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Blu-ray Coming Out On Top?

wh0pper writes "Some interesting information came out at at the latest Blu-ray Disc Association meeting at Twentieth Century Fox Studios. Apparently, 90 percent of the CE industry and seven movie studios now back Blu-ray Disc. And most of the IT industry (except Microsoft) also supports Blu-ray Disc. This has prompted Mr. Parsons, Senior VP of Advanced Products Development for Pioneer Electronics, to say "There's no format war looming because it's not Blu-ray vs. HD DVD. It's simply Blu-ray versus standard definition DVD... Currently, DVD has 50,000 titles presently available, and both formats will co-exist for several years to come with new BD players supporting both formats. BD players make the perfect complement to new HDTVs that are being purchased by consumers." Mr. Parsons then announced that the upcoming CES would be used to launch Blu-ray Disc."

71 of 360 comments (clear)

  1. My DVR doesn't read DVD-RAM discs anymore by ReformedExCon · · Score: 3, Interesting

    It used to read DVD-RAM discs just fine. Now, it says that the disc is unreadable.

    I'm another victim of the DVD format wars.

    I'm glad that the industry is standardizing the next generation media now when there are very few (any?) players on the market. It's good to have a standard, even if it is a de facto standard rather than a de jure standard.

    --
    Jesus saved me from my past. He can save you as well.
    1. Re:My DVR doesn't read DVD-RAM discs anymore by Docmach · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I agree. Even though I am on the Blu-Ray side I'll just be happy to have one standard. It does seem that there are many technical reasons to use Blu-Ray, though.

    2. Re:My DVR doesn't read DVD-RAM discs anymore by Craig+Davison · · Score: 4, Informative

      I thought it was just one technical reason: the capacity of the disc. That's really all there was to it, right?
      The point HD-DVD had going for it was that the discs and players would have been cheaper to make.

    3. Re:My DVR doesn't read DVD-RAM discs anymore by Jason1729 · · Score: 4, Informative

      There's plenty of technical reasons to use blu-ray.

      There is very invasive DRM measures in blu-ray that make divx look like it would make Richard Stallman proud. You need to get permission every time you play a disc, and your discs are permanently mated to your player. You can't play your disc at a friends house or in another room in your house, and if your player breaks, you lose your whole DVD collection.

      The studios love it but the consumers will be totally screwed over by it.

    4. Re:My DVR doesn't read DVD-RAM discs anymore by 16K+Ram+Pack · · Score: 5, Insightful
      The content industry is going to see a serious backlash if they try this.

      They tried region coding, and people over here in the UK just got players chipped and hacked. Everyone I know has a multiregion player so that they can watch unavailable US movies or cheaper far east versions.

      Start telling people that they can't lend a movie to a mate, and they'll either boycott, or work out a way around.

    5. Re:My DVR doesn't read DVD-RAM discs anymore by mrchaotica · · Score: 2, Funny
      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    6. Re:My DVR doesn't read DVD-RAM discs anymore by moro_666 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      what a waste of time.

      if i have the discplayer, it obviously has output channels to a tv and to a sound system.

      so obviously i can rip it off from these same outputs. they can have all the drm they want, a bit divx encoding in there which loses their mighty "identification" spots that have been under discussion here somewhere, and the movies will again be out on the torrent sites. sure it will lose some quality, but i don't really think that downloaders will mind the drop of quality in such tiny amounts. (now camrips and ts's are loss of quality, a clean cablerip is as good as it can be on your tv). if you have a tv/video card with tv-in port, you're the man and the drm people are wasted.

      if you really think that drm works, show me a drm that can't be just cableripped or that hasn't been cracked by software already (oh that dvd region joke never expires i guess...).

      any measure they make with 3 years will be hacked with 3 months. any big secret about drm that you trust into taiwan hardware makers (hdtv producers for example) will be out soon enough & counter measured to make the whole investment in drm a total waste. and the saddest thing is that taiwan&china produce massive amount of everyday electronics already and the advanced countries can't afford to cut these out of the production system.

      don't the movie/soundmakers really understand that the only bloody way to fight piracy is to lower the prices and make the content affordable ? this is the only thing that will ever decrease the piracy.

      fight the bloody problem and not the results it creates.

      --

      I'd tell you the chances of this story being a dupe, but you wouldn't like it.
    7. Re:My DVR doesn't read DVD-RAM discs anymore by Scarblac · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Well, current DVDs already have invasive DRM. Mandatory ads, hard to copy, etc. I guess you refuse to watch them?

      Whatever the new standard will be, they're all DRMed out the wazoo. That's just not a choice, seen from the industry.

      --
      I believe posters are recognized by their sig. So I made one.
    8. Re:My DVR doesn't read DVD-RAM discs anymore by el+americano · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Theoretical capacity or capacity-in-a-laboratory is completely irrelevant and is comparable to this press release that claims Blu-ray is what consumers want, even though you can't buy any movies in either format yet. The fact remains that HD movies only require twice the space that a regular movie does, so the first cheap player for cheap discs @ 20GB should be the winner.

