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Hondas in Space

mikejz84 writes "Fast Company takes a look at SpaceX's attempt to challenge the high cost of space. This cost cutting philosophy includes buying equipment on eBay, looking to milk trucks for tank design ideas, and rummaging though junk yards. CEO Elon Musk remarks 'A Ferrari is a very expensive car. It is not reliable. But I would bet you 1,000-to-1 that if you bought a Honda Civic that that sucker will not break down in the first year of operation. You can have a cheap car that's reliable, and the same applies to rockets.'"

228 comments

  1. hahahaha by xbmodder · · Score: 0

    time to get cheap rockets? i have a bad feeling...

    1. Re:hahahaha by Rei · · Score: 1

      Making something "cheap" by trying to use off the shelf technology in a completely different environment than it was designed for and tested in tends to make things expensive in the long run.

      The environment inside a rocket engine is unlike much else that humans build. You deal with temperatures, pressures, vibrational loads, structural strength requirements, and extreme mass requirements completely unlike anything you'll find for a car or generally even an airplane.

      A part that may work perfectly for years in a car might melt in seconds in a rocket. Or corrode (in the high temperature oxidizing or reducing environment). Or have parts come loose under the vibrational load. Or crack from the strain. Or trash your mass ratio. Etc. Really, it's amazing that we're able to get out of this gravity well at all; you can't cut engineering corners. Even the oft denigrated Russian rockets are no simple beasts. Just because they tend to lack modern computer control and the like doesn't change the fact that they get their performance from tens to hundreds of thousands of carefully engineered parts and detailed analysis.

      --
      Freeze Ray. Tell your friends.
    2. Re:hahahaha by http101 · · Score: 1

      Either way, it'll still look like a lunchbox being fired into space, held together with duct tape, and somehow, will have a spoiler on it despite it's horrible aerodynamics...

      --
      -- Game Developers: Stop porting badly-textured games from crappy console systems!
  2. Wow. by modifried · · Score: 1

    I can't wait to ride to space in one of these.

    Hmm.. on second thought...

  3. Rockets? by Sangbin · · Score: 1

    I thought Honda already had their rice rockets

    1. Re:Rockets? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      for anyone not in the US: IINM, a 'rice rocket' is a car with all the go-faster accessories, like a big wing on the back, stripes down the side, and (in the US) aweful looking shiney chrome wheels (alloy wheels in other places).

    2. Re:Rockets? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Moreover, a "rice rocket" tends to look like it's supposed to go mach 2, when in reality it can't get out of it's own damn way.

  4. Rocket car by MarkRose · · Score: 4, Funny

    You can have a cheap car that's reliable, and the same applies to rockets.

    Or you can have a cheap car that is also a rocket!

    --
    Be relentless!
    1. Re:Rocket car by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For those of you who don't get it, read the wikipedia article he stole the image from.

    2. Re:Rocket car by Darkman,+Walkin+Dude · · Score: 1

      Or you can, in the true spirit of Open Source, roll your own.

  5. It is not about how much rocket costs.. by Pecisk · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ..but if it is relaiable. And guess what - those God damned expensive NASA rockets are most relayable ones. Strange, isn't it?
    If you have problems with your car, ups, rocket in the space, you are propably a gonner. There is no technical car service in the space. And I have big doubts if NASA can put out a resq. team specially for you :)

    --
    user@ubuntubox:~$ stfu This server is going down for shutdown NOW!
    1. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      yep. And because they are so expensive we use russian rockets for most of our space stuff.

      They are much cheaper, practicly military surplus. And generally 'reliable' enough. (although not always. look the death rate of Russian vs American astronaughts.)

      If you want to know something funny, our rockets burn a combination of liquid oxygen and nitrogen. Russian rockets burn fucking KEROSENE.

      What we need is cheap setup that takes the cheapness of russian rockets and combine them with the high quality of American made ones.

      Maybe honda can do a good job. Maybe not. There are a lot of Asian countries that would like to get into space and honda might be the ticket.

      Personally I think that resuable craft built by private industry would be the best ticket. But I suppose those are at least powered in space by rockets. (if they use a hybrid jet and rocket setup)

    2. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by M1FCJ · · Score: 3, Interesting
      which NASA rockets are you talking about? Atlas? Initial rockets were bought from army, now produced by Lockheed Martin for anyone who's ready to buy. Titan II? Again borrowed from army initially (original contractor), now produced by Lockheed Martin. Redstone? Originally built by US army itself, under the guidance of von Braun.

      OK, let's look at the recent manned launchers. Which one shall we pick. Soyuz? Not a single manned launch accident in 20 years. Errm, that's not NASA and not even US. Russians got that one right (shame about L1 though).

    3. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by gl4ss · · Score: 2, Insightful

      and here i was thinking that russians had the ball on both reliability and cost.

      the analogy sucks though, and who the hell would be stupid enough to bet that a new car wouldn't break, be it a honda, vw, mercedes-benz, jaguar or a ford.

      --
      world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
    4. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by JumperCable · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Actually it just came out that they are preparing a standby shuttle for future missions. NASA Resume Story Of course if you go up in your private rocket, they may expect you to foot the bill for the rescue.

    5. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      *They are much cheaper, practicly military surplus. And generally 'reliable' enough. (although not always. look the death rate of Russian vs American astronaughts.)*

      huh? W T F? if you really took a look in them you'd see them being better... what's sojuz reliability anyhow? a solid 100%?

    6. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by Fentisen · · Score: 3, Funny

      "There is no technical car service in the space." You have not been to space have you?

    7. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by roxtar · · Score: 2, Insightful
      I don't think that these missions are too serious enough and they are surely not sending people up there (FTA Five months later, Musk used some of his estimated $328 million fortune to fund Space Exploration Technologies (SpaceX), with the ambitious -- some might say absurd -- goal of building a rocket that would send small payloads into low-Earth orbit at one-tenth the going rate in the United States.).

      So maintainance is really not the prime concern. IMO the real concern would be to get the rockets into space, which in itself would be a great achievement.

    8. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by Spy+Hunter · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The analogy also sucks because cars are mass-produced by the millions. If they only ever built 20 Honda Civics, they would cost a lot more than they do. The cost of developing the design of the Honda Civic is known only to Honda, but I could easily imagine it approaching the price of a typical space system; especially if you factor in the cost of its predecessors whose designs it borrows from (since that borrowing is not nearly as easy to do in a space system which is not merely a yearly update of a previous model). Only by selling hundreds of thousands of cars does Honda recoup that cost.

      --
      main(c,r){for(r=32;r;) printf(++c>31?c=!r--,"\n":c<r?" ":~c&r?" `":" #");}
    9. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by Detritus · · Score: 2, Interesting

      NASA did the development of the Centaur upper stage and pioneered cryogenic (H2 and O2) fueled rocketry. They also did much of the launch vehicle development for Atlas, Delta and Titan, in between their initial development for the military and their eventual privatization.

      --
      Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
    10. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by drgonzo59 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The fact is that the old Russian rockets with 60's electronics still work and reliably get people back and forth from space while shuttles stay grounded. You can still build stuff simple (not the same thing as cheap though!) and make it at the same time reliable, just need good engineers for that. I wouldn't say though that they built their stuff cheaply, at that time they probably funneled more resources into the space program than NASA, they just had a different design philosophy.

      The same is true about the Kalashnikov, it was build simple and reliable because having it work in any conditions was essential. You can drag it though mud, snow and sand and it will still shoot. While at the same time the more modern M16 rifle would get jammed in the Vietnamese jungle.

      But, I don't think that the analogy of Honda would work, because there is still a trade-off between cheap and reliable. The cost of having well-trained engineers and designers and testing does cost money.

    11. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by Sique · · Score: 3, Informative

      Usually the price tag for developping a new car for mass production is estimated between US$ 2 and 2.5 billion. If a car sells 1 mio units during its production cycle, it's still between US$ 2000 and 2500 development cost per car.
      So if you build a rocket for X-Price with the hope to get 5 units running, and it would cost you about US$ 2 billion to design it, then the price per rocket will still be at 400 mio US$, much mor than the original X-Price is worth.

      --
      .sig: Sique *sigh*
    12. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by brainstyle · · Score: 2, Informative
      Keep in mind that with the SpaceX approach, a lot of the parts they're using aren't custom desgined - unlike what you might find in a traditional rocket. So they have proven reliability. Well, proven reliability on Earth without all that space radiation stuff, but proven relaibility nonetheless.

      Besides, the world's only mass-produced rocket had some reliability issues, from what I understand. So mass production doesn't guarentee it'll be good.

      --
      "Why can't everyone just be straight with me?"
      "Because we live in a bendy world, dear."
    13. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Reminds me of the supposedly true (I doubt it somehow) story that NASA spent 5 million dollars and 8 years researching and developing a pen that would work in space... the russians used pencils...

    14. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by MtViewGuy · · Score: 1

      However, you forget that the R-7 rocket that was developed during the 1950's had to be extremely reliable due to the fact it was designed as an ICBM and it needed to carry the quite heavy Soviet-designed nuclear warheads of that period. It took them years to get that rocket to work reliably, given the number of launch failures of R-7 rockets during late 1950's; the Russians really crossed their fingers launching the early Sputniks given the failure rate of the R-7 back then. By the middle 1960's the R-7 design was reliable enough that they were used to launch numerous "spy" satellites for the Russians, essentially highly-modified Vostok capsules loaded with cameras and film.

    15. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by mOoZik · · Score: 2, Informative

      V2 rockets did not have reliability problems. Not only were they designed in such a way so as to make assembly by prisoners possible - which also introduced defects in the process - but they relied on very, very primitive gyros for navigation. That fact alone accounts for the poor accuracy of the rockets. Otherwise, they were a great feat of engineering. Hell, the Canadian X-Prize team used a copy of the propulsion system because of its reliability!

    16. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by M1FCJ · · Score: 1
      Go and read some of the NASA history books. For Gemini they chose Titan II because it was already chosen for Air Force's MOM so they thought they would benefit from not paying for R&D. In all cases until Saturn, NASA bought vehicles "off the shelf", all of the previous launchers were ICMBs or shorter range launch vehicles.

      NASA don't do development for launch vehicles, they buy it from third parties.

    17. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      In 1996 Ford admitted to spending 8.3 billion developing the Taurus. Detroit insiders say that is typical for bread-and-butter cars with high sales numbers. For vehicles with less potential, the numbers look more like yours.

    18. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by hhawk · · Score: 1

      Sounds like they will have a good SPACE product BUT their Sound BITE doesn't' hold water..

      The Ferrari vs. Honda is true in terms of reliability and the cost is clearly cheaper. But why?

      1 Is mass manufactured.
      1 Is basically Custom Made

      Also to consider is the PERFORMANCE Envelope.

      Forgetting the "rice bucket" mods that can be made (and would certainly LOWER reliability), one of these cars as very average handling, acceleration, braking, etc. The other has nearly race car performance levels.

      It's the extra performance that costs reliability.

      Race cars, real race cars, need their engines rebuilt after EVERY race. Compare that to a street Ferrari and the performance is great. I'm sure the average Ferrari owner NEVER needs a new engine or has to have his or hers rebuilt after every FEW hours of operations.

      So yes, Honda cheaper and doesn't break but NO doesn't have the same performance and compared to a race car the Ferrari is also very reliable.

