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Bad Movies to Blame for Box Office Slump

macklin01 writes "The LA Times is reporting that box office executives are finally fessing up and taking the blame. Poor box office receipts over the summer weren't caused by surging fuel costs, changes in audience preferences, or anything else. As Slashdot readers might have put it (and as it comes out in the article), 'It's the movies, stupid.'"

89 of 416 comments (clear)

  1. DUPE by LeonGeeste · · Score: 2, Informative
    --
    Rank my idea: http://www.sinceslicedbread.com/node/531
    1. Re:DUPE by WIAKywbfatw · · Score: 5, Funny

      Duh, that was The New York Times coverage, this is The LA Times coverage. Everyone knows that PST is behind EST, don't they? The first story was for people on the US's Atlantic seaboard, this one is for people on the US's Pacific seaboard, nothing more, nothing less.

      Of course, people inbetween the US's east and west coasts mainly voted for Bush, so their version, linking to Fox News, will follow later with a suitable spin ("It's the fault of those damn terrorists!"). Meanwhile, people outside the US will get their own frontpage story too, citing news sources such as the BBC, that will point out that it's the American film industry that's in decline, not the global one...

      --

      "Accept that some days you are the pigeon, and some days you are the statue." - David Brent, Wernham Hogg
    2. Re:DUPE by netmucus · · Score: 2

      Simple Economics folks... The price of a movie has exceeded what we are willing to pay. Drop the price of a movie (and all the concessions) and more people will go. DUH!

    3. Re:DUPE by ZachPruckowski · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Or, instead of dropping movie prices, they could make better movies. Economically, this is an increase in the marginal value of a movie, making it again worth the $8 to get into the theatre. I think the shift has been in viewing preferences, away from Special Effects as the reason to go to the movies. People now seem to want movies that have a decent story, and are well-made, as opposed to being well-decorated empty boxes.

      Personally, I welcome this change, as it implies that Americans are becoming more cultured (yes, I'm an optimist), or at least that we'll get better movies. And it is the industries admitting that piracy isn't the only thing hurting their bottom lines.

      Although I do think price needs to be addressed, as I can have the movie forever on DVD for cheaper than seeing it in the theater on a date (2x$8 + popcorn + sodas + parking), but I think that the theater has a bit of a cultural value to it, and I think that the "see it while it's cool" aspect works in the theaters' favors.

  2. sure buddy by bariswheel · · Score: 3, Funny

    no it wasn't! It was those damn hurricanes, how much clearer can it get?? silly...

    --
    Insinct is stronger than Upbringing - Irish Proverb
    1. Re:sure buddy by 13bPower · · Score: 5, Funny

      Kerry would have stopped those hurricanes!

  3. it's their mess, hope they clean it up by yagu · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's almost amazing the movie industry gets away with this. They scream and throw tantrums over any overtures, any market that dares step foot in their domain. How? By threatening to sue almost anyone! How? By demanding the electronics industry put "safeguards" in dvd players (more on that in a second). How? By spending millions in D.C. demanding laws be passed to protect their eroding stranglehold on an evolving market place. How? By doing everything in their power to prevent evolution (read: progress).

    In the meantime, they approve pap for movie plots and ideas, pander to the idiotic mainstream thinking that's their meal ticket (it mostly is). But their offerings have become so predictable, so terrible, and so terribly produced and directed people are starting to feel ripped off for the small fortune they must spend for a night out of movies and popcorn. They've sown these seeds, they're reaping their own rewards.

    What I think funny in the article is their collective sigh of relief some recent movies are getting viewers. I suspect when movies like "Transporter 2 are raking in blockbuster revenues it's more about their concerted ramped-up advertising and less about the quality of their movies.

    It does appear there may be some good movies this fall ("History of Violence" is high on my list), I'm guessing we'll see more of the same crap. I don't know how many times they can go to the well with their overproduced special effects stories with no plot or believable ideas and keep the public coming back (but don't underestimate the masses to continue to believe, ever heard of Charlie Brown and Lucy?), but they're creating their own misery.

    As for their heavy handed fingers-in-the-distribution-and-technology pie, give me a break. I set up a dvd recorder for my dad. I LOVED how simple it was to operate, and it did an excellent job of recording shows for him. He was a happy camper too. He loves to watch PBS, and was excited to record a recent Civil War special on his new dvd recorder and wanted to send the dvd to me to watch. He was concerned because his dvd would not play on other dvd players, something about a region code violation (we know what that is).

    Anyway, the disk arrived today, and it's NOT playable on my player. Fuck the movie and entertainment industry. They've made my dad unhappy, they've prevented me from watching a show which, had I watched, could only have helped their cause (exposure, exposure, exposure).

    This isn't the first time I've had this technology dance with my dad, and I'm sure it won't be the last. But, I hate it, and the sooner the entertainment industry cleans up their act, the better. Sigh.

    1. Re:it's their mess, hope they clean it up by Distinguished+Hero · · Score: 2, Insightful

      pander to the idiotic mainstream thinking

      I believe that is called giving consumers what they want (which, by the way, is how people tend to become rich). Politicians do the same thing, to a far more damaging extent.

      --
      Uttering logically derived and empirically supported truths to the disciples of the orthodox establishment.
    2. Re:it's their mess, hope they clean it up by Alien+Being · · Score: 5, Interesting

      "they may not even release DVD's if they had to release them in a format that allowed for easy pirating"

      The Circuit City DIVX fiasco proved that you're wrong. There was no chance that the studios would leave billions of dollars on the table just to spite the pirates.

    3. Re:it's their mess, hope they clean it up by Dun+Malg · · Score: 4, Informative
      Good point about the technological use restrictions, but they may not even release DVD's if they had to release them in a format that allowed for easy pirating. So it's not all bad.

      +1 Insightful? More like -1 Ridiculous! They're in the freakin movie business. The way they make money is by selling movies. They wouldn't release DVDs if pirating were easy? Like they did with VHS? Yeah, not a single movie was released on VHS. Furthermore, it's not like region coding does diddley squat to prevent piracy. It's not even intended to stop piracy. It's sole purpose is to facilitate market segmentation, whereby the movie industry can squeeze the maximum possible profit out of every market in the world without the low income regions undercutting the high income ones by selling out of the country.

      --
      If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
    4. Re:it's their mess, hope they clean it up by Trepalium · · Score: 4, Insightful
      You contradict yourself. If region coding does diddley squat, it would not be possible blah blah blah blah...
      You missed a very important part of what the previous poster was saying. It doesn't nothing to prevent piracy. No one disputes the fact the differential pricing strategy makes the movie industry more money, but it does nothing to prevent piracy. I suppose one could argue that allowing this differential pricing means they can make some money off markets that would otherwise be completely lost to piracy, but it doesn't directly contribute to any type of anti-piracy measures.
      --
      I used up all my sick days, so I'm calling in dead.
    5. Re:it's their mess, hope they clean it up by dgatwood · · Score: 4, Informative

      Reread that. The GP poster said region coding didn't do anything to prevent piracy, not that it didn't do anything. And that's correct. It does nothing against piracy.

