Slashdot Mirror


Is AOL The Key to Microsoft 'Killing' Google?

VK writes "When Steve Ballmer yelled at a departing Microsoft employee that he would "kill Google" we had no idea just how direct a method he had in mind. Buying all or part of AOL may be the first part of the master plan, as Google relies heavily on the advertising pages that come from AOL, since it now syndicates its search to Google." Update: 09/23 19:20 GMT by J : As our readers pointed out, the original and Reg reprint both typoed "Yahoo" for AOL. Fixed.

33 of 406 comments (clear)

  1. That'll Never Work by mfh · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The main reason this can't work, is that Google already owns the mindshare of the internet. You can't buy what Google has going for it, IMHO. Consider the mindshare that AOL has...

    People who don't like computers or the internet buy AOL, because they think they have to. They think it's the internet.

    So Microsoft is going to waste billions on AOL. *tries to contain glee*

    Microsoft can certainly buy that client base. They can milk it for all it's worth for maybe even ten years.

    As information becomes more and more readily available online, as people read blogs and learn the way of the force, they change. They learn to despise the despots and the weasels. They retaliate.

    And this lesson is something that Balmer et al have never understood. They aren't evolved enough to get it. So they buy it, but they can't possibly buy what Google has, and that is what's driving them crazy.

    Microsoft needs a whole new mindset if they want to compete in this market, and it's not going to happen.

    And as a final note on this deal-based waterfront, FTA: AOL has been losing subscription customers rapidly, which is why it recently switched its business from purely subscription based to increasingly advertising-based.

    --
    The dangers of knowledge trigger emotional distress in human beings.
    1. Re:That'll Never Work by garcia · · Score: 5, Insightful

      And this lesson is something that Balmer et al have never understood. They aren't evolved enough to get it. So they buy it, but they can't possibly buy what Google has, and that is what's driving them crazy.

      Microsoft needs a whole new mindset if they want to compete in this market, and it's not going to happen.


      Exactly. The rest of the computer industry needs to be less worried about why Google is buying up talent and needs to start being more concerned with how they are going to buy up their own talent and put those people to work doing something that's new and exciting.

      Microsoft needs to stop playing catch up and dominate. They need to become successful innovators for the first time since the 1980s. Then they might have a chance at getting back in the game with Google.

    2. Re:That'll Never Work by hungrygrue · · Score: 5, Insightful
      People who don't like computers or the internet buy AOL, because they think they have to. They think it's the internet.
      Then it would be a marriage made in heaven. These are the same people who run Windows because they have to, and they think that it is part of their computer. In fact most of them currently think that IE is "the internet".
    3. Re:That'll Never Work by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful
      The main reason this can't work, is that Google already owns the mindshare of the internet.

      Sir, I have Netscape and Lotus 123 on a conference call. They said they wanted their excuse back.

    4. Re:That'll Never Work by Himring · · Score: 5, Insightful

      As information becomes more and more readily available online, as people read blogs and learn the way of the force, they change. They learn to despise the despots and the weasels. They retaliate.

      I like everything you have to say except for that. To quote Bullet Tooth Tony, "Never underestimate the predictability of stupidity." People are, and always will be, stupid. To quote Hitler, "It is fortunate for leadership that people are so stupid" (I think I got that right). It usually takes something really huge to make the masses understand. It has to be flagrant because, otherwise, people just don't get it and never will. Google is popular because it's useful to both the elite and the simple. I can use it as a hardcore geek and my mom can too who is the worst computer user ever born. Also, never underestimate Microsoft. I would say more, but I don't wanna sit in timeout again....

      --
      "All great things are simple & expressed in a single word: freedom, justice, honor, duty, mercy, hope." --Churchill
    5. Re:That'll Never Work by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Both Lotus 1-2-3 and Netscape virtually had a monopoly before MS decided to take it away from them.

    6. Re:That'll Never Work by DigitumDei · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Despite the availability of other OS's and browsers to run Google searches with, this is a battle of percentages (that and Linux people seem to click on ads less than windows people). If MS can get enough of the stupid (AOL) market, then advertising on their ad network may look more enticing than advertising on Googles ad network. If that happens Google may suddenly find themselves struggling for cash, and no matter how "good" they are, they still have to pay bills.

