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North Pole Heads South

blamanj writes "Things are not looking good for Santa. First, news that it's getting warmer at the North Pole, and now, scientists report that the (magnetic) pole itself is on the move. 'Earth's north magnetic pole is drifting from North America at such a clip that it could end up in Siberia in the next 50 years.'"

56 of 393 comments (clear)

  1. Pole Reversal? by MichaelSmith · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Is it true that we are overdue for a reversal in the polarity of the Earths magnetic field? Would this be a Bad Thing for us humans if it happened soon?

    1. Re:Pole Reversal? by Max+von+H. · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Is it true that we are overdue for a reversal in the polarity of the Earths magnetic field? Would this be a Bad Thing for us humans if it happened soon?

      Yes, it would be a Very Bad Thing (tm) because when a reversal happens, we're left without the Earth's magnetic field, which protects us from lethal cosmic rays which are high enery/DNA disruptive stuff, such as gamma rays among other niceties.

      Magnetic field reversals coincide with mass surface life extinctions, I'll bet it won't do us any good if it happens in our lifetime.

      --
      -- It's always darker before it goes pitch black.
    2. Re:Pole Reversal? by nwbvt · · Score: 2, Informative

      There is no timetable on which the poles reverse, and it doesn't happen at regular intervals. Yes, I believe the time since the last reversal is longer than the mean time between pole reversals, but the term 'overdue' does not apply here.

      --
      Mathematics is made of 50 percent formulas, 50 percent proofs, and 50 percent imagination.
    3. Re:Pole Reversal? by luvirini · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Well the shift around the globe to Siberia is something that has apparently happened before.. the magnetic pole has never been stationary, but what is news in the article is the fact that the mevement speed seems to be accelerating.

    4. Re:Pole Reversal? by Bloke+down+the+pub · · Score: 2, Funny
      we're left without the Earth's magnetic field, which protects us from lethal cosmic rays
      Simple solution
      --
      It's true I tell you, feller at work's next door neighbour read it in the paper.
    5. Re:Pole Reversal? by stupid_is · · Score: 4, Informative
      Yes it is (both). This article goes into some speculative detail. Upshot is, possibly damaging a shed load of electrical devices, disruption to electrical grids, etc....

      Could be interesting times (mental note: buy manual tin opener)

      --
      -- Intelligence is soluble in alcohol
    6. Re:Pole Reversal? by KwKSilver · · Score: 2, Informative

      There's a long period around the reversal when the earth's magnetic field is dowm. No protection from cosmic rays & other miscellaneous high energy particals. Hundreds of years. One resource on the Brunhes-Matuyama reversal about 780K years ago is: here. Here's another more general one on reversals from NASA.

      --
      If you want your life to be different, live it differently.
    7. Re:Pole Reversal? by Yahweh+Doesn't+Exist · · Score: 5, Insightful

      not true. even when flipping there is enough of a field to protect us. plus the magnetic field does nothing to protect us from gamma rays anyway. if a gamma ray burst happens anywhere in our neighbourhood and is aimed at us, then we're fucked field or no field. there are cosmic rays passing through us every second anyway.

    8. Re:Pole Reversal? by fredrik70 · · Score: 2, Informative

      um, no, it's not that bad, you seen too much movies!
      http://www.badastronomy.com/bad/movies/thecore_rev iew.html

      having said that, question is what would happen to birds and other animals that navigate by the magnetic field. anyone know?

      --
      if (!signature) { throw std::runtime_error("No sig!"); }
    9. Re:Pole Reversal? by cervo · · Score: 3, Informative

      Well hmm according to http://image.gsfc.nasa.gov/poetry/venus/RevScience .html the earth's magnetic field does not cause mass surface life extinctions. If you would like to make an assertion like that, you really do have to back it up with something. In fact it will cause little change in the way things function, maybe a few thousand extra cases of cancer each year. Now if the field never came back and our atomosphere ionized, then we would be screwed.

