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Cisco Going Mobile, Acquiring Nokia?

Keruo writes "Sunday Business paper is reporting on its latest issue that Cisco Systems is considering of acquiring some large player in the mobile telephone field. According to a Reuters article the paper also suggests that the company is most likely Nokia. Neither of the companies have yet commented on the rumour." From the article: "Cisco's mainstay networking market was fast changing with the convergence of fixed-line and wireless networks, and Cisco needed a merger to acquire the technology to create intelligent wireless applications, which Finnish-based Nokia could provide."

81 of 119 comments (clear)

  1. Back to the old Cisco by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This would be their first really big acquisition in a long time, perhaps a bit too big for them?

    1. Re:Back to the old Cisco by Mictian · · Score: 2, Informative

      It would certainly be a rather uncharacteristic or bold move by Cisco as far as their track record of corporate acquisitions go. I touched on this very briefly in my own rejected submission (which imho was slightly more informative than the one posted, however it was probably submitted later, so I'm not complaining).

      I'll just post it here too, since it includes a few more links for those interested:

      According to today's Sunday Business newspaper, Cisco Systems Inc. is thinking of buying the finnish mobile handset giant Nokia in the aftermath of CEO Jorma Ollila's retirement announcement. In the past Cisco has concentrated more on buying smaller, niche tech companies. But this time its chief is believed to be interested in merging with a wireless infrastructure company, and Nokia would fit this bill. The paper says the merger would help Cisco create "intelligent wireless applications". Convergence is the buzz word of the day and this move would certainly combine the fixed-line and wireless networking capabilities of the companies. Cisco is currently valued at about $123 billion (25.5 times earnings) and Nokia at $71 billion (18.8 times earnings). Neither company has yet commented on the rumour.

      --
      "Only two things are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not sure of the former" - Albert Einstein
    2. Re:Back to the old Cisco by bn557 · · Score: 1

      We'll be seeing your submission later today in the form of a slashduping.

      --
      Humans are slow, innaccurate, and brilliant; computers are fast, acurrate, and dumb; together they are unbeatable
  2. What is the big deal? by Zxsw85 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    This article has no real content as the source of the information is unrevealed and both companies refused to comment. The real story is that large corporations have departments that work on plausible mergers/acquisitions day and night on future moves. They create possible mergers day and night, and will continue to do so after this. Without actual information, this article is fluff at best. The intresting part is the effects of this merger upon the technological fields.

    1. Re:What is the big deal? by sud_crow · · Score: 1

      Actually, i was thinking the other way...

      As there are no sources info, if this is all fluff they should have sayd it, this kind of rumors usually benefit one of them, and i dont think the other would be happy to loose some share points, because of a fluff they didnt take out.

      I mean, if they actually refused to comment on the topic, something has to be going on... unless the "refused to comment" means no one asked...

      --
      no sig
  3. Story is from a rumor mill by Zarhan · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This seems to be a story that started out from a single source. All the articles in Google news seem to quote each other and none of them seem to know where the original reference is (probably some analyst has started it as a way to boost his holdings). Now Reuters has picked it up. Excpect some nice trading on Monday when first Helsinki stock exchange and NASDAQ later open up. Then everyone forgets about this two days later.

  4. I wouldn't count on it. by dnaumov · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I couldn't find any data on what these companies are WORTH to see how easily Cisco could acquire Nokia, but Nokia revenues for 2004 were at 29.3 billion euro whilst Cisco revenues were at 22 billion euro. I am not exactly sure Cisco could swallow Nokia and not choke on it big time.

    1. Re:I wouldn't count on it. by LilWolf · · Score: 5, Informative

      Cisco is valued at 123 billion dollars(99,8 in euros). Nokia is valued at 71 billion dollars(57 in euros).

    2. Re:I wouldn't count on it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Nokia's market cap: $70.6B
      Cisco's market cap: $123.3B

      Nokia's cash: $1.4B
      Cisco's case: $2.6B

      Might be possible...

    3. Re:I wouldn't count on it. by Kippesoep · · Score: 1

      Still, seems like it would be more of a merger than a takeover. Very unlikely Cisco could come up with the cash to completely *buy* Nokia.

    4. Re:I wouldn't count on it. by digitalsushi · · Score: 1

      I dunno how big businesses work, but I know I bought a car worth 20 grand I'm worth about 11 grand in total :P maybe it's the same deal.

      --
      slashdot: where everyone yells sarcastic metaphors to themselves to understand the issue
    5. Re:I wouldn't count on it. by haggar · · Score: 3, Informative

      Mod parent down: Nokia has total cash US$ 13.79B.
      That's nearly 14 billion bucks of cash. That's 10 times more than what the parent reports.