      I can guarantee the movie industry would have released material on DVD even without those protections. Why? Because for every videotape produced, it costs a significant chunk of change and takes a significant amount of time in some giant room full of VCRs recording the content, probably at real-time speed. A DVD can be stamped in a fraction of a second, and costs a tiny fraction of what a videotape costs from a manufacturing perspective. THAT is why the movie industry was inevitably going to move to a digital optical disk format, protection or no protection, just like the audio industry did.

      It's simple math, really:

      Videotape: Retail price: $15
      Channel loss: $5.
      Movie company gets $10.
      Tape costs $3 to dub.
      Profit: $7. DVD: Retail price: $20 (better quality, so let's charge more).
      Channel loss: $6.66.
      Movie company gest $13.34.
      Costs $0.20 to manufacture.
      Profit: $13.14.

      The very suggestion that the movie industry would continue to encourage people to buy videotapes at such low margins knowing that DVDs would generate nearly double that margin is utterly naive. Protection or no protection, there was never any question about whether studios would relent.

      The problem is that two of the companies making up the DVD standard WERE content companies, and thus, copy protection was also inevitable....

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    6. Re:it's their mess, hope they clean it up by Allnighterking · · Score: 4, Informative

      Yes I am. Most of the people who want to share this stuff can't correctly operate their spy-ware magnet..... but they can push the "duplicate" button on their DVD player/recorder. Directions on the one I have a real hard.

      1. Do you want to duplicate a DVD? [yes] [no]

      2. Insert the original DVD in the Tray, close the tray and push the go button (along with a picture of the go button)

      Archiving {here the screen get's hash marks that slashdot won't display}

      3. Remove the original DVD from the try and insert a blank DVD disk in the tray, then press go (again with the picture.)

      Recording {here the screen get's hash marks that slashdot won't display}

      4. Do you want to make another copy of this DVD?

      BTW my home DVD player/Recorder will do 8GB and 12GB DVD's... but my comp is limited to 4GB.

      --

      I'm sorry, I'm to tired to be witty at the moment so this message will have to do.

    7. Re:it's their mess, hope they clean it up by dgatwood · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Huh? I wasn't claiming that if DVD's had poor copy protection, studios would sell VHS instead. I'm claiming they would abandon the market altogether.

      Okay, that's even more ludicrous. Nearly half of movie studio revenue (and thus, likely the vast majority of studio profit) comes from home video sales and rentals. Statistically, only about 26% of their revenue comes from the box office. There's not a snowball's change in hell that they would abandon the home movie market any more than they would abandon the TV market if digital TV didn't have similar content protection.

      Bluntly put, if the movie studios abandoned home sales/rental, they wouldn't be in business. They may be shortsighted and a little paranoid, but they aren't complete idiots.

      Of course, there could be a way to profitably make a movie without IP laws. But NO ONE (and that includes the myriad Slashdotters who are heavy on complaints about copy protection, light on complaints about piracy) has come up with one! Until that happens, this is the best we've got.

      Uh.... Don't assume that I want to eliminate intellectual property just because I dislike the abusive content protection and DRM that the movie industry is trying to shove down everyone's throat. Life isn't that black-and-white. My belief is that you can either trust people or you can't. If you can't trust them, you're screwed whether you protect your content or not, and if you can, you're only screwed if you protect your content in such a way that it annoys the people who might otherwise buy it. :-)

      The short form of my opinion on IP is this.... DRM: evil and largely ineffectual (except at restricting fair use). Copyright: good. Perpetual copyright: bad. Hope that clears things up.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    8. Re:it's their mess, hope they clean it up by kamapuaa · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Anyway, the disk arrived today, and it's NOT playable on my player. Fuck the movie and entertainment industry. They've made my dad unhappy, they've prevented me from watching a show which, had I watched, could only have helped their cause (exposure, exposure, exposure).

      I'd expect people on Slashdot to be a little more technically literate than this. DVD region codes are trivial (if annoying) to get around. Most DVD players have a short code that makes them region-free (look on dvdrhelp.com), or you could use a program like DVD Shrink or DVD Decrypter to rip and re-burn it, or you could watch the movie on your computer with a region-free player.

      But I'm guessing you live in the same nation as your father, in which case it's not DVD regional encoding that's the problem. It's that DVD-recorders often use a non-standard format which is better for recording, but won't work on other DVD players. Your father can turn this option off if he'd prefer, to make standard DVD disks that work on other player. But it also means he can't do certain convenient tasks, especially if he's using a DVD-RW disk -assigning chapter breaks, going back to get rid of the commercials, etc. There might be computer programs that allow you to read these specially formatted DVD disks but I haven't checked.

      Is it more complex complex than a VHS recording? Yes (although VHS could also be NTSC v. PAL v. SECAM). But saying "fuck the movie industry" for technical complexities that aren't of their making doesn't seem fair.

      --
      Slashdot: providing anti-social weirdos a soapbox, since 1997.
  4. Next on Slashdot... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    ...Fire is hot!

  5. *sigh* by CashCarSTAR · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's not the movies. Well, maybe it is, but it's not JUST the movies. It's the fact that there's more competition right now for the entertainment dollar then ever before, and it's going to get worse for them. Put on top of that the negative cultural ideal of the movie theatre right now (talking+cell phones..not my experience but I'm sure this thread will be full of the stories.) So what's the solution? I suspect cut the theatres loose. 0-day DVD/PVP-Online AND theatre releases. Allow the theatres to show more movies more often. So if you rally like The Empire Strikes Back, for example, then maybe next Tuesday evening there's going to be a screening. Digital distribution makes this possible

  6. Shocking by TimTheFoolMan · · Score: 5, Funny

    It's not because of Steve Job's $.99 price model?

    Tim

  7. It's not too late!!! by Frac · · Score: 5, Funny

    At least they're no longer in denial, and they're now willing to produce movies their customers will want to see.

    Hopefully that means "Naked and Petrified" starring Natalie Portman will finally hit the big screen in 2006.

    One can only dream...

    1. Re:It's not too late!!! by fm6 · · Score: 2, Insightful
      ... they're now willing to produce movies their customers will want to see.
      Say what? You honestly believe that studio execs have been telling each other, "we don't need to make movies that people want to see?" That makes no sense.

      They've always been trying to make popular movies — they're just not any good at it. They're part of a system that is thoroughly dysfunctional. It discourages risk taking and creativity. Most of all, the idea of actually telling a story is completely overlooked.

      Anybody who tries to point these problems out tends to lose their job. So everybody plays it safe and puts up with all the bullshit until they can't ignore it any longer. (Rather like most big companies I've worked for!) That's why they've been in denial. Not because they're too dumb to understand concept of selling stuff people want.

    2. Re:It's not too late!!! by Gilmoure · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Part of this is the whole blockbuster thing. It started in the '70's, with Jaws and Star Wars. This also coincided with the rise of the multiplex. Since then, Hollywood's gotten hooked on the idea of blockbusters, each bringing in 100+ million. kinda' like junkies, trying to reach that first high...

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    3. Re:It's not too late!!! by a_n_d_e_r_s · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Is all about advertising. The costs are high.
      It's much cheaper to advertise for one blockbuster than several regular movies.

      Therefore the movie industry go for blockbusters.

      The problem for the movie industry is that a failed blockbuster are very costly so they try to appeal too as large group of people as possible. This often lead to that the blockbusters loose its edge and often become dull and boring and noone will see it.

      The movie industry seam to have forgotten that large profits can often come from a smaller movie that becomes an unexpected hot item.

