Slashdot Mirror


Vista Launch Good for Desktop Linux?

Sensible Clod writes "XYZ Computing has an article hypothesizing that the arrival of Windows Vista may be a big opportunity for Linux to make headway on the desktop. Massive feature cutbacks for Vista as well as huge hardware requirements are cited as major factors. From the article: 'As the time gets closer and closer to the public debut of Vista the operating system seems to be constantly losing the luster which was associated with Longhorn...Whether it's the lack of a new file system or the Monad scripting shell, the absence of innovation in this operating system is giving it a black eye'. The article then shows the need for action to be taken to get Linux onto the computers in stores (display models!), and pinpoints a few important improvements Linux distros in general need to make. Very interesting read, and timely."

78 of 535 comments (clear)

  1. negligible by silverkniveshotmail. · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Vista is not going to decrease the amount of people purchasing new computers with whatever current version of windows is pre-loaded. This is the majority of windows purchases. As for those who are going to be holding onto their current computers and using them most of them will probably not upgrade to the newest (most expensive) operating system available and will probably stick with windows xp or 2000 until they get a new computer that does come with vista.
    The same people who bought windows XP at full retail will probably go ahead and buy Vista at full retail while most of us that use linux now will just keep using linux whether or not some new version of windows comes along.
    I think the whole impact will be negligible.

    1. Re:negligible by LWATCDR · · Score: 2, Insightful

      " Vista is not going to decrease the amount of people purchasing new computers with whatever current version of windows is pre-loaded. "
      I have to wonder computers are really "good enough" Except for the people that toss their computers when they get too infected with spy/adware who really needs a new computer?
      People that always need the latest and greatest are the people that do CAD, Rendering, high end photo shop, video editing, and Gamers.
      Everyone else is really fine with even the low end we have now.
      The place that Windows may loose big is the Government/Corporate Desktop. Vista offers them very little. A lot of them are still on 2000 even now.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    2. Re:negligible by Dan+Ost · · Score: 2, Insightful

      When MS released a new OS did they do so thinking that the impact would be negligible, so why bother to even try?

      No, they do so primarily because the stock market expects them to. If MS didn't at least pretend to be working on new products, their stock would plummet.

      --

      *sigh* back to work...
    3. Re:negligible by Liam+Slider · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Sadly this is true. People don't choose Windows, they choose a computer and Windows happens to come with it. Windows is "thrust upon them" as it were. At least this is the case for the majority. I'm sure some people choose Windows. Sad, pathetic people.

      Me, I chose Linux years ago (Mandrake, then SuSE, now Mandrake/Mandriva again), and use it as my day to day OS. I never have been able to understand these folks who say it "isn't ready for the desktop" simply because it doesn't have some specific brand name application, when it does have valid replacement apps of it's own. I don't understand the people who harpo about ease of install and compiling, when installing applications is pretty simple to me, just going to "Install software" and clicking on the apps I want...or using urpmi on the command line, which is just urpmi and the name of the application. I don't know what people are talking about when they say there are no games either. Maybe some fewer, but plenty of commercial games...lots that don't even need WINE or Cedega. And lots of decent Open Source games.

      I think the people who say these thing are just afraid of going outside of what's comfortable for them, what they are used to and trying something new. I mean hell, if my grandfather can use Linux as his day to day OS (and he does), then surely anyone can.

  2. This is what amazes me by Saven+Marek · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Out of all the features meant to be in vista some since 1992, almost all of them have been dropped. Microsoft a large gigantic corporation couldn't get them in their system working.

    What's funny is that every one of those features is available today in a Linux distro near you. Yet still nobody listens and switches to linux in droves, but many wait for vista

    I think sometimes everyone is a sheep

    1. Re:This is what amazes me by Adelbert · · Score: 5, Funny
      I think sometimes everyone is a sheep

      If that's what you think, then so do I!

    2. Re:This is what amazes me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Your comments are a tad over zealous.

      I've been using linux as a way to learn how the command line works, I didn't enjoy the days or even weeks it took me to get my peripherals/hardware to work. I'd honestly rather go for a walk then get my cd's to burn.

      I want to be a programmer, so I'm learning about things I think/have been told they do. I don't want to just re-iterate all of the old arguments of why linux wont make it to the desktop just yet. But here is what I know from reading posts here (in short form):

      1) Driver support. No support => few users => no support
      2) Lack of games
      3) Office. Everyone wants you to send documents in word. Even when I'd never used linux, I always sent ascii or pdf files aswell.

      My personal experiences.

      1) I love the ideology behind GNU. I'd never even really thought about such ideas existing (outside of Star Trek). I hate the fact that closed source is so..well closed. MS can steer the IT word any way THEY want. Now that can't be inthe interests of the user.

    3. Re:This is what amazes me by fontkick · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Why can't Linux people understand this: Windows users utilize software written only for Windows. My copies of Adobe Creative Suite, Maya, Dreamweaver, MS Office, Microsoft Money and other utilites cost me almost $4000. That's $4000 that pays my bills and makes me money. Will the Windows binaries run on OSX? No, so I'm not switching. Will they run on Linux natively? No, so I'm not switching.

      When software developers sell multi-platform licenses for each title, then we can switch. Until then, it's Windows or whatever OS you are locked into due to the expense of moving to another platform, which would require buying a full version instead of an upgrade. Why spend that kind of money to switch when the software/hardware combo you are using now will work just fine?

    4. Re:This is what amazes me by codename.matrix · · Score: 2, Insightful

      As much as i hate to say this: SuSe Linux does indeed. Through Yast - the equivalent for the Control Panel. It can do even more than Windows "Add/Remove Programs" because you can actually "Add Programs" from it that are not installed without having to hunt down the setup files for the program. Other linux distributions have such things too.

    5. Re:This is what amazes me by shreevatsa · · Score: 4, Funny
      1) Driver Support: Maybe what you say is true, but my personal experience has been otherwise -- Linux picked up all my hardware automatically, while Windows (XP) didn't.

      2)Hey, there are enough games on Linux already! Doom3, Counterstrike, and um, a few others work on Linux. And besides,
      A master programmer passed a novice programmer one day. The master noted the novice's preoccupation with a hand-held computer game. ``Excuse me,'' he said, ``may I examine it?''
      The novice bolted to attention and handed the device to the master.
      ``I see that the device claims to have three levels of play: Easy, Medium and Hard,'' said the master. ``Yet every such device has another level of play, where the device seeks not to conquer the human, nor to be conquered by the human.''
      ``Pray, great master,'' implored the novice, ``how does one find this mysterious settings?''
      The master dropped the device to the ground and crushed it underfoot. And suddenly the novice was enlightened.
      -- The Tao of Programming, 8.2

      :)
      3) Openoffice, Kword, Abiword, antiword... all open Word files. The reason most Linux users hate to receive Word attachments is a philosophy thing, not that they can't open them.
    6. Re:This is what amazes me by ameline · · Score: 2, Informative

      Hey, At least Maya runs on Linux, and Mac OSX. If you want to transfer your maya licence to linux or mac, contact Alias.

      --
      Ian Ameline
    7. Re:This is what amazes me by narfbot · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Can you switch the license for free, or do you have to purchase an upgrade or something?

    8. Re:This is what amazes me by XMyth · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I see how that was contradictory.....I wasn't referring ot the Gentoo part of things, but more like the few KDE quirks (off the top of my head, .txt iframes in konqueror opening kwrite... try going to www.crownweather.com/tropical.html in konq to see what I mean)...or the aggrivation I had with Samba, or the lack of a decent user switching dialog.

      How upgrading WINE suddenly broke DVDShrink (yea yea, I know, whatever you say though doesn't change the fact that this is something I had to deal with...would be nice if there were a DVDShrink equiv in Linux).

      As far as Gentoo goes though, I was fully prepared to do all the extra work for that system. Portage itself was worth it for me. I had that part of the system under control very well with no complaints there.