      Hmmm, let's see... Panasonic's Blu-ray player costs $2780 with $69 for the mythical 50GB disc or $32 for the real-world 25GB disc. Nope, not there yet. Not there in 2006 at all, I think.

      Personally, I think consumers are going to be hard to push from good-enough DVDs to over-hyped hi-def anyway. Add to that a ridiculous DRM that requires new TVs and monitors and prohibits copies of media that's likely to be less durable than DVD (especially Blu-ray), then I know I'm going to save a fortune by not buying any of it. Non-DRM dual-layer DVD will be my solution of choice until they offer me something truly better.

      --
      Those are my principles. If you don't like them I have others. -Groucho Marx
    9. Re:My DVR doesn't read DVD-RAM discs anymore by wernercd · · Score: 2, Informative

      invasive DRM?

      www.slysoft.com AnyDVD.

      Bye Bye DRM/ads/etc.

      and the real questions is: can u trust DRM by Sony? I know I won't.

      I'll wait for slysoft (or the like) to make a good bypass software like they have for DVDs.

    10. Re:My DVR doesn't read DVD-RAM discs anymore by nutshell42 · · Score: 4, Informative
      You need to get permission every time you play a disc

      This would require a mandatory, permanent Internet connection for your BD player and I doubt we'll see stuff like that in consumer electronics in the next 10 years.

      and your discs are permanently mated to your player. You can't play your disc at a friends house or in another room in your house, and if your player breaks, you lose your whole DVD collection.

      I assume you refer to Sony's patent for such a mechanism. That patent was issued in 1999. They didn't put it in the PS2, they didn't put it in the PSP, now a few months ago it resurfaced and suddenly everyone assumes they'll use it for the PS3. IMHO Sony's too afraid of losing to MS to try something harebrained like that

      --
      Don't think of it as a flame---it's more like an argument that does 3d6 fire damage
    11. Re:My DVR doesn't read DVD-RAM discs anymore by maxwell+demon · · Score: 3, Interesting
      I'm unlikely to buy a BluRay or HD-DVD player anytime soon, even if they get cheap. Therefore I personally don't really care how many Movies I'll get on which format. I highly doubt I'd see much of a different on my (non-HDTV) TV anyway (and I'm not going to buy a new TV either). I might, however, buy a burner as soon as they are reasonably cheap. Not for burning movies, but for storing data. And for that, there are basically three benchmarks:

      • How much data can I store on it?
      • How much data per Euro can I store on it?
      • How reliable/durable is my data on them?

      In a nutshell, I'd like to have large, cheap and reasonably reliable storage.
      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    12. Re:My DVR doesn't read DVD-RAM discs anymore by nmg196 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      > You need to get permission every time you play a disc,

      No you just made that up. Permission from who? Will the players have a cell phone built in and call up?

      > your discs are permanently mated to your player.

      Err, no! Obviously not. Otherwise when you upgrade your player, your entire collection would be written off.

      > if your player breaks, you lose your whole DVD collection

      *Obviously* not or they would never sell a single player. Please stop saying whatever stupid little thing pops into your head.

      Someone please mod the parent's propaganda post below zero before it confuses anymore gullable people.

    13. Re:My DVR doesn't read DVD-RAM discs anymore by el+americano · · Score: 3, Insightful

      People here might be forced to buy new TVs when the FCC forces broadcasters to transmit in high definition only (Thanks FCC. I had some money saved up, and I was feeling guilty about it.) - but I don't see people buying the players until they're easily affordable with comparably priced media.

      As for archival storage, why anticipate investing in an upgrade unless it's an order of magnitude greater than what you have now? I haven't bought every storage option that came down the pike (e.g. I never owned a Zip drive). 30-50GB is a rather pitiful increase for the next generation. Think about it. A 9GB DVD is more than 10 CDs. A CD is more than 200 floppies! These new discs are 3-5 DVDs? Wake me when, and if, Blu-ray hits 200GB - and it better be fast, because holographic storage is likely to have 1.6TB discs by the end of next year.

      Make no mistake. Blu-ray/HD-DVD is about entertainment media, not computer storage.

      --
      Those are my principles. If you don't like them I have others. -Groucho Marx
    14. Re:My DVR doesn't read DVD-RAM discs anymore by yabos · · Score: 4, Informative

      The FCC isn't forcing broadcasters to transmit in HD only(yet). They're forcing them to transimit in digital only which is very different.

    15. Re:My DVR doesn't read DVD-RAM discs anymore by CodeHog · · Score: 2, Insightful

      People here might be forced to buy new TVs when the FCC forces broadcasters to transmit in high definition only (Thanks FCC. I had some money saved up, and I was feeling guilty about it.)
      That's a definite possiblity, but I've been having some interesting conversations about the whole 'forced conversion' to digital. It will be nearly impossible to make millions of people go out and purchase a new TV overnight just because the FCC says everything has to be digital. I know I'll go without TV if that's the case. And maybe millions of other people will too. Hey that sounds like a good thing. Oh wait, we'll all just go to watching stuff on our cell phones, computers, ipods, etc. etc. etc... sigh.