      --
      Just saying it like it are.
  8. Serenity by bryan1945 · · Score: 4, Funny

    At least Serenity came out yesterday. The wife and I are seeing it on Sunday! Stupid goram MPAA.

    --
    Vote monkeys into Congress. They are cheaper and more trustworthy.
    1. Re:Serenity by doormat · · Score: 3, Informative

      Yes, my year long MPAA boycott is at an end due to Serenity. I saw it friday night (yes its good, and no you dont have to see the TV show to get 95% of it) and I'm going to see it again tomorrow with a different group of people.

      --
      The Doormat

      If you're not outraged, then you're not paying attention.
  9. Is this Lucas's fault? by Nf1nk · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I have wondered if this seasons lack of good action movies is partialy Lucas's fault. With the long awaited and less disapointing SW epIII this summer, I wonder how many studios decided that they didn't want to be the movies that came in a distant second to what many felt was going to be an out of control blockbuster (right or wrong).

    --
    I used to have a cool sig, back when I cared
  10. Changes in audience preferences by nEoN+nOoDlE · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I think it is changes in audience preferences. Audiences don't want bad movies anymore. The Hollywood formula is starting to wear off on people.

    --
    Don't trust a bull's horn, a doberman's tooth, a runaway horse or me.
  11. Next up on Slashdot: by TooMuchEspressoGuy · · Score: 5, Funny
    "Crappy Music - Not Teenage Kids Using Kazaa - To Blame For Decline in Sales of Music."

    "Overabundance of Commercials and Tons of Bad Reality Shows - Not TiVo - To Blame For Decline in Television Audience."

    Slashdot - News for Nerds, Stuff you Already Knew.

    --
    Many Bothans died to bring you this sig.
    1. Re:Next up on Slashdot: by mark-t · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Actually, the big news in this case isn't the headline itself, the big news is that they are _admitting_ it.

  12. If only... by JediLow · · Score: 2, Interesting

    the RIAA would finally fess up to the fact that people aren't buying CDs because the music just plain sucks...

  13. Other forms of entertainment... by QuaintRealist · · Score: 3, Insightful

    There is a lot more competition out there for our entertainment dollars that there used to be. Think of all the computer/console based activities which have sprung up in the last 2 decades, to name just one example. Like any industry forced from a near monoply position into one with competition, the movie industry complains and blames dubious straw men for their difficulties. Good movies can still compete.

    --
    Using plain ol' text since 1968
  14. Record companies by programmerar · · Score: 2, Funny

    If only the record companies could come to such an enlightened conclusion...

    How about more inspiration and less specualtion? More perspiration and less litigation... what else rhymes with this...?

  15. Bah. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    And it has nothing to do with the $8-$10 ticket prices that have sprung up across the country. It's not like I can get 3 used DVDs for $20. Oh wait a minute . . . yes I can.

  16. I know the answer! by grumpygrodyguy · · Score: 4, Funny

    It's all George Lucas' fault, Seriously! That guy redefined movie-making in the 70s and 80s, and then single-handedly destroyed it in the 90s and 00s!

    Episode I) Fool us once, shame on you.

    Episode II) Fool us twice, shame on us...

    Episode III) Fool us three times, screw this shit.

    --
    The government has a defect: it's potentially democratic. Corporations have no defect: they're pure tyrannies. -Chomsky
    1. Re:I know the answer! by benna · · Score: 2, Funny

      No no, you have it all wrong. Fool me once shame on.. shame on you...... a fooled man can't get fooled again."

      --
      "It is not how things are in the world that is mystical, but that it exists." -Ludwig Wittgenstein
  17. Lets see by nighty5 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Cinema Fault:
    Poor movies
    Expensive Popcorn / Sweets / Drinks
    Expensive Tickets
    Can't use Gift Vouchers (Fully Paid) with new movies
    Bad seating - I've seen some *shockers* in some cinemas
    20 minutes of ads before the show
    Those silly piracy ads on stealing music - yep thats right, we all have to put up with that

    Customer Fault:
    Noisy movie goers / pranksters
    Mobile phone calls and constant rings
    Children screaming in tense moments
    Seat fighting

    Its all just not worth it - wait a month or so, buy for it less than the cinema price, grab some take away and watch it on your nice big digital entertainment unit @ home - and keep the damn movie!

    No wonder we don't bother going !

    1. Re:Lets see by edunbar93 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yeah, but every once in a while, there's a movie that's good enough for us to actually endure all that to a) see it sooner rather than later and b) see it on a big fuckin' screen with a sound system that makes yours look like it was made by fisher price.

      --
      "No problem. I have the capacity to do infinite work so long as you don't mind that my quality approaches zero."-Dilbert
    2. Re:Lets see by 00110011 · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Expensive Popcorn / Sweets / Drinks

      Why do so many people say that they have to eat something when watching a 2 to 3 hour movie? Is it really that hard to see a movie without eating, or to eat a proper meal, elsewhere, before the movie so you wouldn't be hungry during the movie?

    3. Re:Lets see by caenorhabditas · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Honestly, I'd put most of the "Customer Fault" ones as the fault of the theaters, as well. It's not that hard to control an audience. Bars/Clubs/Concerts throw out rowdy customers all the time - they realize that they'll sacrifice a limited amount of revenue from the obnoxious customers and make it up by increased revenue from people who hate the obnoxious customers.

      Of course, most bars or clubs cater to their clientele. Some don't allow anyone in not wearing a suit, some activly encourage public nudity and debauchary. Theaters are perfectly capable of doing likewise, and indeed I've heard of theaters in larger markets than I live in promoting disturbance-free theatergoing by throwing out those who don't comply to their standards of "no phones, no being loud, etc".

      However, the path of least resistance for the theater owners seems to be to allow this sort of nonsense to continue, and the path of least resistnace for customers seems to be to not bitch loudly enough to the management and instead bitch loudly on Slashdot. If enough customers start saying "Hey, I paid ten bucks for this ticket, I want it quiet or I want a refund," managers would eventually get the hint.

    4. Re:Lets see by Tim+C · · Score: 3, Interesting

      While I agree with you, for a lot of people the concessions are all part of the movie-going experience. For me, that means that there have been a number of times when I've had a meal, gone to the cinema and *still* bought drinks and popcorn. Sure, I could've gone without with ease - but then it wouldn't have been quite the same.

      Of course, I didn't moan about the price while I was doing it; sure, it's expensive, but I don't go very often (hard to when you're the parent of a young child), so I like to make the most of it.

    5. Re:Lets see by sedyn · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I never got the point of those piracy ads... I'm already in the fucking theatre, paying for the movie! What are they hoping that the cam producers have an 11th hour realization that "capturing movies and distributing them in poor quality is bad"?

      --
      Am I open minded towards open source, or closed minded towards closed source?
  18. I just say no by DuctTape · · Score: 5, Insightful
    I just don't want to go out to movies anymore. I like a nice quiet evening at home with a rented movie. I'm fine with waiting for a few months before I can rent the movie that just came out. I don't like sticky floors, hot-headed teens that throw popcorn, screaming babies, and too-tall people in front of me that block my view. I like playing back the part that I didn't hear correctly, playing the ending back over again, and stopping in the middle for a bio break.

    Duh.