      Please check the facts for yourself instead of believing an anonymous poster.

      --
      Sigged!
    6. Re:I wouldn't count on it. by Lawrence_Bird · · Score: 2, Insightful

      in fact its short term investments, usually bills or the like.
      One could argue Crisco could use that 14B to pay for a large
      part of the deal, but there is no way Nokia goes with out a
      premium of at least 20%, or $14B.  Hence you are left with
      a $120 odd billion market cap company with at most $18B in
      tangible assets trying to pay for $70B.  Its unlikly (to me)
      that Nokia or its shareholders would be receptive to a merger
      of equals approach and hence this would be treated as a
      hostile acquisition.  Bad news for Cisco shareholders when
      Nokia ownders dump $70B of stock on the market.  Can't see
      Cisco financing that much in debt or new equity either.

      Given this, its probably announced tomorrow :)

    7. Re:I wouldn't count on it. by haggar · · Score: 1

      Intelligent analisys, Mr. Byrd.

      I, of course, disagree with your "conclusion" ;op

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      Sigged!
    8. Re:I wouldn't count on it. by rcs1000 · · Score: 1

      Cisco would also have to pay a premium to buy Nokia. The deal would also have to be almost entireley "paper" based as Cisco has neither $90bn or so in cash, nor the realistic proposition of borrowing that money. Paper based deals require even higher premiums.

      It's also worth remembering that the Finns might be a little upset to lose their only large world class company.

      --
      --- My dad's political betting
  5. Jeez! by Jukashi · · Score: 4, Funny

    And all because Mike Wynn has a nokia phone - I think this attempt at silencing him has gotten a little out of hand.

  6. Other way around? by Cyclops · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Actually, I'd believe more the other way around...

    1. Re:Other way around? by vhogemann · · Score: 1

      Agreed,

      Also I can't imagine why Nokia would want to merge with Cisco...

      Nokia already has enought gas to enter on any market by its own means, they simply don't need to acquire Cisco to become a router company.

      --
      ---- You know how some doctors have the Messiah complex - they need to save the world? You've got the "Rubik's" complex
  7. When I See It by MBCook · · Score: 2, Informative
    It's official, I'll believe it. It's an interesting rumor, but it seems a little far out there. I suppose that Cisco would be one of the companies that would be big enough to purchase Nokia.

    Other than just becomming a conglomerate, I don't see much point. Wireless like Nokia does and network like Cisco does are just too different at this point. So unless they were going to use it for a big push at becomming the dominate VOIP provider (hardware wise), I can't really see it. This could endup as another AOL/TimeWarner in some ways.

    That said, it doesn't make that much difference to me. If they can get Sprint (my cell provider) to carry Nokia/Cisco phones (un-crippled) then I'll be happy. Otherwise it won't mean that much to me personally.

    But what would we call them? Nisco? Cikia? Nokisco? Just don't see a good name. Not like Squeenix (Square-Enix, or at least as I like to call 'em because it sounds better).

    --
    Comment forecast: Bits of genius surrounded by a sea of mediocrity.
    1. Re:When I See It by mcc · · Score: 2, Funny

      But what would we call them? Nisco? Cikia? Nokisco? Just don't see a good name.

      They should both do a three-way merger with Abbot Laboratories, then we could call the whole thing Nabisco

    2. Re:When I See It by haggar · · Score: 4, Insightful

      How wrong you are. Nokia produces tons of networking hardware, wireless equipment, and of course, mobile switching stations, BSCs, all sorts of 3G equipment, mobile network servers for all sorts of services, VOIP, multimedia, network management, etc. etc. etc. - the protfolio of Nokia Networks is so large and varied, I would never be able to do it justice. In fact, one line of products are the IP routers and firewalls that are considered by many to be best-of-breed. A lot of these solutions/products incorporate some Cisco device.

      And of course, Nokia Networks is in tight symbiosys with Nokia Mobile Phones.

      So, Cisco as a partner would make a lot of sense. But it would have to be a merger of equals, because Nokia is a very large company, with 70+ billion$ market cap and 13+ billion$ in the bank.

      --
      Sigged!
    3. Re:When I See It by Gaurang · · Score: 1

      Hey, thanks for the joke ..;-)

      I laughed for a while....:)

      --
      I have found a solution to Riemann's Hypothesis, but have run out of spac
    4. Re:When I See It by bryanp · · Score: 1

      Wireless like Nokia does and network like Cisco does are just too different at this point.

      Nokia does other things besides wireless. Firewalls, VPN and other networking services, for example.

      --
      "An unarmed man can only flee from evil, and evil is not overcome by fleeing from it." Col. Jeff Cooper
  8. one big company acquiring another? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    We cannot see how this wouldn't work. Think of the synergies and the long-term return on shareholder equity.