      My post wasn't even a complaint about Linux really though, more of a reason why a lot of people don't use it. I mean, I really wanted to make it my desktop...it was for a year...but when I switched back to Windows it was very obvious that there was less overhead involved with using that OS.

      I mean, even if Linux was BETTER for a regular user out-of-the-box in every way than Windows you'd STILL have a problem getting people to switch. As it is right now, Linux doesn't even have THAT going for it. Not for home users anyways. Corp. environments are a whole different story.

    9. Re:This is what amazes me by Hiro+Antagonist · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Seriously, keep it up! Because attitudes like yours keep me in the green. People just love paying inflated prices from their vendors because their vendors use expensive tools.

      So when somebody like me can roll in, with a ton of free-tool experience, and roll a cross-platform solution (Windows, MacOS X, Linux, BSD) with guaranteed uptime, remote maintainence from the developer, secure remote access features, and interactive documentation, and all for less than a proprietary solution would cost, what do you think my clients tell me?

      The best thing is, since I'm not writing applications for redistribution, I can make all kinds of changes to existing applications, still be legal by the GPL by making those patches available, and save myself months of development time.

      It's not, "Oh, I'm sorry, but that has to run on Windows," it's "Wait, you can give us *how much* for *how little*?"

      --

      --
      I Hit the Karma Cap, and All I Got Was This Lousy .sig.
  3. People don't care by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    People don't care about Monad or new file systems - they want nice GUIs with RSS integrated - IE with tabs etc... Vista is everything the average user wants.

    As for hardware requirements - most people will get vista with their shiny new hardware from dell or whatever. It will meet the requirements and look great with lots of eye-candy.

    Linux doesn't just need to be better than Vista - it needs to be MUCH better to get an average user to switch.

  4. Dupe!! It's a DUPE! by Spackler · · Score: 5, Funny

    This story was posted in 1995, 1998, 2000 and 2003. It is a dupe. Nothing to see here.

  5. Finally! by Mensa+Babe · · Score: 5, Insightful

    XYZ Computing has an article hypothesizing that the arrival of Windows Vista may be a big opportunity for Linux to make headway on the desktop.

    A decade ago it was Windows 95 that was going to be a big opportunity for Linux to make headway on the desktop, then it was Windows 98, 2000, XP, the DRM in Media Player, Internet Explorer, the license of MS SQL Server, the flaws in ASP security model, the nonsense of .NET hysteria, the C#... Meanwhile, GNU/Linux is already on my desktop and I couldn't really care less what Micro$oft does. I just use it because it is the best tool for my job. Period.

    --
    Karma: Positive (probably because of superiour intellect)
    1. Re:Finally! by Felinoid · · Score: 3, Interesting

      A decade ago it was Windows 95 that was going to be a big opportunity for Linux to make headway on the desktop,

      Not even close.
      Windows 95 was Microsofts big chance to solidify it's hold on the market and brush aside all compeditors.

      Linux however was only just then being used on a few low load servers and a few desktops.

      When IE came out it was the death of Netscape. Linux didn't even have a TCPIP stack and couldn't actually go on the Internet.

      Windows 98 was Windows 98. Linux advocates used it to raise awareness of Linux with much success.
      But awareness dose not mean converts.

      Windows 2000 was Microsofts big chance to blow Linux off the face of the earth. They failed.

      Windows XP was Microsoft ditching the old 9X codebase and going with NT. A win for Microsoft.
      DRM is DRM. It pisses people off. It's not anything to do with Linux other than DRM dosen't exist in Linux.

      The licens of Ms SQL is a win for other SQL servers.
      The flaws in ASP security model ... Thats server side and Microsoft as pritty much lost that market. .Net and C# were threats to Linux. There was no way for Linux to Win on that.

      I don't think this is a Win for Linux eather but your trying to say this is a clame that is made every time Microsoft farts. It's actually the first time someone sereous made this sort of clame and Linux advocates make a more limited version of this clame when they make it at all (this being rare).

      However that being said we've had more than enough Microsoft and Linux death productions to realise this sort of thing is just hype.

      --
      I don't actually exist.
    2. Re:Finally! by Elektroschock · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Yes, and also consider that this article of the "XYZ"(!) experts is largely an advertisement for Linspire.

      Now, there are cheaper and better distributions. As a German citizen Linspire is of little use for me. I need native language support.

      Note that Wine 0.9 is close and I think we will see a boost in Wine compatibility soon. And then we have a free .NET implementation. KDE 4. OO 2.x

      I do not think Windows VISTA, a non-Vista Vista will be much better than Longporn.

  6. Lack of features won't make a difference... by ThogScully · · Score: 3, Insightful

    XP offered very little beyond Windows 2000 with a new skinning engine, especially as far as most people were concerned. So long as Longhorn looks a little prettier and the pressure eventually is pushed to corporations/people to upgrade for compatibility, people will move to it.

    Linux will find a way to people's desktops eventually, when it's more ready and the market in general is more ready to support it. Linux won't make inroads because of anything Microsoft does, for better or worse.
    -N

    --
    I've nothing to say here...
    1. Re:Lack of features won't make a difference... by cnettel · · Score: 4, Interesting
      The fascinating story is also that a lot of stuff was cut back from Windows 2000. In beta 2, Office files with different data streams could actually be persisted to disk as several NTFS streams in one file, with the intent to expand this. Indexing was also implemented and at some point it was expected to be much better than the current service.

      Still, Windows 2000 was a huge step over NT4. And, still, XP improved several APIs, both in kernel and user mode. Auto-growing stacks was introduced (news in the Windows world), which of course can simplify development of recursive stuff in some scenarios. It's not much, and if you want to keep compatible with 2000, it's irrelevant, but they continued tweaking.

      Vista can still, from what I know, be a huge enough step to warrant a 6.0 version number. It won't be a "new" product, but (just about) nobody ever said it would. If NT4 => 2000 was an upgrade worth mentioning, I would think that this will be, too.

      (And, hey, on a laptop/TFT desktop, Cleartype is enough for me to want XP if I run Windows)

    2. Re:Lack of features won't make a difference... by zerocool^ · · Score: 2, Insightful


      Aside from the deep level programming stuff, which I don't know much about to be honest, there are some things in XP that I think do make it worthwhile to switch from 2000. Most of them are little things, but they are there.

      *simple SMB file sharing. Right-click, sharing..., "just share this folder". Bang. Everyone in the workgroup can now read your files.

      *network location awareness. A lot of the SMB stuff in XP is just done better than 2000, it seems to "just work" where as windows 2000 had problems with people seeing each other, especially networking 98--2000.

      *When you open a folder with a bunch of directories under it (say, for instance, my mp3 collection), and then you go into a sub-directory (say, darkest hour), and then back out of the directory, the display is still at "D". Windows 2000 reset at "A". Small, but annoying.

      *Remote desktop / Terminal Server. Obviously, this has been in linux/xwindows/openwindows/xfree86/your mom's wm since 17th century, but the windows TS client is hot; it works as well if not better than any of the 3rd party alternatives, including pcanywhere and VNC.

      *Security. Well, mostly. Well, ok, it took until SP2. But, windows now has protected memory and stack overflow protections (to an extent), and a built in firewall, and yada yada yada.

      *Driver support. Have you worked with windows 2000 lately, with modern hardware? If you're not installing onto a Celeron-333 440BX motherboard, windows thinks you've installed it on a delorian. Not to mention - in 2000, it seemed to be the theme of "We'll put the most common drivers in the OS", so it's got an HP LaserJet II driver and a Realtek 8139 driver, but not a whole lot else. Windows XP took the path of "We'll put everything that exists and has a driver in the OS".

      *64-bit computing. For those of you with Athlon 64's and FX's. Lucky sods.

      *Gaming support. DirectX built into XP, and just a lot better gaming support in general.

      *Run-In-Compatibility-Mode. Right click, Properties, Compatability tab, "Run this program in compatability mode for Windows95". Lets you play those games you really want to play, or that application your company has to use.

      *Start, Run, "msconfig". Thank freaking god. Where have you been since WinME, and why did you leave?