    DT

    --
    Is this thing on? Hello?
  19. Simple answer, really. by lheal · · Score: 3, Funny

    It's all George Bush's fault.

    He doesn't care about movies.

    I know he's too busy with his bicycling career and all to go to movies. I just want to know that he cares.

    --
    Raise your children as if you were teaching them to raise your grandchildren, because you are.
  20. Movies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Well at least they're beginning to see the light. Scripts are sucking. I don't understand what the point of a going to theatres is anymore. You can go to Fry's buy a bigscreen, reciever, dvd player, and 5.1+ polk audio speakers, and/or Windows Media Center stay at home and enjoy the movies in your own confortable space. No obnoxious kids talking on cell phones with the theater attendants calling them out in the middle of the movie. Hollywood should just start releasing movies on DVD, HD-DVD, Blueray (You know they're gonna haft to support both formats as nobodys backing down) and the Internet. I would rather pay $10 for 1 or 2 viewings of a movie, then $8.50 plus $10.00 worth of concessions. Movielink is owned by the major studios and CinemaNow is owned by Lions Gate, Blockbuster and Microsoft. Technologies and systems are already in place. All thats left is the dotted lines. I don't mind DRM, and I know companies are not going to abuse it as it is a guarantee they would lose business in 2 seconds flat. I have faith they will be fair, be it nieve of me or not to state. HELIX, MS-DRM, Open MagicGate and FairPlay are fine by me, as long as rights are fair.

  21. No, NO. by game+kid · · Score: 2, Funny

    The problem was all those altruistic producers, with their Lord of the GNU/Rings, KAlien and OpenMatrix trilogies!

    Moviegoers should support our plotless, $2.00-worth--I mean, Oscar® worthy movies! All the people that we entice and underpay^W^W^W^Wwork on our movies deserve nothing less.

    --Dr. Random RIAA Spokes-Person

    P.S. Encourage your local movie studio to use CSS (and I don't mean standard Web technology--besides, what's better than protecting official-movie-site IP with Flash?)

    --
    You can hold down the "B" button for continuous firing.
  22. The "bad movies" fallacy by NetDanzr · · Score: 5, Informative
    Just a few weeks ago I was doing some research on the media, when I decided to run a statistical analysis on movies. The only conclusive thing I found was that bad movies are not to blame for lower box office tickets. Why? Because the movies were better than last year. Consider the following:

    The critics rated all researched 2005 movies (those that were still in theaters by the end of August - slightly over 100) with 69%. For 2004 movies, it was 64.25%. The audience also posted better ratings for 2005 movies: 68.4% versus 67.9% (source: IMDB). In the case of blockbusters (defined as movies opening on more than 1000 screens), 2005 movies come up on top as well: 62% versus 59.5% by the critics and 63.1% versus 61.7% by the audience. Independent movies were an exception: while critics rated them higher in 2005 (76.25% vs. 71.5%), the audience rated them lower: 70.9% vs. 71.5%.

    Despite these numbers, the opening weekend has seen a drop of 12.87%. For blockbusters this drop has been even more significant, despite the fact that they were rated higher and that they opened on 5.14% more screens. The drop in box office was 15.79%, compared to last year. Yet, the top 8 movies had an above-average per-screen revenue on the opening weekend, and the top 6 movies retained this statistic into the fourth week. In addition, the reviews have a positive correlation to the movie revenues (42.9%).

    As a result, I don't believe that bad movies are to blame for the box office to slump. I can speculate (haven't run any statistical analysis for those), that the declining revenues are to blame on a set of other factors, such as rising ticket prices, rising gas prices, shorter time to DVD, commercials before movies, and others.

    1. Re:The "bad movies" fallacy by rhizome · · Score: 2, Informative

      The critics rated all researched 2005 movies (those that were still in theaters by the end of August - slightly over 100) with 69%. For 2004 movies, it was 64.25%...

      Ever heard of grade inflation?

      --
      When I was a kid, we only had one Darth.
    2. Re:The "bad movies" fallacy by Khaed · · Score: 5, Funny

      You're using the IMDB as a source? Next you're going to cite a slashdot poll...

    3. Re:The "bad movies" fallacy by Blakey+Rat · · Score: 2, Funny

      What the... actual data? What are you doing here? With actual data we can't mindlessly just repeat the same old "movies are worse than they used to be" ranting you see in every Slashdot story!

    4. Re:The "bad movies" fallacy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It seems plausible that the massive increases in the propogation of information are the greatest factor. The industry used to spend enormous amounts of money to promote movies on the basis that no matter how badly the movie stank, hype could carry it for a month or so until everyone knew it sucked. Now, people leaving the 7 are using their cells to tell their friends not to go to the 9. Other people are voting or blogging and often reaching a huge audience.

      Look at Gigli. Big Names with real-life romance. In '88 it would have pulled every New Wave date for a month. Instead, it was a flop before opening night.

      It may not be that they are making worse films but simply that advertising is less effective.

    5. Re:The "bad movies" fallacy by Stripe7 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I question the statistics, who did they poll? The people who went to those movies? Critics ratings? Give me a break, the movie studios have more to fear from the moviegoer texting his frieds that a movie sucks from inside a theather than movie critics. I frequent slashdot and half a dozen boards, every one of them has topics on the latest favorite/hot movie or they pan a bad movie. From what I see the boards are more likely to influence a moviegoer than any critic.

  23. In other news... by zappepcs · · Score: 2, Funny

    The MPAA has set in motion litigation against makers of big screen televisions. According to one industry insider, these home entertainment people have to be stopped, their evil must be undone. If G*d wanted us to watch movies in our homes, he would have made television... oh wait

  24. Let's See Some Real Research by Paul+Slocum · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I keep hearing that movies suck now, but personally I don't see it. Obviously some will disagree with my taste, but I've enjoyed a lot of movies recently like 40 Year Old Virgin, Batman Begins, War of the Worlds, March of the Penguins, Constant Gardener.
    And I'm just listing mainstream-ish stuff. I'm also a big fan of indie/experimental stuff.

    This is just more people spouting theories. Let's see some research about people's movie satisfaction. Sales don't mean anything.

    Personally, I think it's more likely that cheaper home theatre, the economy, and videogames especially contribute to lower box office turnout. The videogame industry has become huge, and IIRC it's outgrown the movie industry. People have a limited amount of time and money for entertainment...

    1. Re:Let's See Some Real Research by coaxial · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The movies are worse. They're not just worse, they're completely uninspired remakes. It's obvious that Hollywood is "leveraging assets" by dusting off what ever trademarks they own. I fully expect to see a remake of Convoy going head to head one weekend against a crappy tv to movie conversion of BJ and the Bear.

      I'll see your good movies and counter them with what I can just come up off the top of my head.

      Cry Wolf
      The Longest Yard (the crappy remake of the crappy 70s movie)
      Herbie: Fully Loaded (the crappy remake of the 60s movie)
      Dukes of Hazard (movie from crappy 60s tv show)
      Stealth
      Bewitched (movie from crappy 70s tv show)
      The Amityville Horror (remake of crappy 70s movie)
      The Fog (remake of crappy of 70s movie)
      Are We There Yet?
      The Island (It's a green screen chase movie)
      Star Wars: Episode III (face it, it wasn't that good. It just didn't suck as hard as the last two.)
      Land of the Dead
      Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy
      The Ring Two (The remake of the foriegn senseless sequel)
      Dark Water (the remake of the formumatic Japanese horror flick. (Yes, the wet girl with the long black hair in her face is scary. WE GET IT!))
      xXx: State of the Union

      And that's not even counting the remakes of the "Bad News Bears," "Guess Who['s Coming for Dinner]," and "Charlie and the Choclate Factory," nor unreleased craptaculars like "Saw 2"

      I'd also like to point out that IMDB now lists porn, and there's a whole lot of it.