      --
      Fat, drunk, and stupid is no way to go through life, son.
    16. Re:My DVR doesn't read DVD-RAM discs anymore by Tony+Hoyle · · Score: 2, Insightful

      They're not 'working towards it' it's already there in the standards. It's mandatory HDCP. Blu-Ray will *not* output HDTV over anything else. Bought an HTTV with component? Throw it in the trash because blu-ray will only send it SD.

      This uses PKI with revokable keys - the movie studios can just keep revoking keys that are hacked.

      Of course that'll work until the the first popular TV model gets hacked, and they kill the TVs belonging to half a million users. That'll be one hell of a lawsuit.

    17. Re:My DVR doesn't read DVD-RAM discs anymore by orderb13 · · Score: 2, Informative

      RTFA. It said that NO disk would require a connection to the internet. That is part of the standard, so how are they going to lock you playing it to one player? The (stated) reason that MS went with HD-DVD over Blu-ray is that Blu-ray doesn't have a spec for managed copy access. That was also one of the things they addressed in the article, but I guess it would be too much bother for you to read it.

    18. Re:My DVR doesn't read DVD-RAM discs anymore by poot_rootbeer · · Score: 3, Informative

      Just because the Blu-Ray spec allows discs to be DRM'ed out the ass doesn't mean that every disc released is going to use those features.

      I doubt that the content industry has forgotten about the failure of DIVX already -- they lost money on that, right along with Circuit City, for every movie on DIVX disc that sold for $2 on clearance after the product bombed.

      Expect the full set of restrictions to be enabled only for Oscar screeners and things of that nature.

  2. Technology driver by MyIS · · Score: 3, Insightful

    As usual, the pron industry will decide which format wins.

    --
    http://zero-to-enterprise.blogspot.com/
    1. Re:Technology driver by ChadN · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I have discovered that DVD has easily more than enough picture clarity for my pron watching needs, and I'm not sure I am really looking forward to HD porn... Maybe I just got used to grainy porn, but the high color fidelity, high contrast, and glisteningly realistic porn of DVD (rather than old school film transfer) is already more than a bit off-putting for me, sometimes.

      As for dual angles: I wish they'd pick one angle and stick to it (hey, no pun intended), rather than have a movie edited to constantly switch cameras on me. Whenever it switches to bung-hole cam, I hit the alternate angle button, and by the time it actually switches (a few seconds), the movie cuts back to brown-eye-vision. If they really want to advance the technology, they should build a "hairy, bobbing man-ass" pixelizer right into the DVDs, for us more reserved porn enthusiasts.

      --
      "It's overkill, of course. But you can never have too much overkill." - Anonymous Slashdot Coward
    2. Re:Technology driver by NotAnotherReboot · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Oh, come now. This comment is repeatedly echoed in every article about Blu-ray vs. HD-DVD. It's almost becoming groupthink of a sort, if so many people keep saying it, I might as well say it too!

      Do you really think if the porn industry decided to go for HD-DVD while 9/10 of the major movie studios went for Bluray that HD-DVD would win out? And here's another hint: the porn industry is concerned with making money; they will go to either format that wins out.

      The only reason this keeps coming up is because years ago, Sony didn't want porn on Betamax and it often cited as one of the reasons for its downfall (hint: it wasn't the only one).

    3. Re:Technology driver by Kjella · · Score: 4, Insightful

      In that case, DVD will win. Seriously, only a few top producers like Hustler, Playboy and such appriciate HDTV, because they got the means to hire real beauties. Your average porn actress does *not* look more attractive in HDTV. The porn industry jumped all over DVD primarily because of random access. No more rewind/forward, easy looping, play at quarter/half speed and so on. Porn does not need to be watched in a linear, start-to-end fashion. What does HDTV bring to porn producers? Honestly, only much higher demands on them. But with HDTV cams at $1600 (Sony HDR-HC1) and dropping, perhaps it'll happen anyway. But I don't think the porn industry will lead it.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    4. Re:Technology driver by Drakonite · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Porn has a history of adapting to new technology a lot faster than the major movie studios. They end up as essentially the first group to pick up a format, which then gives that format a big lead in terms of acceptance and units sold. The extra lead snowballs into the format dominating over the other.

      Admit it, which ever group is the most expiremental and fastest to move and use a new media the most tends to get to choose which direction it goes, and I don't think anyone would argue against the porn industry being the fastest moving and most experimental.

      --
      Shoot Pixels, Not People!
    5. Re:Technology driver by Ztream · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah, but does anyone actually buy porn on a disc anymore? It would seem to me that the porn industry is already way beyond that, having offered downloadable and streaming content for years.

  3. I, for one, welcome our SONY & DRM overlords.. by Hitto · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Or maybe not, maybe I'll keep on pirating my movies and music instead of giving another cent to the majors.
    Screw them. I prefer indie stuff anyways.

  4. A reich that will last a thousand years! by Siguy · · Score: 4, Funny

    From the bottom of the article: But the bottom-line is that this is an exciting time to be developing next-generation high definition digital TV products that will take us well into the third millennium. ...Right. It's not like we all read news reports last week saying that Blu-Ray and HD-DVD would be replaced with HVDs within 10 years.