      That's just off the top of my head. I mean, people say Windows XP has nothing on 2000, but there are enough compelling reasons to switch. Plus, as a ground-pounder tech support / consultant, I can tell you that I'd rather troubleshoot a WinXP/2003 server domain environment than a win2000/2000 server environment anyday.

      ~Will

      --
      sig?
    3. Re:Lack of features won't make a difference... by bwintx · · Score: 2, Insightful
      XP hasn't even gotten past the 50% mark in userbase, most are still using older versions of Windows. How do you figure people will be pressured to upgrade to Longhorn if they haven't even moved to XP by now?

      "Microsoft announced today that it will cease all support for [fill in the name of MS OS in question] as of ['way too soon date]"...

      That's how. It always works, too.

      --
      Discussion System prefs link: http://slashdot.org/users.pl?op=editcomm
  7. *hmpf* if only that was true by tobi-wan-kenobi · · Score: 4, Insightful

    how many people earnestly think it is about usability and security that most people choose their software?
    i agree, some of the more sophisticated desktop users might be willing to switch, but much more powerful forces for not switching are: a lot of people don't like serious changes. they know windows (though it might suck), not necessarily the OS, but the brand, so they stick with it.
    a lot of companies are either bound by contracts or - more importantly - by internal applications that are broken enough only to work with windows (in that case, to be more specific, mostly word, excel and access).
    these are, i think, compelling reasons why a large percentage - mark, percentage, not single individuals - will not want to switch to linux because of what the article states.

    --
    If you don't learn from history,
    then you are an idiot by definition.
    --- Vadim Yasinovsky
  8. I'm not sure why you would think that by ReformedExCon · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Unless you mean to say that the lower new feature count will make it easier to clone those features into the Linux GUIs. Or maybe you mean that people who upgrade to new PCs will then have their older PCs available to load Linux on. I'm not sure how the next release of Windows will help Linux in the least.

    People buy Microsoft because that's what they expect when they buy a computer. Some people think they want more, so they buy a Mac. Other people are happy with Linux, and they don't even have to spend a dime to get the OS software.

    When Microsoft releases their next version, I don't think it will have the massive uptake that Windows 95 did, or even Windows 2000 did. Even Windows XP had a slower takeup than the real quantum leaps in Windows history (Win95, Win2K). People are just satisfied with what they've got.

    How are you going to convince satisfied people to run Linux? It doesn't really offer them anything that they don't already have or need. If it were that important to them, they would be running it already.

    So why would Windows Vista help Linux?

    --
    Jesus saved me from my past. He can save you as well.
    1. Re:I'm not sure why you would think that by Citizen+of+Earth · · Score: 2, Insightful

      How are you going to convince satisfied people to run Linux? It doesn't really offer them anything that they don't already have or need.

      I think that a Windows virus that completely trashed every Windows box on the planet every 24 hours might do the trick. Virus writers are way too wussy.

  9. Lack of innovation in this OS.. by Richard_at_work · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Well, I recently took a good long look at all three desktop operating systems for a personal shootout, and I must say that out of Windows XP, Ubuntu Linux with KDE or Gnome, and OSX Tiger, OSX was the only one that stood out from the crowd as being anywhere near innovative or 'new'. I didnt see anything in Linux that I havent enjoyed using elsewhere for years, although its security strengths are a positive, Windows had the games plus point, but its much of a muchness desktop wise, but OSX takes integration and ease of use to a new level, especially for developers.

    What am I trying to say? Well, before you complain about Vista not being 'innovative', take a look at the alternatives first, they arent much different in many aspects.

    What desktop am I posting this from? OSX of course!

    1. Re:Lack of innovation in this OS.. by hahiss · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Maybe the problem here is that you're not actually looking for anything innovative in the first place. Nothing you say here seems to have much to do with the OS so much as the interface. (Is it Ubuntu you're interested in for innovation---or KDE/Gnome?)

      KDE and Gnome run on the same model as Windows and OS X---WIMP. But they're only Desktop Environments---and you have many more choices for DE and WM in a GNU/Linux or *BSD system than in the proprietary systems you mention. The reason I use GNU/Linux on my (admittedly old) iBook is that OS X runs dog slow on it, I prefer Free Software, and, really, my idea of a good interface differs a lot from the Apple designers.

      For example, the new Enlightenment desktop shell has some interesting elements, as does the Plan9 interface model (i.e. rio, which is modeled for X users in 9wm).

      My own preference, and what I take to be a stroke of genius as far as UI, is Window Manager Improved---which attempts to do away with the WIMP model altogether. Light, fast, configurable (using the Plan9 ``everything is a filesystem" model), & keyboard based.

      Of course, I don't have lickable widgets telling me what the weather is or a ``desktop" I can clutter with downloads, but some of us don't think that is a particularly good way to interface with a computer. (If it works for you, that's great; for me, these things waste my time and get in the way.)

      --
      "Every decent man is ashamed of the government he lives under." - H.L. Mencken
  10. Linux' big chance by treff89 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I completely agree. Vista, which (as Longhorn in its initial announcement stages) looked actually quite good, has now become what is basically XP SP3. Features that would have made it worthwhile, such as WinFS, have all been stripped from the final product: while Linux continues to accelerate ahead in terms of stability, compatibility and features. The fact that it is becoming easier to use, more recognised and therefore attracts more coders, also is a great plus for Linux and means that it is increasing in value exponentially. As well, Vista's crazy system requirements are in stark contrast to those of many Linux distributions, despite the fact that these distributions have most if not all of Vista's featurs (and many more on top. And plus - the price difference.

    1. Re:Linux' big chance by antic · · Score: 4, Insightful


      But isn't XP already ahead of the Linux desktop options anyway? You have to surpass the previous iteration of MS offerings before you snatch an "opportunity" with their successor.

      And since when did more than 0.5% of the PC-using population ever really pay much attention to the left-out features (filesystem changes, etc).

      People who were considering Vista for their current underpowered machine would go with XP or 2000 before trying Linux, I suspect.

      --
      'Thats they exact same thing a banana wrench monkey.'
  11. Almost negligible by trezor · · Score: 5, Informative

    Vista will implement DRM deep into the OS and when apps start "taking advantage" of that, you will notice that it's not negligible any more.

    My reason for staying away from Vosta, hardware requirements aside, is DRM and DRM only. Because there are a few neat features under the hood I'd really like to have. For instance the vector-graphics GPU-accelerated desktop.

    --
    Not Buzzword 2.0 compliant. Please speak english.
    1. Re:Almost negligible by jaiyen · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Linux advocates - "No DRM in Linux!"

      Legally downloaded audio/video file disclaimer - "Needs DRM compatible PC"

      Windows Vista box sticker - "Fully DRM compatible!"

      To an average non-technical user who just wants their music and video files to play, isn't this going to make the DRM look like an additional feature that Windows has and Linux lacks? Sadly lacking DRM might end up turning people away from Linux rather than towards it :(

    2. Re:Almost negligible by Randall311 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Their will be a hack to break the DRM the day after it is implemented. This is windowz wer're talking about here. Heck, even iTunes music store DRM was hacked with Jhymn. Same deal here. There are legal and moral issues associated with DRM. If you paid for a song legally, then you should legally be allowed to listen to it anywhere you want. I know the ToS says otherwise, but that is crap. This is America, and when you buy something for your own use, you are allowed to personally do whatever you want with it.

    3. Re:Almost negligible by eggstasy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The vast majority of computer users live in poor countries where software is either downloaded or acquired from friends. People buy PCs specifically because it is easier to get games for it than with a console - piracy is the norm rather than the exception.
      Piracy is the killer app that made the PC king, and brought broadband to the masses.
      So, if piracy is ever made impossible under windows, millions of people will flock to Linux in order to continue to enjoy software free of charge, with the additional advantage that it will also give them freedom. Watch, then, as some of those millions take an interest in the people who kindly provide them with free, legal software, and become active open source contributors.
      It's happening already. The other day some rich bastard was accusing me of being an evil pirate when I told him I never pay for software. I started looking at my software and lo - its practically all open source, even under windows. Gaim, OO.o, Gimp, Firefox, Thunderbird, The Ur-Quan Masters, heck, even my mp3s are mostly legal, indie stuff. I wish I could have seen the look on his face :)

    4. Re:Almost negligible by infolib · · Score: 2, Insightful
      This is America, and when you buy something for your own use, you are allowed to personally do whatever you want with it.