    10. Re:Pole Reversal? by ortholattice · · Score: 3, Informative
      Yes, it would be a Very Bad Thing (tm) because when a reversal happens, we're left without the Earth's magnetic field

      Supercomputer simulations do not show that. According to the site: "Reversals take a few thousand years to complete, and during that time--contrary to popular belief--the magnetic field does not vanish. 'It just gets more complicated,' says Glatzmaier. Magnetic lines of force near Earth's surface become twisted and tangled, and magnetic poles pop up in unaccustomed places. A south magnetic pole might emerge over Africa, for instance, or a north pole over Tahiti. Weird. But it's still a planetary magnetic field, and it still protects us from space radiation and solar storms."

    11. Re:Pole Reversal? by QMO · · Score: 2

      Isn't anywhere it goes North, because North can be defined as "towards the North Pole?"
      So, the North Pole can only go North.

      (Posts like this happen when things are slow at work.)

      --
      Exam 4/C again. Maybe I'll do better this time.
    12. Re:Pole Reversal? by mysticgoat · · Score: 2, Informative

      ...when a reversal happens, we're left without the Earth's magnetic field, which protects us from lethal cosmic rays...

      A quick google shows that this incorrect. The atmosphere continues to block most incoming radiation even during those times when the magnetic field has completely collapsed. 'Cosmic ray' is not the right choice of wording here, either-- very little of the incoming radiation meets the definition of cosmic ray, which is good because neither the magnetosphere nor the atmosphere provides much protection against true cosmic rays.

      Magnetic field reversals coincide with mass surface life extinctions

      This is completely incorrect. There have been numerous studies to look for correlations between pole reversals and extinction rates; no significant correlations have been found by any of the serious researchers (though it is currently fashionable among the half-baked set to claim otherwise--- the fun of Chicken Little Syndrome).

      Here's one reputable source: the British Geological Survey. Google will reveal thousands more, but you'll need to sort out which ones are authoritative and which suffer from CLS.

    13. Re:Pole Reversal? by mrogers · · Score: 3, Funny

      Don't be silly, people aren't magnetic. It will only affect metal things like coins and buses.

  2. Cyclic? by Mortiss · · Score: 2, Informative

    Is this a part of the cycle of the reversal of Earth's magnetic field? I always though that this cycle took much much longer ( but 1/3 of the way down in under 50 years?).

  3. The Russian are trying to steal our pole ! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Quick, call G.W. Bush that the russians are stealing the pole to hide weapons of mass destruction in siberia !
    We haven't found them in Iraq, so they MUST be some else.

    1. Re:The Russian are trying to steal our pole ! by Carewolf · · Score: 5, Funny

      In Soviet Russia compasses attracts the North Pole.

  4. news by akhomerun · · Score: 2, Interesting

    i don't think it's news that the north pole is getting warmer, but the actual magnetic pole moving?

    well now that i read about it the poles moving seems pretty normal.

    "They found that the north magnetic field shifted significantly in the last thousand years. It generally migrated between northern Canada and Siberia, but it sometimes moved in other directions, too."

  5. Not at the... by confused+one · · Score: 4, Funny

    Santa doesn't live at the magnetic North Pole, silly.

    1. Re:Not at the... by Yazeran · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Santa doesn't live at the magnetic North Pole, silly.

      Exactly, as the magnetic north pole is somewhere in Antarctica (or close to, cant remember). The north pole on the compass points north due to the magnetic south pole there (somewhere between Canada or Siberia depending on time).

      Yours Yazeran

      Plan: To go to Mars one day with a hammer.

    2. Re:Not at the... by daeley · · Score: 2, Funny

      Santa doesn't live on any pole, silly. Santa lives in Finland. :)

      Maybe so, but his Village is in Southern California. Or maybe New Hampshire. Or possibly Illinois. Or even the lovely named Bracebridge Muskoka in Ontario. :) Of course, there is controversy.

      --
      I watched C-beams glitter in the dark near the Tannhauser gate.
    3. Re:Not at the... by jc42 · · Score: 2, Funny

      Well, any Fortran programmer will tell you that Santa is real unless declared integer.

      --
      Those who do study history are doomed to stand helplessly by while everyone else repeats it.
  6. this is news? by v1 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The magnetic poles have been moving for what, millions of years, and science has known about this for many years now. Magnetic history found in rock has shown the poles have actually completely switched places several times in the past.

    --
    I work for the Department of Redundancy Department.
  7. Should happen every 23,000 years by rassie · · Score: 2, Informative

    When I went to school I was taught that the magnetic poles swap places once every 23,000 years, so I guess the NP (or should it be SP - who knows?) is just getting ready to leave.