      --
      http://www.hawknest.com/
    19. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by CrocketAndTubbs · · Score: 1
    20. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      the trade-off is not between cheap and reliable. it is between cheap and reliable, and cheap and functional. if you spend more money, or are willing to sacrifice reliability, you can make a vehicle that can do more. this has been demonstrated by the space shuttle orbiter time and time again. the design can do a whole lot, and is very versatile - and it has a zillion potential points of failure. there is also a tradeoff between functional and reliable, again because making the system more complicated makes it more likely to fail. therefore it makes the most sense (at least to me) to use largely disposable, inexpensive rockets to put people in orbit, and to use capsules with parachutes to take them out of it, at least until the advent of the space elevator and/or the development of a rocket (or other craft) that is useful for landing on its own thrust.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    21. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by ScottKin · · Score: 1, Informative

      The largest "successful" rocket ever built - NASA's Saturn V - used Kerosene and LOX (Liquid Oxygen) for the 1st stage.

      Also, I think you got nitrogen mixed-up with hydrogen. Nitrogen is mostly inert, but it *is* used to manage volume expansion in fuel tanks and additional exhaust nozzle bell cooling.

      --ScottKin

      --
      I don't give a rat's behind about "karma" here or anywhere else. Don't like what I have to say here? Deal with it!
    22. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by UniverseIsADoughnut · · Score: 1

      Furthermore, you can't price your rocket and ship out based on used parts, salvage and ebay stuff anyways.

      When do something like this for anyone to care it has to be all available/still made parts that anyone can get and priced at their actual price. In other words, if it works could you build them over and over and at what price.

      Saying "you suck nasa, look what we did" when you managed to find a main engine to a saturn V on ebay for 25 bucks, or bought some dented Russian rockets cheap doesn't really count.

      Using used parts are fine for a one time thing to show you could do it. Burt Rutan used some used Jet engines for white knight. But if he was to build more of them over again, he would have to go to new engines and add that to the overall cost.

    23. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      No used parts are actually going on the rocket, at least according to the article. The only used parts they bought are a theodolite (a surveying tool to help align the rocket) and an old rocket fairing (to run some tests on, not put on the rocket).

    24. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by westlake · · Score: 1
      space pen

      a legend, the pen was privately funded, and had a legitimate purpose
      you do not want graphite dust and particles finding lodgement in circuits and wiring and being ignited by chance in an oxygen-rich environment.

    25. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by David's+Boy+Toy · · Score: 1

      Russia has a better safety record than we do, they don't put as much effort into safety. Rather they put efforts into making things cheaply, which translates into simplicity, which translates into less failure modes.

      Its kind of like software. Try to sell some simple reliable perl code to "an interprise", and they want it rewritten using oracle, XML and Java, and a dozen other "technologies". The thing cost 100 times more, runs like a pig, and is much less reliable as a result of throwing money at it.

    26. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe someday you'll learn to clarify a point without acting like a pretentious tool. But i doubt it.

    27. Re:It is not about how much rocket costs.. by Muhammar · · Score: 1

      Kalashnikov: The guy designed it simple because he never even attended a high school. He was a naturaly gifted boy from a remote village where almost everybody was a sheppard.

      Also, there is huge tolerance between moving parts in AK47 (the production could not handle more precise specifications)- hence the typical rattling sound. It is the use of loose-fitting parts which makes it less prone to jamming. Also, the chamber was made from a single block of metal and was nickel-plated to accomodate a cheap and exceptionaly nasty soviet propellant - which incidentaly made it more rust-resistant.

      So it was a durability by necessity rather than by foresight. The typical soviet design goes like this: "how do we compensate for lousy technology we have? - we will add twice as much metal everywhere"

      --
      I doubt that we will ever figure out - and I suspect that even if we did figure out we couldn't do much about it
  6. Yeah by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    .......I always liked the idea of Mad Max in space.

  7. Yeah but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    You can pick up way more hot chicks with a Ferrari than you can with a Honda. 'Nuf said.

    1. Re:Yeah but... by Vampo · · Score: 2, Informative

      That's only because chicks don't know you are driving a veeeery expensive FIAT.

      To be serious though, in terms of usability and reliability (poster's original point), the Honda still wins hands down.

    2. Re:Yeah but... by Dragon+Rojo · · Score: 0

      Just imagine the faces of alien chicks when you pass by in your flamant earth-made rocket civic

    3. Re:Yeah but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I doubt very much any astronaught who puts forth enough effort to leave the house has any trouble getting laid.

    4. Re:Yeah but... by pegasustonans · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That depends. And I'd say a Honda NSX is pretty nifty.

      --
      And all our yesterdays have lighted fools The way to dusty death. --Will
    5. Re:Yeah but... by tverbeek · · Score: 3, Funny
      You can pick up way more hot chicks with a Ferrari than you can with a Honda. 'Nuf said.

      Yeah, but what then? My Honda has a back seat.

      --
      http://alternatives.rzero.com/
    6. Re:Yeah but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's actually the theory that has determined the course of the manned US space program over the last 30 years: You can pick up more chicks flying something that looks like an airplane than you can hanging from a parachute in a capsule.

    7. Re:Yeah but... by nickscalise · · Score: 1

      In the US, Honda doesn't want the NSX associated with the Honda name, it's an Acura NSX.

    8. Re:Yeah but... by dustmite · · Score: 1

      Back seat? Well I have a double-bed. (Seriously, for anyone but kids with with nowhere else to fool about, the back seat of a car is a pretty overrated place to do so.)

    9. Re:Yeah but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can pick up way more hot chicks with a Ferrari than you can with a Honda. 'Nuf said.

      Somehow I think that if you're in an equivalent Ferrari rocket, once ignited you won't pick up much other than extreme speed.

    10. Re:Yeah but... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      In the US, consumers are stupid enough to be fooled by the fact that a car company has a different name. then again they will buy fords made by kia, chevys made by toyota, dodges made by mitsubishi, and so on, when you can buy the same car from the original manufacturer for far less (in the case of the ford aspire, the kia squashed-jellybean car it is a copy of was $5,000 less, and neither was very expensive to begin with...) The fact is that Americans are easily led by advertising, and most of them are predjudiced against Hondas even though they are superior to their so-called american cars in every way but the arrangement of interior room.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    11. Re:Yeah but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My full-size sedan's front bench seat is bigger than your Honda's back seat, not to mention that my back seat is about the size of a sofa . . . Who says the Grand Marquis is just for old people?

    12. Re:Yeah but... by michaelhood · · Score: 1

      But Fonda ain't got a motor in the back of her Honda.

    13. Re:Yeah but... by http101 · · Score: 1

      "brrring-ding-ding-ding-ding baaaaaaaaaah, buttabah, buttabah, buttabah... BOWWWWWWwwww...."

      --
      -- Game Developers: Stop porting badly-textured games from crappy console systems!
    14. Re:Yeah but... by http101 · · Score: 1

      *cough, cough, cough* V6 *cough, cough, hack*

      --
      -- Game Developers: Stop porting badly-textured games from crappy console systems!
  8. Because it is funny by dretay · · Score: 1

    Upper management digging through dupsters looking for parts to the design I create.....

  9. Japan the American way. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How about Yamahas, Daihatus, Toyotas in space ?

  10. Ferrari by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    is not reliable??

    are you kidding, you might mean not practical, but please dont say not reliable. I hope they dont damn sue you over this.

  11. From the same company... by lpangelrob2 · · Score: 2, Funny

    Well, seeing as they already make lawnmowers, snowblowers, ATVs. industrial generators, motorcycles, boats, scooters, jetskis, and tillers and trimmers... I for one look forward to greeting the new Honda Rocket division.

    1. Re:From the same company... by Detritus · · Score: 1

      How about Mitsubishi Rockets, from the folks that brought you the Zero.

      --
      Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
    2. Re:From the same company... by thecardinal · · Score: 1

      There is already a "rocket" on the road - the Light Car Company Rocket. Its an open-wheeler, 1+1 design, with a 1 liter bike engine. Amazing performance, designed by Gordon Murray (of McLaren F1 cars fame).

    3. Re:From the same company... by hcdejong · · Score: 1

      Mitsubishi is already involved in the Japanese space program, producing e.g. rocket engines. No cookie-cutter production techniques there, though.

    4. Re:From the same company... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Naturally, their top competition will be Canadian equipment manufacturer Bombardier, which makes bullet trains, snowmobiles, jet-skis, civilian aircraft, passenger aircraft, and fighter aircraft...

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    5. Re:From the same company... by the+pickle · · Score: 1

      Don't forget aircraft and jet engines.

      p

  12. hondas, ferraris and ebay by RocketRainbow · · Score: 1

    Well I'd rather fly into space in a honda than in a ferrari. I mean, sure, you take off alright in both, but then you pretty quickly need to select second gear and the ferrari will only go crunch.

    On the other hand, I'd rather fly in either of them than in a contraption of ebay components gaffa-taped into a rocket shape. I mean, I'm reasonably sure those are real swarovski crystals, but quality control is much higher on a rocket than on a wedding dress, right?

    right?

    --
    *#*#*#*#*#******* I love peanut butter sandwiches!
    1. Re:hondas, ferraris and ebay by Dragon+Rojo · · Score: 0

      You really have never seen a woman buying a wedding dress right?

    2. Re:hondas, ferraris and ebay by RocketRainbow · · Score: 1
      Dragon Rojo said: " You really have never seen a woman buying a wedding dress right?"

      I am a woman, and my wedding dress is hanging up in the next room! But, it needs altering to suit my shape and tastes, as it is currently as worn by my mother on her wedding day, so I've been buying small Swarovski bicone beads, fabric roses, ribbons and new buttons (the old buttons have lost their pearly sheen) but finding perfectly matching crush satin for the lining is proving to be a challenge.

      Luckily, I dreamed about the sort of wedding dress I wanted to get married in when I was a little girl, so now all I have to do is work my tailor silly until it gets just perfect!

      Does that answer your question?

      --
      *#*#*#*#*#******* I love peanut butter sandwiches!
    3. Re:hondas, ferraris and ebay by Dragon+Rojo · · Score: 0

      After this, do you still belive that quality control is much higher on a rocket than on a wedding dress? ;)

    4. Re:hondas, ferraris and ebay by eclectro · · Score: 1

      Well I'd rather fly into space in a honda than in a ferrari.

      Sir, your car awaits you.

      ....thanks imageshack

      --
      Take the cheese to sickbay, the doctor should see it as soon as possible - B'Elanna Torres, "Learning Curve"
    5. Re:hondas, ferraris and ebay by winwar · · Score: 1

      Personally, I would rather fly into space on a rocket designed for the task.

      Cars don't seem ideal for achieving orbit or surviving reentry.

      Of course, if I am going to die in a massive explosion, I would choose the Ferrari.

    6. Re:hondas, ferraris and ebay by RocketRainbow · · Score: 1

      Look, I can only hope so. Designing a wedding dress is a pretty hit and miss affair. You can't get the right roses so you go for ones a different shade of pinky wihte. You can't get the tanzanite crystals so you go for the amethyst ones and mix them in with light sapphire. I'd expect a rocket to be built as designed. If Gaudi needed to build an upside-down model covered in weights just to get the design right for a cathedral, then a rocket should be even more carefully planned.

      --
      *#*#*#*#*#******* I love peanut butter sandwiches!
  13. Re:Ferraris by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    They aren't meant to be reliable. They're meant to be fast, and cool, which they are. But they aren't meant to be everyday drive-it-to-work cars, and they are in the shop a lot more often than your average Honda Civic.

  14. well that is reall insightless by lanc · · Score: 2, Interesting


    Honda Civic vs cheap? A Suzuki maybe.
    And since when are rockets mass-produced? Man you need mass-productive experience, to create cheap and reliable transport.

    However I do agree that costs can be surely reduced with an order of magnitude with careful planning, and keeping an eye on cost-effectiveness.

    --
    "First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they attack you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi
  15. But, cost is a consideration! by mcrbids · · Score: 4, Interesting

    If it costs $1,000,000 per pound to send somebody to space, virtually nobody goes to space, no matter how "safe". At that cost, it isn't worth it.

    However, when the cost comes down enough, SO WHAT if a few people die?