    1. Re:A reich that will last a thousand years! by thorshammer42 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Of course HDTV will be phased out in 15 years and replaced by HrDTV (Higher Def TV). Anything so the TV companies can keep us buying for years to come...

    2. Re:A reich that will last a thousand years! by wanax · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Saying we are in the 3rd millenium (2001-3000) is the same thing as saying we're in the 21st century (2001-2100), or that you're in your 25th year.... it simply implies that we're no longer in the 2nd millenium (1001-2000) or 20th century (1901-2000).

    3. Re:A reich that will last a thousand years! by Preeminence · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Millenium 1: 0-999
      Millenium 2: 1000-1999
      Millenium 3: 2000-2999

      It doesn't have to last a thousand years... it only has to last 10-15 for us to be "well into the 3rd millenium"

    4. Re:A reich that will last a thousand years! by Siguy · · Score: 5, Funny
      I don't see how 10 years can be considered "well into" a thousand years.

      If I'm saving up a million dollars to buy a date with Charlize Theron and I save 100 dollars, I'm not really that close, am I?
      Sigh, not very close at all.

    5. Re:A reich that will last a thousand years! by ken+kenobi · · Score: 2, Informative
      No! No! No!

      In the wikipedea article you link to it clearly refutes your statement...

      Year 0001 corresponds to AD 1. The year before that is 0000, which corresponds to 1 BC

      It further links to an article on the 20th Century where it states...

      The 20th century lasted from 1901 to 2000 in the Gregorian calendar. Common usage sometimes regards it as lasting from 1900 to 1999, but this is incorrect since counting of calendar years begun in the year 1.

  5. More info.... by Cherita+Chen · · Score: 3, Informative

    Everything you ever wanted to know about Blue Ray... http://www.blu-ray.com/

    --
    I'm not fat, just big boned...
  6. HD-DVD will win by skyman8081 · · Score: 4, Funny

    I think that HD-DVD will win the end, simply because it is the inferior format. Which is usually is the one that wins in the end.

    But Greedo shooting first must be nice at 1080p, either way.

    --
    Two Roommates and a Boyfriend, updates Monday, Wednesday, and Friday
  7. Not decided if Blu-ray will have component video? by mjrmjr · · Score: 2, Insightful

    That seems kind of odd. What would it have instead... S-Video and HMDI?

  8. Birds of a Feather by Nom+du+Keyboard · · Score: 2, Insightful
    ...and seven movie studios

    Birds of a feather, or in this case movie studios in this chummy chummy business, flock together. Since Sony is one of theirs, well you get the picture [pun alert].

    In short, this is hardly surprising. Especially considering how many households will quickly enough have one player in the kid's must-have PS3. Might have been different if XBox 360 was shipping with HD-DVD, but that's clearly not the case.

    --
    "It's the height of ridiculousness to say for those 9 lines you get hundreds of millions."
    1. Re:Birds of a Feather by FatherOfONe · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You hit the nail right on the head.

      It appears that most people here on slashdot hate Blue-Ray. I understand, but look at the alternative. A Microsoft backed system that will also have the copy protection crap in it.

      So for once it looks like a technology that Microsoft hates it going to be the "standard".

      It isn't like we have a totally open spec on one side and a DRM closed solution on the other. We the consumers (people that will actually buy a device), have a choice of one evil player or the other. It appears that the better technical solution will win. Also, it appears that a JVM will now become even more widely available, and thus piss off Microsoft even more. Let's be honest now, the ONLY reason Microsoft hates blue-ray is because it contains a JVM. They realize they will not control the living room and thus hate it. They have to be kicking themselves for not waiting a little bit on the new Xbox and shipping a HD-DVD in it.

      Again for people that will actually spend money on a new High Definition DVD player, the choices are between one evil empire and the other. One is Microsoft and the other is Sony. Who would you pick?

      --
      The more I learn about science, the more my faith in God increases.
  9. This is great by Depris · · Score: 4, Funny

    I love it when major corporations fight large battles against each other instead of the consumer. ...Oh wait.

    --
    I'll make you a deal. You pray to God for help and I'll stop the moment he shows up.
  10. One question I have by Hao+Wu · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The pits on HD are 6-times the length of those on Blu-ray. So shouldn't there be less degradation, meaning a longer lifespan for the disk? (One would think that marks only 1/6 the size would deteriorate faster, no?)

    --
    I suggest you read Slashdot
    1. Re:One question I have by jZnat · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I guess you didn't notice, but the point behind Sony's tactics here is to provide an extremely fragile media so that you'll both not be able to back up your videos due to draconian DRM and you'll end up rebuying your videos every time they fuck up.

      --
      'Yes, firefox is indeed greater than women. Can women block pops up for you? No. Can Firefox show you naked women? Yes.'
    2. Re:One question I have by nutshell42 · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Stupid question but if the pits are 6 times on HD the length why doesn't Blu-ray offer 6 times the capacity? Are they longer but thinner? Does Blu-ray waste three quarters of the disc for something else?

      Do you have any link about that?

      --
      Don't think of it as a flame---it's more like an argument that does 3d6 fire damage
  11. What about HD-DVD? by Nermal6693 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    OK, so 90 percent support Blu-Ray, but what percentage support HD-DVD? It won't be 10 % because some companies (eg. Apple) support both formats, and others probably don't support either of them.