    1. Re:Should happen every 23,000 years by shreevatsa · · Score: 2, Informative

      It's called Precession of the equinoxes. And Wikipedia says it's "approximately 25800 years" (at the moment. One of you jokers may go change it to something else, who knows? ;)

  8. Good gravy! by tbone1 · · Score: 4, Funny
    Even the North Magnetic Pole is getting outsourced! It's a sorry world.

    --

    The Independent: Reverend Spooner Arrested in Friar Tuck Incident - ISIHAC, Historical Headlines
  9. South Pole will be Chile or Argentina? by digitaldc · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Does this mean the South Pole will shift to Chile or Argentina as well?

    --
    He who knows best knows how little he knows. - Thomas Jefferson
  10. When the north pole moves... by Lostie · · Score: 3, Funny

    ... is it called pole-vaulting?

  11. No piccies by DavidHOzAu · · Score: 5, Informative

    But this site sure has them and this site has some too.
    Read them. They are worth it.

    It looks like there are two magnetic norths on the planet. Our current one looks like it is just the additive of the major and minor magnetic fields of the earth with their collective strengths oscillating over time... hence the apparent movement.

  12. Magnetic North Pole by metlin · · Score: 4, Informative

    The magnetic North Pole has never been a single point.

    It has always been a general area, and at any given point of time, the *actual* North Pole would be somewhere in that area.

    So, given that, this is not really surprising.

    1. Re:Magnetic North Pole by metlin · · Score: 2, Informative

      Actually, I should rephrase that - it has been a single point, just not a single steady point. It's a point that varies in its position.

      The general area where the point might be is known, but the point itself keeps changing its position.

    2. Re:Magnetic North Pole by Ethelred+Unraed · · Score: 3, Funny

      Personally I think we should send a commando squad to nail it into place.

      Especially if it's going to Siberia. Clearly it was a double agent from the Cold War. Because it is leaving the geographic North Pole, the North Pole will clearly get warmer, adding a whole new meaning to "Cold War". Thus we will have new war with Soviet Russia, which will be called the Warm War, so we'll dig up Reagan, who will tell the Russians to stop dancing around our pole (while the Poles will go on strike against martial law and double entendre).

      Some call me Nostradamus. Others call me "raving lunatic". You be the judge.

      Cheers,

      Ethelred

      --
      Everyone wants to be Ethelred. Even I want to be Ethelred.
  13. Re:When South Pole Butts North by stupid_is · · Score: 2, Informative
    That's something completely different (although not as impacting as you'd think)

    --
    -- Intelligence is soluble in alcohol
  14. Re:Interesting fact by peragrin · · Score: 2, Informative

    Unless of course they mislabeled your compass. What if it's the compass that is backwards. Damn that means a conspiracy going back thousands of years.

    It's well known that compasses are actually labeled backwards.

    --
    i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
  15. Re:When South Pole Butts North by squidguy · · Score: 2, Informative

    No... flush rotation has nothing to do with the magnetic field. It is related to the coriolis effect (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coriolis_force) though it seems that the field of physics now implies that the coriolis force is too weak to manifestly impact fast moving water going down the tube. The velocity is a result of conservation of angular momentum. Flow direction (influenced by coriolis) is more impacted by the shape of the container.

  16. Re:By definition by Bazzalisk · · Score: 4, Informative
    Ah, no.

    The geographic north pole is north by definition, the magnetic north pole is not - so it can head south.

    --
    James P. Barrett
  17. Re:Make perfect sense to me. by TallMatthew · · Score: 4, Insightful
    That's uberliberal to you.

    I never understood conservatives' problems with environmental issues. Things like global warming, the eventual depletion of fossil fuels, deforestation ... why is it stupid to consider this issues like this? I mean we live on this planet, don't you think we should look out for it? We're not going to get another shot at this. Once we fuck it up, we're extinct.

    Politicians have a good reason to be anti-environment because they and their friends make serious bank by drilling oil, cutting down trees, running industries that pollute and the like. I can understand their point of view. But why does their profit mean anything to you? You realize that by supporting their point of view, you're just making them rich at the expense of the planet's (finite) resources, right?

