How Well Do You Estimate?
A random UK blogger has published a quiz asking readers to estimate various numeric values which they may or may not have knowledge of; and has analyzed the resulting answers to determine how well people guess. The first part of the results looks at some specific questions, and the second part takes a look at the quiz overall.
I estimate that I would end up somewhere in the middle.
With 44.7% accuracy!
more or less.
I am one of many. My idea is not unique, nor do I expect my voice alone to sway you. I speak in a chorus of opinion.
I would estimate that that server stayed up less than 2 minutes after the story was published. Mirrors anyone?
about 1 minute and 10 requests...
who the hell is Tony Benn by the way ?
Google passes Turing test : see my journal
that I will get a +3, funny
Don't waste your vote! Vote for whoever you want, unless you live in a swing state it won't matter anyways
Server timed out trying to contact ex-parrot.com.
Looks like we've got an ex-webserver on our hands.
.
.
"It's not dead, it's IIS!"
I'll estimate that in about an hour there will be 347 replies posted, about 10 of which will be +5 insightful and, oh, maybe 13 +5 funny.
Oh, yeah, it's not easy to pad these out to 120 characters.
that we'll end up with about 30 comments about how fast the site went down due to slashdotting....
I can usually estimate within plus or minus one or two Libraries of Congress every time.
Most folks are 70% correct, at least 30% of the time.
African or European?
ISP bill this month, but of course, this is only an estimation.
that should be +1, ironic
Don't waste your vote! Vote for whoever you want, unless you live in a swing state it won't matter anyways
... After a 2 year study, the National Science Foundation announced the following results on America's recreational preferences:
1. The sport of choice for unemployed or incarcerated people is: basketball.
2. The sport of choice for maintenance level employees is: bowling.
3. The sport of choice for blue-collar workers is: football.
4. The sport of choice for supervisors is: baseball.
5. The sport of choice for middle management is: tennis.
6. The sport of choice for corporate officers is: golf.
Conclusion: The higher you rise in the corporate structure, the smaller your balls become.
Free XBox, PS2
That's easy when you're just 5 minutes away and then drive around the block for 42 minutes.
A large Oak may have 250,000, and I have to rake up every !^$!$#@&%^$ one of them!
.signature not found
I guess it depends on if the chute opens or not
What? Your management actually pays attention to your estimates? Where I used to work, I was always told whatever I was working on would take two weeks, no matter whether I said it would take two days or two months!
What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
So - does that example have anything to do with your linked picture?
On second thoughts, I really don't want to know.
You're special forces then? That's great! I just love your olympics!
half of the time I'm almost always pretty close to the correct.
Free Scotland!
I'm assuming that you then double your estimate, or is this the friendly-fire method?
This next song is very sad. Please clap along. -- Robin Zander
So when you counted them, how many were there?
A former co-worker was telling us about some of her tutoring experiences. She was helping some high school kids with the concept of estimation. She looked at the ceiling and said you could estimate that it was about 10 feet high. She told them that "the great thing about estimation is that it doesn't have to be the 'right' answer."
So she pointed a car parked nearby and asked one of the students how far he thought the car was. His reply, "50 gallons."
Incredulous, she said that his answer didn't make sense.
"But that's the great thing about estimation! It doesn't have to be right!"
-- Don't Tase me, bro!
...he didn't go to college.
He was estimating the name of the book.
I still have more fans than freaks. WTF is wrong with you people?