      Finally that meme about videogames being bigger than movies isn't exactly true. It compares games + peripherals + strategy guides compared to box office returns. The numbers are inflated on the game side. Games are big, they're just not as big as some would have you believe.

  25. well.. by argStyopa · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ...at one time it WAS because the movies were lame.

    But now, despite their unending denial it's:
    - ridiculous prices for tickets
    - ridiculous prices for snacks
    - picture quality that hasn't improved much since about the mid 70's (sound quality *has* improved)
    - filthy theaters

    If the movie makers want to claim they made bad movies this year, I'm not going to disagree - they did. But that's only part of it. Do the analyis:

    One trip to the non-matinee movies for my family, plus a large pop, large popcorn and some candy for each, plus parking: ($8.50 ticket + $3 pop + $2.50 popcorn + $2 candy + $1 share of parking) x 6 = $102.

    36" widescreen Toshiba hi def tube = $1600
    Toshiba progressive scan DVD player = $200
    (hooking it to the stereo I own)
    = $1800.

    So for the price of 18 trips to the movies, PLUS Deducting the intangibles:
    - the convenience of watching in my own home
    - the ability to pause/rewind/stop and chat about whatever I want whenever I want
    - the ability to have whatever snack I want, in any quantity
    - the ability to have as many friends over as I can stuff into the room
    - to watch in my underwear and bathrobe if I want
    - to watch at whatever TIME I want, and interrupt to go do something if I want
    - to sit in my comfy chair, and exercise whatever odious personal habits I choose
    - the ability to (via Netflix) see pretty much whatever movie I want, not juse what the studio suits think I should be watching.

    I don't think there's any doubt - film industry pricing DROVE the development of home theater, now they have to live in the world they created. Nice job guys, you eat your young, too?

    --
    -Styopa
  26. I agree by paulius_g · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I have to say it, I agree with that.

    This summer had the worst movies that I've ever seen. Other summers had interesting Pixar movies. This summer had, chickflicks, lame action movies and uninteresting comedy.

    Better luck next summer...

  27. I'm not completely sure about this by Dink+Paisy · · Score: 5, Insightful
    While I completely agree with the sentiments about movie quality, I'm not sure that this is what is causing the "box office slump". For example, we liked Batman Begins, so why did it get hit by the slump, too? And while Star Wars episode 6, err 3, was more critically acclaimed than the previous two, should it really have been the movie to not get hit by the slump, if quality is the reason for said slump?

    Besides, the lack of good movies is hardly a new thing. Maybe the Internet has made people more aware of the problem, but do we really think that after a century people have just caught on, most movies suck? And if that was the case, wouldn't we expect Britney Spears and friends to take a hit as well?

    No, I think they are barking up the wrong tree. Making better movies would probably help, but more likely they are facing an inevitable decline as newer technologies provide better entertainment. Now movie theatres have to compete with DVD, game consoles, online games, downloaded movies, web browsing, and probably other things that either weren't around or occupied far smaller niches ten (or even two) years ago.

    --

    Whoever corrects a mocker invites insult;
    whoever rebukes a wicked man incurs abuse.
    --Proverbs 9:7
    1. Re:I'm not completely sure about this by One+Childish+N00b · · Score: 2, Interesting

      For example, we liked Batman Begins, so why did it get hit by the slump, too? And while Star Wars episode 6, err 3, was more critically acclaimed than the previous two, should it really have been the movie to not get hit by the slump, if quality is the reason for said slump?

      Because it's not quality of *individual movies* that counts, it's quality *overall*. Yeah, Batman Begins was a good film, but all the films released around it were crap, and people had been trained to expect that all movies were crap - especially Batman ones - after the last two. Same with Star Wars; Yeah it might have been a good movie, but the thing is, when the previous two were crap, people are going to expect the third one to be crap - and again, all the other movies released at the time were crap.

      There's the occasional gem in the huge pile of crap Hollywood is churning out, but people can't be bothered paying out for every single crap movie at the box office just to find the one shining gem of celluloid glory, and that's the reason for the slump. As the chances of any given movie you choose to see being a stinker go up, the people willing to take that chance goes down. That's the reason for the slump affecting even the occasional gem of a movie.

      --
      Dealing with lawyers would be a lot less tedious if they all looked like Casey Novak.
    2. Re:I'm not completely sure about this by Ernesto+Alvarez · · Score: 3, Insightful
      There's a new thing about the movies that REALLY made me stay home. I used to go to the movies regularily, mostly to the good ones but then hollywood started REPEATING THE SAME MOVIES ALL OVER AGAIN.
      Think about it. Four years ago you might see a new bomb and hate it, but ut would be a new script. Today, the only thing they show is remakes of old series or films. We have a TV channel specialized on old shows here (Retro, is you want to know). Watching that channel you can easily see two things:
      1. Lots of new films are just remakes of 60s and 70s hit shows.
      2. There was lots of experimentation in that years not present today, most shows are bad, but sometimes they hit gold. Today they just reuse the same recipe


      Think about it.

      Charlie and the cholocate factory: seen it when I was a child.
      War of the worlds: remake, no need to comment more.
      King Kong: (yet another) remake.
      Bewitched: we can see it on retro here.

      We just need "Get Smart" and "I dream of Jeannie" and we can make a retro movie festival.....

      I really miss some original plots, like "The Incredibles" where ALL of characters are completely unknown.

      The worst part of it is that those MPAA bastards are not only not doing anything, but they are also preventing everyone el from doing it.

      So, basically, we're not barking up the wrong tree. People is so fed up that they're not bothering to go to the cinema anymore.
    3. Re:I'm not completely sure about this by mkcmkc · · Score: 2, Insightful
      For example, we liked Batman Begins, so why did it get hit by the slump, too?

      Because

      1. the movie industry hasn't stopped their anti-customer behavior (if anything, it's still getting worse), and
      2. some of us customers have very long memories.

      I used to see three-plus movies in the theaters every week. If and when the industry cleans up its act (e.g., no non-movie ads in the theaters, no "no-skip" copyright warnings on DVDs), I might come back after a few years. Until that happens, though, I'll pretty much stay away. Not completely--I did go to two or three movies this year--but the costs of their strategies are pretty significant.

      Mike

      --
      "Not an actor, but he plays one on TV."
    4. Re:I'm not completely sure about this by Zangief · · Score: 2, Funny

      I really miss some original plots, like "The Incredibles" where ALL of characters are completely unknown.

      Unknown only if you never read The Fantastic Four or Watchmen.

      Ok, I'm being a dick here, but it had to be said.

  28. Trailers are to blame... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Trailers give away the whole plot, especially when you watch more than one trailer for some movie.

    They show all the good scenes, so no good surprises. Why bother going to the movie when you know what the heck will happen?