    Now, it sounds callous, but when you look at statistis, Motorcycles (AKA murder-cycles) are MIGHTY DANGEROUS..

    NOBODY IS BANNING THE KAWASAKI, ARE THEY?

    When you see somebody get on board a relatively cheap, fast, murder-cycle, do you tell them about the risks?

    See, when space travel is cheap and "good enough", people will use it, even if it's as dangerous as a (gulp!) murder-cycle.

    --
    I have no problem with your religion until you decide it's reason to deprive others of the truth.
    1. Re:But, cost is a consideration! by richie2000 · · Score: 1
      Motorcycles (AKA murder-cycles) are MIGHTY DANGEROUS.

      Hm. Let's have a look at those statistics, shall we?

      Motorcycles: 22 deaths per 100 million veh. miles
      Railway: 1.6 deaths per million train miles
      - that translates to 160 deaths per 100 million train miles.

      Or, put it another way:

      Motor Vehicle, General Population Risk Per Year: 1 in 6,300
      Motorcycles, General Population Risk Per Year: 1 in 119,000

      The discrepancy is due to people in average traveling much shorter distances on bikes than in cars per year. So which would you ban first, cars or trains?

      --
      Money for nothing, pix for free
    2. Re:But, cost is a consideration! by WormholeFiend · · Score: 1

      The discrepancy is due to people in average traveling much shorter distances on bikes than in cars per year. So which would you ban first, cars or trains?

      There's also fewer motorcycles on the road than there are cars. Also, in trains, there is a higher passenger density, which increases the number of victims per accident.

    3. Re:But, cost is a consideration! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As a graduate student in Statistics, I nearly hit the floor when I read your post in disgust. Please stop abusing our method!

    4. Re:But, cost is a consideration! by mikelmoore · · Score: 1

      Don't give the risk averse PC nazi's any ideas....after all, they know what's good for us far better than we do!

      --
      I can be found @ 127.0.0.0
    5. Re:But, cost is a consideration! by myowntrueself · · Score: 1

      "So which would you ban first, cars or trains?"

      If it were up to me -- and I'm crazy, lets get that straight -- I'd ban anything powered and under human control (ie not including feet) from the road.

      When humans will gab on the cellphone while driving a truck around a sharp corner on a busy street, they demonstrate themselves incapable (as a species) of the sort of (self) control needed for safe operation of a vehicle. Period.

      --
      In the free world the media isn't government run; the government is media run.
    6. Re:But, cost is a consideration! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Err, something is wrong with those numbers. DOT (and the NHTSA, where they get the major source of info) has been very political in the past, and still is today. Who recalls the ad campaigns during the CAFE proposal pitting a Geo against a Crown Victoria? But back onto the topic of MCs...

      Misinformation passed around in the DOT led to a study by Prof.Harry Hurt, dubbed "The Hurt Report", that investigated leading causes of MC injury. The number one cause of accident and death of a rider was another vehicle failing to yield the right of way (66%). I agree that the results of such a collision are more severe than had the rider been encased in a steel coccoon, but everybody who sets astride a bike is aware of the risks.

      The odd thing is, most motorcycle riders have a bit more training than the average car driver on the roads today (given the fact that typical motorcyclists have two licenses, one for their car and another for their bike, plus many opted to get their license via a state-run training course). it's really car-drivers that pose the biggest threat to anybody on the roads, be it running down a motorcyclist, to plowing through a farmers market on a Sunday morning. Sadly, one of the biggest lobbies in the US toaday is the automotive manufacturers lobby (why do you think Firestone took the fall for the whole Ford Explorer rollover debacle?).

      Banning SUVs and motorcycles is not the route we should be taking, but rather more restrictive licensing for drivers and riders.

    7. Re:But, cost is a consideration! by richie2000 · · Score: 1

      Yes, but that's Darwinism for you. I just wish all cars had a 3" long sharp and shiny metal spike in the hub of the steering wheel instead of an airbag.

      --
      Money for nothing, pix for free
    8. Re:But, cost is a consideration! by the+pickle · · Score: 1

      When you see somebody get on board a relatively cheap, fast, murder-cycle, do you tell them about the risks?

      If you did, you'd be putting your front teeth back in your jaw.

      Just sayin'.

      There's almost nothing that pisses off motorcyclists more than someone who doesn't ride one telling us how suicidal we are.

      p

    9. Re:But, cost is a consideration! by dabraun · · Score: 1

      You might want to look up the definition of murder. The word you are looking for is suicide-cycle - not that many people are killed by motorcyclists (certainly fewer than are killed by cars/trucks - both in absolute terms and in per-vehicle terms).

      Doing something dangerous that only harms yourself - why would you ban that? Let people make themselves examples of natural selection at work - what do you care?

      I climb mountains. It carries risks. I'm still going to do it - it's part of what I enjoy in life and the risk is worth it to me. Not your problem.

    10. Re:But, cost is a consideration! by DancesWithBlowTorch · · Score: 1
      If it costs $1,000,000 per pound to send somebody to space, virtually nobody goes to space, no matter how "safe".
      I would cut of an order of magnitude from that. More like 100.000$ per pound (or 100.000 EUR per kg :-). Otherwise, sending 7 Astronauts on a Space-Shuttle mission would be priced at around 1.4 billion dollar. That is per flight, not including any payload. That should be too much, even for NASA's bloated budget.

      Apart from that, Space travel is still very dangerous, even for the "professional" astronauts of today (you remember there was this issue with the last space shuttle mission?). Think about how few people actually had the chance to get into orbit and compare this to the losses. I don't think motorcycles come anywhere near that. Todays space travel is quite expensive, but still not safe at any means. Let's see how Virgin Space's profits react to the first crash of one of their ships...
    11. Re:But, cost is a consideration! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most motorcycle accidents aren't caused by mechanical failures or anything else related to the quality or reliability of the vehicle. Most of them are caused by errors in judgement and unnecessary risk-taking. Not always on the part of the motorcycle-driver (cars often misjudge or even simply don't see motorcycles in traffic).

    12. Re:But, cost is a consideration! by sjames · · Score: 1

      Banning SUVs and motorcycles is not the route we should be taking, but rather more restrictive licensing for drivers and riders.

      In theory, a motor vehicle license is required ONLY due to the hazzard the operator represents to other people and their property. The operator's own safety is, in theory, irrelevant to licensing.

      With a motorcycle (no passenger), the risk is primarily on the operator. Operating a motorcycle tends to keep the operator viscerally aware of the potential dangers. While a motorcycle travelling at high speed certainly can cause property damage, as well as injury or death for others, the operator will get the worst of it, and tends to be well aware of that.

      On the other hand, with a car, the risk is primarily to others. Being enclosed in a metal cage, cut off from the environment, the automobile creates a false sense of security. The operator is intellectually aware of the potential dangers, but has little visceral sense of it. The operator can easily cause a great deal of property damage as well as injuries and death to others without physical harm to themselves. The increased mass of the vehicle increases the potential harm to others.

      Because the automobile insulates the operator from a sense of danger, a higher degree of training is required to operate the vehicle safely for others.

      It is noteworthy that operating a motorcycle requires a higher degree of training to operate safely for ONESELF. A fair part of that is due to the need to avoid the dangers presented by automobile operators who are blissfully unaware of the dangers they create for others (ever ride down the highway with some idiot behind you who thinks 2 feet is a safe following distance?) Much of motorcycle training focuses on defensive driving to compensate for idiot drivers who are so unaware of their surroundings that they don't even see motorcycles.

      So, given the balance of risks, why is it easier to get a license for a car?

  16. Bad analogy by mboverload · · Score: 1

    Almost all cars bought on the market today will go up to 100,000 miles without a checkup (sure, they say you should get one, but if your a cheapss you can push it). However, a spacecraft is only going around 600 miles at most during a flight. The space station is at 250 miles and I'm sure that no commerical rocket will get there anyway.

    1. Re:Bad analogy by 1u3hr · · Score: 2, Informative
      However, a spacecraft is only going around 600 miles at most during a flight.

      Every orbit, 90 minutes or so, is at least 25,000 miles.

    2. Re:Bad analogy by mboverload · · Score: 1

      These commercial spacecraft are not orbiting the planet, just going up and down.

    3. Re:Bad analogy by HeghmoH · · Score: 1

      Wrong. SpaceX's goal is sending things into orbit, not suborbital shots.

      --
      Mod down posts with a "Free Mac Mini/iPod" sig, they're spam!
    4. Re:Bad analogy by 1u3hr · · Score: 1
      These commercial spacecraft are not orbiting the planet, just going up and down.

      Rutan's just went up and down; SpaceX's are supposed to launch satellites. RTFA....

    5. Re:Bad analogy by boeman · · Score: 1

      Uhh, I'm not going to give a lecture in Spaceflight Dynamics, but I think you have some serious misconceptions about orbital mechanics if you think that a rocket goes in a straight line from the launch pad to the Space Station.

  17. Stereotypes by OlivierB · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Come on, although the poster might have a point in saying that Hondas are extremely reliable, he just cannot say Ferraris are not reliable and will break-down.

    I am the -lucky- friend of a Ferrari owner's son. He's had a Maserati cambiocorsa and now owns a 575 Maranello.
    Yes these things have un-satisfiable thirst.
    Yes they cost a shit load in insurance.
    Yes you will change the tires every 5000 Miles

    However,
    No they will not break-down as you go for a WE trip

    People will break-down with ferraris just a much as any other car when all you do is trash it at the green lights (kills the clutch, transmission and tires).
    A lot of these people go out on the tracks come bitching about brakes screaching and all is normal.

    Pretty much any car, will have reduced life expectancy if you abuse it. And I think there is a higher tentation trashing a Ferrari than a measly Civic LX.

    There is a good reason why Ferraris are the best selling super-sport cars (besides Porsche). And yes reliability is increasingly a reason for that.

    --
    Artificial intelligence is no match for natural stupidity
    1. Re:Stereotypes by marat · · Score: 2, Insightful

      This is not an automotive site, but H12 have some issues against L4 or even V6 by design. And any work with H12 will cost you much more as well, even without Ferrary price tag. (I'm not talking about people buying used sport cars for a penny now.) Trying to make service more rare will once again make parts more expensive, there's no exit. So still design goals do mean something.

      To the rockets - think of mass production is always cheaper per unit, but more expensive in total. If you spend country budget it is one thing, if you sell to a market - it's another. Trick here is to create a market.

    2. Re:Stereotypes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Honda beats Ferrari in terms of engineering in every possible way. If you want a fast car, get a Ferrari. If you want a well-thought-out car, get a Honda.

    3. Re:Stereotypes by dourk · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I don't believe that he was claiming the Ferraris would break down, more along the lines of their high maintenance costs, such as your 5000 mile tire estimate. And what does a Ferrari tire cost? Maybe you can get one for $250. You could suit up a whole civic for that price, and drive 40,000 miles on them.

      Were I to win the lottery, or some other way become wealthy, I'd certainly buy a Ferarri. No question.

      --
      Wake up.
    4. Re:Stereotypes by thepoch · · Score: 1

      No they will not break-down as you go for a WE trip

      Did you mean WEEEEEEEE! trip?

    5. Re:Stereotypes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      With my VW Beetle (old 69), it's the miles above 350K that you have to be on your toes for such things as needing a paint job, having to grease the window roll-up mechanism, etc.

    6. Re:Stereotypes by Dolphinzilla · · Score: 1

      Every possbile way ? I doubt it.. - Each vehicle is engineered to a different set of design goals - if I want super gas mileage I'd buy the Honda, if I want a fast and great handling car I go Ferrari - not that you can't re-engineer a Honda to go fast or handle well but you will spend money to do it and its not in the design from the ground up so it ends up being a compromise usually. I prefer Porsches to Ferraris and own two of them, I have also owned a Mitsubishis and Nissans, and the Porsche is FAR better engineered than any of those cars - I drive my 993 every day to work (80 miles round trip) it gets reasonable gas mileage (~26 mpg hwy) and hardly needs any attention other than gas, tires and oil changes - my wifes Caravan has needed far more work than the 993 - numerous electrical problems etc... Contemporary Ferraris like are extremely well thought out and well engineered. I wish I could afford one !