  18. shite! by rhesuspieces00 · · Score: 2, Funny

    now i'm going to have to relabel all my magnets.

  19. Rubbish by mrRay720 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Gamma rays are photons - i.e. light. They are not affected by the weak magnetif field surrounding the earth. Loss of the magnetic field would be devestating long term because it would make it easier for solar winds to slowly strip away the upper atmosphere.

    But... a weakened field for a few decades will not send us all to early graves. The biggest impact of a changing magnetic field would be to:
    - Navigation. I guess we all have to adjust to GPS and similar.
    - Animal navigation. Sadly birds, fish, etc. haven't yet implemented and learned how to use GPS. They'll have loads of trouble.

    In terms of dangers it poses to us in the next hundred or so years, should this be a continuation of the existing decrease/beginning of reversal in field strength, it's importance is way below things like climate change, oil reserves running out, etc.

    Nuisance for us, a bitch for animals that rely on it to migrate, but as a race, the danger from it is effectively zero.

    1. Re:Rubbish by Alioth · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's unlikely birds etc. will have a real problem at all. Or even people who use compases to navigate their small boats.

      The poles have been moving around since before life began - and has certainly shifted around significantly whilst birds that can use it have existed. In any case, a compass can only really provide you with rough navigation - a bird won't be using the magnetic pole as its sole navigational system (if it did, then normal day to day weather changes would screw them up much more than a pole that takes 50 years to move to Siberia - 50 years being many times longer than most migratory birds lifespans). Birds will at most use their in built compass to tell them the general cardinal direction they are travelling in, and will refine it by other means to take them to their exact destination - and they'll adapt quite happily as they have done during the many times the pole has moved around while migratory birds have existed.

    2. Re:Rubbish by ShamusYoung · · Score: 4, Interesting
      I'm sure you're right. Obviously birds have survived this before.

      Consider: Birds don't live for decades. If the pole were to shift within a year or two, it might very well hose the bird population. However, if a flip happens over the next 50 years, then there will be many bird generations between now and then. Each generation will get "used to" the new orientation as it happens.

      From a strictly Darwinian standpoint, this would explain why birds don't live very long. A bird that lives longer will experience more of the shift during its lifetime. During a shift, more of them will become lost and confused. Therefore, having a shorter lifespan is an advantage. Birds that live longer would tend to have more trouble during a shift, and would get weeded out of the gene pool from time to time.

      Stupid birds.

      --
      --This sig is in beta. Please let us know abut any errors you find.
    3. Re:Rubbish by beauzo · · Score: 2, Interesting

      If you are worried about climate change, then you should also be worried about polar shift. I'm sure the two are more related then you think. -B

    4. Re:Rubbish by SnapShot · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Birds don't live for decades.

      The Red-Tailed Black Cockatoo can live for up to 100 years. And, according to this article, "The [Albatross] is a survivor. It flies 1,900 kilometers (1,100 miles) per day, with pinpoint navigation, and returns to its nest repeatedly over its 50-year lifespan."
      --
      Waltz, nymph, for quick jigs vex Bud.
    5. Re:Rubbish by whopis · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The GPS satellites are in a very high orbit, far above the region where comsats and space stations live; I doubt the Earth's magnetic field gives them any significant protection at that altitude.


      The GPS satellites are in a low-earth-orbit. The communication satellites that are in geosynchronous orbit are much further out. The inner Van Allen belts fall inside the geosyncronous orbit, but they actually don't provide much protection from radiation. In fact, when they become amplified, they have been known to damage satellites.

    6. Re:Rubbish by alanh · · Score: 3, Informative

      GPS Satellite are NOT in LEO. The GPS constellation orbits at 20,200 km. This is between the LEO sats: Iridiums (780km), the Hubble (569 km), the Space Station (351 km); but much lower than geosynchronous communications or weather satellites (35,786 km). They orbit the earth twice/day.

      For a really cool visual demonstration, check out J-Track 3D over at the NASA web site. The GPS satellites are just about the only thing you find between the cloud near the earth, and the Clarke Belt.

      --
      - AlanH
    7. Re:Rubbish by susano_otter · · Score: 2, Interesting

      One thing I always wondered about the warmer period before the little ice age... wouldn't it have flooded Europe, just as people predict the current warming trend will do?