      This is the EU, and we slept our chance away while the "anti-circumvention" directive was passed. You might note that the same happened in the US. To make America live up to the noblest connotation of the name takes active citizens. (The same goes for the EU and the respective nation states except that "EU" has much fewer positive connotations to live up to.)

      --
      Any sufficiently advanced libertarian utopia is indistinguishable from government.
    5. Re:Almost negligible by Tim+C · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The vast majority of computer users live in poor countries

      No, I think you'll find that the vast majority of computer users live in rich countries. The vast majority of *people* live in poor countries, but very very few of them have computers.

    6. Re:Almost negligible by jp10558 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I guess the point is - will it matter? Who is going out there an en-masse getting wma files? I know I only ever download MP3s because they work in anything. I'm guessing most of the iPodders use either iTMS, or they are getting MP3s...

      I have never seen a pirate distribute WMAs. So, for those who are into pirating stuff, they will just get the MP3 version I would guess.

      Unless Vista plans on disabling bittorrent, HTTP downloads, FTP, and scores of other P2P methods + not allowing you to install say WinAmp to play MP3s while making WMP not play MP3s...

      I'd guess there would be some notice from even the mass media if you can't play MP3s on Vista...

      I'd also expect there to be some outcry if Opera and FF (two browsers that can support bittorrent in the browser) won't run also.

      I mean, to prevent media piracy, MS would have to prevent you from installing software...

      And if in either case you had to buy all new software that is MS approved, I'm guessing that could drive business use away. Or, they will come up with a coporate version, that will be out like XP was for all the pirates...

      I get how via Trusted Computing they could prevent you from pirating software, what I don't see is how that would work for media - some pirates will just run 2K or XP or Linux and release MP3 or Divx or XviD files that don't have any software identifiable copyright info, so Vista won't know that they are a DVDRip or whatever...

      --
      Opera, Proxomitron-Grypen,GPG 0x0A1C6EE3
    7. Re:Almost negligible by sumdumass · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It isn't that thewy will sell out thier freeedom. It is that they will see it as a feaqture and not understand they are giving up thier freedoms.

      I recently had a customer who droped her laptop and crashed the hardrive. I was able to recover most of here file but the boot sector and partition sections of the drive was toast. It wil nevfer be bootable again. All her music was protected with the xp media players DRM and we didn't get the DRM licenses before the drive went out totaly. Now we have to crack all these WMA files in order to allow here ot use them again. (they were mostley verbal notes from meetings)

      When asked why she used it, she said that windows told her it was the only way to protect them from being stolen. She didn't even Now What DRM was because thew switch said Protect content. This is a normal user and a sticker saying DRM compatable would look like a wanted feature. This is alot like the designed for windows XP sticker making people think they have to upgrade to XP to run the newest version of some program they've ran for 10 years. They just don't know and microsoft (as wel as other companies) play on this.

      Recently i had a call from someone who said thier new tech support claimed somthign wouldn't run on a novel server when it was running fine for 5 years. Had him thinking he needed to instal a dell power edge running win 2003 server and a domain for a company with 3 computers plus a file server. Turned out nothign "ran" on the server, it just used a network files share for data. But illistrates that even Somewhat experienced users can be duped into the same things. It is alla planned stunt. caculated to trick a consumer out of the most money possible.

  12. Uses today's hardwre. Linux, not anytime soon. by ApoJooce · · Score: 5, Insightful

    There is no absence of innovation or new features. Avalon, the new graphics subsystem, and the developer tools that will allow you to develop for it, have leapfrogged everything I have ever seen. While Linux will still be using the 2D capabilities of a graphics card (sucks!) Microsoft Vista will be using all that tremendous 3D technology already present in our machines to render your desktop. 3rd party apps will be using it too. Yes, at first it feels like it will need ebtter equipment, but when you finally get that equipment and your pathetic X-Window or other Linux windowing system looks ridiculously passé when compared to Windows Vista, you'll realize Microsoft is no longer trying to catch up to OS X, which is already a much more polished OS than any Linux flavor.

  13. So... by EvilMonkeySlayer · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Desktop linux will break out next year!

    Just like the year before that and the year before that, hang on.. i'm noticing a trend.. next year is always the year of desktop linux..

  14. TV Commercials? by Conspiracy_Of_Doves · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The majority of people out there still haven't even heard of Linux. The people who just use their computers for email and think that AOL is the internet. Have there ever even been any TV ads for any of the commercial linux distros? What the linux community needs to do is make a real ad campain. I realize it costs money, but with all the people out there that love linux with a furvor, there shouldn't be that much of a problem raising funds.

    1. Re:TV Commercials? by Ashtead · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Add a 5th, and very big reason: People will continue to buy Windows because it comes with their new machine.

      Even as easy as pre-installed Windows is to get running on a brand-new machine, I still get occasional phone calls from people whose newly purchased machine gives them trouble accessing the Internet, since the supplied modem cable was plugged into one of the sockets on the switch in the LAN...

      Furthermore, the awareness of alternate operating systems or applications varies, many of them only know what Linux is based on what I have been telling them. These are not IT professionals, they see the computer as some kind of information-appliance, somewhat similar in function and purpose to some other well-known appliances such as typewriters, TV, filing cabinet and to some extent CD players. Like these, it can break (and they tend to be afraid of doing anything that could make that happen), and need to be fixed or replaced.

      --
      SIGBUS @ NO-07.308
  15. Terrible article by Knome_fan · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Am I the only one that thinks that article doesn't make too much sense?

    I fail to see how vista, even if it weren't very convincing, will help linux getting on the desktop. All a bad windows release will lead to in the short tearm is not many people buying Vist, but staying with their curren OS, which is some kind of Windows in most cases.

    And people who really care about monad not being included are people who would consider running linux anyway, but they only make a small percentage of the market.

    Further, I'm convinced that Linux will not make large inroads into the private desktop in the near future, not because Linux isn't good enough, but simply because Windows is much to entrenched in this market.

    Corporate and gouvernment desktops are an other story though and we'll see a lot of things happening there in the future, I'm sure.

  16. Not trolling, but... by trezor · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "Year of the Linux desktop" or whatever. Isn't that a dupe and troll in itself? It's been repeated over and over again, and yet never happened.

    Honestly, I don't think Linux (as it is now anyway) is ready for the desktop. Why? Sure, you got aptitude and lot of neat stuff. Gnome may be bloated as hell, but it looks good, and that's what most consumers want.

    You got lots of good stuff, but when your average linux-distro starts to break down, when stuff doesn't work automagicly, when hardware detetction fails and so on... Most users (and by most users I also mean powerusers) will have a really hard time fixing stuff, if they even manage to fix it at all. Not all of us are geeks who grew up with a keyboard.

    Plus, I don't really care if linux hits the mainstream or not. I use what works for me, I'll let others use what works for them. To me, open standards are a lot more important than whatever OS people are running to get their work done.

    --
    Not Buzzword 2.0 compliant. Please speak english.
    1. Re:Not trolling, but... by Knuckles · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Well, I dont know about you, but I believe most people are able to download drivers from the vendor, run setup.exe and reboot.

      And that fixes random breakage in, say, WMI? I don't think so. The reality is that Windows gets "fixed" by being reinstalled by a somewhat knowledgeable friend (1). The more savvy Windows home users I know reimage habitually every 6 months.