    7. Re:Stereotypes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I am the proud owner of a Honda Civic, but Ferrari is not only horsepower. They are no less than Honda in engineering department. IIRC Honda has the highest HP per liter of engine displacement (240 HP in a 2.0 liter engine - S2000), but Ferrari comes a close second.

      I don't know much about the body, though...

    8. Re:Stereotypes by drinkypoo · · Score: 2, Insightful
      I don't think you know as much as you think you do about cars. Ferraris are known to break down more often than other cars, because in order to achieve performance you must make compromises. One of those is reliability. When you are getting more horsepower per cubic inch, there are simply greater stresses involved. When you are trying to save weight, you typically create something that is less durable. Ferraris are no exception.

      My Nissan 240SX has over 263,000 miles on it and still pulls strong. The cost of purchasing and maintaining this vehicle is less than the cost to maintain the ferrari over the same number of miles. The car does less than even a Ferrari 308 GT, but I (and previous owners) have driven the piss out of it and sometimes neglected maintenance on it, such as when we were too poor to perform it, and it has reacted admirably.

      Ferraris are not engineered primarily for reliability, because that is not their owners' primary goal. They can afford to repair the cars, so they buy them even though they are not all that reliable. They COULD be buying an Acura NSX, which does nearly the same stuff, but they want a Ferrari. Nothing wrong with that, I'd like to have one too, but it's simply not as reliable as a Japanese import.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    9. Re:Stereotypes by danila · · Score: 2, Informative

      I don't know about Ferraris, but I talked with a director of a Porsche dealership and he told that most repairs are cosmetic (scratched paint, a handle or something breaking off, etc.). They alsmost never need to fix anything under the hood. Expensive cars are built very well.

      Of course, I don't think you need to spend 500000$ on a car to make it reliable. It's just that you can't justify 100% reliability for a 20000$ car, so the manufacturers purposefully use slightly less reliable and much cheaper parts. If someone wanted that, a reliable version of a cheap car could be probably built for only 20-50% more.

      --
      Future Wiki -- If you don't think about the future, you cannot have one.
    10. Re:Stereotypes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      I dunno about that. I used to drive a Volvo, and then I bought a Honda CR-V.

      Cheezy construction. Ultra-thin steel. The cat converter shield rusted out and fell off after three (3) years. That's pathetic.

      The Volvo lasted me 21 years, and I only got rid of it because the salted roads here in Toronto rusted the frame so badly it was about to collapse.

      Given how thin the underbody steel is by comparison, it'll be a miracle if the Honda lasts 10 years.

      Not to say that Honda is bad or anything; it's just that most all cars these days are disposable crap.

    11. Re:Stereotypes by Cirvam · · Score: 1

      Just wanted to say 993s are awesome. Is it a turbo version? Its funny that the 993 is more expensive in most cases then the newer 996. (On the used market)

    12. Re:Stereotypes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      a WE trip? weekend? westend? we the people? or did you mean wee?

    13. Re:Stereotypes by Dolphinzilla · · Score: 1

      The 993's seem to be holding their value better than the later 996 water cooled cars. Personally I think the look better, in fact the new 997 looks more like a 993 than a 996. I purchased mine on e-bay for less than the price of a new Honda :-)

    14. Re:Stereotypes by toddestan · · Score: 1

      I agree. Honda's have great engines in them, but the rest of the car is crap. Cheap, flimsy construction that just falls apart. Not to mention a lot of things that just don't seem to be made to be replaced. But hey - when the car's time is up, you'll probably be able to drive it to the junkyard.

    15. Re:Stereotypes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No kidding? A dealer said that about his own cars? Then certainly it must be true...

    16. Re:Stereotypes by chainsaw1 · · Score: 1

      The Goodyear GS-C's on a Camaro Z28 run about $315/tire not counting internet specials...

      --
      - Sig
  18. um, car's aren't rockets... by Disperz · · Score: 3, Insightful

    A Ferrari is a very expensive car. It is not reliable. But I would bet you 1,000-to-1 that if you bought a Honda Civic that that sucker will not break down in the first year of operation. You can have a cheap car that's reliable, and the same applies to rockets How can you compare automobiles to spacecraft? The reason those Civic's are so damn reliable is that they've been making them for years. It really is not feasible to mass produce rocket ships in this manner. Especially when they're talking about buying spare parts off of eBay! When a car breaks down everyone doesn't DIE. Rockets are not cars. They are ridiculously more complicated and there is too much at stake when an error occurs. These things should be left to NASA.

    --
    Do you see how my mind works? It's like a laser!
    1. Re:um, car's aren't rockets... by HeghmoH · · Score: 2

      NASA, whose rockets blow up when they launch in cold weather? NASA, whose craft break up on re-entry just because they got smacked with some foam? What evidence do you have that NASA is better at this than anybody else?

      --
      Mod down posts with a "Free Mac Mini/iPod" sig, they're spam!
    2. Re:um, car's aren't rockets... by winwar · · Score: 1

      "What evidence do you have that NASA is better at this than anybody else?"

      Well, your first example was a known (potential) failure mode (so don't launch in cold weather). In your second example, a rocket didn't blow up, now did it?

      To answer your question, when was the last time a manned NASA rocket blew up when it was launched during the proper weather conditions? Never. Of course, past events may not have a bearing on future reliability...

    3. Re:um, car's aren't rockets... by HeghmoH · · Score: 4, Interesting

      When was the last time a manned rocket flown by a private company blew up when it was launched during the proper weather conditions?

      Your argument is basically, "NASA has experience, others don't". In fact, nobody has any idea whether NASA is better or worse than private companies because none of them have tried anything yet. You're just making a gigantic assumption based on the idea that if they have experience, they must be good at it.

      --
      Mod down posts with a "Free Mac Mini/iPod" sig, they're spam!
    4. Re:um, car's aren't rockets... by pHatidic · · Score: 1

      Except for that NASA has already been buying parts of eBay for years. Where do you think they get all their old computer hardware that is no longer sold in stores?

    5. Re:um, car's aren't rockets... by grumling · · Score: 1
      Except for that NASA has already been buying parts of eBay for years


      No, you're thinking of the FAA. Remember those stories in the 90's about the ATC system crashing and getting computer techs out of retirement to fix 'em (and frantic searches for tubes and old, no longer manufactured transistors)? I guess nothing has really changed. Your tax dollars at work.

      --
      "Well, good luck finding a judge that doesn't run a bestiality site."
    6. Re:um, car's aren't rockets... by wowbagger · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Not just the fact that Honda makes many hundreds of thousands of cars, and has been doing so for years.

      A Honda does not push the envelope. A Ferrari does. That is why a Ferrari will break down more often, on a per-mile basis, than a Honda.

      Now, if you did NOT push a Ferrari to the envelope, it would not break down as much (but then, what would the point of owning a Ferrari be?)

      Now, when one day we can build a vehicle that can go into space with as much operational margin as a Honda has for its purpose, then the space vehicle will be as reliable as a Honda.

      However, in order for that day to come to pass, we will have to have some form of power plant that is several orders of magnitude more powerful than what we have now, in order to have the power to lift a vehicle into space slowly, and return it slowly. We will have to have some form of propulsion that is not limited by the rocket equation - reactionless thrusters, antigravity, or some other form of sci-fi doubletalk drive.

      We don't have them yet. We don't have them on the drawing board yet. We don't even have any good theories that would lead to such drives any time soon.

      Now, I agree with the concept of the article - make the rockets as simple as possible, and they will be more reliable. This means don't try for reusability as it is a false economy - every kilo of mass you add to the ship to support reuse is a kilo of cargo you cannot lift.

      Personally, I am in favor of what I call BPR's - Big Paper Rockets. Imagine a huge Estes rocket - cellulose exterior, solid fuel interior, that provides you with 90% of the delta-V to get into orbit. The last 10% is provided by a hybrid rocket - solid fuel, liquid oxidizer, so that you can throttle it and get precicely what you need to get into your target orbit.

      Most non-living cargos are launched with a system that is, say 99% reliable - and if you roll cloud-cloud, oh well, launch another - they are cheap.

      Man rated cargos go up in a Space Honda - a vehicle designed to go into orbit carrying just your crew, and come back with just your crew, and if it comes down to a choice between reusing it afterward and shaving a kilo off it, you shave the kilo.

      Now you have cheap to mass-produce boosters, expenive (but no where NEAR as expensive as the launch costs) to build crew vehicles, and cheap cargo pods.

    7. Re:um, car's aren't rockets... by GileadGreene · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Well, except that NASA doesn't actually build rockets either: that would be places like Boeing, Lockheed-Martin, and Orbital Sciences. Not only that, but SpaceX has managed to hire some of the most experienced and well-respected rocket builders in the US. So leaving it to NASA would really be leaving it to the B team at best.

      Other points to consider:

      1. SpaceX is building unmanned rockets - people won't die if it doesn't work
      2. Rockets do not have to be ridiculously complicated (which is part of SpaceX's approach). In fact the most reliable rockets in the world tend to be those that minimize complexity as much as possible
      3. Modern cars are becoming ridiculously complicated - and yet they still seem to work
      4. we've been making rockets for years too - the industry has a pretty good understanding of what works and what doesn't
    8. Re:um, car's aren't rockets... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A Honda does not push the envelope. A Ferrari does. That is why a Ferrari will break down more often, on a per-mile basis, than a Honda.

      Slightly offtopic but Hondas push the envelope a bit further than Ferrari in terms of engine performance and still have a longer engine life. Honda has engines that produce 120 HP per liter (of engine volume). Ferrari has a max. of something like 118 HP.

    9. Re:um, car's aren't rockets... by wass · · Score: 1
      NASA, whose rockets blow up when they launch in cold weather?

      You mean, NASA, who's bureaucratic administrators pushed for the launch (with I believe governmental pressure), against the objection of the engineers familiar with the system that failed. Don't dis all of NASA's engineering abilities and accomplishments because of PHB's and politicians.

      NASA, whose craft break up on re-entry just because they got smacked with some foam?

      Your statement here is so deceiving, I really hope you don't believe it yourself. It wasn't foam that broke up the craft, it was the friction heating on re-entry. And that happened because the heat shield was damaged by a piece of 'foam', but the foam didn't directly break up the shuttle.

      But thanks, because your example proves the point of the poster. Shit happens, and NASA has many redundancies to deal with said shit happening. Spacecraft are far more complex than mere cars, so in space shit happens greatly. You need to be far more familiar with aerodynamics, materials stress and thermal properties, reactive propulsion, than the standard automobile hacker needs to be.

      What evidence do you have that NASA is better at this than anybody else?

      They're not necessarily, but I think the poster meant Aerospace professionals, not just Joe Hacker Schmoe who can soup up his Honda Civic. For example, much rocketry and other components come from Boeing and Lockheed-Martin, among other subcontractors.

      But there's SO MUCH MORE that can go wrong with space systems, as opposed to autos, and when stuff goes wrong in space it tends to go REALLY wrong. Eg, an out of control car can steer towards some bushes to slow down, but an out of control orbiter during re-entry is pretty fucked.

      --

      make world, not war

    10. Re:um, car's aren't rockets... by zeno_2 · · Score: 1

      The Ferrari F-40 has a 3 liter engine which is rated at 478bhp. Thats about 160hp per liter. It also has 425 ft lbs of torque available @ 4500 rpm. The Honda s2000 has 162 ft lbs of torque @ 6500 rpm.