      I don't think this is likely, and MS is probably just going to have to learn to live with the fact that Google is succeeding. However, you can't just rule MS out. They have proven time and time again that they know how to do the brute force method in wearing their opponents down.

    7. Re:That'll Never Work by drsquare · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm sorry to break the 'feelgood' circle-jerk, but this 'mindshare' only exists on Slashdot. Come into the real world, and most people just use Google because it's force of habit. Like typing in 'slashdot.org' in the browser first thing in the morning even though you know there's going to be nothing of interest, it's just routine.

      It is VERY easy to take a search-engine's market share, it's a simple as typing a different address in the browser or changing the homepage. It's nowhere near as entrenched as an operating system, and MS still buried OS/2. Imagine what they can do to a company which could disappear entirely with a click of a mouse. I'm afraid constant fellating from Slashdot won't keep a company successful.

      Microsoft needs a whole new mindset if they want to compete in this market

      No they don't, they just need a higher market share and more effective advertising. Once they get a high enough percentage of the market, all they need to do is bring in an advertising system that's more favourable to the advertisers, and they'll 'fucking kill' Google as all the advertisers jump ship. Remember that Google's entire business model relies on advertising, the search engine is just a way to show adverts.

      Once Google's profits go down, the stock bubble bursts, and the rest of us who actually LEARNT from the dot-com era can stand back, put on the sunglasses, and watch as they crash and burn in a giant $80 billion inferno.

    8. Re:That'll Never Work by Delphiki · · Score: 2, Insightful
      So, what's wrong with trying to destroy another company? Isn't that the whole point of competition? To drive your opponent out of business so that you can make more money? Slashdotters like to complain when markets aren't competitive because firms are too cooperative like the music industry, and slashdotters like to complain when the competition isn't friendly enough for you.

      Honestly, who cares if Ballmer said he wanted to destroy Google? If I were a shareholder I wouldn't want him to be CEO if he weren't at least thinking it.

      --

      Feel free to mod me "-1 - Angry Jerk".

    9. Re:That'll Never Work by ajs318 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      eBay probably will destroy Skype.

      Some people are spunking their pants over the idea that one day, there will be advertisements in telephone calls. Your conversation will be interrupted; each party will hear a targeted advertisement, and be unable to hear anything the other party is saying. After the advertisement is finished, the conversation can be resumed. If you hang up mid-advert, then you will have to listen to another advertisement all the way through before you get another chance to dial.

      That's the reason why eBay bought Skype, but it might not actually destroy Skype -- Skype might not even last long enough to die that way.

      Skype is using a closed, proprietary protocol and thus incompatible with industry standards such as Asterisk. And incompatible protocols simply don't work in telephony. I expect to be able to talk to people, and send and receive SMS messages, independent of what make of phone they are using, or to which telephone company's network it is connected. Hell, they could be using an old-fashioned tethered-to-the-wall phone with brass bells and a rotary dial for all I care. All I need to know is their number, and it's the business of the telcos to make it all work. But that model breaks down when the phone companies won't co-operate, and both un-co-operative parties suffer. If you couldn't call an NTL landline from an Orange mobile, nobody would want to go with NTL or Orange even if they did not have friends on the other network at the time, because you never know who you are going to want to call up.

      And of course most people don't want to tie their phone to their computer ..... geeks might, but they aren't most people. I think the Skype bubble will burst pretty quickly. I can see a "broadband telephone" with a built in ADSL router {probably next-gen wireless}, which will just plug into a broadband-equipped phone line, pick up some configuration data from the net, and do auto-routing using POTS or VoIP as appropriate. The user experience is the same {pick up receiver, hear dial tone, punch in number, far end rings, far end answers, talk, hang up receiver} whichever system is being used ..... and most people aren't going to care what the little "network" and "padlock" icons in the display will mean, except that they're saving them money somehow and keeping things secure somehow respectively.

      --
      Je fume. Tu fumes. Nous fûmes!
    10. Re:That'll Never Work by lightknight · · Score: 3, Insightful

      They innovated in the form of a new business paradigm, a market where a common operating system would run on multiple vendor's hardware. While there are other OSs that were capable of such, they were the first that broke IBM's stranglehold on the PC market, and as such, provided competition among hardware vendors. Like it or not, they really brought the PC to the home user.