    1. Re:What about HD-DVD? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      ..well.. seeing that Apple is on the board of Directors of the Blu-Ray group, I doubt they'll back HD-DVD that much.

  12. Re:Blu Ray is lame technology by wo1verin3 · · Score: 4, Funny

    >> instead of some incremental advance on blu-ray that gives us 100 GB or something lame like that.

    * wolv looks at spindle of 100 DVD-R
    * wolv looks at 5-pack of 100GB discs

    Yes... damn them and they better not give us those lame 100 GB discs.

  13. Re:Skip Blu-Ray - Go To 300GB Holographic Discs by Tekoneiric · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I think this is going to be the view of a lot of people including myself. I just don't know how successful a new movie disk format will be given the time for general adoption by the masses vs speed of Internet connections. About the time it hits it's stride in the mass market, faster Internet connections and better on-demand video services will be available.
    It took DVDs years to be accepted by the market. They'll have to offer much more with the movies to get the public to want to buy new copies of what they have. With DVD, it was all the extras and the supposedly non-degrading format. Since the consumer already has that with DVD, Blu-ray can't push that so they'll have to push the higher resolution but the general public doesn't really understand that much so it's something really abstract to them. Are they going to sell their soul (DRM) and empty their pocket book to replace their current movies? I doubt it.

    --
    *It's not what you can do for the Dark Side but what the Dark Side can do for you!*
  14. Apparently... by xiangpeng · · Score: 2, Funny

    Cameron Diaz, Drew Barrymore and Lucy Liu won most of the industry over.

    --
    You must defeat Sheng Long to stand a chance.
  15. Both will fail by ad0gg · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Older HDTVs and almost all computer monitors do not support HDCP. People have little incentive to pick bluray or HDDVD when they can't take advantage of the HD content without being forced to upgrade their monitors or tvs. Company that wins will be the first one to remove the HDCP requirement for video out but I have feeling both will not and they'll end up as the same fate DVD audio. Consumers will just ignore the technology.

    --

    Have you ever been to a turkish prison?

  16. The PS3 by wyldeone · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It has seemed pretty clear to me that Blue-ray will win, because thanks to the PS3, it defeats the chicken-and-egg problem of any new media, which is that no one will spend hundreds of dollars on a player for a new format when there are no movies, and no studio will produce movies if no players exist. Because the PS3 will put millions of blueray players in homes, compared with the meagre amount of early-adopters who will have hddvd players, studios will by neccessity go with blueray.

    --
    In the beginning the universe was created. This made a lot of people very angry and is widely considered as a bad move.
  17. A Sony format winning in the marketplace... by DCheesi · · Score: 2, Funny

    ...Law of Averages? Or sign of the Apocalypse??

  18. yep. HDMI by YesIAmAScript · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Sending the video out over analog (component) or unencrypted digital is forbidden.

    The DVD CCA won't even let you send out uprezzed DVDs over analog or unencrypted digital (if the Macrovision flag is set).

    It's completely ridiculous.

    DVI w/HDCP is electrically identical to HDMI I guess, so that's probably permissible.

    --
    http://lkml.org/lkml/2005/8/20/95
  19. (Analog) HDTV... I will need HDMI?? by green+pizza · · Score: 3, Interesting

    From what I gather, neither BluRay nor HDDVD will suport full HD resolution via component video, instead consumers will have to use HDMI for its HDCP copy protection.

    Well, this is fine if I had a new TV... but instead I have a beautiful 3 year old rear projection HDTV that uses analog component inputs. This is currently connected to a HD DirecTV reciever and my DVD player. The DVD player is of course 480p but I do get as high as 1080i with some of the DirecTV channels.

    So now what am I going to do when BluRay or HDDVD comes out and I want to view the full resolution siginal? What are the odds Sony will sell me new electronics to add HDCP digital to my TV? Will I have to use an illegal device to convert the digital stream to component for my TV?

    1. Re:(Analog) HDTV... I will need HDMI?? by Zed2K · · Score: 2, Interesting

      This might not be the case still. They ARE looking at changing this stance since so many folks will be left out and won't buy the devices because they don't have hdmi on their tvs.

      Nothing is set until the devices start hitting the stores, until then there is still hope.

  20. DVD will win by Aceticon · · Score: 4, Insightful
    In that case, DVD will win. Seriously, only a few top producers like Hustler, Playboy and such appriciate HDTV, because they got the means to hire real beauties. Your average porn actress does *not* look more attractive in HDTV. The porn industry jumped all over DVD primarily because of random access. No more rewind/forward, easy looping, play at quarter/half speed and so on. Porn does not need to be watched in a linear, start-to-end fashion. What does HDTV bring to porn producers? Honestly, only much higher demands on them. But with HDTV cams at $1600 (Sony HDR-HC1) and dropping, perhaps it'll happen anyway. But I don't think the porn industry will lead it

    I have to agree on this one.