    It's a cinch that this deal will produce unflappable results.

    Sincerely,

    AOL and Time-Warner

  9. Nokia denies the rumor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    Nokia's chief of corporate communications Arja Suominen denies the news as unsupported speculation according the Finnish Broadcasting Company YLE.

  10. Nokia might need this by badzilla · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Nokia has this image as "king of the wireless" but in fact this has been slipping in the last couple of years as their primary product (handset) has been under threat of commoditisation by many other vendors primarily Far-Eastern.

    To their credit Nokia saw this coming a long time ago and have strenuously tried to diversify into (a) server-side systems for mobile e.g. specialised mobile groupware and (b) network infrastructure with a security highlight such as dedicated (BSD) firewall boxes and VPN systems.

    So maybe they do have something attractive for Cisco and might even view it as a merger.

    Trivia: Nokia invented the first non-black Wellington Boot.

    --
    "Don't belong. Never join. Think for yourself. Peace." V.Stone, Microsoft Corporation
    1. Re:Nokia might need this by asdfghjklqwertyuiop · · Score: 1

        (b) network infrastructure with a security highlight such as dedicated (BSD) firewall boxes and VPN systems.


      I have much experience with those pieces of shit.

      Its a nice little scheme. These "network infrastructure systems" are basically vanilla X86 boxes with IDE drives and 5-10 year old components (AMD K6-2, Cyrix 233mhz processors) running what is more or less FreeBSD 2.2.6.

      And they successfully convince high-level IT management at large companies who don't know any better to pay several thousand dollars per box for these things. And that doesn't even cover a Checkpoint license (which is all anyone does with these things). This side of nokia has got to be rolling in the cash.
    2. Re:Nokia might need this by publicworker · · Score: 1

      Trivia: Nokia invented the first non-black Wellington Boot.

      And you couldn't get finer boots (although mine were always black) - good quality that lasted forever. Damn shame when you couldn't get them anymore.

    3. Re:Nokia might need this by haggar · · Score: 1

      Actually, they are not "vanilla X86 boxes", as you say. They have a special chipset to increase throughput between network adapters. The CPU is almost irrelevant for what these machines do, while fat pipes between NICs and the CPU does count.

      Besides, even if they were "vanilla X86 boxes", they do solve, as a package, a certain problem, which CIOs consider relevant, and if they think that solution is worth the price, then they will pay.

      If you feel unhappy because it seems like "money for nothing" to you, then why don't you jump in on the bandwagon, make these generic x86 boxen, install FreeBSD (or whatever you prefere) and sell them as routers. Nobody stops you from making money from the "scam".

      --
      Sigged!
    4. Re:Nokia might need this by 10Ghz · · Score: 1
      Nokia has this image as "king of the wireless" but in fact this has been slipping in the last couple of years as their primary product (handset) has been under threat of commoditisation by many other vendors primarily Far-Eastern.


      few years ago everyone said that Samsung and the like would destroy Nokia. Well, here we are today. While Samsung is doing more or less OK, it's far from "destroying" Nokia. In fact, Nokia is a lot better at selling low-end phones than those far-eastern companies are! And Nokia makes lots of phones in China, and they are soon going to start making phones in India.

      Nokia just announced that they have managed to increase their market-share. And their market-share is bigger than the next two companies (Motorola and Samsung) combined. I don't see their imminent downfall in the horizon.
      --
      Lesbian Nazi Hookers Abducted by UFOs and Forced Into Weight Loss Programs - -all next week on Town Talk.
    5. Re:Nokia might need this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      You can still get them, they're just named Nokian now.

      Although I can't vouch for the quality, since they apparently restructured the company when they changed the name, and outsourced the production.

    6. Re:Nokia might need this by asdfghjklqwertyuiop · · Score: 1

      Actually, they are not "vanilla X86 boxes", as you say. They have a special chipset to increase throughput between network adapters. The CPU is almost irrelevant for what these machines do, while fat pipes between NICs and the CPU does count.


      Where are these special chipsets you speakof?

      Here's a snippet from the dmesg output of a 130:
      mediagx0 <Cyrix GXLV CPU with PCI/Memory Controller> rev 0 on pci0:0:0
      mediagx1 <Cyrix CS5530 PCI to ISA bridge> rev 48 on pci0:18:0
      mediagx2 <Cyrix CS5530 SMI> rev 0 on pci0:18:1
      mediagx3 <Cyrix CS5530 IDE> rev 0 on pci0:18:2
      cyrix 5530
      And this from a 380:
      pcircc0 <ServerWorks CNB30LC/LE Northbridge> rev 6 on pci0:0:0
      pcircc1 <ServerWorks Southbridge> rev 80 on pci0:15:0
      We've got a 330 laying around here that I could peek too, but I'm sure I'll find just another X86 chipset... I know that model had a K6-2 under the hood.