    1. Re:Trailers are to blame... by Fallingcow · · Score: 2, Interesting

      This is SO true. Almost all of the full trailers (non-teaser) that I see, I'm like "wow, now I know how it ends and what all the major plot twists are. Why would I go see it?" This is especially true for dramas and thriller/suspense movies, where the plot is everything.

      The best trailer I've seen this year? The one for "Flight Plan" with Jodie Foster. Havn't looked at any reviews yet, but if they're not horrible then I plan on going to see that in a few days. The trailer gave me enough to kinda know what it's about, but left me with no clue of the details of anything past what looked like the first 15-20 minutes of the movie. Assuming the director and writer had even a half-functioning brain, the movie ought to be able to hold my interest and surprise me a few times. Perfect.

  29. Movies yes, but.... by Y-Crate · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ...the other patrons are my biggest problem.
    There are many movies that I would be very willing to watch in the theatre if I only had the ability to do so with some guarantee of peace and quiet from those around me.

    Since that is not going to happen, I prefer to hold off and wait for the DVD. Simple as that.

  30. Bad Movies + $10.50 highway robbery cost of ticket by layer3switch · · Score: 2, Funny

    != profit

    To prove that today's movies are so bad, bootleggers on the street are bootlegging old classics such as "Gone with the Wind" and "North by Northwest".

    When P2P networks don't even bother distributing new movie titles, you know it's true...

    --
    "Don't let fools fool you. They are the clever ones."
  31. Partly. by jd · · Score: 4, Interesting
    On the other hand, studios have invested an enormous amount in advertising (according to most of the reports - I didn't know cheap plastic from sweat-shops in third-world countries cost that much, myself) and are largely complaining that they've seen next to zero return on investment. But, since studios ALWAYS say that (so as to avoid paying taxes, employees on profit-sharing scams, etc) it is often hard to tell fact (or what passes for it) from fiction.


    Part of the reason they're 'fessing up is because movies like March of the Penguins were actually doing better than "blockbuster" titles like Fantastic Four. (Per screen, on release, March of the Penguins actually did make more money than Fantastic Four. It has now made more money than Fifth Element, in total, according to some articles.) It is hard to keep claiming that it's someone else's fault when even a French wildlife documentary can outsell multi-million dollar projects from Hollywood.


    I think the other part of the reason is that the RIAA is starting to take a turn for the worse in the courts, and the MPAA wants a backup plan in case this spreads to their own lawsuits. In other words, if a movie does crap and fileswappers cases get kicked out, then they can now say "well, we TOLD you the script for that specific movie was no good!" It also didn't help the MPAA when eDonkey started talking about quitting. If there are no fileswapper companies to blame, it's going to get harder for them to push responsibility onto others.


    (After all, they've known for HOW LONG that other people's movies were selling just fine? They were having a downturn for how many YEARS before fuel costs shot up? But it was only very recently that fileswapper cases stopped doing well, and only in the last week that eDonkey talked out quitting.)


    Will this get Hollywood to make something worth watching? Uh, no. What it'll mean is that they'll spend even MORE on public relations to persuade people that the next movie is worth seeing. That's the usual corporate reaction - why change things, when you only have to convince people they're changed?

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  32. Perspective from a SIGGRAPH talk in LA by UWSarge · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Earlier this week in L.A., there was an event by the LA SIGGRAPH chapter talking about digital cinema and 3d cinema and what it can do for the movie business.

    One of the speakers (can't remember his name) was discussing some of the current issues with the current box office, and number one on his list was bad movies. That was followed up by high ticket prices, high concession prices, poor theater experience (bad theaters ?), short time between theater release and DVD release, and people changing their spending habits. (Oddly enough, no mention of piracy from them)

    They seemed to be really big on getting digital and 3d technology into theaters as they felt it would get people back into theaters. The equipment can be expensive and ticket prices might have to be increased to help offset the costs, but these people seem to really think that it'd bring back people to the theater. I thought maybe in the short term...but maybe it's just another fade ?

    The demos they showed can be pretty impressive (especially ones originally intended for 3D instead of being converted from standard 35mm to 3D) but I don't know if it'll help in the long term to bring people back. It is pretty compeling to see this stuff, but I don't know if I'd wear 3D glasses for 2 hours...

  33. I will see it via Netflix or rent it locally. by elgee · · Score: 2, Insightful

    There is NOTHING that I can't wait for. I will pay cheap, drink beer, sit in my recliner in underwear and when I want some chow, I will stop the movie and go make a pizza and get another beer.

    Movie theatres suck and I think more and more people are thinking like me.

  34. I think it would be nice... by zogger · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ...and a potential "new paradigm" business model if the theaters handed you a DVD of the movie as you exited the theater. Or at least offered it *cheap*, as in two bux cheap, something like that, not 20$. A lot of bands do that now at live concerts, sell the disks and other swag, so why not? Would it bump up interest, and help justify a "profit" level ticket price without having to make it on the popcorn and cokes? I don't know, but I would probably go to more movies (I very rarely go now anyway, for various reasons) if that was offered as a sweetener, and in bulk pressings, the actual cost of the disk would be pretty low for the producers.

    They really only have two effective ways to "reduce piracy", the way they are doing it now-still steep prices and ridiculous laws and DRM schemes, or something different like "let's get real" prices and making the experience more pleasant all around. Get rid of the adversial mindset they have with their potential customers would be a good start methinks. Well, that and content as in the article, but that's really a huge variable anyway,along with being a market red herring, there's no easy way to classify taste or what people want, when you get down to it, every movie is a certain genre or niche market product, so it will have that x-number of potential customers only and that's it.

  35. Bootleggers by HermanAB · · Score: 2, Funny

    I think you identified the reason for the bad movies. The MPAA is trying to put the bootleggers out of business, by making movies that are so bad, nobody wants to watch them.

    --
    Oh well, what the hell...
  36. The natural response will be to lube critics more by geekpuppySEA · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Watch for critics to be marking more movies as thumbs up. "Helicopter blades from WGN's Chopper 9 sliced off our thumbsthat's how high up they were!" And for me to believe fewer and fewer critics, as I realize that each has been subtly wooed by one studio or another...

    Serenity, though? Ass kickery. So many flavors of goodness: "T'weren't been nothin between my nethers but was run on batteries..."

    --
    Intelligent Design: because MATH is HARD.
  37. $2.95 Popcorn cost them 1/7 of a cent by SumDog · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I worked in a Carmike during high school. You know that bag of small popcorn for $2.95? You know how much it cost to make it? 1/7 of a cent. It takes less than a penny to make a bag of popcorn. Because of the high profit ratio, they make more money off popcorn than they do candy and soda...

    "That's awful," you say, but what about this: theaters typically make about 5 cents per movie ticket. On an independent film they might make 10 cents. Oh and by the way, they're exempt from overtime laws so their workers never get paid over $5.15 (much of the entertainment industry is exempt from overtime)

    I think what it boils down to is people are turning from the theater experience. At home I have a 1024x768 Viewsonic projector, Onkyo 5.1 surround system and a Linux box where I keep tons of downloaded Xvid files. The fact is my home theater experience, even with a decent quality cam, is still better than the actual theater with the screaming kids and people throwing popcorn and $7 rape you in the ass entry fee; that is for an average film.