      --

      Any sufficiently well-organized community is indistinguishable from Government.

    8. Re:Rubbish by aclarke · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Oh no. Now you've gone and disproved evolution. I'd say the "migratory bird lifespan observation" was its strongest proof yet.

  20. Where else could it go? by vagabond_gr · · Score: 5, Funny

    North Pole Heads South

    Well, it didn't have much choice, did it? The north pole is the only place on earth where no matter where you're going, you're going south. So what's all the fuss about?

    (of course the fact that it is actually moving is quite a story)

    1. Re:Where else could it go? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      Well, it could be going east or west.

  21. Re:Interesting fact by Mendokusei · · Score: 4, Informative

    Well, there's two ways of looking at it: either the Earth's magnetic poles are labelled wrongly, or EVERY OTHER MAGNET IN ALL HISTORY is labelled wrongly. Take your pick.

    Compasses aren't labelled incorrectly. The North side of a bar magnet in a compass is labelled North because that is the way it points, not for its magnetic pole. They aren't saying, "Hey, this is the North pole of this magnet," they are saying "Hey, this side of the magnet always points North." Those are two completely different meanings.

  22. Re:Travel and brimstone by Vraylle · · Score: 2
    Compasses? GPS? You young whippersnappers and your fancy gadgets and gizmos.

    In MY day, the rich used the stars to navigate. My family couldn't afford them, so we used moss.

    And we were GRATEFUL.

    --
    Mutant Freaks of Nature: "Frighteningly Addictive"
  23. That's the only place it can go by Narcogen · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Actually, since the North Pole is the northernmost point there is, no matter what direction it moves in, it's going south. So it was inevitable.

  24. Re:Where is north then? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    The North pole is NOT defined by magnatic north, but by the axis of rotation of the earth. The magnatic north and the true north pole do not lie on the same place. That's no news.

  25. Re:Yeah, by cervo · · Score: 4, Informative

    Have you read the NASA article that you linked? It says nothing about mass extinction events and polarity reversals in earth's history, it appears to be talking about mars. Now if you look at this link http://image.gsfc.nasa.gov/poetry/venus/RevScience .html you would see that field does not coincide with mass extinctions. Furthermore when the last one happened paleontologists said there were no major changes in plant an animal life. So your mass extinction seems like a leap of imagination.

  26. Ecology vs economy, round infinity by geekpuppySEA · · Score: 2, Insightful
    It's the ages-old assertion that any change in policy that benefits the environment must come with economic costs, and vice versa.

    It all comes down to individual costs vs. group costs. The Left is more concerned with long-term group costs - not to say that they're not concerned with individual costs, but they're more willing to pony up for stuff that makes long-term sense. Conservatives, for the most part AFAICT, can't be bothered with worrying about the group costs.

    I'm not going to say that not worrying about group costs automatically makes you greedy and evil, although the Left would love everyone to think that (and I would too, insofar as it might get the system changed before we're all choking to death.)

    But I DO claim that being concerned about individual costs more than group costs makes sense from an evolutionary perspective - the individual mind must be more concerned with its own survival rather than everyone else's too. One lone organism can persist to reproduce, etc even if all its clan are killed off. Clearly, this kind of mentality had to evolve prior to group selection.

    However, it's been said repeatedly that the history of modern morality and cultural evolution describes an expanding circle, in which more and more people are encompassed within the region of "people we need to care about and grant rights to." In modern times this has surpassed individual humans and expanded to include the whole environment.

    So conservatives aren't wrong, they're just not caught up with the rest of the world.

    Now, is it going to make sense when those on the Left who are crazies (don't deny it, every side has got 'em) - when they start targeting oil executives (why aren't those pansies doing that shit yet anyway!), is that going to change how people think? Probably not - but it sure would make those revolutionaries feel better. Not that I'm advocating that - it would be better if they'd just realize the error of their ways and start giving a shit about other people. That'd make all that x-tian rhetoric all the more realistic...

    --
    Intelligent Design: because MATH is HARD.
  27. I wouldn't touch this joke with a by SmallFurryCreature · · Score: 2, Funny

    ten-foot pole. Thank you.

    --

    MMO Quests are like orgasms:

    You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.