      And anyway, bandwidth between NICs doesn't matter much for what these things are most commonly used for... running Checkpoint. The packets have to make it into main memory first.

    7. Re:Nokia might need this by asdfghjklqwertyuiop · · Score: 1
      Do you have a lot of vanilla x86 boxes laying around that can support 36 10/100 ports,


      What Nokia box supports 36 ports? Even the 530s I believe only have two CPCI slots and ~4 on board ports. I know there is one higher up series Nokia makes, maybe that one will do it. But for that kind of money (a lot less actually), yes, I can find an vanilla X86 box that will do that.


      includes network processor technology?


      Network Processor Technology? Do you work in Nokia's marketing department? Not that that's a bad thing. Anyone who can sell a stripped down 300Mhz cyrix-based PC for $1200 is a fucking genious, marketing-wise.

      How about flash-based systems that let you have a redundant configuration that only takes up a total of 1RU of space?


      Yeah, how about that? Nokias have plain ATA hard disks, not flash.

      How about hot-swappable, front mounted interface cards (hint: rack-mounted network friendly)?


      Nokia's CPCI cards are not hot-swappable. Some of them even say so right on the front of the system. I suppose the PCMCIA is hot swap, is that how you're going to get 36 ethernet ports?


      How about rock-solid HA (VRRP) or Clustering built into the OS at $0 additional cost


      Rock-solid VRRP? ROFLOL... first time I've ever heard anyone use those two words in the same sentence.


      You know why IT managers get convinced to buy it? Single source. You buy the platform and have Check Point questions, who do you call? Nokia.


      Who in turn passes the buck to Checkpoint if the problem looks like a checkpoint problem or is too complicated for them. One of the first things nokia has you do when you have a problem is fw unloadlocal or cpstop to try and figure out where the blame lies.

      If you want a single source with no blamepassing, you find a CSP who supports Checkpoint on Nokia... most of them do since Checkpoint on IPSO is so common.


      Since you see the boxes as just PeeCees, I suppose you'd prefer to run CP's SecurePlatform on Dell/HP/IBM units, right?


      Yes. Then you really have one source for all software support: Checkpoint.


      Ok, here's how your support call goes, "Hi, Dell, I'm running SecurePlatform on my PowerEdge 1850, and it's not working... No, it's not Windows Server, it's not RedHat Enterprise, it's SecurePlatform....


      No. You suspect a hardware problem? Ok, swap out the commodity component with a known good one. Tell Dell/HP/IBM you replaced the component with another and now the system works. They give you an RMA number. Done.

  11. Cisco and linksys. by Blapto · · Score: 4, Interesting

    When cisco acquired linksys, build quality went down the pan. My pre-cicso equipment is solid stuff, built to last. The WRT54G I've got now feels flimsy and from what I've heard from other users is pretty prone to damage.
    I'd rather this doesn't happen, as at the moment Nokia is an excellent company that doesn't need messing around with.

    1. Re:Cisco and linksys. by Larry+Lightbulb · · Score: 1

      You beat me to it. I've just spent a week battling with a router and a print server - poor manuals, out of date software, support staff who don't know their product, and the equipment itself feels that it'll fall apart the first time someone stares at it.

    2. Re:Cisco and linksys. by demachina · · Score: 1

      Cisco is a Chinese company now, Chambers has said it a number of times. They take much of their direction on where their R&D and manufacturing investments go from the Communist, or actually now Fascist, party of China. Now that they've gone from state ownership to private ownership by the now filthy rich members of the party hierarchy, Communist isn't really descriptive, Fascist is.

      Face it, China's manufacturing expertise is for quantity, low price and maximum profit, not quality and durability.

      If this does happen I wouldn't be surprised if the Chinese might chip in. I imagine China would LOVE to gain control of Nokia and the global cell phone market, especially since their cell phone market is the biggest in the world now. They also have a central bank with something around a hundred billion dollars they don't know what to do with which is why CNOOC a sham front company was trying to buy Unocal with backing from all those U.S. trade deficit dollars. I think they are shopping for an Australian oil company now that fell through.

      People might freak if China tried to buy Nokia but if their best friends at Cisco were the front for it that would work great.

      --
      @de_machina
    3. Re:Cisco and linksys. by hackstraw · · Score: 1


      The WRTG54G is not that good. At least older models. Mine overheated, which I've read is common, and I replaced it with an SMC or something. I've actually have read that the WRTG line was actually a rebranded Chinese product, and not a real Cisco or Linksys product.