      Heres some other stats:

      Ferrari F40:
      0-60 3.8sec
      0-100 8sec
      1/4 mile 11.8sec

      Honda S2000
      0-60 5.4sec
      0-100 15sec
      1/4 mile 14sec

    11. Re:um, car's aren't rockets... by the+pickle · · Score: 2, Insightful

      A Honda does not push the envelope. A Ferrari does. That is why a Ferrari will break down more often, on a per-mile basis, than a Honda.

      Bullshit.

      The Honda S2000's engine is making more horsepower per litre of displacement than any other mass-produced normally aspirated engine on the market, including every single Ferrari engine. The Acura RSX engine also makes more HP per litre than every Ferrari engine.

      It has absolutely nothing to do with "pushing the envelope," and everything to do with volume production. It's a lot easier -- and a lot more IMPORTANT -- to iron out the bugs when you make 50,000 than if you make 1,000.

      People don't buy Ferraris for their reliability. They buy them because they have a big prancing horse emblem on the hood and exude sex appeal like only a piece of fine Italian machinery can.

      The original analogy was flawed at best. Science doesn't give a crap what brand name is on the rocket -- they just want the reliability at a low cost.

      p

    12. Re:um, car's aren't rockets... by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      It really is not feasible to mass produce rocket ships in this manner.

      Why not? We mass-produce jumbo jets, which seem to have an order of complexity comparable to that of a rocket. And when something important on a jumbo jet breaks, usually everybody on board dies.

    13. Re:um, car's aren't rockets... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your argument is basically, "NASA has experience, others don't". In fact, nobody has any idea whether NASA is better or worse than private companies because none of them have tried anything yet. You're just making a gigantic assumption based on the idea that if they have experience, they must be good at it.

      So would admit that until we have a basis of comparison, all the people here that say private companies would do a far better job than NASA are also making a gigantic assumption?

      My position is until there is actually something serious (i.e. at least orbital) private space venture we just don't know who is better and at what.

    14. Re:um, car's aren't rockets... by kamileon · · Score: 1

      Actually, rockets are much simpler than cars, with fewer moving parts, and are therefore much easier to engineer.

      Oh wait, you wanted a guidance system and life support. Never mind. :-)

      --
      To truly understand recursion, you must first truly understand recursion.
  19. Hopefully they won't have to dial in to nasa... by djplurvert · · Score: 1

    ...for guidance on the sly like this group did.

  20. Famous Quote by DigiShaman · · Score: 3, Funny

    ...from the movie Armageddon (ya, the movie sucked)

    Rockhound: "You know we're sitting on four million pounds of fuel, one nuclear weapon and a thing that has 270,000 moving parts built by the lowest bidder. Makes you feel good, doesn't it?"

    --
    Life is not for the lazy.
    1. Re:Famous Quote by indianajones428 · · Score: 4, Informative

      Actually, this quote was taken from a REAL quote by John Glenn.

      When asked about what was going through his mind before he was launched into space, he replied:

      "What would you think about, if it were you, sitting there in an oversized suit, strapped to an intricate and complex network of components...wires, circuits and engines, all procured by the government, from the lowest bidder?"

      --
      When a thing has been said, and said well, have no scruple. Take it and copy it. --Anatole France
  21. built by lowest bidder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    but most space rockets are built by lowest bidder!

  22. Well duh! by Greger47 · · Score: 1
    And the obvious statement of the year award goes to:

    A Ferrari is a very expensive car. It is not reliable. But I would bet you 1,000-to-1 that if you bought a Honda Civic that that sucker will not break down in the first year of operation.

    Ofcourse! A Ferrari is built to squeeze every last bit of performance out of the machinery, sacrificing silly stuff like economy, comfort and reliabiliy.

    A Honda Civic is built to be as cheap as possible, but without sacrificing reliability. If repairs ended up costing as much as the car it would be a tough sell. :)

    /greger

    1. Re:Well duh! by Alien+Being · · Score: 1

      "A Ferrari is built to squeeze every last bit of performance out of the machinery, sacrificing silly stuff like economy, comfort and reliabiliy."

      Right, because everyone knows that races are won by fatigued drivers making extra pit stops.

    2. Re:Well duh! by Detritus · · Score: 1

      If you want comfort, buy a Rolls Royce. They are incredible cars. Ferraris are not known for their low noise and smooth ride. That's not why people buy them.

      --
      Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
    3. Re:Well duh! by chrysrobyn · · Score: 1
      Right, because everyone knows that races are won by fatigued drivers making extra pit stops.

      I was once priviledged enough to ride in a Ferrari Testarossa. It was the most uncomfortable ride to get to 80 MPH out of the driveway before the first turn. The ride was fast, make no mistake, but a performance driver wants to "feel the road". Someone driving a luxury car typically wants to feel like the road is silk. They also didn't waste much weight dampening the engine noise from entering the cabin. Of course, if I had the opportunity, I'd do it again in a heartbeat. Comfort isn't everything.

  23. Think about the Soyuz... the AK47... by Aphrika · · Score: 4, Interesting

    It's not so much the cost part as the simplicity part or finding the right way to do something. He mentions this in the linked article but it seems to be missing from the story above.

    An AK47 assault rifle is more reliable than an M16 because it was designed to be simple and mass-produced, not designed to be cheap. A Honda Civic is more reliable than a Ferrari because it has less moving parts and is mass produced, ditto the Soyuz space capsule that the Russians use - on a per mission basis, it's had less failures than the shuttle.

    It doesn't mean the rocket is being made with bits from scrapyards and eBay, just that the ideas are being lifted from non-rocket science thinking, and some of the tools are secondhand. Either way, getting someone into space on top of a controlled explosion is not cheap however you look at it, and if they can cut down on the peripheral costs, then good luck to them.

    1. Re:Think about the Soyuz... the AK47... by Detritus · · Score: 2, Informative
      The AK47 was designed to be reliable even if abused and neglected by its user. The M16 was designed to be reliable as long as it was properly maintained and kept clean. Two different design philosophies, with different objectives.

      The Honda Civic was designed to be reliable. That means that the safety margins in its design are much larger than that of a Ferrari. Engines in mass-produced cars are often intentionally detuned from peak performance by the manufacturer. They trade horsepower for reliability and reduced maintenance costs.

      --
      Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
    2. Re:Think about the Soyuz... the AK47... by rxmd · · Score: 2, Informative
      An AK47 assault rifle is more reliable than an M16 because it was designed to be simple and mass-produced, not designed to be cheap.
      And because it's designed to be reliable. Development and testing of the AK47 and derived models usually involved dropping it from helicopters, dragging the same gun around in the mud and drenching it underwater. If the Russians are really intent on producing something reliable, they can.

      (Unfortunately, they don't always stick to these principles; as the owner of a Kiev 88 medium format camera, I know ;))

      --
      As a state gets corrupt, its laws multiply; the most corrupt states have the most numerous laws. (Tacitus, Annales 3:27)
    3. Re:Think about the Soyuz... the AK47... by YetAnotherAnonymousC · · Score: 1

      The AK47 was designed to be reliable even if abused and neglected by its user.

      Of course, it's always interesting how there is a fine line between what the engineers consider "abuse" and the users consider "normal usage." Some designers might consider it "abuse" to not constantly perform preventative maintenance on their product. While users don't consider it abuse to spend more time using their item rather than ready-ing it for more use. The more engineers can make their products less fussy, the better the success in the real world. Honda has that down pretty well.

      I'll add for the record that I own a Honda Civic (once owned two). And while I don't own an AK47, I do down an SKS, which was deigned with similar standards in mind. And I have made the comparison between the Civic and the SKS before.

    4. Re:Think about the Soyuz... the AK47... by Detritus · · Score: 1

      The tradeoff is that if you design a rifle with generous tolerances for dirt and crud, you usually lose a noticable amount of accuracy.

      --
      Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
    5. Re:Think about the Soyuz... the AK47... by Disoculated · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Which doesn't matter so much when the maximum infantry effective range is 400m, and most combat involves indirect fire. That's why we don't use the M14 any more ourselves in the US (which was a VERY tolerant and VERY accurate weapon).
      It's silly to nitpick on the AK's accuracy when it's still more accurate than anyone holding it. Better things to nitpick would be the wood stock, the weight, the exposed gas system, the way it can't keep the bolt locked in the open position or the awkward safety. Those are the real tradeoffs that it took in it's design.
      But the point is that when you're making a design for something you want to do a certain thing, it's ok to diss all those aspects that aren't all that important to the design goal. Who cares if it's a little heavy, has a cheap stock, or it can't keep the bolt open? Of course it'll have shortcomings, but those aren't really relevant if you do it right. Same thing applies to just about any design concept.

    6. Re:Think about the Soyuz... the AK47... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      An AK47 assault rifle is more reliable than an M16 because it was designed to be simple and mass-produced, not designed to be cheap.

      Actually simple == cheap in this case since it was produced under a communist regime which likes quantitive measurements as opposed to qualitive ones, because quite frankly in a planned econnomy the price does not dictate the true value of the material.
      Say to produce an AK47 we need 0.1kg of IRON, 1 plang of wood 1mx1m ... as opposed to 15$

      A Honda Civic is more reliable than a Ferrari because it has less moving parts and is mass produced, ditto the Soyuz space capsule that the Russians use - on a per mission basis, it's had less failures than the shuttle.

      I rember when ESA needed space suits, both Americans and Russians came to them with their design and a ESA representative said that the Russian design and plans were the best he'd ever seen. The US one was complicated and had a lot of things that could go wrong.

    7. Re:Think about the Soyuz... the AK47... by YetAnotherAnonymousC · · Score: 1

      Indeed.

      And at the risk of making a major stretch of a comparison, I think accuracy with rifles is like horsepower with cars. To go back to before, a Civic won't give you tons of horsepower, but it will give you enough to merge into traffic (unlike, say the Insight) but also give you great gas milage on regular gas when commuting (unlike, say, a high-end Lexus with twice the hp running on premium). Most people, with some training, can hit some part of a man at 150 yards with an AK, using cheap definitely not match grade ammo. You're not going to have placements inside a quarter like with a nice rifle with expensive ammo, but you don't need it.

    8. Re:Think about the Soyuz... the AK47... by Elladan · · Score: 1

      The Insight has as much acceleration as a standard Civic. The faster Civics accelerate slightly better, but not enough to matter. I mean, come on, they're all a joke compared to an actual fast car or a bike.

      Have you ever even driven a hybrid car? The Civic hybrid, for example, has better pickup and is more fun to drive than regular Civics.

    9. Re:Think about the Soyuz... the AK47... by pipingguy · · Score: 1


      A Honda Civic is more reliable than a Ferrari because it has less moving parts and is mass produced...

      Have you looked at the design of a lowly Honda engine? Don't they all have 4 valves per cylinder, overhead camshafts, variable valve timing and aluminum block and heads?

    10. Re:Think about the Soyuz... the AK47... by YetAnotherAnonymousC · · Score: 1

      Re. Insight acceleration vs. a Civic - it depends on the load. A single driver of average size with no cargo and yes a Insight will accelerate you on to the highway well enough. Add a wife and two kids, maybe some groceries in the trunk, and it's a different story. I'd say the Insight is a pure work commuting car, while a Civic DX, say, is a little more flexible. I don't mean to malign the Insight. It also does a good job at certain tasks. But I wouldn't consider it a candidate for being a general purpose "family" car used for both work and family.

    11. Re:Think about the Soyuz... the AK47... by Elladan · · Score: 1

      Let me get this straight.

      The Insight, a two seat coupe, has insufficient power if you add a wife and two kids, and some groceries?

      Where are the kids going to sit? The roof?

      *rolls eyes*

      It works fine for its appropriate load: Standard transportation for two, with cargo.