      Apple had a chance to do the same, but they didn't want to break their hardware/software monopoly. Which isn't to say that they don't make great software and hardware combinations, but they lost a chance to be MS.

      --
      I am John Hurt.
    11. Re:That'll Never Work by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Firefox?

    12. Re:That'll Never Work by Shaper_pmp · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Nope. Actually, Compaq (IIRC) "innovated" there... by reverse-engineering IBM's BIOS and producing compatible hardware.

      Microsoft didn't innovate a thing - they just happened to be a mainstream OS which wasn't owned by anyone with a vested interest in pushing their own hardware. Right position, right time. Zero innovation involved.

      And even if you believe they deliberately put themselves in that position, innovating a new business model is hardly what real geeks would consider important innovation, right?

      --
      Everything in moderation, including moderation itself
    13. Re:That'll Never Work by MikeFM · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's not rocket science. Basic economics.

      It depends on how they destroy competition. If they do it by making better products that everyone would rather use then great. If they do it by using their power and money to strangle the smaller companies then that is bad for customers and the economy.

      It's also typically good to cooperate but it's not good to form a cartel which becomes much like a single big company. In this condition quality drops, prices climb, and it becomes difficult for new competition to form. This is essentially what the music industry has done and is why they've recently been charged with illegal price fixing.

      Shareholders and CEOs with an eye on nothing but the almighty buck are idiots. Money is not the end-all of existence. Having a healthy society, healthy government, healthy economy, etc is important if they want anywhere to spend their money. Jacking these things up to make a profit is a game that can only be played so long before the system crashes.

      --
      At what price learning? At what cost wisdom? The price is a man's peace of mind, and the cost is his life.
  2. This is a classic example by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    this is a classic example of a company that is running low on the innovation batteries so it has to rely on buying out competitors to try and crush their opposition rather than working on new an innovative ways of moving the industry or product line forward.

    At the end of the day ill pay all my advertising money to anyone BUT a microsoft or timewarner.

  3. Original Submissions would be nice by tpgp · · Score: 1, Insightful

    When Steve Ballmer yelled at a departing Microsoft employee that he would "kill Google" we had no idea just how direct a method he had in mind. Buying all or part of AOL may be the first part of the master plan, as Google relies heavily on the advertising pages that come from Yahoo, since it now syndicates its search to Google.

    Copied verbatim from the first paragraph of the linked article.

    Just a little originality would be nice...

    --
    My pics.
  4. You can't polish a turd by Junior+J.+Junior+III · · Score: 4, Insightful

    AOL has a huge customer base, but has been steadily eroded as telecoms roll out broadband to the sticks, and this is not really going to change. AOL has a reputation for sucking, and google has a reputation for being both smart and effective. Microsoft buying AOL just combines the strengths of two successful, or should I say "suckcessful" companies who have more or less reached their apex and do not have the same potential for rapid, sustainable growth as they did when they were rising stars in the industry. They're now bloated, hulking monstrosities desperately clinging to their marketshare and experiencing problems trying to remain relevant.

    If this is google's biggest threat, they have little to fear.

    --
    You see? You see? Your stupid minds! Stupid! Stupid!
  5. Huh? by MrP-(at+work) · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Huh? I suppose i could read the article but i'm just going to comment on the actual slashdot description..

    What does MS buying part of AOL have to do with Google having advertising pages on Yahoo?

    Is that like how like the AOL/TimeWarner merge caused my grilled cheese to burn?

    p.s. slashdot with css is freaky, but i like it!

    --
    [an error occurred while processing this directive]
  6. Antitrust by C0deJunkie · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Yes,it's called Antitrust. Named law is meant to avoid the creation of such a giant entity that could potentially, based on it's "dominant position", alter the market.

  7. "Killing" by Red+Flayer · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "Is AOL the Key to Microsoft Killing Google?"

    "Killing Google"? I think you misspelled "not competing effectively with Google, by purchasing a struggling enterprise with massive consumer illwill that adds to Microsoft's bloat and lack of focused direction."