    With electronics getting cheaper, it seems like my friends only make it a point to go see movies in the theater for films that really stand out. We make it a point and an ocasion to watch the midnight premier. But I agree with the arcile, there really haven't been a lot of good movies worth that effort lately, and with better home theater systems emerging, I think the movie industry will need to work harder to produce films worth the entertainment value of the theater.

    1. Re:$2.95 Popcorn cost them 1/7 of a cent by innocent_white_lamb · · Score: 2, Informative

      I worked in a Carmike during high school.
       
      I don't think you were doing the books for them.
       
      You know that bag of small popcorn for $2.95? You know how much it cost to make it? 1/7 of a cent. It takes less than a penny to make a bag of popcorn.
       
      The popcorn itself, maybe. If it's purchased in large enough quantities. I buy popcorn in 45lb bags for my theatre and it's about $27 per bag. But I have a small theatre so I don't buy huge numbers of bags.
       
      Having said that, the popcorn itself is indeed the cheapest part of the "small popcorn". The most expensive part is the container. A "small container" costs me between 26 and 32 cents, and a "large container" costs about 56 to 65 cents. The next most-expensive part is the butter. I put real butter on my popcorn (not that topping oil stuff) and butter costs me $3.49 per pound today. The popcorn machine itself costs about $4500 for the model that I have, and it uses 220 volts 1680 watts of power to run that. Plus I have to pay someone to run it and make and sell the popcorn, and clean the machine and so on. I had to put a new kettle into it a few months ago and the kettle alone (without the lid or anything else) was over $900.
       
      I charge $2 for a small popcorn and $4 for a large popcorn. Including sales tax.
       
      Do you really feel ripped off at that price? I think it's not unreasonable. I do, after all, have to live too.

      --
      If you're a zombie and you know it, bite your friend!
  38. Re:/.er blaming the wrong people as usual by antifoidulus · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Though unpopular, I agree with the parent on this one, the whole piracy debate is a battle between the asshats and the asshats, the people that lose are people who are willing to support entertainment they enjoy(at a reasonable price) but also want to be able to use it on their terms.
    The movie industry is a bunch of asshats because they demand all this really annoying restrictions and extend copyright way beyond where it should be(Citizen Kane should be public domain...geez, you studios abused the poor guy, make tons of money off of him, and yet still want more!) They also constantly try to re-sell us the same stuff on a gazillion different formats
    The pirates are asshats because they seem to think that they somehow have an innate "right" to entertainment, that the rest of us subsidize, and then of course complain about the quality of the stuff they pirate...

  39. Troll shilling for the *AA as usual by Mr2001 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Copyright infringement is only a "problem" because a few industry dinosaurs have become dependent on charging for copies. The skill of making music, movies, and TV shows isn't in being able to press the button on a CD duplicator, folks - a trained monkey can do that. They need to get off their asses and move to a business model where they get rewarded for creating content, not duplicating it.

    --
    Visual IRC: Fast. Powerful. Free.
  40. Or as I like to say... by Legion303 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    "These fucking movies aren't even worth pirating."

  41. Re:/.er blaming the wrong people as usual by FLEB · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Movies being illegally copied online have nothing at all to do with things like region encoding. Macrovision and CSS I'd support, but things like region coding are simply pocket-liners for distributors who can't stand that their product might have a resale market that's... *gasp!*... outside of their control! To paraphrase the old saying-- "With victims like these, who needs criminals?"

    On that note, does anyone know if cracking region encoding has ever been brought up as a DMCA violation, and did it pass? I'm wondering if the defense that "Regions aren't copy protection, so no copy protection was circumvented" has ever been brought up.

    --
    Information wants to be free.
    Entertainment wants to be paid.
    You just want to be cheap.
  42. If anyone is really interested in the modern by antifoidulus · · Score: 4, Interesting

    moviegoing experience, read Kevin Murphy's hilarious and insightful book, "A Year at the Movies"
    He is a self-professed cinephile, but he seems to really hate the whole corporate moviegoing experience, but loves some of the interesting independent places he has found. Ones that actually offer a REASON(a good environment) for going to the cinema
    Plus he smuggles a whole Thanksgiving dinner into a theatre!

    1. Re:If anyone is really interested in the modern by Hao+Wu · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Kevin Murphy of MST3K? Not sure if being "forced" to watch bad movies for 10 years makes one a critic...

      --
      I suggest you read Slashdot
  43. It's not JUST the films, it's the experience... by snStarter · · Score: 2, Interesting

    So I want to go to the movie. Setting aside the cost of popcorn and sodas for two, which will cost more than the tickets, we enter the auditorium and find a seat. Can we sit and talk? No. There's a damn video playing on the screen pimping for a wretched TV series and commercials. This goes on until a few minutes before the curtain when the ads for the concessions come on, a terrible soft drink ad, and the an endless series of trailers for films that should have gone straight to DVD. Often I find myself thinking: "If these trailers are matched in any way to the expected audience for this film, then we've come to the wrong film." Finally the lights dim. The movie begins and it's okay but probably the trailers were right - the film is crappy.

    The entire experience of going to the movies is just awful, one brutal and unsophisticated marketing blugeon after another.

    Screw it - it'll take a hell of a movie to get me back into the theater again and it won't have penguins: it'll have decent writing, a plot, an understanding of cinematography and editing and it won't substitute CGI for any of these things. Most of all it will understand Fowler's Law: "When anything is possible, nothing is interesting."

  44. Re:You win the WTF prize by Mr2001 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Sorry you couldn't understand it. Let me try a simple analogy.

    If you need your car fixed, you take it to a mechanic. You discuss what needs to be done and what it'll cost, and once the job is done, so is your business relationship. He doesn't do the work for free and then charge you a few bucks every time you use the car; what you need from him is his skill at diagnosing and repairing car trouble, so you pay him directly for that. If he wants to get paid again, he finds another car to fix instead of trying to squeeze more money out of the work he already did.

    What I need from the movie industry in general is their skill at crafting movies. I'll happily chip in to fund the production of something I think I'll like, but I don't want to pay anyone else to give me a copy of it once it's finished; I can copy bits and burn DVDs myself. Paying directly for the production, rather than paying after the fact for a copy, makes intuitive sense and as a business model it's completely immune to piracy.

    --
    Visual IRC: Fast. Powerful. Free.
  45. That is NOT a statisical analysis by jgrabyan · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "The only conclusive thing I found was that bad movies are not to blame for lower box office tickets. Why? Because the movies were better than last year."
    Bold claim, lets see if you can back it up.