      Even if this practice is not needed with GNU/Linux, it will continue to exist and I think it would be beneficial to somewhat cater to it and make it much easier and cooler than Windows. What I'd like to see in the Ubuntu release after Breezy is a simple app that lets you
      • Create a CD/DVD image of your finished setup, and a live CD of -your- PC. This should be able to recreate your complete setup from CD/DVD.
      • Back up /home and /etc, and other (non-standard/changed) directories to external disk, CD/DVD, etc. The non-standard directories could be picked automatically - if /usr/local contains stuff, or the user has created a dir in / that is not there by default, back it up. This should be able to recreate your complete setup from the backup media if you boot from an installer CD, and it should be able to just recover your data if the system itself has not been damaged.
      • Migrate to a new PC. This would package up all it needs from your old PC on CD/DVD so that you can boot the new PC from the installer CD, and then be prompted to feed it the data from your old PC, to seamlessly recreate your old environment and data on the new PC.
        It would also be cool if the installer on the new PC could simply pull all this from the old PC over the network.
        You should be prompted to reinsert the installer CD (or something bootable) into the old PC and choose the option "Remove all my data to protect my privacy". This would wipe/shred the old HD so that you can safely give it away.

      (1) And don't get me started on these "knowledgeable" friends. I am so sick debugging my mom's pc over the phone after her "knowledgeable" friend has done something inconceivably stupid in an attempt to fix something
      --
      "When I first heard Daydream Nation it quite frankly scared the living shit out of me." -- Matthew Stearns
    2. Re:Not trolling, but... by trezor · · Score: 2, Informative

      The reality is that Windows gets "fixed" by being reinstalled

      I use Windows and haven't reinstalled it since I installed Windows XP. No need to reimage the system every six months if you know what you're doing.

      For someone with a decent knowledge of the platform a complete reinstall simply isn't needed. However, more to the point I was making, for minor bugs and quirks, (some) things can usually get fixed a lot easier in windows than in linux. Thus the "desktop ready" thing.

      And if you by random breakage means that the machine has gotten infected with virus/spyware or just gets hacked, a complete reinstall should be standard procedure anyway, as you don't know what is hijacked and not and what's to be trusted.

      --
      Not Buzzword 2.0 compliant. Please speak english.
    3. Re:Not trolling, but... by Knuckles · · Score: 2, Insightful

      No need to reimage the system every six months if you know what you're doing.

      My mom and dad do not know what they're doing, neither do many of my friends.
      At work, people who don't know what they are doing get infected and experience random breakage. Those who know what they are doing don't get infected, at least. (See below for environment)

      For someone with a decent knowledge of the platform a complete reinstall simply isn't needed

      Family's/friends' friends that pretend to know what they are doing in Win usually don't either. Usually they break more things when they try to fix, so in fact a reinstall is the better path to take anyway.
      At work, it is just easier and faster to just automatically back up, reimage, and restore, than to spend hours debugging things.

      if you by random breakage mean that the machine has gotten infected

      No, I mean simply bit rot or something. I know many people claim otherwise, but in my experience regular reimages are needed. In my department at work we have 40 XP PCs, basically only running Office, Notes, IE, and not locked down, so people can basically install what they want.
      Plus, I get to know many things about the 1600 PCs overall that we have in use in the company in this country (of ca. 15000 worldwide, mostly laptops that are also plugged into non-internal networks).

      And fact here is, of the 40 PCs in my department, every 2 weeks we need to reimage one. Either something randomly breaks like WMI (which we need to install some stuff), or shutdowns start to last 5 minutes, or PowerPoint starts to crash when you copy a textbox. Etc. The infections come on top of that.

      Our IT department is not particularly clueless, and I don't think they can do anything about an Office install suddenly breaking after a few months or a year of heavy use anyway.

      --
      "When I first heard Daydream Nation it quite frankly scared the living shit out of me." -- Matthew Stearns
  17. Missing the point by gunpowda · · Score: 3, Insightful
    The important thing to realise about new Windows product launches is that they form part of a cathartic marketing ritual. People want to buy a brand new, higher spec computer along with the latest version of whatever it is Microsoft has to offer because there's a mentality that 'old' and 'slow' spyware-infested computers are no longer functional, and this new product can solve all one's current issues, and it often does: XP was a vast reliability leap from ME or Win98.

    Quite a few people see the OS as ineluctably linked with the hardware.

    I think using a seemingly less polished, cheaper (or free) operating system will take much of the enjoyment out of a new computer purchase - after all, most copies of Windows are bundled with the latest hardware, and the high specifications required for Vista aren't going to bother the majority of users who will overhaul their whole system when confronted by the marketing blitz.

  18. Re:How to tell if you are...a miracle worker? by thc69 · · Score: 2, Funny
    1. You rejuvenate and dance when you hear a windows flaw exposed
    If that was possible and true, then the large demographic of people worried about their age would be begging for each version of Windows to be more insecure than the last...
    --
    Procrastination -- because good things come to those who wait.
  19. Re:Dupe!! It's a DUPE! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    This reply has never been posted before. Check that out!

  20. Any benefit for corporations? by bender647 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    My company didn't use Windows 98 (or ME) at all. They stuck with 95 until the obvious benefits of Windows 2000 (and now XP) were mainstream. I haven't read about one feature in Vista that would compell them to upgrade a thousand or more PCs. They won't do it to give us more eye candy, or to raise the minimum system requirements.

  21. Re:2005 is the year of Linux on the Desktop! by makomk · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Recompile the kernel to install a driver? Not likely. Most Linux drivers distributed outside the kernel are set up with a Makefile that builds a kernel module for just that driver. All you have to do is "./configure && make && su -c 'make install'", and then possibly insert the module. Unless you're using some incredibly screwy custom-built kernel, you shouldn't even need to reboot, let alone recompile the kernel. (You do, however, need the kernel source installed.)

    I call BS. Even under Mandrake Linux, building and using a driver for my wireless card (ndiswrapper) was easy. Incidentally, is there any distro that doesn't automatically create desktop icons for CD-ROMs these days? Apart from Gentoo, though even that probably would if I set it up right...

    Admittedly, I don't entirely trust the commercial distros not to try and extract mucho cash (which is part of the reason I use Gentoo), but still.

  22. Re:I guess I just don't get it by erroneus · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Your skepticism is misplaced.

    What "starter" version of Linux are you talking about? I've been a RedHat and now Fedora user and have only paid for maybe two boxes... I wanted to get the stickers and stuff. I have only made ONE support call (mostly to see what it was like) only to be told they only support one NIC installation on a machine. Disappointing to say the least... it was years ago so maybe support has gotten better since then, I don't know, but I see almost no advantage to buying a support agreement. You're simply better off having a support PERSON on site or available on short notice and that goes for Linux or Windows or any OS.

    Mozilla incorporating has nothing to do with making a version to be paid for. This is ALL open-source. The moment someone even thinks they will take it closed-source for profit, a fork will happen and someone else will drive the project as open source. There are many examples of this to cite... do I really need to?

    "Good busines woman" or not, you don't know what you're talking about -- you're just unaccustomed to the way things work in the OS world. Salesmen are out to make money and I don't blame you for being suspicious of their intentions. But the OS community as a whole are more likely to do it for free just for the fun and challenge involved.

    Open Source has too long a history to be a gimmick or a bait-n-switch. I still can't decide if you're a troll or not. If not, then I wonder what an experienced business woman would be doing here on Slashdot in the first place.

    And finally, you need to re-think what computing does for your business. It's a tool, not a religion. Determine what tools you need to run your business and I heartily recommend you start with the applications you need to run and base your choice of OS secondarily. To make the choice of OS first would be a decision not on the OS as a tool, but for other reasons such as a bas experience with a BSA audit, or some reason that involves emotional drive of some sort. Think business tools and test a lot of stuff before settling on something. And if you select something that runs well under Linux, then consider your support options. (1) learn how to do it yourself (2) find someone who knows this stuff. I don't think it's any different under Windows really -- I have rarely had a support experience with Windows that was helpful.

    P.S. Closed-minds and Open-source do not work well together.