    4. Re:Cisco and linksys. by moosesocks · · Score: 2, Insightful

      WRT54G was a linksys product before the acquisition. there have been various revisions since then, but they've been mostly due to revisions of the chipsets used to power the router.

      from what I hear, quality has gone UP across the various revisions, with specific regard to stability (probably related to the chipset), and power supplies.

      --
      -- If you try to fail and succeed, which have you done? - Uli's moose
    5. Re:Cisco and linksys. by pete6677 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Cisco has been careful to make Linksys products shitty enough so as to not cannibalize sales of the more profitable Cisco name brand. Those sales would suffer if Linksys were high quality enough to be enterprise grade equipment, since it pretty much includes all the features most people need.

    6. Re:Cisco and linksys. by demachina · · Score: 1

      That is spelled Chinophobia, dumbass.

      You can Google John Chambers and China and read his own statements on China. He has explicitly said he is making Cisco in to a Chinese company and he is making investments in China based on guidance from the Chinese government. They are moving big chunks of their R&D there and presumably all of their manufacturing. Chambers is Cisco's CEO in case you didn't know.

      My theory of Cisco/China buying Nokia has about as much chance at validity as Cisco buying Nokia which is very little.

      --
      @de_machina
    7. Re:Cisco and linksys. by elemental23 · · Score: 1

      It might be more accurate to say that Cisco hasn't done anything to improve the quality of the Linksys line. They certainly don't need to do anything to make them worse. Linksys, in my experience, has pretty much always been utter crap.

      --
      I like my women like my coffee... pale and bitter.
  12. Cisco vs Nokia worth by jg21 · · Score: 1

    It says here that Nokia is considered to be a $71 billion company, vs Cisco $123. Also quotes Cisco's chairman from back in April when he said "I am at the altar waiting to partner" (a reference back then to Nortel Networks, not Nokia)

  13. Numbers don't add up. by G4from128k · · Score: 1, Informative

    Cisco has about $5 billion in cash & short-term investments. Nokia's market cap is $71 billion (and would probably need an offer that values the firm at $80 to $90 billlion to succeed). Even if Cisco liquidates its $11 billion in long-term investments, it can't swing this deal with what it has on hand.

    Unless Cisco goes into major debt with a leveraged buyout, they can't afford to buy someone as big as Nokia.

    --
    Two wrongs don't make a right, but three lefts do.
    1. Re:Numbers don't add up. by Sivaram_Velauthapill · · Score: 3, Informative

      They'll just offer Cisco stock or something. You are right in saying that it is next to impossible for them to raise $70 billion in cash.

      --
      Sivaram Velauthapillai
      Seeking the meaning of life... @slashdot of all places ;)
    2. Re:Numbers don't add up. by saridder · · Score: 1

      Cisco's got about $19b in the bank. Yahoo Finance is wrong for some reason.

      http://www.cisco.com/en/US/about/ac49/ac20/ac19/ar 2004/financial_review/index.html

      --
      --- RFC 1149 Compliant.
    3. Re:Numbers don't add up. by rhess460 · · Score: 1

      Things have changed a lot since 31 July 2004. Excel file on their website shows 2,641 in Cash and Equiv and 2,397 of short term investments.

      http://media.corporate-ir.net/media_files/irol/81/ 81192/reports/q3fy05/bs2005_q3.xls

    4. Re:Numbers don't add up. by RealAlaskan · · Score: 1
      They'll just offer Cisco stock or something.

      It's that or junk-bond financing. Neither one sounds like a very bright plan to me. As a shareholder in both companies, I am not excited by this whole thing.

      I'm not excited by the prospect of seeing my CSCO holdings diluted, and maybe seeing them screw up and go the way of Time-Warner. I'm not excited by the prospect of seeing my NOK shares traded for some diluted CSCO shares. I'm not excited by the prospect of seeing either management team take over from the other. I'm so not excited, in fact, that I'll probably dump both companies if this turns out to be real.

  14. Two market leaders struggling along by Sivaram_Velauthapill · · Score: 1

    Cisco and Nokia used to be the de facto #1 leaders in their market. Nowadays, they are just two struggling behemoths.

    I'm not really sure how benefitial such a merger would be. I guess Cisco's plan is to offer vertically integrated solutions, from the networking stuff all the way to the handset. I don't know... might be a bad merger...

    --
    Sivaram Velauthapillai
    Seeking the meaning of life... @slashdot of all places ;)
  15. AOL by nchip · · Score: 2, Funny

    LOL AOL,

    sincerly,

    HP and Compaq
    Compaq and DEC

    --
    signatures pending - ansa@kos.to - (dont mail there)
  16. ugh no way by eight+and+a+quarter · · Score: 1

    nokia builds some shit phones for their cheaper lines. the nokia 3595 is the worst phone ever invented, or pretty much any phone with replacable covers. the buttons die quickly.. my talk key is gone, but my 7 and my 8 are almost dead.

