsolete by replicant108 · · Score: 2, Funny

    But does it happen before or after the Singularity?

  15. Re:So What? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    That's the real problem, the rate they're going at we'll have run out of electrons completely by 2018. We'll have to start using positrons instead.

  16. HALtheComputer's Law by Hal+The+Computer · · Score: 3, Funny

    Ladies and Gentlemen, I proudly present to you HALtheCompuer's's Law:

    This law states laws that govern new laws to govern electronics and transistors will become obsolete every few years and will be replaced by new and improved laws which again will become obsolete as we as humans become smarter and find newer and better ways of creating things.

    Sorry, your law is already out of date. The march of progress and all that. Don't feel bad; they replaced me with a new HAL in 2010.

    --

    int main(void){int x=01232;while(malloc(x));return x;}
  17. Again and Again and Again and that's just Slashdot by Maddog+Batty · · Score: 3, Funny

    Mores law is coming to an end...
    Jan 2003 Dec 2002 Oct 1999

    Oh no its not...
    Feb 2003 Sept 2002

    --
    wot no sig
  18. What a newsflash by p3d0 · · Score: 2, Funny

    We need a new Slashdot category for "Predictions of the End of Moore's Law".

    --
    Patrick Doyle
    I mod down every jackass who puts his moderation policy in his sig. Oh, wait a sec....
  19. Re:Economics will cause Moore's Law to peter out by !Freeky2BGeeky · · Score: 1, Funny

    Or they themselves will become the transistors! Millions of engineers standing or sitting depending upon the state of 1 or 0.

    --

    Visualize Whirled Peas

  20. Time to start another flame war :) by RevMike · · Score: 2, Funny

    Question: Which will happen first - Moore's "law" will be broken or we'll have a compelling reason to switch everything to IPv6?

  21. SlashDotAgent's Law by SlashDotAgent · · Score: 2, Funny

    Ladies and Gentlemen, I proudly present to you SlashDotAgent's Law:

    This law states laws that govern new laws to govern new laws to govern electronics and transistors will become obsolete every few minutes and will be replaced by new and improved laws which again will become obsolete as we as slashdotters become more bored and find newer and better ways of wasting time by posting stupid comments.

  22. Shrinkage by Cajun+Hell · · Score: 2, Funny

    George: Hey, Elaine, you're a woman. Do women know about shrinkage?
    Elain: What, you mean like, with laundry?
    Jerry: Semiconductors. You know, when a man designs chips, year after year.
    Elaine: They shrink?
    George: Like a frightened turtle.
    Elaine: I don't know how you guys compute with those.

    --
    "Believe me!" -- Donald Trump
  23. Re:Moore's law is NOT obsolete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    she canna go any faster, capn

  24. Re:Oh, no! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    Don't count your eggs before they're hatched! MS Office will require 2000GB of RAM by then!