  23. Re:For example by ta+ma+de · · Score: 2, Informative
    Quartz graphics. Everything displayed in OSX is a pdf. Every application can save as pdf ... all without any additional payements to adobe. Take a screen shot ... pdf. From the web browser ... print pdf. No matter which application is being used, you can be confident that you can send an electronic document without concern for platform.

  24. Desktop Linux needs the following: by bogaboga · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Desktop Linux will still be a long way off until applications can be installed and un-installed in an easy way. I know folks are going to mention apt-get and its sister dpkg tools. But these are not very useful unless one can configure them and is also on the internet. With the rich resources of the OSS community, one wonders why rpm dependency hell has no adopted solution. Autopackage http://www.autopackage.org/ would be a good start but all major distros are not even giving it support! From a developer's point of view, writing an application for Linux means testing the application on no more than 6 distros! In some cases, I have seen more than 17 binaries for the same applications targeting different Linux distros. In the Windows world, there could be just 1 or 2. So it follows that if we in the Linux world can make life easier for developers, then that is positive. Our egos alone will not deliver. I think we need some kind of dictatrship here.

    The other thing Desktop Linux needs is good fonts. I am yet to find a desktop Linux installation that is beautiful out of the box. Often times, one has to download M$ fonts or could use the script found here: http://vigna.dsi.unimi.it/webFonts4Linux/webFonts. sh to get good fonts for the web.

    Next thing is multimedia and multimedia applications. Totem in the GNOME world and Amarok in the KDE world will not play mp3s out of the box, yet there are no licensing restrictions on these formats! These are so many other examples in the multimedia field.

    There is a bug/feature I found in Linux that needs attention in relation to how devices are mounted. Remember that we in the Linux world are aiming at domination. So we should attract as many users as we can. The bug is here: http://bugs.kde.org/show_bug.cgi?id=111173. I was surprised that there was a wontfix mentioned. So how are we to attract users if there will always be confusion in how devices are mounted?

    Last but not least, we need publicity - good publicity. Right now, Linux is being touted as very good or good enough for the average user. What happens is that folks then have to understand that Linux is just a KERNEL and that there are many implementations associated with this kernel. To many, understanding this is a challenge. So one says "I use Linux at home, it's freely available on the net...try it out..." (and they leave it at that)! What follows is confusion as newbies find tons of distros and incompatible packages. Folks what do you think?

  25. Just Change Terms a Bit? by Mateo_LeFou · · Score: 4, Funny
    Linux advocates - "Free as in Freedom"

    Legally downloaded audio/video file disclaimer - "Not Compatible with Freedom"

    Windows Vista box sticker - "100% Freedom-free!"

    *sigh...

    --
    My turnips listen for the soft cry of your love
  26. Re:For example by Icicle509 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Your shitting me right? spell it with me now S-P-O-T-L-I-G-H-T Windows Long---errrr uh Vista will have it too, oh wait a minute, no they dropped that feature too... not because they cant get it to work, but because some other company has released 3 OS's since windows released X-pee (on you, so you have to restart) and they keep naming them after predatory Cats, which keep eating XP for lunch, shit guys, axe some features, we better get this crap,,,,er uh.....OS released, were getting our butts kicked. Hows this for an innovation, I havent restarted my computer in 138 days....... in other words, it works, holy cow, thats innovative ......another happy OSX user.........

  27. Re:How to tell if you are a linux fanatic. by hungrygrue · · Score: 5, Interesting

    33. Your server has not had to reboot in over a year.

    34. When you need to install a major piece of software, be it an office suite, a graphics tool, or a compiler, you do not have to drive to a store and shell out enormous amounts of money. Instead, you simply select the desired package from the package repository and it and its dependencies are installed automatically.

    35. You are able to read and write a vast array of file systems - not just a handful designed by a single company.

    36. You realise that those who still have Windows on their computer "because it came with it" probably have picture frames with pictures of model families who they don't know "because it came with the frame"

    37. You are tired of hearing Windows users bitch about viruses and spyware as if they had not choice but to be afflicted with them.

  28. Re:Dupe!! It's a DUPE! by lav-chan · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It's posted more often than that. Every single time Microsoft does something even slightly stupid (even if it's not related to Windows itself), some idiot will come along and be like OH BOY TIHS IS LINIXS BIG CHANCE GUYS I CAN SEE IT NOW

    ... But Microsoft has done something stupid every day for the past decade (at least), and Linux still isn't popular on the desk-top.


    If you like Linux and want it to succeed, that's awesome. Me too. But stop kidding yourself, you look like idiots. Don't pat yourself on the back every time Microsoft screws up, because it's going to take a GIGANTIC screw-up to ever put Linux anywhere near being a popular desk-top OS. In fact, chances are that it'll never happen, unless somebody really smart does with Linux what Apple did with BSD.

  29. Re:Minor point by markov_chain · · Score: 2, Funny

    What the hell do 99.999999% of potential customers want with "monad" and "a new file system"

    Hey, now. Without the new monad shell, they will be alienating all the Haskell users out there!

    --
    Tsunami -- You can't bring a good wave down!
  30. V. I. S. T. A. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny


    Vista is everything the average user wants.

    Viruses
    Insecurities
    Spyware
    Trojans
    Adware

  31. Guess you never heard of duke nuke'em forever? by dmouritsendk · · Score: 2, Insightful

    You'll be playing that before you'll see the type of linux destop your talking about here.

    Cario is coming pretty soon, gnome 2.12 will include it even though it will just be to up 2D quality the first time around. Hardware accelleration isn't, ready yet.

    XGL and luminocity is just testbeds, also they wont be done anytime soon (which was why one of the two main developers recently dropped out of the project, he felt it was too far from release). I saym, 3-4 years. We'll be where OSX is today, OSX (and windows) will ofcource have evolved then.

    This stuff is prettycomplex, and like all type of complex development the OS model seem to have a hardtime competing against the commercial offerings(simply because they have more qualified people working full time that, for example XGL has it. Currently ONE guy does the bulk of the development. one!).

    Breathe out, and realize if you want the "latest and greatest" desktop you shouldn't run linux.

    1. Re:Guess you never heard of duke nuke'em forever? by Jesus_666 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Given the fact that modern CPUs usually are capable of handling a GUI and actually useful work I think that most Linux users will be able to live without hardware accelerated graphics for now. And come on: This won't attract Win users that much. Support from sotware companies is much more needed than glitzy graphics or superior operating system quality.
      If we want the masses to even consider Linux we must have full or near-full support from the gaming industry and companies like Adobe. Polishing won't get us nearly as much attention.

      --
      USE HOT GRITS WITH STATUE OF NATALIE PORTMAN (NAKED AND PETRIFIED)
  32. Re:Lack of features won't make a troll by hackstraw · · Score: 2, Insightful


    OK, I've used Linux on Alphas, x86, x86-64, ia64, and mips processors.

    I've used Linux from 1997 to 2004 as my primary desktop environment.

    I see nothing special about Linux' desktop environment over what is available for FreeBSD, Solaris, etc, simply because they are all the same.

    So how am I being a troll to say that the next version of Windows, that at worst will be no different than the current version of Windows will drive people to Linux which has no compelling end-user features over Windows?

  33. Re:How to tell if you are a linux fanatic. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    38. You are easily trolled by a 4 year old copied-and-pasted snippet.

  34. Got standards? by StikyPad · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The problem I see with Linux on the desktop is that it's nonstandard. By that I mean that a programmer can't assume that any one installation resembles any other. From libraries to window managers to Xfree86 vs X.org or whatever it is now, there are no constants. I understand the benefits of such a scenario; it's great for people who love to pop the hood and do it themselves. But it's a nightmare for the average person who just wants to USE a system rather than build it themselves.