    Furthermore, as i see it, the only possible benefict that moving to a new format can give to the porn industry is "high definition content". This might be a real benefict for the part of the industry that concentrates on showing naked physically perfect women - aka softcore - (or maybe not if they rely on the technology to disguise the imperfections) but what value does it add to the part of the industry that concentrates on the action - aka hardcore. After all, most hardcore movies are hardly known for the grandeur of the scenarios (or the depth of the stories, or the quality of the acting of their casting)

    If you think back to the change from videotapes to DVDs, you can see clear beneficts to the industry:
    • A DVD (in a standaard DVD box) will use 1/2 the space of a videotape. This means you can store and transport twice the number of DVDs than videotapes.
    • Manufacturing of DVDs is cheaper and more reliable. It can be easilly outsourced and also scales up more easilly (pay another 200$, get 1000 DVDs more)
    • DVDs (as long as packed in DVD boxes) are less likelly to get damaged on transport, especially due to external factors such as strong magnetic fields
    • Lets also not forget that resistance to damage on transport and size (and weight) are also relevant for mail delivery


    As i see it, none of these new technologies seems to bring any comparable beneficts for a business model such as the one from the porn industry.

    Obvious beneficts for the traditional film industry, such as getting their customers to (again) buy their personal film library in another format, are hardly applicable to the porn industry - there is hardly a hot market for a new edition of "Debbie Does Dalas"
  21. Consumers will return them by tekrat · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Think about it. Joe Consumer sees the Blu_ray at "The Wiz" or "Best Buy", and drools "Wow, what a sharp picture!!!". He buys the unit, takes it home, pops in a standard DVD on his standard TV set, and then wonders where all the extra resolution is.

    You think I'm kidding but I'm not. I deal with people who hook their DVD into the VHS machine and then wonder why they can't see the DVD's play -- because the VHS machine is still set to "tuner", when it needs to be changed to "Aux" or "line in".

    Believe me. People will return these things like mad when they don't get the same quality of image they saw in the store. They are not being told that they have to buy new DVDs and New TVs as well as the new player. It's like saying "This new stereo requires that you throw away your old speakers and buy new speakers too, plus, you can't play your old CD's in it either!"

    I predict phantom warehouses of returned merchandise to keep it off the books so the stocks don't tumble.

    Trust me on this. People are stupid.

    --
    If telephones are outlawed, then only outlaws will have telephones.
    1. Re:Consumers will return them by Zakabog · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Think about it. Joe Consumer sees the Blu_ray at "The Wiz" or "Best Buy", and drools "Wow, what a sharp picture!!!". He buys the unit, takes it home, pops in a standard DVD on his standard TV set, and then wonders where all the extra resolution is.

      No, he'll say "Wow I can't believe how amazing this looks" and he'll tell his family he got some brand new blu ray player for $500 and show them and they'll say "Wow it looks great!" and then he'll show a real videophile and they'll say "What the hell is wrong with you, you don't even have an HDTV..." or they'll just smile and say nothing knowing the guy is a moron. People will convince themselves what they're experiencing is the best image ever after they spend a ton of money on a blu ray player, and anyone who is aware that the image quality didn't change, will also be aware of the fact that they need a TV that supports the higher resolutions.

  22. Re:When DVD first came out... by spacefight · · Score: 2, Funny

    Hey, you should still rewind your DVDs to avoid those rewindig fees! ;)

  23. Obligitory /. comment by StaticFish · · Score: 3, Funny

    1. Invent a new, mostly unneeded format 2. DRM it to hell 3. ??? 4. Profit!

    --
    - There's no place like 127.0.0.1
  24. Totally missing the point by droopycom · · Score: 5, Informative

    You are totally missing the point.

    The point of Blu-Ray is High Definition. So your analog video and audio outputs are not going to get you HD. You are not going to plug your HDTV to your DVD player using analog if you want HiDef.

    The purpose of the DRM in Blu Ray is to block you from ripping the decrypted, compressed bitsream. If all you can do with BluRay is capture the analog, then we can already do better with regular DVD, so it would be a huge success for BluRay DRMs.

    And if you know about what kind of DRM they are talking about, you would realize that its not going to be simple to permanently hack, even a software implementation.

    Even if you are able to get the uncompressed HD image by hijacking your display device, watermark detection will make sure that your BluRay player keys will be revoked and wont be able to play new content.

    The design of BluRay's DRMs has really been though out, and covers a lot of scenarios. Off course the implementations will have problems, bugs and exploits, but what it really comes down to is how well BluRay will keep track of compromised players, and how bad they are willing to perform key revocation.

    Each player is supposed to have an unique ID, but I can see it from here: some manufacturer (cheap chinese for example) will mess up and produce 1000s of player with the same ID. When one of this player his compromised, 1000s of players will stop working with new releases if the studios revoke this key. 1000s of people will complain.

    In the best case the manufacturer (contractually at fault for producing clones) will change the players.
    In the worst case there will be lawsuits flying around between Studios, BluRay authorities, OEM, silicon vendors and consumers.

    The good thing for the Japanese: the barrier of entry for cheap Chinese and Taiwanese manufacturer will be high. There will be the need to put in place "secure" production lines , making sure that keys are not leaked and that no clone are produced. The huge liabilities that the OEM will face if they screw up will be enough to give Pioneer, Sony etc.. time to make a buck on BluRay.