    --
    lameness filter thwarted.
    1. Re:ugh no way by ICA · · Score: 1

      Why is it whenever large companies are being discussed, somebody feels it is relevant to talk about their own personal experience with a single product from one of the companies and uses that as a basis for how the companies should respond?

      You are a single datapoint. Nobody cares.

  17. Competitors by paulkoan · · Score: 1


    Nokia and Cisco are competitors to a degree. Both sell firewall (with straightVPN) and SSL VPN products; the Nokia firewall products being based on Checkpoint's firewall software platform in the main.

    Which is where the real competition lies, Cisco PIX versus Checkpoint Firewall-1 (on a variety of hardware platforms).

    So if this merger/buyout actually went ahead, it would alter the landscape significantly, and it would be interesting to see how Cisco would spin it.

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    This signature intentionally left blank
  18. IOS on Nokia by flipper65 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Well I guess the interface may change a bit, for example adding a name to my address book: Phone# configure terminal Enter configuration commands, one per line. End with CNTL/Z. Phone(config)# alias exec callbob dial phone.device.213.555.1212 Phone(config)# end Phone# callbob? *callbob="dial phone.device.213.555.1212"

  19. The Network is the Phone by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

    I remember when Cisco bought Selsius to get into the VoIP biz. That seemed like a good idea at the time, and it was in networking hardware (though mostly terminals), closer to Cisco's core competency. How well did it work out for Cisco, its shareholders, and customers?

    Nokia makes "network terminals", too, but would this combination really make Cisco better able to exploit the 3G network market than the two companies operating separately?

    --

    --
    make install -not war

    1. Re:The Network is the Phone by cgori · · Score: 1

      Excuse me while I laugh for a while.

      Okay, back.

      Cisco is now the #1 seller of VoIP phones in the world. I recall numbers like $4B per year in VoIP gear, including handsets. Selsius was the beginning of this but Cisco acquired several other VoIP companies both in hardware and software, while I was working there (96-01).

      Cisco and Nokia is a cruel joke made up by an analyst. Cisco's stated theory of acquisition is to never buy a big company, never buy someone who isnt geographically colocated, and never buy anyone who doesn't have a "cultural" match with their style of business. Nokia fails at least 2 of those tests, I don't know enough of their culture to speak to the third.

      Cisco -might- buy the Nokia development lab in Mountain View, and move all the engineers to San Jose. That would be at least semi-plausible, but that's really just the old IPsilon team, plus whatever they have done in 6 years. I still doubt that one though.

      Analysts make up crappy stories like this all the time. Very very few of them are true.

    2. Re:The Network is the Phone by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure why you're laughing. Sounds like the Selsius play was part of quite a good move by Cisco. And this isn't the Motley Fool board, so I'm not thinking of making an equity move on this Cisco/Nokia rumor. It's enough for me that we have a chance to think about how this would go, and to see whether the Slashdotters think of it in terms of beefing up Cisco, or Nokia (almost certainly the former). FWIW, it's a chance to think about Cisco's role in 3G network infrastructure. What is their angle there, in the switches?

      BTW, wasn't Selsius a French company or something? I don't recall their location being in the Valley. And when I produced a demo of their phones with Cisco in NYC in 1999, the Selsius people didn't really seem to fit with the Cisco people, corporate culturally - they seemed really outclassed by the slick, worldly, even well-rounded (for engineers) Cisco people. So they have 2 strikes against them, and they got bought. I'm not trying to build plausibility to this rumor, but it does seem like your criteria aren't as critical as you make them out.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    3. Re:The Network is the Phone by cgori · · Score: 1

      The laughing is because "How well did it work out for Cisco, its shareholders, and customers?" in the grandparent post sounded like you didn't think it was a good deal. Maybe I just misread an honest question as criticism.

      From what I can tell Nokia's market cap and value is heavily tied up in its worldwide brand, and the marketing and OEM relationship required to sustain it with various telcos, cell carriers, etc. I doubt that is an incredibly interesting asset to Cisco, since it's not really compatible with their style of business. Yes the switches would be interesting for 3G, but why would they pay 50-100B to get the tiny fraction they were interested in? They could develop a competitive equivalent for 10B or less, I suspect. And if Cisco understands their VoIP markets well and how they interact with 3G they may be able to "head them off at the pass" in 3-5 years.

      As far as Selsius being French, that's kind of right. They were a division of a French company, but based in Dallas. Cisco has (had?) a sizeable presence in Texas at that point, in both Richardson and in Austin (I believe). The geographic colocation was normally based around areas Cisco had already invested in: San Jose/Silicon Valley, Ottawa, RTP/North Carolina, Chelmsford-Massachusetts/NH, Sydney Australia, and Amsterdam(?) Netherlands.