    Users don't want to (and shouldn't have to, in my opinion,) worry about things like dependancies, finding a binary package for their particular distribution and/or kernel, or compiling and configuring a program upon installation. The power of configurability is great, but it doesn't have to be an either/or conflict with usability. How many times have you found a program you were interested in, and you ./configure, only to find 5 or 6 things you need to install just to get it to finish without error? And once you get an error you have to figure out if you're actually missing the requirement, or it's just an environment variable, or the wrong verson of the libraries, or permissions, or any other number of potential conflicts. SUSE, for example, doesn't even install gcc by default. I don't think it should need to install a compiler just to be a viable desktop solution, but the fact is that unless someone's already made a binary package, a compiler isn't optional, it's mandatory. The very essence of Linux, its constantly evolving nature, is also its weakness when it comes to getting a foothold in the desktop market.

    Also the networking, while powerful, is anything but simple. In XP for example, if I right click on a network interface and select "Share this connection," Windows automatically starts DHCP on my second NIC, assigns my other computer(s) an IP, and everything just works. In Linux, I have to set up masquerading, routing tables, rules, etc. It's these sort of things that send most people running.

    Standards DO have drawbacks, but they're generally outweighed by the benefits. Too many choices can be bad. One need look no further than the current battle between HD-DVD and BluRay for a perfect example.

    Honestly, I don't ever see this happening, but unless the Linux community can rally around ONE distribution as the "standard", I don't think Linux will ever be an option for the masses.

    1. Re:Got standards? by Jorgensen · · Score: 2, Interesting

      We HAVE standards. The most important if which is to give users choice: keep them free.

      If giving users choice conflict with your development, then you're doing something wrong because they are not contradictory.

      What is this dependency problem you talk about? If you want to distribute software that does not take advantage of the underlying packaging system then you're obviously going to have to sort the dependencies out in some other way. Or leave it to the users and handle the complaints somehow.

      Users should not need to know anything about ./configure! They should have no need to compile things themselves. Use that packaging system!

  35. Linux... no, Mac increase... YES by stilleon · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I have been an MS Windows user for years and have alittle experience with GNU/Linux and Mac OS X. After seeing all the cool things stripped out of Vista (especially the new WinFS) what is left is basically Windows XP SP3. Boring.

    Frankly, with the new Intel Macs hitting the street during that time, with its ease of use, long track record, etc., that is the system that can win big, and I think that Apple (especially with its monopolistic policies with hardware and software, such as leveraging Final Cut to get Avid/Adobe to give up on Mac and of course iTunes) may just be the next Microsoft.

  36. Vista is a MAJOR upgrade by Sivaram_Velauthapill · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Contrary to what the clueless and ill-informed think (j/k no offense ;) ), Windows Vista is a MAJOR upgrade. It should be similar to going from Win3.11 to Win 95 or, on the server side, from Windows NT to Windows 2000. The 3D-accelerated GUI alone will push the operating system into a new era.

    A lot of you complaining about feature cut-backs don't realize that MS was aiming for the moon. Even after the cut-backs, it'll have more new DESKTOP features than what Linux has gained in the last 5 years.

    I personally don't see linux overtaking Windows on the desktop side until the operating system market matures and MS stops innovating or releasing any new major versions (maybe 15 to 20 years from now). Linux has potential on the server (its market share growth over the last 5 years shows that) but the desktop side will be tough for Linux. As a desktop, linux just doesn't have enough applications, and isn't easy to use--two key features desktop users care about.

    Even the server side will become more tough for Linux. For regular server use (eg. file server, web server, etc for a small to mid-sized company) Windows 2003 is pretty solid. Its market share growth (along with its first incarnation, Windows NT) from almost none to something large is worth nothing. Linux will faced a big challenge on the server side from the next version of Windows server. Linux's server market share has mostly been increasing due to it taking over Unix servers. But when it goes head to head against the next version of Windows server, it will be a tough battle...

    Overall, I expect Windows Vista to grow at double digits on the desktop side for the next 5 years, while Linux likely won't exceed 5 percent for the desktop side.

    --
    Sivaram Velauthapillai
    Seeking the meaning of life... @slashdot of all places ;)
  37. Linux won't be ready for the desktop until... by ralinx · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ... until developers can get fired for having certain things not working correctly or good enough. KDE and Gnome are both very close to being good enough for every possible type of user. They just lack the finishing touch. And that stuff is hard to code... not because it's difficult but because it's boring and tedious. Developers working for Apple have to do this because they know that if they don't, they _will_ lose their jobs. Same goes for developers working for Microsoft. If they don't get it working the way they've been told it should be, they're in trouble.

    In the OSS world it's different. A lot of these developers are volunteers, and are scratching an itch. They are gonna be working on stuff they actually enjoy working on because hey, it's their free time. And who could blame them? Why should they work on boring stuff in their free time? Of course there are also paid developers working on KDE and Gnome. But i have never heard of any of them getting fired for not putting on that finishing touch for their latest release. And that is the reason why every year it's the year of Linux On The Desktop, and it never actually is.

    Apple is luring Windows users to OS X despite the Windows monopoly. Linux should've been able to do this as well.. they sure have had enough time to get it done (more than Apple has spent on OS X).

  38. Re:Spelling Tip ... by rjshields · · Score: 2, Insightful

    She knows already, it's been pointed out before. Like all trolls, she's probably doing it for the attention.

    --
    In this world nothing is certain but death, taxes and flawed car analogies.
  39. You got it backwards. Win95 "killed" Linux by g2devi · · Score: 2, Interesting

    > A decade ago it was Windows 95 that was going to
    > be a big opportunity for Linux to make headway on
    > the desktop

    Where did you hear that? Windows 95 was the OS I switched to moving *away* from Linux (see below). Also, back then Novell had a version of Windows 3.1 that ran on Linux and was going to create a Windows distribution based on Linux, not DOS. Win95 and Win32 pretty much killed those plans. Also, if you read Unix mags back in 95, you'd see that they were forcasting Unix's doom. Once WinNT had a VMS base and once NT 3.x got a Win95 interface, it would be the final nail in the coffin for Unix. (Of course, Microsoft seriously dropped the ball on that golden opportunity by not getting its server act together, but that is beside the point.)

    And back in 1995, I was triple booting OS/2, Win3.1 and Linux. I came from an Amiga background so long file names and multitasking was a must. Win3.1 just wasn't up to sniff. I loved OS/2, but most programs ran for Win3.1 and it was lighter, so I booted Win3.1 more than OS/2. When Win95 came out, I gave OS/2 the boot. Win95 wasn't as good as OS/2, but it was "good enough" and I needed the extra hard disk space. Most of the apps I ran were Win32 based and most development tools were made from Borland. I spent less and less time in Linux. I got a Windows job in 1995, and I stayed almost completely on Win95 because it was "good enough" (thanks to Cygwin). I peaked back at Linux from time to time, but it was more for curiosity than anything else. I finally erased Linux in 1997. I also loved Windows 2000 when it came out.

    As a double defector, I can say for a fact that Linux *has* been getting to be a better desktop with each release. Back in 2000, I started seeing more and more of the tools and apps that I liked on Linux. They weren't available on Windows so I began dual-boot between Win2000 and Linux. In 2002, I took the plunge and switched completely to RedHat (bye-bye Windows 2000). Thanks to VMware, I could even take a Windows job and not be disadvantaged. Fortunately, the rise of web programming meant that programs could be platform independent, so I could even work on Linux.

    These days, Linux (Ubuntu) is more comfortable and problem free than Windows 2000 ever was (XP, IMO is a big step backwards in usability). I started Windows 2000 in VMware, exactly once (to use Audible.com and gave it the boot once I discoved how DRM-enabled it was). Linux is good enough for the educated user's desktop who is either a tech expert or has a friend who is. It's lower maintenance than Windows so the "guy who knows stuff about computers" doesn't have to put in a lot of effort to support the user.

    But it's not yet ready for the average joe six pack. Those people need support from their local computer store or electronics store and need a few friends who know Linux. That informal and consumer support network doesn't quite exist yet. It takes a lot of time to form, but such networks tend to grow exponentially. You'll know when Linux is ready for prime time when you start seeing it regularly in "Prime Time TV", your barber starts talking about Linux, and "the foot" or "the gear" or the "fedora" start appearing in the menus of a a significant number of jobs you apply to.