    1. Re:Totally missing the point by Kjella · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The purpose of the DRM in Blu Ray is to block you from ripping the decrypted, compressed bitsream. If all you can do with BluRay is capture the analog, then we can already do better with regular DVD, so it would be a huge success for BluRay DRMs.

      You think a 1920x1080p transcode will look worse than a 720x480 original encode? Hint: It won't. Try looking at some of the HDTV -> Xvid/WMV rips out there. Since they are still sticking with MPEG2, reencodes would be the norm rather than the exception anyway. Certainly, getting the originally compressed file would be superior to that again, but it is not a huge loss to quality, only to ease of ripping.

      And if you know about what kind of DRM they are talking about, you would realize that its not going to be simple to permanently hack, even a software implementation. Even if you are able to get the uncompressed HD image by hijacking your display device, watermark detection will make sure that your BluRay player keys will be revoked and wont be able to play new content.

      Hint: Take two displays. Or three, or five. Compare them. This is SDMI all over again, which died on the drawing board because it doesn't work!

      The design of BluRay's DRMs has really been though out, and covers a lot of scenarios. Off course the implementations will have problems, bugs and exploits, but what it really comes down to is how well BluRay will keep track of compromised players, and how bad they are willing to perform key revocation.

      More likely, if they are able to. Besides, there's little problem for pirates to keep a player away from all newer releases until they've ripped all the old ones. If you can rip the entire back catalog every time a player is broken, your DRM is still pretty screwed. Once you have decrypted the symmetric key, you can use this and share it with others. That makes everyone able to rip discs that have been broken once.

      I think those who will really profit from this is not movie, tv or music producers, I think it is software companies. As long as the whole value of your product is essentially recordable, you have no chance to win. Screenshots of Windows/MS Office are rather useless though. Those are the ones that will cash in big from reduced piracy, and I think Microsoft is laughing all the way to the bank when they think about it.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    2. Re:Totally missing the point by Kadin2048 · · Score: 2

      The good thing for the Japanese: the barrier of entry for cheap Chinese and Taiwanese manufacturer will be high.

      This is what I don't believe. U.S. investors will be falling over themselves to be the first to build a production line to turn these things out wherever labor is cheapest. Hell, that's pretty much all we ever do now -- outsource it to China; and not just shoddy molded-plastic stuff.

      The manufacturers will want to maximize profits at a given price point, and that means driving down production costs as low as possible. Maybe the initial 'early adopter' and 'videophile' units will be made in Japan, but when it comes time to try and capture the mass market with a model that you can sell at Wal-Mart, it will be made in China. And it will probably be made there in a factory paid for by Japanese and American corporate investment, regardless of the perceived "security" concerns.

      The electronics manufacturers will only go so far in order to protect the studio's DRM. Something that impacts their bottom line so significantly as not being able to outsource the production is not going to happen.

      --
      "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
    3. Re:Totally missing the point by Tony+Hoyle · · Score: 3, Informative

      No, just that they won't transmit HD over it.

      This is in the specs. All analogue outputs will be SD only.

    4. Re:Totally missing the point by bigpat · · Score: 2

      The good thing for the Japanese: the barrier of entry for cheap Chinese and Taiwanese manufacturer will be high. There will be the need to put in place "secure" production lines , making sure that keys are not leaked and that no clone are produced. The huge liabilities that the OEM will face if they screw up will be enough to give Pioneer, Sony etc.. time to make a buck on BluRay.

      So, there will never be cheap BluRay players like there are cheap DVD players. That should help market penetration. I only bought a DVD player when it dropped under a $100. And I don't expect to spend more for bluray, because of all this DRM crap that cripples functionality.

  25. BluRay not really 54gb by derrickh · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Not at first anyway. Sony dropped a bombshell on it's partners when they stated that the 50gb discs wont be available at launch, and probably not for a while. So content producers will have to make do with the 25gb discs. Sony also said that they're sticking with Mpeg2 to encode. This isn't good, because using Mpeg2 at a high bitrate most of the disc is taken up by the movie and it doesn't leave much space for the extras. And all that extra space was a big reason companies choose BluRay over HD-DVD and most already planned on filling up the discs. Looks like Sony pulled a bait and switch on a lot of big companies.

    HD-DVD will use VC1 or Mpeg4 which will give the same quality picture and using a lot less space. So even though on paper, BluRay has better specs, in real life HD-DVD will allow more stuff on a disc.