      After an acquisition Cisco would typically try to move the office of the startup into the closest development office in pretty short order. If leases made that impractical it could stay physically separate for about a year or so. But a big guiding principle was to try to get them in physical proximity fairly quickly, and get them assimilated.

      I never met the Selsius guys, just used their original phones for a while (man the original ones were ugly as hell). I think Cisco took the guts of the phone (and the software stack), sent it out to IDEO and got a nice sexy IP phone out it.

      Those criteria have been reiterated over and over again as the "process of acquistion" by Chambers, Volpi, etc in business magazines, books and interviews for many years now. I think Cisco did 40 acquisitions while I was there, and most of them seemed to follow the plan (of course there are always exceptions).

    4. Re:The Network is the Phone by cgori · · Score: 1

      Doc

      I wrote the first reply before Cisco's earnings call yesterday. Here's what Chambers said on the call (this is from the story over at lightreading.com today) -- I think it almost exactly mirrors what I said:

      "It is extremely unlikely for us to ever do a large acquisition. My view is, most all of them fail," Chambers said.

      Chambers described Cisco's ideal acquisition target as being just about the opposite of publicly traded, 55,500-employee Nokia. "We prefer small acquisitions, private. Ideal target: 100 to 200 people," Chambers noted. He added that Cisco likes an acquiree to be in the early stages of revenues; Nokia fits that bill like Tatum O'Neal fits her old Bad News Bears uniform.

      Not convinced? There's more: "We like geographic proximity, similar culture, and we like an environment that is already in a location where we have a very large presence." So... not Finland?

      "While we do not want to get in the habit of commenting on rumors, I was surprised the credibility the market gave to some of the recent rumors," he said.

    5. Re:The Network is the Phone by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      Thanks for tracking this issue all the way through the authentic comments from the source (both historically and up-to-the-minute). As you detected in your earlier post, I meant my question purely directly, not as a rhetorical comment on any dubious outcome of their acquisition of Selsius. I thought it was a good idea at the time, if a bit (1-2 years) premature. But that obviously positioned them well, and probably has helped the VoIP market/industry grow more stably, too.

      Since you're so on top of things, how do you see Cisco's VoIP and telephony gateways (among SIP, PSTN, X.25 and maybe Skype) competing with, say, Asterisk? Do you think Asterisk will remain a viable option, or will Cisco packaging/support or other advantage keep Asterisk marginal forever? Conversely, do you see Cisco opening any similar SW, that can run on generic (non-Cisco) HW?

      --

      --
      make install -not war

  20. Re:Translation: by saleenS281 · · Score: 1

    Hey cisco has vision I mean... it only took them till what? 2001 to have an SSH client on the router instead of only telnet.

  21. Re:Finnish-based? by zorglubxx · · Score: 1

    Finnish-based is correct. Like if you were talking about a company from Canada you would say Canadian-based and not Canada-based.

    Dolt.

  22. Nokia firewall appliances? by Glamdrlng · · Score: 1

    It'll be interesting to see how this affects Nokia's line of FW appliances. I can't see Cisco continuing to sell a line of hardware that customers use to run their competitors' (ie Checkpoint) firewall software. Then again maybe they'd allow Pix to get ported over to the appliances? I'm not holding my breath though.

    --

    Yes, my only tool is a hammer. And you're starting to look like a nail.
    1. Re:Nokia firewall appliances? by argent · · Score: 1

      Then again maybe they'd allow Pix to get ported over to the appliances?

      Um, the PIX pretty much started as a PC running a custom OS. Porting that to the Nokia boxes would be pointless.

      Boy would I laugh if Cisco bought Nokia and trashed the Checkpoint-based firewalls.

  23. Source of Story by jg21 · · Score: 1

    The newspaper quoted by Reuters and MarketWatch appears to be the UK newspaper "The Business" (formerly named "Sunday Business").

  24. Cisco doesn't have any Cisco shares by G4from128k · · Score: 2, Interesting

    They'll just offer Cisco stock or something.

    Cisco's float is virtually 100%, they don't have any treasury stock they can issue. That is, Cisco doesn't own any Cisco shares to play with. Unless they dilute the current shareholder's stock -- by creating new shares in the joint company to be given to Nokia shareholders -- Cisco doesn't have that many options other than an LBO.

    --
    Two wrongs don't make a right, but three lefts do.
  25. Cisco 7920 looks like a Nokia product already by zerofoo · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I'm willing to bet that the 7920 wireless phones we use in our office are made by Nokia:

    Check them out here.