    --
    "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
  8. Re:Predatory. Microsoft must be split. by fireboy1919 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    And, MSN Inc. would have to compete fairly with its competition from Yahoo and Google

    You misspelled "go bankrupt within a month of it not being the default homepage."

    --
    Mod me down and I will become more powerful than you can possibly imagine!
  9. Headline is backwards, anyway by smose · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Perhaps it should read: Is AOL the Key to Microsoft 'Killing' Microsoft?

    Parent is on the right track: Google has forward momentum, a positive Karma of the internet. Google does what you want it to do (find stuff) and stays out of the way. That's a big plus when you just want to get things done. Outside of search, Google seems to be one place where fresh ideas originate in rapid succession, even if a lot of those ideas never materialize. These new ideas, good or bad, still don't get in the way of their core product, which is still fast and stays out of the way.

    Microsoft is in the opposite situtation. They've stalled and in many ways, are slipping backwards. They are widely seen as the behemoth, to the point that you don't have to even read the latest security warning to know that it's from another "Buffer Overflow" problem. Office hasn't done anything inventive in years, except for Clippy. Business users (the ones who actually pay for it) are getting the idea that new versions of Office don't do anything new but do screw up the UI enough that it's not worth the trouble to upgrade. These paying users are steadfastly not paying anymore by sticking with the 2k generation of products. New sales of MS Windows and Office are driven mostly by new computer sales, but some businesses are just moving the software and licenses over from retired systems.

    XBox has done well, but it has a different appeal and is becoming its own division, anyway.

    AOL is another old behemoth, and if AOL and Microsoft want to hold on for dear life together, so be it. It won't help either one.

  10. I see the same mistaken thinking going on by suitepotato · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Namely, that people are growing smarter and that smarter (by this faction's definition) means people will see Microsoft and AOL for being shams and suddenly see the light and adopt the (sadomasochistic) ways of Linux.

    Excuse me while I open a window and laugh.

    Car manuals that put the New York Yellow Pages to shame for size and are competitive with sets of encyclopedias have been on the shelves of libraries for years. People know less and less every year about their cars. They know less and less every year about most things because the people who know more and more tend to be doing their jobs correctly: they make it work, and they make it work transparently to the user as to the guts of the process.

    You don't need to know how a mainframe works to do your banking, you need not know how a cash register works to buy something. You need not know what an unsigned integer is to compose a letter on a word processor. Windows is easy to use. AOL is easy to use. Put them together and you have the all around ease of use killer setup for home users.

    Once again, the tail does not wag the dog. Your kids at school do not control your PC buying decisions and if they did Apple would be the only brand in the USA and there'd be NO Internet as it back then DID NOT fit into Apple's (Job's) worldview. Your average anti-corporate anti-conformity geek in the IT department does not control the corporate PC buying decisions and if they did, we'd all be using BSD command line only boxes. The general "I don't care how it works, I just want it to work" public controls the market.

    Sorry to burst your fanciful bubbles, but the Tyranny of the Masses has been the rule and not the exception since before Hannibal crossed the Alps. We can just bring it to you faster and more efficiently than the Roman populace ever could to their wrongly pontificating intellectuals.

    --
    If my grammar and spelling are off, I am [distracted/tired/careless] (take your pick)
  11. Re:Why "Kill" Google? by tbannist · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Microsoft wants to kill google for a number of reasions:
    1. Google is getting more positive attention than Microsoft
    2. Google is a poster-child for the successful deployment of Linux
    3. Google doesn't buy (many) Microsoft Products
    4. Microsoft can't buy Google
    5. Microsoft fears anything that has to do with computers that they can't buy
    6. Smart people who rather work for Google than Microsoft
    --
    Fanatically anti-fanatical
  12. What AOL is really for by ewe2 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Is so Microsoft can own ICQ and AIM. They don't want Google winning IM, so this kills two birds with one stone: present a credible competitor for anti-trust monitors while taking over most of the IM market. I'm not sure Microsoft won't ruin the advantage they gain with this, however. Turning everything into MSN isn't everyone's idea of IM heaven. Who cares about the subscribers? It's the network infrastructure and IM audience they want for Microsoft Internet.

