Slashdot Mirror

← Back to Stories (view on slashdot.org)

Cringely's 2004 Predictions

Posted by michael on from the talking-head dept.

somethinghollow writes "Cringely's 2004 Predictions are out, and he makes a very interesting claim concerning Linux: 'The SCO debacle has created a crisis within the Linux community. They pretend that it hasn't, but it has. This will come to a head in 2004 with either the development of a new organizational structure for Linux or the start of its demise. Linux has to grow or die, and the direction it takes will be determined in 2004.' With a claimed 70% successful prediction rate, you at least have to listen..."

9 of 436 comments (clear)

  1. I like this prediction... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    I predicted that Microsoft's Palladium security plan, now called Trustworthy Computing, would be distrusted and stall. That looks right to me.

    Predicting that a microsoft security product isn't reliable? Predicting that a microsoft product is late?

    Cringley is THE ORACLE!!

  2. Give Me A Break... by Bowie+J.+Poag · · Score: 4, Funny



    "They like to pretend that it hasn't, but it has."

    Yeah, just like I pretend that Cringley doesn't matter, but he does.

    --
    Bowie J. Poag

  3. It must be growing by rootnl · · Score: 3, Funny

    It used to fit on one cd, now it's 3 or more.

    --

    We are the people our parents warned us about.
  4. Non-prediction by wine · · Score: 4, Funny
    Linux has to grow or die: how can this be not true?

    I mean, isn't this like saying that the temperature tomorrow will either be lower of higher than today?

    1. Re:Non-prediction by bj8rn · · Score: 5, Funny

      He should just as well have put these predictions in quatrain.

      I. At the end of the year,
      Two choose new and one
      Will try to abuse, but
      Cause in them no fear.

      II.No man will be killed
      By means of net, but
      Many with their money
      Will be parted.

      III. The mail of lightning
      Will useless be, so Big
      Red something new proposes.
      But beware of traps!

      IV. Old things abandoned will be,
      And this many in danger
      Will certainly leave.
      A rusty knife can still kill.

      Need I go on?

      --
      Hell is not other people; it is yourself. - Ludwig Wittgenstein
  5. Off to a bad start by ozbird · · Score: 4, Funny

    Come back in 365 more days and see how I did.

    As 2004 is a leap year with 366 days, I'm guessing Cringely will get this prediction wrong...

  6. Those are not predictions, but observations by lastberserker · · Score: 2, Funny

    Check #3, for example, we _know_ MSR is working on this (there was a story here recently). Or #4, which is simply general trend. #7 is a BS: "Someone is going to come out of this a big winner. I just don't know who it is." Most of the rest are the same, including #15. Gee, tell me more, old toad ;-P

    --
    My other Beowulf cluster is... er...
  7. My 2004 Prediction by graveyardduckx · · Score: 3, Funny

    I predict 2004 will be different than 2003. I also predict that my prediction will be right. Now why don't I get coverage when my predictions are more accurate?

  8. Re:Don't panic! by nutshell42 · · Score: 2, Funny
    Hitchkiker's Guide to /. Linux Users: Don't Panic!

    SCO:
    Mostly Harmless

    --
    Don't think of it as a flame---it's more like an argument that does 3d6 fire damage