  40. Jeebus Cickey. by Qbertino · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Warning: This one comes across as a flame, but I'm to mad at this Win2k Server Bullcrap I have to deal with every odd week to contain my anger caused by parent post. Please excuse.

    For regular server use (eg. file server, web server, etc for a small to mid-sized company) Windows 2003 is pretty solid.

    "Win2k is pretty solid?" As in "sort of stable"? Or "Kinda so-so not to totally viri and exploit ridden?" Or do you mean "Nice if you've been lured into this .Net Joke, have allready spent a fortune on MS IDEs and a Win2K licence and don't have anything mission critical your working on"? Or "Nice if you like a clean one-server-per-webapp policy to keep things in order?"
    Give me a f*ckin' break. And whatever you're smoking, don't offer anything of that to me, please.
    Contrary to what the clueless and ill-"informed" think: The only reason professionals are still dealing with utter morons (read: Consultants) who still consider MS as a server alternative is because MS is spending massive amounts of money to push Win2k server into hosting providers and their kin.
    Everywhere you can see "Now with special ultra professional Win2K Server option" and such. MS is paying hard cash for these adds to be presented on hosting homepages. That's why their all over the place.

    Little Tidbit:
    5 years ago a guy I knew wanted me to join a project on a content syndication system built in .Net Beta. The Windows experts were laughing their heads of on BG renaming .obj to .net and making a big marketing boohey about it and this guy was thinking he was cream of the crop cause he was following the MS call. I asked for 80k$ anual income, he said no (what I'd hoped for). Now he's the cook at my favourite lounge (good at cooking - just made me a nice ciabatta this noon) and the only thing they've managed to build is a hideously overpriced, under-performing Win2K-server-only content management system (http://www.q-affairs.de/index.htm) that doesn't even do HTML Umlaute correctly (despite being a german project). Due to it's Win2K-only restraint they can't even guarantee 99% uptime.

    Bottom line:
    Win2K is a server-side joke. Just as .obj recycled as .net is little more than an expensive hype. Nothing less. The nice Win-Only IDEs aside maybe. If it prevails then only because hardware vendors are happy to sell one box per server-app ("otherwise win2k crashes, you know") and MS is shelling out a few hundred million from their office-coffee-piggybank to push Win2k Server into the market against all sane reasoning. Money allways beats reason, y'know?

    Yes, my friend, you're just outed yourself as someone who goes for the buzz and not the hard facts. Show me something with the power, flexebility and stability of Zope, RoR or even that PHP-mess called Typo3 in the Win2K server world and I'll make an opinial u-turn. Until then I recommend you check Linux/OSS out properly AND do a hard facts comparsion of both Linux* and Win2K before you get to close to bullshitting territory. Zope is a good start. It has both my dual-MS-certifed friends converted to the light side of the force. And it even runs on Win2K. With it's own Webserver and all.

    .Net zealots please cue flames below. Thank you.

    * You may substitute Linux with BSD or even Mac OS X if you like.

    --
    We suffer more in our imagination than in reality. - Seneca
  41. Re:Sad by tftp · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Have you ever heard of OpenOffice?

    You can't use OpenOffice in a business environment where you have to send and receive correctly formatted documents. OpenOffice always retains the text, but usually mangles some little details here and there. In a large document, with pictures and other embedded objects, you can't afford to hunt for such defects each time you get a file. Even worse, you can't ask your customers to do the same when they open your files. $500 paid for his MS Office was a good business decision.

  42. Answer: No. by sootman · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Too late to get modded up, but what the hell. No, Vista will not be the spark that ignites Linux. Win98 was pretty unstable. Did Linux take over then? No. Win ME sucked ass. Did Linux take over then? No. Win2k was pretty nice but wasn't shipped on much consumer hardware. Did Linux take over then? No. WinXP is annoying as fuck, what with balloons popping up everywhere (Take a tour! This is the start menu! Wireless is here! Wireless is gone! Hey, wireless is back! No, wait, gone again!) and all the activation BS, not to mention spyware, viruses, self-spreading bad stuff, etc. Did Linux take over? No. Vista? Well, technically I can't see into the future, but I'm a pretty good guesser.

    "Whether it's the lack of a new file system or the Monad scripting shell, the absence of innovation in this operating system is giving it a black eye." One second--you think customers care one fucking bit about innovation in an OS? What planet is this guy on that he thinks people care about a fucking FILESYSTEM or SHELL?!?!?* I'm gonna say this once really loud for the cheap seats: WINDOWS IS POPULAR BECAUSE IT'S THE OS ON THE CHEAPEST COMPUTERS OUT THERE!!!!!!!111oneoneone. The 5% of customers that do care about innovation already have a home: they're at the Apple store.

    * note: Windows does ship with a shell. But no one needs it. (Because Windows also ships with a GUI, natch.) Before writing another article like this, do this simple test: walk up to 50 people and ask them about the shell in Windows.
    - 46 will go "huh?"
    - 2 will say "cmd.exe but I have no use for it." (You just stumbled across two people who work in IT or a computer store.)
    - 1 will say "cmd.exe and I use it once in a while because I've been using PCs for 20 years and I still do things there 'cause I'm used to it."
    - And exactly one will say "cmd.exe but I don't use it 'cause it's teh sux0rz! When I get a new comp the first thing I do is use IE to download Firefox and then I use Firefox to download Cygwin!" (Read that page, it's really funny. I love that story.)

    Monad is very cool but even if MS would have shipped it in Vista, did you really think you were going to spend next thanksgiving teaching your mom how to use it? "Look, mom, here--I just pipe this through that, and what makes Monad even cooler than bash is that it isn't just text coming out, these are actual objects, so I can take these results and..." Uh-huh. Right.

    --
    Dear Slashdot: next time you want to mess with the site, add a rich-text editor for comments.
  43. Troll? by trezor · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Ok, I'll bite. If I buy anything online, be it music, videos or whatever, I buy it, it's mine. Mine as in mine to do whatever damned I please with it. As in making low-bitrate AACs out of high-bitrate WMAs for fitting more of them on my cellphone.

    See, this is legal. Noone nowhere has any business telling me "you can't do that". That's equivalent to saying "So... we wont be seeing you purchasing our products ever again?"

    Now, if I tried to pass these files on to others, now that would be copyright infringement, and thus illegal.

    I don't want my computer, restricting me from doing stuff with my data because some executives somewhere are afraid I might violate their copyright. No way. No way in hell.

    --
    Not Buzzword 2.0 compliant. Please speak english.
  44. Re:Minor point by Sfing_ter · · Score: 2, Funny

    But, without Monads it'll just be Eunuchs.

    --
    A computer once beat me at chess, but it was no match for me at kick boxing. Emo Philips
  45. Re:Sad by drsquare · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Here's a hint for you operating system obsessives*, you choose the operating system which runs your applications and hardware, ***NOT*** the other way round. I repeat: you use the OS which runs your software and hardware. If Linux doesn't support your software, you don't use it. If it doesn't support your hardware, you don't use it, no matter how stable it is, no matter how many ways you can configure transparency in KDE, no matter how easily you can reprogram is, all that is irrelevent.

    The primary and only use of computers is to run applications, that's what they're there for. An operating system is a means to an end, nothing else.

    If Open Office doesn't meet someone's needs, and they need MS Office, then preaching Linux all day is a waste of everyone's time. You can spend all day talking about how well Open Office opens Ms Office files, it doesn't change anything, it doesn't make it a better product. There's a reason people pay thousands of pounds for professional software: because it fits their needs in a way that free software doesn't. Do you think people who pay for Photoshop wouldn't rather use something that's free?

    You don't pick your food depending on what cutlery you need to eat it, you pick your cutlery depending on what you're eating. If you're eating soup you don't use a fork, no matter how much you like forks and hate spoons.

    * Of all the things to be religious about, a computer operating system seems the most insignificant and irrelevent. But then I think the same thing about car enthusiasts, they're just a means to an end for 99%, but the 1% can't understand that.