    --
    insecurity asks the wrong question irritation gives the wrong answer
  13. Re:I weep I weep and thrice I weep by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful
    "what happened to the Microsoft I knew that delivered products and listened to feedback and invented little things like reusable components"

    They became a monopoly.

  14. In a nutshell... by Hosiah · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This is like if Target wanted to "kill" Saks Fifth Avenue. So they buy Kmart.

  15. Still playing catch up by thebdj · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Seriously, Microsoft is primarily concerned with Google because I think deep down they fear that Google will decide to hop into their much more lucrative fields (i.e. Operating Systems and Office Suites). Microsoft is fighting a losing battle online. They got a late jump on the internet. Everything they have tried online, from webmail, to messenging to internet service started too late and could not compete with AOL (as much as I hate saying that) and now losing to broadband.

    Look at sights used for web searches and of the major ones, MSN has to be one of the least used. I am sure some people do not mind the clunky and overloaded website design, but most people I know prefer the cleaner google, or heck even Yahoo is typically cleaner in appearance then MSN.

    MSN Messenger is quite seriously a joke. Here is a service that few people really use. AOL IM stills has the majority share here as well since they were one of the original IM services. They also bought up another "original", ICQ. Yahoo, I believe is probably 2nd in the IM race and has a strong support base from its e-mail service and people who use Yahoo as a primary search tool.

    I think Microsoft needs to stop worrying about trying to make too much money off of their web-based applications and continue to focus on their bread-winners, Microsoft Windows (TM) and the Office series. Quite simply these bring in more money, and there is no real foreseeable end to the need for Operating Systems and Office suites. But in typical fashion, they will try to buy their way into a market and be the anti-thesis to innovators.

    --
    "Some days you just can't get rid of a bomb."
  16. Re:Bad publicity? by Lifewish · · Score: 2, Insightful

    They can't. This is the power of Open Source - once you've sent it out into the world, you can't call it back. Very handy in situations like this.

    --
    For the love of God, please learn to spell "ridiculous"!!!
  17. AOL & MS have different work cultures. by managedcode · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Moving MSN into Products and Platforms means, they are now under direct supervision of Bill. MS has aggressive work culture while AOL is packed with laid-back typical corporate Americans. Bill will first fire Ballmer if he bought AOL or they will buy AOL minus it's lousy employees.

  18. Better hurry by geoff+lane · · Score: 4, Insightful

    'cus the way google is going, buying up dark fibre and installing wifi access, it's pretty obvious that they want to provide services direct to users and bypass the ISPs entirely.

    MS may end up buying AOL just at the time when it becomes irrelevant.

  19. I'm not so certain innovation is what draws geeks by brokeninside · · Score: 2, Insightful

    So much as the implementation. At its core, Netflix isn't doing anything other than what libraries and rental shops have been doing for decades. What makes Netflix different is their execution of the business model: good selection, prompt service, decent price.

  20. re: Microsoft vs. innovation by kupci · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Nope. Actually, Compaq (IIRC) "innovated" there... by reverse-engineering IBM's BIOS and producing compatible hardware.

    Yes, it was Compaq's 386, and IBM's poor strategy, that benefited Microsoft. IBM made many mistakes, for great reading see Robert X. Cringley's Accidental Empires book. Among the problems - IBM underpowered the original IBM PC, and then was slow bringing out the 386. They tried to make the hardware proprietary, by using the 'Microchannel' architecture, the market didn't buy it and went with Compaq's 386 architecture instead.

    So the whole innovation deal, that open source just copies, but doesn't innovate, is baloney, one only needs to look at Microsoft. Which came first, Turbo Pascal or Visual Basic? Mosaic or Internet Explorer? Java or C#? ln -s or Microsoft's smart links? etc etc.

    But this whole innovation argument is annoying Microsoft FUD. Rather, Microsoft seems to follow the kaizen model, i.e. constant improvement - look at Windows 3.1 to Win 95 to Win XP. And Visual Studio is a great IDE. And this is exactly the situation with Google. I think we'll see Microsoft improve, just as Windows has improved with Linux competition, and C# is an improvement on VB with Java competition, however just like these apps won't be destroyed, neither will Google, since it's outside the realm of MSFTs desktop realm.