    There are so many things wrong with your analyses of data here. Lets go statement by statement.
              You state that you ran a "statistical analysis," when the only statistic that you've given us are measurements of central tendency (means, in this case).
                        You reference a group known as "the critics," however you do not specify who you consider to be members of this group. Did you count only critics that are published in major newspapers, or did you include internet only critics? If you chose to include internet critics, how did you choose which to count? Anyone who can write a review and post it to the internet can be considered a critic (if sources such as rottentomatoes.com are to be relied upon). In addition, some critics approach and rate movies from a certain orientation (for example, some internet critics write their reviews solely from the perspective of a parent). Your statements would be a lot more believable if there was some sort of qualifications required to be counted as part of this group.
              Which brings me to question how you managed to assign a quantitative number to such a subjective activity as analyzing a movie. On his tv show, famous critic Roger Ebert rates movies with a thumbs up or thumbs down, then occasionally augments that. What number would you assign a movie that got a "thumbs up" when compared to a movie that got a "thumbs way up"? What number would you assign a movie that received a C+ rating (some critics like to grade movies on the classic academic scale)? Or do you forgo that and follow rottentomatoes' style, by deciding that a movie got a positive review or a negative review, and assign it 1 point or 0 points, respectively. If you used that style, how did you deal with critics that gave a movie a mixed review (e.g. a review that says "If you liked X, then you'll like this movie. If not, then don't see it.")
              Almost all of the differences between 2004 and 2005 mvoies are small, and while you did not include size of your rater pools, I suspect that most of them are not statistically significant. ("The audience also posted better ratings for 2005 movies: 68.4% versus 67.9%" I can assure you that this is NOT a statisticallly significant difference, thus your statement is not supported by the data.) If you actually did run a "statistical analysis," you'd have given stats rating the reliability of your results.
              Certainly, while the precentages are maybe a bit higher for 2005 vs. 2004 (which a very astute poster suggested might have to do with the phenomenon of grade inflation), you don't account for the fact that this year is not over. What you might have done was only included 2004 movies released in January to September.
              All in all, while your numbers are interesting, they don't support your broad generalization that "The only conclusive thing I found was that bad movies are not to blame for lower box office tickets. Why? Because the movies were better than last year." Instead, they show that there is actually no powerful difference one way or the other between the quality of movies from last year compared to this year.

    Jon

    --
    Psychology is really Biology, Biology is really Chemistry, Chemistry is really Physics, and Physics is really Math.
  46. VHS was copyprotected by cgenman · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Not to contradict your largely correct argument too much, but VHS tapes did have a form of copyprotection. VHS intentionally had unsynchronized play and record. If you recorded a 1st generation copy from an original tape, it came out looking just about the same. The 2nd generation had some bigger artifacting. The 3rd generation came out looking really bad. By the time you got to a 6th generation, all you would get is snow.

    This was intentional. It was actually a feature of the platform that was touted to the studios, and one of the reasons why studios chose to put our more movies on VHS than on BETA. You'll notice, if you do the same experiment in BETA you get basically the same image generation after generation. This is one of the reasons why TV was (and largely still is) on a BETA-derived standard. But the rest of us were pushed away from that standard, largely because VHS included this inherent copyprotection.

    If the DVD standard hadn't included encryption, I wouldn't be surprised if we were on a WMP standard for video, just because that's what all of the movies would be released on.

  47. So called "IP" is overpriced by tkrotchko · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I think this is the beginning of market saturation and a fall in the value of so-called Intellectual Property.

    We have so many outlets for entertainment right now that the sheer volume means I can never get to a significantly fraction of movies, books, records, video games or web sites.

    And when there is too much of something, prices will fall. Not quickly, as copyright laws work to keep prices high. But fall they will.

    Yes, there is a lot of sucky bands, movies, books, but the amount of material out there means there are a lot of genuinely good entertainers out there, yes, even with RIAA affiliated labels. But because there is so much material, I think the amount of material means the market is segmented and its harder to differentiate from the pack.

    But again, in that kind of environment where there is a lot of decent entertainment readily available, prices will fall. Its inevitable, even in the face of lawsuits, new laws, technical hurdles. It's as inevitable as gravity.

    --
    You were mistaken. Which is odd, since memory shouldn't be a problem for you
  48. Serenity by dexter+riley · · Score: 4, Insightful

    We saw Serenity at 9 on Saturday night...the theater was only about a third full. Maybe the movie wasn't hyped as much as some of the summer blockbusters, or people didn't want to go to a film where they didn't know exactly what was going to happen (Anikin turns evil, Samuel Jackson kicks ass, animated critters crack wise). Either way, sometimes it seems like you can put good movies on the screen, and people just won't go!

  49. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  50. Are you hooked on Hollywood formula too? by EvilCrony · · Score: 2

    Hollywood movies have been bad for a long, long time. So ask yourself this. Why do you keep watching them? Or, more importantly, do you watch anything other than Hollywood movies? The reason Hollywood studios continue to make such bad movies is that they know people are hooked on formula. Why don't you try foreign or independent movies (i.e. non-Hollywood) for a change? You don't because: They're too weird. They don't seem to have a story. Nothing happens in them. There's no action, special effects, etc. Subtitles suck. etc. These are all valid reasons, if that's how you feel. Like all things, there is plenty of crap out there. But if you never try, ask yourself why. You really are missing out on some good movies. Like it or not, what you are really saying is that you want *some* formula. Hollywood is willing to bet on it. Hollywood is supremely confident that most people will continue to exclusively watch their movies. Are you one of them?

  51. Blame It On R Rated Movies... by SoVi3t · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ...or lack of. Seriously, every "horror" movie coming out (or even action movies and sci-fi) are coming out PG-13. Look at Alien Vs Predator. Yeah, the script was horribly flawed, and none of the characters left an impression like previous characters in their respective movies (people can list off quotes from characters in Predator and Aliens, for instance), but I am willing to bet that if they had at least shown some gore, it'd help. Hell, watch carefully, and you'll notice they never really show even one chest bursting scene. Hollywood needs to realize that some movies just have to be rated R, rather than PG-13 so some kids can come see it. Cuz the kids certainly aren't the ones with the money to see movies on a frequent enough basis, especially during summer.

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    Defender of Microsoft and Communism!!!
  52. I wait for the DVDs of Movies and T.V. Shows by SpecialAgentXXX · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I absolutely HATE advertising. We are living in a world much like Lucas' THX-1138 - "Buy! Consume! Buy more! Consume more!" And with the cost of movies increasing to over $10 where I live, I just wait for the DVDs to come out. They usually have extended/deleted scenes, Director's Cut, making-of, etc. Couple that with a home theater system or even a home theater PC and the reason to go to the movies is almost nil. The last movie I saw - twice - was Star Wars III. I skipped work and saw it on opening day with a lot of adults (i.e. well-behaved audience). It rocked! I then saw it again on Friday night with a bunch of high school kids. They kept talking through the entire movie and it sucked - got my money back though. But now, DVDs are coming out 3 months after the movie stops playing in the theaters so I can wait. High on my list is Batman Begins, Sin City, Hitchhiker's Guide, and Kingdom of Heaven - Director's Cut.

    As for TV shows, there's way too much advertising, especially on the Sci-Fi channel. So I just stopped watching TV. A 1-hour episode is only about 41 minutes of the actual episode and 19 minutes of advertising. Amazon.com sells boxed sets of the popular TV shows and I get those at the end of the season. High on my list for this fall/winter is Smallville Season 4, 24 Season 4, Battlestar Galactica Season 1, and Tru Calling Seasons 1 & 2.

  53. Re:Content is the Key by CastrTroy · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I'm glad someone brought up the topic of commercials. When I was younger, they only showed movie previews. Now they're showing car commercials, as well as many other types of commercials. They also go on for about 20 minutes. They used to last about 5 minutes. So, the tickets cost more, the snacks cost more, and we have to sit through 20 minutes of commercials. At least at home 4 or more people can all see the movie for $2, and we don't have to watch commercials, or pay high prices for snacks.

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    Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.