    12. Re:Think about the Soyuz... the AK47... by YetAnotherAnonymousC · · Score: 1

      Yes, *exactly*. I think we are either in violent agreement or you are missing that I am making the same point as you.

      The Insight is fine for what it is designed for, and I don't mean to malign it in re. the design purpose but compared to the hypothetical car-equivalent of an assault rifle (namely, an all purpose family car), it has been over optimized for fuel milage. While a Civic (including the Civic hybrid), is closer to that hypothetical car.

  24. Honda Rockets? by shadowzero313 · · Score: 0

    Have they managed to use rice as rocket fuel or something?

  25. Re:Red index fingers: the hip new way to protest B by wernercd · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    As a member of the US Military CURRENTLY in Iraq I want to say one thing...

    given two options:

    1) Dead Iraqi's while letting Saddam murder and rape his own people AND The American beliefe in freedom and a chance at a happy life that means nothing

    OR

    2) Dead Iraqi's, A Saddistic asshole out of office and on trial, a saddistic regiem toppled, and some dead American's DEFENDING the idea's that OUR country was built on. Freedom and Democracy. (And a little oil in the end. big whopptie doo.)

    You can sit on your high horse and claim that your idea's are perfect. But both options have good and bad sides. 'Bush's' invasion of Iraq is the lesser of two evil in my not so humble opinion.

    And I have the balls to put my life on the line supporting it. AND your freedom to bitch while sleeping in a nice bed with hot showers every night. I will also support the freedom for other countries. I'm sorry your too short sighted to consider other people tho. I pity you.

    Corporal Werner
    USMC Iraq

    p.s. Whoever modded this as informative needs to pull their head from their arse. again, in my not so humble opinion.

  26. the russian approach by rich42 · · Score: 3, Interesting
    "A Ferrari is a very expensive car. It is not reliable. But I would bet you 1,000-to-1 that if you bought a Honda Civic that that sucker will not break down in the first year of operation."

    but I'll bet a honda civic costs more money to -develop- than a ferrari does...

    the russians have fairly reliable rockets - but they do fail. the reason they've done so well with safety is that they have great backup systems.

    the soyuz launch system has a mechanism that can eject the entire capsule if something goes wrong on launch. it's been used and it works.

    I suspect reasonable reliabilty + good backup systems is the way to go. oh, and -no- parts from the junkyard....

    1. Re:the russian approach by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Parts from the junkyard are not a problem if they are inspected to the same degree as new parts. X-ray inspection, for example, can tell you the internal condition of a piece of metal. It is commonly used to inspect weld joints. The question then becomes whether it is cheaper to inspect the part this way, or just to make a new one, because sometimes they have to be inspected as they are built. Of course, the answer will go one way for some parts and the other for others.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  27. different cars by gnarlin · · Score: 2

    What about a delorean ?
    That goes through both space AND time!
    two features for the price of one :-D

    --
    A bad analogy is like a leaky screwdriver.
  28. Poor analogy by tayhimself · · Score: 1

    While privately built rockets (especially unmanned) are going to be much cheaper I dont see how the civic ferrari analogy holds.
    A civic is more reliable precisely because of the number made. Sell a million or so cars a year and you have a vested interest in not having reliability problems, and a LARGE sample to draw from for possible improvements for next years car.
    Ferrari meanwhile has a much smaller sample from which to identify problems. Looks like this CEO is good at shovelling shit just like the rest of them.

    1. Re:Poor analogy by Breetai · · Score: 1

      But you have to produce the first reliable Honda Civic. If your gonna build only 1 of them, the design still has to be reliable. Making a million of Civics only changes your logistics, purchasing, manufacturability and production aspects. You can still design a reliable car. Evne if you only make 1 of them, or even none of them. But then you don't have any prove it works reliably.

      30 % more effort on the first stage of design will cut your development time in half. If you get first-time-right, you prevent a second design cycle. You can only aim for first time right when you know what you have to create. If the requirements change or aren't clear, you must create something that let's you find 100 % of those requirements ASAP.

      On the other hand, I will fire you when you don't mention that second design cycle in your planning.

      If you know what you have to create, design for getting it right 100 % the first time. Always plan (but try your best to prevent it) you will miss the last 5 % and have to go for another cycle. If you aim for 95 %, you will end up at 90 % or lower.

      You can have it fast, good or cheap. Pick two

  29. Re:Red index fingers: the hip new way to protest B by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    You say that like you don't realize that probably 50% of the people that read and post to Slashdot also served. But WTF do colored index fingers have to do with anything?

  30. Bad analogy. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A Ferrari is a very expensive car. It is not reliable. But I would bet you 1,000-to-1 that if you bought a Honda Civic that that sucker will not break down in the first year of operation. You can have a cheap car that's reliable, and the same applies to rockets

    Bad analogy.

    A Dodge Neon is a cheap car too. It is doubtful that someone would claim that it is a very reliable car.

    On the flip side, a Ferrari is usually a car that is driven very hard - a guy in town owns one, and he sure does like to drive it very very fast - like a sports car. I'm not sure if a Honda or Neon would have the same reliability if driven very very hard. CUstomer expectation and use makes a big difference in how one views reliability.

    And finally - they make millions of Hondas. There is a lot of evolution going on to make it right. But no matter what - with a rocket, you're only going to build a few, not a few million - the evolution just isn't there. I bet they'll build more ferraris this month than he'll build rockets in a decade - and let me tell you, they don't build too many ferraris in a month!

    Inexpensive does not equate to reliable. If that were true, cheap replacement distributors for your Civic would be a great deal. But they're very unreliable in my experience. What gives?

    1. Re:Bad analogy. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      A Dodge Neon is a cheap car too. It is doubtful that someone would claim that it is a very reliable car.

      My 1996 Dodge Neon has over 200,000 miles on it, and I can't kill it. I've had exactly zero repair bills since I bought it new. With the proper maintenance I perform on it, I expect it to reach half a mil before I have to start looking for a new work car.

  31. Reliability? Look at Honda vs Ferrari research by 78spb89 · · Score: 1

    Watch F1 races. How many mecanical failures did the Honda team suffer last season. Countless. If memory serves, Ferrari suffered exactly one mechanical failure. For almost a decade now, Ferrari has had some of the most reliable F1 cars.

    1. Re:Reliability? Look at Honda vs Ferrari research by imsabbel · · Score: 1

      you, sir, won the price for the most stupid argument in this discussion...

      (hint: the difference between f1 cars with engines and gearboxes build to run 1000km at most and standart street cars is almost as big as the one between cars and rockets. So f1 performance just says something about how much money these companies decided to pump into the f1 buisness - essentially marketing money, that is missing somewhere else, like in the real R&D.)

      --
      HI O WISE PRINCE. WHT TOOK U SO DAM LONG?
    2. Re:Reliability? Look at Honda vs Ferrari research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Too bad Honda spends as much if not more then Ferrari in F1...and while there is advertising, that's what most of the sponsors pay for. They do have to do R&D for things like the SMG transmissions found in some cars today, engine management technology, drive by wire, etc.

  32. Rice Rocket by photon317 · · Score: 1


    This brings a whole new meaning to the term "Rice Rocket". He does realize the flaw in his analogy right? You don't buy a Ferrari because it's reliable, you buy a Ferrari because you can hit 200 in it. If you try to bolt junkyard parts on a Honda in an attempt to go 200 in it, it will be far less reliable than the Ferrari.

    --
    11*43+456^2
  33. mercedes benz spokesman once said.... by checkup21 · · Score: 0

    we sell automobiles and emotions. A 1980 Honda civic will never get the status a mercedes benz (same age) has.

    Allthough the rice cookies are reliable and cheap (in fact they are not cheap, compare a mercedes cdi engine with a rice cookie), there is a good reason there are still cars built for real men.

    The point is that good rockets do not change that at all. And rice drivers allways fighting against this prejudice proves it right.

    regards from germany (aka 'das Automobilland')

    marco

  34. Oh look! Their project plan is online! by bigattichouse · · Score: 1

    I remembered watching this series back in the 70's: Salvage 1

    --
    meh
    1. Re:Oh look! Their project plan is online! by LurkerXXX · · Score: 1

      Exactly, when I read him talking about using milk trucks tanks I thought to myself NO! You need to use the back end of a cement mixer! That was a good bad show.

  35. Why falcons are cheap.. by mrright · · Score: 4, Informative

    The reason falcons will be cheap is not because they use cheap components, but because they have a different approach than old defense contractors like boeing and lockheed.

    In fact they use very high quality materials such as a titanium thrust frame in the first stage. But they can afford that because the first stage is reusable.

    They also try to avoid any hazardous materials like explosive bolts and dangerous chemicals since that makes working with the rocket before launch much safer and thus cheaper. The falcon I is the first rocket that is allowed to fly without an explosive flight termination system because of redundant thrust termination systems. So there is no bomb on board.

    Take a look at the falcon launch complex. It is basically just a simple concrete building and a flatbed truck. The satellite is integrated while the rocket is horizontal, so they do not need a huge building for satellite integration.

    The launch control center is a truck trailer, so they only need one for all launch pads and do not have all that expensive computer hardware sitting around idle.

    Now compare that with the launch complex for the boeing delta IV. There is a vertical integration building for fitting the payload, a huge umbilical tower and all kinds of facilities to handle the huge quantities of liquid hydrogen that the delta IV needs.

    The only large rocket that has a comparably clean launch pad like the falcon is the russian/ukrainian Zenit (also used by Sea Launch), which is also the cheapest of its class.

    The falcon I will also have a very benign launch environment for the payload. The amount of vibration is much lower than with other rockets since the falcon does not use solids. See the payload users guide for details.

    --
    Private property is the central institution of a free society (David Friedman)
    1. Re:Why falcons are cheap.. by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      The reason falcons will be cheap is not because they use cheap components, but because they have a different approach than old defense contractors like boeing and lockheed.

      In fact they use very high quality materials such as a titanium thrust frame in the first stage. But they can afford that because the first stage is reusable.
      Actually, the first stage isn't reusable. They hope someday, somehow, maybe, that they can make it reuseable, but that's far off in the misty future somewhere.
    2. Re:Why falcons are cheap.. by M1FCJ · · Score: 1

      The whole idea of these launchers are stolen from Russians. Soyuz rockets and its precursors always arrived horizontal, then erected at the tower, just before the launch. This made inspection and fixing easier. On the other hand the whole thing is because Russians favoured mobile ICBMs. They tend to come inside ready-to-launch railway carriages or truckloads. When you want to fire, you take it out of its box and hit the button. If you are preparing to fire a missile in Siberia you don't have many options left. Also mobile missiles are harder to spot and destroy. (On the other hand, they also had bunker-based ICBMs like Americans favoured). MX was supposed to be mobile but that was scrapped in late 70s.

    3. Re:Why falcons are cheap.. by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      Are you sure about that? I hear lots of conflicting things regarding the reusability (or lack thereof) of the Falcon I first stage.

      I could be wrong, but now I'm under the impression that they're planning on recovering the first stage, and salvaging data/parts from it (rather than reusing it entirely).

    4. Re:Why falcons are cheap.. by mrright · · Score: 1

      I guess they are not sure themselves how much they can reuse.

      They have spent quite a lot of time and mass on the first stage to make it reusable. For example there is a mortar-deployed parachute on the first stage. But since this has never been done before, they are not sure in what shape the stage will be after the water landing.

      In the best case, they will just have to replace some parts (ablative nozzle, interstage etc), refuel it and relaunch it. In the worst case they can only reuse the high value parts like the engine and the valves.

      We will find out soon enough.

      --
      Private property is the central institution of a free society (David Friedman)
  36. I don't believe you by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    women don't post on slashdot at 6:21AM on a Saturday

  37. Call the Iranians! by gelfling · · Score: 1

    They've been trying to divorce themselves from DPRK Taepo No Dong boosters. Maybe they can buy a few rockets from SpaceX, modify them into IRBMs, plug a sub 1500Kg on top and become the first eBay nuclear power.