    Maybe Cisco wants to push their wireless VOIP to the next level. It makes sense. Imagine every Nokia product being 802.11 VOIP capable right out of the box.

    -ted

  26. A match made in heaven... by B747SP · · Score: 2, Funny
    Cisco, a company that used to make great hardware that has now completely lost the plot insofar as hardware goes.

    Nokia, a company that used to make great hardware that has now completely lost the plot insofar as hardware goes.

    A merger seems like the natural thing to do at this point.

    --
    I find your ideas intriguing and I wish to subscribe to your newsletter.
    1. Re:A match made in heaven... by gkndivebum · · Score: 1

      Indeed. I've been thru two acqisitions, one by Cisco and one by Nokia. They both used to be on top of the world. Not any longer.

      --
      Breathe continuously
  27. Re:Finnish-based? by DrMindWarp · · Score: 1

    No, you would correctly say Canada-based and this is backed up by the OED. In such cases the word 'based' should follow a noun (singular). So we say Earth-based, land-based, water-based, US-based etc.

    Of course, common usage may diverge from the ideal and that, in turn, will change the convention. The ignorant always win out in the end.

  28. Why does it have to be phones? by foxtrot · · Score: 1

    Nokia does network gear, too. Mostly firewall appliances.

  29. Nokia products by FRiC · · Score: 1

    Nokia makes more than cellular phones, they also make things like routers and other networking equipment that compete directly with Cisco.

    At my company we have cable manufacturing equipment made by Nokia, and they are also one of our larger customers, buying cables for laying cellular networks.

  30. Re:Translation: by Zorgoth · · Score: 1

    Uhh, do you mean Cisco or Nokia by the "behemoth"?

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    -------------------------------END--COMMUNICATION- --------------------------
  31. Business value and innovation by rshimizu12 · · Score: 1

    The real question for Cisco is what business value and innovation can they bring to Nokia......?? This will prove to be especially difficult due to the large market share they already have. Motorola has a new CEO and is becoming much more innovative and compeitive. So therefore Nokia will have make a quantum leap in innovation in order for Cisco to deliver sufficient shareholder return. One possiblity could be realtime videophone conferencing. Currently they are essentially seperate technologies. In the end I think takover of Nokia by Cisco is unlikely.

  32. It's a phone, a camera, MP3 player ... router?? by ankhank · · Score: 1

    Just how many functions can be crammed into a handheld portable device, do you think?

    Oh, right ... all of them.

  33. Re:Translation: by Flaming+Foobar · · Score: 1
    Big, slowly dying behemoth immediately notices up-and-coming, vibrant technology company in an expanding area

    UP AND COMING!?

    --
    while true;do echo -e -n "\033[s\n\033[u\134_\033[B";done
  34. 7920 wireless phones in one office? by Quarkness · · Score: 1

    oh uhm, right... never mind

    It reminds me more of a Siemens from the late nineties.

  35. Highly unlikely.... by Mark+Gillespie · · Score: 1

    Cisco is nowhere near big enough to buy out Nokia. What is more likely, is a Sony-Erricsson arrangement...

  36. Sony-Ericsson more likely by andersh · · Score: 1

    That's exactly my thoughs on the subject. Ericsson would probably like to get out of the mobile business anyway. Just like Siemens dumped their phones on BenQ.

  37. Maybe a tech match, but... by mahju · · Score: 1

    Hmm although this may make some technical sense, I think that you need to consider the companies....

    Nokia's Overview shows it to be an old Finish company that moved from a Cable Works company into mobile phones as the market grew.

    Cisco's Overview shows it to be a 20 year old company that was set up by a group of American university hackers.

    Yes both are large, sell globally, and both know about the bits and pieces that make communications work, however they are 2 very different corporate cultures. We've seen that when Daimler-Benz merged with Chrysler, the clash of cultures resulting in a range of trensions, and new inefficencies. The brash American "can do" and the more planned and calculated German approach, has resutled in the worst of both, rather the best of both companies. Maybe Cisco should look a little closer to home?

  38. Buy small is smart by mdecarle · · Score: 1

    Cisco doesn't need to acquire a big player in the market. It does no good buying Nokia. It goes like this:

    1. Buy small company
    2. Stick on Cisco logo
    3. ??
    4. Profit!!

    If it bought a big company, it is bringing in a lot of shareholders, and loosing part of the control. Don't you think Chalmers wants to keep some control over his company?

  39. Not just Wellies... by SenorCitizen · · Score: 1
    Although I can't vouch for the quality, since they apparently restructured the company when they changed the name, and outsourced the production.

    They didn't outsource, but spun off the non-core businesses. The boots are supposedly the same as ever.

    In addition to the rubber boot factory, there's Nokian Tyres(best studded winter tyres available, btw), and the TV set manufacturer Finlux.