    D

    1. Re:BluRay not really 54gb by News+for+nerds · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Sony dropped a bombshell on it's partners when they stated that the 50gb discs wont be available at launch

      WTF are you smoking?

      http://www.tdk-europe.presscentre.com/corp/Release s/release.asp?ReleaseID=2355&NID=Press%20Releases

      13 December 2005
      TDK Starts Shipping "Bare" Type Mass-Production Blu-ray Disc Samples

      TDK's Blu-ray Discs achieve a high capacity of 25GB on a single-layer and 50GB on a dual-layer at 2x recording speed and are protected by TDK's DURABIS 2 hard coating technology

      TDK today announces that is has commenced shipping mass-production samples of its bare-type (cartridge-less) BD-R (write-once type) and BD-RE (rewritable type) Blu-ray Discs. The four new products include:

        BD-R25 (write once, single-side, single-layer, 25GB)
      BD-R50 (write once, single-side, dual-layer, 50GB)
        BD-RE25 (rewritable, single-side, single-layer, 25GB)
      BD-RE50 (rewritable, single-side, dual-layer, 50GB)

    2. Re:BluRay not really 54gb by derrickh · · Score: 2, Interesting

      One company announce shipping of sample isnt the same as being available in decent quantities.

      http://videobusiness.com/article/CA6288668.html

      D

    3. Re:BluRay not really 54gb by derrickh · · Score: 2, Interesting

      15gb for extras isn't a lot of room at all, especially when a lot of 'special editions' have hours of extras. If the extras are in HD, then they'll be limited to an hour or so. Otherwise, you're talking about having multiple disc sets. And what about when HD TV shows hit the market? 2-3 episodes of Lost per disc plus a few featurettes and it could come out to a 7-8 discs. Kinda like we have now.

      D

  26. The 'hackers will find a way' argument debunked by MunchMunch · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "The content industry is going to see a serious backlash if they try this. They tried region coding, and people over here in the UK just got players chipped and hacked." The 'hackers will always find a way' argument is often made to make one's self feel better, but regardless of whether it has merit if people choose to believe it it will always diminish any possibility of a real victory. This is because it takes people and attention away from real arguments about the *principle* of giving consumers certain rights at the source irregardless of practical workarounds--a principle that, if accepted, can remain in effect no matter what technological means to cripple content exist and will not require faith in unknown hackers hacking unknown technology. So...If a modding 'backlash' is the equivalent of conceding the war to win the skirmish, I guess they can expect a backlash alright.

  27. What's in it for me? by bhima · · Score: 4, Insightful

    So what's so great about Blu-Ray? Let's review the "Features"...

    Somewhat higher capacity but not as much as initially promised
    New and Improved Onerous DRM
    Ancient encoding schema
    Macrovision
    Region encoding
    Prohibited user operations
    Language & subtitle choices which are limited to region

    Can someone remind me why we want this?

    --
    Nothing in the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity.
  28. Ultimately by TheSkepticalOptimist · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The one that comes out on top is the one where you go to a Best Buy or Circuit City and buy or go to Blockbuster and rent a movie, and don't care what media its on. It will also be the one that costs $15 per movie, not sold for some $40 premium price tag.

    It will also be the first player to hit the sub $100 range. Anyone releasing a next-gen DVD player for more then $500 will fail to capture the market. Why should next-gen DVD players, with mostly the same components as a $50 DVD player cost 10 times more?

    In any regard, I will wait a few years before rushing out and getting any next-gen DVD player, perhaps by then they will open up Digital Cable standards and build HDTV tuners into every television (rotflol!).

    --
    I haven't thought of anything clever to put here, but then again most of you haven't either.
  29. This "Format war" thing is no news to me... by dalmiroy2k · · Score: 2, Informative

    I bought my first DVD player back in 1998 and it was a Creative Labs DXR2 multi-zone with S-video out. It was an awesome and affordable option back then, allowing me to be an early adopter of DVD tech. In all this years I remember the folowwing "Format wars": Circuit city's DIVX vs DVD Remember that one? Disney and Universal fully backed DIVX, that it required you to log on using a dial up modem to watch the movie in a 48hs term, then the movie expired. A lot of lazy joe's liked the format because it didn't required a ride back to the store to return the movie or pay late fees, but hardcore DVD fans hated it, and so it collapsed. DD vs DTS Back in the early days people actually discused which audio format was better, they posted comparisons and discussed which one will be the survivor in the format wars. Now (almost) every dvd player and HT supports both formats and still most people can't tell or won't care about the difference between them. DVD-R VS DVD+R More of the same, only 3 years away. the problem was solved offering dvd players that could read both formats. Most people don't give a damn about it and they buy the cheapest DVD recordable bulk they see @ Wal-mart or Compusa. Blu-Ray VS HD-DVD It will be more of the same. Corporations like Samsung said that they will offer a player that will play both formats if there is enought demand, and most cheap chinesse manufacters like X-view/JWIN/Admiral/Apex/you name it will sure follow this path. Don't bring me the "It's not posible to combine both techonogies because...", They said same thing about Divx/MPEG4 and now they are present in most decent players. Also DVD-AUDIO. Granted, price may be high at first, but remember that dvd-players cost $1k back in the late ninety's. Sony, on the other hand, will stick to "blu-ray" only players just like they do with Memory stick and other shit, so you will have a player that only plays half the HD content in the market, so will the PS3. Conclusion: Wait one or two years, buy a dual format player and that's it.

  30. Nope, people will love it by Wesley+Felter · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I read an article just the other day saying that a lot of people think they are watching HD today, but they aren't. But these people like their "HD". So I suspect these people will buy Blu-ray players, attach them to their HDTVs (or even better, EDTVs) with analog component cables, and marvel at the wonderful quality. Never underestimate the placebo effect.