    Seriously, getting into near orbit is one thing. Getting where you need to be is quite another.

    1. Re:Call the Iranians! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Quick correction; they have "Taepo Dong" and "No Dong" but no such thing as "Taepo No Dong". I think the first is a mid-long range type and the second is a more short-mid range.

    2. Re:Call the Iranians! by gelfling · · Score: 1

      Another /. nipicking retard who can't see the forest from the trees.

  38. Backwards? by Jim_Callahan · · Score: 1

    Much of the technology used in the automotive industry comes straight from NASA. Space -> Civics, not Civics->Space. :p

    --
    ...it's really a sad day for America when we require a goddamn ACT OF CONGRESS to make our DVD players work properly. ~
  39. I'm all for affordable space launches... but... by MetaPhyzx · · Score: 1

    Lovely. Ferrari...Honda... I'd think I'd rather have the expensive launch vehicle to deliver payloads into orbit, not the "Rocket most stolen for parts". Then again... maybe I should look into setting up a rocket chop shop...

    --
    Blacker than my baby girl's stare. Black like the veil that the muslimina wear. Black like the planet that they fear...
  40. A Rocket a Day Keeps the High Costs Away by Baldrson · · Score: 3, Insightful
    SpaceX's philosophy of "test the crap out of it" is a good one if taken to the whole system level. This is essentially what John Walker's essay A Rocket a Day Keeps the High Costs Away is all about. In Walker's scenario the idea is to have the entire operation going through everything necessary to launch frequently so as to work the kinks out of the system, from manufacture of expendible rocket to actual flight operation. Now, Walker never actually did this but Walker did make his money developing and selling AutoCAD, which is a manufacturing industry staple, so he does have some credibility.

    In SpaceX's case, the reusability aspect with ocean recovery of parts means a single rocket is not going to be cycled through the entire launch operation in a day even though it is theoretically possible to do so with an ocean launch system. However, with a small fleet of vehicles, it might be feasible to get the whole system cranking out a couple of launches a week.

    That's when it starts to look like an aerospace "Honda" since you start applying Deming's statistical methods to the operation.

    1. Re:A Rocket a Day Keeps the High Costs Away by pipingguy · · Score: 1


      Now, Walker never actually did this but Walker did make his money developing and selling AutoCAD, which is a manufacturing industry staple, so he does have some credibility.

      As far as I can determine, Walker did not have an engineering or technical drawing background prior to starting Autodesk.

  41. You may laugh at Honda, but... by leonbrooks · · Score: 1

    ...a FOAF built himself a Lamborghini Countach replica. It was cheaper (even factoring his own time at $80 an hour and swapping the kit from left-hand drive to run on Aussie roads), faster, more stable on the road, safer in an accident, could take a driver up to 15cm taller (an original Lambo maxes out at about 180cm) than the real thing and unlike said real thing you can't make a permanent dent in it with your thumb.

    Some of the modern Honda street-legal factory-made sports-cars will also out-accelerate and out-handle most if not all Ferraris. And so will the Subarus. The epithet "rice-burner" isn't what it used to be.

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
    1. Re:You may laugh at Honda, but... by Noose+For+A+Neck · · Score: 2, Informative
      A Subaru out-accelerate a Ferrari? Sorry, not any US-sold model of Subaru. Not even an STi - they're much too heavy. Have you ever seen a power:weight comparison of the two? A Ferrari F430 is lighter, more powerful (by 190 hp), orders of magnitude cooler and accelerates from 0 to 60 in four seconds flat. It has better brakes, better handling, better drivetrain, better... everything.

      I have no idea what model of Honda you could be referring to, but it sure as hell isn't an NSX or any other Honda sold in America.

      --

      Software piracy is victimless theft.

    2. Re:You may laugh at Honda, but... by mOoZik · · Score: 1

      It's not only about speed. No stock Subaru or Honda will out-perform a Ferrari - which has half a century of racing experience under its belt - or a Lambo, which makes up for a lack of that experience with 600+ horsepower. Also, it's not about straight-line acceleration, even though any Ferrari or Lambo will rape any Honda, Subaru, etc., in that category.

    3. Re:You may laugh at Honda, but... by ScottKin · · Score: 0

      For the obviously uninformed - RTFW(Read The Friggin' Webpage)!!!

      This was *not* a conversion of a Honda to a Countach, but from a Pontiac Fiero.

      Pontiac Fieros are probably the most popular KitCar/Replica donor because of the monocoque design of the car; the body skins are actually plastic panels that bolt-on to the monocoque.

      There are dozens of KitCar/Replica conversions for Fieros, but bear in mind that to get your Fiero-based Countach looking as it should you need to stretch the car a bit - most Fiero-based Countach "replicars" just don't look right.

      --ScottKin

      --
      I don't give a rat's behind about "karma" here or anywhere else. Don't like what I have to say here? Deal with it!
    4. Re:You may laugh at Honda, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Know what? I'd rather have a modded Subaru than a POS Lamborghini... That is, if a lambo dropped in my lap tomorrow, I'd tow it down to the nearest dealer and trade it--or put it on Ebay... Or Whatever.

      I've never seen a more shoddily built vehicle. Sure, it's all shiny and stuff on the outside, but aside from the engine it may have well been built by some lab monkies in a garage.

  42. Which is why rockets are Ferraris by jfengel · · Score: 1

    Ofcourse! A Ferrari is built to squeeze every last bit of performance out of the machinery, sacrificing silly stuff like economy, comfort and reliabiliy.

    Very insightful: that's precisely why rocket ships are Ferraris, and will be for some time. Getting into space requires an immense amount of energy, and right now the best way to get that energy requires a whole bunch of heavy fuel which also has to be lifted.

    The thing needs to run close to tolerance just to get off the ground. It's going to take a lot of work to change the balance.

  43. This is sad ... by notpaul · · Score: 1

    Considering the reputedly elite pool of /. posters, it is embarrassing how many comments to a story like this are devoid of even a shred of logic or critical thinking. And I'm not even talking about the folks who have the impression the HONDA corporation is building rockets ... OMFG.

    --
    See you space cowboy ...
  44. As long as Microsoft isn't on board! by rogerborn · · Score: 1


    I don't care if it is a cut rate ship, as long as Microsoft isn't the operating system on board!

    Take a look

    Regards,
    Roger Born
    Writer, Teacher, General Troublemaker
    writing.borngraphics.com
    "Sorry. No Refunds."

  45. Thats all very well... by sandstorming · · Score: 1

    BUT... Hondas sure as hell aren't built from parts off ebay, milktruck tanks and bits from junkyards!

  46. Remember the TV show Salvage 1? by General+Newcomb · · Score: 1

    It was that show from the 70's, where they made a space ship in a junk yard and flew to the moon. Let me refresh your memory. Dang it was beautiful.

  47. gaffer's tape forever! by catbertscousin · · Score: 1

    Well, as long as they really do use gaffer tape and not duct tape, I'm good with it. Gaffer tape has saved my sorry rear on many occasions, and not just for taping things. I have used it as clothes patches, props, ankle braces, hair ties, and rope among other things. It should definitely be taken on any trip to space. I personally believe it was Scotty's secret stash of gaffer tape that saved the Enterprise on so many occasions. Gaffer tape could hold the universe together!

    Anyone have a favorite gaffer tape story?

    --
    No good deed goes unpunished. - Avon, Blake's 7
  48. Yugo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It is indeed an ridiculous analogy.
    The Yugo was a very cheap car, and its quality sucked.
    Quality is engineered and manufactured in throughout the entire lifecycle of a product.

  49. Experience Curves Explain This by justanyone · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It seems no one is talking about experience curves here, and they are vital to the discussion.

    An "experience curve" is a way of explaining that the price per unit for any device decreases with the sum of the production repititions.

    This means that it's the area under the curve that matters, the total number of produced items. A Wikipedia article explains it here.

    The multiplier for how much it decreases obviously varies with the device. Any number of examples abound. For one, Photovoltaic cells are decreasing in per-unit price in good accordance with the sum of the cells ever produced. The idea of the government purchasing or subsidizing the purchase of items (examples: ethanol, PV-cells) fits in nicely to this function.

    Rockets have not followed the curve because artificial limits (trade secrets, military secrecy, launch licenses, technology transfer) and purchasing uncertainties (NASA defending their turf) has clamped down on information transfer. If info flows freely, everyone benefits from cheaper devices.

    This may not be what we want. Rocket tech = missle tech = N. Korea lobbing a nuke at us = maybe we'd better not publish the cheap rocket designs in Popular Science today, eh? (fearmongering).

    Check out the wikipedia article link above, you'll see it directly applies to this situation.

    --Kevin

  50. Hondas jets by zogger · · Score: 2, Insightful

    honda makes airplanes now too, business jets, and has plans for a very cheap (compared to the competition) personal jet. link

    I would say one day we'll see a variety of privately manufactured space travelling vehicles,at least intra solar system/near space variety, and probably sooner than most folks think, if they can keep production of fuels up at a reasonable cost over the next several decades, along with just general manufacturing, seeing as how that is so closely tied to oil as well. That is going to be the largest technological challenge that we all face really, peak oil and what to do about it. Well, that's my opinion, put it that way. I think that there already exists enough tech right now to make a Model A generic rocket good enough for some limited space travel, just not a lot of call for it, but it's getting closer. You get dudes like branson combined with rutan and mass production and Q and A out of asia and combine all that sort of interest and you'll see private space travel, at least to limited short term orbital flights, probably within a couple of decades, maybe even sooner. That nut has been cracked, just needs oil to stabilise and more research on alternative fuels and on replacing oil "stuff" here on the ground with other forms of alternative enerrgy so that oil can be used for the more energy dense and expensive applications such as "flight" in general speaking terms.

    1. Re:Hondas jets by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      would say one day we'll see a variety of privately manufactured space travelling vehicles,at least intra solar system/near space variety, and probably sooner than most folks think, if they can keep production of fuels up at a reasonable cost over the next several decades, along with just general manufacturing, seeing as how that is so closely tied to oil as well. That is going to be the largest technological challenge that we all face really, peak oil and what to do about it. Well, that's my opinion, put it that way. I think that there already exists enough tech right now to make a Model A generic rocket good enough for some limited space travel, just not a lot of call for it, but it's getting closer. You get dudes like branson combined with rutan and mass production and Q and A out of asia and combine all that sort of interest and you'll see private space travel, at least to limited short term orbital flights, probably within a couple of decades, maybe even sooner. That nut has been cracked, just needs oil to stabilise and more research on alternative fuels and on replacing oil "stuff" here on the ground with other forms of alternative enerrgy so that oil can be used for the more energy dense and expensive applications such as "flight" in general speaking terms.

      Well unless there a radical shift away from chemical rockets the fuel is not really an issue, or at least in regards to oil. The rocket engines on launch vehicles use fuels that are not complex hydocarbons, and therefore need not be petroleum based. For example both hydorgen and methane are widely used for liquid fuel rockets, and the solid rocket boosters use aluminum and a form of rubber. All of these you can make by other means then processing petroleum.

  51. They forgot an important piece of information by The+Other+White+Meat · · Score: 1

    BAD reporter - she completely forgot to mention where to send my resume...

    --

    --- Generation X: The first generation to have SIG lines inferior to their parents... ---
  52. a 100,000 dead innocents dead is ok to you? by DrunkClam · · Score: 0

    you know anyone who believes like you should not be allowed to carry a weapon. You are the sadistic assholes. And the U.S. is now responsible for the torturing and rape of 1000's of innocents. And because of this "election" we are training an Iraqi army that will probably come under the control of Iran.

    1. Re:a 100,000 dead innocents dead is ok to you? by wernercd · · Score: 1

      Continue on in your ignorance and 'supreame knowlege'. I'd for one like to see someone who actually had a clue of what to do to fix what Saddam was doing. Apparently what happened prior didn't work, and YOU would be just as responsible for the CONTINUED rape and torture of ten's of thousands of innocents if you supported Saddams continued rule.

      But that's an argument that you obviously don't want to face. Blame other people for problems you don't have to balls to help fix. And then flame their solution instead of offering a solution of your own.

      I carry a weapon because SOME people only understand that language. For the rest of the 'civilized' world talk and diplomacy works... for the likes of Saddam only an AK or M16 is what he understands.

      But you go ahead and live in your fairy tale world where hugs and flowers fix everything. I'll continue living in the real world where NO solution is 100% perfect. You go for the lesser of two evils. And this is the lesser of two evils. Innocents die BUT atleast those who survive have a chance. If I was in the same situation as the Iraqi's I would rather have a chance of freedom with risk than livin under a sadist basterd like saddam and STILL be at risk of dying if I disagree with ANYTHING saddam does.

      that's my opinion and I put my life on the line for it. AND I put my life on the line for your freedom to be ignorant.

      God Bless America

  53. no taxes for torture by DrunkClam · · Score: 0

    /signed

  54. Don't judge too quickly by kencurry · · Score: 1

    There are of course limits to any analogy.

    He does make good point in that there are often solutions to engineering problems that come from completely different fields. Those solutions may be already mass produced, which gives added layer of security to design.

    In other words, rocket science doesn't always have to be rocket science.

    As old mac users say "think different"

    --
    sigs are for losers (except to point out that sigs are for losers)
  55. Been there, done that: Minuteman III ICBM by Animats · · Score: 3, Informative
    The Minuteman III ICBM was built for $7 million each. Launch facilities are simple; it sits, unattended, in a silo until launched. A recent engine test of a 30-year old solid booster was successful. Thousands were made. 500 are still deployed as ICBMs. Manufactured between 1968 and 1977.

    It's even outlived its successor, the MX "Peacekeeper" from the Reagan era. MX has been retired, but the Minuteman III lives on. They're "remanufactured" every few decades, on a slow upgrade cycle. The basic vehicle lives on.

    So the "cheap booster" is quite feasible, if you order a thousand at a time.

    1. Re:Been there, done that: Minuteman III ICBM by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      The Minuteman III ICBM was built for $7 million each.
      Back in the 60's, when $7 mill was pretty serious money. (But the factsheet doesn't tell you that.)
      Launch facilities are simple; it sits, unattended, in a silo until launched.
      Unattended except for the annual swap-out of birds for maintenance... And those silos while simple, are far from cheap. (Consider the size of the excavation, the amount of concrete, and labor, and the complex systems installed therein.) Those birds require regular testing and maintenance (preventative and corrective) which requires considerable infrastructure and ongoing costs. The silo's themselves also require routine inspection and maintenance requiring a non-trival amount of infrastructure and ongoing costs. (Note I'm not adressing the additional costs associated with the warheads, just the basic bird and silo.)
      Thousands were made. 500 are still deployed as ICBMs. Manufactured between 1968 and 1977.

      It's even outlived its successor, the MX "Peacekeeper" from the Reagan era. MX has been retired, but the Minuteman III lives on. They're "remanufactured" every few decades, on a slow upgrade cycle. The basic vehicle lives on.
      All that 'lives on' from the vehicles manufactured in the 60's and 70's is a few bits of structure, the nose fairing, and the ID plate. All the wiring, all the electronic boxes, all the hydraulics, all of the ordinance, and all of the solid fuel and casings have been replaced (multiple times) at great expense over the years. It cost a quarter of a million dollars a bird just to convert them from the 3-warhead (MK12/12) to the 1-warhead (MK21) configuration.

      (For example, the current guidance upgrade program costs about $2 million per bird. The proposed Psuedo-MARV will cost another $1-2 per bird. There's also a motor upgrade program in the works.)
  56. Maclaren F1 by mrbill1234 · · Score: 0

    If i'm not mistaken - Elon Musk owns a Maclaren F1 - a cool US$1m and it does 240mph. I wonder how reliable IT is?

  57. This was Andy Griffith's idea... by bscott · · Score: 1

    If anyone remembers Salvage 1... sounds like pretty much the same idea to me.

    --
    Perfectly Normal Industries
    1. Re:This was Andy Griffith's idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That rocket looks like it needs some pants.

  58. No... Dodge Dart with slant 6 in space by leftie · · Score: 1

    The unkillable car. Drive it without oil? So what, just hocks up a loogie and keeps on going. Radiator frozen soild? So what. Engine just coughs a couple of times and then purrs.

    I knew a lot of high school kids who tried everything they knew to kill the Dodge Dart w/ slant 6s their parents had handed down to them to get a "cooler" car. Nothing worked. The cars would not die. Like "Jaws" in Bond movies.

  59. A wise man once said... by bakeacake · · Score: 0

    god created shit....honda made it move

    ripped from bash.org

  60. More info on SpaceX by FleaPlus · · Score: 2, Informative

    I tried submitting a story on SpaceX a couple of weeks ago, but it was sadly rejected. Here's the text of the submission, along with some other interesting info:

    Spaceflight Now has an article on SpaceX, a low-cost space launch company started by PayPal co-founder Elon Musk (he is no longer with PayPal). The article describes SpaceX's small-size Falcon I rocket, scheduled to launch a military imaging satellite on its maiden flight in March, and their medium-size Falcon V rocket, scheduled to lift a prototype Bigelow inflatable space habitat next year. Interestingly, the Falcon V has enough capacity to lift a Gemini-style capsule with 5-6 people to orbit. Both rockets have per-pound launch costs approximately one-fifth that of comparable rockets. Long-term plans call for evolving the basic design to heavy-lift and super-heavy lift rockets, assuming SpaceX survives its legal battles with defense giants like Northrup Grumman. Musk believes that ultimately a launch cost of '$500 per pound or less is very achievable' (compared to $10,000 per pound for the Space Shuttle). Elon Musk is a member of the Mars Society, and started SpaceX after he realized that current launch costs would be a large barrier to his plans for a philanthropic mission to put an experimental greenhouse with food crops on Mars.

    This radio interview with Elon Musk from 2001 is pretty neat, and has some information I haven't seen elsewhere.

  61. reliability depends upon what you're relying on... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Can you rely on a Civic to go 200mph?

  62. The Ferarri analogy is wrong by earthforce_1 · · Score: 1

    NASA spacecraft intended to carry humans are much analogous to a Rolls Royce, with every part is made to exacting quasi-military specifications and assembled by hand.

    --
    My rights don't need management.
  63. Reliability. by SeaFox · · Score: 1

    CEO Elon Musk remarks 'A Ferrari is a very expensive car. It is not reliable. I like how that's stated like it's a known fact. I'm curious how many Ferraris Elon Musk has owned to come to that opinion.

    1. Re:Reliability. by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      I don't know if Musk has owned a Ferrari, but he does own a $1 million McLaren F1. Presumably he did some shopping around and informed himself about Ferraris before he bought the McLaren.

  64. Re:Red index fingers: the hip new way to protest B by FatBear · · Score: 1
    Interesting how the people who are loudest about defending our liberty are also the loudest to condemn those who use freedom of speech to express their opinions.

    As one who served in the military myself (long ago) I encourage expression of all opinions. Please don't stifle the very freedoms we have defended.

  65. Wagons Ho! by FatBear · · Score: 1

    Not just motorcycles - how many men, women, and children died while crossing the continent in conestoga wagons in the mid-1800s?

  66. Really? by FatBear · · Score: 1

    Sumpin tells me this guys doesn't get many chicks - hot or otherwise.

  67. Crazy People Quote by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "It's a little too small to get laid in, but you get laid the minute you get out!"

    (Yeah, I know, it was referring to Porsche. But it's the same principle.)

  68. Oh, that Honda by ndogg · · Score: 1

    For a moment there, I thought ASIMO was going into space. I was thinking how cool that would be to read about. You can imagine my disappointment.

    --
    // file: mice.h
    #include "frickin_lasers.h"
  69. Re:Red index fingers: the hip new way to protest B by Zak3056 · · Score: 1

    Interesting how the people who are loudest about defending our liberty are also the loudest to condemn those who use freedom of speech to express their opinions.

    As one who served in the military myself (long ago) I encourage expression of all opinions. Please don't stifle the very freedoms we have defended.


    I find it interesting that you are doing the very thing you are posting against--it's wrong for the parent to tell the grandparent he's FOS because that would be "stifling" his freedom of speech, but it's perfectly acceptable for you to condem that response. Freedom of speech is not freedom to be beyond rebuttal.

    And I say this as someone who largely disagrees with the parent poster.

    --
    What part of "shall not be infringed" is so hard to understand?
  70. Why not Honda? by real+gumby · · Score: 1

    Honda does a lot of "off the wall" projects that (like Asimo, racing engines) some of which turn into real businesses (their lawnmower engines led to motorbikes which lead to their auto business). Why aren't they in this business?

    1. Re:Why not Honda? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      who says they aren't? almost all asian corps are into cold fusion research, but few european and no american corps are...

  71. Well, all right... by leonbrooks · · Score: 1

    ...an F40 does get to 100MPH in 8s (3x faster than a Delorean) vs 11s for a WRX Sti (the US version of the Sti is 1.5s slower than that again), but it's still the same speed as an F355 or a Lotus Esprit Turbo, faster than any Mazzer and a lot of other Ferraris, and only marginally slower than a Z8. The NSX is only a second slower.

    Just looking down the table, whatever you Yanks do to cars when you import them seems to cost about 20% of their performance.

    One thing the Subarus do a lot worse than Ferraris is stop, despite Enzo's statement about his cars being made only to go. An awful lot of them - in the hands of amateurs - wind up hugging trees despite the number of rally wins they notch up.

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  72. Somehow I just can't picture an F40... by leonbrooks · · Score: 1

    ...beating a WRX through a dirt or sand slalom. (-:

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  73. Let's remember by Obsidian_AL · · Score: 0

    Let's remember that the Shuttles undergo heavy maintenance and system check before, after, and during flight. If you did that much work on a Honda, there wouldn't be a problem. Then again, look at the Millenium Falcon.

  74. Re:Red index fingers: the hip new way to protest B by HolyCrapSCOsux · · Score: 0

    I have a few issues with this argument:
    You misspelled both regime and whooptie.
    You misused an apostrophe in "Iraqui's" as well as "American's" (or did you intend that to be posessive?)
    Your use of "Evil" in the high horse phrase should be plural. It should also be "you're too short sighted" (Apostrophe usage again)

    Probably why you are a corporal...

    I digress...

    When I was in Al-Kharj S.A. (Desert Storm 1997) our tents were quite nice. Cable TV. Air Conditioning. And the Shower water was in big bags that sat out in the sun all day. If you didn't get a warm shower for the day, it was due to piss-poor time management.

    I however am a "Nuke 'em till they glow" kinda guy. I am even wearing my Duke Nukem 3D t-shirt COME GET SOME.

    --
    0xB315AA8D852DCD3F3DCA578FD2E0BF88
  75. Is Soyuz Russian for "Honda"? by peter303 · · Score: 1

    In nearly fifty years, they've reached a fair level of reliability.

  76. The first thing that came to mind by autoxr · · Score: 1

    When I first read this, what came to mind was an old 1970's made for TV movie about a junkyard owner who goes to the moon to salvage the stuff left behind. The rocket was made out of junkyard parts (I think the command capsule was a cement mixer bucket).
    http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/Launchpad/9 782/salmoon.html
    http://www.cylon.org/tv/Salvage/s1-02.html